IPO Note UFO Moviez India Ltd. April 28, 2015 Issue Details Reco: AVOID IPO Details Issue Opens Issue Closed BRLM Registrar to Issue Face Value Offer Size (mn equity shares) No. of o/s Shares (Pre Issue) No. of o/s Shares (Post Issue) Bid Lot Issue Price (Rs / share) Issue Size (in mn Rs) UFO Moviez India Ltd (UMIL) is coming out with an initial public offering (IPO) of 9.6 – 9.76 mn shares of face value of Rs 10 each. 28-Apr-15 30-Apr-15 Axis / Citi Karvy Computershare 10 9.6 - 9.76 mn shares 25.9 mn shares 25.9 mn shares 24 shares 615 - 625 6000 Pre‐Issue Holding Pattern Promoter Group Non-Promoter Group 37.77 62.23 Post‐Issue Holding Pattern Promoter Group Non-Promoter Group NA NA Allocation (% of Issue Size) QIBs Non-Institutional Retail 50 15 35 Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research Issue price of UMIL will be in the range of Rs 615 – 625 per share, as the company intends to raise Rs 6000 mn. Object of the issue is to gain benefit of listing of shares. The issue is an offer for sale by promoters and private equity investor (3i Research (Mauritius) Ltd and P5 Asia Holding Investments (Mauritius) Ltd – holding 21.49% and 35.73% of pre-issue capital). The company will not receive any proceeds from the offer. Investment Rationale Indian Film Industry likely to grow at 9.3% CAGR The Indian film industry earns revenues chiefly from four sources: ticket sales (domestic as well as overseas), cable and satellite ancillary rights, home video and in-cinema advertisement. Revenues of the Indian film industry declined by 10 – 11% in 2009 due to weak content pipeline and lower occupancy levels and grew at a slow pace between 2009 and 2011. Revenue growth picked up in 2012, growing by 13 – 14% year-on-year on the back of the release of movies such as Agneepath, Ek tha Tiger and Dabangg 2. CRISIL research (as per RHP) expects the film industry’s revenues to increase by 9.3% CAGR to Rs 211 billion by 2018, largely comprising domestic theatrical revenues (65-70%). Over the same period, it expects domestic box office collections to grow by 9-10% annually, driven primarily by an increase in the number of multiplex cinemas (where ticket prices are much higher as compared with single or double screen cinemas), and, to some extent, by the wider (more number of screens) release of films on account of implementation of digital technology in cinemas. Also, it expects the Average ticket prices (ATP) (blended for single screens and multiplexes) to increase to Rs 71 in 2018 from an estimated Rs 44 in 2013. Globally, ATP in the US was in the range of $7-8 in 2013 (Rs 420-480 at the 2013-14 exchange rates). With expected improvement in film industry performance and increasing number of screens in future, digital integrators like UMIL are likely to continue reporting better performance going forward. Indian film industry to grow at 9.3% CAGR 250 200 Tel: +91 22 66188826 [email protected] Prerna Jhunjhunwala Research Analyst Tel: +91 22 66188848 [email protected] IndiaNivesh Research 150 Rs Bn Daljeet S. Kohli Head of Research 113 108 111 127 135 147 159 174 193 211 100 50 0 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: CRISIL Research, RHP, IndiaNivesh Research IndiaNivesh Securities Private Limited 601 & 602, Sukh Sagar, N. S. Patkar Marg, Girgaum Chowpatty, Mumbai 400 007. Tel: (022) 66188800 IndiaNivesh Research is also available on Bloomberg INNS, Thomson First Call, Reuters and Factiva INDNIV. IPO (contd...) 12000 250 10000 200 8000 150 6000 100 4000 Rs. per show No. of Screens Rising trend in ATP and number of screens for multiplex 50 2000 0 0 Single Screens Multiplex Screens ATP (single screen) ATP (multiplex screen) Source: CRISIL Research, RHP, IndiaNivesh Research Leading player in the digital cinema space in India. According to CRISIL Research (as per RHP), UMIL has ~ 54% market share in India’s digital cinema exhibition industry in terms of screens that use digital cinema distribution networks. Further, In FY13 and FY14, more than 92% and 95% of the movies certified in respective year were released on the company’s network. Its digital cinema distribution network has grown to 4911 screens as at 28 February 2015 from 1817 screen in FY10. The company