Treatment of Gallstone patients In the Danish health care system, more than DKK 100 million per year are spent on treating patients with benign biliary tract diseases. This report is the first attempt at performing a health technology assessment of treatment of gallstone patients. By including the technology, the patient, the organisation as well as the economy, a health technology assessment is an analytical tool that serves as basis for ensuring an optimal treatment of patients within the given economical framework. The report is based on a systematic review of the literature and a thorough analysis of data from The National Hospital Register where all hospital admissions in Denmark are recorded. By reviewing the literature using explicit criteria, the fundament for performing an objective assessment of the various treatment modalities has been established. At the same time, analyses of data from The National Hospital Register form a clear picture of the development of treatment of gallstone patients throughout Denmark. By combining the technology with the economical analyses, the limited knowledge of patients’ preferences for the various treatment modalities as well as the organisational aspects, the report questions a number of well-established treatment modalities and the organisation of these. It is the hope, that this report will form part of a knowledge-based fundament for the development of a national strategy for prevention, diagnosis and treatment of patients with biliary tract disease. Torben Jørgensen Treatment of Gallstone patients A health technology assessment Counselling and advising in connection with HTA projects is given by: Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment National Board of Health 13, Amaliegade PO. Box 2020 DK-1012 Copenhagen Denmark Phone: + 45 33 91 16 01 Fax: + 45 33 91 70 61 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage: http://www.dihta.dk Further copies of this publication can be bought at: Sundhedsstyrelsens Publikationer c/o Schultz Information 12, Herstedvang DK-2620 Albertslund Denmark Phone: + 45 70 26 26 36 Fax: + 45 43 63 62 45 NIPH & Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment 2000 National Institute of Public Health 25, Svanemøllevej DK-2100 Copenhagen , Denmark Phone: +45 39 20 77 77 Fax: +45 39 20 80 10 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage : www.dike.dk Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment D I T H A Torben Jørgensen 2000 Treatment of Gallstone patients A health technology assessment Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment D I H T A TREATMENT OF GALLSTONE PATIENTS A health technology assessment ISBN (printed version): 87-90951-44-1 ISBN (electronic version): 87-7676-381-1 © Torben Jørgensen Copenhagen 2000 Published by: National Institute of Public Health 25, Svanemøllevej DK-2100 Copenhagen, Denmark Phone: + 45 39 20 77 77 Fax: + 45 39 20 80 10 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage: www.dike.dk and Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment National Board of Health 13, Amaliegade PO. Box 2020 DK-1012 Copenhagen Denmark Phone: + 45 33 91 16 01 Fax: + 45 33 91 70 61 E-mail: [email protected] Homepage: http://www.dihta.dk Layout: Peter Dyrvig Grafisk Design Print: P.J. Schmidt A/S, Vojens Production: Danish Committee for Health Education Printed witout solvents, using only natural vegetable colours, on environmentally approved paper. Further copies of this publication can be bought at: Sundhedsstyrelsens Publikationer c/o Schultz Information 12, Herstedvang DK-2620 Albertslund Denmark Phone: + 45 70 26 26 36 Fax: + 45 43 63 62 45 Cover photo: Professor Carl Langenbuch, who in Berlin in 1882 carried out the first cholecystectomy. 2 Institutional foreword This report started as a joint clinical epidemiological project involving the National Institute of Public Health (NIPH) and consultant surgeon Torben Jørgensen during his tenure in the Surgical Department at Bispebjerg Hospital. The NIPH has traditionally been adept at analysing data from the National Hospital Discharge Register for health service research projects and health technology assessments. Torben Jørgensen has a longstanding interest in gallstone epidemiology and has conducted critical research into surgical treatment of gallstones. Torben Jørgensen worked at the NIPH during part of the project and it was finished after his appointment as head of the Copenhagen County Centre of Preventative Medicine, Glostrup University Hospital. The project was financed by the NIPH’s basic grant and the Health Insurance Fund It was decided that the appropriate form for the project was a health technology assessment (HTA), i.e. an assessment in which clinicians, epidemiologists, statisticians and health service economists co-operate to study a particular clinical field. Due to the current heavy interest in HTA projects, it was agreed with the Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment (HTA Institute) that we would finance the expansion of the project to encompass health economics and organisational elements, etc. As a result of this decision, co-operation was also established with the health service economists at the Centre for Health and Social Policy, University of Southern Denmark. In other words, the project has grown from a somewhat narrow clinical epidemiological project to a project that aspires to the breadth of an HTA. The emphasis in the report is, however, still on the clinical and epidemiological areas. NIPH and the HTA Institute found it appropriate to co-operate on the publication of the overall HTA report. The report will be supplemented by scientific articles in magazines in Danish and English. For further details, please refer to the author’s foreword. Finn Kamper-Jørgensen, Director National Institute of Public Health Finn Børlum Kristensen, Head of Institute Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment 3 Author’s foreword The idea for this report emerged during my tenure as consultant in the Surgical Gastroenterology Ward K at Bispebjerg Hospital in Copenhagen. It started out as a clinical epidemiological project and as a natural progression of my research into biliary tract disorders. During the preliminary research, it became evident that the whole area was crying out for indepth study, hence the decision to expand the project into a health technology assessment in order to lay the foundations for the rational, patientfriendly and economical treatment of patients with biliary tract disorders. The concept was presented at a meeting of Dansk Kirurgisk Selskab (Danish Society of Surgeons) in spring 1997 and the Society expressed the wish that the report would form the basis for national clinical guidelines. In order to include a maximum number of aspects of the treatment of biliary tract disorders, the report has become very comprehensive. As a result, those with no knowledge of the field will find the report heavy reading. Chapters 1-4 ought to be read, while chapters 5-8 can be read separately or used for reference purposes, as they concern particular aspects of biliary tract disorder. Chapters 9, 10 and 11 cover the other aspects of an HTA: the patient, the organisation and the finances. As so much documentation has been included, some of it has been included in appendices, which can be read as required. The summary (chapter 12) and the synthesis and recommendations (chapter 13) can be read on their own. A number of people have contributed to this report. Firstly, I would like to thank chief surgeon Johan Kjærgaard for his willingness to grant me leave for seven months, for all our in-depth discussions and for his willingness to read and comment critically on the report. I would also like to thank my ex-colleague in department K, development consultant Ingrid Willaing for our fruitful discussions as well as her stringent and always positive critical study of my draft manuscript. The work was done at the National Institute for Public Health, which possesses the necessary expertise in the processing and analysis of data from the National Hospital Discharge Register. Director Mette Madsen, MA, NIPH provided invaluable help interpreting and analysing data from the National Hospital Discharge Register and discussing and revising the report critically. IT consultant Lene Bjørk Nielsen, NIPH was responsible 4 for the huge task of transforming the data from the National Hospital Discharge Register into a form that can be analysed and Søren Rasmussen, MSc, NIPH, performed the statistical analyses in exemplary fashion and wrote appendix 4 of this report. Health economist Jørgen Clausen from CHS at the University of Southern Denmark did a marvellous job being responsible for the financial analyses. Jørgen Clausen’s detailed financial analyses form the basis for chapter 11 and enclosure 5 in the report. I would like to avail myself of this opportunity to thank them all for their positive and constructive co-operation. I would also like to thank the many surgical and medical departments all over the country who worked long and hard in attempt to validate the National Hospital Discharge Register and to assess the time and staff demands of the different surgical and endoscopic operations. Thanks are due to secretary Margit Christiansen, NIPH, for all her work sending out and sorting questionnaires and medical commentaries. I would also like to express my gratitude to Anne Eliasen, medical student Sine Wanda Jørgensen, and medical student Jette Nielsen for all their help with the medical commentaries. Thanks are also due to Sine Wanda Jørgensen for her patience and stamina photocopying the many thousands of articles upon which the report is based. Secretary Ulla Jørgensen deserves a special thank you for her assiduous proof-reading and ward doctor Dina Hauge for her translations of Italian articles. Finally, I would like to express my sincere gratitude to Director Finn Kamper-Jørgensen and the staff of NIPH for providing a positive, hospitable and inspiring working environment. The work was financed in part by the Health Insurance Fund (11/24995) and the Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment (J.no. 3126-2-1997). NIPH, 4 December 1998 Torben Jørgensen Note: This report was translated from Danish by “The Translation Centre, University of Copenhagen”. 5 Content 1. Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 1.1 1.2 1.3 Gallstones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 1.1.1 Occurrence of gallstones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 1.1.2 Who has gallstones? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .9 1.1.3 The disease spectrum . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 Developments in the treatment of gallstone patients . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .11 1.2.1 Cholecystectomy (removal of the gallbladder) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .12 1.2.2 Cholecystolithotomy (removal of gallbladder stone) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .13 1.2.3 Bile salts and ESWL (medical dissolution of gallstones) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 1.2.4 Choledocholithotomy (removal of stones in the bile duct) . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .14 Health technology assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .16 2. Material and methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6 The National Hospital Discharge Register . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 2.1.1 Courses of treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .19 2.1.2 The validity of the National Hospital Discharge Register . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .22 Literature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .24 Danish population studies . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Staff and staff time in the treatment of gallstone patients in Denmark . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 The National Register for Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .25 Analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .26 3. Occurrence, natural history and prevention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 3.1 3.2 3.3 Gallstone disorders in the Danish population . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .28 The natural history of people with untreated gallstones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .29 Prevention of gallstones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 3.3.1 Primary prevention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .30 3.3.2 Secondary prevention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .31 4. Treatment of patients with benign biliary tract disorders in Denmark 1978-95 . . . . .33 5. Treatment of patients with non-complicated gallbladder stones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.4 6 Developments in Denmark, 1978-95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47 5.1.1 The frequency of simple cholecystectomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .47 5.1.2 Regional variations in Denmark . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .51 Which symptoms are due to stones in the gallbladder? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .60 Indication for treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .63 Methods of treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66 5.4.1 Cholecystectomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .66 5.4.2 Cholecystolithotomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .86 5.4.3 ESWL/bile salts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .87 5.4.4 Comparison between cholecystectomy, cholecystolithotomy and ESWL/bile salts . . . . . .89 5.4.5 Cholecystectomy for acalculous pains . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .90 6. Treatment of patients with acute cholecystitis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .92 6.1 6.2 6.3 Developments in Denmark 1978-95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .92 Indication for treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95 Methods of treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95 6.3.1 Cholecystectomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .95 6.3.2 Cholecystolithotomy and partial cholecystectomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .98 6.3.3 Ultrasonic drainage . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .98 6.3.4 Acalculous cholecystitis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .99 7. Treatment of patients with choledochal stones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .100 7.1 7.2 7.3 Developments in Denmark, 1978-95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .100 Indication for examination and treatment of stones in the bile ducts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .104 Methods of treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .106 7.3.1 Surgical methods of treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .107 7.3.2 Endoscopic methods of treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .107 7.3.3 Comparison between surgical and endoscopic treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .108 7.3.4 Thirty-day mortality rates in Denmark, 1978-95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .109 8. Treatment of patients with gallstone pancreatitis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .111 8.1 8.2 8.3 Development in Denmark, 1978-95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .111 Indication for treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .111 Methods of treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .111 8.3.1 Cholecystectomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .112 8.3.2 Endoscopic treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .113 8.3.3 Treatment strategies for gallstone pancreatitis – summary . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .113 9. The patient . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .115 9.1 9.2 9.3 9.4 The patient’s choice of treatment procedure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .115 Patient expectations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .116 Patient information . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .116 The patient’s assessment of the given treatment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .117 10. Organisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .119 10.1 Administrative rules for the treatment of patients with gallstones in Denmark . . . . . . . . . .119 10.2 Gallstone treatments in Denmark . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .119 10.2.1 Developments in Denmark, 1978-95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .119 10.2.2 Morbidity and mortality in relation to the number of operations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .120 10.3 Training for gallstone surgeons . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .120 11. Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .123 11.1 Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .123 11.2 Developments in treatment costs in Denmark, 1978-1995 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .124 11.2.1 All treatments for benign biliary tract disorderse . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .124 11.2.2 Simple cholecystectomy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .126 11.2.3 Discussion . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .127 11.3 Economical models for gallstone treatments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .128 11.3.1 Treatment of patients with stones in the gallbladder . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .129 11.3.2 Treatment of patients with acute cholecystitis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .140 11.3.3 Treatment of patients with stones in the bile ducts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .141 7 12. Summary of the elements in the Health Technology Assessment . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .142 12.1 Developments in the incidence and treatment of gallstones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .142 12.2 Material and methods . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .144 12.3 Occurrence, natural history and prevention . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .145 12.4 Overall treatment of biliary tract disorders in Denmark . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .146 12.5 Treatment of patients with uncomplicated gallbladder stones . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .147 12.6 Treatment of patients with acute cholecystitis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .151 12.7 Treatment of patients with stones in the bile ducts . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .152 12.8 Treatment of patients with gallstone pancreatitis . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .154 12.9 The patient . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .154 12.10 The organisation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .155 12.11 Economy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .156 13. Synthesis and recommendations . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .158 Appendices 1 2 3 4 5 8 Literature list . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .164 The National Hospital Discharge Register . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .201 Extract from the National Hospital Discharge Register . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .201 Validation of the National Hospital Discharge Register . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .209 Developments in the use of different technologies for treatment of patients with bile duct disorders, 1978-95 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .210 Literature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .214 Search of literature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .214 Critical evaluation of the literature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .215 Selected literature . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .217 Statistical analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .236 Analysis of developments in surgical rate . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .236 Regional variations in operation rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .241 Analyses of 30-day mortality rates . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .244 Analyses of complicated courses of treatment in cases of simple cholecystectomy . . . . .245 The distribution of municipalities between admissions areas . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .246 Economical analyses . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .250 Costs of gallstone treatment in Denmark . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .250 Sensitivity analyses of the economical models . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .254 1. Introduction 1.1 G ALLSTONES 1.1.1 Occurrence of gallstones Gallstones are probably as old as mankind. Gallstones were found in an Egyptian mummy (21st dynasty, approx. 1000 BC) and the description of Alexander the Great’s final days (323 BC) suggests that he may have died of acute infection of the gallbladder73. Gallstones were probably described for the first time ever by a 6th century Greek doctor. Since anatomical dissection was introduced in 1281 in Italy, gallstones have been identified with increasing regularity73. Danish autopsies around the turn of the 19th/20th century revealed gallstones in 24-33% of 60-70-year-old women and 16-25% of 60-70-year-old men306, 346, 683 which corresponded to rates in the rest of Europe110. In the first decade after the Second World War, occurrence of gallstones increased in Denmark, followed by a fall up till the mid-80s770, 771. Today, gallstones are a common occurrence in large parts of the world184, 373 . The prevalence is greatest on the American continent with Chileans the most prominent group158, followed by Europe, where Norway276 and the ex-GDR83 have the highest rates. In Russia639 and North India395 the rates correspond to Europe, while they are very low in south-east Asia and Africa408, 465, 859, 861. Figures 1-4 show incidences of gallstones in a number of populations in the 1980s. 1.1.2 Who has gallstones? Gallstones are formed from chemical substances in the bile. The most common type is the cholesterol stone, which consists of cholesterol and bile salts. Pigment stones, which consist of calcium and bile pigment (bilirubin) are less common362. A number of epidemiological surveys have identified the most important risk factors related to gallstones184, 373, 676. Women suffer from gallstones twice as often as men, mainly because of pregnancies366, 375. Overweight individuals are more susceptible to gallstones than people of standard weight369, while exercise and moderate alcohol consumption reduce the chances of gallstones development369, 374, 775. There seem to be a familial aggregation of gallstones61, 367, 572 and the most recent research suggests that people with insulin resistance (a metabolic condition 9 FIGURE 1 Prevalences of gallstones in European populations. Women 100 FIGURE 2 Prevalences of gallstones in European populations. Men Prevalence % 100 90 90 80 80 70 Prevalence % 70 4 60 60 6 50 2 1 40 40 7 30 3 20 10 FIGURE 3 Prevalences of gallstones in non-European populations. Women FIGURE 4 Prevalences of gallstones in non-European populations. Men Prevalence % 100 90 80 80 Prevalence % 70 1 60 60 50 50 2 40 40 30 30 20 20 4 3 6 5 0 10 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Age 1. Chile158, 2. USA (Mex-Am)304, 3. USA (Puerto Rico)492, 4. India (Kashmir)395, 5. Japan566, 6. Taiwan859 10 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Age 1. Norway276, 2. Sweden352,511,539, 3. Denmark365,375, 4. GDR83, 5. U.K.315, 6. Italy53 90 10 3 5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Age 1. Norway276, 2. Sweden352,511,539, 3. Denmark365,375, 4. GDR83, 5. U.K.315, 6. Czechoslovakia86, 7. Italy53 70 6 2 10 0 100 4 1 30 5 20 50 1 2 3 5 6 4 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Age 1. Chile158, 2. USA (Mex-Am)304, 3. USA (Puerto Rico)492, 4. India (Kashmir)395, 5. Japan566, 6. Taiwan859 that increases the risk of arteriosclerosis, cardiovascular disease, obesity and non-insulin-dependent diabetes) have a far higher occurrence of gallstones than non-insulin-resistant372. This corresponds to the very high incidence of gallstones among Native Americans, the majority of whom are insulin resistant677. Gallstones are rarely encountered in children and young people, but the prevalence increases with age585, 832. 1.1.3 The disease spectrum Gallstone disease is a chronic condition, which starts - and usually ends - as an asymptomatic condition, i.e. a condition that the person never discovers. The development is probably as follows: ❖ Stones are formed in the gallbladder, where they remain asymptomatic for a long time, perhaps permanently. Small gallstones can disappear again spontaneously. ❖ Stones can cause pain, which is unpleasant, but not dangerous. ❖ After an certain number of years, the stones can cause complications, which as a rule can be easily treated and are rarely life-threatening: - Acute cholecystitis - Choledochal stone Icterus/cholangitis Acute pancreatitis - Fistulation, if a chronic infection involves the neighbouring organs. 1.2 D EVELOPMENTS IN THE TREATMENT OF GALLSTONE PATIENTS Doctors did not attribute any significance to gallstones in relation to symptoms such as abdominal pains, jaundice and infection until the 16th century73. In principle, there are two methods of treating stones in the gallbladder: ❖ Removal of the gallbladder including the stone (cholecystectomy) ❖ Removal of the stone from the gallbladder - invasive technique (cholecystolithotomy or contact dissolution) - non-invasive technique (ESWL/bile salts). . In principle stones in the bile duct should be removed (choledocholithotomy). Below is a short description of historical developments in the different forms of treatment. 11 1.2.1 Cholecystectomy (removal of the gallbladder) Three different technologies are used: traditional open cholecystectomy, cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy and laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The first cholecystectomy was performed by Langenbuch in Berlin in 1882429, while the first cholecystectomy in Denmark was performed in 1887 by Iversen at Copenhagen District General Hospital25. Removal of gallbladder and stones remains the standard treatment to this day. The gallbladder was removed through a 10-20 cm long subcostal or vertical midline incision (traditional open cholecystectomy). The argument in favour of the large incision was that it afforded the surgeon a better view and that the whole of the abdominal cavity could be properly examined. In the early 70s, a technique was developed in which the surgeon uses long instruments to remove the gallbladder through a 3-6 cm long incision and does not insert his hands into the abdomen (cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy)197, 282. The argument in favour of minilaparotomy is that it reduces surgical trauma and, consequently, the time spent in hospital and the convalescence period (the period from the operation to resumption of work/normal activities). It is difficult to define exactly which incisions qualify as traditional laparotomy and which constitute minilaparotomy. Besides the length of the incision, it has been discussed whether the procedure also should spare the muscles (i.e. not separate the muscles in the abdominal wall) before it can be defined as minilaparotomy. The majority defines an operation as minilaparotomy if the incision is under 6 cm, while others accept 8 cm483, 656 or even 10 cm435, 504. Some point out the importance of the location of the incision, which ought to be on the right of the epigastrium, just above the point where ductus cysticus joins ductus choledochus. This is where the difficult dissection occurs793. If a minilaparotomy runs into technical or other problems, the incision is lengthened and the operation is converted into a traditional open cholecystectomy. It is uncertain, when the first cholecystectomy during a minilaparotomy was performed in Denmark733. Mühe introduced laparoscopic cholecystectomy in Germany in 1985545, 546 . The method was refined by Mouret in France in 1987198, 601. The operation is performed with special instruments and video equipment inserted through three or four trochars (“doors”) in the abdominal wall, each 1⁄2-1 cm in diameter. Thus, the total incision is 3-4 cm. The arguments in favour of laparoscopic cholecystectomy correspond to those in favour of cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy: it reduces surgical trauma, the time spent in hospital and the convalescence period. If technical or other 12 difficulties occur, the operation is converted into open surgery – usually traditional open cholecystectomy. This requires new instruments, a new incision and the removal of old instruments. Outside Denmark, the laparoscopic technique soon gave cause for concern because of a suspected rise in the number of bile duct lesions166 and at the same time, the number of gallstone operations increased149. Laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced to Denmark in January 1991. During the first year, only a small proportion of the total number of cholecystectomies were performed laparoscopically, but in the ensuing year the number increased to constitute the majority. 1.2.2 Cholecystolithotomy (removal of gallbladder stone) Surgical removal In 1667, an abscess in the abdominal wall containing a gallstone was emptied322. It is probably the first recorded case of cholecystolithotomy as a treatment for acute infection of the gallbladder. The first planned operation to remove a stone from a gallbladder was performed by Bobbs in 1867 in the USA169. When Langenbuch later carried out the first cholecystectomy, most surgeons converted to removal of the gallbladder along with the stones due to the large number of patients who experienced a recurrence of their gallstones after cholecystolithotomy603. Langenbuch is quoted as saying: “The gallbladder has to be removed – not because it contains stones, but because it generates stones.” Cholecystolithotomy still had its advocates, however, and as late as World War Two many surgeons in Denmark insisted on removing only the gallstones25, 603. Already in 1955 it was described that the procedure could be performed by minilaparotomy670 and even under local anaesthesia645 for patients unable to tolerate general anaestesia. Later, a laparoscopic method was developed in which a scope is inserted through a 2-3 cm incision, attaches itself to the gallbladder using suction, opens the gallbladder and empties it of stones434, 481 . This operation can also be performed under local anaesthesia. The development of ultrasound techniques made it possible to puncture the gallbladder. In the beginning, this method was used on patients with acute cholecystitis to combat infection in advance of subsequent operations623. The latter method was further refined by dilating the puncture canal and inserting instruments to remove the stones or laser/ultrasound probes to pulverise the stones16, 341, 386, 392, 833. The method has been used in Denmark734. 13 Contact dissolution Since the 19th century, it has been a well-known fact that ether dissolves gallstones814. Methyl tertbutyl ether (MTBE) has been particularly well researched because it stays in liquid form at body temperature (boiling point 55). MTBE is injected via a catheter guided into the gallbladder by ultrasound equipment22. It can take from a few hours to a couple of days to dissolve the stones and flush them out207, 318. The method is described in depth by Thistle777. Attempts have been made to combine the method with ESWL (see next section)562, 597 and other solvents351, 553 – but to no great effect. Often, the procedure is followed up with bile salts193. Instead of percutaneous (and therefore invasive) incision, reports have been published of inserting a naso-biliary catheter into the gallbladder by ERCP and dissolving gallbladder stones with MTBE234. MTBE has a number of side effects in the form of lethargy and nausea. Recently, positive tests have been performed using ethyl propionate without the side effects of MTBE. However, the tests only comprised five patients330. It is not known to what extent the method has been tried in Denmark. 1.2.3 Bile salts and ESWL (medical dissolution of gallstones) Bile salts reduce cholesterol concentration in the bile331. The first attempt to dissolve gallstone with bile-salt treatment was performed in 1970171 using chenodeoxycholic acid, but the initial results were not promising691, partly because of side-effects such as diarrhoea, liver damage and increased levels of cholesterol in the blood254. In 1975, a new chemical was launched on the market (ursodeoxycholic acid), which was more efficient and had fewer side effects430, 672. Treatment with bile salts takes several months to years485. In 1985, bile salt treatment was combined with ESWL (Extracorporeal ShockWave Lithotripsy)680, which uses sound waves to pulverise gallstones. ESWL produces a blast wave that works in fluids. A targeting system makes sure that the blast wave hits the gallstones and does not cause lesions to the surrounding tissue. This combination of bile salts and ESWL has been used in Denmark31, 47. 1.2.4 Choledocholithotomy (removal of stones in the bile duct) Stones in the bile duct almost always stem from the gallbladder. Surgical removal of stones in the bile duct was done for the first time by Courvoisier in Basle in 189073. From then on, open surgery to remove the gallbladder and the stones in the bile duct (traditional open bile duct surgery) 14 became the standard treatment. Often, patients do not have bile duct stones diagnosed until they are X-rayed during the operation (intraoperative cholangiography). Sometimes the number of number or size of bile duct stones is so great, or the alterations of the bile duct so severe, that it has to be dissected and sewn onto the intestines (biliodigestive anastomosis). A 1978-85 Danish survey revealed that 20% of patients who underwent cholecystectomy also had stones removed from ductus choledochus and a further 5% underwent biliodigestive anastomosis106. Open bile duct surgery has traditionally been performed through a 10-20 cm long subcostal or vertical midline incision. In 1982, the first report was published concerning the removal of stones in the bile duct through a small incision of 4-5 cm (removal of bile duct stone through minilaparotomy)197, 532. In 1991, the first report340 was published concerning removal of stones from the bile duct with the help of laparoscopic surgery (laparoscopic removal of stones from the bile duct). The latter method has not been adopted in Denmark37. The first ERCP (Endoscopic Retrograde Cholangiopancreatography) was presented in 1970575. Later, instruments were developed to perform sphincterotomy and remove stones from the bile duct143, 383. ERCP was introduced to Denmark in 1973412, 413, 491, but initial progress was slow. In the late 80s, the pace at which ERCP technology spread began to pick up and then accelerate after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy in 1991. As ERCP technology was developed, so was a number of other treatments for stones in the bile duct, e.g.: contact dissolution156, direct dissolution by introduction of various medicaments into the bile duct544 and ESWL738. The latter method is used in Denmark24. In cases, where it proved impossible to remove the gallstones, methods were developed to insert a drain and allow the bile to pass125. Instead of a sphincterotomy, proposals have been mooted to dilate the sphincter with a balloon and then remove the stones474. Recently, MR scanning (magnetic resonance), which unlike ERCP is a non-invasive technique, has been used to produce a three-dimensional image of the biliary tracts (MRC) and the results have been promising727. 1.3 H EALTH TECHNOLOGY ASSESSMENT Health technology assessment is defined by the Danish National Board of Health as an all-round, systematic evaluation of the preconditions for, and the consequences of, using health technology. Health technology includes all forms of diagnostics, prevention, treatment and care of patients, which 15 means that it is not necessarily associated with technical equipment. In recent years, health technology assessment has gained a foothold in a number of health services all over the world. This development has coincided with rapid technological progress within the health service, demands from patients and health-service personnel for evidence-based treatment, plus limited financial resources within the health sector. Patients have benefited from many new technologies, but new technology cannot always be equated with improved treatment. In most fields, the supply of health technology exceeds the health service’s financial resources. In principle, this means that all new technology ought to be subjected to health technology assessment. Health technology assessment is, therefore, a tool that analyses all the available data and reaches decisions about which forms of health technology are expedient within the health service. Thus, a health technology assessment is not a ready-made checklist of the extent to which a particular type of technology should be used and how, but a basis upon which health-service staff, administrators and politicians can make decisions. Ideally, the HTA process includes the five steps, illustrated in figure 5. FIGURE 5 The five steps involved in health technology assessment Problem identification Planning Technology Analysis of the elements Patient Organisation Economy Summary Presentation and communication The content of the four traditional main elements in a health technology assessment: the technology, the patient, the organisation and the finances, are described in figures 6-934. Justification for a health technology assessment of the gallstone field The many new methods of treatment developed in the 70s and 80s were introduced both abroad and in Denmark after trial runs in clinical series. Randomised studies of the relevance of the technologies in comparison to one another or to traditional methods of treatment were rarely conducted. The num- 16 FIGURE 6 FIGURE 7 The Technology The Patient Area of application ◆ What are the indications? ◆ Is there consensus on the indication? ◆ How many patients are involved? ◆ What are the relevant alternatives? ◆ Is the technology a substitute or supplement to existing technologies? Effectiveness ◆ Is there a documented effect? ◆ Is it more effective than the alternatives? ◆ Can the documented effect be attained in daily practice? Risk assessment ◆ Are there any undesired effects? ◆ Does the risk bear a reasonable proportional relationship to the gain? Psychological aspects ◆ Does the patient receive an optimal level of information? ◆ Is insecurity created/experienced? ◆ Is discomfort or anxiety created/ experienced? Effect aspects ◆ How are the effects and side-effects perceived? Social aspects ◆ Will it affect daily life? ◆ Will it affect employment capacity? Ethical aspects ◆ Is the technology acceptable to the individual patient? ◆ Is it acceptable to society? ◆ Are there special ethical issues? FIGURE 8 FIGURE 9 The Organisation The Economy Structure ◆ Should the technology be centralised to a single or a few centres? ◆ Is decentralisation possible? ◆ Will it affect the division of work between hospital and primary healthcare? ◆ Will new specialised functions emerge? ◆ Will it change visitation criteria? Staff ◆ Will it affect work routines? ◆ Will it affect the division of work among professional groups? ◆ Is supplemental/developmental staff training needed? ◆ Are there any consequences for the staff in terms of employment? Environment ◆ Is there an environmental risk within the workplace? ◆ Is there a risk to the external environment? Social and health economic appraisal ◆ What are the costs and benefits for society? ◆ In comparison to the alternatives, does the gain justify the effort? ◆ Is there a demonstrable health gain? Operational economic appraisal ◆ What are the investment and operational costs? ◆ Are there any possible cost-savings or income generation? ◆ Who is the immediate purchaser? ◆ What accounts are affected? ◆ Are there any economic consequences for the patient? 17 ber of new treatments has been particularly high for gallstone complications (acute cholecystitis and bile duct stones). Several reports have cast doubt on the benefit of introducing laparoscopic cholecystectomy, which is expensive, may have lowered the threshold for operation and may have increased the number of serious complications during biliary tract surgery194, 489. In addition, a number of randomised surveys have raised doubts about the value of ERCP in relation to open surgery as treatment of stones in the bile duct394, 557, 737, 748. Under these circumstances, the author, in collaboration with National Institute of Public Health (NIPH) and the Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment, found it relevant to perform a health technology assessment of the whole gallstone field. On the basis of this HTA report, national guidelines (reference programmes) can be developed for diagnostics, prevention and treatment of gallstones. 18 2. Material and methods 2.1 T HE N ATIONAL H OSPITAL D ISCHARGE R EGISTER Each person living in Denmark has a unique 10-digit person number, which follows him throughout life. The person number is used for all registrations in Danish registers, which makes linkage across time and registers highly accurate. 2.1.1. Courses of treatment Data from the National Hospital Discharge Register was used to acquire an overall impression of developments in the treatment of patients with gallstones in Denmark in the period 1978-95. A total of 99,803 hospital admissions were identified, including 87,007 patients of relevance to this report (see enclosure 2). As a rule, a patient’s treatment for gallstones is completed during a single stay in hospital, but sometimes a patient is admitted several times during the same course of his or her treatment, partly for diagnostic examinations (ERCP), partly because the treatment is complicated and complications arise during it. In order to identify these courses of treatment, all hospital admissions for biliary tract treatment listed under the same patients person number with less than a year between discharge date and subsequent admission date have been considered as a single course of treatment. A single patient may have undergone several courses of treatment. For the 87,007 patients, 90,582 courses of treatment were identified - 96.3% of the patients underwent only a single course of treatment, 3.2% underwent two, while 0.4% underwent three or more. The treatments have been divided into a number of clinically relevant groups according to the index admission that refers to the primary treatment (the index treatment). This included the following index admissions (table 1). Simple cholecystectomy These patients, who make up the vast majority of cases, had their gallbladders removed because of pains or infection. The majority of these patients were admitted once only. 19 Cholecystectomy plus endoscopic bile duct treatment during the same stay in hospital These patients had the gallbladder as well as stone from the bile ducts removed during the first course of treatment or experienced complications during the primary cholecystectomy that were treated endoscopically during the same stay in hospital. Cholecystectomy plus open bile duct surgery during the same stay in hospital Most of the patients in this group had their gallbladder and stones in the bile duct removed. The group also includes patients whose choledochus was examined in greater detail during the operation (explorative choledochotomy), or who suffered a lesion of the choledochus that was diagnosed and treated during the same stay in hospital. Cholecystectomy with biliodigestive anastomosis This group consists mainly of patients with stones in both the gallbladder and the bile duct and whose bile duct was altered to such an extent that the surgeon deemed it necessary to perform an anastomosis of the bile duct and intestines. The group may also contain patients who suffer lesions to the bile ducts during simple cholecystectomy. Endoscopic bile duct treatment without simultaneous cholecystectomy This group consists mainly of patients who only have stones removed from the bile ducts. Occasionally, a simple cholecystectomy is performed during a later admission. Open bile duct surgery without simultaneous cholecystectomy This group consists mainly of patients who only have stones removed from the bile ducts and who have previously had their gallbladder removed. Biliodigestive anastomosis without simultaneous cholecystectomy This group consists of patients whose bile ducts are altered to such an extent that the surgeon deemed it necessary to perform an anastomosis of the bile duct and intestines. The majority of these patients have a biliary tract diagnosis. 20 Other treatment These courses of treatment represent rare procedures or wrong codes, as a result of which the patient cannot be categorised in any of the groups listed above. Diagnostic ERCP These courses of treatment represent patients whose bile duct is examined but not treated immediately or subsequently. These are exploratory procedures in cases where disease of the liver, pancreas or biliary tracts is suspected. However, as no therapeutic operation is performed, they seldom represent patients with gallstones. The group is included to show how widespread the use of this technology is, even though it is not without risk. (Please refer to 7.3.2). Each course of treatment can be divided according to whether the index admission is: ❖ the only admission to hospital during the course of treatment, ❖ preceded or followed by an admission for a diagnostic procedure (ERCP) ❖ followed by an admission for a cholecystectomy (only for some courses of treatment) ❖ followed by one or more admissions for endoscopic or open surgery on the bile duct within a year. The latter category is assumed to include patients whose course of treatment is complicated, either because of complications to the biliary tract disease (e.g. stones in the bile ducts) or because of procedure-related complications during the index treatment. All courses of treatment are mutually exclusive and exhaustive – in other words, each course of treatment can be placed in one and only one category. To assess the total number of hospital admissions accounted for by gallstone diseases, all admissions for a period of three months before and one year after the index admission (regardless of the nature of the treatment) were identified in the National Hospital Discharge Register. Of the 90,582 courses of treatment, 12,262 only involved diagnostic ERCP without treatment of the biliary tracts. Table 1 breaks down the remaining 78,320 courses of treatment. In-depth details of how the data from the National Hospital Discharge Register was processed can be found in enclosure 2. 21 TABLE 1 Breakdown of 78,320 courses of treatment from 1978-95 The treatment during the index admission Admissions for biliary tract treatment after the index admission None Diagnostic ERCPa Cholecystectomy n n n 52,132 1,535 469 with endoscopic treatment 430 43 49 0.7 (522) with open bile duct surgery 8,810 329 280 12.0 (9,419) with biliodigestive anastomosis 1,414 104 25 2.0 (1,543) Bile duct treatment n Cholecystectomy Only procedure Total % (N) 83.8 Bile duct treatment without cholecystectomy 69.1 (54,136) 12.7 Endoscopic 5,509 941 394 9.7 open surgery 969 71 46 1.4 (1,086) 1,140 160 18 1.7 (1,318) with biliodigestive anastomosis 764 Other procedures (7,608) 3.4 Exploration of gallbladder 1,244 21 22 1.6 other 1,155 95 67 84 1.8 Total 72,803 3,278 852 1,387 (1,287) (1,401) (78,320) a: ERCP either before or after the index admission. 2.1.2 The validity of the National Hospital Discharge Register As far as biliary tract treatments are concerned, the National Hospital Discharge Register has provided national data throughout the relevant period except 1978 and 1979 when St. Joseph’s Hospital in Copenhagen was not included. Thus, there is a minor level of underreporting (<2%) in the first two years. To validate the data in the National Hospital Discharge Register (enclosure 2), a random sample was extracted including the years 1979, 1985 and 1993 of approx. 10% of the courses of treatment and approx. 