Issues and Answers on the Third Runway for Hong Kong International Airport (22 March 2015) Executive)Summary) This survey tested both the issue of airport expansion and the process of consultation on this issue. The survey found that a majority of respondents support letting the courts settle environmental permit disputes first, before proceeding with adding a third runway. A majority also supports Hong Kong authorities settling issues of air routing through the very crowed skies of the Pearl River Delta region with mainland authorities first. And while many times cooperation with the mainland is pitted against local court proceedings, in this case most regard these issues differently. Majorities disagree on the government proposal to fund the expansion with loans guaranteed by the government. Majorities prefer that further efficiency measures be taken prior to proceeding with expansion plans. As with many things in Hong Kong, there are clear differences of views by those under age 30 and those over age 60. There are also significant gaps in views between those whose family incomes are over $100,000 per month and those whose families earn less. The wealthiest and older respondents tend to support expansion of the airport over various obstacles. On some issues women differ with men, and the difference is not a matter of women being less decisive in their responses (typically the case for many issues; women tend to respond significantly more often with no comment or don’t know than men). While a bare majority of men support withdrawal of the proposal, nearly two thirds of women support withdrawal. Women also are more critical of the government backing loans for the airport than men. Even for many respondents who appear in the majority of their responses as more supportive of the government, and who oppose withdrawing the planned expansion, agree that a settlement needs to be reached with Mainland authorities on air route conflicts (32% who oppose withdrawal support reaching an air route agreement first). If the government cites significant disagreement on a public policy issue as a reason not to act on some matters, this is clearly a case where it takes a different stance. It appears from the results of this survey that most of the public is not convinced, on the merits, that the proposed action of adding a third runway needs to be taken at this time or in this fashion. 2 Table of Contents ) Executive)Summary).................................................................................................................................)2! Background)................................................................................................................................................)6! Table!1.! Do!you!agree!to!the!statement! “The!Chief!Executive!and!the!Executive!Council!should!not!move!the!third!runway!project! forward!before!the!court!has!made!the!decision!whether!the!issue!of!environmental!permit! is!invalid”!....................................................................................................................................................................!6! Chart!of!Table!1.! Do!you!agree!to!the! statement!“The!Chief!Executive!and!the!Executive!Council!should!not!move!the!third! runway!project!forward!before!the!court!has!made!the!decision!whether!the!issue!of! environmental!permit!is!invalid”!.....................................................................................................................!7! Table!2!Agree!to!await!court!decision!BY!Age!group!...............................................................................!7! Table!3!Agree!to!await!court!decision!BY!Education!...............................................................................!8! Table!4!!Agree!to!await!court!decision!BY!Family!income!per!month!.............................................!8! Table!4!!Agree!to!await!court!decision!BY!Family!income!per!month!.............................................!9! Table!5!!Q2.! Do!you!agree!the! statement!“The!Chief!Executive!and!the!Executive!Council!should!not!move!the!third! runway!project!forward!before!a!blackOandOwhite!agreement!has!been!made!between! Hong!Kong!and!Chinese!authorities!on!easing!the!air!route!conflict.”!.............................................!9! Table!5!!Q2.! Do!you!agree!the! statement!“The!Chief!Executive!and!the!Executive!Council!should!not!move!the!third! runway!project!forward!before!a!blackOandOwhite!agreement!has!been!made!between! Hong!Kong!and!Chinese!authorities!on!easing!the!air!route!conflict.”!...........................................!10! Table!6!!Agree!runway!not!advance!until!air!route!conflict!settled!BY!Age!................................!10! Table!7!!Agree!runway!not!advance!until!air!route!conflict!settled!BY!Education!...................!11! Table!8!!Agree!runway!not!advance!until!air!route!conflict!settled!BY!Family!income!..........!11! Chart:!Table!8!!Agree!runway!not!advance!until!air!route!conflict!settled!BY!Family!income !.......................................................................................................................................................................................!12! Table!9!!Q3.! Do!you!agree!with!the!Hong!Kong!Government! decision!to!become!guarantor!of!the!Airport!Authority!and!to!finance!the!third!runway! project!so!as!to!bypass!the!oversight!by!the!Legislative!Council?!...................................................!12! Chart!of!Table!9!!Q3.! Do!you!agree!with!the!Hong!Kong! Government!decision!to!become!guarantor!of!the!Airport!Authority!and!to!finance!the!third! runway!project!so!as!to!bypass!the!oversight!by!the!Legislative!Council?!..................................!13! Table!10!!Agree!HK!Government!guarantee!Airport!Authority!loans!BY!Age!............................!13! Table!11!!Agree!HK!Government!guarantee!Airport!Authority!loans!BY!Education!...............!14! Table!12!!Agree!HK!Government!guarantee!Airport!Authority!loans!BY!Family!income!......!14! Chart!Table!12!Agree!HK!Government!guarantee!Airport!Authority!loans!BY!Family!income !.......................................................................................................................................................................................!15! Table!13!Q4.! Do!you!agree!to!charge!airport!passengers!with!airport!development!tax!so! as!to!finance!the!third!runway?!......................................................................................................................!15! Table!14!!Charge!passengers!development!tax!to!finance!runway!BY!Sex!..................................!16! 