BRITISH BROADCASTING CORPORATION RADIO 4 TRANSCRIPT OF FILE ON 4 – “GUN CONTROL: EUROPE’S FLOODED MARKET” CURRENT AFFAIRS GROUP TRANSMISSION: Tuesday 24th March 2015 th REPEAT: Sunday 29 March 2015 REPORTER: Allan Urry PRODUCER: Gail Champion EDITOR: David Ross PROGRAMME NUMBER: PMR512/15VQ5547 2000 – 2040 1700 - 1740 -1THE ATTACHED TRANSCRIPT WAS TYPED FROM A RECORDING AND NOT COPIED FROM AN ORIGINAL SCRIPT. BECAUSE OF THE RISK OF MISHEARING AND THE DIFFICULTY IN SOME CASES OF IDENTIFYING INDIVIDUAL SPEAKERS, THE BBC CANNOT VOUCH FOR ITS COMPLETE ACCURACY. “FILE ON 4” Transmission: Tuesday 24th March 2015 Repeat: Sunday 29th March 2015 Producer: Gail Champion Reporter: Allan Urry Editor: David Ross ACTUALITY OF GUN BEING LOADED PARKER: This is an assault rifle based on the AK47. This is actually a particularly short-barrelled version of it, very compact. URRY: Tonight we’re on the front line with the authorities in the battle to stop automatic weapons from being supplied to terrorists. PARKER: Firing. ACTUALITY OF GUN BEING FIRED URRY: Assault rifles are the Jihadist weapons of choice. They’ve featured in recent shootings in North Africa, France and Belgium. So what’s known about how extremists get hold of them, and what’s being done to counter that? Can we stop assault weapons from crossing the Channel, to supply Jihadists here looking to mount an attack? SIGNATURE TUNE -2ACTUALITY OF TRAFFIC URRY: Travel guides call it a stately, regal city. The Hague, seat of the Dutch Government, is filled with embassies and mansions, parks and boulevards. And, tucked back from one of those boulevards, File on 4 has come to a building described as the most secure in Europe. ACTUALITY IN EUROPOL HQ – BEEPING NOISE URRY: Now we’ve just come in through all the security checks, had our passports looked at and our bags searched, but even on the inside there are different layers of security. We are going up in the lift, where there are more security measures. ACTUALITY OF LIFT NOISE URRY: So just here to the left of the lift, revolving door, but it looks pretty heavy duty, and there are biometrics here. So the person in front of me has not only got to swipe a card, he has just put his hand up in front of a scanner and then, when it has taken the image of his fingerprint and his hand, only then will the system let him through. ACTUALITY OF BEEPS URRY: I can’t follow because access to this floor is restricted. National law enforcement teams from across the continent and even the FBI are here, coordinating efforts against organised crime and the trafficking of firearms. This is the headquarters of Europol. DONALD: What we’re seeing now is a change in the type of weaponry that’s available and that’s of concern obviously to police chiefs. URRY: Brian Donald is Europol’s Chief of Staff. -3DONALD: In the visits that I have around Europe and we meet senior police officers, one of the concerns that they often express is the number of occasions that police officers turn up to incidents and they’re confronted by criminals who are in possession of basically assault weapons. URRY: Where are these coming from? DONALD: There are various sources of weapons, you know, a large number of weapons which were surplus to requirements or decommissioned at the end of the troubles in the Balkans, you know, there were stories at the time of army bases and armouries being raided, weapons being stolen, been stockpiled. We’re seeing some of them certainly coming onto the market. URRY: Less than two months ago, police in Croatia working with their counterparts in the Netherlands, arrested a 64 year old Dutchman, who is alleged to have had a significant consignment of military weapons in his van. They included heavy machine guns, assault rifles, handguns, grenades, and six rocket launchers. It was reported that at least twelve others were arrested in a string of raids. The weapons were seized in Croatia, but bound for the Netherlands. DONALD: The evidence of that incident shows that, firstly, the weapons are available. Had they got through the border at Croatia then, you know, largely unchecked, they would have been able to travel across Europe. Fortunately, very good intelligence work by the police organisations involved allowed the interception to be made safely, the weapons recovered and the apprehensions made, and that’s what we are about. URRY: Those weapons that were recovered, were they destined for terrorists? DONALD: It’s difficult to say. I think the concern that we have is that, that type of weapon being available on the streets makes them accessible to criminal and terrorist groups. You don’t have to be particularly sophisticated or particularly far travelled to source that type of weapon. So the fact is that these weapons are available. In the current