Tennessee Market Highlights Trends for the Week Compared to a Week Ago Slaughter Cows Mostly steady to $2 higher Slaughter Bulls Mostly steady to $2 higher Feeder Steers $3 to $8 lower Feeder Heifers $3 to $4 lower Feeder Cattle Index Wednesday’s index: 217.63 Fed Cattle The 5-area live price of $163.98 is up $2.48. The dressed price is up $4.72 at $260.00. Corn May closed at $3.91 a bushel, up 6 cents a bushel since last Friday. Soybeans May closed at $9.67 a bushel, down 6 cents a bushel since last Friday. Wheat May closed at $5.07 a bushel, down 23 cents a bushel since last Friday. Cotton May closed at 63.55 cents per lb, up 0.73 cents per lb since last Friday. March 27, 2015 Number: 13 Livestock Comments by Dr. Andrew P. Griffith FED CATTLE: Fed cattle trade was not well established at time of publishing. Bid prices on a live basis were $160 to $162 while ask prices were $165 to $166. A stronger market is expected. The 5-area weighted average prices thru Thursday were $163.98 live, up $2.48 from last week and $260.00 dressed, up $4.72 from a week ago. A year ago prices were $152.26 live and $243.48 dressed. Cattle feeders continue to hold out for higher prices as April live cattle futures traded more than $4 higher than last Friday and have increased more than $9 in the past two weeks. The increase in futures prices have fueled the fire for continued strength in the live cattle market. Packers on the other hand have little interest in purchasing cattle at such levels. Though packers seem steadfast in toeing the line and moderating fed cattle prices, all indications are for the market to continue strengthening and further eroding packer margins. Cattle feeders will maintain leverage over packers at a minimum until late spring or early summer which may provide cattle feeders an opportunity to make a little profit. BEEF CUTOUT: At midday Friday, the Choice cutout was $250.43 down $0.24 from Thursday and up $6.05 from last Friday. The Select cutout was $246.62 down $0.34 from Thursday and up $2.04 from last Friday. The Choice Select spread was $3.81 compared to -$0.18 a week ago. Packers continue to closely monitor chain speeds to manage beef cutout prices. They have again slowed chain speeds to a crawl as margins are being squeezed because of increasing fed cattle prices. Thus, their only recourse to capture margins is to try to push cutout prices higher. There is some indication that cutout prices may make a run this spring as retailers and food service participants begin making purchases for the summer grilling season, but the magnitude of such a run is extremely uncertain. Consumers seek Choice quality middle meats for summer grilling purposes, but some consumers have been forced to trade down to ground beef or competing proteins. Consumers will continue to face record beef prices while pork and poultry prices will remain low relative to the price of beef. Demand for beef was strong throughout 2014, and there is no indication 2015 should be much different. Consumers will vote with their dollar just as they have always done. Beef demand in 2015 may shed some additional light on consumers’ devotion to beef. TENNESSEE AUCTIONS: On Tennessee auctions this week compared to a week ago feeder steers were $3 to $8 lower while feeder bulls steady to $2 higher. Heifers were $3 to $4 lower. Slaughter cows and bulls were mostly steady to $2 higher. Average receipts per sale were 1,177 head on 9 sales compared to 944 head on 9 sales last week and 700 head on 12 sales last year. OUTLOOK: Auction market activity continued to pick up this week as several days of warm and precipitation free weather spurred producers to gather calves and ship them to town. Cattle buyers were prepared for