2% of all patients with a biliary tract diagnosis who were admitted to surgical departments, but who were not treated according to the register. All courses of treatment involving more than one admission to hospital for biliary tract procedures were also extracted. In total, 3,570 commentaries were requisitioned from hospitals around the country. As we go to press, 71% of the commentaries have been received and reviewed to make a provisional assessment. The most significant results are: ❖ 22 96% of the courses of treatment were classified correctly. In the remaining 4% of cases, patients had a different form of biliary tract treatment than the one regi- stered in the National Hospital Discharge Register. No cases were identified in which the patient’s biliary tracts were not treated. ❖ 99% of admissions recorded in the National Hospital Discharge Register with simple cholecystectomy as index treatment (n=682) were classified correctly. The final 1% consists of patients who had other operations performed on the bile ducts as well as cholecystectomy. No cases were identified of patients who did not have a cholecystectomy. ❖ All the entries in the National Hospital Discharge Register recorded as cholecystectomy combined with one or another form of bile duct treatment (n=122) were found to be classified correctly. ❖ 95% of the courses of treatment involving endoscopic bile duct treatment but not cholecystectomy (n=102) were classified correctly. In the remaining 5% of cases, diagnostic ERCP was performed but not endoscopic bile duct treatment (1%), or tubulation of the bile duct without sphincterotomy (4%). ❖ 84% of the courses of treatment classified in the National Hospital Discharge Register as exclusively diagnostic ERCP were classified correctly, with a clear trend towards poorer validity over the years. In 1979, 96% of the classifications were correct, but only 80% in 1993. Among those wrongly classified, 36% of the commentaries contain no information about diagnostics or treatment of the biliary tracts, while the rest had endoscopic treatment (sphincterotomy or tubulation of the bile ducts). None of them had a cholecystectomy or an open operation on the bile ducts. ❖ 91% of hospital admissions with a gallstone diagnosis but no treatment code were classified correctly. The level of accuracy diminishes over the years, since 94% were correct for the first two years, but only 82% correct in 1993. Among those wrongly classified, 25% had diagnostic ERCP, while the rest had endoscopic treatment (sphincterotomy or tubulation) of the biliary tracts. None had the gallbladder removed or open surgery of the biliary tracts. It can be concluded that the data in the National Hospital Discharge Register forms a particularly suitable basis for the assessment of how often cholecystectomy and open bile duct surgery are performed. As regard therapeutic ERCP the underreporting is big. The scale of underreporting can be calculated on the basis of the proportion of wrongly classified therapeutic ERCP in the groups where they were observed (endoscopic procedure without cholecystectomy, diagnostic ERCP and stays in hospital without any treatment of the biliary tract) and comparing this 23 proportion with the response rate and total number of admissions registered in the National Hospital Discharge Register in the relevant categories. This suggests an underreporting of therapeutic ERCP levels amounting to 75% in 1979, 42% in 1985 and 23% in 1993. The estimates for 1979 and 1985 were based on very small numbers (since few sphincterotomies were performed) and, as such, are subject to a certain degree of uncertainty. The relatively lower level of underreporting in 1993 than in 1985 and 1979 has to be compared with the much higher number of sphincterotomies in 1993 (n=1091) than in 1985 (n=233) and 1979 (n=63). As a result of this, the level of underreporting has a greater impact in 1993 than in the other two years in question. The validation survey is badly suited to assessing the extent to which diagnostic ERCP is underreported or overreported, since the majority of diagnostic ERCP is exploratory and only remains diagnostic if the patient has nothing wrong with his or her biliary tract. A survey of this correlation would require an extract of admissions classified as neither biliary tract treatment nor a biliary tract diagnosis. In other words, to find admissions for ERCP not registered in the National Discharge Register would require an extract of several thousands additional commentaries. However, it can be surmised that the pattern of reporting will be the same as for therapeutic ERCP since both procedures are registered by the same staff. Once the remaining commentaries have been received, a total analysis of the validation will be sent to the Weekly Journal of the Danish Medical Association for potential publication. 2.2 L ITERATURE To identify what evidence exists for the best treatment of the different types of gallstone disorders, an in-depth study was conducted of the scientific literature in the field. So much literature now exists that it was necessary to lay down principles for the method in which they were studied in order to avoid misinterpretations. Thus, it is important that all articles regarding a given subject are identified and assessed according to fixed criteria. This work compares with a scientific survey. Criteria for selection and assessment of articles and research results are listed in appendix 3. The following themes have been studied systematically: 24 ❖ Natural history of gallstone disorders ❖ Symptoms of stones in the gallbladder ❖ Cholecystectomy rates since 1978 ❖ Comparisons of different technologies for elective treatment of stones in the gallbladder ❖ Randomised surveys comparing different technologies for the treatment of stones in the bile ducts. 2.3 D ANISH POPULATION STUDIES At the Copenhagen County Centre of Preventative Medicine, Glostrup University Hospital, the occurrence of gallstones in the Danish population has been studied since 1982. These epidemiological data include random samples from the population in the western area of Copenhagen County. A total of 5,936 people have undergone ultrasound scanning for gallstones. Many of them have been examined three times over a ten-year period. The cohorts have been linked to the National Hospital Discharge Register and the Civil Registration System and constitute a major source of data for a more in-depth study of the natural history of gallstones and their importance in terms of general morbidity and mortality. A certain amount of unpublished data from these studies has been used in this report and marked with a specific reference371. 2.4 S TAFF AND STAFF TIME IN THE TREATMENT OF GALLSTONE PATIENTS IN D ENMARK In 1997, a questionnaire was sent out to all the surgical departments in the country and to specially selected medical gastroenterological departments regarding the number of staff and the amount of staff time spent on biliary tract operations and on diagnostic and therapeutic ERCP. Recipients were not sent reminder letters. The response rates were 67% for the surgical departments and 100% for the medical gastroenterological departments. The results of this survey are included in enclosure 5. 2.5 T HE N ATIONAL R EGISTER FOR L APAROSCOPIC C HOLECYSTECTOMY The National Register for Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy is a clinical database kept by Dansk Kirurgisk Selskab (Danish Society of Surgeons). It registers all the laparoscopic cholecystectomies performed in Denmark since 1991. The database contains information about patients who have had a laparoscopic cholecystectomy. At an early stage of the work on this report, we contacted the National Register for Laparoscopic Cholecystectomy to find out whether we could work closely together. The National 25 Register covers a selected section of the patient population and does not contain data from before 1991. Publications from the Register are referred to in a number of situations in this report. 2.6 A NALYSES The analyses of data from the National Hospital Discharge Register cover the period 1978-95. In several tables and figures, this 18-year period has been divided up into four sub-sections: i.e. 1978-83, 1984-87, 1988-91 and 1992-95. This was done in order to provide sufficient material for the analyses and to take into account technological progress. Period one represents a stable period during which gallstone treatment did not change significantly, while the two middle periods cover the spread of ultrasonic drainage in the treatment of acute cholecystitis and ERCP. The final period represents the period when laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced in the majority of departments in Denmark. Calculation of rates in relation to period, gender and age The population of Denmark rose from 4,937,579 (1 January 1978) to 5,251,027 (1 January 1996). The proportion of elderly citizens also rose during this period. In order to compare developments in the various treatments, the number of patients has been calculated per 100,000 and standardised in terms of age in relation to the 1995 population. Gender and age-specific operation rates have been calculated for each of the four periods. Changes in operation rates for age groups and periods have been analysed more closely with the help of a statistical model described in enclosure 4. The model takes into account that the development in operation rates according to age is different for men and women and can also vary between the four time periods. Regional variations Sub-division into the four periods of time was used when estimating regional variations. Population-based operation rates were calculated for geographic areas roughly corresponding to a given hospital for each period. These hospital admission area was defined by studying which hospital carried out the majority of the operations in question in any given municipality. Grouping municipalities mainly served by the same hospital constitutes a single hospital admission area. If a hospital closed during any of the periods, it was grouped together with the hospital that took over the majority of patients. The municipalities of Copenhagen and Frederiks- 26 berg were considered a single admission area. A statistical model (Poisson) was used to estimate the age-standardised rates. Since the admission areas vary in size and the statistical uncertainty varies accordingly, a so-called ‘random effect model’ was used to align operation rates based on small numbers with the national average. The relative differences in the frequencies of operations described in the report are thus cautious estimates of the regional variation. This has proven to be an acceptable method of approximation109. The statistical method is described in more depth in enclosure 4. Mortality and morbidity Logistic regression analysis was used to calculate mortality and morbidity. Tests were run to identify significant interactions. The results are given as odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence limits. OR stipulates the relative difference in morbidity and mortality between the groups being compared. 27 3. Occurrence, natural history and prevention 3.1 G ALLSTONE DISORDERS IN THE D ANISH POPULATION Gallstones are common in the Danish population. By comparing two screening surveys in Denmark (1982-84365, 375 and 1991371, respectively) a fall of 11% was detected in gallstone disorders (both people with gallstones and people who had a cholecystectomy) (table 2). The fall is insignificant but corresponds to the fall observed in Denmark since World War II770, 771. The proportion of people with gallstone disorders who undergo a cholecystectomy also fell insignificantly during the period (table 2), corresponding to the falling cholecystectomy rate in the country until 1991 (see section 5.1). TABLE 2 Age-standardised occurrence of gallstone disorders (both people with gallstones and those who had a cholecystectomy) and the proportion who have been cholecystectomised in a random cross-section of the Danish population (N=5,936) resident in the Western part of Copenhagen County. Prevalence of gallstone disorders a 1982-84 % Men 1991 % OR (95% c.l.)c 1991 >< 1982-4 The proportion who have a cholecystectomy b 1982-84 % 1991 % OR (95% c.l.)c 1991 >< 1982-4 7.2 6.5 0.91 (0.66-1.25) 23.3 22.2 1.07 (0.53-2.17) Women 13.7 12.0 0.88 (0.69-1.13) 38.7 31.9 0.66 (0.41-1.06) Total 10.4 9.2 0.89 (0.73-1.08) 33.2 28.4 0.77 (0.52-1.14) a: The presence of gallstones was detected by ultrasound scan 365, 371, 375. b: Among those with gallstone disorders. c: Standardised for age (and gender). On the basis of the above-mentioned cohort studies from Copenhagen County Centre of Preventative Medicine, Glostrup University Hospital371, 373 (see section 3.2) and information from Statistics Denmark regarding the age and gender composition of the Danish population, it was estimated that approx. 450,000 people suffered from gallstone disorders in 1991, and that of those approx. one third had a cholecystectomy. The rest (approx. 300,000) had stones in the gallbladder. Since gallstones are usually asymptomatic, practically none of these people will be aware of their gallstones368. 28 3.2 T HE NATURAL HISTORY OF PEOPLE WITH UNTREATED GALLSTONES As stated, some people with gallstones progress through all the phases from an asymptomatic condition, to symptoms, to complications. Not many publications exist about the natural history of gallstones, since most people have their stones diagnosed and treated. Thus, the available literature consists mainly of selected patient cohorts (table 3). Even though there may be an identifiable group with asymptomatic stones within these cohorts, there has probably been a reason why the patients had their gallbladders examined, so it is open to question how asymptomatic they really were. Only three works represent definitive asymptomatic cases, identified by screening54, 220, 289 and they reveal complication rates of 0.2-0.8% per annum. The other studies that describe patients as asymptomatic show complications rates of 0.3-1.2% per annum. Patients with symptomatic stones have complications rates of 0.7-2.0% per annum. The participants in a Danish cohort survey in 1982-84 with a five-year follow-up period354, 371 were divided into those who knew they had gallstones (symptomatic and previous complications), those who did not know they had gallstones (asymptomatic) and those who generated stones during the five-year period. The annual complications rates were 4%, 0.4% and 0%, respectively. The cohorts identified from the literature include a total of some 3,000 gallstone patients. A combination of the relatively small number and the insufficient information about the patients from base-line, makes it difficult to identify those particularly susceptible to complications. However, women tend to develop complications more often than men. Gallbladder cancer was revealed in a total of 10 patients in these cohorts – corresponding to a 0.3% risk over a period of up to 30 years, which is negligible. Thus, the literature shows that the natural history of stones in the gallbladder is relatively uneventful. A decision analysis630 also confirms that there is no great benefit – as far as survival is concerned – of operating on a patient with gallstones after the first pains. 29 TABLE 3 Follow-up of patient cohorts with stones in the gallbladder. Author Country Year a N Follow-up b Complications Asymptomatic gallstones Comfort152 USA 1925-34 112 15 years 4.5% (0.3%/year) Gracie c, 289 USA 1956-69 123 11 years 2.4% (0.2%/year) McSherry508 USA - 135 5 years 3.0 % (0.6%/year) Wolpers854 Germany 1950-80 145 13.5 years 16.7% (1.2%/year) Friedmand d, 251 USA 1967-73 123 20 years Cucchiaro164 USA 1982-83 125 5 years 1.6% (0.3%/year) delFaveroe, 220 Italy 1984-85 47 5 years 4.2% (0.8%/year) Attilic, 54 Italy 1980 118 10 years 3.0% (0.3%/year) 1936-50 296 13 years about 25% (1.9%/year) - 305 2 years 1.3% (0.7%/year) USA 1930-45 116 221⁄2 years Sweden 1951-52 781 11 years 18% (1.6%/year) 10% (1.7%/year) 6.5% (0.7%/year) (1%/year) Both asymptomatic and symptomatic gallstones Lund469 Denmark Thistle776 USA Symptomatic gallstones Ralston629 Wenckert 831 McSherry508 USA - 556 6 years Friedmand d, 251 USA 1967-73 298 25 years Attilic, 54 Italy 1980 33 10 years (2%/year) (1%/year) A further seven surveys were identified but the information was either insufficient 93, 564, 608, 791, 853 or written in a language not covered by this report 285, 639. a: The period of time during which the cohort was formed. b: Attempts have been made to estimate a median follow-up time. c: Healthy people screened for gallstones. d: This study is the only one that used a correct method of analysis (life-table analyses), in which account is taken of the fact that not all patients are observed for the same length of time. The consequence of not using the correct method is that the frequency of complications is underestimated. e: Diabetes patients screened for gallstones. 3.3 P REVENTION OF GALLSTONES 3.3.1 Primary prevention Primary prevention removes or modifies the risk factors associated with gallstone formation in such a way that stones do not form. The modifiable risk factors are obesity42, 62, 369, smoking369, 375, lack of exercise371 plus a low-fibre diet, rich in saturated fats611, 784. These are the same lifestyle factors involved in the prevention of cardiovascular diseases, a topical priority in Denmark. No studies have attempted to document the extent to which changes in these lifestyle factors lead to a reduction in the incidence of gallstones. Primary prevention has been applied to overweight people who planned a comprehensive weight loss. They run a particularly high risk of de- 30 veloping gallstones, since some of the excess cholesterol from the weight loss is secreted through the bile331. In theory, adjuvant bile salt therapy ought to reduce the risk of gallstone formation. Two randomised surveys of this subject were found. In one of them,709 the patients participated (N=1,004) in a low calorie weight reduction programme, while the patients (N=233) in the other study760 underwent operations on the stomach (gastric bypass) to reduce the intake of food. Both studies show that a daily dosage of 600 mg ursodeoxycholic acid during the weight reduction period reduced gallstone lithiasis to 2% compared with 28-32% in the placebo group. However, there are no follow-up studies to cast light upon the clinical significance of this difference in gallstone formation. Spontaneous dissolution of gallstones after weight loss was identified in other studies451. By ensuring a moderate weight loss (<1.5 kg/per week), the risk of gallstone formation should be reduced827. However, this has not been tested in a randomised design. Patients subjected to long periods of parenteral alimentation run a high risk of forming gallstones because of lack of gallbladder contraction487. A single randomised study revealed that a daily dosage of cholecystokinin (a hormone that causes contraction of the gallbladder) prevents the preliminary stages of gallstone formation during parenteral alimentation715. 3.3.2 Secondary prevention Secondary prevention identifies and removes the gallstones before symptoms or complications develop. In the 60s, several authorities279, 469 advocated prophylactic cholecystectomy - in other words cholecystectomy for people with gallstones but without characteristic symptoms. The argument was that performing a cholecystectomy while the patient is young and healthy and has not yet developed complications to the gallstone disorders, will cause lower morbidity and mortality than performing an operation when the person is older, has developed other illnesses and has a more complicated biliary tract disease. Since a lot of stones remain asymptomatic, this approach would lead to a high proportion of superfluous cholecystectomies. A single study revealed that greater reluctance to perform cholecystectomy lead to an increased complication rate of 22%, increased morbidity, but unchanged mortality187. The question is whether a lot of people should undergo surgical procedures to lower the postoperative morbidity in the few. Decision analyses based on the literature reveal for both traditional open cholecystectomy and laparoscopic cholecystectomy222, 252, 631 that prophylactic cholecystectomy leads to a slight increase 31 in mortality. Because of these results, prophylactic cholecystectomy is not recommended in the international recommendations44, 45, 46. No articles were found that describe systematic attempts at secondary prevention using medical dissolution of gallstones, even though medical treatment probably has the highest success rate at the point in time when the stones have just formed and have not yet calcified. A secondary prophylaxis would require screening of sections of the population for gallstones, which would be very expensive331. Selective screening of high-risk groups may be justifiable; e.g. screening of pregnant women. Pregnancy seems to be the largest single risk factor in gallstone formation, and in some studies the gender difference in the incidence of gallstones is explained exclusively by pregnancy366, 375, which means that up to half of gallstones in women can be ascribed to pregnancy. One single large study792 found that 2% formed stones during pregnancy, but that some of these stones may disappear again after the birth802. No studies have assessed the possibility of screening and subsequent ESWL treatment right after the birth and bile salts once breast feeding has stopped. The method might prove cost-efficient if it halves the number of women operated on at a later date. 32 4. Treatment of patients with benign biliary tract disorders in Denmark 1978-95 This chapter looks at all 78,320 courses of treatment for biliary tract disorders in Denmark in the period 1978-95 (figure 10) and gives an overall picture of the volume of treatment. Diagnostic ERCP (N=12,262) is discussed separately. The subsequent chapters (5-8) describe the various main areas within biliary tract treatment. Treatment of biliary tract disorders The 78,320 courses of treatment correspond to 4,351 annual treatments in Denmark, and approx. 85% of these included a cholecystectomy. The number did not remain constant throughout the period. From a relatively high rate for women (figure 10) in 1978 there was a fall of 30% (2.3% per annum) until 1991, after which the rate rose by 25% (6.3% per annum). The corresponding figure for men (figure 10) showed a fall of 21% (1.6% per annum) from 1978 to 1991 followed by a rise of 22% (5.5% per annum). FIGURE 10 All operations with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 150 125 100 75 50 25 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men 33 Treatment for biliary tract disorders is rare in females under age 10-15 years. The number of treatments rises until 30, interrupted by a minor fall until 40, only to rise again after 40 (figure 11). The age distribution changed during the period studied. In the first three sub-periods (until 1991), more or less the same number of young women were treated, whereas the number of women over 40 undergoing treatment declined over the years. During the final sub-period (1992-95), there was a significant rise among all age groups except 70+, in which the number of treatments remained the same as the previous periods. In men, gallstone treatment starts a bit later than in women (age 20-25 years) but there is no break in the age curve (figure 12), only an exponential rise with age. As far as the tendency in the different sub-periods is concerned, the pattern is the same as for women. While the number of gallstone treatment shows a tendency to recede in older women, it continues to rise in men. FIGURE 11 All operations with biliary tract diagnosis - women Rate per 100,000 320 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 34 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 1992-1995 80 FIGURE 12 All operations with biliary tract diagnosis - men Rate per 100,000 320 280 240 200 160 120 80 40 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 80 1992-1995 Figures 13-20 reveal the regional differences for all courses of treatment. The dark red areas denote high operation rates, while dark green areas denote low operation rates. A total of 10% of the areas are significantly above, and 12% significantly below, the average for women, while the corresponding figures for men are 6% and 6%. The greatest differences appear to be during the first and last sub-periods. The relative difference between the area with the highest and the lowest operation rate in the four sub-periods was 1.9, 1.5, 1.7 and 2.2 for women, which means that twice as many women were treated in one area as in another after account has been taken of random variation and differences in age distribution between the areas. The corresponding figures for men were 2.0, 1.8, 2.0 and 2.2. 35 FIGURE 13 All operations on biliary tracts – women, 1978-1983 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.72 max = 1.35 36 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 14 All operations on biliary tracts – women, 1984-1987 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.83 max = 1.22 37 FIGURE 15 All operations on biliary tracts – women, 1988-1991 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.79 max = 1.33 38 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 16 All operations on biliary tracts – women, 1992-1995 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.65 max = 1.42 39 FIGURE 17 All operation on biliary tracts – men, 1978-1983 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.70 max = 1.38 40 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 18 All operation on biliary tracts – men, 1984-1987 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.73 max = 1.29 41 FIGURE 19 All operation on biliary tracts – men, 1988-1991 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.72 max = 1.42 42 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 20 All operation on biliary tracts – men, 1992-1995 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.65 max = 1.43 43 Mortality The 30-day mortality rates exhibit a minor fall in the period 1978-95 if all operations are considered (figure 21). However, the curves do reveal some variation. The rates are standardised for age and gender. To assess the changes in mortality in greater depth and take into account differences in other forms of ill-health (co-morbidity), the four sub-periods were compared by means of logistic regression analysis (table 4). These analyses showed a tendency for mortality to rise among acute admissions over the years, while in a single period (1988-91) there was a significant fall in mortality among the elective admissions. No international literature was found which analyses mortality rates associated with all biliary tract procedures. TABLE 4 The 30-day mortality a after operation on biliary tracts in relation to diagnosis and period of time in Denmark, 1978-95. Only courses involving biliary tract diagnoses have been included and the analyses (multiple logistic regression analyses) take into account age, gender and co-morbidity. All operations on biliary tracts Elective admission Acute admission Total OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) 1978-1983 1.00 1.00 1.00 1984-1987 0.92 (0.69-1.22) 1.22 (1.03-1.44) 1.11 (0.96-1.28) 1988-1991 0.68 (0.47-0.97) 1.25 (1.05-1.49) 1.08 (0.93-1.26) 1992-1995 0.75 (0.52-1.07) 1.18 (0.98-1.42) 1.04 (0.88-1.22) Period a: Mortality is measured from the date of admission, as the actual date of operation is not stipulated in the National Hospital Discharge Register Diagnostic ERCP The 12,262 admissions correspond to 681 patients per annum undergoing diagnostic ERCP not followed by treatment of the biliary tracts. There is a significant change during the period of 300% for women and 250% for men (figure 22). The rise is particularly pronounced after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The findings correspond to international literature232, 698. Since diagnostic ERCP does not usually lead to a gallstone diagnosis, the rise must be due to the fact that this technology is being used increasingly often to examine patients suspected of having biliary tract disorders. 44 FIGURE 21 Mortality rates standardised for gender and age Number per 1,000 50 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Acute Total Elective FIGURE 22 ERCP Rate per 100,000 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men 45 Conclusion It can be concluded that the total number of treatments for biliary tract disorders in Denmark fell during the 80s but rose again after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Due to the underreporting of endoscopic bile duct surgery, it can only be presumed that the rise after 1991 has been even more pronounced than the curves suggest. The regional variations, which reflect differences in ill-health and patient behaviour as well as lack of consensus about examination and treatment indication, show a moderate variation pattern. The overall mortality showed no significant difference during the time periods with a tendency towards decreasing mortality among patients admitted electively and increasing mortality in patients admitted acutely. The use of diagnostic ERCP rose steadily during the whole period, more rapidly after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. 46 5. Treatment of patients with non-complicated gallbladder stones 5.1 D EVELOPMENTS IN D ENMARK , 1978-95 5.1.1 The frequency of simple cholecystectomy The treatment rate for simple cholecystectomy (including patients with acute cholecystitis) has changed noticeably during the period 1978-95 (figure 23). A relatively constant operation rate for women in the early years was followed by a fall of 21% (3% per annum) from 1984 to 1991 and a rise of 27% (9% per annum) to 1994. For men, a corresponding fall of 26% (3.7% per annum) was recorded from 1984 to 1991, followed by a rise of 18% (4.5% per annum) until 1995. FIGURE 23 Simple cholecystectomy - with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 110 100 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men The treatment rates for simple elective cholecystectomy (figure 24) reveal more pronounced variations than the rates for all simple cholecystec- 47 tomies (figure 23). The fall for women from 1984 to 1991 was 24% (3.4% per annum) and the subsequent rise until 1994 was 44% (14.7% per annum). For men, a corresponding fall of 35% (5% per annum) from 1984 to 1991 was followed by a rise of 21% (5.3% per annum) until 1995. FIGURE 24 Simple cholecystectomy - without acute cholecystitis - with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men The cholecystectomy rate for women (including operation for acute cholecystitis) in different age groups (figure 25) fell during the first three subperiods for the over-40s and rose during the final sub-period for the 4070s. The most prominent feature in the younger groups was a steep rise after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy – a rise of almost 50%. All the curves break, with the cholecystectomy rate rising until 30, falling slightly until 40 and then rising again. This break is particularly pronounced in the final sub-period. The break in the curve is equally pronounced all over the country. There is no break in the age curve for men (figure 26). It continues to rise with age. The variation over the four subperiods was the same as for women. 48 FIGURE 25 Simple cholecystectomy - women, with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 20 30 40 1984-1987 50 60 70 80 1992-1995 1988-1991 FIGURE 26 Simple cholecystectomy - men, with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 80 1992-1995 Discussion The fall in the cholecystectomy rate from 1983-91 corresponds with most of the observations from Europe and USA128, 186, 187, 417, 426, 510, 540, 605, 648 apart 49 from one single study745 that revealed no change. The fall in the cholecystectomy rate until the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy was probably due to the increasing use of new technologies instead of traditional open cholecystectomy, e.g. ESWL and bile salts, ultrasound drainage of the gallbladder in the event of acute cholecystitis and percutaneous dissolution of gallstones. There was probably a minor fall in the incidence of gallstones as well (see section 3.1). The rise in the cholecystectomy rate after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy followed the international pattern. A systematic literature search identified six studies of cholecystectomy rates covering well-defined regions (even whole countries) that uses standardisation in relation to the size of the population, age and gender (table 5). Results from individual hospitals667, 682, 746 were not included since the size of the patient base can change. To ensure comparability with the other studies, the genders have been mixed and all cholecystectomies (regardless of simultaneous bile duct surgery) included in the Danish figures in the table. The data reveals that the rise in the Danish cholecystectomy rate is greater than in Scotland and than in one of the American studies, but also far smaller than in two other areas in the USA. Other studies149, 426 show in accordance with this study that the rise in the cholecystectomy rate was particularly pronounced among young women. TABLE 5 Changes in the cholecystectomy rate (per 1,000 people) after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Author 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 Rise Legoretta438 Cobb146 3.87 Steiner745 1.65 213 Escarce Cohen 1.65 3.4 1.68 3.5 1.37 1.35 1.59a 2.01 1.68 1.69 1.84a 2.16 3.5 149 3.3 a 3.6 a Country 2.15 59.3% USA 7.22 86.5% USAb, c 2.17 28.4% USA 4.1 4.4 4.2 33.3% USA; >64 år c 18.8% USA 2.75 2.82 3.01 3.25 3.04 Lam426 0.90 0.91 0.89 0.88 0.86 0.85a 0.80 0.93 1.03 This study d 0.60 0.58 0.59 0.57 0.54 0.53 0.53a 0.58 0.66 19.8% The whole of Scotland 0.67 26.4% The whole of Denmark All studies covered an average of more than 900 cholecystectomies per annum. The major difference in the cholecystectomy rates between USA on the one hand and Scotland and Denmark on the other is due to a higher prevalence of gallstones in the USA (section 1.1). a: States the year in which laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced. b: The exact periods of time are 01.07.84-30.06.85 and 01.07.91-30.06.92. Laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced between the two periods c: Only patients insured by Medi Care. Thus, the base population is variable and theoretically there could have been a larger increase in patient numbers after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, which would lead to over-estimating. d: Includes all cholecystectomies – including patients who also received treatment of the bile duc. 50 A series of American and Australian reports showed the rise in the number of cholecystectomies without taking into account any changes in the age and gender composition of the total population3, 206, 232, 554, 577, 658, 660. These rises vary from 28% to 39.6%, but since the population in the areas in question must be expected to have grown older, the estimates will be slightly too high. In addition to the present study, and the Scottish study426, two other national studies have been conducted into changes in cholecystectomy rates. The cholecystectomy rates have, however, not been standardised, so the statistical rises of 24% in Australia489 and 17% in Canada489 are presumably slightly too high. The cause of the rise in the cholecystectomy rate after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy is not known, but is presumed to be due to a lower threshold for treatment. One article reported that an informal survey of 19 gastroenterologists revealed that 17 had modified the indications for cholecystectomy578. The lower of the high points in the cholecystectomy rate around 30 years for women has not been described in the literature before. It may be due to gallstones formed during pregnancy. Ultrasound scanning is frequent during pregnancies, and as a result, asymptomatic gallstones may be discovered more frequently in pregnant women because it is difficult to avoid the gallbladder when conducting an ultrasound examination of the abdomen. Conclusion The cholecystectomy rate in Denmark and abroad fell throughout the 80s. After the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, the cholecystectomy rate rose noticeably. The rise in Denmark was greater than in Scotland, Canada and Australia, but less than in certain areas of USA. 5.1.2 Regional variations in Denmark Regional variations for simple cholecystectomy (including acute cholecystitis) in Denmark (figure 27-34) were moderate. Among women 10% of the areas were significantly below and 15% significant above the average. The corresponding figures for men were 3% and 6%. There was a distinct tendency for regional variations to be greatest in the first and last sub-periods. The differences between the areas with the lowest and highest cholecystectomy rates for women during the periods 1978-83, 1984-87, 1988-91 and 199295 were 2.2; 1.6; 1.8 and 2.5, respectively, while the corresponding numbers for men were 2.1; 1.4; 1.7 and 2.1. Thus, taking into account random variation and age differences, more than twice as many people had a cholecystectomy in one area of Denmark during the final sub-period as in another. 51 FIGURE 27 Simple cholecystectomy – women 1978-1983 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.66 max = 1.47 52 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 28 Simple cholecystectomy – women 1984-1987 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.80 max = 1.25 53 FIGURE 29 Simple cholecystectomy – women 1988-1991 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.80 max = 1.47 54 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 30 Simple cholecystectomy – women 1992-1995 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.63 max = 1.59 55 FIGURE 31 Simple cholecystectomy – men 1978-1983 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.71 max = 1.47 56 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 32 Simple cholecystectomy – men 1984-1987 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.83 max = 1.16 57 FIGURE 33 Simple cholecystectomy – men 1988-1991 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 min = 0.80 max = 1.34 58 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 FIGURE 34 Simple cholecystectomy – men 1992-1995 SMR < 0.7 1 - 1.1 0.7 - 0.8 1.1 - 1.2 0.8 - 0.9 1.2 - 1.3 0.9 - 1.0 > 1.3 min = 0.68 max = 1.43 59 Diskussion Regional variations have been described in many countries. Most works stem from the 60s and 70s239, 449, 507, 834, but a few later publications show either the same variation393 or slightly greater variations610 than in Denmark. One Nordic report478 revealed regional variations in cholecystectomy rates in the other Nordic countries corresponding to those in Denmark. The variation may simply reflect variations in gallstone incidence in different regions, which is probably not the case in Denmark367. In Denmark, the differences are probably due to differences in patient behaviour or in definitions of indications for diagnostics and treatment. 5.2 W HICH SYMPTOMS ARE DUE TO STONES IN THE GALLBLADDER ? There is international consensus (see section 3.3.2) that patients should not be treated for stones in the gallbladder until they develop symptoms. Since 30-40% of the population suffer gastrointestinal symptoms382 and up to 20-30% have stones in the gallbladder370, coincidence will often occur. The challenge for clinicians is to find out which symptoms are caused by gallstones and which are not45. This area has been the object of major disagreement over the years, ranging from the extreme view that all gallstones cause symptoms “as long as you interrogate the patient thoroughly “496 to the other extreme view that stones do not cause symptoms until complications set in2. In an attempt to discover which symptoms are due to stones in the gallbladder and, therefore, which symptoms should be included in the indication for cholecystectomy, a thorough study was conducted of articles concerning: ❖ The description of gallstone symptoms in uncontrolled clinical series ❖ Comparison of symptoms in people with and without gallstones: - in populations screened for gallstones - among patients examined for suspected gallstones ❖ Incidence of - and predictors for - continued symptoms after removal of gallstones Excepting articles describing gallstone symptoms in uncontrolled series, the study tried to trace all articles (see however appendix 3) that fulfil the following requirements: a) screening surveys of at least 100 people from random samples of the population; b) consecutive series of at least 100 patients examined for gallstones during well-defined periods and, finally c) 60 articles about persistent pain after cholecystectomy had to cover consecutive series of at least 50 patients in well-defined time periods. Description of gallstone symptoms in uncontrolled clinical series No attempt was made to conduct a systematic literature search of this category, since these studies are unsuitable to identify which pains are specific to stones in the gallbladder. However, some of the older works contain very detailed descriptions of symptoms in patients with gallstones, symptoms which it might be beneficial to compare with findings from newer, controlled series. The traditional gallstone pains are described as very severe - comparable with birth pains249, 295. The pains either start suddenly or reach a climax during a period of 10-60 minutes, after which they remain present and constant for several hours before fading away slowly. The pain is in the top of the stomach or the top right-hand side of the abdomen, often radiates towards the back and/or right shoulder/shoulder blade. Attacks are usually weeks or even years apart. Gallstone patients experience more constant pains than patients with kidney stones 249. Compared with patients who suffer abdominal pains for other reasons, gallstone patients usually suffer pains at night with a tendency for the majority of the attacks to occur at the same time of day643. Comparison of symptoms in people with and without gallstones Seven out of 16 screening studies revealed a significant relationship between gallstone-like pains or pains in the upper abdomen and the incidence of stones in the gallbladder. Twelve of the studies also assessed the relationship between dyspepsia and gallstones, which was significant in two of the studies. The studies are summarised in appendix 3 (table 1). Seven studies were identified in which patients referred to a clinical department or to an X-ray department were asked about their symptoms before the actual examination for gallstone was conducted. Most of the series revealed that patients with gallstones suffer upper abdominal pains more often than those who do not have gallstones, whereas only one study out of six identified a relationship between dyspepsia and gallstones. The studies are summarised in appendix 3 (table 2). Occurrence of persistent symptoms in patients after cholecystectomy If a symptom persists after cholecystectomy, the gallstones or the gallbladder may not have been the cause of the symptoms. Conversely, the fact that symptoms disappear after a cholecystectomy does not necessar- 61 ily mean that the symptoms were caused by the gallstones/gallbladder. A certain level of placebo effect cannot be discounted. Furthermore, abdominal symptoms are not constant in individual patients, but show great variation over time382. In 19 clinical series identified, the incidence of persistent symptoms varied from 6% to 41% (average 22%); though only from 3% to 17% (average 9%), if symptoms had to have the same strength and regularity as before the operation. The only predictors for persistent pains are dyspepsia along with pains70, 468, atypical pains along with typical pains 409, longstanding history of pains70, 742 plus psychic vulnerability or mental illness376, 468. The studies are summarised in appendix 3 (table 3). Discussion Some of the works mentioned above have been collated in a meta-analysis 414, which concluded that there was some sort of interrelationship between gallstones and severe upper abdominal pains. However, none of the surveys were ideal because they did not properly identify symptoms specific to stones in the gallbladder, so it is difficult to reach an unambiguous conclusion. The screening studies constitute snapshots of the general population, so a high incidence of disease was not expected. These surveys do not, therefore, reflect the clinical working day. Studies of groups of patients referred to a clinical department or to an X-ray department may also be an inadequate way of studying gallstone symptoms, as the patients have been pre-selected on the basis of symptoms that suggest bile disease. To a certain extent, clinical series studying persistent pains may identify which symptoms are not associated with gallstones by focusing on patterns of symptoms that most commonly cause persistent pain. However, abdominal symptoms vary greatly382, so the findings are ambiguous. A more definitive answer would be found, if a group of patients with gallstones and upper abdominal pains was randomised for either cholecystectomy or no treatment. Such a survey has been conducted721, but it had major in-built problems in the form of large-scale exclusions (63%) and a high drop-out rate after the randomisation (12-24%). The results of the survey have not yet been published. Whenever scientific studies fail to provide unambiguous answers, there is a tradition of delineating the area at consensus conferences. These conferences have defined gallstone pains as “a relatively strong pain that occurs in attacs, is located in the epigastrium or in the upper right quadrant, lasts 1-5 hours and often wakes the patient during the night”45. Even 62 though the literature search have demonstrated a significant relationship between this pattern of symptoms and the incidence of gallstones, the results can only be used in the clinical working day with the proviso that these pains are also experienced by people without gallstones. In the Danish cohort surveys, 2.7% of the population suffered from attacks of severe pains that lasted for hours in the epigastrium or upper right quadrant, regardless of whether or not they had gallstones368, 371. An Italian study 53 revealed that 5% of Italian men and 8% of women have “gallstone pains” without gallstones. Gallstone pains in the Italian studies were defined as “pains in the epigastrium or upper right quadrant within the last five years. The pains must last more than half an hour and must not be eased by bowel movements/wind”. Conclusions ❖ Hour-long bouts of severe pains in the upper abdomen (the top of the stomach or upper right quadrant) may be associated with gallstones. The pain starts relatively abruptly and occasionally radiates towards the back. This corresponds more or less to the symptoms described in the early literature. These symptoms are relatively rare. The symptoms do, however, also occur in people without gallstones, so it is impossible to define exactly when these symptoms are due to gallstones and when they are not. ❖ Other abdominal pains are probably not due to gallstones. ❖ Dyspepsia is not caused by gallstones (see section 5.4.1; page 85). 5.3 I NDICATION FOR TREATMENT Pains are the main indication for treating stones in the gallbladder. The problems listed above that are associated with identifying symptoms specific to stones in the gallbladder explains why the indication for the treatment of patients with gallstones has always been open to debate. The father of modern cholecystectomy, Langenbuch, is supposed to have said: “In my opinion, cholecystectomy should be used in cases where both patient and doctor have exhausted their patience.” The regional variations in cholecystectomy rates documented in this report reflect the fact that relationships between gallstones and symptoms are open to interpretation, as the individual doctor and patient have different opinions about when a symptom is due to gallstones – it is also possible that they have different levels of patience. The differences in indication should also be considered in a historical and international light: 63 ❖ Historically, treatment has changed. A Danish autopsy study showed that the proportion operated for gallstone disorders rose from 2-3% in 1920 to 40% in 1985 772. ❖ A systematic study of the literature covering screening surveys of random samples of the population, in which the cholecystectomy rate for people with gallstone disorders (both people with gallstones and those who had a cholecystectomy ) was estimated, revealed that the rates vary among men from 5-36% and among women from 5-55%. In other words, in some countries (Norway) only 5% of those who have gallstones are operated on, while in other countries (USA, Italy, Sweden) more than 50% have an operation. In addition, women are treated for gallstones far more often than men. It is unlikely that these pronounced variations can be explained solely by different symptoms. They have to be ascribed to different attitudes – among both patients and doctors – to when a patient should be examined and treated for gallstones. A summary of these studies is included in appendix 3 (table 4). Consensus A number of attempts have been made to reach a consensus about the indication for cholecystectomy. A model with two consensus panels – one consisting of nine surgeons and one consisting of various specialists (surgeons, medical gastroenterologists, internal physicians, general practitioners and radiologists) was developed in the USA720 and later tested in Israel242, 243, 244 and Great Britain699. On the basis of the available literature, a number of patient histories were drawn up regarding gallstone disorders. Each member of the panels had first to assess each patient history themselves, after which the panel attempted to reach an agreement about a treatment indication. In general, the surgical panel was more disposed to find indications for cholecystectomy than the mixed panel. In almost half of the patient histories, agreement could not be reached within the panels699. There was, however, general agreement that people with asymptomatic gallstones or vague symptoms should not undergo a cholecystectomy, whereas people with stones in the gallbladder and one or more attack of gallstone pains should be offered a cholecystectomy. The indication for cholecystectomy fell with increased incidence of co-morbidity in the patient377. These recommendations correspond to international recommendations44, 45, 46. This represents a significant tightening up in relation to the recommendations of earlier consensus panels who tended to agree that operations should be offered to patients with gallstones and dyspepsia (without pains)805. 