has further established its market share with its pan-India presence, with a network of sales offices and service centres with field engineer staff across India, and a dedicated workforce, with in-house teams for software development, advertisement sales and repairs and maintenance. The Indian film industry is expected to continue growing despite the growth of digital entertainment (i.e. entertainment delivered through mobile and the internet), which would largely be beneficial for UMIL. Its pan-India presence provides with a wide distributor and exhibitor base and reduces its dependence on any one major distributor or exhibitor. Highest market share in digital cinema space Particulars Industry Total Screen Screens digitised DCI Compliant Screens Non-DCI compliant Screens UMIL No. of screens Market Share of Non-DCI Screens (%) Market Share of Digitised Screens (%) 9500-10000 9200 2100 7100 4911 69.2 53.4 Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research Note: DCI - Digital Cinema Initiative i.e. D Cinema; Non - DCI i.e E-Cinema Strong business model creating value to all stakeholders It provides value to movie producers and distributors by reducing distribution costs, providing reach to a wide network of 4,911 screens across India as at February 28, 2015, providing a faster method of delivery of content, and reducing piracy through encryption and other security measures. It provides value to movie exhibitors throughout India by providing access to first day release of movies on its digital platform. Exhibitors also benefit from sharing a portion of its advertisement revenue, IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 2 IPO (contd...) which enhances their overall revenue and provides them with a source of capital for improving their cinemas. Audiences benefit from faster access to new movie releases and a consistently high quality viewing experience. Advertisers benefit from high levels of transparency, remote capability, and advanced technology. Thus, by adding value to each participant in cinema industry, it has positioned itself as an essential player and partner of each participant. This creates stickiness in the business model of the company thereby resisting players from shifting to competition. In-cinema advertising – the next growth driver According to CRISIL Research (as per RHP), in-cinema advertising revenue is likely to grow at 18-20% CAGR over FY14-FY18 and is likely to play an important role in the growth of revenues of theatres going forward. This is likely to be on the back of growth in the number of multiplex screens and improvement in utilisation levels of advertisement inventory. The company has a pan-India in-cinema advertising platform with generally longterm advertising rights to 3,770 screens spanning 1800 locations across India as at October 31, 2014. Its in-cinema advertising platform enables advertisers to reach a targeted, captive audience with high flexibility and control over the advertising process, along with high levels of transparency. Given the benefits of the platform, it has been able to attract 1,056 advertisers from private and government sectors in fiscal year 2014. The average minutes per screen of advertising for the company is 3.36 minutes as at 9mFY15, which is far lower than that of multiplex chains. This signifies the potential for growth in in-cinema advertising. UMIL revenue from advertisement grew to Rs 999 mn in FY14 from Rs 370 mn in FY12, signifying a growth of 64.2% CAGR over the period. Lowest ad revenue per screen provides for potential for growth Ad Revenues Ad Revenue Ad Screens (Rs bn - FY14) No. of locations per screen 454 1.4 102 3083700 298 0.5 92 1677852 3709 2 3537 539229 Particulars PVR Inox UFO Moviez Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research Increasing share of Advertisement revenue 1200 1000 20.7 23.8 22.2 17.9 20.0 999 800 15.0 600 695 400 200 25.0 513 370 10.0 5.0 0 0.0 FY12 FY13 Advertising Revenue FY14 H1FY15 % of total revenue (RHS) Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research Long-term contracts enable visible revenue streams UMIL contracts with UFO M-4 exhibitor customers are typically long-term contracts which were entered into for periods