Vertical distribution of Plasmodiophora brassicae resting spores in soil and the effect of weather conditions on clubroot development by Travis J. Cranmer A Thesis presented to The University of Guelph In partial fulfilment of requirements for the degree of Master of Science in Plant Agriculture Guelph, Ontario, Canada © Travis J. Cranmer, 2015 ABSTRACT VERTICAL DISTRIBUTION OF PLASMODIOPHORA BRASSICAE RESTING SPORES IN SOIL AND THE EFFECT OF WEATHER CONDITIONS ON CLUBROOT DEVELOPMENT Travis John Cranmer University of Guelph 2015 Advisors: Dr. Mary Ruth McDonald Dr. Bruce D. Gossen Canola (Brassica napus L.) is a high-value agricultural commodity in Canada. Plasmodiophora brassicae Woronin, the causative agent of clubroot, can cause substantial decreases in yield of susceptible crucifer species. To help understand and possibly model the epidemiology of disease, the influence of weather on development of clubroot was examined. Soil moisture and air temperature were found to be important variables affecting disease development. The etiology of disease is also influenced by the presence of resting spores in infested soils. A qPCR method was developed and assessed to quantify the prevalence and vertical distribution of these resting spores in the soil profile. Management techniques targeting resting spores should be applied to depths of the deepest brassica roots for complete disease suppression since resting spores were found in levels high enough to cause severe disease at the deepest sampling depth of 53 cm. iii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS I would like to take this opportunity to extend my gratitude and appreciation to the individuals and groups that have allowed me to further my education and the completion of this degree at the University of Guelph. Firstly, my sincere appreciation to my co-advisors Dr. Mary Ruth McDonald and Dr. Bruce Gossen for providing me with this opportunity, continuous guidance, advice and encouragement. Your encouragement has allowed me to develop my analytical and writing skills, for which I will always be grateful. I would also like to extend my thanks to the final member of my committee, Dr. Greg Boland. Your teaching inspired me to study in the field of plant pathology, ultimately changing my perspective of the plants around me and the challenges they face. The support of several colleagues was critical for the completion of this thesis research. I owe a great deal of gratitude to Dr. Abhinandan Deora for his guidance in the lab, qPCR support as well as for his encouragement and advice. In the lab I am thankful for the assistance from Dr. Fadi Al-Daoud and Chris Granger for their attentive guidance with my molecular work. I am also thankful to Dr. Michael Tesfaendrias, Dennis Van Dyk and Brian Collins for their knowledge of statistical analysis as well as their technical support with weather stations. The advice, plot set-up and mechanical help obtained from Laura Riches, Kevin Vanderkooi, Misko Mitrovic and Shawn Janse was greatly appreciated and made trips to the Muck Crops Research Station enjoyable. Numerous thanks to the summer crew in 2013 and 2014 at the Muck Crops Research Station for their field assistance whether it was weeding or conducting DSI ratings. Furthermore, much appreciation to Kate Delfosse who helped with DNA extractions as well as preparing and assessing controlled environment trials. iv I would like to thank Thomas Gludovacz, Dr. Sean Westerveld and Kalpana Adhikari for their advice as well as their field data from previous seeding date trials. I am very grateful for the advice and field assistance from Mike Celetti. The samples obtained with help from Dustin Burke, Don Almas, Fred Nyland, Jeremy Schotsman and Jill Dalton were integral to this thesis and are greatly appreciated. I am grateful to Agriculture and Agri-Food Canada and the University of Guelph, Department of Plant Agriculture for providing financial support and working behind the scenes allowing for this work to be completed. I am extremely appreciative to Angela Tiessen for her daily support throughout this program and her assistance editing this thesis. I would also like to recognize my friends who have been there to offer recommendations and solutions to obstacles over the last two years. Finally, I will always be thankful to my parents and family for encouraging and supporting me in my academic pursuits as well as seeding my interest in plant biology and allowing it to grow. Thank you. v TABLE OF CONTENTS ABSTRACT ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS iii TABLE OF CONTENTS v LIST OF TABLES viii LIST OF FIGURES ix CHAPTER ONE - LITERATURE REVIEW 1 1.1 Agricultural significance of canola and other Brassica spp. 1 1.1.1 Canola and brassica crops in Canada 1 1.1.2 Pests of Brassica spp. 3 1.1.3 Diseases of canola and Brassica spp. 4 1.2 Clubroot 5 1.2.1 Significance 5 1.2.2 Clubroot history 6 1.2.3 Plasmodiophora brassicae 7 1.2.4 Characterization, distribution and dissemination of P. brassicae 10 1.2.5 Detection of P. brassicae in the soil 14 1.3 Factors affecting clubroot severity 15 1.3.1 Spore load, horizontal distribution and depth 15 1.3.2 Temperature 16 1.3.3 Soil moisture 16 1.3.4 Soil pH and calcium 17 1.3.5 Soil type 18 1.3.6 Spore longevity 19 1.4 Clubroot management 19 vi 1.4.1 Cultural controls 19 1.4.2 Crop rotation 20 1.4.3 Fungicides 21 1.4.4 Fumigants 22 1.4.5 Biological controls and biofumigants 23 1.4.6 Bait crops and soil additives 24 1.4.7 Host resistance 25 1.5 Objectives 28 CHAPTER TWO - QUANTIFICATION OF RESTING SPORES THROUGHOUT THE SOIL PROFILE 30 2.1 Introduction 30 2.2 Materials and Methods 34 2.2.1 Field sites 34 2.2.2 Sampling methods 36 2.2.3 Primer, probe and internal control 37 2.2.4 Quantifying soil DNA and qPCR 40 2.2.5 Normalization of qPCR data and quantifying inhibition 41 2.2.6 Direct counts of manual extractions 41 2.2.7 Statistical analysis 42 2.3 Results 42 2.3.1 Assessment of vertical distribution 44 2.3.2 Comparison of manual counts to qPCR estimates 47 2.4 Discussion 48 CHAPTER THREE - INFLUENCE OF TEMPERATURE AND SOIL MOISTURE ON CLUBROOT INCIDENCE AND SEVERITY 57 3.1 Introduction 57 vii 3.2 Materials and Methods 62 3.2.1 Seeding 62 3.2.2 Assessment 63 3.2.3 Weather data 64 3.2.4 Statistical analysis 65 3.3 Results 67 3.3.1 Weather 67 3.3.2 Clubroot incidence and severity 71 3.3.3 Model calibration 75 3.3.4 Influence of soil moisture 79 3.3.5 Model validation 80 3.4 Discussion 82 CHAPTER FOUR - GENERAL DISCUSSION 90 LITERATURE CITED 99 APPENDIX 1: SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES FOR CHAPTER ONE 115 APPENDIX 2: SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES FOR CHAPTER TWO 116 APPENDIX 3: SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES FOR CHAPTER THE 124 APPENDIX 4: RAW DATA FOR TILLAGE RADISH 153 ABSTRACT ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS TABLE OF CONTENTS viii LIST OF TABLES Table 1.1. Pathotypes of P. brassicae based on the William’s differentials (1966) in Canada. 11 Table 2.1. Properties of the soil collected from naturally infested fields of Plasmodiophora brassicae in Alberta and Ontario, Canada. 35 Table 2.2. Nucleotide sequence of primers and probes used for the qPCR assays for quantification of resting spore concentration of Plasmodiophora brassicae in soil (Deora et al., 2015). 38 Table 2.3. qPCR mix components used to amplify and quantify DNA of Plasmodiophora brassicae in naturally infested soil samples. 40 Table 2.4. Comparison of resting spore concentrations (x 1000) per g of dry soil in 12 samples using manual counts and multiplex qPCR1. 48 Table 3.1. Mean monthly air temperature and rainfall during the canola seeding date trials at the Holland Marsh, ON, 2013 and 2014. 68 Table 3.2. Clubroot incidence (%) at 4 and 6 weeks after seeding on flowering cabbage planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2014. 74 Table 3.3. Linear correlations (r) between clubroot incidence or severity and temperature, air degree days and rainfall during the various time intervals for 47 seeding dates of canola cv. ‘InVigor 5030 LL’ and Chinese flowering cabbage grown at the Holland Marsh, ON in 1999–20141,3. 74 Table 3.4. Stepwise regression of the effect of rainfall, air temperature degree days (°D), air temperature and soil moisture over selected time intervals on clubroot incidence (CI) and severity (DSI) over time on flowering cabbage and canola based on 35 seeding dates at the Holland Marsh, ON. 76 ix LIST OF FIGURES Figure 2.1. Amplicon of the competitive internal positive control (CIPC) designed by Deora et al. (2015). Primers for Plasmodiophora brassicae are indicated by broken lines and the CIPC primer is indicated by solid lines. 40 Figure 2.2. Median resting spore concentrations of P. brassicae in soils from different depths from Bassano AB, Flamborough ON, Holland Marsh ON, and Millgrove ON. 45 Figure 2.3. Median (box and stem) and mean (◇) resting spore concentrations of P. brassicae from various depths in the soil profile at Flamborough, ON (Χ2(6) = 24.70, P = 0.0004) with outliers as ‘○’. 46 Figure 3.1. Mean daily air temperature and daily precipitation at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2013. 69 Figure 3.2. Mean daily air temperature, soil moisture and daily precipitation at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2014. 70 Figure 3.3. Clubroot incidence on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2013. There were no significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test at P = 0.05. 73 Figure 3.4. Clubroot incidence on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON in 2014. Significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test at P = 0.05 are presented in Table A3.9. 73 Figure 3.5. Linear regression relationship between mean air temperature at 7–21 days after seeding and validation set of clubroot incidence over time on canola and flowering cabbage at the Holland Marsh, ON showing scatter plot of individual data points and best fit linear regression. (n = 47). 77 Figure 3.6. Scatter plot if individual data points between season total rainfall with a 1week delay after seeding and validation set of clubroot incidence over time on canola and flowering cabbage at the Holland Marsh, ON (n = 47). 77 Figure 3.7. Scatter plot if individual data points between mean air temperature 7–21 days after seeding and validation set of clubroot severity over time on canola and flowering cabbage at the Holland Marsh, ON (n = 47). 