THE PERSONAL WATERCRAFT: EXPANDING THE WATERSIDE VACATION CONCEPT Lina Arbelaez Nafsika Katsoglou Nikolai Petchenikov Stefan Tzvetkov Innovation Strategy & Entrepreneurship Professor Dr. Ron Adner Fontainebleau, February 16, 2005 INSEAD BUSSINESS SCHOOL TABLE OF CONTENTS EXECUTIVE SUMMARY..........................................................................................................................2 INTRODUCTION..........................................................................................................................................3 PWC DEFINITION ......................................................................................................................................... 3 THE HISTORY OF PERSONAL W ATERCRAFT.............................................................................................. 3 INDUSTRY FACTS AND ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................6 KEY CHALLENGES FACED BY PWC........................................................................................................... 9 MARKET ANALYSIS ................................................................................................................................12 GROWING PERSPECTIVES........................................................................................................................... 13 THE VALUE PROPOSITION OF THE PWC................................................................................................. 13 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS ....................................................................................................................15 SEE-DOO VALUE CHAIN............................................................................................................................ 16 SEA-DOO: FIRST LAUNCH BY BOMBARDIER ..........................................................................17 INITIAL TARGET M ARKET ......................................................................................................................... 17 INTERNAL RISK ........................................................................................................................................... 19 INTERDEPENDENCE RISK ........................................................................................................................... 19 INTEGRATION RISK .................................................................................................................................... 19 EXPECTATIONS AND OUTCOME................................................................................................................ 20 JETSKI: KAWASAKI PERSISTING IN THE MARKET .............................................................22 THE SEA-DOO RETURN AND THE PWC CURRENT INDUSTRY.........................................27 CORE COMPETENCIES AND VALUES AS SUCCESS DRIVERS........................................... 30 FURTHER ANALYSIS AND KEY LEARNINGS .............................................................................32 EXHIBITS ......................................................................................................................................................32 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY This paper will analyze the invention, design, and commercial realization of the personal watercraft (“PWC”), commonly known as jet-ski. Bombardier introduced the Sea-Doo in 1968 only to shelve it in 1973 due to higher demand for its Snow -Doo product and lack of financial and manufacturing resources to see through an uncertain early product development stage. Kawasaki, picking up where Bombardier left off, put its considerable size and financial strength behind its expertise in motors to successfully establish PWC as a new and long term viable product in recreational boating. Once the product life cycle had reached a more sophisticated technology stage and higher penetration rates, Bombardier reentered the market and managed to successfully revitalize its Sea-Doo brand, 15 years in hibernation. Nowadays, the PWC product is well established and sought after by many different types of end-users ranging from super-active [semi-]professional PWC riders to more passive adventure seekers and vacationers. We view the development of the PWC as a great illustration of several aspects relevant to the successful commercialization of new technologies. On the one hand, we would argue that the ups and downs of the PWC’s introduction and market penetration, and the subsequent swap in product development leadership from Bombardier to Kawasaki suggest that even the best technological inventions face multiple and multi-faceted pitfalls on their path to success. More importantly, that might imply that when dealing with new product concepts there are many ways to tackle the same technological/product development problem , especially when approaching it with different package of resources. We will review the approaches of Bombardier and Kawasaki in this context and draw conclusions. On the other hand, we would argue that the initial commercial introduction of Jet-Ski by Kawasaki (Jet-Ski has become the standard bearer name for PWC) and the subsequent, re-launch of Sea-Doo by Bombardier (now the market leader) suggest that first mover advantage is not always converted into long-term dominance and financial benefit. The paper commences with a brief introduction of the PWC product and history. Then it provides an industry overview with focus on tech/operational issues and value chain. Two profiles of the companies driving the original innovation process, Bombardier and Kawasaki, follow. The paper concludes with current state of the market analysis and key takeaways. 2 INTRODUCTION This report analyzes the lifecycle of the Personal Watercraft (PWC) innovation from the time of its original introduction to the US market in 1968 until today. The PWC, after a somewhat rocky start and lengthy product adoption, has become a dominant product in a new recreational boat category. As the PWC is a relatively new and less known product, the introductory section of this report provides some basic information required for comprehensive understanding of the development of the PWC market and the evolution of the product in the design/manufacturing shops of the two principle players who created the PWC market, Bombardier and Kawasaki. PWC DEFINITION “A personal watercraft is an inboard vessel less than 13 feet in length, that uses an internal combustion engine to power a water jet as its primary source of propulsion. It has no open load carrying area that could retain water and is operated with a person or persons positioned on, rather than within the confines of the hull.”i Most personal watercrafts (PWC) are designed for two or three people, though fourpassenger models also exist. Because of their relatively low cost PWCs are widely used on water bodies across the world. Personal watercrafts are often referred to by the name Jet-Ski, which is in fact a brand name owned by Kawasaki.ii THE HISTORY OF PERSONAL WATERCRAFT In 1967 Bombardier was looking to leverage its knowledge of recreational products and engine technology and diversify its Snow-Doo product line with a counter-seasonal product. Laurent Beaudoin the CEO of Bombardier was committed to the idea of basically creating the effect of snowmobiles on water and was researching the potential solutions. iii At the same time Clayton Jacobsen, an aspiring inventor and ex-banker from Southern California, had conceived the idea of the personal watercraft looking at motorcycles and thinking how they could be made to ride on water. Jacobsen used a unique design, with a jet pump driving the watercraft rather than an outboard motor. Instead of being water-cooled like engines are now, the jet pump engine was air-cooled and Jacobsen had some trouble designing the hull to accommodate the needed air. 3 So when Beaudoin approached him with the Sea-Doo idea in 1967 it made sense to work with Bombardier. Once Jacobsen had completed a model, Bombardier bought the rights to the design from him. Then Bombardier took over and rounded out the hood, and added the Sea-Doo famous yellow and black paintjob. The See-Doo design combined the elements of self-power, small size, and manoeuvrability. It gets credit for being the first sit-down style PWC. An article iv from August 1968 showing the initial reactions to this first watercraft is shown Exibit 1 and Exibit 2.. Of course the original PWCs did not have the same performance standards