3 Table!15!!Charge!passengers!development!tax!to!finance!runway!BY!Age!.................................!16! Chart!of!Table!15!!Charge!passengers!development!tax!to!finance!runway!BY!Age!................!17! Table!16!!Charge!passengers!development!tax!to!finance!runway!BY!Education!....................!17! Table!17!!Charge!passengers!development!tax!to!finance!runway!BY!Family!income!...........!18! Table!18!Q5.! Do!you!agree!“The!Hong!Kong!Government!and!the!Airport!Authority!have!presented! accurate!and!thorough!information!on!the!third!runway!project!to!the!public!........................!19! Table!19!!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!provided!accurate!information!BY! Age!...............................................................................................................................................................................!19! Table!20!!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!provided!accurate!information!BY! Education!..................................................................................................................................................................!20! Table!21!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!provided!accurate!information!BY! Family!income!........................................................................................................................................................!20! Chart!of!Table!21!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!provided!accurate! information!BY!Family!income!........................................................................................................................!21! Table!22!Q6.! Do!you!agree!that!“The!Hong!Kong!Government!and!the!Airport!Authority!have!consulted! the!public!on!the!third!runway!project!thoroughly.”!.............................................................................!21! Table!23!!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!consulted!public!thoroughly!BY!Age !.......................................................................................................................................................................................!22! Table!24!!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!consulted!public!thoroughly!BY! Education!..................................................................................................................................................................!22! Chart!Table!24!!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!consulted!public!thoroughly!BY! Education!..................................................................................................................................................................!23! Table!25!!Agree!HK!Government!&!Airport!Authority!consulted!public!thoroughly!BY! Income!........................................................................................................................................................................!23! Table!26!Q7. !On!the!basis!of!the!above!information,!do!you!agree!or! disagree!with!the!following:!““Due!to!the!costObenefit!and!conservation!concerns,!I!would! prefer!the!TwoORunway!option.”!....................................................................................................................!24! Table!27!!Agree!to!prefer!TwoORunway!option!BY!Sex!........................................................................!25! Table!28!!Agree!to!prefer!TwoORunway!option!BY!Age!........................................................................!25! Table!29!!Agree!to!prefer!TwoORunway!option!BY!Education!..........................................................!26! Table!30!!Agree!to!prefer!TwoORunway!option!BY!Family!Income!.................................................!26! Chart!of!Table!30!!Agree!to!prefer!TwoORunway!option!BY!Family!Income!...............................!27! Table!31!!Q8.! , Do!you!agree!that!“The!Airport! Authority!should!focus!on!improving!the!efficiency!of!current!runways!and!should!not! consider!building!a!new!runway!before!our!current!runways!are!fully!utilized?!“!.................!27! Chart!of!Table!31!!Q8.! , Do!you!agree!that!“The!Airport! Authority!should!focus!on!improving!the!efficiency!of!current!runways!and!should!not! consider!building!a!new!runway!before!our!current!runways!are!fully!utilized?!“!.................!28! Table!32!!Agree!focus!on!improving!runway!efficiency!BY!Sex!........................................................!28! Table!33!!Agree!focus!on!improving!runway!efficiency!BY!Age!.......................................................!28! Chart!of!Table!33!!Agree!focus!on!improving!runway!efficiency!BY!Age!......................................!29! Table!34!!Agree!focus!on!improving!runway!efficiency!BY!Education!..........................................!29! Table!35!!Agree!focus!on!improving!runway!efficiency!BY!Family!income!.................................!30! Table!36!Q9.! Overall,!do!you!agree!that!the!Hong!Kong!Government!should!withdraw!the!third!runway! project!after!considering!all!above!factors?!...............................................................................................!31! Table!37!Agree!HK!Government!should!withdraw!3rd!runway!project!BY!Sex!..........................!31! Table!38!Agree!HK!Government!should!withdraw!3rd!runway!project!BY!Age!.........................!32! 