08 April 2015 | Corporate Update Malaysia Resources Corporation Bhd Acquiring German embassy land for RM259.2m Maintain BUY Unchanged Target Price (TP): RM2.24 INVESTMENT HIGHLIGHTS • MRCB has entered into a SPA with the Government of the Federal Republic of Germany to acquire 1.9 acres of freehold land for RM259.2m. • The proposed acquisition is expected to contribute positively to the Group’s earnings in the long-term. • Earnings forecasts unchanged as potential development of the proposed land acquisition is still at the preliminary stage. • RETURN STATS Price (7 April 2015) RM1.25 Target Price RM2.24 Expected Share Price Return +79.2% Expected Dividend Yield +2.9% Expected Total Return +82.1% Hence we maintain BUY with unchanged TP of RM2.24. Land deal at 6% higher than appraised market value. MRCB has entered into a sale and purchase agreement (SPA) with the Government of the Federal Republic of Germany to acquire 1.9 acres of freehold land together with buildings erected thereon located at Jalan Kia Peng (see appendix) for a total cash consideration of RM259.2m. We understand the proposed price of RM259.2m or RM3,188 psf is about 6% higher than the appraised market value. Our views. While the acquisition price that will be paid is at a slight premium to the appraised market value, we deem the proposed price as fair considering recent actual land transaction in the vicinity by E&O at a price of RM3,250 psf. We opine that it is a strategic move by MRCB to acquire the freehold land in the immediate proximity of KLCC where lands are scare. The land to be acquired will raise its total undeveloped landbanks to approximately 565 acres. It is premature to estimate the GDV for the development project on the land at this time. The expansion of its landbanks will be for its future developments. Funding the acquisition via bank borrowings and/or internally generated funds. The acquisition of the lands will be funded through bank borrowings and/or internally generated funds. We expect the 10% deposit of acquisition price to be paid by its internal funds of RM660.7m. Post completion of the acquisition, the Group’s net gearing is expected to be reduced to 1.4x this year from 1.5x in 2014 based on our estimates. We see the land acquisition cost to be partially offset by the proceeds from the injection of Platinum Sentral into REIT and its proposed disposal of 70% stake in Salak South development. STOCK INFO FBMKLCI 1,856.51 Bursa / Bloomberg 1651 / MRC MK Board / Sector Main / Property Syariah Compliant Yes Issued Shares (mil) 1,786.6 Par Value (RM) Market cap. (RM’m) Price over NTA 1.00 2,233.2 1.28x 52-wk price Range RM1.05–RM1.79 Beta (against KLCI) 1.19x 3-mth Avg Daily Vol 2.23m 3-mth Avg Daily Value RM2.84m Major Shareholders EPF 35.93% Gapurna Sdn Bhd 16.70% Lembaga Tabung Haji 10.08% Earnings forecasts unchanged. At this juncture, we make no changes to our earnings forecasts as the proposed mixed development project on the lands is still at a preliminary stage and will only have material impact on its earnings in the longer term. We maintain our forecasts pending the completion of its other corporate exercises. KINDLY REFER TO THE LAST PAGE OF THIS PUBLICATION FOR IMPORTANT DISCLOSURES MIDF EQUITY BEAT Wednesday, 08 April 2015 INVESTMENT STATISTICS FYE Dec Revenue (RM’m) EBIT (RM'm) Pre-tax profit (RM’m) Normalised PATAMI (RM’m) FD EPS (sen) EPS Growth (%) PER(x) Dividend (sen) Dividend yield (%) FY12 1,243.5 197.2 125.1 60.1 4.3 -35.7 35.7 2.0 1.3 FY13 940.9 9.0 -110.4 -109.1 -7.4 -270.0 n.a. 1.0 0.8 FY14 1,514.8 321.2 125.7 41.6 2.4 -133.0 50.2 2.5 2.0 FY15F 1,848.8 361.2 198.6 90.6 4.8 95.9 26.2 3.0 2.3 FY16F 2,224.1 389.7 229.1 115.6 6.1 27.6 20.5 3.6 2.9 Source: Company, forecasts by MIDFR VALUATION AND RECOMMENDATION Reiterate our BUY recommendation. We were surprised to see the current sell down of the stock. We believe that this was due to property segment accounting approximately 60-70% of its PBT. It is notable that investor sentiment has been more cautious towards the property sector in general. Having said that, we believe that the products of MRCB is differentiated from the general property developers given that most of its properties are located in prime locations and within immediate vicinity of transportation hub. Therefore, we expect its property sales to remain stable going forward. Also, MRCB-George Kent JV is primed to win the PDP role for RM10.0b LRT 3 and secure a slice of its construction packages. Meanwhile, we are not overly concerned on its current gearing level as there will be possible monetisation of other KL Sentral