of approximately ten years and allow for exhibitors to terminate for convenience only after a period of approximately four IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 3 IPO (contd...) years, giving visible and dependable streams of revenue. Its revenues are also diversified and come from three primary sources: distributors, exhibitors and advertisers. In fiscal 2014, revenue from: (i) distributors, which includes Virtual Print Fees (VPF) from both DCI and Non-DCI, accounted for 50.50% of consolidated total revenues, (ii) exhibitors, which includes Lease rental income – (both Non - DCI (ECinema and DCI (D-Cinema)) and sales of products (including lamps and digital cinema equipment), accounted for 23.18% of consolidated total revenues, and (iii) advertisers, which includes advertisement revenue (primarily from in-cinema advertising), accounted for 23.72% of consolidated total revenues. Future Growth Strategy Leverage existing platform for growth of advertising business UMIL intends to grow the revenue from its advertising business through deepening advertiser engagement, attracting new advertisers to its platform, expanding its on-screen advertising offerings, growing its advertising spot rates and monetizing below-the-line advertising opportunities. It believes that it has the opportunity to further grow its on-screen advertising which, as at February 28, 2015, on a fiscal year to date basis, is at 3.36 minutes sold per show per advertising screen. In many advertising screens, it also has the rights to monetize additional commercial space which it intends to utilize for setting up kiosks for its corporate customers for product promotions. In addition, it is also exploring new opportunities including advertisements on movie tickets, seat covers, ticketing windows, parking lots and other public spaces. Leverage existing platform for growth of exhibition business. UMIL believes it has the opportunity to leverage its technology platform and its relationships with distributors and advertisers to expand the movie exhibition market in India through innovative models. As per the company, India is an under-penetrated movie exhibition market relative to developed and other emerging markets. Given the potential growth of the exhibition business in India, it plans to develop, invest and grow innovative low capital expenditure exhibition and advertising models. Continue to innovate in new areas that leverage its platforms. UMIL intends to continue innovative business development efforts which leverage it technology platform to add value to key stakeholders, such as distributors, exhibitors and advertisers. It believes it has the opportunity to work with content owners and exhibitors to screen high-impact alternate content, such as sporting events and award nights. It believes that access to the advertisement sales network at larger media companies can greatly increase its reach to regional and local advertisers who have historically advertised primarily on television and print. For example, it is considering working with leading media companies for bundling of its on-screen advertising inventory with their existing advertising packages. Financial Performance The net sales of the company stood at Rs 4204 mn in FY14 from Rs 732 mn in FY10, signifying growth of 54.8% CAGR over the period. This was primarily driven by advertisement revenue and introduction of D-Cinema services in India in FY12. EBITDA margin of the company improved from 2.2% to 31.2% in FY14 on account of operating leverage arising out of higher number of movies releasing every year. EBITDA of the company stood at Rs 1310 mn in FY14 from Rs 16 mn in FY10, growing at 200% CAGR over the period. The company reported net profit of Rs 517 mn in FY14 against loss of Rs 2378 mn in FY10. The company achieved ROE of 13.8% and ROCE of 12.7% in FY14. The company has completed major capex and is likely to report better profitability going forward. IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 4 IPO (contd...) Revenue growing at 54.8% CAGR Revenue Mix 90.0 62.7 70 60 48.7 2500.0 40.0 50 2000.0 40 25.0 1500.0 20 731.6 1088.0 2067.1 3362.3 4204.3 3547.4 0.0 FY10 FY11 FY12 Revenue Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research