the rush with cash in hand and pastures ready to receive lightweight calves. The past couple of weeks have provided many stocker cattle producers the opportunity to secure grazing inventory for the spring and summer. Though many producers would have liked to have purchased calves several weeks earlier, they now have a few animals to begin harvesting early forage production. The expectation of favorable weather conditions for moving cattle next week should continue to support spring calf marketings in the short term. The question now is if the market has already experienced its spring peak in lightweight calf prices. Steers weighing 525 pounds lost $6 per hundredweight from the previous week while 625 pound steers fell $5 per hundredweight. Similarly, heifers weighing 525 and 625 (Continued on page 2) Livestock Comments by Dr. Andrew Griffith then $150.15. Resistance is at $152.70 then $153.97. The RSI is 63.59. August live cattle closed at $149.05. Support is at $149.00, then $148.10. Resistance is at $149.60, then $150.33. The RSI is 62.22. April feeders closed at $217.36. Support is at $215.87, then $213.02. Resistance is at $218.72 then $221.57. The RSI is 64.77. May feeders closed at $215.78. Support is at $215.00, then $213.43. Resistance is at $216.13 then $217.55. The RSI is 62.72. August feeders closed at $217.20. Support is at $216.50, then $216.08. Resistance is at $217.75 then $219.25. The RSI is 62.85. Friday’s closing prices were as follows: Live/fed cattle – April $162.63 +0.95; June $152.98 +0.98; August $149.95 +0.90; Feeder cattle - April $219.28 +2.05; May $218.13 +2.35; August $219.23 +2.03; September $218.10 +1.83. May corn closed at $3.91 down $0.01 from Thursday. (Continued from page 1) pounds fell $3 and $4 per hundredweight respectively. It may be likely that the spring calf market has peaked. The seasonal tendency for 500 to 600 pound steers is for prices to peak in March to early April and then decline throughout the year. Based on the last ten years of price data in Tennessee, 500 to 600 pound steers generally experience a 13 percent price decline from March to November which could result in 525 pound steers falling to $235 per hundredweight. Same weight heifers on the other hand generally experience their price peak in April or May and then fall off about 13 percent by November. If heifer prices have already reached their apex then that may put 500 to 600 pound heifer prices near $206 per hundredweight. The use of seasonal price trends alone is not a sufficient means of determining future prices. However, cattle prices have strong seasonal influences from the standpoint of seasonal supply and demand of calves, feeder cattle, fed cattle and beef. The supply and demand tendencies along with external factors greatly influence prices paid and received. Milk Futures Month Mar Apr May Jun Jul TECHNICALLY SPEAKING: Based on Thursday’s closing prices, April live cattle closed at $161.68. Support is at $161.02, then $159.77. Resistance is at $162.27, then $163.52. The RSI is 66.39. June live cattle closed at $152.00. Support is at $151.43, Average Daily Slaughter Thursday March 26, 2015 Class III Close Class IV Close 15.53 13.93 15.50 13.83 15.30 14.20 15.45 14.40 15.94 15.00 USDA Box Beef Cutout Value Cattle Hogs Choice 1-3 600-900 lbs ———— Number of head ———— This week (4 days) 104,750 Last week (4 days) 107,500 Year ago (4 days) 117,500 This week as percentage of Week ago (%) 97% Year ago (%) 89% 433,250 430,500 412,000 Select 1-3 600-900 lbs ———————— $/cwt —-——————— Thursday Last Week Year ago Change from week ago Change from year ago 101% 105% 250.67 246.61 241.76 +4.06 +8.91 246.96 244.79 233.31 +2.17 +13.65 Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith Overview Corn and cotton were up; soybeans and wheat were down for the week. This week corn futures prices strengthened relative to soybeans. Currently, the nearby soybean to corn futures price ratio is 2.47; compared to a harvest price ratio of 2.33. The harvest price ratio has the potential to further decrease if, on March 31st, the USDA planted acreage estimates contain more than expected planted acres of soybeans and less than expected planted acres of corn. Of course the potential exists for the USDA to provide a surprise on Tuesday. Tennessee producers may be interested in the current cash forward contract soybean to corn price ratios. As of Thursday, the harvest soybean to corn price ratios were reported as 2.38, 2.44, 2.29, 2.39, and 2.37 in the five reporting regions (Northwest, Upper-middle, Lower-middle, Northwest Barge Points, and Memphis). In addition to price ratios amongst commodities, producers should also be considering their expected individual farm yields and input costs by commodity when finalizing their planting decisions. Today, the USDA announced the deadline for producers and/or landowners to make their yield update, base acre reallocation, and commodity program decisions (ARC-CO/ARC-I/PLC) was extended one week, to April 7, 2015. Producers and landowners that have not made decisions should take advantage of the deadline extension and contact their local FSA office to sign up. Producers and 2 Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith landowners who have made decisions should take this opportunity to reevaluate their decisions, using the most recent price and yield data, and make any changes deemed necessary before April 7th. Note: The USDA will release their Prospective Plantings and Quarterly Grain Stocks reports on March 31st so it may be prudent to wait until April 1st to reevaluate the current price environment as these reports can provide significant market movements. Corn May 2015 corn futures closed at $3.91 up 6 cents a bushel since last week. Across Tennessee average basis (cash price- nearby future price) remained unchanged at Northwest Barge Points, Memphis, Lower-middle, and Upper-middle Tennessee and weakened in Northwest Tennessee. Overall average basis for the week ranged from 10 under to 25 over the May futures contract with an average of 12 over at the end of the week. Ethanol production for the week ending March 20th was 953,000 barrels per day up 6,000 barrels per day from last week. Ending ethanol stocks were 21.317 million barrels up 497,000 barrels from last week. This week May 2015 corn futures prices traded between $3.85 and $3.97. May/Jul and May/Sep future spreads were 8 cents and 15 cents, respectively. July 2015 corn futures closed at $3.99 up 7 cents from last week. Corn net sales reported by exporters March 13th to 19th were within expectations with net sales of 17.1 million bushels for the 2014/15 marketing year and 1.1 million bushels for the 2015/16 marketing year. Exports for the same time period were up from last week at 42 million bushels. Corn export sales and commitments were 81% of the USDA estimated total annual exports for the 2014/15 marketing year (September 1 to August 31) compared to a 5-year average of 81%. September 2015 cash forward contracts averaged $4.00 with a range of $3.74 to $4.28. September 2015 futures closed at $4.06 up 6 cents from last week. Downside price protection could be obtained by purchasing a $4.10 September 2015 Put Option costing 32 cents establishing a $3.78 futures floor. Soybeans May 2015 soybean futures closed at $9.67 down 6 cents since last week. May soybean to corn price ratio was 2.47 at the end of the week. For the week, average soybean basis strengthened or remained unchanged at Memphis, Northwest Barge Points, Uppermiddle, and Lower-middle Tennessee and weakened in Northwest Tennessee. Basis ranged from 18 under to 34 over the May futures contract at elevators and barge points. Average basis at the end of the week was 18 over the May futures contract. This week May 2015 soybean futures traded between $9.65 and $9.00. 