Latin America in Historical Perspective - e

Wo
rk
ingPape
rs inEconom
ic H
is
to
ry
May2015
WP15
-04
Human Deve
lopmen
tasPos
i
t
iveF
reedom
:
in Ame
r
icain H
is
to
r
ica
lPe
rspec
t
ive
Lat
roP
radosdelaEscosu
ra
Leand
Abs
trac
t
:
How has La
t
in Ame
r
ica
’s we
l
lbe
ing evo
lved ove
rt
ime? How does
La
t
in Ame
r
ica compa
retotoday
’s deve
loped coun
t
r
ies(OECD
,fo
r
sho
r
t
)? Wha
t exp
la
ins the
i
r d
i
f
fe
rences? These ques
t
ions a
re
add
ressed us
ing an h
is
to
r
ica
l index o
f human deve
lopmen
t
. A
sus
ta
inedimp
rovemen
tin we
l
lbe
ing can be obse
rved s
ince 1870
.
The abso
lu
te gap be
tween OECD and La
t
in Ame
r
ica w
idened ove
r
t
ime
, bu
t an incomp
le
te ca
tch
ing up –
la
rge
ly exp
la
ined by
educa
t
ion
- occu
r
red s
ince 1900
, bu
tfaded away a
f
te
r 1980
, as
La
t
in Ame
r
icafe
l
l beh
indthe OECDinte
rms o
flongev
i
ty
. Oncethe
f
i
rs
t hea
l
th t
rans
i
t
ion was exhaus
ted
, the con
t
r
ibu
t
ion o
fl
i
fe
expec
tancytohumandeve
lopmen
tdec
l
ined
.
Keywo
rds
:L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
, Hum
an De
ve
lopm
en
t
,Po
s
i
t
i
v
eF
r
eedom
,L
i
f
e
p
e
c
t
an
c
y
,Edu
c
a
t
ion
E
x
JEL C
lass
i
f
ica
t
ion
:O
15
,O54
,
I
00
,N36
Leand
ro P
rados delaEscosura
:Depa
r
tamen
tode C
ienc
ias Soc
ia
les
,Ins
t
i
tu
to
F
igue
ro
la(Un
ive
rs
idad Ca
r
losI
I
I
, Ca
l
le Mad
r
id
,135
,28903 Ge
ta
fe
, Spa
in
)and
CEPR
.
E
-ma
i
l
:l
e
and
ro
.p
r
ado
s
.d
e
l
a
e
s
co
su
r
a@u
c3m
.
e
s
h
t
tp
:
/
/www
.uc3m
.es
/po
r
ta
l
/page
/po
r
ta
l
/dp
to_c
ienc
ias_soc
ia
les
/home
/
facu
l
ty
/
leand
ro_p
rado
s_escosu
ra
UN
IVERS
IDAD CARLOSI
I
I DE MADR
ID •c
/ Mad
r
id126• 28903 Ge
ta
fe(Spa
in
)
• Te
l
:(34
)916249797
S
i
te
:h
t
tp
:
/
/po
r
ta
l
.uc3m
.es
/po
r
ta
l
/page
/po
r
ta
l
/
ins
t
i
tu
to_
f
igue
ro
la
/home
/pub
l
ica
t
ions
/wo
rk
ing_pape
rs
Pub
l
i
sh
e
r:
C
a
r
lo
s
I
I
IUn
i
ve
r
s
i
t
yo
fM
ad
r
id
.F
i
gu
e
ro
l
a
In
s
t
i
tu
t
eo
fSo
c
i
a
lS
c
i
en
c
e
sH
i
s
to
r
y
www
.u
c
3m
.
e
s
/
i
f
S
e
r
i
e
s
:
Wo
r
k
in
gP
ap
e
r
s
inE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
y
I
S
SN
:2341
2542
E
l
e
c
t
ron
i
cv
e
r
s
iono
fth
e
s
ewo
r
k
ingpap
e
rs
e
r
i
e
sa
va
i
lab
l
eon
:
h
t
tp
:
/
/hd
l
.h
and
l
e
.n
e
t
/10016
/16
Th
i
swo
r
k
i
s
l
i
c
en
s
edund
e
ra
C
r
e
a
t
i
v
eCommon
sA
t
t
r
ibu
t
ion
-NonComme
r
c
i
a
l
NoDe
r
i
v
a
t
i
ve
s4
.
0
In
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
lL
i
c
en
s
e.
HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
ta
sPo
s
i
t
i
v
eF
r
e
edom
:La
t
inAm
e
r
i
ca
inH
i
s
to
r
i
ca
lP
e
r
sp
e
c
t
i
v
e1
t
r
a
c
t
Abs
Howh
a
sL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
sw
e
l
lbe
in
ge
vo
l
v
edo
v
e
rt
ime
?Howdoe
sL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
comp
a
retotod
a
y
’
s de
v
e
lopedcoun
t
r
i
e
s(
O
ECD,fo
rsho
r
t
)
? Wh
a
te
xp
l
a
in
sth
e
i
r
d
i
f
f
e
ren
c
e
s
? The
s
e qu
e
s
t
ion
sa
r
e add
re
s
s
ed u
s
in
g an h
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
lind
e
xo
f hum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
t
.Asu
s
t
a
inedimp
ro
v
emen
tinw
e
l
lb
e
in
gc
anbeob
s
e
r
v
eds
in
c
e1870
.Th
e
ab
so
lu
teg
apbe
tw
eenO
ECD andL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aw
idenedo
v
e
rt
im
e
,bu
tanin
comp
l
e
t
e
c
a
t
ch
in
gup–
l
a
r
g
e
l
ye
xp
l
a
inedb
yedu
c
a
t
ion
-o
c
cu
r
reds
in
c
e1900
,bu
tf
adedaw
a
y
a
f
te
r1980
,a
sL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
af
e
l
lbeh
indtheO
ECDinte
rm
so
flon
g
e
v
i
t
y
.On
c
ethef
i
r
s
t
he
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ion w
a
se
xh
au
s
t
ed
,thecon
t
r
ibu
t
ion o
fl
i
f
ee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yto hum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
tde
c
l
ined
.
Ke
ywo
rd
s:L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
,Hum
anDe
v
e
lopm
en
t
,Po
s
i
t
i
v
eF
r
eedom
,L
i
feE
xp
e
c
t
an
c
y
,
Edu
c
a
t
ion
l
a
s
s
i
f
i
c
a
t
ion
:O15
,O
54
,
I00
,N36
J
E
LC
L
e
and
roP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,
Un
i
v
e
r
s
id
adC
a
r
lo
s
I
I
Ide M
ad
r
id
,
Dep
a
r
t
amen
tod
eC
i
en
c
i
a
sSo
c
i
a
l
e
s
,
C
a
l
l
eM
ad
r
id
,135
28903G
e
t
a
fe(M
ad
r
id
)
,Sp
a
in
Te
l
.+34916249623
l
e
and
ro
.p
r
ado
s
.d
e
l
a
e
s
co
su
r
a@u
c3m
.
e
s
h
t
tp
:
/
/www
.u
c3m
.
e
s
/po
r
t
a
l
/p
a
ge
/po
r
t
a
l
/dp
to_
c
i
en
c
i
a
s_
so
c
i
a
l
e
s
/home
/
f
a
cu
l
t
y
/
l
e
and
ro_p
r
ado
s
_
e
s
co
su
r
a
1
Ith
an
kp
a
r
t
i
c
ip
an
t
sa
ttheL
S
ECon
f
e
r
en
ce“Unde
r
s
t
and
in
gthe
In
s
t
i
tu
t
ion
a
lT
r
a
je
c
to
r
yo
f
t
inAm
e
r
i
c
anDe
ve
lopmen
t
”andtheL
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
c
anC
en
t
res
em
in
a
r
,O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
y
,and
L
a
p
a
r
t
i
cu
l
a
r
l
y
,V
a
lp
yF
i
t
z
g
e
r
a
ld
,fo
rthe
i
rcomm
en
t
s
.
Iama
l
sog
r
a
te
fu
ltoP
ab
loA
s
to
r
g
a
,Lu
i
sB
é
r
to
l
a
,V
i
c
to
r
Bu
lm
e
r
Thom
a
s
,S
a
lomonK
a
lm
ano
v
i
t
z
,A
l
fon
soHe
r
r
an
z
Lon
c
án
,andB
runoS
em
in
a
r
iowhok
ind
l
y
sh
a
r
edthe
i
rd
a
t
a
.F
in
an
c
i
a
lsuppo
r
tf
romFund
a
c
iónR
a
f
ae
lde
lP
inoandtheLe
v
e
rhu
lmeT
ru
s
t(VP2
2012
-050G
r
an
t
)
i
sg
r
a
te
fu
l
l
ya
c
know
l
ed
g
ed
.Theu
su
a
ld
i
s
c
l
a
im
e
rapp
l
i
e
s
.
Howmu
chh
a
sw
e
l
l
-b
e
in
g
imp
ro
v
ed
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
adur
i
n
gthe
l
a
s
ton
e
and
a
h
a
l
fc
en
tu
r
i
e
s
?Howdoe
sL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
acomp
a
r
etothead
v
an
c
edn
a
t
ion
s
?H
a
v
ethe
i
r
e
ren
c
e
sw
iden
ed
? Wh
y
?The
r
ea
renoe
a
s
yan
sw
e
r
stothe
s
eque
s
t
ion
s
,bu
tthe
d
i
ff
po
l
i
c
y
imp
l
i
c
a
t
ion
sa
ref
a
r
re
a
ch
in
g
.
rhe
ad(Bu
lm
e
r
T
rend
s
inw
e
l
l
-b
e
in
gh
a
v
ebe
end
r
awnontheb
a
s
i
so
fGDPpe
Thom
a
s
,2003
;Co
a
t
swo
r
th
,2005
;P
r
ado
sd
e
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,2007
)
.How
e
v
e
r
,a
s
lopmen
t
i
samu
l
t
id
imen
s
ion
a
lp
ro
c
e
s
s
,amo
recomp
r
ehen
s
i
v
eapp
ro
a
chto
l
i
v
in
g
de
ve
s
t
and
a
rd
sh
a
sbeenpu
tfo
rw
a
rd
inre
c
en
ty
e
a
r
s(A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.
,2005
;S
a
l
v
a
to
ree
ta
l
.
2010
;B
é
r
to
l
aandO
c
ampo
,2012
)
.
Th
i
sp
ape
rf
a
vou
r
sth
ec
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
i
e
sapp
ro
a
ch
,
inwh
i
chde
v
e
lopmen
t
i
ss
eena
sa
p
roc
e
s
so
fe
xp
and
in
gf
re
edomand
inwh
i
chob
j
e
c
t
i
v
e me
a
su
re
sa
reu
s
ed
.Hum
an
de
ve
lopmen
t
,acon
c
ep
tdeep
roo
ted
inthec
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
i
e
sapp
ro
a
ch
,w
a
so
r
i
g
in
a
l
l
y
de
f
ineda
s
'
ap
ro
c
e
s
so
fen
l
a
r
g
in
gpeop
l
e
’
scho
i
c
e
s
'(UNDP
,1990
)
:en
jo
y
in
gahe
a
l
th
y
l
i
fe
,a
cqu
i
r
in
gknow
l
ed
g
eanda
ch
i
e
v
in
gade
c
en
ts
t
and
a
rdo
f
l
i
v
in
g
.The
s
e
a
ch
i
e
v
emen
t
sp
ro
v
id
e
ind
i
v
idu
a
l
sw
i
thf
re
edomtochoo
s
eandtheoppo
r
tun
i
t
y
'
to
l
e
ad
l
i
v
e
sth
e
yh
a
v
ere
a
son
stov
a
lue
'(
S
en
,1997
)
.Hum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tc
anthu
sbe
dep
i
c
t
eda
spo
s
i
t
i
v
ef
re
edom(D
e
s
a
i
,1991
)
.
eb
a
s
edonanew
Inth
i
sp
ape
r
,an
sw
e
r
stotheque
s
t
ion
sr
a
i
s
edhe
r
ea
r
h
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
inde
xo
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopm
en
tth
a
tco
v
e
r
sne
a
r
l
yoneandah
a
l
fc
en
tu
r
i
e
s
,
be
tw
een1870
,when
l
a
r
g
e
s
c
a
l
e
imp
ro
v
emen
t
s
inh
e
a
l
th
,he
lp
edb
ythed
i
f
fu
s
iono
f
theg
e
rmth
eo
r
yo
fd
i
s
e
a
s
e(P
re
s
ton
,1975
;R
i
l
e
y2001
)and
inp
r
im
a
r
yedu
c
a
t
ion
(B
en
a
vo
tandR
idd
l
e
,1988
;L
inde
r
t
,2004
)w
e
r
e
in
i
t
i
a
ted
,and2007
,wh
i
chm
a
r
k
sthe
2
e
v
eo
ftheG
r
e
a
tR
e
c
e
s
s
ion
.
Is
t
a
r
tb
yp
ropo
s
in
gana
l
t
e
rn
a
t
i
v
eh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
inde
xo
f
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t(H
IHD)a
sana
l
te
rn
a
t
i
v
etothe
inde
xp
ropo
s
edb
yth
eUn
i
t
ed
hum
N
a
t
ion
sDe
v
e
lopmen
tP
ro
g
r
amme(UNDP
)
,HD
Iandb
r
i
e
f
l
ye
x
am
in
in
gthesou
r
c
e
sand
pu
t
a
t
ionp
ro
c
edu
re
su
s
edtod
e
r
i
v
e
i
t
.3 Ne
x
t
,them
a
inre
su
l
t
sfo
rL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
,
com
bo
thacon
t
inen
t
a
landcoun
t
r
y
l
e
v
e
l
,a
red
i
s
cu
s
s
edandL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
se
vo
lu
t
ion
p
l
a
c
ed
in
toawo
r
ldpe
r
spe
c
t
i
v
e
.
Iadd
re
s
s
,then
,how
i
t
sd
imen
s
ion
scon
t
r
ibu
t
edtothe
2
Th
i
sp
ape
r
i
sp
a
r
to
fab
ro
adr
e
se
a
r
chp
ro
je
c
tonne
g
a
t
i
veandpo
s
i
t
i
v
ef
re
edom
inah
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
r
spe
c
t
i
ve
.S
eeP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a(2013
,2015
,fo
r
th
com
in
g
)
.
pe
3
sa m
e
a
su
r
eo
fw
e
l
lbe
in
ghe
r
e
,s
in
c
e
i
th
a
sre
cen
t
l
ybe
end
i
s
cu
s
s
ed
Iw
i
l
lno
te
x
am
inetheUNDP
HD
Ia
e
l
sewhe
r
e(K
lu
gm
ane
ta
l
.2011
,P
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a2010
)
.
2
a
g
g
re
g
a
tepe
r
fo
rm
an
c
eo
ftheHI
HD o
v
e
rt
im
eandtowh
a
te
x
t
en
te
xp
l
a
intheob
s
e
r
v
ed
d
i
f
f
e
ren
c
e
sbe
tw
eenL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aandthede
v
e
lopedcoun
t
r
i
e
s
,d
e
f
ineda
sth
e
4
coun
t
r
i
e
sth
a
tcompo
s
edth
eO
ECDp
r
io
rto1994(
O
ECD,he
re
a
f
te
r
)
.
L
a
s
ts
e
c
t
ion
co
n
c
lude
s
.
ThenewH
IHDshow
ssub
s
t
an
t
i
a
lg
a
in
s
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
anhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
s
in
c
e1870–
ande
spe
c
i
a
l
l
yo
v
e
r1900
-1980
.Am
a
jo
rad
v
an
c
e
inhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t
,
wh
i
chre
su
l
tedf
romsub
s
t
an
t
i
a
lg
a
in
s
in
lon
g
e
v
i
t
yandedu
c
a
t
ion
,too
kp
l
a
c
ebe
tw
een
1938and1950
,a
tthet
imeo
fane
conom
i
cg
lob
a
l
i
z
a
t
ionb
a
c
k
l
a
sh
.A
l
thou
ghtheg
ap
w
eenO
ECD andL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aw
id
ened
inab
so
lu
t
et
e
rm
s
,an
in
comp
l
e
tec
a
t
ch
in
g
bet
uptoo
kp
l
a
c
e
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
abe
tw
een1900and1980
,a
sp
a
r
to
faw
ide
rbu
tsho
r
te
r
p
ro
c
e
s
sth
a
temb
r
a
c
eda
l
lde
v
e
lop
in
gre
g
ion
s
.Edu
c
a
t
ionand
,to
l
e
s
se
x
t
en
t
,
l
i
fe
e
xpe
c
t
an
c
ya
tb
i
r
thd
r
i
v
eL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
s
l
im
i
t
edc
a
t
ch
in
g
-up
.
InL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
,th
e
i
r
s
th
e
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ion–
th
a
t
i
s
,theph
a
s
e
inwh
i
chpe
r
s
i
s
ten
tg
a
in
s
in
ep
idem
io
lo
g
i
c
a
lo
rf
low
e
r mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yandh
i
gh
e
rsu
r
v
i
v
a
la
rea
ch
i
e
v
eda
s
in
f
e
c
t
iou
sd
i
s
e
a
s
eg
i
v
e
sw
a
yto
ch
ron
i
cd
i
s
e
a
s
e(R
i
l
e
y2005
a
)
i
sth
eon
l
yp
e
r
iod
inwh
i
chsub
s
t
an
t
i
a
lg
a
in
s
in
lon
g
e
v
i
t
y
w
e
rea
ch
i
e
v
ed
.A
f
te
rw
a
rd
s
,there
g
ionf
e
l
lb
eh
indth
eO
ECDinte
rm
so
fth
e
lon
g
e
v
i
t
y
inde
x
,wh
i
ch
l
a
r
g
e
l
ye
xp
l
a
in
sL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
sf
a
i
lu
retoc
a
t
chupde
sp
i
teth
e
edu
c
a
t
ion
a
le
xp
an
s
ion
.
A
s
se
s
s
in
gHum
anDe
ve
lopmen
t
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
Inde
x(
HD
I)
in
c
lude
sth
re
ed
imen
s
ion
s
:a
Th
e UNDPHum
he
a
l
th
y
l
i
fe
,a
c
c
e
s
stoknow
l
ed
g
e
,ando
the
ra
spe
c
t
so
fw
e
l
l
-b
e
in
g
.R
edu
c
edfo
rm
so
f
the
s
ed
im
en
s
ion
sa
reu
s
eda
sasho
r
t
cu
t
,n
am
e
l
y
,
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
ya
tb
i
r
tha
sap
ro
x
y
fo
rahe
a
l
th
y
l
i
fe
,edu
c
a
t
ion me
a
su
re
sfo
ra
c
c
e
s
stoknow
l
ed
g
e
,andd
i
s
coun
tedpe
r
c
ap
i
t
a
in
come(
i
t
s
lo
g
)a
sasu
r
ro
g
a
t
efo
ra
l
lo
the
ra
spe
c
t
so
fw
e
l
l
-be
in
g(An
andand
4
P
r
e
-1994O
ECD m
embe
r
swe
r
e
:Au
s
t
r
a
l
i
a
,Au
s
t
r
i
a
,B
e
l
g
ium
,C
an
ad
a
,D
enm
a
r
k
,F
in
l
and
,F
r
an
c
e
,
G
erm
an
y
,G
r
e
e
c
e
,
I
c
e
l
and
,
I
r
e
l
and
,
I
t
a
l
y
,J
ap
an
,Lu
x
embu
r
g
,Ne
the
r
l
and
s
,NewZe
a
l
and
,No
rw
a
y
,
Po
r
tu
g
a
l
,Sp
a
in
,Sw
eden
,Sw
i
t
ze
r
l
and
,Tu
r
ke
y
,theU
.K
.
,andtheU
.
S
.A
.Nohum
ande
ve
lopm
en
t
e
s
t
im
a
te
sh
a
v
ebeencompu
tedfo
r
I
c
e
l
andandLu
x
embu
r
gsothe
s
etwocoun
t
r
i
e
swe
r
ee
x
c
ludedf
rom
m
yownv
e
r
s
iono
fO
ECD.Tu
r
ke
y
,a
l
thou
ghanO
ECDm
embe
r
,h
a
sbe
ene
x
c
ludedf
romthe
O
ECD g
roup
ino
rde
rto m
a
ketheg
roup
mo
r
ehomo
g
eneou
s
.
3
5
S
en
,2000
;UNDP
,2001
)
.
The
s
ea
recomb
in
ed
in
toas
yn
the
t
i
cme
a
su
reu
s
in
ga
ome
t
r
i
ca
v
e
r
a
g
e(UNDP
,2010
)
.6 S
in
c
ea
l
ld
imen
s
ion
sa
recon
s
ide
red
ind
i
spen
s
ab
l
e
g
e
e
ya
rea
s
s
i
gn
edequ
a
lw
e
i
gh
t
s
.
th
A
l
ine
a
rt
r
an
s
fo
rm
a
t
ionw
a
s
in
t
rodu
c
edfo
rthed
imen
s
ion
s
inthehum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
t
inde
x(UNDP1990
)
,wh
i
ch
,b
yredu
c
in
gth
edenom
in
a
to
r
,w
iden
sth
e
inde
x
’
sr
an
g
e
.Thu
s
,theo
r
i
g
in
a
lv
a
lue
so
fe
a
chd
imen
s
ion(
I
)a
ret
r
an
s
fo
rmed
in
to
inde
xfo
rma
c
co
rd
in
gtothefo
l
low
in
gfo
rmu
l
a
,
I=(
xMo)/(
MMo)
,
[1
]
stheob
s
e
r
v
edv
a
lueo
fag
i
v
end
imen
s
iono
fw
e
l
f
a
re
,and
Mo and
M
Whe
re xi
a
rethem
a
x
imumandm
in
imumv
a
lue
s
,o
rgo
a
lpo
s
t
s-wh
i
chf
a
c
i
l
i
t
a
tecomp
a
r
i
son
s
o
v
e
rt
ime
.7 E
a
chd
imen
s
ionr
an
g
e
s
,thu
s
,b
e
tw
een0and1
.
5
In2010theHum
anD
e
ve
lopm
en
tR
epo
r
t(UNDP2010
)
in
t
rodu
c
ed m
a
jo
rch
an
g
e
s
inthe
ind
i
c
a
to
r
su
s
ed
ep
r
e
sen
thum
ande
v
e
lopm
en
td
imen
s
ion
s
.Thu
s
,fo
redu
c
a
t
ion
,thee
xpe
c
tedye
a
r
so
fs
choo
l
in
gfo
ra
tor
s
choo
l
a
gech
i
ldandthem
e
anye
a
r
so
fs
choo
l
in
gfo
rpopu
l
a
t
iona
g
ed25andabo
v
esub
s
t
i
tu
tedfo
radu
l
t
l
i
te
r
a
c
yandg
ro
s
sen
ro
lm
en
t(p
r
im
a
r
y
,s
e
cond
a
r
y
,andte
r
t
i
a
r
y
)r
a
te
s
.A
l
so
,PPP
ad
ju
s
tedpe
rc
ap
i
t
a
G
ro
s
sN
a
t
ion
a
l
In
com
e(GN
I
)rep
l
a
c
edpu
r
ch
a
s
in
g
-pow
e
r
ad
ju
s
tedGDPpe
rhe
ad
.D
a
t
ar
equ
i
r
em
en
t
sa
r
e
h
i
gh
l
ydem
and
in
gso
,when
lon
g
runt
r
end
sa
r
ene
eded
,o
ld
’
ind
i
c
a
to
r
s(n
am
e
l
y
,
l
i
te
r
a
c
yands
choo
l
en
ro
lm
en
tfo
redu
c
a
t
ion
,andr
e
a
lGDPpe
rhe
ad
)h
a
v
ebeenr
e
co
ve
r
ed
intheso
c
a
l
led
‘h
yb
r
id
’hum
an
de
v
e
lopm
en
t
inde
x
.None
the
le
s
s
,
ind
i
c
e
sfo
re
a
chd
imen
s
iona
r
ede
r
i
v
edw
i
ththenewgo
a
lpo
s
t
sand
comb
inedth
rou
ghag
eom
e
t
r
i
ca
v
e
r
a
getode
r
i
vethe
‘h
yb
r
id
’HD
I(G
idw
i
t
ze
ta
l
.2010
:3
)
.
