Report on Indicators of quality adjusted price competitiveness. By Maria Bas, Philippe Martin and Thierry Mayer Work Package 5 / Deliverable 5.2 Sciences Po was the partner responsible for the preparation of this report. 24 November 2013 1 This project is funded by the European Union Mapcompete is a project designed to provide an assessment of data opportunities and requirements for the comparative analysis of competitiveness in European countries The project leader is László Halpern for CERS-HAS. The leaders of the six teams are: Carlo Altomonte (Bocconi University) for Bruegel; Giorgio Barba Navaretti (University of Milan) for Ld’A; Gábor Békés for CERS-HAS; Katja Neugebauer for IAW; Lionel Fontagné for Paris School of Economics and Philippe Martin for Science Po. Supporting Institutions are National Bank of Belgium, Banque de France, Banco de España, Deutsche Bundesbank, Banca d’Italia, Magyar Nemzeti Bank and the Italian National Institute of Statistics (ISTAT) LEGAL NOTICE: This project has received funding from the European Union’s Seventh Framework Programme for research, technological development and demonstration under grant agreement no 320197. The views expressed in this publication are the authors’ alone, and do not necessarily reflect the views of the European Commission. 2 Executive summary This report reviews the state of the art of the literature on measures of quality adjusted competitiveness. The report starts by an analysis of how the recent theoretical literature on heterogeneous firms' trade models has introduced product quality on both the demand and the supply side. The first family of models relies on the idea that consumers value quality. The valuation of quality is reflected on their willing to pay a higher price for high quality goods. On the supply side, firms' quality choice depends on the quality of inputs (skill labor or intermediate goods) used in the production of final goods. Also, producing high-quality goods is costly with marginal costs increasing in the level of quality of the final good but also involves a sunk investment cost in quality upgrading. The paper presents the recent empirical methodologies developed in the literature to estimate product quality using microdata. The early literature relied on unit values to capture differences in quality at the product level. The more recent literature disentangles price and quality using trade values and quantities to obtain a quality-adjusted measure of unit values. The identification strategy of these works infers quality from a demand function. Quality differentiation across products is then associated to product characteristics that are valued by consumers. The paper then describes alternative measures of non-price competitiveness at the firm level in particular related to R&D and other technological investments. Finally, it analyzes the recent findings of works that focused on how macroeconomic shocks affect firms' competitiveness. 3 1. Introduction This report, which is one of the three deliverables of WP51, aims at summarizing the state of the art of the literature on indicators of quality adjusted price competitiveness at the micro-level. The recent micro-level empirical research has emphasized the role of firm heterogeneity in terms of differences in firm productivity and competitiveness of firms producing within the same industry. Firm heterogeneity has been introduced in theoretical models as differences in technological factors across firms within the same industry. Heterogeneity in initial firm productivity levels captures differences in input requirements to produce one unit of output. The industrial organization literature and recently the international trade literature have emphasized that in this setting more productive firms are more profitable, have larger revenues, lower marginal costs and set lower prices (Hopenhayn, 1992, Ericson and Pakes, 1995, Melitz, 2003, Melitz and Ottaviano, 2008). The literature has highlighted different channels through which firms might improve their efficiency. One mechanism that allows firms to upgrade their competitiveness is related to production cost reductions. This price (cost) competitiveness channel implies that the lower the unit cost of production the higher the efficiency and the more competitive the firm/ industry. An alternative mechanism to cost reductions through which firms are able to improve their efficiency is by investing in research and development (R&D), other technological investments related to foreign technology transfers or by improving the quality of their products. 1 It corresponds to the deliverable D.5.2. The others deliverables are D5.1, which is a “Theoretical and policy aspects of competitiveness at different aggregation levels” which will be delivered by PSE and D.5.3 which is a report on “The main directions of research towards better assessment of competitiveness” carried out by Sciences Po. 4 One of the main differences between both channels concerns the relationship between firms’ efficiency and output price. On the one hand, the “price/cost competitiveness” channel implies that firms with lower production costs are more efficient and set lower prices. On the other hand, the “non-price competitiveness” channel highlights a positive relationship between firm competitiveness and prices of final goods charged by firms. The reason of this positive correlation between output prices and non-price competitiveness measures like R&D, foreign technology and product quality is that in the short run those technology/quality investments translate into an increase in the fixed and /or variable costs that firms have to make to upgrade their competitiveness. This survey focuses on these alternative channels that allow firms to upgrade their efficiency through non-price competitiveness mechanisms and aims at reviewing the main indicators of quality adjusted price competitiveness. Recent firm level studies on the determinants of price differences across firms have shown that exporters are more productive and larger but also charge higher prices (Bastos and Silva, 2010; Martin, 2012; Manova and Zhang, 2012; Harrigan, Ma and Shlychkov, 2012 and Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming-). One possible explanation for this empirical feature is related to product quality differentiation across firms. Introducing consumers' preferences that vary with product quality on the demand side and differences across firms in the scope for quality differentiation on the supply side allows explaining the empirical fact that firm productivity, prices and export status are positively correlated. On the demand side, consumers value quality and they are willing to pay a higher price for high-quality goods. On the supply side, quality differentiation on final goods depends on the quality of inputs. Output quality varies with the quality of different skilled labor in Verhoogen (2008) or the quality of 5 intermediate goods in Kugler and Verhoogen (2012) or in Hallak and Sivadasan forthcoming-. Producing high-quality goods requires high-quality inputs with highwage or high-cost. Marginal costs are then increasing in the level of product quality. In a framework of heterogeneous firms and endogenous product quality, these models predict a product-quality sorting along the initial productivity level of firms. More productive firms choose to produce high-quality products that involve higher marginal costs and they charge then higher prices than less productive firms.2 In this framework, quality and prices are positively correlated with firm size and profits since they are all increasing in firm productivity. In the empirical analysis, variations in prices across products and firms might reflect changes in markups or in production costs rather than quality differentiation across products. Disentangling product-quality from output prices in the data requires detailed information on output values and quantities at the product or product-firm level. Recent studies have developed methodologies based on demand functions estimations to infer quality at the product level (Khandelwal, 2010) or at the firmproduct level (Khandelwal, Schott and Wei (2013)). These methodologies are based on different assumptions on the demand structure, but both assume demand systems where consumer preferences for quality are introduced as a demand shifter. Quality is then represented as any product attribute that imply a shift in the demand curve reflecting Sutton's (1991) pioneering idea. Inferring product quality from demand functions implies that conditional on prices a product with a higher market share or a higher demand (quantity) is assigned a higher quality. 