Wo rk ingPape rs inEconom ic H is to ry May2015 WP15 -04 Human Deve lopmen tasPos i t iveF reedom : in Ame r icain H is to r ica lPe rspec t ive Lat roP radosdelaEscosu ra Leand Abs trac t : How has La t in Ame r ica ’s we l lbe ing evo lved ove rt ime? How does La t in Ame r ica compa retotoday ’s deve loped coun t r ies(OECD ,fo r sho r t )? Wha t exp la ins the i r d i f fe rences? These ques t ions a re add ressed us ing an h is to r ica l index o f human deve lopmen t . A sus ta inedimp rovemen tin we l lbe ing can be obse rved s ince 1870 . The abso lu te gap be tween OECD and La t in Ame r ica w idened ove r t ime , bu t an incomp le te ca tch ing up – la rge ly exp la ined by educa t ion - occu r red s ince 1900 , bu tfaded away a f te r 1980 , as La t in Ame r icafe l l beh indthe OECDinte rms o flongev i ty . Oncethe f i rs t hea l th t rans i t ion was exhaus ted , the con t r ibu t ion o fl i fe expec tancytohumandeve lopmen tdec l ined . Keywo rds :L a t inAme r i c a , Hum an De ve lopm en t ,Po s i t i v eF r eedom ,L i f e p e c t an c y ,Edu c a t ion E x JEL C lass i f ica t ion :O 15 ,O54 , I 00 ,N36 Leand ro P rados delaEscosura :Depa r tamen tode C ienc ias Soc ia les ,Ins t i tu to F igue ro la(Un ive rs idad Ca r losI I I , Ca l le Mad r id ,135 ,28903 Ge ta fe , Spa in )and CEPR . E -ma i l :l e and ro .p r ado s .d e l a e s co su r a@u c3m . e s h t tp : / /www .uc3m .es /po r ta l /page /po r ta l /dp to_c ienc ias_soc ia les /home / facu l ty / leand ro_p rado s_escosu ra UN IVERS IDAD CARLOSI I I DE MADR ID •c / Mad r id126• 28903 Ge ta fe(Spa in ) • Te l :(34 )916249797 S i te :h t tp : / /po r ta l .uc3m .es /po r ta l /page /po r ta l / ins t i tu to_ f igue ro la /home /pub l ica t ions /wo rk ing_pape rs Pub l i sh e r: C a r lo s I I IUn i ve r s i t yo fM ad r id .F i gu e ro l a In s t i tu t eo fSo c i a lS c i en c e sH i s to r y www .u c 3m . e s / i f S e r i e s : Wo r k in gP ap e r s inE conom i cH i s to r y I S SN :2341 2542 E l e c t ron i cv e r s iono fth e s ewo r k ingpap e rs e r i e sa va i lab l eon : h t tp : / /hd l .h and l e .n e t /10016 /16 Th i swo r k i s l i c en s edund e ra C r e a t i v eCommon sA t t r ibu t ion -NonComme r c i a l NoDe r i v a t i ve s4 . 0 In te rn a t ion a lL i c en s e. HumanD e v e lopm en ta sPo s i t i v eF r e edom :La t inAm e r i ca inH i s to r i ca lP e r sp e c t i v e1 t r a c t Abs Howh a sL a t inAme r i c a ’ sw e l lbe in ge vo l v edo v e rt ime ?Howdoe sL a t inAme r i c a comp a retotod a y ’ s de v e lopedcoun t r i e s( O ECD,fo rsho r t ) ? Wh a te xp l a in sth e i r d i f f e ren c e s ? The s e qu e s t ion sa r e add re s s ed u s in g an h i s to r i c a lind e xo f hum an de v e lopmen t .Asu s t a inedimp ro v emen tinw e l lb e in gc anbeob s e r v eds in c e1870 .Th e ab so lu teg apbe tw eenO ECD andL a t inAme r i c aw idenedo v e rt im e ,bu tanin comp l e t e c a t ch in gup– l a r g e l ye xp l a inedb yedu c a t ion -o c cu r reds in c e1900 ,bu tf adedaw a y a f te r1980 ,a sL a t inAme r i c af e l lbeh indtheO ECDinte rm so flon g e v i t y .On c ethef i r s t he a l tht r an s i t ion w a se xh au s t ed ,thecon t r ibu t ion o fl i f ee xpe c t an c yto hum an de v e lopmen tde c l ined . Ke ywo rd s:L a t inAme r i c a ,Hum anDe v e lopm en t ,Po s i t i v eF r eedom ,L i feE xp e c t an c y , Edu c a t ion l a s s i f i c a t ion :O15 ,O 54 , I00 ,N36 J E LC L e and roP r ado sde l aE s co su r a , Un i v e r s id adC a r lo s I I Ide M ad r id , Dep a r t amen tod eC i en c i a sSo c i a l e s , C a l l eM ad r id ,135 28903G e t a fe(M ad r id ) ,Sp a in Te l .+34916249623 l e and ro .p r ado s .d e l a e s co su r a@u c3m . e s h t tp : / /www .u c3m . e s /po r t a l /p a ge /po r t a l /dp to_ c i en c i a s_ so c i a l e s /home / f a cu l t y / l e and ro_p r ado s _ e s co su r a 1 Ith an kp a r t i c ip an t sa ttheL S ECon f e r en ce“Unde r s t and in gthe In s t i tu t ion a lT r a je c to r yo f t inAm e r i c anDe ve lopmen t ”andtheL a t inAm e r i c anC en t res em in a r ,O x fo rdUn i v e r s i t y ,and L a p a r t i cu l a r l y ,V a lp yF i t z g e r a ld ,fo rthe i rcomm en t s . Iama l sog r a te fu ltoP ab loA s to r g a ,Lu i sB é r to l a ,V i c to r Bu lm e r Thom a s ,S a lomonK a lm ano v i t z ,A l fon soHe r r an z Lon c án ,andB runoS em in a r iowhok ind l y sh a r edthe i rd a t a .F in an c i a lsuppo r tf romFund a c iónR a f ae lde lP inoandtheLe v e rhu lmeT ru s t(VP2 2012 -050G r an t ) i sg r a te fu l l ya c know l ed g ed .Theu su a ld i s c l a im e rapp l i e s . Howmu chh a sw e l l -b e in g imp ro v ed inL a t inAme r i c adur i n gthe l a s ton e and a h a l fc en tu r i e s ?Howdoe sL a t inAme r i c acomp a r etothead v an c edn a t ion s ?H a v ethe i r e ren c e sw iden ed ? Wh y ?The r ea renoe a s yan sw e r stothe s eque s t ion s ,bu tthe d i ff po l i c y imp l i c a t ion sa ref a r re a ch in g . rhe ad(Bu lm e r T rend s inw e l l -b e in gh a v ebe end r awnontheb a s i so fGDPpe Thom a s ,2003 ;Co a t swo r th ,2005 ;P r ado sd e l aE s co su r a ,2007 ) .How e v e r ,a s lopmen t i samu l t id imen s ion a lp ro c e s s ,amo recomp r ehen s i v eapp ro a chto l i v in g de ve s t and a rd sh a sbeenpu tfo rw a rd inre c en ty e a r s(A s to r g ae ta l . ,2005 ;S a l v a to ree ta l . 2010 ;B é r to l aandO c ampo ,2012 ) . Th i sp ape rf a vou r sth ec ap ab i l i t i e sapp ro a ch , inwh i chde v e lopmen t i ss eena sa p roc e s so fe xp and in gf re edomand inwh i chob j e c t i v e me a su re sa reu s ed .Hum an de ve lopmen t ,acon c ep tdeep roo ted inthec ap ab i l i t i e sapp ro a ch ,w a so r i g in a l l y de f ineda s ' ap ro c e s so fen l a r g in gpeop l e ’ scho i c e s '(UNDP ,1990 ) :en jo y in gahe a l th y l i fe ,a cqu i r in gknow l ed g eanda ch i e v in gade c en ts t and a rdo f l i v in g .The s e a ch i e v emen t sp ro v id e ind i v idu a l sw i thf re edomtochoo s eandtheoppo r tun i t y ' to l e ad l i v e sth e yh a v ere a son stov a lue '( S en ,1997 ) .Hum ande v e lopmen tc anthu sbe dep i c t eda spo s i t i v ef re edom(D e s a i ,1991 ) . eb a s edonanew Inth i sp ape r ,an sw e r stotheque s t ion sr a i s edhe r ea r h i s to r i c a l inde xo fhum and e v e lopm en tth a tco v e r sne a r l yoneandah a l fc en tu r i e s , be tw een1870 ,when l a r g e s c a l e imp ro v emen t s inh e a l th ,he lp edb ythed i f fu s iono f theg e rmth eo r yo fd i s e a s e(P re s ton ,1975 ;R i l e y2001 )and inp r im a r yedu c a t ion (B en a vo tandR idd l e ,1988 ;L inde r t ,2004 )w e r e in i t i a ted ,and2007 ,wh i chm a r k sthe 2 e v eo ftheG r e a tR e c e s s ion . Is t a r tb yp ropo s in gana l t e rn a t i v eh i s to r i c a l inde xo f and e v e lopmen t(H IHD)a sana l te rn a t i v etothe inde xp ropo s edb yth eUn i t ed hum N a t ion sDe v e lopmen tP ro g r amme(UNDP ) ,HD Iandb r i e f l ye x am in in gthesou r c e sand pu t a t ionp ro c edu re su s edtod e r i v e i t .3 Ne x t ,them a inre su l t sfo rL a t inAme r i c a , com bo thacon t inen t a landcoun t r y l e v e l ,a red i s cu s s edandL a t inAme r i c a ’ se vo lu t ion p l a c ed in toawo r ldpe r spe c t i v e . Iadd re s s ,then ,how i t sd imen s ion scon t r ibu t edtothe 2 Th i sp ape r i sp a r to fab ro adr e se a r chp ro je c tonne g a t i veandpo s i t i v ef re edom inah i s to r i c a l r spe c t i ve .S eeP r ado sde l aE s co su r a(2013 ,2015 ,fo r th com in g ) . pe 3 sa m e a su r eo fw e l lbe in ghe r e ,s in c e i th a sre cen t l ybe end i s cu s s ed Iw i l lno te x am inetheUNDP HD Ia e l sewhe r e(K lu gm ane ta l .2011 ,P r ado sde l aE s co su r a2010 ) . 2 a g g re g a tepe r fo rm an c eo ftheHI HD o v e rt im eandtowh a te x t en te xp l a intheob s e r v ed d i f f e ren c e sbe tw eenL a t inAme r i c aandthede v e lopedcoun t r i e s ,d e f ineda sth e 4 coun t r i e sth a tcompo s edth eO ECDp r io rto1994( O ECD,he re a f te r ) . L a s ts e c t ion co n c lude s . ThenewH IHDshow ssub s t an t i a lg a in s inL a t inAme r i c anhum ande v e lopmen t s in c e1870– ande spe c i a l l yo v e r1900 -1980 .Am a jo rad v an c e inhum and e v e lopmen t , wh i chre su l tedf romsub s t an t i a lg a in s in lon g e v i t yandedu c a t ion ,too kp l a c ebe tw een 1938and1950 ,a tthet imeo fane conom i cg lob a l i z a t ionb a c k l a sh .A l thou ghtheg ap w eenO ECD andL a t inAme r i c aw id ened inab so lu t et e rm s ,an in comp l e tec a t ch in g bet uptoo kp l a c e inL a t inAme r i c abe tw een1900and1980 ,a sp a r to faw ide rbu tsho r te r p ro c e s sth a temb r a c eda l lde v e lop in gre g ion s .Edu c a t ionand ,to l e s se x t en t , l i fe e xpe c t an c ya tb i r thd r i v eL a t inAme r i c a ’ s l im i t edc a t ch in g -up . InL a t inAme r i c a ,th e i r s th e a l tht r an s i t ion– th a t i s ,theph a s e inwh i chpe r s i s ten tg a in s in ep idem io lo g i c a lo rf low e r mo r t a l i t yandh i gh e rsu r v i v a la rea ch i e v eda s in f e c t iou sd i s e a s eg i v e sw a yto ch ron i cd i s e a s e(R i l e y2005 a ) i sth eon l yp e r iod inwh i chsub s t an t i a lg a in s in lon g e v i t y w e rea ch i e v ed .A f te rw a rd s ,there g ionf e l lb eh indth eO ECDinte rm so fth e lon g e v i t y inde x ,wh i ch l a r g e l ye xp l a in sL a t inAme r i c a ’ sf a i lu retoc a t chupde sp i teth e edu c a t ion a le xp an s ion . A s se s s in gHum anDe ve lopmen t anDe v e lopmen t Inde x( HD I) in c lude sth re ed imen s ion s :a Th e UNDPHum he a l th y l i fe ,a c c e s stoknow l ed g e ,ando the ra spe c t so fw e l l -b e in g .R edu c edfo rm so f the s ed im en s ion sa reu s eda sasho r t cu t ,n am e l y , l i fee xpe c t an c ya tb i r tha sap ro x y fo rahe a l th y l i fe ,edu c a t ion me a su re sfo ra c c e s stoknow l ed g e ,andd i s coun tedpe r c ap i t a in come( i t s lo g )a sasu r ro g a t efo ra l lo the ra spe c t so fw e l l -be in g(An andand 4 P r e -1994O ECD m embe r swe r e :Au s t r a l i a ,Au s t r i a ,B e l g ium ,C an ad a ,D enm a r k ,F in l and ,F r an c e , G erm an y ,G r e e c e , I c e l and , I r e l and , I t a l y ,J ap an ,Lu x embu r g ,Ne the r l and s ,NewZe a l and ,No rw a y , Po r tu g a l ,Sp a in ,Sw eden ,Sw i t ze r l and ,Tu r ke y ,theU .K . ,andtheU . S .A .Nohum ande ve lopm en t e s t im a te sh a v ebeencompu tedfo r I c e l andandLu x embu r gsothe s etwocoun t r i e swe r ee x c ludedf rom m yownv e r s iono fO ECD.Tu r ke y ,a l thou ghanO ECDm embe r ,h a sbe ene x c ludedf romthe O ECD g roup ino rde rto m a ketheg roup mo r ehomo g eneou s . 