78 Figure 3.8. Scatter plot if individual data points between season total rainfall with a 1week delay after seeding and validation set of clubroot severity over time on canola and flowering cabbage at the Holland Marsh, ON (n = 47). 78 x Figure 3.9. Relation between soil moisture 5–10 days after seeding and clubroot incidence on canola at the Holland Marsh, ON in 2012 and 2014 (n = 14). 79 Figure 3.10. Relation between soil moisture 5–10 days after seeding and clubroot disease severity on canola at the Holland Marsh, ON in 2012 and 2014 (n = 14). 80 Figure 3.11. Deviation of predicted clubroot incidence from observed clubroot incidence on canola and flowering cabbage (n = 47) grown for 6 weeks at the Holland Marsh, ON. 81 Figure 3.12. Deviation of predicted clubroot severity from observed severity on canola and flowering cabbage (n = 47) grown for 6 weeks at the Holland Marsh, ON. 81 1 CHAPTER ONE - LITERATURE REVIEW 1.1 Agricultural significance of canola and other Brassica spp. 1.1.1 Canola and brassica crops in Canada There are over 375 genera of wild and cultivated plants in the Brassicaceae family, many of which are economically important crops around the world (Jones and Luchsinger, 1979). Broccoli, cabbage, cauliflower (all Brassica oleracea), radish (Raphanus sativus) and turnip (B. rapa L.) are the five major brassica vegetables grown in Canada. Ontario and Quebec are the largest producers of these five crops, with ~2000 ha of any crop per year (Statistics Canada, 2009). However, these brassica vegetables have not had the economic impact that canola has had on Canada over the last decade. Canola is a quality designation associated with the seed of qualifying cultivars of the field crops oilseed rape (Brassica napus L.), brown mustard (B. juncea L. Czern.) and field mustard/ turnip rape (B. rapa L.) seed. The term ‘canola’ is restricted by trademark to cultivars of oilseed Brassica spp. whose seed contains less than 2% erucic acid and fewer than 30 µmoles of glucosinolates (Rempel et al., 2013). Oil of the original oilseed rape (rapeseed) crop has a bitter taste due to the high concentration of glucosinolates and is used for lubrication, lighting and fuel. Glucosinolates decompose into compounds that are toxic to humans and livestock (Food Standards Australia New Zealand, 2003). Erucic acid, another toxic compound found in oilseed rape, has been directly linked to heart disease in animal studies (Food Standards Australia New Zealand, 2003). Reduction of erucic acid and glucosinolates concentrations in oilseed rape was developed through conventional breeding in programs led by Drs. B. Stefansson and K. Downey starting in the 1970s (Rempel et al., 2013). 2 Canola contributes an estimated $19.3 billion to the Canadian economy annually, with $1.1 billion from the crop in Ontario and Quebec, but the largest proportion produced on the Canadian prairies (Canola Council of Canada, 2014). Over 228,000 jobs in Canada are supported directly by the growing and processing of canola (Miller, 2012). In 2013, over 7 million metric tons (MT) of canola seed were exported of the 18 million MT grown in Canada. This was produced on an estimated 8.1 million ha of canola (Statistics Canada, 2013). Currently Canada is the leading producer of canola in the world, followed closely by China (FAOSTAT, 2013). Brassica vegetables are generally grown for human consumption, and on occasion radish is used to feed livestock or used as a cover crop to enhance cash crop yields and build topsoil. Unlike most brassica vegetables, canola seed is crushed and separated into oil and meal components when processed. Canola oil has many uses, including use in oil salad dressings, margarine and shortening. After the oil is extracted from the crushed seed, the meal is used for cattle and poultry feed (Rempel et al., 2013). The climate and soil in much of the Canadian prairies is suitable for growing canola, which is likely why it has become Canada’s most valuable crop (Canola Council of Canada, 2014). Unlike canola and other shorter-season crops such as radish and Asian brassica vegetables which can be seeded directly into the field, broccoli, cabbage and other brassica vegetables are long-season crops. These crops generally will not reach maturity in the Canadian growing season if they are directly seeded into the field. Therefore, broccoli and cabbage are started in plug trays and transplanted into the field 4–6 weeks later, when the risk of frost has passed (LeBoeuf, 2012). 3 1.1.2 Pests of Brassica spp. Pests of brassica crops are plentiful and their presence can directly influence the crops that can be produced economically in a given field. Cabbageworm larvae (Artogeia rapae L.), cabbage looper (Trichoplusia ni Hubner) and alfalfa looper (Autographia californica Speyer) feed on the underside of leaves, while the diamondback moth larvae (Lutella xylostella L.) feeds on both the upper and lower leaf surfaces. Bertha armyworm larvae (Mamestra configurata Wik.) feed on the leaves while the crop is growing, but move to the seed pods as the crop matures causing severe losses to canola yields. All five caterpillars cause serious leaf damage to broccoli, Brussels sprouts, cabbage, canola, cauliflower, as well as other brassica vegetables (Chaput, 2009). Cabbage seedpod weevil (Ceutorhynchus obstrictus Marsham) feeds within pods and destroys developing seeds (Canola Council of Canada, 2011). Cabbage aphids (Brevicoryne brassica) draw sap from the host brassica leaves and are difficult to control once they are established in the field. Flea beetles (Phyllotretra spp.) cause an estimated annual loss of $300 million on canola in North America by consuming the cotyledons and first true leaves of seedlings (Knodel and Olsen, 2002). Cabbage maggots (Delia radicum L.) attack the roots of canola, Napa cabbage and many Asian brassica vegetables, allowing secondary pathogens, such as soft rots, to establish in wounded areas (Chaput, 2009). Swede midge (Contarinia nasturtil Kieffer) is an invasive, gall-forming dipteran pest that was first identified in Canada in Ontario in 2000 and has since spread to the Canadian prairies (Chen et al., 2011). The larvae generally feed on the meristem, causing stunted growth, multiple heads and twisted leaves. As a result, the quality of many brassica vegetable crops is severely 4 reduced (Chen et al., 2011). Damage varies depending on the age of the canola plant, but some crop losses in Ontario, CA have been reported to be as much as 85% (Chen et al., 2011). Wet seasons are ideal for C. nasturtil because the larvae require a soil moisture content of 25 to 75%, depending upon the soil type. Crop rotation can be effective at reducing plant damage if the field has been free of C. nasturtil and cruciferous crops for over two years, because dispersion of an adult C. nasturtil is limited to about 1 km from its larval site (OMAFRA, 2009). 1.1.3 Diseases of canola and Brassica spp. Reduced seed germination and seedling establishment is often caused by the soil-borne fungus Rhizoctonia solani Kühn, which can cause pre-and post-emergence damping off of seedlings (Acharya et al., 1984; Gugel et al., 1987; Hwang et al., 2014a). Constriction of the hypocotyl and basal stem are often symptoms caused by R. solani, however, Fusarium spp. and Pythium spp. are also important components of the disease complex (Hwang et al., 2014a). Yield losses in excess of 20% have been reported on canola in heavily infested areas (Hwang et al., 2014a). Leptosphaeria maculans is the main pathogen causing blackleg disease on canola, which produces grey to black cankers on stems and leaves and can cause substantial loss in seed yield. The fungus is dispersed by wind and wet conditions which are also conducive for disease development. Removal or tillage of infected residue of previous canola crops, application of fungicides, crop rotation, and planting resistant cultivars are used to manage blackleg (Kutcher et al., 2011). 5 Sclerotinia stem rot, caused by Sclerotinia sclerotiorum (Lib.) de Bary, is a common fungal disease in canola, but the pathogen is known to attack more than 400 species of plants worldwide (Boland and Hall, 1994). Timely application of foliar fungicides is the primary management strategy, however insensitivity to some fungicides has developed in S. sclerotiorum (Gossen et al., 2001; Hu et al., 2011). Alternaria black spot, also known as grey leaf spot, is found as a complex of Alternaria spp. including A. brassicae, A. alternata and A. raphani (Nowicki et al., 2012). Disease incidence can be reduced through use of disease-free seed in combination with fungicide application(s) when weather conditions are conducive for Alternaria development (Nowicki et al., 2012). Plasmodiophora brassicae Woronin causes clubroot, the most devastating disease of brassica crops in western Canada. It is a serious constraint to canola production and has been spreading rapidly across the region in recent years. Clubroot is the focus of a major program of research into pathogen biology and disease management, and is described in detail in the following section. 1.2 Clubroot 1.2.1 Significance On susceptible cruciferous crops, infection by the pathogen Plasmodiophora brassicae, the causative agent of clubroot, leads to hyperplasia and hypertrophy in root tissues, which result in the formation of large clubs on roots that are the characteristic symptom. Tissue organization in affected roots is disrupted, resulting in restricted flow of water and nutrients leading to premature chlorosis, stunted and delayed growth, and reduced yield (Woronin, 1878; Pageau et 6 al., 2006; Deora et al., 2012; Cao et al., 2013). Once a field becomes heavily infested with resting spores, susceptible crops can no longer be grown and resistant crops can still experience a reduction in yield from the pathogen (Hwang, et al., 2011). Clubroot causes an estimated yield loss of 10–15% in cruciferous crops worldwide (Dixon, 2009) and in severely infested fields in western Canada, 30 to 100% yield loss can occur (Strelkov et al., 2007). 