2 In Kugler and Verhoogen (2012) the relationship between firm productivity and output prices depends on the scope for quality differentiation. 6 The remainder of this review of literature is structured as follows. Section 2 reviews how the theoretical literature on heterogeneous firms' trade models has introduced product quality on demand and supply side. Section 3 presents the recent empirical methodologies developed in the literature to estimate product quality using microdata. Section 4 describes alternative measures of non-price competitiveness. Section 5 presents the recent findings of works that focused on how macroeconomic shocks affect firms' competitiveness. The last section concludes. 2. Theoretical mechanisms 2.1. Introducing quality on the demand side The demand for a specific variety depends on its quality attribute. These models rely on the idea that consumers value quality. The valuation of quality is reflected on their willing to pay a higher price for high quality goods. This representation of quality corresponds to the views of the European Commision that highlights “Upgrading the products may also make customers willing to pay a premium for them if the products are perceived to be of high enough quality" (European Competitiveness Report 2013).” The main idea behind these models is very simple and intuitive: given that quality is expensive to produce, a rise in price may be associated with an increase in demand. Consumers are ready to pay a premium for higher quality goods. Linder's (1961) early work already noted the role of quality as a determinant of the direction of trade arguing that richer countries spend a larger share of their income on high-quality goods. Recent empirical work corroborates this idea. On the consumption side, Bils and Klenow (2005) show that the demand for quality is positively correlated with 7 income per capita at the country level. Hallak (2006) also identifies how product quality affects the demand for the product using international trade data. He finds that demand for quality is related to importers' income per capita: richer countries import relatively more from countries that produce high-quality goods. Including preferences that vary with product quality helps to understand several trade patterns revealed by the empirical literature. Most models assume a representative consumer who maximizes a Constant Elasticity of Substitution (CES) utility function where quality can be understood as any product attribute that is valued by consumers and that enhances consumers' willingness-to-pay for a variety. This representation of preferences reflects the idea that consumers are willing to pay a higher price for high-quality varieties. Hence, instead of making decisions based only the observed price, consumers take their decisions based on quality-adjusted prices. The demand for any variety is increasing in its quality and decreasing on its price. Quality acts as a demand shifter: quality can be interpreted as a shift parameter in the variety's demand schedule. This interpretation of quality reflects Sutton's (1991) idea that an improvement of quality implies a shift in the demand curve. Holding the price fixed, high-quality products have a larger demand. Several recent models have adopted this demand structure to introduce product quality in consumers' preferences. See among others, Hallak (2006), Baldwin and Harrigan (2011), Kugler and Verhoogen (2012), Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming-, Crozet, Head and Mayer (2012), Johnson (2012) and Khandelwal, Schott and Wei (2013). 8 One exception is the work of Di Comite, Thisse and Vandenbussche (2013) 3, that extend the quadratic utility function presented by Ottaviano, Tabuchi and Thisse (2002) to incorporate vertical and horizontal differentiation. The extension of this demand function made by Di Comite, Thisse and Vandenbussche (2013) implies that the differentiation among varieties varies now across countries and between varieties in a country. The difference with the standard quadratic utility function where all varieties share the same quality is that in this framework the quality of a product is variety specific. In equilibrium, this model shows that the price of variety is an increasing function of the quality. Finally, other models introduce product-quality on the consumption side using indirect utility functions such as the nested-logit demand structure. This demand function links the marginal value of quality and the income level of consumers: households or countries that have greater income are willing to pay more for high-quality goods. This utility function represents then the idea of Linder (1961) that countries with a higher income per capita spend more on high-quality goods. Verhoogen (2008) assumes that quality varies with the level of development of countries: consumers in Northern countries with a high income per capita are willing to pay more for highquality goods than consumers in the southern ones. This nested-logit demand structure has been used in international trade by Goldberg (1995), Verboven (1996), 3 Antoniades (2012) also develops a model that introduces product-quality in the Melitz and Ottaviano (2008) framework of heterogeneous firms and endogenous markups. A key feature of this model when including endogenous supply of product quality is that competition affects the scope for quality differentiation and markups heterogeneously depending on firms' initial productivity level or marginal costs. 9 Verhoogen (2008), Khandelwal (2010) and Fajgelbaum, Grossman, and Helpman (2011), among others. 4 2.2. Production On the production side, the recent models differ in the way they introduce endogenous product quality choice but they all share several common features. Firstly, in most of these models firms' quality choice depends on the quality of inputs (skill labor or intermediate goods) used in the production of final goods. Secondly, producing high-quality goods is costly with marginal costs increasing in the level of quality of the final good 5 . Thirdly, some of these models follow the framework developed by Shaked and Sutton (1982 and 1983) and Sutton (1991, 1998) assuming an endogenous sunk investment cost in quality upgrading. Finally, there is a mapping between the firm's initial exogenous level of performance and the supply of product-quality. In these models, the endogenous supply of quality is determined by the exogenous firm performance parameter: Khandelwal (2010) calls it ability, Verhoogen (2008) and Feenstra and Romalis (2012) productivity, Kugler and Verhoogen (2012) capability and Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming- process productivity. 