64 Audit Only one single study700 looked at the extent to which indications for cholecystectomy provided by the above-mentioned consensus are observed in daily life. Information was extracted from journals on 252 patients, who had had a cholecystectomy and the information was compared with the above-mentioned panel consensus 699. The panel consisting of different specialists would have agreed on operation for 41% of cases and no operation for 30%. The corresponding figures for the surgical panel would have been 52% and 2%. In the remaining cases (29% and 46%, respectively) it would not have been possible to reach a consensus. It proved impossible to find publications dealing with audits of gallstone treatment in Denmark. Even though a consensus has been reached about indications for cholecystectomy, it can be difficult to comply with in daily life. One study revealed that if a computer program with recommendations for cholecystectomy was used simultaneous with indication for operation, the recommendations were followed far more often than before the computer programme was used102. Discussion In contrast to medicinal treatment, in which the effect of a chemical substance can be tested and subsequently stopped if it does not work, a cholecystectomy is non-reversible. Thus, there is good reason to warn against the so-called “diagnostic cholecystectomy” in which the gallbladder is removed to see whether or not it caused the symptoms 730. If a patient suffers symptoms, then the patient and doctor must decide when they are so troublesome that treatment ought to be offered. Even if a symptom is thought to be associated with gallstones, it is not necessarily an indication for treatment. This depends on a number of things, such as the patient’s wishes, fear of new attacks, etc. The patient’s overall health also plays a role. Observation of a patient after the first pains seems justifiable, since the spontaneous course of stones in the gallbladder is relatively peaceful (see section 3,2). Conclusion ❖ Despite attempts to reach international consensus, a great deal of disagreement still surrounds cholecystectomy indications. ❖ A discrepancy exists between the indications for cholecystectomy defined by consensus panels or international recommendations and the indications used under everyday clinical conditions. 65 ❖ Cholecystectomy ought to be limited to patients with the type of pains that the consensus has defined as being due to stones in the gallbladder. ❖ The large proportion of patients with persistent pains, audit surveys and studies showing rises in cholecystectomy rates suggest that too many people undergo cholecystectomy. 5.4 M ETHODS OF TREATMENT The technologies used to treat patients with symptomatic gallstones are cholecystectomy, cholecystolithotomy or stone dissolution (ESWL/bile salts). The primary purpose of the treatment is to remove symptoms, while the secondary purpose is to remove gallstones. Ideally, the treatment should not lead to complications or mortality, there should be few postoperative pains, the duration of the stay in hospital and of the convalescence should be short and the cosmetic result satisfactory. The next section compares the individual treatments with these objectives. 5.4.1 Cholecystectomy The gallbladder can be removed either by traditional open cholecystectomy, cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy or laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Cure from symptoms Among the randomised surveys of the different access to cholecystectomy (appendix 3) only one study dealt with persistent pains505. It revealed no difference between cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy and laparoscopic cholecystectomy after 6-12 months as far as the incidence of persistent pains, the regularity and type of pains or visits to the doctor because of pains were concerned. The clinical series (appendix 3, table 3) revealed persistent pains after cholecystectomy in 7-41% (average 22%) after traditional open cholecystectomy and in 6-37% (average 21%) after laparoscopic cholecystectomy. If the data are restricted to patients who suffer persistent pains of the same or greater magnitude, the proportion falls to 4-17% (average 8%) after traditional open cholecystectomy and to 3-11% (average 7%) after laparoscopic cholecystectomy. None of the clinical series concerning cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy stipulated the proportion suffering from persistent pains. These numbers suggest that the degree of persistent pains is probably not dependent on the size of the incision. This is corroborated by the fact 66 that persistent pains after contusion (ESWL) and after medicinal dissolution of gallstones are the same (6-31%; average 19%) as after cholecystectomy8, 436, 754, 825. Thus, it can be concluded that the two new access to remove the gallbladder (minilaparotomy and laparoscopy) have not affected the primary purpose of the treatment. There has been a longstanding debate among surgeons about the extent to which a long cysticus stump can cause persistent pains after a cholecystectomy. A randomised survey with an 8-year follow-up359 revealed that 40% of patients had persistent pains after traditional cholecystectomy compared with 11% in a group that had the whole ductus cysticus removed. The survey was blinded. It is, however, rare for a long cysticus stump to be the sole explanation for persistent pains646 and no special pattern of pain has been associated with the length of a remaining cysticus stump864. Removal of gallstones Cholecystectomy by traditional open laparotomy and by minilaparotomy are equally good as far as removal of gallstones (with gallbladder) is concerned. The same can more or less be said about laparoscopic cholecystectomy, but since defects are often made in the gallbladder during dissection357, stones are sometimes lost and left behind in the abdominal cavity357, 399, 765. A number of casuistic studies describe the many ways these stones manifest themselves in the form of intra-abdominal abscesses616, ileus594, fistula to the urinary bladder139, fistula to the pulmonary cavity842 and coughing up of stones108. Clinical series show that left stones rarely cause complications357, 399 but that the individual complications can be serious765. Time spent in hospital and postoperative pains No scientific evidence exists to define exactly how long patients ought to remain in hospital after a cholecystectomy. The median time for elective simple cholecystectomy fell in Denmark from 11 days in 1978, to 6 days in 1991, to 3 days in 1995. There was no significant gender difference (figure 35). The shorter hospital stay was accompanied by a minor rise in the frequency of readmissions to hospital, as the proportion of patients readmitted within a month after discharge rose from 9.5 % in 1978-83; to 11.3% in 1984-87, to 12.1% in 1988-91 and 13.6% in 1992-95. The reduction in the time spent in hospital in the period before the introduc- 67 tion of laparoscopic cholecystectomy corresponds to the findings in international literature540, 817. The fall does not specifically apply to cholecystectomy, as the time spent in hospital was reduced for ordinary surgical procedures in general from 9.9 days in 1970, to 5.3 days in 1993540. The fall may be due to better information, changing attitudes and traditions307, improved surgical and anaesthesiology techniques and streamlining requirements. It was probably due to a combination of the factors mentioned above. FIGURE 35 Length of hospital stay for simple elective cholecystectomy Days 30 28 26 24 22 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men One aspect that affects the amount of time spent in hospital is the degree of post-operative pain, which again depends on surgical trauma. The trauma is caused by incision into the abdominal wall and by the removal of the gallbladder. Since the latter is compulsory in all three methods, the only difference is the incision into the abdominal wall. While there are clear distinctions between laparoscopic surgery and the open forms, the transition from minilaparotomy to traditional laparotomy (page 12) is fluid. However, there is no major difference between the total length of the incision in laparoscopic surgery (3-4 cm) and in straightforward cholecystectomy through minilaparotomy (3-6 cm). It is open to debate how much such a small difference can mean to levels of surgical trauma. In one clinical study of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, patients who had one of 68 the incisions lengthened to remove a large gallbladder (because of inflammation or stones)100, did not take more painkilling medicine than those who did not have the incision lengthened. The literature shows that it is not only surgical trauma that affects the amount of analgesics and the length of hospital stay. The information that the patient receives about the procedure from the surgeon and the rest of the medical staff, and which reflects their attitudes to the procedure, is probably a critical factor241, 536. One study suggested that positive hospital surroundings reduce the need for painkilling medicine and the length of the stay in hospital795. A systematic study of the literature showed that by prioritising efforts – including early postoperative feeding and in-depth information – for patients after traditional open cholecystectomy lead to very low consumption of analgesics and patients being discharged 1-4 days after the operation447, 533, 534, 550, 584, 635. In a clinical series starting in 1980, consecutive patients were offered discharge the day after traditional open cholecystectomy with a success rate of 92%533. The effect was originally ascribed to early feeding after the operation, but a randomised trial rejected this241. Since the first reports, several of which exist only as abstracts, five clinical works have been found in which consecutive patients were discharged quickly after a traditional open cholecystectomy with great success and low readmission frequency (table 6). A further two examinations showed that it was possible to treat these patients as outpatients. These examinations are not included in table 6, since it is not known to what extent they represent consecutive patient material785, 813. What all these works have in common is that a great deal of effort was invested in informing the patients about the procedure. TABLE 6 Clinical series of consecutive patients, in which early discharge is planned after traditional open cholecystectomy. Post-operative discharge (cumulated percentages) Author Period N Same day Re-admissions Notes Hall299 1980-84 100 - - 51% - 3.2 dag 0 a) Saltzstein674 1988-90 500 - 23% 56% - 2.8 dag 2 (0.4%) b) d) Chaudhary132 1986-89 340 - - - 86% Saltzstein675 1990 64 - - - Moss535 1983-87 160 - 100% - - 69% 1st day 2nd day 3rd day Average - 0 a) < 1 dag 1 (1.6%) c) d) 1 dag 3 (1.9%) a) a) Elective, simple cholecystectomies b) All patients including acute cholecystitis and choledochal surgery. If the material is restricted to elective simple cholecystectomies in people under age 35, 44% were discharged after the first day and 83% after the second day c) Simple cholecystectomies covering both elective and acute patients. Limited to people under 56 years of age d ) The two groups of patients published by Saltzstein were not the same 69 In the first clinical series studying cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy, the short hospital stay from 1-3 days was emphasised282, 514.532 – and later, same-day surgery was described in a series of 200 selected patients discharged 3-10 hours after the operation435. Clinical series studying laparoscopic cholecystectomy also highlight the short hospital stay of 1-2 days 43. A number of studies have aimed at same-day surgery among selected patients427, 619, 696, 747 with a success rate of 50-100%, and among consecutive patients for simple elective cholecystectomy230, 524, 767, 810, 811 with a corresponding rate of 61-94%. In other words, it is possible for all three access to cholecystectomy to send patients home either on the same day or 1-2 days after the operation. Comparison between forms of access A reliable comparison of the three access to cholecystectomy, as far as analgesics and the amount of time spent in hospital are concerned, can only be conducted in randomised surveys in which patient and staff are not informed of the method applied582. Of the randomised examinations comparing laparoscopic cholecystectomy with cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy, only one fulfils this criteria for blinding483 and it showed no difference in the length of hospital stay. No information was included about analgesics. Among randomised studies comparing laparoscopic cholecystectomy with traditional open cholecystectomy, only one lived up to the criteria for blinding579 and it did not reveal any difference in the length of hospital stay either, although it did identify more post-operative pain in the group subjected to open cholecystectomy. The material was, however, very small (2 x 10 patients). Among the non-blinded studies, significantly more time was spent in hospital after traditional open laparotomy than after laparoscopy79, 337, 789, while the results for laparoscopy vs. minilaparotomy500, 504 and minilaparotomy vs. traditional laparotomy574, 703 were ambiguous. The use of analgesics was significantly greater after traditional open laparotomy79, 337, 789 and after minilaparotomy503 than after laparoscopy. No significant difference in the use of analgesics was registered after traditional laparotomy compared with minilaparotomy574, 690. Table 5 in appendix 3 illustrates these small differences and since the studies were not blinded and the results, therefore, susceptible to staff and patient attitudes to the different operations, the results have to be interpreted carefully. A number of randomised trials revealed a whole string of other circumstances that affect the use of analgesics and the amount of time spent 70 in hospital. They included the location of the incision, transcutaneous electrical nerve stimulation, epidural anaesthesia, epidural morphine plus local anaesthesia in the wound, intrapleurally (in the pulmonary cavity), intraperitoneally (in the abdominal cavity) and intercostally (between the ribs). Time constraints prohibit this report from studying these interrelationships systematically, but the randomised surveys are listed in appendix 3. Conclusion The amount of time spent in hospital after cholecystectomy has fallen steadily since 1978. The literature suggests that the length of the stay in hospital depends on factors other than just surgical trauma. Even if the amount of time spent in hospital fell after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, no documentary evidence exists to prove that the fall was caused by the laparoscopic procedure. As far as the use of postoperative analgesics is concerned, laparoscopic cholecystectomy seems to be a minor improvement over open surgery. However, analgesics are taken for such a short time that it ought not to affect the choice of procedure. Complications to Cholecystectomy The vast majority of cholecystectomy complications are banal. Among the more serious complications, such as lesions of the bile ducts, major arteries and the gastrointestinal tract, the former is by far the most common333 and this section will concentrate on them. International literature states that the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy led to a rise in the number of bile duct lesions and that there may even be a reason to fear underreporting471, 756, 848. Many researchers have attributed the rise in complications to insufficient training of surgeons who felt pressurised to start using the new method too soon137, 165 and consequently, there was an initial call for caution. One Danish consensus report37 states that the number of bile duct lesions during laparoscopic surgery in Denmark is no higher than the number of lesions suffered during traditional open cholecystectomy on Funen in 1953-57477. The data has not been compared with more recent material. The next two chapters study the available literature in greater depth and assess the extent to which lesions of the bile ducts have increased in Denmark after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Wherever possible, a differentiation is made between: 71 ❖ peripheral lesions (cysticus leak, leak from aberrant/accessory bile duct, unidentifiable leak), which either leads to re-operation, ERCP with the insertion of a stent or percutaneous drainage. These lesions are not serious enough to cause lasting damage to the bile ducts per se. ❖ central lesions, which involve the deep bile ducts (ductus choledochus, ductus hepaticus communis and ductus hepaticus dxt. and sin.). Lesions of these organs can cause lasting damage to the bile ducts in the form of contraction and impaired liver function. Analysis of bile duct lesions – literature review The literature was studied systematically on the basis of the principles discussed in appendix 3. The summary of the various complications considered: ❖ all randomised trials ❖ all surveys of all cholecystectomies in well-defined geographical areas during the period when laparoscopy was being introduced ❖ all consecutive series of over 200 patients in which the operations were performed after 1978 (see, however, page 75). Randomised surveys The randomised surveys were too small to evaluate differences in complication rates accurately. A total of 500 patients were covered by randomised surveys comparing laparoscopic cholecystectomy with cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy483, 504. There were two central bile duct lesions in each treatment group and three peripheral lesions in the laparoscopic group against one in the minilaparotomy group. The total of three bile duct lesions in the minilaparotomy group (1.2%) and five in the laparoscopy group (2.0%) was not significant. The very high complication rate was due to one of the studies, which accounted for seven of the eight lesions504. There is a temptation to suspect that the surgeons involved in that study were not trained in minilaparotomy; at any rate it is not obvious from the article. This in contrast to the study with the low complication rate483, which specifically mentioned that the surgeons were trained in both procedures before the survey started. Among 151 patients randomised for laparoscopic cholecystectomy or traditional open cholecystectomy79, 337, 579, 789 there was one peripheral bile duct lesion in the open group, but none in the laparoscopic group. Of 341 patients rando- 72 mised for cholecystectomy by traditional laparotomy or minilaparotomy574, 690, 703, there were no reports of bile duct lesions. All cholecystectomies in well-defined geographic areas By calculating the complication rate after all cholecystectomies in well-defined geographic areas during the period when laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced, the importance of the introduction of the new technology can be calculated. TABLE 7 The complication rate per year for all cholecystectomies. Bile duct lesions 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 N/yeara Country b, 149 0.30 0.40 0.80 1.15 0.93 23964 Canada Russellc, 658 0.04 0.07 0.24 0.27 0.11 6042 Author Cohen USA a: Number of cholecystectomies per year b: The state of Ontario in Canada. 1989=1989-90 etc. Laparoscopy was introduced 1990-91 c: : The state of Connecticut, USA. Laparoscopy was introduced in 1990. Breakdown from a laparoscopic register (ending September 93, so underreporting in the final year is possible). In general, underreporting is possible, since “major bile duct injuries” are defined on the basis of particular treatment codes and subsequent questionnaires sent to the departments. Only two articles were identified (table 7). Both reveal a noticeable rise in the number of bile duct lesions after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The number of bile duct lesions is highest at the start of the laparoscopic period, after which there was a fall but not to the level that existed before the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The two works are supported by a central registration of all bile duct lesions in New York82, which shows a rise from one registered major bile duct lesion in 1988 (the last year before laparoscopic cholecystectomy) to 21 per annum in 1990-92. In Australia, the proportion of accidents (medical and surgical accidents, postoperative complications, side effects of treatment and unintentional poisoning) associated with cholecystectomy rose by 37.5% in the period 1987/88 to 1993/943. Clinical series This section looks at clinical series comparing complication rates between the different methods of access to cholecystectomy. There are two fundamental problems associated with this comparison: ❖ Clinical series on open traditional cholecystectomy normally includes all cholecystectomies in a given period, whereas clinical series on the laparoscopic and minilaparotomy access to cholecystectomy only includes selected groups of 73 patients, leaving a group of patients, who are cholecystectomised by traditional laparotomy. This latter group of patients both have a more advanced stage of their gallstone disease 378 and more co-morbidity 225,378 compared to the group operated on by the laparoscopic method. This means that, when clinical series of cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy or laparoscopy are compared with clinical series where a traditional laparotomy is used, a group of more healthy patient are compared with a group of more ill patients, ❖ Before introduction of the laparoscopic technique cholecystectomy was performed by younger surgeons in contrast to the laparoscopic operations, which mostly is performed by more senior surgeons 682,692. Also in the comparisons between cholecystectomy by laparoscopy and minilaparotomy the distribution of senior surgeons is in favour of laparoscopy 190,500. Due to these two problems, it must be expected – à priori – that patients should experience less complications in the clinical series of cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy and laparoscopy compared to the clinical series of cholecystectomy by traditional laparotomy. Before the era of laparoscopic cholecystectomy very few articles dealt with complications in relation to cholecystectomy, whereas after the introduction several articles and reviews on complications to cholecystectomy emerged. In the following review only clinical series on traditional cholecystectomy in the period 1978-1990 were included. This restriction is done in order to include only clinical series as close to the laparoscopic era as possible, as elder series represent another time with another organisation, which hardly can be compared with the 90’ies. The lower limit of 1978 was chosen, as it from this year is possible to compare with Danish data from the National Hospital Discharge Registry and as the relative long period (13 years) will make it possible to have sufficient material. Open cholecystectomies after 1990 are not included, as many countries at that time had started laparoscopic surgery, making cholecystectomies performed by traditional laparotomy a selected group. This was evident from the two-fold rise in postoperative mortality after open traditional cholecystectomy after 1990745. The review of open traditional cholecystectomy is divided into series only including simple cholecystectomies (or where it was possible to extract these operations from larger series also including cholecystectomy with bile duct surgery) and series, where it was not possible to distinguish between simple cholecystectomy and cholecystectomy with bile duct surgery. The former series are more comparable with series on laparoscopy and minilaparotomy than the latter. 74 As very few series have been published on cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy, all series are included independent on number of operations and when the surgery was done. Separate analyses are, however, performed of series representing more than 50, more than 100 and more than 200 patients. Two studies being part of randomised trials in comparison with laparoscopic cholecystectomy are not included in this review, but dealt with elsewhere in this report. Literature on clinical series including laparoscopic cholecystectomies is huge. To minimise the work only articles published in an early period (1990-1992) and a late period (1995-97) are included. Besides clinical series, results from questionnaire reviews, registers and audit are included. A summarised review concerning bile duct lesions is shown in table 8, whereas results for each study is shown in appendix 3 (table 6-13). Central bile duct lesions are far more common in the laparoscopic series compared to traditional laparotomy and minilaparotomy, whereas the difference in periferal bile duct lesions are not than big. TABLE 8 Total summary of central and peripheral biliary tract lesions in materials consisting of 200(+) consecutive patients operated since 1978 a. Access to cholecystectomy Number of studies Number of patients b Lesions of the bile ducts Central % Peripheral (95% c.l.) % (95% c.l.) Open (simple cholecystectomy) 10 4,804 0.04 (0.01-0.18) 0.26 (0.15-0.47) Open (all cholecystectomies) c 18 15,208 0.13 (0.08-0.20) 0.10 (0.06-0.16) Minilaparotomy >=50 ptt./serie 16 3,553 0.03 (0.00-0.20) 0.17 (0.08-0.38) Minilaparotomy >=100 ptt./serie 7 2,921 0.03 (0.00-0.24) 0.21 (0.09-0.46) Minilaparotomy >=200 ptt./serie 3 2,307 0.04 (0.01-0.31) 0.04 (0.01-0.31) Laparoscopic (1990-92) 47 19,234 0.32 (0.25-0.41) 0.46 (0.39-0.59) Laparoscopic (1995-97) 26 24,342 0.26 (0.20-0.33) 0.39 (0.32-0.48) Laparoscopic (questionnaires) 15 130,320 0.37 (0.34-0.40) 0.30 (0.27-0.33) Laparoscopic (register) 16 110,939 0.47 (0.43-0.51) 0.28 (0.25-0.31) 6 22,671 0.52 (0.43-0.62) 0.57 (0.48-0.68) Laparoscopic (audit) a: : The material for cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy consists of 50, 100, and 200+ patients b: States the number of patients about whom information is available concerning central bile duct lesions. When calculating confidence limits for peripheral bile duct lesions, only the number of patients is used about whom information concerning this type of lesion is available (table 6-13, appendix 3) c: Including choledochal surgery Assessment of bile duct lesions in Denmark 1978-95 By using the material used to validate the National Hospital Discharge Register (see section 2.1.2), an assessment was made of developments in bile 75 duct lesions in Denmark from 1978-95. Courses of treatment, during which the patient – after an initial admission for cholecystectomy with or without bile duct surgery – was readmitted or transferred to another department for endoscopic or open biliary tract surgery, must be presumed to include the majority of patients who have suffered a lesion of the bile ducts. These courses of treatment rose fourfold after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy (figure 36, page 77). All commentaries on these courses of treatment together with a random cross-section of all other commentaries in 1979, 1985 and 1993 were requisitioned from the surgical departments. The detailed breakdown is covered on page 22 and in appendix 2. In approximately 1/3 of the cases, the treatments in figure 36 represented lesions of the bile ducts during simple cholecystectomy. This proportion remained constant throughout the whole period. More or less all the other cases involved patients who subsequently had a stone removed from the bile ducts or were treated for biliary tract dyskinesia (page 83). By counting the number of bile duct lesions found in the commentaries received and predicting the same regularity of bile duct lesions in commentaries not received, the annual frequency of bile duct lesions was calculated for patients who had a simple cholecystectomy. In order to achieve reasonable quantities of data, the period was divided into three sub-periods, of which the final period includes all the years during which laparoscopic cholecystectomy has been performed in Denmark, while the first period is divided into two equally large halves. The bile duct lesions are divided into central and peripheral according to the same principle described under the literature survey (page 72). Because of size of the random sample, the data has to be interpreted carefully, but the calculations suggest that there has been a two- to threefold increase in the number of central lesions, while the number of peripheral lesions has multiplied since the introduction of laparoscopic technology (table 9). TABLE 9 The estimated incidence of bile duct lesions during simple cholecystectomy in Danish hospitals, 1978-95. Localisation of bile duct lesion Peripheral Central Uncertain* Total Period % (95% c.l.) % (95% c.l.) % (95% c.l.) % (95% c.l.) 1978-83 0.02 (0.01-0.06) 0.16 (0.11-0.23) 0.00 (0.00-0.02) 0.18 (0.13-0.25) 1984-90 0.04 (0.02-0.08) 0.11 (0.07-0.16) 0.01 (0.00-0.04) 0.15 (0.11-0.22) 1991-95 0.39 (0.31-0.51) 0.33 (0.25-0.44) 0.10 (0.06-0.17) 0.83 (0.70-0.99) * The medical commentaries did not specify peripheral or central. 76 FIGURE 36 Complicated courses after simple cholecystectomy Percent 4 3 2 1 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 The data in table 9 is underestimated. During the study of the commentaries from the random extract from 1979, 1985 and 1993 a further four complications were identified: one in 1979, one in 1985 and two in 1993. This may explain some of the discrepancy between the results in this report for 1991-95 and the breakdown of central bile duct lesions from the laparoscopic register in Denmark, in which the percentage is 0.74%10. Another possible explanation is that the results from the laparoscopic register only include patients who had a laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The results show that this screening method using patients causes covering multiple admissions will identify many of bile duct injuries, but that there is a certain amount of underreporting. Discussion The data on complications after traditional open cholecystectomy is confirmed by a number of studies of major series (3,403 to approx. 90,000 patients), which show a bile duct lesions frequency of 0.05-0.07%29, 163, 268. However, the articles do not contain enough details to be included in the total result for all clinical series. In one review502, the proportion of bile duct lesions after traditional open cholecystectomy was estimated at 0.2%. The work lacks a number of articles, includes older series, includes series after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy and includes 77 a major register study that overestimates the complication rate, since it does not differentiate between bile duct lesions and other peroperative lesions to the gastrointestinal system. Review articles about bile duct lesions after laparoscopic cholecystectomy using criteria other than those used in this study, or in which the criteria are not mentioned at all, show numbers corresponding to the result of this survey, with bile duct lesions ranging from 0.30-0.63%333, 391, 502. In a 1991 national questionnaire survey in the Netherlands with an response rate of 88%287, bile duct lesions were found in 0.51% of open and 1.09% of laparoscopic surgery. Both rates are significantly higher than the results in table 8, which is partly explained in the case of the open operations by the fact that 15% also had bile duct surgery and that those who had a traditional open cholecystectomy during the laparoscopic era were at more advanced stages of illness378. There was no significant difference in complication rates between traditional open cholecystectomy and cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy. The data for minilaparotomy is, however, small and one major French series197 in particular is very poorly described. It is, however, conspicuous that none of the clinical series reveal the high incidences of lesions seen in the laparoscopic series. Clinical series, questionnaire surveys and register studies have all been criticised for underreporting bile duct lesions471, 756, 848 compared with an audit, in which an unbiased panel studies all the available patient journals. This report (table 8) partially supports this criticism, as the incidence of both central and peripheral bile duct lesions is somewhat higher in the audit series than in the other series concerning laparoscopic cholecystectomy. No audit studies were found of cholecystectomy by traditional open surgery or minilaparotomy. The rise in bile duct lesions has to be compared with the fact that the surgeons performing biliary tract procedures in the laparoscopic period are more experienced than in the period before the introduction of laparoscopy682, 692. None of the applied methods are ideal for calculating the frequency of bile duct lesions. This would require a clinical database of all biliary tract treatments (not just laparoscopic cholecystectomy) listed systematically according to criteria fixed in advance. Thus, it must be expected that all the figures shown underestimate the real incidence of bile duct lesions. However, the calculations have been made the same way, so the registered rise can be assumed to reflect reality. 78 It has been stated that the frequency of bile duct lesions after laparoscopic cholecystectomy falls over time, a fact partly confirmed by the clinical series in table 8 and the summary in table 7. However, the frequency of bile duct lesions does not fall to the level experienced before the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy149, 658. Data from the Danish laparoscopic register shows that there has not been any reduction in the number of bile duct lesions in Denmark in the period 1991-94 among patients who had a laparoscopic cholecystectomy10. A survey by an intensive care unit showed that complications after laparoscopic cholecystectomy are more severe than after cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy or traditional laparotomy515. Conclusion ❖ The expected fall in the number of complications (due to the pre-selection of patients and more experienced surgeons) after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy did not occur - on the contrary, there was a noticeable rise which corresponds to the international literature. ❖ In several studies, the complication rate fell again after a couple of years but never to the same low level as before the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. No fall was registered in Denmark. ❖ Data from the National Hospital Discharge Register together with findings from the literature survey provide ample evidence that there was also an increase in complication rates in Denmark after the introduction of laparoscopic surgery. ❖ The extent to which cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy leads to a lower frequency of bile duct lesions than laparoscopic cholecystectomy cannot be calculated definitively. The available clinical series suggest that this is the case, but the quality of the series is poor. The randomised studies also show a tendency towards fewer bile duct lesions during minilaparotomy, but the series are small. However, there is no evidence to suggest that the minilaparotomy leads to a greater number of bile duct lesions than laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Convalescence There is no scientific definition for how long a patient should stay off work after an operation. A survey of patients who had a cholecystectomy at Copenhagen University Hospital from 1980-81480 showed median sick leave of 25-65 days, dependent on the physical nature of the work. A randomised survey of patients operated for inguinal hernia showed that it was possible to encourage a group of patients to return to work signifi- 79 cantly faster by simply asking them to – without any adverse effects on the results of the operation103. Corresponding surveys for cholecystectomy patients were not traced. When laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced, short convalescence was stressed as one of the major advantages166, and one Danish survey11 puts the median time for resumption of normal activities at 8 days (range 1-165). These conditions are, however, not unique for laparoscopic cholecystectomy. After ambulatory traditional open cholecystectomy, the patients were able to return to work after 7-12 days675, 813 and in series covering cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy, patients were able to return to work after 4-5 days if they had a non-physical job and after 21 days if they had a highly physical job435. A reliable comparison of the length of convalescence after the different methods of cholecystectomy can only be conducted by means of randomised surveys in which both patients and staff are blinded as far as the method is concerned. However, it would be difficult to blind an operation totally until the end of a period of convalescence since this would involve the patient not removing the dressing for several days. Two randomised surveys comparing minilaparotomy with laparoscopy483, 504 showed no significant difference in the length of convalescence (table 5, appendix 3), whereas randomised studies comparing traditional open and laparoscopic cholecystectomy79, 789 revealed significantly longer convalescence in the open group. Conclusion The clinical series divulge that informed and motivated patients can return to work quickly, even after traditional open cholecystectomy. The randomised examinations disclosed no differences between laparoscopic cholecystectomy or cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy but longer convalescence after traditional open cholecystectomy. These studies were, however, not blinded, so it is impossible to decide the extent to which it is the laparoscopic procedure or the attitudes of the staff and patients that has made the convalescence shorter. Mortality The 30-day mortality rate after a simple cholecystectomy is increased compared with the general population106. Only rarely is this excess mortality directly related to biliary tract disease. It is ascribed to a combination of co-morbidity and surgical trauma. Since laparoscopic surgery has been regarded as less traumatic than traditional open cholecystectomy, a 80 fall in mortality might have been expected when the technology was introduced. Mortality rates, 1978-1995 Data from the National Hospital Discharge Register discloses no major fluctuations in the 30-day mortality rate after simple cholecystectomy for either elective simple cholecystectomy or all simple cholecystectomies (figures 37). In analyses that make allowances for the presence of other medical conditions (measured as the number of diagnoses registered at the index admission), the mortality rate is significantly higher in the last three sub-periods compared with 1978-83 as far as all simple cholecystectomies are concerned (table 10). The increased mortality rate refers primarily to patients with acute cholecystitis. No reduction in mortality can be detected after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. TABLE 10 The 30-day mortality rate a after simple cholecystectomy in relation to diagnosis and period of time in Denmark in 1978-95. Only patients with biliary tract diagnoses were included and in the logistic regression analysis account was taken of age, gender and co-morbidity (number of diagnoses) Simple cholecystectomy as index operation Elective operation Acute cholecystitis Total Period OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) 1978-1983 1.00 1.00 1.00 1984-1987 1.44 (1.09-1.89) 1.44 (1.07-1.94) 1.41 (1.17-1.70) 1988-1991 1.10 (0.79-1.53) 1.48 (1.08-2.03) 1.42 (1.16-1.74) 1992-1995b 1.03 (0.71-1.51) 1.85 (1.34-2.57) 1.62 (1.31-2.00) a: Mortality is measured from the date of admission, as the actual date of operation is not stipulated in the National Hospital Discharge Register b: Some elective patients may have been given the wrong codes and been registered as having acute cholecystitis in 1994-95 (page 93). Discussion It is difficult to compare the Danish mortality figures with the literature for the following reasons: ❖ As a rule, mortality is listed during the stay in hospital, and since the time spent in hospital has fallen throughout the last 20 years, the mortality rate will be lower per se. ❖ It is rare to find works that standardise mortality according to age, gender, general medical condition and how advanced the gallstone disease actually is. After the introduction of laparoscopic surgery, the proportion of young women has risen, which will lower the mortality rate per se. 81 FIGURE 37 The 30-day mortality rate after simple cholecystectomy standardised for gender and age Number per 1,000 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Total Acute Elective Thus, none of the available studies are directly comparable with the mortality data in this study for the period 1978 to 1990. Roos648 detects a slight rise in the age and gender-standardised 90-day mortality rate from 1977-8 to 1982-3, while an older Swedish study128 detects a fall in standardised mortality until 1981 but does not stipulate a post-operative time frame. In the period around the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, the mortality rate fell in some studies213, 577, 745, while it rose slightly in one of the others554. All these works either omit relevant parameters in the standardisation of the mortality rates or list only mortality during stays in hospital. Only one work, which calculated the 30-day mortality and performed a standardisation, was comparable with the Danish data149. Like the Danish data, this work revealed no significant changes in mortality rates from 1989 to 1993 (table 11). The reason why the introduction of laparoscopic surgery did not lead to a fall in the 30-day mortality may be that the increased complications rate after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy counters the expected fall in the mortality rate, or that the difference in the levels of surgical trauma between laparoscopic surgery and traditional open cholecystectomy is not significant enough to effect the mortality rate. 82 TABLE 11 The 30-day mortality rate after simple cholecystectomy in Canada and Denmark. The estimates are standardised for age, gender and co-morbidity Canada149 Denmark OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) 1989 1.00 1.00 1990 0.84 (0.57-1.24)a 1.38 (0.84-2.27) 1991 0.89 (0.59-1.32) 1.02 (0.59-1.74)a 1992 1.03 (0.68-1.56) 1.18 (0.70-2.01) 1993 1.10 (0.72-1.69) 1.21 (0.71-2.07) 1994 - 1.65 (0.99-2.74) 1995 - 1.29 (0.75-2.22) Period a: The year laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced Conclusion There was an inexplicable and significant rise in the 30-day mortality rate after simple cholecystectomy at the start of the period, after which the rate has remained more or less constant. There was no fall in mortality rates in Denmark after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, which corresponds with international literature on the topic. Sequela after cholecystectomy The normal physiological mechanism by which the release of the hormone cholecystokinin is stimulated by food in the duodenum and makes the gallbladder contract, the sphincter Oddi relax and the pylorus close – mechanisms that allow bile to pass from the gallbladder down to the food in the intestines – do not function after a cholecystectomy. The question is whether this drastic change of normal physiological conditions causes side effects. Post-cholecystectomy syndrome (pains after cholecystectomy) Persistent pains are suffered by a large number of patients after cholecystectomy (see section 5.2). In a smaller group, the pain is so severe that further examination and treatment is necessary. It is generally agreed that ERCP can play a central role in diagnosing these pains127, 188, 488, 713, mainly to examine whether choledochal stones have been left behind in the patient and are causing the pains. It has been suggested that patients with no sign of stones in the bile ducts but with continued pains may be suffering from disfunction of sphincter Oddi. The extent to which the pains that led to the cholecystectomy, were originally due to sphincter disfunction and 83 not gallstones has never been studied in-depth, but it is known that a proportion of gallstone patients experience abnormal sphincter pressure before a cholecystectomy439. Due to the altered physiological conditions after a cholecystectomy, it could also be argued that the disfunction may arise as a result of the cholecystectomy. The condition is classified in three groups: Groups 1 and 2 exhibit quantifiable changes in liver function and bile duct to a greater or lesser degree, while group 3 only suffer pains332. The dysfunction can be diagnosed either by invasive methods (measuring pressure during ERCP) or noninvasive methods (scintigraphy)439. Few surveys have compared the methods and found that they agree in the classification of the patients599, 726. The area requires further research in order to standardise the diagnostic methods. There are no fixed guidelines for the treatment of these patients. Since the condition is unpleasant, but not dangerous, it is suggested that medicinal treatment be tried first439. Individual studies have shown effect of calcium channel blockers294, 396, 678, nitrate60 and lipid-lowering substances (statins)661. Two of the works were randomised trials396, 678. When medical treatment has no effect, ERCP with sphincterotomy may be tried. A number of clinical series studying the effect of sphincterotomy show that pains persists in 12-92%101, 104, 259, 555, 644, 647, 826, 829 of patients. One work differentiates between the different groups suffering from the dysfunction and finds that the effect on group 3 (those who only have pains) is very low (92% persistent pains), while it is better for group 2 (40% persistent pains). In a randomised trials269 in which only some patients were given a sphincterotomy, sphincterotomy was seen to have a positive effect on pains. A corresponding study has allegedly been conducted but not yet published260. There is a potential risk of sphincterotomy spreading in an unsystematic fashion in the event of post-cholecystectomy pains, as more departments master ERCP technology than master the technology for properly examining bile duct dysfunction. Often the clinical situation is that ERCP is performed on a patient with post-cholecystectomy pains to search for residual choledochal stones. If no stones are found, it may perhaps be tempting to conduct a sphincterotomy now – while the scope is in place – to avoid subjecting the patient to yet another unpleasant examination. However, sphincterotomy in this patient category is associated with a significant number of complications (see section 7.3.2) and the effect on the pains is dependent on the patient being thoroughly examined and treated in accordance with the diagnosis reached. 84 Within the time scale of this report, it would be impossible to conduct an in-depth study of this aspect. It must simply be ascertained that there are no fixed guidelines for this area and that the literature is now so extensive that the subject would make a relevant theme for a health technology assessment of its own, so that guidelines could be established for how this technology should be used in Danish hospitals in the future Changes in bile reflux (flowback of bile in the stomach and oesophagus) With exception of a single study460, population studies that have screened for gallstones have detected a significantly higher incidence of dyspepsia among people who have undergone a cholecystectomy than among those who have gallstones or a normal gallbladder62, 352, 371, 611, 840. This correlation may be due to the fact that some people underwent a cholecystectomy because of dyspeptic symptoms (with no effect on the symptoms) but it may also be due to the fact that the cholecystectomy has caused dyspepsia. Nearly all the studies agree that people with dyspepsia suffer bile reflux significantly more often than people without dyspepsia338, 356, 467, 571, 600, 844 , while a single study depicts this as merely a tendency820. Seventeen studies were identified that measured the incidence of bile reflux before and after cholecystectomy48, 124, 134, 218, 219, 338, 353, 388, 461, 462, 463, 464, 466, 475, 549, 653, 820. Fifteen studies disclosed significant increases in bile reflux after cholecystectomy, one study revealed an insignificant tendency820 and another found no change338. In the latter work, measurements were taken as early as nine days after the operation, which may be too soon for reflux to establish itself. The remaining studies took measurements from two to several months after the operation. Some of the works also studied whether the incidence of gastritis (irritation of the stomach) increased. All of them confirmed an increase219, 353, 463, 464, 549. No difference was detected in the incidence of bile reflux after traditional open cholecystectomy and laparoscopic cholecystectomy, so the effect has to be ascribed to the lack of a gallbladder356. Individual studies revealed increased reflux in people with gallstones48, 124, 466 and a connection between gallstones and dyspepsia460. This may be due to the fact that the incidence of gallstones sometimes causes the gallbladder functions to cease, which can, in physiological terms, correspond to the conditions for a cholecystectomy. Conclusion The findings quoted above suggest that cholecystectomy does have some side effects, which can be particularly troublesome for a small group of 85 patients. This should be taken into consideration before cholecystectomy is performed. 