1.2.2 Clubroot history Clubroot on oilseed rape, turnip and radish was first identified by a Roman, Pallitius, in Italy in the fourth century AD and was described as the development of spongy roots after the plant was fertilized with manure (Watson and Baker, 1969). Pallitius suggested avoiding manure as a fertilizer to limit the spread of the spongy roots (Watson and Baker, 1969). The pathogen was first described in detail by Mikhail Woronin in 1878 from cabbage fields near St. Petersburg, Russia. Woronin advised removing infested plants, using crop rotation and dipping the roots of transplants in soot (Woronin, 1878). Plasmodiophora brassicae has been recognized as a pathogen in Canada for over a century. In 1916, researchers at the Nova Scotia Agricultural College in Truro, Nova Scotia (now part of Dalhousie University) started conducting research specific to clubroot (Estey, 1994; Howard et al., 2010). Watson and Baker (1969) hypothesized that turnip cultivation was the main cause of P. brassicae dispersal from the Mediterranean and it was likely introduced into Canada on fodder turnips (B. rapa subs. rapa L.) used by European settlers to feed livestock (Howard et al., 2010). From the 1920s to the 1950s, clubroot was reported on cabbage, cauliflower and rutabaga in British Columbia, Quebec and the Maritime provinces (Howard et al., 2010). 7 Clubroot is currently found in every province of Canada (Cao et al., 2009; DokkenBouchard et al., 2010; Tewari et al., 2005). Clubroot on canola in Canada was first described in 2003 in 12 fields in Sturgeon County near Edmonton, Alberta (Tewari et al., 2005). Since 2003, clubroot on canola has spread throughout Alberta (Tewari et al., 2005) and has recently been reported in fields in North Dakota (Chittem et al., 2014), two isolated canola nurseries in northern Saskatchewan (Dokken-Bouchard et al., 2010), and in experimental field plots near Elm Creek, Manitoba (Cao et al., 2009). 1.2.3 Plasmodiophora brassicae Plasmodiophora brassica is a soil-borne obligate biotroph in the kingdom Chromista, infra-kingdom Rhizaria, phylum Cercozoa, class Phytomyxea, order Plasmodiophorales and family Plasmodiophoraceae (Cavalier-Smith and Chao, 2003; Cavalier-Smith, 2013; Dixon, 2014). The Rhizaria infra-kingdom is a phylogenetic supergroup that was originally classified as a clade of Protozoa. The current classification is: Domain: Eukarya (Group Bikont) Kingdom: Chromista (InfraKingdom Rhizaria) Phylum: Cercozoa (Subphylum Endomyxa) Class: Phytomyxea Order: Plasmodiophorales Family: Plasmodiophoraceae Genus: Plasmodiophora Species: brassicae The infection process starts when exudates from a potential host root stimulate resting spores to germinate, releasing primary zoospores. Zoospore have two whiplash flagella of different lengths, which allow them to swim to a root hair in water films. The zoospores are highly vulnerable because the cell wall of the resting spore no longer provides protection 8 (Kageyama and Asamo, 2009). When a primary zoospore makes contact with a root hair, it attaches and flattens on the surface (Dixon, 2014). The zoospore protoplasm is injected into the root hair causing a root hair infection (RHI) and can develop into a primary plasmodium in less than four days after inoculation (DAI) (Deora et al., 2012). Multinucleate primary plasmodia divide into zoosporangia to produce 4–16 secondary zoospores about 5 DAI at the optimum temperature of 25 °C (Kageyama and Asamo, 2009). Secondary zoospores go on to infect other root hairs or to initiate secondary infection of the root cortex (Naiki et al., 1984; McDonald et al., 2014). When cortical cells are penetrated by secondary zoospores, the secondary phase of infection begins, resulting in cell enlargement as first described by Cook and Schwartz (1930) and later by Ingram and Tommerup (1972). The connection between root hair invasion and subsequent infection of cortical cells is not well understood. Secondary zoospores have been hypothesized to penetrate directly into the root cortex after fusing in pairs containing two nuclei and undergoing genetic recombination, however, all secondary zoospores identified in a recent study were found have a single nucleus (Tommerup and Ingram,1972; McDonald et al., 2014). It has also been hypothesized that the secondary zoospores may develop a myxamoeboid phase in the root hair (Mithen and Magrath, 1992). In this phase, small plasmodia formed during primary infection are motile and can actively move between cells in the root tissue, moving from root hair cells to cortical cells (Kunkle, 1918; Mithen and Magrath, 1992). Primary infection (root hair infection, RHI), occurs on both susceptible and resistant host plants (McDonald et al., 2014). In a resistant plant, primary infection initiates the unknown resistance mechanisms and limits cortical infection and development. Inoculation of a canola cv 9 ‘Zephyr’, resistant to pathotype 6, with secondary zoospores of pathotype 6 resulted in both primary and secondary infection while resting spores of pathotype 6 alone produced no disease incidence or severity (McDonald et al., 2014). Direct infection into the cortical of resistant plants by secondary spores from susceptible plants cause host resistance to be bypassed or delayed (McDonald et al., 2014) Secondary plasmodia are responsible for the formation of clubs, the characteristic symptoms of clubroot (Kageyama and Asano, 2009). In optimal conditions, cortical colonization occurs 22 DAI and by 28 DAI, abnormal cell division and the development of resting spores occurs (Deora et al., 2012). Secondary symptoms include abnormal enlargement of hypocotyl cells above the soil line, yellowing of leaves, severe wilting, stunting, early flowering, and premature ripening (Butcher et al., 1974; Wallenhammar et al., 1996; Diederichsen et al., 2009; Donald and Porter, 2009; Hwang et al., 2011). Infected plants often senesce prematurely, causing various problems depending on the brassica crop. In canola, qualities such as oil content, uniformity, and yield are likely to decrease with P. brassicae infection (Howard et al., 2010). Inside the root cortex, the metabolism of the host is disrupted when glucobrassicins are degraded and the formation of indole-3-acetic acid (IAA/auxin) increases, causing parenchyma cells to expand and cell division to increase (Raa, 1971; Butcher et al., 1974; Rausch et al., 1981; Rausch et al., 1983; Dixon, 2006). These expanding cells become major carbohydrate sinks as clubs are formed (Evans and Scholes, 1995; Dixon, 2006). As the cells rapidly divide, they push into areas of xylem cells with lignified secondary walls (Deora et al., 2013). Clubs form as cells expand from the increase in auxin and xyloglucan endotransglucosylase/hydrolase activity 10 (Devos et al., 2005). Clubbed roots eventually deteriorate, releasing millions or billions of newly formed resting spores into the soil. In a time-course study using the model plant Arabidopsis thaliania, nitrolase 1 and 2 concentrations were higher in clubroot-affected roots than in healthy controls (Grsic-Rausch et al., 2000). When the enzymes were repressed, smaller secondary P. brassicae structures developed (Neuhaus et al., 2000). Three key enzymes that are required for IAA synthesis are upregulated in plants with symptom development, and jasmonic acid increased with plant response to clubroot infection (Grsic et al., 1999). 1.2.4 Characterization, distribution and dissemination of P. brassicae For plant pathogens, a race is a subgroup of a pathogen species, distinguished from other races by virulence, symptom expression, or host range, but not by morphology (D’Arcy et al., 2014). A pathotype is a less precise characterization of a race, and is based primarily on virulence on differential host cultivars (D’Arcy et al., 2014). Subgroups of P. brassicae can not be easily distinguished by symptom expression on susceptible cultivars and single-spore isolations have identified multiple pathotypes in a single field (Xue et al., 2008). Therefore, subgroups of P. brassicae should be defined as pathotypes rather than races (Strelkov et al., 2007). The differential set developed by Williams (1966) is commonly used to characterize the major pathotypes of P. brassicae in Canada. The set consists of two cultivars of rutabaga (B. napus L. var. napobrassica) and four of cabbage (B. oleracea L. var. capitata), which are susceptible, intermediately resistant or resistant to specific pathotypes (Williams, 1966). This differential set is limited because it was originally developed to classify pathotypes of 11 P. brassicae in cabbage and rutabaga but not canola (Strelkov and Hwang, 2014). Sharma and colleagues (2013) outline a case for an improved differential series using genetically uniform rapid cycling brassica collection (RCBC) or Arabidopsis lines. These lines are not used in commercial production, yet are readily available, easy to grow and could serve as model plants for future research on clubroot (Sharma et al., 2013). The composition of Canadian populations of P. brassicae is summarized in Table 1. Europe has adopted the European Clubroot Differential (ECD) set (Buczacki et al., 1975), which consists of 15 genotypes. Table 1.1. Pathotypes of P. brassicae based on the William’s differentials (1966) in Canada. Pathotype 1 3 Alberta Nova Scotia Saskatchewan Author Hildebrand and Delbridge, 1995 Reyes et al., 1972 Strelkov et al., 2006 Williams, 1966 Reyes et al., 1972 Hildebrand and Delbridge, 1995 Williams, 1966 Reyes et al., 1972 Reyes et al., 1974 Williams, 1966 Strelkov et al. 2006 Hildebrand and Delbridge, 1995 S.E. Strelkov, unpublished data 4 5 Prince Edward Island Alberta Manitoba Ontario Quebec British Columbia Ontario Reyes et al., 1972 Strelkov et al., 2006 Cao et al., 2009 Saude et al., 2012 Cao et al., 2009 Williams, 1966 Reyes et al., 1972 2 6 Location Nova Scotia Quebec Alberta British Columbia New Brunswick Nova Scotia Prince Edward Island Ontario Quebec 12 Around the world, P. brassica has been detected in most areas that grow brassica crops. Finland, Japan, New Zealand, Sweden and Russia have pathotype 2 while Australia, Czechoslovakia, Germany, Sweden and the USA have pathotype 6 (Reyes et al., 1974; Williams, 1966; Williams and Seidel, 1969). Clubroot has been reported in Australia since the 1890s, and the pathogen has spread rapidly in vegetable brassica crops with the extensive use of transplants in the 1980s and 1990s (Donald and Porter, 2014). To date, no large-scale survey of P. brassicae pathotypes throughout the world using a differential set is available. Variation of differential hosts makes it difficult to compare the results obtained from different studies. The ECD and Williams set are the main methods of classification, though others developed by Ayers (1957) and Lammerink (1967) are also used. Differential sets require a large proportion of intermediate host reactions that are not always consistent, often resulting in several pathotypes to be assigned to one sample (Agarwal et al., 2009). This may be attributed to populations of P. brassicae being more diverse than what was once believed (Crute et al., 1980). For example, three pathotypes were identified and