Association of the ankle-brachial index with history of myocardial infarction and stroke W. Schuyler Jones, MD, a Manesh R. Patel, MD, a Caron B. Rockman, MD, b Yu Guo, MA, c Mark Adelman, MD, b Thomas Riles, MD, b and Jeffrey S. Berger, MD b,d Durham, NC; and New York, NY Background Ankle-brachial index (ABI) testing is a simple, noninvasive method to diagnose peripheral artery disease (PAD) and is associated with all-cause mortality. The association of ABI levels and myocardial infarction (MI) and stroke is less certain. We sought to further characterize the association between ABI levels and history of MI and stroke. Methods Using data from the Life Line Screening program, 3.6 million self-referred participants from 2003 to 2008 completed a medical questionnaire and had bilateral ABIs performed. Logistic regression was used to estimate the association between ABI cutoff points (ABI b0.90 and ABI N1.40) and ABI levels with history of MI, stroke, and MI or stroke (MI/stroke). Models were adjusted for age, sex, race/ethnicity, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, physical activity, and family history of cardiovascular disease. Separate sex-specific models were performed. Results Conclusions pi aa po ut r C or DR iza da Overall, 155,552 (4.5%) had an ABI b0.90, and 42,890 (1.2%) had an ABI N1.40. An ABI b0.90 was associated with higher odds of MI (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.67, 95% CI 1.63-1.71), stroke (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.72-1.82), and MI/stroke (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.67-1.74), all P b .001. An ABI N1.40 was also associated with higher odds of MI (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.14-1.24), stroke (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.22-1.38), and MI/stroke (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.17-1.27), all P b .001. The ORs for MI/stroke for different ABI levels formed a reverse J-shaped curve in both women and men. In a large national screening database, there is a strong, consistent relationship between ABI levels and a history of prevalent MI, stroke, and MI/stroke. (Am Heart J 2014;167:499-505.) Co Ankle-brachial index (ABI) testing is a simple, noninvasive screening test to diagnose peripheral artery disease (PAD), a prevalent condition that affects N8 million adults in the United States. 1 Patients with ABI b0.90 have been observed to have more cardiovascular risk factors, more diffuse atherosclerosis, and higher all-cause mortality when compared with patients with a normal ABI (generally considered to be an ABI between 0.91 and 1.40 in epidemiologic studies). 2-9 In these studies, risk for all-cause mortality is 2-fold to 4-fold higher in patients with an ABI b0.90. 2,4,9-11 Recent studies have also From the aDuke Clinical Research Institute, Duke University Medical Center, Durham, NC, b Department of Surgery, Division of Vascular Surgery, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, cDepartment of Population Health, Division of Biostatistics, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY, and dDepartment of Medicine, Division of Cardiology, New York University School of Medicine, New York, NY. Debabrata Mukherjee, MD, served as guest editor for this article. Funding source: Dr Berger was partially funded by a Doris Duke Clinical Scientist Development Award (2010055). The funding source had no role in the design and conduct of the study; collection, management, analysis, and interpretation of the data and preparation, review, or approval of the manuscript. Submitted October 17, 2013; accepted December 11, 2013. Reprint requests: W. Schuyler Jones, MD, Duke University Medical Center, Box 3126, Durham, NC 27710. E-mail: [email protected] 0002-8703/$ - see front matter © 2014, Mosby, Inc. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.ahj.2013.12.016 reported a higher incidence of cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in subjects with high ABI (N1.40), a concerning finding given the rising prevalence of diabetes mellitus in the United States. 4,6,12-16 Altohugh these cutoff points (0.90 and 1.40) have been used extensively in epidemiologic studies, there is evidence that even patients with “normal” ABI measurements are at elevated cardiovascular risk and has prompted some to consider altering the lower limit ABI cutoff from 0.90 to 1.00. 