Challenges and Issues Associated with the Nuclear Fuel Cycle for Sustainable Growth of Nuclear Power Frank CARRE Scientific Director Nuclear Energy Division of CEA (France) Massachusetts Institute of Technology Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop May 26-27, 2015 - Cambridge MA USA 17 OCTOBRE 2012 Paris |17 octobre 2012 | PAGE 1 Challenges & Issues for a Sustainable Growth of Nuclear Power Outline of session 1 – Outlook on nuclear growth today 2 – Conditions for a successful deployment of Gen-III LWRs over the next decades 3 – Goals for Gen-IV nuclear systems and sustainability of nuclear power 4 – Challenges and issues associated with the nuclear fuel cycle 5 – Comdemned to succeed Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 2 Operating & Planned Nuclear Power Plants in the World An Increasing World Nuclear Electricity Demand ... 117 3 126 3 2 6 2 24 25 21 6 2 23 21 5 1 48 7 9 16 …1 58 …1 GCC 70 125 7 15 43 UAE...0 …3 2 3 1 4 …2 19 …99 5 Belarus ..2 34 32 …2 9 439 70 170 ~377 GWe Installed Nuclear Power today ~250 GWe PWRs, ~83 GWe BWRs, ~21 GWe PHWRs, ~11 GWe GCRs, 11 GWe LWGRs, 1 GWe FBRs 700 – 1000 GWe by 2050? Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 3 Global Nuclear Construction Plans Number of reactors planned 10+ 1-9 Might Build Won’t Build • 45 new builds in China (25), Russia (9), India (6) & Korea (5) • 6 reactors in 3 newcomer countries: Belarus (2), Iran (1) & UAE (3) • 443 nuclear reactors operating in 30 countries (372 GWe) • 66 reactors currently under construction in 15 countries • 164 reactors planned in 27 countries over next 8-10 years • 317 reactors proposed in 37 countries over next 15 years • Spent fuel reprocessing: - Industrial: France, UK - Developing: Russia, India, Japan, China, Korea • Fast Neutron Reactor Programs: - Russia, India, Japan, France, USA, China, Korea ~ Source: IAEA information & news reports Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 4 Nuclear Growth in the Coming Decades • Most of the nuclear growth in the coming decades will happen in mature nuclear countries that conduct R&D programs: - On spent fuel reprocessing and recycling On Fast Neutron Reactors for managing Actinides (TRU) and achieving durable nuclear power when Uranium becomes scarce and expensive • Not all member countries of the Non Proliferation Treaty • The safe and peaceful development of nuclear power will benefit from the continued support from International Agencies (NEA & IAEA) and Atomic Energy Communities (Euratom, ABACC…) - Information exchange on good practices and R&D issues Safeguarding nuclear materials and facilities (IAEA, Euratom, ABACC…) WNA, WANO, INRA, WENRA… • Need for accompanying measures for nuclear newcomer countries to implement the Framework & Infrastructures necessary for the safe and efficient development of nuclear energy - IAEA Integrated Nuclear Infrastructure Review (INIR) Other initiatives including some about securing nuclear materials Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 5 Nuclear Energy International Outlook • Drivers for nuclear growth – Energy security – Containing climate change • Global prospects for nuclear growth (13% ~20% nuclear power in 2050) 2°C scenario: 390 GWe 930 GWe: + 12 GWe/y new nuclear capacity (Joint IAE-NEA 2014 Technology Roadmap for Nuclear Energy (2050)) 392 GWe ~620 GWe (+350 GWe – 150 GWe) in 2040 ( ~700 GWe in 2050) (IAE 2014 World Energy Oulook – Central scenario) • Contrasted national nuclear plans – Japan: restart NRA approved NPPs 20-22% nuclear in 2030 – China, India, Korea, Russia: Dynamic nuclear growth – Western world: nuclear Recovery? Revival ? (but Germany, Switzerland, Italy) • Gen III/Gen III+ reactors on the market: ABWR, ESBWR, AP1000, EPR, AES2006, VVER1200, APR1400, APWR, ATMEA1, ACR1000, CANDU6, CAP1000... • SMRs as potential game changers? (NuScale, mPower, Westinghouse, SMART, Floating NPP, Holtec…) • Towards enlarged nuclear missions for nuclear reactors? (Variable electricity, Coupling with energy storage, District heating, Process heat, Hydrogen…) Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 6 Water-cooled Reactor Programs Plant safety, Licensing & Regulatory Issues Conditions for successful deployment of GEN III/Gen III+ LWRs & HWRs • Reliability & Safety – Fukushima accident-proof design + Enhancement of Emergency preparedness – Progress towards internationally harmonized design codes & safety standards, QA • Security (Proliferation resistance, Physical protection…) – Safeguarding by IAEA, Euratom… – Export control of sensitive technologies • Economics – Competitiveness with other energy sources in spite of rising costs for Gen III reactors – Adapted / customized funding schemes to favor investments in nuclear in a liberalized energy market – Reliability of nuclear industry (completion in time and cost…) • Sustainability – Minimization of waste burden Implementation of HLW repository in some countries – Minimization of environmental impact An integrated vision of Sustainability that is a condition for public acceptance & government support Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 7 Nuclear Security • Nuclear power will be unable to gain the support it needs for large-scale growth unless nuclear facilities and nuclear stockpiles are seen to be safe and secure • Effective security is a key enabling factor for nuclear energy, just as safety is • Nuclear nonproliferation cannot be reliably achieved if states or terrorists groups might gain the means to a nuclear weapon or nuclear weapon material PR&PP Methodology Control of nuclear materials Physical properties of nuclear materials (n, γ, Pth, CM) Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 8 Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons • The Non-Proliferation Treaty - • A balanced "three-pillar" system - • Prevent the spread of nuclear weapons and weapons technology Promote cooperation in the peaceful uses of nuclear energy Further the goal of achieving nuclear disarmament Entered into force in 1970 Non-proliferation Disarmament The right to peacefully use nuclear technology A central bargain "the NPT non-nuclear-weapon states agree never to acquire nuclear weapons and the NPT nuclear-weapon states in exchange agree to share the benefits of peaceful nuclear technology and to pursue nuclear disarmament aimed at the ultimate elimination of their nuclear arsenals" 900 facilities in 64 NPT countries Recognized nuclear weapon state ratifiers Recognized nuclear weapon state acceders Other acceders or succeeders Non-signatory (India, Israel, Pakistan, South-Sudan) Other ratifiers Withdrawn (North Korea) Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 9 Global Initiatives to Support Nuclear Deployment Presidential initiatives of the US & the Russian Federation in 2006 Putine Initiative: Creation of a global infrastructure for nuclear energy Address non-proliferation issues at the level of States Guaranteed services for the nuclear fuel cycle in dedicated international Centres (enrichment, supply of Uranium fuel, retrieval of used fuel…) Bush In initiative: Creation of a Global Nuclear Energy Partnership (GNEP) IFNEC (> 2009) Control of proliferation risks through leasing fresh nuclear fuel and retrieval of used fuel by countries that have experience in the nuclear fuel cycle Reprocessing of LWR fuel and recycling of actinides in fast neutron burners Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 10 GNEP – Reliable Fuel Service Model International Centres of “Fuel Cycle Services” International Standards for non-proliferation & safeguards Processes possibly country-specific (waste, technologies…) Expand nuclear energy while preventing spread of sensitive fuel cycle technologies Fuel Cycle Nations – Operate both nuclear power plants and fuel cycle facilities Reactor Nations – Operate only reactors, lease and return fuel • Exclusively Uranium as fresh fuel ? Q: Management of nuclear spent fuel : • Retrieval ? • Local storage for an indefinite period of time? Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 11 Management of Spent Exported Nuclear Fuel Retrieval or local storage? Retrieval in an International Centre for Fuel Cycle Services Storage on National/Regional site for an indefinite period of time National regulations generally prohibit retrieving nuclear waste (incl. spent nuclear fuel) from other countries on the national ground leasing nuclear fuel (EU…) • Need to create a national or a regional interim storage of spent nuclear fuel • Need to plan for an end point for the spent nuclear fuel • Some national or regional regulations prohibit leasing nuclear fuel from other countries (EU directive…) • • Countries hosting an International Centre for Fuel Cycle Services tend to restrict leasing offers of nuclear fuel for reasons of public acceptance • Issues associated with the transport of nuclear materials • Risk of creating a « mine » of TRU materials that could progressively escape the contol of user nations Effectiveness of instrumentation to monitor the site ? Calls for long term monitoring measures Need for an inter-governmental framework for securing the circulation & use of nuclear materials worldwide through appropriate safeguarding measures Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 12 Cooperative Approaches to the Back-end of the Nuclear Fuel Cycle Other Issues and Impediments • Variety of national legislative frameworks - International agreements / national laws for managing nuclear materials Transfer of responsibilities Transboundary shipments • Public perception / acceptance • Sentiment of lack of urgency to implement end points for spent nuclear fuel (SNF) or high level waste (HLW) • Newcomer countries tend to favor leasing nuclear fuels or regional interim storage facilities Q: Possibility of transferring to another State, the responsibility of spent nuclear fuel management? Q: Would the exporting country retain an obligation to assure that the SNF is managed responsibly regardless of the terms of any specific arrangement? Q: Does the exporting country need to be prepared to accept the return of SNF in case of changes in national laws of the receiving country? • New forms of contracts: Build Own Operate Projects (Akkuyu project in Turkey…) Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 13 Deployment of Gen-III LWRs – Summary Initiatives to support Gen-III LWR builds worldwide 700 – 1000 GWe in 2050 ? Give evidence of fully learning lessons from Fukushima tsunami Progress towards harmonized safety regulations (IAEA, MDEP & Cordel, WENRA, …) Implement safeguarded international fuel cycle services for nuclear fuel supply and management of spent fuels Implement national strategies for high level radioactive waste geological repository (country-dependent timeline) Integrate nuclear, renewable and other low carbon energies in symbiotic fleets for electricity generation ( Requirements for storage & smart grid technologies) Develop non-electricity LWR applications (District heating, H2, hydrocarbon fuels, chemical products…) Assess in more details the commercial viability of SMRs Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 14 Generation IV International Forum: Six Systems for R&D GIF Selection of six Nuclear Systems Closed fuel cycle Sodium Fast Reactor Closed fuel cycle Lead Fast Reactor Closed fuel cycle Gas Fast Reactor Open fuel cycle Very High Temperature Reactor Open/Closed fuel cycle Super Critical Water Reactor Closed fuel cycle Molten Salt Reactor The recognition of the major potential of fast neutron systems with closed fuel cycle for breeding (fissile re-generation) and waste minimization (minor actinide burning) Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 15 Utilization of Uranium Ore for 1 GWe x Year Open fuel cycle in LWRs 200 tons Unat E 20 tons U 5% 180 tons Udep R 1 t W + PF 0.2 t Pu 18.8 ton Urep Fast neutron reactors need only 1 ton ton U U 238 238 (Udep & Urep) that is converted into plutonium and recycled as fissile fuel (Regeneration Breeding of fissile fuel) Udep generated by a LWR over a 50 year lifetime is worth > 5000 years of the same power output with fast reactors World Nuclear University Summer Institute, Oxford University - July 10, 2013 | PAGE 16 Durability of Uranium Resource 200 t U/GWe.y Conventional Uranium resource ~1 t U/GWe.y ~2000 GWe Source: “A Technology Roadmap for Generation IV Nuclear Energy Systems”, December 2002 Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 17 Boston, 14-18 February 2008 – AAAS Annual Meeting 18 Options for management of domestic SNF Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 18 63 GWe PWR Fleet & Nuclear Fuel Cycle in France Mines Natural Uranium Concentration Conversion Enrichment © CEA Reprocessed Uranium Storage Vitrified HLW