3 5 S en ,2000 ;UNDP ,2001 ) . The s ea recomb in ed in toas yn the t i cme a su reu s in ga ome t r i ca v e r a g e(UNDP ,2010 ) .6 S in c ea l ld imen s ion sa recon s ide red ind i spen s ab l e g e e ya rea s s i gn edequ a lw e i gh t s . th A l ine a rt r an s fo rm a t ionw a s in t rodu c edfo rthed imen s ion s inthehum an de v e lopmen t inde x(UNDP1990 ) ,wh i ch ,b yredu c in gth edenom in a to r ,w iden sth e inde x ’ sr an g e .Thu s ,theo r i g in a lv a lue so fe a chd imen s ion( I )a ret r an s fo rmed in to inde xfo rma c co rd in gtothefo l low in gfo rmu l a , I=( xMo)/( MMo) , [1 ] stheob s e r v edv a lueo fag i v end imen s iono fw e l f a re ,and Mo and M Whe re xi a rethem a x imumandm in imumv a lue s ,o rgo a lpo s t s-wh i chf a c i l i t a tecomp a r i son s o v e rt ime .7 E a chd imen s ionr an g e s ,thu s ,b e tw een0and1 . 5 In2010theHum anD e ve lopm en tR epo r t(UNDP2010 ) in t rodu c ed m a jo rch an g e s inthe ind i c a to r su s ed ep r e sen thum ande v e lopm en td imen s ion s .Thu s ,fo redu c a t ion ,thee xpe c tedye a r so fs choo l in gfo ra tor s choo l a gech i ldandthem e anye a r so fs choo l in gfo rpopu l a t iona g ed25andabo v esub s t i tu tedfo radu l t l i te r a c yandg ro s sen ro lm en t(p r im a r y ,s e cond a r y ,andte r t i a r y )r a te s .A l so ,PPP ad ju s tedpe rc ap i t a G ro s sN a t ion a l In com e(GN I )rep l a c edpu r ch a s in g -pow e r ad ju s tedGDPpe rhe ad .D a t ar equ i r em en t sa r e h i gh l ydem and in gso ,when lon g runt r end sa r ene eded ,o ld ’ ind i c a to r s(n am e l y , l i te r a c yands choo l en ro lm en tfo redu c a t ion ,andr e a lGDPpe rhe ad )h a v ebeenr e co ve r ed intheso c a l led ‘h yb r id ’hum an de v e lopm en t inde x .None the le s s , ind i c e sfo re a chd imen s iona r ede r i v edw i ththenewgo a lpo s t sand comb inedth rou ghag eom e t r i ca v e r a getode r i vethe ‘h yb r id ’HD I(G idw i t ze ta l .2010 :3 ) . 6 S in c e2010 , inana t temp tto m i t i g a tethesub s t i tu t ab i l i t ybe tw een i t sd i f f e ren td im en s ion s ,the ind i c e s a chd im en s iona r ecomb inedu s in gag eome t r i ca ve r a ge ,no lon g e ru s in gana r i thm e t i ca v e r a ge .The f ore g eome t r i ca ve r a geh adbe enp r e v iou s l yp ropo s edb yD e s a i(1991 )andS a g a randN a j am(1998 )andu s ed inh i s to r i c a le s t im a te sb yP r ado sde l aE s co su r a(2010 ) .The rea r ese r iou sd i s c r ep an c ie sabou tthecho i c e be tw eena r i thm e t i candg eom e t r i ca v e r a ge stocomb inethed im en s ion s ’ ind i c e s .S ee ,fo re x amp l e ,the h a r shc r i t iqueo fthenew inde x inR a v a l l ion(2012 )andther e spon se inZ amb r ano(2011 ) . 7 The2010newhum ande v e lopm en t inde xa l soa l te red i t sgo a lpo s t sfo re a chd im en s ionw i thuppe rand e rbound sco r r e spond in gtothem a x imumv a lue sob s e r veddu r in gthepe r iod1980 -2010andto low d i s c r e t ion a l l yf i xed m in imumv a lue s ,r e spe c t i ve l y .Go a lpo s t sfo r l i fee xpe c t an c ya r e83 .2and20ye a r s . Thee xpe c tedye a r so fs choo l in gandthem e anye a r so fs choo l in gw e rea s s i gned m a x im ao f20 .6and 13 .2ye a r s ,re spe c t i ve l y ,and m in im ao fze ro ,wh i l ep r e v iou s l y l i te r a c yanden ro lm en tr an g edbe twe en0 and100 . Inthec a s eo fpe rc ap i t a in com e ,theuppe rbound i sthem a x imumob se r ved(108 ,211PPP$ 2008 ) .Them in imumw a ss e ta t163PPP$U S2008 . 4 I tm a t te r showp ro g re s s inthed imen s ion so fhum and e lopmen t i sme a su red . ev O f tenso c i a lv a r i ab l e s( l i f ee xpe c t an c y ,h e i gh to r l i te r a c y )a reu s ed ,e i the rr aw (A c emo g luandJohn son ,2007 ;H a t tonandB r a y ,2010 ;L ind e r t ,2004 )o r l in e a r l y t r an s fo rmed(UNDP ,2010 ) .Th i sc au s e sme a su remen tp rob l em swhenaso c i a lv a r i ab l e h a sa s ymp to t i c l im i t s .Ane x amp l ewou ldbe l i f ee xpe c t an c y .Con s ide rtwo imp ro v emen t s ,on ef rom30to40y e a r sandano the rf rom70to80y e a r s .The s e in c re a s e sa r e id en t i c a l inab so lu tete rm s ,bu tthes e cond i ssm a l l e r inp ropo r t iontothe in i t i a ls t a r t in g l e v e l . Wheno r i g in a l(o r l in e a r l yt r an s fo rm ed ,a sh app en s inthec a s eo f theUNDP ’ sHD I)v a lu e sa reemp lo y ed , iden t i c a lch an g e s inab so lu tete rm sre su l t ina sm a l l e r me a su red imp ro v emen tfo rthecoun t r yw i ththeh i gh e rs t a r t in gpo in t , f a vou r in gthecoun t r yw i thth e low e r in i t i a l l e v e l( S en ,1981 ;K a kw an i ,1993 ) . The l im i t a t ion so f l in e a rme a su re sbe comemo r ee v iden twhenqu a l i t y i st a k en in toa c coun t .L i f ee xp e c t an c ya tb i r thandedu c a t ion me a su re sa re ju s tc rudep ro x i e s fo rthea c tu a lgo a l so fhum ande v e lopmen t :a lon gandhe a l th y l i feanda c c e s sto know l ed g e .R e s e a r cho v e rthe l a s ttwod e c ade scon c lud e sth a th e a l th y l i f ee xpe c t an c y in c re a s e s in l inew i thto t a l l i fee xpe c t an c y ,anda s l i fee xpe c t an c yr i s e s ,d i s ab i l i t yfo r thes amea g e coho r tf a l l s( S a lomone ta l .2012 ) .S im i l a r l y ,thequ a l i t yo fedu c a t ion , me a su red int e rm so fco gn i t i v es k i l l s ,g row sa sth equ an t i t yo fedu c a t ion in c re a s e s (H anu she kandK im ko ,2000 ;A l t ino ke ta l . ,2014 ) .Thebo t tom l ine i sth a tmo rey e a r so f l i feandedu c a t ion imp l yh i ghe rqu a l i t yo fhe a l thandedu c a t iondu r in gch i ldhoodand ado l e s c en c e inbo ththet imes e r i e sandth ec ro s s se c t ion . Inth i sp ape r ,a sana l te rn a t i v etotheUNDP ' scon v en t ion a l HD I,ah i s to r i c a l inde xo fhum ande v e lopmen t( H IHD) i su s ed inwh i chnon in comev a r i ab l e sa re t r an s fo rmednon l in e a r l y ,r a the rth an l ine a r l ya s intheHD I, ino rde rtoa l lowfo rtwo m a inf a c t s : in c re a s e so fthes ameab so lu tes i zer ep re s en tg r e a te ra ch i e v emen t sthe h i ghe rthe l e v e la twh i chthe yt a k ep l a c e ;andqu a l i t y imp ro v emen t sa rea s so c i a tedto in c re a s e s inqu an t i t y( s eeP r ado sde l aE s co su r a ,2015 ,fo rfu r the rde t a i l s ) . Inthea l te rn a t i v eh i s to r i c a l ind e xo fhum and e v e lopmen t , H IHD,a saso c i a l ind i c a to rre a che sh i ghe r l e v e l s , i t s in c re a s e srep re s en th i gh e ra ch i e v emen t sth anh ad thes ame in c re a s et a k enp l a c ea ta low e r l e v e l ,wh i l e , inbo ththeUNDP ‘o ld ’and HD I,the yre f l e c tthes amech an g ere g a rd l e s so f i t ss t a r t in g l e v e l . ‘h yb r id ’ 5 Fo l low in gK a kw an i ’ s(1993 )p ropo s a l ,th eo r i g in a lv a ue so ftheso c i a l ,non l in comed imen s ion so fth e inde xh a v eb een t r an s fo rmedu s in gacon v e xa ch i e v emen t c t ion , fun I=f( x , Mo, M)=( lo g( MMo)– lo g( M– x ) )/ lo g( MMo) ,fo rε=1 [2 ] Wherexi san ind i c a to ro facoun t r y ’ ss t and a rdo f l i v in g , M and Mo a reth e m a x imumandm in imumv a lue s ,o rgo a lpo s t s ,and lo gs t and sfo rthen a tu r a l lo g a r i thm . l ine a rt r an s fo rm a t ion Inthec a s eo fthe in com ed imen s ion Ih a v ea c c ep tedt he ( e xp re s s ion[1 ] )u s in g lo gv a lue s ,th a t i s ,d im in i sh in gre tu rn sa re in t rodu c eto su c c e s s i v eadd i t ion so f in comepe rhe ad . Intheh i s to r i c a l inde xo fhum and e v e lopmen tfo rL a t inAme r i c a ,th ev a r i ab l e s andgo a lpo s t so ftheUNDP ‘h yb r id ’ inde xa r eadop ted .A l sofo l low in gtheUNDPnew app ro a ch ,theh i s to r i c a l inde xh a sbeend e r i v eda samu l t ip l i c a t i v ecomb in a t iono fthe t r an s fo rmedv a lue so fe a chd imen s ion . I fw edeno tethenon l ine a r l yt r an s fo rmed v a lue so f l i fee xpe c t an c yandedu c a t iona sL EBand E DU ,andthead ju s tedp e rcap i ta in comea s ,theh i s to r i c a l inde xo fhum ande v e lopmen tc anbee xp re s s eda s , 1 /3 1/ 3 H IHD = L EB EDU UN Y1/3 [3 ] Animpo r t an tob j e c t iontoan y ind e xo fhum ande v e lopmen tde r i v e sf romthe f a c tth a t , inthec ap ab i l i t i e sapp ro a ch ,fun c t ion in g sa red i re c t l yre l a t edtowh a te v e r l i fe peop l ea c tu a l l y l e ad( th a t i s ,a ch i e v emen t s ) ,wh i l ec ap ab i l i t i e s(o rab i l i t ytoa ch i e v e ) a reconne c tedw i ththef reedomp eop l eh a v e inthecho i c eo f l i feo rfun c t ion in g s( S en 1999 ) .Th i sme an sth a twh i l etheHD I in c lud e sa ch i e v emen t s( inhe a l th ,a c c e s sto know l ed g e ,e t c . ) , i tdoe sno tcomp r i s ethef re edomtochoo s efun c t ion in g s .How e v e r , w i thou ta g en c y–th a t i s ,theab i l i t ytopu r su eandre a l i zego a l sape r sonh a sre a son sto v a lue–andf reedom ,an y inde xc ap tu re son l y 'b a s i cneed s 'andf a l l ssho r to fe v ena redu c edfo rmo fthecon c ep to fhum ande v e lopm en t( I v ano vandPe l e ah ,2010 ) . TheD a t a Thesou r c e sandp ro c edu re su s edtocon s t ru c t ind i c e sfo re a chd imen s iono f hum and e v e lopmen ta r eb r i e f l yd e s c r ibed inth i ss e c t ion( S e etheAppend i xfo rde t a i l s ) . 