4 Other indirect utility function that has been used to represent preferences for quality that depend on consumers' income is the non-homothetic demand function. Feenstra and Romalis (2012) rely on a non-homothetic CES demand for quality function where the demand for quality increases with the income of the country. This utility function also implies that richer countries will import high-quality goods. 5 Baldwin and Harrigan (2011) assume that higher quality implies higher marginal costs in a model where product quality is exogenous. Other models represent the endogenous input choice to produce product quality of final goods as Verhoogen (2008), Kugler and Verhoogen (2012), Feenstra and Romalis (2012) and Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming-. 10 Verhoogen (2008) introduces endogenous quality in a model of monopolistic competition and heterogeneous firms in terms of productivity a la Melitz. He assumes that product quality of the final good produced by each firm depends on the ability of the firm (or productivity), the quality of white and blue collar workers and the technical sophistication of capital equipment combined by a Cobb-Douglas production function. The qualities of different workers are assumed to be complementary. Firms decide the input demand that maximizes profits and then input decisions determine quality of the final goods produced. The model predicts that firms with a high-initial productivity draw produce high-quality products for the export market, pay higher wages to both types of labor, are more capital intensive and charge higher prices than those firms with a low-productivity draw. In this framework, quality and prices are increasing functions of firm productivity and thereby, they are positively correlated with firm size.6 Kugler and Verhoogen (2012) assume differences in the production function of physical units of output and the production of endogenous quality in a monopolistic competition setting with heterogeneous firms. Consumer preferences are represented by a CES utility function including quality as a demand shifter. The production of physical units of output depends on the number of units of inputs used and firm capability draw (the equivalent to the ability parameter in Verhoogen, 2008, or the productivity parameter in Melitz, 2003). They derive two functional forms for the production of quality of final goods in a model where output quality is endogenous and firms optimize their quality choice. In the first case, they assume that plant 6 Other model that adopts a similar Cobb-Douglas production function of output quality is the one developed by Feenstra and Romalis (2012). They assume a similar production function that combines an aggregate labor input and firm productivity to produce the quality of final goods. Optimal output quality is an increasing function of firm productivity. 11 capability and input quality are complements in the production of final good output quality. The production of endogenous quality is given by a CES function combining plant capability and input quality. Output prices are then a constant markup over marginal costs. In this setting, firm capability has two opposite effects on marginal costs: (i) a direct effect through which firm productivity reduces marginal costs as in the baseline Melitz model and (ii) an indirect effect via input prices where firm capability increases input quality and input price and then raises marginal costs. In equilibrium, higher capability firms rely on high-quality inputs to produce high-quality outputs. This result is driven by the complementarity between firm capability draw and input quality. In the intermediate input sector, producing higher quality inputs is more costly in terms of labor. Therefore, for the final goods producers, the quality of intermediate inputs and the price of that input are positively correlated. Hence, higher-quality inputs have a higher price, which raises marginal costs. In the second case, producing high-quality output requires both high-quality inputs and investing in a fixed cost of quality upgrading in the esprit of Sutton (1991, 1998). They assume that producing high-quality final goods requires high-quality inputs. The fixed costs of quality upgrading and input quality are combined by a Leontief production function of endogenous quality. This fixed investment cost in quality is endogenously determined by profit maximization as a function of plant capability and other parameters of the model. As in the previous variant of the model the optimal input quality, output quality and output price are ultimately determined by plant capability. Higher capability firms also produce high-quality final goods with highquality inputs. In this variant of the model, this result is derived from the fact that firms 12 with a higher capability draw have economies of scales and are able to spread the fixed cost of quality upgrading over more units of output. Quality is costly to produce since requires high-quality inputs (high-priced). In both variants of the model, output price is a markup over marginal costs and firm productivity has opposite effects on marginal costs as described above. The relationship between firm productivity and output prices depends then on the magnitud of the parameters of scope for quality differentiation. More productive firms produce high-quality goods with high-quality (high-cost) inputs. But for a given level of product quality, more productive firms have lower costs. 7 Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming- propose a model including heterogeneous product quality where firms differ in their productivity (called process productivity) as well as in their ability to develop high-quality goods spending small fixed outlays (product productivity). Both sources of productivity are randomly drawn from a bivariate distribution. The demand function for each variety is derived from a CES utility function. Producing high-quality final goods is costly and involves marginal costs that depend on quality and firm productivity and on a fixed cost that is an increasing function of quality and decreasing on product productivity. Firms with a high-value of process productivity draw have lower marginal cost and firms with a high-value of product productivity draw have lower fixed costs of quality upgrading. Hence, the optimal quality is an increasing function of both process productivity and product productivity. Moreover, they assume that iceberg trade costs 7 In a North-South framework, Demir (2012) extends the model of Kugler and Verhoogen (2012) to show the mechanisms through which input-trade liberalization leads to export quality-upgrading of firms located in the South. Other related model of endogenous supply of quality is presented in Jonhson (2012), where the firm's quality is a monotone, constant elasticity function of firm's capability, reflecting a positive correlation between these two variables. 