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Current Transfer Patterns of California
Community College Students
Alice van Ommeren
Research, Analysis and Accountability Unit
California Community Colleges Chancellor’s Office
Importance of Transfer
• Approximately 55% of CSU graduates and 30% of
UC graduates were community college transfers.
• Transfer is the most common declared goal of
first-time students enrolling in our system.
• Transfer related outcomes are the most frequent
outcome in Scorecard Completion Rate.
• Transfer continues to be a central mission of
community colleges, despite expanding goals.
Objectives
• Report the most recent trends in transfer and
differences among student populations.
• Describe the various methodologies for
measuring and capturing transfer.
• Update on Associate of Transfer Degrees and
HBCU Transfer Degree Guarantee Project.
• Discuss how transfer is being included in other
systemwide initiatives.
Data and Term Definitions
• Volume of Transfers – Number of students
transferring in a particular year.
– Snapshot in time
• Transfer Rates – Percentage of transfer seeking
students who transfer within # years.
– Cohorts of students
• Transfer Prepared – Number of students with
60 CSU/UC transferrable units.
– CCC metric, transfer proxy
Volume of Transfer
• Number of students transferring to CSU and
UC is always captured based on their reports
and their methodology.
Volume of Transfer
• Number of students transferring to CSU and
UC is always captured based on their reports
and their methodology.
Volume of Transfer
• Number of students transferring to CSU and
UC is always captured based on their reports
and their methodology.
• CSU has been volatile since 2007-08 and UC
has been more stable.
Volume of Transfer
• Number of students (=>12 units) transferring to
In-State Private (ISP) and Out-of-State (OOS)
institutions is based on a match with National
Student Clearinghouse
Volume of Transfer
• Number of students (=>12 units) transferring to
ISP and OOS is based on a match with National
Student Clearinghouse
Volume of Transfer
• Number of students (=>12 units) transferring to
ISP and OOS is based on a match with National
Student Clearinghouse
• Number of transfers to ISP and OOS have
decreased, steady decline for ISP since 2009-10
Transfers by Destination, 2012-13
California State University
University of California
In-State-Private (ISP)
Out-of-State (OOS)
Out-of-State “Top 10” Transfer Destinations
Out-of-State Institutions
2012-13
Ashford University*
824
Arizona State University
689
Kaplan University
592
University Of Maryland
533
Grand Canyon University*
488
Brigham Young University
370
Western Governors University (Utah)
288
University Of Nevada-Las Vegas
231
Liberty University (Virginia)
190
Portland State University
188
In-State Private “Top 10“ Transfer Destinations
Out-of-State Institutions
2012-13
University Of Phoenix*
3,768
National University
1,585
University of Southern California
743
Devry University-California*
637
California Baptist University
532
University Of La Verne
504
Fresno Pacific University
371
Academy Of Art University*
337
California College-San Diego
269
Azusa Pacific University
250
Sector of Choice
CSU %
ISP %
OOS %
UC %
African American
29.5
33.2
32.3
5.1
Asian
48.8
10.9
8.9
31.5
Filipino
48.5
25.4
14.3
11.8
Hispanic
53.5
23.7
13.2
9.5
Pacific Islander
41.7
19.9
28.6
9.8
White
44.8
19.4
23.2
12.5
Transfer Rates
• Methodology developed in 2001 by CCCCO &
Transfer Data Technical Workgroup (TDTW).
• Published and peer reviewed by Bahr, Hom and
Perry in 2005 and refined over the years.
• Student educational goal is not reliable indicator
of intent (change mind, exaggerate, updated)
• Course taking patterns based on units and types
of courses is used to establish student intent.
Transfer Rates
• Percentage of first-time students with at least
12 units and attempted transfer level math or
English who transferred after X years (6 years)
to a public or private four-year institution.