Compacted MLW Interim Ultimate storage waste FP & MA Depleted Uranium Plutonium Fabrication of UOx fuel Fabrication Of MOX fuel FMA-VC Used fuel Used fuel reprocessing plant Interim storage Used MOX 58 PWRs ~63 GWe Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 19 Global Actinide Management in LWRs & Fast Reactors Minimizing Waste with Advanced Actinide Recycling Plutonium is the major contributor to the long term radiotoxicity of spent fuel Plutonium has a high energetic potential Plutonium recycling Relative radio toxicity Radiotoxicity after 1000 years MA + FP Pu+ MA + FP Plutonium recycling Plutonium Spent Fuel No reprocesisng Minor actinides (MA) UraniumOre (mine) 300 y P&T of MA 10 000 y 250 000 y Fission Products (FP) FP Time (years) After plutonium, MA have the major impact to the long term radiotoxicity MA transmutation Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 20 Management of Spent National & Exported Nuclear Fuel Burn of Bury? Recycle & Burn in safeguarded facilities of mature NTP member countries or International Fuel Cycle Centres Drastic reduction of HLW in volume, radiotoxicity & decay heat • Additional cost associated with reprocessing and recycle? <10% of generating cost in France • • Risks associated with SNF partitioning and recycle & long term control? Co-management of UPu or TRU Instrumentation to detect diversion of nuclear mat. • Burry in National or Regional local geological repositories • More demanding storage conditions for SNF than for vitrified HLW in terms of volume (x5), decay heat (x10) and radiotoxicity (x100) • Creating potential mines of concentrated TRU materials with decreasing self protection provided by radiation Returning vitrified high level waste to nuclear user countries? The experience of France in SNF reprocessing and recycling contributes to international reflections on the subject and help go beyond just the commercial dimension Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 21 World Experience in Sodium Fast Neutron Reactors United States - EBR-1 1951 - EBR-II (20 MWe) 1963 1994 - FFTF (400 MWth) 1980 2000 - Clinch River Project cancelled 1983 + R&D on fuel cycle + Strategy under development Europe (France, Germany & UK) - Rapsodie (20 MWth) 1967 1983 - DDFR (60 MWth), KNK II (17 MWe) 1978 1991 - Phenix (250 MWth) 1973 2009 - PFR (250 MWe) 1975 1994, SNR300 - Superphenix (1200 MWe) 1986 1998 + Industrial nuclear fuel cycle in France & the UK + R&D on closed nuclear fuel cycle Russian Federation - BOR-60 (60 MWth) - BN350 (90 MWth) 1973 1999 - BN600 (600 MWth) 1980 - BN800 (800 MWth) 2015 + Developing closed nuclear fuel cycle Japan - Joyo (140 MWth) - Monju (280 MWth) 1994 + Developing closed fuel cycle Rep. of Korea - R&D on reactor & closed fuel cycle India - FBTR (40 MWth) 1985 - PFBR (500 MWe) 2015 + Developing closed fuel cycle Rep. of China - CRDF (25 MWe) 2010 + Developing closed fuel cycle GNEP: a strategy to enable expansion of nuclear power in the U.S. and around the world, promote nuclear nonproliferation goals, and help resolve nuclear waste disposal issues Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 22 Comparison of Options for the Nuclear Fuel Cycle Once-Through in LWRs & FNRs vs Full Recycle in FNRs Utilization of Uranium Once-Through Cycle in LWRs Once-Through Cycle in FNRs (TWR) Full Recycle in FNRs 0.5% Sensitive Technologies ~40t Unat /GWe/y > 80% ~1t Unat/dep /GWe/y Possible counter measures Comments • Little sustainable in the long term • Enrichment LEU • Large amount of SNF • SNF storage = Potential mine of TRU • Safeguards • Enrichment LEU • Future of SNF? Mine of TRU? • Safeguards ~200t Unat /GWe/y ~2% Sensitive Issues • Instrumentation • Instrumentation • SNF Processing & Separation technologies • Safeguards • TRU Fuel fab. • On reactor-site SNF processing? • Instrumentation • Grouped mgt of Actinides Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA Sustainable in the long term | PAGE 23 Phased Development of Reactor & Fuel Cycle International / National Gen IV U + Pu + MA ? > 2040 Past experience / Time line Legacy of current LWR fleet Gen II-III ∼ 2025 ?? U FP only U + Pu 1990 U FP + MA Safety standards / Codification Non-proliferation standards + Physical protection, Safeguards… Utilization of