RISK ANALYTICS – CHALLENGES AND PERSPECTIVES IN A LOW YIELD ENVIRONMENT A report in collaboration with A BNP PARIBAS SECURITIES SERVICES PUBLICATION The bank for a changing world Managing editor Kate Spencer, Global Marketing Manager, Asset Owner Segment, BNP Paribas Securities Services Contributors Michelle Toy, Head of Marketing and Communications, Asia Pacific, BNP Paribas Securities Services Darren Yaxley, Associate Director, YouGov Special thanks Valérie Nicaise, Head of Investment Risk and Performance (IRP) Solutions, BNP Paribas Securities Services Dietmar Roessler, Head of Client Segment, Asset Owners, BNP Paribas Securities Services Madhu Gayer, Head of IRP Solutions, BNP Paribas Securities Services Asia Mark Schoen, Head of Asset Owner Solutions, BNP Paribas Securities Services Jean Devambez, Head of Asset and Fund Solutions, BNP Paribas Securities Services David Raccat, Head of Market and Financing Services, Asia Pacific, BNP Paribas Securities Services Shaun Hammond, Head of Marketing and Communications for the UK, Middle East and South Africa, BNP Paribas Securities Services Borja Rodriguez, Product Specialist, IRP. Spain, Portugal and Latin America. BNP Paribas Securities Services Guy McKanna, Media Relations, BNP Paribas Australia Foreword Foreword Foreword It has been nearly seven years since the financial crisis. Since then new regulations have changed how asset owners and asset managers understand and address risk, particularly investment risk. As a securities services provider, our clients face a variety of risks – operational, investment and counterparty to name but a few. Our role includes offering analytical tools to institutional investors so that they can measure and monitor risk, demonstrate good governance and ultimately make better decisions for their clients and investors. As part of our global thought leadership programme, we commissioned 177 detailed interviews with asset owners (pension funds, insurance companies, sovereign wealth funds and central banks) worldwide, asking their views on the different risks they face and how they measure and mitigate them. We are pleased to bring you the results of that survey: an inside view on the risk pressures felt by asset owners, with approximately USD 6 trillion aggregated assets under management. The survey findings are of interest not only to asset owners but also to service providers, to asset managers and to banks and broker dealers. I hope you find this paper an interesting and thought-provoking read. Dietmar Roessler Head of Client Segment Asset Owners BNP Paribas Securities Services Table of contents Table of contents 08 Executive summary 10 Section 1 – Research methodology and risk management defined 14 Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment 25 Section 3 – Techniques in managing risks effectively 28 Section 4 – Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties 35 Section 5 – Uncovering risk analytics 39 Section 6 – Asset allocation strategy – review, reporting and monitoring investment risks 44 Section 7 – The next phase of risk management 47 About BNP Paribas 50 About YouGov Plc 53 Appendices Executive summary Executive summary Executive summary Risk management appears to be a mature topic across asset owner segments (insurance companies, pension funds, official institutions and corporates) as evidenced by the confidence in both their in‑house expertise – people and processes – and the range of techniques they use to monitor risk. While asset owners feel confident in their management of a broad array of risks – operational, liquidity, investment, political etc. – they see increasing complexity particularly in the field of risk management. In a low yield environment, asset owners are looking to enhance yield from existing assets. Many are additionally diversifying through active or alpha strategies and by investing in new markets. Risk appetite and the capacity to diversify vary by segment. For example: ¡¡ Corporates have the most flexibility among segments to enter new markets ¡¡ Official institutions (central banks, government agencies and sovereign wealth funds) are least likely to increase their exposure to emerging markets in the current low yield environment A number of methods used to monitor investment risk are considered effective by asset owners. These include stress testing, exposure reporting, liquidity risk analysis and use of models such as VaR (Value at Risk). Liquidity risk analysis in particular is a major focus for asset owners across segments, which could reflect the prolonged low interest rate environment and heightened awareness of liquidity risk post the financial crisis. Although individual risks appear to be understood and asset owners are satisfied with their risk reporting and analytics, the solutions they are using today are unlikely to be sufficient in an increasingly complex environment. Asset owners still require greater transparency, data aggregation tools and a holistic understanding of risk across asset classes. The next phase of risk management requires not just an understanding of regulatory developments and analytical techniques, but also a consolidated and shared view of risk throughout the organisation. ¡ 9 ¡ Section 1 Research methodology and risk management defined Section 1 – Research methodology and risk management defined YouGov interviewed 177 asset owners on our behalf. Respondents were based in 19 countries across the globe. 26 questions, were conducted by telephone, and covered attitudes to risk and the measures taken to analyse and mitigate risk. Respondent profile Interviewees by Type of Institution/Segment 18% 34% 14% 33% Insurance companies (61) Official institutions1 (25) Pension funds (59) Corporates (32) 34% of interviewees were from insurance companies, 33% were from pension funds, 14% were from official institutions. The remaining 18% of interviewees were from corporates. Interviewees by Role Type Treasury/Finance Director 24% 21% Risk Manager C-suite 15% Portfolio/Investment Manager 12% Operations Manager 10% Compliance Manager 8% Trustee of pension fund Corporates 7% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Interviewees occupied a range of roles not least in finance, risk management and operations. 1 Central banks, supranational agencies and sovereign wealth funds ¡ 11 ¡ Section 1 – Research methodology and risk management defined Interviewees by Region NORTH AMERICA 16% EMEA 41% ASIA PACIFIC 32% SOUTH AMERICA 10% 41% of interviewees (73 asset owners in total) were from EMEA, 32% (57 asset owners) from Asia Pacific, 16% (29 asset owners) from North America and 10% (18 asset owners) from South America. Interviewees by Country 10 28 1 8 5 10 4 5 8 8 12 16 10 10 8 9 11 6 8 Australia Japan Brazil Malaysia Canada Middle East/UAE Chile Nordics China Netherlands Colombia Singapore France Switzerland Germany United Kingdom Hong Kong United States Italy ¡ 12 ¡ Section 1 – Research methodology and risk management defined Interviewees by Assets Under Management (AUM) USD 1bn-USD 5bn USD 5bn-USD 10bn 24% 14% USD 10bn-USD 50bn 18% More than USD 50bn 0% 45% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% A significant proportion of interviewees, approximately 45%, are responsible for managing over USD 50 billion in assets. Nearly a quarter of interviewees, approximately 24%, are at the smaller end of the scale, managing USD 1-5 billion asset range. Where assets are held regionally Nearly two thirds of global pension assets are held in North America. This is followed by roughly 18% in Europe and 15% in Asia Pacific2. Asia Pacific’s pension reserves are in the accumulation and growth phase in many countries. Europe and North America in contrast are typically older pensions markets. A different picture emerges for sovereign wealth funds with Asia Pacific holding 39% of the world’s SWF assets. This is followed by the Middle East at 37% and Europe with nearly 17% of SWF global assets3. In the insurance market, Asia Pacific has a smaller share (although the rate of accumulation is outpacing the rest of the world). Europe has the largest pool of insurance assets at 46%. This is followed by North America at 28% and Asia Pacific at 24% 4. We have included in the appendices the regional profile of interviewees by type of institution and by size of the organisation. Risk management defined Risk management as a function or discipline has come to the fore in recent years. It has become better integrated within organisations and is seen as critical to good governance. Better risk management is also now increasingly being seen as an enabler for growth and innovation. There are of course many types of risk to which an asset owner is exposed – market risk, credit risk, liquidity risk, operational risk, liability risk – to name but a few. Investment risk relates to asset returns, valuations and expectations, and includes interest rates, liquidity and currency risks. Counterparty risk is essentially the risk that a counterparty will fail to meet its obligations. 