3 (Continued on page 4) Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith July 2015 soybean futures closed at $9.72 down 6 cents since last week. Net sales reported by exporters were above expectations with net sales of 18.6 million bushels for the 2014/15 marketing year and 8.1 million bushels for the 2015/16 marketing year. Exports for the same period were up from last week at 28 million bushels. Soybean export sales and commitments were 100% of the USDA estimated total annual exports for the 2014/15 marketing year (September 1 to August 31), compared to a 5-year average of 95%. May/Jul and May/Nov future spreads were 5 cent and -19 cents. October/November 2015 cash forward contracts averaged $9.47 with a range of $9.25 to $9.70 at elevators and barge points. Nov/Sep 2015 soybean to corn price ratio was 2.33. November 2015 futures closed at $9.48 down 8 cents from last week. Downside price protection could be achieved by purchasing a $9.60 November 2015 Put Option which would cost 63 cents and set an $8.97 futures floor. Cotton May 2015 cotton futures closed at 63.55 up 0.73 cents since last week. Cotton adjusted world price (AWP) increased 2.12 cents from last week to 48.47 cents. May 2015 cotton futures traded between 62.36 and 64.55 cents this week. July 2015 cotton futures closed at 63.87 up 0.47 cents since last week. Net sales reported by exporters were down from last week with net sales of 177,600 bales for the 2014/15 marketing year and net sales of 21,000 bales for the 2015/16 marketing year. Exports for the same period were down from last week at 290,300 bales. Upland cotton export sales were 99% of the USDA estimated total annual exports for the 2014/15 marketing year (August 1 to July 31), compared to a 5-year average of 96%. May/July and May/Dec futures spread were 0.32 cents and 1.13 cents. December 2015 cotton futures closed at 64.68 up 0.62 cents since last week. Downside price protection could be obtained by purchasing a 65 cent December 2015 Put Option costing 4.03 cents establishing a 60.97 cent futures floor. Wheat May 2015 wheat futures closed at $5.07 down 23 cents since last week. May wheat futures traded between $4.98 and $5.40 this week. May wheat to corn price ratio was 1.30. May/July and July/Sept future spreads were 5 cents and 9 cents, respectively. In Memphis, old crop cash wheat traded between $4.59 and $4.94 last week. July 2015 wheat futures closed at $5.12 down 21 cents since last week. Net sales reported by exporters were below expectations at 3.8 million bushels for the 2014/15 marketing year and 2.9 million bushels for the 2015/16 marketing year. Exports for the same period were up from last week at 18.3 million bushels. Wheat export sales were 93% of the USDA estimated total annual exports (Continued on page 5) 4 Crop Comments by Dr. Aaron Smith for the 2014/15 marketing year (June 1 to May 31), compared to a 5-year average of 97%. June/July 2015 cash forward contracts averaged $5.18 with a range of $4.45 to $5.53 at elevators and barge points. Downside price protection could be obtained by purchasing a $5.20 July 2015 Put Option costing 35 cents establishing a $4.85 futures floor. Farm Bill Update Important dates for producers/landowners for the 2014 Farm Bill ((Note: Yield Update, Base Acre Reallocation, and ARC/PLC decision was extended until April 7, 2015): 1. 