fissile resource Ultimate waste form Preferred technology Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 24 Deployment of Fast Neutron Reactors - Summary FNRs with a closed fuel cycle A vision of sustainable nuclear power and an institutional priority for Uraniumpoor nuclear countries: effective utilization of 238U as Pu and minimization of HLW radwaste + Considered for Actinide management in the medium term A vision of TRU burner for HLW minimization in Uranium-rich countries. Deployment limited to mature NPT member countries in their own nuclear generating fleet and also in the international fuel cycle service centers they may host Take benefit from international collaboration to advance alternative types of FNRs to sodium fast reactors: Gas-FNR, Lead-FNR… Country-dependent strategies to transition from LWRs to FNRs with closed fuel cycles Best available technologies & Closed fuel cycle demos to build consensus on advisable options for future nuclear fuel cycles (U-utilisation, Waste, Nonproliferation…) Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 25 Game Changers for Sustainable Nuclear Growth? TWR: A reactor for initiating the deployment of FNRs in a NTP member country without fuel cycle industry? Traveling Wave Reactor Transportable sealed & retrievable SMR with a long lifetime: An option for moderately reliable /stable newcomer nuclear countries? Integral Fast Reactor Colocated Reactor & Recycle Facility Nuclear systems with reactor & recycle facilities recycled: IFR? MSFR?... From fresh fuel to ultimate waste on the same site? Molten Salt Fast Reactor Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 26 Challenges & Issues for a Sustainable Growth of Nuclear Power Summary and Perspectives Nuclear energy is a vital component of the world energy mix Most of the growth anticipated in mature nuclear countries but not all NTP members Pursue the application of international safeguards & security measures Make the commercialization of Gen-III LWRs a success Towards harmonized safety regulations and secured services for nuclear fuel supply & management of used fuels: Retrieval or Local storage? Develop sustainable Gen-IV Fast Neutron Reactors & Fuel Cycle Fast neutron reactors with a closed fuel cycle (UPu + MA?) Durability of nuclear production & Mitigation of long term radwaste burden Deployment limited to NPT members that possess the complete nuclear fuel cycle for use in their own reactor fleet or in hosted International Fuel Cycle Centers Advance R&D and demonstrations on safe and secure SNF recycle technologies Take best benefit from today’s best available technologies Proceed with international demonstrations (GACID in Gen-IV Intal Forum) Spur innovation and look for game changers Stakes in international collaboration (IAEA, Inter-Gov. Agreements, Gen-IV Intal Forum…) To share cost of R&D and large demonstrations (recycling, cogeneration…) To progress towards harmonized international standards (safety, security…) To establish an intergovernmental framework for securing the circulation and use of nuclear materials worldwide through appropriate safeguarding measures Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA Frank Carré – Scientific Director Nuclear Energy Division French Alternative Energies and Atomic Energy Commission Frank Carré graduated from the French Engineering School Ecole Centrale Paris in 1974 and obtained a Master’s Degree in MIT’s Nuclear Science and Engineering Department in 1975. He joined CEA in 1976 and contributed through varied managerial positions to studies on advanced nuclear systems. From 2001 to 2009 he acted as Program Director for Future Nuclear Energy Systems and contributed to shape national R&D programs and international collaborations on fast neutron reactors with advanced fuel cycles and high temperature reactors for the cogeneration of process heat and hydrogen. Since August 2009 he is Scientific Director of CEA's Nuclear Energy Division and holds a Lecturing and Research Chair on “Sustainable Energies” at the Ecole Polytechnique. Since 2012, he is also appointed as a Scientific Counsellor to the High Commissioner for Atomic Energy. Zero-Carbon Energy Economy Workshop – MIT-CANES – May 26-27, 2015 Cambridge (MA) USA | PAGE 28
© Copyright 2024