6
S
in
c
e2010
,
inana
t
temp
tto m
i
t
i
g
a
tethesub
s
t
i
tu
t
ab
i
l
i
t
ybe
tw
een
i
t
sd
i
f
f
e
ren
td
im
en
s
ion
s
,the
ind
i
c
e
s
a
chd
im
en
s
iona
r
ecomb
inedu
s
in
gag
eome
t
r
i
ca
ve
r
a
ge
,no
lon
g
e
ru
s
in
gana
r
i
thm
e
t
i
ca
v
e
r
a
ge
.The
f
ore
g
eome
t
r
i
ca
ve
r
a
geh
adbe
enp
r
e
v
iou
s
l
yp
ropo
s
edb
yD
e
s
a
i(1991
)andS
a
g
a
randN
a
j
am(1998
)andu
s
ed
inh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
le
s
t
im
a
te
sb
yP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a(2010
)
.The
rea
r
ese
r
iou
sd
i
s
c
r
ep
an
c
ie
sabou
tthecho
i
c
e
be
tw
eena
r
i
thm
e
t
i
candg
eom
e
t
r
i
ca
v
e
r
a
ge
stocomb
inethed
im
en
s
ion
s
’
ind
i
c
e
s
.S
ee
,fo
re
x
amp
l
e
,the
h
a
r
shc
r
i
t
iqueo
fthenew
inde
x
inR
a
v
a
l
l
ion(2012
)andther
e
spon
se
inZ
amb
r
ano(2011
)
.
7
The2010newhum
ande
v
e
lopm
en
t
inde
xa
l
soa
l
te
red
i
t
sgo
a
lpo
s
t
sfo
re
a
chd
im
en
s
ionw
i
thuppe
rand
e
rbound
sco
r
r
e
spond
in
gtothem
a
x
imumv
a
lue
sob
s
e
r
veddu
r
in
gthepe
r
iod1980
-2010andto
low
d
i
s
c
r
e
t
ion
a
l
l
yf
i
xed m
in
imumv
a
lue
s
,r
e
spe
c
t
i
ve
l
y
.Go
a
lpo
s
t
sfo
r
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
ya
r
e83
.2and20ye
a
r
s
.
Thee
xpe
c
tedye
a
r
so
fs
choo
l
in
gandthem
e
anye
a
r
so
fs
choo
l
in
gw
e
rea
s
s
i
gned m
a
x
im
ao
f20
.6and
13
.2ye
a
r
s
,re
spe
c
t
i
ve
l
y
,and m
in
im
ao
fze
ro
,wh
i
l
ep
r
e
v
iou
s
l
y
l
i
te
r
a
c
yanden
ro
lm
en
tr
an
g
edbe
twe
en0
and100
.
Inthec
a
s
eo
fpe
rc
ap
i
t
a
in
com
e
,theuppe
rbound
i
sthem
a
x
imumob
se
r
ved(108
,211PPP$
2008
)
.Them
in
imumw
a
ss
e
ta
t163PPP$U
S2008
.
4
I
tm
a
t
te
r
showp
ro
g
re
s
s
inthed
imen
s
ion
so
fhum
and
e
lopmen
t
i
sme
a
su
red
.
ev
O
f
tenso
c
i
a
lv
a
r
i
ab
l
e
s(
l
i
f
ee
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
,h
e
i
gh
to
r
l
i
te
r
a
c
y
)a
reu
s
ed
,e
i
the
rr
aw
(A
c
emo
g
luandJohn
son
,2007
;H
a
t
tonandB
r
a
y
,2010
;L
ind
e
r
t
,2004
)o
r
l
in
e
a
r
l
y
t
r
an
s
fo
rmed(UNDP
,2010
)
.Th
i
sc
au
s
e
sme
a
su
remen
tp
rob
l
em
swhenaso
c
i
a
lv
a
r
i
ab
l
e
h
a
sa
s
ymp
to
t
i
c
l
im
i
t
s
.Ane
x
amp
l
ewou
ldbe
l
i
f
ee
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
.Con
s
ide
rtwo
imp
ro
v
emen
t
s
,on
ef
rom30to40y
e
a
r
sandano
the
rf
rom70to80y
e
a
r
s
.The
s
e
in
c
re
a
s
e
sa
r
e
id
en
t
i
c
a
l
inab
so
lu
tete
rm
s
,bu
tthes
e
cond
i
ssm
a
l
l
e
r
inp
ropo
r
t
iontothe
in
i
t
i
a
ls
t
a
r
t
in
g
l
e
v
e
l
. Wheno
r
i
g
in
a
l(o
r
l
in
e
a
r
l
yt
r
an
s
fo
rm
ed
,a
sh
app
en
s
inthec
a
s
eo
f
theUNDP
’
sHD
I)v
a
lu
e
sa
reemp
lo
y
ed
,
iden
t
i
c
a
lch
an
g
e
s
inab
so
lu
tete
rm
sre
su
l
t
ina
sm
a
l
l
e
r me
a
su
red
imp
ro
v
emen
tfo
rthecoun
t
r
yw
i
ththeh
i
gh
e
rs
t
a
r
t
in
gpo
in
t
,
f
a
vou
r
in
gthecoun
t
r
yw
i
thth
e
low
e
r
in
i
t
i
a
l
l
e
v
e
l(
S
en
,1981
;K
a
kw
an
i
,1993
)
.
The
l
im
i
t
a
t
ion
so
f
l
in
e
a
rme
a
su
re
sbe
comemo
r
ee
v
iden
twhenqu
a
l
i
t
y
i
st
a
k
en
in
toa
c
coun
t
.L
i
f
ee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
ya
tb
i
r
thandedu
c
a
t
ion me
a
su
re
sa
re
ju
s
tc
rudep
ro
x
i
e
s
fo
rthea
c
tu
a
lgo
a
l
so
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
:a
lon
gandhe
a
l
th
y
l
i
feanda
c
c
e
s
sto
know
l
ed
g
e
.R
e
s
e
a
r
cho
v
e
rthe
l
a
s
ttwod
e
c
ade
scon
c
lud
e
sth
a
th
e
a
l
th
y
l
i
f
ee
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
in
c
re
a
s
e
s
in
l
inew
i
thto
t
a
l
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
,anda
s
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yr
i
s
e
s
,d
i
s
ab
i
l
i
t
yfo
r
thes
amea
g
e
coho
r
tf
a
l
l
s(
S
a
lomone
ta
l
.2012
)
.S
im
i
l
a
r
l
y
,thequ
a
l
i
t
yo
fedu
c
a
t
ion
,
me
a
su
red
int
e
rm
so
fco
gn
i
t
i
v
es
k
i
l
l
s
,g
row
sa
sth
equ
an
t
i
t
yo
fedu
c
a
t
ion
in
c
re
a
s
e
s
(H
anu
she
kandK
im
ko
,2000
;A
l
t
ino
ke
ta
l
.
,2014
)
.Thebo
t
tom
l
ine
i
sth
a
tmo
rey
e
a
r
so
f
l
i
feandedu
c
a
t
ion
imp
l
yh
i
ghe
rqu
a
l
i
t
yo
fhe
a
l
thandedu
c
a
t
iondu
r
in
gch
i
ldhoodand
ado
l
e
s
c
en
c
e
inbo
ththet
imes
e
r
i
e
sandth
ec
ro
s
s
se
c
t
ion
.
Inth
i
sp
ape
r
,a
sana
l
te
rn
a
t
i
v
etotheUNDP
'
scon
v
en
t
ion
a
l
HD
I,ah
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
inde
xo
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t(
H
IHD)
i
su
s
ed
inwh
i
chnon
in
comev
a
r
i
ab
l
e
sa
re
t
r
an
s
fo
rmednon
l
in
e
a
r
l
y
,r
a
the
rth
an
l
ine
a
r
l
ya
s
intheHD
I,
ino
rde
rtoa
l
lowfo
rtwo
m
a
inf
a
c
t
s
:
in
c
re
a
s
e
so
fthes
ameab
so
lu
tes
i
zer
ep
re
s
en
tg
r
e
a
te
ra
ch
i
e
v
emen
t
sthe
h
i
ghe
rthe
l
e
v
e
la
twh
i
chthe
yt
a
k
ep
l
a
c
e
;andqu
a
l
i
t
y
imp
ro
v
emen
t
sa
rea
s
so
c
i
a
tedto
in
c
re
a
s
e
s
inqu
an
t
i
t
y(
s
eeP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,2015
,fo
rfu
r
the
rde
t
a
i
l
s
)
.
Inthea
l
te
rn
a
t
i
v
eh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
ind
e
xo
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t
,
H
IHD,a
saso
c
i
a
l
ind
i
c
a
to
rre
a
che
sh
i
ghe
r
l
e
v
e
l
s
,
i
t
s
in
c
re
a
s
e
srep
re
s
en
th
i
gh
e
ra
ch
i
e
v
emen
t
sth
anh
ad
thes
ame
in
c
re
a
s
et
a
k
enp
l
a
c
ea
ta
low
e
r
l
e
v
e
l
,wh
i
l
e
,
inbo
ththeUNDP
‘o
ld
’and
HD
I,the
yre
f
l
e
c
tthes
amech
an
g
ere
g
a
rd
l
e
s
so
f
i
t
ss
t
a
r
t
in
g
l
e
v
e
l
.
‘h
yb
r
id
’
5
Fo
l
low
in
gK
a
kw
an
i
’
s(1993
)p
ropo
s
a
l
,th
eo
r
i
g
in
a
lv
a
ue
so
ftheso
c
i
a
l
,non
l
in
comed
imen
s
ion
so
fth
e
inde
xh
a
v
eb
een
t
r
an
s
fo
rmedu
s
in
gacon
v
e
xa
ch
i
e
v
emen
t
c
t
ion
,
fun
I=f(
x
,
Mo,
M)=(
lo
g(
MMo)–
lo
g(
M–
x
)
)/
lo
g(
MMo)
,fo
rε=1
[2
]
Wherexi
san
ind
i
c
a
to
ro
facoun
t
r
y
’
ss
t
and
a
rdo
f
l
i
v
in
g
,
M and
Mo a
reth
e
m
a
x
imumandm
in
imumv
a
lue
s
,o
rgo
a
lpo
s
t
s
,and
lo
gs
t
and
sfo
rthen
a
tu
r
a
l
lo
g
a
r
i
thm
.
l
ine
a
rt
r
an
s
fo
rm
a
t
ion
Inthec
a
s
eo
fthe
in
com
ed
imen
s
ion
Ih
a
v
ea
c
c
ep
tedt
he
(
e
xp
re
s
s
ion[1
]
)u
s
in
g
lo
gv
a
lue
s
,th
a
t
i
s
,d
im
in
i
sh
in
gre
tu
rn
sa
re
in
t
rodu
c
eto
su
c
c
e
s
s
i
v
eadd
i
t
ion
so
f
in
comepe
rhe
ad
.
Intheh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
inde
xo
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
tfo
rL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
,th
ev
a
r
i
ab
l
e
s
andgo
a
lpo
s
t
so
ftheUNDP
‘h
yb
r
id
’
inde
xa
r
eadop
ted
.A
l
sofo
l
low
in
gtheUNDPnew
app
ro
a
ch
,theh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
inde
xh
a
sbeend
e
r
i
v
eda
samu
l
t
ip
l
i
c
a
t
i
v
ecomb
in
a
t
iono
fthe
t
r
an
s
fo
rmedv
a
lue
so
fe
a
chd
imen
s
ion
.
I
fw
edeno
tethenon
l
ine
a
r
l
yt
r
an
s
fo
rmed
v
a
lue
so
f
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yandedu
c
a
t
iona
sL
EBand
E
DU
,andthead
ju
s
tedp
e
rcap
i
ta
in
comea
s
,theh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
inde
xo
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tc
anbee
xp
re
s
s
eda
s
,
1
/3
1/
3
H
IHD =
L
EB
EDU
UN
Y1/3 [3
]
Animpo
r
t
an
tob
j
e
c
t
iontoan
y
ind
e
xo
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tde
r
i
v
e
sf
romthe
f
a
c
tth
a
t
,
inthec
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
i
e
sapp
ro
a
ch
,fun
c
t
ion
in
g
sa
red
i
re
c
t
l
yre
l
a
t
edtowh
a
te
v
e
r
l
i
fe
peop
l
ea
c
tu
a
l
l
y
l
e
ad(
th
a
t
i
s
,a
ch
i
e
v
emen
t
s
)
,wh
i
l
ec
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
i
e
s(o
rab
i
l
i
t
ytoa
ch
i
e
v
e
)
a
reconne
c
tedw
i
ththef
reedomp
eop
l
eh
a
v
e
inthecho
i
c
eo
f
l
i
feo
rfun
c
t
ion
in
g
s(
S
en
1999
)
.Th
i
sme
an
sth
a
twh
i
l
etheHD
I
in
c
lud
e
sa
ch
i
e
v
emen
t
s(
inhe
a
l
th
,a
c
c
e
s
sto
know
l
ed
g
e
,e
t
c
.
)
,
i
tdoe
sno
tcomp
r
i
s
ethef
re
edomtochoo
s
efun
c
t
ion
in
g
s
.How
e
v
e
r
,
w
i
thou
ta
g
en
c
y–th
a
t
i
s
,theab
i
l
i
t
ytopu
r
su
eandre
a
l
i
zego
a
l
sape
r
sonh
a
sre
a
son
sto
v
a
lue–andf
reedom
,an
y
inde
xc
ap
tu
re
son
l
y
'b
a
s
i
cneed
s
'andf
a
l
l
ssho
r
to
fe
v
ena
redu
c
edfo
rmo
fthecon
c
ep
to
fhum
ande
v
e
lopm
en
t(
I
v
ano
vandPe
l
e
ah
,2010
)
.
TheD
a
t
a
Thesou
r
c
e
sandp
ro
c
edu
re
su
s
edtocon
s
t
ru
c
t
ind
i
c
e
sfo
re
a
chd
imen
s
iono
f
hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
ta
r
eb
r
i
e
f
l
yd
e
s
c
r
ibed
inth
i
ss
e
c
t
ion(
S
e
etheAppend
i
xfo
rde
t
a
i
l
s
)
.
6
L
i
fee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
yd
a
t
afo
rmo
s
tcoun
t
r
i
e
sdu
r
in
gth
ep
iod1980
-2007com
e
s
er
f
romth
e2010Hum
anD
e
v
e
lopmen
tR
epo
r
t(UNDP2010
)wh
i
l
ethe MO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
e
(A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.2003
)andA
r
r
i
a
g
a(1968
)
,p
ro
v
idethere
s
to
fth
ed
a
t
a
,wh
i
chw
e
re
8
comp
l
e
t
edw
i
thn
a
t
ion
a
lsou
r
c
e
s
.
De
a
r
tho
fd
a
t
afo
r
c
ed m
eo
c
c
a
s
ion
a
l
l
yto
in
t
rodu
c
e
so
mea
s
sump
t
ion
sfo
rth
epe
r
iodbe
fo
retheep
id
em
io
lo
g
i
c
a
lo
rh
e
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ion(R
i
l
e
y
9
,2005
c
)
.
Thu
s
,
intho
s
e(mo
s
t
l
yp
r
e
-1913
)c
a
s
e
s
,fo
rwh
i
chd
a
t
aon
l
i
fe
2005b
pe
c
t
an
c
yo
r
,
in
i
t
sab
s
en
c
e
,on
in
f
an
t mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yandhe
i
gh
t
sdono
te
x
i
s
t
,a
‘
f
loo
r
’o
f
e
x
25y
e
a
r
sh
a
sbeena
c
c
ep
t
eda
sth
em
in
imumh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
lv
a
luefo
r
l
i
f
ee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
ya
t
b
i
r
th
.10 Fu
r
th
e
rmo
re
,g
i
v
entheUNDP m
in
imumgo
a
lpo
s
t(M
f20y
e
a
r
s
,the25y
e
a
r
s
o)o
‘
f
loo
r
’p
r
e
c
lude
saze
rov
a
luefo
rth
et
r
an
s
fo
rmed
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
inde
xand
,
11
con
s
equ
en
t
l
y
,fo
rtheH
IHD.
Adu
l
t
l
i
te
r
a
c
y
i
saf
a
rf
romun
i
fo
rmcon
c
ep
t
.12 R
e
ad
in
gandw
r
i
t
in
gdono
t
nec
e
s
s
a
r
i
l
yco
in
c
ide
ind
e
v
e
lop
in
gcoun
t
r
i
e
s(M
a
r
ku
s
s
en1990
,N
i
l
s
son1999
)sothe
e
s
t
im
a
t
ed
l
i
te
r
a
c
yr
a
tev
a
r
i
e
sdepend
in
gonwhe
the
raw
ideo
ran
a
r
rowd
e
f
in
i
t
ion(
ju
s
t
d
in
go
rre
ad
in
gandw
r
i
t
in
gs
k
i
l
l
s
)
i
su
s
ed
.Th
e2009Hum
anD
e
v
e
lopmen
tR
epo
r
t
re
a
(UNDP2009
)p
ro
v
ide
smo
s
to
fthed
a
t
aon
l
i
te
r
a
c
yfo
r1980
-2007 MO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
e
andNew
l
and(1991
)
,p
lu
sn
a
t
ion
a
lsou
r
c
e
s
,p
ro
v
ided
a
t
afo
rthep
re
-1980e
r
a
.
En
ro
lmen
tr
a
te
sc
ap
tu
r
ethee
xp
an
s
iono
ffo
rm
a
ledu
c
a
t
ionw
i
thou
t
in
fo
rm
in
g
comp
l
e
t
iono
rqu
a
l
i
t
yo
fedu
c
a
t
ion(B
en
a
vo
tandR
idd
l
e1988
)
.H
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
le
v
iden
c
e
a
l
low
sonetoe
s
t
im
a
tethepe
r
c
en
t
a
g
eo
fpopu
l
a
t
iona
g
ed5
-24en
ro
l
l
ed
inp
r
im
a
r
y
,
s
e
cond
a
r
y
,andt
e
r
t
i
a
r
yedu
c
a
t
ion
,th
a
t
i
s
,theun
ad
ju
s
t
edr
a
teo
fto
t
a
len
ro
lmen
t
.A
s
8
L
i
f
ee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yh
a
sbe
ende
f
ineda
s
‘
thea
v
e
r
a
genumbe
ro
fye
a
r
so
f
l
i
f
ewh
i
chwou
ldr
em
a
info
rm
a
le
s
an
df
em
a
l
e
sr
e
a
ch
in
gthea
ge
sspe
c
i
f
ied
i
fthe
ycon
t
inuedtobesub
je
c
tedtothes
am
emo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
e
xpe
r
i
en
ced
intheye
a
r
(
s
)towh
i
chthe
se
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
ie
sr
e
f
e
r
’(Un
i
tedN
a
t
ion
s2000
)
.
9
Om
r
an(1971
:736
)de
f
ine
stheep
idem
io
lo
g
i
c
a
lt
r
an
s
i
t
iona
sa
lon
g
te
rmsh
i
f
t
in mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y“whe
r
eb
y
i
c
so
f
in
f
e
c
t
iona
r
eg
r
adu
a
l
l
yd
i
sp
l
a
c
edb
yde
g
ene
r
a
t
i
v
eand m
an
-m
aded
i
se
a
se
sa
sthech
i
e
f
p
andem
fo
rmo
f mo
rb
id
i
t
yandp
r
im
a
r
yc
au
s
eo
fde
a
th
”
.
10
None
the
l
e
s
s
,A
r
r
i
a
g
a(1968
)repo
r
t
s
lowe
rv
a
lue
sfo
rC
en
t
r
a
l
,Am
e
r
i
c
a(N
i
c
a
r
a
gu
aandGu
a
tem
a
l
a
)
,
M
ex
i
co
,andP
a
r
a
gu
a
y
inthe
l
a
ten
ine
te
en
thande
a
r
l
ytw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
y
.
11
T
run
c
a
t
in
gthe
low
e
rp
a
r
to
fthed
i
s
t
r
ibu
t
ionb
ya
s
sum
in
ga
l
i
f
ee
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
‘
f
loo
r
’o
f25ye
a
r
sh
a
sthe
an
t
a
g
eo
fa
l
low
in
gthe
in
c
lu
s
iono
fcoun
t
r
i
e
sfo
rwh
i
chnod
a
t
aa
r
ea
v
a
i
l
ab
l
e
.
a
dv
12
D
e
f
ineda
sthepe
r
c
en
t
a
geo
fthepopu
l
a
t
iona
g
ed15ye
a
r
so
ro
v
e
rwho
i
sab
l
etor
e
adandw
r
i
te
.
7
p
r
a
c
t
i
c
a
l
l
ynocoun
t
r
y
’
sedu
c
a
t
ionw
a
se
x
tendedtothos
ea
g
ed24y
e
a
r
s
inL
a
t
in
Ame
r
i
c
a
’
sp
a
s
t
,
ino
rde
rtoa
vo
idunde
r
e
s
t
im
a
t
ion
,th
ed
enom
in
a
to
rneed
stobe
ad
ju
s
t
edtothea
g
eb
r
a
c
k
e
tfo
re
a
cht
ypeo
fs
choo
l
in
g(p
r
im
a
r
y
,s
e
cond
a
r
y
,e
t
c
.
)
.G
ro
s
s
en
ro
lmen
tr
a
te
s
,th
a
t
i
s
,ad
ju
s
t
edr
a
t
e
s
,a
reon
l
ya
v
a
i
l
ab
l
efo
rther
e
c
en
tp
a
s
t
.Thu
s
,fo
r
theh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l(p
r
e
-1980
)e
s
t
im
a
t
e
su
s
in
gther
a
t
iobe
tw
eeng
ro
s
sen
ro
lmen
tr
a
te
s
(G
ER
)andun
ad
ju
s
t
edr
a
t
e
s(U
ER
)fo
re
a
chcoun
t
r
y(
)
in1980
,anda
s
sum
in
gthe
i
a
t
ion
sh
ipb
e
tw
eenG
ERandU
ERw
a
ss
t
ab
l
eo
v
e
rt
im
e
,
Ico
r
re
c
tedthedownw
a
rd
r
el
b
i
a
s
inp
r
e
v
iou
sben
chm
a
r
ky
e
a
r
s(j
)
.Th
a
t
i
s
,
G
ERi
U
ERi
)*U
ERi
(G
ER
1980 /
1980
j
j=
i
[
4
]
En
ro
lmen
td
a
t
afo
r1980
-2007come
sf
romthe2009Hum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
R
epo
r
t(UNDP2009
)
,comp
l
e
t
edw
i
thUN
E
SCO(2010
)
.Fo
rthep
re
-1980p
e
r
iod
,
en
ro
lmen
tf
i
gu
re
scom
emo
s
t
l
yf
rom MO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
eandNew
l
and(1991
)
,
supp
l
emen
tedw
i
thn
a
t
ion
a
lsou
r
c
e
s
.W
i
thr
e
g
a
rdtothere
l
e
v
an
tpopu
l
a
t
ion
,s
eethe
Append
i
x
.
Inthec
a
s
eo
fedu
c
a
t
ion
ind
i
c
a
to
r
s(
l
i
te
r
a
c
yanden
ro
lmen
tr
a
t
e
s
)
,UNDP
go
a
lpo
s
t
s[M=100
, Mo=0
]h
a
v
ebe
enk
ep
t
,bu
tth
eh
i
ghe
s
tand
low
e
s
th
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
lv
a
lue
s
w
e
res
e
ta
t99and1pe
rc
en
t
,r
e
spe
c
t
i
v
e
l
y
.13
a
s
eo
fthepe
rc
ap
i
t
a
in
comed
im
en
s
ion
,
Ih
a
v
ea
c
c
ep
tedtheUNHD
I
I
nthec
a
s
sump
t
ionth
a
t
i
t
sm
a
r
g
in
a
lu
t
i
l
i
t
yde
c
l
ine
sa
s
i
tr
e
a
che
sh
i
ghe
r
l
e
v
e
l
s
.TheUNDP
a
s
sump
t
ion
i
s
ju
s
t
i
f
i
edontheb
a
s
i
sth
a
tth
i
st
r
an
s
fo
rmed me
a
su
rep
ro
x
i
e
san
y
d
imen
s
iono
fw
e
l
lbe
in
gno
td
i
re
c
t
l
yre
l
a
t
edtohe
a
l
thandedu
c
a
t
ion
.
