COMPARISON OF PA 20162018 PLAN WITH
CONSULTANT TEAM GOAL
FRAMEWORK ANALYSIS
► May 19, 2015
SUMMARY OF PROPOSED STATEWIDE
ELECTRIC SAVINGS AND BUDGETS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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SUMMARY OF PROPOSED STATEWIDE
GAS SAVINGS AND BUDGETS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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COMPARISON OF HISTORICAL AND
PROJECTED ELECTRIC SAVINGS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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COMPARISON OF PROPOSED
2016-2018 ELECTRIC BUDGETS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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COMPARISON OF HISTORICAL
AND PROJECTED GAS SAVINGS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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COMPARISON OF PROPOSED
2016-2018 GAS BUDGETS
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SUMMARY OF KEY ISSUES
► Across all sectors, PA draft plan savings are low compared to
the Consultant Team goals and Q4 2014 preliminary results
► It is difficult to assess whether all PAs intend to implement all
elements in the Plan
► Addressing the Council Resolutions comprehensively in the
Plan will be important in the goal development process
► More information needed on what will be offered through some
of the C&I programs/initiatives
► PAs proposing to move backwards rather than forwards with
share of LEDs in lighting initiative, and with behavioral initiative
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C&I HISTORICAL AND PROJECTED
ELECTRIC SAVINGS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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C&I HISTORICAL AND PROJECTED
GAS SAVINGS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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QUALITATIVE C&I PLAN REVIEW
OBSERVATIONS
► C&I plan lacks specifics for improvements to the
programs, and when they will be implemented
► Plan does not fully meet the intent of the Green
Communities Act
► Plan states market saturation and codes will limit
savings, but doesn’t present plan to meet challenges
► Comprehensiveness: Sustainable office design
addresses only lighting and lighting controls
► Participation: Large projects/CHP not included in
planning; how to increase participation in other
initiatives?
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RES AND LOW INCOME HISTORICAL
AND PROJECTED ELECTRIC SAVINGS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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RES AND LOW INCOME HISTORICAL
AND PROJECTED GAS SAVINGS
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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QUALITATIVE RES AND LOW INCOME
PLAN REVIEW OBSERVATIONS
► Initiative planning assumptions yield lower savings
► Insufficient acceleration of support for LEDs
► Limited growth in behavioral initiative savings and
participation
► Several positive additions to multi-family retrofit
Initiative
► Promising step for renters
► Additional information needed regarding plans to
serve moderate income customers
► No incentives for net-zero new construction
► Financing (HEAT loan) appears unchanged
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EXAMPLE ACTION ITEMS FROM 20132015 PLAN INITIATIVE ENHANCEMENTS
► Home Energy Services Initiative
− “The PAs plan to incorporate the multi-family new
construction pilots mentioned above by Q1 2013.”
► Residential Heating and Cooling
− “An early replacement package offer, which provides ECM
Furnace with Central Air Conditioning. The PAs plan to work
with evaluation team to develop the offer for measure
implementation by Q2 2013.”
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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PORTFOLIO ELECTRIC SAVINGS
BY PA
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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RESIDENTIAL ELECTRIC SAVINGS
BY PA
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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C&I ELECTRIC SAVINGS BY PA
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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PORTFOLIO GAS SAVINGS BY PA
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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RESIDENTIAL GAS SAVINGS BY
PA
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Comparison of PA 2016-2018 Plan with Consultant Team Goal Framework Analysis
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C&I GAS SAVINGS BY PA
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THANK YOU
Questions?
► May 19, 2015