4 Table!39!Agree!HK!Government!should!withdraw!3rd!runway!project!BY!Education!............!32! Table!39!Agree!HK!Government!should!withdraw!3rd!runway!project!BY!Education!............!33! Table!40!!Correlation!of!Q1!Agree!delay!for!court!decision!BY!Agree!withdraw!proposal!..!33! Table!41!!Correlation!of!Q2!Agree!on!agreement!with!China!authorities!on!air!route! conflicts!first!BY!Agree!withdraw!proposal!...............................................................................................!34! Demographics).........................................................................................................................................)35! Gender!........................................................................................................................................................................!35! Education!BY!Gender!...........................................................................................................................................!35! Gender!distribution!by!Education!level!.......................................................................................................!35! Age!...............................................................................................................................................................................!35! What!is!your!educational!standard!?!What!year!of!schooling!did!you!finish?! !.............................................................................................................................................................................!36! Recoded!Education!(used!for!analysis)!.......................................................................................................!36! Distribution!of!Education!level!by!Age!........................................................................................................!36! Ages!by!Level!of!Education!...............................................................................................................................!37! What!is!your!approximate!monthly!family!income?! !........!37! Recoded!Monthly!Family!Income!...................................................................................................................!37! Income!BY!Age!group!..........................................................................................................................................!38! Income!distribution!BY!Education!level!......................................................................................................!38! ) ) 5 Background) A survey report commissioned by Greenpeace (HK), Friends of the Earth(HK), Dolphin Conservation Society, Conservancy Association, World Wildlife Fund (HK), Victor Leung and Albert Lai, , ( ) ( conducted by the Centre for the Advancement of Social Science Research at the Hong Kong Baptist University. Data analyzed and this report produced by Professor Michael DeGolyer of HKBU. ) The telephone survey of 617 people who are Permanent Residents of Hong Kong, randomly selected by the next birthday method, was conducted 10-18 March 2015. After determining interviewees were residents of the household age 18 or above whose birthday will be coming up soonest, and who are also permanent residents of Hong Kong, interviewees were read the following statement introducing the issue: , The Airport Authority of Hong Kong is planning to build the third runway for the airport. Experts have concluded that the new runway will affect air quality and noise pollution. Huge damage on marine ecology because of the reclamation would further reduce the number Chinese White Dolphins. Although the Director of Environment has issued the Environmental Permit, green groups have applied for judicial review based on the mistakes and omissions found in the Environmental Impact Assessment process. This may lead to an overhaul of the permit. Table 1 contains the results of the first question asked (see chart next page). A majority of respondents agreed that the third runway decision should await the outcome of the court case challenging the environmental permit. Agreement tended to rise with education and income, except at the post-graduate level and those with family incomes over $100,000 per month. Younger groups agree more strongly on awaiting the outcome of the court case (See Table 2 below). Table)1.) Do)you)agree) to)the)statement)“The)Chief)Executive)and)the)Executive)Council)should)not)move)the) third)runway)project)forward)before)the)court)has)made)the)decision)whether)the)issue)of) environmental)permit)is)invalid”1) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 98 256 136 57 70 % 16 41 22 9 11 1 Results are rounded off to the nearest whole number following guidelines of the World Association of Public Opinion Research. A random survey of this size (617 persons) has a range of error of +/- 4 points at the 95 percent confidence interval. 6 Chart)of)Table)1.) Do) you)agree)to)the)statement)“The)Chief)Executive)and)the)Executive)Council)should)not) move)the)third)runway)project)forward)before)the)court)has)made)the)decision)whether) the)issue)of)environmental)permit)is)invalid”) No Comment Strongly Agree Strongly Disagree Disagree Agree Table)2)Agree)to)await)court)decision)BY)Age)group2) 18-20 11 Strongly Agree 70 Agree 11 Disagree Strongly Disagree 4 4 No Comment total 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 95.86 with 24 21-30 35 47 9 3 6 100 31-40 12 61 15 7 5 100 41-50 21 39 25 9 6 100 51-60 11 36 24 16 14 100 61-70 13 24 34 8 21 100 71-90 10 36 27 7 20 100 total 16 42 22 9 11 100 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total 2 Chi-square is a statistical measure of the strength of association between variables. The nearer to zero, the stronger the probability that the distribution of responses is not by chance. Normally p ≤ 0.5 is the upper limit accepted, meaning there are only 5 chances in 100 that the distribution of responses is mere chance. 