I
t
i
swo
r
thno
t
in
g
th
a
tw
e
reth
ea
s
sump
t
iono
fd
im
in
i
sh
in
gr
e
tu
rn
sto
in
comere
l
a
x
ed
,pe
rc
ap
i
t
aGDP-a
s
i
tdoe
sno
th
a
v
eana
s
ymp
to
t
i
cuppe
rbound
-wou
ldd
r
i
v
ethehum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
14
inde
x
,r
ende
r
in
g
i
tredund
an
t
.
Thu
s
,
ino
rde
rtog
e
tthe
in
com
e
inde
x
Ih
a
v
eu
s
ed
e
x
p
re
s
s
ion[1
]w
i
thGDPpe
rhe
ad
in
lo
g
s
.
13
Thea
s
sump
t
iono
f1pe
rcen
ta
sthe
low
e
s
th
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
lv
a
luefo
r
l
i
te
r
a
c
yanden
ro
lm
en
ts
eem
s
h
i
sto
r
i
c
a
l
l
y mo
rer
e
a
son
ab
l
eth
ana
c
c
ep
t
in
gze
ro
.Acon
s
equen
c
eo
fa
s
sum
in
gah
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
low
e
rbound
o
f1pe
rc
en
t
i
sp
re
ven
t
in
gze
rov
a
lue
sfo
rthet
r
an
s
fo
rm
edv
a
r
i
ab
l
e
s
.
14
Z
amb
r
ano(2011
)p
ro
v
ide
satheo
r
e
t
i
c
a
l
ju
s
t
i
f
i
c
a
t
ionfo
rthe
in
t
rodu
c
t
iono
fd
im
in
i
sh
in
gr
e
tu
rn
sto
om
epe
rhe
adw
i
th
inthecon
c
ep
tu
a
lf
r
am
ewo
r
ko
fthehum
ande
v
e
lopm
en
t
inde
x
.
in
c
8
Ih
a
v
es
e
ta
low
e
rboundfo
r
pe
rcap
i
taGDPa
tG
-K1990$300
,wh
i
ch
rep
re
s
en
t
sab
a
s
i
c
l
e
v
e
lo
fph
y
s
io
lo
g
i
c
a
lsub
s
i
s
t
en
c
e(
S
a
g
a
randN
a
j
am1998
:254
,
M
i
l
ano
v
i
ce
ta
l
.2011
)
,andr
em
a
in
sbe
lowthe Wo
r
ldB
an
k
’
se
x
t
remepo
v
e
r
t
yth
re
sho
ld
o
fG
-K1990$1ad
a
ype
rpe
r
sonand M
add
i
son
’
s(2006
)G
-K1990$400p
e
rhe
ad
.15
GDP pe
rhe
ad
i
se
xp
re
s
s
ed
inG
e
a
r
y
-Kh
am
i
s1990do
l
l
a
r
sandd
a
t
acomef
romC
EPA
L
16
and MO
x
LADsupp
l
emen
tedw
i
thh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
ln
a
t
ion
a
la
c
coun
t
s(
s
eeApp
end
i
x
)
.
e
r
,th
e
ind
i
c
e
sfo
re
a
chd
im
en
s
iono
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
tw
e
recomb
ined
L
a
t
w
i
thag
eome
t
r
i
ca
v
e
r
a
g
e(
s
eee
xp
re
s
s
ion[3
]
)
ino
rde
rtode
r
i
v
etheh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
ind
e
x
(
H
IHD)
. Wo
r
ldhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
th
a
sbeencompu
tedontheb
a
s
i
so
ffou
rd
i
f
fe
ren
t
coun
t
r
ys
amp
l
e
sfo
rwh
i
cht
imeandsp
a
t
i
a
lco
v
e
r
a
g
ea
re
in
v
e
r
s
e
l
yre
l
a
t
ed
.Thu
s
,o
v
e
r
theen
t
i
ret
im
esp
an
,1870
-2007
,12coun
t
r
i
e
sa
r
econ
s
id
e
red
,and
i
t
snumbe
rr
i
s
e
sup
to17
,27
,and29coun
t
r
i
e
sfo
rthes
amp
l
e
ss
t
a
r
t
in
g
in1913
,1950
,and1990
,
17
re
spe
c
t
i
v
e
l
y
.
The
s
es
amp
l
e
srep
re
s
en
ta
round85pe
rc
en
to
fL
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
c
an
popu
l
a
t
ionp
r
io
rto1913
,abo
v
e90pe
rc
en
t
inthe
In
te
rw
a
ry
e
a
r
s
,andp
r
a
c
t
i
c
a
l
l
ya
l
l
a
f
te
r1950
.A
s
i
tc
anbeob
s
e
r
v
ed
inF
i
gu
re1
,th
e
i
rpopu
l
a
t
ion
-w
e
i
gh
teda
v
e
r
a
g
e
sfo
r
L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aa
reh
i
gh
l
yco
in
c
iden
t
a
l
.The
r
e
fo
r
e
,
Ih
a
v
eno
tsp
l
i
c
edthem
.
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E1OV
ERH
ER
E
T
rend
s
inHum
anDe
ve
lopmen
t
s
e
r
v
ed
,w
i
thH
IHD
A
lon
g
runupw
a
rdt
rend
inwo
r
ldhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
i
sob
in2007n
in
e
fo
ldthe
l
e
v
e
l
in1870
.Low
e
rbu
ts
t
i
l
ls
i
gn
i
f
i
c
an
tg
a
in
sa
r
ea
l
sofoundfo
r
UNDP
ind
i
c
e
s
,
‘h
yb
r
id
’andp
re
-2010HD
I(
‘o
ld
’
)
,who
s
e
l
e
v
e
l
s
in2007w
e
r
eafou
r
-and
15
Th
i
s
lowe
rboundfo
rpe
rc
ap
i
t
a
in
com
e
,wh
i
ch
,nodoub
t
,t
run
c
a
te
sthed
a
t
as
e
ta
tthebo
t
tom
,a
l
low
s
onetocon
s
ide
rcoun
t
r
i
e
s
ine
a
r
l
i
e
rpe
r
iod
sfo
rwh
i
chnod
a
t
ae
x
i
s
t
.
16
Inthe2010Hum
anD
e
ve
lopm
en
tR
epo
r
t(UNDP2010
)
,the
low
e
s
t
l
e
v
e
lob
s
e
r
v
eds
in
c
e1980h
a
sbeen
t
ab
l
i
shed
in2008
in
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
l$163
,wh
i
ch
i
sequ
i
v
a
len
tto$108
in1990G
e
a
r
y
-Kh
am
i
sdo
l
l
a
r
s
.The
e
s
h
i
ghe
s
tpe
rc
ap
i
t
a
in
come
l
e
ve
lr
e
a
chedo
v
e
rthes
amet
imesp
an
,$108
,211
in
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
ldo
l
l
a
r
so
f
2008
,co
r
r
e
spond
sto$72
,020G
e
a
r
y
-Kh
am
i
sdo
l
l
a
r
so
f1990
.Su
chaf
i
gu
r
eh
a
sne
v
e
rbeena
ch
i
e
v
ed
in
G
e
a
r
y
-Kh
am
i
s1990do
l
l
a
r
s(M
add
i
son2010
)e
s
t
im
a
te
s
,so
Ih
a
v
echo
sentheob
s
e
r
v
ed m
a
x
imumand
m
in
imumv
a
lue
so
ve
r1870
-2007
in M
add
i
son(2010
)e
s
t
im
a
te
s
.
17
P
r
e
v
iou
s
l
y
,A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.(2005
)s
tud
i
edhum
ande
ve
lopmen
tfo
r6coun
t
r
i
e
ss
in
c
e1900and20f
rom
,andB
é
r
to
l
aandO
c
ampo(2012
)
in
v
e
s
t
i
g
a
ted7coun
t
r
i
e
sf
rom1900and19f
rom1960to
1950to2000
2010
.
9
af
i
v
e
fo
ldo
fth
a
t
in1870
,re
sp
e
c
t
i
v
e
l
y(
F
i
gu
re2
)
TheH
IHD e
xh
ib
i
t
sas
y
s
t
em
a
t
i
c
a
l
l
y
.
18
low
e
r
l
e
v
e
lth
anUNDP
ind
i
c
e
s
.
Aw
iden
in
gab
so
lu
teg
apopen
supb
e
tw
eenthem
rt
ime
,bu
tno
t
inre
l
a
t
i
v
ete
rm
s
,a
stheH
IHD g
row
sa
taf
a
s
te
rp
a
c
e
:1
.6pe
rc
en
t
o
ve
annu
a
l
l
ya
g
a
in
s
t1
.
1and1
.3pe
rc
en
tfo
r
‘o
ld
’andth
e
‘h
yb
r
id
’HD
I
,r
e
spe
c
t
i
v
e
l
y(
T
ab
l
e
1
)
.
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E2OV
ERH
ER
E
IHD andbo
thUNDP
S
in
c
ethe
in
come
inde
x
i
sth
es
amefo
ra
l
l
ind
i
c
e
s(
theH
ind
i
c
e
s
)
,the
i
rd
i
f
fe
ren
c
e
sde
r
i
v
ef
romthew
a
y
inwh
i
chtheo
r
i
g
in
a
lv
a
lue
so
fth
eso
c
i
a
l
v
a
r
i
ab
l
e
s(
l
i
f
ee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
ya
tb
i
r
thandedu
c
a
t
ion
)a
ret
r
an
s
fo
rm
edandwh
e
the
ran
a
r
i
thm
e
t
i
co
rg
eome
t
r
i
ca
v
e
r
a
g
e
i
su
s
edtoa
g
g
re
g
a
tethem
.Thu
s
,
i
fthe
in
come
d
imen
s
ion
i
se
x
c
lud
edf
romthehum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
inde
x
,theab
so
lu
t
eg
apbe
tw
een
theH
IHD*andtheUNDP
‘o
ld
’and
‘h
yb
r
id
’HD
I
*
ind
i
c
e
sb
ro
aden
s(
F
i
gu
re3
)
.
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E3OV
ERH
ER
E
Thep
a
c
eo
f
imp
ro
v
emen
t
inhum
ande
v
e
lopm
en
tshownb
ythenewh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
H
IHD)s
eem
stob
es
te
ad
yb
e
tw
een1880and1980bu
tfo
ras
lowdown
inth
e
inde
x(
1930
sandaph
a
s
eo
fa
c
c
e
l
e
r
a
t
ion
inth
e1940
s
.The1980
srep
re
s
en
tam
a
jo
r
d
i
s
con
t
inu
i
t
yw
i
ththep
a
c
eo
f
imp
ro
v
emen
t
inhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tf
a
l
l
in
gsh
a
rp
l
y
.
A
l
thou
ghg
r
adu
a
l
,s
te
ad
y
imp
ro
v
emen
t
i
s
,pe
rh
ap
s
,th
eb
e
s
tdep
i
c
t
iono
fhum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
te
vo
lu
t
ion
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
as
in
c
e1870
,fou
rm
a
inph
a
s
e
scou
ldb
e
d
i
s
t
in
gu
i
shed
:af
i
r
s
tone
,upto1913
,o
f
in
c
re
a
s
in
gp
ro
g
re
s
s
;as
e
condon
eo
f
de
c
e
l
e
r
a
t
iondu
r
in
gthe
in
te
rw
a
ry
e
a
r
s
;ath
i
rdph
a
s
eo
fsu
s
t
a
inedandf
a
s
t
e
r
imp
ro
v
emen
to
v
e
r1938
-1980
,
inwh
i
chthe1940
sand1950
sde
s
e
r
v
etob
e
h
i
gh
l
i
gh
ted
;and
,f
in
a
l
l
y
,acon
t
r
a
c
t
ion
inthep
a
ceo
fg
row
thf
rom1980tothee
v
eo
f
theg
re
a
tre
c
e
s
s
ionbu
tfo
rasho
r
t
l
i
v
edre
co
v
e
r
y
inthe1990
s(
T
ab
l
e1
)
.
IN
S
ER
TTAB
L
E1OV
ERH
ER
E
T
rend
s
inw
e
l
l
-b
e
in
g
,a
stho
s
ec
ap
tu
redb
ytheh
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
inde
xo
fhum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
tdono
tm
a
t
chc
lo
s
e
l
ytho
s
eob
s
e
r
v
edfo
rre
a
lGDPpe
rhe
ad(
F
i
gu
re4
)
.
In
f
a
c
t
,whenthe
in
com
ep
e
rhe
add
imen
s
ion
i
se
x
c
luded
,thep
ro
g
re
s
so
fhum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
tappe
a
r
ss
t
e
ad
ya
soppo
s
edtoGPDpe
rhe
adth
a
tp
r
e
s
en
t
samo
re
18
Whenthea
l
te
rn
a
t
i
v
eUNDP
ind
i
c
e
sa
r
ecomp
a
r
ed
,the
‘h
yb
r
id
’
inde
xr
em
a
in
ss
y
s
tem
a
t
i
c
a
l
l
ybe
lowthe
’HD
I
.
‘
old
10
vo
l
a
t
i
l
eandc
y
c
l
i
c
a
lp
a
t
t
e
rn
,
in
c
lud
in
gep
i
sode
so
fs
t
a
gn
a
t
ion
inth
e1930
sand
con
t
r
a
c
t
ion
inth
e1980
s
.O
v
e
r
a
l
l
,hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t(
e
x
c
lud
in
g
in
com
e
)g
rewf
a
s
te
r
th
anre
a
lGDPp
e
rhe
ado
v
e
rthefou
rm
a
inph
a
s
e
sp
re
v
iou
s
l
ye
s
t
ab
l
i
shedand
,
con
s
equ
en
t
l
y
,o
v
e
rtheen
t
i
ret
im
esp
ancon
s
ide
r
ed
,1870
-2007
.
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E4OV
ERH
ER
E
I
t
i
sdu
r
in
gtheg
lob
a
l
i
z
a
t
ionb
a
c
k
l
a
sho
fthe1930
sand1940
swh
enc
l
e
a
r
d
i
s
c
rep
an
c
i
e
seme
r
g
ed
. Mo
s
ts
i
gn
i
f
i
c
an
t
l
y
,wh
i
l
ere
a
lGDPp
e
rhe
add
e
c
l
in
edo
rs
low
ed
downa
swo
r
ldcommod
i
t
yandf
a
c
to
rm
a
r
k
e
t
sd
i
s
in
te
g
r
a
ted
,h
e
a
l
thandedu
c
a
t
ion
p
r
a
c
t
i
c
e
sbe
c
ame
in
c
re
a
s
in
g
l
yg
lob
a
l
i
zedandhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
tp
ro
g
re
s
s
eds
t
e
ad
i
l
y
.
S
in
c
e1970
,thep
a
c
eo
fad
v
an
c
emen
t
inhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
th
a
sno
tm
a
t
chedth
a
to
f
e
conom
i
cg
row
th
,w
i
thad
r
am
a
t
i
ccon
t
r
a
s
t
inthe1980
swhentheco
l
l
ap
s
e
inpe
r
c
ap
i
t
a
in
come
sp
a
r
a
l
l
e
l
ed mode
r
a
teg
a
in
s
inw
e
l
l
-be
in
g
.
Abe
t
te
rund
e
r
s
t
and
in
go
fthee
vo
lu
t
iono
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
i
sob
t
a
inedb
y
loo
k
in
ga
tthero
l
ep
l
a
y
edb
y
i
t
sd
imen
s
ion
s
.Theg
row
tho
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
(
H
IHD)c
anbed
i
s
t
r
ibu
ted
in
toth
econ
t
r
ibu
t
iono
f
i
t
sd
i
f
fe
ren
tcompon
en
t
sl
i
fe
e
xpe
c
t
an
c
ya
tb
i
r
th(
L
EB
)
,edu
c
a
t
ion(
EDU
)andt
run
c
a
ted
in
come(
UN
Y)
-ontheb
a
s
i
s
o
fe
xp
re
s
s
ion[3
]
.U
s
in
g
lowc
a
s
etodeno
ter
a
te
so
fv
a
r
i
a
t
ion
,
h
ihd=1
/3l
eb+1
/3
edu+1
/3
un
y
[5
]
I
tappe
a
r
sth
a
tso
c
i
a
ld
imen
s
ion
sd
ro
v
eL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
shum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
g
a
in
so
v
e
rthe
lon
grun
,w
i
thb
a
l
an
c
edcon
t
r
ibu
t
ion
so
f
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yandedu
c
a
t
ion
.
Lon
g
e
v
i
t
ya
c
coun
t
sfo
rthe
l
a
r
g
e
rsh
a
redu
r
in
gth
ef
i
r
s
th
a
l
fo
fthetw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
y
,
andw
a
sc
l
e
a
r
l
ythed
r
i
v
in
gfo
r
c
eb
e
tw
een1938and1950
.A
c
c
e
s
stoknow
l
ed
g
eh
ad
,
in
s
te
ad
,a
l
e
ad
in
gro
l
e
inthe
l
a
ten
ine
teen
thc
en
tu
r
yanddu
r
in
gthes
e
condh
a
l
fo
fth
e
tw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
y
,bu
tfo
rthe1980
s(
T
ab
l
e2andF
i
gu
r
e5
)
.
IN
S
ER
TTAB
L
E2ANDF
IGUR
E5OV
ERH
ER
E
M
a
jo
rg
a
in
s
in
lon
g
e
v
i
t
yuptom
id
tw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
yw
e
rea
s
so
c
i
a
tedto
ad
v
an
c
e
s
in med
i
c
a
ls
c
i
en
c
eandte
chno
lo
g
y
,su
cha
sthed
i
f
fu
s
iono
ftheg
e
rmtheo
r
y
o
fd
i
s
e
a
s
e(1880
s
)(P
r
e
s
ton1975
)
,newv
a
c
c
ine
s(
1890
s
)
,andsu
lph
ad
ru
g
stocu
re
in
fe
c
t
iou
sd
i
s
e
a
s
e
s(
l
a
te1930
s
)andan
t
ib
io
t
i
c
s(1950
s
)(
E
a
s
te
r
l
in1999
,J
a
y
a
ch
and
r
an
e
ta
l
.2010
)
,th
a
tf
a
c
i
l
i
t
a
t
edaf
i
r
s
th
e
a
l
tho
rep
idem
io
lo
g
i
c
a
lt
r
an
s
i
t
ion
inwh
i
ch
in
fe
c
t
iou
sd
i
s
e
a
s
eg
a
v
ew
a
ytoch
ron
i
cd
i
s
e
a
s
e(R
i
le
y
,2005b
,2005
c
)
.
E
conom
i
cg
row
th
11
a
l
socon
t
r
ibu
tedtoe
xp
and
in
g
lon
g
e
v
i
t
yth
rou
ghnu
t
r
t
ion
imp
ro
v
em
en
t
sth
a
t
i
s
t
ren
g
then
sthe
immunes
y
s
temandredu
c
e mo
rb
id
i
t
y(
S
to
ln
i
t
z1955
,M
cK
eowne
ta
l
.
1962
,1975
,Fo
g
e
l2004
)
-andpub
l
i
cp
ro
v
i
s
iono
fh
e
a
l
th(
Loudon2000
;Cu
t
l
e
rand
M
i
l
l
e
r2005
)
.
D
idth
eg
apb
e
tw
eenO
ECD andL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ade
epeno
v
e
rt
im
e
?L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
ECD be
tw
een1880and1980th
a
t
e
xpe
r
i
en
c
ed mode
r
a
teands
te
ad
yc
a
t
ch
in
g
-uptoO
in
ten
s
i
f
i
eddu
r
in
g1900
-1913
,th
e1940
sand
,a
g
a
in
,
inthe1970
s(
F
i
gu
re6
)
.R
e
l
a
t
i
v
eto
O
ECD
,L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ap
r
e
s
en
t
scomp
a
r
a
t
i
v
e
l
y
low
e
r
l
e
v
e
l
swh
enme
a
su
r
edb
y
H
IHD
th
anw
i
thUNDP
ind
i
c
e
s
,fo
rwh
i
chc
a
t
ch
in
gupcon
t
inueda
l
thou
gha
ts
low
e
rp
a
c
eun
t
i
l
2007
.Thu
s
,L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
arep
r
e
s
en
tedb
e
lowtwo
th
i
rd
so
fth
eO
ECDl
e
v
e
l
in2007
,
IHD,andr
e
a
chedo
v
e
rfou
r
f
i
f
th
sw
i
ththeUNDP
ind
i
c
e
s
.
a
c
co
rd
in
gtoth
eH
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E6OV
ERH
ER
E
Incomp
a
r
i
sontoo
the
rd
e
v
e
lop
in
gre
g
ion
s
,L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
sc
a
t
ch
in
gupw
a
s
s
t
ron
g
e
rdu
r
in
gthe1940
sande
x
tendedbe
yondthe1970bound
a
r
i
e
sre
a
ch
in
g1980
(
F
i
gu
re7
)
.A
sare
su
l
t
,b
y2007
,
l
e
v
e
l
so
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
tinL
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
c
a
m
a
t
chedtho
s
eo
fthe O
ECDinth
e
l
a
te1960
s
;wh
i
l
e
,ona
v
e
r
a
g
e
,hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t
ind
e
v
e
lop
in
gr
e
g
ion
son
l
yre
a
chedthe
O
ECDl
e
v
e
l
in1950
.
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E7
OV
ERH
ER
E
i
f
f
e
r
ss
i
gn
i
f
i
c
an
t
l
y
inte
rm
so
f
L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
spo
s
i
t
ionre
l
a
t
i
v
etotheO
ECD d
hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t(
e
x
c
lud
in
g
i
t
s
in
comed
imen
s
ion
)andGDPpe
rhe
ad
.Wh
i
l
e
su
s
t
a
in
edc
a
t
ch
in
g
-upo
v
e
rthetw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
ya
ch
i
e
v
edL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aa
lmo
s
ttwo
th
i
rd
so
fO
ECD hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t(
e
x
c
lud
in
g
in
come
)
,a
f
te
ra
lon
gph
a
s
eo
fs
t
ab
i
l
i
t
y
L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
sGDPpe
rhe
adde
c
l
ineds
in
c
e1950
,rep
re
s
en
t
in
gon
l
yon
e
fou
r
tho
f
O
ECD’
sb
y2000(
F
i
gu
re8
)
.Onth
ewho
l
e
,L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ape
r
fo
rmedbe
t
t
e
r
inhum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
tth
an
in
in
comep
e
rhe
adt
e
rm
s
.Thu
s
,
in2007
,r
e
a
lpe
rc
ap
i
t
aGDP
in
L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ar
e
a
chedth
e
l
a
t
e1950
sO
ECDl
e
v
e
lwh
i
l
efo
rd
e
v
e
lop
in
gr
e
g
ion
s
,a
sa
who
l
e
,on
l
yth
a
to
f1938(P
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,2015
)
.
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E8
OV
ERH
ER
E
sme
a
su
redb
ythe
i
rd
i
f
fe
ren
c
e
inhum
an
L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ac
a
t
ch
in
g
-uptoO
ECD,a
de
v
e
lopmen
tg
row
thr
a
t
e
s
,show
sth
a
tedu
c
a
t
ionh
a
sbeenthe
l
e
ad
in
gd
imen
s
ion
,
12
e
spe
c
i
a
l
l
y
,du
r
in
gthes
e
condh
a
l
fo
fthetw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
y(bu
tfo
rthe1980
s
)(
F
i
gu
re
9
)
.L
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yon
l
ym
adeasub
s
t
an
t
i
a
lcon
t
r
ibu
t
iontoc
a
t
ch
in
gupdu
r
in
gthe
1938
-1950
,th
ef
a
s
te
s
tp
e
r
iodo
fsho
r
ten
in
gd
i
f
fe
r
en
c
e
sw
i
thO
ECD.
I
t
i
swo
r
th
h
i
gh
l
i
gh
t
in
gth
a
tsu
chanad
v
an
c
eo
f
tend
idno
tre
su
l
to
fw
id
e
sp
re
adt
re
a
tmen
to
f
in
fe
c
t
iou
sd
i
s
e
a
s
e
sw
i
thsu
lph
ad
ru
g
sandan
t
ib
io
t
i
c
sandv
a
c
c
in
a
t
iona
g
a
in
s
t
tub
e
r
cu
lo
s
i
s
,
l
a
r
g
e
l
y
in
a
c
c
e
s
s
ib
l
eto
i
t
s
low
in
com
epopu
l
a
t
ion
,bu
tw
a
sa
ch
i
e
v
ed
th
rou
gh
low
co
s
tpub
l
i
che
a
l
th m
e
a
su
re
sandthed
i
f
fu
s
iono
fh
y
g
i
en
i
cp
r
a
c
t
i
c
e
s
,o
f
ten
du
r
in
gp
e
r
iod
so
fe
conom
i
cs
t
a
gn
a
t
ion(R
i
l
e
y2001
)
.19
ER
TF
IGUR
E9OV
ERH
ER
E
I
NS
InL
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
c
a
,
lon
g
e
v
i
t
yg
a
in
ss
low
eddowna
sthee
a
r
l
y
l
i
fe
,
f
i
r
s
the
a
l
th
t
r
an
s
i
t
ionw
a
se
xh
au
s
ted
.
