MISSISSIPPI SOYBEAN PROMOTION BOARD PROJECT NO. 11-2014 (YEAR 1) 2014 Annual Report Title: Soybean Storage Profitability and Marketing Strategies for Mississippi Soybean Growers PI: Brian R. Williams, [email protected] Bryon Parman, [email protected] BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES Soybean markets tend to vary cyclically, as market prices with fall contract expiration months typically are lower than contract months expiring in spring or summer. Mississippi’s cash basis is also typically higher in spring and summer than around harvest time, increasing the premium from marketing beans in spring or summer. The ability to take advantage of higher soybean prices forward contracted for the spring or summer months requires the ability to store beans for intended delivery during said months. One available option for producers is a storage agreement with a local soybean elevator requiring the payment of a monthly storage fee. However, producers opting to use elevators and market their beans far enough in the future may see storage fees erode any potential profits from forward contracting, and the distance from field to elevator along with unloading waiting times can be logistically challenging Another available option for soybean producers to take advantage of market cycles is selfstorage in an on-farm facility. In this case, storage costs are internalized to the operation and producers have the opportunity to build asset equity rather than renting space from elevators. The primary objectives of this project are: 1. Examine the marketing advantages associated with on-farm soybean storage. 2. Estimate the costs associated with storing and drying soybeans in on-farm facilities. 3. Distribute results in the form of peer-reviewed journal articles, extension publications, and extension presentations. REPORT OF PROGRESS Objective 1. Examine the marketing advantages associated with on-farm soybean storage. Local cash price data have been collected for Greeneville and Belzoni. Futures contract price data have also been collected. An analysis of seasonal trends have been completed and several marketing scenarios have been examined. Among the marketing scenarios examined are: Selling directly out of the field at harvest time using cash prices only. WWW.MSSOY.ORG Apr. 2015 1 Selling at harvest using hedging during the growing season to set the price. Storing grain through January, February, April, May, June, or July and selling on the cash market. Storing grain until December, March, or July and marketing by hedging during the growing season. Objective 2. Estimate the costs associated with storing and drying soybeans in on-farm facilities. Data have been collected on the impact of storage facilities on land values. Dr. Parman has met with grain bin manufacturers (Hutchinson Myrath & MFS) and has facilitated their cooperation in estimating construction costs for various grain bin configurations. They have completed storage configuration scenarios including loop, conveyer, and moveable auger systems; storage volume options and scale savings; and multiple drying options including rapid drying systems, dryer bins, and stirring systems. Alternative drying power options, including natural gas vs. electrical powered dryers, are also being evaluated. Expectations are that four volume scenarios will be included, starting at 100,000 bu of storage potential up to 500,000 bu storage potential. Each volume scenario will include a low end configuration (moveable augers), intermediate cost configuration (Loop System), and a high end option (conveyer system). This will essentially create 12 distinct options for size and configuration. Associated with each configuration will be separate drying options such as dryer bins, stirrers, and rapid drying systems, which will be add-on options for any configuration and volume potential. Storage volumes have been selected based upon recommendation from Global Industries sales reps based upon their observations for farmers in Mississippi. Major grain elevators located in the Mississippi Delta have been contacted to gather the costs of storing grain at their facility as well as the dock-in price associated with marketing grain that is not fully dry. Miscellaneous costs not directly associated with storing and drying, including hauling, equipment wear and tear, and time commitment for each storage option, have been collected and analyzed. Objective 3. Distribute results in the form of peer-reviewed journal articles, extension publications. An extension report that looks at the cost of construction and operation of storage facilities is currently being written. A marketing report that looks at profitability from a marketing perspective outlining each of the scenarios described in Objective 1 is also being written. WWW.MSSOY.ORG Apr. 2015 2 Finally, a comprehensive report that includes construction and operating costs, marketing benefits, and other less obvious logistical benefits such as harvest efficiency will be generated. IMPACTS AND BENEFITS TO MISSISSIPPI SOYBEAN PRODUCERS This research can have a significant positive impact on Mississippi’s soybean producers. Constructing an on-farm grain storage system can be an expensive endeavor, with construction costs ranging from $41,118 for a smaller entry-level single tank system to $703,536 for a larger, more advanced storage system with many options and features. Many producers may be hesitant to make such a large investment without understanding the costs and benefits associated with such an expenditure. The results from this projects will explain the costs associated with on-farm grain storage systems as well as the additional marketing opportunities and potential cost savings that can be realized from utilizing such a facility. END PRODUCTS Three extension bulletins are planned as an output of this project. One will outline the construction and operating costs of an on-farm grain storage system. The second will look at the marketing options that accompany an on-farm grain storage system, and the third will be a comprehensive report. Results are expected to be presented at the Southern Agricultural Economics Association annual meeting held in February 2016. Results from this study are also expected to be integrated into an extension program where they will be presented to producers in a face-to-face setting. Results from this study will also be sent directly to the Mississippi Soybean Promotion Board to be featured on their website and disbursed as they see fit. 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