7 Table)3)Agree)to)await)court)decision)BY)Education) 0 to P6 9 Strongly 7-9 F1F3 11 Agree 28 35 Agree 20 28 Disagree 9 11 Strongly Disagree 35 15 No Comment total 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 77.39 with 20 10-12 F4-F6 12 13-15 Some univ 19 16 University grad 23 17-18 Postgrad 10 total 49 24 4 44 24 7 42 19 11 42 23 23 42 22 9 12 100 6 100 6 100 3 100 11 100 16 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 Agreement tends to rise with family income except among those whose family income is $100,000 and up per month. (See chart next page). Older age tends to be associated with lower income levels. (See Demographics at end of report.) Table)4))Agree)to)await)court)decision)BY)Family)income)per)month) None Strongly Agree Agree Disagree 20,00029,999 16 30,00039,999 15 40,00059,999 21 60,00099,999 28 100,000+ total 8 <500019,999 15 14 17 37 32 3 40 19 8 43 22 9 45 22 6 49 17 7 43 16 10 34 27 24 42 22 9 10 12 6 3 2 10 100 100 100 100 100 100 Strongly Disagree 19 19 No Comment total 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 55.06 with 24 df p = 0.0003 8 Table)4))Agree)to)await)court)decision)BY)Family)income)per)month) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 The division of opinion appears to be about the same on question 2 of the survey, asking about the conflict in air routes currently experienced in the Pearl River Delta region. Guangzhou, Shenzhen, Zhuhai, Macau and Hong Kong all have airports, making the airspace congested. Hong Kong International Airport also has routing complexities caused by the mountainous terrain surrounding the airport, particularly toward the south of the runway. As with the court case, a majority of about the same size agrees these route conflicts should be settled before a third runway is built. However, as Tables 6-8 show, the composition of the majority on the second question is different, with far less difference among age groups, educational levels and family income over the second question than with the first. Table)5))Q2.) Do) you)agree)the)statement)“The)Chief)Executive)and)the)Executive)Council)should)not)move) the)third)runway)project)forward)before)a)blackLandLwhite)agreement)has)been)made) between)Hong)Kong)and)Chinese)authorities)on)easing)the)air)route)conflict.”) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 110 246 163 43 55 % 18 40 26 7 9 9 Table)5))Q2.) Do) you)agree)the)statement)“The)Chief)Executive)and)the)Executive)Council)should)not)move) the)third)runway)project)forward)before)a)blackLandLwhite)agreement)has)been)made) between)Hong)Kong)and)Chinese)authorities)on)easing)the)air)route)conflict.”) No Comment Strongly Agree Strongly Disagree Disagree Agree There is not as strong of an association with age as in Q1, though younger groups tend to agree more as in Q1. But those over age 30 tend to divide more equally than in Q1. Table)6))Agree)runway)not)advance)until)air)route)conflict)settled)BY)Age) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 18-20 19 57 17 2 6 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 52.23 with 24 21-30 35 40 16 3 6 100 31-40 17 37 37 3 5 100 41-50 21 41 24 9 6 100 51-60 14 37 31 10 8 100 61-70 13 34 28 9 16 100 71-90 10 42 29 3 15 100 total 18 40 27 7 9 100 df p = 0.0007 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total 10 Table)7))Agree)runway)not)advance)until)air)route)conflict)settled)BY)Education) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 0 to P6 10 7-9 F1-F3 10 10-12 F4-F6 12 13-15 Some univ 20 16 University grad 27 17-18 Post-grad 16 total 32 29 7 36 31 10 47 27 4 47 26 4 37 24 7 36 26 16 40 26 7 22 14 10 4 5 6 9 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 51.81 with 20 18 df p = 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 Table)8))Agree)runway)not)advance)until)air)route)conflict)settled)BY)Family)income) None Strongly Agree Agree 20,00029,999 17 30,00039,999 20 40,00059,999 25 60,00099,999 28 100,000+ total 6 <500019,999 14 15 18 44 34 44 26 38 26 41 26 40 24 40 22 36 32 41 27 2 5 10 7 5 5 15 7 15 12 9 7 5 5 2 8 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 35.74 with 24 df p = 0.0581 11 Chart:)Table)8))Agree)runway)not)advance)until)air)route)conflict)settled)BY)Family)income) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 At this point the survey shifted from legal issues affecting the runway decision to costing matters. There is strong disagreement on the government’s decision to bypass legislative allocation and fund the expansion via government-guaranteed financing. Nearly two thirds (64%) opposed the means of funding while support shrank to 27% and strong support dropped to the lowest among the questions asked. (Chart next page). 1400 2000 Airport Authority has estimated the construction cost for the third runway will be 140 billion dollars. Some views have found that the cost might eventually end up at 200 billion. The Airport Authority is seeking the Hong Kong Government as guarantor so as to borrow loans from banks. This means the Airport Authority will bypass the Legislative Council and turn all Hong Kong public into guarantors. Table)9))Q3.) Do)you)agree)with)the)Hong)Kong) Government)decision)to)become)guarantor)of)the)Airport)Authority)and)to)finance)the) third)runway)project)so)as)to)bypass)the)oversight)by)the)Legislative)Council?)) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 33 136 258 137 53 % 5 22 42 22 9 12 Chart)of)Table)9))Q3.) Do)you)agree)with)the)Hong) Kong)Government)decision)to)become)guarantor)of)the)Airport)Authority)and)to)finance) the)third)runway)project)so)as)to)bypass)the)oversight)by)the)Legislative)Council?)) Strongly Agree No Comment Agree Strongly Disagree Disagree While those under age 30 most strongly disagree, there is less difference by age than before. Table)10))Agree)HK)Government)guarantee)Airport)Authority)loans)BY)Age) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 18-20 4 9 60 19 8 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 58.95 with 24 21-30 3 12 52 31 3 100 31-40 2 32 46 15 5 100 41-50 7 17 47 23 6 100 51-60 7 28 36 22 6 100 61-70 7 22 31 21 19 100 71-90 2 32 29 20 17 100 total 5 22 42 22 9 100 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total 13 Table)11))Agree)HK)Government)guarantee)Airport)Authority)loans)BY)Education) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 0 to P6 3 7-9 F1-F3 3 10-12 F4-F6 4 13-15 Some univ 5 16 University grad 7 17-18 Post-grad 13 total 22 30 20 28 42 17 29 37 20 20 59 12 17 41 30 13 48 19 22 42 22 25 11 10 4 4 6 9 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 64.18 with 20 5 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 No income group shows a majority supporting government backing of loans. Table)12))Agree)HK)Government)guarantee)Airport)Authority)loans)BY)Family)income) None Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 20,00029,999 2 30,00039,999 6 40,00059,999 2 60,00099,999 7 100,000+ total 3 <500019,999 5 14 5 23 37 16 27 41 21 21 42 27 23 42 24 19 48 24 21 45 26 31 36 19 23 42 23 21 7 7 5 7 2 2 7 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 41.85 with 24 df p = 0.0134 14 Chart)Table)12)Agree)HK)Government)guarantee)Airport)Authority)loans)BY)Family)income) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 A much smaller majority (54%) than that opposed to the government guarantee of loans (64% opposed) object to a use tax from airport users. This implies that if plans are to proceed, more find it less objectionable to use a tax on airport passengers to fund expansion. Table)13)Q4.) Do)you)agree)to)charge)airport)passengers)with)airport) development)tax)so)as)to)finance)the)third)runway?) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 50 194 219 117 37 No Comment % 8 31 35 19 6 Strongly Agree Strongly Disagree Agree Disagree 15 For the first time, women tended to more strongly disagree with this proposal (no significant statistical difference by gender on previous questions). Table)14))Charge)passengers)development)tax)to)finance)runway)BY)Sex) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total Male 11 35 30 16 7 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 16.06 with 4 Female 6 28 40 21 5 100 total 8 31 36 19 6 100 df p = 0.0029 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 Male Female total While those under 30 still more strongly objected than other age groups, only the 21-30 age group approached previous levels of disagreement. (Chart next page.) Table)15))Charge)passengers)development)tax)to)finance)runway)BY)Age) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 18-20 2 30 43 15 9 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 52.34 with 24 21-30 6 15 37 35 7 100 31-40 5 41 37 17 0 100 41-50 9 35 35 18 2 100 51-60 13 32 33 18 4 100 61-70 11 28 35 15 12 100 71-90 2 41 29 17 12 100 total 8 32 35 19 6 100 df p = 0.0007 16 Chart)of)Table)15))Charge)passengers)development)tax)to)finance)runway)BY)Age) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total Table)16))Charge)passengers)development)tax)to)finance)runway)BY)Education) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 0 to P6 7 7-9 F1-F3 11 10-12 F4-F6 4 13-15 Some univ 9 16 University grad 10 17-18 Post-grad 10 total 33 33 13 38 29 18 35 42 13 25 37 22 28 34 24 42 32 16 32 36 19 13 4 6 7 5 0 6 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 28.90 with 20 8 df p = 0.0898 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 17 As with the previous question, the highest income group showed the least disagreement. However, unlike the government loan guarantee question, this time a majority of highest income persons supported a user tax. If the third runway is to be financed, a user fee is a less objectionable means to more respondents. Table)17))Charge)passengers)development)tax)to)finance)runway)BY)Family)income) None Strongly Agree Agree 20,00029,999 7 30,00039,999 8 40,00059,999 7 60,00099,999 9 100,000+ total 3 <500019,999 5 19 8 36 37 36 38 30 37 29 38 30 34 24 40 42 25 32 36 10 14 24 19 23 24 14 19 15 7 2 6 5 3 0 5 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 40.61 with 24 df p = 0.0184 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 Having addressed cost issues, the survey turned to the decision-making process as it concerned information relayed to the public and input from the public. A plurality (49%) disagree that the government and Airport Authority have presented accurate and thorough information to the public about the third runway project. Older and less educated respondents (see tables below) show much higher levels of no comment on this question. 18 Table)18)Q5.) Do)you)agree)“The)Hong)Kong)Government)and)the)Airport)Authority)have) presented)accurate)and)thorough)information)on)the)third)runway)project)to)the)public)) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 34 174 223 78 108 % 6 28 36 13 18 Strongly Agree (6%) No Comment (18%) Agree (28%) Strongly Disagree (13%) Disagree (36%) Table)19))Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)provided)accurate)information)BY)Age) 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total 8 6 3 6 4 6 7 6 Strongly Agree 21 21 34 30 31 24 37 29 Agree 49 41 48 39 35 24 20 36 Disagree 25 7 12 14 12 8 13 Strongly Disagree 13 9 7 8 13 16 34 27 17 No Comment total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 58.62 with 24 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total 19 Table)20))Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)provided)accurate)information)BY)Education) 0 to 7-9 10-12 13-15 16 University 17-18 total P6 F1-F3 F4-F6 Some univ grad Post-grad 6 5 6 6 6 5 Strongly 4 Agree 28 26 33 26 27 29 28 Agree 25 42 36 43 36 36 36 Disagree 7 6 7 17 20 6 13 Strongly Disagree 36 21 20 7 12 23 18 No Comment total 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 48.09 with 20 df p = 0.0004 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 