Inthe
l
a
tetw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
yas
e
condhe
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ionh
a
s
t
a
k
enp
l
a
c
e
inthede
v
e
lopedwo
r
ld
,w
i
th mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yf
a
l
l
in
gamon
gthee
lde
r
l
ya
s
re
sp
i
r
a
to
r
yandc
a
rd
io
v
a
s
cu
l
a
rd
i
s
e
a
s
e
sw
e
refou
gh
t mo
ree
f
f
i
c
i
en
t
l
yandthe
i
rhe
a
l
th
andnu
t
r
i
t
ion
inch
i
ldhoodh
adbeenb
e
t
te
r(
(Cu
t
l
e
re
ta
l
.
,2006
;E
g
g
l
e
s
tonandFu
ch
s
,
)
.L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
sab
s
en
c
e
inth
i
ss
e
condh
e
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ionhe
lp
stoe
xp
l
a
inwh
y
2012
there
g
ionh
a
sf
a
l
l
enbeh
ind
.
AC
lo
se
rLoo
ka
tCoun
t
r
i
e
s
’Pe
r
fo
rm
an
ce
W
e
rethef
ru
i
t
so
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopm
en
tp
ro
g
re
s
s
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ae
v
en
l
y
d
i
s
t
r
ibu
t
edo
rcoun
t
r
yd
i
f
fe
ren
c
e
sw
iden
?Th
ed
i
spe
r
s
iono
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t
a
c
ro
s
sL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ancoun
t
r
i
e
sfe
l
lbe
tw
een1913and2000(
F
i
gu
re10
)
.How
e
v
e
r
,
s
in
c
etheco
e
f
f
i
c
i
en
to
fv
a
r
i
a
t
ionrem
a
inedabo
v
eone
fou
r
thupto1970
,ac
lo
s
e
r
loo
k
t
r
i
e
s
’pe
r
fo
rm
an
c
e
i
sn
eed
ed
.Hum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tr
an
k
in
gre
v
e
a
l
sh
i
gh
a
tcoun
s
t
ab
i
l
i
t
yo
v
e
rt
ime
,p
a
r
t
i
cu
l
a
r
l
yb
e
tw
een1870and1950(
T
ab
l
e3
)
.U
ru
gu
a
y
,A
r
g
en
t
in
a
andCub
a
,J
am
a
i
c
a
,andCh
i
l
es
t
a
y
eda
tthetopo
fth
e
l
e
a
gue
,towh
i
chCo
s
t
aR
i
c
a
in
co
rpo
r
a
tedf
rom1913onw
a
rd
s(on
c
ed
a
t
ape
rm
i
t
tedtop
rodu
c
ee
s
t
im
a
te
s
)
.A
f
te
r
1950
,when
in
fo
rm
a
t
iononthem
i
sa
v
a
i
l
ab
l
e
,C
a
r
ibbe
ancoun
t
r
i
e
s(B
ah
am
a
s
,
19
Low
co
s
tpub
l
i
che
a
l
th m
e
a
su
r
e
sandd
i
f
fu
s
iono
fhe
a
l
thknow
l
ed
g
ep
l
a
yeda m
a
jo
rro
le
ine
r
ad
i
c
a
t
in
g
co
mmun
i
c
ab
led
i
s
e
a
s
e
s(d
i
a
r
rhe
a
ld
i
s
e
a
s
e
s
,m
a
l
a
r
i
a
,andtube
r
cu
lo
s
i
s
)
,p
r
io
rtothe
in
t
rodu
c
t
iono
f
an
t
ib
io
t
i
c
s(R
i
le
y
,2005
a
)
.
InJ
am
a
i
c
a
, mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yde
c
l
inedsh
a
rp
l
ydu
r
in
gthe
l
a
te1920
sand1930
swh
i
l
e
r
e
a
lpe
rc
ap
i
t
aGDPw
a
sre
l
a
t
i
v
e
l
ys
t
a
gn
an
t
.As
im
i
l
a
re
xpe
r
ien
c
e
i
sfound
inB
r
i
t
i
shGu
i
an
a(M
and
l
e
,
1970
)
.
13
B
a
rb
ado
s
,T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go
,andPue
r
toR
i
co
)
jo
in
edthetopg
roupbu
t
,s
in
c
e1980
,
J
am
a
i
c
a
,T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go
,andB
ah
am
a
sg
r
adu
a
l
l
y
lo
s
tg
round
.Thebo
t
tom
’
s
compo
s
i
t
iona
l
soe
xh
ib
i
t
sh
i
ghpe
r
s
i
s
ten
c
e
in
c
lud
in
gtheAnd
e
ancoun
t
r
i
e
s(Bo
l
i
v
i
a
,
E
cu
ado
r
,andP
e
ru
)p
lu
sVene
zue
l
aand
,f
rom1913onw
a
rd
s-on
c
e
in
fo
rm
a
t
ion
i
s
a
v
a
i
l
ab
l
efo
rthem
-C
en
t
r
a
lAme
r
i
c
ancoun
t
r
i
e
s(Co
s
t
aR
i
c
ae
x
c
luded
)
jo
in
edthemw
i
th
e
v
en
low
e
r
l
e
v
e
l
so
fhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t
.H
a
i
t
i
,fo
rwh
i
ch
in
fo
rm
a
t
ionon
l
ye
x
i
s
t
sa
f
te
r
1950
,he
ldthe
l
a
s
tpo
s
i
t
iono
v
e
r1950
-2007
.
IN
S
ER
TTAB
L
E3ANDF
IGUR
E10OV
ERH
ER
E
,th
en
,noc
a
t
ch
in
g
-upandcon
v
e
r
g
en
c
ew
i
th
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ao
v
e
rtheone
W
as
andah
a
l
fc
en
tu
r
i
e
scon
s
ide
red
?Ag
l
an
c
ea
tcoun
t
r
yg
row
thr
an
k
in
gshow
sth
a
tthe
coun
t
r
i
e
sth
a
te
xh
ib
i
tth
e
l
a
r
g
e
s
tg
a
in
s
inhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
ta
r
eno
tne
c
e
s
s
a
r
i
l
y
tho
s
eo
c
cup
y
in
gthetoppo
s
i
t
ion
s(
T
ab
l
e4
)
,soac
e
r
t
a
ind
e
g
reeo
fcon
v
e
r
g
en
c
ec
anbe
con
j
e
c
tu
red
.S
imp
l
ere
g
r
e
s
s
ion
sbe
tw
eeng
row
thr
a
te
so
v
e
r
in
i
t
i
a
l
l
e
v
e
l
sfo
re
a
cho
f
them
a
inph
a
s
e
se
s
t
ab
l
i
shed
ind
i
c
a
tebe
t
a
con
v
e
r
g
en
c
eo
v
e
rthe
lon
grun(
F
i
gu
re11
)
.
Ac
lo
s
e
r
loo
kshow
sth
a
t
i
tw
a
son
l
yo
v
e
r1938
-1980whenc
a
t
ch
in
gupd
ida
c
tu
a
l
l
y
h
app
en(
F
i
gu
re
s12
a
-d
)
.Fu
r
the
rmo
r
e
,e
v
enthou
ghcon
v
e
r
g
en
c
erem
a
in
edw
e
a
ko
v
e
r
the
lon
grun
,thev
a
r
i
an
c
eamon
gcoun
t
r
i
e
sd
e
c
l
in
ed(
F
i
gu
r
e10
)
.
I
tc
anb
ea
r
gue
,
the
r
e
fo
r
e
,th
a
ta
c
ro
s
s
coun
t
r
i
e
sd
i
f
fe
ren
c
e
s
inthe
l
e
v
e
lo
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
d
im
in
i
shedde
sp
i
tethef
a
c
tth
a
tthecoun
t
r
yr
an
k
in
grem
a
ined
l
a
r
g
e
l
yun
a
l
te
red
.
IN
S
ER
TTAB
L
E4ANDF
IGUR
E11OV
ERH
ER
E
Wh
ysu
chaw
e
a
kcon
v
e
r
g
en
c
eo
c
cu
r
r
edandc
a
t
ch
in
gupw
a
sre
s
t
r
i
c
tedtoth
e
1938
-1980pe
r
iodc
anb
eunde
r
s
toodb
e
t
te
rb
y
loo
k
in
ga
tthe
imm
ed
i
a
tesou
r
c
e
so
f
hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t
imp
ro
v
emen
t(
T
ab
l
e5
)
.Thu
s
,
imp
ro
v
emen
t
s
inedu
c
a
t
ionhe
lpto
a
inwh
yA
r
g
en
t
in
a
,Ch
i
l
e
,andCub
as
t
a
y
eda
tthetopo
v
e
r1870
-1913
.Inthe
e
x
pl
In
te
rw
a
r
,sub
s
t
an
t
i
a
l
imp
ro
v
emen
t
s
in
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
inE
cu
ado
r
,P
e
ru
,and Me
x
i
co
i
so
famo
r
eb
a
l
an
c
ed
andCo
s
t
aR
i
c
a
,wh
i
l
eVene
zue
l
aa
l
sod
id
i
tonth
eb
a
s
comb
in
a
t
iono
f
lon
g
e
v
i
t
yandedu
c
a
t
iong
a
in
s
,he
lptoe
xp
l
a
inv
e
r
yw
e
a
kb
e
t
a
con
v
e
r
g
en
c
e
.
Then
,m
a
jo
ra
ch
i
e
v
em
en
t
s
in
lon
g
e
v
i
t
yandedu
c
a
t
iona
c
coun
tfo
r
s
t
ron
g
e
rand mo
rew
id
e
sp
re
adc
a
t
ch
in
gupdu
r
in
g1938
-1980
,wh
i
l
ew
e
a
kp
ro
g
re
s
s
in
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yhe
lptoe
xp
l
a
ins
lu
g
g
i
shc
a
t
ch
in
g
-upa
f
t
e
r1980
.
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E
S12
a
-dANDTAB
L
E5OV
ERH
ER
E
14
Hum
anDe
ve
lopmen
t
,F
r
eedom
,andA
g
en
c
y
F
ee m
a
r
k
e
t
s
,
i
th
a
sbe
ena
r
gu
ed
,wou
ldno
th
a
v
econ
t
r
ibu
tedtocon
t
ro
l
r
d
i
s
e
a
s
et
r
an
sm
i
s
s
ion
,en
cou
r
a
g
e
immun
i
z
a
t
ion
,no
rs
t
imu
l
a
t
e med
i
c
a
lr
e
s
e
a
r
ch
,so
pub
l
i
c
in
te
r
v
en
t
ionw
a
sr
equ
i
r
ed(
E
a
s
te
r
l
in1999
)
.A
sso
c
i
a
l
i
smp
ro
v
id
e
sth
ef
r
am
ewo
r
k
fo
rana
c
t
i
v
ero
l
eo
fgo
v
e
rnmen
t
,doso
c
i
a
l
i
s
tso
c
i
e
t
i
e
sh
a
v
eanad
v
an
t
a
g
eo
v
e
r
c
ap
i
t
a
l
i
s
tone
sa
t
l
i
f
t
in
ghum
anw
e
l
l
-be
in
g
,a
t
l
e
a
s
t
,
ine
a
r
l
ys
t
a
g
e
so
fd
e
v
e
lopmen
t
?
Doe
sthee
v
id
en
c
eonhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tsuppo
r
tth
i
sv
i
ew
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
?
Cub
a
,theon
l
y
lon
g
te
rmso
c
i
a
l
i
s
te
xpe
r
i
en
c
e
inth
eAme
r
i
c
a
s
,a
ch
i
e
v
edrem
a
r
k
ab
l
e
20
su
c
c
e
s
ss
in
c
ethe1959R
e
vo
lu
t
ion
,d
r
i
v
ene
x
c
lu
s
i
v
e
l
yb
y
i
t
snon
in
comed
imen
s
ion
s
.
r
i
g
in
so
fthe
imp
ro
v
emen
tp
re
-d
a
te
,how
e
v
e
r
,the1959R
e
vo
lu
t
ion
.
Inf
a
c
t
,a
T
heo
su
s
t
a
in
ed
imp
ro
v
emen
t
in
l
i
f
ee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
ytoo
kp
l
a
c
edu
r
in
gth
ef
i
r
s
th
a
l
fo
fthe
tw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
y
,sob
ye
v
eo
fthe1959R
e
vo
lu
t
ion
,Cub
aw
a
sabo
v
eth
ea
v
e
r
a
g
e
L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
anandSou
the
rnEu
rope
ancoun
t
r
i
e
s(M
cGu
i
reandF
r
an
k
e
l2005
,
De
v
e
reu
x2010
;W
a
rdandD
e
v
e
reu
x2010
,2012
)
.The mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yde
c
l
ine
,
in
i
t
i
a
teda
f
t
e
r
theU
.
S
.o
c
cup
a
t
ion
,w
a
sa
s
so
c
i
a
tedtos
an
i
t
a
r
yandpub
l
i
che
a
l
th
inno
v
a
t
ion
,and
l
a
r
g
e
l
y
indep
end
en
tf
romCub
a
’
s
l
e
v
e
lo
fe
conom
i
cde
v
e
lopmen
t(D
í
a
z
-B
r
ique
t
s1981
)
.
A
f
te
rtheR
e
vo
lu
t
ion
,afu
r
the
rand
imp
r
e
s
s
i
v
e
imp
ro
v
emen
t
in
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yh
a
s
t
a
k
enp
l
a
c
e
,a
sare
su
l
to
fthesu
c
c
e
s
s
inf
i
gh
t
in
gande
r
ad
i
c
a
t
in
g
in
f
an
tmo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
.
In
te
re
s
t
in
g
l
y
,th
e
re
i
scon
t
inu
i
t
y
inth
epo
s
t
-1959e
r
a
,a
shum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tsu
c
c
e
s
s
h
a
so
c
cu
r
red
ins
t
r
i
k
in
gcon
t
r
a
s
tw
i
th
i
t
spoo
re
conom
i
cp
e
r
fo
rm
an
c
e
.Su
chan
a
ch
i
e
v
emen
th
a
sbeena
t
t
r
ibu
tedtoth
ecoe
r
c
i
v
epow
e
ro
ftheso
c
i
a
l
i
s
ts
t
a
te
(De
v
e
reu
x2010
, Me
s
a
L
a
go2005
)
.
Doe
sthee
v
id
en
c
esu
g
g
e
s
tapo
s
i
t
i
v
ean
sw
e
rtoth
e
in
i
t
i
a
lque
s
t
ion
?B
e
fo
r
e
p
ro
v
id
in
ganan
sw
e
ran
impo
r
t
an
tc
a
v
e
a
t
i
sne
c
e
s
s
a
r
y
.
Inthesho
r
t
cu
tapp
ro
a
chto
‘me
a
su
re
’hum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tu
s
edhe
r
e
,a
g
en
c
yandf
re
edoma
re
l
e
f
ta
s
ide
.W
i
thou
t
a
g
en
c
yandf
reedom
,th
ehum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
ind
e
xbe
come
ss
imp
l
ya
‘b
a
s
i
cneed
s
’
inde
x(
I
v
ano
vandP
e
l
e
ah2010
)
.Acomp
reh
en
s
i
v
edep
i
c
t
iono
fhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
need
s
in
co
rpo
r
a
teth
eoppo
r
tun
i
t
i
e
s
ind
i
v
idu
a
l
sh
a
veo
fe
x
e
r
c
i
s
in
gthe
i
rpo
l
i
t
i
c
a
l
20
Ih
a
v
echo
s
entou
sethete
rm
‘
so
c
i
a
l
i
s
t
’r
a
the
rth
an
‘
commun
i
s
t
’a
s
inthe M
a
r
x
i
s
tthou
gh
tthe
l
a
t
te
r
w
asthego
a
ltober
e
a
chedandso
c
i
a
l
i
smw
a
stheme
an
stor
e
a
ch
i
t
.S
e
ead
i
s
cu
s
s
ion
in
I
v
ano
vand
Pe
l
e
ah(2010
)
.
15
c
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
i
e
sandi
luen
c
in
gpub
l
i
cde
c
i
s
ion
s(D
a
s
gup
t
aand W
e
a
l
e1992
;Che
ibub
nf
2010
)
.Thec
a
s
eo
fCub
ap
re
s
en
t
sane
x
t
remecon
t
r
a
s
tbe
tw
eenthesu
c
c
e
s
s
in
a
ch
i
e
v
in
g
‘b
a
s
i
cn
eed
s
’andth
ef
a
i
lu
retoen
l
a
r
g
in
gpeop
l
e
’
scho
i
c
e
s–
theco
reo
f
hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
t
-a
sa
g
en
c
yandf
reedoma
r
ecu
r
t
a
i
l
edb
ythepo
l
i
t
i
c
a
lre
g
ime
.
R
e
s
t
r
i
c
t
ion
so
f
ind
i
v
idu
a
lcho
i
c
e
inCub
aa
sco
l
l
e
c
t
i
v
i
z
a
t
ion
,fo
r
c
ed
indu
s
t
r
i
a
l
i
z
a
t
ion
,
andpo
l
i
t
i
c
a
lrep
re
s
s
ione
x
emp
l
i
f
y
,su
g
g
e
s
tth
a
ta
ch
i
e
v
emen
t
s
inh
e
a
l
thandedu
c
a
t
ion
cou
ldbe
,s
t
r
i
c
t
l
yspe
a
k
in
g
,dep
i
c
teda
s
‘b
a
s
i
cn
eed
s
’r
a
the
rth
ana
shum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
t(
I
v
ano
vandPe
l
e
ah2010
)
.21 Th
es
am
ec
a
v
e
a
tapp
l
i
e
stof
a
s
c
i
smand
he
rto
t
a
l
i
t
a
r
i
anr
e
g
ime
sunde
rc
ap
i
t
a
l
i
smth
a
tsupp
re
s
s
edf
re
edomanda
g
en
c
y
ot
a
c
ro
s
sL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
.
I
t
i
s
,none
th
e
l
e
s
s
,r
e
a
s
su
r
in
gth
a
t
,s
in
c
e1950
,hum
ande
v
e
lopmen
tand
demo
c
r
a
t
i
z
a
t
iona
reco
r
r
e
l
a
tedandth
e
i
ra
s
so
c
i
a
t
iong
row
ss
t
ron
g
e
ra
sth
e
i
r
l
e
v
e
l
sg
e
t
h
i
ghe
r(po
s
i
t
i
v
es
i
gno
fthequ
ad
r
a
t
i
cte
rm
inthere
g
re
s
s
ion
)(
F
i
gu
re13
)
.22
IN
S
ER
TF
IGUR
E13OV
ERH
ER
E
Con
c
lu
s
ion
s
Hum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
imp
ro
v
ed
inL
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
c
adu
r
in
gthe
l
a
s
tc
en
tu
r
yanda
h
a
l
f
,e
spe
c
i
a
l
l
ybe
tw
een1900and1980
,wheng
a
in
sw
e
res
i
gn
i
f
i
c
an
tanda
c
ro
s
sthe
bo
a
rd
.R
em
a
r
k
ab
l
ep
ro
g
r
e
s
s
in
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yandedu
c
a
t
iono
c
cu
r
redb
e
tw
een1938
and1950
,p
re
c
i
s
e
l
ya
tth
et
im
eo
fane
conom
i
cg
lob
a
l
i
z
a
t
ionb
a
c
k
l
a
sh
.
Th
i
spo
in
t
stoade
v
e
lopmen
tpu
z
z
l
e
. Wh
ya
ret
r
end
s
inGDPpe
rc
ap
i
t
aand
hum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
tun
co
r
re
l
a
t
edo
v
e
r
lon
gpe
r
iod
so
ft
imewhen
in
c
re
a
s
e
s
inpe
r
c
ap
i
t
a
in
comewou
ldsu
r
e
l
ycon
t
r
ibu
tetobe
t
t
e
rnu
t
r
i
t
ion
,he
a
l
thandedu
c
a
t
ion
?Doe
s
thee
xp
l
an
a
t
ion
l
i
e mo
rew
i
thpub
l
i
cpo
l
i
c
y(
e
.
g
.pub
l
i
cs
choo
l
in
g
,pub
l
i
che
a
l
th
,th
er
i
s
e
o
fthew
e
l
f
a
res
t
a
te
)
,o
rw
i
ththef
a
c
tth
a
tmed
i
c
a
lte
chno
lo
g
y
i
sapub
l
i
cgood
?
21
F
romth
i
spe
r
spe
c
t
i
v
e
,thedem
i
seo
fso
c
i
a
l
i
sma
f
te
r1989wou
ldh
a
v
er
ep
re
sen
tedanad
v
an
c
e
in
te
rm
so
fhum
ande
ve
lopmen
t
.How
e
ve
r
,a
sr
e
g
a
rd
sa
gen
c
y
,ad
v
an
c
e
s
inc
i
v
i
landpo
l
i
t
i
c
a
l
l
ibe
r
t
i
e
sthe
ou
t
com
eh
a
sbeenqu
i
teune
venw
i
thpo
l
i
t
i
c
a
lvo
i
ceandp
a
r
t
i
c
ip
a
t
ionr
e
s
t
r
i
c
ted
inthecoun
t
r
i
e
so
fthe
fo
rm
e
rSo
v
ie
tUn
ion(Cen
t
r
a
lA
s
i
a
,
inp
a
r
t
i
cu
l
a
r
)and
ind
i
spu
t
ab
l
ep
ro
g
r
e
s
s
inC
en
t
r
a
lEu
ropeandthe
B
a
l
t
i
cr
epub
l
i
c
s(B
r
a
ine
rd2010
a
)
.
22
The
inde
xo
fdemo
c
r
a
t
i
z
a
t
ioncom
e
sf
romV
anh
anen(2011
)
,no
rm
a
l
i
zedb
yd
i
v
id
in
g
i
t
sv
a
lueb
y
i
t
s
t
i
a
lm
a
x
imumso
i
tr
an
ge
sbe
tw
een0and1
,andbe
com
e
scomp
a
r
ab
l
etotheH
IHD
.
poten
16
The
l
a
s
tth
r
eede
c
ade
sh
a
v
ew
i
tne
s
s
edaw
iden
in
g
int
heab
so
lu
teg
apb
e
tw
een
de
v
e
lopedcoun
t
r
i
e
sandL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
.D
i
f
fe
r
en
c
e
s
inth
eb
eh
a
v
iou
ro
fhum
an
de
v
e
lopmen
td
imen
s
ion
she
lptoe
xp
l
a
in
i
t
.
InL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
,
l
i
f
ee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
yp
l
a
y
eda
m
a
jo
rro
l
e
inhum
and
e
v
e
lopmen
tg
a
in
sandc
a
t
ch
in
gup
,bu
ton
l
yun
t
i
lth
em
id
tw
en
t
i
e
thc
en
tu
r
y
.W
i
thcomp
l
e
t
iono
fthef
i
r
s
th
e
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ion
,
i
t
sd
yn
am
i
cro
l
e
f
aded
.As
e
condw
a
v
eo
f
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
yg
a
in
scomp
a
r
ab
l
ew
i
ththo
s
eo
fd
e
v
e
loped
coun
t
r
i
e
sh
a
sy
e
ttot
a
k
ep
l
a
c
e
.
In
s
te
ad
,edu
c
a
t
ionw
a
sm
a
in
l
yre
spon
s
ib
l
efo
r
lon
grun
p
ro
g
re
s
sandc
a
t
ch
in
gup
inhum
ande
v
e
lopmen
t
.
Th
i
sde
v
e
lopmen
tpu
z
z
l
er
a
i
s
e
sanumbe
ro
fk
e
yque
s
t
ion
s
.Fo
re
x
amp
l
e
,wh
y
d
id
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
ys
topbe
in
gth
ed
r
i
v
in
gfo
r
c
eo
fwo
r
ldhum
ande
v
e
lopm
en
ta
sthe
f
i
r
s
the
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ionw
a
scon
c
lud
ed
? Wh
yL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
ah
a
sbe
en
l
e
f
ta
s
idef
romth
e
s
e
condhe
a
l
tht
r
an
s
i
t
ion
?