confirmed from one field collection by single-spore isolations (Xue et al., 2008). This finding indicates that diverse pathotype compositions could shift rapidly in response to selection pressure imposed by resistant host cultivars and as a result, reduce the effectiveness of management strategies (Hwang, et al., 2012). Molecular methods capable of detecting individual pathotypes will be the best solution to test differences within populations worldwide in the future. Many practices have contributed to the spread of clubroot throughout Canada. The movement of soil on machinery is likely the largest cause of pathogen spread throughout the Canadian prairies. Heavy equipment is routinely moved between fields, which can facilitate 13 movement of infested soil among fields. A tractor and cultivator can carry as much as 150 kg and 50 kg of soil, respectively, from one field to another if not cleaned between fields (Hwang et al., 2014). In infested fields in Alberta, the incidence of clubroot was highest at field entrances (90%) and dropped sharply 150 m and 300 m from the entrance (Cao et al., 2009; Strelkov and Hwang, 2014). Contaminated farm machinery would likely deposit the most soil upon entering a new field, which supports the hypothesis that machinery is the primary vector of P. brassicae (Strelkov and Hwang, 2014). Wind-borne dust from infected fields may also play a role in short- and long-distance dissemination of resting spores (Gossen et al., 2014). Dust samples were found to have resting spore concentrations as high as 2.2 x 105 spores g-1 soil (S.E. Strelkov, unpublished data; Strelkov and Hwang, 2014). Fields that are managed to minimize wind and water erosion not only conserve topsoil but also limit the spread of resting spores to neighbouring fields. Areas susceptible to flooding are at risk of clubroot spread if surrounding fields are contaminated with the pathogen. The majority of the fields of the Bradford Marsh (Ontario) were free of clubroot until an extensive flood occurred in 1954 following Hurricane Hazel. It is hypothesized that flooding spread resting spores from a single clubroot infested field to clubrootfree fields as far as 8 km away (Creelman et al., 1958). Pathotype 6 was determined to be the predominant pathotype in Ontario and this has since been confirmed in the Holland Marsh (Strelkov et al., 2006; Deora et al., 2013; Strelkov, personal communication). The future distribution of P. brassicae will likely be affected dramatically by climate and soil type. Researchers have used temperature and moisture parameters in climate models such as CLIMEX V2.0 software (Hearne Scientific Software Pty. Lit, Melborne, Australia) to predict the 14 occurrence of clubroot in clubroot-free areas. The Red River Valley Region of Manitoba and north-central Alberta have high potential for losses (Turkington et al., 2004), but P. brassicae has already spread beyond the areas of high risk from these predictions. Recent work has demonstrated that moderate levels of clubroot can develop in regions with neutral or slightly alkaline soil when soil temperature and moisture levels are favourable (Gossen et al., 2013). The likelihood of P. brassicae becoming established in areas of low mean rainfall, neutral to alkaline soil pH, and high calcium that are characteristic of large parts of Saskatchewan are low unless large amounts of inoculum are introduced. Conditions in Manitoba are more conducive for pathogen establishment and, as such, P. brassicae could become a serious threat to canola production there (Gossen et al., 2014). 1.2.5 Detection of P. brassicae in the soil ! Bioassays, manual extractions, PCR and real-time PCR (qPCR) can determine the presence of P. brassicae resting spores in the soil. Bioassays require a large amount of space and require a period of at least six weeks for symptom development (Faggian and Strelkov, 2009). Manual extractions require substantial technical skill and inaccurate identification of stained resting spores can result in false positive diagnoses (Takahashi and Yamaguchi, 1988, 1989). Conventional polymerase chain reactions (PCR) have been used to detect the presence of P. brassicae at concentrations as low as 103 resting spores g-1 soil (Faggian et al., 1999) and qPCR can detect and quantify concentrations as low as 500–1000 resting spores g-1 soil (Faggian et al., 1999; Cao et al., 2007; Wallenhammar et al., 2012). False negatives can potentially occur 15 in PCR and qPCR analysis if insufficient subsampling is conducted since DNA is extracted from less than 1 g of soil (Wallenhammar et al., 2012). 1.3 Factors affecting clubroot severity 1.3.1 Spore load, horizontal distribution and depth Spore load is correlated with club formation (Naiki et al., 1978). Single resting spores have been shown to induce an infection resulting in a few small clubs two months after inoculation (Narisawa et al., 1996). Consistent symptom development is obtained when resting spore concentrations are greater than 103 spores g-1 of dry soil (Donald and Porter, 2009; Faggian and Strelkov, 2009). While symptom development may be minimal if the initial infestation level is low, the spore load will increase considerably for the next growing season (Dixon, 2014). Few studies have looked at the vertical distribution of resting spores within the soil profile. More than 97% of the total population of resting spores was found within the first 5 cm of the soil, without any clustering around the Chinese cabbage plants that were cultivated in that field (Kim et al., 2000). Agronomic practices influence resting spore dispersal within and among fields and machinery has been found to be the main cause for pathogen dissemination (Hwang et al., 2014). Soil density was found to increase after rototilling, therefore, limiting the movement of resting spores into the subsoil (Murakami et al., 2003). However, in the same study, resting spores were still detected in the subsoil. Resting spores are initially released from rotting clubs and so they likely remain within the tillage layer. Tillage equipment can move spores throughout the field and to other fields when the machinery is transported. No-till, now a widespread agronomic 16 practice across the prairies, allows growers to leave residue in the field after harvest and seed directly in the soil in the spring without the need to till. This limits the amount of contact between machinery and soil, and as a result, reduces the rate of pathogen dissemination when compared to conventional tillage practices. 1.3.2 Temperature Primary root hair infection is dependent on the temperature of the surrounding soil and air (Colhoun, 1953). An early study showed that air temperatures between 27–30 °C were optimal for germination of resting spores and infection of cabbage roots in a greenhouse setting (Chupp, 1917). A more recent study showed that air temperatures of 25 °C were optimal for primary and cortical infection in Shanghai pak choy (Brassica rapa ssp. chinensis) plants in a controlled environment (Sharma et al., 2011a, 2011b). Under optimal conditions of 25 °C, primary root hair infection takes as little as 1 day after inoculation (McDonald et al., 2014). Secondary zoospores are expected to be released 3-5 days after primary infection, resulting in secondary infection occurring in as little as 4 days after inoculation (McDonald et al., 2014). 1.3.3 Soil moisture Moisture allows zoospores to travel through soil moisture films using twin flagellae to reach host root hairs (Dixon, 2009). Drier soils inhibit P. brassicae movement, while wet soils containing continuous moisture films between soil particles favour movement (Dixon, 2014). Infection developed at moisture levels as low as 9% in mineral soils, while a soil moisture concentration of 60% was required with organic/muck soils (Hamilton and Crête, 1978). 17 The minimum soil moisture level necessary for P. brassicae infection is unknown. Studies measuring soil moisture content generally assess the volume or mass of water present in the soil. Gravimetric soil moisture measurements are based on the ratio of the weight of water in the soil to the mass of the dry soil (Or and Wraith, 2002). Volumetric soil moisture is a ratio of the volume of water present in the soil divided by the total volume of water and dry soil (Or and Wraith, 2002). Since the water holding capacity of soils is based on pore size, degree of compaction and organic matter content, it is difficult to compare measurements between gravimetric and volumetric soil moisture when all of the variables are not measured. This has made it difficult to compare assessments involving soil moisture across studies. 1.3.4 Soil pH and calcium Soil pH also has an important influence on the level of clubroot infection. Raising the pH with calcium has been shown to be able to regulate the development of P. brassicae (Webster, 1986; Dixon, 2014). Disease is still prevalent in the years following an application involving calcium and an increase in pH. As a result, additional applications may be required for several years to limit future P. brassicae development. The germination of resting spores was lower in limed soils with a pH of 8.0, than in soils with a pH of 5.8 (MacFarlane, 1952). This led to the conclusion that acidic soils were favourable for clubroot development and liming could be used as a management strategy (Karling, 1968). As a result, the application of calcitic lime has been recommended for clubroot management to achieve an alkaline soil pH of 7.2 or more (Myers et al., 1985). The increase in free calcium ions 18 from lime increases the pH of the soil, reduces the development of zoosporangia in root hairs and slows the release of secondary zoospores (Webster and Dixon, 1991). However, clubroot has been found in fields with a pH greater than 7.5 (Howard et al., 2010). In studies under controlled conditions, clubroot severity was reduced and disease development delayed at a pH above 7.0, but disease developed at a pH of 8.0 when soil moisture was adequate and temperatures were in the optimal range of 20–25°C (Gossen et al., 2013). Similarly, a pH of 7.8 in both naturally- and artificially infested soils did not influence disease incidence in a heavy loam soil (Colhoun, 1953). Calcitic lime applied at 25 t/ha at 9 days before planting did not provide satisfactory clubroot reduction in cauliflower (Bélec and Tremblay, 2004). The slow-release fertilizer calcium cyanamide (50% calcium oxide, 19.8% nitrogen and 1.5% magnesium), sold in Canada as Perlka®, has shown potential for reducing the viability of resting spores with its fungicidal effects (Klasse, 1996). It also stimulates microbes antagonistic to P. brassica (Dixon, 2012). Wet soils, which are favourable for clubroot development, are also necessary to release, dissolve and distribute hydrogen cyanamide, which is a by-product of calcium cyanamide (Klasse, 1996). In Canada, Perlka® has shown to have limited efficacy in dry soil conditions (Hwang et al., 2013). 