6 L i fee xp e c t an c yd a t afo rmo s tcoun t r i e sdu r in gth ep iod1980 -2007com e s er f romth e2010Hum anD e v e lopmen tR epo r t(UNDP2010 )wh i l ethe MO x LADd a t ab a s e (A s to r g ae ta l .2003 )andA r r i a g a(1968 ) ,p ro v idethere s to fth ed a t a ,wh i chw e re 8 comp l e t edw i thn a t ion a lsou r c e s . De a r tho fd a t afo r c ed m eo c c a s ion a l l yto in t rodu c e so mea s sump t ion sfo rth epe r iodbe fo retheep id em io lo g i c a lo rh e a l tht r an s i t ion(R i l e y 9 ,2005 c ) . Thu s , intho s e(mo s t l yp r e -1913 )c a s e s ,fo rwh i chd a t aon l i fe 2005b pe c t an c yo r , in i t sab s en c e ,on in f an t mo r t a l i t yandhe i gh t sdono te x i s t ,a ‘ f loo r ’o f e x 25y e a r sh a sbeena c c ep t eda sth em in imumh i s to r i c a lv a luefo r l i f ee xp e c t an c ya t b i r th .10 Fu r th e rmo re ,g i v entheUNDP m in imumgo a lpo s t(M f20y e a r s ,the25y e a r s o)o ‘ f loo r ’p r e c lude saze rov a luefo rth et r an s fo rmed l i fee xpe c t an c y inde xand , 11 con s equ en t l y ,fo rtheH IHD. Adu l t l i te r a c y i saf a rf romun i fo rmcon c ep t .12 R e ad in gandw r i t in gdono t nec e s s a r i l yco in c ide ind e v e lop in gcoun t r i e s(M a r ku s s en1990 ,N i l s son1999 )sothe e s t im a t ed l i te r a c yr a tev a r i e sdepend in gonwhe the raw ideo ran a r rowd e f in i t ion( ju s t d in go rre ad in gandw r i t in gs k i l l s ) i su s ed .Th e2009Hum anD e v e lopmen tR epo r t re a (UNDP2009 )p ro v ide smo s to fthed a t aon l i te r a c yfo r1980 -2007 MO x LADd a t ab a s e andNew l and(1991 ) ,p lu sn a t ion a lsou r c e s ,p ro v ided a t afo rthep re -1980e r a . En ro lmen tr a te sc ap tu r ethee xp an s iono ffo rm a ledu c a t ionw i thou t in fo rm in g comp l e t iono rqu a l i t yo fedu c a t ion(B en a vo tandR idd l e1988 ) .H i s to r i c a le v iden c e a l low sonetoe s t im a tethepe r c en t a g eo fpopu l a t iona g ed5 -24en ro l l ed inp r im a r y , s e cond a r y ,andt e r t i a r yedu c a t ion ,th a t i s ,theun ad ju s t edr a teo fto t a len ro lmen t .A s 8 L i f ee xpe c t an c yh a sbe ende f ineda s ‘ thea v e r a genumbe ro fye a r so f l i f ewh i chwou ldr em a info rm a le s an df em a l e sr e a ch in gthea ge sspe c i f ied i fthe ycon t inuedtobesub je c tedtothes am emo r t a l i t y e xpe r i en ced intheye a r ( s )towh i chthe se l i fee xpe c t an c ie sr e f e r ’(Un i tedN a t ion s2000 ) . 9 Om r an(1971 :736 )de f ine stheep idem io lo g i c a lt r an s i t iona sa lon g te rmsh i f t in mo r t a l i t y“whe r eb y i c so f in f e c t iona r eg r adu a l l yd i sp l a c edb yde g ene r a t i v eand m an -m aded i se a se sa sthech i e f p andem fo rmo f mo rb id i t yandp r im a r yc au s eo fde a th ” . 10 None the l e s s ,A r r i a g a(1968 )repo r t s lowe rv a lue sfo rC en t r a l ,Am e r i c a(N i c a r a gu aandGu a tem a l a ) , M ex i co ,andP a r a gu a y inthe l a ten ine te en thande a r l ytw en t i e thc en tu r y . 11 T run c a t in gthe low e rp a r to fthed i s t r ibu t ionb ya s sum in ga l i f ee xpe c t an c y ‘ f loo r ’o f25ye a r sh a sthe an t a g eo fa l low in gthe in c lu s iono fcoun t r i e sfo rwh i chnod a t aa r ea v a i l ab l e . a dv 12 D e f ineda sthepe r c en t a geo fthepopu l a t iona g ed15ye a r so ro v e rwho i sab l etor e adandw r i te . 7 p r a c t i c a l l ynocoun t r y ’ sedu c a t ionw a se x tendedtothos ea g ed24y e a r s inL a t in Ame r i c a ’ sp a s t , ino rde rtoa vo idunde r e s t im a t ion ,th ed enom in a to rneed stobe ad ju s t edtothea g eb r a c k e tfo re a cht ypeo fs choo l in g(p r im a r y ,s e cond a r y ,e t c . ) .G ro s s en ro lmen tr a te s ,th a t i s ,ad ju s t edr a t e s ,a reon l ya v a i l ab l efo rther e c en tp a s t .Thu s ,fo r theh i s to r i c a l(p r e -1980 )e s t im a t e su s in gther a t iobe tw eeng ro s sen ro lmen tr a te s (G ER )andun ad ju s t edr a t e s(U ER )fo re a chcoun t r y( ) in1980 ,anda s sum in gthe i a t ion sh ipb e tw eenG ERandU ERw a ss t ab l eo v e rt im e , Ico r re c tedthedownw a rd r el b i a s inp r e v iou sben chm a r ky e a r s(j ) .Th a t i s , G ERi U ERi )*U ERi (G ER 1980 / 1980 j j= i [ 4 ] En ro lmen td a t afo r1980 -2007come sf romthe2009Hum anDe v e lopmen t R epo r t(UNDP2009 ) ,comp l e t edw i thUN E SCO(2010 ) .Fo rthep re -1980p e r iod , en ro lmen tf i gu re scom emo s t l yf rom MO x LADd a t ab a s eandNew l and(1991 ) , supp l emen tedw i thn a t ion a lsou r c e s .W i thr e g a rdtothere l e v an tpopu l a t ion ,s eethe Append i x . Inthec a s eo fedu c a t ion ind i c a to r s( l i te r a c yanden ro lmen tr a t e s ) ,UNDP go a lpo s t s[M=100 , Mo=0 ]h a v ebe enk ep t ,bu tth eh i ghe s tand low e s th i s to r i c a lv a lue s w e res e ta t99and1pe rc en t ,r e spe c t i v e l y .13 a s eo fthepe rc ap i t a in comed im en s ion , Ih a v ea c c ep tedtheUNHD I I nthec a s sump t ionth a t i t sm a r g in a lu t i l i t yde c l ine sa s i tr e a che sh i ghe r l e v e l s .TheUNDP a s sump t ion i s ju s t i f i edontheb a s i sth a tth i st r an s fo rmed me a su rep ro x i e san y d imen s iono fw e l lbe in gno td i re c t l yre l a t edtohe a l thandedu c a t ion . I t i swo r thno t in g th a tw e reth ea s sump t iono fd im in i sh in gr e tu rn sto in comere l a x ed ,pe rc ap i t aGDP-a s i tdoe sno th a v eana s ymp to t i cuppe rbound -wou ldd r i v ethehum ande v e lopmen t 14 inde x ,r ende r in g i tredund an t . Thu s , ino rde rtog e tthe in com e inde x Ih a v eu s ed e x p re s s ion[1 ]w i thGDPpe rhe ad in lo g s . 13 Thea s sump t iono f1pe rcen ta sthe low e s th i s to r i c a lv a luefo r l i te r a c yanden ro lm en ts eem s h i sto r i c a l l y mo rer e a son ab l eth ana c c ep t in gze ro .Acon s equen c eo fa s sum in gah i s to r i c a l low e rbound o f1pe rc en t i sp re ven t in gze rov a lue sfo rthet r an s fo rm edv a r i ab l e s . 14 Z amb r ano(2011 )p ro v ide satheo r e t i c a l ju s t i f i c a t ionfo rthe in t rodu c t iono fd im in i sh in gr e tu rn sto om epe rhe adw i th inthecon c ep tu a lf r am ewo r ko fthehum ande v e lopm en t inde x . in c 8 Ih a v es e ta low e rboundfo r pe rcap i taGDPa tG -K1990$300 ,wh i ch rep re s en t sab a s i c l e v e lo fph y s io lo g i c a lsub s i s t en c e( S a g a randN a j am1998 :254 , M i l ano v i ce ta l .2011 ) ,andr em a in sbe lowthe Wo r ldB an k ’ se x t remepo v e r t yth re sho ld o fG -K1990$1ad a ype rpe r sonand M add i son ’ s(2006 )G -K1990$400p e rhe ad .15 GDP pe rhe ad i se xp re s s ed inG e a r y -Kh am i s1990do l l a r sandd a t acomef romC EPA L 16 and MO x LADsupp l emen tedw i thh i s to r i c a ln a t ion a la c coun t s( s eeApp end i x ) . e r ,th e ind i c e sfo re a chd im en s iono fhum and e v e lopmen tw e recomb ined L a t w i thag eome t r i ca v e r a g e( s eee xp re s s ion[3 ] ) ino rde rtode r i v etheh i s to r i c a l ind e x ( H IHD) . Wo r ldhum ande v e lopmen th a sbeencompu tedontheb a s i so ffou rd i f fe ren t coun t r ys amp l e sfo rwh i cht imeandsp a t i a lco v e r a g ea re in v e r s e l yre l a t ed .Thu s ,o v e r theen t i ret im esp an ,1870 -2007 ,12coun t r i e sa r econ s id e red ,and i t snumbe rr i s e sup to17 ,27 ,and29coun t r i e sfo rthes amp l e ss t a r t in g in1913 ,1950 ,and1990 , 17 re spe c t i v e l y . The s es amp l e srep re s en ta round85pe rc en to fL a t inAm e r i c an popu l a t ionp r io rto1913 ,abo v e90pe rc en t inthe In te rw a ry e a r s ,andp r a c t i c a l l ya l l a f te r1950 .A s i tc anbeob s e r v ed inF i gu re1 ,th e i rpopu l a t ion -w e i gh teda v e r a g e sfo r L a t inAme r i c aa reh i gh l yco in c iden t a l .The r e fo r e , Ih a v eno tsp l i c edthem . IN S ER TF IGUR E1OV ERH ER E T rend s inHum anDe ve lopmen t s e r v ed ,w i thH IHD A lon g runupw a rdt rend inwo r ldhum ande v e lopmen t i sob in2007n in e fo ldthe l e v e l in1870 .Low e rbu ts t i l ls i gn i f i c an tg a in sa r ea l sofoundfo r UNDP ind i c e s , ‘h yb r id ’andp re -2010HD I( ‘o ld ’ ) ,who s e l e v e l s in2007w e r eafou r -and 15 Th i s lowe rboundfo rpe rc ap i t a in com e ,wh i ch ,nodoub t ,t run c a te sthed a t as e ta tthebo t tom ,a l low s onetocon s ide rcoun t r i e s ine a r l i e rpe r iod sfo rwh i chnod a t ae x i s t . 16 Inthe2010Hum anD e ve lopm en tR epo r t(UNDP2010 ) ,the low e s t l e v e lob s e r v eds in c e1980h a sbeen t ab l i shed in2008 in te rn a t ion a l$163 ,wh i ch i sequ i v a len tto$108 in1990G e a r y -Kh am i sdo l l a r s .The e s h i ghe s tpe rc ap i t a in come l e ve lr e a chedo v e rthes amet imesp an ,$108 ,211 in te rn a t ion a ldo l l a r so f 2008 ,co r r e spond sto$72 ,020G e a r y -Kh am i sdo l l a r so f1990 .Su chaf i gu r eh a sne v e rbeena ch i e v ed in G e a r y -Kh am i s1990do l l a r s(M add i son2010 )e s t im a te s ,so Ih a v echo sentheob s e r v ed m a x imumand m in imumv a lue so ve r1870 -2007 in M add i son(2010 )e s t im a te s . 17 P r e v iou s l y ,A s to r g ae ta l .(2005 )s tud i edhum ande ve lopmen tfo r6coun t r i e ss in c e1900and20f rom ,andB é r to l aandO c ampo(2012 ) in v e s t i g a ted7coun t r i e sf rom1900and19f rom1960to 1950to2000 2010 . 9 af i v e fo ldo fth a t in1870 ,re sp e c t i v e l y( F i gu re2 ) TheH IHD e xh ib i t sas y s t em a t i c a l l y . 18 low e r l e v e lth anUNDP ind i c e s . Aw iden in gab so lu teg apopen supb e tw eenthem rt ime ,bu tno t inre l a t i v ete rm s ,a stheH IHD g row sa taf a s te rp a c e :1 .6pe rc en t o ve annu a l l ya g a in s t1 . 1and1 .3pe rc en tfo r ‘o ld ’andth e ‘h yb r id ’HD I ,r e spe c t i v e l y( T ab l e 1 ) . IN S ER TF IGUR E2OV ERH ER E IHD andbo thUNDP S in c ethe in come inde x i sth es amefo ra l l ind i c e s( theH ind i c e s ) ,the i rd i f fe ren c e sde r i v ef romthew a y inwh i chtheo r i g in a lv a lue so fth eso c i a l v a r i ab l e s( l i f ee xp e c t an c ya tb i r thandedu c a t ion )a ret r an s fo rm edandwh e the ran a r i thm e t i co rg eome t r i ca v e r a g e i su s edtoa g g re g a tethem .Thu s , i fthe in come d imen s ion i se x c lud edf romthehum ande v e lopmen t inde x ,theab so lu t eg apbe tw een theH IHD*andtheUNDP ‘o ld ’and ‘h yb r id ’HD I * ind i c e sb ro aden s( F i gu re3 ) . IN S ER TF IGUR E3OV ERH ER E Thep a c eo f imp ro v emen t inhum ande v e lopm en tshownb ythenewh i s to r i c a l H IHD)s eem stob es te ad yb e tw een1880and1980bu tfo ras lowdown inth e inde x( 1930 sandaph a s eo fa c c e l e r a t ion inth e1940 s .The1980 srep re s en tam a jo r d i s con t inu i t yw i ththep a c eo f imp ro v emen t inhum ande v e lopmen tf a l l in gsh a rp l y . A l thou ghg r adu a l ,s te ad y imp ro v emen t i s ,pe rh ap s ,th eb e s tdep i c t iono fhum an de v e lopmen te vo lu t ion inL a t inAme r i c as in c e1870 ,fou rm a inph a s e scou ldb e d i s t in gu i shed :af i r s tone ,upto1913 ,o f in c re a s in gp ro g re s s ;as e condon eo f de c e l e r a t iondu r in gthe in te rw a ry e a r s ;ath i rdph a s eo fsu s t a inedandf a s t e r imp ro v emen to v e r1938 -1980 , inwh i chthe1940 sand1950 sde s e r v etob e h i gh l i gh ted ;and ,f in a l l y ,acon t r a c t ion inthep a ceo fg row thf rom1980tothee v eo f theg re a tre c e s s ionbu tfo rasho r t l i v edre co v e r y inthe1990 s( T ab l e1 ) . IN S ER TTAB L E1OV ERH ER E T rend s inw e l l -b e in g ,a stho s ec ap tu redb ytheh i s to r i c a l inde xo fhum an de v e lopmen tdono tm a t chc lo s e l ytho