17 Although ABI has been reported to improve the accuracy of cardiovascular risk prediction beyond standard risk scores in patients without known cardiovascular disease, 17 no large population studies have evaluated the prevalence of myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke in patients with low or high ABI. Likewise, the association of prevalent MI or stroke by ABI level, especially levels considered to be borderline (ie, ABI value 0.91-1.10), is unknown. Furthermore, there are limited available data on the association of ABI values with the prevalence of MI or stroke stratified by sex. In the present study, we sought to (1) investigate the prevalence of abnormal ABI measurements in a large population; (2) estimate the odds of prior MI, stroke, and MI/stroke based on patients' clinical characteristics and ABI values; and (3) evaluate if there were sex-specific 03/04/2014 American Heart Journal April 2014 500 Jones et al Figure 1 Flow diagram of subjects. Methods Study population Statistical analysis pi aa po ut r C or DR iza da differences in the odds of prior MI, stroke, and MI/stroke based on ABI value. Co The current study was based on data provided by Life Line Screening (LLS, Independence, OH). Study participants were self-referred and paid for vascular screening tests that were performed from 2003 to 2008 at N20,000 sites. Ankle and brachial systolic blood pressures were obtained with the use of hand-held Doppler machines and oscillometric blood pressure cuffs. Right and left ABI measurements were calculated by dividing the highest systolic blood pressure in each leg by the highest arm pressure. 18 For subjects with ABI values b0.9 in either leg, the lowest ABI value was assigned to that subject. For subjects who had an ABI ≥0.9 in both legs, subjects with an ABI value N1.40 in either or both legs were assigned to the ABI N1.40 group. For those patients with both ABI values between 0.9 and 1.40, the lower ABI value was assigned to that subject. All subjects completed a health questionnaire that included information on demographics, comorbid conditions (diabetes mellitus, hypertension, hyperlipidemia), cardiovascular risk factors (smoking status, family history of cardiovascular disease), and the performance of physical activity. Subjects without ABI values reported in the data set were excluded from the analysis. Subjects who reported a prior revascularization procedure for PAD were considered separately in analyses. A history of MI and stroke was obtained by a medical history survey at the time of screening. Age, sex, race, height, and weight were self-reported. Hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, and diabetes mellitus were all defined as physician diagnoses or if the subject required use of medications to control these conditions. Smoking status was defined as current smoking, former smoking (having smoked N100 cigarettes during their lifetime), or never. Family history of cardiovascular disease was defined as a firstdegree relative with one of the following: MI, stroke, or procedure for PAD. The demographic and clinical characteristics of subject's with different ABI values are reported using percentages for categorical variables and mean with SD for continuous variables. Statistical tests were conducted to evaluate differences in variables between groups, using χ 2 for categorical variables and analysis of variance for continuous variables. Logistic regression was performed to assess the association of ABI with the prevalence of MI, stroke, and MI/stroke. The ABI was included as categorical variables, based on the previously defined PAD cut points (b0.9, 0.9-1.4, N1.4). 