2. September 29 to April 7. During this period, paperwork dealing with the program yield updating and program base acre reallocation decisions can be completed for each FSA farm. November 17 to April 7. During this period, paperwork dealing with program choice: Agricultural Risk Coverage - County (ARCCO), Price Loss Coverage (PLC), and Agricultural Risk Coverage - Individual Coverage (ARC-IC) can be completed for each FSA farm. Additional details and helpful links can be found on the University of Tennessee Extension Farm Bill webpage: http:// economics.ag.utk.edu/farmbill.html. If you would like further information or clarification on topics discussed in the crop comments section or would like to be added to our free email list please contact me at [email protected]. Tennessee Sheep and Goat Auction 3/23/15 Tennessee Livestock Producers Graded Goat and Sheep Sale, Columbia, TN Receipts: 1,416 (694 Goats; 722 Sheep) Last Sale 525 Next Sale Apr 13, 2015. (2nd and 4th Monday of each month) Yearlings Selection 2-3 50-130 lbs 157.00-207.50 Slaughter Bucks/Billies 115.00-150.00 Slaughter Nannies/Does 95.00-152.50 Goats sold per hundred weight (cwt) unless otherwise noted, weights, actual or estimated. Kids Feeders Selection 3 24-50 lbs 140.00-162.50 Slaughter Classes: Kids Selection 1 25-35 lbs 227.50-265.00 36-50 lbs 266.00 51-65 lbs 262.50-268.00 66-80 lbs 215.00 81-100 lbs 195.00 SHEEP: Slaughter Lambs-Includes all breeds, sold per hundred weight (cwt). Choice and Prime 40-60 lbs 175.00-242.50 Good 146.00 Choice and Prime 61-80 lbs 173.00-175.00 Good 81-100 lbs 150.00-177.50 Choice and Prime 100-120 lbs 140.00 Selection 2 25-35 lbs 180.00 36-50 lbs 182.50-205.00 51-65 lbs 230.00-247.50 66-80 lbs 207.50 Selection 3 25-35 lbs 130.00-165.00 36-50 lbs 120.00-132.00 51-65 lbs 135.00-155.00 66-80 lbs 125.00 Slaughter Ewes Utility and Good: All wgts 60.00-100.00 Slaughter Rams: All Wgts 81.00-109.00 5 Futures Settlement Prices: Crops & Livestock Friday, March 20, 2015 — Thursday, March 26, 2015 Friday Monday Tuesday 9.73 9.83 9.81 9.78 9.88 9.86 9.77 9.86 9.85 9.62 9.71 9.69 9.56 9.65 9.62 9.61 9.69 9.67 Commodity Soybeans ($/bushel) Contract Month May Jul Aug Sep Nov Jan Wednesday 9.78 9.82 9.81 9.64 9.57 9.62 Thursday 9.74 9.78 9.77 9.62 9.55 9.60 Corn ($/bushel) May Jul Sep Dec Mar May 3.85 3.92 4.00 4.09 4.18 4.25 3.90 3.98 4.05 4.14 4.23 4.30 3.93 4.01 4.08 4.17 4.26 4.32 3.95 4.03 4.10 4.18 4.26 4.33 3.91 3.99 4.06 4.14 4.23 4.30 Wheat ($/bushel) May Jul Sep Dec Mar 5.30 5.33 5.42 5.56 5.68 5.34 5.38 5.47 5.60 5.72 5.23 5.28 5.37 5.52 5.65 5.19 5.23 5.33 5.48 5.61 4.99 5.04 5.14 5.28 5.42 Soybean Meal ($/ton) May Jul Aug Sep Dec Jan 324 321 320 319 316 316 327 324 323 321 318 318 326 324 322 320 317 317 324 322 321 318 315 315 322 320 319 317 313 314 Cotton (¢/lb) May Jul Oct Dec Mar 62.82 63.40 63.78 64.06 63.99 64.05 64.42 64.66 64.55 64.25 63.91 64.38 64.69 64.70 64.55 63.16 63.68 64.09 64.29 64.16 63.08 63.50 63.99 64.33 64.43 Live Cattle ($/cwt) Apr Jun Aug Oct Dec 158.35 150.47 148.10 150.02 150.50 161.35 153.00 150.22 151.82 152.02 162.00 153.05 150.32 152.27 152.45 161.72 152.37 149.60 152.15 152.17 161.67 152.00 149.05 151.25 151.80 Feeder Cattle ($/cwt) Mar Apr May Aug Sep Oct 214.87 216.20 215.40 216.07 215.30 213.70 216.97 219.17 218.67 219.67 218.72 216.92 217.17 218.92 217.87 219.25 218.32 216.65 217.70 217.25 215.97 217.75 217.25 215.17 217.45 217.22 215.77 217.20 216.27 214.37 Market Hogs ($/cwt) Apr May Jun Jul Aug 58.45 68.27 73.85 74.52 75.07 59.25 68.67 73.62 74.45 74.77 58.60 66.15 74.67 75.25 76.10 59.82 66.52 74.60 75.15 75.90 60.97 68.02 75.15 75.85 76.65 6 Prices on Tennessee Reported Livestock Auctions for the week ending March 27, 2015 Low This