s eob s e r v edfo rre a lGDPpe rhe ad( F i gu re4 ) . In f a c t ,whenthe in com ep e rhe add imen s ion i se x c luded ,thep ro g re s so fhum an de v e lopmen tappe a r ss t e ad ya soppo s edtoGPDpe rhe adth a tp r e s en t samo re 18 Whenthea l te rn a t i v eUNDP ind i c e sa r ecomp a r ed ,the ‘h yb r id ’ inde xr em a in ss y s tem a t i c a l l ybe lowthe ’HD I . ‘ old 10 vo l a t i l eandc y c l i c a lp a t t e rn , in c lud in gep i sode so fs t a gn a t ion inth e1930 sand con t r a c t ion inth e1980 s .O v e r a l l ,hum and e v e lopmen t( e x c lud in g in com e )g rewf a s te r th anre a lGDPp e rhe ado v e rthefou rm a inph a s e sp re v iou s l ye s t ab l i shedand , con s equ en t l y ,o v e rtheen t i ret im esp ancon s ide r ed ,1870 -2007 . IN S ER TF IGUR E4OV ERH ER E I t i sdu r in gtheg lob a l i z a t ionb a c k l a sho fthe1930 sand1940 swh enc l e a r d i s c rep an c i e seme r g ed . Mo s ts i gn i f i c an t l y ,wh i l ere a lGDPp e rhe add e c l in edo rs low ed downa swo r ldcommod i t yandf a c to rm a r k e t sd i s in te g r a ted ,h e a l thandedu c a t ion p r a c t i c e sbe c ame in c re a s in g l yg lob a l i zedandhum and e v e lopmen tp ro g re s s eds t e ad i l y . S in c e1970 ,thep a c eo fad v an c emen t inhum and e v e lopmen th a sno tm a t chedth a to f e conom i cg row th ,w i thad r am a t i ccon t r a s t inthe1980 swhentheco l l ap s e inpe r c ap i t a in come sp a r a l l e l ed mode r a teg a in s inw e l l -be in g . Abe t te rund e r s t and in go fthee vo lu t iono fhum ande v e lopmen t i sob t a inedb y loo k in ga tthero l ep l a y edb y i t sd imen s ion s .Theg row tho fhum ande v e lopmen t ( H IHD)c anbed i s t r ibu ted in toth econ t r ibu t iono f i t sd i f fe ren tcompon en t sl i fe e xpe c t an c ya tb i r th( L EB ) ,edu c a t ion( EDU )andt run c a ted in come( UN Y) -ontheb a s i s o fe xp re s s ion[3 ] .U s in g lowc a s etodeno ter a te so fv a r i a t ion , h ihd=1 /3l eb+1 /3 edu+1 /3 un y [5 ] I tappe a r sth a tso c i a ld imen s ion sd ro v eL a t inAme r i c a ’ shum ande v e lopmen t g a in so v e rthe lon grun ,w i thb a l an c edcon t r ibu t ion so f l i fee xpe c t an c yandedu c a t ion . Lon g e v i t ya c coun t sfo rthe l a r g e rsh a redu r in gth ef i r s th a l fo fthetw en t i e thc en tu r y , andw a sc l e a r l ythed r i v in gfo r c eb e tw een1938and1950 .A c c e s stoknow l ed g eh ad , in s te ad ,a l e ad in gro l e inthe l a ten ine teen thc en tu r yanddu r in gthes e condh a l fo fth e tw en t i e thc en tu r y ,bu tfo rthe1980 s( T ab l e2andF i gu r e5 ) . IN S ER TTAB L E2ANDF IGUR E5OV ERH ER E M a jo rg a in s in lon g e v i t yuptom id tw en t i e thc en tu r yw e rea s so c i a tedto ad v an c e s in med i c a ls c i en c eandte chno lo g y ,su cha sthed i f fu s iono ftheg e rmtheo r y o fd i s e a s e(1880 s )(P r e s ton1975 ) ,newv a c c ine s( 1890 s ) ,andsu lph ad ru g stocu re in fe c t iou sd i s e a s e s( l a te1930 s )andan t ib io t i c s(1950 s )( E a s te r l in1999 ,J a y a ch and r an e ta l .2010 ) ,th a tf a c i l i t a t edaf i r s th e a l tho rep idem io lo g i c a lt r an s i t ion inwh i ch in fe c t iou sd i s e a s eg a v ew a ytoch ron i cd i s e a s e(R i le y ,2005b ,2005 c ) . E conom i cg row th 11 a l socon t r ibu tedtoe xp and in g lon g e v i t yth rou ghnu t r t ion imp ro v em en t sth a t i s t ren g then sthe immunes y s temandredu c e mo rb id i t y( S to ln i t z1955 ,M cK eowne ta l . 1962 ,1975 ,Fo g e l2004 ) -andpub l i cp ro v i s iono fh e a l th( Loudon2000 ;Cu t l e rand M i l l e r2005 ) . D idth eg apb e tw eenO ECD andL a t inAme r i c ade epeno v e rt im e ?L a t inAme r i c a ECD be tw een1880and1980th a t e xpe r i en c ed mode r a teands te ad yc a t ch in g -uptoO in ten s i f i eddu r in g1900 -1913 ,th e1940 sand ,a g a in , inthe1970 s( F i gu re6 ) .R e l a t i v eto O ECD ,L a t inAme r i c ap r e s en t scomp a r a t i v e l y low e r l e v e l swh enme a su r edb y H IHD th anw i thUNDP ind i c e s ,fo rwh i chc a t ch in gupcon t inueda l thou gha ts low e rp a c eun t i l 2007 .Thu s ,L a t inAme r i c arep r e s en tedb e lowtwo th i rd so fth eO ECDl e v e l in2007 , IHD,andr e a chedo v e rfou r f i f th sw i ththeUNDP ind i c e s . a c co rd in gtoth eH IN S ER TF IGUR E6OV ERH ER E Incomp a r i sontoo the rd e v e lop in gre g ion s ,L a t inAme r i c a ’ sc a t ch in gupw a s s t ron g e rdu r in gthe1940 sande x tendedbe yondthe1970bound a r i e sre a ch in g1980 ( F i gu re7 ) .A sare su l t ,b y2007 , l e v e l so fhum and e v e lopmen tinL a t inAm e r i c a m a t chedtho s eo fthe O ECDinth e l a te1960 s ;wh i l e ,ona v e r a g e ,hum and e v e lopmen t ind e v e lop in gr e g ion son l yre a chedthe O ECDl e v e l in1950 . IN S ER TF IGUR E7 OV ERH ER E i f f e r ss i gn i f i c an t l y inte rm so f L a t inAme r i c a ’ spo s i t ionre l a t i v etotheO ECD d hum and e v e lopmen t( e x c lud in g i t s in comed imen s ion )andGDPpe rhe ad .Wh i l e su s t a in edc a t ch in g -upo v e rthetw en t i e thc en tu r ya ch i e v edL a t inAme r i c aa lmo s ttwo th i rd so fO ECD hum and e v e lopmen t( e x c lud in g in come ) ,a f te ra lon gph a s eo fs t ab i l i t y L a t inAme r i c a ’ sGDPpe rhe adde c l ineds in c e1950 ,rep re s en t in gon l yon e fou r tho f O ECD’ sb y2000( F i gu re8 ) .Onth ewho l e ,L a t inAme r i c ape r fo rmedbe t t e r inhum an de v e lopmen tth an in in comep e rhe adt e rm s .Thu s , in2007 ,r e a lpe rc ap i t aGDP in L a t inAme r i c ar e a chedth e l a t e1950 sO ECDl e v e lwh i l efo rd e v e lop in gr e g ion s ,a sa who l e ,on l yth a to f1938(P r ado sde l aE s co su r a ,2015 ) . IN S ER TF IGUR E8 OV ERH ER E sme a su redb ythe i rd i f fe ren c e inhum an L a t inAme r i c ac a t ch in g -uptoO ECD,a de v e lopmen tg row thr a t e s ,show sth a tedu c a t ionh a sbeenthe l e ad in gd imen s ion , 12 e spe c i a l l y ,du r in gthes e condh a l fo fthetw en t i e thc en tu r y(bu tfo rthe1980 s )( F i gu re 9 ) .L i fee xpe c t an c yon l ym adeasub s t an t i a lcon t r ibu t iontoc a t ch in gupdu r in gthe 1938 -1950 ,th ef a s te s tp e r iodo fsho r ten in gd i f fe r en c e sw i thO ECD. I t i swo r th h i gh l i gh t in gth a tsu chanad v an c eo f tend idno tre su l to fw id e sp re adt re a tmen to f in fe c t iou sd i s e a s e sw i thsu lph ad ru g sandan t ib io t i c sandv a c c in a t iona g a in s t tub e r cu lo s i s , l a r g e l y in a c c e s s ib l eto i t s low in com epopu l a t ion ,bu tw a sa ch i e v ed th rou gh low co s tpub l i che a l th m e a su re sandthed i f fu s iono fh y g i en i cp r a c t i c e s ,o f ten du r in gp e r iod so fe conom i cs t a gn a t ion(R i l e y2001 ) .19 ER TF IGUR E9OV ERH ER E I NS InL a t inAm e r i c a , lon g e v i t yg a in ss low eddowna sthee a r l y l i fe , f i r s the a l th t r an s i t ionw a se xh au s ted . Inthe l a tetw en t i e thc en tu r yas e condhe a l tht r an s i t ionh a s t a k enp l a c e inthede v e lopedwo r ld ,w i th mo r t a l i t yf a l l in gamon gthee lde r l ya s re sp i r a to r yandc a rd io v a s cu l a rd i s e a s e sw e refou gh t mo ree f f i c i en t l yandthe i rhe a l th andnu t r i t ion inch i ldhoodh adbeenb e t te r( (Cu t l e re ta l . ,2006 ;E g g l e s tonandFu ch s , ) .L a t inAme r i c a ’ sab s en c e inth i ss e condh e a l tht r an s i t ionhe lp stoe xp l a inwh y 2012 there g ionh a sf a l l enbeh ind . AC lo se rLoo ka tCoun t r i e s ’Pe r fo rm an ce W e rethef ru i t so fhum and e v e lopm en tp ro g re s s inL a t inAme r i c ae v en l y d i s t r ibu t edo rcoun t r yd i f fe ren c e sw iden ?Th ed i spe r s iono fhum and e v e lopmen t a c ro s sL a t inAme r i c ancoun t r i e sfe l lbe tw een1913and2000( F i gu re10 ) .How e v e r , s in c etheco e f f i c i en to fv a r i a t ionrem a inedabo v eone fou r thupto1970 ,ac lo s e r loo k t r i e s ’pe r fo rm an c e i sn eed ed .Hum ande v e lopmen tr an k in gre v e a l sh i gh a tcoun s t ab i l i t yo v e rt ime ,p a r t i cu l a r l yb e tw een1870and1950( T ab l e3 ) .U ru gu a y ,A r g en t in a andCub a ,J am a i c a ,andCh i l es t a y eda tthetopo fth e l e a gue ,towh i chCo s t aR i c a in co rpo r a tedf rom1913onw a rd s(on c ed a t ape rm i t tedtop rodu c ee s t im a te s ) .A f te r 1950 ,when in fo rm a t iononthem i sa v a i l ab l e ,C a r ibbe ancoun t r i e s(B ah am a s , 19 Low co s tpub l i che a l th m e a su r e sandd i f fu s iono fhe a l thknow l ed g ep l a yeda m a jo rro le ine r ad i c a t in g co mmun i c ab led i s e a s e s(d i a r rhe a ld i s e a s e s ,m a l a r i a ,andtube r cu lo s i s ) ,p r io rtothe in t rodu c t iono f an t ib io t i c s(R i le y ,2005 a ) . InJ am a i c a , mo r t a l i t yde c l inedsh a rp l ydu r in gthe l a te1920 sand1930 swh i l e r e a lpe rc ap i t aGDPw a sre l a t i v e l ys t a gn an t .As im i l a re xpe r ien c e i sfound inB r i t i shGu i an a(M and l e , 1970 ) . 