situation that we have today, the idea of home-grown terrorists going out into their own -4DONALD cont: community and being able to source firearms, I think that’s a particular concern. URRY: The big worry is how law enforcement and security services will cope if terrorists go on a shooting spree in a city. That’s already happened, most recently in Tunisia, also in Paris, and before that Mumbai. Raffaello Pantucci is Director of International Security Studies at the Royal United Services Institute. PANTUCCI: In the wake of the Mumbai attacks of 2008, I think there was a general realisation that that sort of an attack, where individuals basically armed with submachine guns just kind of takes on a city in some ways and just choose a few specific targets to go around on a spree shooting on. Is a very effective way of getting your message across and is a very effective sort of way of broadcasting, attracting attention, and that is ultimately what these groups are trying to do. You know, these are groups that are about political violence and political violence by getting a message out there – well, one effective way of doing that is basically going on a spree, shooting through some public place. And so guns and automatic guns in particular, are a particularly attractive sort of tool in this regard. URRY: Because of that, in some European countries there are now unprecedented levels of security. ACTUALITY IN BRUSSELS URRY: Here in Brussels you can almost feel the tension. As we’ve been walking around the city we’ve been seeing soldiers on guard or patrol duties, military rifles in their hands and armoured vehicles parked strategically at road junctions, in the city centre. And as I approached the main European Parliament building earlier, I saw it ringed by more soldiers with weapons at the ready. ACTUALITY OF GUNSHOT -5EXTRACT FROM NEWS REPORT REPORTER: Antiterrorist police moved in at the heart of the evening rush hour. And quickly explosions and gunfire echoed across the former industrial town. URRY: Belgium is on high alert because it narrowly avoided another terrorist atrocity. At Verviers, south of Brussels, not too far from the eastern border with Germany, the authorities foiled what’s been described as a Charlie Hebdo style plot by a jihadist cell, just a week after the Paris killings. It too ended in a dramatic shootout. EXTRACT FROM NEWS REPORT REPORTER: Inside the building a police officer appeared to open fire on the suspected jihadists, who had used assault rifles in a prolonged gun battle. URRY: It’s understood police had been keeping suspects under surveillance for weeks, and made their move just hours before they believed the terrorists were to carry out a coordinated attack. Two terrorists were killed. A third man was seriously wounded and was taken into police custody. A prosecutor said they’d recently returned from Syria. It’s thought the plot was to attack a police station. File on 4 understands that part of the plan was to behead a police officer in the street. DUQUET: People were very much shocked and had the feeling that a domino would start falling down and we would see all these attacks coming. When we walk through the streets of Brussels right now, there is military personnel all across, people are really afraid. URRY: Nils Duquet is a researcher with the Flemish Peace Institute in Brussels. He investigates trafficking and the movement of small arms. Is the Belgian capital a focal point for gun running? -6DUQUET: It is one of many hubs in Europe. Wherever you find organised crime, you will be able to find firearms. In Belgium, we are a country with some crime. We are also a very small country, so it is easy to get in and out, which is easier for people who are trafficking stuff. And we are also a country with a long tradition in firearms production, a long history of legal trade and legal possession. So a lot of people have firearms, which means that some of these weapons can end up in the wrong hands. URRY: Do you know how many illegal firearms there are in Belgium? DUQUET: Nobody does. Tens of thousands, but that is all we know. One of the problems that we encounter with our research, is that there is no good registration of illegally held firearms. When the police find some firearms, the registration is often not well done or not done at all. Which means that there is a lack of good data, in Belgium but also in other European countries. URRY: Brussels has been linked with the supply of assault weapons to the three gunmen who carried out the shootings in Paris. ACTUALITY AT STATION VRANCKX: We are near the Brussels South station, Gare du Midi, where there is the last stop on the Eurostar, it’s where the British get in. It would not be the place where you expect a dirty deal to take place between a