FY13 FY14 9mFY15 3210 3332 28.0 29.8 FY11 Rs Mn 2267 1927 29.9 22.6 19.5 18.6 17.9 20.7 23.8 22.2 FY12 FY13 FY14 9mFY15 VPF Print Fees (E-Cinema) Lease Rentals Others 31.2 33.4 35 30 24.8 25 1310 600 1057 10.7 1139 20 1186 15 400 200 470 10 514 2.2 16 117 FY10 FY11 5 0 0 FY12 FY13 E-Cinema D-Cinema Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research FY14 9mFY15 12.3 11.5 FY14 9mFY15 EBITDA Margin (RHS) 3.1 5.0 300 386 100 517 0.0 406 65 -5.0 -10.0 FY11 -14.5 FY12 FY13 FY14 -158 9mFY15 -15.0 -20.0 -238 -25.0 -500 -30.0 -32.5 Net Profit Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research IndiaNivesh Research % 15.0 10.0 FY10 FY13 Return Ratios (%) 11.5 700 500 FY12 EBITDA Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research Advertisement Screens PAT margin at 12% -700 31.4 800 0 -300 31.0 40 1000 -100 10.9 22.3 31.4 1000 2000 10.0 9.9 12.0 1200 2859 2328 500 Rs Mn 0.0 3.1 13.8 1400 3366 2597 1500 0.0 2.5 13.2 EBITDA margin reached at 31% 3691 2500 12.7 Sale of Equipment Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research 4000 3038 22.8 VPF Print Fees (D-Cinema) Growth (%) - RHS No. of Screens under Operation 3500 2.7 21.8 26.6 FY10 Ad Revenues 0 3.9 23.6 13.3 0.0 10 5.2 14.2 27.8 20.0 30 1000.0 Number of Screens 60.0 (%) Rs mn 3000.0 25.1 80.0 80 3500.0 3000 7.1 90 4000.0 500.0 100.0 100 % 4500.0 -35.0 20 12.4 15 10 4.4 11.8 5 0 -5 FY10 -10 -15 -20 FY11 -11.2 -6.8 2.6 FY12 FY13 12.6 13.8 FY14 -12.4 -23.1 -25 Net Profit Margin (RHS) ROCE ROE Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 5 IPO (contd...) Key Concerns Decline in pace of new screen openings: In the event of decline in new screen openings, the company revenue growth from VPF would be adversely affected as it is directly related to number of screens Low movie releases: Hollywood has been releasing lower number of movies over the last few years. If the same trend develops in Indian movies, the revenues of the company would be adversely affected. Dispute with Real Image Media Technologies Private Ltd (RIMTPL), key competitor: There is a dispute between UMIL and RIMTPL wherein RIMTPL has asserted that it is the inventor of certain technological processes protected by Indian patent and it believes that aspects of those patents also form part of UMIL’s technology. In case of matter judgement going against UMIL, it could adversely impact the operations of the company. Increase in preference for alternative sources of cinema watching: Technological advancements such as video on demand, mobile and internet streaming and downloading have increased the number of entertainment and information delivery choices available to consumers and have intensified the challenges posed by audience fragmentation. Movies may also be released under alternative methods, such as DVD or HD DVD, cable television, downloads via the internet, video discs, video on demand, satellite and payper-view services. The increasing number of choices available to audiences could negatively impact consumer demand for viewing movies in a cinema, which could impact the company’s performance. Company Background UMIL, incorporated in 2004, is in the business of providing one-stop digital cinema solution for movie producers, distributors and exhibitors. It also offers a platform for advertisers that enable maximum engagement with cinema goers through in-cinema advertising platform. It has India’s largest satellite based digital cinema distribution network and incinema advertising platform (in terms of numbers of screens) as at October 31, 2014. It has an overall 54% market share in India’s digital cinema exhibition industry in terms of screens that use digital cinema distribution networks. As at February 28, 2015, its global network spans 6,626 screens worldwide, including 4,911 screens across India and 1,715 screens across Nepal, the Middle East, Israel, Mexico and the USA. The company delivers movie content through (i) satellite-based cinema distribution network using its UFO-M4 platform, and (ii) D-Cinema network: UFO-M4 is satellite-based, E-Cinema movie delivery platform. “E-Cinema” is a commonly used term to describe various technologies used to digitally deliver movie content other than