13 B a rb ado s ,T r in id ad Tob a go ,andPue r toR i co ) jo in edthetopg roupbu t ,s in c e1980 , J am a i c a ,T r in id ad Tob a go ,andB ah am a sg r adu a l l y lo s tg round .Thebo t tom ’ s compo s i t iona l soe xh ib i t sh i ghpe r s i s ten c e in c lud in gtheAnd e ancoun t r i e s(Bo l i v i a , E cu ado r ,andP e ru )p lu sVene zue l aand ,f rom1913onw a rd s-on c e in fo rm a t ion i s a v a i l ab l efo rthem -C en t r a lAme r i c ancoun t r i e s(Co s t aR i c ae x c luded ) jo in edthemw i th e v en low e r l e v e l so fhum and e v e lopmen t .H a i t i ,fo rwh i ch in fo rm a t ionon l ye x i s t sa f te r 1950 ,he ldthe l a s tpo s i t iono v e r1950 -2007 . IN S ER TTAB L E3ANDF IGUR E10OV ERH ER E ,th en ,noc a t ch in g -upandcon v e r g en c ew i th inL a t inAme r i c ao v e rtheone W as andah a l fc en tu r i e scon s ide red ?Ag l an c ea tcoun t r yg row thr an k in gshow sth a tthe coun t r i e sth a te xh ib i tth e l a r g e s tg a in s inhum ande v e lopmen ta r eno tne c e s s a r i l y tho s eo c cup y in gthetoppo s i t ion s( T ab l e4 ) ,soac e r t a ind e g reeo fcon v e r g en c ec anbe con j e c tu red .S imp l ere g r e s s ion sbe tw eeng row thr a te so v e r in i t i a l l e v e l sfo re a cho f them a inph a s e se s t ab l i shed ind i c a tebe t a con v e r g en c eo v e rthe lon grun( F i gu re11 ) . Ac lo s e r loo kshow sth a t i tw a son l yo v e r1938 -1980whenc a t ch in gupd ida c tu a l l y h app en( F i gu re s12 a -d ) .Fu r the rmo r e ,e v enthou ghcon v e r g en c erem a in edw e a ko v e r the lon grun ,thev a r i an c eamon gcoun t r i e sd e c l in ed( F i gu r e10 ) . I tc anb ea r gue , the r e fo r e ,th a ta c ro s s coun t r i e sd i f fe ren c e s inthe l e v e lo fhum ande v e lopmen t d im in i shedde sp i tethef a c tth a tthecoun t r yr an k in grem a ined l a r g e l yun a l te red . IN S ER TTAB L E4ANDF IGUR E11OV ERH ER E Wh ysu chaw e a kcon v e r g en c eo c cu r r edandc a t ch in gupw a sre s t r i c tedtoth e 1938 -1980pe r iodc anb eunde r s toodb e t te rb y loo k in ga tthe imm ed i a tesou r c e so f hum and e v e lopmen t imp ro v emen t( T ab l e5 ) .Thu s , imp ro v emen t s inedu c a t ionhe lpto a inwh yA r g en t in a ,Ch i l e ,andCub as t a y eda tthetopo v e r1870 -1913 .Inthe e x pl In te rw a r ,sub s t an t i a l imp ro v emen t s in l i fee xpe c t an c y inE cu ado r ,P e ru ,and Me x i co i so famo r eb a l an c ed andCo s t aR i c a ,wh i l eVene zue l aa l sod id i tonth eb a s comb in a t iono f lon g e v i t yandedu c a t iong a in s ,he lptoe xp l a inv e r yw e a kb e t a con v e r g en c e . Then ,m a jo ra ch i e v em en t s in lon g e v i t yandedu c a t iona c coun tfo r s t ron g e rand mo rew id e sp re adc a t ch in gupdu r in g1938 -1980 ,wh i l ew e a kp ro g re s s in l i fee xpe c t an c yhe lptoe xp l a ins lu g g i shc a t ch in g -upa f t e r1980 . IN S ER TF IGUR E S12 a -dANDTAB L E5OV ERH ER E 14 Hum anDe ve lopmen t ,F r eedom ,andA g en c y F ee m a r k e t s , i th a sbe ena r gu ed ,wou ldno th a v econ t r ibu tedtocon t ro l r d i s e a s et r an sm i s s ion ,en cou r a g e immun i z a t ion ,no rs t imu l a t e med i c a lr e s e a r ch ,so pub l i c in te r v en t ionw a sr equ i r ed( E a s te r l in1999 ) .A sso c i a l i smp ro v id e sth ef r am ewo r k fo rana c t i v ero l eo fgo v e rnmen t ,doso c i a l i s tso c i e t i e sh a v eanad v an t a g eo v e r c ap i t a l i s tone sa t l i f t in ghum anw e l l -be in g ,a t l e a s t , ine a r l ys t a g e so fd e v e lopmen t ? Doe sthee v id en c eonhum ande v e lopmen tsuppo r tth i sv i ew inL a t inAme r i c a ? Cub a ,theon l y lon g te rmso c i a l i s te xpe r i en c e inth eAme r i c a s ,a ch i e v edrem a r k ab l e 20 su c c e s ss in c ethe1959R e vo lu t ion ,d r i v ene x c lu s i v e l yb y i t snon in comed imen s ion s . r i g in so fthe imp ro v emen tp re -d a te ,how e v e r ,the1959R e vo lu t ion . Inf a c t ,a T heo su s t a in ed imp ro v emen t in l i f ee xp e c t an c ytoo kp l a c edu r in gth ef i r s th a l fo fthe tw en t i e thc en tu r y ,sob ye v eo fthe1959R e vo lu t ion ,Cub aw a sabo v eth ea v e r a g e L a t inAme r i c anandSou the rnEu rope ancoun t r i e s(M cGu i reandF r an k e l2005 , De v e reu x2010 ;W a rdandD e v e reu x2010 ,2012 ) .The mo r t a l i t yde c l ine , in i t i a teda f t e r theU . S .o c cup a t ion ,w a sa s so c i a tedtos an i t a r yandpub l i che a l th inno v a t ion ,and l a r g e l y indep end en tf romCub a ’ s l e v e lo fe conom i cde v e lopmen t(D í a z -B r ique t s1981 ) . A f te rtheR e vo lu t ion ,afu r the rand imp r e s s i v e imp ro v emen t in l i fee xpe c t an c yh a s t a k enp l a c e ,a sare su l to fthesu c c e s s inf i gh t in gande r ad i c a t in g in f an tmo r t a l i t y . In te re s t in g l y ,th e re i scon t inu i t y inth epo s t -1959e r a ,a shum ande v e lopmen tsu c c e s s h a so c cu r red ins t r i k in gcon t r a s tw i th i t spoo re conom i cp e r fo rm an c e .Su chan a ch i e v emen th a sbeena t t r ibu tedtoth ecoe r c i v epow e ro ftheso c i a l i s ts t a te (De v e reu x2010 , Me s a L a go2005 ) . Doe sthee v id en c esu g g e s tapo s i t i v ean sw e rtoth e in i t i a lque s t ion ?B e fo r e p ro v id in ganan sw e ran impo r t an tc a v e a t i sne c e s s a r y . Inthesho r t cu tapp ro a chto ‘me a su re ’hum ande v e lopmen tu s edhe r e ,a g en c yandf re edoma re l e f ta s ide .W i thou t a g en c yandf reedom ,th ehum ande v e lopmen t ind e xbe come ss imp l ya ‘b a s i cneed s ’ inde x( I v ano vandP e l e ah2010 ) .Acomp reh en s i v edep i c t iono fhum ande v e lopmen t need s in co rpo r a teth eoppo r tun i t i e s ind i v idu a l sh a veo fe x e r c i s in gthe i rpo l i t i c a l 20 Ih a v echo s entou sethete rm ‘ so c i a l i s t ’r a the rth an ‘ commun i s t ’a s inthe M a r x i s tthou gh tthe l a t te r w asthego a ltober e a chedandso c i a l i smw a stheme an stor e a ch i t .S e ead i s cu s s ion in I v ano vand Pe l e ah(2010 ) . 15 c ap ab i l i t i e sandi luen c in gpub l i cde c i s ion s(D a s gup t aand W e a l e1992 ;Che ibub nf 2010 ) .Thec a s eo fCub ap re s en t sane x t remecon t r a s tbe tw eenthesu c c e s s in a ch i e v in g ‘b a s i cn eed s ’andth ef a i lu retoen l a r g in gpeop l e ’ scho i c e s– theco reo f hum and e v e lopmen t -a sa g en c yandf reedoma r ecu r t a i l edb ythepo l i t i c a lre g ime . R e s t r i c t ion so f ind i v idu a lcho i c e inCub aa sco l l e c t i v i z a t ion ,fo r c ed indu s t r i a l i z a t ion , andpo l i t i c a lrep re s s ione x emp l i f y ,su g g e s tth a ta ch i e v emen t s inh e a l thandedu c a t ion cou ldbe ,s t r i c t l yspe a k in g ,dep i c teda s ‘b a s i cn eed s ’r a the rth ana shum an de v e lopmen t( I v ano vandPe l e ah2010 ) .21 Th es am ec a v e a tapp l i e stof a s c i smand he rto t a l i t a r i anr e g ime sunde rc ap i t a l i smth a tsupp re s s edf re edomanda g en c y ot a c ro s sL a t inAme r i c a . I t i s ,none th e l e s s ,r e a s su r in gth a t ,s in c e1950 ,hum ande v e lopmen tand demo c r a t i z a t iona reco r r e l a tedandth e i ra s so c i a t iong row ss t ron g e ra sth e i r l e v e l sg e t h i ghe r(po s i t i v es i gno fthequ ad r a t i cte rm inthere g re s s ion )( F i gu re13 ) .22 IN S ER TF IGUR E13OV ERH ER E Con c lu s ion s Hum ande v e lopmen t imp ro v ed inL a t inAm e r i c adu r in gthe l a s tc en tu r yanda h a l f ,e spe c i a l l ybe tw een1900and1980 ,wheng a in sw e res i gn i f i c an tanda c ro s sthe bo a rd .R em a r k ab l ep ro g r e s s in l i fee xpe c t an c yandedu c a t iono c cu r redb e tw een1938 and1950 ,p re c i s e l ya tth et im eo fane conom i cg lob a l i z a t ionb a c k l a sh . Th i spo in t stoade v e lopmen tpu z z l e . Wh ya ret r end s inGDPpe rc ap i t aand hum and e v e lopmen tun co r re l a t edo v e r lon gpe r iod so ft imewhen in c re a s e s inpe r c ap i t a in comewou ldsu r e l ycon t r ibu tetobe t t e rnu t r i t ion ,he a l thandedu c a t ion ?Doe s thee xp l an a t ion l i e mo rew i thpub l i cpo l i c y( e . g .pub l i cs choo l in g ,pub l i che a l th ,th er i s e o fthew e l f a res t a te ) ,o rw i ththef a c tth a tmed i c a lte chno lo g y i sapub l i cgood ? 21 F romth i spe r spe c t i v e ,thedem i seo fso c i a l i sma f te r1989wou ldh a v er ep re sen tedanad v an c e in te rm so fhum ande ve lopmen t .How e ve r ,a sr e g a rd sa gen c y ,ad v an c e s inc i v i landpo l i t i c a l l ibe r t i e sthe ou t com eh a sbeenqu i teune venw i thpo l i t i c a lvo i ceandp a r t i c ip a t ionr e s t r i c ted inthecoun t r i e so fthe fo rm e rSo v ie tUn ion(Cen t r a lA s i a , inp a r t i cu l a r )and ind i spu t ab l ep ro g r e s s inC en t r a lEu ropeandthe B a l t i cr epub l i c s(B r a ine rd2010 a ) . 22 The inde xo fdemo c r a t i z a t ioncom e sf romV anh anen(2011 ) ,no rm a l i zedb yd i v id in g i t sv a lueb y i t s t i a lm a x imumso i tr an ge sbe tw een0and1 ,andbe com e scomp a r ab l etotheH IHD . poten 16 The l a s tth r eede c ade sh a v ew i tne s s edaw iden in g int heab so lu teg apb e tw een de v e lopedcoun t r i e sandL a t inAme r i c a .D i f fe r en c e s inth eb eh a v iou ro fhum an de v e lopmen td imen s ion she lptoe xp l a in i t . InL a t inAme r i c a , l i f ee xp e c t an c yp l a y eda m a jo rro l e inhum and e v e lopmen tg a in sandc a t ch in gup ,bu ton l yun t i lth em id tw en t i e thc en tu r y .W i thcomp l e t iono fthef i r s th e a l tht r an s i t ion , i t sd yn am i cro l e f aded .As e condw a v eo f l i fee xpe c t an c yg a in scomp a r ab l ew i ththo s eo fd e v e loped coun t r i e sh a sy e ttot a k ep l a c e . In s te ad ,edu c a t ionw a sm a in l yre spon s ib l efo r lon grun p ro g re s sandc a t ch in gup inhum ande v e lopmen t . Th i sde v e lopmen tpu z z l er a i s e sanumbe ro fk e yque s t ion s .Fo re x amp l e ,wh y d id l i fee xpe c t an c ys topbe in gth ed r i v in gfo r c eo fwo r ldhum ande v e lopm en ta sthe f i r s the a l tht r an s i t ionw a scon c lud ed ? Wh yL a t inAme r i c ah a sbe en l e f ta s idef romth e s e condhe a l tht r an s i t ion ? I sthe r ea l a c ko fpub l i cpo l i c i e s ,o rapo l a r i z in ge f fe c to fnew med i c a lte chno lo g i e s ? I s i tth a th e a l thandedu c a t iona r eh i gh l y in come e l a s t i c ?To wh a te x t en td idr e s t r i c t eda c c e s stoh e a l thandedu c a t ion ,a sar e su l to f in come inequ a l i t y ,p l a yaro l e ?The s eque s t ion sde s e r v efu r the r in v e s t i g a t ion ,a sthe an sw e r s a re l i k e l ytoh a v ef a r r e a ch in gpo l i c yr am i f i c a t ion sfo rfu tu reg ene r a t ion s . 17 Re fe ren ce s Ac emo g lu ,D .andS .John son(2007 ) , ‘D i s e a s eandDe v e lopmen t :TheE f fe c t so fL i fe E xpe c t an c yonE conom i cG row th ’ ,Jou rna lo fPo l i t i ca lE conom y115 ,6 :925 -985 . A l t ino k ,N . ,C .D i ebo l t ,andJ . L .Demeu l eme e s te r(2014 ) ,"ANew In te rn a t ion a l D a t ab a s eonEdu c a t ionQu a l i t y :1965 –2010 ” ,App l i edE conom i c s 46(11 ) :1212 -1247 . An and ,S .andA . S en(2000 ) , ‘ The In comeCompon en to ftheHum anDe v e lopmen t Inde x ’ , Jou rna lo fHumanD e v e lopm en t1(1 ) :83 -106 . ewL i f eTab l e sfo rLa t inAm e r i canPopu la t ion s inth eN in e t e en th A r r i a g a ,E .E .(1968 ) ,N andTw en t i e thC en tu r i e s,Popu l a t ion Mono g r aph sS e r i e sNo .3 , In s t i tu teo f In te rn a t ion a lS tud i e s ,Un i v e r s i t yo fC a l i fo rn i aB e r k e l e y . A s to r g a ,P . ,B e r g é s ,A .R . ,andF i t zG e r a ld ,E .V .K . .( 2003 ) ,TheO x fo rdL a t inAme r i c an E conom i cH i s to r yD a t ab a s e[O x LAD ] ,O x fo rd :L a t inAme r i c anC en t re ,O x fo rdUn i v e r s i t y . 