potential terrorist and a dealer. URRY: An Vranckx is a member of an expert group advising the European Commission on the illicit trafficking of firearms. She’s been following the emerging trail of how the French terrorists armed themselves. One, Amedy Coulibaly is thought to have got a train to Gare du Midi, for an arranged meeting with a suspected underworld Belgian arms dealer, somewhere in the streets nearby. The only reason that’s -7URRY cont: become known is because the alleged dealer handed himself in to police, out of fear of recriminations, when it emerged that Coulibaly was a radical Islamist. So how did these weapons end up being traded here? Much of that is still under investigation by the Belgian authorities. But according to An Vranckx, they were bought legally in another part of Europe. VRANCKX: The precise guns that Coulibaly managed to get his hands on, probably were purchased in the Slovakian circuit. And that Slovakian circuit is a place where you can buy guns that have been deactivated, like machine guns. The different countries in the European Union have their own methods to deactivate a gun like that, and they are not all the same and they are not all sufficiently robust. What we know, through the Coulibaly case, is that in Slovakia the way to deactivate a gun is rather easy to reconvert later on, so that you can buy in a Slovakian shop a beautiful machine gun as a stage prop. URRY: So that is a commercial market for it, but the criminals have worked out they can reactivate it? VRANCKX: Yeah, because you can perhaps bring the gun to someone who is able to reconvert it into a functioning gun, so if a gun, like that reconverted can circulate freely within the European Common Market, anyone can buy it. Whether in Belgium or Malta, it’s all the same common market and it’s a gun that shouldn’t be there. URRY: Although it’s a common market, different countries have different standards of weapons deactivation and Slovakia is not among the most rigorous. Setting a better, universal standard for member states is on the EU political agenda, but it hasn’t happened yet. And even if they close that door, another one has already opened. Reading Europol’s latest threat assessment, File on 4 spotted just one sentence which showed military guns are arriving from the new conflict zones which ring the European states. READER IN STUDIO: Some firearms originating from the conflict in Syria, Libya and Mali are already available on the European black market and these countries may emerge as major sources of illegal firearms trafficked to the EU. URRY: Chief of Staff Brian Donald gave us more details. -8DONALD: I am aware of one specific case in which colleagues in the south of Spain last year intercepted a load of cannabis coming from North Africa, and included in that load were assault weapons, which were also being trafficked to Spain. If that’s a first indication of a supply route from the conflict zones of North Africa at the moment, particularly Libya to Europe, then it doesn’t come as a surprise, but it’s no less concerning. URRY: It is worrying that that might be the tip of some sort of iceberg, because after the fall of Gaddafi there were a lot of weapons left lying around unsecured. DONALD: But we are aware of that, we are alert to that, and we are specifically looking to see if we can develop intelligence leads, which will allow us to address that problem. URRY: So how many firearms are actually available on the black market? Research for the European Commission published eight months ago suggests there aren’t any credible estimates about that. It says figures range wildly from 81,000 to 67 million. However, the report concludes, arms trafficking takes place on a considerable scale. And for Nils Duquet at the Flemish Peace Institute, that’s not the only problem. Is law enforcement able to effectively track weapons across Europe then? DUQUET: Well, it is difficult. The problem is that not enough information is in databases right now. Not enough firearms are being ballistically tested. Even if you have a crime scene, you don’t always see that much ballistic investigation into what happened, because it takes money, it’s a costly endeavour. So people have to prioritise, which means we don’t have all the information on all the shooting incidents, we don’t have all the information, all the weapons that were being captured by the police. A lot of member states have a problem with their own national registration of firearms. If you have bad data at a national level, you will have bad data as well if you start sharing that. Which creates a problem, because the intelligence that we have on the illegal firearms market is always based on specific cases, but we don’t have good quality data to actually make a good analysis, to