5.4.2 Cholecystolithotomy A number of technologies can be used for cholecystolithotomy: traditional open surgery, minilaparotomy, laparoscopy and percutaneous insertion of probes with subsequent direct pulverisation with lasers or ultrasound or immediate dissolution with medical substances. Some of the procedures can be performed under local anaesthesia. The National Hospital Discharge Register contains treatment numbers for these technologies. They account for a total of about 1.6% of all treatments (table 1) with a downward tendency from 1978-95. Cure from symptoms No randomised surveys are available to illustrate which of the methods mentioned above is best as far as the primary purpose of the treatment –removal of pain – is concerned. Clinical series studying surgical removal (table 14, appendix 3) on 25 patients or more showed persistent pains after 8-48 months in 5-21%, while series studying 25 patients or more treated by MTBE show persistent pains after 6-35 months in 7-33% of cases (table 15, appendix 3). Removal of gallstones Surgical procedures remove gallstones with a success rate of 71-100% (table 14, appendix 3) but stones recur in 5-44% (follow-up 8-236 months). Dissolution by ether has a success rate of 29-96% (table 15, appendix 3) but stones recur in 19-70% (follow-up 6-42 months). Complications The complications usually consist of bile leaking from the gallbladder. The frequency varies from 0-16% in the different series studied (table 14 and 15, appendix 3). Time spent in hospital, convalescence and mortality rates These aspects cannot be assessed, partly because of the poor quality of the available information, partly because the clinical series were very selective and most of them included extremely sick patients. 86 Discussion In general, the surveys published cover smaller, selected groups of patients, especially including patients unable to tolerate general anaesthetics. No randomised studies have been published in which the technologies used for cholecystolithotomy are compared with cholecystectomy. The effect on the primary objective of treatment – absence of pain – is similar to cholecystectomy. On the other hand, as far as the secondary objective of the treatment is concerned, i.e. removal of the gallstones, the success rate is not as high as for cholecystectomy and there is also a great risk of stone recurrence. The fact that cholecystolithotomy is not so widespread can thus be associated with the low success rate as far as the removal of gallstones is concerned. However, there is a great deal of evidence to suggest that stones do not recur in half of the patients and, in the light of the longterm side effects of cholecystectomy, further study is recommended into whether some patients would find it more beneficial to only have their gallstones removed. Too few epidemiological surveys exist, however, to work out which patients are least likely to reproduce stones. A randomised trial should be conducted of this group of patients to compare cholecystolithotomy with cholecystectomy. In addition, the method should be refined for the small group of patients who are too sick to tolerate an anaesthetic and who would benefit from the fact that this method can be used under local anaesthesia. 5.4.3 ESWL/bile salts Not all gallstone patients can be treated with bile salts. The gallstones have to be X-Ray negative (i.e. mainly cholesterol stones), must not be over 15(20) mm485, 672 and the gallbladder has to function. A total of only 10-15% of gallstone patients fulfil these requirements. After the introduction of the use of ESWL (Extracorporeal Shock Wave Lithotripsy) – originally devised to pulverised kidney stones133 – for stones in the gallbladder in 1985680, it was possible to expand the indication to include stones of up to 30 mm as long as they did not fill more than 30% of the biliary-bladder lumen334. After that, it was assessed that approx. 20% of gallstone patients were suitable for ESWL and bile acid treatment663. The literature includes several hundred studies of which several are randomised trials. A systematic study of this literature would per se constitute a comprehensive work. This report uses data from a meta-analysis of randomised surveys of treatment with bile salts before September 1992493 as well as reviews published since 1991. Thus, an in-depth study 87 of the literature in this area has not been performed except for clinical series describing the incidence of persistent pains after stones have been dissolved. Cure from symptoms Persistent pains after ESWL and medical dissolution of gallstones are of the same extent (6-31%) as after cholecystectomy8, 436, 754, 825. During the actual treatment – before the stones are dissolved – there is an inexplicable improvement in the symptoms672. Removal of gallstones A meta-analysis493 of 23 randomised surveys covering 1,949 patients concluded that the optimal treatment is either ursodoxycholic-acid or a combination of urso- and chenodeoxycholic acid. Combination treatment dissolved 63% of gallstones. If the treatment is combined with ESWL, a higher success rate is achieved. ESWL alone has a poorer success rate than ESWL followed by treatment with bile salts47. In one randomised Danish study, in which there was a low success rate as far as stone dissolution was concerned, it was concluded that the method was not very suitable47. After treatment, stones will recur in some patients. The relapse rates are 31-61% after 5-11 years573, 657, 664, 806. One index article concludes431 that approximately half of the patients suffer a recurrence, the majority of them during the first five years. Continued treatment with low-dosage ursodeoxycholic acid and anti-inflammatory drugs is suggested to reduce the risk of stones reforming672. Very few relapses cause symptoms during the first years431. It proved impossible to find a straightforward epidemiological work that – with correct analyses – attempted to identify in which patients stones recur with the purpose to improve the selection of patient for treatment. Complications that required intervention were limited to gallstone pancreatitis or cholestasis. These complications occur in 1-2.5% of the patients and are dealt with by endoscopic procedure665, 693. Discussion The literature is comprehensive and nobody has really tried to summarise it systematically. If we presume that 20% of all gallstone patients are suitable for this treatment, that the treatment is a success in 50% of cases and that stones recur in 50% of patients within 10 years, then 5% of those who could be offered operation will experience a lasting effect. A further 88 5% would experience a long-term effect in the form of absence of pain. The technology is used abroad. However – apart from one Japanese study794 which suggests that just under 30% of the gallstone patients in Japan are treated with ESWL and bile salts – no surveys have been identified about how frequently the technology is used. However, the volume of articles suggests it is widespread in the USA and in certain parts of Europe. Because of the lack of specific treatment codes in the National Hospital Discharge Register, the extent of the use of this technology in Denmark cannot be assessed, but it is probably not widespread31, 47. Conclusion The technology is widespread abroad, but has not gained a foothold in Denmark. In relation to the long-term side effects after cholecystectomy and the opportunities for early tracing and screening (see section 3.3.2), this technology and its application in practice ought to be studied in greater depth. 5.4.4 Comparison between cholecystectomy, cholecystolithotomy and ESWL/bile salts No randomised trials were found in which cholecystectomy is compared with cholecystolithotomy or direct dissolution of stones. Seven publications were identified, in which cholecystectomy was compared with ESWL/bile salts64, 172, 281, 565, 613, 614, 615. The articles represent three randomised trials64, 565, 613, 614, 615 and two non-randomised172, 281. The randomised trials cover 260 patients, of whom 163 were in one study565. Two of the studies dealt with traditional open cholecystectomy and had a follow-up of one year, while one64 dealt with laparoscopic cholecystectomy which had a follow-up of three months. The primary objective of the treatment –removal of pain – was identical in the two treatment groups after three months in two of the studies64, 565 but significantly lower in the ESWL group in the third study614. After a year, there was no difference in the incidence of persistent gallstone pains in the two treatment groups565, 614. As far as other gastrointestinal symptoms were concerned, there were no significant differences between the two groups either64, 565, 614. Severe treatment-related complications occurred with equal regularity in the two treatment groups. The two non-randomised studies172, 281 were not analysed in greater depth. Theoretical models (decision analyses) built on available information about natural history, morbidity and mortality showed that there either is 89 no significant difference in expected mortality when choosing either cholecystectomy or ESWL722 or a tendency to increased mortality with operations. By using the quality of life of patients as a parameter69, ESWL can be seen as having a better effect than traditional open cholecystectomy in people with only one gallstone, but not in young people with multiple stones69. Conclusion As far as the primary purpose of the treatment is concerned –removal of pain – there does not seem to be any difference between cholecystectomy and ESWL/bile salts after one year. Longer observation would, however, be desirable as the people who receive ESWL/bile salts treatment are still at risk of new/more stones and complications to their stones. Greater indepth study is called for to compare the technologies used to surgically remove or dissolve gallbladder stones with cholecystectomy. 5.4.5 Cholecystectomy for acalculous pains Even though this report is a health technology assessment of the treatment of patients with gallstones, it is natural to include the above-mentioned technology, as it contains several of the aspects that have been reviewed under indications for gallstone treatment (page 63). This group includes patients with severe “gallstone-like pains” but without gallstones. As previously described, a small proportion of the population has “gallstone-like pains” without having gallstones53, 368, 371. People who suffer this type of pains sufficiently often, will consult their doctor and some will be offered a cholecystectomy. One randomised survey and more than 20 clinical series were identified, in which patients without gallstones but with gallstone-like pains had their gallbladder removed (table 16, appendix 3). Summarising the clinical results reveals two things: firstly, the primary purpose of the treatment – removal of pain – is achieved in roughly the same number of patients as with cholecystectomy for gallstones, with a variation of persistent pains of 5-33%. Secondly, the surveys suggest – even though they refer to small, selected groups – that those with a pathological physiological test (reduced emptying of the gallbladder, pains by contraction) are more likely to benefit from the treatment, than those with a normally functioning gallbladder. One randomised survey856 covered 21 patients with pains and reduced emptying of the gallbladder, in which half had a cholecystectomy and the other half serves as a control group. The 90 patients were followed for just under three years with significant improvement in symptoms in those who had a cholecystectomy. The technology is gaining a foothold and there is a potential risk of over-treatment if the indication is not precisely defined. From the patient’s point of view, the rationale seems sensible, since it is abdominal pains – and not gallstones – that cause discomfort. The extent to which this treatment is used in Denmark is not known. The number of treatments that include simple cholecystectomy but no gallstone diagnosis remained constant from 1978-95 at around 2%. Conclusion The technology seems to be relevant for specially selected patients. However, it needs to be tested in further randomised surveys to limit its use in the treatment of patients without gallstones and with gallstone-like pains. The use of the technology has to be monitored carefully to avoid overtreatment, which could have serious consequences. 91 6. Treatment of patients with acute cholecystitis In the vast majority of cases, acute cholecystitis is caused by stones in the gallbladder. Acute cholecystitis reflects complications to gallbladder stones. The disease can be divided into complicated acute cholecystitis (for example perforation, abscess formation) and uncomplicated acute cholecystitis. 6.1 D EVELOPMENTS IN D ENMARK , 1978-95 The survey of cholecystectomy rates for acute cholecystitis, 1978-95, (figure 38) was based on patients who had a simple cholecystectomy as their index operation combined with the diagnosis acute cholecystitis (appendix 2). In women, there was a rise of 10% (1.1% per annum) from 1978 to 1987, then a fall of 27% (4.5% per annum) to 1993 followed by a new rise of 42% (21% per annum) until 1995. A corresponding pattern was revealed in men, albeit less pronounced. FIGURE 38 Simple cholecystectomy in patients with acute cholecystitis Rate per 100,000 20 18 16 14 12 10 8 6 4 2 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women 92 Men These curves are different than the curves for simple cholecystectomy for elective conditions (figure 24). On the basis of the two sets of curves, it can be calculated that the ratio between acute and elective cholecystectomy for women has varied from 1:5 in 1978 to 1:4 in 1987, 1:7 in 1993 and 1:4 in 1995. The ratio for men remained more or less constant at 1:2.5. The curves for age-related cholecystectomy rates (figures 39 & 40) reveal that the rise in cholecystectomy rates for acute cholecystitis among women until 1987 was mainly due to the increased number of operations on elderly patients. In the two last sub-periods, the tendency was that more younger and fewer older patients were operated. The tendency for the number of operations to peak to a top at 30 was not as pronounced as it was for elective cholecystectomies (figure 25). No major fluctuations were revealed for men, apart from fewer cholecystectomies in the elderly age groups in the final sub-period. Discussion The figures do not include all treatments for acute cholecystitis. Some patients also underwent surgery to the bile ducts as well as a cholecystectomy and a new technology emerged during the period, i.e. ultrasound drainage of the gallbladder. This operation does not have an independent treatment code, which is why the treatment does not feature in the National Patient Discharge Register. Some of these patients were later operated in an elective phase, but for some the drainage was the only treatment, especially in the case of elderly patients. This may explain the fall in the number of cholecystectomies for acute cholecystitis in the last two sub-periods among the elderly. The rise in acute cholecystitis in the last two years is probably not real, but reflects uncertainty about the use of the new diagnosis codes (ICD10), which were introduced in 1994. This is supported by the fact that there was no rise in the proportion of patients admitted acutely (data not shown). Developments in Denmark correspond to the international literature, in which the share of cholecystectomies caused by acute cholecystitis rose before the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy417, 540, 605, and subsequently fell149, 213, 658. The changes may be due to a more conservative attitude towards surgical gallstone treatment in the 80s (figure 24), when the share of elective operations fell, only to rise again after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. 93 FIGURE 39 Simple cholecystectomy in women with acute cholecystitis Rate per 100,000 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 20 30 40 50 60 1988-1991 1984-1987 70 80 1992-1995 FIGURE 40 Simple cholecystectomy in men with acute cholecystitis Rate per 100,000 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 94 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 1992-1995 80 6.2 I NDICATION FOR TREATMENT In contrast to courses of treatment for gallbladder stones without complications, where the indication is relative, there are always indications for one or other of the forms of treatment for acute cholecystitis, ranging from antibiotics to drainage and surgery. 6.3 M ETHODS OF TREATMENT The primary purpose of treatment is to stop the acute infection. The secondary purpose is to prevent acute cholecystitis from recurring. In this section, there has been a systematic literature search for randomised trials. The technologies described are: ❖ cholecystectomy ❖ cholecystolithotomy or partial cholecystectomy ❖ drainage with or without dissolution/pulverisation of the stones. 6.3.1 Cholecystectomy When should patients with acute cholecystitis be operated? Patients with complications to acute cholecystitis (e.g. perforated cholecystitis) have to be dealt with acutely, whereas different strategies have been applied to patients with uncomplicated acute cholecystitis. Sub-acute or elective For many years, patients with uncomplicated acute cholecystitis have been treated conservatively (e.g. with antibiotics) until the infection subsided. Subsequently, patients were offered operations 3-6 months later 120, 205. However, there were also advocates of operation during the acute phase627. In the 70s and 80s, a number of randomised surveys were conducted in which patients with acute cholecystitis either had sub-acute operations (a few days after the symptoms started) or elective operation later on (3-6 months after the initial symptoms). A total of five works were identified 364, 423, 455, 497, 568 , which all showed that sub-acute operation entails the same complication and mortality rates as late operation. The early-operation strategy did, however, lead to a reduced number of days spent in hospital, shorter convalescence and lower morbidity. A large proportion (15-24%) of the patients who were operated later found that their cholecystitis recurred during the waiting period and they had to be re-admitted. An observational study of all patients with acute cholecystitis in the period before and after the introduction of the new early-surgery strategy in one 95 department showed that the sub-acute operation strategy was also superior to the late operation strategy in the everyday clinical situation454. “Timing” of sub-acute cholecystectomy Thus, it is agreed that patients with uncomplicated acute cholecystitis ought to be operated sub-acutely during the same admission. However, the infection must not have been present for too long, since that makes it technically more difficult to perform the operation89. The literature reveals disagreement as to when a sub-acute cholecystectomy ought to be performed in order to achieve the lowest complication frequency, since opinions vary from no more than 4 days497 to 7 days90, 568 to 10 days89, 655 after the initial symptoms. Since a steep increase in the number of complications occurs if the operation is performed later than 10 days after the initial symptoms89, 655, operation is recommended to be performed not later than 7-10 days after symptoms started. If this is not possible, the patient should be discharged and operated electively approximately 3 months after the initial symptoms552. Access for cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis Cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis can be performed by traditional open laparotomy, minilaparotomy and laparoscopy. When laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced, acute cholecystitis was a relative contraindication, but the indication area was gradually expanded to include this condition too89, 233. Both the conversion rate to open cholecystectomy and the number of complications are higher for operations for acute cholecystitis than for elective cholecystectomy418. The rate for conversion to open surgery depends on the degree of cholecystitis and duration of the symptoms160, 210, 265, 347. No studies exist that compare laparoscopic cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis with cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy or traditional open laparotomy. A single study compares cholecystectomy by traditional open laparotomy with minilaparotomy. There were 30 patients in each group51. The duration of the operation, the technical difficulties and complications were identical in the two groups. Minilaparotomy lead to lower consumption of analgesics, less time spent in hospital (3.1 day vs. 4.7 days) and quicker resumption of normal activities compared to traditional open laparotomy (73% vs. 40% after 2 weeks). The survey was not blinded. 96 Preoperative treatment It has been discussed, to what extent the gallbladder should be drained as a matter of routine in patients with acute cholecystitis. A single randomised survey673 showed that patients drained by ultrasound were free of fever and pain, could eat and were discharged from hospital significantly faster than those who only received systemic antibiotics. However, no randomised surveys have been conducted to study the extent to which drainage with subsequent cholecystectomy is a better solution than a subacute cholecystectomy without drainage. Thus, the extent to which drainage is necessary if a decision to operate has been taken anyway is open to question. In certain – more complicated – cases it could be an advantage to bring the patient in optimal health before an operation, but the literature does not provide proper evidence in favour of this. Since preoperative drainage is used in many hospitals, a more in-depth study of this technology is needed. In one randomised double-blind study, preoperative treatment of patients with acute cholecystitis with non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs led to a significant reduction of temperature and pains compared with the placebo group. In those who were not operated, it also reduced the length of the stay in hospital781. This corresponds to two other randomised trials, in which patients who were admitted acutely with gallstone pains, were randomised for non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs or placebo18, 283. In both cases, progression to acute cholecystitis was significantly lower in the group that was treated. Non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs reduce the pressure in the gallbladder during acute cholecystitis780, a further sign that the drugs impede or delay the development of acute cholecystitis. Time spent in hospital, sick leave and complications There are too few larger consecutive series (>200 patients) of newer date to give an impression of the time spent in hospital, duration of sick leave and the complication rates for the different methods of cholecystectomy90, 638, 655, 796, 809 . Furthermore, the materials differ a lot due to the broad clinical spectrum of acute cholecystitis. The single randomised comparison of traditional open laparotomy and minilaparotomy51 suggested that patients with uncomplicated acute cholecystitis spend more or less the same amount of time in hospital and convalescing as patients with an elective cholecystectomy. Lesion of the bile ducts is 2-3 times more common after operations on patients with acute cholecystitis than after elective simple cholecystec- 97 tomy. There are no signs that this over-frequency of bile duct lesions has diminished since the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy658. Mortality The 30-day mortality rate for simple cholecystectomy after acute cholecystitis shows a number of fluctuations throughout the period studied (figure 37). If the patients’ general health is included, the mortality rate is significantly higher in the last three sub-periods compared with the first one (table 10). The 30-day mortality rate has also tended to rise over the years. Introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy has not reduced mortality after acute cholecystitis. By comparing the higher mortality rate after cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis with elective cholecystectomy, a rise can be detected over the years (1978-83: OR=1.25 (95% c.l. 0.931.67); 1984-87: OR=1.44 (95% c.l. 1.07-1.94); 1988-91: OR=1.85 (95% c.l. 1.29-2.65); 1992-95: OR=2.62 (95% c.l. 1,72-3,98)). One has to make certain reservations in regard to the data for the final sub-period because patients with acute cholecystitis were not always classified correctly in 1994-95 (page 93). It is impossible to make comparisons with the available literature, since no valid recent studies exist of 30-days mortality rates after cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis. 6.3.2 Cholecystolithotomy and partial cholecystectomy Cholecystolithotomy and partial cholecystectomy are well-known technologies, if the anatomical circumstances are such that the gallbladder cannot be removed without grave risk of lesion to the bile duct 704. Cholecystolithotomy is also used for particularly sick patients, as it can be performed under a local anasthesia118. A number of series have been published which show that this technology is used to a certain extent297, 381, 850, but no comparable studies have been made. 6.3.3 Ultrasonic drainage Drainage of acute cholecystitis was not a readily available option until the introduction of ultrasound. The first description is of ultrasonic drainage of an empyema (an abscess in the gallbladder)623. A number of series have been published112, 339, 499, 804, 808 showing that the technology can be used, and that it is used in Denmark735. The greatest problem is the risk of the drain sliding out of position and causing a leak of bile into the abdominal cavity. As with elective conditions (page 85), ultrasonic drainage can be followed by dilation of the canal, pulverisation (laser/ultrasound) of the 98 gallstones and subsequent flushing out of the remains of stones345. Because of the low mortality rate (0.4%)773 after percutaneous cholecystotomy, this treatment is recommended6 for patients who are too sick to undergo an operation. Literature about larger clinical series and especially about following-up on these patients is scarce. Discussion A number of technologies exist to relieve acute infection of the gallbladder. However, the literature is incredibly weak, since nobody has conducted comparable studies to find out which treatment is best under which circumstances. Acute infection of the gall bladder stretches from a reasonably straightforward condition – which can be dealt with by a cholecystectomy without causing greater problems than elective cholecystectomy – to acute life-threatening conditions. Furthermore, the patients’ conditions vary from no co-morbidity to a high degree of co-morbidity. The literature provides no evidence of when cholecystectomy ought to be performed, when drainage ought to be used and followed up with a cholecystectomy, or when drainage alone is sufficient. In the absence of clearcut recommendations, many departments have devised their own methods of solving the problem. 6.3.4 Acalculous cholecystitis Patients with acalculous cholecystitis make up a special sub-group who do not have stones in the gallbladder and who are often very sick for other reasons. The majority of cases arise after major traumas and major operations. The acute treatment consists of drainage of the gallbladder. The question is: to what extent this treatment ought to be followed up with a cholecystectomy during a calm phase? In a single series covering 19 patients who were followed for a median 26 months, 17 remained free of symptoms and had properly functioning gallbladders78. There are no comparable studies. 99 7. Treatment of patients with choledochal stones The vast majority of stones in the bile ducts stem from the gallbladder and can be seen as a complication to gallbladder stones (see section 1.1.3). Stones generated primarily in the bile ducts are usually formed during infections. 7.1 D EVELOPMENTS IN D ENMARK , 1978-95 Courses of treatment that include bile duct treatment as part of the index treatment make up 27% of the total number (table 1). Slightly over half of the patients also had a cholecystectomy. The vast majority of the patients (94.4%) had stones in the bile ducts, while the rest had benign tumours and biliary tract dyskinesia. Among the latter there was a rise from 4.5% in 1978-83 to 7.4% in 1992-95. The survey of bile duct treatment from 1978-95 was based on patients who had open or endoscopic treatment for bile duct disorders independent of simultaneous cholecystectomy (figure 41). FIGURE 41 All operations on bile duct - with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women 100 Men The rate for women fell by 30% from 1978 to 1991 (2.3% per annum) and rose by 22% until 1995 (5.6% per annum). The rate for men fell 13% from 1978 to 1991 (1.0% per annum) and rose by 31% until 1995 (7.7% per annum). The curves indicate a number of characteristic changes in the pattern of treatment. The most prominent is a fall in the rate of traditional open bile duct surgery (figure 42) and a rise in the rate of endoscopic bile duct treatment (figure 43). FIGURE 42 Open bile duct surgery - with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men The declining rate of open bile duct surgery was due in particular to a noticeable reduction in the proportion of patients who had an open cholecystectomy simultaneous with bile duct surgery, while the increase in endoscopic bile duct treatment was predominantly due to the use of endoscopic sphincterotomy as the only treatment. A total picture of developments in the different types of bile duct treatment is included in appendix 3. 101 FIGURE 43 Endoscopic bile duct surgery - with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Kvinder Mænd The age-related rates (figure 44 & 45) show that bile duct treatment is most prevalent among the elderly. The treatment rate reaches a minor peak for 30-year-old women. FIGURE 44 All operations on bile ducts - women, with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 102 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 1992-1995 80 FIGURE 45 All operations on bile ducts - men, with biliary tract diagnosis Rate per 100,000 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 80 1992-1995 Discussion The switch from open to endoscopic treatment corresponds to international developments232. The fall in the number of operations on the bile ducts in the 80s also corresponds to the literature605. No international studies were found that describe possible changing operation rates on the bile duct since the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The decrease in the number of operations on the bile ducts in the 80s may be due to the decrease in incidence of gallstones. Another explanation may be that attitudes to examining patients with stones in the gallbladder changed from routine examination for stones in the bile ducts in all patients who had a cholecystectomy, to examining only selected patients who displayed signs of stones in the bile ducts21, 311. The reason for this change in attitudes was that the routine examination gave occasion to unnecessary operations on the bile ducts, partly because of a number of false positive findings and partly because of findings of small gallstones, a large number of which would have passed spontaneously311, 543. After the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, reintroduction of routine intraoperative cholangiography or preoperative ERCP was advocated by some77, 113, 662. This may have increase the rates of unnecessary ERCP and intraoperative cholangiography and associated treatments. Since endo- 103 scopic and open treatment of bile ducts are associated with few, but serious complications, it is important to draw up appropriate guidelines for diagnostics of stones in the bile ducts. Conclusion While the number of open operations on bile ducts (with or without cholecystectomy) fell throughout the whole period – coinciding with the spread of ERCP – the rate of endoscopic bile duct surgery rose. The pattern in these changes was expected. While the total number of patients who had bile duct treatment fell in the 80s, the number rose after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. 7.2 I NDICATION FOR EXAMINATION AND TREATMENT OF STONES IN THE BILE DUCTS Stones in the bile ducts are diagnosed either because of symptoms (jaundice, infection of the bile ducts, pains and pancreatitis) or by a routine survey of the bile ducts during cholecystectomy. In the case of symptoms, there is always an indication for treatment, while routine examination and treatment of randomly discovered stones can be discussed. Many of the stones in the bile ducts probably pass spontaneously448. The question is: what is the best strategy for examining a patient for stones in the bile ducts in connection with a cholecystectomy? Examination of the bile ducts in connection with cholecystectomy can be intraoperative cholangiography, ERCP or MRC. Only ERCP has a treatment code in the National Hospital Discharge Register, while the other two are not registered (there would, however, not be many with MRC before 1995). The proportion of simple cholecystectomy patients who undergo diagnostic ERCP is illustrated in figure 46. The curve shows a clearly rising tendency - especially after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. To what extent the rise is exclusively due to ERCP replacing intraoperative cholangiography or reflects changes of the indications cannot be assessed. 104 FIGURE 46 ERCP during hospitalisation for simple cholecystectomy Percent 10 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 A lot of articles mention the lack of agreement about which patients should be examined for bile duct stones in connection with an impending cholecystectomy. A systematic study of the literature - involving both observational studies and randomised surveys – does provide a clear picture, however: ❖ Patients shown by ultrasound not to have a broad bile duct (>6-10 mm), patients who do not have jaundice or liveraffection, do not have a broad ductus cysticus, do not have a pancreatitis and do not have palpable stones in ductus choledochus intraoperatively, very rarely have bile duct stones 1, 178, 310, 761, 857. These findings suggest that not all cholecystectomy patients need to be examined for stones in the bile ducts. ❖ The consequence of conducting intraoperative cholangiography on all patients are a number of false positive findings and consequent unnecessary choledochal exploration 857. ❖ Follow-up of groups of patients, whose bile ducts were not examined in connection with cholecystectomy, revealed no 292 patients or only one single patient with choledochal stones 293. ❖ Patients with no signs of bile duct stones were randomised for intraoperative cholangiography or not 311, 543, 723. In the control group, no patients had residual stones in ductus choledochus - not even after 6-8 years follow-up 309. In one of the studies 543, 105 12% of those who had intraoperative cholangiography had choledochus stones. Thus a number of unnecessary operations was the consequence of routine examination for choledochal stones. ❖ Comparison of routine intraoperative cholangiography with selective intraoperative cholangiography showed - in randomised trials - that the latter strategy was justifiable 21, 706. Thus, simple techniques make it possible to identify approx. 80%769 of the patients who do not need a closer examination of the bile ducts in connection with a cholecystectomy. However, surgeons do not always adhere to these simple rules. A questionnaire survey in the USA showed that approximately half of the surgeons recommended routine intraoperative cholangiography111. Comparison of diagnostic methods The comparison between MRC and ERCP attracts special interest, as the former method is non-invasive and, therefore, not associated with the complications caused by ERCP. The method is promising727 but would be expensive, if new equipment had to be purchased exclusively to examine biliary tracts. In recent years, it has been proven that intraoperative ultrasound scanning is excellent for routine identification of stones in the bile ducts66, 652 but the examination ought not to be performed unless indications are clear. Conclusion Without reducing the safety and quality of the treatment, the proportion of operations on the bile ducts could be reduced significantly by introducing fixed guidelines for examinations for stones in the bile ducts in patients due to undergo a cholecystectomy. The new MRC technology needs to be assessed in relation to ERCP but should not entail changes to the actual indication for examination of the bile ducts. 7.3 M ETHODS OF TREATMENT The primary purpose of the treatment is to provide a drain for the bile, while the secondary purpose is to remove gallstones. For this section, a systematic literature search has been conducted in order to identify all randomised trials . The technologies described are: ❖ 106 surgical removal (traditional open bile duct surgery, bile duct surgery by minilaparotomy and laparoscopic bile duct surgery) ❖ endoscopic removal (via ERCP or percutaneous methods). 7.3.1 Surgical methods of treatment Only a few recent (post-1978) clinical series covering more than 200 patients have dealt with traditional open choledochal surgery 237, 561, 580. They all reveal good results for removal of the stones in 96-98% of the cases. Correspondingly, only two studies of more than 200 patients were identified in which laparoscopic choledochal surgery was consistently used on bile duct stones76, 523 with a success rate of 96-97%. Laparoscopic choledochal surgery has not been as widespread as laparoscopic cholecystectomy and has not yet been introduced in Denmark37. Choledochal surgery by minilaparotomy is mentioned only casuistically197, 532. Complications – mainly in the form of sepsis, biliary leak, pneumonia and haemorrhaging – were calculated either very differently or not at all, so it has not been possible on the basis of such sparse material to compare the three methods. No randomised surveys have been conducted that compare the three methods. Several sources stress that the laparoscopic approach is still at the experimental stage37. 7.3.2 Endoscopic methods of treatment A number of clinical series have been published that deal with endoscopic treatment of stones in the bile ducts. A study of series of 200+ consecutive patients treated after 1978 reveals that the technology has the same success rate as open surgery as far as removal of stones is concerned - varying from 82% to 97%52, 85, 851. The complications are different than in the case of open surgery and mainly consist of haemorrhaging, pancreatitis, infection of the bile ducts and perforation of the duodenum - varying from 5% to 14%. The most serious complication, perforation of the duodenum, was seen in 0.1%-3%74, 85, 97, 131, 136, 154, 238, 248, 442, 459, 707, 708, 800, 843, 851. The extent to which endoscopic operation for stones in normally calibrated bile ducts causes more complications than operations in dilated bile ducts has been discussed and conflicting results emerge from the literature136, 843. On the other hand, it is generally agreed that endoscopic treatment of a slender bile duct without stones (e.g. for sphincter Oddi dyskinesia - page 83) is associated with a two-fivefold increased risk of complications compared with a stone-filled bile duct248, 708. There is considerable disagreement about the extent to which prophylactic antibiotic treatment should be administered to patients suspected of having stones 107 in the bile ducts in order to avoid subsequent infection. One randomised survey shows a positive effect122 while two others failed to concur 229, 314. The 30-day mortality rate was calculated at 1.2%-4.7% 248, 459, 708, 800. Alternative or supplementary technologies along with endoscopic treatment In order to avoid complications associated with sphincterotomy, a method has been developed whereby the bile duct sphincter is dilated with a balloon before the bile duct stones are removed474. In addition, a number of technologies have been developed to deal with the more complicated choledochus stones that cannot be removed by general sphincterotomy or balloon dilatation: ❖ Application of stent (plastic tube so bile can pass the stones) 125, 397, 741. ❖ Contact pulverisation (laser) through a so-called mother-child scope (thin scope is passed through the normal-size scope up into the bile duct) 156, 563, through a drainage tract (after an operation) 617 or transheptically 342, 753. ❖ Mechanical pulverisation 142, 710 by ERCP or drainage tract. ❖ Dissolution of the stones by injecting ether or other solvents 544, 559, 751, 786 into the bile duct; ❖ ESWL (extracorporeal contusion) 7, 517, 738. These technologies have rarely been compared in clinical series. One randomised survey showed that balloon angioplasty was just as good as sphincterotomy 81, while another randomised survey showed that lithotripsy (contusion of the stones via ERCP) was better than ESWL because fewer courses of treatment and examinations were necessary348. Subsequent cholecystectomy Should patients subsequently have their gallbladders removed after successful endoscopic treatment of bile duct stones? A number of clinical series show a cholecystectomy rate of 6-20% in a follow-up of 3-4 years 191, 302, 305, 326, 344, 415, 558, 763 . The vast majority of the cholecystectomies were performed within 1-2 years302, 326. The majority of the indications for subsequent cholecystectomy consisted of acute cholecystitis that was treated without any problems. It can be concluded that subsequent cholecystectomy is not justified unless the patient develops symptoms that can be ascribed to stones in the gallbladder. 108 7.3.3 Comparison between surgical and endoscopic treatment Surgical treatment has been compared with endoscopic treatment in a number of randomised trials: ❖ In four of these trials (230 patients), the patients were randomised to preoperative endoscopic removal of stones in the bile duct followed by traditional open cholecystectomy or cholecystectomy and removal of bile duct stone by traditional open laparotomy 394, 557, 737, 748. An overall evaluation of the complication rates, mortality rates and direct costs, revealed that using the endoscopic method as opposed to open surgery did not offer any advantages. ❖ Three studies representing 263 patients 303, 424, 764 compared endoscopic treatment (with no immediate plan for a subsequent cholecystectomy) with open surgery. One of the studies, which covered patients with acute infection of the bile ducts 424, showed significantly lower mortality rates for acute endoscopy compared with acute open surgery, while the other two 303, 764 both suggest surgery as the initial treatment. ❖ One single randomised trial 167 representing 207 patients found that preoperative endoscopic treatment and subsequent laparoscopic cholecystectomy are no better than a laparoscopic operation that removes both gallbladder and bile duct stones, as the total time spent in hospital by the endoscopic group was 9.5 days compared to 6.5 days for the laparoscopic group. Conclusion Endoscopic treatment of stones in the bile ducts is probably best suited to acute infection of the bile ducts but otherwise does not appear to be any better than either open surgery or laparoscopic surgery. The source material is, however, small and varied in nature, so it is difficult to draw definitive conclusions. A major randomised survey of endoscopic vs. open treatment is needed. It might be worth considering whether the open treatment should follow the principles as minilaparotomy. 7.3.4 Thirty-day mortality rates in Denmark, 1978-95 As endoscopic bile duct treatment is presumed to cause less surgical trauma than corresponding open surgery, a fall was expected in the 30day mortality rate after treatment for stones in the bile ducts during the period studied because the proportion of endoscopic bile duct treatments increased. The mortality rate decreased throughout the period for patients admitted electively but there is no clear tendency for acute admissions (figure 47). The 30-day mortality rate (table 12) also decreased in the analy- 109 sis that took account of age, gender and co-morbidity. The decrease was most pronounced among elective patients. TABLE 12 The 30-day mortality a in all patients who had operations on biliary ducts in relation to the method of admission and period. Only cases with biliary tract diagnoses were included and in the multiple logistic regression analysis account was taken of age, gender and co-morbidity. All operations on the bile ducts Period Elective admission Acute admission Total OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) 1978-1983 1.00 1.00 1.00 1984-1987 0.59 (0.36-0.97) 0.95 (0.73-1.23) 0.84 (0.67-1.05) 1988-1991 0.54 (0.31-0.95) 1.11 (0.86-1.44) 0.95 (0.76-1.19) 1992-1995 0.59 (0.33-1.04) 0.85 (0.64-1.11) 0.76 (0.60-0.97) a: The mortality is measured from the date of admission as the actual date of operation is not stipulated in the National Hospital Discharge Register FIGURE 47 All operations on bile ducts - mortality rates standardised for gender and age Number per 1,000 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Total Acute Elective The literature contains insufficient information about the 30-day mortality rate after operation on bile duct 110 8. Treatment of patients with gallstone pancreatitis Gallstone pancreatitis is probably caused by an acute obstruction at the confluence of the choledochal and pancreatic duct either because of a stone blocking the passage or because of the oedema that occurs when a stone is passed4, 576. Cases of gallstone pancreatitis are classified as mild or severe in accordance with recognised guidelines – the Glasgow criteria95 or the Ranson criteria632. In mild cases, pancreatitis passes quickly, while severe cases may cause necrosis of the pancreas and abscesses and develop into a lifethreatening condition. 8.1 D EVELOPMENT IN D ENMARK , 1978-95 No separate curves have been drawn up for treatment of patients with gallstone pancreatitis, since the patient category cannot be identified with 100% accuracy in the National Hospital Discharge Register. Treatment form part of the curves for simple cholecystectomy and for treatment of stones in the bile ducts. 8.2 I NDICATION FOR TREATMENT As a general principle, there is always an indication for treatment when a patient is diagnosed as having gallstone pancreatitis as the risk of recurrence is 25-50%211, 495, 586. 8.3 M ETHODS OF TREATMENT The primary purpose of the treatment is to make sure that the pancreatitis does not develop into a serious condition. The secondary purpose is to remove the cause of the pancreatitis, so the patient does not suffer a relapse. The technologies used are: ❖ Cholecystectomy (in the form of traditional open laparotomy, minilaparotomy or laparoscopy) perhaps combined with open or endoscopic bile duct treatment. ❖ Endoscopic operation (ERCP with sphincterotomy) perhaps followed by simple cholecystectomy. 111 8.3.1 Cholecystectomy Until the late 70s, the standard treatment was traditional open cholecystectomy combined with choledochal surgery if stones were found intraoperatively. Timing of cholecystectomy in relation to pancreatitis Because of the high risk of relapse, it was suggested as early as 1964 that cholecystectomy should be performed during the same stay in hospital when the pancreatitis had subsided instead of waiting for a subsequent admission277. A randomised trial755 supported this treatment policy, as it showed that patients operated during the same stay in hospital were ill for a shorter period of time than those operated six weeks later. There was no difference in the complication rates for the two groups. However, the study is not up-to-date, since open sphincterotomy was consistently performed on all – an operation only extremely rarely carried out these days. A corresponding randomised survey is mentioned in the literature but does not appear to have been published473. The principle of treatment during the same stay in hospital has evidently worked well according to a whole string of clinical series – summed up in a review article593. One suggestion in favour of sub-acute operation within 48 hours5 was contradicted by others389, 632. A randomised trial390, in which 165 patients were allocated to either early (<2 days) or late (4-10 days after admission) cholecystectomy, showed that there was no significant difference between the two treatment strategies in the group with mild pancreatitis. The group with severe pancreatitis did, however, suffer a significantly greater number of complications and deaths using the early strategy than it did using the later strategy. Cholecystectomy by traditional open laparotomy, minilaparotomy or laparoscopy After the laparoscopic method was introduced, it gradually became common for cholecystectomy after acute pancreatitis177. A survey of all cholecystectomies in the state of Connecticut in the USA658 from 1989 to 1993 showed that the occurrence of bile duct lesions in cholecystectomy for acute pancreatitis was significantly higher than for elective cholecystectomies and that the complications seem to be greater for laparoscopic technology than for traditional open technology. No series analysed the 30-day mortality rate. No randomised surveys exist that compare the three methods of cholecystectomy. 