13 decrease with quality. These assumptions imply that conditional on size, exporters produce high-quality goods, charge higher output prices, buy more expensive inputs, pay higher wages and are more capital intensive. Although the profit maximizing output price increases with the level of product quality, high-price, high-quality, high-capability (high-productivity) firms generate higher revenues and profits than their lower capability (productivity) counterparts. This occurs because the increase in utility resulting from the consumption of higher quality products more than compensates for the higher production costs. Product-quality, output and input prices are then positively correlated with firm-size since all variables are increasing functions of firm productivity. As exporting firms incur a fixed cost, these models provide a convincing framework to explain why exporters produce higher quality goods and charge higher output prices producing with high-quality inputs as well as why export prices are higher in more distant (Baldwin and Harrigan, 2011, Feenstra and Romalis, 2012) and more difficult to enter (Jonhson, 2012) destination markets. Box 1 – Main Theoretical predictions of heterogeneous firms models with product quality The models described in the previous section yield a set of theoretical predictions on the relationship between firm productivity, output and input prices, product quality and export status: 14 (1) High-quality goods have a larger demand since the consumer values quality; (2) Product quality acts as a demand shifter that captures all attributes of a product other than price that consumers value. (3)Producing high-quality goods is costly since it involves the use of high-quality intermediate goods (skilled labor or inputs) that increase marginal costs. (4) Product quality is positively correlated with firm competitiveness (or productivity). (5) Firm productivity increases product quality of final goods due to a complementarity channel between firm capability and input quality as in Verhoogen (2008), Feenstra and Romalis (2012) and the first variant of the model of Kugler and Verhoogen (2012); (6) Or by enhancing quality upgrading investments as in the second variant of the model of Kugler and Verhoogen (2012) and Hallak and Sivadasan (forthcoming). (7) These models predict a quality sorting of firms depending on their initial productivity level. High-productivity firms have a larger demand and produce highquality goods with high-quality inputs (high-cost). 15 3. Measuring quality adjusted price competitiveness 3.1. Unit values as proxy for quality The first empirical works in international trade studying the determinants of product quality across products and countries rely on unit values to capture differences in quality at the product level. This literature argues that prices (unit values) can be used as a proxy of product quality since higher prices act as a signal for higher product quality in imperfect market conditions following the idea of Akerlof's (1970) market for lemons. On the supply side, export prices are correlated with exporters' income per capita and relative physical and human capital endowments (Schott, 2004). Cross-country comparisons reveal that capital and skill abundant countries export goods at higher unit values. Countries that increase their skill and capital deepening over time experienced greater growth of unit values. Hummels and Klenow (2005) rely on the quantity exported and proxies for the number of varieties to explain that differences in quality are necessary to describe the observed differences in unit values. On the demand side, Hallak (2006) combines unit values at the product-country of origin level with information on countries income per capita. He also interprets the results in terms of product-quality: richer countries import relatively more from countries producing high-quality goods. 8 8 Other works relying on cross-country and product international trade data that use unit values to measure quality are Schott (2008), Fontagne et al (2008) and Berthou and Emlinger (2010) among others. They construct a relative price that compares for each market, the unit value of each individual trade flow to the average trade price of the product category. 16 Box 2 – Unit values as a proxy for quality at the firm level study cases for different countries The first works aiming at measuring product quality at the firm level rely on prices (unit values) to capture differences across firms-products in terms of quality. The main idea is that higher prices are a good proxy of product quality since they act as a signal for higher quality in imperfect market conditions. Based on the theoretical framework presented in Box 1, the firm level empirical literature argues that prices are a good proxy for quality (Baldwin and Harrigan, 2011). The firm-level empirical literature investigates the determinants of export price variation in cross-section analyses, i.e., within-product across firms or within productfirm across markets for different countries: - Bastos and Silva 2010 and Bastos, Silva and Verhoogen 2013 for Portugal; - Gorg, Halpern and Murakovy 2010 for Hungary; - Kugler and Verhoogen 2012 for Colombia; - Martin 2012 for France; - Manova and Zhang 2012 for China; - Harrigan, Ma and Shlychkov 2012 for U.S.; - Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming- for India, the US, Chile and Colombia These studies are based on customs datasets that report detailed information on firms’ products at the 8 or 6 digit product level disaggregation by export destination country. 17 Box 3 – Main empirical findings of firm level studies: (1) Exporting firms charge higher prices in more distant markets and to highincome countries (Bastos and Silva 2010, Gorg, Halpern and Murakovy 2010, Manova and Zhang, 2012; Martin, 2012). (2) Bigger, more productive and skilled intensive firms charge higher prices and pay higher input prices (Harrigan, Ma and Shlychkov, 2012, Kugler and Verhoogen, 2012, Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming-). (3) Firms exporting to high-income countries buy more expensive inputs (Bastos, Silva and Verhoogen, 2013). This firm level evidence supports the predictions of the trade models of heterogeneous firms that incorporate product quality. 3.2. Going beyond unit values to infer quality at the product level Prices (unit values) are however imperfect measures of product quality. Variations in prices across markets may indeed reflect differences on market structure or supply shocks. Changes in unit values across firms-products might be associated to variations in markups (pricing-to-market) or marginal costs rather than quality. The 18 first alternative explanation suggests that firms with market power charge higher prices across markets. 9 In particular, firms might charge higher markups in richer markets where consumers are less sensitive to price variations. Other possible explanation for different price strategies across firms within the same market is related to their cost structure: higher-cost firms charge higher prices. Alternative empirical methodologies disentangle price and quality using trade values and quantities to obtain a quality-adjusted measure of unit values. The identification strategy of these works infers quality from a demand function. Quality differentiation across products is associated to product characteristics that are valued by consumers. Hallak and Schott (2011) develop a methodology that decomposes countries observed export prices into quality and quality-adjusted components using information of their trade balances from the demand side. For constant observed export prices, they infer that countries with trade surpluses produce high-quality products relative to countries with trade deficits. This methodology takes into account changes in trade balances generated by both horizontal and vertical differentiation. Relying on this method, they estimate the evolution of manufacturing quality for the world's top exporters from 1989 to 2003. Their findings suggest that unit value ratios might be a poor proxy for relative quality differences and that the product quality supply by a country is correlated with the income level. 