1.3.5 Soil type Soil type greatly influences soil moisture levels and as a result will likely influence clubroot severity (Gossen et al., 2013). Organic matter content, moisture holding capacity, pH, and the physical, chemical and biological properties of soil likely also influence clubroot incidence (CI) (Dixon, 2014; Gossen et al., 2014). High levels of clubroot can develop in soil 19 with high (70%) organic matter, as well as soils with low (<6%) organic matter (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008; Wallenhammar, 1996). High concentrations of organic matter may favour the movement of the pathogen due to an increase in water holding capacity, but may also support antagonistic microflora that could decrease resting spore counts within the soil. Compacted soils with a smaller pore size may result in high clubroot severity, as there is a positive correlation between bulk density and clubroot severity (Kasinathan, 2012). Dense, water-logged soils favour clubroot, while disease is reduced in well-drained soil (Dixon and Tilston, 2010). 1.3.6 Spore longevity Resting spores are able to withstand a wide range of environmental conditions. With an estimated half-life of 3.6 years in Sweden, P. brassicae can still infect host plants in a bioassay after 17.3 years (Wallenhammar, 1996). The half-life of resting spores in Alberta was 4.4 growing seasons (Hwang et al., 2013), likely due to the cooler climate and shorter growing season experienced in Edmonton. 1.4 Clubroot management 1.4.1 Cultural controls Plasmodiophora brassicae has a wide host range; over 3700 species of the family Brassicaceae are potential hosts (Dixon, 2009). It is uncertain whether all of these species allow P. brassicae to develop root hair infection and produce resting spores. The Alberta Clubroot Management Plan recommends controlling volunteer canola, mustard and other possible hosts to 20 limit multiplication of resting spores (Alberta Clubroot Management Committee, 2008). Fields should also be managed to control host weed species that may act as potential hosts (Table A1.1). Seeding early or late in the season, when soil temperatures are low, can provide effective management of clubroot in short-season crops (McDonald et al., 2004; Gossen et al., 2012a). In canola, earlier seeding dates generally produce higher yields even without a P. brassicae interaction (Christensen et al., 1985), but clubroot development is reduced and yield is slightly increased in canola that is seeded in clubroot-infested soil early in the season (Hwang et al., 2012). 1.4.2 Crop rotation Most of the severely infested fields in Alberta that have been examined had produced canola yearly or every other year (Strelkov et al., 2006a). Crop rotation with non-hosts such as cereal grains and alfalfa is recommended (Howard et al., 2010). The Alberta Clubroot Management Plan recommends 3 year cropping rotations between canola crops if the field is lightly infested, or 5 year rotations for moderate to heavy infections (Alberta Clubroot Management Committee, 2008). Rotating crop within an infested field with non-brassicae species will eventually reduce the resting spore concentration, but this strategy is limited by several factors. Resting spores can survive in the soil for many years, with a half-life of approximately 3.6 years (Wallenhammar, 1996; Wallenhammar et al., 2012). Theoretically, even after an 18 year absence of a susceptible host, 3% of the original spore population would remain, which in many situations would be more than adequate to produce rapid and severe infection in a susceptible crop (Dixon, 2014). Crop 21 rotation could be used to slow down the accumulation of resting spores, but the long rotations required to reduce resting spore populations in moderate or heavily infested fields may not be economically sustainable. (Strelkov and Hwang, 2014). 1.4.3 Fungicides Although P. brassicae is not classified as a fungus, several fungicides reduce clubroot, but none have emerged as an effective management strategy. In Australia, fungicides containing pentachloronitrobenzene (PCNB) were common before the 1990s and provided adequate efficacy at relatively high application rates (18 kg/ha) in fields with low disease pressure (Colhoun, 1958; Donald and Porter, 2014). When PCNB was applied in the eastern United States, its performance was inconsistent and it was phytotoxic to plants at the high concentrations necessary to provide effective control (Porth et al., 2003). Currently PCNB-based fungicides (Adobe® 75WP and Crusoe® 75WP) are registered for management of clubroot on brassica vegetable crops in Canada (Howard et al., 2010; Hwang et al., 2011). Quintozene (Terraclor® 75 WP) was found to reduce disease severity, but in-row applications at rates that would be economically feasible showed little potential to increase yield in commercial canola fields (Hwang et al., 2011). Fluazinam (Allegro® 500F; ISK Biosciences Corp., Concord, OH) and cyazofamid (Ranman® 400 SC) are also registered in Canada for brassica vegetable crops. Both products inhibit spore germination by uncoupling protons in the production of ATP (Guo et al., 1991; Adhikari, 2012). Fluazinam and cyazofamid have been shown to slightly decrease disease in 22 field trials of canola (Hwang et al., 2011), but not nearly enough to exceed the economic threshold necessary to be used as a management control in canola. Chemical surfactants used as wetting agents may also suppress P. brassicae infection if they have a lytic effect on zoospores. They also lower the surface tension of water around particles in soil, limiting zoospore movement (Porth et al., 2003). A rate of 0.5% AquaGro 2000L (80% ethoxylated alkyl phenols, 5% fatty acid esters) was found to be most effective to reduce P. brassicae development on Chinese cabbage in a controlled environment and in field conditions (Hildebrand and McRae, 1998). However, a rate of 0.5% AquaGro 2000-L had a phytotoxic effect on plants and only under severe disease conditions was advocated for use (Hildebrand and McRae, 1998). At lower levels of infection common to most production fields, two applications at 0.2% 10 days apart, showed the greatest reduction in disease development without reductions in yield due to phytotoxicity (Hildebrand and McRae, 1998). 1.4.4 Fumigants Fumigant efficacy against resting spores is strongly influenced by soil type (Donald and Porter, 2013). In Canada, both chloropicrin and metam sodium (Vapam® HL) are registered for field use on cruciferous vegetables. Both products are labelled for control of nematodes and plant pathogens (OMAFRA, 2013). Metam sodium is a liquid fumigant that breaks down into methyl isothiocyanates (MITCs), which are the compounds with activity against resting spores. Partial control was achieved by soil fumigation with metam sodium in Australia in heavy clay soils (Porter et al., 1994). Chloropicrin (95% trichloronitromethane) has been found to achieve partial control against P. brassicae in naturally infested soils (White and Buczacki, 1977). However, 23 efficacy is inconsistent and is often dependent upon the method of application, such as soil compaction after application, water drench method or sealing with polyethylene sheeting (White and Buczacki, 1977). Solarization, in which polyethylene sheeting is laid over the soil to trap heat and humidity, used in combination with the fumigant dazomet, reduced resting spore concentrations, but was not cost effective and could only be applied during the summer season when crops are usually grown (Porter et al., 1991). 1.4.5 Biological controls and biofumigants Several biological control agents have been tested for suppression of P. brassicae. These microbes may be able to inhibit metabolic activities of the pathogen (Feng et al., 2012). A reduction of 52–97% in clubroot was observed when Chinese cabbage seedlings were dipped in an isolate of Heteroconium chaetospira before transplanting into the field (Narisawa et al., 2000). Heteroconium chaetospira isolate BC2HB1, a non-mycorrhizal endophyte of canola and other Brassica spp., colonized cortical tissues in roots and also induced plant resistance (Lahlali et al., 2014). The bacterium Baccillus subtilis, and the fungus Gliocladium catenulatum, reduced clubroot severity by more than 80% in a controlled environment (Peng et al., 2011). In the field, there was no significant impact on the susceptible canola cultivar, but there was a 54–84% decrease in disease severity when the two biological controls were applied as an in-furrow drench at 500 L ha-1 (Peng et al., 2011). MustGrow™ is a biofumigant manufactured from the pressed meal of B. juncea. It is used to manage nematodes in berry crops. It is possible that it may act in a similar way to a bait 24 crop, stimulating the germination of resting spores that subsequently die in the absence of a living host (Murakami et al., 2000). However, this hypothesis has not yet been tested. Plant growth stimulants to strengthen plant defense mechanisms have been tested for efficacy against P. brassicae. Greenhouse trials of PlasmaSoil® suppressed club formation and reduced clubroot severity on rapeseed (B. napus) and Chinese cabbage (B. rapa) when applied at a concentration of 10% (Kammerich et al., 2014). 1.4.6 Bait crops and soil additives Bait or trap crops have been used to stimulate the germination of resting spores while preventing P. brassicae from completing its life cycle. When radish (Raphanus sativus) was grown in advance of Chinese cabbage in a field experiment, resting spores were reduced by 94% compared to the start of the experiment. However, there was no reduction in clubroot severity in the Chinese cabbage. When a pot trial was conducted using the same methodology, disease indices of Chinese cabbage plants were lower compared with control pots where no plants had been grown previously (Murakami et al., 2000). Bait crops had no effect on clubroot severity in two naturally infested fields in Alberta, ON where the concentration of resting spores was above 1 x 106 spores g -1 of soil (Ahmed et al., 2011). Boron has been identified as a major micronutrient required for brassica crops to thrive, yet phytotoxic effects such as chlorosis and necrosis can occur if excessive amounts are applied (Brown and Shelp, 1997; Deora et al., 2011). The penetration of zoospores or development of the pathogen in the root cortex may be constrained by sufficient amounts of boron in plant cells (Dixon, 1996). In high-organic-matter muck soil, boron applied at 4 kg B ha-1 decreased clubroot 25 severity by 64% at 6 weeks after planting compared with a non-treated control (Deora et al., 2011). Boron leaches out of mineral soil more quickly than muck soil due to the lack of organic matter (Parks and White, 1952). Therefore, not only is a drench application not economical for canola, but the vast majority of canola growing regions in Canada are composed of mineral soils which allows for greater leaching. The application of boron will likely not provide significant control unless other parameters from an integrated pest management program are included. 