112 8.3.2 Endoscopic treatment Endoscopic sphincterotomy for acute gallstone pancreatitis was not described until the late 70s and early 80s144, 668, 731. The philosophy behind this technology is to provide a drain for the bile duct early to make the pancreatitis subside. A whole string of clinical series show that this technology can be used – summed up in a review845. Acute endoscopy versus ‘wait-and-see’ attitude Four randomised trials have been identified216, 235, 556, 560, 570 covering 742 patients. In each of these surveys, the patients were randomised either to sub-acute endoscopy with sphincterotomy (if the examination revealed stones in the bile duct) or expectant treatment supplemented with later endoscopy if the clinical situation necessitated it. The effect was measured in terms of the length of admission, complications and mortality rates. It was generally agreed that patients with mild gallstone pancreatitis do not benefit from early endoscopy and sphincterotomy – there may even be an increased risk of complications in the group who undergo endoscopy early216. As far as patients with a severe pancreatitis are concerned, the results diverge from a distinct positive effect of early endoscopy556, 570 to a distinct tendency216 towards a negative effect because of too many severe complications235. All the works can be criticised on one or more points, including the way they delineate the patient population. It should be noted that the earlier patients with gallstone pancreatitis have their bile duct examined, the greater the probability of finding the stone(s) before it/they pass spontaneously. In patients examined within two days of initial symptoms, stones were found in the bile ducts in 4470% of cases, while in patients examined 3-7 days after the initial symptoms, stones were found in the bile ducts in 20% of cases865, 866. 8.3.3 Treatment strategies for gallstone pancreatitis – summary Treatment within 48 hours In the acute phase, no indication was found for specific treatment of mild gallstone pancreatitis. A single randomised survey showed that acute cholecystectomy ought not to be performed for severe gallstone pancreatitis390, while four randomised examinations failed to give a straightforward picture of the extent to which a sphincterotomy should be performed216, 235, 556, 560, 570. 113 Treatment before discharge Both cholecystectomy and endoscopic sphincterotomy seem to prevent recurrence of pancreatitis, so it is recommended that all patients with gallstone pancreatitis have performed one of these treatments before discharge. However, there is a shortage of randomised surveys to prove which treatment is best. It is suggested494 that at least those patients who have difficulty coping with an operation should have a sphincterotomy after the pancreatitis has been dealt with successfully (regardless of whether there are stones in the bile duct or not). Treatment after discharge Should patients who have had a sphincterotomy subsequently undergo a cholecystectomy? A single work was identified covering 51 patients830 in which the patients were followed after sphincterotomy without a subsequent cholecystectomy. A total of two developed new cases of pancreatitis in a follow-up period of 27 months. Both cases occurred in a group of three patients for whom the initial sphincterotomy was stipulated as being insufficient. No information was provided about other complications associated with the fact that the gallbladder was not removed. Conclusion As a main rule, patients with gallstone pancreatitis should undergo final treatment (cholecystectomy or sphincterotomy) before discharge. It is not known which method is best. General agreement has not been reached about the initial treatment of severe gallstone pancreatitis. Further research is needed in the area. Patients who undergo sphincterotomy do not need a subsequent routine cholecystectomy. 114 9. The patient A number of the factors normally covered in the chapter about the patient have been included in the technology section of this assessment. This approach was chosen because it seemed the most natural. The topics concerned were postoperative pains, length of hospitalisation, convalescence and persistent pains. 9.1 T HE PATIENT ’ S CHOICE OF TREATMENT PROCEDURE Literature is particularly sparse in this area. Even though many articles about laparoscopic cholecystectomy start off by stating that laparoscopic cholecystectomy has now become a patient demand, the evidence for this is very scarce. A single work has been identified in which the patient’s view of different gallstone treatments has been investigated by means of an interview survey68. Forty patients were selected with various medical illnesses but not with gallstones. Patients without gallstones were chosen because they are assumed not to be prejudiced. A panel consisting of clinical experts in gallstone treatment (two surgeons, a gastroenterologist, a radiologist and a nurse), three health service researchers and a lay person, drew up descriptions of traditional open cholecystectomy, laparoscopic cholecystectomy and ESWL as well as of possible temporary consequences (acute cholecystitis, gallstone pancreatitis, postoperative sepsis , post-operative bile duct stones and post-operative bile duct stricture) as well as of chronic results (post-cholecystectomy pains, biliary colic, persistent asymptomatic gallstones and surgical scars). The preference for each treatment and result was to be stated on a scale from 0 (death) to 100 (perfect health). ESWL was deemed slightly better than laparoscopic cholecystectomy and both of these technologies were deemed preferable to traditional open cholecystectomy. The preferences were far from definitive and depended on the possible temporary and chronic consequences. For both post-cholecystectomy pains and biliary colic, the preferences depended on the regularity of the symptoms – the more often, the lower the preference. The preferences were not dependent on gender, age and race. The article does not divulge the nature of the detailed descriptions of the individual procedures. Thus, it does not reveal what information was provided about the difference between, for example, serious complications. 115 Cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy and “watchful waiting” were not included in the assessment. It was impossible to identify works that analyse gallstone patients’ preferences for the different methods after they have been provided with detailed information. Knowledge of patient preferences ought to be expanded. Bass’ method 68 could be adapted to include a greater number of aspects and used with a group of patients due for gallstone treatment. This would require a department that masters all the different potential forms of treatment. 9.2 P ATIENT EXPECTATIONS A single work dealt with patient expectations of gallstone treatments649. All the patients expected to be cured of their pains as well as of any complications to their gallstone disorders and 86% of the patients with dyspeptic symptoms expected to be cured of these too – either because the patients thought that the symptoms were connected with their gallstone disorders or because their doctor had said they were 9.3 P ATIENT INFORMATION According to the Danish National Board of Health38, the patient has the right to be informed about his health and about treatment options, including the risk of complications and side effects. Health service employees are also obliged to inform patients of serious and common complications at all times and to inform them of serious and rare complications in most cases. Information about complications has to be weighed in relation to the seriousness of the disease and the expected effect of a given treatment. Thus, staff can weigh the information about the possible treatments including advantages and disadvantages. No studies exist about the extent to which patients are informed about the risk of complications and what influence this has on the patients’ choice of procedure. Few studies abroad have looked at the patients’ assessment of the information provided. A total of 77% considered the information provided before a cholecystectomy to be sufficient92. In another study, the patients found that they received adequate information about the necessity of their operation378, although the percentage was slightly higher for laparoscopic cholecystectomy (96%) than for traditional open cholecystectomy (94%). This high degree of satisfaction with general questions is well-known from other patient satisfaction surveys. When posing more specific questions, a different assessment is often seen. In a detailed postoperative study of laparoscopic cholecystectomy (the patients were interviewed on days 1, 2, 116 3, 4 and 7 after the operation), the majority of patients stated that they were suffering from greater pain, more nausea, vomiting and fatigue than they had been led to expect by the information provided in advance of the operation130. 9.4 T HE PATIENT ’ S ASSESSMENT OF THE GIVEN TREATMENT Assessment of persistent pains has been thoroughly discussed earlier (section 5.2 & table 3 in appendix 3). This section will, therefore, focus on other ways of measuring levels of satisfaction. Complete or partial success/satisfaction was claimed after 86-94% of laparoscopic and 82-95% of traditional open cholecystectomies378, 846. In a multi-centre study involving eight European countries, 91% said that the result of their laparoscopic cholecystectomy was as expected and 79% said that they recovered as quickly as they had expected92. No special age difference was experienced as far as general satisfaction with the given treatment was concerned (84% in patients over 60 year and 79% among the rest)531. A series of quality targets concerning pre-operative expectations, choice of the same operation again, satisfaction with the stay in hospital plus time spent with the doctor(s) and nurse(s) varied from 88-97% – all with a tendency to slightly poorer results in those who had traditional open cholecystectomy than in those who had laparoscopic cholecystectomy. This could be interpreted as greater interest in the latter patient category378. A large proportion (26% and 23% after traditional and laparoscopic cholecystectomy, respectively) thought that they were sent home from the hospital too soon (4 days and 1 day after the operation, respectively). Comparison between cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy and by laparoscopy in a blinded study showed that an equally large share of patients in the two groups considered the result excellent or good after 1 and 12 weeks504. There was a tendency for the laparoscopy group to be more satisfied than the minilaparotomy group, but after a year505 there was no difference in the success rates (table 13). A significantly larger number of the laparoscopy group were satisfied with their scar after 12 weeks (84%) compared with the minilaparotomy group (74%). While 97% of patients in the laparoscopy group said they would have chosen the same operation again, the corresponding figure for the minilaparotomy group was 94%504. In other words, the all-round level of satisfaction was very high indeed. 117 TABLE 13 Patients’ general satisfaction with the result of cholecystectomy by laparoscopic method or minilaparotomy. Method of access Satisfaction at different times after the operation Laparoscopic Minilaparotomy One week after the operation Excellent 60% 41% Good 26% 45% Satisfactory or poor a 14% 14% 12 weeks after the operation Excellent 69% 54% Good 23% 39% 8% 7% Excellent 59% 58% Good 25% 21% Satisfactory 11% 14% 5% 7% Satisfactory or poor a 1 year after the operation Poor a: The author does not differentiate between “satisfactory” and “poor” in the surveys after 1 and 12 weeks. McMahon 504, 505 Two of the randomised surveys comparing cholecystectomy with ESWL showed equally satisfactory quality of life measured by two different questionnaires64 and by the Nottingham Health Profile565, while the third revealed significantly higher quality of life after traditional open cholecystectomy than after ESW 615. Discussion In general, patients are highly satisfied with the biliary tract treatment they have received. Just after the treatment, there is a tendency towards greater satisfaction among those who undergo laparoscopic cholecystectomy and ESWL compared to the open forms of operation where patients can be affected by staff attitudes to the new forms of treatment. After a year, there was no difference in assessments of the treatments. Many felt they were discharged from hospital too quickly. 118 10. Organisation 10.1 A DMINISTRATIVE RULES FOR THE TREATMENT OF PATIENTS WITH GALLSTONES IN D ENMARK According to the National Board of Health’s ‘Special planning and national and regional functions in the hospital service’36, cholecystectomy with associated uncomplicated open bile duct surgery is a basic treatment. Thus, in principle, it has to be available in every surgical department that provides a basic service. The guidelines stipulate that ERCP should be concentrated at one central location in each county, since at least 100 examinations must be conducted per annum. The treatment of severe choledochus stones, bile duct stricture and bile duct lesions is, however, a national/regional function and should be concentrated in four specific departments around the country. Examinations for, and treatment of, biliary tract dyskinesia should be available in two specific departments in the country. Due partly to regional variations in the services on offer, the Danish National Board of Health set up a working party to recommend ways of drawing up definitive indications for specific treatments. In 1995, the working party recommended33 that efforts in the area be intensified – e.g. by drafting reference programmes and holding consensus conferences. As far as gallstone treatment is concerned, these recommendations were not followed up, although this HTA report could be considered part of the process. 10.2 G ALLSTONE TREATMENTS IN D ENMARK 10.2.1 Developments in Denmark, 1978-95 In 1978-83, 75 surgical departments performed biliary tract surgery in Denmark, falling to 58 in. If all biliary tract operations were taken together, an average of 81 operations were performed per department per annum in 1992-95, varying from 10 to over 100 per annum. A total of 5 departments performed less than 25 operations per annum, while 14 departments performed more than 100. As far as simple cholecystectomy was concerned, an average of 55 operations were performed per department per annum in 1992-95, varying from under 10 to over 100 operations per annum. A total of 9 departments performed less than 25 chole- 119 cystectomies per annum, while 6 conducted more than 100 per annum. No figures are available for the number of doctors performing gallstone operations in Denmark during the period in question. If the average number of surgeons performing biliary tract surgery per department was four, the average number of simple cholecystectomies per surgeon would have been approximately one per month. 10.2.2 Morbidity and mortality in relation to the number of operations The surgical departments were divided into four equally large groups (quartiles) based on the number of cholecystectomies performed per annum (appendix 4). The proportion of simple cholecystectomies after which the patient was readmitted for new biliary tract procedures was significantly higher in the hospitals that performed the fewest operations. The material does not reveal the extent to which the re-admissions were due to residual choledochal stones or bile duct lesions (table 14). On the other hand, there was a tendency for the 30-day mortality rate to be highest in those hospitals, in which the greatest number of gallstone patients were treated per annum (table 14). This report is unable to explain the differences found. TABLE 14 Morbidity and 30-day mortality after simple cholecystectomy in relation to the number of surgical procedures per annum. Morbidity Mortality Quartiles OR (95% c.l.) OR (95% c.l.) 1st quartile a 1,45 (1,02-2,07) 0,94 (0,67-1,34) 2nd quartile 1,11 (0,86-1,43) 0,78 (0,62-0,99) 3rd quartile 0,93 (0,74-1,17) 0,85 (0,71-1,03) 4th quartile 1,00 1,00 a: The departments were divided up into four equal parts based on the number of simple cholecystectomies performed per annum. The first quartile represents the quarter of the departments that perform the fewest operations. 10.3 T RAINING FOR GALLSTONE SURGEONS Cholecystectomy According to the Danish National Board of Health, simple cholecystectomy is one of the operations that surgeons have to learn to perform at “high level” during their training35. Approx. 50 surgeons graduate per annum. No official data exists for how many cholecystectomies a surgeon has to conduct before s/he is deemed able to perform the operation at a “high level”. The introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy has really 120 brought training into focus because it is a brand new operating technique. The steep learning curve is used to explain the high incidence of complications526. In one study covering 8,839 cholecystectomies, it was calculated 526 that the risk of bile duct lesion was 1.7% in the first operation performed by a surgeon, and 0.17% by operation number 50. Another study577 showed that the curve for technical complications did not fall until after the first 30 operations. If all newly graduated surgeons in Denmark had to learn laparoscopic cholecystectomy, then the figures quoted above would mean that approx. 1,500-2,500 (corresponding to 50-80%) of all cholecystectomies per annum would be part of their training. No randomised studies have been conducted into the importance of training. A comparison between two training strategies in Japan showed significantly fewer complications in operations carried out by the group of surgeons who were supervised during their first ten laparoscopic cholecystectomies compared with the group who were only supervised during the first two855. Another survey showed no difference in the complication rates for surgeons trained “according to normal surgical training” as opposed to the same training with an extra course in laparoscopic technology and practical exercises in operations on pigs253. However, the comparison was only based on 2 x 48 operations. Nobody is suggesting that surgeons should not be trained in the technique202. The debate is about the extent to which training should be on patients and according to the apprenticeship principle705, on patients and under mutual supervision227, on animal models457 or in specially built simulators729. A simulator is a sealed box with a full set of laparoscopic equipment. An animal liver and gallbladder are placed in the box and can be removed under circumstances that simulate an operation on a patient. This is an inexpensive training model. It uses old instruments and the animal livers are also cheap. In principle, the procedure can be repeated ‘infinitely’, until the surgeon has learned the technique properly. The largest single cost involved is the surgeon’s time. This method is used in Denmark63. A questionnaire survey in the USA50 of 285 specially selected surgeons (response rate 52%) showed that 74% were of the opinion that training on animal models was necessary and 66% that new surgeons should be subjected to a supervisory period (average 12 patients) before final certification. A questionnaire survey of 1,031 surgeons in Great Britain (response rate 76%) showed that 9% had trained on animal models, 32% had attended courses that included practical exercises, 52% had visited 121 and observed other surgeons and 67% had invited experienced surgeons to attend their hospital 470. Discussion It is been discussed whether the number of surgeons who perform cholecystectomies ought to be restricted312. However, within oncological surgery, it has been impossible to identify any relationship in traditional open laparotomy between the number of operations per surgeon and the success rates for the various operations 321, 363, 739. The literature suggests that the situation may be different as far as the laparoscopic technique is concerned526. Training in biliary tract surgery used to be part of general surgical training, but the introduction of the laparoscopic method brought into question the feasibility of this situation in Denmark. On the face of it, there seems to be a disparity between the number of surgeons who have to be trained and the number operations available to them. A debate is needed about the structure of this complicated medical field if the health service is to continue to concentrate on the laparoscopic method. ERCP ERCP also requires training and regular updates. The literature suggests that it takes 100-120 ERCP procedures before an endoscope operator can be considered fully trained689, 818. One survey also showed that doctors who perform more than one sphincterotomy per week encounter fewer complications than those who perform fewer248. This suggests a need for centralisation, which is also foreseen in the Danish National Board of Health guidelines36. 122 11. Economy 11.1 I NTRODUCTION The financial assessment covers the total cost of gallstone treatment in Denmark. In order to identify the most cost-effective methods, the costs of alternative treatments were also compared with the benefits in health terms. The basic elements in a financial assessment are the costs and the effects. The relevant costs were divided up into three categories: ❖ Direct costs such as wages, equipment, materials, etc. for all those involved in the treatment. ❖ Indirect costs as a result of the loss of productivity due to illness, including lost working hours and reduced spare time for patients and next-of-kin. ❖ Intangible human costs such as nervousness about the result of the treatment, pains, dissatisfaction, etc. which cannot be calculated in monetary value. The costs represent the total (social) cost of a given treatment. The analyses did not include sickness benefit, pensions, etc. since these represent a redistribution of social resources. The consequences of the treatment (effects) is the second element in a financial assessment. The effects can be measured in terms of: increased longevity, improved quality of life, absence of symptoms, risk of future complications, successful treatment, etc. A number of financial analyses have been developed for this purpose. This report used a cost-effectiveness analysis, which compared alternative interventions with different effects. The decision criteria were: to choose the alternative that minimises costs for a given effect, or conversely, maximises effects within a given budget (efficiency). This section calculates the direct costs of biliary tract treatment in Denmark and a number of financial analyses are made of simple cholecystectomy, which accounts for 69% of the total number of treatments in this field. 123 11.2 D EVELOPMENTS IN TREATMENT COSTS IN D ENMARK , 1978-1995 11.2.1 All treatments for benign biliary tract disorderse These calculations only include hospital admissions with a diagnosis related to the biliary tracts (figure 48). The costs cover bed-days, the costs of different types of diagnostic and therapeutic operation (ERCP and surgery) and expenses for apparatus and instruments. The calculations were based on a questionnaire survey sent to all surgical departments and to selected medical departments in Denmark, information about average wages as well as prices for the purchase, maintenance and consumption of apparatus and instruments all collated in 1997. A detailed breakdown is presented in appendix 5. All the costs are expressed in 1997 prices in Danish kroner (DKK). FIGURE 48 Total costs of biliary tract treatments in Denmark, 1978-1995 Costs (Mill. DKK – 1997 prices) 250 200 150 100 50 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Diagnostic ERCP Simple cholecystectomy Cholecystectomy with bile duct treatment Other bile duct treatment Totalt The total cost of treatment for biliary tract disorders fell by 46% from 1978 to 1991 (3.5% per annum) and rose by 8% until 1995 (2% per annum). The total fall from 1978 to 1995 was 41%. The only category of treatment in which costs rose before the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy was diagnostic ERCP. The total costs in 1995 were due 124 mainly to simple cholecystectomies (55%) and endoscopic bile duct surgery without cholecystectomy (20%). By dividing the costs between bed-days and the actual treatment (figure 49), it becomes clear that the cost per bed-day fell by 49% from 1978 to 1991 (3.8% per annum) followed by a minor fall of 5% until 1995 (1.2% per annum). The fall during the whole period was 52%. The costs associated with operations including equipment – remained more or less constant until 1990, after which they rose by 146% over the whole period. FIGURE 49 Total costs divided between bed-days and operations, 1978-1995 Costs (Mill. DKK – 1997 prices) 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Costs due to bed-days Costs due to treatment If the costs are calculated per admission, then they decrease over the whole period (figure 50). The fall was 3.3% per annum until 1991, after which it accelerated to 5.6% per annum. The decrease was particularly noticeable just after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. 125 FIGURE 50 Cost per admission, 1978-1995 Costs in Mill. DKK (1997-prices) 45,000 40,000 35,000 30,000 25,000 20,000 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 11.2.2 Simple cholecystectomy The total costs for courses of treatment with simple cholecystectomy as index treatment fell by 37% (2.9% per annum) until 1991, after which the curve flattened out and they fell slightly by 2.3% (0.6% per annum) (figure 51). If admissions three months before and one month after the index admission are included, then the pattern does not change. Costs per patient remained the same during the first 6 years followed by a fall of 24% (3.4% per annum) until 1991. After that they fell by 26% (6.4%/year) (figure 52). The fall was particularly noticeable just after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. 126 FIGURE 51 Total costs of simple cholecystectomy, 1978-1995 Mill. DKK (1997-prices) 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 FIGURE 52 Cost per patient with simple cholecystectomy, 1978-1995 Costs in DKK (1997-prices) 60,000 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 10,000 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 11.2.3 Discussion The calculations shown above are relatively rough, as they mainly focus on the length of stay and the costs associated with the actual operation. In 127 other words, these analyses only account for a proportion of the total costs. These components do, however, account for a significant share of the cost of treating biliary tract disorders. If both an average bed-day price and the direct cost of the actual operation are included, a certain amount of double registering may occur, since the operation affects the price per day of a hospital bed to a certain degree. However, the average bed-day price includes all admissions to Danish hospitals separate figures are not available for biliary tract surgery. The calculations do not include indirect costs in the form of sick leave after the operation since no definitive data is available about sick leave in Denmark in the period in question. As discussed later in this chapter, sick leave costs only make up a small proportion of the total costs, so they would have little effect on the conclusions. The changes in costs for all admissions and for courses of treatment involving simple cholecystectomy can be attributed to three components: the time spent in hospital, the number of periods spent in hospital and apparatus (ERCP and laparoscopic cholecystectomy). A significant cause of the fall in costs until 1991 was the reduced number of days spent in hospital, which may have been due to a change in attitudes or a desire for streamlining. Data about the number of bed-days in the National Hospital Discharge Register has proven particularly valid32. The large number of admissions for diagnostic ERCP that do not lead to a biliary tract diagnosis are avoided, by only including admissions registered under a biliary tract diagnosis. These admissions would weigh heavily, since they often involve patients who are ill for a variety of other reasons and for whom diagnostic ERCP is only one of many examinations. The developments in Denmark correspond to those in other countries, where unit costs have fallen but total costs have risen from 6-11% after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy71, 438, 578. 11.3 E CONOMICAL MODELS FOR GALLSTONE TREATMENTS In the following section, a number of alternative treatments for biliary tract disorders are assessed by means of financial models. Financial assessments of different treatment options often start with a decision tree describing alternative strategies. Figure 53 includes an example of a decision tree for patients with symptomatic uncomplicated gallstones. The decision tree is used to identify the costs and to define probabilities during the course of treatment. There are five steps in the decision analysis: 128 ❖ Identification of the specific decisions and time limits. ❖ Estimation of the different results in the decision model in the light of original studies, the literature or expert opinion. ❖ Fixing of the costs associated with the alternative treatment options and the consequences of the alternative treatments. ❖ Setting the value of the possible outcome of the treatment. ❖ Comparing the cost efficiency of the alternatives. FIGURE 53 Decision tree for the treatment of patients with symptomatic but uncomplicated gallstones Patients with symptomatic uncomplicated gallstones Laparoscopic cholecystectomy Minilaparotomy Open cholecystectomy Success Success Success Complication, reoperation Complication, reoperation Complication, reoperation Peripheral bile duct lesions Peripheral bile duct lesions Peripheral bile duct lesions Central bile duct lesions Central bile duct lesions Central bile duct lesions Conversion Conversion The financial models are based on data extracted from the literature, data from the National Hospital Discharge Register and questionnaires to surgical and medical departments in Denmark (appendix 5). 11.3.1 Treatment of patients with stones in the gallbladder Elective simple cholecystectomy accounted for 69% of all the courses of treatment from 1978-95, making it by far the most important group in a financial context. 129 Cholecystectomy by laparoscopy, minilaparotomy and traditional open laparotomy The total costs of laparoscopic cholecystectomy and cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy were calculated on the basis of two randomised studies483, 504 . The costs were based on information in the articles about the duration of operations; length of stay in hospital, bile duct lesions discovered after the operation that required either re-operation or therapeutic ERCP, other complications that required re-operation and, finally, the length of the convalescence. The specific expenses for the individual components were taken from Danish calculations (appendix 5). Cholecystectomy by laparoscopy was DKK 1,163 cheaper per patient than minilaparotomy in one of the studies504, but DKK 1,210 more expensive in the other483. The latter must in this context be considered the most valid because it was blinded. Both the randomised surveys have been criticised for including excessively long stays in hospital and long periods of convalescence; one of them has been criticised for having a very high complication rate and not being blinded504, and they constitute a very flimsy basis (approx. 500 patients), so the results should be interpreted with caution. Randomised surveys in which cholecystectomy by traditional open laparotomy is compared with minilaparotomy and laparoscopy respectively are even more scarce, which is why no financial analysis has been attempted on the basis of those figures. Instead a financial model was used in which the three methods of cholecystectomy are compared. The model was based on a number of suppositions listed in table 15. 130 TABLE 15 The baseline estimates in the model for cholecystectomy of patients with symptomatic uncomplicated gallstones divided up according to the three methods of access. LAPAROSCOPY Results Success Probability a Bed-days Costs c in DKK Sick leave 0.8835 2 9,251 8 0.0039 7 23,513 14 Central bile duct lesion 0.0026 14 39,308 42 Conversion 0.1000 6 18,656 28 Re-operation (other cause) 0.0100 Peripheral bile duct lesion 10 29,870 28 2.53 10,532 10.31 Bed-days Costs c in DKK Sick leave Average b MIINILAPAROTOMY Results Probability Success a 0.8880 2 6,169 8 Peripheral bile duct lesion 0.0017 7 20,412 14 Central bile duct lesion 0.0003 14 36,333 42 Conversion 0.1000 6 15,591 28 Re-operation (other cause) 0.0100 10 26,790 28 2.49 7,351 10.22 Bed-day Costs c in DKK Sick leave Average b TRADITIONAL LAPAROTOMY Results Probability Success a 0.9870 6 15,189 28 Peripheral bile duct lesion 0.0026 7 20,423 28 Central bile duct lesion 0.0004 14 36,250 42 Conversion 0.0000 - - - Re-operation (other cause) 0.0100 10 26,790 28 6.05 15,327 28.01 Average b a: Operations which go according to plan without conversion and/or subsequent re-operation b: The average is weighted against the probability of different results c: Direct costs Background for the suppositions: ❖ The prices of the operations were taken from a national survey (appendix 5). ❖ The prices for bed-days and sick leave were taken from national data (appendix 5). ❖ The incidence of peripheral and central bile lesions was derived from a systematic literature search (table 8). Costs of treatment for peripheral lesions were estimated to be the costs of therapeutic ERCP (since that is the most common way of treating them), while those for central lesions were estimated to be the costs of an open operation. If bile duct lesions are ignored, then there is no evidence to suggest that there is any difference in the rate of re-operation among the three methods. 131 ❖ Systematic study of the available literature does not suggest any particular difference in the time spent in hospital and convalescence after cholecystectomy by laparoscopy or by minilaparotomy. ❖ The length of time spent in hospital after traditional open cholecystectomy is estimated to be the median time spent in hospital according to the National Hospital Discharge Register around the time that laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced (figure 35). ❖ Conversion to open surgery seems to be equally frequent for both the minimal invasive techniques 483, 504. In the event of conversion, the length of stay in hospital and the length of the convalescence are presumed to be just as long as after traditional open laparotomy. The model does not include operation-related mortality rates. Other costs are, of course, associated with gallstone treatment, e.g. prehospital examinations. However, they can be assumed to be identical for all three methods and, as such, have no bearing on the results of the financial analysis. Based on the prerequisites mentioned above, the direct costs of an unproblematic operation were DKK 9,251 for a laparoscopic cholecystectomy, DKK 6,169 for a cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy and DKK 15,189 for a traditional open cholecystectomy. The differences are due to differences in the amount of time spent in hospital and the differences in the cost of equipment. In the event of problems or complications, the financial consequences are adapted, paying due heed to the alternatives i.e. conversion, re-operation or endoscopic treatment. This gives an expected average direct cost for the three forms of access of DKK 10,532, DKK 7,351 and DKK 15,327, respectively (table 15). When calculating the indirect costs, the convalescence period was used and the costs per day of sick leave were calculated at just under DKK 300. This figure was based on an aggregate consisting of the average hourly wage, proportion of the population in the workforce, proportion of the workforce in work and average number of working hours per day (appendix 5). Based on this calculation, the expected average total costs for the three methods of access work out at DKK 13,603, DKK 10,394 and DKK 23,668, respectively (table 16). The effect(Ei) is the probability of a successful intervention, in this case defined as a cholecystectomy performed without complications or other problems for the patient. The expected costs (Ci) are calculated as the sum of the costs for the possible results weighted against the probability of these results. Average cost-effectiveness expresses the cost (in DKK) per 132 successful treatment (Ci/Ei) and, as such, only assesses the individual method and does not involve the alternatives. The marginal cost efficiency expresses the cost of increasing the probability for successful operation by one unit. In other words, the ratio for the difference in costs and the effects between the two alternatives (Clap. – Cmini/Elap – Emini). TABLE 16 Result of the financial model for cholecystectomy Cost effectiveness Expected effect (E) Expected costs (C) Average (C/E) 11,920 Marginala Direct costs only for cholecystectomy by Laparoscopy 0.8835 10,532 Minilaparotomy 0.8880 7,351 8,278 Traditional laparotomy 0.9870 15,327 15,529 46,334 Both direct and indirect b costs for cholecystectomy by Laparoscopy 0.8835 13,603 15,396 Minilaparotomy 0.8880 10,394 11,705 Traditional laparotomy 0.9870 23,668 23,979 97,246 a: The costs of increasing the probability of a successful operation by one unit (for example: Clap.-Cmini/Elap.-Emini). The data was compared with laparoscopic cholecystectomy b: The indirect costs were calculated by multiplying the average sick leave by DKK 297.81 (appendix 5) The estimates in tables 15 and 16 show that cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy is both better (in the sense of a higher success rate) and cheaper than laparoscopic cholecystectomy, while cholecystectomy by open laparotomy is better (fewer bile duct lesions) than by laparoscopy but also more expensive. In the latter comparison, there is a so-called dominant solution, in which it is relevant to calculate the cost by increasing the probability that an operation will be a success (the marginal cost effectiveness). According to table 16, the price is just under DKK 100,000. If it is assumed that 75% of all simple cholecystectomies are laparoscopic and the calculation is based on the expected average total costs in table 16, it can be calculated that the total saving by switching from laparoscopic cholecystectomy to cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy in Denmark would be just under DKK 8 million per annum. Sensitivity analysis The assumptions used in the model can always be discussed. In order to comply with well-founded objections and test the durability and conclusions of the model, a number of sensitivity analyses were conducted in which the central prerequisites were varied. The preconditions can be var- 133 ied infinitely and some examples will be given in the next section. In appendix 5 (table 5 and 6) a number of estimates have been calculated by changing the direct and indirect costs as well as the prices for days spent in bed and convalescing. Changes in prices Even relatively major changes in the prices do not change the conclusion. Minilaparotomy still comes out better (fewer bile duct lesions) and cheaper than laparoscopy, and traditional open laparotomy is still better (fewer bile duct lesions) but more expensive than laparoscopy. By reducing the price per day of a hospital bed to DKK 1,000, traditional open laparotomy does, however, become almost as cost-effective as laparoscopy. The unit price for the laparoscopic columns is calculated at approximately DKK 2,000. Even if this price were lowered which would correspond to performing more operations per column laparoscopic cholecystectomy would never turn out cheaper than cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy (figure 54). Conversely, the figure shows that in departments that perform very few cholecystectomies per annum (approximately 20) the cost of laparoscopic cholecystectomy approaches that of traditional open cholecystectomy. FIGURE 54 Adjustment of the unit cost for laparoscopic columns Costs per success 18,000 16,000 14,000 12,000 10,000 8,000 6,000 4,000 2,000 0 Unit price 500 CE-lap 134 1000 1500 CE-minilap 2000 2500 CE-open 3500 Changes in the number of days spent in bed and convalescing A difference in the time spent in hospital between minilaparotomy and laparoscopy might offer up different conclusions, as a difference of over two days would make laparoscopic access cheaper than minilaparotomy. If the true time spent in hospital for laparoscopic cholecystectomy is three days, then the number of bed-days would have to rise to five days for cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy, before laparoscopy would be the least expensive solution. If, on the other hand, the stay in hospital was three days for minilaparotomy, then the time spent in hospital for a laparoscopic operation would have to be reduced to one day before it would be the least expensive solution. The time spent convalescing is not as significant. For example, sick leave after cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy would have to rise to 21 days instead of 8, before laparoscopic cholecystectomy would be cheaper. Changes in the number of complications The final option is to change the estimates of the number of complications. Even if the success rate for laparoscopic cholecystectomy was raised to 1 in other words all laparoscopic cholecystectomies would have to be a success without any complications, conversions or re-operations then cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy would still have the lowest expected cost (DKK 10,394 versus DKK 11,633). Conclusion Laparoscopic cholecystectomy is only cheaper than cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy if the difference in number of days spent in hospital is more than two. Even in a hypothetical situation without conversion or complications to laparoscopic cholecystectomy, minilaparotomy would still be a better financial alternative. Discussion A number of articles have dealt with economical analyses that calculated the costs of alternative procedures. The majority of them compared traditional open cholecystectomy with the laparoscopic procedure. The majority only analysed actual hospital costs. Bearing in mind the differences in the way the studies were designed American surveys, in particular, are based on the hospitals’ prices, which do not necessarily reflect the real costs – as well as the operation itself and the time perspective, an ambiguous picture emerges. Laparoscopic cholecystectomy varies from ap- 135 prox. 60% cheaper to 30% more expensive compared with open surgery718, 752, 803. However, hospital costs tend to be lower for the laparoscopic procedure because of the shorter stay in hospital26, 153, 258, 307, 387, 452, 501, 606, 686, 835 . As far as the scope of financial assessments that explicitly compare the costs with effects are concerned, the literature is more limited. A cost-minimisation analysis comparing laparoscopic and traditional open cholecystectomy concluded80 that traditional open cholecystectomy is cheaper than laparoscopy in regard to hospital costs. If direct and indirect costs are included, the laparoscopic procedure proves to be the best alternative in financial terms – subject, however, to a minimum of 68 patients per annum because of the investment costs for laparoscopic equipment. This conclusion was supported by another study67, which, however, found the conclusion to be sensitive to changes in the estimates. One argument against the financial models presented here is the way in which the model is constructed, i.e. with some estimates of probability taken from the literature and others calculated specifically for the purposes of this report. This method of constructing models involves a number of elements of uncertainty. The sensitivity analyses do, however, take this into account by adapting the values applied. As mentioned above, the information used about the frequency of complications after cholecystectomy was based on retrospective results and have to be interpreted with caution. However, the sensitivity analyses showed that even without conversions or complications to laparoscopic surgery, cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy would still be the best alternative in financial terms. As stated, it has not been possible to take into account the intangible costs. However, there was no difference in, for example, general satisfaction and persistent pains some months after the operation505. Patients did tend to be more satisfied with their scars 12 weeks after laparoscopic surgery than after minilaparotomy (10 cm)504. Disposable versus reusable instruments for laparoscopic cholecystectomy The instruments used for laparoscopic removal of the gallbladder are available in disposable and reusable forms. A simple cost breakdown concluded that disposable instruments are 7-12 times more expensive to use than reusable instruments even when maintenance costs for the reusable instruments are factored in327. Disposable instruments cost between DKK 3,911 and DKK 5,560. (including special agreements and volume discounts). The purchase price for a set of reusable instruments is around 136 DKK 32,000 (1996 prices), which gives a unit cost per operation of between DKK 479-834 including cleaning and maintenance costs327. However, a randomised survey has shown that the use of disposable instruments causes significantly fewer surgical/technical problems and an insignificant tendency towards faster operations and fewer conversions to open surgery than reusable instruments588. Despite these differences, reusable equipment was on average some DM 1,000 cheaper to use. Another survey found similar differences437. Common for both surveys was that they did not link the higher cost of surgical equipment directly with the potential benefits of using them. The next section consists of a cost-effectiveness analysis of the use of disposable versus reusable equipment. An economic model In this model, technical problems with instruments are included under the term ‘successful treatment’, since they have no adverse effect on the patient’s health. Technical problems cause longer operations, which have been incorporated into the model. The costs of a successful operation consist of the actual surgical equipment, surgical staff costs and days spent in bed. The financial consequences of the alternative results would consist mainly of longer operations and extra days in bed. The increased number of bed-days as a result of the different clinical situations and their respective probabilities are included in table 17. 137 TABLE 17 The baseline estimates in the model for the use of disposable or reusable equipment for laparoscopic cholecystectomy. DISPOSABLE EQUIPMENT d Operation result Probability a Success Bed-days Costs c Sick leave 0.7686 2 11,591 8 Surgical/ technical problem 0.1533 2 12,035 8 Post-operative complication 0.0122 5 18,356 10 Central bile duct lesion 0.0026 14 42,314 42 Conversion 0.0635 6 20,833 28 2.32 12,407 9.38 Bed-days Costs c Sick leave Average b REUSABLE EQUIPMENT d Operation result Probability Success a 0.5494 2 7,131 8 Surgical/ technical problem 0.3119 2 7,575 8 Post-operative complication 0.0494 5 13,896 10 Central bile duct lesion 0.0026 14 37,853 42 Conversion 0.0869 6 16,373 28 2.53 8,485 9.93 Average b a: b: c: d: Operations that go according to plan without conversion and/or subsequent re-operation The average is weighted against the probability of different results Direct costs The unit price for disposable equipment is DKK 5,560 and for reusable equipment: DKK 834. The cost per day of sick leave was calculated at just under DKK 300 (appendix 5). The economical model (table 18) shows that disposable equipment is better but also more expensive. The marginal cost efficiency of some DKK 64,000 shows the monetary value (the alternative cost) of using the next best alternative (reusable instruments). The total financial analysis shows that as far as the expected costs are concerned, the use of disposable instruments costs some DKK 9 million more per annum in Denmark than the use of reusable instruments would cost. This calculation is based on the number of simple cholecystectomies in 1995 and under the proviso that 75% of all cholecystectomies were laparoscopic. 