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W a rd ;M .andJ .De v e reu x(2010 ) , ‘ TheAb so lu t iono fH i s to r y :Cub anL i v in gS t and a rd s a f te rF i f t yY e a r so fR e vo lu t ion a r yRu l e ’(m imeo ) . 22 W a rd ,M .andJ .De v e r eu x(2012 ) , ‘ TheRo adNo tT a k en: P re -R e vo lu t ion a r yCub an L i v in gS t and a rd s inComp a r a t i v ePe r sp e c t i v e ’ ,Jou rna lo fE conom i cH i s to r y72(1 ) :104 132 Z amb r ano ,E .(2011 ) ,Fun c t ion in g s ,C ap ab i l i t i e sandthe2010Hum anDe v e lopmen t Inde x .UNDPHum anDe v e lopmen tR epo r t sR e s e a r chP ape r2011 /11 23 T ab le1HumanD e v e lopm en t inLa t inAm e r i ca ,1870 -2007 :A l t e rna t i v e Ind i c e s P ane lA :Le ve l s H IHD H yb r idHD I ‘O ld 'HD I 1870 0 .055 0 .140 0 .177 1880 0 .060 0 .151 0 .189 1890 0 .071 0 .177 0 .221 1900 0 .083 0 .203 0 .250 1913 0 .106 0 .253 0 .301 1929 0 .137 0 .316 0 .359 1938 0 .156 0 .352 0 .391 1950 0 .215 0 .453 0 .496 1960 0 .263 0 .526 0 .565 1970 0 .313 0 .594 0 .629 1980 0 .374 0 .670 0 .694 1990 0 .403 0 .691 0 .718 2000 0 .481 0 .749 0 .776 2007 0 .520 0 .778 0 .804 0 .7 0 .7 P ane lB :A ve ra g eG row thR a te s(% ) 0 .8 1870 -1880 1880 -1890 1 .7 1 .6 1 .6 1890 -1900 1 .6 1 .4 1 .2 1900 -1913 1 .9 1 .7 1 .4 1913 -1929 1 .6 1 .4 1 .1 1929 -1938 1 .4 1 .2 0 .9 1938 -1950 2 .7 2 .1 2 .0 1950 -1960 2 .0 1 .5 1 .3 1960 -1970 1 .7 1 .2 1 .1 1970 -1980 1 .8 1 .2 1 .0 1980 -1990 0 .7 0 .3 0 .3 1990 -2000 1 .8 0 .8 0 .8 2000 -2007 1 .1 0 .6 0 .5 1870 -1913 1 .5 1 .4 1 .2 1913 -1938 1 .5 1 .3 1 .1 1938 -1980 2 .1 1 .5 1 .4 1980 -2007 1 .2 0 .6 0 .5 1870 -2007 1 .6 1 .3 1 .1 24 T ab le2L a t inAm e r i ca ’ sHumanD e v e lopm en tand i t sD im en s ion s ,1870 -2007 P ane lA :Le ve l s 1870 1880 1890 1900 1913 1929 1938 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2007 HD HI 0 .055 0 .060 0 .071 0 .083 0 .106 0 .137 0 .156 0 .215 0 .263 0 .313 0 .374 0 .403 0 .481 0 .520 L i fe E xpe c t an c y 0 .026 0 .028 0 .032 0 .038 0 .052 0 .074 0 .090 0 .175 0 .221 0 .262 0 .300 0 .354 0 .417 0 .459 Edu c a t ion 0 .026 0 .029 0 .038 0 .051 0 .065 0 .088 0 .105 0 .128 0 .168 0 .219 0 .290 0 .314 0 .435 0 .476 Ad ju s ted In come 0 .249 0 .260 0 .291 0 .292 0 .349 0 .398 0 .404 0 .443 0 .488 0 .534 0 .602 0 .589 0 .614 0 .642 P ane lB :H IHDG row thand i t sD r i ve r s(% ) Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion H IHD o f o f o f L i fe Ad ju s ted E xpe c t an c y Edu c a t ion In come 0 .8 0 .2 0 .4 0 .1 1870 -1880 1880 -1890 1 .7 0 .4 0 .9 0 .4 1890 -1900 1 .6 0 .6 0 .9 0 .0 1 .9 0 .8 0 .6 0 .5 1900 -1913 1 .6 0 .7 0 .6 0 .3 1913 -1929 1929 -1938 1 .4 0 .7 0 .6 0 .1 1938 -1950 2 .7 1 .9 0 .6 0 .3 1950 -1960 2 .0 0 .8 0 .9 0 .3 1 .7 0 .6 0 .9 0 .3 1960 -1970 1970 -1980 1 .8 0 .5 0 .9 0 .4 1980 -1990 0 .7 0 .6 0 .3 -0 .1 1 .8 0 .5 1 .1 0 .1 1990 -2000 2000 -2007 1 .1 0 .5 0 .4 0 .2 1870 -1913 1913 -1938 1938 -1980 1980 -2007 1 .5 1 .5 2 .1 1 .2 0 .5 0 .7 1 .0 0 .5 0 .7 0 .6 0 .8 0 .6 0 .3 0 .2 0 .3 0 .1 1870 -2007 1 .6 0 .7 0 .7 0 .2 25 T ab le3L a t inAm e r i canCoun t r yRan k ing inHumanD e v e lopm en t :H IHDE s t ima t e s 1880 1870 1890 1900 U ru gua y 0 .130 U ru gua y 0 .139 U ru gua y 0 .158 U ru gua y 0 .172 A r g en t ina 0 .088 A r g en t ina 0 .098 A r g en t ina 0 .136 A r g en t ina 0 .159 Cuba 0 .081 Cuba 0 .095 Cuba 0 .119 Cuba 0 .128 J ama i c a 0 .070 J ama i c a 0 .084 J ama i c a 0 .104 J ama i c a 0 .117 Ch i l e 0 .065 Ch i l e 0 .071 Ch i l e 0 .090 Ch i l e 0 .109 Co lomb i a 0 .054 Co lomb i a 0 .058 Vene zue l a 0 .062 Co lomb i a 0 .072 B ra z i l 0 .050 B ra z i l 0 .051 B ra z i l 0 .060 B ra z i l 0 .069 Me x i co 0 .048 Me x i co 0 .051 Me x i co 0 .059 Vene zue l a 0 .064 Pe ru 0 .047 Vene zue l a 0 .050 Co lomb i a 0 .057 Me x i co 0 .064 Bo l i v i a 0 .036 Pe ru 0 .042 Bo l i v i a 0 .046 E cuado r 0 .058 Vene zue l a 0 .035 Bo l i v i a 0 .041 Pe ru 0 .045 Bo l i v i a 0 .054 E cuado r 0 .034 E cuado r 0 .041 E cuado r 0 .044 Pe ru 0 .053 1913 1929 1938 U ru gua y 0 .213 U ru gua y 0 .256 U ru gua y 0 .287 A r g en t ina 0 .207 A r g en t ina 0 .251 A r g en t ina 0 .279 Cuba 0 .165 Cuba 0 .190 Cuba 0 .202 Ch i l e 0 .142 Ch i l e 0 .179 Co s taR i ca 0 .200 Co s taR i ca 0 .128 Co s taR i ca 0 .167 Ch i l e 0 .192 J ama i c a 0 .119 J ama i c a 0 .152 J ama i c a 0 .183 Co lomb i a 0 .092 Co lomb i a 0 .122 Me x i co 0 .140 Hondu ra s 0 .087 Me x i co 0 .115 Co lomb i a 0 .137 Me x i co 0 .086 Pe ru 0 .111 Pe ru 0 .132 B ra z i l 0 .084 B ra z i l 0 .107 Vene zue l a 0 .130 Pe ru 0 .077 Hondu ra s 0 .104 B ra z i l 0 .122 Bo l i v i a 0 .076 Vene zue l a 0 .101 E cuado r 0 .114 Vene zue l a 0 .074 Bo l i v i a 0 .098 Bo l i v i a 0 .108 E lSa l vado r 0 .070 E cuado r 0 .094 N i ca ragua 0 .101 N i ca ragua 0 .066 N i ca ragua 0 .087 Hondu ra s 0 .101 E cuado r 0 .063 E lSa l vado r 0 .073 E lSa l vado r 0 .101 Gua t ema la 0 .062 Gua t ema la 0 .069 Gua t ema la 0 .085 Sou r c e s :S eethet e x t . No te :co v e r a g e ,bo ld,1870 -2007 ; bo ld i ta l i c s,1913 -2007 ;v e r s a l i t a s ,1950 -2007 . 26 T ab le3L a t inAm e r i canCoun t r yRan k ing inHumanD e v e lopm en t :H IHDE s t ima t e s c on t . ) ( U ru gua y B ah am a s A r g en t ina T r in id ad Tob a go Pue r toR i co B a rb ado s Ch i l e Cuba B e l i ze Co s taR i ca P a r a gu a y J ama i c a P an am a Vene zue l a Gu y an a Me x i co Co lomb i a Pe ru E cuado r B ra z i l E lSa l vado r Dom in i c anR . N i ca ragua Hondu ra s Bo l i v i a Gua t ema la H a i t i 1950 1960 1970 0 .351 B a rb ado s 0 .348 Pue r toR i co 0 .337 U ru gua y 0 .311 T r in id ad Tob a go 0 .305 A r g en t ina 0 .299 B ah am a s 0 .276 Cuba 0 .273 Ch i l e 0 .259 J ama i c a 0 .256 Co s taR i ca 0 .248 Vene zue l a 0 .244 Gu y an a 0 .240 P an am a 0 .230 P a r a gu a y 0 .228 B e l i ze 0 .208 Me x i co 0 .190 Co lomb i a 0 .187 E cuado r 0 .186 Pe ru 0 .179 B ra z i l 0 .155 Dom in i c anR . 0 .153 E lSa l vado r 0 .146 N i ca ragua 0 .141 Hondu ra s 0 .137 Gua t ema la 0 .134 Bo l i v i a 0 .084 H a i t i 0 .407 Pue r toR i co 0 .486 0 .396 B a rb ado s 0 .477 0 .394 B ah am a s 0 .442 0 .385 T r in id ad Tob a go 0 .439 0 .380 U ru gua y 0 .439 0 .378 A r g en t ina 0 .428 0 .331 Cuba 0 .407 0 .324 Ch i l e 0 .395 0 .324 J ama i c a 0 .386 0 .315 Co s taR i ca 0 .384 0 .305 Vene zue l a 0 .366 0 .293 P an am a 0 .356 0 .290 Me x i co 0 .323 0 .277 Gu y an a 0 .321 0 .269 P a r a gu a y 0 .311 0 .265 B e l i ze 0 .308 0 .243 Co lomb i a 0 .303 0 .233 Pe ru 0 .293 0 .229 E cuado r 0 .284 0 .226 B ra z i l 0 .268 0 .222 Dom in i c anR . 0 .264 0 .203 E lSa l vado r 0 .246 0 .186 N i ca ragua 0 .243 0 .175 Hondu ra s 0 .213 0 .163 Bo l i v i a 0 .213 0 .146 Gua t ema la 0 .208 0 .113 H a i t i 0 .131 Sou r c e s :S eethet e x t . No te :co v e r a g e ,bo ld,1870 -2007 ; bo ld i ta l i c s,1913 -2007 ;v e r s a l i t a s ,1950 -2007 27 T ab le3L a t inAm e r i canCoun t r yRan k ing inHumanD e v e lopm en t :H IHDE s t ima t e s c on t . ) ( 1980 1990 2000 2007 B a rb ado s 0 .517 B a rb ado s 0 .557 Pue r toR i co 0 .636 Cuba 0 .732 Pue r toR i co 0 .509 Cuba 0 .507 Pue r toR i co 0 .546 Cuba 0 .508 B a rb ado s 0 .606 A r g en t ina 0 .580 B a rb ado s 0 .674 Pue r toR i co 0 .659 B ah am a s 0 .473 B ah am a s 0 .507 Ch i l e 0 .575 Ch i l e 0 .633 A r g en t ina 0 .465 T r in id ad Tob a go 0 .455 A r g en t ina 0 .506 U ru gua y 0 .505 U ru gua y 0 .567 Cuba 0 .552 U ru gua y 0 .631 A r g en t ina 0 .609 U ru gua y 0 .454 Ch i l e 0 .493 Ch i l e 0 .433 T r in id ad Tob a go 0 .479 Co s taR i ca 0 .527 B ah am a s 0 .503 Co s taR i ca 0 .578 Vene zue l a 0 .559 Co s taR i ca 0 .474 P an am a 0 .498 Vene zue l a 0 .463 T r in id ad Tob a go 0 .494 Me x i co 0 .544 B ah am a s 0 .543 Co s taR i ca 0 .429 P an am a 0 .425 Vene zue l a 0 .421 P an am a 0 .434 Me x i co 0 .490 P an am a 0 .539 Me x i co 0 .405 J ama i c a 0 .405 Me x i co 0 .431 J ama i c a 0 .422 B e l i ze 0 .388 E cuado r 0 .375 E cuado r 0 .410 B e l i ze 0 .389 Pe ru 0 .458 E cuado r 0 .454 Pe ru 0 .501 Co lomb i a 0 .498 Pe ru 0 .351 Pe ru 0 .378 Co lomb i a 0 .449 E cuado r 0 .494 Co lomb i a 0 .351 Gu y an a 0 .347 P a r a gu a y 0 .377 Co lomb i a 0 .375 Dom in i c anR . 0 .421 P a r a gu a y 0 .417 B e l i ze 0 .467 Gu y an a 0 .462 B ra z i l 0 .342 P a r a gu a y 0 .340 B ra z i l 0 .369 Gu y an a 0 .346 B e l i ze 0 .416 J ama i c a 0 .416 Dom in i c anR . 0 .454 P a r a gu a y 0 .449 Dom in i c anR . 0 .315 N i ca ragua 0 .263 Dom in i c anR . 0 .338 E lSa l vado r 0 .314 Gu y an a 0 .412 Bo l i v i a 0 .377 J ama i c a 0 .441 Bo l i v i a 0 .411 Hondu ra s 0 .260 Bo l i v i a 0 .304 E lSa l vado r 0 .358 Bo l i v i a 0 .255 E lSa l vado r 0 .253 Hondu ra s 0 .292 N i ca ragua 0 .266 Gua t ema la 0 .240 H a i t i 0 .175 Gua t ema la 0 .260 H a i t i 0 .187 Vene zue l a 0 .480 T r in id ad Tob a go 0 .519 B ra z i l 0 .478 B ra z i l 0 .503 Hondu ra s Gua t ema la Hondu ra s E lSa l vado r 0 .404 Gua t ema la 0 .389 N i ca ragua 0 .343 H a i t i 0 .215 N i ca ragua 0 .378 H a i t i 0 .225 Sou r c e s :S eethet e x t . No te :co v e r a g e ,bo ld,1870 -2007 ; bo ld i ta l i c s,1913 -2007 ;v e r s a l i t a s ,1950 -2007 28 0 .405 0 .356 0 .345 T ab le4HumanD e v e lopm en tG row th inLa t inAm e r i ca(% ) :Coun t r yRan k ing 1870 -1880 Ch i l e 3 .0 Vene zue l a 2 .4 Co lomb i a1 .8 Cuba 1 .7 E cuado r1 .1 Me x i co 1 .1 .8 A r g en t ina 0 B ra z i l 0 .4 Bo l i v i a 0 .3 J ama i c a0 .2 U ru gua y 0 .0 Pe ru -6 .7 1880 -1890 A r g en t ina 6 .1 Me x i co 4 .3 Cuba 3 .2 Vene zue l a 2 .8 Ch i l e 1 .1 U ru gua y 0 .8 Bo l i v i a 0 .4 J ama i c a0 .2 B ra z i l 0 .0 E cuado r -0 .2 Pe ru -0 .2 Co lomb i a -2 .1 1890 -1900 E cuado r2 .7 Pe ru 2 .7 Ch i l e 1 .2 U ru gua y 0 .8 Bo l i v i a 0 .8 J ama i c a0 .5 Me x i co 0 .4 Co lomb i a -0 .1 A r g en t ina -0 .8 B ra z i l -0 .9 Vene zue l a -1 .5 Cuba -2 .8 1900 -1913 Cuba 3 .3 U ru gua y 3 .1 Pe ru 2 .7 Vene zue l a 2 .6 A r g en t ina 2 .5 Ch i l e 2 .3 Co lomb i a 2 .3 B ra z i l 2 .2 Bo l i v i a 1 .9 Me x i co 1 .6 E cuado r1 .6 J ama i c a0 .4 1913 -1929 Vene zue l a 6 .8 Co lomb i a 3 .9 Pe ru 3 .5 N i ca ragua 3 .3 E cuado r2 .2 Bo l i v i a 1 .8 Hondu ra s 1 .4 B ra z i l 1 .4 U ru gua y 0 .9 A r g en t ina 0 .9 Ch i l e 0 .9 J ama i c a0 .9 Gua t ema la 0 .7 E lSa l vado r0 .6 Me x i co 0 .6 Co s taR i ca 0 .1 Cuba -0 .4 1929 -1938 1938 -1950 1950 -1960 1960 -1970 1970 -1980 J ama i c a3 .7 Vene zue l a 4 .3 J ama i c a6 .9 Pue r toR i co 6 .2 B ra z i l 6 .0 Gua t ema la 2 .6 E lSa l vado r3 .8 T r in id ad Tob a go 5 .3 B a rb ado s5 .2 P a r a gu a y5 .9 Co s taR i ca 1 .9 N i ca ragua 3 .7 Pue r toR i co 4 .7 P an am a4 .8 E cuado r5 .7 Co lomb i a1 .4 Me x i co 3 .5 B a rb ado s4 .6 J ama i c a3 .7 B e l i ze 5 .4 .0 E cuado r3 .4 Gu y an a3 .9 N i ca ragua 3 .6 Dom in i c anR . 