Week High Weighted Average Last Week Weighted Average Year Ago Weighted Average —————————————————————— $/cwt —————————————————————— Steers: Medium/Large Frame #1-2 300-400 lbs 292.00 400.00 327.63 336.79 231.70 400-500 lbs 265.00 325.00 290.58 295.25 217.69 500-600 lbs 222.50 292.50 257.08 262.86 197.65 600-700 lbs 195.00 257.50 228.67 230.77 177.67 700-800 lbs 192.00 222.00 207.32 208.56 164.34 300-400 lbs 220.00 325.00 291.71 304.49 212.40 400-500 lbs 212.50 300.00 263.75 276.40 199.88 500-600 lbs 237.50 260.00 245.16 233.63 171.69 600-700 lbs ——— ——— ——— 213.27 160.45 Steers: Small Frame #1-2 Steers: Medium/Large Frame #3 300-400 lbs 250.00 340.00 301.54 304.71 215.42 400-500 lbs 221.00 300.00 261.56 257.59 194.55 500-600 lbs 185.00 256.00 227.98 241.67 187.05 600-700 lbs 200.00 228.00 213.16 216.47 167.45 700-800 lbs 173.00 195.00 182.70 194.09 144.03 300-400 lbs 185.00 222.50 196.59 ——— 144.01 500-600 lbs 160.00 198.25 188.93 ——— 125.23 700-800 lbs ——— ——— ——— ——— ——— Breakers 75-80% 100.00 116.50 108.54 107.88 95.88 Boners 80-85% 100.00 118.00 109.51 109.84 96.99 Lean 85-90% 93.00 110.00 100.65 101.55 83.60 Bulls YG 1 124.50 146.00 135.64 135.76 111.89 Holstein Steers Slaughter Cows & Bulls Heifers: Medium/Large Frame #1-2 300-400 lbs 224.00 322.50 283.81 288.50 203.90 400-500 lbs 230.00 287.50 255.41 255.71 191.67 500-600 lbs 206.00 252.50 230.90 231.94 178.28 600-700 lbs 184.00 226.00 207.08 205.44 159.91 300-400 lbs 200.00 290.00 251.55 266.20 182.23 400-500 lbs 190.00 260.00 228.47 232.37 168.89 500-600 lbs 180.00 222.50 206.97 208.05 154.22 600-700 lbs 158.00 160.00 159.02 202.18 138.82 Heifers: Small Frame #1-2 Heifers: Medium/Large Frame #3 300-400 lbs 215.00 301.00 256.45 256.88 193.10 400-500 lbs 214.00 262.50 234.50 235.43 178.35 500-600 lbs 174.00 234.00 211.10 212.54 163.87 600-700 lbs 175.00 210.00 193.31 197.90 145.24 Cattle Receipts (# sales): This week: 10,596 (9) Week ago: 8,500 (9) 7 Year ago: 8,400 (12) Tennessee 500-600 lbs. M-1 Steer Prices Tennessee 700-800 lbs. M-1 Steer Prices 2014, 2015 and 5-year average 2014, 2015 and 5-year average 270 250 230 210 190 170 150 130 110 225 205 185 165 145 125 105 85 2009/2013 Avg 2 014 2015 200 9/20 13 Avg 201 4 201 5 5-Area Finished Cattle Prices Tennessee Slaughter Cow Prices 2014, 2015 and 5-year average Breakers 75-80% 2014, 2015 and 5-year average 175 165 155 145 135 125 115 105 95 85 115 105 95 85 75 65 55 45 35 2009/2013 Avg 2014 200 9/20 13 Avg 2015 201 4 201 5 Prices Paid to Farmers by Elevators Friday, March 20, 2015 — Thursday, March 26, 2015 Friday Low High Monday Low Tuesday High Low High Wednesday Low High Thursday Low High ————–-——–——————————————— $/bushel ———————————————————–——— No. 2 Yellow Soybeans Memphis 9.98-9.98 10.08-10.08 10.06-10.06 10.03-10.08 9.99-10.04 N.W. B.P. 9.93-9.98 10.03-10.08 10.01-10.06 9.99-10.04 9.94-10.05 N.W. TN 9.73-9.80 9.83-9.89 9.80-9.81 9.78-9.78 9.70-9.74 Upper Md. 9.93-9.93 10.03-10.03 10.01-10.01 9.81-9.98 9.94-10.09 Lower Md. 9.56-9.94 9.65-10.04 9.71-10.02 9.99-9.99 9.64-9.95 Memphis 4.00-4.15 4.05-4.12 4.08-4.15 4.10-4.17 4.06-4.13 N.W. B.P. 4.00-4.05 4.05-4.10 4.08-4.13 4.10-4.15 4.06-4.11 N.W. TN 3.76-3.85 3.77-3.90 3.77-3.93 3.77-3.95 3.77-3.91 Upper Md. 3.85-3.95 3.90-4.00 3.93-4.03 3.85-3.95 3.91-4.01 Lower Md. 4.10-4.10 4.15-4.15 4.18-4.18 4.20-4.20 4.16-4.16 4.90-4.90 4.94-4.94 4.83-4.83 4.79-4.79 4.59-4.59 Yellow Corn Wheat Memphis 8 Video Sales Tennessee Self-Reported and Self-Graded Livestock Markets EAST TENNESSEE LIVESTOCK CENTER - March 25, 2015 1 load out of 77 steers; BQA certified producer; est. wt. 800 lbs., wt. range 750 to 850 lbs.; Slide: $0.05 on first 50 lbs., over 51 lbs. $0.07 back to first lb. over 801 lbs.; 95% L&M-1s, 5% L&M-2s; medium