19 Adjustment was made for age, sex, race, smoking status, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolemia, family history of cardiovascular disease, body mass index, and performance of physical activity as potential confounders. In separate models, level of ABI was also examined (references ABI was 1.11-1.20) with prevalent MI, stroke, and MI/stroke. Sex-specific models for MI, stroke, and MI/stroke were also examined. All statistical analyses were performed with PASW for Windows (version 18.0; SPSS, Inc, Chicago, IL); SAS software for Windows, version 9.3; and the R package (R Development Core Team). The authors had full access to and take full responsibility for the integrity of the data. All authors have read and agree to the manuscript as written. Results A total of 3,696,778 subjects underwent screening tests from 2003 through 2008. Of these, 78,406 subjects reported a history of prior revascularization for PAD, and 185,518 had incomplete ABI testing information. Figure 1 is a flow diagram of the subjects included in the current analysis. Table I shows the baseline characteristics and prevalence of risk factors in patients included in the study. Compared with subjects with a normal ABI (defined as ABI between 0.91 and 1.40), those with a 03/04/2014 American Heart Journal Volume 167, Number 4 Jones et al 501 Table I. Patient demographic and clinical characteristics Age (y), mean (SD) Female, % Race White Black Asian Hispanic Native American Other Body mass index, mean (SD) Family history Cardiovascular disease (MI, stroke, or PAD) Risk factors Smoking Former Current Never Hypertension Hyperlipidemia Diabetes mellitus Family history of cardiovascular disease Exercise 63.7(10.6) 64.3% 70.0 (11.0) 71.4% 63.2 (10.4) 64.4% 66.5 (10.7) 28.4% 67.2 (10.7) 65.6% 88.9% 3.1% 2.0% 2.5% 2.8% 0.6% 27.7(5.8) 85.9% 5.6% 1.4% 1.8% 4.6% 0.8% 28.3 (7.1) 89.0% 3.0% 2.1% 2.5% 2.7% 0.6% 27.7 (5.7) 91.1% 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.0% 0.5% 28.2 (5.7) 88.7% 2.9% 1.4% 2.2% 4.0% 0.8% 27.7 (5.7) 23.1% 26.5% 22.4% 21.5% 48.4% 24.1% 25.0% 50.9% 63.7% 53.2% 10.8% 23.1% 28.6% 35.6% 35.8% 83.5% 58.5% 19.8% 26.5% 23.8% 24.4% 51.8% 62.6% 52.8% 10.2% 22.4% 24.1% 21.5% 54.4% 58.5% 53.7% 16.5% 21.5% 28.2% 29.4% 42.4% 69.4% 58.1% 14.7% 48.4% 49.0% 62.9% 64.6% 60.3% 62.3% Co Figure 2 Overall population Low ABI b0.90 Normal ABI 0.91-1.40 High ABI N1.40 Prior revascularization (N = 3,696,778) (n = 155,552) (n = 3,221,971) (n = 42,890) for PAD (n = 78,406) pi aa po ut r C or DR iza da Characteristic Distribution of abnormal ABI results. low ABI (b0.90) were older, more frequently female, current smokers, and have diabetes mellitus and hypertension. Subjects with a high ABI (N1.40) were older, more frequently male, and more likely to have diabetes mellitus than those with a normal ABI. Among 3,432,854 subjects with ABI information available, 155,552 (4.2%) had an ABI b0.90, and 42,890 (1.1%) had an ABI N1.40 (Figure 1). When using a traditional ABI cut-off for PAD (b0.90), there was a significant association with prevalent MI (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.67, 95% CI 1.63-1.71, P b .001), stroke (OR 1.77, 95% CI 1.72-1.82, P b .001), and MI/stroke (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.67-1.74, P b .001). An ABI b0.90 was significantly associated with MI, stroke, and MI/stroke 03/04/2014 American Heart Journal April 2014 502 Jones et al Figure 3 pi aa po ut r C or DR iza da Prevalence of cardiovascular events (MI, stroke, MI/stroke) by ABI. Table II. Cross-sectional association of MI and stroke with PAD and different intervals of ABI results MI or stroke OR Stroke 95% CI P OR 95% CI P OR 95% CI P 1.67-1.74 b.0001 1.63-1.71 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 1.14-1.24 b.0001 1.77 1.0 1.30 1.72-1.82 1.17-1.27 1.67 1.0 1.19 1.22-1.38 b.0001 1.05-1.05 1.98-2.02 b.0001 b.0001 1.06 2.64 1.05-1.06 2.60-2.67 b.0001 b.0001 1.04 1.28 1.04-1.04 1.26-1.30 b.0001 b.0001 1.12-1.19 b.0001 0.99 0.95-1.02 .43 1.38 1.32-1.44 b.0001 1.29-1.32 1.22-1.25 1.42-1.46 1.34-1.38 1.86-1.91 0.92-0.94 3.09-3.15 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 1.37 1.30 1.45 1.31 2.41 0.98 3.30 1.35-1.39 1.28-1.32 1.43-1.47 1.29-1.33 2.38-2.45 0.96-0.99 3.26-3.34 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 1.14 1.11 1.37 1.42 1.27 0.84 3.16 1.12-1.17 1.09-1.13 1.34-1.40 1.39-1.45 1.25-1.29 0.82-0.85 3.11-3.22 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 2.35-2.86 2.16-2.51 2.20-2.47 1.90-2.10 1.84-1.99 1.49-1.58 1.20-1.24 1.05-1.08 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 2.12-2.66 2.01-2.39 2.00-2.29 1.80-2.01 1.79-1.96 1.52-1.63 1.22-1.27 1.07-1.10 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 b.0001 .02 .87 b.0001 0.94-1.00 0.97-1.04 1.20-1.31 .05 .86 b.0001 2.66 2.32 2.38 2.02 1.88 1.44 1.15 1.02 REF 1.00 1.02 1.32 2.33-3.04 2.09-2.57 2.20-2.58 1.89-2.17 1.77-2.00 1.38-1.51 1.12-1.18 1.00-1.04 0.94-1.00 0.97-1.03 1.23-1.33 2.37 2.19 2.14 1.90 1.87 1.57 1.25 1.09 REF 0.97 