as current ones. The earliest Sea-Doo 320 model estimated peak speed was 25 to 30 mph, depending upon water conditions and the successor that model, the model 372 which was introduced the following year had a water-cooled 368cc twin cylinder that reached up to 35mph. The new 372 engine allowed liquid rather than air cooling, which solved many reliability problems. Even though the Sea-Doo concept looked promising Bombardier decided to end production in 1970. There were issues with the initial engine, which didn't perform well under the extreme conditions within the hull, and the 372 engines, which introduced water-cooling, didn't resolve them. Salt water was also big problem and there were incidents of corrosion. Additionally, with the snowmobile market booming Bombardier faced capacity issues in keeping up with demand. Given that Sea-Doo sales were not comparable to those of the snowmobile and the Bombardier dealer network was too small in popular boating states where they also had no brand recognition to help "create" a market, Bombardier stopped producing the Sea-Doo and gave Jacobsen his patent back in 1971. He then went on to sell it to Kawasaki who came up with the model shown in Figure 1. In 1973, Kawasaki Motors Corp. U.S.A. introduced the JET SKI® watercraft, the first commercially successful PWC.v The first model was called a WSAA and was 400cc. It was followed by the JS400, the first of the still in production, stand-up personal watercraft.vi These models allowed a person virtually to Water-Ski with no need for a boat. Staying aboard the device was a challenge and for some years, despite improvements in control and stability, PWCs only managed to establish a limited base of very loyal followers.vii Nevertheless, Kawasaki showed commitment to the project and kept on producing and pushing jet-skis into the market. 4 Figure 1. First Kawasaki Jet Ski The second breakthrough in the PWC market came from Bombardier in 1987, with the development and production of a sit-down watercraft. In fact it was Yamaha who with Waverunner pioneered the sit-down PWC the same year, but it was actually Bombardier who managed to commercialize the new design. This version was more suitable for wider audiences being more stable and safe than the previous models and is the one who led to the now widely recognized Sea-Doo. Kawasaki and their dealers had been selling PWCs for 14 years by then and consumers were aware of what a PWC was. The established general interest in PWCs helped the Bombardier product in being more successfully than its predecessor almost 20 years earlier. By the early 90s, further improvements in technology, from cockpit and hull design to engine and exhaust efficiency, had made sit-down personal watercraft quite easy to use. Its popularity skyrocketed to the point that the Sea-Doo became the largest-selling boat in the world. 1 Today, there are PWCs capable of carrying three people and reaching speeds of up to 60 miles per hour. The racing of PWCs is an organized sport with competitions happening throughout the US. Being easily accessible through rental as well as purchase, PWCs have managed to become very popular. The two-person crafts quickly took over from the single person style, and today three- and four-person family models are show ing the strongest growth. Multiple-person family craft currently make up more than 97 percent of personal watercraft sales2. There are five major companies currently active in the personal watercraft market namely Bombardier Recreational Products, Yamaha, Kawasaki, Honda (AquaTrax®) and Polaris. 1 2 Source: http://web.mit.edu/invent/iow/watercraft.html Source PWIA 5 INDUSTRY FACTS AND ANALYSIS It should be obvious from the technical description and visual images of the personal watercraft that it always had and still has little resemblance to a traditional boat even if a recreational boat rather than a utility boat is taken as a reference. The PWC as described is currently part of the recreational motorized consumer product industry, which develops products such as snowmobiles, sport boats, all-terrain vehicles and scooters, Bombardier’s new NEV or Neighbourhood Electric Vehicle; maybe even small airplanes. In order to analyze the environment of the PWC as an innovation however it should be more beneficial to examine mainly the recreational boating industry as when the PWC first emerged it was perceived as a complement to the existing boating solutions. In fact the PWC became not only complement but also a substitute in certain occasions as it facilitated waterskiing without the need for a boat to pull the skier. Furthermore, the PWC expanded the entire scope of the recreational boating industry; through its lower price and maintenance costs the sit-down version made boating possible for much wider audiences. Recreational boating emerged as a sport in the 1930s in America (the US has always been leading with interest in this industry, see Exhibit 3). Improvements in small, gasolinepowered engine technology let companies like Chris-Craft and Dodge mass-produce boats that were affordable enough to be bought in considerable numbers. By the end of the decade over three hundred thousand motorboats and four thousand sailing yachts with auxiliary power were registered in the United States. viii These were the first generations of powerboats of which there were two general types; cruisers, vessels with cabins that have sleeping and eating facilities, and open sailing boats, which were 20 to 50 feet in length. Sailing during that time was the most popular recreational boating activity. ix Judging from statistical data on recreational boating historyx the main types of boats that were competing on the recreational boating market in 1968 were Outboard Boats, Inboard Boats, Runabouts, Inboard Cruisers, Sailboat and Canoes. The distribution of those is shown in Figure2 and the data is provided also in the appendix in Exhibit 5. 6 Briefly, runabouts are boats used for activities such as fishing, swimming, water sports, and cruising. They are considered as family boats. Cruisers are larger than runabouts and have more accommodation. Cruisers start at around 18 feet in length and go up to 60 feet or more; there is also a wide variety in the levels of luxury they provide. Sailboats are usually small and used for racing. As they increase in size so do their features and luxury of accommodation they provide. Finally, canoes are light pleasure boats propelled by a paddle, or by a small sail attached to a temporary mast. As shown by the data the most popular type however has consistently been the “utility” recreational boats (outboard or inboard depending on the location of their engines). 700,000 Recreational Outboard Boats 600,000 Boating Inboard Boats Runabouts 500,000 Inboard Cruisers 400,000 Unit Boats 300,000 Sailboats 200,000 Canoes 100,000 0 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 Figure 2. Distribution of typical recreational boat types for the period 1965 to 2000 The Recreational Boating Industry has grown a lot since the early 1970's. Boat registrations have increased threefold as shown in Exhibit 6 The number of boats owned, and the recreational boating expenditure, has also increased accordingly (see Figure 3). 7 Figure 3. Recreational Boating total expenditures and boats owned Part of this growth has been due to PWC which introduced the boating experience to a new market segment. As PWCs were not introduced by traditional boating manufacturers Porter’s analysis of the recreational boating industry shown in Figure 4 should help explain the competitive situation in this industry at the time of the PWC introduction and raise questions on why it was not in fact marketed by traditional boat manufacturers. PWCs became very popular while the boating industry was reaching maturity and growth was difficult to achieve. Some boat manufacturers see PWC manufacturers as stealing their customers. PWC manufacturers argue that additional people are being brought to the water that may later "move up" to boats (in fact now Bombardier and Kawasaki are also producing boats). However, many existing boaters have been purcha sing PWCs instead of upgrading to a bigger or better boat.xi Of the overall recreational boating market PWCs seem to amount today to a 4% share while power-boating accounts for about 9% as shown in Exhibit 4. Furthermore, if only certain types of boats were to be considered, PWC has held 6%-8.5% of the recreational boating market since 1997 (see Exhibit 5 and 7). All numbers listed for PWCs however should be viewed critically as not all of them are necessarily registered. 