through DCinema. Its UFO-M4 platform provides an end-to-end platform for the satellite delivery of movies (excluding movies from the major Hollywood studios that created the D-Cinema standard format). Under D-Cinema network, its primary activities include: (i) collecting VPF D-Cinema from certain major Hollywood studios and other movie studios, and (ii) providing D-Cinema equipment to D-Cinemas across India. The company has D-Cinema deployment contracts with certain major Hollywood studios which allows it to collect VPF D-Cinema from those studios. As at February 28, 2015, the company collects VPF D-Cinema for 1,449 screens across India. It further provides D-Cinema equipment to 680 D-Cinema screens across India. Valuable Digital Screens Private Limited (VDSPL), currently 80% subsidiary of the company, operates “Club Cinema” and “Caravan Cinema”. The “Club Cinema” business provides digital screening of movies in clubs and community centres at private screens, such as remote industrial townships, corporate auditoriums, educational institutions and other leisure and entertainment complexes. The “Caravan Cinema” business provides movie screenings with low capital expenditures in targeted rural areas, especially “Haats” (weekly market place at villages), creating a unique opportunity for advertisers to reach a captive audience by partnering with various brands. Currently, movies are screened free to viewers and Caravan Cinema derives its revenues through advertising. IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 6 IPO (contd...) Under an exclusive arrangement with Impact Media Exchange Limited, UMIL is marketing an electronic ticketing platform known as the Integrated Media Pact, or “IMPACT”, to improve transparency, efficiency and accountability in movie screening industry. The transactions on IMPACT are captured on a real time basis as it is connected via satellite to a centralised Network Operation Centre. IMPACT mediates the transactions between exhibitors on one hand and distributors on the other, ensuring that ticketing transactions and movie screenings are transparent. IMPACT has been designed to ultimately act as a settlement exchange for various stakeholders of the movie screening industry. As at February 28, 2015, IMPACT has been deployed in 310 screens in India and currently the company charges rentals from exhibitors for the use of IMPACT. Business Model of UFO Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research CORPORATE STRUCTURE Subsidiaries of UFO Moviez India Ltd. Scrabble Entertainment Ltd. (SEL) (91.33%) Subsidiaries Scrabble Entertainment JLT, Dubai (100%) Associates Scrabble Digital Ltd (33.33%) Scrabble Scrabble Digital JLT, Entertainment Dubai (33.33%) Mauritius Ltd. (100%) Scrabble Venture Scrabble Lebanon LLC, USA (30%) (100%) Scrabble Ventures, Scrabble Digital Inc, S. de R.L. de C.V, USA (100%) Mexico (30%) V N Films Private Ltd. (100%) Mukta V N Films Pvt Ltd (JV) (45%) Southern Digital Screenz India Private Ltd. (94.18%) United Film Organisers Nepal Private Ltd. (100%) Valuable Digital Screen Private Ltd. (80%) Edridge Limited, Cyprus (100%) UFO International Ltd, Cyprus (100%) United Film UFO Lanka Organisers Private Limited. (UFO) (100%) (Mauritius) Private Limited. (100%) UFO Software Technologies Private Limited., India (95.97%) Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 7 IPO (contd...) Valuation and Outlook UMIL has been instrumental in the digitisation of Indian cinema industry and has enjoyed first mover advantage gaining market leadership position with share of ~54% as at October 2014. There are three main sources of revenue for the company namely Lease rental, Virtual Print Fee and Advertisement . 1. Lease Rental (~23% of revenue) - Since more than 95% of screens are already digitised there is less potential for growth in lease rental revenues, unless there is aggressive screen expansion from exhibitors. 2. Virtual Print Fees (~50% of revenue) – It is dependent on higher number of movies releasing every year. In FY14, the film industry released 1856 movies. As the industry improves, the number of movies generally declines as observed in Hollywood. We do not expect a significant growth in the number of movies released going forward. 