’15 Half Year Update with Alex McDonald, WMBA May 2015 Julia: Hello and welcome to a DerivSource podcast. I’m Julia Schieffer, the Founder and Editor of DerivSource.com. We are six months in to 2015 already, and regulation, unsurprisingly, continues to be a major theme. In this DerivSource podcast we speak to Alex McDonald, CEO, of the Wholesale Markets Brokers' Association or WMBA who provides an update on the first half of 2015 in terms of the issues that have really dominated this year. Alex also offers his views on what is likely be the focus for the next 6 months. Specifically in this interview we talk about the changing interdealer model, the new FX benchmarks being debated and of course the continuing lack of harmonisation between the US and Europe over swaps legislation. Here is, DerivSource reporter, Lynn Strongin Dodds, speaking to Alex McDonald from the WMBA. Lynn: Hi, this is Lynn Strongin Dodds, I’m reporting for DerivSource. We’re here with Alex McDonald, CEO, of the Wholesale Markets Brokers’ Association, talking about the first half of this year. Thank you for joining us. The first question is I read that you said capital and liquidity will be the major issues this year as they were in the preceding years. Has this been the case so far in 2015 and how have these issues developed since the start of the year? Alex: Capital and liquidity are always the big issues, but in 2015 so far, they have indeed come to the fore, perhaps more than we would have thought. The market suffered a liquidity drought at the start of January when the SNB removed the floor to the Euro/Swiss exchange rate causing unprecedented volatility in that market. That’s proved the precursor to a very volatile period in fixed income: where we’ve since seen a correlation of asset volatility, with bond markets initially being highly volatile with negative yields and then rebounding and the markets reaching out for liquidity and price information that is not there. Why is that important to WMBA members as Inter-Dealer brokers (IDBs) operating trading venues? Well, that’s because in responding to the various rule makings, and the impact of those changes, both in terms of presenting liquidity in new venues under Dodd Frank and the EU rules, plus the impact on those venues particularly in terms of capital and liquidity, has meant that market participants have been desperately looking for access to global liquidity pools, rather than segmented markets, and the corresponding dislocations of liquidity. So, we have presented these as demonstration to the regulators to illustrate the point, “be careful what you wish for in turning liquidity into a very non-latent, electronic product, because at the end of the day people tend to restrict their offering of liquidity, the more that you formalize the venues. Lynn: Just wondering why operational risk and key solvency did not come to the fore as you expected? Alex: The market has been pre-occupied by prices and yields against a backdrop of sovereign deficits and insolvency on one hand and rebuilding banking balance sheets on the other. In that regard, we have all been through the mill somewhat in prior years, and therefore the central-banks have said there will be money via the Quantitative Easing route. The amount of capital in the industry has been raised in what the regulators call ‘regulatory repair’ with a commensurate lowering the key leverage ratios within the financial sector. Lynn: The next question deals with the role of the inter dealer broker. How has it changed over the past few years and how do you see it evolving in 2015 and beyond? - Page 1 of 4 - Copyright for this document is retained by DerivSource and the document or any excerpts should not be republished or distributed without written notice of Julia Schieffer, of DerivSource.com. For further information please contact Julia Schieffer at [email protected] Half Year Update with Alex McDonald, WMBA May 2015 Alex: Since the IDBs are essentially very global in their daily business, and their clients’ base, so their role is arranging and aggregating a global liquidity pool. How has that changed and undergoing more change? The business model will change as this client base changes, in both activity and location. There is a distinct move within the banking industry both away from acting as principal to acting as agent and towards subsidiarisation. Both of these changes demand more access to platforms. So the role of the IDB has been evolving from an arranger or introducer who effectively charges a fee for finding liquidity, and matching counterparties bilaterally, towards becoming multilateral execution venues. This has been exacerbated by the regulations where-by SEFs, MTFs and the future OTFs are mandated or endorsed as execution venues, therefore signaling the required role of the IDB. In becoming the location of the execution, as opposed to simply arranging the trade by passing the names and letting the two counterparties confirm trades bilaterally in a classic OTC manner, so the further obligations around transparency, conduct, access, affirmation and reporting become more explicit. This also includes the connectivity to the post-trade infrastructures and the straight through processing to either CCPs or CSDs. So this is the transition of OTC business into organised and regulated venues, such as SEFs or the MiFID EU equivalents, or under various conduct requirements that are coming in the Asian countries. Lynn: The next question deals with regulation, looking at EMIR and MiFID, the impact that will have on the markets this year as market participants prepare for compliance and any unintended consequences of these new regulations? Alex: In Europe our focus has been on the key market structure changes of EMIR, MiFID, and REMIT, which deals with the power and gas markets. Additionally further legislations with concomitant effects on markets have been important to us such as increased capital and liquidity constraints in the CRR/CRD4 and other capital implications on cleared and uncleared margin and collateral in the EU. I would compare the current impact to a duck on a pond; the teeth of EMIR from the market infrastructure perspective (because the infrastructures don’t have the reporting requirements) are yet to bite with the clearing requirements, and MiFID, of course, is due to come into effect at the start of 2017. So, the impact so far has been relatively little in reality, but big in terms of preparation, in terms of lobbying, in terms of firms re-organising themselves to move towards an agency and platform or venue trading. Perhaps one of the big impacts has been locational, with market participants’ better understanding what regime they will be subjected to and asking regulators for more