1.4.7 Host resistance The degree of susceptibility to clubroot, specifically different pathotypes of P. brassicae, is variable in different brassica cultivars. In general, bok choy (Brassica campestris, L. var. chinensis ‘bok choy’ (Makino)), Brussels sprouts (Brassica oleracea L. var. gemmifera (Wenderoth)), cabbage, (Brassica oleracea L. var. capitata (Schübler & Martens)) and pak choy (Brassica campestris L. var. chinensis ‘Shanghai choy sum’ (Makino)) are highly susceptible to clubroot. Radish cultivars tend to be much less susceptible to P. brassica (Howard et al., 2010; Sharma et al., 2013). Effective clubroot management in fields highly infested with P. brassicae can be obtained using genetic resistance (Cao et al., 2009). Long-term management of clubroot will require development of cultivars with durable resistance in combination with rotation with non-host crops and other IPM strategies (Hwang et al., 2014). Development of durable genetic resistance to P. brassicae may require pyramiding of both quantitative and qualitative resistance genes (Van der Plank, 1963). 26 The first clubroot-resistant cabbage was developed by Walker and Larson (1960) from a cross between a cabbage cultivar (B. oleracea (L.) var. capitata L.) with kale (B. oleracea (L.) var. viridis L.). Since then, sources of resistance to P. brassicae have been identified in kale (Manzanares-Dauleux et al., 2000), Chinese cabbage (Hirai et al., 1998; Piao et al., 2004), and turnip (Hirai et al., 2004). Much of the resistance seen in commercial brassicae varieties today is from resistance genes from B. rapa (stubble turnip) (Dixon, 2014). Clubroot resistance in commercial varieties has broken down in the past due to short rotations of the same cultivar allowing for the selection of virulent races of P. brassicae (Kuginuki et al., 1999). Resistance is generally pathotype specific, which makes it hard to breed a cultivar as a single solution worldwide (Diederichsen et al., 2009; Howard et al., 2010). Resistance to pathotype 3 was identified in winter canola ‘Mendel’, rutabaga, pak choy (B. rapa (L.) ‘Flower Nabana’), black mustard (B. nigra), cabbage and turnip (Rahman et al., 2013; Peng et al., 2014). Resistant spring canola lines with RoundUp® tolerance, resistance to pathotype 3, and spring growth habit were developed using marker-assisted breeding (MAB) (Rahman et al., 2013). However, there are strong indications that this resistance is beginning to break down in parts of Alberta (Canola Council of Canada, 2014). This single-gene resistance puts a selection pressure on the pathogen to select for virulent races and could be avoided by pyramiding multigene resistance to create a more durable resistance package. Identifying new clubroot resistance (CR) genes and mapping known CR genes using MAB can be used in breeding programs to create multi-gene resistance. Many canola cultivars in Canada are resistant to pathotype 6 (Williams, 1966, McDonald, pers. comm) and susceptible to pathotype 3 (Deora et al., 2013). Primary infection was found to 27 induce susceptibility in a cultivar that was susceptible to pathotype 3 or induce resistance in a cultivar resistant to pathotype 3 in the root cortex of canola plants (McDonald et al., 2014). This indicates that primary infection can initiate the resistance reaction and result in an incompatible reaction (McDonald et al., 2014). Clubroot-resistant canola cultivars available today are resistant to specific pathotypes. Released in 2009, the first highly resistant canola cultivar 45H29 (Pioneer Hi-Bred, Caledon, ON, USA) is resistant to pathotype 3, the dominate pathotype in Alberta. Since then, 6056CR (Brett-Young, Winnipeg, MB, Canada), 1960 (Canterra, Winnipeg, MB, Canada), DeKalb 74-47, 74-54 (Monsanto, St. Louis, MO, USA), InVigor L135C (Bayer CropScience, ON, Canada), D3155C, 45H33 and Proven VR 9558 GC (Pioneer Hi-Bred, Caledon, ON, USA) have been released as clubroot-resistant cultivars for western Canada. In canola, effective blackleg resistance is not always available in new clubroot-resistant cultivars. This can force growers to make a choice between protecting the crop against the immediate threat of blackleg, or longterm preventative measures of clubroot. If two or more seasons of a susceptible cultivar are planted, clubroot levels can increase quickly. As a comparison, blackleg can be managed over a four-year rotation if it starts to cause large yield losses (Canola Council of Canada, 2014). In 2013, a clubroot-resistant cultivar showed a high incidence of clubroot infection in a commercial canola field near Edmonton (Canola Council of Canada, 2014). Preliminary testing indicated that the novel pathotype may be present in this field. The new, highly virulent pathotype (colloquially known as 5x), is virulent on all of the commercially available clubrootresistant canola cultivars in Canada (Canola Council of Canada, 2014). 28 1.5 Objectives Resting spores can remain dormant for many years and are extremely resilient. To date, treatments aimed at killing resting spores are either toxic to the environment or do not provide consistent reductions. Resting spores are expected to be concentrated within the upper region of the soil profile, but there have been no thorough studies to investigate the vertical distribution of resting spores or to assess differences in distribution in different soil types. The environmental conditions that are conducive to clubroot development are fairly well understood. For example, the pathogen develops most rapidly at temperatures of 20 to 25°C and soil moisture levels over 40% w/w. However, additional data would contribute to developing a model to predict clubroot development. Therefore, the objectives of this research were to: 1. Determine the vertical distribution of resting spores within the profile of various soils, and compare the effectiveness of qPCR relative to manual extraction for quantifying resting spore concentrations in naturally infested soil. 2. Quantify the effect of the interaction of temperature and soil moisture on the development of P. brassicae in a field setting and develop a simple clubroot prediction model. The following hypotheses were tested: 1. The highest concentration of resting spores occurs within the top 15 cm of mineral and muck soils, with few or no spores present below the top 15 cm of soil. 29 2. Weather conditions, especially the interaction of temperature and soil moisture, have a substantial impact on infection by P. brassicae and subsequent development of clubroot severity on canola, and so can be used in disease prediction. 30 CHAPTER TWO - QUANTIFICATION OF RESTING SPORES THROUGHOUT THE SOIL PROFILE 2.1 Introduction The distribution and population density of soil-borne microorganisms can greatly depend on soil structure (Workneh et al., 1998). Soil-borne plant pathogens are limited by physical barriers and often rely on gradients of host exudates to induce germination (Friberg et al., 2005). Soil-borne pathogens provide a unique challenge for the application of management strategies whose efficiency is strongly influenced by on the distribution of the target organism. The distribution of a microorganism throughout the soil profile is related to the abundance of cracks and macropores, moisture, or vectors for movement as well as the size of the target microorganism (Smith et al., 1985). The movement of microorganisms through soil has been studied in programs to protect groundwater from pathogen contamination. Soil texture can have a strong influence on this movement. For example, 22–79% of cells of the bacterium, Escherichia coli, which are 2–6 µm in length, moved through the 28 cm depth of intact silt soil columns over a 12-hr period at an irrigation rate of 22 mm h-1 (Smith et al., 1985). Soil cores became more effective bacteria filters when the soil structure was compromised by disturbance. The authors suggested that cells were likely transported through macropores that facilitate rapid movement of water and bacteria cells through the soil profile (Smith et al., 1985). Resting spores of P. brassicae may act in a similar manner and move downward from clubbed roots to the subsoil. 