MATH2421 T1C 1. 2. Tutorial Exercise (Week 6) (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 32) A jar contains n chips. Suppose that a boy successively draws a chip from the jar with replacement. The process continues until the boy draws a chip that he has previously drawn. Let X denote the number of draws. Compute its probability mass function. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 34) From a set of n elements, a nonempty subset is chosen at random such that all of the nonempty subsets are equally likely to be selected. Let X denote the number of elements in the chosen subset. n n n n n (a) Using r n 2 n 1 and r 2 n(n 1)2 n2 , show that E[ X ] and n 1 r 1 r r 1 r 1 2 2 2 n2 n2 n2 n(n 1)2 . Var ( X ) (2 n 1) 2 (b) For large n, show that Var ( X ) n . Compare this formula with the limiting form of Var(Y), 4 where P(Y = i) = 1/n, i = 1, 2, …, n. 3. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 35) An urn initially contains 1 red ball and 1 blue ball. At each stage, a ball is randomly chosen and then replaced with another of the same color. Let X denote the number of selections required to get a blue ball. (a) Find the probability mass function of X. (b) Show that the probability that a blue ball is eventually chosen is 1. (c) Find E[X]. 4. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 30) A subset of size n is randomly selected from {1, 2, …, N}. Let X denote the largest number in the subset. (a) Find the probability mass function of X. n n i 1 , find E[X]. (b) Using r i r r 1 5. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 31) A subset of size n is randomly selected from {1, 2, …, m + n}. Let X denote the number of selected numbers that exceed each of those remaining. Find the probability mass function of X. 6. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 14) The probability that a family has n children is apn, where a and p are constants and, n ≥ 1. (a) What proportion of families has no children? (b) If each child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl, what proportion of families consists of exactly k boys? 7. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 20) Consider n coins, each of which independently comes up heads with probability p. Suppose that n is large and p is small so that np is moderate. Suppose that all n coins are tossed; if at least one comes up heads, the experiment ends; if not, we again toss all n coins, and so on. Let X denote the total number of heads that appear. Estimate the probability mass function of X. 8. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 23) Consider a random collection of n persons. Let Ei denote the event that there are at least 3 birthdays on the ith day of a year, where i = 1, 2, …, 365. (a) Find P(Ei). (b) Estimate the probability that no 3 persons share the same birthday. (c) Hence, estimate the smallest value of n for which the probability that at least 3 persons share the same birthday exceeds 0.5. 9. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 15, 17) (a) Suppose that n independent tosses of a coin having probability p of coming up heads are made. Show that the probability that an even number of heads results is 1 [1 (1 2 p) n ] . 2 1 (b) Hence, show that P( X is even ) [1 e 2 ] , where X ~ Poisson(λ). 2 10. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 13, 18) (a) Let X ~ Bin(n, p). What value of p maximizes P(X = k) for some k = 0, 1, …, n? (b) Let Y ~ Poisson(λ). What value of λ maximizes P(Y = k) for some k ≥ 0? 11. (Chapter 4 Theoretical Exercise 27) (a) Prove that a geometric random variable is memoryless. (b) Prove that a memoryless discrete random variable is a geometric random variable.
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