2 3 4 “Global Pensions Assets Study 2015”, Towers Watson, February 2015 Sovereign Wealth Institute www.swfinstitute.org/fund-rankings/ OECD Insurance statistics database for 2013 ¡ 13 ¡ Section 2 Risk perspectives and the low yield environment Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment “The most incomprehensible thing about the world is that it is comprehensible” Albert Einstein What do you see as the major challenges for your organisation over the next 12 months? And which has been recognised by your senior management/the Board as the biggest challenge? 59% Risk management will become more complex Increased complexity (internal and external environment) Ensuring we have the correct data for decision-making 23% 43% 10% 43% 10% 41% Ability to efficiently manage costs 11% 40% Ability to efficiently use capital 11% 40% Hiring and retaining talent 14% 33% Ability to innovate 7% Ensuring we have the correct data to meet regulatory requirements 3% Cost of regulatory compliance 3% Ability to implement optimal asset allocation strategies Ability to set strategic direction 33% 28% 25% 4% 16% 2% Ability to expand into new markets 1% 1% Other 1% 1% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Major challenges The biggest challenge Based on responses from 177 asset owners Respondents could choose more than one challenge. More than half of respondents – some 59% of interviewees – see the increasing complexity of risk management as a major challenge. Increasing complexity (cited by 43% of interviewees) was the next major concern – this is complexity in general, be it the internal environment of the organisation or the external environment of macroeconomics and the value chain. ¡ 15 ¡ Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment Having the correct data for decision-making was also cited as a major challenge by 43% of respondents. This perhaps points to a greater need for transparency. In support of this trend, insurance companies implementing Solvency II, are increasingly using the data for regulatory reporting, to better monitor investment risk including concentration risk (geography, currency and sector etc.). In terms of the most significant challenge facing organisations, we were interested to know the views of the Board and senior management. Here complexity, whether concerning risk management or more broadly the internal or external environment, comprised a third of responses (33% of respondents). Hiring and retaining talent is also clearly a key issue for the top of organisations. A segment perspective: major challenges facing the organisation 100% 80% 60% 68% 68% 66% 59% 56% 56% 51% 48% 48% 40% 48% 47% 44% 42% 44% 48% 46% 44% 41% 38% 37% 36% 32% 40% 38% 36% 33% 31% 28% 32% 29% 27% 25% 25% 22% 24% 22% 19% 19% 20% 25% 19% 16% 16% 16% 13% 3% 0% Risk management will become more complex Increased complexity Ensuring we have the correct data for decisionmaking Ability to Ability to efficiently efficiently use manage costs capital Hiring and retaining talent Insurance companies Official institutions Pension funds Corporates Ability to innovate Ensuring we Cost of have the regulatory correct data compliance to meet regulatory reporting requirements Ability to implement optimal asset allocation strategies Ability to set Ability to strategic expand into direction new markets Other Based on responses from 177 asset owners Aside from issues around complexity, we noticed that insurance companies and official institutions are concerned about the ability to efficiently manage costs (56% of official institutions), data for decision-making (56% of insurance companies), and hiring and retaining talent (an issue for 68% of official institutions). Despite an explicit focus on risk from regulators, we were surprised to see less focus on the cost of regulatory compliance. This suggests that for asset owners the major era of implementing new regulation is behind them. Only 33% of insurance companies, 25% of pension funds and 32% of official institutions included this as a major challenge. Now that most of the major regulations introduced after the financial crisis have been implemented by asset owners and as these regulations are further embedded within organisations, it is quite possible that the focus has moved away from cost and more to the quality of data and effectiveness of risk management. ¡ 16 ¡ Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment The regional perspective – the biggest challenge faced by the board In terms of the regional perspective, complexity was the number one issue for all regions bar EMEA, which is most concerned about hiring and retaining talent. In contrast, North American boards have fewer concerns around hiring and retaining talent. This perhaps reflects the differences in labour mobility between these two regions. 40% 33% 31% 30% 22% 20% 19% 22% 19% 17% 17% 17% 16% 14% 11% 12% 14% 12% 11% 12% 11% 10% 7% 7% 7% 6% 7% 7% 5% 5% 4% 5% 4% 4% 4% 4% 4% 3% 3% 2% 1% 0% Risk management will become more complex Increased complexity Ensuring we have the correct data for decisionmaking Ability to Ability to efficiently efficiently use manage costs capital Hiring and retaining talent EMEA South America North America Asia Pacific Ability to innovate Ensuring we Cost of have the regulatory correct data compliance to meet regulatory reporting requirements Ability to implement optimal asset allocation strategies Ability to set Ability to strategic expand into direction new markets Other Based on responses from 177 asset owners ¡ 17 ¡ Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment How are you addressing a continuing low yield environment? “In times of low rates and increasing competition, it’s difficult to achieve our investment targets” Trustee of a pension fund, Brazil Enhancing returns from our current investments 60% 23% Use of active/alpha strategies New/increased exposure to emerging markets New/increased exposure to alternative assets Other strategy Don’t know 0% 21% 9% 8% 16% 20% 40% 60% 80% Based on responses from 177 asset owners A low yield environment is possibly the biggest macroeconomic challenge asset owners are facing. With this question we wanted to address the level of diversification an asset owner was willing to take in order to achieve better returns. This not only includes asset diversification, but also enhancing returns from current assets. By far the most common response (60% of respondents) to addressing a low yield environment is by enhancing returns from current investments such as through use of securities lending or enhanced cash management. This was in fact the number one response in every region and with every segment. There are a number of factors that could be driving this: ¡¡ Highly regulated segments – such as pension funds and insurance companies – have fewer options beyond remaining in high-quality fixed income – owing to regulatory constraints. Such assets are in demand and therefore easily and safely lent ¡¡ There are fewer investment opportunities offering the appropriate risk-return trade off and that allow asset owners to remain within mandated risk parameters ¡¡ For the largest institutions, there may be difficulties in trying to change allocations or maintain the desired level of liquidity, particularly in smaller jurisdictions Interviewees could pick more than one response. Looking at other methods to address a low yield environment and particularly in terms of how to invest, South America is the region most likely to use active or alpha strategies (61% of respondents included this as a method they are using). EMEA is most likely to look at new or emerging markets (30% of respondents). See appendices for the regional perspective. ¡ 18 ¡ Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment South America’s pension fund systems have very clear investment strategies and asset allocation constraints. There are compulsory mechanisms in place setting asset allocation limits according to the age of the pension fund member. Each regulator has set investment profiles according to the age of the pension fund member, with asset allocation becoming more conservative, the closer to retirement age. Risk profiles would include, for example, risky (under 35 years old), intermediate (between 35 and 45), moderate (46 to 59) and highly moderate (older than 60). Each risk profile has clearly defined benchmarks. Pension fund managers look to demonstrate