9 De Loecker and Warzynski (2012) develop a method to estimate markups at firm level based on costminimizing function and the existence of one variable input of production. They show that exporters have higher markups than firms selling only in the domestic market. 19 Khandelwal (2010) proposes a measure of quality that accounts for both product prices and market shares. The methodology to estimate product quality relies on a nested logit demand system based on Berry (1994). This demand system features preferences for horizontal and vertical attributes. He uses unit value and quantity information for the US at the detailed level HS6 level to infer quality from the estimation a nested logit demand system. A quality measure at the product level, is then inferred from the estimation of the nested-logit demand function using the estimated parameters: This methodology provides quality estimates at the product level in which imported products with higher market shares are assigned higher quality after controlling for price differences and country size. Khandelwal (2010) shows that the estimated quality for products exported to the US expose significant heterogeneity in the scope for quality differentiation across product markets (quality ladder). He finds that for products with a larger scope for quality differentiation (i.e., a long quality ladder), unit values are more correlated with the estimated quality than for products with a short quality ladder. Hence, for differentiated products with a long quality ladder, prices are appropriate proxies for product quality. Other attempt that aims at disentangling quality from unit values at the productcountry level is the work of Feenstra and Romalis (2012). Differently from the previous works, their methodology incorporates supply-side information. They estimate a gravity model that incorporates endogenous quality to obtain measures of quality-adjusted prices for traded goods at the 4-digit level for 200 countries for the period 1984-2008. Their gravity estimation is theoretically grounded on a model of endogenous quality, heterogeneous firms and transport cost, where countries have non-homothetic preferences for quality that depend on their income. On the supply 20 side, endogenous optimal quality is a function of firm productivity, the production cost of quality (wages) as well as transport costs. Under these assumptions, richer countries (more productive) demand and produce high-quality goods and these goods are exported to more distant countries. This identification of endogenous quality relies on the idea of Washignton apples described by Hummels and Skiba (2004): high-quality goods are shipped longer distances. In this framework, product quality is a function of exporter's f.o.b. price divided by the productivity-adjusted wages. Feenstra and Romalis (2012) rely on the equilibrium conditions of the model to solve for productivity-adjusted wages and quality. They obtain then a measure of product quality that can be constructed by the parameters of the model that are estimated using a gravity equation. Their gravity estimates show that the elasticity of substitution between varieties of the same 4-digit industries is higher than in previous estimations that do not incorporate endogenous quality such as Broda and Weinstein (2006). This finding implies that the observed differences in export unit-values are attributed to quality differences. Their findings also show that richer countries export and import high-quality goods. 10 3.3. Measuring quality at the firm level At the firm level one of the few works that estimate product quality is Khandelwal, Schott and Wei (2013). They develop a methodology to estimate quality and qualityadjusted prices at the firm-product-country of destination relying on demand function estimation. They show that assuming a CES utility function which accounts for 10 Benkovskis and Woerz (2012) extend the Broda and Weinstein (2006) methodology to include changes in the quality of traded varieties. They propose an export price index adjusted for non-price factors using data at the 8-digit product level for 10 countries in central, eastern and south-eastern Europe for the period 1999-2010. 21 product quality, the quality for each firm-product-country-year observation can be estimated using information on quantities and unit values. They estimate quality as a demand shifter that correspond to the residual of an OLS estimation of the quantity and price (unit value) on country-time fixed effect that controls for price index and income at destination, and product fixed effect that controls for variation across products since prices and quantities are not necessarily comparable across products. The estimated quality depends on the residual of such estimation and the elasticity of substitution between products. They estimate product quality at the firm level using Chinese firm-product disaggregated at the HS6 level and country of destination level customs data for the textile sector. This methodology requires an assumption on the elasticity of substitution across products. Since Khandelwal, Schott and Wei (2013) are interested in quality estimates for one specific sector (textile), they rely on the median elasticity across textile products of Broda, Greenfield and Weinstein (2006). The indicator of quality adjusted price competitiveness derived from this estimation implies that conditional on price, a variety with a higher quantity (demand) is assigned higher quality. In this framework, quality is any unobserved product characteristic that increases demand other than price so it acts as a demand shifter. Other related recent work that develops a methodology to estimate firm level product quality is the work of Piveteau and Smagghue (2013). Their methodology does not require any assumption on the elasticity of substitution between varieties. Using firmproduct and country of destination level customs data for France, they estimate export product quality as a residual from demand function estimation where export 22 prices are instrumented using variations on exchange rate on imports as an exogenous supply shock. Box 4 – Data requirements to disentangle price and quality at the firm level Alternative methodologies have been developed aiming at disentangling price from quality indicators. The idea behind these methodologies is very simple and intuitive: a higher quality is measured as all characteristics of a good that increase demand for a given price. The indicator of quality adjusted price competitiveness derived from this methodology is closely related to the views of the European Commission on quality that defines it in the following manner "Upgrading the products may also make customers willing to pay a premium for them if the products are perceived to be of high enough quality" (European Competitiveness Report 2013). The data requirements to apply this methodology at the firm level are: (1) Firm-product level information on values; (2) Firm-product level information on quantities; (3) Information on the elasticity of substitution among varieties. While it is very difficult to have access to this information for domestic production, most of the studies rely on Customs data that provide information on values and quantities at the firm-product level for exports and imports. Khandelwal, Schott and Wei (2013) rely on Chinese firm-product and destination country customs datasets to estimate quality. 