31 Similarly, Pseudomonas fluorescens is a root-colonizing bacterium that is capable of suppressing other plant pathogens by producing antimicrobial metabolites (Natsch et al., 1994). When P. fluorescens was added to undisturbed soil columns, population densities declined down to a depth of 30 cm before leveling off (Natsch et al., 1994). Undisturbed soil cores, closely resembling soil profiles found in the field, did not retain P. fluorescens as effectively as disturbed soil cores. It is hypothesized that P. fluorescens cells measuring between 2–7 µm long and 1 µm wide did not move downward uniformly, but followed macropores, cracks and earthworm and root channels in undisturbed soils (Gish and Shirmonhammadi, 1991; Natsch et al., 1994; Okazaki et al., 1997). Phytophthora root and stem rot causes stunting, damping-off and wilting in soybean resulting in a reduction in yield (Workneh et al., 1998). The vertical distribution of Phytophthora sojae was analyzed at 5 cm increments to a depth of 30 cm by using leaf disc bioassays to measure the amount of colonization in no-till and conventional-till soybean fields (Workneh et al., 1998). No-till fields had high levels of the pathogen starting at 5 cm from the soil surface, but concentrations eventually decreased as depth increased (Workneh et al., 1998). Fields that were conventionally tilled showed lower numbers of leaf discs colonized at 5 and 10 cm below the soil surface, but peaked at 20 cm before decreasing with additional depth (Workneh et al., 1998). While the developmental stage of P. sojae causing disease development in the leaf disc bioassay is unknown, zoospores of P. sojae are over 25 µm in diameter (Schmitthenner, 1999). Ascospores of the fungal pathogen responsible for sudden wilt of cantaloupe, Monosporascus cannonballus, measuring 35 to 50 µm in diameter, were observed throughout the top 25 cm of commercial cantaloupe fields and native desert sites (Stanghellini et al., 1996). No 32 significant differences were found between depths, but many of the sampling sites showed a trend of the number of ascospores increasing to a depth of 25 cm (Stanghellini et al., 1996). ! Resting spores of P. brassicae are approximately 3 to 5 µm in diameter (MacFarlane, 1970), and millions of resting spores can be present in small soil aggregates. Resting spore concentrations in mineral soil in Alberta have been reported up to 1.0 x 106 spores g-1 soil or more (Ahmed et al., 2011) and at 2.4 x 107 spores g-1 in high-organic-matter soil in Ontario (Kasinathan, 2012). The distribution of resting spores throughout the soil has not been examined in detail, but examination of the vertical distribution of resting spores may contribute to the development of improved management strategies for this pathogen. Resting spores were thought to be clustered with host roots within the ‘A’ horizon of the soil profile (Murakami et al., 2003). The ‘A’ horizon of surface soil contains the greatest amount of root mass from susceptible host plants, and the ‘B’ horizon or subsoil, which often reflects characteristics of the parent material, contains much fewer roots (Gan et al., 2009). The vertical distribution of resting spores from two cores from a single, heavily infested field was examined in a previous study using a modified form of manual extraction (Kim et al., 2000). In this study, a series of meshes was used to filter out debris and a calcofluor dye giving the resting spores a bright blue fluorescence under a fluorescence microscope (Kim et al., 2000). The process requires extensive technical expertise and takes several days to process a sample. While 97% of resting spores were found within 5 cm of the soil surface and 99.9% of resting spores were found within the depth of 0–30 cm, 4 x 103 spores g-1 soil were detected as deep as 40 cm. No resting spores were found in the lowest soil layer at a depth of 45 cm (Kim et al., 2000). The efficacy of disease management techniques will be greatly influenced by the depth that resting spores are 33 distributed throughout the vertical soil profile. For example, fumigants such as Busan® (43% metam sodium) must be injected below the level of the resting spores to allow the volatile gas phase of the active ingredient to rise through the soil and make effective contact with resting spores (Littke, 2010). Bioassays using susceptible brassica species and large soil samples are a common and reliable method of determining the presence and quantifying the concentration of resting spores of P. brassicae in soil (Faggian and Strelkov, 2009). However, since bioassays require the susceptible plants to be grown for 6 weeks for symptom development, they require a large amount of greenhouse space and are time consuming (Faggian and Strelkov, 2009). The process of determining the presence of P. brassicae resting spores could be accelerated by using microscopic examination of susceptible host root hairs at one week after seeding to determine if infection has occurred (MacFarlane, 1952; Hwang et al., 2011). Staining with fluorochromes has also been used to distinguish the resting spores of P. brassicae from soil particles (Takahashi and Yamaguchi, 1988, 1989). This method requires substantial operator skill (Faggian and Strelkov, 2009). While bioassays are reliable in detecting P. brassicae resting spores, samples containing fewer than 1000 resting spores g-1 soil may result in false negatives, while large quantities of resting spores cause severe symptom development and often result in being indistinguishable from one another (Faggian and Strelkov, 2009). Manual counts after extracting resting spores from soil samples is labour intensive and time consuming. Depending on the soil type, P. brassicae resting spores are still difficult to identify after staining with fluorochromes, potentially resulting in a wrong diagnoses. 34 Conventional polymerase chain reactions (PCR) have been used to detect the presence of P. brassicae at concentrations as low as 1000 resting spores g-1 soil (Faggian et al., 1999). Quantitative PCR (qPCR) allows spore concentration to be estimated, while conventional PCR is used primarily to detect the presence of the pathogen. Detection limits with qPCR for artificially infested soil samples correspond to approximately 500–1000 P. brassicae resting spores g-1 soil (Faggian et al., 1999; Cao et al., 2007; Wallenhammar et al., 2012). A recent study using an internal control to calibrate for inhibitors of qPCR amplification in soil showed the detection limit to be as low as approximately 1 x 104 P. brassicae resting spores g-1 soil in muck soil (Deora et al., 2015). There are limitations to conventional and qualitative PCR methods. At present, these methods cannot determine the identity of the pathotype or whether the spores are viable, since they only require detection of P. brassica DNA. It is likely that once spores are killed, DNA does not last for a prolonged period of time in the soil, but the rate of decomposition is not known. Limitations also exist due to the variability of inoculum distribution within a small area, which increases the risk of false negative results when insufficient subsampling is conducted (Wallenhammar et al., 2012). The current study examined several soil types and assessed several techniques for quantifying resting spore concentrations at different depths within the soil profile. 2.2 Materials and Methods 2.2.1 Field sites Soil samples were obtained from clubroot-infested fields on mineral soils at Bassano, AB; Millgrove, ON; Flamborough, ON; and an infested high-organic-matter soil at the MCRS, 35 Holland Marsh, ON (Hemic histosol). soil composition, pH and texture was determined by Agrifood Laboratories (Guelph, ON) March, 2014 (Table 2.1). Table 2.1. Properties of the soil collected from fields naturally infested with Plasmodiophora brassicae in Alberta and Ontario, Canada. Soil composition (%) Longitude, Latitude pH Sand Silt Clay OM1 Bassano, AB 50.7˚, -112.2˚ 8.3 32 66 2 1.3 Silt loam Flamborough, ON 43.3˚, -80.1˚ 7.4 28 60 12 1.8 Silt loam Holland Marsh, ON 44.0˚, -79.6˚ 5.6 50 45 5 81.4 Muck Millgrove, ON 7.2 79 12 9 0.8 Loamy sand Location 1Organic ! 43.4˚, -80.0˚ Soil texture matter was measured separately from the sand, silt and clay soil compositions. The field near Bassano has been planted primarily with wheat since 1999. Canola cultivars susceptible to P. brassicae were planted in 1998, 2004, and 2007, and a clubrootresistant cultivar, 45H29, was seeded in 2010. Susceptible brassica crops were grown almost every year with no rotation at the fields in Flamborough, Millgrove and the Holland Marsh. The field in Flamborough has been planted with broccoli and cauliflower on a 2- to 3-year rotation for over 15 years, with rye planted as an occasional cover crop in Flamborough, ON. At the Holland Marsh, cores were taken at one site where clubroot-susceptible brassica crops such as Shanghai pak choy, Chinese flowering cabbage and canola cv. ‘Invigor 5030 LL’ have been grown repetitively over the last decade. At the second site in the Holland Marsh, cores were retrieved from an adjacent area where fewer clubroot susceptible crops have been grown in past years and where lower levels of infection have been recorded in recent trials. The final field site, in Millgrove, ON, had a 2-year cauliflower, 1-year lettuce rotation for the last 10 years. 36 2.2.2 Sampling methods Samples were collected from each field using a 56-cm long soil corer inserted vertically until the entire core cavity was filled. The corer was driven to a depth of 53 cm, using a rubber mallet/sledgehammer if necessary. The core was divided into seven nearly equal increments, 0– 7.9, 8–15.9, 16–22.9, 23–29.9, 30–37.9, 38–45.9 and 46–53 cm. Soil cores inserted too far or missing soil within an increment were discarded. Three core replications were taken within 1 m2, and then a second 1 m2 site was sampled at the same field. A total of six cores from two sites from each clubroot-infested field were obtained. The outer layer of soil of each soil core was removed from the deepest depth towards the soil surface to reduce the possibility of contamination as the core was being pulled from the ground. Scoopulas (stainless steel utensils with a spatula-like scoop) were used to extract the samples from the soil corer and were disinfected with 70% ethyl alcohol to avoid contamination between samples. A soil sample from the centre of the core at each depth was extracted using a clean scoopula and placed in a vial or paper envelope. The containers were sealed between cores to avoid contamination. Each soil sample was dried at 37 °C overnight or longer until no moisture was present. Samples were ground to a fine powder using a porcelain mortar and oversized pestle (CoorsTek Golden, CO, USA), which was cleaned with dish detergent followed by 70% ethanol between samples. Samples were thoroughly mixed to ensure that subsamples were uniform and representative, and single-use paper scoops were used to transfer soil to the weigh scale to avoid contamination. 37 A Power Soil DNA isolation kit (MO BIO Laboratories Inc., Carlsbad, CA), was used for DNA extraction. The recommended weight of 0.25 g of powdered mineral soil was added directly to the beaded tubes provided with the kit. For the high-organic-matter soil, only 0.1 g of powdered soil was used, as recommended in a previous study of this soil type (Deora et al., 2015). A mechanical bead rupture (Omni 116 International Inc., Kennesaw, GA) was used to homogenize the contents of the beaded tubes for 1 min at high speed. The remaining DNA extraction and purification was conducted according to the Power Soil DNA isolation kit requirements. 