138 TABLE 18 Results from the financial model for comparison of disposable and reusable equipment. Cost effectiveness Expected effect (E)C Expected costs (C) Average (C/E) Marginala 64.719 Direct costs only for laparoscopic cholecystectomy using Disposable equipment 0,9218 12.407 13.460 Reusable equipment 0,8612 8.485 9.853 Both direct and indirect b costs for laparoscopic cholecystectomy using Disposable equipment 0,9218 15.200 16.489 Reusable equipment 0,8612 11.442 13.286 62.013 a: The costs of increasing the probability for successful operation by one unit (for example: Cdisp-Creus/Edisp-Ereus). The data is compared with reusable equipment b: The indirect costs are calculated by multiplying the average sick leave by DKK 297.81 (appendix 5). c: The expected effect includes successful operation as well as technical problems with the instruments (see text). Sensitivity analyses To assess the durability of the model and, therefore, the conclusions, a sensitivity analysis was conducted during which the model estimates were varied. It would be possible to use an infinite number of alternatives and combinations of both probabilities and cost targets. Variations are made in the probabilities of clinical events, the price per day of a hospital bed, the price of the equipment, the staff costs plus the time spent in hospital, while other parameters remain constant. Some of the estimates are listed in table 7, appendix 5. As far as the price per day of a hospital bed and the staff costs are concerned, reusable equipment will still be the best financial alternative unless prices are multiplied, which is unrealistic. The price for a complete set of disposable equipment would have to be lower than DKK 1,639 before the disposable equipment would become the least expensive alternative or, conversely, the costs associated with reusable equipment would have to exceed DKK 4,756 per operation. If the success rate for disposable instruments is set at 1 (i.e. every treatment a success with no conversions), then the total direct costs would be exactly DKK 11,591, which is still higher than for the reusable instruments. Conclusion Reusable equipment is the least expensive solution, even if it does cause more conversions and subsequent longer stays in hospital and longer convalescence. The price of disposable instruments would have to fall below DKK 1,700 per operation for this alternative to be cheaper and better than 139 reusable instruments. It would not be feasible to try and put a value on the extra level of job satisfaction the staff would experience using disposable equipment. Cholecystectomy versus ESWL Two studies compared ESWL with laparoscopic and traditional open cholecystectomy153, 281. In a cost-utility analysis153, the laparoscopic procedure was found to be the best alternative, since it cost less and the effects were better. On the other hand, the results were sensitive to the inclusion of, for example, indirect costs. In a sort of cost-effectiveness analysis281 it was concluded that the laparoscopic procedure is the most cost-effective procedure for the majority of patients with symptomatic gallstones, while ESWL seems to be more or just as cost-efficient as traditional open cholecystectomy; especially for elderly patients828 and patients with small gallstones221, 565. In 1990, the Swedish Institute for Medical Technology Assessment (SBU) assessed gallstone treatments based on the use of ESWL30. One of their conclusions was that the costs associated with shock wave treatments were reasonable in relation to the other alternatives and this method ought, therefore, to be tested in-depth. Conclusion While ESWL seems to be more cost-efficient than traditional open cholecystectomy, laparoscopic cholecystectomy is superior to ESWL. No financial comparisons were traced that compare ESWL with cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy. 11.3.2 Treatment of patients with acute cholecystitis The early strategy versus the later strategy for cholecystectomy in the event of acute cholecystitis does not need to be subjected to a comprehensive financial analysis, since all the randomised studies unanimously showed that the early strategy entailed less time spent in hospital and shorter convalescence periods with no difference in the complication rates (page 95). This patient category constitutes a large proportion a total of 21% of all treatments from 1978-95. It would have been interesting to assess the financial consequences of different strategies in the form of immediate operation, drainage in conjunction with subsequent operation and drainage alone followed by operation if necessary at a later phase. However, the literature in the area is so sparse that a responsible model could not be constructed. 140 Similarly, the literature does not contain sufficient information to assess the financial consequences of different methods of cholecystectomy in the event of acute cholecystitis. 11.3.3 Treatment of patients with stones in the bile ducts The proportion of courses of treatment primarily involving bile duct disorders was 27%. Screening for choledochal stones during cholecystectomy The following three strategies were compared for the examination of patients for stones in the bile ducts during cholecystectomy: preoperative ERCP for all patients, intraoperative cholangiography for all patients and intraoperative cholangiography for selected patients where there is particular reason to suspect choledochal stones. Selective intraoperative cholangiography proved the most cost-effective strategy702. Choledochoscopy as a means of searching for residual choledochal stones was not cost-effective548. 141 12. Summary of the elements in the Health Technology Assessment This chapter summarises the four elements of a health technology assessment – the technology, the patient, the organisation and the finances. The chapter can be read independently along with the synthesis in chapter 13. References do, however, only figure in the main report and appendices. 12.1 D EVELOPMENTS IN THE INCIDENCE AND TREATMENT OF GALLSTONES Gallstones Gallstones are common in America, Europe, Australia and large parts of Asia, while they are rare in the Far East and Africa. Twice as many women have gallstones as men. The greatest risk factor among women is pregnancy, which probably accounts for most of the gender difference. The other risk factors are closely related to Western lifestyle, e.g. low-fibre and fatty foods, lack of exercise, obesity, smoking and type-2 diabetes. As a rule, stones in the gallbladder do not provoke symptoms. The clinical spectrum stretches from this asymptomatic condition, which often lasts for the rest of the patient’s a life; to symptomatic gallstones, which are unpleasant but benign; to gallstone complications in the form of infection of the gallbladder, stones in the bile ducts and pancreatitis. As a rule, the complications can be dealt with easily enough, but on rare occasions they can be life-threatening or disabling. Developments in treatment In the early 70s, work started on the development of a whole series of technologies that changed the traditional methods of treating gallstone patients. The most important technologies are summed up in figures 55 and 56. The year denotes the year of publication in the international literature. As a rule, the technologies were introduced after clinical testing but were not tested right away in randomised studies to compare their roles in treatment strategies for gallstone patients. A lot of technologies were introduced because they were considered to entail less hardship for the pa- 142 tient. Later, randomised studies have, however, questioned whether this is in fact the case. There was also an inexplicable rise in the number of operations and a suspected increase in the number of complications in the form of lesions of the bile ducts after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. FIGURE 55 The introduction of different technologies for the treatment of stones in the gallbladder Year of publication Technology 1867 Surgical removal of stones in the gallbladder (cholecystolithotomy) 1882 Surgical removal of the gallbladder (cholecystectomy) 1955 Surgical removal of stones in the gallbladder by minilaparotomy 1972 Bile salts to dissolve stones in the gallbladder 1980 Ultrasonic puncturing of the gallbladder 1982 Surgical removal of the gallbladder by minilaparotomy 1985 Percutaneous removal of stones in the gallbladder through a probe inserted ultrasonically 1985 Dissolution of gallbladder stones with ether and flushing out through probe 1985 Pulverisation of gallbladder stones with sound waves (ESWL) 1986 Laparoscopic removal of the gallbladder 1991 Laparoscopic removal of stones in the gallbladder FIGURE 56 The introduction of different technologies for the treatment of stones in the bile ducts Year of publication Technology 1890 Surgical removal of stones in the bile ducts (cholecystolithotomy) 1970 Diagnostic ERCP 1974 Removal of stones in the bile ducts after sphincterotomy by ERCP 1982 Surgical removal of stones in the bile ducts by minilaparotomy 1988 Dissolution of stones in the bile ducts by ether 1990 Contact pulverisation of stones in the bile ducts 1991 Laparoscopic removal of stones in the bile ducts 1992 Pulverisation of stones in the bile ducts by sound waves (ESWL) 1994 Removal of stones in the bile ducts after balloon angioplasty of the bile duct sphincter With these developments in mind, the author, the National Institute of Public Health (NIPH) and the Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment decided it would be relevant to conduct a health technology assessment of gallstone treatments. An HTA is a comprehensive, systematic evaluation of the preconditions for, and consequences of, using health technologies. 143 12.2 M ATERIAL AND METHODS The National Hospital Discharge Register All admissions registered in the National Hospital Discharge Register between 1978-95 with a treatment code related to biliary tracts were extracted. After excluding cancer of the liver, pancreas and biliary tracts, 99,803 admissions were left, spread between 87,007 patients. A more indepth study of the admissions identified the number of courses of treatment – a total of 90,582 because some patients could have more than one course. Among the 90,582 courses of treatment, 12,262 consisted exclusively of diagnostic ERCP. The remaining 78,320 courses of treatment were classified in the following categories: ❖ Simple cholecystectomy. This category makes up the vast majority (69%) and represents patients who only had their gallbladders removed. ❖ Cholecystectomy with simultaneous bile duct treatment. The bile duct treatment was either endoscopic, by open surgery or by biliodigestive anastomosis. The category represents patients who were treated for stones both in the gallbladder and the bile duct but also includes patients who suffered complications to a simple cholecystectomy. ❖ Bile duct treatment without simultaneous cholecystectomy. Bile duct treatment can be by endoscopic surgery, open surgery or biliodigestive anastomosis. The category includes patients who either only suffer from stones in the bile ducts (they may have had a cholecystectomy earlier) or who do not need to have the stones in their gallbladder treated at the same time. ❖ Other treatments. The vast majority of patients were only admitted to hospital once but some were readmitted later for one or more new biliary tract procedures. Patients who were readmitted usually suffered either a complication to their biliary tract disease or a complication to the primary treatment. The validity of the information from the National Hospital Discharge Register was tested by extracting 3,570 commentaries from the respective hospitals. The response rate at the time we were going to press was 71%. As far as the surgical operations such as cholecystectomy and open bile duct surgery are concerned, there level of validity was particularly high (above 95%), while therapeutic ERCP was underreported throughout the period. The importance of the underreporting has increased over the years, which means that the increase in bile duct treatment in the 90s was greater than stated in the report. 144 Literature An in-depth study of the available literature was conducted in order to assess the evidence of the different technologies for the treatment of biliary tract disorders. The scientific literature dealing with the treatment of gallstone patients is very comprehensive. In order to avoid bias in the selection of the literature and consequently in the conclusions, the report followed fixed criteria. A total of more than 23,000 abstracts were studied and more than 3,000 articles reviewed. Danish population studies Since 1982, several screening have been done for gallstones in Danish populations. A total of 5,936 randomly selected people were scanned by ultrasound for gallstones. The results of these examinations make it possible to assess the occurrence of gallstones in the Danish population. Staff costs and time spent treating gallstone patients For use in the financial analyses, a questionnaire was sent to all surgical departments in 1997 (response rate 67%) and selected medical departments (response rate 100%). A number of questions were posed to help estimate staff costs and time spent on different biliary tract operations. 12.3 O CCURRENCE , NATURAL HISTORY AND PREVENTION In Denmark, approximately 10% of the population have gallstone disorders (both people who have undergone a cholecystectomy and those who have stones in the gallbladder). The vast majority of people with gallstones have no symptoms, so it is estimated that approximately 300,000 people in Denmark have stones in the gallbladder but are not aware of them. The proportion of the population with gallstone disorders has declined in the 80s but not significantly. People with asymptomatic gallstones and symptomatic gallstones develop complications with a frequency of 0.2-1.2% and 0.7-2.0% per annum, respectively. These low levels of risk show that gallstones are a relatively harmless condition. Thus, there is no great risk associated with waiting to see what happens in respect to gallstone patients. No documentary knowledge exists of the extent to which modifying the lifestyle factors that increase the risk of gallstone formation effects the incidence of gallstones (primary prevention). Prevention of cardiovascular disease focuses on lifestyle factors that also affect gallstone formation. Changes in lifestyle in recent years may have caused the reduction in the 145 incidence of gallstones. Severe weight loss can cause gallstones to form. It has been proven that formation of gallstones can be reduced significantly, if bile salts are administered to overweight patients during rapid weight loss. Secondary prevention identifies and removes gallstones before symptoms or complications develop. It is generally agreed that cholecystectomy is not well-suited as secondary prophylaxis because it has been calculated that operating has a tendency to increase the mortality rate compared with not operating. The extent to which medical dissolution of asymptomatic gallstones as secondary prophylaxis is cost-effective has not been studied. The method requires samples of the population to be screened for gallstones, which requires identification of high-risk groups. Pregnant women would be one relevant target group, as pregnancies are the largest single risk factor for lithiasis in women. No studies have been conducted of the potential for secondary prophylaxis among pregnant women. 12.4 O VERALL TREATMENT OF BILIARY TRACT DISORDERS IN D ENMARK From 1978 to 1991, when laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced in Denmark, the rate of treatment for biliary tract disorders (number treated per 100,000 of the population) fell steadily. The rate fell 30% for women and 21% for men. After 1991, the rate rose 25% for women and 22% for men. There is no evidence to suggest a corresponding rise in the incidence of biliary tract disorders. The rise may be due to the change in indications when laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced. The increase in the frequency of treatment included both simple cholecystectomy and treatment for bile duct diseases. Also the frequency of diagnostic ERCP rose, especially after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The rise may reflect a changed strategy for the diagnosis and treatment of gallstones, if ERCP to a certain extent replaced intraoperative cholangiography as a method of examination for stones in the bile ducts. The rise in ERCP may also reflect changed indications for the examination of patients. 12.5 T REATMENT OF PATIENTS WITH UNCOMPLICATED GALLBLADDER STONES Developments in Denmark, 1978-95 After a stable period from 1978-84, the cholecystectomy rate fell steadily until 1991. The fall was 21% for women and 26% for men. After 1991 the rate rose 27% for women and 18% for men. The rise was particularly pronounced for women under 40, i.e. almost 50%. The cholecystectomy 146 rate increases with age but the curve for women also peaks at around 30, which may be due to gallstones formed during pregnancy. The top of the curve was more pronounced in the last sub-period studied, which may have been due to a higher degree of diagnosing. The fall in the cholecystectomy rate until the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, as well as the subsequent rise, correspond to findings abroad. The rise in certain areas of the USA was greater than in Denmark, but compared with three national surveys in Canada, Scotland and Australia, the rise was greatest in Denmark. In some areas of Denmark more than twice as many operations are performed as in other areas – after taking account of random variation and age differences in the population. The variations were greatest at the start of the period and after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The variation – which has also been experienced abroad – reflects differences in overall ill-health, patient behaviour and disagreement among doctors about the indications for diagnostics and treatment. Which symptoms are due to stones in the gallbladder There is a great deal of disagreement about which symptoms can be ascribed to gallstones. This is due partly to the fact that 30-40% of the population have symptoms in the abdomen and that up to 20-30% have stones in the gallbladder, giving rise to random coincidence. A systematic review was conducted of the literature on symptoms in persons with and without gallstones as well as persons with persistent pains after cholecystectomy. The following conclusions were reached: ❖ Hours lasting attacks of severe pains in the upper right-hand side of the abdomen or the epigastrium may be associated with gallstones. The pain starts relatively abruptly and may radiate out to the back or right shoulder. These symptoms are relatively rare. However, the symptoms also occur in people without gallstones. Thus, it is not possible to specify a watertight definition of when these symptoms are due to gallstones and when they are not. ❖ Other abdominal pains are probably not due to gallstones. ❖ Dyspeptic pains are not caused by gallstones Indications for treatment Regional, historical and international variations in cholecystectomy rates can be interpreted as disagreement among both patients and doctors about when there is an indication for examination and treatment of gall- 147 stones. This is confirmed by studies of the disagreement among expert panels about when there is an indication for the treatment of patients with gallstones. The only audit carried out on patients showed that two expert panels only agreed with the surgeon’s indication in approximately half of the cases. These circumstances, combined with the fact that many patients suffer persistent pains after cholecystectomy, suggest that too many cholecystectomies are performed. Instead of regular audits, it has been proposed that the guidelines be programmed into computer software which could store data about all patients with gallstones. This would register the department’s practice in relation to the recommended guidelines. Methods of treatment The technologies used to treat stones in the gallbladder are: cholecystectomy, cholecystolithotomy and dissolution/pulverisation. The primary purpose of the treatment is absence of pain, the secondary purpose is to remove the gallstones. The importance of the different technologies for post-operative pains, length of time spent in hospital, complications, length of convalescence and mortality are described below. Cholecystectomy Cholecystectomy is the most common treatment for patients with symptomatic gallstones. The method can either be traditional open laparotomy, minilaparotomy or laparoscopy. The length of the incisions are respectively >10 cm, 3-6 (10) cm and 3-4 cm. The proportion of patients who suffer persistent pains after 1-2 years is typically 20-25%, regardless of the method. Thus, the length of the incision has no significance as far as the primary purpose of the treatment is concerned. All three methods remove the gallstones, but in some cases gallstones are lost in the abdominal cavity during laparoscopic cholecystectomy. These stray gallstones rarely cause problems but any problems they do cause can be serious. The length of the stay in hospital has fallen steadily since 1978 in Denmark and was 6-7 days before the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. When laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced, there was a further reduction in the number of days spent in hospital. A number of articles have been published about clinical series covering all three methods in which patients were sent home the same day or the day after their operation. Double-blinded randomised studies (i.e. both patient and staff blinded with the aid of a dressing covering the whole abdomen) revealed no difference in the length of hospital stay for the three different methods. 148 In non-blinded randomised studies, no difference was detected between minilaparotomy and laparoscopy, but patients did spend longer time in hospital after traditional open cholecystectomy. Bile duct lesions are among the most serious complications associated with cholecystectomy. The lesions are divided up into central bile duct lesions, which are the most serious since they can cause contraction of the bile duct and affect the liver, and peripheral bile duct lesions, which require treatment, but which rarely cause contraction of the bile duct. The randomised trials were too small to assess differences in complication rates between the three methods of access. Systematic reviews of clinical series published in the international literature revealed that central bile duct lesions occur in 0.26-0.52% of laparoscopic cholecystectomies, and in 0.03-0.13% of open cholecystectomies (traditional open laparotomy and minilaparotomy). The corresponding numbers for peripheral lesions are 0.28-0.57% and 0.10-0.26%. A number of international studies also revealed a distinct rise (4-6 times) in the number of bile duct lesions after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The proportion of lesions fell a couple of years after the introduction of the laparoscopy, but not to the same level as before the introduction. During the validation of the information in the National Hospital Discharge Register, it was found that there was also a rise in both central and peripheral bile duct lesions in Denmark after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Studies from the national register for laparoscopic cholecystectomy suggest that no subsequent fall in the number of bile duct lesions has occurred in Denmark. One argument in favour of the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy was that patients could return to work sooner. A systematic review of the international literature shows that informed and motivated patients can return to work quickly, even after traditional open surgery. Randomised trials show no difference in the length of convalescence after cholecystectomy by laparoscopy or minilaparotomy, while the convalescence is longer after traditional open laparotomy. When laparoscopic cholecystectomy was introduced, attention was focused on short convalescence but there is no documentary evidence to show whether it was the laparoscopic procedure or the attitudes of staff and patients that made the convalescence shorter. The mortality rate did not change after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy – either in Denmark or abroad. 149 Some chronic sequelae after cholecystectomy have been described, which may be a consequence of the procedure. A small group of patients experience persistent pains that call for a diagnosis and treatment not covered by fixed procedural guidelines. The absence of the gallbladder causes increased reflux of bile to the stomach and oesophagus, which may be the cause of the very high incidence of dyspeptic discomfort in people who have had a cholecystectomy. Neither of the sequelae depend on the access for cholecystectomy. Cholecystolithotomy Cholecystolithotomy can be performed either by traditional open surgery, by minilaparotomy, by laparoscopy and by percutaneous insertions of probes followed by pulverisation with laser or ultrasound or direct dissolution with medicinal substances. Some of the operations can be performed under local anaesthesia. The method is used only to a limited extent (<2% of the operations in Denmark) and is reserved mainly for patients who are too sick to tolerate anaesthesia and for patients who wish to preserve their gallbladder. The primary purpose of the treatment, absence of pain, is achieved as often as it is achieved by cholecystectomy. The secondary purpose of the treatment, removal of stones, is achieved in the vast majority of cases but stones recur in approximately half of the patients. Complications consist mainly of leakage of bile from the gallbladder. There is no description of bile duct lesions in association with the procedure. The clinical series were too small and the groups of patients too selective to assess the length of stay in hospital, the length of convalescence and the mortality rate. No randomised trials exist which compare the different methods of cholecystolithotomy. ESWL/bile salts Pulverisation of gallstones with ESWL ought to be followed by treatment with bile salts lasting 1/2-2 years. The treatment is only suitable for 20% of gallstone patients, as a number of preconditions have to be fulfilled. The method is widespread abroad but has not been used particularly often in Denmark. The primary objective of the treatment, absence of pain, is achieved to the same degree as it is achieved by cholecystectomy. Absence of pain has – for inexplicable reasons – nothing to do with whether the stones are pulverised or not. Stones are pulverised in over 60% of the patients, but in 150 approximately half of them stones reoccur. However, many patients remain asymptomatic for a long time after the stones reform. Routine use of ESWL and bile salts would have a lasting effect on 5% of all gallstone patients, while a further 5% would experience a long-term effect in the form of absence of pain. Of the potential complications, stones stuck in the bile duct with ensuing pancreatitis is the most serious and occurs in 1-2% of cases. The extent of sick leave and hospitalisation correspond to out-patient treatment and potential complications. Comparisons between cholecystectomy, cholecystolithotomy and ESWL/ bile salts No randomised trials exist which compare cholecystectomy with cholecystolithotomy. There are three randomised trials which compare cholecystectomy with treatment by ESWL/bile salts. As far as absence of pain is concerned, they reveal no differences. The observation period was, however, too short. Cholecystectomy in patients with pains but without gallstones A small group of patients has gallstone-like pains without having gallstones. Some of these patients suffer from abnormal emptying of the gallbladder. The literature reveals that cholecystectomy achieves the primary purpose of the treatment in these patients, i.e. absence of pain, just as often as cholecystectomy in patients with gallstones. In order to avoid overtreatment, the indication for treatment should be subjected to very strict guidelines. Further studies are required. 12.6 T REATMENT OF PATIENTS WITH ACUTE CHOLECYSTITIS The operation rate for acute cholecystitis in men remained the same, while it rose for women until 1987, followed by a fall in the subsequent period. The development reflects the generally conservative attitude towards cholecystectomy in 80s. As a result, a higher proportion of those operated had acute cholecystitis. A new technology emerged during the period studied, i.e. ultrasonic drainage of the gallbladder. Since this treatment does not have an independent code in the National Hospital Discharge Register, the proportion with acute cholecystitis has been underreported. Elderly patients in particular are only treated by drainage, which may explain the fall observed in operation rates in this group of patients in the second half of the period studied. 151 There is always indication for treatment in patients with acute cholecystitis either in the form of antibiotics, drainage or surgery. The technologies used to treat acute cholecystitis are cholecystectomy, cholecystolithotomy, partial cholecystectomy or drainage with or without dissolution or pulverisation of the stones. The primary purpose of the treatment is to stop the acute infection. The secondary purpose is to stop acute cholecystitis recurring. Patients with complications to an acute cholecystitis (for example perforated cholecystitis) have to be operated acutely. Randomised trials have shown that it is preferable to operate on patients with uncomplicated acute cholecystitis during the same stay in hospital instead of letting the infection recede and operate some months later. The sub-acute operation ought, however, to take place not more than 7-10 days after the initial symptoms, otherwise the changes are so pronounced that the risk of complications increases. Randomised studies have shown that treatment with non-steroid anti-inflammatory drugs delays or stops acute cholecystitis becoming more serious. Cholecystectomy can be performed by traditional open laparotomy, minilaparotomy or laparoscopy. Apart from one single open randomised survey, which showed that minilaparotomy is better than traditional laparotomy, there is no evidence to prove which method of incision is best. Complications in the form of lesions of the bile ducts are seen more often in acute than in elective cholecystectomy. The mortality rate after simple cholecystectomy for acute cholecystitis did not fall in Denmark after the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Cholecystolithotomy or partial cholecystectomy can be performed, if the anatomical conditions are complicated or if the patient is very sick and cannot tolerate a general anaesthetic. Ultrasonic drainage can make cholecystitis recede faster. However, it is not known whether there is anything to be gained by draining an acute cholecystitis, if a cholecystectomy is to be performed within a couple of days of the drainage. Further research is required. 12.7 T REATMENT OF PATIENTS WITH STONES IN THE BILE DUCTS Treatment rates for stones in the bile ducts fell by 30% for women and by 13% for men from 1978-91, then rose by 22% for women and 31% for men until 1995. The curves conceal a fall in the proportion of patients who underwent surgery and a rise in the proportion of patients who were treated endoscopically. The fall in the number of patients who received 152 bile duct treatment in the 80s and the subsequent rise in the 90s may be due to changed attitudes to routine examinations for stones in the bile ducts in connection with cholecystectomy (see below). The need for examination and treatment of stones in the bile ducts is indicated when the patient suffers symptoms of stones in the bile ducts. There is, however, no need for routine examination of the bile ducts in connection with cholecystectomy. Only if certain requirements are fulfilled (dilated choledochus, liver symptoms , acute pancreatitis), should a bile duct examination be performed in connection with a cholecystectomy. Thus, examinations of the bile duct can be avoided in 80% of patients who have a cholecystectomy. The risk involved in routine examination is that it can lead to unnecessary operations on the bile ducts because of unfounded suspicions of stones or discovery of small stones, which would have passed by themselves. Besides intraoperative cholangiography and ERCP a new technology MRC (magnetic resonance) has been developed for examining bile ducts. In contrast to ERCP, it is non-invasive and does not, therefore, cause the complications that ERCP does. Provisional surveys suggest that the diagnostic safety of MRC is on par with ERCP, but financial surveys are required, since the equipment is expensive. The treatment technologies in use are a) surgical removal (traditional open bile duct surgery, minilaparotomy bile-duct surgery and laparoscopic bile duct surgery) and b) endoscopic removal (via ERCP or percutaneous methods). The primary purpose of treatment is to provide an outlet for the bile, while the secondary purpose is to remove the gallstones. No studies have compared the three surgical methods. Minilaparotomy has only been tested casuistically and the laparoscopic method seems to be difficult and has not become as widespread as laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The endoscopic method of treatment has become widespread but a whole series of supplementary technologies for the endoscopic treatment of complicated bile duct stones (stones that cannot be removed by a simple sphincterotomy) have made it difficult to keep tabs on all the literature in this field. There is no documentary evidence in favour of cholecystectomy after successful endoscopic treatment. A number of randomised trials in which open surgery was compared with endoscopic treatment showed that endoscopic treatment is not better than open surgery per se. Further research is needed in the area. 153 The 30-day mortality rate after bile duct treatment in Denmark fell for patients treated electively during the period studied. 12.8 T REATMENT OF PATIENTS WITH GALLSTONE PANCREATITIS This group of patients cannot be identified with certainty in the National Hospital Discharge Register, which is why no treatment rates are stated. Due to the high risk of recurrence of pancreatitis (25-50%) treatment is always indicated for this group of patients. The treatment technologies, used are a) cholecystectomy (in the form of traditional open laparotomy, minilaparotomy or laparoscopy) perhaps combined with open or endoscopic bile duct treatment, b) endoscopic operation perhaps followed by simple cholecystectomy. The primary purpose of the treatment is to make sure that the pancreatitis does not develop into a more serious condition. The secondary purpose of the treatment is to remove the cause of the pancreatitis so the patient does not suffer a relapse. The treatment depends on the severity of the pancreatitis. In mild cases, the patient ought to be observed in hospital until the pancreatitis subsides, after which a cholecystectomy or sphincterotomy should be performed. General agreement has not been reached about the initial treatment of severe pancreatitis, as three randomised studies showed that subacute sphincterotomy is best, while a fourth study showed the opposite. All the materials were open to criticism, so new examinations are required. If a sphincterotomy is not performed sub-acutely on a patient with severe pancreatitis, the patient ought to be observed and treated like a patient with mild pancreatitis. If a sphincterotomy is performed on the patient there is no reason for a routine cholecystectomy to be performed later. 12.9 T HE PATIENT Post-operative pains, length of hospital stay, length of convalescence and persistent pains are discussed under the individual technologies. Gallstone patients’ choices of methods of treatment for stones in the gallbladder and stones in the bile duct were not revealed by the literature. One study of a group of patients without gallstones showed that more would prefer ESWL instead of laparoscopic cholecystectomy, while both these methods were deemed preferable to traditional open cholecystectomy. A single survey showed that patients expect a cholecystectomy to cure 100% of their pains. 154 According to Danish legislation, patients are entitled to information about any serious complications associated with treatment. The literature does not reveal the extent to which patients are informed about the risk of complications. International literature shows that patients are generally very satisfied with cholecystectomy – regardless of the type of incision. More detailed questions posed to patients after laparoscopic cholecystectomy showed that the patients thought they were suffering more pains afterwards than they had been led to expect. Randomised studies of cholecystectomy by laparoscopy versus minilaparotomy show the same degree of patient satisfaction after a few months. Significantly more patients were satisfied with their scar after 12 weeks in the laparoscopy group (84%) than in the minilaparotomy group (74%). A large proportion of patients thought that they were sent home too soon, after laparoscopic as well as after traditional open cholecystectomy. There is a clear need to study patient preferences after they have been provided with in-depth information about the advantages and disadvantages of different methods of treatment. 12.10 T HE ORGANISATION According to the Danish National Board of Health, cholecystectomy and non-complicated bile duct surgery should be performed in all surgical departments, ERCP should be centred on one location per county, while treatment of difficult bile duct stones and examination for and treatment of biliary tract dyskinesia should be limited to specially selected departments throughout the country. The number of surgical departments performing biliary tract surgery fell from 75 in 1978-83 to 58 in 1992-95. During the latter period, an average of 81 operations was performed per department per year, varying from 10 to over 100. The average number for simple cholecystectomy was 55 with a variation from under 10 to over 100 operations per annum. No significant systematic relationship was identified between mortality and the number of annual operations, but a tendency towards a higher 30-day mortality rate was identified in the quarter of the hospitals in which the highest number of operations were performed. On the other hand, the quarter of departments that performed the fewest operations undertook significantly more complicated courses of treatment than the quarter that performed most operations. This assessment is unable to identify the causes of these differences. As far open surgery is concerned, there is no 155 evidence to link the number of operations per surgeon with the number of complications. On the other hand, the literature does suggest that complications after laparoscopic cholecystectomy fall according to the number of operations performed by the surgeon. The international literature suggests that each surgeon has to perform 30-50 laparoscopic operations before the complication level is brought down to a reasonably low level. If these findings are transferred to Danish conditions, then only a few surgeons should perform the operations in order to maintain a low complication rate. Thus, it is necessary to centralise cholecystectomy operations if the laparoscopic method is to be continued. Performing ERCP also requires training and updates to a degree that requires centralisation, something which is also recommended by the Danish National Board of Health. 12.11 E CONOMY The costs of biliary tract treatments can be divided into direct costs (the stay in hospital, staff costs for the surgery plus the technological equipment), indirect expenses (sickness benefit) and intangible costs (fear, anxiety, etc). The latter category is not included in this assessment. The costs of time spent in hospital, staff, technological equipment and sick leave are calculated partly on the basis of a questionnaire survey sent to all surgical and selected medical departments in Denmark and partly on the basis of publicly available national data. The direct costs for all biliary tract treatments in Denmark fell steadily from 1978 to 1991, after which they rose slightly. Calculated as costs per admission to hospital, they fell throughout the period, slightly more pronounced around the time of the introduction of laparoscopic cholecystectomy. For simple cholecystectomy, the fall in direct costs in the 80s was replaced by stagnation. The fall in the 80s was due to shorter stays in hospital, while the rise or stagnation in the 90s was due to a combination of a continued reduction in the time spent in hospital combined with an increase in the number of patients treated and the use of more expensive technology. This corresponds to the international literature. The direct costs for a simple cholecystectomy without complications were calculated at DKK 9,251 for a laparoscopic cholecystectomy, DKK 6,169 for a cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy and DKK 15,189 for a traditional open cholecystectomy. The costs and effects of the three methods of access for cholecystectomy were compared with the help of financial models (cost-effectiveness 156 analyses). The analyses showed that cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy is both cheaper and better than laparoscopic cholecystectomy. This fact is consistent in sensitivity analyses in which conditions are varied. Only if the difference in the length of the stay in hospital exceeds 2 days, does laparoscopic cholecystectomy become cheaper than cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy. The annual costs for the current number of simple cholecystectomies would be reduced by just under DKK 8 million if laparoscopic cholecystectomy was replaced by cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy. Cholecystectomy by traditional open laparotomy is better (because of fewer bile duct lesions), but also more expensive than laparoscopic cholecystectomy. This fact was also consistent in the sensitivity analyses, as only a significant reduction in the number of operations per annum (less than 20) would make this method cheaper than laparoscopic cholecystectomy. A financial model was drawn up regarding use of disposable versus reusable equipment for laparoscopic cholecystectomy. The model showed that reusable equipment was poorer as it resulted in a greater number of conversions to open surgery but was also cheaper than disposable equipment. Again, this stood up well in sensitivity analyses. After account had been taken of the higher number of conversions and longer operations, longer stays in hospital and longer convalescence occasioned by the use of reusable equipment, the annual costs would be approximately DKK 9 million less if reusable equipment was consistently used compared with consistent use of disposable equipment at current operation rates. The literature also included financial comparisons between ESWL/bile salts and cholecystectomy, which showed that laparoscopic cholecystectomy was more cost-efficient than ESWL/bile salts, which on the other hand was slightly more cost-effectiveness than traditional open cholecystectomy. ESWL/bile salts were not compared with minilaparotomy. As far as treatment of acute cholecystitis is concerned, sub-acute cholecystectomy is cheaper than performing an operation some months later. As far as indications for bile duct stone examination during cholecystectomy are concerned, a cost-effectiveness analysis suggested that selective intraoperative cholangiography would be a better strategy than routine cholangiography. 157 13. Synthesis and recommendations This chapter presents a synthesis based on the four standard elements in a health technology assessment: the technology, the patient, the organisation and the finances; and considers what recommendations could be based on the HTA analysis. The synthesis is marked by the fact that indepth analysis and extensive information about the technology and financial aspects of simple cholecystectomy are available, while information is scarce about the patient and organisation. The synthesis culminates in a proposal for a new structure which ensures the future use of evidencebased practices in the treatment of patients with biliary tract disorders. The report should be used by scientific societies and health authorities in their attempts to define guidelines for diagnostics, prevention, treatment and care of patients with biliary tract disorders. Prevention Since the direct costs of biliary tract treatment in Denmark are approx. DKK 120 million per annum, preventative options ought to be examined. At the moment, there is a lot of focus on lifestyle in Denmark, e.g. fatty food, lack of exercise, smoking and obesity as causes of cardiovascular disease and cancer. Since gallstones are associated with these lifestyle factors, the attention paid to these areas may help reduce the incidence of gallstones. It is possible to reduce the risk of forming gallstones significantly by taking bile salts during heavy weight loss. The clinical significance and financial consequences have, however, not been studied in sufficient depth. Further research is necessary. Secondary prevention in the form of prophylactic cholecystectomy (cholecystectomy in people with gallstones without characteristic symptoms) cannot be recommended. Pregnancy is the greatest single risk factor for gallstones in women. A survey is recommended of the extent to which screening of pregnant women and subsequent extracorporeal pulverisation and/or medicinal dissolution of any newly-formed gallstones after the birth would be costefficient and acceptable to the patients. 158 Uncomplicated gallbladder stones The international literature and developments in cholecystectomy rates in Denmark both point clearly to the fact that too many cholecystectomies are performed. It is recommended that national guidelines be drawn up for diagnostics and indications for treatment. It is recommended that the departments which treat patients with gallstones draw up a system to ensure that the guidelines are adhered to. This could either take the form of local audits at regular intervals or a computer programme containing data from all gallstone patients. This would register the department’s practices in relation to the guidelines. Since the natural history of gallstones is relatively peaceful, a conservative treatment strategy is justified. The recommended standard treatment is cholecystectomy and the choice is between three methods: laparoscopy, minilaparotomy or traditional open laparotomy: ❖ As far as the primary purpose of the treatment is concerned (absence of pain), there are no differences between the three methods ❖ As far as the length of time spent in hospital and the length of the convalescence are concerned, there is no difference between laparoscopy and minilaparotomy, while traditional open laparotomy probably lengthens the time spent in hospital and the convalescence period. ❖ The transition from traditional open laparotomy to the laparoscopic method caused an increase in bile ducts lesions. There is no evidence to suggest that cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy should lead to more bile duct lesions than laparoscopy - the literature points to the opposite, but the documentation is not solid. For the time being, these two methods of access for cholecystectomy must be considered equal as far as bile duct lesions are concerned. ❖ The laparoscopic method is more expensive than minilaparotomy and the laparoscopic method requires longer training. ❖ No surveys have been conducted into patient preferences between the two methods. On the face of it, cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy seems to be a safe and financially advantageous alternative to laparoscopic cholecystectomy. If it is decided to continue using laparoscopic surgery, this HTA recommends that the operations are centralised in few locations. A debate should be encouraged to assess the training requirements and population base necessary to make sure that surgeons and their staff receive the nec- 159 essary training and routine in laparoscopic cholecystectomy. However, laparoscopic cholecystectomy and cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy are not mutually self-exclusive. It is recommended that randomised trials be conducted comparing the two methods and examining patient preferences. A small group of patients experiences dysfunction of the bile duct sphincter after cholecystectomy. It is recommended that national guidelines be drawn up for the examination and treatment of this condition. Alternatives to cholecystectomy include the removal or dissolution of gallbladder stones. These methods are used on patients who are too sick to tolerate a general anaesthetic. The procedures can be performed under local anaesthesia and, in certain cases, as medicinal treatment. It is recommended that guidelines be drawn up for which of the many methods ought to be used as a matter of routine. Cholecystectomy is frequently accompanied by dyspepsia and pains, and in approximately half of the patients gallstones do not recur after dissolution or surgical removal. As a result, a reassessment of the use of cholecystolithotomy or ESWL/bile salts is recommended. Some patients experience violent pains reminiscent of gallstone attacks without having gallstones. No correct method of examination and treatment has been defined for this group of patients. It is recommended that the group be examined in-depth in order to optimise treatment strategies. Acute cholecystitis It has been documented that the treatment of uncomplicated acute cholecystitis in the form of cholecystectomy not more than 7-10 days after initial symptoms is better than cholecystectomy after some months. If the time limit of 7-10 days is exceeded, the operation ought, however, to wait until the patient enters a calmer phase. Ultrasonic drainage of the gallbladder may be sufficient treatment for particularly ill people who cannot tolerate sub-acute operation. Any subsequent treatment for gallbladder stones ought to follow the same guidelines as treatment for uncomplicated gallbladder stones. The extent to which ultrasonic drainage is necessary in patients due to undergo a cholecystectomy has not been documented. Further research in this field is recommended. Stones in the bile ducts Examination for stones in the bile ducts can be done by ERCP or MRC. 160 The extent to which MRC provides sufficiently accurate diagnoses is unclear. It is recommended that this question be studied in greater depth since MRC is non-invasive and, thus, does not entail the complications caused by ERCP. Since the number of patients whose bile ducts are examined by means of ERCP has risen sharply, this HTA recommends that guidelines be drawn up for when indications exist for examination of the bile duct. Regular audits ought to be conducted to make sure that the guidelines are adhered to. It is well documented that there is no indication in favour of routine examination of the bile duct for stones in connection with cholecystectomy; on the contrary, this gives rise to unnecessary treatment. The available literature and the data from the National Hospital Discharge Register suggest that a number of patients have their bile ducts examined unnecessarily. With simple methods, it is possible before an operation is performed to identify the patients who need to be examined. It is recommended that guidelines be drawn up for when the bile duct should be examined in connection with cholecystectomy and that regular audits be conducted to make sure that the guidelines are adhered to. The recommended treatment of symptomatic stones in the bile duct is sub-acute ERCP with sphincterotomy and extraction of the stones. The literature suggests that this is the correct treatment if the patient also suffers from cholangitis (infection of the bile ducts). For the time being, this ought to be the treatment for patients with bile duct stones without cholangitis as well, but the results of a number of randomised trials suggest that the use of open surgery ought to be reassessed. It is recommended that this reassessment take the form of randomised trials. Very few patients who have stones removed from their bile duct by endoscopy experience later symptoms from stones in the gallbladder. As a result, routine cholecystectomy for patients after successful removal of stones is not recommended. The introduction of laparoscopy in Denmark for removal of stones from the bile ducts cannot be recommended on the basis of the current literature. A whole series of technologies have been developed for the removal of complicated bile duct stones. It is recommended that the relevant technologies be studied in order to decide which ones should be used in Denmark and to devise the correct organisational structure for their use. The necessary patient base and degree of centralisation ought to be discussed. 