Managing Portfolio Risk while Reducing Climate Risk Presentation by: Wayne Wachell MBA CFA, CEO & Chief Investment Officer, Genus Capital Management Inc. June 2015 RIA Banff Conference Leading the Way Investors with sustainability values don’t want their capital contributing to climate change Genus collaborated with leading environmentalists to develop Genus Fossil Free Solutions Divest from primary fossil fuel industries – extracting, processing, transporting – and engage the rest 2 Canada’s Low-Carbon Leader Genus Fossil Free Solutions are ranked in “the subcategory of the most robust of all currently-existing fossil fuel free portfolios”*… *“The Climate has Changed” – 2014 RIA Report 3 Fossil Free Does Not Hamper Investment Returns or Increase Risk Long Run Performance Global U.S. Canada Fossil Free Index Fossil Free Index Fossil Free Index Returns 6.84% 6.53% 10.68% 10.63% 9.23% 8.38% Standard Deviation 16.65% 16.55% 14.14% 14.81% 21.15% 21.14% 1996 - 2014 Returns: Annualized Standard Deviation: Annualized 1988 - 2014 1999 - 2014 Source: Aperio Group, LLC Building a Carbon-Free Equity Portfolio 2014 4 Extracting Fossil Fuels & Poor ESG From Investment Portfolios of the Canadian stock market As at November 28, 2014 5 Global Equity Frameworks Simplistic regional approach with three separate buckets Makes it difficult to fill the International energy void in Canada 6 Global Equity Frameworks Single bucket of best-of-best stocks: Genus Total Equity Greater exposure to world class companies, globally optimized, 40% Canada 30% U.S. better risk management, and… 30% International [Benchmark] Makes fossil free work 40/30/30 7 Total Equity Solves the Problem Energy Sector Weights as Percentage of Index 30 Canada S&P/TSX 25 20 40/30/30 Benchmark* 15 10 5 MSCI World Index 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 *Benchmark: 40% S&P/TSX, 30% S&P 500, 30% MSCI EAFE [Europe, Australia, Far East] Source: Genus/Bloomberg/MSCI – As at December 31, 2014 8 Filling the Fossil Fuel Void Modern Risk Model Technology Fills the Fossil Fuel Hole by Utilizing Sector Correlations 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 Materials Industrials Utilities Financials Consumer Discretionary Consumer Staples Information Technology Health Care Telecom MSCI World Index – Sector Correlations with Energy Sector Source: Genus/MSCI – For the Period 1990-2014 9 Managing Risk in Fossil Free Portfolios Strategy Comparison Vs. Benchmark Genus CanGlobe With Fossil Fuels Genus Fossil Free CanGlobe Difference ± Predicted Beta .97 .95 -.02 Active Risk 2.9% 3.5% +0.6% Active Sector Exposure Vs. Benchmark Financials Consumer Discretionary Telecom Services Information Technology Health Care Materials Industrials Consumer Staples Utilities Energy -0.8% +2.0% -1.4% +2.2% +2.0% -1.0% +0.7% -0.9% -0.1% -3.1% *Benchmark: 40% S&P/TSX, 30% S&P 500, 30% MSCI EAFE +3.9% +4.5% +0.3% +3.5% +2.6% -0.5% +0.9% -1.4% -2.8% -12.3% 40/30/30 Benchmark Tracking Error Difference ± +4.7% +2.5% +1.7% +1.3% +0.6% +0.5% +0.2% -0.5% -2.7% -9.2% Filling the Fossil Fuel void As at March 31, 2015 Source: Genus 10 The Energy Replacements INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY FINANCIALS CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY TELECOM SERVICES 11 Genus Fossil Free CanGlobe Strategy Research: Cumulative Returns, February 1, 2004 – January 31, 2015 160% Genus Fossil Free CanGlobe Equity 150% Benchmark 15.9% 40% S&P/TSX, 30%S&P 500, 30%EAFE 140% 130% 120% 7.8% 110% 100% 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Source: Genus 12 Genus Fossil Free Live Performance Cumulative Returns May 1, 2013 to May 25, 2015 in U.S. Dollars 30% Genus Fossil Free CanGlobe Equity 25.9% 25% Benchmark 19.3% 20% 15% 10% 5% 0% -5% -10% 2013 2014 2015 Benchmark: May 1, 2013 – March 31, 201540% S&P/TSX, 30%S&P 500, 30%EAFE April 1, 2015 35% S&P/TSX, 65% MSCI World Source: Genus 13 13 Key Takeaways 1 Fossil Free investing can be done. 2 The only way to do it right in Canada is through Total Equity… 3 …using modern portfolio risk management technology. 4 Genus has Canada’s most robust Fossil Free solutions. 5 It is possible to align your portfolio with your values and beat your benchmark. 14 Disclosure This document was prepared for general information purposes only and should not be considered a substitute for specific professional advice. In particular, its contents are not Intended to be construed as the provision of investment, legal, accounting, tax or other professional advice or recommendations of any kind, or to form the basis of any decision to do or to refrain from doing anything. As such, this document should not be relied upon for investment or other financial decisions and no such decisions should be taken on the basis of its contents without seeking specific advice. This document is based on information available to Genus Capital Management Inc., (“Genus”) at the date of issue, and takes no account of subsequent developments after that date. In addition, past performance is not indicative of future results. In producing this document, Genus has relied upon the accuracy and completeness of certain data and information obtained from third parties. The information contained in the Strategy Research sections of this document are for educational and illustrative purposes only. The performance data indicated has been generated through a back-tested analysis and represents only hypothetical results. These illustrations have been created in the present, using quantitative methods or formulas in an attempt to apply the strategies presented to historical data over a period of time. The information outlined does not in any way represent any actual historical results or track record achieved through any investment product, fund or client account. The performance results shown also have important inherent limitations as to their relevance and use. For example, these illustrations ignore significant real world factors such as the actual timing of trades, security buy and sell prices, transaction costs, taxes, other conflicting investment research, and firm trading restrictions. Further, the strategies examined in these illustrations often assume monies would be fully invested in securities, whereas in real world situations, investors may hold higher levels of cash for liquidity. Also, this data has been created with the benefit of hindsight and without the challenges of having to make investment decisions in real-time and under real market conditions. Any and all of these factors mean that no representation is being made that an investor trying to follow this investment approach in the past would have achieved performance similar to that shown, or would in the future achieve performance similar to that shown. The accuracy of the data contained in this illustration is not guaranteed and may not be updated in the future. The contents of this document may not be reproduced or distributed to any other party, whether in whole or in part, without Genus Capital Management’s prior written permission, except as may be required by law. In the absence of its express written permission to the contrary, Genus and its affiliates and their respective directors, officers and employees accept no responsibility and will not be liable for any consequences howsoever arising from any use of or reliance on the contents of this document including any opinions expressed herein. It should also be noted that past performance is no guarantee of future results. Inherent in any investment is the potential for loss. 15 Genus Capital Management Inc., 6th Floor – 900 West Hastings Street, Vancouver, BC, Canada, V6C 1E5 T 604 605 4631 E [email protected] www.genuscap.com
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