actually be able to tell you how many illegal firearms we have. -9URRY: Then the authorities are operating in the dark in Europe if that’s the case, aren’t they? DUQUET: Of course, yes. That is one of the big problems and I think it is important that you have a very good picture of what is going on in order to develop good policy. URRY: Last year, the EU finally decided firearms trafficking was to become a political priority. So Europol set up an initiative to try to tackle it. The agency’s had to grapple with the various deficiencies we’ve just heard about from Nils Duquet, and only 13 of the 28 member states are actively participating. But Chief of Staff Brian Donald argues there has been some progress. DONALD: We’ve had over 1,500 exchanges of intelligence between member states law enforcement agencies with and through Europol in terms of firearms, and that’s what we’re about. At Europol we support our law enforcement officers across Europe. URRY: So how much of a picture does Europol now have then about the black market for firearms in Europe? People haven’t been putting in the right information or some states don’t bother, different police forces have different approaches. DONALD: We have a better picture than we had fourteen months ago. We don’t have a handle on the whole issue. We’re never going to get to a situation where we know everything we would want to know. I think within four years, I would say, that we would hope to be much further down the road in terms of having an understanding of it. And also being able to develop operational policies, operational strategies to intervene earlier, to secure more of these weapons while they’re in transit, to identify the trafficking routes, so we need to build a better intelligence picture. That takes time, but I think we’re making real progress in that respect. URRY: For Raffaello Pantucci, at the London-based think tank, the Royal United Services Institute, Europol’s doing its best. But he argues the need for broader political support within the Union. - 10 PANTUCCI: I think Europol is in a difficult position in many ways, because Europol’s sort of ability to map and to track things is really only as good as the information that the various member states will give to it. It would benefit from greater political leadership within the union. I think that you are dealing with a continent where there is different gun laws in different places, and so even if the sort of illicit gun flows are cracked down on, there is the additional problem of the fact that in some countries access to guns is legal and one can legally do it, and so if terrorist networks or terrorist individuals are able to sort of realise these sorts of gaps, they might try to use it as a way of accessing weapons in one country perfectly legally that they then use for terrorist motives. URRY: We wanted to interview the European Commissioner, whose brief includes terrorism and security, but he declined. A spokesperson said the Commission accepts the need for more attention on firearms, including heavy weapons, and that further changes to European laws and regulations are under consideration. An announcement is expected in July. While much of the EU is struggling to get a handle on the problem, there is one country that leads the way in the field of tracking illegal firearms use and that’s Britain. ACTUALITY AT SHOOTING RANGE PARKER: This is the 15 metre indoor range. This is where we test fire all the weapons. This is an assault rifle, based on the AK47. This is actually a particularly short-barrelled version of it, very compact. Firing. URRY: Martin Parker is lead scientist at NABIS, the UK’s National Ballistics Intelligence Service. Test firing weapons is part of his job. What makes NABIS effective is the ability to deliver what’s called, fast time intelligence. PARKER: Whenever there’s a shooting, we take ballistic material recovered from that shooting scene, or whenever a firearm is recovered, we test fire that weapon and then we load that ballistic material onto the system. To be able to say within 24 to 48 hours whether the gun had been used before and where it had been used before. And we’ve achieved that, but I think where it’s moved on from there is actually establishing links - 11 PARKER cont: where you can clearly start to see where guns are being smuggled in, where there are emerging trends. URRY: Could this be part of the solution to the rest of Europe’s difficulties in tracking the movements of illicit firearms? Yes, it could but it isn’t. PARKER: Well this is the instrument room, so this is where we have the comparison microscopes and the actual IBIS system. URRY: And that is what? A database? PARKER: Yes, the IBIS system - Integrated Ballistics Identification System. URRY: And that’s central to