23 3.4. Other direct measures of quality Studies relying on direct measures of quality are scarce due to data limitation since quality attributes are very difficult to observe. There are, however, some exceptions that rely on product attributes or explicit quality ratings that need to be highlighted. Goldberg and Verboven (2001) look at price dispersion and quality adjusted prices across European car constructors where the product-quality is inferred from product attributes. Crozet, Head and Mayer (2012) rely on expert assessments of the quality of Champagne producers to estimate the key parameters of the quality interpretation of the Melitz (2003) model. In the same line, a recent work of Chen and Juvenal (2013) rely on experts wine ratings as a measure of quality to investigate the relationship between real exchange rate pass-through and quality. Other works use the ISO-9000 norms adoption (international production standard) as a proxy for product quality such as Verhoogen 2008 and Hallak and Sivadasan forthcoming-. Finally, Martin and Mayneris (2013) have recently developed a methodology to identify high-end variety exporters (high-quality) for French exporters using information on the list of members of the Comite Colbert, an organization composed of the main brands of the French luxury Industry. They use the list of firms in this Colbert committee as a benchmark. A firm exporting a high-quality variety (a highend variety) is defined as a firm that export the same product categories and charge a price at least as high as the one charged by the members of the Comite Colbert. They then examine how these high-end variety exporting firms react to gravity 24 measures relative to the low-end variety exporters. Their findings show that firms selling high-quality products are less sensitive to distance and more sensitive to GDP per capita. 4. Alternative measures of non-price competitiveness This subsection presents alternative measures of non-price competitiveness at the firm level related to R&D and other technological investments. The aim of this subsection is to review the literature on the theoretical determinants of firms’ technological investments within the framework of heterogeneous firms as well as the empirical measures used to capture technological differences across firms within industries. Several extensions of the baseline heterogeneous firms models à la Hopenhayn (1992) -Melitz (2003) have been developed to incorporate binary technology choice (Yeaple, 2005, Bustos, 2011, Lileeva and Trefler 2010, Bas, 2012, Bas and Berthou, 2013) or R&D investments that increase firm efficiency (Atkeson and Burstein, 2010). These models show that the initial firm heterogeneity determines firms’ decision to upgrade technology or invest in R&D that in turns enhance within-firm productivity differently depending on the initial heterogeneity. The binary technology choice models study the determinants of firms’ decision to upgrade technology by paying a fixed technological cost (Yeaple, 2005, Bustos, 2011, Lileeva and Trefler 2010, Navas Ruiz and Sala, 2007, Bas, 2012, Bas and Berthou, 2013). They rely on two key assumptions: (i) heterogeneity in terms of productivity; and (ii) the existence of fixed costs of innovation / technology adoption to improve firm efficiency. Firms faced the following trade-off between fixed technology cost and 25 marginal costs: firms must pay a fixed cost of technology that reduces their marginal cost. All firms that upgrade their technology will improve their efficiency by reducing marginal costs in the same proportion. These two assumptions explain why only a subset of most efficient firms (bigger, more profitable and more productive) is able to invest on R&D or rely on high-modern technologies to produce. These models explain the heterogeneous determinants of firms’ technology choice what can be called the “extensive margin of technological investments”. Atkeson and Burstein (2010) develop a model where heterogeneous firms make in each period risky investments in an R&D good in order to improve their productivity (process innovation). The sunk entry investment is also made in units of this research good, so that entry decisions can be interpreted as product innovation. The empirical literature has highlighted a productivity premium for firms that invest in technology / R&D (Bustos, 2011, Bas, 2012, Bas and Berthou, 2013, Lileeva and Trefler 2010). This evidence points out that firms that invest in technology improve their competitiveness. These empirical facts imply that within the same industry firms that engage in technological investments have a greater productivity relative to firms that do not upgrade their technology. However, the direction of causality between firms’ R&D and productivity is very difficult to establish. The literature has highlighted two-direction of causality between firms’ R&D and productivity gains. Most productive firms have enough revenues to afford the fixed technological costs (self-selection effect into innovation) and ex-post, R&D and technological investments enhance firm productivity. Aw, Roberts and Xu (2008) emphasize the two-directions of the causality between R&D and productivity: while R&D investments are an important determinant of firm’ productivity, there is 26 also a selection effect of initially most efficient firms into innovation activities due to the existence of the sunk fixed R&D cost. Relying on detailed data of Taiwanese electronics exporters, they find that most productive firms self-select into export markets and that the decision to export is accompanied by the decision to invest in R&D that further raises exporter’s productivity gains. In the same line, Doraszelski and Jaumandreu (2009) develop a model in which firm productivity is determined by R&D investments with uncertain outcomes. Using firm level data from Spain they estimate their model and find that investing in R& doubles the degree of uncertainty in the evolution of a producers’ productivity level. Balasubramanian and Sivadasan (2011) use data on firms’ patenting and production activities to explore what happens when a firm patents. They find clear evidence that new patent grants are associated with increases in firm size (by any one of a number of measures), scope (the number of products it makes), and TFP. Bernard, Redding, and Schott (2010) show that a firm’s TFP is positively correlated with the number of products it produces. This holds both in the cross section and within firms over time. Other branch of the literature on the micro determinants of firms’ R&D has focused on technological spillovers. The existence of knowledge spillovers enhances firm productivity and R&D investments of other firms that operate in similar technology areas. The concentration of firms that sign new patents in an area has positive effects on other firms’ decision to invest in innovation. The technological knowledge is spread across firms in their environment. Bloom et al (2013) find that positive technology spillovers for US firms and they show that the social returns to R&D are at least twice as high as the private returns. Their findings also suggest that the effect of technology spillovers is heterogeneous across firms of different sizes. For smaller 27 firms technology spillovers are more limited because few other firms operate in their technology fields. Box 5 – Different measures of non-price competitiveness (1) Proxy of quality adjusted competitiveness based on demand function estimations: - Information on unit values - A higher quality is measured as all characteristics of a good that increase demand for a given price (Khandelwal, 2010 and Khandelwal, Schott and Wei, 2013, Piveteau and Smagghue 2013) (2) Direct measures of quality for specific products and markets: - Product-quality is inferred from product attributes for the Automobile market (Goldberg and Verboven, 2001) - Quality rankings and expert assessments of the quality of Champagne and wine Crozet, Head and Mayer, 2012 and Chen and Juvenal 2013) - ISO-9000 norms adoption (international production standard) (Verhoogen 2008 and Hallak and Sivadasan -forthcoming-). - List of members of the Comite Colbert, an organization composed of the main brands of the French luxury Industry. (Martin and Mayneris, 2013) (3) R&D and other technological investments -Firm level measures of expenditure on R&D and patents (Aw, Roberts and Xu 2008 and Bustos, 2011, Bloom et al, 2013) 28 -Product scope at the firm level measuring the number of new varieties of domestic products introduced in the market (Bernard et al, 2010; Goldberg et al, 2012) -Firm level data on foreign technology proxies by imported inputs and capital equipment goods (Bas and Berthou, 2012). 