flesh; 100% Black/BWF; Feed: on pasture plus hay receiving corn gluten/corn silage mix; vaccinated twice; dewormed; gathered early a.m., hauled 20 miles, weighed on grounds after sort; 1% shrink $206.85 3/24/15 Tennessee Livestock Producers - Fayetteville Receipts: 714 (299 graded and grouped) Steers: Med & Lg 1-2 300-400 lbs 300.00-330.00 400-500 lbs 270.00-305.00 500-600 lbs 246.00-285.00 600-700 lbs 225.50-256.00 700-800 lbs 200.00-223.50 1 load out of 75 heifers; BQA certified producer; est. wt. 700 lbs., wt. range 625 to 750 lbs.; Slide: $0.05 on first 50 lbs., over 51 lbs. $0.07 back to first lb. over 701 lbs.; 90% M-1s, 10% M-2s; medium flesh; 85% Black/BWF, 8% Chax/Smoky, 7% Red/RWF; Feed: on pasture plus hay receiving corn silage/ground hay/ground ear corn mix last 60 days; vaccinated twice; dewormed; gathered early a.m., hauled 1 mile, weighed on grounds after sort; 2% shrink $196.75 Bulls: Med & Lg 1-2 400-500 lbs 275.00-284.50 500-600 lbs 232.00-256.00 600-700 lbs 185.00-210.00 3/23/15 KY/TN Livestock Cross Plains Receipts: 400 (302 graded) DICKSON LIVESTOCK - March 23, 2015 1 load of 77 heifers; avg. wt. 637 lbs.; $212.00 1 load of 70 heifers; avg. wt. 728 lbs.; $198.00 HARDIN COUNTY STOCKYARD - March 23, 2015 1 load of 53 steers; avg. wt. 930 lbs.; $188.50 2 loads of 100 steers; avg. wt. 986 lbs.; $186.50 BLUE GRASS STOCKYARDS—March 24, 2015 2 loads of 120 bbwf-smokes steers; avg. wt. 840 lbs.; $204.75 1 load of mixed #2 steers; avg. wt. 870 lbs.; $191.00 1 load of Holstein steers; avg. wt. 980 lbs.; $162.00 Video Board Sales and Grades Sales 3/20/15 East Tennessee Livestock Feeder Sale Receipts: 870 Steers: Med & Lg 1 350-400 lbs 290.00-302.00 400-450 lbs 309.00-317.00 450-500 lbs 282.00-291.00 500-550 lbs 256.00-289.00 550-600 lbs 243.00-249.50 600-700 lbs 215.00-229.00 700-800 lbs 194.50-203.00 800-900 lbs 188.00 Heifers: Med & Lg 1 400-450 lbs 252.50 450-500 lbs 237.50 500-550 lbs 214.00-227.00 550-600 lbs 216.00-218.00 600-700 lbs 200.00-215.50 700-800 lbs 175.00-182.50 800-900 lbs 172.50-175.00 Steers: Med & Lg 2 350-400 lbs 290.00-292.00 400-450 lbs 251.00-252.00 450-500 lbs 229.00-271.00 500-550 lbs 250.00-253.00 550-600 lbs 227.00 600-700 lbs 207.00-222.00 700-800 lbs 189.00 800-900 lbs 175.00 Heifers: Med & Lg 2 400-500 lbs 221.00-237.00 500-600 lbs 191.00-205.00 600-700 lbs 198.00-206.00 700-800 lbs 168.00 Heifers: Med & Lg 1-2 300-400 lbs 277.50-297.50 400-500 lbs 243.00-258.00 500-600 lbs 219.00-236.00 600-700 lbs 194.00-225.50 700-800 lbs 180.00-190.00 Steers: Med & Lg 1-2 400-450 lbs 285.00-301.00 550-600 lbs 244.00 600-700 lbs 226.00-228.00 700-800 lbs 205.00 Heifers: Med & Lg 1 300-350 lbs 292.00-297.00 350-400 lbs 256.00-288.00 400-450 lbs 243.00-256.00 450-500 lbs 255.00 500-550 lbs 227.00-232.00 550-600 lbs 215.00-227.00 600-700 lbs 203.00 800-900 lbs 176.00 Bulls: Med & Lg 1-2 300-350 lbs 328.00-330.00 350-400 lbs 295.00-320.00 400-450 lbs 239.00-301.00 450-500 lbs 251.00-281.00 500-550 lbs 240.00-250.00 550-600 lbs 218.00-245.00 600-700 lbs 214.00-225.00 700-800 lbs 186.00-198.00 800-900 lbs 149.00 Heifers: Med & Lg 2 300-350 lbs 292.00 350-400 lbs 266.00-285.00 400-450 lbs 231.00-251.00 450-500 lbs 250.00 500-550 lbs 209.00-229.00 550-600 lbs 214.00-221.00 600-700 lbs 201.00 3/19/15 Farmers Auction Company, Fayetteville, TN Receipts: 484 Prices reflect large quantity of weaned and vaccinated cattle. Steers: Med & Lg 1-2 350-400 lbs 315.50-321.00 400-450 lbs 298.00-305.00 450-500 lbs 258.00-272.00 500-550 lbs 249.25-251.00 550-600 lbs 235.00-244.50 600-700 lbs 221.00-223.50 700-800 lbs 201.00-218.50 800-900 lbs 191.00 Heifers: Med & Lg 1-2 300-350 lbs 280.00 350-400 lbs 262.50-265.00 400-450 lbs 230.00-247.50 450-500 lbs 239.00-245.00 