alpha over and above these benchmarks. In addition, regulators have set a minimum return for each investment profile which effectively pushes fund managers to use active alpha strategies in an effort to outperform minimum returns. In terms of asset owner segments, we noticed the greater capabilities or flexibility for corporates to increase exposure in emerging markets (38% of corporate respondents) in comparison to other segments (23% for insurance companies, 17% for pension funds and 8% for official institutions). To summarise, asset owners feel confident in how they manage an array of risks; we know they also overwhelmingly see the world as increasing in complexity, and particularly in the field of risk management. As we explore in later sections of this paper, although individual risks are understood, not least because the appropriate monitoring tools have been developed, there is still a need for better tools and analytics. How will your organisation meet its major challenges? We asked interviewees how they intended to meet the challenges they had identified. Many of the responses focused on managing investment risk and indicated a more conservative response to the risk-return trade off. “ We’re looking for alternative information sources in order to validate our own risk forecasts. We’re also applying far more conservative investment policies than before We coordinate and track analysis of all our assets and liabilities and run scenario testing Finance Director, insurance company, Malaysia C-Suite executive, government agency, Malaysia We’re investing in liquid assets to meet more immediate benefit payments. We’re also evaluating all options around fixed income investing and opportunities that provide a good risk return trade-off Trustee of a pension fund, Brazil ¡ 19 ¡ Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment Some responses looked at broader investment opportunities and ways to generate alpha. We’ll continue investing in government bonds. We think Eurobonds are too risky. Emerging markets and companies with good credit scores are more interesting Our risk management practice increasingly enables us to make that transition from investing in domestic market entities to global markets Risk Manager, insurance company, United States “ Finance Director, pension fund, Germany Many respondents focused on the importance and effectiveness of their risk management practices. “ Well we have a professional team who manage risk globally. We have the expertise and tools, including a corporate risk management system Operations Manager, insurance company, United States The robustness of risk processes is important. We’ve established metrics, assigned accountability and monitor performance Trustee of a pension fund, Malaysia Our organisation has the necessary capacity and solvency to cope with change and market fluctuations. We have a plan of action for 2015 which includes various measures aimed primarily at controlling risk Risk Manager, pension fund, Chile ¡ 20 ¡ Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment To what extent is your organisation effectively managing risk? Asset owners are confident in how their organisations handle a wide variety of risks be they counterparty, investment or operational, as shown in the chart below. They are, however, slightly less comfortable with political risk – perhaps unsurprising given current world developments. Solvency Capital Requirements risk 2% 5% 86% Liquidity risk 3% 9% 7% 1% 87% Investment risk 2% 10% 87% Operational risk 3% 12% Regulatory/Compliance risk 5% 13% Market infrastructure risk 4% 14% 1% 84% 1% 82% Currency risk 3% 14% 80% 2% 81% 2% Credit or counterparty risk 5% 13% 80% 2% Fundamental/systematic market risk 7% 11% 79% 3% 79% 3% Asset Liability Matching risk 4% 14% Political risk 7% 0% 15% 20% 73% 40% 60% Not confident Confident Relatively confident Don’t know 5% 80% 100% Based on responses from 177 asset owners Solvency Capital Requirements is specific to insurance companies. The valuation and reporting of assets and liabilities requires a re-engineering of current processes, data management and streamlined reporting to ensure capital requirements are adequately calculated. 86% of insurance companies in this survey feel they effectively manage their solvency capital requirements risk. This result is reflective of the current implementation stage insurance companies are undergoing. ¡ 21 ¡ Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment The regional perspective: the effective management of risk At the regional level, liquidity risk scored highest across the Americas in terms of confidence levels. Operational risk scored highest in Asia Pacific and investment risk in EMEA. Asset and Liability Matching received its lowest score in South America with only 50% of respondents feeling that this risk was managed effectively. EMEA Solvency Capital Requirements risk 6% 81% Liquidity risk 3% 15% Investment risk 1% 14% Operational risk 5% 14% Regulatory/Compliance risk 6% 16% Market infrastructure risk 4% 81% 1% 84% 1% 80% 25% Credit or counterparty risk 7% 71% 84% 15% Asset Liability Matching risk 4% 20% 4% 74% 4% 73% 4% 15% 0% 3% 73% 18% Political risk 8% 1% 75% 14% 10% 1% 78% Currency risk 3% 12% Fundamental/systematic market risk 13% 40% 60% Not confident Confident Relatively confident Don’t know 80% 100% Based on responses from 73 asset owners North America Solvency Capital Requirements risk 5% 5% 90% Liquidity risk 3% 97% Investment risk 7% Operational risk Regulatory/Compliance risk Market infrastructure risk 93% 86% 14% 93% 7% 90% 10% Currency risk Credit or counterparty risk 83% 17% 90% 10% Fundamental/systematic market risk 4% 10% 83% Asset Liability Matching risk 7% Political risk 90% 3% 79% 17% 0% 20% 40% 60% Not confident Confident Relatively confident Don’t know Based on responses from 29 asset owners ¡ 22 ¡ 3% 4% 80% 100% Section 2 – Risk perspectives and the low yield environment Asia Pacific Solvency Capital Requirements risk 4% 87% Liquidity risk 5% 2% Investment risk 5% 2% 2% 91% 2% 91% Operational risk 7% 93% Regulatory/Compliance risk 2% 10% Market infrastructure risk 9% 2% 86% 2% 2% 5% 91% Currency risk 2% 11% 82% Credit or counterparty risk 2% 7% 88% Fundamental/systematic market risk 2% 9% 3% 86% Asset Liability Matching risk 2% 7% Political risk 7% 5% 3% 88% 14% 0% 3% 72% 20% 40% 7% 60% Not confident Confident Relatively confident Don’t know 80% 100% Based on responses from 57 asset owners South America Solvency Capital Requirements risk Liquidity risk 11% Investment risk 11% Operational risk 11% Regulatory/Compliance risk 17% Market infrastructure risk 17% Currency risk 17% Credit or counterparty risk Fundamental/systematic market risk Asset Liability Matching risk Political risk 83% 6% 11% 17% 11% 78% 17% 0% 67% 16% 11% 67% 22% 5% 61% 28% 61% 78% 5% 17% 11% 72% 33% 50% 17% 20% 72% 40% 60% Not confident Confident Relatively confident Don’t know 80% 100% Based on responses from 18 asset owners ¡ 23 ¡ Section 3 Techniques in managing risks effectively ¡ 25 ¡ Section 3 – Techniques in managing risks effectively Asset owners have an array of tools and techniques at their fingertips. We asked which add most value to their overall risk objectives. How do you rate the following techniques in helping your organisation meet its overall risk objectives? Risk analysis tools 1% 34% Risk budgeting 2% Asset liability management 3% Provider/vendor management 42% 10% 1% 8% 3% 12% 3% 53% 39% 9% 44% 42% 11% 35% 43% Hedging strategies 6% 41% Smart beta strategies 6% 41% 0% 5% 1% 45% 33% Dynamic asset allocation strategies 2% Counterparty management 59% 20% 7% 24% 24% 21% 40% 60% 7% 14% 8% 17% 12% 21% 11% 80% 100% Highly ineffective Quite effective Don’t know Quite ineffective Highly effective Not applicable – we don’t use this technique Based on responses from 177 asset owners Again, interviewees were able to give more than one response. Risk analysis tools are considered the most effective techniques in general (93% of respondents rated these as either ‘quite effective’ or ‘highly effective’). Risk analysis tools cover a wide range of quantitative tools and techniques that support the identification, analysis and prioritisation of investment and liquidity risk. These tools may be accessed online and dynamic or they may be more traditional and maintained manually e.g. spreadsheets. Risk budgeting also scored highly (87% of respondents), particularly with pension funds. Risk budgeting is a newer form of risk management. Essentially it is a plan for determining the overall risk tolerance of an organisation – taking into account rewarded and unrewarded risks – and then distributing that risk to each part of an investment