161 Gallstone pancreatitis It has been documented that patients admitted with gallstone pancreatitis run a great risk of recurrence and, therefore, should receive treatment designed to prevent any relapse before they are discharged from hospital. Initially, conservative treatment is recommended for patients with less severe cases of gallstone pancreatitis, but their condition should be monitored in case it deteriorates. Before discharge – but not until after the pancreatitis has subsided – the patient ought to be offered a cholecystectomy. If the patient is unable to tolerate surgery, endoscopic sphincterotomy should be offered instead. If a patient with gallstone pancreatitis also exhibits signs of obstruction of the bile duct or cholangitis, a sub-acute sphincterotomy ought to be performed. The international literature about patients with severe gallstone pancreatitis reveals diverging opinions about the initial treatment, which can either be conservative or take the form of a sub-acute sphincterotomy. It is recommended that a randomised trial look into this difference of opinion. If a sphincterotomy is performed on a patient with gallstone pancreatitis, the only reason for subsequent cholecystectomy is if the patient gets symptoms of, or complications to, gallbladder stones. Proposals for the quality control of treatment of patients with biliary tract disorders in Denmark Technology for the treatment of patients with gallstones will probably continue to develop. To make sure that future treatment of biliary tract disorders in Denmark is evidence-based – involving all four elements of a health technology assessment – it would be appropriate to structure the work and introduce continuous quality control. A plan of action for quality control could, for example, include the following: 162 ❖ Establishment of a national database of all diagnoses and treatments of biliary tract disorders. It should be managed and operated by professional groups with insight into the four elements in a health technology assessment. Funds should be procured for the continuous operation and use of the database. ❖ Establishment of a mechanism to ensure that new literature is read and assessed according to explicit criteria. This work should be co-ordinated with the hepatobiliary group in the Cochrane Collaboration. ❖ Initiation and co-ordination of randomised trials into different diagnostic, preventative, therapeutic and care options. . ❖ Establishment of local quality control systems. Until an acceptable quality control system has been established, it is recommended that developments in the treatment of biliary tract disorders be followed in the National Hospital Discharge Register and according to the methods applied in this report. The relevant scientific societies ought to collaborate with the Danish National Board of Health to reassess the need for training in biliary tract treatments – especially the number of specialists who need to be trained in the different functions. In this context, the establishment of one or more centres for biliary tract treatment might be considered. 163 Appendix 1. Literature list The Literature is in alphabetic order, except the last seven references. 164 1. Abboud PA, Malet PF, Berlin JA, et al. Predictors of common bile duct stones prior to cholecystectomy: a meta-analysis. Gastrointest Endosc 1996; 44:450-5. 2. Achord JL. Are all gallstones “silent” until acute cholecystitis occurs? Gastroenterology 1989; 97:1591-2. 3. 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Cholecystectomy through a 5 cm subcostal incision. Br J Surg 1990;77:1189-90. 871. Kumar N, Annudath KB, Shukla HS, Singh A, Kumar K. Postoperative intravenous drip infusion is not required after minilaparotomy cholecystectomy. HPB Surgery 1997;10:279-81. 200 Appendix 2. The National Hospital Discharge Register E XTRACT FROM THE N ATIONAL H OSPITAL D ISCHARGE R EGISTER Data from the National Hospital Discharge Register was used to acquire a general view of developments in the treatment of biliary tract disorders in Denmark. All the hospital admissions in the period 1978-95 that included one or more codes for treatment of the biliary tracts were studied and the following information extracted: admission date, discharge date, discharge diagnoses, treatments, method of admission (acute, elective), name of hospital, name of department, age, gender and municipality of residence. The treatments were classified according to the National Health Board's classification of operations and treatments (1st version in the period 1978-80; 2nd version in the period 1981-88; and 3rd version in the period 1989-95. Note: the codes are national and will hardly be comparable with other national codes), and the diagnoses were classified according to the international classification of diseases (ICD-8 in the period 1978-93 and ICD-10 in the period 1994-95). ICD-9 was never introduced in Denmark. Basic material (figure 1) was collated. It includes all hospital admissions containing treatment codes or codes for diagnostic invasive examinations that can be related to biliary tracts. Excluded were diagnosis codes for malign liver, pancreas and biliary tract conditions. FIGURE 1 The basic material Treatment codes or codes for diagnostic invasive procedures related to biliary tracts: 1978-80: 4732-4814; 4829; 9105 1981-88: 4732-4829;9105 1989-95: 47320-48291;91050,91059 Excluding diagnosis codes for malign liver, pancreas or biliary tract conditions: 1978-93: 155.00 – 157.99; 197.79; 197.89; 230.50 – 230.69 1994-95: C22.0 – C25.9; C78.7; D01.5; D37.6 A total of 111,769 admissions were identified, 11,397 of them with one of the malign diagnosis codes mentioned in figure 1. These diagnosis groups 201 were excluded because the main object of the treatment received by the vast majority of these patients was the aforementioned malign conditions, not gallstones. A further 475 cases were excluded because the patients were from the Faeroe Islands, Greenland or abroad, and 94 were excluded because of obvious mistakes in the register. These consist mainly of patients admitted to medical or anaesthesiology departments after a stay in a surgical department and who were accorded the same treatment code on both occasions, or of re-admissions to surgical departments for repeat cholecystectomies. This left a total of 99,803 hospital admissions covering 87,007 patients. Classification of hospital admissions Based on the treatment codes, it was possible to place each admission in one of the categories listed below. When defining categories, the treatment codes are stated for each of the three sub-periods. In many cases, they are almost identical, but as a rule the number of treatment codes has increased over the years. Overall, they can be divided into diagnostic ERCP and invasive procedures (figure 2), with diagnostic ERCP including treatment codes 9105 and 91050-91059 with a total of 17,548 admissions, and the invasive procedures covering the remaining 82,255 admissions. FIGURE 2 All invasive procedures 1978-80: 4732-4814; 4829 1981-88: 4732-4829 1989-95: 47320-48291 The invasive procedures can be divided into a number of typical treatments (figures 3-14). FIGURE 3 Simple cholecystectomy Hospital stays during which the patient had a gallbladder removed without simultaneous choledochal exploration or biliodigestive anastomosis. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736, 4742 1981-88: 4736, 4742 1989-95: 47360, 47365, 47420 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 202 1978-80: 4756; 4758; 4760; 4764-4798; 4808-4809; 4829 1981-88: 4756; 4758; 4760; 4764-4798; 4806-4809; (4827 & 9105); 4829 1989-95: 47560; 47580; 47600; 47640-47980; 48051-48090; (48270 & 91050-9); 48271-48275; 48290-48291 FIGURE 4 Cholecystectomy with endoscopic choledochal exploration Hospital stays during which the patient had the gallbladder removed and during which an endoscopic procedure was performed on the bile duct. Open sphincterotomy or biliodigestive anastomosis were not performed. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736 1981-88: 4736 1989-95: 47360 og 47365 as well as at least one of following treatment codes 1978-80: (4786 & 9105); 4787 1981-88: (4786 & 9105); 4787; 4809; (4827 & 9105) 1989-95: 47702; 47711; (47860 & 91050); 47870; 47961; (48270 & 91050-9); 48051; 48052; 48090; 48095; 48271; 48291 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4776, 4794, 4796, 4798 1981-88: 4776, 4785, 4791, 4794, 4796, 4798 1989-95: 47760, 47801, 47850, 47910, 47940, 47960, 47980 FIGURE 5 Cholecystectomy with open choledochal exploration Hospital stay during which the patient had the gallbladder removed and had an open operation performed on the bile duct during the same stay. Open sphincterotomy or biliodigestive anastomosis were not performed. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736 1981-88: 4736 1989-95: 47360 og 47365 as well as at least one of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4764, 4766, 4768, 4769, 4774, 4778, 4780, 4790, 4792, 4808 1981-88: 4764, 4766, 4768, 4769, 4774, 4778, 4780, 4790, 4792, 4808 1989-95: 47640, 47660, 47680, 47690, 47740, 47780, 47800, 47809, 47900, 47920, 48080 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4776, (4786 & 9105), 4794, 4796, 4798 1981-88: 4776, 4785, (4786 & 9105), 4791, 4794, 4796, 4798 1989-95: 47760, 47801, 47850, (47860 & 91050-9), 47910, 47940, 47960, 47980 203 FIGURE 6. Cholecystectomy with open biliodigestive anastomosis Hospital stay during which the patient had the gallbladder removed and open biliodigestive anastomosis was performed during the same stay. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736 1981-88: 4736 1989-95: 47360 og 47365 as well as at least one of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4776, 4794, 4796, 4798 1981-88: 4776, 4785, 4791, 4794, 4796, 4798 1989-95: 47760, 47801, 47850, 47910, 47940, 47960, 47980 No treatment codes were excluded FIGURE 7. Endoscopic choledochal exploration without simultaneous cholecystectomy Hospital stay during which the patient had an endoscopic operation performed on the biliary tracts. During the same stay in hospital, neither cholecystectomy, nor open sphincterotomy nor biliodigestive anastomosis were performed. Treatment codes: 1978-80: (4786 & 9105), 4787 1981-88: (4786 & 9105), 4787, 4809, (4827 & 9105) 1989-95: 47702, 47711, (47860 & 91050-9), 47870, 47961, (48270 & 91050-9), 48051, 48052, 48090, 48095, 48271, 48291 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736, 4756, 4758, 4760, 4776, 4794, 4796, 4798/ 1981-88: 4736, 4756, 4758, 4760, 4776, 4785, 4791, 4794, 4796, 4798/ 1989-95: 47360, 47365, 47560, 47580, 47600, 47760, 47801, 47850, 47910, 47940, 47960, 47980 FIGURE 8 Open choledochal exploration without simultaneous cholecystectomy Hospital stay during which the patient had an open operation performed on the biliary duct. During the same stay in hospital, neither cholecystectomy, open sphincterotomy nor bilio-digestive anastomosis were performed. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4764, 4766, 4768, 4774, 4778, 4780, 4790, 4792, 4808 1981-88: 4764, 4766, 4768, 4769, 4774, 4778, 4780, 4790, 4792, 4808 1989-95: 47640, 47660, 47680, 47690, 47740, 47780, 47800, 47809, 47900, 47920, 48080 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 204 1978-80: 4736, 4756, 4758, 4760, 4776, (4786 & 9105), 4794, 4796, 4798 1981-88: 4736, 4756, 4758, 4760, 4776, 4785, (4786 & 9105), 4791, 4794, 4796, 4798 1989-95: 47360, 47365, 47560, 47580, 47600, 47760, 47801, 47850, (47860 & 91050-9), 47910, 47940, 47960, 47980 FIGUR 9 Open biliodigestive anastomosis without simultaneous cholecystectomy Hospital stay during which the patient had open biliodigestive anastomosis performed without having a cholecystectomy performed during the same stay. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4756, 4758, 4760, 4776, 4794, 4796, 4798 1981-88: 4756, 4758, 4760, 4776, 4785, 4791, 4794, 4796, 4798 1989-95: 47560, 47580, 47600, 47760, 47801, 47850, 47910, 47940, 47960, 47980 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736 1981-88: 4736 1989-95: 47360 og 47365 FIGURE 10 Endoscopic biliodigestive anastomosis Hospital stay during which the patient had a biliodigestive anastomosis performed endoscopically (cholecysto-gastrostomy or cholecystoduodenotomy) without simultaneous exploration of the choledochus duct or open bilidigestive anastomosis. Treatment codes: 1989-95: 47561, 47581 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1989-95: 47360, 47365, 47420, 47560, 47580, 47600-48090; 48270-48275; 48290-48291 FIGURE 11 Endoscopic tubulation of the choledochus duct (without invasive procedures) Hospital stay during which the patient had an endoscopic tubulation of the biliary tracts performed without other forms of invasive operation. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4804 1981-88: 4804 1989-95: 48039, 48040 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4732 – 4803; 4806 – 4829 1981-88: 4732 – 4803; 4806 – 4829 1989-95: 47320 – 48030; 48051 – 48291 205 FIGURE 12 Exploration of the gallbladder Hospital stay during which the patient had the gallbladder opened without stones being found. The gallbladder was not removed and neither exploration of the choledochus nor biliodigestive anastomosis were performed. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4732, 4734 1981-88: 4732, 4734 1989-95: 47320, 47340 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736 – 4798; 4808; 4829 1981-88: 4736 – 4798; 4806 – 4809; (4827 & 9105); 4829 1989-95: 47360-47980; 48051 – 48090; (48270 & 91050-9); 48271- 48275; 48290 – 48291 FIGURE 13 Cholecystolithotomy Hospital stay during which the patient had stones removed from the gallbladder. The gallbladder was not removed and neither exploration of the choledochus nor biliodigestive anastomosis were performed. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4738 1981-88: 4738 1989-95: 47380 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 1978-80: 4736; 4742 – 4798; 4808; 4829 1981-88: 4736; 4742 – 4798; 4806 – 4809; (4827 & 9105); 4829 1989-95: 47360; 47365; 47420 – 47980; 48051 – 48090; (48270 & 91050-9); 48271- 48275; 48290 – 48291 FIGURE 14 Percutaneous cholangiography (as only procedure) Hospital stay during which the patient had percutaneous cholangiography performed without any other form of invasive treatment. Treatment codes: 1978-80: 4803, 4810 1981-88: 4803, 4810 1989-95: 48030, 48100 Without simultaneous occurrence of the following treatment codes: 206 1978-80: 4732 – 4798; 4808; 4814 – 4829 1981-88: 4732 – 4798; 4808; 4809; 4814 – 4829 1989-95: 47320 – 47980; 48051 – 48090; 48140 – 48291 Table 1 shows the overall distribution of all admissions. TABLE 1 99,803 admissions in the period 1978-95 %a (N=99,803) %a (N=82,255) 66,9 81,2 55,021 55.1 66.9 565 0.6 0.7 9,248 9.3 11.2 335 0.3 0.4 1,597 1.6 1.9 13,0 15,7 10,160 10.1 12.4 1,130 1.1 1.4 124 0.1 0.2 1,518 1.5 1.8 17,548 17.6 1,303 1.3 1.6 Percutaneous tubulation 432 0.4 0.5 Unclassifiable or rare operations 822 0.8 1.0 Procedure Antal Cholecystectomy as only procedure with endoscopic bile duct treatment with open bile duct treatment with open and endoscopic bile duct treatment with biliodigestive anastomosis Bile duct treatment without simultaneous cholecystectomy Endoscopic bile duct treatment or tubulation Open bile duct treatment Both endoscopic and open bile duct treatment Biliodigestive anastomosis Miscellaneous Diagnostic ERCP Exploration of the gallbladder and cholecystolithotomy Total 99,803 a: In the first column, the percentage is calculated on the basis of all hospital admissions, while in the other column it is only calculated on the basis of those stays in hospital during which invasive operations (i.e. excluding ERCP) were performed. Multiple admissions of the same patient are counted as one course of treatment, provided less than a year elapsed between the separate admissions. During this process, the following index admissions were combined: ❖ “Cholecystectomy with both open and endoscopic choledochus treatment” has been combined with “cholecystectomy with open bile duct treatment” ❖ “Both endoscopic and open choledochus treatment” have been placed under “open bile duct treatment” ❖ “Cholecystolithotomy” has been combined with “exploration of the gallbladder” ❖ “Percutaneous tubulation of biliary tracts” has been combined with “miscellaneous” C LASSIFICATION ACCORDING TO DIAGNOSIS The basic material and the different treatment groups can be divided according to diagnosis and whether or not ERCP was performed. The diagnosis codes help identify those patients who were treated because of an 207 illness related to the biliary tracts, and whether or not stones were present in the gallbladder, in the bile ducts or there was a cholecystitis. The diagnosis codes were changed during the survey period. ICD8 was used in 1978-1993, while ICD10 was used in 1994-1995. ICD9 was never introduced in Denmark. FIGURE 15 Biliary tract diagnoses 1978-93: 574.00 – 574.99; 575.00 – 575.99; 576.00 – 576.99 1994-95: K80.0 – K83.9; K87.0 Stones in the gallbladder 1978-93: 574.00, 574.01, 574.02, 574.07, 574.08, 574.09 1994-95: K80.0 – K80.2, K80.8 Acute cholecystitis 1978-93: 574.01, 574.02, 575.00, 575.02, 575.03, 575.08, 575.09 1994-95: K80.0, K80.4, K81.0, K81.8, K81.9 Note: K81.8 & K81.9 can represent chronic cholecystitis but have been included here in order not to overlook some cases. They constitute only 1% of the total Stones in the bile ducts 1978-93: 574.03, 574.04, 574.05, 574.06 1994-95: K80.3, K80.4, K80.5 Acute cholangitis 1978-93: 574.04, 574.05, 575.04, 575.08, 575.09 1994-95: K80.3, K80.4, K83.0 Benign tumours in liver/bile-tract/pancreas 1978-93: 211.50 – 211.69 1994-95: D13.4; D13.5; D13.6; D13.7 Acute pancreatitis 1978-93: 577.00 – 577.09 1994-95: K85.9 Dyskinesia/post-cholecystectomy syndrome 1978-93: 576.00 1994-95: K83.4, K91.5 Abdominal pains 1978-93: 785.51, 785.52, 785.59 1994-95: R10.0 – R10.8 The change from ICD8 to ICD10 meant that in 1994 and 1995 it was not possible to differentiate with 100% certainty between stones in the gallbladder and stones in the bile ducts. In addition, problems may have ari- 208 sen with the diagnosis acute cholecystitis, as there was an appreciable rise in the registration of acute cholecystitis in 1994 and 95 without any corresponding rise in the proportion of patients admitted as acute cases. As a result, this report is somewhat reserved in its interpretation of results that are dependent on diagnoses from the National Hospital Discharge Register in the years 1994 and 1995. V ALIDATION OF THE N ATIONAL H OSPITAL D ISCHARGE R EGISTER In order to validate the information from the National Hospital Discharge Register the following extracts were taken from the 90,582 treatment courses (see section 2.1.1): 1. A random extract of approx. 10% of treatments in each of the years of discharge 1979, 1985 and 1993. A total of 1,327 courses of treatment 2. A random extract of approx. 10% of all courses of treatment only consisting of diagnostic ERCP in each of the years of discharge 1979, 1985 and 1993. A total of 229 courses of treatment. 3. All courses of treatment in the years 1978-1995 where the index treatment was cholecystectomy with or without operation on the bile ducts, and where the original stay in hospital was followed by one or more re-admissions for other treatment of the biliary tract. The diagnosis according to the index treatment had to be gallbladder stones (because of problems with the new diagnosis classification system all gallstone diagnoses have, however, been included for the years 1994 and 1995). A total of 539 courses of treatment. 4. A random extract of approx. 2% of all admissions for each of the years 1979, 1985 and 1993 to surgical departments in cases where a gall-stone diagnosis was made but where no treatment code was stipulated. A total of 202 admissions. A total of 3,570 medical comments were recalled from the respective hospitals for all admissions in the (1,327+229+539) 2,095 courses of treatment (3,368 hospital admissions) covered in points 1-3 plus the 202 covered in point 4. The validation procedure has not yet been completed, but at the time of writing, 71% of the medical comments have been returned and reviewed. Thus, the breakdown of the figures represents a provisional result. In this report, points 1, 2 and 4 have been used to validate the treatment codes in the National Hospital Discharge Register, while point 3 supplemented by point 1 has been used to assess the extent to which courses of treatment involving multiple admissions are due to complica- 209 tions related to the disease or to the procedure. If the latter is the case, classification of courses of treatment could be used as a screening instrument for monitoring complications related to procedures related to simple cholecystectomy. The results are covered in this report, section 2.1.2. D EVELOPMENTS IN THE USE OF DIFFERENT TECHNOLOGIES FOR TREATMENT OF PATIENTS WITH BILE DUCT DISORDERS , 1978-95 In this section, the curves show developments in a number of index treatments for bile duct diseases that are only referred to summarily in the report. FIGURE 16. Cholecystectomy with open bile duct surgery – with biliary tract diagnoses Rate per 100.000 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women 210 Men FIGURE 17. Cholecystectomy with endoscopic bile duct surgery – with biliary tract diagnoses Rate per 100.000 5 4 3 2 1 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men FIGURE 18. Cholecystectomy with biliodigestive anastomosis – with biliary tract diagnoses Rate per 100.000 5 4 3 2 1 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men 211 FIGURE 19. Cholecystectomy with operation on the bile ducts – with biliary tract diagnoses Rate per 100,000 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men FIGURE 20. Open operation on the bile ducts without cholecystectomy – with biliary tract diagnoses Rate per 100,000 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women 212 Men FIGURE 21. Endoscopic operation on bile ducts without cholecystectomy – with biliary tract diagnoses Rate per 100,000 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men FIGURE 22. Biliodigestive anastomosis without cholecystectomy – with biliary tract diagnoses Rate per 100,000 5 4 3 2 1 0 Year 78 79 80 81 82 83 84 85 86 87 88 89 90 91 92 93 94 95 Women Men 213 Appendix 3 Literature S EARCH OF LITERATURE Index Medicus On a previous occasion, a search was conducted of Index Medicus for the period 1978-1990 for all keywords concerning bile, biliary tracts, gallstones and treatment thereof. MEDLINE A search was performed for the period January 1989 – November 1997. Search criteria: ❖ ❖ ❖ explode "BILIARY-TRACT-SURGERY"/ without-subheadings, adverse-effects, classification, contraindications, economics, history, instrumentation, mortality, methods, nursing, psychology, rehabilitation, statistics-and-numerical-data, standards, trends, utiliszation - in MJME (Major Mesh). however, without "PORTOENTEROSTOMY,-HEPATIC"/ all subheadings explode "BILIARY-TRACT-DISEASES"/ without-subheadings, blood, blood-supply, cerebrospinal-fluid, chemistry, chemically-induced, classification, congenital, complications, diet-therapy, diagnosis, drug-therapy, economics, ethnology, embryology, enzymology, epidemiology, etiology, genetics, history, immunology, metabolism, microbiology, mortality, nursing, pathology, prevention-and-control, physiopathology, parasitology, psychology, radiography, rehabilitation, radio-nuclide-imaging, radiotherapy, secondary, secretion, surgery, therapy, ultrastructure, urine, ultrasonography, virology - in MJME (Major Mesh). Approx. 23,000 abstracts were reviewed and a total of 7,039 were deemed relevant to this report and transferred into a RefMan database. EMBASE A search was conducted for randomised surveys involving laparoscopic cholecystectomy for the period up to and including November 1997 (Search criteria: ?olecystectomy, randomi?ed og laparoscop?). 214 Cochrane Library A search was conducted for randomised surveys involving diagnostics, prevention and treatment of biliary tract diseases. Bibliographies The bibliographies in the articles read were studied to identify additional references. C RITICAL EVALUATION OF THE LITERATURE In order to avoid biased interpretations, it was necessary to define in advance the principles to be used for the literature study. There is now so much literature about gallstone treatments that by accentuating the importance of different articles, support can be found for widely divergent points of view regarding the treatment of the same categories of illness. For this report, it has not been possible to conduct an in-depth study of the literature relating to all areas since the effort involved would correspond to several years of work. This work is being done at the moment under the auspices of the Cochrane Collaboration. The purpose of the Cochrane Collaboration84 is to collate all randomised surveys of diagnostics, prevention, treatment and care of diseases and to review them systematically – in other words, to review articles according to fixed criteria. One reason for the international scope of the collaboration is to make sure that all language areas are covered. There are a number of methodological problems involved in collating the literature291. Principles for evaluating individual articles Randomised surveys 1. Inclusion and exclusion criteria must be well defined 2. The randomisation has to be consistent - Specification of the duration of the study; the proportion of relevant patients randomised; exclusion after randomisation plus drop-out rate during treatment. - Patients must be allocated to the different interventions on the basis of the chance principle and be blinded (computerised, closed envelopes, etc.). Quasi randomisation (e.g. on surgeon or department) is unacceptable. - The analyses have to be made according to the principle of ‘intention to treat’, i.e. once a patient has been allocated to a treatment, he is included in this treatment group regardless of how his course of treatment develops. 215 - The number of patients who are excluded or who drop out after randomisation has to be less than 10% and the drop-out rate must not be spread unequally between the groups. 3. The extent to which the treatment is blind must be stated, and this is particularly important in surveys about pain, bed days and convalescence582. 4. The method of treatment has to be well described and the extent to which the doctors treating the patients have been trained in the procedure must also be clearly stipulated. The above criteria were used in the assessment of the randomised surveys and lead to either exclusion (if points 1 and 2 were not fulfilled) or to explanation of differences in the results achieved by the different surveys (points 3 and 4). Clinical series Ideally, the following criteria ought to be fulfilled: ❖ Inclusion and exclusion criteria must be well defined ❖ The series must be consecutive and the time interval stipulated ❖ The series must be of a certain size ❖ The method of treatment must be well described and the extent to which the doctors treating the patients have been trained in the procedure must also be stipulated. Deviations from the above mentioned criteria must be mentioned in the text or in the relevant tables. In which areas has the available literature been systematically studied? ❖ Follow up studies of patients with stones in the gallbladder ❖ Descriptions of gallstone symptoms ❖ Comparisons between different technologies for simple cholecystectomy ❖ Randomised surveys of different technologies for treatment of stones in the biliary tracts This report covered the following language areas: Danish, Norwegian, Swedish, English, German and French. Articles pertaining to randomised surveys in other languages have been translated into English or Danish. 216 S ELECTED LITERATURE Randomised trials of different forms of access to cholecystectomy Cholecystectomy by laparoscopy versus minilaparotomy Seven randomised trials that compared laparoscopic cholecystectomy to cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy were identified. The surveys covered a total of 1,011 patients65, 148, 421, 483, 500, 504, 766. Four of the surveys, i.e. representing 199 (20%) of the patients, did not fulfil the randomisation requirements65, 148, 421, 766. One500 of the three remaining works only performed an analysis according to the “intention to treat” principle for data concerning length of stay in hospital. Only one study483 was blinded and only one work stated that the surgeons were trained in both procedures483. Cholecystectomy by laparoscopic versus traditional open cholecystectomy Nineteen randomised trials were identified that compare laparoscopic cholecystectomy with traditional open cholecystectomy. They cover 959 patients12, 75, 79, 174, 190, 246, 266, 337, 350, 379, 410, 490, 522, 579, 621, 634, 654, 681, 789. The vast majority of works in this category are quite small and are about anaesthesiology and physiological trials in which no attempt was made to explain the randomisation procedure. Sufficient randomisation procedures were only stipulated in four works79, 337, 579, 789 covering 151 patients. Only one study579 was blinded. Cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy versus traditional open cholecystectomy Four randomised trials were identified that compare cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy with traditional open cholecystectomy. They covered 391 patients51, 574, 690, 703. One of the works covering 50 patients51 did not describe the randomisation procedure sufficiently. None of the studies were blinded. Randomised trials regarding pain relief and nausea/discomfort after simple cholecystectomy Various initiatives designed to reduce postoperative pain, nausea and other forms of discomfort have been analysed in several randomised trials. Within the time framework of this report, it has not been possible to study them all systematically. The references are stated here for use in any follow-up work on reference programmes about gallstone treatment. 217 The location of the incision Ali20, Garcia-Valdecasas267, Armstrong49 Laser vs. traditional surgery Steger743 Local anaesthesia in the wound Patel592, Adams9, Russell659, Ure798, Johansson355, Alexander19, Sarac679 Intrapleural local anaesthesia Aguilar13, Blake94, Frank240, Frenette250, Kastrissios380, Oxorn583, Rademaker625, Schroeder695, Scott701, Strömskag757,VadeBoncouer799 Local anaesthesia above the lobe of the liver Chundrigar141, Joris361, Mraovic537, Pasqualuci590, Pasqualucci591, Rademaker624, Raetzell626, Scheinin684, Szem762, Weber823 Intercostal local anaesthesia Blake94, Ross650 Epidural anaesthesia/morphine Hakanson298, Huang336, Scott701, Thörn779 Transcutaneous electric nerve stimulation Laitinen425 Preoperative and intraoperative analgetics Forse236, Lane428, Michaloliakon519, Wilson847 Suprahepatic drain Jorgensen360 Reduction of nausea/discomfort postoperative Cabrera123, Fujii256, Sohi867, Steinbook744, Thune782 Special circumstances associated with laparoscopic surgery CO2 vs. abdominal-lift Kitano401, Koivusalo406, Koivusalo407, Lindgren456, Meijer509, Yoshida858 218 CO2 vs. helium Bongard99 French vs. American method Kum419 Clinical series covering symptoms and indication for treatment This chapter contains a detailed breakdown of clinical series covering symptoms and indications for gallstone treatment. The tables are summarily treated in the main report. TABLE 1 Association between symptoms and gall stones in population studies. The studies represent well-defined population groups that have been screened for gallstones by X-ray or ultrasound. Only series covering more than 100 persons have been included. The occurrence of gall stones is associated with Author Country 840 N Biliary pain a c Pains in upper abdomen Dyspepsiab Wilbur USA 1,233 Nej Yes Yes Price620 UK 204 - No No Sampliner677 USA 395 - Yes No - c No No Noc - No No 57 Bainton UK 956 GREPCO39 Italy 1,081 Janzon352 Sweden 424 - No Barbara62 Italy 1,911 Yes - No Pixleyd 611 UK 242 - No No GREPCO42 Italy 1,239 No - No Mellström511 Sweden 109 Yes - - Glambek275 Norway 1,329 - No No Jørgensen368 Denmark 3,416 No No No Heatone 315 UK 1,896 Yes (women) No (men) Noc (women) No (men) - Loria460 Italy 1,807 Yes - Yes Attili53 Italy 29,739 Yes - - a: Biliary pain is defined differently in different studies, and in certain studies are not defined at all. The Italian studies agree on the following definition: Pains in the epigastrium or upper right quadrant within the last five years. The pains must last more than half an hour and must not by eased by bowel movements/flatus. b: Dyspepsia involves a whole series of symptoms like nausea, heartburn, eructation of acid fluid, bloatedness, rumbling, pressure in the epigastrium, flatulence and food intolerance. c: A distinct tendency towards a link between symptoms and gallstones but the link is not significant. e: Heaton’s work was considered as two studies (men and women). 219 TABLE 2 Relationships between symptoms and gallstones in consecutive patient cohorts referred to an X-ray department or a clinical department. Only series involving more than 100 patients were included. The occurrence of gall stones is associated with Author Country 328 Hinkel N Biliary pain a Pains in upper abdomen Dyspepsiab No 1,000 Yes Yes Koch404 USA 655 - - No Wegge824 Denmark 192 - Yes Yes Persson604 Sweden 817 - Noc Nod No 185 Diehl USA 300 Yes Yes Galatola263 UK 282 Yes - - Farrell217 Ireland 300 - Yes Nejd a: Biliary pain is defined differently in different studies, and in certain studies are not defined at all. b: Dyspepsia covers a whole string of symptoms such as nausea, heartburn, eructation of acid fluid, bloatedness, rumbling, pressure in the epigastrium, flatulence and food intolerance c: The occurrence of abdominal pains was not different in people with and without gallstones, but maximal pain in the upper right quadrant was seen significantly more often in patients with gallstones than in patients without gallstones d: A significant negative association between gall stones and certain dyspeptic symptoms 220 TABLE 3 Clinical series studying the frequency of persistent symptoms after cholecystectomy. The series are consecutive with a follow-up of at least 3 months and a response rate of at least 70% a. Follow-up has to have been conducted on at least 50 patients. Persistent symptoms Author Burnett Country 119 N/nb Follow-up months Painsc Dyspepsiac UK 200/141(o) 12-60 14% 11% Rhind640 UK 72/66 (o) 12- 38% (17%) 40% (9%) Gunn295 UK 107/105 (o) 12-24 23% (7%) - Bremner107 UK 207/207 (o) 8-35 8% (5%) - 356 Johnson UK 108/108 (o) 3-39 - Ros649 Spain 130/92 (o) 24 22% 24% Gilliland273 USA 650/525 (o) 15-79 12% 25% Jørgensen376 Denmark 122/115 (o) 6-12 21% Batesd, 70 UK 292/278/274 (o) 12 & 24 34%/27% Paul595 Germany 60/51 (o) 4 18% 18% Mühe547 Germany 94/93 (l) 136/130 (o) 49-67 27% 25% - Konsten409 HongKong 351/325 (o) 120 19% - Qureshi622 Ireland 100/100 (l) 12 13% 20% Wilson846 UK 115/100 (l) 200/167 (o) 14 28 6% 7% - Mort531 USA 372/312 (o) 3 20-36% - Stiff UK 250/205 (l) 200/155 (o) 15 32 37% (3%) 41%(10%) - Fenster223 USA 225/164 (l) 3 18% 54% Kane378 USA 2.490/72% (l) 958/72% (o) 6 6 23% (11%) 24% (11%) - Ure797 Germany 508/468 (l) 15-23 26% - 749 54% (30%) (7%) (6%) > 50% (o): Traditional open cholecystectomy; (l): Laparoscopic cholecystectomy a: A number of works have been omitted because of lack of information about the follow-up, follow-up rates below 70% 59, 96, 651, 742, 750, insufficient follow-up periods (5-7 weeks)92 or selected follow-up468, 516 omitting patients converted to open cholecystectomy b: N/n: Number of patients at the start of the study/number of patients followed up c: The proportion with persisting symptoms (the proportion with unchanged or aggravated conditions). d: Follow-up after 1 and 2 years respectively. 221 Epidemiological surveys of possible differences in treatment indication TABLE 4 The proportion of people with cholecystectomy among people with gallstone diseases (gallstones or previous cholecystectomy) in different countries. All population studies covering at least 50 people with gallstones were included. Cholecystectomy rate a Country Gender Age Period % (N) Norway276 Both 20-69 1983 5% (300) USA492 Men 20-74 1982-84 17% (-) Czechoslovakia863 Both 20-59 1989-90 19% (262) Denmark365, 375 Men 30-70 1982-84 23% (142) UK (Bristol)315 Men 40-69 1987-89 24% (58) UK (Oxford)612 Women 40-69 1982-84 28% (156) Ex-GDR 83 Men 15- 1986-87 31% (181) Czechoslovakia86 Women 15-92 ? 31% (-) Italy (MICOL)53 Men 30-69 1984-87 32% (1,511) Italy (Sirmione)62 Men 18-65 ? 32% (59) Ex-GDR Women 15 - 1986-87 35% (452) Italy (Rome)39 Women 20-64 1980 35% (102) Italy (Rome)41, 42 Men 20-69 1982-84 36% (102) Itay (Sirmione)62 Women 18-65 ? 39% (151) Denmark365, 375 Women 30-70 1982-84 39% (256) Italy (Sezze)40 Women 20-69 1984 41% (68) UK (Bristol)315 Women 25-69 1987-89 44% (85) USA492 Women 20-74 1982-84 44% (- ) Italy (MICOL)53 Women 30-69 1984-87 44% (2,603) USA (Texas)304 Women 15-74 1985-86 45% (155) Sweden (Gothenburg) 511 Women 77-78 1984 47% (55) USA492 Women 20-74 1982-84 47% (-) Sweden (Malmoe) 352 Women 48, 53 1979 49% (84) Italy (Chianciano)460 Women 15-65 1985-86 50% (70) Sweden (Stockholm)539 Women 40, 60 1992 54% (54) USA492 Women 20-74 1982-84 55% (-) 83 a: People with cholecystectomy/(people with cholecystectomy + people with gallstones) 222 Postoperative pain, hospital stay and convalescence TABLE 5 Postoperative pain, length of hospital stay and convalescence in randomised trials of different forms of access to cholecystectomy Study N Blinding Pain Analgesia Hospital stay (days) Absence due to illness (days) Laparoscopy vs. traditional open laparotomy Ortega579 20 Yes 5 vs. 12 a Trondsen789 72 No Sign.a Berggren79 30 No Huang 337 29 No - - 1,2 vs. 1,1 4 vs. 6b 125mg vs. 200mg c 0,5 vs. 2 b - 2 vs. 4 11 vs. 34 1,8 vs. 2,8 12 vs. 24 3,9 vs. 7,9 - Laparoscopy vs. minilaparotomy Majeed483 200 Yes McMahon504 302 No McGinnee 500 310 No - 30 No - Seenu703 181 No - Schmitz690 130 No 40 vs. 59 a 22mg vs. 40mg d - 3 vs. 3 35 vs. 28 2 vs. 4 38 vs. 38 4 vs. 3 - 3 vs. 5 - 2,6 vs. 4 - Minilaparotomy vs. open laparotomy O’Dwyer574 Not sign. 2,5 vs. 4,5 b Not sign. Significant differences are written in italics a: Visual analogue scale – significantly greater pain after open laparotomy b: Median number of painkilling injections c: mg of pethidin 13-24 hours after operation. Not sign. from 0-12 hours after operation d: Median volume morphine e: McGinn only treats the length of hospital stay according to the "intention to treat" principle Number of biliary tract lesions in connection with cholecystectomy In general, the following requirements were stipulated for all surveys: ❖ Consecutive groups of 200+ patients. ❖ Evenly distributed patient material (e.g. not only elderly patients or only young patients). ❖ The material has to be well described. ❖ Biliary tract lesions have to be well described. Any deviations will be stipulated in the text accompanying the individual tables. The following types of works are differentiated: ❖ Clinical series, in which one or more hospital departments or surgeons record their own results. Randomised trials are included, if the randomisation does not cover different surgical technologies, and if it is clearly stated that all patients were included. 223 ❖ Questionnaire surveys involving departments or surgeons. ❖ Regional or national results in the form of continuous reports to a register or a questionnaire survey that covers a well-defined geographic area. ❖ Audits, during which the case histories were studied by an external expert group. TABLE 6 Clinical series covering traditional open cholecystectomy without choledochal exploration. Author Period N Bile duct complications Pasquale589 1985 247 0 2 (0,81) Monson525 1984-88 479 0 0 Chaudary132 Acute Age in yearsb Comments Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) 12,5 1986-89 340 0 0 0 Stahlschmidt736 1984-87 861 0 - 17 55 Warwick816 1981-88 384 0 0 24,4 52 450 1979-84 494 0 0 0 50 214 Ewing 1988-89 400 0 4 (1,00) 31 - Konsten409 1978-80 351 0 - 12,8 56 (17-87) Meyer518 1983-90 500 0 - 23 54 (16-98) Brune114 1983-90 748 2 (0,27) - - 4,804 2 (0,04) 6 (0,26)b Lewis Sum 15,6% a: Median or mean (range) b: N=2344 c: Included even though these are randomised trials since they include consecutive series 224 51 (-) RCT of drain treatmentc 34 (12-76) - RCT of drain treatmentc TABLE 7 Clinical series covering traditional open cholecystectomy in which it is not possible to differentiate between simple cholecystectomy and cholecystectomy with choledochal surgery Author Period N Bile duct complications Acute Age in yearsb Comments Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) Ganey264 1978-83 1,035 0 0 16 Scher685 1979-82 432 0 1 (0.23) - - Gregg292 1979-80 765 1 (0.13) - - - Heberer316 1985-87 544 - 0 - Orth868 1982-89 773 1 (0.13) 2 (0.26) 0 56 1986-90 346 2 (0.58) - - - Kocher 1984-87 1,631 Saltzstein674 1988-90 500 Caputo126 1980-87 1,617 7 (0.43) 1 (0.06) 25.2 - Clavienb, 145 1984-89 1,252 0 2 (0.16) 0 52 (16-88) Cox159 1985-89 457 1 (0.22) - 36.4 53 (12-87) Davies175 1985-90 722 0 0 24.9 49 Herzog325 1984-90 1,631 1 (0.06) - 15 - Morgenstern529 1982-88 1,200 Battersby72 405 0 (15-92) 1 (0.06) 2 (0.12) 15.5 58 (15-91) 0 0 29.8 40 (10-96) 2 (0.17) - - 56 (3-96) 1989-90 304 0 - 38.3 53 Wieden 1985-89 921 3 (0.33) 1 (0.11) - - Bradbury105 1989-90 246 0 0 - 48k/57m Bjerkeset91 1980-89 832 1 (0.12) - 49 66 (18-100) 20 (0.13) 9 (0.10)c 19.4% Stoker752 839 Sum 15,208 The damage occurs during cholangiography a: Median or mean (range) b: Two publications 117, 512 make up a subset of Clavien 145 and have, therefore, been omitted. c: N=9129 225 TABLE 8 Cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy. Clinical series and randomised trialsa. Author Period N Bile duct complications Acute Age in yearsb Comments Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) Dubois197 1973-80 Goco282 15 month Morton532 2 years Salembier671 - Merrill514 3 years 91 0 0 28,8 57 (16-84) Reddick469 1988-89 25 0 0 - 40 1986-90 200 0 0 55 0 0 Ledet 435 1.500 0 0 - - 56 0 0 - - 96 0 0 - - 125 0 0 - - - (21-82) Part of RCT (16-82) O’Dwyer870 - Safatle666 1990-91 21 0 0 - - Stage733 - 24 0 0 - 56 (22-72) Barkun65 1990-91 25 0 1 (4.00) - - Part of RCT Kunz421 1990- ? 37 1 (2.70) 0 - - Part of RCT O’Dwyer574 - 16 0 0 31,3 46 (27-74) Part of RCT Pélissier598 1983-90 191 0 0 - 46 (9-82) Suarez758 1984- ? 50 0 0 48 47 (-) Warren 815 - 48 (13-81) Not “int. to treat” 1990-91 20 0 0 - 55 (30-81) Assalia51 18 months 24 0 0 - 60 (-) Part of RCT Coelho148 1992 15 0 0 - 43 (25-66) Part of RCT Rozsos656 1990-93 607 1 (0.16) 1 (0.16) - - Seenu703 1990-92 97 0 0 - - Tyagi793 - 143 0 4 (2.80) - McGinn500 1991-95 155 0 1 (0.65) 0 57 (26-84) Gaetini261 1992-94 62 0 0 - - Kumar871 1995-96 60 0 0 0 39 (24-70) Part of RCT Schmitz690 1991-94 65 0 0 - 53 (24-66) Part of RCT Sum 3,760 2 (0.05) 7 (0.19) 14.8% Sum >= 50 3,553 1 (0.03) 6 (0.17) 14.0% Sum >=100 2,921 1 (0.03) 6 (0.21) 0.0% Sum >=200 2,307 1 (0.04) 1 (0.04) - - (15-87) Part of RCT (20-83) Part of RCT In this material, series covering less than 200 patients were also accepted because relatively little has been written about the subject. The complication rates were, however, calculated on materials of more than 50, 100 and 200. a: Two randomised trials were not included483, 504, since they are part of a separate assessment. The rest of the randomised trials do not live up to the requirements of sufficient randomisation. They are included as clinical series. b: Median or mean (range). 226 TABLE 9 Laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Early clinical series, published 1990-92. Author Period N Bile duct complications Acute Age in yearsb Comments Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) Duboisb, 200 1988-90 690 3 (0.43) 2 (0.29) - - Bailey56 1989-91 375 1 (0.27) 5 (1.33) 6.4 47 (16-94) Corbitt155 - 300 0 0 16 (15-90) Cuschieri168 - 1,236 4 (0.32) 2 (0.16) 2.3 47 (13-86) Fitzgibbon231 - 350 0 0 14.7 - Graves290 1989-90 304 1 (0.33) 0 3.3 50 (14-83) Ko403 1989-91 300 1 (0.33) 0 5.3 (12-85) Manger486 1990-91 200 0 1 (0.50) 3.0 47 (13-78) Peters607 1990 283 1 (0.35) 3 (1.06) 4.9 46 (-) Sackier 662 1989-90 516 1 (0.19) 1 (0.19) - - Spaw728 - 500 0 1 (0.20) 5.8 46 (17-86) Voyles812 - 453 0 1 (0.22) 23.4 52 (15-98) Wolfe852 1990-91 381 0 4 (1.05) 7.6 45 Baird58 1989-91 800 0 3 (0.38) 13.0 - Dallemagne170 1990-91 368 1 (0.27) 1 (0.27) 1.6 56 (-) Dashow173 1990-91 250 0 2 (0.80) - 49 (15-97) Davis176 1989- 622 1 (0.16) 1 (0.16) 10.0 48 (17-97) Dion189 1990-91 258 0 1 (0.39) 1.2 44 (14-82) Fabre215 1989-91 392 4 (1.02) 0 16.6 54 (17-85) Feussner226 - 500 0 4 (0.80) - - Fielding228 1990-91 220 0 1 (0.45) 6.8 - Frazee 245 1990-92 706 2 (0.28) - 14.2 51 (-) 1990-91 340 0 1 (0.29) 6.8 49 (16-87) Graber288 - 300 4 (1.33) - - - Hawasli313 1989-91 480 0 2 (0.42) - - Hershman323 - 200 1 (0.50) 2 (1.00) 24.5 49 (19-86) Herzog325 1990-91 278 1 (0.36) 1 (0.36) 0.0 53 (18-86) Huang335 1990-91 200 1 (0.50) 1 (0.50) 15.5 51 (27-83) Kimura398 1990-91 250 0 0 0.0 49 (24-78) Kiviluoto402 1991-92 200 1 (0.50) 0 16.0 48 (16-83) Kozarekc. 411 1990 597 11 (1.84) 6 (1.01) - - Leahy433 1990 308 1 (0.32) 4 (1.30) 13.6 48 Lillemoe453 1989-91 400 2 (0.50) 5 (1.25) 2.5 48 (15-96) Miles521 - 201 1 (0.50) 1 (0.50) - - Nottle569 1990-91 280 0 3 (1.07) - - Pérrisatd, 602 1988-91 696 3 (0.43) 4 (0.57) - Ratliff633 1990-91 230 0 2 (0.87) 20.0 56 (10-86) Scott697 1990-91 210 0 1 (0.48) 11.4 46 (17-85) Sigman711 1990-? 