the work done by NABIS. IBIS integrates well enough around the UK, but in order to talk to the rest of the continent, other member states need to have the same system. And, according to Martin Parker, they don’t. PARKER: We can’t link in to France, we can’t link in to Germany and some other countries which we’d very much like to link into. The panacea would be to have every country, all 28 member states, actually with the same system and able to exchange that information across them. URRY: And of the 28 countries, do you know how many? PARKER: There are nine which actually have the system and link into it at the moment. URRY: So two-thirds don’t. PARKER: Yes. URRY: If you don’t have systems like this, where you get instant access to data, what kind of difficulties can that cause? - 12 PARKER: Then you’re actually looking at having to physically transfer the ballistic material or take casts of it and that can take some time. So, for example, on the shooting in the Alps, it was six months before we actually got the cartridge cases to check here in the UK. Wouldn’t it be good if all 28 member states did have something similar to NABIS and the same intelligence picture that we have, and I think there’s no doubt everyone would then benefit from that. URRY: You’d like to be able to track weapons all across Europe using the same databases? PARKER: Absolutely – yes. URRY: With Europe unable to get all member states to exchange meaningful intelligence, and less than half actively involved in Europol’s project to seize weapons, there’s a long way to go. So is Britain any better placed to combat the terror threat from firearms? There are certainly tough gun laws, enforcement and sentencing. There are tight restrictions on the legal use of firearms. Not many are manufactured here either. And all that has kept the availability of black market guns low, according to Deputy Chief Constable Dave Thompson, who speaks for the chief officers association, ACPO. THOMPSON: Compared to most comparable countries, the UK has a very low level of gun crime. Firearms are not discharged as often. But of course there are some challenges and threats. Most of our gun crime is concentrated around the major cities, but obviously as people will probably be aware, generally speaking guns aren’t as available in this country, there are very tight rules around it. So you know, while we do see guns used in crime, actually criminals can find that quite hard to get access to them. URRY: When you do find firearms, what sort of weapons are they? THOMPSON: So there’s a real spread of weapons that we see in the UK. So we do see some what we call original lethal purpose design weapons. We do see shotguns. But also we see a sort of perhaps a wider collection of weapons that indicate how hard it is to get hold of guns, so we are seeing an increase in antique weapons, and we - 13 THOMPSON cont: sometimes see what we call sort of more air weapon style ones converted to actually be lethal firearms. URRY: From time to time they’re in such short supply that guns have been known to be passed around between criminals in different parts of the country, sometimes via underworld armourers. But if gangs can use that system, so can terrorists. Raffaello Pantucci, from the think tank RUSI, says some British Islamist radicals also associate with, or are part of, criminal gangs and this would give them better access to the limited number of serious firearms held by drug lords and others. PANTUCCI: We see a lot of individuals with a criminal past or with sort of involvement in petty criminal or gang activity showing up in the same kinds of communities that are also people that are ending up fighting in Syria and Iraq, or before that who were going out to Afghanistan, Pakistan or Somalia. URRY: And how much is that troubling British security services? PANTUCCI: I think it is a very worrying sort of overlap between those two, because of course criminal networks do have access to weaponry potentially or do have access to the sorts of tools which would make terrorist activity easier. So I think it is certainly something that is of great concern and when we consider the sort of crossover between those two communities, we can see why security services are working very hard to counter a terrorist threat at the moment. URRY: Police remain on high alert for guns. They need to stop automatic weapons falling into the hands of extremists. But that’s a considerable challenge. ACTUALITY AT NABIS PARKER: Okay, this is our reference collection, so it’s a large collection of weapons that we use, as the name suggests, for reference purposes. - 14 URRY: The National Ballistics Intelligence Service keeps its own stockpile of weapons in a special secure storeroom. How many guns have you got in here? PARKER: You’re talking around about two thousand weapons housed here. URRY: Lead Scientist Martin Parker showed me the collection. These are mostly reference items; they haven’t been used in crimes. So, on one wall, all neatly displayed and racked up, a series of handguns, some more modern looking than others, and right, right behind me what I recognise from magazines in my boyhood as a Bren gun of some kind. PARKER: It is indeed a Bren gun and behind it an MG42. URRY: And these right in front of us here, these more the sort of assault rifle type things, aren’t they? So what have you got here? PARKER: AK47s, but you’ve also got some M16 variants, FN FALS, Steyrs, things like that. URRY: Some submachine guns have been recovered and items like that, haven’t they? PARKER: We have certainly seen submachine guns used and unfortunately continue to see submachine guns used, but it is rare. URRY: These smaller automatics have been attracting attention because one, called a Scorpion, was part of the arsenal recovered from the Paris gunmen. PARKER: It is a submachine gun, but it’s very, very compact. It’s only slightly bigger than a sort of self-loading handgun. It was designed for sort of use by tank crews and things like that because it was so compact. It’s a fully automatic weapon or weapon that’s capable of full auto fire, but it uses pistol calibre ammunition. Small calibre even for a pistol. - 15 URRY: On the scale of what the UK sees, I would imagine that is at the more serious end, isn’t it? PARKER: Very much so, yes. URRY: So, it’s particularly troubling that Scorpions have recently been smuggled into the UK from Germany, via a Royal Mail parcel service. Border security failed to detect them. What’s more, a violent offender was able to run the operation while he was locked up. He was already serving a long prison sentence at Wandsworth Jail and Scorpions were his stock in trade. CLARENCE-SMITH: The primary officer in the case said these were the most dangerous weapons she had ever seen reach the hands of UK criminals. URRY: Louisa Clarence-Smith is a local newspaper reporter for the Wimbledon Guardian. She followed the trail of one Scorpion recovered by police during a raid in her patch, a trail that eventually led to a trial at the Old Bailey of Alexander Mullings, a prolific offender doing thirteen years for theft, robbery and possession of drugs. CLARENCE-SMITH: Mullings was in prison, using a stashed mobile phone in his prison cell. Just from that mobile phone, that handset, he was able to coordinate with a supplier who was sending these machine guns from Germany to the UK via ParcelForce. So Mullings is sitting there with his cell phone. He’d be getting texts when the guns were sent from Cologne. URRY: Because the couriers wouldn’t know what was in the packages, would they? CLARENCE-SMITH: No, Mullings would also get a text when the package arrived. At that point, he’d organised for them to be sent to a number of addresses, normally addresses in North London in the Finsbury Park area. So it appeared that he was importing these guns, matching up a supplier with a buyer and using his girlfriend to deliver the packages and then obviously collecting the money. - 16 URRY: Selling them directly into the black marketplace really; anyone can then go and purchase that, because it goes through a chain of supply. CLARENCE-SMITH: Yes, these guns could be going to anyone. URRY: Last month Mullings was sentenced to life imprisonment. Two accomplices were also jailed. Officers recovered three Scorpions, but five more packages are known to have got through the parcel system. The Metropolitan Police wouldn’t be interviewed for this programme. They told us they won’t speculate on the contents of the remaining packages. They’ve confirmed that they recovered a number of other firearms linked to this case and that investigations are continuing. But that still doesn’t rule out the possibility of five more submachine guns on the loose. The postal system is vulnerable, according to Dave Thompson, the West Midlands Deputy Chief Constable, who speaks for ACPO. THOMPSON: Our concern has to be more original lethal purpose weapons with a quantity of ammunition is able to get into the UK. Criminal groups may be inclined to use it or terrorism groups may get access to it. If you look at the volume of parcels that come into the country, that is actually a big challenge, because if we think before internet shopping, before we thought about parcel services, people would probably have to physically bring the weapons in through a port, which is very high risk. Now actually, probably through purchase online, through an internet delivery and pickup arrangement, actually the criminal can potentially mask their identity and reduce the threat of them being