1.00 1.25 0.95-1.04 0.97-1.07 1.24-1.41 .86 .45 b.0001 Co Model with low ABI, ABI 0.91-1.40, high ABI ABI b0.90 1.71 ABI 0.91-1.40 (reference) 1.0 ABI N1.40 1.22 Clinical characteristics Age (1 y) 1.05 Sex (M vs F) 2.00 Race (white, reference) Black 1.15 Smoking (never, reference) Current 1.31 Former 1.24 Diabetes mellitus 1.44 Hypertension 1.36 Hyperlipidemia 1.88 Routine exercise 0.93 Family history of cardiovascular disease 3.12 Interval ABI model ABI b0.40 2.59 ABI 0.41-0.50 2.32 ABI 0.51-0.60 2.33 ABI 0.61-0.70 2.00 ABI 0.71-0.80 1.91 ABI 0.81-0.90 1.54 ABI 0.91-1.0 1.22 ABI 1.01-1.10 1.06 ABI 1.11-1.2 REF ABI 1.21-1.3 0.97 ABI 1.31-1.4 1.00 ABI N1.4 1.28 MI Abbreviations: M, male; F, female. in both men (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.57-1.68, P b .001 for MI, OR 1.93, 95% CI 1.85-2.02, P b .001 for stroke, and OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.68-1.78, P b .001 for MI/stroke) and women (OR 1.73, 95% CI 1.68-1.79, P b .001 for MI, OR 1.68, 95% CI 1.62-1.74, P b .001 for stroke, and OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.66-1.75, P b .001 for MI/stroke). 03/04/2014 American Heart Journal Volume 167, Number 4 Jones et al 503 Co pi aa po ut r C or DR iza da Figure 4 Odds ratios for MI (A), stroke (B), MI/stroke (C) in men and women by ABI. There was a significant association between ABI N1.40 and prevalent MI (OR 1.19, 95% CI 1.14-1.24, P b .001), stroke (OR 1.30, 95% CI 1.22-1.38, P b .001), and MI/stroke (OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.17-1.27, P b .001). An ABI N1.4 was significantly associated with MI, stroke, and MI/stroke in both men (OR 1.13, 95% CI 1.08-1.19, P b .001 for MI, OR 1.22, 95% CI 1.13-1.31, P b .001 for stroke, and OR 1.16, 95% CI 1.11-1.21, P b .001 for MI/stroke) and women (OR 1.37, 95% CI 1.23-1.52, P b .001 for MI, OR 1.55, 95% CI 1.38-1.74, P b .001 for stroke, and OR 1.42, 95% CI 1.30-1.54, P b .001 for MI/stroke). Among 198,442 subjects with abnormal ABI (ABI b0.90 and N1.40), 11.0% had ABI b0.60, 23.7% had ABI between 0.60 and 0.80, 43.7% had an ABI between 0.80 and 0.90, and 21.6% had an ABI N1.40 (Figure 2). The prevalence of MI, stroke, or MI/stroke by ABI value is shown in Figure 3. The association of ABI level and prevalent MI, stroke, or MI/ stroke after multivariable adjustment is shown in Table II. 03/04/2014 American Heart Journal April 2014 504 Jones et al The adjusted ORs for MI/stroke for different levels of ABI compared with a reference level of 1.11 to 1.20 formed a reverse J-shaped curve for both women and men (Figure 4). For levels of ABI b1.10, the ORs for MI, stroke, and MI/stroke increased consistently with decreasing ABI. Discussion Limitations The present study has several limitations. First, subjects included in this analysis were a self-referred population who paid for the screening testing. Not only are symptomatic patients more likely to be evaluated in clinical practice (rather than in this setting), but also cost may also deter subjects from lower socioeconomic status from undergoing screening via the Lifeline testing process. These factors introduce the possibility of significant referral bias, and therefore, our findings may not be applicable to general clinical practice; however, the prevalence of low ABI (ABI b0.90) in the current report (4.8%) is very similar to the prevalence of low ABI from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey in 1999 to 2000 (4.5%). 22 Second, clinical characteristics, comorbid characteristics, and prior cardiovascular disease were all self-reported variables in this analysis and subject to recall bias and errors. Third, symptom status was not assessed in this study. Finally, the higher prevalence of women and lower representation of minorities in our cohort are not representative of the US population, yet the sheer number of women and minorities adds significantly to the available literature on the association of ABI and cardiovascular risk. Co pi aa po ut r C or DR iza da Ankle-brachial index testing is a reliable, inexpensive method to diagnose PAD. In the present study, we report 3 major findings related to ABI testing. First, the overall proportion of abnormal ABI (b0.90 or N1.40) was 5.4% in this self-referred cohort, with almost 50% having an ABI between 0.81 and 0.90. Second, in subjects with an ABI level b1.10, the odds of prior MI, stroke, or MI/stroke were inversely proportional to the ABI value, whereas subjects with an ABI N1.40 had higher odds of MI, stroke, or MI/stroke. Finally, ABI levels were significantly associated with prevalent MI, stroke, and MI/stroke in separate sex-specific models. In this study, we used the widely accepted ABI value of b0.90 from clinical and epidemiologic studies as the cutoff for a low ABI. An ABI b0.90 is associated with a higher risk of future cardiovascular events and all-cause mortality. 