4 .3 B ra z i l 1 E cuado r0 .8 Cuba 2 .8 Co s taR i ca 3 .7 Me x i co 3 .6 T r in id ad Tob a go 4 .1 Vene zue l a 0 .5 J ama i c a2 .6 Vene zue l a 3 .6 B ah am a s3 .5 B a rb ado s3 .6 Me x i co 0 .4 Bo l i v i a 1 .7 B ra z i l 3 .5 Bo l i v i a 3 .1 Me x i co 3 .5 .1 A r g en t ina 1 .7 Pe ru 2 .9 T r in id ad Tob a go 2 .8 Cuba 3 .2 U ru gua y 0 Pe ru 0 .1 Pe ru 1 .6 Me x i co 2 .8 A r g en t ina 2 .7 H a i t i 3 .2 Bo l i v i a -0 .6 B ra z i l 1 .6 E cuado r2 .3 Co s taR i ca 2 .7 Co lomb i a 3 .1 E lSa l vado r -0 .7 Co lomb i a 1 .5 N i ca ragua 2 .0 Gua t ema la 2 .7 Co s taR i ca 2 .9 A r g en t ina -0 .8 U ru gua y 1 .5 P an am a2 .0 B ra z i l 2 .6 Gua t ema la 2 .9 Ch i l e -0 .8 Hondu ra s 1 .4 Dom in i c anR .2 .0 Vene zue l a 2 .3 P an am a2 .8 Cuba -1 .2 Ch i l e 1 .3 Co lomb i a1 .6 Pe ru 2 .3 U ru gua y 2 .6 Hondu ra s -3 .4 Co s taR i ca 0 .4 E lSa l vado r1 .5 B e l i ze 2 .2 Pue r toR i co 2 .5 N i ca ragua -5 .4 Gua t ema la -0 .1 Ch i l e 1 .2 E lSa l vado r2 .2 Hondu ra s 2 .3 A r g en t ina 1 .1 Co lomb i a 2 .1 Bo l i v i a 1 .4 Gua t ema la 1 .0 P a r a gu a y2 .0 Gu y an a1 .3 U ru gua y 0 .7 Ch i l e 1 .9 Pe ru 1 .0 P a r a gu a y0 .3 Dom in i c anR . 1 .8 Ch i l e 1 .0 Hondu ra s 0 .0 Hondu ra s 1 .5 A r g en t ina 0 .9 H a i t i -0 .2 E cuado r1 .4 Vene zue l a 0 .6 Cuba -0 .4 Gu y an a 1 .2 B ah am a s0 .6 B e l i ze -1 .7 U ru gua y 0 .5 E lSa l vado r -0 .2 Bo l i v i a -1 .7 Cuba -0 .7 J ama i c a -2 .1 B ah am a s -2 .4 H a i t i -1 .2 N i ca ragua -2 .7 29 T ab le4HumanD e v e lopm en tG row th inLa t inAm e r i ca(% ) :Coun t r yRan k ing( con t . ) 1980 -1990 Pue r toR i co 2 .5 B e l i ze 2 .3 J ama i c a2 .2 B ah am a s 1 .8 .3 Co lomb i a 1 Ch i l e 1 .2 Cuba 1 .1 .3 Dom in i c anR . 0 P a r a gu a y 0 .2 B a rb ado s 0 .1 Me x i co -0 .1 U ru gua y -0 .3 Co s taR i ca -0 .3 B ra z i l -0 .5 E cuado r -0 .5 .6 Hondu ra s -0 P anama -0 .8 E lSa l vado r -1 .5 Gua t ema la -1 .5 Bo l i v i a -2 .0 .1 Vene zue l a -2 A r g en t ina -2 .6 .8 Gu y an a -2 .0 H a i t i -3 Pe ru -3 .5 T r in id ad Tob a go -3 .7 N i ca ragua -3 .8 1990 -2000 Gu y an a 4 .8 Ch i l e 4 .6 Dom in i c anR . 4 .1 T r in id ad Tob a go 3 .7 P an am a 2 .9 Pue r toR i co 2 .9 A r g en t ina 2 .8 Co s taR i ca 2 .6 E lSa l vado r 2 .4 U ru gua y 2 .3 Pe ru 2 .3 B e l i ze 1 .8 Gua t ema la 1 .7 Me x i co 1 .7 Bo l i v i a 1 .4 N i ca ragua 1 .2 B ra z i l 1 .0 Co lomb i a 0 .9 Hondu ra s 0 .8 B a rb ado s 0 .7 B ah am a s 0 .6 E cuado r 0 .0 Vene zue l a 0 .0 J ama i c a -0 .2 P a r a gu a y -0 .5 H a i t i -1 .9 Cuba -1 .9 2000 -2007 T r in id ad Tob a go 7 .6 Cuba 6 .0 Pe ru 4 .0 P an am a 4 .0 Dom in i c anR . 3 .5 Co lomb i a 3 .3 Co s taR i ca 3 .3 E cuado r 3 .2 Ch i l e 3 .2 Hondu ra s 3 .0 A r g en t ina 2 .8 Vene zue l a 2 .6 U ru gua y 2 .6 B e l i ze 2 .3 B ra z i l 1 .9 N i ca ragua 1 .9 Gu y an a 1 .6 Me x i co 1 .5 B a rb ado s 1 .5 P a r a gu a y 1 .4 Bo l i v i a 1 .3 Gua t ema la 1 .3 Pue r toR i co 1 .2 J ama i c a1 .1 E lSa l vado r 1 .1 B ah am a s 0 .7 H a i t i -1 .2 Sou r c e s :S eethet e x t . No te :co v e r a g e ,bo ld,1870 -2007 ; bo ld i ta l i c s,1913 -2007 ;v e r s a l i t a s ,1950 -2007 30 T ab le5HumanD e v e lopm en tG row thand i t sD r i v e r s :Coun t r yRan k ing 1870 -1913 H IHD A r gen t in a 2 .0 Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion o f o f L i fe E xpe c t an c y Edu c a t ion 0 .7 1 .0 Con t r ibu t ion o f Ad ju s ted In come 1913 -1938 H IHD 0 .3 E cu ado r 2 .4 Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion o f o f L i fe E xpe c t an c y Edu c a t ion 1 .2 0 .8 Con t r ibu t ion o f Ad ju s ted In come 0 .4 Ch i l e 1 .8 0 .6 0 .9 0 .3 V ene zue l a 2 .3 0 .7 0 .8 0 .7 Bo l i v i a 1 .8 0 .5 1 .1 0 .2 Pe ru 2 .2 1 .1 0 .7 0 .4 V ene zue l a 1 .7 0 .5 0 .8 0 .5 Me x i co 1 .9 1 .0 0 .9 0 .1 0 .2 Co s taR i ca 1 .8 1 .1 0 .6 0 .1 Cub a 1 .7 0 .6 0 .8 E cu ado r 1 .4 0 .0 0 .9 0 .5 N i ca ragua 1 .7 1 .3 0 .4 0 .0 Me x i co 1 .4 0 .5 0 .5 0 .4 J am a i c a 1 .7 0 .6 0 .6 0 .5 J am a i c a 1 .2 0 .3 0 .9 0 .1 Co lomb i a 1 .6 0 .6 0 .4 0 .6 0 .1 B r a z i l 1 .5 0 .6 0 .7 0 .3 Co lomb i a 1 .2 0 .6 0 .5 B r a z i l 1 .2 0 .3 0 .7 0 .1 E lSa l vado r 1 .5 1 .1 0 .3 0 .0 U ru gu a y 1 .1 0 .4 0 .5 0 .2 Bo l i v i a 1 .4 1 .0 0 .2 0 .2 Pe ru 1 .1 0 .4 0 .8 0 .0 Gua t ema la 1 .2 0 .6 0 .4 0 .2 Ch i l e 1 .2 0 .8 0 .4 0 .0 A r gen t in a 1 .2 0 .6 0 .6 0 .0 U ru gu a y 1 .2 0 .5 0 .6 0 .1 Cub a 0 .8 0 .6 0 .3 -0 .1 Hondu ra s 0 .6 0 .9 -0 .3 -0 .1 So u r c e s :S eethet e x t . e :co v e r a g e ,bo ld,1870 -2007 ; bo ld i ta l i c s,1913 -2007 ;v e r s a l i t a s ,1950 -2007 Not 31 T ab le5HumanD e v e lopm en tG row thand i t sD r i v e r s :Coun t r yRan k ing( con t . ) 1938 -1980 H IHD E cu ado r 2 .8 Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion o f o f L i fe E xpe c t an c y Edu c a t ion 1 .4 1 .0 Con t r ibu t ion o f Ad ju s ted In come 1980 -2007 H IHD Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion o f o f L i fe E xpe c t an c y Edu c a t ion Con t r ibu t ion o f Ad ju s ted In come 0 .5 Gua t ema la 1 .8 0 .7 1 .0 0 .0 V ene zue l a 2 .8 1 .3 1 .2 0 .3 Bo l i v i a 1 .8 0 .7 1 .0 0 .0 Me x i co 2 .5 1 .1 1 .0 0 .4 E lSa l vado r 1 .7 0 .8 0 .8 0 .1 Gua t ema la 2 .5 1 .6 0 .7 0 .2 Hondu ra s 1 .6 0 .7 0 .8 0 .1 0 .5 B r a z i l 1 .4 0 .6 0 .8 0 .1 B r a z i l 2 .4 1 .1 0 .9 Pe ru 2 .3 1 .0 1 .1 0 .2 Ch i l e 1 .4 0 .7 0 .5 0 .3 N i ca ragua 2 .3 1 .2 0 .8 0 .3 Cub a 1 .4 0 .4 0 .9 0 .1 Hondu ra s 2 .3 1 .0 1 .1 0 .2 Dom in i c anR . 1 .3 0 .6 0 .5 0 .3 0 .3 N i ca ragua 1 .3 0 .8 0 .6 -0 .1 Co lomb i a 2 .2 1 .2 0 .8 E lSa l vado r 2 .2 0 .9 0 .9 0 .3 Pe ru 1 .3 0 .7 0 .5 0 .1 Cub a 2 .2 1 .1 0 .9 0 .2 Co lomb i a 1 .3 0 .4 0 .7 0 .2 Bo l i v i a 2 .0 0 .6 1 .3 0 .2 U ru gu a y 1 .2 0 .4 0 .7 0 .1 0 .1 Co s taR i ca 1 .1 0 .5 0 .4 0 .2 Ch i l e 1 .9 1 .2 0 .6 J am a i c a 1 .9 0 .9 0 .6 0 .5 Me x i co 1 .1 0 .6 0 .4 0 .1 Co s taR i ca 1 .8 0 .9 0 .6 0 .3 Gu y an a 1 .1 0 .3 0 .6 0 .2 A r gen t in a 1 .2 0 .5 0 .5 0 .2 V ene zue l a 1 .1 0 .3 0 .7 0 .0 0 .1 P a r a gu a y 1 .0 0 .3 0 .7 0 .0 E cu ado r 1 .0 0 .7 0 .2 0 .1 A r gen t in a 1 .0 0 .4 0 .6 0 .1 B a rb ado s 1 .0 0 .4 0 .6 0 .1 Pu e r toR i co 1 .0 0 .4 0 .4 0 .2 H a i t i 0 .9 0 .6 0 .8 -0 .4 P an am a 0 .9 0 .4 0 .3 0 .2 Be l i ze 0 .7 0 .4 0 .1 0 .2 B ah am a s 0 .5 0 .3 0 .1 0 .1 T r in id ad Tob a go 0 .5 0 .1 0 .2 0 .2 J am a i c a 0 .3 0 .1 0 .1 0 .1 U ru gu a y 1 .1 0 .4 0 .5 So u r c e s :S eethet e x t . No te :co v e r a g e ,bo ld,1870 -2007 ; bo ld i ta l i c s,1913 -2007 ;v e r s a l i t a s ,1950 -2007 32 T ab le5HumanD e v e lopm en tG row thand i t sD r i v e r s :Coun t r yRan k ing( con t . ) 1870 -2007 H IHD V ene zue l a 2 .0 Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion o f o f L i fe E xpe c t an c y Edu c a t ion 0 .8 0 .9 Con t r ibu t ion o f Ad ju s ted In come 1913 -2007 H IHD 0 .4 E cu ado r 2 .2 Con t r ibu t ion Con t r ibu t ion o f o f L i fe E xpe c t an c y Edu c a t ion 1 .1 0 .7 Con t r ibu t ion o f Ad ju s ted In come 0 .3 E cu ado r 1 .9 0 .8 0 .8 0 .4 V ene zue l a 2 .2 0 .9 1 .0 0 .3 Bo l i v i a 1 .8 0 .7 1 .0 0 .1 Pe ru 2 .0 0 .9 0 .8 0 .2 Me x i co 1 .8 0 .8 0 .7 0 .3 Me x i co 2 .0 0 .9 0 .8 0 .2 0 .2 Gua t ema la 1 .9 1 .0 0 .7 0 .2 Pe ru 1 .7 0 .8 0 .8 B r a z i l 1 .7 0 .7 0 .8 0 .2 B r a z i l 1 .9 0 .8 0 .8 0 .3 Ch i l e 1 .7 0 .8 0 .6 0 .2 E lSa l vado r 1 .9 1 .0 0 .7 0 .2 Co lomb i a 1 .6 0 .7 0 .6 0 .3 N i ca ragua 1 .9 1 .1 0 .6 0 .1 0 .1 Co lomb i a 1 .8 0 .8 0 .7 0 .3 Cub a 1 .6 0 .7 0 .8 A r gen t in a 1 .4 0 .6 0 .7 0 .2 Bo l i v i a 1 .8 0 .8 0 .9 0 .1 J am a i c a 1 .3 0 .5 0 .6 0 .3 Hondu ra s 1 .6 0 .9 0 .6 0 .1 U ru gu a y 1 .2 0 .4 0 .6 0 .1 Co s taR i ca 1 .6 0 .8 0 .6 0 .2 Ch i l e 1 .6 0 .9 0 .5 0 .2 Cub a 1 .6 0 .8 0 .7 0 .1 J am a i c a 1 .4 0 .6 0 .4 0 .4 U ru gu a y 1 .2 0 .4 0 .6 0 .1 A r gen t in a 1 .2 0 .5 0 .6 0 .1 So u r c e s :S eethet e x t . e :co v e r a g e ,bo ld,1870 -2007 ; bo ld i ta l i c s,1913 -2007 ;v e r s a l i t a s ,1950 -2007 Not 33 F i gu re1H i s to r i c a l Ind e xo fHum anDe v e lopmen t(H IHD )inL a t inAme r i c a ,1870 -2007 : A l te rn a t i v eCoun t r yS amp l e s(popu l a t ion -w e i gh teda ve r a g e s )Sou r c e :S eethete x t . h yb r idand o ld) F i gu re2Hum anDe v e lopmen t Me a su re s :H IHDandHD I( Sou r c e :S eethete x t . 34 F i gu re3Hum anDe v e lopmen t( e x c lud in g in com e ) :H IHD*a ndHD I *(h yb r idand o ld) Sou r c e :S eethete x t . F i gu re4R e a lGDPpe rH e adandHum anDe v e lopmen t( e x c lud in g in com e )G row th(% ) Sou r c e :S eethete x t . 35 F i gu re5D r i v e r so fH IHDG row th inL a t inAme r i c a ,1870 -2007(% ) Sou r c e :S eethete x t . F i gu re6R e l a t i v eHum anDe v e lopmen t inL a t inAme r i c a :H IHDandHD I( O ECD =1 ) Sou r c e s :te x tandP r ado sde l aE s co su r a(2015 ) . 36 F i gu re7R e l a t i v eH IHD :L a t inAme r i c a in Wo r ldPe r spe c t i v e1870 -2007(O ECD=1 ) Sou r c e s :te x tandP r ado sde l aE s co su r a(2015 ) . F i gu re8R e l a t i v eL a t inAme r i c a ’ sGDPpe rH e adandH IHD*( e x c l . in come )(O ECD=1 ) Sou r c e s :te x tandP r ado sde l aE s co su r a(2015 ) . 37 F i gu re9L a t inAme r i c a ’ sH IHDC a t ch in g -upw i thO ECD ,1870 -2007(% ) Sou r c e s :te x tandP r ado sde l aE s co su r a(2015 ) . F i gu re10H IHD Inequ a l i t y ,1870 -2007 :A l t e rn a t i v eCoun t r yS amp l e s(unw e i gh tedc . v . ) Sou r c e :S eethete x t . 38 F i gu re11B e t a -Con v e r g en c e inHum anD e v e lopm en t ,1870 2007 Sou r c e :S eethete x t . F i gu re12 aB e t a -Con v e r g en c e inHum anDe v e lopmen t ,187 0-1913 Sou r c e :S eethete x t . 39 F i gu re12bB e t a -Con v e r g en c e inHum anDe v e lopmen t ,191 3-1938 Sou r c e :S eethete x t . F i gu re12 cB e t a -Con v e r g en c e inHum anDe v e lopmen t ,193 8-1980 Sou r c e :S eethete x t . 40 F i gu re12dB e t a -Con v e r g en c e inHum anDe v e lopmen t ,198 0-2007 Sou r c e :S eethete x t . inAme r i c a ,1870 -2007 F i gu re13Hum anDe v e lopmen tandDemo c r a t i z a t ion inL a t Sou r c e :Demo c r a t i z a t ion inde x ,V anh anen(2010 ) ,no rm a l i zed ; H IHD,s eeth ete x t . 