clarification around the substituted compliance regime, so they can make strategic decisions about where to offer services and who to trade with. This rearrangement has been particularly salient for IDBs who have one liquidity pool from trading on SEFs, and further sets of the same products trading under MiFID and EMIR and a further set traded between counterparties that are neither EU nor US persons and who will not be subject to these regulations. As a result, there has been a lot of relocation, of reporting and post-trading capabilities, which has led to a long debate about how you globally identify products, legal entities, and transactions and then report them without error or duplication. It has been a little like the serene duck which is paddling its flippers hard below the surface. www.derivsource.com - Page 2 of 4 - Copyright for this document is retained by DerivSource and the document or any excerpts should not be republished or distributed without written notice of Julia Schieffer, of DerivSource.com. For further information please contact Julia Schieffer at [email protected] Half Year Update with Alex McDonald, WMBA May 2015 Lynn: The lack of harmonisation topped the agenda at the ISDA conference in Canada. Do you think progress is being made on this front between the US and Europe? What changes would you like to see take place? Alex: There is much talk, but still very little actual harmonisation in reality, as we saw last week when Tim Massad was in Europe discussing the issue of CCP recognition. Under the surface however, there’s been a great change of mindset over the last 6 months. A wholesale change of Commissioners at the CFTC has led to a different attitude towards deference, substituted compliance, and cross-border recognition. That has been replicated in Europe since last September and will be amplified in July when a further changeover of key staff takes place in the European Commission. We will find sets of regulation implementing staff either side of the Atlantic who are working according to the G20 global growth agenda. This has been particularly evident in Europe with a newly established Directorate-General Financial Stability, Financial Services and Capital Markets Union (DG FISMA) set up to focus on the Capital Markets Union. So we are going to have a focus on conciliation, on deference, and on getting the global liquidity pool together again, because the costs of global liquidity under the Basel implementation, and higher capital requirements will put a lot of emphasis on making that liquidity pool work as well as it can. It’s now a question of making it happen. To paraphrase ISDA’s Scott O’Malia who expects that by Q3 this year, we’ll start to get CCP deference and recognition; and from there, what’s important to the WMBA members is that there is trading venue recognition in order to conjoin liquidity pools across different regimes to offer efficient access to pricing and risk transfer in wholesale markets which are essentially global. Lynn: The last question deals with the major challenges and opportunities that you see for your members as the year unfolds? Are there any other issues that we haven’t touched upon that the WMBA is focused on for 2015? And also looking at the debate needed over the benchmarks SONIA and RONIA? Alex: At this point in time, all of the key trade associations are focused on Capital Markets Union, because the underlying message of CMU is ‘less sand in the wheels’, more liquidity, better regulation. However, there are inherent conflicts between some of the capital and conduct regulations such as MiFID and EMIR and securities financing transactions regulation (SFTR) and short selling (SSR) which seemed designed to throw ‘sand in the wheels’ of what was considered an over-leveraged and speculative market which had too little transparency. The focus now is to remove the frictions and provide simpler, easier access to funding for all market participants. This is why the CMU lens has become so important not only for EU rejuvenation, but also for the City. As 2015 unfolds, there are other milestones of importance to WMBA members. One is the conduct and market effectiveness code stemming from the Fair and Effective Markets Review (FEMR) in June. This, of course, resonates with the CMU as well. So the strong focus for this year is going to be on making markets work across borders and for everybody, and that’s inclusive of conduct as well as capital and liquidity. The second is the evolution of the market structure legislations and also the new benchmark regulations. In the UK, the specified benchmarks have already become law, whilst in the EU we are going to get the overarching benchmark regulation moving into trialogue in early summer and finalising through the remainder of this year. It seems less likely that we will see the vaunted CCP resolution legislation being brought forward from the EU Commission before the end of the year. www.derivsource.com - Page 3 of 4 - Copyright for this document is retained by DerivSource and the document or any excerpts should not be republished or distributed without written notice of Julia Schieffer, of DerivSource.com. For further information please contact Julia Schieffer at [email protected] Half Year Update with Alex McDonald, WMBA May 2015 The last area of change is the relationship between the UK and the EU. Given that the UK hosts the lion’s share of wholesale markets in Europe and perhaps globally, this evolving relationship after the UK election will be paramount to the way that the locational issues for markets in the City evolve. Clearly, there are other factors, particularly the way that the capital and liquidity requirements get brought to bear and the substituted compliance issues between the UK and the rest of the world Lynn: It sounds like you’re going to have your hands full. I’d like to thank you very much for your thoughts this morning. Julia: Thank you for listening to this DerivSource podcast. If you would like more information on this topic, including the full transcript, please go to our Podcast Notes page, available on DerivSource.com or via our app. Thank you for listening. Join us next time. Copyright for this document is retained by DerivSource and this document or any excerpts should not be republished or distributed without written notice of Julia Schieffer, of DerivSource.com. For further information please contact Julia Schieffer at [email protected] www.derivsource.com - Page 4 of 4 - Copyright for this document is retained by DerivSource and the document or any excerpts should not be republished or distributed without written notice of Julia Schieffer, of DerivSource.com. For further information please contact Julia Schieffer at [email protected]
© Copyright 2024