Table)21)Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)provided)accurate)information)BY) Family)income) None Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 20,00029,999 4 30,00039,999 7 40,00059,999 3 60,00099,999 5 100,000+ total 6 <500019,999 3 8 5 40 24 3 31 33 9 26 37 17 21 43 14 26 48 14 24 27 26 44 32 7 30 36 13 26 23 16 15 9 17 8 16 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 50.21 with 24 df p = 0.0013 20 Chart)of)Table)21)Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)provided)accurate) information)BY)Family)income) ) ) ) ) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 Despite lack of a majority deeming government and AA information on the project being less than accurate and thorough, the results of Table 22 (Question 6) show a majority disagree that the project was thoroughly consulted with the public. Table)22)Q6.) Do)you)agree)that)“The)Hong)Kong)Government)and)the)Airport)Authority)have) consulted)the)public)on)the)third)runway)project)thoroughly.”)) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 31 178 252 87 69 % 5 29 41 14 11 No Comment (11%) Strongly Disagree (14%) Strongly Agree (5%) Agree (29%) Disagree (41%) 21 The differences by age reappear for those under 30, but differences are less than before by education and income group. (See Table 24 and 25.) Table)23))Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)consulted)public)thoroughly)BY)Age) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 18-20 2 23 51 21 4 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 79.55 with 24 21-30 1 15 44 32 7 100 31-40 5 34 51 7 3 100 41-50 8 31 42 14 6 100 51-60 4 38 38 11 10 100 61-70 7 24 36 11 22 100 71-90 3 32 27 10 27 100 total 5 29 41 14 11 100 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total Table)24))Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)consulted)public)thoroughly)BY) Education) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 0 to P6 7 7-9 F1-F3 4 10-12 F4-F6 5 13-15 Some univ 1 16 University grad 5 17-18 Post-grad 13 total 25 25 7 28 42 10 39 39 10 24 48 24 26 45 17 29 36 13 29 41 14 36 17 8 4 7 10 11 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 83.09 with 20 5 df p ≤ 0.0001 22 Chart)Table)24))Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)consulted)public)thoroughly)BY) Education) ) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 Table)25))Agree)HK)Government)&)Airport)Authority)consulted)public)thoroughly)BY)Income) None Strongly Agree Agree Disagree 20,00029,999 4 30,00039,999 1 40,00059,999 4 60,00099,999 5 100,000+ total 6 <500019,999 3 10 5 32 34 5 37 31 11 16 47 20 34 42 16 27 49 17 33 31 24 36 39 10 30 40 15 14 7 3 7 5 11 100 100 100 100 100 100 Strongly Disagree 23 17 No Comment total 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 54.76 with 24 df p = 0.0003 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 23 The final part of the survey explored attitudes toward trade-offs and environmental effects, with the following statement read out to the respondents: 18 $470 9 $1360 26 Airport Authority forecasts that the Third Runway will yield $47 billion more economic benefit than expanding the Two-Runway system in 18 years time. The Third Runway construction will cost at least $136 billion, which could mean forgoing about 260,000 new public housing units. Meanwhile, experts said the Third Runway will be harmful to marine ecology and the survival of Chinese White Dolphins. Given the costs and environmental impact mentioned in the statement, a plurality of 49% preferred the current two-runway system. Table) 26) Q7. )On)the)basis)of)the)above)information,)do)you)agree) or)disagree)with)the)following:)“ Due)to)the)costLbenefit)and)conservation)concerns,)I) would)prefer)the)TwoLRunway)option. ) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 84 215 179 53 86 % 14 35 29 9 14 No Comment (14%) Strongly Agree (14%) Strongly Disagree (9%) Agree (35%) Disagree (29%) 24 Women showed a majority preferring the two-runway system, and those under age 30 very strongly preferred it. (See Table 28 below and chart next page.) Table)27))Agree)to)prefer)TwoLRunway)option)BY)Sex) Male Female total 14 13 14 Strongly Agree 30 39 35 Agree 33 26 29 Disagree 6 9 Strongly Disagree 12 12 16 14 No Comment total 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 14.55 with 4 df p = 0.0057 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 Male Female total Table)28))Agree)to)prefer)TwoLRunway)option)BY)Age) 18-20 21-30 31-40 21 31 12 Strongly Agree 49 49 34 Agree 17 13 36 Disagree 1 7 Strongly Disagree 6 8 6 12 No Comment total 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 66.39 with 24 41-50 12 34 29 14 11 100 51-60 12 29 34 11 14 100 61-70 6 30 34 7 23 100 71-90 10 32 32 5 20 100 total 14 35 29 8 14 100 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total 25 Table)29))Agree)to)prefer)TwoLRunway)option)BY)Education) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 0 to P6 7 7-9 F1-F3 8 10-12 F4-F6 11 13-15 Some univ 19 16 University grad 18 17-18 Post-grad 6 total 25 33 9 35 32 6 41 29 6 35 25 5 35 29 10 29 26 26 35 29 8 26 19 14 17 7 13 14 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 47.74 with 20 14 df p = 0.0005 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 Table)30))Agree)to)prefer)TwoLRunway)option)BY)Family)Income) None Strongly Agree Agree 20,00029,999 15 30,00039,999 15 40,00059,999 10 60,00099,999 26 100,000+ total 5 <500019,999 13 14 14 34 34 43 20 33 32 37 22 42 30 35 22 19 48 36 29 5 7 6 9 6 12 14 8 23 17 14 16 11 5 7 14 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 47.16 with 24 df p = 0.0032 26 Chart)of)Table)30))Agree)to)prefer)TwoLRunway)option)BY)Family)Income) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 Question 8 compared the current efficiency of the two runway Hong Kong system with the two runway system of Heathrow, and asked whether respondents would prefer further efforts to improve throughput before embarking on adding runways. The following statement was read to respondents, then Q8 was asked. (See chart next page.) The number of aircraft and number of passengers using the Hong Kong Airport is 80% of two-runway London Heathrow Airport. Cargo handled were half of the designed capacity. Experts have found other ways to increase air traffic movement capacity such as adding air routes, terrain removal of two hills in Northeastern Lantau and to replace a new air traffic control system. Such enhancement measures would be less expensive than building the third runway and has far less impact to the environment. Table)31))Q8.) , Do)you)agree)that)“The) Airport)Authority)should)focus)on)improving)the)efficiency)of)current)runways)and)should) not)consider)building)a)new)runway)before)our)current)runways)are)fully)utilized?)“) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 145 270 114 31 57 % 24 44 18 5 9 27 Chart)of)Table)31))Q8.) , Do)you)agree) that)“The)Airport)Authority)should)focus)on)improving)the)efficiency)of)current)runways) and)should)not)consider)building)a)new)runway)before)our)current)runways)are)fully) utilized?)“) No Comment (9%) Strongly Disagree (5%) Strongly Agree (24%) Disagree (18%) Agree (44%) A strong majority of women preferred increases in efficiency over added runways at this time, while a slightly less strong majority of men concurred. The differences by age (Table 33, chart next page) also were less than with previous questions. Table)32))Agree)focus)on)improving)runway)efficiency)BY)Sex) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total Male 24 39 23 7 7 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 15.19 with 4 Female 23 48 15 3 11 100 total 24 44 19 5 9 100 df p = 0.0043 Table)33))Agree)focus)on)improving)runway)efficiency)BY)Age) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 18-20 25 53 13 4 6 100 table contents: percent of Column Total Chi-square = 58.09 with 24 21-30 41 44 9 1 4 100 31-40 25 51 17 2 5 100 41-50 28 40 15 9 6 100 51-60 19 42 26 6 6 100 61-70 15 43 17 5 20 100 71-90 12 46 24 3 15 100 total 24 44 18 5 9 100 df p = 0.0001 28 Chart)of)Table)33))Agree)focus)on)improving)runway)efficiency)BY)Age) ) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total Table)34))Agree)focus)on)improving)runway)efficiency)BY)Education) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 0 to P6 13 7-9 F1-F3 18 10-12 F4-F6 23 13-15 Some univ 26 16 University grad 29 17-18 Post-grad 19 total 35 20 6 46 18 6 47 20 2 51 12 4 42 19 5 36 19 19 44 19 5 26 100 13 100 8 100 7 100 5 100 6 100 9 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 54.96 with 20 24 df p ≤ 0.0001 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 Even a majority of the highest income group (along with all other income groups) agrees that efficiency gains should come prior to expansion. 29 Table)35))Agree)focus)on)improving)runway)efficiency)BY)Family)income) None Strongly Agree Agree 20,00029,999 25 30,00039,999 23 40,00059,999 27 60,00099,999 35 100,000+ total 11 <500019,999 24 19 24 50 23 43 15 47 20 44 17 44 19 36 14 37 29 43 19 3 3 1 7 3 10 12 5 13 14 7 8 7 5 3 8 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 35.16 with 24 df p = 0.0661 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 100,000+ 60,000-99,999 40,000-59,999 30,000-39,999 20,000-29,999 <5000-19,999 None 0 Having considered a number of aspects regarding the building of the third runway, and being provided with additional details on various options, the final question of the survey asked the respondents, having taken into account the various issues raised in the survey, whether they thought the government should withdraw the proposal. About a third of respondents wanted to government to proceed with building the third runway despite costs, impacts or alternatives while a majority, 57%, supported withdrawal of the current proposal. 30 Table)36)Q9.) Overall,)do)you)agree)that)the)Hong)Kong)Government)should)withdraw)the)third) runway)project)after)considering)all)above)factors?) Group Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment Count 116 237 158 54 52 % 19 38 26 9 8 No Comment Strongly Agree Strongly Disagree Disagree Agree Table)37)Agree)HK)Government)should)withdraw)3rd)runway)project)BY)Sex) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 19.08 with 4 Male 20 32 31 12 6 100 Female 18 44 21 6 10 100 total 19 38 26 9 8 100 df p = 0.0008 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 Male Female total 31 Those under age 50 were most strongly in support of withdrawal. Table)38)Agree)HK)Government)should)withdraw)3rd)runway)project)BY)Age) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 18-20 19 51 21 4 6 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 55.08 with 24 21-30 43 37 15 3 3 100 31-40 19 41 24 8 8 100 41-50 17 42 25 12 4 100 51-60 15 36 31 10 8 100 61-70 15 29 29 11 16 100 71-90 15 37 25 7 15 100 total 19 38 26 9 8 100 df p = 0.0003 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 0 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 total Only those with post-graduate education or less than Primary 6 education showed majorities disagreeing with withdrawing the proposal. (Chart next page.) Table)39)Agree)HK)Government)should)withdraw)3rd)runway)project)BY)Education) Strongly Agree Agree Disagree Strongly Disagree No Comment total 0 to P6 10 7-9 F1-F3 15 10-12 F4-F6 13 13-15 Some univ 24 16 University grad 26 17-18 Post-grad 16 total 26 25 15 43 26 6 47 25 7 36 27 6 39 23 9 19 39 19 38 25 9 25 10 8 7 4 6 8 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 60.47 with 20 19 df p ≤ 0.0001 32 Table)39)Agree)HK)Government)should)withdraw)3rd)runway)project)BY)Education) ) 100 No Comment 90 80 Strongly Disagree 70 Disagree 60 Agree 50 40 Strongly Agree 30 20 10 total 17-18 Post-grad 16 University grad 13-15 Some univ 10-12 F4-F6 7-9 F1-F3 0 to P6 0 There was, for the first time, no significant difference among respondents on this issue by income