8 Figure 4. “5-forces” analysis of the Recreational Boating industry before/at introduction of PWC KEY CHALLENGES FACED BY PWC When the first PWC from Bombardier was withdrawn from the market one of the key reasons was the various technological issues related to the PWC engine. A technical drawing of the first Sea-Doo is shown in Exhibit 8. Additional technical drawings for PWCs are provided in Exhibit 9 and Exhibit 10.xii According to those the basic PWC components are the hull the engine and the drive system. Technically, the innovation with the PWC was the engine; to understand the breakthrough it is useful to examine Figure 5. 9 Figure 5. Engines for powerboats and PWC Jet drives are used as part of the engine to direct a vessel by a jet of water, which is forced out of the back of the vessel. Such jet drives are used commonly for vessels designed for shallow water conditions. PWCs are the most common “boat” type using an inboard jet drive but larger powerboats can also be directed in this manner. For the evolution of the PWC the materials used for the construction of the hull have also been important. Most PWCs today are made from plastic (fiberglass). Other issues that have required attention during the development of the PWC are its electrical components, the instrumentation, its dimensions and seating capacity as well as the fuel and lubrication inputs. The latter (fuel and engine oil) are related to some of the most difficult challenges faced by the PWC, which have significantly impeded its popularity and market penetration; namely the various environmental issues. PWCs have been heavily criticized for the water and air pollution that they have caused.xiii In the last years there has been a 75% reduction in hydrocarbon exhaust emissions from PWCs. The manufacturers have had to devote significant effort into environmentally friendly engine developments and highlight environmental issues in their annual reports. The new direct-injection two-stroke and fourstroke engines are now recognized as some of the cleanest and most efficient. In addition to the emissions control, manufacturers have had to deal with sound issues and today’s models are considered to be 70% quieter then the 1998 models. Destroying wildlife in shallow waters ahs also been discussed as one of the negative side effects of PWC use. 10 Finally, PWC manufacturers and users continuously have to deal with regulatory issues such as the ones of safety and user education, minimum age limits for operating a PWC, compulsory PWC registration, use of PWCs during daylight only, minimum distance from the shore limits or even complete PWC bans in certain areas. All of these have required a considerable amount of effort to deal with, in co-ordination with the U.S. Coast Guard and other relevant authorities. Looking at the data on the number of PWC related accidents however, it has to be said that these requirements are not always that unreasonable xiv. Table 1. PWC accident statistics 11 MARKET ANALYSIS One of the things we do a lot is study demographics. Pierre Beaudoin, President, 1997 Motorized Consumer Products Group, Bombardier INC. PWC were considered initially to be merely a complement of the traditional boats, but lately they evolved to be sometimes a substitute of small engine boats. Most importantly, PWCs have increased the market size by addressing the needs of “sporting” niches and offering a new and different alternative for the water recreation. Statistical information implies that jet skiing does not cause cannibalization or substitution of other boating activities but rather it develops its own markets. See Exhibit 11 and Exhibit 12 for statistics on how jet skiers tend to practice boating in a greater proportion (76%) than boaters to practice jet ski (20%). Exhibit 13 shows participation of hunters, fishers, shooters and anglers in boating activities including motor boating and jet skiing. Two important factors which need to be considered for understanding the Personal Watercraft market and setting the market expectations are the following: • Water-related recreation and boating are closely connected; most recreational boaters engage in several different activities such as swimming, water skiing, jet skiing, diving, snorkelling and hunting over the course of a year. • Typically, boaters are introduced to the sport by a parent or a friend at the early teens and tend to stay involved with boating for long periods and to incorporate the sport into familial culture. A similar initiation practice applies to the PWC and at even younger agexv. Given the relative low percentage of PWC users among the boating population, boaters in general found that PWC is interfering with their activities and have reported some dissatisfaction due to conflicts with jet skiers. Boat owners, former owners and potential buyers all report that the purchase of a new motorboat would be their primary choice if given the opportunity. Less than 10% report an interest in purchasing a PWC, (NMMAxvi1996), this fact additionally suggests that the cost of acquiring a boat is not a major barrier to the boating market. 12 Income of boating households is higher than that of non boating households. Motor boaters, canoes and kayakers’ income is greater than $39.000. PWCers’ income ranges from $60.000 to $99.000 and sail boaters income is greater of $100.000. Income appears to be a strong determinant in choosing the preferred type of recreational boating activity. The median income of those who owned runabout boats, fibreglass boats and personal watercrafts were between $64.000 and $68.000, while the median income for owners of aluminium boats was $53.000. GROWING PERSPECTIVES Currently, PWC participation in the total recreational boating activity is about 5% to 7%. Taken as a percentage of the population engaged in outdoor recreation, many boating and rowing activities show slight increase in participation during the 90’s, and according to Responsive Management, a large market of non-boaters appears to be interested in boating. The types of boating they would be interested in, is shown the following statistics: 53% stated motor boating, 24% personal watercraft, 23% sailing, 16% canoeing, 7% kayaking and 5% row boating. Personal watercrafts (as well as canoes and kayaks) are more likely to be rented or borrowed, than motorboats which are mainly likely to be owned. This behaviour generates a niche for hotels, resorts and other recreational areas that now want to offer the PWC experience to their guests. Women and older people are important for the PWC market growth. Women are more likely than males to rent most types of boats; 24% compared with 11% of males rented PWC, additionally there is a higher proportion of females (11%) than males (9%) PWC owners in the population. About the mass of people who have reached their 50s Pierre Beadouin says: “We used to think of this group as old people; not any more. They are active adults—a very different type of market. They are affluent and they still want to consume; we know that because they buy Sea-Doos”. THE VALUE PROPOSITION OF THE PWC A comparison of the main characteristics of the PWC versus other market offers in the small boating industry (the fishing boat and the 10 feet luxury boat) allows understanding the value proposition of the PWC relative to the consumer perception. The characteristics analyzed are the following: 13 • Spirit of freedom: mix of speed and dare that offers the boat activity. • Versatility: measure of accessibility to difficult to reach places (ie. shallow water, caves ) • Portability: easy to transport on the ground or on the water (by car or sailing boat) • Status: offers a luxurious way of socializing by giving status. • Low price: the lower the price, the higher the score is plotted in the graph. • Functionality: usefulness to carry things, as a working tool or transportation. • Low sustaining costs: docking, maintenance etc. The lower the cost, the higher it is plot. 6 5 4 3 2 1 small-boat power-boat Functional Low Price Status Low Costs Versatility Spirit of Freedom Portability 0 PWC Figure 6. Value perception comparison between: small boat (i.e. fishing boat), power boat (i.e. luxury 6 feet boat) and PWC As shown in the Figure 6, the PWC offered a different value proposition with respect to what the market was used to. Much more portability, versatility and free spirit, versus either an elite product (luxury yachting) or a mainly utility one (fishing) with restrictions the users were used to and not willing to challenge in early stages. 