3. Advertisement (~23% of revenue) – It is dependent on the number of screens tied up for in-cinema advertising and the minute inventory. There can be growth in both the parameters for growth in advertisement revenue. However, we do not foresee this revenue to drive the overall growth of the company at historical high levels. Additionally, the industry faces challenge from internet based competitors and alternative sources of cinema viewing. The company is aiming at new sources of revenue with “Club Cinema” and “Caravan Cinema” which would add to the revenue. It has also started with IMPACT system of ticket booking which could gain pace going forward. However, currently they are at nascent stage of operations. At upper band of issue price of Rs 625, the issue is available at annualised FY15 PE of 29.9x. Though there are no straight comparables for the issue, we have considered players in Indian and international entertainment industry. Indian players are exhibitors and may have in-cinema advertising operations while international players operate as digital integrators along with other businesses. Taking into consideration the peer valuation which operate similar business, the valuation does not appear to be attractive. In our opinion, the potential topline growth in the near-term does not justify the valuation of the company at the current IPO price band. Hence we recommend AVOID to the issue. Particulars Currency CMP (Rs) INR INR 622 155 - 25810 14958 20384 15287 9976 12631 GBP USD EUR 495 37 8 625 1306 2620 62 1329 16186 619 291 82 331 4730 Indian Players PVR Inox Average International Players Cineworld group PLC IMAX Corporation Ymagis S.A. Average UMIL INR Market Cap Sales EBITDA margin (Mn) (Rs Mn) (%) ROE (%) P/E (x) EV/EBITDA Market Cap/Sales (FY16E) (x) 15.1 13.7 14.4 11.7 10.3 11.0 47.9 54.5 51.2 13.7 13.4 13.5 1.7 1.5 1.6 12.9 32.7 31.4 25.7 33.4 15.6 11.3 8.1 11.7 13.8 20.1 49.8 21.5 30.5 29.9 12.5 26.7 3.9 14.4 10.9 2.1 9.0 0.7 4.0 3.4 Source: Bloomberg, RHP, IndiaNivesh Research Note: International players have Dec Year ending. Financials = CY14. Indian Players - FY15E consensus estimates. UMIL = annualized wherever applicable. IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 8 IPO (contd...) Consolidated Financial Statement Income statement Y E March (Rs m) Net sales Growth % Expenditure Total Consumeables Other Direct Costs Employee Others EBITDA Growth % EBITDA Margin % Other Income Depreciation and amortisation EBIT EBIT Margin % Interest Exceptional/Extraordinary item PBT PBT Margin % Tax Effective tax rate % PAT Less: Share of profit transferred to Minority Net Profit Growth% Adj. PAT Margin % Balance sheet FY10 FY11 FY12 732 1088 2067 0.0 0.0 716 971 1553 65 86 389 231 268 342 151 198 333 268 419 490 16 117 514 625.8 339.8 2.2 10.7 24.8 3 12 9 197 254 390 -178 -126 133 -24.3 -11.6 6.5 60 33 46 0 0 0 -238 -158 87 -32.5 -14.5 4.2 0 0 24 0 0 27 -238 -158 63 0 0 -1 -238 -158 65 -32.5 -14.5 3.1 FY13 3362 62.7 2306 602 679 448 576 1057 105.8 31.4 13 536 533 15.9 121 0 412 12.3 24 6 388 2 386 57.3 11.5 FY14 9mFY15 4204 3547 25.0 NA 2894 2362 463 334 1202 1062 553 431 676 535 1310 1186 24.0 NA 31.2 33.4 7 25 655 569 662 641 15.8 18.1 164 120 0 0 498 521 11.8 14.7 -11 127 -2 34 509 394 -8 12 517 382 2.1 -16.5 12.3 10.8 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 9mFY15 -238 -158 87 412 498 521 197 127 15 -8 94 -371 -277 22 -349 -47 6 254 390 536 655 138 58 186 191 -74 224 -210 22 -30 -65 -81 -166 130 694 843 1199 -385 -1326 -1127 -1343 -255 -633 -284 -143 -338 -515 31 -86 -723 -1841 -1095 -1429 -38 -87 -136 -179 44 1204 554 409 569 159 -329 -229 691 -311 380 -244 -555 -154 -32 250 0 209 -46 146 100 61 161 658 0 1 2 665 1119 72 -29 100 171 172 142 27 376 199 518 0 5 -181 -45 337 292 246 538 0 3 422 169 146 316 105 421 0 4 235 5 303 309 209 518 Source: RHP, IndiaNivesh Research IndiaNivesh Research FY10 187 0 845 1031 0 403 0 1435 1150 76 1225 144 0 9 621 53 143 161 254 11 564 57 0 1435 FY11 202 440 1165 1806 1 447 0 2254 1186 76 1262 418 0 184 1033 41 388 199 405 0 643 390 0 2254 FY12 259 0 2838 3097 144 774 0 4015 1973 508 2481 1168 13 28 1373 103 392 518 350 11 1049 324 0 4015 FY13 259 0 3206 3465 109 1290 0 4865 