500-550 lbs 222.00-238.00 550-600 lbs 221.00-232.00 600-700 lbs 205.50-222.00 700-800 lbs 176.00-200.00 Bulls: Med & Lg 1-2 300-350 lbs 305.00-315.00 350-400 lbs 282.50-296.00 400-450 lbs 269.00-280.00 450-500 lbs 261.00-270.00 (Continued on page 10) 9 Beef Industry News - Featured Article from DROVERS CattleNetwork Limp exports, supply surge fuel record U.S. February pork, beef stocks ments totaled 162.7 million pounds, a 19.3 percent drop from the year before. U.S. pork and beef inventories in February hit record highs for the month, showing ongoing export challenges compounded by ramped up hog production, analysts said following the Department of Agriculture's latest monthly cold storage report. The additional pork comes as processors moved hams into cold storage facilities for the Easter holiday season, while stockpiling pork chops and bacon ahead of outdoor cookouts and the summer's popular bacon-lettuce and tomato sandwich season. Excess meat supply means grocers will have to significantly cut product prices to consumers for the coming spring grilling season, said Chicago-based Allendale Inc chief strategist Rich Nelson. Monday's USDA monthly cold storage report showed February pork inventories totaled 686.1 million pounds, which surpassed the February 2014 record of 654.7 million pounds. Last month's beef stocks totaled 492.1 million pounds, topping January 2015's 491.9-million-pound record as well as the previous February 2013 high of 489.978 million pounds. Beef stocks posted a record in February, but it was a marginal increase compared to the 90-million-pound addition of pork into storage, which was twice as much as the previous record inflow for February, said Nelson. For pork, he said that vaccines and increased biosecurity measures offset the impact of the deadly Porcine Epidemic Diarrhea virus (PEDv), which brought roughly 6 percent more heavyweight hogs to market in February than anticipated and produced 6.6 percent more pork. Even though the U.S. West Coast dock workers' dispute was settled last month, shipments of pork - the most exported U.S. meat - are still backed up there and competing with domestic product. "We expected January to be a difficult month, so these results are not especially surprising," U.S. Meat Export Federation CEO Phil Seng said recently regarding the slowdown in exports. Tennessee Self-Reported and Self-Graded Livestock Markets 500-550 lbs 250.00-252.50 550-600 lbs 236.00-240.00 600-700 lbs 206.00-210.00 3/19/15 Woodbury Livestock Market Receipts: 241 Steers: Med & Lg 1-2 300-350 lbs 325.00-340.00* 350-400 lbs 315.00-316.00* 400-450 lbs 266.00 450-500 lbs 266.50 500-550 lbs 265.00*-284.50* 550-600 lbs 252.00 600-700 lbs 219.00-230.50* 700-800 lbs 198.00* * indicates weaned Heifers: Med & Lg 1-2 300-350 lbs 270.00-295.00* 350-400 lbs 266.00-270.00* 400-450 lbs 260.00-270.50* 450-500 lbs 250.00-255.00* 500-550 lbs 230.00 550-600 lbs 215.00-230.00* 600-700 lbs 195.00-210.00* Bulls: Med & Lg 1-2 350-400 lbs 312.50 400-450 lbs 264.00 450-500 lbs 266.00 500-550 lbs 245.00 550-600 lbs 225.00 600-700 lbs 211.00-217.50 Furthermore, analysts have noted the strengthening dollar has so far this year made U.S. goods, including pork and beef, less attractive to foreign buyers. USDA's latest data showed pork exports for January at 347.7 million pounds, down 21.4 percent from a year ago. Beef ship- Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics 314 Morgan Hall • 2621 Morgan Circle http://economics.ag.utk.edu/ USDA / Tennessee Department of Agriculture Market News Service http://economics.ag.utk.edu/curmkt.html http://www.tennessee.gov/agriculture/marketing/marketnews.html 10 1-800-342-8206
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