strategy. Asset Liability Management (ALM) as a technique was particularly highly rated in North America (69% of respondents rated this technique as ‘highly effective’) and South America (56% of respondents rated this technique as ‘highly effective’). See appendices for the regional perspective. ¡ 26 ¡ Section 3 – Techniques in managing risks effectively In its simplest form, ALM entails managing assets and cash inflows to satisfy various liabilities. It is a form of risk management, where an organisation looks to mitigate or hedge the risk of failing to meet these obligations. Generally, ALM has become a key part of a strategic risk management system. Asset owners are least convinced of smart beta strategies. Asia Pacific in particular had a high number of respondents (30%) who were uncertain as to how to rate the effectiveness of this technique. However, though smart beta is a new approach for many asset owners and therefore its effectiveness is not always clear, smart beta is gaining some industry traction. From a segment perspective, pension funds are most likely to use smart beta and consider it effective (66% rated this as ‘quite effective’ or ‘highly effective’) with official institutions the least likely to rate this technique (only 52% rated this as ‘quite effective’ or ‘highly effective’). There is a wide variety of smart beta strategies. Each essentially is a way to capture returns by moving away from the traditional market-capitalisation weighted indices, and instead focusing on alternative indexing methods. With cap-weighted indices, weightings are based on stock prices and vary as prices move. This carries limitations such as: ¡¡ Overweighting overvalued stocks or a bias towards larger-capitalisation stocks and trending momentum, and vice-versa ¡¡ Concentration in a few sectors or stocks that may not represent the breadth of an underlying economy With smart beta, managers passively follow an index designed to take advantage of perceived systematic biases or market inefficiencies. Examples include factor investing, low-volatility investing, and can even be thematic such as providing exposure to demographic trends. Hedging strategies also received a mixed response, particularly in Asia Pacific. A significant number of interviewees either do not use the technique (23%) of are unable to judge its effectiveness (26%). Third parties can be viewed as an extension of an asset owner’s value chain and to some extent an extension of the risk faced by the asset owner. In EMEA, counterparty management and vendor management were considered to be the least effective techniques in meeting overall risk objectives. From a segment perspective, counterparty management and vendor management were least likely to score ‘highly effective’ amongst insurance companies, pension funds and official institutions. This suggests there is some room for improvement in working with third parties as part of a holistic risk framework. This leads us to our next section: Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties. ¡ 27 ¡ Section 4 Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties Section 4 – Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties Size of the organisation versus proportion of assets managed in-house Total Insurance companies Pension funds Official institutions 100% 80% 6% 25% 33% 38% 37% 45% 69% 60% 25% 33% 29% 40% 20% 88% 67% 30% 16% 6% 29% 27% 30% 16% 0% 35% 62% 64% 20% Corporates 23% 19% 30% 25% 6% 4% 4% 6% 3% 2% 6% 13% 6% Less than USD 50bn AUM More than USD 50bn AUM Less than USD 50bn AUM More than USD 50bn AUM Less than USD 50bn AUM More than USD 50bn AUM Less than USD 50bn AUM More than USD 50bn AUM 15% Less than USD 50bn AUM 8% Less than USD 50bn AUM Total AUM Less than 25% AUM in-house More than 75% AUM in-house 25-50% AUM in-house Don’t know 50-75% AUM in-house Based on responses from 177 asset owners A significant proportion of asset owners conduct some part of their investment management activities in-house. We found a clear correlation shown above between the size of an organisation’s assets and the proportion of activities conducted in-house. In other words, organisations with greater AUM tend to manage a greater proportion of their assets in-house. Naturally trends in insourcing or outsourcing will depend upon the region and the segment. In general however, asset owners have increasingly become asset managers or asset gatherers over the past decade and particularly in the wake of the financial crisis. Often they will cover the simplest asset classes in-house themselves and then move towards insourcing the more complex asset classes. Cost is one driver. A survey by CEM Benchmarking of 19 of the world’s largest pension funds revealed that funds spend on average 46 bps on external asset managers versus 8 bps on internal investment capabilities5, although the types of assets managed in-house will tend to be the ‘cheaper’ assets e.g. government bonds and developed market equities. Other advantages to in-house investment management include reducing agency risk and being able to make more agile and relevant investment decisions. For asset managers, this implies a different type of relationship with asset owners including: ¡¡ increasing scrutiny on costs and on transparency ¡¡ greater opportunities for asset managers who can offer innovative investment solutions 5 CEM Study Reveals in-house savings’ Top 1000 Funds, 20 April 2012 ¡ 29 ¡ Section 4 – Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties Counterparty selection Asset owners are increasingly looking at counterparty selection. There are a number of drivers for this. For one, as derivative strategies have become more commonplace, risk regulation has tightened, as evidenced by a number of EU and OECD directives and guidelines requiring counterparties with derivative contracts to provide collateral and report details to a trade repository. Another driver lies in the regulatory and market push for increased transparency in selecting third parties. Ultimately, ‘outsourcing’ cannot mean ‘getting rid of’. Most regulators are increasing the pressure on asset owners and asset managers to ensure they have formal oversight of outsourced functions. Market participants are pushing this forward too. Which are the three most important criteria for your organisation when selecting a counterparty? We wanted to understand the key criteria applied by asset owners in selecting third parties, including asset managers, custodians, banks and broker dealers, and collateral managers. Financial stability 60% Client service/ relationship management 42% Market coverage 39% Ability to customise solutions/product flexibility/ability to innovate 38% 33% Ability to help you deal with market changes Breadth of services they can offer 30% Internal risk policies and procedures 28% Asset class coverage Reciprocation Don’t know 0% 19% 1% 2% 20% 40% 60% It is fairly self-evident that asset owners can only do business in a sustainable manner with a viable counterparty. For that reason financial stability is the key counterparty criterion (60% of respondents) followed by client service/relationship management (42% of respondents). ¡ 30 ¡ 80% Section 4 – Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties The regional perspective: the top three criteria for counterparty selection EMEA North America Financial stability 62% Client service/relationship management 37% 22% Market coverage Ability to customise solutions/product flexibility/ability to innovate 47% Breadth of services they can offer 26% Internal risk policies and procedures 25% 0% Market coverage 41% 34% Ability to help you deal with market changes 28% Breadth of services they can offer 28% 31% 21% Reciprocation 1% Don’t know 41% Asset class coverage 3% Reciprocation Client service/relationship management Internal risk policies and procedures 36% Asset class coverage 66% Ability to customise solutions/product flexibility/ability to innovate 36% Ability to help you deal with market changes Financial stability Don’t know 20% 40% 60% 80% Asia Pacific 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% South America Financial stability 51% Financial stability Client service/relationship management 49% Client service/relationship management 54% Market coverage Ability to customise solutions/product flexibility/ability to innovate 22% Breadth of services they can offer 28% Internal risk policies and procedures 23% 12% Asset class coverage 44% Ability to help you deal with market changes 37% Internal risk policies and procedures 56% Ability to customise solutions/product flexibility/ability to innovate 21% Breadth of services they can offer 39% Market coverage 40% Ability to help you deal with market changes 78% 