10,17 The current results confirm prior findings that have designated low ABI as an accurate indicator of systemic atherosclerosis and risk factor for cardiovascular morbidity. 3,12,15,20 The consistency and power of the graded relationship of a low ABI measurement with prevalent MI, stroke, MI/stroke in this study of N3 million subjects strengthen this evidence base, which was observed after adjustment for known cardiovascular risk factors such as diabetes mellitus, hypertension, and hyperlipidemia. Our study also supports conclusions from prior studies that high ABI (N1.40) is associated with a higher cardiovascular risk. 4,13,21 In fact, in the current study, patients with ABI N1.40 and between 0.91 and 1.00 have a similarly high odds of prevalent MI, stroke, and MI/ stroke, suggesting that added consideration is needed for subjects with ABI measurements that lie outside the traditional ABI cutoff points. Our findings are similar to reports from prior smaller studies. 3,15 In a study of 15,106 patients from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, 15 low ABI was similarly associated with clinical coronary heart disease, stroke, and measures of carotid and popliteal atherosclerosis. Of note, a total of 454 subjects had a low ABI in this study, and the authors used an ABI N1.3 as the reference group. In 5,888 patients in the Cardiovascular Health Study, 3 768 patients had an ABI b0.9, and these patients were twice as likely to have prevalent cardiovascular disease at baseline when compared with those with normal ABI. In addition to confirming the findings from prior studies, the current results highlight the graded relationship of ABI levels b1.10 with prevalent cardiovascular disease. Our results also add to an evolving evidence base on the association of prior PAD revascularization and cardiovascular risk, a fact that has recently been incorporated into the design of recent clinical trials. A significant strength of the current study is the inclusion of N2 million women and 1 million men. Numerically, more women had low ABI (b0.90), whereas more men had high ABI (N1.40). The reverse J-shaped curve demonstrates the adjusted, nonlinear relationship of ABI with prevalent MI, stroke, and MI/stroke in both sexes. The magnitude of the association of ABI with prevalent cardiovascular disease was similar in both men and women. Conclusions We report that low and high ABI measurements are significantly associated with self-reported history of MI, stroke, and MI/stroke even after the adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors. Furthermore, the odds of MI, stroke, and MI/stroke are increasingly higher with decreasing ABI levels b1.10, a finding that was consistent in sex-specific models. These results highlight the clinical importance of ABI levels in risk of systemic atherosclerosis and cardiovascular disease and the need to develop strategies to improve cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in these patients. 03/04/2014 American Heart Journal Volume 167, Number 4 Jones et al 505 Acknowledgements This work has used computing resources at the High Performance Computing Facility of the Center for Health Informatics and Bioinformatics at New York University Langone Medical Center. We would like to acknowledge the production of figures by Anthony Doll, Graphics Manager at the Duke Clinical Research Institute. Disclosures There are no potential conflicts of interest. The authors gratefully acknowledge the participation and generosity of Life Line Screening (Cleveland, OH), who provided these data free of charge for the purposes of research and with no restrictions on its use for research or resultant publications. References Co pi aa po ut r C or DR iza da 1. Hirsch AT, Haskal ZJ, Hertzer NR, et al. 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