14 VALUE CHAIN ANALYSIS Bombardier is vertically integrated as a result of their strategy of acquiring those companies which they consider strategic for their success. That was the case with Rotax, the company that built the engines for the snow mobiles, which they acquired in 1969 in order to control the production of the “heart” of their machines. It was also the case of the aircraft division; after the acquisition of Canadair they pursued a series of strategic acquisitions to reinforce their position in the industry. A rough approach of the Bombardier value chain and main competencies is the following: Design & Developmt Manufact & operations Market demand Assembly Marketing Customer support Figure 7. Bombardier Generic Value chain • Design & Development: the engineering process has strong capabilities and experience in the transportation, aerospace sectors. • Manufacturing and Operations: as a result of the vertical integration, Bombardier produces parts from different materials, which give them the advantage to control technologies and intermediary processes. On the other hand, it increases their asset base and the operational complexity. • Marketing: strong experience in dealing with one customer market; infrastructure and some airplanes are constructed on demand and under particular technical specifications. • Assembly: once the market needs are captured the company assemblies the product. Together with design and marketing, this is the most important activity of the value chain. • Customer support: the 99% expected dispatch reliability of customer service and support for a commercial aircraft is an order of magnitude that shows the strategic importance of this step in the value chain. 15 SEE-DOO VALUE CHAIN Bombardier used the value chain they already had in place in order to make processes more efficient, profitable and easy to control. They are vertically semi-integrated; Bombardier do not own the supply and distribution pieces of the value chain, they have partnership agreements both with suppliers and distributors that facilitate control of activities, interaction of processes and alignment of incentives for the efficiency of the value chain as a whole. Supply (partners) Assembly Distribution (partners) Figure 8. Bombardier Recreational Division Value Chain The value chain in the words of Pierre Beaudoin, Motorized Consumer Products President can be described as followsxvii: “In those early days, we built the Sea-Doo factory, hired a few salespeople, and started to sign up dealers. We hadn't appreciated how difficult it would be to set up a sales network big enough to beat the competition. It took a while to get the number of dealers we wanted, so we launched a rush program. Once we had three, four, five hundred dealers, we realized how fast the business was growing. We were starting a new business: we wanted to move fast, and we couldn't be experts at everything, so we signed up 60 supplier partners. Basically, all we have is an assembly plant. It spends only about four hours in the factory. It is not that we don't do any engineering; on most of the parts, we work closely with our suppliers' engineers. In fact, our engineering network is much better because our partners push us to innovate. They see our five-year plans and the forecasts from our dealers' meetings, and they understand where we want to go”. In 2001 Bombardier Recreational Products entered into a new alliance with Overton, one of the recreational industry's leaders in direct marketing for an e-Commerce Program, designed to bring dealers and consumers closer together in the United States. This can be interpreted as a firm belief of the company towards its innovative partnership approach in the value chain in order to stretch their vertical integration. "This initiative is a fundamental element of our global marketing strategy. This alliance is an important step to get closer to our existing and potential customers by multiplying the entry 16 points to our products while facilitating transactions", declared Michel Baril, President and Chief Operating Officer of Bombardier Recreational Products. SEA-DOO: FIRST LAUNCH BY BOMBARDIER Bombardier was founded in 1942 by J.A. Bombardier to manufacture tracked vehicles for transportation on snow-covered terrain. At the time of Bombardier’s push of the PWC concept at the end of the 1960s, the firm was the leading producer of snowmobiles with around $200 million in sales. Bombardier’s initial push in the 1960s to create a new recreational motorized consumer product market with Sea-Doo can be analyzed with the help of INSEAD Professor Ron Adner’s 4i framework. INITIAL TARGET MARKET Laurent Beaudoin’s entrepreneurial drive was to put Bombardier in a leadership market position in what he thought would be a mirror of the snowmobile market on water. We asked Christopher Dawson, VP of Sales and Marketing at BRP, the recreational products division which Bombardier Inc. divested to a group led by Baine Capital in 2003, , whether Bombardier had a concrete target market for the Sea-Doo project. “At the time, the company was attempting to expand from its first highly successful innovation with a counter-seasonal product that could leverage its engine technology and its recreational products knowledge. At its core, it was a very entrepreneurial, and therefore I would assume that there was more instinct that went into sizing the market and framing the target segments than science.“ Laurent Beaudoin was trying to utilize his company’s core competency of designing and manufacturing snow motorized consumer products in an unexplored and unproven category. Bombardier was targeting the consumers who enjoy fast-paced recreation on open water, similar to the snowmobile consumers they had been dealing with for years. It is interesting to analyze one of Bombardier’s first picture advertisements for the 1960’s launch of Sea-Doo below. 17 The key theme seems to be fun. The same active, fast-paced minded consumer who is using Bombardier’s Ski-Doo is envisaged to spend the money to acquire a Sea-Doo. Bombardier was looking to expand the waterside vacation concept and free the enjoyment of fast-paced recreational activities on the open water from the encumbrance or expense of a full-sized boat. In this reference we asked Christopher Dawson whether the initial target market for Sea-Doo was overlapping with the recreational boating market or whether Bombardier envisioned the Sea-Doo as a compliment to the boat. “When it first entered in the 60's, I cannot be sure. When Bombardier re-entered in the 80's, the business case was almost certainly built on the basis of being complementary to the boat market - existing boat owners would want to buy have an entirely different boating experience. What emerged, however, was a much larger substitute market (especially through the mid-90's) as well as a new market. It became a substitute in that many consumers (especially young consumers) bought a PWC instead of a boat given the fun factor and much lower acquisition and ownership costs. Additionally, many people who would never otherwise have purchased a boat, purchased a Sea-Doo. In this way, we say that the Sea-Doo 'democratized' boating, making it available to a much broader audience due to its ease-of-use, ease of transportation/storage, and low price point.” Whatever the exact initial target market considerations of Bombardier in the 1960s were, one thing is for sure: the Sea-Doo was targeted at fun-loving sports enthusiasts. In the 1960s advertisement below, Bombardier dubs the Sea-Doo “As Playful As A Dolphin”. In retrospect, knowing that today’s PWC market is dominated by three-passenger, sit-down PWCs, we realize that Bombardier’s 18 initial target market, with the initial stand-up design, was much more niche oriented. INTERNAL RISK Bombardier had years of market leading experience in designing, manufacturing and marketing a snow motorized consumer product. However, it had no experience with marine technology, which is obviously crucial for successful execution of the Sea-Doo project. At the corporate level, J.A. Bombardier had just died in 1964 and Laurent Beaudoin was still in the learning experience stage of his career at the helm of Bombardier after his brother-inlaw left the company in 1966 for health reasons. Laurent already had enough on his plate with the exploding snowmobile market. It seems that probably the biggest internal risk was the competition for resources in the company between Sea-Doo and Ski-Doo. At the time Bombardier was still a relatively small private