2676 312 2987 1309 22 135 1834 106 758 421 462 87 1421 413 0 4865 FY14 9mFY15 259 259 0 0 3743 4160 4002 4419 148 65 1715 1637 0 0 5865 6122 3462 3183 199 146 3660 3329 1366 1676 131 187 106 154 2163 2781 97 89 913 1336 518 538 529 610 106 208 1562 2005 601 776 0 0 5865 6122 Key ratios Cash Flow Y E March (Rs m) PBT Adjustment for: Depreciation Others Changes in working capital Tax expenses Cash flow from operations Capital expenditure Free Cash Flow Others Cash flow from investments Interest Loans availed or (repaid) Proceeds from Issue of shares (incl share premium) Dividend paid (incl tax) Cash flow from Financing Net change in cash Cash at the beginning of the year Cash at the end of the year Other Bank balances Cash as per Balance Sheet Y E March (Rs m) Share Capital Share Application Money Reserves & Surplus Net Worth Minority Interest Total debt Net defered tax liability Total Liabilities Net Assets Capital Work in Progress Net Fixed Assets Goodwill on Consolidation Defered Tax Assets Investments Current Assets Inventories Sundry Debtors Cash & Bank Balance Loans & advances Other Current assets Current Liabilities & provisions Net Current Assets Mis Exp not written off Total assets UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO Y E March EPS (Rs) FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 FY14 9mFY15 -12.7 -7.9 2.5 14.9 19.9 15.7 Cash EPS (Rs) -2.2 4.8 17.5 35.6 45.2 37.7 BVPS 55.3 89.6 119.6 133.8 154.5 170.6 P/E (x) P/CEPS (x) P/BV (x) EV/EBITDA(x) M cap/sales (x) -49.1 -287.8 11.3 739.9 15.9 -79.6 250.5 42.0 31.3 131.3 35.6 17.6 13.8 7.0 5.2 4.7 4.0 110.0 32.0 16.1 13.3 11.6 7.8 4.8 3.8 39.8 16.6 3.7 14.6 4.6 ROCE ROE -12.4 -6.8 -23.1 -11.2 4.4 12.4 12.6 2.6 11.8 13.8 NA NA Inventory (days) Debtors (days) Trade Payables (days) 26.2 15.6 12.7 11.3 8.8 71.2 89.0 68.8 62.4 72.6 39.5 48.4 36.2 30.0 40.9 6.9 103.5 51.7 Total Asset Turnover (x) Fixed Asset Turnover (x) Debt/equity (x) Debt/ebitda (x) Interest Coverage (x) Dividend Yield % 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.9 0.6 1.1 0.8 1.2 0.8 1.3 NA NA 0.4 25.1 -3.0 0.0 0.2 3.8 -3.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.9 0.0 0.4 1.2 4.4 0.0 0.4 1.3 4.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 5.3 0.0 April 28, 2015 | 9 IPO (contd...) 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These forward-looking statements involve a number of risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those suggested by the forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements are not predictions and may be subject to change without notice. INSPL undertakes no obligation to update forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances after the date thereof. INSPL accepts no liabilities for any loss or damage of any kind arising out of use of this report. This report has been prepared by INSPL based upon the information available in the public domain and other public sources believed to be reliable. Though utmost care has been taken to ensure its accuracy and completeness, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made by INSPL that such information is accurate or complete and/or is independently verified. The contents of this report represent the assumptions and projections of INSPL and INSPL does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any projection, assurances or advice made herein. Nothing in this report constitutes investment, legal, accounting and/or tax advice or a representation that any investment or strategy is suitable or appropriate to recipients’ specific circumstances. This report is based / focused on fundamentals of the Company and forward-looking statements as such, may not match with a report on a company’s technical analysis report. This report may not be followed by any specific event update/ follow-up. Following table contains the disclosure of interest in order to adhere to utmost transparency in the matter; Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Details of business activity of IndiaNivesh Securities Private Limited (INSPL) INSPL is a Stock Broker registered with BSE, NSE and MCX - SX in all the major segments viz. Cash, F & O and CDS segments. INSPL is also a Depository Participant