I
sthe
r
ea
l
a
c
ko
fpub
l
i
cpo
l
i
c
i
e
s
,o
rapo
l
a
r
i
z
in
ge
f
fe
c
to
fnew
med
i
c
a
lte
chno
lo
g
i
e
s
?
I
s
i
tth
a
th
e
a
l
thandedu
c
a
t
iona
r
eh
i
gh
l
y
in
come
e
l
a
s
t
i
c
?To
wh
a
te
x
t
en
td
idr
e
s
t
r
i
c
t
eda
c
c
e
s
stoh
e
a
l
thandedu
c
a
t
ion
,a
sar
e
su
l
to
f
in
come
inequ
a
l
i
t
y
,p
l
a
yaro
l
e
?The
s
eque
s
t
ion
sde
s
e
r
v
efu
r
the
r
in
v
e
s
t
i
g
a
t
ion
,a
sthe
an
sw
e
r
s
a
re
l
i
k
e
l
ytoh
a
v
ef
a
r
r
e
a
ch
in
gpo
l
i
c
yr
am
i
f
i
c
a
t
ion
sfo
rfu
tu
reg
ene
r
a
t
ion
s
.
17
Re
fe
ren
ce
s
Ac
emo
g
lu
,D
.andS
.John
son(2007
)
,
‘D
i
s
e
a
s
eandDe
v
e
lopmen
t
:TheE
f
fe
c
t
so
fL
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
yonE
conom
i
cG
row
th
’
,Jou
rna
lo
fPo
l
i
t
i
ca
lE
conom
y115
,6
:925
-985
.
A
l
t
ino
k
,N
.
,C
.D
i
ebo
l
t
,andJ
.
L
.Demeu
l
eme
e
s
te
r(2014
)
,"ANew
In
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
l
D
a
t
ab
a
s
eonEdu
c
a
t
ionQu
a
l
i
t
y
:1965
–2010
”
,App
l
i
edE
conom
i
c
s 46(11
)
:1212
-1247
.
An
and
,S
.andA
.
S
en(2000
)
,
‘
The
In
comeCompon
en
to
ftheHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
Inde
x
’
,
Jou
rna
lo
fHumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t1(1
)
:83
-106
.
ewL
i
f
eTab
l
e
sfo
rLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
canPopu
la
t
ion
s
inth
eN
in
e
t
e
en
th
A
r
r
i
a
g
a
,E
.E
.(1968
)
,N
andTw
en
t
i
e
thC
en
tu
r
i
e
s,Popu
l
a
t
ion Mono
g
r
aph
sS
e
r
i
e
sNo
.3
,
In
s
t
i
tu
teo
f
In
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
lS
tud
i
e
s
,Un
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yo
fC
a
l
i
fo
rn
i
aB
e
r
k
e
l
e
y
.
A
s
to
r
g
a
,P
.
,B
e
r
g
é
s
,A
.R
.
,andF
i
t
zG
e
r
a
ld
,E
.V
.K
.
.(
2003
)
,TheO
x
fo
rdL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
an
E
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
yD
a
t
ab
a
s
e[O
x
LAD
]
,O
x
fo
rd
:L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
anC
en
t
re
,O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
y
.
Fo
rme
r
l
ya
v
a
i
l
ab
l
ea
t
:h
t
tp
:
/
/o
x
l
ad
.qeh
.o
x
.
a
c
.u
k
/,nowa
t
:h
t
tp
:
/
/mo
x
l
ad
.
f
c
s
.
edu
.u
y
/
A
s
to
r
g
a
,P
.
,A
.R
.B
e
r
g
é
s
,andE
.V
.K
.F
i
t
zG
e
r
a
ld
,(2005
)
,“
TheS
t
and
a
rdo
fL
i
v
in
g
inL
a
t
in
Ame
r
i
c
adu
r
in
gtheTw
en
t
i
e
thC
en
tu
r
y
”
,E
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
yR
e
v
i
ew58(4
)
:765
-796
.
B
an
k
s
,A
.S
.(2010
)
,C
ro
s
s
-Na
t
iona
lT
im
e
S
e
r
i
e
sDa
taA
r
ch
i
v
e.
h
t
tp
:
/
/www
.d
a
t
ab
an
k
s
in
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
l
.
com
/
B
en
a
vo
t
,A
.andP
.R
idd
l
e(1988
)
,
‘
TheE
xp
an
s
iono
fP
r
im
a
r
yEdu
c
a
t
ion
,1870
-1940
:
T
rend
sand
I
s
su
e
s
’
,So
c
io
log
yo
fEdu
ca
t
ion61(3
)
:191
-210
B
é
r
to
l
a
,L
.
,M
.C
amou
,S
.M
aub
r
i
g
ade
s
,andN
. Me
l
g
a
r(2010
)
,“AC
en
tu
r
yo
fHum
an
De
v
e
lopmen
tand
Inequ
a
l
i
t
y
:Acomp
a
r
a
t
i
v
epe
r
spe
c
t
i
v
e
”
,
inR
.D
.S
a
l
v
a
to
r
e
,J
.H
.
Co
a
t
swo
r
th
,andA
.
E
.Ch
a
l
lú(
ed
s
.
)
,L
i
v
ingS
tanda
rd
s
inLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
canH
i
s
to
r
y
:H
e
igh
t
,
W
e
l
fa
r
eandD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
,1750
-2000,C
amb
r
id
g
e
, MA
:H
a
r
v
a
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
,pp
.
197
-232
.
B
é
r
to
l
a
,L
.andJ
.A
.O
c
ampo(2012
)
,Th
eE
conom
i
cD
e
v
e
lopm
en
to
fLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
cas
in
c
e
Ind
ep
end
en
c
e
,O
x
fo
rd
:O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
Bu
lme
r
Thom
a
s
,V
.(2003
)
,TheE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
yo
fL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
as
in
c
e
Independ
en
c
e
,
C
amb
r
id
g
eUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
r
e
s
s
,2nd ed
i
t
ion
ibub
,J
.A
.(2010
)
,Howto
In
c
ludePo
l
i
t
i
c
a
lC
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
i
e
s
intheHD
I
?AnE
v
a
lu
a
t
iono
f
Che
A
l
te
rn
a
t
i
v
e
s
,UNDPHum
anD
e
v
e
lopmen
tR
epo
r
t
sR
e
s
e
a
r
chP
ape
r2010
/41
Co
a
t
swo
r
th
,J
.H
.(2005
)
,“
S
t
ru
c
tu
re
s
,Endowmen
t
s
,and
In
s
t
i
tu
t
ion
s
intheE
conom
i
c
H
i
s
to
r
yo
fL
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
c
a
”
,La
t
inAm
e
r
i
canR
e
s
ea
r
chR
e
v
i
ew40(3
)
:126
-144
18
Cu
t
l
e
r
,D
.andG
.M
i
l
l
e
r(
2005
)
,
‘
TheRo
l
eo
fPub
l
i
cHe
a
l
th
Imp
ro
v
em
en
t
s
inH
e
a
l
th
Ad
v
an
c
e
:Th
eTw
en
t
i
e
thC
en
tu
r
yUn
i
t
edS
t
a
te
s
’
,D
emog
raph
y 42(1
)
:1
-22
Cu
t
l
e
r
,D
.
,A
.De
a
tonandA
.L
l
e
r
a
s
-Mune
y(2006
)
,
‘
TheDe
te
rm
in
an
t
so
f Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
’
,
Jou
rna
lo
fE
conom
i
cP
e
r
sp
e
c
t
i
v
e
s20(3
)
:97
-120
D
a
s
gup
t
a
,P
.and M
.W
e
a
l
e(1992
)
,
‘On Me
a
su
r
in
gth
eQu
a
l
i
t
yo
fL
i
fe
’
,Wo
r
ld
)
:119
-131
D
e
v
e
lopm
en
t 20(1
De
s
a
i
,M
.(1991
)
,
‘Hum
anD
e
v
e
lopmen
t
:Con
c
ep
tand M
e
a
su
rem
en
t
’
,Eu
rop
ean
:350
-357
.
E
conom
i
cR
e
v
i
ew35
De
v
e
reu
x
,J
.(2010
)
,TheH
e
a
l
tho
ftheR
e
vo
lu
t
ion
:E
xp
l
a
in
in
gtheCub
anH
e
a
l
thC
a
r
e
P
a
r
ado
x
’(m
imeo
)
D
í
a
z
-B
r
ique
t
s
,S
.(1981
)
,
‘De
te
rm
in
an
t
so
f Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yT
r
an
s
i
t
ion
inDe
v
e
lop
in
gCoun
t
r
i
e
s
B
e
fo
reandA
f
te
rtheS
e
cond Wo
r
ld W
a
r
:someE
v
iden
c
ef
romCub
a
’
,Popu
la
t
ion
S
tud
i
e
s35(3
)
:399
-411
.
E
a
s
te
r
l
in
,R
.A
.(1999
)
,
‘HowB
ene
f
i
c
i
en
t
i
sthe M
a
r
k
e
t
?ALoo
ka
tth
e Mod
e
rnH
i
s
to
r
yo
f
Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
’
, Eu
rop
eanR
e
v
i
ewo
fE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
y3(3
)
:257
-94
E
g
g
l
e
s
ton
,K
.N
.andV
.Fu
ch
s(2012
)
,
‘
TheN
ewDemo
g
r
aph
i
cT
r
an
s
i
t
ion
: Mo
s
tG
a
in
s
in
L
i
feE
xp
e
c
t
an
c
yNowR
e
a
l
i
zedL
a
te
inL
i
fe
’
,Jou
rna
lo
fE
conom
i
cP
e
r
sp
e
c
t
i
v
e
s26
:137
156
.
Fo
g
e
l
,R
.W
.(2004
)
,Th
eE
s
cap
ef
romHung
e
randP
r
ema
tu
r
eD
ea
th
,1700
-2010
.Eu
rop
e
,
Am
e
r
i
canandth
eTh
i
rd Wo
r
ld,NewYo
r
k
:C
amb
r
id
g
eUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
G
idw
i
t
z
,Z
.
,H
e
g
e
r
,M
.P
.
,P
ined
a
,J
.
,Rod
r
í
gu
e
z
,F
.(2010
)
.Unde
r
s
t
and
in
gPe
r
fo
rm
an
c
e
in
Hum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
:aC
ro
s
s
-n
a
t
ion
a
lS
tud
y
.UNDPHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
tR
epo
r
t
s
R
e
s
e
a
r
chP
ape
r2010
/42
H
anu
she
k
,E
.A
.andD
.D
.K
im
ko(2000
)
,
‘
S
choo
l
in
g
,L
abo
r
Fo
r
c
eQu
a
l
i
t
y
,andthe
G
row
tho
fN
a
t
ion
s
’
,Am
e
r
i
canE
conom
i
cR
e
v
i
ew 90(5
)
:1184
-1208
.
H
a
t
ton
,T
.
J
.andB
.
E
.B
re
y(2010
)
,
‘
Lon
gRunT
rend
s
intheH
e
i
gh
t
so
fEu
rop
e
an Men
,
19
th–20
thC
en
tu
r
i
e
s
’
,E
conom
i
c
sandHumanB
io
log
y8
:405
-413
.
Ho
fm
an
,And
réA
.(2000
)
,Th
eE
conom
i
cD
e
v
e
lopm
en
to
fLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
ca
inth
e
,No
r
th
amp
ton
,M
a
s
s
.
:Edw
a
rdE
l
g
a
r
.
Tw
en
t
i
e
thC
en
tu
r
y
I
v
ano
v
,A
.and M
.P
e
l
e
ah(2010
)
,F
romC
en
t
r
a
l
l
yP
l
annedDe
v
e
lopmen
ttoHum
an
De
v
e
lopmen
t
,UNDPHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
tR
epo
r
t
sR
e
s
e
a
r
chP
ape
r2010
/38
19
J
a
y
a
ch
and
r
an
,S
.
,A
.L
l
e
r
a
s
-Mune
y
,andK
.V
.Sm
i
th(2
)
,
‘Mode
rn Med
i
c
ineandth
e
010
Tw
en
t
i
e
thC
en
tu
r
yDe
c
l
ine
in Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
:E
v
iden
c
eonth
e
Imp
a
c
to
fSu
l
f
aD
ru
g
s
’
,
Am
e
r
i
canE
conom
i
cJou
rna
l
:App
l
i
edE
conom
i
c
s2(2
)
:118
-146
.
K
a
kw
an
i
,N
.(1993
)
,
‘Pe
r
fo
rm
an
c
e
inL
i
v
in
gS
t
and
a
rd
s
.An
In
t
e
rn
a
t
ion
a
lComp
a
r
i
son
’
,
Jou
rna
lo
fD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tE
conom
i
c
s41
:307
-336
.
K
lu
gm
an
,J
.
,F
.Rod
r
í
gue
z
,andH
.J
.Cho
i(2011
)
,TheHD
I2010
:NewCon
t
ro
v
e
r
s
i
e
s
,O
ld
C
r
i
t
iqu
e
s
.UNDPHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
tR
epo
r
t
sR
e
s
e
a
r
chP
ape
r2011
/01
row
ingPub
l
i
c
.So
c
ia
lSp
end
ingandE
conom
i
cG
row
thS
in
c
eth
e
L
inde
r
t
,P
.H
.(2004
)
,G
E
igh
t
e
en
thC
en
tu
r
y
,C
amb
r
id
g
e
:C
amb
r
id
g
eUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
,2vo
l
s
.
Loudon
,
I
.(2000
)
,
‘M
a
t
e
rn
a
l Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
intheP
a
s
tand
i
t
sR
e
l
e
v
an
c
etoDe
v
e
lop
in
g
Coun
t
r
i
e
sTod
a
y
’
,Am
e
r
i
canJou
rna
lo
fC
l
in
i
ca
lNu
t
r
i
t
ion72
,1(
supp
l
emen
t
)
:241
S
-6
S
M
add
i
son
,A
.(2006
)
, Th
e Wo
r
ldE
conom
y
.P
a
r
i
s
:O
ECDDe
v
e
lopm
en
tC
en
t
r
e
.
M
add
i
son
,A
.(2010
)
,S
t
a
t
i
s
t
i
c
son Wo
r
ldPopu
l
a
t
ion
,GDPandPe
rC
ap
i
t
aGDP
,1
-2008
AD
.L
a
s
tupd
a
te
:M
a
r
ch2010
,ho
r
i
zon
t
a
lf
i
l
eh
t
tp
:
/
/www
.
g
gd
c
.ne
t
/m
add
i
son
/
M
and
l
e
,J
.R
.(1970
)
,
‘
TheDe
c
l
in
eo
f Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
inB
r
i
t
i
shGu
i
an
a
,1911
-1960
’
,
D
emog
raph
y7(3
)
:301
-315
M
a
r
ku
s
s
en
,
I
,(1990
)
,
‘
Th
eDe
v
e
lopm
en
to
fW
r
i
t
in
gAb
i
l
i
t
y
inNo
rd
i
cCoun
t
r
i
e
s
inth
e
E
i
gh
te
en
thandN
ine
t
een
thC
en
tu
r
i
e
s
’
,S
cand
ina
v
ianJou
rna
lo
fH
i
s
to
r
y15
:37
-63
M
a
the
r
s
,C
.D
.
,S
ad
an
a
,R
.
,S
a
lomon
,J
.A
.
,Mu
r
r
a
y
,C
.
J
.
L
.
,Lope
z
,A
.D
.(2001
)
,
‘H
e
a
l
th
y
L
i
feE
xp
e
c
t
an
c
y
in191Coun
t
r
i
e
s
’
,Lan
c
e
t357
,1685–1691
M
a
the
r
s
,C
.D
.
,K
.M
.
Ibu
r
g
,J
.A
.S
a
lomon
,A
.T
andon
,S
.Ch
a
t
t
e
r
j
i
,B
.U
s
tu
¨n
,B
.
,e
ta
l
.
(2004
)
,
‘G
lob
a
lP
a
t
te
rn
so
fH
e
a
l
th
yL
i
feE
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
inYe
a
r2002
’
,B
ioM
edC
en
t
ra
l
Pub
l
i
cH
ea
l
th4
,66h
t
tp
:
/
/www
.b
iomed
c
en
t
r
a
l
.
com
/1471
-2458
/4
/66
M
cGu
i
reandL
.B
.F
r
an
k
e
l(2005
)
,
‘Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yDe
c
l
in
e
inCub
a
,1900
-1959
:P
a
t
te
rn
s
,
Comp
a
r
i
son
s
,andC
au
s
e
s
’
,La
t
inAm
e
r
i
canR
e
s
ea
r
chR
e
v
i
ew40(2
)
:83
-116
.
M
cK
eown
,T
.andR
.G
.R
e
co
rd(1962
)
,
‘R
e
a
son
sfo
rth
eD
e
c
l
ineo
f Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
inEn
g
l
and
and W
a
l
e
sdu
r
in
gtheN
ine
te
en
thC
en
tu
r
y
’
,Popu
la
t
ionS
tud
i
e
s16
:94
-122
M
cK
eown
,T
.
,R
.G
.R
e
co
rd
,andR
.D
.Tu
rne
r(1975
)
,
‘An
In
te
rp
re
t
a
t
iono
ftheDe
c
l
ineo
f
la
t
ionS
tud
i
e
s29
Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
y
inEn
g
l
andand W
a
l
e
sdu
r
in
gtheTw
en
t
i
e
thC
en
tu
r
y
’
, Popu
(3
)
:391
-422
.
Me
s
a
L
a
go
,C
.(2005
)
,
‘P
rob
l
em
a
sso
c
i
a
l
e
sye
conóm
i
co
senCub
adu
r
an
te
l
ac
r
i
s
i
sy
l
a
re
cupe
r
a
c
ión
’
,R
e
v
i
s
tad
e
laC
EPA
L 86
:183
-205
20
M
i
l
ano
v
i
c
,B
.
,P
.H
.L
inde
r
t
,andJ
.G
.W
i
l
l
i
am
son(2011)
. Me
a
su
r
in
gan
c
i
en
t
inequ
a
l
i
t
y
,
E
conom
i
cJou
rna
l121(551
)
:255
-272
t
e
rna
t
iona
lH
i
s
to
r
i
ca
lS
ta
t
i
s
t
i
c
s
:Th
eAm
e
r
i
ca
s
,1750–2000
,5
th
M
i
t
che
l
l
,B
.R
.(2003
)
, In
ed
.N
ewYo
r
k
:P
a
l
g
r
a
v
eM
a
cm
i
l
l
an
.
Mu
r
r
a
y
,C
.
J
.
L
.
,Lope
z
,A
.D
.(1997
)
,
‘R
e
g
ion
a
lP
a
t
t
e
rn
so
fD
i
s
ab
i
l
i
t
y
f
reeL
i
f
eE
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
andD
i
s
ab
i
l
i
t
y
ad
ju
s
tedL
i
feE
xp
e
c
t
an
c
y
:G
lob
a
lBu
rdeno
fD
i
s
e
a
s
eS
tud
y
’
,Lan
c
e
t349
:
1347
-1352
.
New
l
and
,C
.(1991
)
,
‘
L
aedu
c
a
c
ióne
l
emen
t
a
lenH
i
sp
ano
am
é
r
i
c
a
:de
sd
e
l
a
independen
c
i
ah
a
s
t
a
l
ac
en
t
r
a
l
i
z
a
c
iónd
e
lo
ss
i
s
tem
a
sedu
c
a
t
i
vo
sn
a
c
ion
a
l
e
s
’
,
H
i
span
i
c
Am
e
r
i
canH
i
s
to
r
i
ca
lR
e
v
i
ew 71(2
)
:335
-364
.
en
tu
r
yR
e
a
l
l
yS
i
gn
i
f
y
?New
N
i
l
s
son
,A
.(1999
)
,
‘Wh
a
tDoL
i
te
r
a
c
yR
a
te
s
inthe19th C
tonanO
ldP
rob
l
emf
romUn
iqueSw
ed
i
shD
a
t
a
’
,Pa
edagog
i
caH
i
s
to
r
i
ca35(2
)
:
L
i
gh
275
-296
Om
r
an
,A
.R
.(1971
)
,
‘
TheEp
idem
io
lo
g
i
c
a
lT
r
an
s
i
t
ion
:ATheo
r
yo
fEp
idem
io
lo
g
yo
f
i
lban
kM
emo
r
ia
lFundQua
r
t
e
r
l
y 49(4
)
:509
-538
.
Popu
l
a
t
ionCh
an
g
e
’
,M
P
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,L
.(2007
)
,“WhenD
idL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aF
a
l
lB
eh
ind
?
”
,
inS
.Edw
a
rd
s
,
G
.E
squ
i
v
e
lyG
.M
a
rqu
e
z(
ed
s
.
)
,Th
eD
e
c
l
in
eo
fLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
canE
conom
i
e
s
.G
row
th
,
In
s
t
i
tu
t
ion
s
,andC
r
i
s
i
s
,Ch
i
c
a
go
:NB
ER/Un
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yo
fCh
i
c
a
goP
r
e
s
s
,pp
.15
-57
.
P
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,L
.(2010
)
,
‘
Imp
ro
v
in
gHum
anD
e
v
e
lopmen
t
:ALon
g
runV
i
ew
’
,
Jou
rna
lo
fE
conom
i
cSu
r
v
e
y
s24(5
)
,841
-894
P
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,L
.(2013
)
,“Hum
anD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
inA
f
r
i
c
a
:ALon
g
run
P
e
r
sp
e
c
t
i
v
e
”
,E
xp
lo
ra
t
ion
s
inE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
y50(2
)
:179
-204
P
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,L
.(2015
)
,“Wo
r
ldHum
anD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
,1870
-2007
”
,R
e
v
i
ewo
f
In
com
eand W
ea
l
th
61
(
2
)
:220
-247
P
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a
,L
.(
fo
r
th
com
in
g
)
,“
E
conom
i
cF
reedom
intheLon
gRun
:
E
v
iden
c
ef
romO
ECDCoun
t
r
i
e
s(1850
-2007
)
”
,E
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
yR
e
v
i
ew
R
a
v
a
l
l
ion
,M
.(2012
)
,
‘
T
roub
l
in
gT
r
adeo
f
f
s
inth
eHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
Ind
e
x
’
,Jou
rna
l
,201–209
o
fD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tE
conom
i
c
s99
R
i
l
e
y
,J
.C
.(2001
)
.R
i
s
ingL
i
f
eE
xp
e
c
tan
c
y
.AG
loba
lH
i
s
to
r
y,NewYo
r
k
,C
amb
r
id
g
e
Un
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
v
e
r
t
yandL
i
f
eE
xp
e
c
tan
c
y
.Th
eJama
i
caPa
rado
x,NewYo
r
k
:
R
i
l
e
y
,J
.C
.(2005
a
)
,Po
C
amb
r
id
g
eUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
r
e
s
s
.
21
R
i
l
e
y
,J
.C
.(2005b
)
,
‘
TheT
im
in
gandP
a
c
eo
fH
e
a
l
thT
r
an
s
i
t
ion
sA
roundthe Wo
r
ld
’
,
Popu
la
t
ionandD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tR
e
v
i
ew31(4
)
:741
-764
R
i
l
e
y
,J
.C
.(2005
c
)
,B
ib
l
io
g
r
aph
yo
f Wo
r
k
sP
ro
v
id
in
gE
s
t
im
a
te
so
fL
i
feE
xpe
c
t
an
c
ya
t
B
i
r
thandE
s
t
im
a
te
so
fth
eB
e
g
inn
in
gPe
r
iodo
fH
e
a
l
thT
r
an
s
i
t
ion
s
inCoun
t
r
i
e
sw
i
tha
Popu
l
a
t
ion
in2000o
fa
tL
e
a
s
t400
,000
.A
v
a
i
l
ab
l
ea
t
:www
.
l
i
fe
t
ab
l
e
.de
/R
i
l
e
yB
ib
.h
tm
S
a
g
a
r
,A
.D
.andA
.N
a
j
am(1998
)
,
‘
Th
eHum
anD
e
v
e
lopmen
t
Ind
e
x
:AC
r
i
t
i
c
a
lR
e
v
i
ew
’
,
E
co
log
i
ca
lE
conom
i
c
s25
:249
-264
.