company and was not planning on going public until 1969. In other words, the company’s resources were limited and the management was preoccupied with the snowmobile market. This was in contrast to the risk tolerance and persistence required to revolutionize the waterside vacation concept like the Sea-Doo was supposed to do. INTERDEPENDENCE RISK One of the crucial technological issues with the Sea-Doo was the engine. It is important to note that as recently as 1963 Bombardier had switched the Ski-Doo engine supplier to the Austrian Rotax. It was not until 1969 that Bombardier acquired Rotax. The crucial issue of optimizing the marine technology for the required jet-pump engine was therefore very highrisk since Rotax as well as Bombardier had no marine manufacturing experience. INTEGRATION RISK Thee key issue in terms of interdependence risk is the dealership network organization. Denys LaPointe, the current head of design for Sea-Doo and the son of Anselme LaPointe, who worked on the original 1960s Sea-Doo project for Bombardier comments on the lessons Bombardier learnt from its initial venture into the market in the 1960s: “I think we all realized it would take pretty determined dealers to make a go of this, people who believed in the product and who could see what the market could be. That's why we established a 19 separate sales department within the company - people whose focus was completely on watercraft - and had they find the right dealers for Sea-Doo". EXPECTATIONS AND OUTCOME Bombardier’s expectations for the Sea-Doo were set by its success with the Snow-Doo. This inevitably put the hurdle very high. The Ski-Doo snowmobile was launched in 1959. Bombardier was the first to mass produce snowmobiles. The snowmobile market was just huge, with Bombardier not being able to keep up with demand. Bombardier’s sales reached $200 million by 1970. The snowmobile industry sold 500,000 units in 1972. However, although the original Sea-Doo attracted a lot of attention, a number of factors conspired to sink the project. First and foremost were design problems. The air-cooled engines on the original model didn't perform well under the extreme conditions under the deck, and the belt-drive system required frequent adjustments. The new liquid-cooled 372 engine helped some, but other problems didn't go away - namely the lack of sophisticated marine technology. Most of the units were sold in coastal areas, and salt water tended to eat away at the engines, pumps and controls, causing all sorts of problems. "On the technical side, that was the biggest problem," LaPointe said. "The technology just wasn't up to par. What was required was real marine technology and it wasn't available at the time." Clayton Jacobson, the inventor whom Bombardier commissioned to create the SeaDoo prototype in 1967, had some ideas that would have helped - things like rubber motor mounts, a rubber dampener for the driveshaft coupler, and ways to waterproof the electronics - but that no one would listen to him once he delivered the original prototype. The main reason for that was because Bombardier was so distracted by the booming snowmobile market. "The original Sea-Doo was so original and so new that it really needed to be pushed onto the market," LaPointe says. "You contrast that with what was happening in the snowmobile market, where we were having a hard time keeping up with demand. To make the watercraft project work, it would have needed a great deal of attention and investment in engineering two things the company couldn't provide because the snowmobile market was demanding so much time and engineering. The original watercraft was definitely a workable product, even the right product to create a market, but maybe just a little ahead of its time." 20 So, with great reluctance, Bombardier shelved its watercraft project in 1970, before its new models could be released. Within a little more than a year, Jacobson sold the rights to his patents (which reverted back to him in 1971) to Kawasaki - a deal which eventually led to the creation of the Jet Ski. 21 JETSKI: KAWASAKI PERSISTING IN THE MARKET Kawasaki entered the personal watercraft sector only after Bombardier’s decision to shelve its Jet-Ski product line and focus on the established snow-mobiles. Having reached no satisfactory agreement with Bombardier, the PWC entrepreneur Jacobson took his invention to Kawasaki, a global leader in engine design and distribution for consumer needs. Kawasaki is a Japanese industrial conglomerate engaged in several business lines (see tablexviii). Company Line of Business Kawasaki Geological Engineering Environmental and ocean-related engineering and geological works and surveys Kawasaki Kasei Chemicals Chemicals used for dyes, pigments, and pesticides Kawasaki Kisen Kaisha Marine cargo and passenger transportation around the world Kawasaki Setsubi Kogyo Air-conditioning and sanitation facilities in commercial, industrial, and institutional buildings Kawasaki Heavy Industries Transport equipment and industrial heavy machinery for military and commercial use Kawasaki Kinkai Kisen Kaisha Coastal freight transportation between Japan, east Russia, China, and East Asia Kawasaki Safety Service Industries Respirators and gas masks for industrial use Kawasaki Thermal Engineering Manufactures a diverse line of air conditioning equipment and industrial boilers and freezers Table 2. Kawasaky Business Lines Kawasaki was founded in 1878 and has grown over the years to become a leading multinational corporation with more than fifty holdings (manufacturing plants, distributions centres, and marketing and sales headquarters) in most major cities around the world. The manufacturer of Jet-Ski (“Jet-Ski”), the Company’s PWC product, is Kawasaki Motors, a part of Kawasaki Heavy Industries. Kawasaki Motors’ consumer product lines are summarized in the table xix below. Consumer Products # of Products All-Terrain Vehicles (ATVs) Motorcycles Utility Vehicles Watercraft 4 Basic 3 Basic 1 Basic 3 Classes Leading Model Brute Force Ninja/Vulcan Mule Jet-Ski Table 3. Kawasaky consumer product lines 22 Kawasaki introduced the Jet-Ski, its first PWC product, in 1973, five years after the original invention was commercialized by Jacobson and three years after Bombardier had shelved its Sea-Doo PWC model. Jet-Ski was an instant success, leading to explosive popularity for this new way to enjoy water sports and leisure time. Kawasaki’s Jet-Ski initial sales grew exponentially as the new product established its viability and carved out a niche PWC market. By example, over the first three years, Jet-Ski’s sales cumulative annualized growth rate (CAGR) reached nearly 40% xx. The immediate success of the product in the early days of PWCs can be traced back to several unique factors, which Kawasaki capitalized on (see table below for value capture summary). $ from End-Users Factors WTP Low maintenance and ease of transportation Value Chain Improved safety due to enclosed impeller pump Access to extremely shallow waters Ability to ride in land-locked ponds, rivers, etc. as well as sea Ride standing or sitting (a-la motorcycle) Greater maneuverability than any boat New and exciting water sport product concept SOC Figure 9. Jet Ski Value Creation In this new recreational boating product category, Kawasaki was able to augment the willingness to pay by inducing the customer to enjoy the new product quality and specifications relative to other products in the same category. First, Kawasaki introduced a brand new product concept offering an exciting new way to enjoy water sports – a common favourite past time. Compared to similar boating products, PWCs offered greater manoeuvrability and opportunity to experiment with riding for fun on water. Jet-Ski was not only easily transportable to any water basin (sea, river or land-locked natural or artificial ponds) but was capable of navigating with ease even the shallowest waters, a significant departure from the common boat standards. On the engine side, PWCs had pioneered the impeller pump engine which significantly improved safety and eventually reduced the engine noise compared to boats. Last but not least, PWC proved to be very low maintenance vs. other boats which only strengthened the manufacturers’ handle on the market. 