Deciding where we should carry out connectivity conservation Pia Lentini, Research Fellow, QAECO group, School of Botany qaeco.com @pelentini @qaecology [email protected] “The Long Paddock” “disposal through sale may be an appropriate outcome for a restricted number and area of TSRs” Biodiversity conservation • Not cultivated • No inputs • No set-stocking • Large remnants • Old remnants • Hollows • Support threatened veg. • Provide habitat for threatened spp Cultural heritage • Indig. Song lines, trading paths • Significant sites and objects • European heritage Support for rural communities • Fire and flood refuge • Droving • Tourism • Apiaries/pollination Other values for Australian society • Recreation • Scientific research • Carbon sinks • Seed source Cereal crop Exotic pastures Native pastures Lucerne/clover pasture Canola crop Results • ~6,000 birds, 81 species, 45 woodland specialists Image: Dejan Stojanovic Lentini, P. E., Fischer, J., Gibbons, P., Hanspach, J. and Martin, T. G. (2011) Value of large-scale linear networks for bird conservation: a case study from Travelling Stock Routes, Australia. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment, 141, 302-309. Stock route richness Results: Woodland birds TSR Condition index Logs Peeling bark Native ground cover Litter Hollows Shrubs Results: Woodland birds PAD Shrubs Results: Woodland birds Shrubs What this meant for management • Structural complexity was more important for woodland bird communities than stock route size • Narrow stock routes may act as a source of avian visitors to farmland • Native pastures and low-input systems provide supplementary habitat for woodland birds, so incentives to maintain these areas should be considered • Low-input systems also allow for trees regeneration, and scattered paddock trees That’s all very nice. Where has that gotten you? Aren’t you supposed to be talking to us about connectivity? Aust. DSEWPAC (2012). National Wildlife Corridors Plan. Taylor et al. (1993) defined landscape connectivity as: ‘‘the degree to which the landscape facilitates or impedes movement among resource patches’’ Connectivity – Why does it matter? 1) Recolonisation Metapopulations persist because local extinctions are offset by recolonisation 10 100 30 Connectivity – Why does it matter? aA aa BB cc Cc f↑ f↓ 2) Gene flow Between distinct populations prevents inbreeding depression Aa AA bb Bb CC cC f↑ f↓ Connectivity – Why does it matter? 100 100 Altitude 3) Climate change Species may need to shift their distributions as the climate warms People have really been paying attention Connectivity Biophysical environment Species’ mobility Species’ habitat requirements Text book principles Cain et al (eds 2008) Ecology. Sinauer Associates. Conservation planning How we decide where to put conservation reserves, or where to carry out certain conservation actions Principles of conservation planning: • C: Comprehensive – need to have good examples of each species/ community/ecosystem • A: Adequate – need to protect enough of each species/community/ ecosystem so they’re viable (connectivity part of this) • R: Representative – need to capture natural variability of species/communities/ecosystems across their distributions • C: Complementarity – sites need to complement each other: if it’s adequately protected elsewhere already, protect something underrepresented instead • E: Efficient – resources are limited, so we need to do this in the cheapest way possible A quick exercise – which patches would you conserve? a) Each species once 9 6 4 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 1 3 3 A quick exercise – which patches would you conserve? b) Each species once – account for cost 1 - $5 2 - $10 3 - $2 4 - $34 5 - $50 6 - $12 7 - $28 8 - $19 9 - $45 A quick exercise – which patches would you conserve? c) Each species once – habitat quality 1 - $5 2 - $10 3 - $2 ($500) 4 - $34 5 - $50 6 - $12 7 - $28 8 - $19 9 - $45 A quick exercise – which patches would you conserve? d) Each species once - connectivity Want to minimise the edge (boundary) 1 - $5 2 - $10 3 - $2 4 - $34 5 - $50 6 - $12 = 720m 7 - $28 8 - $19 = 520m 9 - $45 80m 100m A quick exercise – which patches would you conserve? d) Each species once - connectivity IF connectivity is REALLY important 1 - $5 2 - $510 $10 3 - $2 4 - $34 5 - $50 6 - $12 7 - $28 8 - $19 9 - $45 = 720m 1080m ($83) ($565) A quick exercise – which patches would you conserve? 6ha 4ha d) Each species – minimum area Landscapes aren’t neat squares! 