11% 17% Asset class coverage Reciprocation Reciprocation 4% Don’t know 0% 20% Don’t know 40% 60% 80% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% Though financial stability (cited by 51% of respondents) is a key criterion in Asia Pacific, this region also values market coverage (54% of respondents cited this as a top three criteria). ¡ 31 ¡ Section 4 – Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties Asia Pacific is ‘fragmented’ in terms of markets (systems, processes, regulatory initiatives and language). Therefore asset owners operating in several countries within the region require a counterparty who: ¡¡ can offer comprehensive coverage (local connectivity and domestic presence) across the region, so minimising operational risks and costs to the asset owner ¡¡ understands the myriad of regulatory initiatives that apply to the region Market coverage is also highly valued in South America (56% of respondents). In this region, the asset allocation of portfolios has in the past been focused on local markets and local securities. Only in recent years have regulators relaxed the limits to allow a higher exposure to international markets, in order to alleviate concentration and geographic risk. Investment Risk Analytics Risks still exist if you don’t measure them. They can however be controlled if you measure them. Hence the need for investment risk analytics. How frequently do you perform or receive investment risk analytics? 100% EMEA North America 80% South America Asia Pacific 60% 60% 40% 37% 38% 33% 38% 33% 25% 23% 20% 17% 17% 11% 7% 7% 2% 0% Daily Weekly 14% 11% Monthly 7% 3% 2% Quarterly B-annually Annually 1% 3% 4% 1% on an ad-hoc basis Never 7% Don't know Based on responses from 177 asset owners Asset owners in Asia Pacific are most likely to perform or receive daily reporting. This is consistent with our experience in the region. We think this is driven by a number of factors: ¡¡ the highly fragmented nature of the region ¡¡ the vast range of investment opportunities within the region ¡¡ the need to consolidate risk analysis across multiple providers and asset classes ¡¡ increasing regulatory pressure therefore driving best practices in the region ¡ 32 ¡ Section 4 – Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties Do you use an external provider to create the investment risk analytics? There are a number of reasons as to why asset owners may use external providers to create their investment risk analytics reporting. These include: ¡¡ independence of the results ¡¡ complementing internal capabilities ¡¡ potential penalties from the regulator. Naturally this depends on the location and the type of asset owner. Many pension funds need to report information to regulators on a frequent basis, and failure to do so can lead to penalties 63% of respondents are using external providers for some if not all of their analytics. 6% 9% 31% 54% Yes – for all of it No Yes – for some of it Don’t know Based on responses from 177 asset owners ¡ 33 ¡ Section 4 – Insourcing, outsourcing and managing counterparties The regional perspective: do you use an external provider to create the investment risk analytics? In terms of whether asset owners are using an external provider for their investment risk analytics, here results diverged by region. EMEA is most likely to use an external provider for part of their analytics (68% of respondents), followed by South America (50% of respondents) and Asia Pacific (45% of respondents). This suggests that providers should continue to take a modular, flexible approach in the services that they offer, in order that some analysis can be retained in-house. 100% 80% 68% 60% 50% 48% 45% 44% 40% 43% 37% 23% 20% 15% 9% 6% 10% 2% 0% Yes – for all of it Yes – for some of it EMEA South America North America Asia Pacific No Don’t know Based on responses from 177 asset owners A relatively high proportion in North America and Asia Pacific create their risk analytics entirely in‑house (North America 48% and Asia Pacific 43%), most likely explained by the interviewee profile in those regions, particularly the size of the organisations by AUM and that larger institutions tend to manage their risk analytics in-house. South America however was more likely to outsource entirely (44% of respondents). This may be reflective of the pension funds base among our interviewees in that region and the greater reliance on external expertise. Data and input to the analytics may come from multiple sources, with asset managers and specialist consultants providing the analysis, risk benchmarks and methodologies. Overall, the findings indicate there is room for asset managers to differentiate themselves through reporting techniques, frequency of reporting, and greater transparency of data and methodology. For service providers offering analytic software or tools, those offering advanced tools are well positioned to support asset owners and particularly those providers who can cover the complexity of asset class structures being used. Naturally asset owners do not always wish to be over-reliant on service providers. As such, a hybrid model may continue, with service providers offering superior technology and knowledge resources, complemented by in-house analytics teams. This would be an effective approach to maximising analytics while minimising counterparty dependency. ¡ 34 ¡ Section 5 Uncovering risk analytics ¡ 35 ¡ Section 5 – Uncovering risk analytics We wanted to better understand what is actually being included in the risk reporting. RISK MEASURES Asset owners are exposed to many types of risk. It is critical for them to be aware of the inherent risks within any portfolio. To that end, they use a variety of techniques. These include ex-post and ex-ante risk measures. Ex-post risk measures calculate the market risk of an investment based on the historical changes in investment performance returns. They can be calculated at a variety of aggregation levels, for example at the investment manager level, asset class level, or security level. Some of the most commonly used ex-post risk measures include standard deviation, tracking error, Sharpe ratio and information ratio. Ex-ante or forward looking risk is a method for assessing the risk profile of a fund. Ex-ante uses current asset exposure, current volatility and current correlation between assets. Ex-ante risk measures require complex calculations to predict the future profit and loss of a fund. Another important component of ex-ante risk analysis is stress testing. Stress testing indicates the potential losses of a fund under extreme market conditions. There are a variety of other risk measures in use, including liquidity risk and newer techniques such as ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) scores. What is currently included in your investment risk analytics? 74% Liquidity risk Stress testing 66% Value at risk 66% Risk attribution 63% Exposure (by sector/by country/by issuer) 63% Sensitivity analysis 63% 62% Aggregated risk analytics covering 60% IRR & multiples on private equity Ex-post measures 57% Environmental, Social and Governance scores 54% 48% Ex-ante measures Prefer not to say Don’t know 6% 1% 0% Based on responses from 177 asset owners ¡ 36 ¡ 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Section 5 – Uncovering risk analytics In terms of the risk measurements employed, liquidity risk (74% of respondents), stress testing (66% of respondents) and value at risk (66% of respondents) were the top three methods cited. 62% of respondents indicated that they perform aggregated risk analytics, covering all asset classes, including alternatives. From this, we can interpret, that as asset owners increasingly look to non‑traditional asset classes, they will require risk analytics capabilities that take account of the full spectrum of assets. Although ESG (Environmental, Social and Governance) scores seem to be gaining traction in investment management generally, this method was only cited by 54% of respondents. The segment perspective: What is currently included in your investment risk analytics? 