investment assets into REIT to pare down its gearing. Furthermore, the Group recorded a fast turnaround in earnings last year from a kitchen sinking exercise undertaken in FY13. Hence, we retain our BUY call on MRCB with an unchanged TP of RM2.24 per share. Our BUY recommendation is based on the high potential return after the sell down of the stock. DAILY PRICE CHART Hafiz Hassan [email protected] 03-2772 1668 Source: Bloomberg, MIDFR 2 MIDF EQUITY BEAT Wednesday, 08 April 2015 SOP VALUATION Segments (a) Property Developments KL Sentral Development Project MX-1 PJ Sentral Garden City (Phase 1) 9 Seputeh, Old Klang Penang Sentral Kia Peng, The Grid Kajang Utama, 3 Residences Semarak City, Setapak Lot 2C4: Putrajaya, Office Tower Lot 349: Serviced Apartments Suria Subang Jaya Selborn 2 - Shah Alam Batu Feringghi land, Penang Salak South Seri Iskandar (Phase 2) Seri Iskandar (Phase 3) Bukit Rahman Putra, Sungai Buloh Burwood (Australia) Sub-total (a) Basis DCF of future profit (b) Property Investments Net Operating Income + Book value Indicative Value (RM'm) Per Share (RM) 442.6 649.6 191.6 242.1 221.0 46.3 28.0 222.6 42.3 99.5 45.4 14.6 36.8 128.3 25.7 21.8 58.6 22.7 2,539.4 0.23 0.34 0.10 0.13 0.12 0.02 0.01 0.12 0.02 0.05 0.02 0.01 0.02 0.07 0.01 0.01 0.03 0.01 1.34 1,567.4 0.82 (c) Engineering & Construction FY15/16 average earnings PER 14x 520.5 0.27 (d) Toll Concessions Eastern Dispersal Link, JB (EDL) DCF (WACC: 8%) 1,399.1 0.74 PER 6x 38.9 0.02 Total SOP 6,065.2 3.19 Less: Borrowings -3,211.6 -1.69 660.7 240.0 502.4 0.35 0.13 0.26 (e) Building & Car Park Services FY15/16 average earnings Add: Cash Gain on Platinum Sentral Quill Capita Trust: Combined REIT assets valued at RM1.57b Estimated SOP Enlarged share cap 2.24 1,900.4 Source: Forecasts by MIDFR 3 MIDF EQUITY BEAT Wednesday, 08 April 2015 APPENDIX CHART 1: PROPOSED LAND ACQUISITION Source: Wikimapia, MIDFR 4 MIDF EQUITY BEAT Wednesday, 08 April 2015 MIDF RESEARCH is part of MIDF Amanah Investment Bank Berhad (23878 - X). (Bank Pelaburan) (A Participating Organisation of Bursa Malaysia Securities Berhad) DISCLOSURES AND DISCLAIMER This report has been prepared by MIDF AMANAH INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD (23878-X). It is for distribution only under such circumstances as may be permitted by applicable law. Readers should be fully aware that this report is for information purposes only. The opinions contained in this report are based on information obtained or derived from sources that we believe are reliable. MIDF AMANAH INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD makes no representation or warranty, expressed or implied, as to the accuracy, completeness or reliability of the information contained therein and it should not be relied upon as such. This report is not, and should not be construed as, an offer to buy or sell any securities or other financial instruments. The analysis contained herein is based on numerous assumptions. Different assumptions could result in materially different results. All opinions and estimates are subject to change without notice. The research analysts will initiate, update and cease coverage solely at the discretion of MIDF AMANAH INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD. The directors, employees and representatives of MIDF AMANAH INVESTMENT BANK BERHAD may have interest in any of the securities mentioned and may benefit from the information herein. Members of the MIDF Group and their affiliates may provide services to any company and affiliates of such companies whose securities are mentioned herein This document may not be reproduced, distributed or published in any form or for any purpose. MIDF AMANAH INVESTMENT BANK : GUIDE TO RECOMMENDATIONS STOCK RECOMMENDATIONS BUY TRADING BUY NEUTRAL SELL TRADING SELL Total return is expected to be >15% over the next 12 months. Stock price is expected to rise by >15% within 3-months after a Trading Buy rating has been assigned due to positive newsflow. Total return is expected to be between -15% and +15% over the next 12 months. Total return is expected, by -15% or more, over the next 12 months. Stock price is expected to fall by >15% within 3-months after a Trading Sell rating has been assigned due to negative newsflow. SECTOR RECOMMENDATIONS POSITIVE The sector is expected to outperform the overall market over the next 12 months. NEUTRAL The sector is to perform in line with the overall market over the next 12 months. NEGATIVE The sector is expected to underperform the overall market over the next 12 months. 5
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