23 The initial product adoption period, however, was not smooth. By year five, the sales CAGR had been reduced to 16% on approximately 20 thousand cumulative PWCs sold.xxi. The chart below illustrates the trend in sales growth. Historic Sales 18,000 70,000 60,000 14,000 50,000 12,000 10,000 40,000 8,000 30,000 6,000 20,000 4,000 Cumulative Unit Sales Annual Unit Sales 16,000 10,000 2,000 0 0 1975-76 1976-77 1977-78 1978-79 1979-80 1980-81 1981-82 1982-83 1983-84 1984-85 Annual Cumulative Figure 10. Historic Sales This slowdown in the sales was due to technical as well as marketing issues impeding the product penetration beyond the initial fast-adopter layer of end-customers. Further, Kawasaki’s sales were affected negatively by the oil shocks in the 70s. It was only past year five that Kawasaki started to benefit from accelerated increase in demand triggered by greater adoption rates, mass-market appeal and favourable consumer demographics driven by the boomers’ generation. As an entrepreneurial new concept type of innovation, the PWC was not developed with some specific target market parameters in mind. Hence the entry of the product to the recreational boat market was not based on in-depth research and timing. That applied to the original Bombardier push as well as the subsequent Kawasaki effort. Kawasaki, benefiting from its company size/financial strength, was able to withstand the financial losses from the early years of PWC adoption and market creation. Further, Jet-Ski was a great opportunity for Kawasaki to expand its consumer product range while leveraging its expertise in motors and its global distribution network. The stretch and leverage type of matrix below summarizes the introduction of the PWC as a new line of business for Kawasaki and Bombardier. 24 Bombardier Snow-doo Sea-doo Expertise "Snow" Technology Engine Design Manufacturing Distribution Marketing Size Financial Strength Brand v v v v v − − v ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ v v v v v ⇒ v "Marine" Technology New Market Know-How Kawasaki Motors Jet-Ski − v v v v v v v WIP WIP ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ ⇒ v v v v v v v WIP WIP Table 4. Capabilities leverage comparison Bombardier - Kawasaki Bombardier’s push into PWCs was driven by its desire to diversify its portfolio into a product category which would be counter-seasonal to its core snow-mobile product. Bombardier ultimately decided to shelve the Sea-Doo because its stretched resources were not sufficient to weather the product development stage of Sea-Doo when the demand for Snow-Doo, an accomplished and established product was sky-high. Kawasaki on the other hand embraced the new technology and put its financial resources behind its proven competency in engines and manufacturing of consumer motor vehicles. Further, Kawasaki benefited from its strong brand and expertise in distribution and marketing. Thus, the Company was able to stretch its substantial existing resources and support new “marine” technology development and new market know -how absorption (illustrated as Work-in-Progress or WIP in the chart above). While continuously improving the Jet-Ski technology and working on marketing the product to a wider customer segment, Kawasaki was able to capture the first mover advantage in generating a standard-bearer brand-name. Jet-Ski, similar to Band-Aid and Xerox, has become synonymous with the PWC product, regardless of whether it is manufactured by Kawasaki or not. On the flip side of that, Kawasaki had to nurse Jet-Ski through its financially unprofitable infancy stage in the 70s, exacerbated further by the global oil shocks. Bombardier, despite being the true pioneer of PWCs, missed the opportunity to establish Sea-Doo as the household reference name for PWCs. 25 Bombardier on the other hand, benefited from the temporary (15 years) shelving of Sea-Doo by avoiding the financial downside of the initial adoption stage of the product. Bombardier also benefited from a timely return to the market boosted by favorable demographic (boomers on the rise) and much more advanced and safe PWC technology. Kawasaki pioneered the PWC and has not only helped develop an exciting new segment in the recreational boat market but has also turned the product a profitable commercial enterprise. The success of Jet-Ski is based on several factors. First, the PWC offers an exciting new way to enjoy recreational water leisure time. Consumers find the product attractive because of its “cool” design, fun experience and relative low price and maintenance requirements vs. other boating options. Second, Kawasaki managed to put its substantial consumer and specifically motor product experience behind this new project and successfully develop it to the point of mass market adoption. Last but not least, Kawasaki had the organizational size, financial strength and execution expertise to back the successful growth of a whole new market. 26 THE SEA -DOO RETURN AND THE PWC CURRENT INDUSTRY The Sea-Doo story did not end with Bombardier’s shelving of the project in 1970. In fact, Bombardier watched Kawasaki's Jet Ski project develop over the years with a mixture of wonder and regret. Unfortunately the energy crisis struck in 1973. The snowmobile industry, Bombardier’s bread and butter at the time, sold 500,000 units in 1972; by 1974, industry sales were down to 250,000. After all the years spent building up Bombardier's workforce, resources, and manufacturing capacity, it was confronted by a shrinking market. The energy crisis pulled the rug from under Bombardier’s feet. It was forced to look for something else to do. There were many industries it could have entered, but it resolved to diversify only into a business where we could put the skills we had developed to good use. The energy crisis and the search for a counter cyclical diversification was another factor why Bombardier re-entered the PWC market only in 1988. Bombardier expanded into the countercyclical electric transit systems. Fortuitously, the Rotax acquisition in 1969 gave it a foothold in the tram business. This allowed them to bid for the Montreal subway system in 1974 and the New York one in 1982. Again, this was why Sea-Doo was left aside for quite a while. "The company paid pretty close attention to what Kawasaki was doing with the Jet Ski. There was mild interest in the '70s, when Kawasaki sold a couple hundred units and then a couple thousand, but then the market boomed in the '80s and we began to think that if Kawasaki could sell that many stand-ups - a craft that required quite a bit of athleticism just to ride - then imagine what you could sell of a craft that anybody could ride." This observation was enhanced when Yamaha introduced the sit-down Waverunner and the stand-up WaveJammer in 1987. Fortunately for Bombardier, there were still a few key people in the company who believed in the sit-down watercraft concept, and one of them, Beaudoin, had the power to bring to it 27 life. "I don't think Mr. Beaudoin ever stopped believing in the potential for the market," LaPointe says. "It was in his mind all along to come back to the market." Bombardier also had another man associated with the original project who never gave up hope. "Giles Houde had worked on the original project and later worked as a consultant to the company on a number of different projects," LaPointe says. "One day in 1985, Mr. Beaudoin stopped by Houde's house to see what he was working on, and Houde showed him an early version of the second-generation watercraft." Laurent Beaudoin knew immediately that Houde had a viable product and talked his son, Pierre, into coming to work for the company to determine whether a re-launch of the SeaDoo was viable. The younger Beaudoin worked closely with Houde and Gary Robison to design a new product that would fit the emerging market, and the result was the 5801 model that debuted in 1987 and eventually reached the market in 1988. It was a model that would change the market forever. "I think that model was a true paradigm-shifter," LaPointe says. "At the time, the market was dominated by stand-up Jet Skis, but I think this was the model that got so many people to switch to sit-downs." Indeed, the design was extremely influential, particularly the hull and deck configuration, which allowed for terrific handling and a comfortable ride. The craft was easy to ride, but still challenging enough to create true enthusiasm. Its dimensions were quite a bit different than the original. At 41.5 inches wide, it was almost a foot and a half narrower than the original model, and its 20-degree, semi-V hull provided a much softer ride in the water. In addition to an updated look throughout, the seat extended all the way back to allow for two passengers, and the handlebars were padded and included updated grips. Still, there were similarities to the original, including the