41 ON L IN EAPP END IX . S ce sandP ro cedu re s our L i f eE xp e c tan c ya tb i r th Mo s td a t acomef romth e MO x LADd a t ab a s efo rL a t inAme r i c a(A s to r g ae ta l . 2003 )( supp l emen tedw i thth ewo r k in gshee t sp r ep a redb ySh aneandB a rb a r aHun t andk ind l yp ro v id edb yP ab loA s to r g a ) -andA r r i a g a(1968 ) . Inadd i t ion ,n a t ion a l sou r c e su s eda re : A r g en t in a ,1870 -1890 ,R e c ch in ideL a t te sandL a t te s(1975 ) . Ch i l e ,1890 -1900 ,andU ru gu a y ,1870 -1900 ,a s sumedtoh a v ee vo l v eda lon gA r g en t in a . U ru gu a y ,1900 -1938 ,M in i s te r iod eS a ludPúb l i c a(2001 ) , L i fee xp e c t an c y inCo lomb i a ,1870 -1900 ,Cub a ,1870 -1900 ,P an am a ,1880 -1900 , Hondu r a s ,1890 -1900 ,Pue r toR i co ,1870 -1890 ,andVene zu e l a ,1880 -1900 ,h a sbe en a s sumedtoe vo l v ea lon gCo s t aR i c a ’ s( s amet rendbu td i f fe ren t l e v e l s ) . Pe ru ,1913 -1938 ,a s sum edtoe vo l v ea lon gBo l i v i a ’ s . Pue r toR i co ,1870 -1890 ,a s sumed i te vo l v e sa lon gCo s t aR i c a ;1890 ,R i l e y( 2005b ) ; 1900 -1938 ,UN(1993 ) . J am a i c a ,1880 -1938 ,R i l e y(2005 a :198 ) ;1870 -1880 ,a s sumed i te vo l v e sa lon gCo s t a R i c a . T r in id ad Tob a go ,1860 -1900 ,a s sumedtoe vo l v ea lon gJ am a i c a ’ s . Intheab s en c eo f l i f ee xp e c t an c ye s t im a te sfo re a r l yy e a r sp ro j e c t in gthea v a i l ab l e f i gu re sw i th in f an tsu r v i v a lr a t e s( th a t i s ,400– a sthe m a x imum in f an tmo r t a l i t yr a te pe rthou s and l e s sthecoun t r y ’ s in f an t mo r t a l i t yr a te )h a sde r i v edth emfo rP an am a , 1900 -1929andGu y an a ,1950 -1960 .Su chap ro c edu rew a sa l sou s edtod i s t r ibu tethe a v e r a g e l i fee xpe c t an c ye s t im a t efo rA r g en t in a ,1869 -1894 . L i t e ra c y MO x LADd a t ab a s e(A s to r g ae ta l .2003 )(p lu sthewo r k in gshee t sp r ep a r edb y Sh aneandB a rb a r aHun tandk ind l yp ro v id edb yP ab loA s to r g a )andNew l and(1991 ) p ro v idemo s to fthed a t a .O the rw i s e ,th esou r c e sa re : Ch i l e ,1870 ,B r aune ta l .( 2000 ) ,1870 -1890 ,New l and(1991 ) Cuba N i c a r a gu a ,1900 ,Núñ e z(2005 ) 42 L i te r a c yr a te sh a v ebeenb a c kw a rd sp ro j e c tedw i thth a teo fp r im a r yen ro lmen tfo r er Bo l i v i a ,1870 -1890 ,andPue r toR i co ,1870 -1890 . L i te r a c yr a te sh a v ebeenb a c kw a rd sp ro j e c tedw i thy e a r so fp r im a r yedu c a t ionfo rthe popu l a t ionabo v e15y e a r s(Mo r r i s sonand Mu r t in(2009 )fo rDom in i c anR epub l i c , 1870 -1900 ;E lS a l v ado r ,1870 -1890 ;U ru gu a y ,1870 -1890 ,andV ene zue l a ,1870 -1880 . En ro lm en t Mo s td a t acomef rom MO x LADd a t ab a s e(A s to r g ae ta l .2003 ) ,supp l emen ted i t w i ththewo r k in gshe e t sp rep a redb ySh aneandB a rb a r aHun t .O th e rw i s e ,thesou r c e s a re : Pue r toR i co ,1870 -1880 ,New l and(1991 ) Vene zue l a ,1870 -1890 ,N ew l and(1991 ) A l len ro lmen tde r i v edw i thp r im a r yen ro lmen t inB en a vo tandR idd l e(1988 ) , ad ju s t edw i thth er a t ioo ftho s ea g ed5 -14y e a r stotho s ea g ed5 -24y e a r s ,fo r Dom in i c anR ep . ,1870 -1913 ;E cu ado r ,1870 -1880 . A l len ro lmen tr a te sh a v ebeenb a c kw a rd sp ro j e c t edw i thy e a r so fp r im a r y edu c a t ionfo rthepopu l a t ionabo v e15y e a r s(Mo r r i s sonand Mu r t in(2009 )fo rCub a , 1870 -1890 ;Hondu r a s ,1870 -1880 ;P an am a ,1870 -1890 ,andP a r a gu a y ,1870 -1880 . Ther e l e v an tpopu l a t ionw a sde r i v eda sfo l low s .F i r s t l y , Icompu t edthesh a reo f popu l a t iona g ed5 -24( and5 -14 )o v e rto t a lpopu l a t iona tc en su sy e a r sf rom M i t che l l (2003 )th a tw a s ,then , in te rpo l a ted lo g l ine a r l ytode r i v ey e a r l ys e r i e sand ,f in a l l y , i t s re su l tmu l t ip l i edb yto t a lpopu l a t ionf i gu re s . P e rCap i taGDP D a t afo rthetw en t i e th c en tu r ye x c ep tfo rCub a( s eebe low ) -come sf rom C EPA L(2009 )f rom1950onw a rd s ,A s to r g aandF i t z g e r a ld(1998 )and MO x LAD d a t ab a s e(A s to r g ae ta l .2003 ) .O the rw i s en a t ion a lsou r c e sh a v ebeenu s ed .GDPpe r he ad i se xp r e s s ed in1990G e a r y -Kh am i sdo l l a r s. n t in a ,De l l aP ao l e r ae ta l .(2003 ) ,1884 -1950 ,a s sum in gther a teo fg row tho v e r A rg e 1870 -84w a s iden t i c a ltoth a tfo r1884 -90 .Th ea l t e rn a t i v eop t iono fp ro j e c t in g b a c kw a rd sthe l e v e lfo r1884to1875w i thCo r té sConde(1997 )c a s t stoo lowaf i gu re . I a s sumedth e l e v e lfo r1870w a s id en t i c a ltoth a to f1875 . B r a z i l ,1870 -1950 ,Go ld sm i th ,(1986 ) 43 Bo l i v i a ,1870 -1950 ,H e r r an z Lon c ánandP e re sC a j í a s( 2015 ) .F i gu re sfo r1870and1880 in te rpo l a tedf romtho s efo r1850and1883(wo r k shee t sk ind l yp ro v id edb ythe au tho r s ) . Ch i l e ,1870 -1950 ,D í a z ,Lüde r sand W a gn e r(2007 ) Co lomb i a ,1870 -1905 ,K a lm ano v i t zK r au t e randLópe zR i v e r a(2009 )andd a t ak ind l y p ro v idedb yS a lomonK a lm ano v i t z inp r i v a tecommun i c a t ion ;1905 -1950 ,GR ECO (2002 ) . Cub a ,upto1902 ,S an t am a r í a(2005 ) ;1902 -1958 ,W a rdandD e v e reu x(2012 ) ;1958 onw a rd s ,M add i son(2010 ) An impo r t an tc a v e a t inthec a s eo fCub a i sth a tM add i son(2006 ) l e v e lfo r1990h a sno t beena c c ep ted .There a son i sth a t ,g i v enth e l a c ko fPPP sfo rCub a in1990 ,M add i son (2006 :192 )a s sumedCub anpe rc ap i t aGDPw a s15p e rc en tbe lowth eL a t inAme r i c an a v e r a g e .S in c eth i s i sana rb i t r a r ya s sump t ion , Is t a r tedf romB rund en iu sand Z imb a l i s t ’ s(1989 )e s t im a teo fCub a ’ sGDPpe rhe adre l a t i v etos i xm a jo rL a t inAme r i c an coun t r i e s(A r g en t in a ,B r a z i l ,Ch i l e ,Co lomb i a , Me x i co ,andVene zue l a ,LA6 ) in1980 (p ro v ided inA s to r g aandF i t z g e r a ld1998 )andapp l iedth i sr a t iototh ea v e r a g epe r c ap i t a in comeo fLA6 in1980G e a r y -Kh am i sdo l l a r stode r i v eCub a ’ s l e v e l in1980 . Then ,fo l low in gM add i son(1995 :166 ) , Ide r i v edthe l e v e lfo r1990w i thth eg row th r a teo fre a lpe rc ap i t aGDPa tn a t ion a lp r i c e so v e r1980 -1990andr e f l a tedth ere su l t w i ththeU S imp l i c i tGDPde f l a to r ino rd e rtoa r r i v etoane s t im a teo fp e rc ap i t aGDP in 1990a t1990G e a r y -Kh am i sdo l l a r s . In t e re s t in g l y ,Cub a ’ spo s i t ionre l a t i v etotheU S in 1929and1955 i sv e r yc lo s etotheone W a rdandDe v e r eu x(2012 )e s t im a tedu s in ga d i f f e ren tapp ro a ch . E cu ado r ,1870 -1890 , Ia s sumed i te vo l v eda sP e ruo v e r1880 -1900 ,y i e ld in g$447fo r 1880 ,and Ia rb i t r a r i l ya s sumedape rc ap i t aGDPo f$400fo r1870 . Me x i co ,1870 -1900 ,Co a t swo r th(1989 :41 ) ;1896 -1950 , IN EG I(1995 ) Pe ru ,1870 -1950 ,S em in a r io(2011 ) U ru gu a y ,1870 -1938 ,B é r to l a(1998 ) Vene zue l a ,1870 -1950 ,B ap t i s t a(1997 ) C en t r a lAme r i c a(Co s t aR i c a ,E lS a l v ado r ,Gu a t em a l a ,Hondu r a s ,andN i c a r a gu a ) , I de r i v edthe l e v e lfo r1913b ya s sum in gth eg row tho v e r1913 -20w a s iden t i c a ltoth a t o f1920 -25 ,the l a t te rde r i v edf romO x LADd a t ab a s e(A s to r g ae ta l .2003 ) . 44 C a r ibbe an .B ah am a s ,B a rb ado s ,B e l i ze ,Gu y an a ,1950 -2007 ,andS t .K i t t sandNe v i s ,S t . V in c en tandth eG ren ad ine s ,1990 -2007 ,M add i son(2006 ,2010 ) ,Con fe ren c eBo a rd (2010 ) ,andBu lme r Thom a s(pe r son a lcommun i c a t ion ) T r in id ad Tob a go ,1950 -1970 ,M add i son(2010 ) J am a i c a ,1870 -1929 ,E i sn e r(1961 ) ;1938 ,M add i son(2010 ) Pue r toR i co ,1950 -2007 ,M add i son(2010 ) Popu la t ion A l lf i gu re sa r ead ju s tedtore fe rtom id y e a randtot a k e in toa c coun tthe te r r i to r i a lch an g e sanda rede r i v edf rom M add i son(2010 )and M i t ch e l l(2003 a ,2003b , 2003 c ) ,comp l e t edfo rL a t inAme r i c aandtheC a r ibbe anw i thO x LADd a t ab a s e(A s to r g a e ta l .2003 ) ,1900 -1938 ,andC EPA L(2009 ) ,1950 -2007 .O the rw i s e ,n a t ion a lsou r c e s w e reu s ed . 45 Re fe ren ce s Ar r i a g a ,E .E .(1968 ) , N ewL i f eTab l e sfo rLa t inAm e r i canPopu la t ion s inth eN in e t e en th l a t ion Mono g r aph sS e r i e sNo .3 , In s t i tu teo f andTw en t i e thC en tu r i e s,Popu In te rn a t ion a lS tud i e s ,Un i v e r s i t yo fC a l i fo rn i aB e r k e l e y . 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B en a vo t ,A .andP .R idd l e(1988 ) , ‘ TheE xp an s iono fP r im a r yEdu c a t ion ,1870 -1940 : T rend sand I s su e s ’ ,So c io log yo fEdu ca t ion61(3 ) :191 -210 B é r to l a ,L .(1998 ) ,E lPB Id eU rugua y ,1870– 1936yo t ra se s t ima c ion e s , Mon te v ideo : Un i v e r s id add e l aR epúb l i c a . B r aun ,J . ,M .B r aun , I .B r ione s ,andJ .D í a z(2000 ) , ‘ E conom í ach i l en a ,1810 -1995 . E s t ad í s t i c a sh i s tó r i c a s ’ ,Pon t i f i c i aUn i v e r s id adC a tó l i c adeCh i l e , In s t i tu tod eE conom í a , Do cumen tod eT r ab a jono .187 B runden iu sC .andA .Z imb a l i s t(1989 ) ,Th eCubanE conom y :M ea su r em en tandAna l y s i s Co a t swo r th ,J .H .(1989 ) , ‘ TheDe c l in eo fthe Me x i c anE conom y ,1800 -1860 ’ , inR .L i eh r ( ed . ) ,Am é r i caLa t inaen laépo cad eS imónBo l í va r .Lafo rma c iónd e la se conom ía s na c iona l e sy lo s in t e r e s e se conóm i co seu rop eo s1800 -1850,B e r l in :Co l loqu ium ,pp .27 53 Com i s iónE conóm i c ap a r aAmé r i c aL a t in aye lC a r ibe[C EPA L ](2009 ) , ‘Amé r i c aL a t in ay e lC a r ibe .S e r i e sh i s tó r i c a sdee s t ad í s t i c a se conóm i c a s1950 -2008 ’ ,Cuad e rno s E s tad í s t i co s37A v a i l ab l ea t :h t tp : / /www . e c l a c . c l /de ype / cu ade rno37 / ind e x .h tm Co r té sConde ,R .(1997 ) ,Lae conom íaa rg en t inaene l la rgop la zo ,Bueno sA i re s : Ed i to r i a lSud am e r i c an a /Un i v e r s id add eS anAnd r é s . 46 De l l aP ao l e r a ,G . ,A .M .T a y lo r ,andC .G .Bo zo l l i(2003 ) , ‘H i s to r i c a lS t a t i s t i c s ’ , inG .De l l a P ao l e r aandA .M .T a y lo r( ed s . ) ,AN ewE conom i cH i s to r yo fA rg en t ina,NewYo r k : C amb r id g eUn i v e r s i t yP r e s s(w i thCD -ROM ) ,pp .376–385 . 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