5. Macroeconomic shocks affecting firm competitiveness This section revisits the literature that explores how firms adjust their price decisions, product-quality choices and R&D investments to different macroeconomic shocks. A first set of works investigates the role of competition on quality upgrading. A growing recent literature focuses on the relationship between output- and input-trade liberalization, firms' prices, markups and quality upgrading. Other set of papers explore the heterogeneous reaction of firms' prices to real exchange movements and the pass-through effects. Finally, a last set of papers looks at the effects of industrial cluster policies on firm TFP and innovation. Box 6 – Main macroeconomic determinants of firms’ quality upgrading (1) Competition - Increasing competitive pressures creates incentives for incumbents firms to engage in quality upgrading investments in order face competition; (2) Trade liberalization o Foreign competition channel: reductions on tariff affecting final consumption goods; 29 o Imported inputs channel: access to high quality/more efficient inputs from abroad allows firms to upgrade the quality of their final products. (3) Real exchange rate pass-through - The pass-through effect is greater for low-quality producers than for highquality ones. (4) Industrial policies -Mixed results of the effects of cluster industrial policies on firm performance. 5.1. Competition and quality upgrading The effect of competition on product quality might be heterogeneous across firms and products. Fiercer competition might increase the incentives for some firms to engage in quality upgrading investments. Some firms might find it profitable then to raise the quality of their products in order to face competition. Other firms, least efficient, might be discouraged from investing in quality since they will not be able to survive fiercer competition. At the product level, Amiti and Khandelwal (2013) have explored the relationship between import competition and product quality. They study how import competition affects product quality upgrading using highly disaggregated export data to the U.S., import tariffs and a product level quality measure developed by Khandelwal (2010) presented in the previous section. Their findings show that import tariff cuts across 30 countries affect the degree of product quality upgrading. The effect of foreign competition on quality is non-linear as it depends on the distance of products to the world quality frontier. Import competition foster quality upgrading for products close to the frontier, while it has a negative impact on quality for products that are far away from the world quality frontier. At the firm level, competition might affect quality upgrading within-firm over time and across firms producing in the same sector. Fernandes and Paunov (2011) look at the effects of import competition on firm quality upgrading relying on Chilean firm-product level data. Quality is measured with unit values and import competition is captured by industry-level transport costs. They focus on a within-firm channel through which competition affects firm-product quality over time. Their findings show that import competition mainly from less developed economies is a key factor explaining firmproduct quality upgrading. Martin and Mejean (2011) investigate the effect of lowwage country competition in export markets on the growth of unit values in highincome economies. They emphasize a between-firms channel studying the adjustments across French firms producing heterogeneous qualities of the same product to fiercer competition of low-wage countries. 5.2. Trade liberalization, prices and quality Trade liberalization affects firms' prices both through a reduction in final goods (output tariffs) and intermediate goods tariffs (input tariffs). The impact of both tariff cuts on firms' output prices is ambiguous since it affects markups as well as the incentives to revise product-quality. 31 Output tariff reductions raise firms' competitive pressures (i.e., the pro-competitive effect) forcing them to lower markups (e.g. Levinsohn, 1993, Harrison, 1994). In a recent paper, De Loecker et al., (2013) investigate the effect of trade liberalization in India on firms' output prices, markups and marginal costs. They rely on the methodology developed by De Loecker and Warzynski (2012) to estimate markups at firm level based on the estimation of a translog production function in order to retrieve measures of output elasticity of variable input. De Loecker et al. (2013) find that conditional on marginal costs, output tariffs cuts have a pro-competitive effect on markups. Output tariff reductions might also create incentives to spend in quality upgrading investments in order to revise product quality to face foreign competition (Amiti and Khandelwal, 2013; Fernandes and Paunov, 2011). Trade liberalization also affects both the cost and the access to imported varieties of intermediate goods. Firms may take advantage of less expensive imported inputs to reduce their marginal costs and then to reduce their output prices or increase their markups. De Loecker et al., (2013) find larger declines in marginal costs associated to input tariff liberalization relative to the observed reductions on output prices. This imperfect pass-through effect from declines in marginal cost to output prices reductions suggests that firms offset the cost reductions by raising their markups as input-tariff fall. Input-trade liberalization might also allow firms to access to highquality imported inputs (high-priced). In this latter case, firms buy higher quality inputs in order to upgrade the quality of their exported products thanks to input-tariff cuts (Bas and Strauss-Kahn -2013-). 