Opportunities to prevent extinctions: What can we learn from the AZE approach? Symposium: Dynamics, management and Biodiversity in Temperate Forests April 15th 2015 Dalia A. Conde Assistant Professor Max Planck Odense Center University of Southern Denmark Research Associate Antwerp Zoo 929 species in 587 sites Hotspots of Vulnerable species From Scandinavia through eastern Europe up to central and eastern Asia is one of the hotspots of vulnerable species to climate change Species conservation Prioritization But where do we start? AZE species How much will it cost? AZE species What are the conservation opportunities? Wild and and captive pop. Conservation Opportunity index for : Habitat (COIh) Insurance popopulations in zoos (COIc) COI Conservation Opportunity index: The ratio between the relative benefits over the relative costs. COI for habitat Conservation Opportunity Index for Habitat for species i COIhi= (Si + Pi+ Ui) / (Chi ) Relative benefits: • Si proportion of the AZE site that is protected • Pi political stability and absence of violence • Ui = 1 – (probability of urbanization) in 30 year horizon Relative Costs: • Chi Costs of land acquisition & management in a 20 year horizon COI for insurance pop. Conservation Opportunity Index for ISIS Zoo populations Relative benefits: • Captive management expertise on the species • Captive management expertise on the genus Costs: Costs of management of a population of 500 individuals Estimated using ZIMS: from the International Species Information System http://www2.isis.org/Pages/Home.aspx Conservation Opportunity Index Conde & Fa etal. 2015, MARCH, COI and Costs 39% species have a High COI for habitat Annual habitat costs of 481 AZE sites: US$ 1.18 billion Annual costs for all species in Zoos: US$ 0.16 billion Conde & Fa etal. 2015, MARCH, Species to start actions? Focus on 15 species with High COI for Habitat and Zoo Species Vulnerable to climate change Temperate forests Biodiversity Assessments that show opportunities can help us to in the decision making process to reach CBD target 2020 Species vulnerable to climate change in Europe’s Temperate Forests Tack March 2015 Current Biology Dalia A. Conde, [email protected]
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