wide footwells and the positive curve on the bow. However, the biggest difference between the 5801 and the original models was the technology inside the hull. Instead of an air-cooled, single-cylinder two-stroke, the 5801 was powered by a water-cooled 581cc Rotax in-line twin connected directly to the pump by a driveshaft and designed specifically for the marine environment. That engine pumped out three times the horsepower of the original, and the horsepower was transferred to the water 28 through an updated axial-flow pump. There were still bugs to be worked out - those first models were notorious for a lack of reliability - but the problems weren't unsolvable. Sea-Doo also marketed the craft differently, using the lessons it had learned from its original venture into the market. "I think we all realized it would take pretty determined dealers to make a go of this, people who believed in the product and who could see what the market could be. That's why we established a separate sales department within the company - people whose focus was completely on watercraft - and had them find the right dealers for Sea-Doo," LaPointe said. This time, the company didn't have to wait long for results. Demand far outstripped supply from the get-go, and within four years Sea-Doo had eclipsed both Yamaha and Kawasaki in market share (Exhibit 14). Today, nearly half the personal watercrafts sold in the United States are Sea-Doos. 250000 200000 150000 Series1 100000 50000 19 75 -7 19 6 77 -7 19 8 79 -8 19 0 81 -8 19 2 83 -8 19 4 85 -8 19 6 87 -8 19 8 89 -9 19 0 91 -9 19 2 93 -9 19 4 95 -96 19 97 -9 19 8 99 -0 0 0 Figure 11 We asked Christopher Dawson how Bombardier achieved success on the second try. “As mentioned above, the 70's product was not optimized, and the consumer market was not ready (i.e. not in large enough numbers). In the late 80's, much had changed. There were increasing signs that Baby Boomers were ready to start spending on leisure sports/activities. Bombardier was convinced its technology was solid. Finally, and most importantly, there was an innovative approach that Bombardier could take to capture a significant share of the market (the sit-down watercraft). Interestingly, the consumer research that Bombardier had commissioned to determine the size and potential of the market came out against a sit-down, 3-passenger watercraft. Despite the research, there were a few determined entrepreneurs 29 within the company that were convinced of the concept, and they pushed for the company to proceed. Today, the vast majority of the market is sit-down, 3-passenger watercraft.” % Market Share Company Bombardier (Sea-Doo) Yamaha Kawasaki (Jet-Ski) Honda Polaris (out of business) Other 46.9% 30.4% 12.3% 2.3% 8.1% Table 5. Latest 2004 market share rankings PWC buyers have changed in the past five to 10 years, according to manufacturers. Stand-up PWC account for less than one percent of sales, the rest are sold to families which can't afford a traditional boat or choose not to make the investment. PWC make sense for many families, she says: They're easy to store and maintain, they cost less than boats, get better gas mileage and can do all the things a small boat can do, such as tow water-skiers. Manufacturers agree the shift is helping change the negative stigma surrounding personal watercraft. As mentioned in the industry description section. "Ten or twelve years ago, a person rode a craft by himself, making sharp corners," Speaks said. "Today's rider is about 42 years of age, married and has a couple of kids." CORE COMPETENCIES AND VALUES AS SUCCESS DRIVERS Bombardier’s history evidences the key drivers behind its success. Following are some examples to that demonstrate Bombardier competencies which are evident throughout the whole document. • Patience and persistence: Bombardier invested in snow grooming for almost 20 years before they were close to being the industry leader. Furthermore, the Sea-Doo is the living example of its patience and persistence; first being launched in the 60’s, then 30 shelved for 20 years without giving up the ideals and finally being re-launched with great success in the 80’s. • Ability to adapt strategies: the “should we make or should we buy” decision is a continuous process of evaluation for Bombardier. Its success remains in the fact that the answer has shifted over the years. In the 1960s, the snowmobile operation was vertically integrated. The business was growing so fast that Bombardier couldn't secure supplies of many of the components; the only way was to make them themselves. That is how they ended up in the rubber, plastic, fiberglass, and steel business. They manufactured all the parts. Today Bombardier is following a completely different strategy as presented in the Sea-Doo value chain, which evidences its ability to reaccommodate according to the industry, competitors, suppliers and market forces. • Innovative and progressive approach to face challenges: Bombardier take measured risks and dares to try breakthrough ideas that have been successful in solving big challenges. Two examples are the Capital Group created to support the snowmobile dealers when the financial market did not believe in the product, and the fractional ownership program in partnership with American Airlines, to facilitate private acquisition of airplanes and encourage demand • Governance and Transfer of expertise: Bombardier has well established systems to transfer best practices across groups (i.e. two or three working sessions throughout the year) in a manner that does not interfere with the daily activities but that allows them to focus and take the most advantage of such activities. • Corporate staff + CEO team spirit: the CEO has been for 30 years with the company and has grown faster than the company itself which together with the corporate staff commitment to support him on making the right decisions, is the right combination for the strategy assertiveness that the company shows. • Feel the passion for their product: Bombardier employees like to try, enjoy and feel passion for their own products. It demonstrates the importance the company gives to demographics because such attitude moves them closer to the customers and to be able to transmit the same attitude to the dealers which are key in the success and with whom are partners. 31 FURTHER ANALYSIS AND KEY LEARNINGS (CONCLUSIONS) We find the PWC story fascinating from several different angles. On the one hand, it provides a unique example of a brand new product concept based on new type of technology (engine + design) which ultimately carved a niche segment in the recreational boating market. On the other hand, the development of the flagship Jet-Ski and Sea-Doo products by Kawasaki and Bombardier, respectively illustrates how two companies with different portfolios and resources approach the same product and manage to achieve commercial success by using totally different innovation strategies. To summarize, Bombardier introduced the Sea-Doo in 1968 only to shelve it in 1973 due to higher demand for its Snow-Doo product and lack of financial and manufacturing resources to see through an uncertain early product development stage. Kawasaki, picking up where Bombardier left off, put its considerable size and financial strength behind its expertise in motors to successfully establish PWC as a new and long term viable product in recreational boating. Once the product life cycle had reached a more sophisticated technology stage and higher penetration rates, Bombardier re-entered the market and managed to successfully revitalize its Sea-Doo brand, 15 years in hibernation. Historic Sales and S-Curve 250,000 1,800,000 Annual Unit Sales 1,400,000 1,200,000 150,000 1,000,000 800,000 100,000 600,000 400,000 50,000 Cumulative Unit Sales 1,600,000 200,000 200,000 0 19 75 -76 19 77 -78 19 79 -80 198 1-8 2 19 83 -84 19 85 -86 19 87 -88 19 89 -90 19 91 -92 19 93 -94 19 95 -96 199 7-9 8 19 99 -00 0 Annual Cumulative (S-Curve) Figure 12. Growth story of Jet-Ski and Sea-Doo. The s-curve of the sales growth above indicates the three key stage of product development. The initial product development and adoption is illustrated by the flat curve in the period 75 32 – 85. Thereafter, sales pick up at an increasing rate and for almost ten years (till 1996) PWC enjoy increasing popularity with consumers (mass-market appeal; Bombardier reenters market). From 1997 onwards, the PWC market appears to have reached a point of relative maturity. This is further illustrated in the sales CAGR chart below. PWC Historic CAGR % 197 6-7 7 197 8-7 