and registered with both Depository viz. CDSL and NSDL. Further, INSPL is a Registered Portfolio Manager and is registered with SEBI. 2. Details of Disciplinary History of INSPL No disciplinary action is / was running / initiated against INSPL 3. Research analyst or INSPL or its relatives'/associates' financial interest in the subject company and nature of such financial interest No (except to the extent of shares held by Research analyst or INSPL or its relatives'/associates') 4. Whether Research analyst or INSPL or its relatives'/associates' is holding the securities of the subject company No 5. Research analyst or INSPL or its relatives'/associates' actual/beneficial ownership of 1% or more in securities of the subject company, at the end of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of the document. No 6. Research analyst or INSPL or its relatives'/associates' any other material conflict of interest at the time of publication of the document No 7. Has research analyst or INSPL or its associates received any compensation from the subject company in the past 12 months No 8. Has research analyst or INSPL or its associates managed or co-managed public offering of securities for the subject company in the past 12 months No 9. Has research analyst or INSPL or its associates received any compensation for investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months No 10. Has research analyst or INSPL or its associates received any compensation for products or services other than investment banking or merchant banking or brokerage services from the subject company in the past 12 months No 11. Has research analyst or INSPL or its associates received any compensation or other benefits from the subject company or third party in connection with the document. No 12. Has research analyst served as an officer, director or employee of the subject company No 13. Has research analyst or INSPL engaged in market making activity for the subject company No 14. Other disclosures No INSPL, its affiliates, directors, its proprietary trading and investment businesses may, from time to time, make investment decisions that are inconsistent with or contradictory to the recommendations expressed herein. The views contained in this document are those of the analyst, and the company may or may not subscribe to all the views expressed within. This information is subject to change, as per applicable law, without any prior notice. INSPL reserves the right to make modifications and alternations to this statement, as may be required, from time to time. Definitions of ratings BUY. We expect this stock to deliver more than 15% returns over the next 12 months. HOLD. We expect this stock to deliver -15% to +15% returns over the next 12 months. SELL. We expect this stock to deliver <-15% returns over the next 12 months. Our target prices are on a 12-month horizon basis. Other definitions NR = Not Rated. The investment rating and target price, if any, have been arrived at due to certain circumstances not in control of INSPL CS = Coverage Suspended. INSPL has suspended coverage of this company. UR=Under Review. Such e invest review happens when any developments have already occurred or likely to occur in target company & INSPL analyst is waiting for some more information to draw conclusion on rating/target. NA = Not Available or Not Applicable. The information is not available for display or is not applicable. NM = Not Meaningful. The information is not meaningful and is therefore excluded. Research Analyst has not served as an officer, director or employee of Subject Company One year Price history of the daily closing price of the securities covered in this note is available at www.nseindia.com and www.economictimes.indiatimes.com/markets/stocks/stock-quotes. (Choose name of company in the list browse companies and select 1 year in icon YTD in the price chart) IndiaNivesh Securities Private Limited 601 & 602, Sukh Sagar, N. S. Patkar Marg, Girgaum Chowpatty, Mumbai 400 007. Tel: (022) 66188800 / Fax: (022) 66188899 e-mail: [email protected] | Website: www.indianivesh.in Home IndiaNivesh Research UFO Moviez India Ltd.|IPO April 28, 2015 | 10
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