100% 88% 83% 83% 80% 79% 76% 73% 70% 64% 60% 75% 71% 71% 69% 71% 79% 75% 75% 71% 68% 64% 64% 64% 64% 71% 71% 71% 71% 64% 65% 67% 61% 57% 54% 52% 52% 46% 58% 57% 56% 50% 46% 41% 40% 38% 39% 25% 20% 9% 5% 0% Liquidity risk Stress testing Value at risk Risk attribution Exposures (by sector/ by country/ by issuer) Sensitivity analysis Insurance companies Official institutions Pension funds Corporates Aggregated risk analytics covering all asset classes including alternatives IRR and multiples on private equity, infrastructure and property investments Ex-post Environmental, measures Social and Governance scores Ex-ante measures 4% 4% Prefer not to say 2% 4% Don’t know Based on responses from 177 asset owners Information on liquidity risk is more likely to appear in the risk analytics reporting for pension funds, insurance companies and official institutions, than any other type of risk measurement. Use of liquidity risk was particularly high for official institutions with 88% of respondents in this segment reporting use of this technique. For insurers, matching the timing of asset cash flows to expected liability cash flows is a key consideration and the increasing prevalence of risk-based capital (RBC), increases the emphasis on the importance of appropriate matching. Examples of regulatory pushes in this direction include Solvency II in Europe and various Solvency II-like requirements in Asia Pacific (for example the Japan Financial Services Agency (JFSA) has put in place additional reporting around solvency capital requirements and China is in consultation to address solvency management with a conceptual framework of the “China Risk Oriented Solvency System” (C-ROSS). Pension funds reported less use of the range of analytical techniques and risk measures than other segments. This suggests that the segment is slightly less sophisticated for the time being as regards the risk management tools they are using. ¡ 37 ¡ Section 5 – Uncovering risk analytics Among respondents, official institutions stand out as the leaders of employing ESG scores in their investment risk analytics (cited by 74% of official institutional investors). This suggests that governments are not only advancing in this area but that there will be a future need for other segments to follow suit. From a regional perspective, EMEA and Asia Pacific in particular reported use of an array of tools and risk measurement techniques. This really demonstrates that there is no one-size-fits-all answer for asset owners - they need to have many tools and approaches to measure and manage risk. This is particularly the case as they continue to invest into alternatives. In South America, 83% of respondents reported that liquidity risk features in their investment analytics. This may reflect the high number of pension fund respondents in their region and regulatory constraints for that segment (i.e. regulators in particular honing in on liquidity risk for pension funds). Asset owners from the EMEA and Asia Pacific regions (59% of respondents in both regions) employ ESG scores more readily than those in North and South America, again suggesting a regional difference in this regard. Who are the main users of your investment risk reports? C-suite management (COO, CEO, CFO, CRO, CIO) 87% 56% Board/Trustees 50% Operations Middle office Front office Back office 0% 19% 15% 13% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Based on responses from 177 asset owners Overwhelmingly the C-Suite (CEO, CFO, CRO etc.) is the major audience for investment risk reports both across regions and across segments. The high level of C-Suite users demonstrates greater connectivity of risk management at the top of the house, the heightened regulatory scrutiny in recent years of financial institutions, and the accountability placed on senior executives in understanding risk within the organisation. ¡ 38 ¡ Section 6 Asset allocation strategy – review, reporting and monitoring investment risks ¡ 39 ¡ Section 6 – Asset allocation strategy – review, reporting and monitoring investment risks Reviewing asset allocation strategies is one key use of risk analytics. How often to you formally review your asset allocation strategy? At least twice a year 63% Annually Less frequently 27% 2% Don’t know 0% 8% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Based on responses from 177 asset owners Most respondents (63%) formally review asset allocation strategies at least twice a year. Many asset owners will even be conducting monthly strategic reviews as they move to more active management of risk. Surprisingly over a quarter of respondents (27%) are still reviewing strategically only on an annual basis. This suggests that some asset owners have some way to go in taking a more active approach to ensuring they are effectively reducing exposures. Interestingly, we found a correlation between the frequency of the asset allocation reviews and the proportion of AUM managed in-house (essentially the higher the proportion of AUM managed in‑house, the more frequent asset allocation strategies are reviewed). This suggests there is room for third parties and asset managers to help asset owners reduce risk and support more frequent asset allocation reviews. ¡ 40 ¡ Section 6 – Asset allocation strategy – review, reporting and monitoring investment risks Which are the most important methods for monitoring investment risk? And which one do you see as the most important? 63% Liquidity risk analysis 20% Historical risk measures (standard deviation, Sharpe ratio, information ratio, etc.) Models such as Value at Risk, risk decomposition, tail risk 54% 8% 50% 20% 48% Stress testing including sensitivity analysis 22% Exposure reporting, to show issuer/sector/ country exposures and concentration risk 41% 22% Simulation model such as Monte Carlo analysis 35% 4% 30% Sustainability scores 2% Don’t know 6% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Important The most important Based on responses from 177 asset owners While there is no consensus around one clear method of monitoring investment risk, one in five asset owners report stress testing, exposure reporting, liquidity risk analysis and models such as values at risk as the most important methods. The regional perspective: the most important methods for monitoring investment risk 100% EMEA 88% 83% 80% 80% North America 80% 80% South America 75% Asia Pacific 67% 60% 60% 60% 60% 50% 50% 60% 50% 46% 40% 42% 40% 38% 33% 36% 33% 33% 25% 25% 25% 21% 20% 20% 17% 13% 8% 0% Liquidity risk analysis Historical risk Models such as Value measures (standard at Risk, risk deviation, Sharpe decomposition, ratio, information tail risk ratio, etc.) Stress testing including sensitivity analysis Exposure reporting to Simulation models show issuer/sector/ such as Monte Carlo country exposures analysis and concentration risk Sustainability scores Don't know Based on responses from 177 asset owners ¡ 41 ¡ Section 6 – Asset allocation strategy – review, reporting and monitoring investment risks Views differed by region with EMEA overall less convinced of the efficacy of methods typically used in monitoring investment risk. This is despite the wide variety of analytics that they use. Far more positive was Asia Pacific particularly on exposure reporting, historical risk measures and liquidity risk analysis. The regional perspective: the most important method for monitoring investment risk 60% EMEA North America 50% South America 45% Asia Pacific 40% 38% 38% 33% 29% 30% 27% 24% 22% 20% 33% 13% 10% 22% 19% 18% 13% 10% 10% 9% 5% 5% 0% Liquidity risk analysis Historical risk Models such as Value measures (standard at Risk, risk deviation, Sharpe decomposition, ratio, information tail risk ratio, etc.) Stress testing including sensitivity analysis Exposure reporting to Simulation models show issuer/sector/ such as Monte Carlo country exposures analysis and concentration risk Sustainability scores Don't know Based on responses from 177 asset owners We noticed a major difference in regions, with almost half of North American asset owners considering liquidity risk analysis as the most important method (45% of respondents). Asset owners in South America were particularly impressed with stress testing including sensitivity analysis (38% of respondents), and exposure reporting (38% of respondents). 