1 - $5 1ha 2 - $10 1.75ha 3 - $2 3.25ha 4 - $34 0.75ha 5 - $50 1.5ha 6 - $12 3ha 7 - $28 1.75ha 8 - $19 2ha 9 - $45 5ha 10ha 10ha 7ha 3ha What a headache! • Many/all of these factors need to be considered in planning • Planning problems often involve thousands of potential ‘planning units’ • Just because you have a ‘solution’, that doesn’t mean that stakeholders are going to cooperate • Thankfully, a wide range of conservation planning tools have been developed to help us! Two ways to approach conservation planning • Address the ‘minimum set’ problem: if I want to protect x amount of something, what is the cheapest way to do it? (Marxan) • ‘Maximum coverage’ problem is the opposite: I have x dollars, what can you get me for it? (Zonation) Connecting Country “Habitat for Bush Birds” case study Private land conservation programs for 20 species of woodland bird Four actions being considered: Revegetation, weeding, fencing and grazing management INFFER process had identified eleven priority zones for action Where to invest to maximise habitat quality and connectivity over the next 50 years? Step 1: Build a habitat suitability model for each species Probability of brown treecreeper = Temperature range + Precipitation of the driest month + Woody vegetation in 500m buffer + Vegetation condition in 500m buffer + Soil pH+ Vegetation “greeness” + Land use + Topographic wetness Step 2: Decide how we think each species is going to respond to each action in each land use type Action Site type AON BCH BT BRT CB CST DF EYR FH HR JW LL PBQ SK SR SW SP WBB WBC YTH Grazing management Fencing Revegetation: Direct seeding Weeding Pasture with vegetation Crop Modified Pasture Pasture with vegetation Crop Modified Pasture Pasture with vegetation Crop Modified Pasture Pasture with vegetation Crop Modified Pasture 0 0 0 0 0 1.97 1.709 1.97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.97 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1.207 1.378 1.907 1.235 0 1.105 1.83 1.105 1.378 1.207 1.207 1.907 2.9 1.907 1.207 1.235 1.378 1.105 1.378 1.378 0.604 7.853 0.439 5.427 3.854 6.695 13.607 6.032 3.123 34.58 8.184 1.094 21.984 6.449 7.305 4.94 0.861 11.444 5.058 4.064 3.021 20.65 1.677 10.138 2.916 7.412 19.719 11.204 5.539 59.433 9.248 1.37 0 1.579 13.296 2.1 2.766 24.408 6.262 8.157 1.52 19.648 0.902 8.72 1.387 8.74 16.226 5.541 5.742 43.816 11.744 1.691 0 2.09 15.07 1.083 1.784 15.017 6.41 4.758 0 7.853 0 5.427 4.581 6.695 13.607 6.032 3.222 34.58 8.187 1.094 21.984 6.554 7.305 4.94 0 11.444 5.058 4.064 3.021 20.65 1.677 10.138 6.648 7.412 26.57 15.097 6.116 86.924 9.324 1.37 37.719 3.272 13.296 12.025 2.766 36.308 6.262 10.992 1.52 19.648 0.902 9.886 6.527 8.74 29.89 10.207 6.774 79.061 11.896 1.691 42.747 5.588 15.07 8.648 1.784 27.67 6.41 8.765 1.482 1.454 1.42 1.427 1.428 1.447 1.465 1.433 1.388 1.481 1.455 1.462 1.475 1.478 1.443 1.421 1.466 1.46 1.477 1.407 1.49 1.477 1.472 1.456 1.454 1.451 1.478 1.468 1.436 1.487 1.459 1.468 1.484 1.471 1.464 1.47 1.484 1.481 1.48 1.459 1.488 1.476 1.456 1.455 1.447 1.457 1.479 1.456 1.44 1.487 1.466 1.472 1.483 1.476 1.468 1.45 1.479 1.478 1.48 1.451 Step 3: Decide on what the best action in each place is ? ×2 0.2 0.4 $321 ROI = 0.2/321 = 0.00062 $406 0.6/406 = 0.00148 ×4 0.2 0.8 0.0012 × 1.5 0.4 0.6 $321 0.6/406 = 0.00062 0.0025 ×2 0.4 0.8 $406 0.6/406 = 0.00098 Pretend you’ve already done the best action everywhere And you know what that cost… Step 5: Model connectivity Then, determined priority areas in the landscape for taxonomic groups using Uses maps as inputs, employs an algorithm which iteratively removes cells from the landscape Does so in an order which minimises the loss of habitat for the worst-off species at each time step In this way, the least valuable habitat for all species is removed first, and the most valuable removed last Voila! What we perceive as being the most important bits of the landscape are going to shift depending on what we’re trying to represent in our conservation plans Some take-home messages • Stock routes are awesome • Habitat complexity is key – logs, shrubs, leaf litter: ‘mess’ in general • Big old trees are important for a lot of farmland fauna • What constitutes “connectivity” is different for each species • It’s not only the quality of a patch is that matters, but also its “landscape context” – what is close by and what it connects Thanks! Supervisors and collaborators: Joern Fischer, Brendan Wintle, Phil Gibbons, Tara Martin, Brad Law, Saul Cunningham, Jan Hanspach, David Lindenmayer, Michael Drielsma Field assistants: Corey Bunnell, Madelaine Castles, Lesley Hook, Lulu Lentini, Mary Long, Anna McConville, Alex Munro, Beth Noel, Gabbie Openshaw, Thomas O’Reilly, Mark Quinnell, Katherine Russell, Marcus Salton, Karen Stagoll, Jarom Stanaway, Caragh Threlfall Property owners: The Boland, East, Forde, Francis, Fuge, Gibb, Harper, Herbert, Kavanagh, Kelly, Kite, Knight, Knight, Markwort, Maslin, Matchett, McLachlan, Mitton, Naughton, Porritt, Robinson, Ryan, Sanderson, Smith, Sweeney, Sykes, Taylor, Thomas, Whyte, Worner, and Yerbury families, and the Darley global breeding operation.
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