personally detected, and I think that’s why Government has prioritised it, and indeed we’re trying to prioritise that in Europe. URRY: There are some serious weapons coming in through the post, aren’t there? People have successfully done that, including a man who has run an operation from his prison cell. He’s got Scorpion submachine guns in. So stuff is getting through, despite all the vigilance. - 17 THOMPSON: Yes, so you know, weapons will get through; I think criminals are very inventive around that. But of course our approach around weapons doesn’t just stop at, you know, weapons coming in, so we run a lot of operations both through the National Crime Agency, but through police forces that are very much targeting any intelligence we get about firearms, are very much targeting where they’re used as well. Of course, you know, in terms of interception of parcels, we would like to see a really vociferous and continuous approach to that and I think we get some very good work off our Border Force around that. But, you know, the volumes and challenge of that is getting harder and harder and I think we are going to have to look very hard not necessarily at investment in people, but maybe in better technology to enable us to actually scan and detect, rather than simply relying on humans rummaging to try and find the commodity. URRY: There are scans, but not of every parcel. The courier, ParcelForce, told us they work closely with police and other authorities, but wouldn’t give any further details about their security measures. It’s Border Force that conducts Customs checks on parcels. They’re part of the Home Office, who told File on 4: READER IN STUDIO: This Government has done more to disrupt organised crime and protect the security of the border than any other before it. We split Border Force from the UK Border Agency in 2012 and re-established security as the priority. We also created the National Crime Agency, which works closely with Border Force, the police and other agencies to target the criminal groups behind smuggling and seize thousands of firearms every year. URRY: In the Government’s National Security Strategy and the Strategic Defence and Security Review, published in December last year, gun running using parcel delivery was identified as a concern, along with the internet, air freight, container traffic and ferries. The review described some aspects of border security as problematic, which doesn’t surprise Keith Vaz, the Labour MP who’s chairman of the Home Affairs Select Committee. - 18 VAZ: The Committee has, in the last five years, when questioning the Head of the Border Force and other senior officials, expressed our concern that the reduction in the number of staff at the border means that illegal weapons are entering the country, and one of the problems is, if you pack a parcel carefully enough, no one is going to be bothered to open it up to see what’s inside, and as a result of which we are, I’m sure having illegal weapons coming into this country through the parcel service and nobody really knows about it because they don’t check. URRY: Have you been able to quantify the shortfall, where the gap is in the checks? What is the specific problem here? VAZ: Well you can’t really quantify it, because you don’t know the sheer volume of these illegal weapons coming into the country through that route, and that’s why what’s got to happen is, I think, Parliament has got to look at this. Once the election is over and the Committee is reformed, I would want to see a successor Committee looking at this particular issue. And once you have the illegal supply of these weapons, what that means is you have to then equip the police to deal with them. It is a spiral, it is literally an arms race, where the police will need to keep up with the volume of weapons that are coming in, and at the end of the day you will have these violent situations occurring even more frequently in our towns and cities in Britain. That is why we’ve got to step on this and we’ve got to step on it in a very hard way. URRY: All this comes at a time when there are fewer armed police to respond to any terrorist shootings. Numbers are down from 5,700 in 2009, to 4,900 now. But the threat has increased. It’s a point I put to ACPO’s firearms lead, Dave Thompson. THOMPSON: We do have the right level of resourcing at the moment to protect the public and to make sure we can continue to deliver our service effectively. Armed officers are available 24 hours a day for forces; there is very good interoperability between forces where we need to surge numbers. Obviously more armed officers are concentrated in the areas where there is high levels of gun crime, usually in the big cities, but we have quite good sort of plans to escalate that. And we keep under