60% Insurance companies Pension funds 50% Official institutions 42% Corporates 40% 38% 33% 30% 25% 25% 17% 13% 10% 0% 17% 6% Historical risk Models such as Value measures (standard at Risk, risk deviation, Sharpe decomposition, ratio, information tail risk ratio, etc.) Based on responses from 177 asset owners ¡ 42 ¡ 17% 17% 17% 13% 8% Liquidity risk analysis 27% 20% 19% 20% 27% 6% Stress testing including sensitivity analysis 8% 8% Exposure reporting to Simulation models show issuer/sector/ such as Monte Carlo country exposures analysis and concentration risk Sustainability scores Don't know Section 6 – Asset allocation strategy – review, reporting and monitoring investment risks From a segment perspective, stress testing is more important to insurance companies than any other segment. Liquidity risk analysis was cited by a third of official institution respondents. Simulation models were surprisingly not cited as key by insurance companies or pension funds. Sustainability scores are key for almost one in five official institutions. This correlates to our previous findings on the importance of ESG for government institutions. We are seeing this trend especially within developed countries and we think there will be a three to five year plan for greater ESG reporting within emerging countries. Which of the following performance measures do you use most frequently? Risk-adjusted measures 46% Tailored benchmarks including smart benchmarks 44% Public benchmarks 37% Consultant ratings 35% Peer groups (i.e. quartile) 31% Measures against our liabilities 22% Absolute return (post tax) measures Don’t know 19% 2% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Based on responses from 177 asset owners The key finding in terms of investment risk measures is that tailored benchmarks have gained popularity over public benchmarks. Levels of satisfaction/dissatisfaction with investment risk analytics No respondent expressed dissatisfaction with his/her investment risk analytics. We noted numerous comments from respondents about investment risk analytics being holistic and supporting innovation. “ Our investment risk analytics focus on our company as a whole, including products, services and transactions. This holistic approach gives us insights into different types of risk, so that we can make informed strategic and business decisions Investment manager, insurance company, Singapore Sometimes we do include all of the different risk measures you mentioned in our analytics. But we tend to only focus on the more important measures for our organisation C-Suite executive, pension fund, Nordics We have a dedicated team who work very efficiently on risk reporting requirements, taking into account all regulatory requirements. Their analyses are realistic and forward-looking, which helps us innovate Compliance manager, insurance company, Australia ¡ 43 ¡ Section 7 The next phase of risk management Section 7 – The next phase of risk management “The future belongs to those who believe in the beauty of their dreams” Eleanor Roosevelt Asset owners have advanced monitoring and investment tools and techniques at their fingertips, they are confident in how they are handling a variety of risks, and on the whole they are satisfied with their risk reporting. So what about the future? In your opinion, which of the following will be the next phase of risk management? Tools that help aggregate all aspects of risk – operational, credit, market etc. 43% Increased transparency around investments (alternative investments commingled vehicles and derivatives) 24% Increased detail – on counterparties, derivative notional values, ultimate issuer concentration 15% Focus on Environmental, Social Governance issues 12% Other 1% None of these 1% Don’t know 0% 3% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Based on responses from 177 asset owners Just over two in five asset owners (43% of respondents) anticipate that the next phase of risk management will focus on tools that help aggregate all aspects of risk, be it operational, credit or market risk, etc. This is followed by increased transparency around investments (24% of respondents), including alternatives and commingled vehicles. ¡ 45 ¡ Section 7 – The next phase of risk management There are a number of possible drivers to this: ¡¡ regulators are already asking for credit, market, liquidity, and counterparty risk measures. However, no tool has, so far, been able to effectively aggregate all of these to allow asset owners to more actively engage with risk management ¡¡ the ongoing focus on liquidity risk since the financial crisis (and continuing into a prolonged low yield environment), which is driving the need for increased transparency around investments ¡¡ asset owners need useful data inputs and the right tools for their analytics. They also need ways to accommodate new asset classes and time to assemble data so that risk reporting and analytics remains timely and effective In our view, the next phase of risk management is one where providers will differentiate themselves further by developing consolidation tools for asset owners that: ¡¡ encompass all risk elements required by asset owners including risk reporting, risk analytics, performance attribution, and compliance, and across all asset classes ¡¡ provide a single source of investment data and analytics for a holistic view of multiple risks ¡¡ are accessed interactively and dynamically ¡¡ offer a user experience based on the role of the individual ¡¡ contribute to a shared view of risk throughout the organisation ¡¡ include ESG and non-traditional financial attributes, thereby increasing the scope of risk management to include the sustainability of investments ¡ 46 ¡ About BNP Paribas ¡ 47 ¡ About BNP Paribas About BNP Paribas The bank for a changing world BNP Paribas has a presence in 75 countries with more than 185,000 employees, including 145,000 in Europe. It ranks highly in its two core activities: Retail Banking & Services (comprised of Domestic Markets and International Financial Services) and Corporate & Institutional Banking. In Europe, the Group has four domestic markets (Belgium, France, Italy and Luxembourg) and BNP Paribas Personal Finance is the leader in consumer lending. BNP Paribas is rolling out its integrated retail banking model across Mediterranean basin countries, in Turkey, in Eastern Europe and a large network in the western part of the United States. In its Corporate & Institutional Banking and International Financial Services activities, BNP Paribas also enjoys top positions in Europe, a strong presence in the Americas and solid and fast-growing businesses in Asia-Pacific. Its strong commitment to servicing institutional clients is supported by many of its subsidiaries including BNP Paribas Global Markets, Securities Services, Investment Partners and Read Estate. About BNP Paribas Securities Services BNP Paribas Securities Services, a wholly-owned subsidiary of the BNP Paribas Group, is a leading global custodian and securities services provider backed by the strength of a universal bank. It provides integrated solutions for all participants in the investment cycle, from the buy-side and sell-side to corporates and issuers. Covering over 100 markets, with our own offices in 34 countries, the BNP Paribas network is one of the most extensive in the industry. We bring together local insight and a global network to enable clients to maximize their market and investment opportunities worldwide. Key figures as of 31 December 2014: USD 8.95 trillion assets under custody, USD 1.717 trillion assets under administration, 8,134 administered funds and 8,800 employees About our risk and performance solutions We work with some of the world’s leading asset owners. Over the years, to better service this community, we have developed a range of flexible performance and risk analysis solutions which cover: ¡¡ Performance and ex-post risk measurement ¡¡ Investment and portfolio reviews ¡¡ Performance attribution including fixed income specialisation ¡¡ Value-at-risk analysis ¡¡ Ex ante risk attribution ¡¡ Scenario analysis and stress testing ¡¡ Liquidity risk analysis ¡¡ Peer group analysis Solutions are proprietary to BNP Paribas and benefit from our group wide research and commitment to continuous development. We offer a complete service, not just software, and work with our clients as strategic partners in bringing together our global solutions combined with local expertise and client service. ¡ 48 ¡ About BNP Paribas About our thought leadership We develop thought leadership in-house and in collaboration with key partners. Some of our most recent publications include: ¡¡ 2025 Outlook for Asset Owners and Managers (in conjunction with Australian Institute of Superannuation Trustees) ¡¡ Middle and back office outsourcing (in conjunction with YouGov) ¡¡ Trends in asset allocation and risk management: the Asia Pacific asset owner experience We also have our Quintessence (Smart thinking in Finance) brand, which is all about developing the insights that come out of the daily tasks. To find out more visit us on our website, Twitter or LinkedIn. BNP Paribas Contacts Europe, Middle East and Africa Valérie Nicaise, Head of IRP Solutions, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +33 1 40 14 44 84 Email: [email protected] Dietmar Roessler, Head of Client Segment, Asset Owners, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +49 69 1520 5217 Email: [email protected] Mark Schoen, Head of Asset Owner Solutions, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +44 207 595 3685 Email: [email protected] Americas Claudine Gallagher, Head of North America, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +1 212 471 6458 Email: [email