Transfer Rates
• Percentage of first-time students with at least
12 units and attempted transfer level math or
English who transferred after X years (6 years)
to a public or private four-year institution
Transfer Rates
• Percentage of first-time students with at least
12 units and attempted transfer level math or
English who transferred after X years (6 years)
to a public or private four-year institution
• Cohort sizes have increased, transfer outcomes
have not kept up.
Transfer Pool Proxies
• Transfer Prepared
• Completed 60 UC/CSU transferable units
• 77.0% transfer or complete
• Transfer Directed
• Completed Transfer Math and English
• 63.5% transfer or complete
• Transfer Ready
• Completed Math, English, and 60 units, both
• 84.5% transfer or complete
h
Transfer Prepared
“60 units”
Transfer Directed
“Math/English”
Transfer Ready
“Both”
2003-2004
78,398
84,239
57,451
2004-2005
82,758
85,847
60,420
2005-2006
83,882
83,730
60,930
2006-2007
83,247
84,740
60,920
2007-2008
84,294
87,491
61,994
2008-2009
89,662
96,120
66,415
2009-2010
93,886
96,888
69,137
2010-2011
99,923
97,880
72,535
2011-2012
103,442
99,102
75,268
Transfer Rates
2007-08
African American
35.7
Asian
55.6
Filipino
36.5
Hispanic
30.3
Pacific Islander
35.9
White
42.3
Overall
39.6
Transfer Rates
2001-02
4-Year Rate
24.7
5-Year Rate
33.4
6-Year Rate
39.6
7-Year Rate
44.7
8-Year Rate
48.3
9-Year Rate
50.4
10-Year Rate
52.0
Transfer Velocity Project
• Study by the RP Group (2010) with key findings
on factor that promote transfer among CCCs.
• Literature review, case studies and statistical
modeling of institutional factors.
• Includes strategies and approaches fro
improving transfer.
• http://www.rpgroup.org/css/TVP.html
Transfer Velocity Project
• Institutional Factors
– Strong transfer culture on campus, effective use of
support services.
– Relationships with high schools and four-year
institutions.
• Student Behaviors
– Course taking patterns that include Math and English
– Transfer as a goal, strong academic performance
– Associate degree completion as a predictor
– Full-time, summer enrollment and swirlers
Volume of Associate Degrees for Transfer
14,000
11,839
12,000
10,000
8,000
5,366
6,000
4,000
2,000
807
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Volume of AD-T’s by Type
2011-12
2012-13
2013-14
Associate in Science (A.S.-T)
72
1,742
4,938
Associate in Arts (A.A.-T)
735
3,624
6,901
807
5,366
11,839
Total
Source: CCCCO Data Mart, as of 03/24/2015
LAO Report Data Recommendations
• LAO - Nonpartisan fiscal and policy advisor
• Report - Recommendations to the Legislature
• Data - Admissions and Student Outcomes
– CSU provide data on students admitted
– Monitor CCC development of new tools to
track students intending to transfer
– CSU make available data on CSU units taken
and graduation rates for AD-T transfers
Historically Black Colleges and Universities
• Transfer Guarantee Program with nine HCBUs
starting in Fall 2015
• Guarantee of transfer for students with:
– Associates Degrees of Transfer
– IGETC requirements
– CSU General Education
– 30 CSU/UC transferable units
• Includes Data Agreement
HBCU Data Agreement
• Student descriptives and process measures,
such as course completion, term persistence
and course of study.
• Success of students is measured by achieved
outcomes and includes degrees conferred, time
to completion, and continuation to an
advanced education.
• Colleges provide the CCCCO with a written
summary of the results of the analysis annually.
Transfer and CCCCO Initiatives
Student Success Scorecard
Associate Degrees of Transfer
System Goals
Historically Black College and Universities
Transfer Guarantee Project
• Institutional Effectiveness
• Student Equity Plans
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Contact Information
Alice van Ommeren
[email protected]
Transfer Data Resources
http://extranet.cccco.edu/Divisions/TechResearchI
nfoSys/Research/Transfer.aspx