32 5.3. Real exchange rate pass-through, prices, markups and quality A recent literature investigates the exchange rate pass-through to prices. Berman, Martin and Mayer (2012) study the heterogeneous effect of real exchange rate variations on export prices and volumes. Their findings suggest heterogeneous reactions in pricing-to-market: more productive firms react to depreciation by raising more their markups and by increasing less their export volume. This finding may explain the weak effect of exchange rate movements on aggregate exports since more productive firms explain most of aggregate export patterns. Chen and Juvenal (2013) extends the analysis of Berman, Martin and Mayer (2012) to explore the relationship between real exchange rate pass-through and quality with similar findings in terms of quality instead of productivity: high-quality firms react to depreciation by raising more their markups and by increasing less their export volume. Amiti, Itskhoki and Konings (2012) show that import intensity of inputs and market shares of exporters are determinants of exchange rate pass-through in a crosssection analysis of firms. Smaller exporters that do not import intermediate inputs have a complete pass-through relative to exporting firms with the highest import intensity and market shares that display a low aggregate pass-through. Auer, Chaney and Saure (2012) look at the relationship between the exchange-rate pass-through in the European car industry and product quality. Their findings suggest that this pass-through is greater for low-quality cars than for high-quality ones. They develop a model that rationalizes this feature where firms produce products of heterogeneous quality to consumers that have a preference for quality and are willing to pay more for high-quality goods. Firms compete on prices and quality and so firms' 33 market power depends on both the prices and qualities of its direct competitors. In this model markups are increasing in quality, exporting firms tend to produce highquality goods and the degree of exchange rate pass-through is decreasing in quality. 5.4. Firm competitiveness and industrial policy Micro-level empirical studies investigate the effects of industrial policy through clusters on firm-level performance (see Nathan and Overman, 2013, for a complete survey). These studies find mixed results. The main econometric issue that these studies face is to find a rigorous identification strategy that allows a microeconometric evaluation of the causal effects of industrial policy on firm competitiveness. This section described this mixed findings in the literature on the role of industrial policies in firm performance/competitiveness. Criscuolo et al (2012) rely on a quasi-natural experiment methodology by exploiting the exogenous changes in the area-specific eligibility criteria for a major program to support manufacturing jobs in the UK (Regional Selective Assistance) and firm panel data for the UK. They have an exogenous shock since the area eligibility is decided by pan-European state aid rules which change every seven years. They rely on these rule changes to construct instrumental variables for program participation. Their results under instrumental variables show a positive impact of the industrial policy on firms employment, investment and net entry. Their findings suggest that a 10\% investment subsidy is associated with an increase of 7\% in employment and almost half of this (3.6\%) arises from the growth of incumbent firms and the other half is caused by a greater net entry. They also show that the positive effect of industrial policy is explained by smaller firms producing with less than 150 workers. They provide two possible explanations for this result: on the one hand, larger firms are 34 able to game the system and take the subsidy without changing their investment and employment levels and on the other hand, smaller firms might suffer from financial constraints. In terms of the channels through which the industrial policy raises manufacturing employment is mainly through reducing unemployment. However, they find not significant effect of the industrial policy on firm total factor productivity gains after controlling for investment effect. Given that less productive plants get a higher amount of subsidies, this implies that the industrial policy reduces aggregate productivity in the industry due to reallocation effects since it increases the employment share of low productivity firms. Devereux, Griffith and Simpson (2007) also study the impact of this program to support manufacturing jobs in the UK on the new investments by foreign-owned multinationals and UK owned multi-plant groups. Their findings suggest that this industrial policy has positive but quantitatively low effects on multinational location decisions. Evaluations of industrial policies on firm performance also yield to mixed results. Martin et al. (2011a) rely on firm and plant panel data in order to measure the strength of agglomeration externalities in France. Based on GMM estimations, they find that the only significant agglomeration externalities in the French economy in the short-run are localization economies. These findings suggest that cluster policies might improve firm productivity and competitiveness. Nevertheless, the elasticity of firm-level TFP to the size of its own sector at the local level is rather low, equal to 5\%. This result is also in line with measures obtained in the literature in other contexts by Rosenthal and Strange (2004). This low elasticity of firm-level TFP to the size of its own sector is not due to weak agglomeration economies, but because those gains seem to be already well internalized by firms in their location decisions. They find that 35 localization economies are bell-shaped and when comparing the estimated geographical distribution of plants that would maximize productivity and the one that is actually observed suggests that the gap is not large at least in the French case. In the same line, several works that focus on firm location decisions have demonstrated that the presence of other firms in a region increases significantly the probability that a plant chooses to locate in this region (see, e.g., Head et al., 1999; Crozet et al., 2004; Devereux et al., 2007). Therefore, the gains arising from cluster policy are, at least in the short-run, relatively small. Note that this finding is only about firm productivity gains and it should not be confounded with welfare gains, which agglomeration could also shape through other mechanisms than productivity. However, this suggests that even though the starting point of cluster policy advocates is right, their conclusion advocating costly public intervention to favor agglomeration is dubious, at least in France. Martin et al. (2011b) rely on the same dataset to evaluate the first cluster policy implemented in France, the Systemes Productifs Locaux policy. They show that the policy helped declining firms producing in declining sectors and areas, and had no measurable effect on firm-level productivity, employment or exports. Another strand of the literature focuses on other type of industrial policy related to direct research subsidies to industrial R\&D. The evidence on the effects of these direct subsidies on firm performance is also mixed. The surveys of David et al, (2000), Klette et al, (2000), or Takalo et al, (2008) describe these mixed results. Bronzini and Iachini (2010) use a proposal's score by an independent committee to investigate the impact of receiving a R\&D subsidy on the performance of Italian firms. Their findings suggest a positive causal effect on investment that is only significant for small firms. 36 Nevertheless, Jacob and Lefgren (2010) rely on a similar methodology for US National Institute of Health grants and in that case, they identify a zero effect. 6. Conclusions This survey presents a review of literature on firms' determinants of quality adjusted competitiveness. The recent empirical literature has highlighted that prices (unit values) are imperfect measures of product quality. Prices might represent higher markups and costs not related to product quality. Recent empirical methodologies have been developed in the literature to disentangle prices and quality. These methodologies rely on demand function estimations to measure product quality using micro-data. 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