S
a
lomon
,J
.A
.
,H
.W
an
g
,M
.K
.F
reem
an
,T
.Vo
s
,A
.D
.F
l
a
xm
an
,A
.D
.Lope
z
,andC
.
J
.
L
.
Mu
r
r
a
y(2012
)
,
‘H
e
a
l
th
yL
i
feE
xp
e
c
t
an
c
yfo
r187Coun
t
r
i
e
s
,1990–2010
:AS
y
s
tem
a
t
i
c
An
a
l
y
s
i
sfo
rtheG
lob
a
lBu
rdenD
i
s
e
a
s
eS
tud
y2010
’
,Lan
c
e
t380
:2144
-2162
i
v
ingS
tanda
rd
s
inLa
t
in
S
a
l
v
a
to
re
,R
.D
.
,J
.H
.Co
a
t
swo
r
th
,andA
.
E
.Ch
a
l
lú(
ed
s
.
)
,L
Am
e
r
i
canH
i
s
to
r
y
:H
e
igh
t
,W
e
l
fa
r
eandD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
,1750
-2000,C
amb
r
id
g
e
, MA
:
H
a
r
v
a
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
r
e
s
s
S
en
,A
.K
.(1981
)
,
‘Pub
l
i
cA
c
t
ionandtheQu
a
l
i
t
yo
fL
i
fe
inDe
v
e
lop
in
gCoun
t
r
i
e
s
’
,O
x
fo
rd
Bu
l
l
e
t
ino
fE
conom
i
c
sandS
ta
t
i
s
t
i
c
s 43(4
)
,287
-319
S
en
,A
.K
.(1997
)
,
‘Hum
anC
ap
i
t
a
landHum
anC
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
y
’
,Wo
r
ldD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t 25(12
)
:
1959
-1961
e
v
e
lopm
en
ta
sF
r
e
edom,O
x
fo
rd
:O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
S
en
,A
.K
.(1999
)
,D
S
to
ln
i
t
z
,G
.
J
.(1955
)
,
‘AC
en
tu
r
yo
f
In
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
l Mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yT
rend
s
’
,Popu
la
t
ionS
tud
i
e
s9
(1
)
:24
-55
Un
i
tedN
a
t
ion
sD
e
v
e
lopmen
tP
ro
g
r
am[UNDP
](1990
)
,HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tR
epo
r
t,
NewYo
r
k
:O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
Un
i
tedN
a
t
ion
sD
e
v
e
lopmen
tP
ro
g
r
am[UNDP
](2009
)
,HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tR
epo
r
t,
NewYo
r
k
:O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
e
v
e
lopm
en
tR
epo
r
t,
Un
i
tedN
a
t
ion
sD
e
v
e
lopmen
tP
ro
g
r
am[UNDP
](2010
)
,HumanD
NewYo
r
k
:O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
V
anh
anen
,T
.(2011
)
, Me
a
su
re
so
fDemo
c
r
a
c
y1810
-2010[
compu
te
rf
i
l
e
]
.F
SD1289
,
v
e
r
s
ion5
.0(2011
-07
-07
)
.T
amp
e
re
:F
inn
i
shSo
c
i
a
lS
c
i
en
c
eD
a
t
aA
r
ch
i
v
e
.
f
sd
.u
t
a
.
f
i
/en
/d
a
t
a
/
c
a
t
a
lo
gue
/
F
SD1289
/me
F
1289e
.h
tm
l(
a
c
c
e
s
s
ed23Ju
l
y2012
)
.
www.
W
a
rd
;M
.andJ
.De
v
e
reu
x(2010
)
,
‘
TheAb
so
lu
t
iono
fH
i
s
to
r
y
:Cub
anL
i
v
in
gS
t
and
a
rd
s
a
f
te
rF
i
f
t
yY
e
a
r
so
fR
e
vo
lu
t
ion
a
r
yRu
l
e
’(m
imeo
)
.
22
W
a
rd
,M
.andJ
.De
v
e
r
eu
x(2012
)
,
‘
TheRo
adNo
tT
a
k
en:
P
re
-R
e
vo
lu
t
ion
a
r
yCub
an
L
i
v
in
gS
t
and
a
rd
s
inComp
a
r
a
t
i
v
ePe
r
sp
e
c
t
i
v
e
’
,Jou
rna
lo
fE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
y72(1
)
:104
132
Z
amb
r
ano
,E
.(2011
)
,Fun
c
t
ion
in
g
s
,C
ap
ab
i
l
i
t
i
e
sandthe2010Hum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
Inde
x
.UNDPHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
tR
epo
r
t
sR
e
s
e
a
r
chP
ape
r2011
/11
23
T
ab
le1HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
inLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
ca
,1870
-2007
:A
l
t
e
rna
t
i
v
e
Ind
i
c
e
s
P
ane
lA
:Le
ve
l
s
H
IHD
H
yb
r
idHD
I
‘O
ld
'HD
I
1870
0
.055
0
.140
0
.177
1880
0
.060
0
.151
0
.189
1890
0
.071
0
.177
0
.221
1900
0
.083
0
.203
0
.250
1913
0
.106
0
.253
0
.301
1929
0
.137
0
.316
0
.359
1938
0
.156
0
.352
0
.391
1950
0
.215
0
.453
0
.496
1960
0
.263
0
.526
0
.565
1970
0
.313
0
.594
0
.629
1980
0
.374
0
.670
0
.694
1990
0
.403
0
.691
0
.718
2000
0
.481
0
.749
0
.776
2007
0
.520
0
.778
0
.804
0
.7
0
.7
P
ane
lB
:A
ve
ra
g
eG
row
thR
a
te
s(%
)
0
.8
1870
-1880
1880
-1890
1
.7
1
.6
1
.6
1890
-1900
1
.6
1
.4
1
.2
1900
-1913
1
.9
1
.7
1
.4
1913
-1929
1
.6
1
.4
1
.1
1929
-1938
1
.4
1
.2
0
.9
1938
-1950
2
.7
2
.1
2
.0
1950
-1960
2
.0
1
.5
1
.3
1960
-1970
1
.7
1
.2
1
.1
1970
-1980
1
.8
1
.2
1
.0
1980
-1990
0
.7
0
.3
0
.3
1990
-2000
1
.8
0
.8
0
.8
2000
-2007
1
.1
0
.6
0
.5
1870
-1913
1
.5
1
.4
1
.2
1913
-1938
1
.5
1
.3
1
.1
1938
-1980
2
.1
1
.5
1
.4
1980
-2007
1
.2
0
.6
0
.5
1870
-2007
1
.6
1
.3
1
.1
24
T
ab
le2L
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
ca
’
sHumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tand
i
t
sD
im
en
s
ion
s
,1870
-2007
P
ane
lA
:Le
ve
l
s
1870
1880
1890
1900
1913
1929
1938
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
2007
HD
HI
0
.055
0
.060
0
.071
0
.083
0
.106
0
.137
0
.156
0
.215
0
.263
0
.313
0
.374
0
.403
0
.481
0
.520
L
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
0
.026
0
.028
0
.032
0
.038
0
.052
0
.074
0
.090
0
.175
0
.221
0
.262
0
.300
0
.354
0
.417
0
.459
Edu
c
a
t
ion
0
.026
0
.029
0
.038
0
.051
0
.065
0
.088
0
.105
0
.128
0
.168
0
.219
0
.290
0
.314
0
.435
0
.476
Ad
ju
s
ted
In
come
0
.249
0
.260
0
.291
0
.292
0
.349
0
.398
0
.404
0
.443
0
.488
0
.534
0
.602
0
.589
0
.614
0
.642
P
ane
lB
:H
IHDG
row
thand
i
t
sD
r
i
ve
r
s(%
)
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
H
IHD
o
f
o
f
o
f
L
i
fe
Ad
ju
s
ted
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
Edu
c
a
t
ion
In
come
0
.8
0
.2
0
.4
0
.1
1870
-1880
1880
-1890
1
.7
0
.4
0
.9
0
.4
1890
-1900
1
.6
0
.6
0
.9
0
.0
1
.9
0
.8
0
.6
0
.5
1900
-1913
1
.6
0
.7
0
.6
0
.3
1913
-1929
1929
-1938
1
.4
0
.7
0
.6
0
.1
1938
-1950
2
.7
1
.9
0
.6
0
.3
1950
-1960
2
.0
0
.8
0
.9
0
.3
1
.7
0
.6
0
.9
0
.3
1960
-1970
1970
-1980
1
.8
0
.5
0
.9
0
.4
1980
-1990
0
.7
0
.6
0
.3
-0
.1
1
.8
0
.5
1
.1
0
.1
1990
-2000
2000
-2007
1
.1
0
.5
0
.4
0
.2
1870
-1913
1913
-1938
1938
-1980
1980
-2007
1
.5
1
.5
2
.1
1
.2
0
.5
0
.7
1
.0
0
.5
0
.7
0
.6
0
.8
0
.6
0
.3
0
.2
0
.3
0
.1
1870
-2007
1
.6
0
.7
0
.7
0
.2
25
T
ab
le3L
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
canCoun
t
r
yRan
k
ing
inHumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
:H
IHDE
s
t
ima
t
e
s
1880
1870
1890
1900
U
ru
gua
y
0
.130
U
ru
gua
y
0
.139
U
ru
gua
y
0
.158
U
ru
gua
y
0
.172
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.088
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.098
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.136
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.159
Cuba
0
.081
Cuba
0
.095
Cuba
0
.119
Cuba
0
.128
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.070
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.084
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.104
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.117
Ch
i
l
e
0
.065
Ch
i
l
e
0
.071
Ch
i
l
e
0
.090
Ch
i
l
e
0
.109
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.054
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.058
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.062
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.072
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.050
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.051
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.060
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.069
Me
x
i
co
0
.048
Me
x
i
co
0
.051
Me
x
i
co
0
.059
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.064
Pe
ru
0
.047
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.050
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.057
Me
x
i
co
0
.064
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.036
Pe
ru
0
.042
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.046
E
cuado
r
0
.058
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.035
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.041
Pe
ru
0
.045
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.054
E
cuado
r
0
.034
E
cuado
r
0
.041
E
cuado
r
0
.044
Pe
ru
0
.053
1913
1929
1938
U
ru
gua
y
0
.213
U
ru
gua
y
0
.256
U
ru
gua
y
0
.287
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.207
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.251
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.279
Cuba
0
.165
Cuba
0
.190
Cuba
0
.202
Ch
i
l
e
0
.142
Ch
i
l
e
0
.179
Co
s
taR
i
ca
0
.200
Co
s
taR
i
ca
0
.128
Co
s
taR
i
ca
0
.167
Ch
i
l
e
0
.192
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.119
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.152
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.183
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.092
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.122
Me
x
i
co
0
.140
Hondu
ra
s
0
.087
Me
x
i
co
0
.115
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.137
Me
x
i
co
0
.086
Pe
ru
0
.111
Pe
ru
0
.132
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.084
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.107
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.130
Pe
ru
0
.077
Hondu
ra
s
0
.104
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.122
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.076
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.101
E
cuado
r
0
.114
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.074
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.098
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.108
E
lSa
l
vado
r
0
.070
E
cuado
r
0
.094
N
i
ca
ragua
0
.101
N
i
ca
ragua
0
.066
N
i
ca
ragua
0
.087
Hondu
ra
s
0
.101
E
cuado
r
0
.063
E
lSa
l
vado
r
0
.073
E
lSa
l
vado
r
0
.101
Gua
t
ema
la
0
.062
Gua
t
ema
la
0
.069
Gua
t
ema
la
0
.085
Sou
r
c
e
s
:S
eethet
e
x
t
.
No
te
:co
v
e
r
a
g
e
,bo
ld,1870
-2007
;
bo
ld
i
ta
l
i
c
s,1913
-2007
;v
e
r
s
a
l
i
t
a
s
,1950
-2007
.
26
T
ab
le3L
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
canCoun
t
r
yRan
k
ing
inHumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
:H
IHDE
s
t
ima
t
e
s
c
on
t
.
)
(
U
ru
gua
y
B
ah
am
a
s
A
r
g
en
t
ina
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go
Pue
r
toR
i
co
B
a
rb
ado
s
Ch
i
l
e
Cuba
B
e
l
i
ze
Co
s
taR
i
ca
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y
J
ama
i
c
a
P
an
am
a
Vene
zue
l
a
Gu
y
an
a
Me
x
i
co
Co
lomb
i
a
Pe
ru
E
cuado
r
B
ra
z
i
l
E
lSa
l
vado
r
Dom
in
i
c
anR
.
N
i
ca
ragua
Hondu
ra
s
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
Gua
t
ema
la
H
a
i
t
i
1950
1960
1970
0
.351
B
a
rb
ado
s
0
.348
Pue
r
toR
i
co
0
.337
U
ru
gua
y
0
.311 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go
0
.305
A
r
g
en
t
ina
0
.299
B
ah
am
a
s
0
.276
Cuba
0
.273
Ch
i
l
e
0
.259
J
ama
i
c
a
0
.256
Co
s
taR
i
ca
0
.248
Vene
zue
l
a
0
.244
Gu
y
an
a
0
.240
P
an
am
a
0
.230
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y
0
.228
B
e
l
i
ze
0
.208
Me
x
i
co
0
.190
Co
lomb
i
a
0
.187
E
cuado
r
0
.186
Pe
ru
0
.179
B
ra
z
i
l
0
.155
Dom
in
i
c
anR
.
0
.153
E
lSa
l
vado
r
0
.146
N
i
ca
ragua
0
.141
Hondu
ra
s
0
.137
Gua
t
ema
la
0
.134
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
0
.084
H
a
i
t
i
0
.407
Pue
r
toR
i
co 0
.486
0
.396
B
a
rb
ado
s 0
.477
0
.394
B
ah
am
a
s 0
.442
0
.385 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 0
.439
0
.380
U
ru
gua
y 0
.439
0
.378
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
.428
0
.331
Cuba 0
.407
0
.324
Ch
i
l
e 0
.395
0
.324
J
ama
i
c
a 0
.386
0
.315
Co
s
taR
i
ca 0
.384
0
.305
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.366
0
.293
P
an
am
a 0
.356
0
.290
Me
x
i
co 0
.323
0
.277
Gu
y
an
a 0
.321
0
.269
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y 0
.311
0
.265
B
e
l
i
ze 0
.308
0
.243
Co
lomb
i
a 0
.303
0
.233
Pe
ru 0
.293
0
.229
E
cuado
r 0
.284
0
.226
B
ra
z
i
l 0
.268
0
.222
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 0
.264
0
.203
E
lSa
l
vado
r 0
.246
0
.186
N
i
ca
ragua 0
.243
0
.175
Hondu
ra
s 0
.213
0
.163
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.213
0
.146
Gua
t
ema
la 0
.208
0
.113
H
a
i
t
i 0
.131
Sou
r
c
e
s
:S
eethet
e
x
t
.
No
te
:co
v
e
r
a
g
e
,bo
ld,1870
-2007
;
bo
ld
i
ta
l
i
c
s,1913
-2007
;v
e
r
s
a
l
i
t
a
s
,1950
-2007
27
T
ab
le3L
a
t
inAm
e
r
i
canCoun
t
r
yRan
k
ing
inHumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
:H
IHDE
s
t
ima
t
e
s
c
on
t
.
)
(
1980
1990
2000
2007
B
a
rb
ado
s 0
.517
B
a
rb
ado
s 0
.557
Pue
r
toR
i
co 0
.636
Cuba 0
.732
Pue
r
toR
i
co 0
.509
Cuba 0
.507
Pue
r
toR
i
co 0
.546
Cuba 0
.508
B
a
rb
ado
s 0
.606
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
.580
B
a
rb
ado
s 0
.674
Pue
r
toR
i
co 0
.659
B
ah
am
a
s 0
.473
B
ah
am
a
s 0
.507
Ch
i
l
e 0
.575
Ch
i
l
e 0
.633
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
.465
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 0
.455
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
.506
U
ru
gua
y 0
.505
U
ru
gua
y 0
.567
Cuba 0
.552
U
ru
gua
y 0
.631
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
.609
U
ru
gua
y 0
.454
Ch
i
l
e 0
.493
Ch
i
l
e 0
.433 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 0
.479
Co
s
taR
i
ca 0
.527
B
ah
am
a
s 0
.503
Co
s
taR
i
ca 0
.578
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.559
Co
s
taR
i
ca 0
.474
P
an
am
a 0
.498
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.463 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 0
.494
Me
x
i
co 0
.544
B
ah
am
a
s 0
.543
Co
s
taR
i
ca 0
.429
P
an
am
a 0
.425
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.421
P
an
am
a 0
.434
Me
x
i
co
0
.490
P
an
am
a 0
.539
Me
x
i
co 0
.405
J
ama
i
c
a 0
.405
Me
x
i
co 0
.431
J
ama
i
c
a 0
.422
B
e
l
i
ze 0
.388
E
cuado
r 0
.375
E
cuado
r 0
.410
B
e
l
i
ze 0
.389
Pe
ru 0
.458
E
cuado
r 0
.454
Pe
ru 0
.501
Co
lomb
i
a 0
.498
Pe
ru 0
.351
Pe
ru 0
.378
Co
lomb
i
a 0
.449
E
cuado
r 0
.494
Co
lomb
i
a 0
.351
Gu
y
an
a 0
.347
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y 0
.377
Co
lomb
i
a 0
.375
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 0
.421
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y 0
.417
B
e
l
i
ze 0
.467
Gu
y
an
a 0
.462
B
ra
z
i
l 0
.342
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y 0
.340
B
ra
z
i
l 0
.369
Gu
y
an
a 0
.346
B
e
l
i
ze 0
.416
J
ama
i
c
a 0
.416
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 0
.454
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y 0
.449
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 0
.315
N
i
ca
ragua 0
.263
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 0
.338
E
lSa
l
vado
r 0
.314
Gu
y
an
a 0
.412
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.377
J
ama
i
c
a 0
.441
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.411
Hondu
ra
s 0
.260
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.304
E
lSa
l
vado
r 0
.358
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.255
E
lSa
l
vado
r 0
.253
Hondu
ra
s 0
.292
N
i
ca
ragua 0
.266
Gua
t
ema
la 0
.240
H
a
i
t
i 0
.175
Gua
t
ema
la 0
.260
H
a
i
t
i 0
.187
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.480 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 0
.519
B
ra
z
i
l 0
.478
B
ra
z
i
l 0
.503
Hondu
ra
s
Gua
t
ema
la
Hondu
ra
s
E
lSa
l
vado
r 0
.404
Gua
t
ema
la 0
.389
N
i
ca
ragua 0
.343
H
a
i
t
i 0
.215
N
i
ca
ragua 0
.378
H
a
i
t
i 0
.225
Sou
r
c
e
s
:S
eethet
e
x
t
.
No
te
:co
v
e
r
a
g
e
,bo
ld,1870
-2007
;
bo
ld
i
ta
l
i
c
s,1913
-2007
;v
e
r
s
a
l
i
t
a
s
,1950
-2007
28
0
.405
0
.356
0
.345
T
ab
le4HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tG
row
th
inLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
ca(%
)
:Coun
t
r
yRan
k
ing
1870
-1880
Ch
i
l
e 3
.0
Vene
zue
l
a 2
.4
Co
lomb
i
a1
.8
Cuba 1
.7
E
cuado
r1
.1
Me
x
i
co 1
.1
.8
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
B
ra
z
i
l 0
.4
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.3
J
ama
i
c
a0
.2
U
ru
gua
y 0
.0
Pe
ru -6
.7
1880
-1890
A
r
g
en
t
ina 6
.1
Me
x
i
co 4
.3
Cuba 3
.2
Vene
zue
l
a 2
.8
Ch
i
l
e 1
.1
U
ru
gua
y 0
.8
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.4
J
ama
i
c
a0
.2
B
ra
z
i
l 0
.0
E
cuado
r -0
.2
Pe
ru -0
.2
Co
lomb
i
a -2
.1
1890
-1900
E
cuado
r2
.7
Pe
ru 2
.7
Ch
i
l
e 1
.2
U
ru
gua
y 0
.8
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 0
.8
J
ama
i
c
a0
.5
Me
x
i
co 0
.4
Co
lomb
i
a -0
.1
A
r
g
en
t
ina -0
.8
B
ra
z
i
l -0
.9
Vene
zue
l
a -1
.5
Cuba -2
.8
1900
-1913
Cuba 3
.3
U
ru
gua
y 3
.1
Pe
ru 2
.7
Vene
zue
l
a 2
.6
A
r
g
en
t
ina 2
.5
Ch
i
l
e 2
.3
Co
lomb
i
a 2
.3
B
ra
z
i
l 2
.2
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 1
.9
Me
x
i
co 1
.6
E
cuado
r1
.6
J
ama
i
c
a0
.4
1913
-1929
Vene
zue
l
a 6
.8
Co
lomb
i
a 3
.9
Pe
ru 3
.5
N
i
ca
ragua 3
.3
E
cuado
r2
.2
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 1
.8
Hondu
ra
s 1
.4
B
ra
z
i
l 1
.4
U
ru
gua
y 0
.9
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
.9
Ch
i
l
e 0
.9
J
ama
i
c
a0
.9
Gua
t
ema
la 0
.7
E
lSa
l
vado
r0
.6
Me
x
i
co 0
.6
Co
s
taR
i
ca 0
.1
Cuba -0
.4
1929
-1938
1938
-1950
1950
-1960
1960
-1970
1970
-1980
J
ama
i
c
a3
.7 Vene
zue
l
a 4
.3
J
ama
i
c
a6
.9
Pue
r
toR
i
co 6
.2
B
ra
z
i
l 6
.0
Gua
t
ema
la 2
.6 E
lSa
l
vado
r3
.8 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 5
.3
B
a
rb
ado
s5
.2
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y5
.9
Co
s
taR
i
ca 1
.9 N
i
ca
ragua 3
.7
Pue
r
toR
i
co 4
.7
P
an
am
a4
.8
E
cuado
r5
.7
Co
lomb
i
a1
.4
Me
x
i
co 3
.5
B
a
rb
ado
s4
.6
J
ama
i
c
a3
.7
B
e
l
i
ze 5
.4
.0
E
cuado
r3
.4
Gu
y
an
a3
.9
N
i
ca
ragua 3
.6
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 4
.3
B
ra
z
i
l 1
E
cuado
r0
.8
Cuba 2
.8
Co
s
taR
i
ca 3
.7
Me
x
i
co 3
.6 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 4
.1
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.5
J
ama
i
c
a2
.6
Vene
zue
l
a 3
.6
B
ah
am
a
s3
.5
B
a
rb
ado
s3
.6
Me
x
i
co 0
.4
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 1
.7
B
ra
z
i
l 3
.5
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 3
.1
Me
x
i
co 3
.5
.1
A
r
g
en
t
ina 1
.7
Pe
ru 2
.9 T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 2
.8
Cuba 3
.2
U
ru
gua
y 0
Pe
ru 0
.1
Pe
ru 1
.6
Me
x
i
co 2
.8
A
r
g
en
t
ina 2
.7
H
a
i
t
i 3
.2
Bo
l
i
v
i
a -0
.6
B
ra
z
i
l 1
.6
E
cuado
r2
.3
Co
s
taR
i
ca 2
.7
Co
lomb
i
a 3
.1
E
lSa
l
vado
r -0
.7 Co
lomb
i
a 1
.5
N
i
ca
ragua 2
.0
Gua
t
ema
la 2
.7
Co
s
taR
i
ca 2
.9
A
r
g
en
t
ina -0
.8
U
ru
gua
y 1
.5
P
an
am
a2
.0
B
ra
z
i
l 2
.6
Gua
t
ema
la 2
.9
Ch
i
l
e -0
.8 Hondu
ra
s 1
.4
Dom
in
i
c
anR
.2
.0
Vene
zue
l
a 2
.3
P
an
am
a2
.8
Cuba -1
.2
Ch
i
l
e 1
.3
Co
lomb
i
a1
.6
Pe
ru 2
.3
U
ru
gua
y 2
.6
Hondu
ra
s -3
.4 Co
s
taR
i
ca 0
.4
E
lSa
l
vado
r1
.5
B
e
l
i
ze 2
.2
Pue
r
toR
i
co 2
.5
N
i
ca
ragua -5
.4 Gua
t
ema
la -0
.1
Ch
i
l
e 1
.2
E
lSa
l
vado
r2
.2
Hondu
ra
s 2
.3
A
r
g
en
t
ina 1
.1
Co
lomb
i
a 2
.1
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 1
.4
Gua
t
ema
la 1
.0
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y2
.0
Gu
y
an
a1
.3
U
ru
gua
y 0
.7
Ch
i
l
e 1
.9
Pe
ru 1
.0
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y0
.3
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 1
.8
Ch
i
l
e 1
.0
Hondu
ra
s 0
.0
Hondu
ra
s 1
.5
A
r
g
en
t
ina 0
.9
H
a
i
t
i -0
.2
E
cuado
r1
.4
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.6
Cuba -0
.4
Gu
y
an
a 1
.2
B
ah
am
a
s0
.6
B
e
l
i
ze -1
.7
U
ru
gua
y 0
.5
E
lSa
l
vado
r -0
.2
Bo
l
i
v
i
a -1
.7
Cuba -0
.7
J
ama
i
c
a -2
.1
B
ah
am
a
s -2
.4
H
a
i
t
i -1
.2
N
i
ca
ragua -2
.7
29
T
ab
le4HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tG
row
th
inLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
ca(%
)
:Coun
t
r
yRan
k
ing(
con
t
.