500 2 (0.40) - 9.1 48 (7-93) 1990 271 1 (0.37) - - - Sim Personal series (12-75) Gai262 712 7 depts. in 3 countries in Europe Personal series (13-83) 227 (Tabel 9 continued) Bile duct complications Acute Age in yearsb Author Period N Singson714 1990-91 329 0 4 (1.22) 9.1 47 (15-83) Soper724 1989-91 618 2 (0.32) 1 (0.16) 6.0 47 (15-82) Stahlschmidte, 736 1990-92 812 3 (0.37) 6 (0.74) - - Stoker752 1990-91 280 0 1 (0.36) 27.5 51 (-) Troidlf, 787 1989-91 400 3 (0.75) 0 2 52 (18-87) Wayand821 1990-91 250 1 (0.40) 2 (0.80) 19.2 52 m/46 k Wieden839 1990-91 600 4 (0.67) 1 (0.17) 6.1 - 62 (0.32) 81 (0.46)g Comments Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) Sum 19,234 8.9% a: Median or mean (range) b: An earlier publication199 contains a subset of this material c: 13 of the 17 lesions occurred during surgeons' first 20 operations d: Includes a large proportion of the patients from another series151, which has, therefore, been excluded e: 3 bile duct lesions is a minimum number, since the 6 other lesions probably includes at least one bile duct lesion f: Includes an earlier publication by the same author787. g: N=17.457 A study covering 1,009 patients717 includes 6 injuries (0.59%), but it cannot be determined whether they are central or peripheral 228 TABLE 10 Laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Clinical series published 1995-97 a Author Period N Bile duct complications Acute Age in yearsb Comments Personal series Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) Amaral23 1991-92 200 0 1 (0.50) 24.0 46 (-) Azurin55 1990-95 1,400 0 2 (0.14) 27.0 - Denning180 1990-92 894 3 (0.34) 4 (0.45) - - Dorazio195 1990-94 1,344 1 (0.07) - - (9-90) Dubois201 1988-94 2,665 6 (0.23) 13 (0.49) 12.5 51 (6-90) Dubois196 1990-93 500 2 (0.40) 8 (1.60) 13.2 45 333 - Hölbling 1992-94 455 2 (0.44) 1 (0.22) 11.0 - Madhavan476 1990-91 400 0 - 30.0 53 (9-90) Panton587 1991-93 228 0 4 (1.75) 18 50 (15-84) Schrenkc, 694 1990-93 1,300 3 (0.23) - - - Slim716 1989- ? 710 4 (0.56) 0 7.9 57 (17-93) Bond98 1990-93 529 4 (0.76) 3 (0.57) 4 44 (13-85) Buanes115 1991-94 277 0 4 (1.44) 6.9 46 (18-83) Carrolld, 129 1989-95 3,242 12 (0.37) - - Chen135 1991-95 2,428 0 Ferzli 225 5 (0.21) - 1 (15-77) 1990-4 1,442 2 (0.14) 2 (0.14) - 44 (13-94) Kullman416 1991-94 630 4 (0.63) 3 (0.48) - 53 (11-86) Leung443 1990- ? 297 1 (0.34) 1 (0.34) 22.6 53 (-) Zisman862 - 329 0 - - - Dexter182 1990-94 411 0 4 (0.97) - 53 (-) Jan349 1991-95 1,115 5 (0.45) 3 (0.27) Ladocsi422 1991-93 734 1 (0.14) - Lam427 1994-96 213 0 - - - Mjåland524 1994-95 200 2 (1.00) 1 (0.50) - 49 (17-82) Taylor768 1990-95 2,038 2 (0.10) - - - 774 1991-95 361 4 (1.11) 4 (1.11) 31 50 (16-85) 24,342 63 (0.26) 58 (0.39)e Thanh Sum a: b: c: d: e: - 47 (28-70) 12.1 49 (-) 12.7% The search for relevant literature ended in November 1997 Median or mean (range). Counts only injuries that lead to conversion (does not look at injuries not discovered until after the operation). ): The series includes an earlier publication528, which has, therefore, been excluded N=14.742 229 TABLE 11 Laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Results from questionnaire surveys. Author Period Airan14 -91 N Bile duct complications Acute Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) Age in yearsa Comments 2,671 5 (0.19) 25 (0.94) - 52 m/45wb Response rate not stated Delaitre179 - 6,512 29 (0.45) 18 (0.28) - 51 (13-95) questionnaire and seriesc Larson432 - 1,983 5 (0.25) 7 (0.35) - - d 1990-92 5,927 12 (0.20) - - 74% response rate -92 9,597 27 (0.28) 69 (0.72) - - e 77,604 317 (0.41) Cocks 147 Devency181 Deziel 183 142 (0.18) - - 41% response rate Kimura400 1990 1990- ? 1,989 9 (0.45) 1 (0.05) 0 - f Croce162 1990-92 6,865 18 (0.26) - - g 203 Dunn 1990-91 3,319 11 (0.33) 35 (1.05) - Response rate not stated Mucio538 1990-91 2,399 6 (0.25) 10 (0.42) 22 - 72% response rate Trondsen790 - 527 3 (0.57) 5 (0.95) 5.3 - 7 departments VincentHamelin807 1989-92 2,432 11 (0.45) 5 (0.21) 7.7 50 (9-91) Response rate not stated Morino530 - 2,127 8 (0.38) - Pongchairerks618 - 1,744 14 (0.80) 11 (0.63) Collet150 4,624 7 (0.15) 130,320 482 (0.37) Sum 1994 - - - - 25.9 56m/53wb i 16.2% 328 (0.30) h One questionnaire survey covering 36,232 patients15 has not been included in the table, since it was impossible to differentiate between central and peripheral bile duct lesions (a total of 0.50%). a: Median or mean (range). b: m=men, w=women c: Two questionnaire surveys linked to three clinical series. d: No information about how the surgeons were chosen and how many declined to participate. e: Questionnaire for surgeons and surgical managers in Oregon. Response rate 69% and 53%, respectively. f: Eight institutions. How they were chosen and what response rate was achieved are not described in detail. g: 19 groups. How they were chosen and what response rate was achieved are not described in detail. h: 150 surgeons. It is not stated how many were asked. i: N=110,777 230 TABLE 12 Laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Regional or national registers/questionnaire surveys Author Period N Bile duct complications South. Club43 - 1,518 8 (0.53) - Litwin458 1990-91 2,201 4 (0.18) 759 1989-92 3,606 Go280 1990-92 Orlando577 Age in yearsa Comments Acute Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) 9.6 47 ( 8-98) Degree of coverage? USA 10 (0.45) - - Canada 25 (0.69) - - - Degree of coverage? France 6,076 52 (0.86) - - - 100% coverage The Netherlands 1990-91 4,640 15 (0.32) - 15.1 - 97% coverage. USA Schlumpf688 1989-92 3,722 20 (0.54) 11 (0.30) 10 50 (13-97) 100% coverage. Switzerland b Wayand822 1991 7,351 34 (0.46) - - - 100% coverage. Austria Kum420 1990-92 1,066 10 (0.94) - 6.5 - 95% coverage. Singapore -92 4,000 13 (0.33) 28 (0.70) - - > 70% coverage New Zealand c Buanes116 1993-94 1,699 9 (0.53) 15 (0.88) - - National Registerd, Norway Hjelmquist329 - 11,164 57 (0.51) - - - Sweden Moore526 - 8,839 15 (0.17) - - - Degree of coverage? USA Ovaska581 1992-94 5,742 56 (0.98) 18 (0.31) 4.2 51 (12-90) National Register, Finland Regöly-Mérei636 1991-94 26,440 109 (0.41) 39 (0.15) - - Hungary e Russell658 1990-93 15,221 38 (0.25) - 19.2 - Connecticut, USA 1991-94 7,654 57 (0.74) - - - National Registerf, Denmark 110,939 522 (0.47) 121 (0.28)g Suc Windsor848 10 Adamsen Sum 14.2% a: Median or mean (range). b: Parallel publication 687 c: Surgeons and endoscope operators from the whole of New Zealand were surveyed. See also [849], in which only the surgeons were questioned. d: Also stipulates injury during simultaneous open surgery. e: National questionnaire survey with 95% response rate. The survey partially overlaps with the period of an earlier survey (1990-93), which also consisted of a questionnaire sent to all departments in Hungary 343. On that occasion, the complication rate for central biliary tract injuries was 0.59%. f: No decline in the number of complications has been identified over time. g: N=43,804 231 TABLE 13 Laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Audit Author Period N Birdi88 1990-92 555 1 (0.18) Wherry838 1990-92 5,642 32 (0.57) Steele740 1991-94 502 6 (1.20) Richardson642 1990-95 5,913 37 (0.63) Wherry837 1993-94 9,130 35 (0.38) Merrie513 1991-95 929 8 (0.86) 22,671 119 (0.52) c Sum Age in yearsa Comments Bile duct complications Acute Central (%) Peripheral (%) cholecystitis (%) 5 (0.90) - 51 (16-85) one town - - - US-army 3 (0.60) - - one department - - - West of Scotlandb 50 (0.55) - - US-army 5 (0.54) - - New Zealand 63 (0.57) a: Median or mean (range). b: The results of the first 1,683 cases from the period 1990-92 were published 257 and the proportion suffering central complications was 0.48%. c: N=11,116 232 Results for cholecystolithotomy TABLE 14 Clinical series of cholecystolithotomy (elective surgery). Only series involving more than 25 patients were included Author Period N/na Studyb Successc Follow-up Persistent pains Comments Recurrence Months (median) Pers603 1915-37 667/504 o - - 21% 236 Gibney270 1983-87 63/48 o - 11% 27% 18 After acute cholecystitis Hamilton301 - 25/ m 96% 12% 8% 8 (4-18) Local anaesthetic - 26/ l 96% - - - Local anaesthetic 8% biliary fistula - 81/62 l 81% 5% 10% 18 (5-36) Intercostal/ epidural anaesthesia Kellett385 - 46/ ll 91% - - - 4% biliary leak Akiyama17 1981-89 28/ ll 71% - 5% 36 7% biliary leak/ 7% cholecystectomy Chiverton140 1986-89 60/ ll 93% 2% 0% 3 3% biliary leak Stage734 1990-91 32 ll 90% - - - 3% biliary fistula Tóth783 1989-90 40 ll 98% - - - CheslynCurtis138+ Gillams272 1988-90 113/ ll 88% Picus609 1987-91 58 ll 97% - - Donald193 1988-90 100 - - - McDermott498 1988-91 37/31 ll 86% 1987-92 /65 - - ? Leahy 434 Majeed482 Courtois 87 Bing 157 421/ 21% (7%) 10% 14 Bile accumulation (4%), perforated gall bladder (2%) - Local anaesthesia 7% biliary leak 44% 48 Follow-up from Cheslyn-Cutis92 13% 16% 4-46 Bile salts afterwards - 12% 40% 33/14 See 609 97% - - - Chinese – only abstract a: N and n represent the number of patients included and the number of patients at follow-up, respectively. b: ): o =open surgery, m=minilaparotomy, l=laparoscopy, ll=laparoscopy plus laser, ultrasound or other form of pulverization. c: Proportion who have stones removed. 233 TABLE 15 Clinical series involving contact dissolution (elective treatment). Only series involving more than 25 patients were included. Author Period N/na Studyb Successc Follow-up Comments Persistent pains Recurrence Months (median) Thistle778 - 75/ po 50% (96%) 7% 19% 6-16 No serious side effects Hellsternd, - 170/ po 2/3 - - - 4% biliary leak - 36/ nbe 60% - - - 3% perforation of cysticus William -89 75/ po (92%) 10% - 6-35 0% biliary leak/average length of treatment 12.4 hours Leuschnerd, -90 po 61% (97%) - - - 5% biliary leak 318, 319, 320 Soehendra719 841 209/ 444, 445, 446 McNulty506 1989-90 25/ po 72% - 22% 6-18 4-30 h StabenowLohbauer732 1989-90 30/ po nb 53% 54% - - - median duration of treatment 7 hours Salamon669 1989-91 69/ po 86% - - - somnolens median duration 12 hours Eidsvoll 1989-92 25/ po 79% 33% 53% 16 Janowitz351 - 42 pof 29% - - - Morgan527 - 25/ po 60% - - - 16% biliary leak Pauletzki596 - /60 po 70% 42 Actuarial method a: b: c: d: e: f: 234 d, 207, 208 Refers to the number of patients included and the number of patients at follow-up, respectively po= percutaneous dissolution , nb=dissolution by naso-biliary probe. The gall bladder is emptied of stones (or is almost emptied (>95%) of stones). One or more parallel publications. Leuschner and Hellstern also present internally overlapping material Combined with ESWL Uses either MTBE or MTBE+EDTA at respectively low and high Haunsfield units of the gallstones Study of cholecystectomy in patients with acalculous biliary pain TABLE 16 Clinical series covering cholecystectomy for gallstone-like pains in patients without gallstones (acalculous biliary pains). Only series with a follow-up rate of at least 70% were included a. Author Country N/nb Follow-up monthsc Nechis551 USA 18/18 1-60 (5%) CCK-test Madsen479 Denmark 9/9 32 (13-36) 33% (22%) CCK-testf Canada 41/37 18 32% (3%) CCK - bileg 6% (0%) CCK in some - (0%) CCK (not emptied) 20% (7%) CCK - bile 121 Burnstein 628 Persistent painsd - Rajagopalan USA 21/16 22 Nora567 USA 30/30 - Einarsson209 Sweden 15/15 9-27 Ferraris224 USA 42/38 6-? 29% (-) Rhodesh, 641 UK 90/81 35 (12-66) 33% (9%) Gilliland274 USA 60/43 47 (16-79) 23% (- ) 31% Westlake 836 (12-39) Canada 26/26 25 Zech860 USA 60 12 Halverson300 USA 12/11 12-69 Middleton520 UK 34/34 20 (3-36) Sorenson725 USA 11/11 10 (2-17) Watson819 Australia 14/14 Jones358 USA 36/35 14 (5-48) 5% clinic CCK - pain CCK HIDA-EF (2%) 18% (2-40) Preoperative physiological measuremente CCK-EF CCK-EF < 35% 6% EF < 35% - ( 0%) EF <35% 7% (0%) Dependent on EFi - (9%) Dependent on EFi (a): Two studies were not included since the requirements set were not fulfilled255, 317 N and n represent the number of patients included and the number patients at follow-up, respectively Median or mean (range) Persistent pains (pains of same strength as before the treatment or worse) The physiological measurement mainly consists of CCK (cholecystokinin) stimulation, in which the measurement of the effect is either the level of pains or the degree of emptying of the gall bladder. In recent years, there has been a consensus that an EF (ejection fraction) under 35% is pathological. f: T he two who had unchanged pains both had positive provocative tests g: Had examined both contraction and crystals. The one with unchanged pains was negative as far as the above mentioned tests are concerned. h: Two studies by Lennard440, 441 are omitted since they are a part of Rhodes641 i: The proportion of patients with persistent pains was smallest with pathological EF. Before 1978, 16 surveys27, 28, 161, 204, 212, 247, 278, 284, 286, 296, 384, 472, 541, 542, 637, 801 are reported in which physiological measurements were rarely taken to verify whether the gall bladder was diseased. Freeman247 did, however, conduct cholecystokinin cholangiography to see whether the pain could be reproduced at the same time as he measured the gall bladder contraction. Persistent pains in these series vary from 0-40%. a: b: c: d: e: 235 Appendix 4 Statistical analyses A NALYSIS OF DEVELOPMENTS IN SURGICAL RATES The analyses of data from the National Hospital Discharge Register cover the period 1978-95. The period has been divided into four sub-periods: 1978-83, 1984-87, 1988-91 and 1992-95. This subdivision is justified in the methodology section of Chapter 2. Developments in the frequency of operations were identified by calculating age-standardised operation rates for the individual types of operations throughout the period and by comparing age-related operation rates for each of the four subperiods. The analyses were based on the number of operations in 10-year age-span groups for each calendar year compared with the overall size of the population in the year in question. In all the analyses, men and women were analysed separately. Age-standardised operation rates The age-standardised operation rates were calculated using the 1995 population as the standard, i.e. on the basis of the age-related operation rates in the individual year, the expected frequency was calculated as if the age composition had been the same as the age distribution of the whole population (men and women) in 1995 (direct age-standardisation). By using Dobson’s method192 95% safety margins were also calculated for each year. Age-related operation rates If developments in the frequency of operations differ in the different age groups, the age-standardised curves will conceal important information about the developments. Therefore, age-related operation rates have also been calculated for each of the four sub-periods. The number of operations in the individual age groups was relatively modest, which can cause significant random fluctuations from age group to age group. Consequently, the curves need to be ‘smoothed out’ using a statistical model. The statistical model also makes it possible to test the differences in the frequency of operations between the four sub-periods. 236 Statistical model The number of operations in age group a and period p is assumed to be Poisson distributed by the mean value m. The correlation between frequency of operation, age and period is then described by the following basis model for men: log µ = k + α1 a + α2 a2 + α3 a3 + β p + λ1 a p + λ2 a2p + log (nap), where where k is the constant, , α1 – α3 are parameters indicating age, β the period and λ1 and λ2 are parameters indicating an eventual interaction between age and period. If both λ1 and λ2 are 0, the development during the four time-periods is the same in different age-groups. nap indicates the number of persons in the various age-groups in the four time-periods and is used as a so called offset. The model is a third degree polynomium, as age is included to the third power. Age is in years and used as a continuous variable, whereas period is included as a categorical variable with four classes. In women the age dependent surgical rates are more complex, at prevalence of surgery is not constant increasing with age, but shows a plateau between age 25 and 40. The model for women, therefore, includes two age parameters, one below and one above 40 years. log µ = k + α1 a1 + α2 a12 + α3 a13 + κ1 a2 + κ2 a22 + κ3 a23 + β p + λ1 a1 + λ2 a12 p + γ1 a2 p + γ2 a22 p + log(nap), where a1 is age in years in women below or equal to 40, otherwise 0, whereas a2 is age in years in women above 40, otherwise 0. Besides this the model is completely parallel to the model for men, but has two sets of age parameters and two sets of interaction parameters. Backward elimination and likelihood ratio tests reduce the start model to a final model that only includes parameters with a significant effect on the frequency of operations. A 5% level of significance was used in the tests. An example of the analyses is shown below. The example refers to the analysis of simple cholecystectomy for women. Figure 1 shows the agerelated frequency of cholecystectomy for women in the four sub-periods. 237 FIGURE 1 Observed rate for simple cholecystectomy – women Rate per 100,000 260 240 220 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 80 1992-1995 Table 1 shows the final model for cholecystectomy for women, i.e. the model that only includes significant parameters. The final model reveals a complicated association with age, a significant difference in the frequency of operations between the periods and a significant interaction between age and period (for both age parameters). Thus, developments in operation rates were significantly different for the different age groups. TABLE 1 Simple cholecystectomy – women, final model. df Chi-Square P-value Age1 1 840,1624 0.0001 Period 3 129,4166 0.0001 Age1*Period 3 81,7824 0.0001 Age12 1 441,1829 0.0001 Age13 1 284,0963 0.0001 Age2 1 729,2097 0.0001 Age22 1 509,4697 0.0001 Age2*Period 3 170,1024 0.0001 Age1: Age ≤ 40 and Age2: Age > 40 238 Table 2 tests how well the model describes the observed rates (model fit). As the deviance/df is close to 1, the model prerequisites have almost been met. TABLE 2 Simple cholecystectomy – women. Test for model fit. df Chi-Square Chi-Square/DF Deviance 309 370.2908 1.1984 Pearson Chi—Square 309 1194.5825 3.8660 The fitted curve for the 1992-95 cholecystectomy rate has been inserted in figure 2 along with the observed rates. The figure shows that the model is capable of describing the decrease in operation rates for women around 40. Table 3 shows the corresponding parameter estimates and table 4 tests whether the operation rates were identical in the four sub-periods. FIGURE 2 Simple cholecystectomy – women. Model fit. Rate per 100,000 200 180 160 140 120 100 80 60 40 20 0 Age 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 239 TABLE 3 Simple cholecystectomy - women. Estimated parameters. Parameter df Estimate Std. Err Chi--Square P-value Intercept 1 -22.9421 0.6283 1333.4683 0.0001 Age 1 1 1.4442 0.0679 451.9523 0.0001 Period 1 1 -1.1327 0.1040 118.7091 0.0001 Period 2 1 -0.9029 0.1161 60.5060 0.0001 Period 3 1 -0.5472 0.1122 23.7926 0.0001 Period 4 0 0.0000 0.0000 - - Age1*Period1 1 0.0258 0.0030 73.8022 0.0001 Age1*Period2 1 0.0158 0.0033 22.3024 0.0001 Age1*Period3 1 0.0065 0.0033 3.9276 0.0475 Age1*Period4 0 0.0000 0.0000 - - Age12 1 -0.0425 0.0024 316.6298 0.0001 Age13 1 0.0004 0.0000 228.6763 0.0001 Age2 1 0.0407 0.0021 375.6272 0.0001 Age2 2 1 -0.0011 0.0000 493.7108 0.0001 Age2*Period1 1 0.0140 0.0013 111.9328 0.0001 Age2*Period2 1 0.0176 0.0015 146.3164 0.0001 Age2*Period3 1 0.0108 0.0015 52.1207 0.0001 Age2*Period4 0 0.0000 0.0000 . . Age1: Age <= 40 and Age2: Age > 40 TABLE 4 Simple cholecystectomy – women. Test for similarities between sub-periods df Chi-Square P-value Per1=Per2 3 55.0417 0.0001 Per2=Per3 3 91.7580 0.0001 Per3=Per4 3 231.6486 0.0001 Per1=Per2=Per3 6 268.0509 0.0001 Per2=Per3=Per4 6 467.2084 0.0001 Per1=Per2=Per3=Per4 8 710.4773 0.0001 Per1= period 1 etc. Finally, figure 3 shows the estimated curves for all four sub-periods. The model showed an interaction between age and period, which was revealed in the figure as a very different age distribution in the four sub-periods. 240 FIGURE 3 Simple cholecystectomy – women Rate per 100,000 210 180 150 120 90 60 30 0 Age 0 10 1978-1983 20 30 1984-1987 40 50 1988-1991 60 70 80 1992-1995 The model described was used for all types of operations. The smaller the number of operations, the simpler the model, because only a few parameters were significant. R EGIONAL VARIATIONS IN OPERATION RATES Hospital areas Sub-division into the four periods of time was used to help estimate the regional variations. For each period, population-based operation rates were calculated for geographic areas that correspond approximately to the area covered by a given hospital. The areas were defined on the basis of which hospital carried out the majority of the operations in question in the municipality. Municipalities mainly served by the same hospital constitute one area. The municipalities of Copenhagen and Frederiksberg were considered as a single area covering several hospitals. The areas were defined on the basis of all biliary tract procedures, but each of the four sub-periods was calculated separately. If a hospital closed during one of the periods, it was calculated along with the hospital that took over the majority of its patients. The number of areas fell from 75 in 1978-83 to 53 in 1992-95 (table 5). The areas are listed in the appendix (tables 9-12). As not all the patients in a given area were operated on in 241 the local hospital, the operation rate in the area cannot be ascribed solely to the activity in this hospital. TABLE 5 Number of hospital areas for gallstone treatment during different periods. Periods Number of areas 1978-1983 1984-1987 1988-1991 1992-1995 75 75 65 53 Calculation of index for operation rates Since the areas vary greatly in size and the statistical uncertainty, therefore, varies greatly, a so-called ‘random effect model’ was used which realigns estimated operation rates based on small numbers with the national average. The relative differences in the frequency of operations are, therefore, cautious estimates of the regional variation. Calculation of simple index without random effect A simple age standardised operation index is calculated. If Oi is assumed to be Poisson distributed, the standardised operation rate can be calculated as θi = Oi/Ei with a standard deviance of std (θi) = 1/ √ Oi , where Oi is the observed number of operations in an area i and Ei is the expected number, if operations rates were similar to the average in the whole country. Calculation of index with random effect In the model with random effect it is supposed that Oi is normal distributed with mean θi Ei. If µi = θi Ei then the link function is log (µi) = log (Ei) + vi , where vi = log (θi) is normal distributed N (0,σ2)271. exp(vi) shows the estimates for the operation index for area i adjusted for random variation. If Ei is big then exp(vi) becomes close to the simple index θi, but if Ei is small then exp(vi) will approach to 1. The variance component σ2 is an overall estimate of the regional variation. In tabel 6a-d the development of this component is seen during the four time-periods, both for simple cholecystectomy and for all bile tract operations. As seen from the tables, there is a trend towards less variation in the middle of the period followed by an increase in the latest periods. 242 TABLE 6.a Simple cholecystectomy women 20-79. Variance components (σ2) in random effect model in the four sub-periods. Period Variance component σ2 1978-1983 1984-1987 1988-1991 1992-1995 0.027 0.020 0.026 0.045 TABLE 6.b Simple cholecystectomy men 20-79. Variance components (σ2) in random effect model in the four sub-periods. Period Variance component σ2 1978-1983 1984-1987 1988-1991 1992-1995 0.044 0.017 0.029 0.035 TABLE 6.c All biliary tract procedures, women 20-79. Variance components (σ2) in random effect model in the four sub-periods. Period Variance component σ2 1978-1983 1984-1987 1988-1991 1992-1995 0.020 0.014 0.021 0.027 TABLE 6.d All biliary tract procedures, men 20-79. Variance components (σ2) in random effect model in the four sub-periods. Period Variance component σ2 1978-1983 1984-1987 1988-1991 1992-1995 0.034 0.019 0.039 0.031 Table 7 shows an example of the effect of using a random effect model instead of simple standardisation. The table shows the calculated index values for simple cholecystectomy for men from 1978-83 in selected areas. 243 TABLE 7 Estimated operation index for simple cholecystectomy for men, 1978-83. Estimates with and without random effect. Area code With random effect Without random effect No. of op. Population Index 95% conf. Lim. Index 95% conf. Lim 5503 0.71 (0.53-0.97) 0.42 (0.23-0.76) 11 55211 3002 0.71 (0.58-0.89) 0.63 (0.48-0.82) 53 180315 8007 1.00 (0.73-1.38) 1.00 (0,60-1.66) 15 29978 8001 1.00 (0.88-1.14) 1.00 (0.88-1.15) 209 450917 1309 1.16 (1.07-1.25) 1.17 (1.08-1.26) 597 1047560 3505 1.18 (0.93-1.51) 1.29 (0.97-1.72) 46 66970 The table illustrates the difference between the two estimates. Using the ‘random’ effect model, the same estimates are obtained for areas 5503 and 3002, while there is a big difference in the ‘raw’ SMR value. Area 5503 is ‘smoothed in’ towards the middle because the population base in area 3002 is more than 3 times greater than in area 5503. If you compare areas 8007 and 8001 they both have a ‘raw’ SMR value of 1, which they retain in the ‘random’ effect model. The change lies in the confidence intervals. Area 8001’s interval is retained because of the area’s large population, while area 8007 is narrowed when the ‘random’ effect model is used. Area 1309 (the municipality of Copenhagen) has the largest population, so there is (almost) no change between the two models’ estimates. Area 3505 shows that for ‘raw’ SMR-values, the ‘smoothing out’ moves towards 1 and that, compared with area 1309, it is dependent on the size of the population. The maps in this report (section 4 and 5.1.2) only use the “conservative” estimates from the random effect model. A NALYSES OF 30- DAY MORTALITY RATES Developments in 30-day mortality rates were analysed using two different models. First, developments in 30-day mortality for different operation groups were analysed by a logistic regression. The analysis used the following independent variables: gender, age on admission, the index operation’s method of admission (elective versus acute), acute or no cholecystitis at the time of index operation, number of diagnoses during the index operation and period. The dependent variable is death within 30 days of admission for the index operation. 244 The model was chosen by defining a base model that included the variables listed above. The possible interaction points between the base models’ variables were then found by means of a likelihood ratio test. Wherever an interaction occurs, the results are presented by means of a stratification. Thirty-day mortality was then analysed by means of a Poisson regression to illustrate developments during the individual year controlled for age, method of admission, cholecystitis and gender. The number of operations leading to mortality within 30-days is the dependent variable and the number of operations in the defined strata is offset so that the analysis refers to the proportion of cases with fatal consequences. The number of diagnoses is not included in this analysis, since the available data material is smaller when single years are introduced as a parameter. Analysis of the importance of the hospital for 30-day mortality rates Over the four sub-periods, the hospitals that performed the index operation were divided into four quartiles (for each period). On the basis of this classification, the following cut points were defined regarding the number of operations, so that for first period, hospitals that conducted <=84 operations were placed in the first quartile. Hospitals that performed more than 84, but less than 155, were placed in second quartile etc. TABLE 8 The number of operations which define quartiles for each period. Periods Number of hospitals Cutpoints for number of operations 1978-1983 88 84-155-294 1984-1987 84 55-106-192 1988-1991 78 55-121-164 1992-1995 65 110-164-256 The analysis that included hospitals as independent variable was only performed for simple cholecystectomy in a logistic regression that also included the other variables described. ANALYSES OF COMPLICATED COURSES OF TREATMENT IN CASES OF SIMPLE CHOLECYSTECTOMY The proportion of hospitalisations after which the patient is readmitted to hospital for new treatment on biliary tracts within one year of an operation was analysed by logistic regression using the same independent variables used in the analysis of 30-day mortality. The analysis was only performed for simple cholecystectomy. 245 T HE DISTRIBUTION OF MUNICIPALITIES BETWEEN ADMISSIONS AREAS TABLE 9 The distribution of municipalities between hospital areas in the period 1978-1983 Hospital area 1309 1401 1501 1502 1503 1516 2001 2003 2005 2006 2501 2502 3001 3002 3003 3004 3006 3501 3502 3503 3504 3505 3506 4001 4201 4202 4203 4204 4206 4207 4208 4209 4210 5001 5002 5003 5004 5501 5502 5503 5504 5505 6002 6003 6004 6006 6007 6008 6501 6502 6503 6504 6505 7002 7004 7005 7006 7008 7009 7011 7012 7601 7602 7603 7604 7605 8001 8003 8004 8005 8006 8007 8008 8009 8014 246 Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 101 147 157 173 181 153 161 165 167 169 183 187 155 185 151 159 163 171 175 189 201 205 207 208 213 215 219 221 231 233 223 227 209 211 225 229 235 237 217 251 253 255 257 261 263 265 259 267 269 271 305 315 321 337 339 341 345 303 307 311 319 325 331 333 301 309 317 323 313 329 335 327 343 353 357 373 377 393 397 369 371 375 387 391 395 351 385 389 355 363 383 359 367 379 381 361 365 401 403 405 407 409 411 427 435 477 479 439 441 447 461 471 483 485 491 497 449 489 495 425 431 437 473 429 445 451 499 475 481 487 443 493 423 421 433 501 507 513 523 533 535 537 509 511 515 525 527 543 505 517 521 531 539 541 503 519 529 545 557 561 563 571 553 555 573 551 565 567 577 559 569 601 625 627 607 611 653 609 615 619 575 621 623 629 603 605 613 617 631 651 661 671 675 677 679 683 657 663 681 685 655 669 659 667 665 673 705 711 743 749 703 713 733 751 709 717 723 729 731 747 715 737 745 727 741 707 721 725 739 735 701 775 789 791 793 763 777 779 781 783 765 785 787 773 761 767 769 771 803 817 831 835 837 843 845 849 851 819 821 829 839 847 719 801 815 823 833 809 827 861 805 807 813 825 811 841 TABLE 10 The distribution of municipalities between hospital areas in the period 1984-1987 Hospital area 1309 1401 1501 1502 1503 1516 2001 2003 2005 2006 2501 2502 3001 3002 3003 3004 3006 3501 3502 3503 3504 3505 3506 4001 4201 4202 4203 4204 4206 4207 4208 4209 4210 5001 5002 5003 5004 5501 5502 5503 5504 5505 6002 6003 6004 6006 6007 6008 6501 6502 6503 6504 6505 7002 7003 7005 7006 7008 7009 7012 7601 7602 7603 7604 7605 8001 8003 8004 8005 8006 8007 8008 8009 8013 8014 Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 101 167 147 157 173 181 153 161 165 169 183 187 155 185 151 159 163 171 175 189 201 207 211 213 215 219 221 231 233 205 208 223 227 209 225 229 235 237 217 251 253 255 257 261 263 265 267 269 259 271 305 315 321 339 341 345 303 307 311 319 325 331 333 337 301 309 317 323 313 329 335 327 343 353 357 373 377 393 397 369 371 375 387 391 395 351 385 389 355 363 383 359 367 379 381 361 365 401 403 405 407 409 427 435 477 479 447 461 471 483 485 491 497 439 441 449 489 495 425 431 433 437 473 429 445 451 499 475 481 487 443 493 423 421 501 507 513 523 533 535 537 509 511 515 525 527 543 505 517 521 531 539 541 503 519 529 545 557 561 563 571 553 555 567 573 551 565 577 559 569 575 601 627 607 611 609 615 621 623 629 603 605 613 617 619 625 631 651 661 671 675 677 679 683 653 657 663 681 685 655 669 659 667 665 673 705 711 737 743 749 703 713 733 751 709 717 723 729 731 735 747 715 745 727 741 707 721 725 739 701 775 789 791 793 763 777 779 781 783 765 785 787 773 761 767 769 771 817 831 835 837 845 849 851 819 821 829 839 847 719 801 815 823 833 809 827 861 805 807 813 825 803 811 843 841 247 TABLE 11 The distribution of municipalities between hospital areas in the period 1988-1991 Hospital area 1309 1401 1501 1502 1503 1516 2001 2003 2005 2006 2501 2502 3001 3002 3003 3004 3006 3501 3502 3503 3505 3506 4001 4201 4202 4203 4204 4206 4208 5001 5002 5003 5004 5501 5503 5504 6002 6003 6004 6006 6007 6008 6501 6502 6503 6504 6505 7002 7003 7005 7008 7009 7601 7602 7603 7604 7605 8001 8003 8004 8005 8006 8007 8008 8009 248 Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality Municipality 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 101 167 147 157 173 181 153 161 165 169 183 187 155 185 151 159 163 171 175 189 201 207 208 213 215 219 231 205 223 227 209 211 221 225 229 233 235 237 217 251 255 257 261 263 265 253 259 267 269 271 305 315 321 337 339 345 303 307 311 319 325 331 333 301 309 317 323 341 313 329 335 327 343 353 357 361 373 377 393 397 369 371 375 387 391 395 351 385 389 355 359 363 367 379 381 383 365 401 403 405 407 409 427 435 473 475 477 479 481 487 447 461 471 485 491 497 439 441 449 489 495 425 431 433 437 421 423 429 445 451 483 499 443 493 501 503 507 513 523 533 535 537 509 511 515 527 543 505 517 521 531 539 541 519 525 529 545 553 555 557 559 561 563 569 571 573 551 565 567 575 577 601 625 627 607 611 609 615 619 621 623 629 603 605 613 617 631 651 661 671 679 683 653 657 663 677 681 685 655 669 659 667 665 673 675 705 711 737 743 749 703 713 733 751 709 717 723 729 731 735 747 715 727 741 745 701 707 721 725 739 769 775 789 791 793 763 777 779 781 783 765 785 787 773 761 767 771 803 831 835 837 843 845 849 851 819 821 829 839 719 801 815 823 833 809 827 861 805 807 817 813 825 841 847 811 TABEL 12 The distribution of municipalities between hospital areas in the period 1992-1995 Hospital area 1330 1401 1501 1502 1503 1516 2001 2005 2012 2501 2502 3001 3002 3003 3004 3501 3502 3503 4001 4201 4202 4203 4204 4206 5001 5002 5003 5004 5501 5504 6003 6006 6007 6008 6501 6502 6505 7002 7003 7005 7008 7009 7601 7602 7603 7604 7605 8001 8003 8004 8005 8007 8008 Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. Municip. 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 101 167 147 157 173 181 153 161 165 169 183 187 155 185 151 159 163 171 175 189 201 207 208 213 215 219 231 209 211 221 225 229 233 235 237 205 217 223 227 251 253 255 257 261 263 265 259 267 269 271 305 315 321 327 339 343 345 303 307 325 331 301 309 311 317 319 323 333 341 313 329 335 337 351 353 357 361 365 373 377 385 393 397 355 359 363 367 369 371 375 379 381 383 387 391 395 389 401 403 405 407 409 427 435 443 475 479 481 487 447 461 471 485 497 439 441 449 477 489 495 421 425 431 433 437 473 493 423 429 445 451 483 491 499 501 507 513 523 533 535 537 509 511 515 525 527 543 505 517 521 531 541 503 519 529 539 545 553 555 557 561 563 567 569 571 573 551 559 565 577 603 607 601 609 615 619 625 575 605 621 623 629 611 613 617 627 631 651 661 671 675 679 683 653 655 657 659 663 667 669 677 681 685 665 673 705 711 737 743 749 703 713 715 721 725 739 741 751 709 717 719 723 729 731 733 735 747 727 745 701 707 761 769 775 789 791 793 763 777 779 781 783 765 785 787 773 767 771 803 811 817 831 837 843 845 849 851 805 819 821 829 835 839 801 815 823 833 809 827 861 807 813 825 841 847 249 Appendix 5. Economical analyses C OSTS OF GALLSTONE TREATMENT IN D ENMARK The calculated cost of treating patients with gallstones includes the majority of expenses as amounts spent on technological equipment, theatre staff and days spent in hospital are included. Estimates of the indirect costs associated with convalescence are also included. Costs of technological equipment Laparoscopic equipment The substantial difference in the direct cost of different biliary tract interventions is due to the equipment. Laparoscopic equipment consists of insufflation equipment for inserting CO2, video equipment (camera, recorder and monitor) as well as the laparoscopic instruments (trochars, forceps, etc.) which are available in one-off and reusable form. In the models, the investment cost per laparoscopic column was set at DKK 440,000. (Bispebjerg Hospital). With a life span of five years and an interest rate of 5%, this gave a depreciation of DKK 101,629 p.a. If 47 operations are performed per annum (an average number of laparoscopic cholecystectomies for the country’s surgical departments), that gives a unit cost of DKK 2,162. On top of that there is also the surgical equipment, which for disposable instruments was set at DKK 5,561, and for reusable equipment at DKK 834 per operation327. In this breakdown, the starting point was the aforementioned price for reusable equipment, but in the sensitivity analysis in the economical models a number of different prices were used because a different number of operations and various discount schemes for disposable equipment give different unit costs. The calculations were based on the assumption that laparoscopic cholecystectomies made up 25% of all simple cholecystectomies in 1991 and 75% in the subsequent years. ERCP The purchase price of ERCP equipment was set at DKK 520,000. With a life span of five years and an interest rate of 5%, this gave an annual depreciation of DKK 120,107. Divided up between 300 interventions (diag- 250 nostic and therapeutic) per annum, this gave a unit cost of DKK 400. Since the equipment is relatively sensitive, it often requires repair. Repair costs were set at DKK 423 per use (based on average calculations over the period 1992-97, Bispebjerg Hospital). In the case of diagnostic ERCP, the cost of utensils was set at DKK 100. In case of a therapeutic ERCP the cost was set at DKK 1,500. Thus, the unit cost for equipment for diagnostic ERCP was DKK 923, while the corresponding price for therapeutic ERCP was DKK 2,323. Theatre staff costs Some operations take longer than others and the composition of the operating team depends on the nature of the operation. Thus, the staff costs for the different gallstone interventions consist of an average hourly wage (table 1) and the time spent on the operation by the different staff categories. TABLE 1 Hourly wages per staff category Staff category a Annual income Hourly waged a Chief surgeon 543,231 319.08 Theatre nurse Consultantb 450,516 264.62 Assistant nurse Anaesthetistc 450,516 264.62 Senior registrar b 316,171 Registrarb 274,393 a: b: c: d: Annual income Hourly waged Staff category 246,544 144.81 246,544 144.81 Anaesthetics nursea 246,544 144.81 185.71 Radiographera 214,925 126.24 161.17 Portera 206,169 121.10 a The Government Wages and Conditions Statistics Office. Collective bargaining statistics, 1995 Collective bargaining agreements for doctors, pay scale 6 + supplement. The Danish Medical Association. Considered equal to consultants. Average hourly wage (in DKK) calculated of annual income (227 working days per annum á 7.5 hours). The time spent on different gallstone related interventions (surgery and ERCP) was calculated by sending a questionnaire survey to all surgical departments and selected medical gastroenterological departments. The response rates were 67% and 100%, respectively. The surgical departments that did not reply were evenly distributed in terms of geography and type of hospital. The responses formed the basis for the calculation of staff costs for the different interventions (table 2 & 3). The departments were not asked to do detailed time and motion studies, but only to provide an assessment of time and staff resources. 251 TABLE 2 Staff involved in gallstone-related interventions. Average number of minutes Laparoscopic cholecystectomy Open cholecystectomyb Other biliary tract surgery 80.59 74.33 124.38 Assistant a 77.06 72.41 125.00 Theatre nurse 30.68 33.06 53.53 Assistant nurse 133.13 124.14 176.87 Staff category Surgeon a Anaesthesia nurse 140.45 130.19 176.38 Anaesthetist 131.68 121.85 172.96 Radiographer 11.90 18.00 17.50 Porter 18.74 18.91 20.00 a: Later calculations of unit prices were based on characteristics of the surgeon and the assistant, respectively. i.e. account was taken of whether it was a department's consultants, senior registrar or registrar. Thus, the cost consists of a weighted average for the relevant staff categories. b: Including cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy TABLE 3 Staff involved in gallstone-related interventions. Average number of minutes Staff category ERCP – Diagnostic ERCP – Therapeutic Endoscope operator 35.67 55.26 1st assistant 60.75 79.91 2nd assistant 43.46 57.74 3rd assistant 3.75 5.22 17.53 17.67 Porter The endoscope operator corresponds to a chief surgeon/consultant; 1st and 2nd assistant to a nurse and 3rd assistant to a radiographer. The average number of minutes decline for the 2nd and 3rd assistant as different departments use different numbers of assistants. One question posed in the questionnaire was in how many of the operations the surgeon and assistant were consultants, senior registrars or registrars. The departments were also asked to state how frequently intraoperative cholangiography was used. An expected price was then calculated on the basis of the hourly rates for the groups of doctors and the probability that the surgeon can be ascribed to the different categories. The estimated costs of different operations were calculated on the basis of the hourly wages for the different staff groups. When calculating staff costs for different operations (table 4), the average time spent by the different staff categories and the respective hourly wages were used. Staff costs were also calculated for the departments with the lowest and highest staff costs. Average costs were used in the financial calculations, while minimum and maximum values were used in the sensitivity analyses. 252 TABLE 4 Staff costs at various interventions (in DKK). Cholecystectomy ERCP Opena Laparoscopy Otherb Average 1659.08 1744.76 2580.77 484.45 672.74 Maximum 3404.49 3021.37 4347.49 1597.41 2109.69 Minimum 586.39 773.17 1063.43 172.36 252.13 Diagnostic Therapeutic a: Including cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy b: Other biliary tract surgery Costs associated with hospitalisation Ideally, when calculating the costs, bed price per day should reflect costs associated with nursing, food, administration, etc. The economical models used the general rate for patients with a free choice of hospital, which were fixed at DKK 2,255/day (1997 figures). Average hospital day costs can conceal major variations in the individual treatment costs for the same indication and for bed days. Thus, a reduction in the time a patient is confined to bed will often mean a reduction in the number of least expensive bed days. It is also open to question whether the general price for bed-days also reflect the cost of the actual operation, which would mean some costs were registered twice. And finally, a given bed-day price will not only reflect and relate to, for example, gallstone operations. It will also reflect the costs associated with the days spent in bed after other operations in the same ward. In the economical models, hospital bed-day rates were varied by means of sensitivity analyses in order to identify these uncertainty factors. Costs related to absence due to illness The indirect costs include the loss production due to sick leave. These include the patient (and his/her immediate family) devoting working hours and spare time to convalescence. It is difficult to measure indirect costs exactly, partly because of the difficulties involved in placing a value on ‘productive activity’ in the home. Few gallstone studies have calculated indirect costs. In a Swedish survey [80], the indirect costs were estimated on the basis of the average hourly wage in different businesses (industry, mining and quarrying) (SKr 139.13), the gender-standardised average number of working hours per day (4.1 hour/day), the proportion of the population in the workforce (0.779) and 253 finally, the proportion of the workforce in work (0.915). The result was a production loss per day of SKr 406.6 (139.19 x 4.1 x 0.779 x 0.915). If these calculations were transferred to Denmark (based on 1994 figures), the indirect costs per sick day could be estimated based on the proportion of the population in the workforce at 0.5597, the proportion of the workforce in employment at 0.89, the average hourly wage at DKK 125.60 and the average number of man hours per day at 4.76. In total, this would give an average production loss of DKK 297.81 per day due to illness. If the proportion of the population in workforce was put at 0.789 instead, the cost per day due to illness would be DKK 419.82. If no corrections were made for the size of the workforce and level of unemployment, then the cost per day due to illness would be DKK 597.86. In principle, the so-called intangible costs such as pain, anxiety, etc. should also be included in a socio-economic analysis. Estimates for these elements have not been included in this report. Comments The costs included in these financial models were based on a number of estimates which, in the nature of things, were subject to a number of uncertainty factors. Consequently, sensitivity analyses have been conducted in the estimations of the specific models, which amongst other things varies the cost estimates. It seemed justifiable to omit expenses incurred during the preoperative phase, since they were estimated at only 10% and 14% of total costs307 for traditional open cholecystectomy and laparoscopic cholecystectomy, respectively. S ENSITIVITY ANALYSES OF THE ECONOMICAL MODELS This section shows in schematic form, how the results of the financial models were altered by adjustments in the individual parameter values. The main conclusions are summed up in chapter 11 of the report. 254 TABLE 5 Cholecystectomy by laparoscopy, minilaparotomy and traditional open laparotomy. Sensitivity analyses of the three alternatives. Variations in unit costs. Parameter New value Average expected direct costs – DKK Laparoscopy Baseline values Minilaparotomy 10,532 7,351 Trad. open lap Marginal cost effectiveness lap. vs. open 15,327 46,334 Bed-day price (2,255) 1,000 4,000 7,356 14,948 4,223 11,699 8,325 25,877 3,711 105,598 Staff costs (laparoscopic cholecystectomy) 773 3,021 9,560 11,808 7,351 7,351 15,327 15,327 55,721 34,000 Staff costs (cholecystectomy by minilaparotomy) 586 3,404 10,532 10,532 6,278 9,096 15,327 15,327 - Staff costs (cholecystectomy by trad. open lap.) 586 3,404 10,532 10,532 7,351 7,351 14,254 17,073 35,970 63,198 Unit price for the laparoscopic equipment (the number of operations per column) 0 500 1,000 3,000 8,369 8,869 9,369 11,369 7,351 7,351 7,351 7,351 15,327 15,327 15,327 15,327 67,226 62,395 57,564 38,241 Equipment for minilaparotomy 500 10,532 7,851 15,327 - Indirect costs 100 500 11,563 15,687 8,373 12,461 18,128 29,330 63,430 131,811 TABLE 6 Cholecystectomy by laparoscopy, minilaparotomy and traditional open laparotomy. Sensitivity analyses of the three alternatives. Variations in time spent in hospital. Parameters New value Average expected direct costs (in DKK) Laparoscopy Baseline values Minilaparotomy Trad. Open lap. 10,532 7,351 15,327 Successful treatment 1 day 3 days 5 days 7 days 8,539 12,524 16,509 20,493 5,348 9,353 13,357 17,363 4,199 8,650 13,101 17,553 Complication (re-operation) 8 days 10 daysa 12 days 10,486 10,532 10,577 7,306 7,351 7,396 15,282 15,327 15,372 Peripheral bile duct lesion 5 days 7 daysa 9 days 10,514 10,532 10,549 7,343 7,351 7,358 15,315 15,327 15,339 Central bile duct lesion 10 days 14 daysa 18 days 10,508 10,532 10,555 7,348 7,351 7,353 15,324 15,327 15,331 Conversion 4 days 6 daysa 8 days 10,081 10,532 10,983 6,900 7,351 7,802 15,327 15,327 Indirect costs DKK 100 DKK 500 11,563 15,687 8,373 12,461 18,128 29,330 a: Baseline estimat 255 TABLE 7 Disposable vs. reusable instruments for laparoscopic cholecystectomy. Sensitivity analyses of the alternatives. Variations in unit costs and time spent in hospital. Parameters New value Instruments (in DKK) Disposable Baseline values 256 Reusable Marg. cost efficiency 12,407 8,485 Bed-day price DKK 1,000 DKK 4,000 9,494 16,458 5,315 12,894 68,968 58,810 Disposable equipment DKK 1,000 DKK 6,000 7,846 12,846 8,485 8,485 - 10,545 71,963 Reusable equipment DKK 500 DKK 1,000 12,407 12,407 8,151 8,651 70,230 61,979 Hospitalisation if success 1 dag 3 days 10,674 14,141 7,247 9,724 56,562 72,875 Hospitalisation for post-operative complications 3 days 7 days 12,353 12,462 8,263 8,708 67,487 61,950 Hospitalisation for conversion 4 days 8 days 12,121 12,694 8,094 8,877 66,460 62,977 Hospitalisation for central bile duct lesion 10 days 18 days 12,384 12,431 8,462 8,509 64,719 64,719 Treatment of Gallstone patients In the Danish health care system, more than DKK 100 million per year are spent on treating patients with benign biliary tract diseases. This report is the first attempt at performing a health technology assessment of treatment of gallstone patients. By including the technology, the patient, the organisation as well as the economy, a health technology assessment is an analytical tool that serves as basis for ensuring an optimal treatment of patients within the given economical framework. The report is based on a systematic review of the literature and a thorough analysis of data from The National Hospital Register where all hospital admissions in Denmark are recorded. By reviewing the literature using explicit criteria, the fundament for performing an objective assessment of the various treatment modalities has been established. At the same time, analyses of data from The National Hospital Register form a clear picture of the development of treatment of gallstone patients throughout Denmark. By combining the technology with the economical analyses, the limited knowledge of patients’ preferences for the various treatment modalities as well as the organisational aspects, the report questions a number of well-established treatment modalities and the organisation of these. It is the hope, that this report will form part of a knowledge-based fundament for the development of a national strategy for prevention, diagnosis and treatment of patients with biliary tract disease. Torben Jørgensen Treatment of Gallstone patients A health technology assessment Counselling and advising in connection with HTA projects is given by: Danish Institute for Health Technology Assessment National Board of Health 13, Amaliegade PO. 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