9 198 0-8 1 19 82 -83 19 84 -85 19 86 -87 19 88 -89 199 0-9 1 199 2-9 3 199 4-9 5 199 6-9 7 19 98 -99 45% 40% 35% 30% 25% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% CAGR % Average The original adoption period is going through an erratic sales growth pattern where at first sales sky-rocket due to the high demand from early-adopters and then dip as Kawasaki starts to tackle technology issues in the midst of oil shocks and external economic pressure. Then the industry hits the high growth phase of the s-curve illustrated in the chart above by the constant CAGR in the period 85 – 96 (i.e. exponential sales growth pattern). The dip below the sales average growth rate towards the end of the 90s indicates that PWC are entering a more saturated market stage. In summary, we view the development of the PWC as a great illustration of several aspects relevant to the successful commercialization of new technologies. On the one hand, the ups and downs of the PWC’s introduction and market penetration, and the subsequent swap in product development leadership from Bombardier to Kawasaki suggest that even the best technological inventions face multiple and multi-faceted pitfalls on their path to success. More importantly, that implies that when dealing with new product concepts there are many ways to tackle the same technological/product development problem, especially when approaching it with different package of resources. On the other hand, the initial commercial introduction of Jet-Ski by Kawasaki (Jet-Ski has become the standard bearer name for PWC) and the subsequent, 15 years later, re-launch of Sea-Doo by Bombardier (now the market leader with approximately 50% share) suggest that first mover advantage is not always converted into market dominance and financial benefit. 33 Exhibit 1. Article at the time of original Sea-Doo launch 34 Exhibit 2. Article at the time of original Sea-Doo launch 35 Exhibit 3. Source http://www.marinenewswire.com/market5.htm Exhibit 4. Source: http://www.marinenewswire.com/market4.htm 36 Recreational Boating Outboard Inboard Inboard Boats Boats Runabouts Cruisers Unit Boats Sailboats Canoes PWC Jet Boats 1970 436,500 276,000 13,250 13,250 43,000 51,000 40,000 - - 1971 447,500 278,000 11,250 11,250 44,000 59,000 44,000 - - 1972 631,000 375,000 11,500 11,500 63,000 114,000 56,000 - - 1973 726,000 448,000 3,200 8,800 78,000 120,000 68,000 - - 1974 729,000 425,000 3,200 7,800 70,000 143,000 80,000 - - 1975 592,050 328,000 3,700 6,500 70,000 107,850 76,000 - - 1976 615,850 341,000 4,950 6,050 80,000 107,850 76,000 - - 1977 571,800 336,000 3,430 8,370 84,000 58,000 82,000 - - 1978 576,300 331,000 3,730 8,370 90,000 63,200 80,000 - - 1979 585,500 322,000 4,050 8,550 89,000 71,900 90,000 - - 1980 532,300 290,000 2,900 5,300 56,000 73,100 105,000 - - 1981 543,500 281,000 2,950 5,450 51,000 77,100 126,000 - - 1982 453,725 236,000 3,200 5,125 55,000 53,400 101,000 - 1983 514,125 273,000 3,900 7,485 79,000 43,740 107,000 - - 1984 584,030 317,000 4,500 10,780 108,000 40,750 103,000 - - 1985 553,300 305,000 4,500 12,200 115,000 37,800 78,800 - - 1986 569,400 314,000 5,300 12,700 120,000 37,200 80,200 - - 1987 624,500 342,000 6,600 13,100 144,000 33,500 85,300 - - 1988 651,820 355,000 7,400 13,500 148,000 38,120 89,800 - - 1989 552,700 291,000 9,100 12,300 133,000 27,200 80,100 - - 1990 435,500 227,000 7,500 7,500 97,000 21,200 75,300 - - 1991 426,800 195,000 6,200 3,600 73,000 8,700 72,300 68,000 - 1992 444,550 192,000 6,400 3,550 75,000 10,600 78,000 79,000 - 1993 498,775 205,000 6,800 3,375 75,000 11,900 89,700 107,000 1994 576,200 220,000 7,200 4,200 90,000 13,000 99,800 142,000 - 1995 663,760 231,000 6,900 5,460 93,600 14,300 97,800 200,000 14,700 1996 634,750 215,000 6,000 5,350 94,500 15,900 92,900 191,000 14,100 1997 610,100 200,000 6,100 6,300 92,000 14,400 103,600 176,000 11,700 1998 571,100 200,900 6,900 6,600 91,000 19,400 107,800 130,000 8,500 Exhibit 5 37 Estimated Year Expenditures Retail Total US Boat Boats Owned Registrations 0 1970 $3,440,000 8,814,000 1971 $1,627,903 8,981,000 5,510,092 1972 $3,900,000 9,210,000 5,910,794 1973 $4,245,000 9,435,000 6,339,678 1974 $4,607,000 9,615,000 6,830,456 1975 $4,800,000 9,740,000 7,303,286 1976 $4,800,000 10,105,000 7,721,196 1977 $5,920,000 10,515,000 7,975,587 1978 $6,690,000 11,270,000 8,034,905 1979 $7,500,000 11,625,000 8,200,000 1980 $7,370,000 11,832,000 8,555,754 1981 $8,250,000 12,495,000 8,905,097 1982 $8,100,000 12,820,000 9,073,972 1983 $9,375,000 13,041,000 9,165,094 1984 $12,340,000 13,778,000 9,415,023 1985 $13,284,000 14,285,000 9,583,673 1986 $14,479,000 14,318,000 9,876,197 1987 $16,500,000 14,515,000 9,963,696 1988 $17,927,000 15,093,000 10,362,613 1989 $17,143,000 15,658,000 10,777,370 1990 $13,730,903 15,987,000 10,996,253 1991 $10,564,458 16,262,000 11,068,440 1992 $10,317,250 16,262,000 11,132,386 1993 $11,254,041 16,212,000 11,429,585 1994 $14,070,599 16,239,000 11,429,585 1995 $17,226,206 15,375,000 11,734,710 1996 $17,752,671 15,830,000 12,057,269 1997 $19,344,470 16,230,000 12,309,724 1998 $19,148,369 16,824,000 Exhibit 6. U.S. Recreational Boating Total Expenditures and Boats Owned 38 Exhibit 7. Recreational Boats in use by boat type Exhibit 8. PWC technical drawing 39 Exhibit 9. Personal Watercraft Viewed from Front Angle Exhibit 10. Personal Watercraft Viewed from Side 40 Source: Responsive Management Exhibit 11. Percent of respondents in each activity group who had participated in jetskiing more than once within the past 12 monthsxxii Source: Responsive Management Exhibit 12. Percent of respondents in each activity group who had participated in motor-boating more than once within the past 12 months. 41 Exhibit 13. Percent of respondents in each activity group who had participated in each type of boating activity more than once within the past 12 months 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 Sea-Doo Yamaha Kawasaki Polaris Arctic Cat Wet Jet & Other 28.6% 39.3% 27.2% 4.0% 0.0% 1.0% 35.1% 33.7% 20.8% 8.4% 1.8% 0.2% 38.3% 26.5% 19.2% 11.8% 3.2% 1.0% 39.1% 23.7% 14.8% 15.0% 6.0% 1.4% 47.3% 23.6% 13.3% 12.1% 3.3% 0.4% 43.4% 25.1% 17.2% 10.7% 3.6% 0.0% 42.8% 30.9% 15.6% 6.4% 4.2% 0.1% 39.9% 30.4% 17.6% 6.8% 5.3% 0.0% 39.9% 34.4% 15.0% 8.5% 2.2% 0.0% 43.6% 32.3% 14.0% 10.2% 0.0% 0.0% Total 100% 100% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% Sources: For 1992 - 2000: "USA PWC Market Share by Mfr. By Season" based on NMMA data For 2001: Bombardier estimates Exhibit 14. PWC Market Share by Manufacturer 1992 - 2001 42 ENDNOTES & BIBLIOGRAPHY i. http://powerboat.about.com/cs/boattype1/p/pwc.htm ii. http://en.wikipedia.org/ iii. http://www.parkeryamaha.com/68seadoo/sdbirth1.htm iv. http://www.sea-doo.net/history.html v. http://www.dalesjetsports.com/watercraft/History_PWC.htm vi. http://www.jetski.com/section.cfm?id=67 http://web.mit.edu/invent/iow/watercraft.html vii viii. http://www.cgaux.org/cgauxweb/news/auxhist.html ix. http://web.bryant.edu/~history/h364proj/sprg_01/rafferty/history.html x. Domestic Shipment Statistics 1970 to 1998, www.nm ma.org xi. http://www.rbbi.com/white/conflict/conflict.htm#intro . http://www.boat-ed.com/wa/course/p1-5_knowyourpwc_ada.htm xii . http://www.pwia.org/ xiii . http://www.nasbla.org/pdf/Boating%20Participation%20report.pdf xiv Responsive Management is an internationally recognized public opinion and attitude xv survey research firm specializing in natural resource and outdoor recreation issues. Their mission is to help natural resource and outdoor recreation agencies and organizations better understand and work with their constituents, customers, and the public. National Marine Manufacturers Association (NMMA) is dedicated to creating, promoting xvi and protecting an environment where members can achieve financial success through excellence in manufacturing, in selling, and in servicing their customers The Growth Philosophy Of Bombardier An Interview With Laurent Beaudoin, Chairman xvii And Ceo, Bombardier Inc. Mehrdad A. Baghai, Stephen C. Coley, Ronald H. Farmer, And Hugo Sarrazin The Mckinsey Quarterly, 1997 Number 2. xviii Source: Bloomberg. xix Source: Kawasaki Motors website (www.kawasaki.com). xx Source: Proprietary historic industry data from Bombardier. xxi Source: Proprietary historic industry data from Bombardier. xxii Interview with Christopher Dawson. VP Sales & Marketing. Bombardier Recreational Products. INSEAD alumni. xxii Factors Related to Recreational Boating Participation in the United States. A Review of the Literature. Responsive Management 43
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