)
1980
-1990
Pue
r
toR
i
co 2
.5
B
e
l
i
ze 2
.3
J
ama
i
c
a2
.2
B
ah
am
a
s 1
.8
.3
Co
lomb
i
a 1
Ch
i
l
e 1
.2
Cuba 1
.1
.3
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 0
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y 0
.2
B
a
rb
ado
s 0
.1
Me
x
i
co -0
.1
U
ru
gua
y -0
.3
Co
s
taR
i
ca -0
.3
B
ra
z
i
l -0
.5
E
cuado
r -0
.5
.6
Hondu
ra
s -0
P
anama -0
.8
E
lSa
l
vado
r -1
.5
Gua
t
ema
la -1
.5
Bo
l
i
v
i
a -2
.0
.1
Vene
zue
l
a -2
A
r
g
en
t
ina -2
.6
.8
Gu
y
an
a -2
.0
H
a
i
t
i -3
Pe
ru -3
.5
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go -3
.7
N
i
ca
ragua -3
.8
1990
-2000
Gu
y
an
a 4
.8
Ch
i
l
e 4
.6
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 4
.1
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 3
.7
P
an
am
a 2
.9
Pue
r
toR
i
co 2
.9
A
r
g
en
t
ina 2
.8
Co
s
taR
i
ca 2
.6
E
lSa
l
vado
r 2
.4
U
ru
gua
y 2
.3
Pe
ru 2
.3
B
e
l
i
ze 1
.8
Gua
t
ema
la 1
.7
Me
x
i
co 1
.7
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 1
.4
N
i
ca
ragua 1
.2
B
ra
z
i
l 1
.0
Co
lomb
i
a 0
.9
Hondu
ra
s 0
.8
B
a
rb
ado
s 0
.7
B
ah
am
a
s 0
.6
E
cuado
r 0
.0
Vene
zue
l
a 0
.0
J
ama
i
c
a -0
.2
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y -0
.5
H
a
i
t
i -1
.9
Cuba -1
.9
2000
-2007
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go 7
.6
Cuba 6
.0
Pe
ru 4
.0
P
an
am
a 4
.0
Dom
in
i
c
anR
. 3
.5
Co
lomb
i
a 3
.3
Co
s
taR
i
ca 3
.3
E
cuado
r 3
.2
Ch
i
l
e 3
.2
Hondu
ra
s 3
.0
A
r
g
en
t
ina 2
.8
Vene
zue
l
a 2
.6
U
ru
gua
y 2
.6
B
e
l
i
ze 2
.3
B
ra
z
i
l 1
.9
N
i
ca
ragua 1
.9
Gu
y
an
a 1
.6
Me
x
i
co 1
.5
B
a
rb
ado
s 1
.5
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y 1
.4
Bo
l
i
v
i
a 1
.3
Gua
t
ema
la 1
.3
Pue
r
toR
i
co 1
.2
J
ama
i
c
a1
.1
E
lSa
l
vado
r 1
.1
B
ah
am
a
s 0
.7
H
a
i
t
i -1
.2
Sou
r
c
e
s
:S
eethet
e
x
t
.
No
te
:co
v
e
r
a
g
e
,bo
ld,1870
-2007
;
bo
ld
i
ta
l
i
c
s,1913
-2007
;v
e
r
s
a
l
i
t
a
s
,1950
-2007
30
T
ab
le5HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tG
row
thand
i
t
sD
r
i
v
e
r
s
:Coun
t
r
yRan
k
ing
1870
-1913
H
IHD
A
r
gen
t
in
a
2
.0
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
o
f
L
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
Edu
c
a
t
ion
0
.7
1
.0
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
Ad
ju
s
ted
In
come
1913
-1938
H
IHD
0
.3
E
cu
ado
r
2
.4
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
o
f
L
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
Edu
c
a
t
ion
1
.2
0
.8
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
Ad
ju
s
ted
In
come
0
.4
Ch
i
l
e
1
.8
0
.6
0
.9
0
.3
V
ene
zue
l
a
2
.3
0
.7
0
.8
0
.7
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
1
.8
0
.5
1
.1
0
.2
Pe
ru
2
.2
1
.1
0
.7
0
.4
V
ene
zue
l
a
1
.7
0
.5
0
.8
0
.5
Me
x
i
co
1
.9
1
.0
0
.9
0
.1
0
.2
Co
s
taR
i
ca
1
.8
1
.1
0
.6
0
.1
Cub
a
1
.7
0
.6
0
.8
E
cu
ado
r
1
.4
0
.0
0
.9
0
.5
N
i
ca
ragua
1
.7
1
.3
0
.4
0
.0
Me
x
i
co
1
.4
0
.5
0
.5
0
.4
J
am
a
i
c
a
1
.7
0
.6
0
.6
0
.5
J
am
a
i
c
a
1
.2
0
.3
0
.9
0
.1
Co
lomb
i
a
1
.6
0
.6
0
.4
0
.6
0
.1
B
r
a
z
i
l
1
.5
0
.6
0
.7
0
.3
Co
lomb
i
a
1
.2
0
.6
0
.5
B
r
a
z
i
l
1
.2
0
.3
0
.7
0
.1
E
lSa
l
vado
r
1
.5
1
.1
0
.3
0
.0
U
ru
gu
a
y
1
.1
0
.4
0
.5
0
.2
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
1
.4
1
.0
0
.2
0
.2
Pe
ru
1
.1
0
.4
0
.8
0
.0
Gua
t
ema
la
1
.2
0
.6
0
.4
0
.2
Ch
i
l
e
1
.2
0
.8
0
.4
0
.0
A
r
gen
t
in
a
1
.2
0
.6
0
.6
0
.0
U
ru
gu
a
y
1
.2
0
.5
0
.6
0
.1
Cub
a
0
.8
0
.6
0
.3
-0
.1
Hondu
ra
s
0
.6
0
.9
-0
.3
-0
.1
So
u
r
c
e
s
:S
eethet
e
x
t
.
e
:co
v
e
r
a
g
e
,bo
ld,1870
-2007
;
bo
ld
i
ta
l
i
c
s,1913
-2007
;v
e
r
s
a
l
i
t
a
s
,1950
-2007
Not
31
T
ab
le5HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tG
row
thand
i
t
sD
r
i
v
e
r
s
:Coun
t
r
yRan
k
ing(
con
t
.
)
1938
-1980
H
IHD
E
cu
ado
r
2
.8
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
o
f
L
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
Edu
c
a
t
ion
1
.4
1
.0
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
Ad
ju
s
ted
In
come
1980
-2007
H
IHD
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
o
f
L
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
Edu
c
a
t
ion
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
Ad
ju
s
ted
In
come
0
.5
Gua
t
ema
la
1
.8
0
.7
1
.0
0
.0
V
ene
zue
l
a
2
.8
1
.3
1
.2
0
.3
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
1
.8
0
.7
1
.0
0
.0
Me
x
i
co
2
.5
1
.1
1
.0
0
.4
E
lSa
l
vado
r
1
.7
0
.8
0
.8
0
.1
Gua
t
ema
la
2
.5
1
.6
0
.7
0
.2
Hondu
ra
s
1
.6
0
.7
0
.8
0
.1
0
.5
B
r
a
z
i
l
1
.4
0
.6
0
.8
0
.1
B
r
a
z
i
l
2
.4
1
.1
0
.9
Pe
ru
2
.3
1
.0
1
.1
0
.2
Ch
i
l
e
1
.4
0
.7
0
.5
0
.3
N
i
ca
ragua
2
.3
1
.2
0
.8
0
.3
Cub
a
1
.4
0
.4
0
.9
0
.1
Hondu
ra
s
2
.3
1
.0
1
.1
0
.2
Dom
in
i
c
anR
.
1
.3
0
.6
0
.5
0
.3
0
.3
N
i
ca
ragua
1
.3
0
.8
0
.6
-0
.1
Co
lomb
i
a
2
.2
1
.2
0
.8
E
lSa
l
vado
r
2
.2
0
.9
0
.9
0
.3
Pe
ru
1
.3
0
.7
0
.5
0
.1
Cub
a
2
.2
1
.1
0
.9
0
.2
Co
lomb
i
a
1
.3
0
.4
0
.7
0
.2
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
2
.0
0
.6
1
.3
0
.2
U
ru
gu
a
y
1
.2
0
.4
0
.7
0
.1
0
.1
Co
s
taR
i
ca
1
.1
0
.5
0
.4
0
.2
Ch
i
l
e
1
.9
1
.2
0
.6
J
am
a
i
c
a
1
.9
0
.9
0
.6
0
.5
Me
x
i
co
1
.1
0
.6
0
.4
0
.1
Co
s
taR
i
ca
1
.8
0
.9
0
.6
0
.3
Gu
y
an
a
1
.1
0
.3
0
.6
0
.2
A
r
gen
t
in
a
1
.2
0
.5
0
.5
0
.2
V
ene
zue
l
a
1
.1
0
.3
0
.7
0
.0
0
.1
P
a
r
a
gu
a
y
1
.0
0
.3
0
.7
0
.0
E
cu
ado
r
1
.0
0
.7
0
.2
0
.1
A
r
gen
t
in
a
1
.0
0
.4
0
.6
0
.1
B
a
rb
ado
s
1
.0
0
.4
0
.6
0
.1
Pu
e
r
toR
i
co
1
.0
0
.4
0
.4
0
.2
H
a
i
t
i
0
.9
0
.6
0
.8
-0
.4
P
an
am
a
0
.9
0
.4
0
.3
0
.2
Be
l
i
ze
0
.7
0
.4
0
.1
0
.2
B
ah
am
a
s
0
.5
0
.3
0
.1
0
.1
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go
0
.5
0
.1
0
.2
0
.2
J
am
a
i
c
a
0
.3
0
.1
0
.1
0
.1
U
ru
gu
a
y
1
.1
0
.4
0
.5
So
u
r
c
e
s
:S
eethet
e
x
t
.
No
te
:co
v
e
r
a
g
e
,bo
ld,1870
-2007
;
bo
ld
i
ta
l
i
c
s,1913
-2007
;v
e
r
s
a
l
i
t
a
s
,1950
-2007
32
T
ab
le5HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tG
row
thand
i
t
sD
r
i
v
e
r
s
:Coun
t
r
yRan
k
ing(
con
t
.
)
1870
-2007
H
IHD
V
ene
zue
l
a
2
.0
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
o
f
L
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
Edu
c
a
t
ion
0
.8
0
.9
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
Ad
ju
s
ted
In
come
1913
-2007
H
IHD
0
.4
E
cu
ado
r
2
.2
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
o
f
L
i
fe
E
xpe
c
t
an
c
y
Edu
c
a
t
ion
1
.1
0
.7
Con
t
r
ibu
t
ion
o
f
Ad
ju
s
ted
In
come
0
.3
E
cu
ado
r
1
.9
0
.8
0
.8
0
.4
V
ene
zue
l
a
2
.2
0
.9
1
.0
0
.3
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
1
.8
0
.7
1
.0
0
.1
Pe
ru
2
.0
0
.9
0
.8
0
.2
Me
x
i
co
1
.8
0
.8
0
.7
0
.3
Me
x
i
co
2
.0
0
.9
0
.8
0
.2
0
.2
Gua
t
ema
la
1
.9
1
.0
0
.7
0
.2
Pe
ru
1
.7
0
.8
0
.8
B
r
a
z
i
l
1
.7
0
.7
0
.8
0
.2
B
r
a
z
i
l
1
.9
0
.8
0
.8
0
.3
Ch
i
l
e
1
.7
0
.8
0
.6
0
.2
E
lSa
l
vado
r
1
.9
1
.0
0
.7
0
.2
Co
lomb
i
a
1
.6
0
.7
0
.6
0
.3
N
i
ca
ragua
1
.9
1
.1
0
.6
0
.1
0
.1
Co
lomb
i
a
1
.8
0
.8
0
.7
0
.3
Cub
a
1
.6
0
.7
0
.8
A
r
gen
t
in
a
1
.4
0
.6
0
.7
0
.2
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
1
.8
0
.8
0
.9
0
.1
J
am
a
i
c
a
1
.3
0
.5
0
.6
0
.3
Hondu
ra
s
1
.6
0
.9
0
.6
0
.1
U
ru
gu
a
y
1
.2
0
.4
0
.6
0
.1
Co
s
taR
i
ca
1
.6
0
.8
0
.6
0
.2
Ch
i
l
e
1
.6
0
.9
0
.5
0
.2
Cub
a
1
.6
0
.8
0
.7
0
.1
J
am
a
i
c
a
1
.4
0
.6
0
.4
0
.4
U
ru
gu
a
y
1
.2
0
.4
0
.6
0
.1
A
r
gen
t
in
a
1
.2
0
.5
0
.6
0
.1
So
u
r
c
e
s
:S
eethet
e
x
t
.
e
:co
v
e
r
a
g
e
,bo
ld,1870
-2007
;
bo
ld
i
ta
l
i
c
s,1913
-2007
;v
e
r
s
a
l
i
t
a
s
,1950
-2007
Not
33
F
i
gu
re1H
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
l
Ind
e
xo
fHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t(H
IHD
)inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
,1870
-2007
:
A
l
te
rn
a
t
i
v
eCoun
t
r
yS
amp
l
e
s(popu
l
a
t
ion
-w
e
i
gh
teda
ve
r
a
g
e
s
)Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
h
yb
r
idand
o
ld)
F
i
gu
re2Hum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t Me
a
su
re
s
:H
IHDandHD
I(
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
34
F
i
gu
re3Hum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t(
e
x
c
lud
in
g
in
com
e
)
:H
IHD*a
ndHD
I
*(h
yb
r
idand
o
ld)
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
F
i
gu
re4R
e
a
lGDPpe
rH
e
adandHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t(
e
x
c
lud
in
g
in
com
e
)G
row
th(%
)
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
35
F
i
gu
re5D
r
i
v
e
r
so
fH
IHDG
row
th
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
,1870
-2007(%
)
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
F
i
gu
re6R
e
l
a
t
i
v
eHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
:H
IHDandHD
I(
O
ECD =1
)
Sou
r
c
e
s
:te
x
tandP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a(2015
)
.
36
F
i
gu
re7R
e
l
a
t
i
v
eH
IHD
:L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
in Wo
r
ldPe
r
spe
c
t
i
v
e1870
-2007(O
ECD=1
)
Sou
r
c
e
s
:te
x
tandP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a(2015
)
.
F
i
gu
re8R
e
l
a
t
i
v
eL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
sGDPpe
rH
e
adandH
IHD*(
e
x
c
l
.
in
come
)(O
ECD=1
)
Sou
r
c
e
s
:te
x
tandP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a(2015
)
.
37
F
i
gu
re9L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a
’
sH
IHDC
a
t
ch
in
g
-upw
i
thO
ECD
,1870
-2007(%
)
Sou
r
c
e
s
:te
x
tandP
r
ado
sde
l
aE
s
co
su
r
a(2015
)
.
F
i
gu
re10H
IHD
Inequ
a
l
i
t
y
,1870
-2007
:A
l
t
e
rn
a
t
i
v
eCoun
t
r
yS
amp
l
e
s(unw
e
i
gh
tedc
.
v
.
)
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
38
F
i
gu
re11B
e
t
a
-Con
v
e
r
g
en
c
e
inHum
anD
e
v
e
lopm
en
t
,1870
2007
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
F
i
gu
re12
aB
e
t
a
-Con
v
e
r
g
en
c
e
inHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
,187
0-1913
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
39
F
i
gu
re12bB
e
t
a
-Con
v
e
r
g
en
c
e
inHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
,191
3-1938
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
F
i
gu
re12
cB
e
t
a
-Con
v
e
r
g
en
c
e
inHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
,193
8-1980
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
40
F
i
gu
re12dB
e
t
a
-Con
v
e
r
g
en
c
e
inHum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
t
,198
0-2007
Sou
r
c
e
:S
eethete
x
t
.
inAme
r
i
c
a
,1870
-2007
F
i
gu
re13Hum
anDe
v
e
lopmen
tandDemo
c
r
a
t
i
z
a
t
ion
inL
a
t
Sou
r
c
e
:Demo
c
r
a
t
i
z
a
t
ion
inde
x
,V
anh
anen(2010
)
,no
rm
a
l
i
zed
;
H
IHD,s
eeth
ete
x
t
.
41
ON
L
IN
EAPP
END
IX
.
S
ce
sandP
ro
cedu
re
s
our
L
i
f
eE
xp
e
c
tan
c
ya
tb
i
r
th
Mo
s
td
a
t
acomef
romth
e MO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
efo
rL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
a(A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.
2003
)(
supp
l
emen
tedw
i
thth
ewo
r
k
in
gshee
t
sp
r
ep
a
redb
ySh
aneandB
a
rb
a
r
aHun
t
andk
ind
l
yp
ro
v
id
edb
yP
ab
loA
s
to
r
g
a
)
-andA
r
r
i
a
g
a(1968
)
.
Inadd
i
t
ion
,n
a
t
ion
a
l
sou
r
c
e
su
s
eda
re
:
A
r
g
en
t
in
a
,1870
-1890
,R
e
c
ch
in
ideL
a
t
te
sandL
a
t
te
s(1975
)
.
Ch
i
l
e
,1890
-1900
,andU
ru
gu
a
y
,1870
-1900
,a
s
sumedtoh
a
v
ee
vo
l
v
eda
lon
gA
r
g
en
t
in
a
.
U
ru
gu
a
y
,1900
-1938
,M
in
i
s
te
r
iod
eS
a
ludPúb
l
i
c
a(2001
)
,
L
i
fee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
y
inCo
lomb
i
a
,1870
-1900
,Cub
a
,1870
-1900
,P
an
am
a
,1880
-1900
,
Hondu
r
a
s
,1890
-1900
,Pue
r
toR
i
co
,1870
-1890
,andVene
zu
e
l
a
,1880
-1900
,h
a
sbe
en
a
s
sumedtoe
vo
l
v
ea
lon
gCo
s
t
aR
i
c
a
’
s(
s
amet
rendbu
td
i
f
fe
ren
t
l
e
v
e
l
s
)
.
Pe
ru
,1913
-1938
,a
s
sum
edtoe
vo
l
v
ea
lon
gBo
l
i
v
i
a
’
s
.
Pue
r
toR
i
co
,1870
-1890
,a
s
sumed
i
te
vo
l
v
e
sa
lon
gCo
s
t
aR
i
c
a
;1890
,R
i
l
e
y(
2005b
)
;
1900
-1938
,UN(1993
)
.
J
am
a
i
c
a
,1880
-1938
,R
i
l
e
y(2005
a
:198
)
;1870
-1880
,a
s
sumed
i
te
vo
l
v
e
sa
lon
gCo
s
t
a
R
i
c
a
.
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go
,1860
-1900
,a
s
sumedtoe
vo
l
v
ea
lon
gJ
am
a
i
c
a
’
s
.
Intheab
s
en
c
eo
f
l
i
f
ee
xp
e
c
t
an
c
ye
s
t
im
a
te
sfo
re
a
r
l
yy
e
a
r
sp
ro
j
e
c
t
in
gthea
v
a
i
l
ab
l
e
f
i
gu
re
sw
i
th
in
f
an
tsu
r
v
i
v
a
lr
a
t
e
s(
th
a
t
i
s
,400–
a
sthe m
a
x
imum
in
f
an
tmo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yr
a
te
pe
rthou
s
and
l
e
s
sthecoun
t
r
y
’
s
in
f
an
t mo
r
t
a
l
i
t
yr
a
te
)h
a
sde
r
i
v
edth
emfo
rP
an
am
a
,
1900
-1929andGu
y
an
a
,1950
-1960
.Su
chap
ro
c
edu
rew
a
sa
l
sou
s
edtod
i
s
t
r
ibu
tethe
a
v
e
r
a
g
e
l
i
fee
xpe
c
t
an
c
ye
s
t
im
a
t
efo
rA
r
g
en
t
in
a
,1869
-1894
.
L
i
t
e
ra
c
y
MO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
e(A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.2003
)(p
lu
sthewo
r
k
in
gshee
t
sp
r
ep
a
r
edb
y
Sh
aneandB
a
rb
a
r
aHun
tandk
ind
l
yp
ro
v
id
edb
yP
ab
loA
s
to
r
g
a
)andNew
l
and(1991
)
p
ro
v
idemo
s
to
fthed
a
t
a
.O
the
rw
i
s
e
,th
esou
r
c
e
sa
re
:
Ch
i
l
e
,1870
,B
r
aune
ta
l
.(
2000
)
,1870
-1890
,New
l
and(1991
)
Cuba
N
i
c
a
r
a
gu
a
,1900
,Núñ
e
z(2005
)
42
L
i
te
r
a
c
yr
a
te
sh
a
v
ebeenb
a
c
kw
a
rd
sp
ro
j
e
c
tedw
i
thth
a
teo
fp
r
im
a
r
yen
ro
lmen
tfo
r
er
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
,1870
-1890
,andPue
r
toR
i
co
,1870
-1890
.
L
i
te
r
a
c
yr
a
te
sh
a
v
ebeenb
a
c
kw
a
rd
sp
ro
j
e
c
tedw
i
thy
e
a
r
so
fp
r
im
a
r
yedu
c
a
t
ionfo
rthe
popu
l
a
t
ionabo
v
e15y
e
a
r
s(Mo
r
r
i
s
sonand Mu
r
t
in(2009
)fo
rDom
in
i
c
anR
epub
l
i
c
,
1870
-1900
;E
lS
a
l
v
ado
r
,1870
-1890
;U
ru
gu
a
y
,1870
-1890
,andV
ene
zue
l
a
,1870
-1880
.
En
ro
lm
en
t
Mo
s
td
a
t
acomef
rom MO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
e(A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.2003
)
,supp
l
emen
ted
i
t
w
i
ththewo
r
k
in
gshe
e
t
sp
rep
a
redb
ySh
aneandB
a
rb
a
r
aHun
t
.O
th
e
rw
i
s
e
,thesou
r
c
e
s
a
re
:
Pue
r
toR
i
co
,1870
-1880
,New
l
and(1991
)
Vene
zue
l
a
,1870
-1890
,N
ew
l
and(1991
)
A
l
len
ro
lmen
tde
r
i
v
edw
i
thp
r
im
a
r
yen
ro
lmen
t
inB
en
a
vo
tandR
idd
l
e(1988
)
,
ad
ju
s
t
edw
i
thth
er
a
t
ioo
ftho
s
ea
g
ed5
-14y
e
a
r
stotho
s
ea
g
ed5
-24y
e
a
r
s
,fo
r
Dom
in
i
c
anR
ep
.
,1870
-1913
;E
cu
ado
r
,1870
-1880
.
A
l
len
ro
lmen
tr
a
te
sh
a
v
ebeenb
a
c
kw
a
rd
sp
ro
j
e
c
t
edw
i
thy
e
a
r
so
fp
r
im
a
r
y
edu
c
a
t
ionfo
rthepopu
l
a
t
ionabo
v
e15y
e
a
r
s(Mo
r
r
i
s
sonand Mu
r
t
in(2009
)fo
rCub
a
,
1870
-1890
;Hondu
r
a
s
,1870
-1880
;P
an
am
a
,1870
-1890
,andP
a
r
a
gu
a
y
,1870
-1880
.