review against the - 19 THOMPSON cont: threat picture the volume and numbers of officers we’ll have on duty at any one time, and that is a constant piece of looking at how many people we’ve got against our intelligence picture. URRY: The national percentage reduction is 13%, isn’t it, which seems quite a lot. THOMPSON: Yeah, and I think if you look at what forces are reducing by, then equally forces are reducing by at least those sorts of figures in some areas. But we do have sort of national levels, I think here in the West Midlands we do have a sort of standard and level of firearms resources we supply just for the West Midlands, but also as part of a national undertaking that we take to support rest of policing, and I think those areas we’ve been able to protect and guard quite zealously. URRY: It sounds quite reassuring, but for Keith Vaz, Chairman of the Home Affairs Select Committee, reductions in police budgets have taken their toll. VAZ: The number of armed police officers in England and Wales has reduced over the last five years, and that is a very serious issue, because once you look at those emergency situations, like the Charlie Hebdo attack, you suddenly needed to involve so many police officers who are armed, and that is why it is extremely important that we take this area very seriously indeed. URRY: I think the police service’s view on this is that whilst numbers in overall terms may have been reduced, they are now more strategic in their approach to the deployment of armed officers and the impression they’ve given us anyway is that there is certainly plenty of those around in the big metropolitan areas where a threat is more likely. VAZ: Frankly, if you ask police officers about the effects of the cuts in recent years on their service, they are extremely diplomatic. They can’t send out a message to say these areas are not being policed. But it is just a matter of fact that if you have fewer officers, even if they are strategically deployed in a more effective way then you are going to have problems. We do know that in France it took almost 88,000 mostly armed - 20 VAZ cont: police to coordinate the manhunt there, and that is why our police service needs to be properly prepared. And at the moment in England and Wales, we have fewer than 5,000. We need them, but we need them as a last resort. URRY: We wanted to ask a Government minister about whether police cuts, fewer border checks, and other issues we’ve raised make the UK more vulnerable to attack. But no-one was available to be interviewed during the making of this programme. In a statement the Home Office told us: READER IN STUDIO: The events in Paris and Copenhagen provide a stark reminder of the devastating effects of this kind of attack. Since 2010, having learned lessons from the 2008 Mumbai attacks; we have improved our police firearms capability and the speed of our military response. Specialist joint police, ambulance and fire teams are now in place in key areas across England, with the equivalents in Scotland and Wales, and they are trained and equipped to manage casualties in the event of this kind of an attack. URRY: Britain is proud of its gun control regime, but the increasing use of assault rifles and other heavy weapons in Europe, new supply routes direct from the battlefields of North Africa, and the lack of insight into arms trafficking around the continent is increasing our own risk here. It’s clear we won’t be able to check every parcel, every car on every ferry, every mile of coastline for firearms smuggling. For Raffaello Pantucci, Director of International Security Studies at RUSI, there may be worse to come. For him, the question is how long can Britain counter the terrorist threat, as that continues to build? PANTUCCUI: You are dealing with a very substantial and engorged threat at the moment. You know, I don’t know that we have really seen the full threat picture from Syria and Iraq completely mature. I think if we look back at the past year and a half, in terms of plots in the United Kingdom and the plots in Europe, we’re seeing the tempo of threats being disrupted definitely increasing, and when we consider the sort of volumes of radicalised people that we’re seeing and the groups abroad that are keen to launch attacks and the sort of crossover between those two communities, we can see why security services are working very hard to counter a terrorist threat at the moment. Having said all of that, we’ve had more disruptions than we’ve had sort of effective attacks. Which to me speaks to a - 21 PANTUCCUI cont: security system that is able to manage this problem as it stands. The question becomes really how long do they have to manage it at a very high tempo for? SIGNATURE TUNE
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