level. The first two questions of the survey raised issues of rule of law and coordination with mainland authorities. These are currently regarded as polarizing issues in Hong Kong. The rule of law is often pitted in popular media against mainland influence. However, in the case of the third runway, there is far less polarization than might be expected. Table 40, for example, shows that among those who disagree on withdrawing the proposal (those who support the government, that is), over a third support waiting for the court to decide. And among those who support withdrawal, only 18% also do not want to wait for the court case to be settled. A measure of how responses to one question align with responses to another, Spearman rank correlation, shows a rather weak correlation among the responses (Spearman rank correlation 0.519). If all who disagreed on withdrawal also disagreed on delay, the Spearman correlation would be 1. Table)40))Correlation)of)Q1)Agree)delay)for)court)decision)BY)Agree)withdraw)proposal) Agree withdraw Agree delay 83 Disagree delay 18 total 100 Disagree withdraw 36 64 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 115.6 with 1 df p ≤ 0.0001 total 65 35 100 Similarly, on Question 2, those who disagree on withdrawal (pro-government supporters) actually show only slightly fewer who also say an agreement with mainland authorities on air route conflicts is needed first. And those who support withdrawal show just 19% who 33 disagree on Hong Kong-mainland China agreement coming first. Spearman rank correlation is slightly stronger than with Question 1, but not by much (Spearman rank correlation 0.578). The usually strongly polarized groups disputing priority of “rule of law” over Mainland China considerations, in the case of the third runway, show much more willingness to solve various outstanding issues, whether they concern letting local courts proceed or whether it involves Hong Kong authorities negotiating with mainland authorities. This indicates that criticism of the third runway would likely be less subjected to political pressures from Hong Kong-Mainland China disputes, if submitted to the Legislative Council, than might be expected. The disagreement over the third runway appears to be more focused on the funding arrangements and whether alternatives have been fully examined and issues properly settled. Table)41))Correlation)of)Q2)Agree)on)agreement)with)China)authorities)on)air)route) conflicts)first)BY)Agree)withdraw)proposal) Agree agreement needed Disagree agreement needed total Agree withdraw 81 19 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 128.8 with 1 Disagree withdraw 32 68 100 total 64 34 100 df p ≤ 0.0001 34 Demographics) Gender) Group Count % Male 281 46 Female 336 54 Education)BY)Gender) Years Male Female 0-6 6 15 7-9 10 13 10-12 24 23 13-15 14 12 16 39 32 17-18 6 4 total 100 100 total 11 12 23 13 36 5 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 15.04 with 5 df p = 0.0102 Gender)distribution)by)Education)level) Male Female total 0 to P6 26 74 100 7-9 F1F3 40 60 100 10-12 F4F6 46 54 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 15.04 with 5 Age) Group 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70 71-90 Count 53 68 59 127 140 86 59 13-15 Some univ 49 51 100 16 University grad 51 50 100 17-18 Postgrad 55 45 100 total 46 54 100 df p = 0.0102 % 9 11 10 21 24 15 10 ) 35 What)is)your)educational)standard)?)What)year)of)schooling)did)you)finish?) ) EJFU 3J R SUNPFU n l d UNPFU ( UNPFU ) UNPFU UNPFU UNPFU , UNPFU 7( . 7) / 7 0 7 B: 7RUP (V EJFU a i ( 7, B: 7RUP 8UFI F J a c q w v g r p (( 7- B: 7RUP , (V EJFU a e () 9NLM HMRR LUFI F J 7. B: 7RUP . 8UFI F J B4 8UFI F J C C NYJUVN 7UJVMPF :D6 r p ( C NYJUVN (V EJFU RSMRPRUJ l o t u f ( C NYJUVN ) I EJFU NRU l b o t u f (, C NYJUVN 8UFI F J lrp m r p (=FV JU 5JLUJJ s r p (. M5% 5JLUJJ h r p (/ 4R (( ) ) . , . 0 ,- a ((. )) ,) ( (, ) % % ( ( ( ( ( 0 ( (0 / ) ) )(/ ). ( ) Recoded)Education)(used)for)analysis)) 8UR S $.$0 ( $() ( $(, ((.$(/ 4R -0 .) ( /( )(/ ( (( () ) ( , Distribution)of)Education)level)by)Age) (/$) $.$0 ( $() ( $(, ((.$(/ R F ,( / ) ( )($ ( ( ( .) ( FG J HR J V1 JUHJ 4MN$VT FUJ 2 )-,% ($ ) / (0 ( ,( ( ( ($, ( ). () 0 0 ( R 4R P BR F NM I S ,($. )( )( ( % -($. )/ () ( () ( .($0 ( , . )0 ( R F (( () ) ( , ( ( 36 Ages)by)Level)of)Education) 0 to P6 (/$) )($ ($ ) ($, ,($(, -($. .($0 ( R F ( FG J HR J V1 4MN$VT FUJ 2 7-9 F1-F3 10-12 F4-F6 (0 ( , . / (0 ), ( )) (, (( ) ( ( JUHJ R 4R P BR F )-,% NM 13-15 Some univ 16 University grad )(( / (0 (/ ( , ( ) ) ( ) )) . / ( I S % 4R -) 0 ( ( ) , ( 0 . . )) ( (0 . ( ( What)is)your)approximate)monthly)family)income?) 8UR S R J JVV MF , , 0 000 ( ( 000 (, (0 000 ) ) 000 ), )0 000 000 , 0 000 0 000 , ,0 000 -0 000 . .0 000 / /0 000 0 00 000 ( F I S J VJ R F V JU R F 0 () ( )) ) (, ( ( 17-18 Post-grad ) ( ( ) , , / , / ( , ) ) ( ( ( ,0 ( () (( ,0 /- Recoded)Monthly)Family)Income) Group Count % None 62 12 <$5,000-19,999 86 16 $20,000-29,999 81 15 $30,000-39,999 86 16 $40,000-59,999 99 19 $60,000-99,999 58 11 $100,000+ 59 11 ) ) 37 Income)BY)Age)group) 18-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 None 0 2 0 1 7 <$5,000-19,999 27 10 15 6 17 $20,000-29,999 18 15 16 16 18 $30,000-39,999 16 22 13 19 20 $40,000-59,999 18 35 31 22 11 $60,000-99,999 11 10 7 22 11 $100,000+ 9 7 18 14 17 total 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 258.0 with 36 df p ≤ 0.0001 61-70 25 29 16 10 16 3 1 100 71-90 64 19 6 10 0 0 2 100 total 12 16 16 16 19 11 11 100 Income)distribution)BY)Education)level) None 0-6 7-9 1012 1315 16 1718 total 20,00029,999 11 15 36 30,00039,999 6 11 37 40,00059,999 1 9 19 60,00099,999 0 3 16 100,000+ total 32 15 16 <500019,999 26 20 26 0 2 7 11 11 24 11 14 7 16 14 17 12 13 26 0 14 1 30 1 28 2 53 4 53 10 63 17 37 5 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 100 table contents: Percent of Column Total Chi-square = 181.3 with 30 df p ≤ 0.0001 38
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