Ther
e
l
e
v
an
tpopu
l
a
t
ionw
a
sde
r
i
v
eda
sfo
l
low
s
.F
i
r
s
t
l
y
,
Icompu
t
edthesh
a
reo
f
popu
l
a
t
iona
g
ed5
-24(
and5
-14
)o
v
e
rto
t
a
lpopu
l
a
t
iona
tc
en
su
sy
e
a
r
sf
rom M
i
t
che
l
l
(2003
)th
a
tw
a
s
,then
,
in
te
rpo
l
a
ted
lo
g
l
ine
a
r
l
ytode
r
i
v
ey
e
a
r
l
ys
e
r
i
e
sand
,f
in
a
l
l
y
,
i
t
s
re
su
l
tmu
l
t
ip
l
i
edb
yto
t
a
lpopu
l
a
t
ionf
i
gu
re
s
.
P
e
rCap
i
taGDP
D
a
t
afo
rthetw
en
t
i
e
th
c
en
tu
r
ye
x
c
ep
tfo
rCub
a(
s
eebe
low
)
-come
sf
rom
C
EPA
L(2009
)f
rom1950onw
a
rd
s
,A
s
to
r
g
aandF
i
t
z
g
e
r
a
ld(1998
)and MO
x
LAD
d
a
t
ab
a
s
e(A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.2003
)
.O
the
rw
i
s
en
a
t
ion
a
lsou
r
c
e
sh
a
v
ebeenu
s
ed
.GDPpe
r
he
ad
i
se
xp
r
e
s
s
ed
in1990G
e
a
r
y
-Kh
am
i
sdo
l
l
a
r
s.
n
t
in
a
,De
l
l
aP
ao
l
e
r
ae
ta
l
.(2003
)
,1884
-1950
,a
s
sum
in
gther
a
teo
fg
row
tho
v
e
r
A
rg
e
1870
-84w
a
s
iden
t
i
c
a
ltoth
a
tfo
r1884
-90
.Th
ea
l
t
e
rn
a
t
i
v
eop
t
iono
fp
ro
j
e
c
t
in
g
b
a
c
kw
a
rd
sthe
l
e
v
e
lfo
r1884to1875w
i
thCo
r
té
sConde(1997
)c
a
s
t
stoo
lowaf
i
gu
re
.
I
a
s
sumedth
e
l
e
v
e
lfo
r1870w
a
s
id
en
t
i
c
a
ltoth
a
to
f1875
.
B
r
a
z
i
l
,1870
-1950
,Go
ld
sm
i
th
,(1986
)
43
Bo
l
i
v
i
a
,1870
-1950
,H
e
r
r
an
z
Lon
c
ánandP
e
re
sC
a
j
í
a
s(
2015
)
.F
i
gu
re
sfo
r1870and1880
in
te
rpo
l
a
tedf
romtho
s
efo
r1850and1883(wo
r
k
shee
t
sk
ind
l
yp
ro
v
id
edb
ythe
au
tho
r
s
)
.
Ch
i
l
e
,1870
-1950
,D
í
a
z
,Lüde
r
sand W
a
gn
e
r(2007
)
Co
lomb
i
a
,1870
-1905
,K
a
lm
ano
v
i
t
zK
r
au
t
e
randLópe
zR
i
v
e
r
a(2009
)andd
a
t
ak
ind
l
y
p
ro
v
idedb
yS
a
lomonK
a
lm
ano
v
i
t
z
inp
r
i
v
a
tecommun
i
c
a
t
ion
;1905
-1950
,GR
ECO
(2002
)
.
Cub
a
,upto1902
,S
an
t
am
a
r
í
a(2005
)
;1902
-1958
,W
a
rdandD
e
v
e
reu
x(2012
)
;1958
onw
a
rd
s
,M
add
i
son(2010
)
An
impo
r
t
an
tc
a
v
e
a
t
inthec
a
s
eo
fCub
a
i
sth
a
tM
add
i
son(2006
)
l
e
v
e
lfo
r1990h
a
sno
t
beena
c
c
ep
ted
.There
a
son
i
sth
a
t
,g
i
v
enth
e
l
a
c
ko
fPPP
sfo
rCub
a
in1990
,M
add
i
son
(2006
:192
)a
s
sumedCub
anpe
rc
ap
i
t
aGDPw
a
s15p
e
rc
en
tbe
lowth
eL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
an
a
v
e
r
a
g
e
.S
in
c
eth
i
s
i
sana
rb
i
t
r
a
r
ya
s
sump
t
ion
,
Is
t
a
r
tedf
romB
rund
en
iu
sand
Z
imb
a
l
i
s
t
’
s(1989
)e
s
t
im
a
teo
fCub
a
’
sGDPpe
rhe
adre
l
a
t
i
v
etos
i
xm
a
jo
rL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
an
coun
t
r
i
e
s(A
r
g
en
t
in
a
,B
r
a
z
i
l
,Ch
i
l
e
,Co
lomb
i
a
, Me
x
i
co
,andVene
zue
l
a
,LA6
)
in1980
(p
ro
v
ided
inA
s
to
r
g
aandF
i
t
z
g
e
r
a
ld1998
)andapp
l
iedth
i
sr
a
t
iototh
ea
v
e
r
a
g
epe
r
c
ap
i
t
a
in
comeo
fLA6
in1980G
e
a
r
y
-Kh
am
i
sdo
l
l
a
r
stode
r
i
v
eCub
a
’
s
l
e
v
e
l
in1980
.
Then
,fo
l
low
in
gM
add
i
son(1995
:166
)
,
Ide
r
i
v
edthe
l
e
v
e
lfo
r1990w
i
thth
eg
row
th
r
a
teo
fre
a
lpe
rc
ap
i
t
aGDPa
tn
a
t
ion
a
lp
r
i
c
e
so
v
e
r1980
-1990andr
e
f
l
a
tedth
ere
su
l
t
w
i
ththeU
S
imp
l
i
c
i
tGDPde
f
l
a
to
r
ino
rd
e
rtoa
r
r
i
v
etoane
s
t
im
a
teo
fp
e
rc
ap
i
t
aGDP
in
1990a
t1990G
e
a
r
y
-Kh
am
i
sdo
l
l
a
r
s
.
In
t
e
re
s
t
in
g
l
y
,Cub
a
’
spo
s
i
t
ionre
l
a
t
i
v
etotheU
S
in
1929and1955
i
sv
e
r
yc
lo
s
etotheone W
a
rdandDe
v
e
r
eu
x(2012
)e
s
t
im
a
tedu
s
in
ga
d
i
f
f
e
ren
tapp
ro
a
ch
.
E
cu
ado
r
,1870
-1890
,
Ia
s
sumed
i
te
vo
l
v
eda
sP
e
ruo
v
e
r1880
-1900
,y
i
e
ld
in
g$447fo
r
1880
,and
Ia
rb
i
t
r
a
r
i
l
ya
s
sumedape
rc
ap
i
t
aGDPo
f$400fo
r1870
.
Me
x
i
co
,1870
-1900
,Co
a
t
swo
r
th(1989
:41
)
;1896
-1950
,
IN
EG
I(1995
)
Pe
ru
,1870
-1950
,S
em
in
a
r
io(2011
)
U
ru
gu
a
y
,1870
-1938
,B
é
r
to
l
a(1998
)
Vene
zue
l
a
,1870
-1950
,B
ap
t
i
s
t
a(1997
)
C
en
t
r
a
lAme
r
i
c
a(Co
s
t
aR
i
c
a
,E
lS
a
l
v
ado
r
,Gu
a
t
em
a
l
a
,Hondu
r
a
s
,andN
i
c
a
r
a
gu
a
)
,
I
de
r
i
v
edthe
l
e
v
e
lfo
r1913b
ya
s
sum
in
gth
eg
row
tho
v
e
r1913
-20w
a
s
iden
t
i
c
a
ltoth
a
t
o
f1920
-25
,the
l
a
t
te
rde
r
i
v
edf
romO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
e(A
s
to
r
g
ae
ta
l
.2003
)
.
44
C
a
r
ibbe
an
.B
ah
am
a
s
,B
a
rb
ado
s
,B
e
l
i
ze
,Gu
y
an
a
,1950
-2007
,andS
t
.K
i
t
t
sandNe
v
i
s
,S
t
.
V
in
c
en
tandth
eG
ren
ad
ine
s
,1990
-2007
,M
add
i
son(2006
,2010
)
,Con
fe
ren
c
eBo
a
rd
(2010
)
,andBu
lme
r
Thom
a
s(pe
r
son
a
lcommun
i
c
a
t
ion
)
T
r
in
id
ad
Tob
a
go
,1950
-1970
,M
add
i
son(2010
)
J
am
a
i
c
a
,1870
-1929
,E
i
sn
e
r(1961
)
;1938
,M
add
i
son(2010
)
Pue
r
toR
i
co
,1950
-2007
,M
add
i
son(2010
)
Popu
la
t
ion
A
l
lf
i
gu
re
sa
r
ead
ju
s
tedtore
fe
rtom
id
y
e
a
randtot
a
k
e
in
toa
c
coun
tthe
te
r
r
i
to
r
i
a
lch
an
g
e
sanda
rede
r
i
v
edf
rom M
add
i
son(2010
)and M
i
t
ch
e
l
l(2003
a
,2003b
,
2003
c
)
,comp
l
e
t
edfo
rL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aandtheC
a
r
ibbe
anw
i
thO
x
LADd
a
t
ab
a
s
e(A
s
to
r
g
a
e
ta
l
.2003
)
,1900
-1938
,andC
EPA
L(2009
)
,1950
-2007
.O
the
rw
i
s
e
,n
a
t
ion
a
lsou
r
c
e
s
w
e
reu
s
ed
.
45
Re
fe
ren
ce
s
Ar
r
i
a
g
a
,E
.E
.(1968
)
,
N
ewL
i
f
eTab
l
e
sfo
rLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
canPopu
la
t
ion
s
inth
eN
in
e
t
e
en
th
l
a
t
ion Mono
g
r
aph
sS
e
r
i
e
sNo
.3
,
In
s
t
i
tu
teo
f
andTw
en
t
i
e
thC
en
tu
r
i
e
s,Popu
In
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
lS
tud
i
e
s
,Un
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yo
fC
a
l
i
fo
rn
i
aB
e
r
k
e
l
e
y
.
A
s
to
r
g
a
,P
.andV
.F
i
t
z
g
e
r
a
ld(1998
)
,
‘
S
t
a
t
i
s
t
i
c
a
lAppend
i
x
’
,
inR
.Tho
rp
,P
rog
r
e
s
s
,
en
tu
r
y
.
Po
v
e
r
t
yandE
x
c
lu
s
ionAnE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
yo
fLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
ca
inth
e20th C
sh
in
g
ton
:
In
te
r
-Ame
r
i
c
anDe
v
e
lopm
en
tB
an
k
,pp
.307
-365
.
Wa
A
s
to
r
g
a
,P
.
,B
e
r
g
é
s
,A
.R
.
,andF
i
t
zG
e
r
a
ld
,E
.V
.K
.
.(
2003
)
,TheO
x
fo
rdL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
an
E
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
yD
a
t
ab
a
s
e[O
x
LAD
]
,O
x
fo
rd
:L
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
anC
en
t
re
,O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
y
.
Fo
rme
r
l
ya
v
a
i
l
ab
l
ea
t
:h
t
tp
:
/
/o
x
l
ad
.qeh
.o
x
.
a
c
.u
k
/,nowa
t
:h
t
tp
:
/
/mo
x
l
ad
.
f
c
s
.
edu
.u
y
/
B
an
k
s
,A
.S
.(2010
)
,C
ro
s
s
-Na
t
iona
lT
im
e
S
e
r
i
e
sDa
taA
r
ch
i
v
e.
h
t
tp
:
/
/www
.d
a
t
ab
an
k
s
in
te
rn
a
t
ion
a
l
.
com
/
B
ap
t
i
s
t
a
,A
.(1997
)
,Ba
s
e
scuan
t
i
ta
t
i
va
sd
e
lae
conom
íav
en
e
zo
lana
,1830–1995,
C
a
r
a
c
a
s
:Fund
a
c
iónPo
l
a
r
.
B
en
a
vo
t
,A
.andP
.R
idd
l
e(1988
)
,
‘
TheE
xp
an
s
iono
fP
r
im
a
r
yEdu
c
a
t
ion
,1870
-1940
:
T
rend
sand
I
s
su
e
s
’
,So
c
io
log
yo
fEdu
ca
t
ion61(3
)
:191
-210
B
é
r
to
l
a
,L
.(1998
)
,E
lPB
Id
eU
rugua
y
,1870–
1936yo
t
ra
se
s
t
ima
c
ion
e
s
, Mon
te
v
ideo
:
Un
i
v
e
r
s
id
add
e
l
aR
epúb
l
i
c
a
.
B
r
aun
,J
.
,M
.B
r
aun
,
I
.B
r
ione
s
,andJ
.D
í
a
z(2000
)
,
‘
E
conom
í
ach
i
l
en
a
,1810
-1995
.
E
s
t
ad
í
s
t
i
c
a
sh
i
s
tó
r
i
c
a
s
’
,Pon
t
i
f
i
c
i
aUn
i
v
e
r
s
id
adC
a
tó
l
i
c
adeCh
i
l
e
,
In
s
t
i
tu
tod
eE
conom
í
a
,
Do
cumen
tod
eT
r
ab
a
jono
.187
B
runden
iu
sC
.andA
.Z
imb
a
l
i
s
t(1989
)
,Th
eCubanE
conom
y
:M
ea
su
r
em
en
tandAna
l
y
s
i
s
Co
a
t
swo
r
th
,J
.H
.(1989
)
,
‘
TheDe
c
l
in
eo
fthe Me
x
i
c
anE
conom
y
,1800
-1860
’
,
inR
.L
i
eh
r
(
ed
.
)
,Am
é
r
i
caLa
t
inaen
laépo
cad
eS
imónBo
l
í
va
r
.Lafo
rma
c
iónd
e
la
se
conom
ía
s
na
c
iona
l
e
sy
lo
s
in
t
e
r
e
s
e
se
conóm
i
co
seu
rop
eo
s1800
-1850,B
e
r
l
in
:Co
l
loqu
ium
,pp
.27
53
Com
i
s
iónE
conóm
i
c
ap
a
r
aAmé
r
i
c
aL
a
t
in
aye
lC
a
r
ibe[C
EPA
L
](2009
)
,
‘Amé
r
i
c
aL
a
t
in
ay
e
lC
a
r
ibe
.S
e
r
i
e
sh
i
s
tó
r
i
c
a
sdee
s
t
ad
í
s
t
i
c
a
se
conóm
i
c
a
s1950
-2008
’
,Cuad
e
rno
s
E
s
tad
í
s
t
i
co
s37A
v
a
i
l
ab
l
ea
t
:h
t
tp
:
/
/www
.
e
c
l
a
c
.
c
l
/de
ype
/
cu
ade
rno37
/
ind
e
x
.h
tm
Co
r
té
sConde
,R
.(1997
)
,Lae
conom
íaa
rg
en
t
inaene
l
la
rgop
la
zo
,Bueno
sA
i
re
s
:
Ed
i
to
r
i
a
lSud
am
e
r
i
c
an
a
/Un
i
v
e
r
s
id
add
eS
anAnd
r
é
s
.
46
De
l
l
aP
ao
l
e
r
a
,G
.
,A
.M
.T
a
y
lo
r
,andC
.G
.Bo
zo
l
l
i(2003
)
,
‘H
i
s
to
r
i
c
a
lS
t
a
t
i
s
t
i
c
s
’
,
inG
.De
l
l
a
P
ao
l
e
r
aandA
.M
.T
a
y
lo
r(
ed
s
.
)
,AN
ewE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
yo
fA
rg
en
t
ina,NewYo
r
k
:
C
amb
r
id
g
eUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
r
e
s
s(w
i
thCD
-ROM
)
,pp
.376–385
.
D
í
a
z
,J
.
,R
.Lüde
r
s
,andG
.W
a
gne
r(2007
)
,
‘
E
conom
í
aCh
i
l
en
a1810
-2000
.P
rodu
c
toto
t
a
l
ys
e
c
to
r
i
a
l
.Un
anue
v
am
i
r
ad
a
’
,Pon
t
i
f
i
c
i
aUn
i
v
e
r
s
id
adC
a
tó
l
i
c
adeCh
i
l
e
,Do
cumen
tode
t
r
ab
a
jo315
E
i
sne
r
,G
.(1961
)
,Jam
a
i
ca
,1830
-1930
:AS
tud
y
inE
conom
i
cG
row
th, M
an
che
s
te
r
:
M
an
che
s
te
rUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
Go
ld
sm
i
th
,R
.W
.(1986
)
,D
e
s
en
vo
l
v
im
en
tof
inan
c
e
i
rosobums
é
cu
lod
e
in
f
la
çao,R
iode
J
ane
i
ro
:H
a
rp
e
r&RowdoB
r
a
s
i
l
GR
ECO(G
rupod
eE
s
tud
io
sdeC
re
c
im
i
en
toE
conóm
i
co
)(2002
)
,E
lC
r
e
c
im
i
en
to
e
conóm
i
coco
lomb
ianoene
lS
ig
loXX
,Bo
go
t
á
:B
an
cod
e
l
aR
epúb
l
i
c
a
–
FondodeCu
l
tu
r
a
E
conóm
i
c
a
H
abe
r
,S
.
,ed
.(1997
)
,HowLa
t
inAm
e
r
i
caF
e
l
lB
eh
ind
?E
s
sa
y
sonth
eE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
i
e
s
o
fB
ra
z
i
land M
e
x
i
co
,1800
-1914,S
t
an
fo
rd
:S
t
an
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
H
e
r
r
an
z
Lon
c
án
,A
.andJ
.Pe
re
sC
a
j
í
a
s(2015
)
,“
T
r
a
c
in
gther
e
v
e
r
s
a
lo
ffo
r
tune
inth
e
Ame
r
i
c
a
s
:Bo
l
i
v
i
anGDPp
e
rc
ap
i
t
as
in
c
ethem
id
-n
ine
te
en
thc
en
tu
r
y
”
,C
l
iom
e
t
r
i
ca
(
fo
r
th
com
in
g
)
.
IN
EG
I(1995
)
,
E
s
tad
í
s
t
i
ca
sh
i
s
tó
r
i
ca
sd
eM
é
x
i
co
,M
é
x
i
coD
F
:
IN
EG
I
.
K
a
lm
ano
v
i
t
zK
r
au
te
r
,S
.andE
.Lóp
e
zR
i
v
e
r
a(2009
)
,La
scu
en
ta
sna
c
iona
l
e
sd
eCo
lomb
ia
ene
ls
ig
loX
IX
,Bo
go
t
á
:Un
i
v
e
r
s
id
addeBo
go
t
áJo
r
g
eT
ad
eoLo
z
ano
.
M
in
i
s
t
e
r
iodeS
a
ludPúb
l
i
c
a(2001
)
, Tab
la
sd
e Mo
r
ta
l
idadd
e
lU
rugua
ypo
rs
e
xoyedad/
1908-1999, Mon
te
v
id
eo
:M
in
i
s
t
e
r
iodeS
a
ludPúb
l
i
c
a
,D
i
r
e
c
c
iónG
ene
r
a
lde
l
aS
a
lud
,
Dep
a
r
t
amen
tod
eE
s
t
ad
í
s
t
i
c
a
.
E
.Núñe
z
,andG
.To
r
t
e
l
l
a(
ed
s
.
)
,Lama
ld
i
c
iónd
i
v
ina
.
Igno
ran
c
iaya
t
ra
soenp
e
r
sp
e
c
t
i
va
h
i
s
tó
r
i
ca, M
ad
r
id
:A
l
i
an
z
a
,pp
.271
-306
.
M
i
t
che
l
l
,B
.R
.(2003
)
, In
t
e
rna
t
iona
lH
i
s
to
r
i
ca
lS
ta
t
i
s
t
i
c
s
:Th
eAm
e
r
i
ca
s
,1750–2000
,5
th
ed
.N
ewYo
r
k
:P
a
l
g
r
a
v
eM
a
cm
i
l
l
an
.
New
l
and
,C
.(1991
)
,
‘
L
aedu
c
a
c
ióne
l
emen
t
a
lenH
i
sp
ano
am
é
r
i
c
a
:de
sd
e
l
a
H
i
span
i
c
independen
c
i
ah
a
s
t
a
l
ac
en
t
r
a
l
i
z
a
c
iónd
e
lo
ss
i
s
tem
a
sedu
c
a
t
i
vo
sn
a
c
ion
a
l
e
s
’
,
Am
e
r
i
canH
i
s
to
r
i
ca
lR
e
v
i
ew 71(2
)
:335
-364
.
47
Núñ
e
z
,J
.(2005
)
,
‘
S
i
gn
edw
i
thanX
: Me
thodo
lo
g
yandDa
t
aSou
r
c
e
sfo
rAn
a
l
y
z
in
gthe
E
vo
lu
t
iono
fL
i
te
r
a
c
y
inL
a
t
inAme
r
i
c
aandtheC
a
r
ibbe
an
,1900
-1950
’
,La
t
inAm
e
r
i
can
,2
:117
-35
.
R
e
s
ea
r
chR
e
v
i
ew 40
R
e
c
ch
in
ideL
a
t
te
s
,Z
.andA
.E
.L
a
t
t
e
s(
ed
s
.
)(1975
)
,Lapob
la
c
iónd
eA
rg
en
t
ina
,Bueno
s
A
i
re
s
:
In
s
t
i
tu
toN
a
c
ion
a
ldeE
s
t
ad
í
s
t
i
c
ayC
en
so
s
.
R
i
l
e
y
,J
.C
.(2005
a
)
,Po
v
e
r
t
yandL
i
f
eE
xp
e
c
tan
c
y
.Th
eJama
i
caPa
rado
x,NewYo
r
k
:
C
amb
r
id
g
eUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
r
e
s
s
.
R
i
l
e
y
,J
.C
.(2005b
)
,“
Th
eT
im
in
gandP
a
c
eo
fH
e
a
l
thT
r
an
s
i
t
ion
sA
roundthe Wo
r
ld
”
,
Popu
la
t
ionandD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tR
e
v
i
ew31(4
)
:741
-764
R
i
l
e
y
,J
.C
.(2005
c
)
,
‘B
ib
l
io
g
r
aph
yo
f Wo
r
k
sP
ro
v
id
in
gE
s
t
im
a
te
so
fL
i
feE
xpe
c
t
an
c
ya
t
B
i
r
thandE
s
t
im
a
te
so
fth
eB
e
g
inn
in
gPe
r
iodo
fH
e
a
l
thT
r
an
s
i
t
ion
s
inCoun
t
r
i
e
sw
i
tha
Popu
l
a
t
ion
in2000o
fa
tL
e
a
s
t400
,000
’
.A
v
a
i
l
ab
l
ea
t
:www
.
l
i
fe
t
ab
l
e
.d
e
/R
i
l
e
yB
ib
.h
tm
S
an
t
am
a
r
í
a
,A
.(2005
)
,
‘
L
a
scuen
t
a
sn
a
c
ion
a
l
e
sd
eCub
a
,1690–2005
’C
en
t
rode
E
s
tud
io
sH
i
s
tó
r
i
co
s
,C
en
t
roSupe
r
io
rd
e
In
v
e
s
t
i
g
a
c
ione
sC
i
en
t
í
f
i
c
a
s(m
imeo
)
Un
i
tedN
a
t
ion
sD
e
v
e
lopmen
tP
ro
g
r
am[UNDP
](2009
)
,HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tR
epo
r
t,
NewYo
r
k
:O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
Un
i
tedN
a
t
ion
sD
e
v
e
lopmen
tP
ro
g
r
am[UNDP
](2010
)
,HumanD
e
v
e
lopm
en
tR
epo
r
t,
NewYo
r
k
:O
x
fo
rdUn
i
v
e
r
s
i
t
yP
re
s
s
.
W
a
rd
,M
.andJ
.De
v
e
r
eu
x(2012
)
,
‘
TheRo
adNo
tT
a
k
en
:P
re
-R
e
vo
lu
t
ion
a
r
yCub
an
L
i
v
in
gS
t
and
a
rd
s
inComp
a
r
a
t
i
v
ePe
r
sp
e
c
t
i
v
e
’
,Jou
rna
lo
fE
conom
i
cH
i
s
to
r
y72(1
)
:104
132
48