protected] Alvaro Camunas, Head of Spain, Portugal and Latin America, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +34 913 88 87 87 Email: [email protected] Asia Pacific Lawrence Au, Head of Asia Pacific, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +852 3197 3309 Email: [email protected] Madhu Gayer, Head of IRP Solutions, Asia, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +65 6210 4964 Email: [email protected] David Raccat, Head of Market and Financing Services, Asia Pacific, BNP Paribas Securities Services Tel: +65 6210 1663 Email: [email protected] ¡ 49 ¡ About YouGov Plc About YouGov Plc The company Founded in London in 2000, YouGov is considered the pioneer of online market research. Now with offices throughout the UK, the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa and Asia, YouGov was recently named one of the world’s top 25 research companies by the respected American Marketing Association Top 25. What the world thinks From the very beginning, we have been driven by one simple idea: the more people participate in the decisions made by the institutions that serve them, the better those decisions will be. We are constantly engaged in developing new technologies and methodologies to enable collaborative decision-making. At the heart of the company is a global online community of some 3 million respondents and thousands of political, cultural and commercial organisations, engaged in a continuous conversation about their beliefs, their behaviours and their brands. In 12 months leading up to 31 July 2013, members of the YouGov panel completed more than 17 million surveys (an increase of more than 13%). The result: YouGov’s proven, published record of uniquely accurate data and actionable insights. ¡ 51 ¡ Appendices ¡ 53 ¡ Appendices Institutional profile per region EMEA Other 3% Private Corporate 30% Family Office 1% Foundation/Charitable Trust 1% Government/Central Bank Sovereign Wealth Fund 15% 1% 25% Pension/Retirement Fund Insurance Company 23% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% North America Government/Central Bank 7% Pension/Retirement Fund 24% Insurance Company 69% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Asia Pacific Other 2% Private Corporate 9% Government/Central Bank Sovereign Wealth Fund 14% 4% Pension/Retirement Fund 30% Insurance Company 0% ¡ 54 ¡ 42% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% Appendices South America Government/Central Bank 6% Pension/Retirement Fund 94% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Assets Under Management (AUM) by region EMEA More than USD 50bn 36% USD 30bn-USD 50bn 4% USD 20bn-USD 30bn 4% USD 10bn-USD 20bn 11% USD 5bn-USD 10bn 12% 33% USD 1bn-USD 5bn 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% North America More than USD 50bn USD 30bn-USD 50bn USD 20bn-USD 30bn 69% 7% 10% USD 10bn-USD 20bn USD 5bn-USD 10bn 7% USD 1bn-USD 5bn 7% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% ¡ 55 ¡ Appendices Asia Pacific More than USD 50bn USD 30bn-USD 50bn 54% 4% USD 20bn-USD 30bn 5% USD 10bn-USD 20bn 5% USD 5bn-USD 10bn 18% 14% USD 1bn-USD 5bn 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% South America More than USD 50bn 11% USD 30bn-USD 50bn USD 20bn-USD 30bn 11% USD 10bn-USD 20bn 11% USD 5bn-USD 10bn 22% 44% USD 1bn-USD 5bn 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% How are you addressing a continuing low yield environment? 100% EMEA 83% North America 80% South America 66% 61% 60% Asia Pacific 60% 51% 40% 32% 30% 28% 26% 21% 20% 10% 10% 6% 0% ¡ 56 ¡ 16% New/increased exposure to alternative assets 17% 14% 9% 9% 7% 9% 3% New/increased exposure to emerging markets Use of active/alpha strategies Enhancing return from our current investments e.g. lending securities, enhanced cash management Other strategy Don’t know Appendices How do you rate the following techniques in helping your organisation meet its overall risk objectives? EMEA Risk analysis tools 30% 67% Risk budgeting 3% 44% Asset liability management 1% 7% 14% Provider/vendor management 43% Smart beta strategies 7% 44% 0% 20% 7% 38% 42% 8% 4% 38% 44% 11% 3% 1% 48% 51% Counterparty management Hedging strategies 49% 37% Dynamic asset allocation strategies 1% 3% 3% 3% 1% 29% 11% 29% 7% 12% 23% 40% 3% 8% 18% 60% 8% 80% 100% Highly ineffective Quite effective Don’t know Quite ineffective Highly effective Not applicable – we don’t use this technique North America Risk analysis tools 4% 41% Risk budgeting 38% Asset liability management Provider/vendor management 7% Smart beta strategies 0% 24% 24% 33% 28% 20% 7% 17% 40% 60% 14% 21% 7% 21% 7% 17% 80% 3% 4% 14% 28% 41% 21% 7% 41% 48% 10% 14% 69% 38% Counterparty management 3% 3% 4% 48% 21% Dynamic asset allocation strategies 3% Hedging strategies 48% 17% 100% Highly ineffective Quite effective Don’t know Quite ineffective Highly effective Not applicable – we don’t use this technique ¡ 57 ¡ Appendices Asia Pacific Risk analysis tools 26% Risk budgeting 2% 31% Asset liability management Counterparty management 7% 25% 12% 38% 0% 11% 40% 35% Smart beta strategies 17% 40% 11% 40% 3% 14% 14% 26% 23% 20% 3% 18% 60% 28% Hedging strategies 4% 21% 49% 18% 2% 9% 46% 30% Dynamic asset allocation strategies 2% Provider/vendor management 63% 10% 23% 30% 60% 9% 80% 100% Highly ineffective Quite effective Don’t know Quite ineffective Highly effective Not applicable – we don’t use this technique South America Risk analysis tools 67% 33% Risk budgeting 5% 78% Asset liability management 44% Dynamic asset allocation strategies 5% 22% 17% 11% 55% 56% 20% 17% 11% 40% 11% 6% 11% 6% 83% Smart beta strategies ¡ 58 ¡ 17% 72% Hedging strategies 0% 56% 61% Counterparty management 6% Provider/vendor management 17% 60% 11% 22% 80% 100% Highly ineffective Quite effective Don’t know Quite ineffective Highly effective Not applicable – we don’t use this technique securities.bnpparibas.com BNP Paribas Securities Services @BNPP2S youtube.com/BNPParibasSecurities The information contained within this document (‘information’) is believed to be reliable but BNP Paribas Securities Services does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. Opinions and estimates contained herein constitute BNP Paribas Securities Services’ judgment and are subject to change without notice. BNP Paribas Securities Services and its subsidiaries shall not be liable for any errors, omissions or opinions contained within this document. This material is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument. For the avoidance of doubt, any information contained within this document will not form an agreement between parties. Additional information is available on request BNP Paribas Securities Services is incorporated in France as a Partnership Limited by Shares and is authorised and supervised by the ACPR (Autorité de Contrôle Prudentiel et de Résolution) and the AMF (Autorité des Marchés Financiers). BNP Paribas Securities Services, London branch is authorised by the ACPR, the AMF and the Prudential Regulation Authority and is subject to limited regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority and Prudential Regulation Authority. Details about the extent of our authorisation and regulation by the Prudential Regulation Authority and regulation by the Financial Conduct Authority are available from us on request. BNP Paribas Securities Services, London branch is a member of the London Stock Exchange. BNP Paribas Trust Corporation UK Limited (a wholly owned subsidiary of BNP Paribas Securities Services), incorporated in the UK is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority. In the U.S., BNP Paribas Securities Services is a business line of BNP Paribas which is incorporated in France with limited liability. Services provided under this business line, including the services described in this document, if offered in the U.S., are offered through BNP Paribas, New York Branch (which is duly authorized and licensed by the State of New York Department of Financial Services); if a securities product, through BNP Paribas Securities Corp. or BNP Paribas Prime Brokerage, Inc., each of which is a broker‑dealer registered with the Securities and Exchange Commission and a member of SIPC and the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority; or if a futures product through BNP Paribas Securities Corp., a Futures Commission Merchant registered with the Commodities Futures Trading Commission and a member of the National Futures Association. Printed on recycled paper with vegetable inks – Designed by the graphics department, corporate communications, BNP Paribas Securities Services. 150424C_RACAPIALYE_BR_EN The bank for a changing world
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