2.2.3 Primer, probe and internal control A TaqMan multiplex system with a competitive internal positive control (CIPC) developed previously (Deora et al., 2015) was used for the detection of P. brassicae in soil samples. A forward primer (DC1F) and reverse primer (DC1mR) for P. brassicae were used (Table 2.2). Both primers contained an amplified region of 90 bp of the internal transcribed spacer (ITS1) region of the P. brassicae genome. A probe (PB1) using a FAM reporter dye at the 5’ end and a NFQ-MGB quencher at the 3’ end was used. The final cycle threshold (Cq) values for each sample were used to estimate the initial DNA concentration in the sample. The Cq value was inversely proportional to the initial concentration of DNA, such that a lower Cq value corresponded to a higher initial concentration of DNA. Primers and probes were designed using a Primer Express (version 3) software using the TaqMan® MGB Quantification option (Table 2.2.). 38 Table 2.2. Nucleotide sequence of primers and probes used for the qPCR assays for quantification of resting spore concentration of Plasmodiophora brassicae in soil (Deora et al., 2015). Amplified Sequence name and purpose Sequence (5’ to 3’) length (bp) DC1F Forward primer CCT AGC GCT GCA TCC CAT AT 90 DC1mR Reverse primer CGG CTA GGA TGG TTC GAA A PB1 P. brassicae probe [6-FAM] CCA TGT GAA CCG GTG AC [NFQ-MGB] pDSKGFPuv1 CIPC forward hybrid CCT AGC GCT GCA TCC CAT ATC GAT primer GGC CCT GTC CTT TTA C 116 PBGFPuv3 CIPC reverse hybrid CGG CTA GGA TGG TTC GAA AGT GTA F primer ATC CCA GCA GCA GTT A GFP1 CIPC probe [VIC] ACC ATT ACC TGT CGA CAC AAT CTG CCC T [NFQ-MGB] Differences in amplification efficiency among samples were assessed using a competitive internal positive control (CIPC) (Deora et al., 2015). A plasmid (pDSK-GFPuv1) containing the green fluorescent protein from a jellyfish (Aequorea victoria) was used, as it was assumed that this DNA was not present in the soil. PCR amplification of GFPuv1 was achieved by forward (PBGFPuv3F) and reverse (PBGFP3R) hybrid primers designed based on the sequenced plasmid, pDSK-GFPuv1. Binding sites to allow amplification of both P. brassicae and the CIPC were produced by incorporating forward (DCIF) and reverse (DC1mR) primers for P. brassicae on the hybrid primers. The resulting 77 bp amplicon was generated using 0.4 µM of both hybrid primers (PBGFPuv3F: CCTAGCGCTGCATCCCATATCGATGGCCCTGTCCTTTTAC and PBGFPuv3R: CGGCTAGGATGGTTCGAAAGTGTAATCCCAGCAGCAGTTA), where regular letters indicate the P. brassicae primer sequences and bold letters indicate primer sequences to amplify the GFPuv1 (Figure 2.1; Deora et al., 2015). The mix contained 0.1 mM 39 dNTPs, 2 mM MgCl2, 1 x reaction buffer, 1 unit of DNA polymerase (JumpStartTM Taq DNA Polymerase, Sigma-Aldrich, St. Louis, MO), and 5 µl of template DNA of plasmid pDSKGFPuv1 (Table 2.2). The amplicon was increased using cycling conditions of 94 °C for 2 min and 40 cycles at 94 °C for 30 sec, 55 °C for 30 sec, 72 °C for 1 min, and a final stabilization at 72 °C for 10 min in a reaction volume of 25 µl. The amplified product was purified using the Wizard SV Gel and PCR Clean-up kit (Promega, Madison, WI) following the manufacturers’ instructions to remove excess primers and dNTPs. The amplified product was quantified using a Qubit fluorometer (Life Technologies, Eugen, OR) and then further tested on a Step-One realtime PCR (Applied Biosystems, CA). A TaqMan probe (GFP1) using a VIC reporter dye at the 5’ end and a NFQ-MGB quencher at the 3’ end were used to quantify the CIPC amplification (Applied Biosystems). A previous study (Deora et al., 2015) determined that 2 µl of 5 x 10-8 µg µl-1 (5 fg µl-1) of the CIPC amplicon (in 20 µl of reaction mix) had a Cq value of 20.9 to 21.4 when amplified together with concentrations of P. brassicae DNA. To determine the necessary amount of CIPC to be added to the master mix of the P. brassicae assay, a dilution series consisting of 108 to 102 resting spores g-1 was tested to achieve a target Cq value. The GFP1 TaqMan® probe was added to the mastermix at a concentration of 0.8 µl of 6.25 µM to assess CIPC amplification (Table 2.3). 40 Figure 2.1. Amplicon of the competitive internal positive control (CIPC) designed by Deora et al. (2015). Primers for Plasmodiophora brassicae are indicated by broken lines and the CIPC primer is indicated by solid lines. Table 2.3. qPCR mix components used to amplify and quantify DNA of Plasmodiophora brassicae in naturally infested soil samples. Component Final stock (nM) Volume in reaction (µl) TaqMan MasterMix 1x 10.0 Forward primer (DC1F) 900 0.8 Reverse primer (DC1mR) 900 0.8 P. brassicae probe (PB1) 250 0.8 CIPC probe (GFP1) 250 0.8 CIPC amplified product 2.0 Sample DNA 2.0 Sterile de-ionized water 2.8 Total volume 20.0 2.2.4 Quantifying soil DNA with qPCR All of the qPCR assays were conducted in a 48- or 96-well plate Step-One real-time PCR thermal cycler (Applied Biosystems) according to the manufacturer’s instructions. Each sample well had a 20 µl reaction mixture consisting of 10 µl of 2 x TaqMan® Universal PCR Master Mix (P/N 4304437, Applied Biosystems), 0.8 µl of 22.5 µM of P. brassicae primer pairs, 0.8 µl of 6.25 µM of P. brassicae GFP1 probe, and 2 µl of extracted DNA. A standard curve of known concentrations of P. brassicae spores was created using a 10-fold dilution series 108 to 102 41 resting spores g-1 soil and added in duplicate to each qPCR assay. Plates were centrifuged at 1500 x g for 2 min to eliminate air bubbles within the wells. Assays with r ≥ 0.97 were kept and used for data analysis. Thermal cycling conditions were 50 °C for 2 min, 95 °C for 10 min, and 40 cycles of 95 °C for 15 s followed by 62 °C for 1 min. 2.2.5 Normalization of qPCR data and quantifying inhibition Assays were normalized using procedures developed by Deora et al. (2015). Values were adjusted when the cycle threshold (Cq) value of the CIPC rose above the CIPC of the negative control. Samples with high levels of inhibition (∆Cq values of 3.3 or greater) were diluted 10 and 15 times and assayed again to obtain a lower ∆Cq value. For samples with only moderate inhibition, (∆Cq values of 3.2 or less), the following formula developed by Bilodeau (2011) was used: Concentration = the estimated concentration based on the standard curve x (E + 1)∆Cq where, E = efficiency and ∆Cq = Cq sample – Cq control (water). 2.2.6 Direct counts of manual extractions Manual extractions and direct counts of resting spore concentration in samples of naturally infested soil from Flamborough, ON were conducted using established methods (Dhingra and Sinclair, 1985) to compare with the estimates from real-time qPCR. Mineral soil from Elora, ON, where clubroot was not present, was used as a negative control, and naturally infested Flamborough soil was used as a natural source of resting spores. Aliquots (25 g) of dry, thoroughly mixed soil with varying amounts of resting spores were used from each soil sample and mixed with 100 mL of 2% sodium hexametaphosphate (NaPO3)6, stirred for 1 min and left to 42 settle overnight. The mixture was filtered through eight layers of cheesecloth and centrifuged at 1000 x g for three 10-min cycles. The supernatant was discarded and the remaining pellet was dispersed in 50 mL of 40% sucrose and the suspension was allowed to settle for 2 days at 4 °C. The supernatant was poured into a 50 ml tube and centrifuged again for 1 hour at 1000 x g. The resulting supernatant was discarded and the remaining pellet was suspended in 5 mL of deionized water. The concentration of resting spores was estimated by direct counting using a 20 x objective lens in a compound microscope and a haemocytometer. 2.2.7 Statistical analysis The data were continuous but not normally distributed, so a non-parametric analysis (Friedman test, PROC FREQ, SAS software version 9.3, SAS Institute, Cary, NC) was used. The Friedman Chi-squared test was used with the fixed effects as field location, sampling site, core and depth, with spores as the continuous variable to determine differences among depths, cores, sites and fields. Regression analysis (PROC REG) with increasing depth was used to determine if a significant quadratic relationship existed between depth and resting spore concentration. Analysis of variance was performed using PROC MIXED (SAS software version 9.3, SAS Institute, Cary, NC) comparing manual counts and qPCR quantities using single-degree-offreedom contrasts. 2.3 Results The four clubroot-infested sites that were assessed represented a wide range of soil types and textures (Table 2.1). The soil collected 7 November, 2013 at Bassano consisted mainly of silt 43 and a moderate amount of inhibition occurred in the qPCR analyses (CIPC ΔCq <2.8). Soil from Flamborough sampled 5 June, 2013 was a silt-loam, had the highest clay concentration (12%) of the fields sampled, and a homogeneous texture from 10–53 cm below the soil surface. It also had low qPCR inhibition (CIPC ΔCq <1.0). The loamy sand field at Millgrove, sampled 14 November, 2013 consisted of 79% sand, also had a homogeneous texture with a 5–10 cm layer of clay or silt found approximately 30 cm below the soil surface, and a CIPC ΔCq of less than 2.1. Soil from the Holland Marsh sampled 22 October, 2012 had 81% organic matter and exhibited a high level of inhibition (CIPC ΔCq <3.3) (Table 2.1, Table A2.6). Resting spores of P. brassicae were present throughout the soil profile at each location. The highest concentrations of resting spores were found in one of the sampling sites at Millgrove, which had 2.1 x 107 resting spores g-1 soil at depths of 33–37.9 cm and 2.6 x 107 spores at depths of 46–53 cm (Table A2.5). The lowest resting spore concentration that fell within the standard curve was found in Flamborough with 2.6 x 103 spores g-1 soil at a depth of 46–53 cm (Table A2.3). A single core from Bassano was negative for resting spore DNA at each depth, but resting spores were present in both of the two other cores (range 3.0 x 103 – 9.0 x 104 spores g-1 soil) taken within 1 m2 (Table A2.2). In general, the overall levels of resting spores at the four fields were highly variable and not uniform between depths, cores, sites and fields. The two sites sampled at every field often had very different mean resting spore g-1 soil concentrations even though they were sampled from fields with the same soil type and a history of similar brassica crops. (Table A2.2, 2.5). 44 2.3.1 Assessment of vertical distribution Resting spores were unevenly distributed in all soils, but all soils had the greatest percentage of resting spores in the top 30 cm, with the exception of the Holland Marsh and one core from site 2 removed from the Millgrove site. Analyses of the soil samples from Bassano, AB, indicated that resting spores were unevenly distributed throughout the soil profile. About 90% of the resting spore DNA was located within 30 cm of the soil surface (Figure 2.2, Table A2.2). Based on the small number of samples assessed, there were no differences among the two sampling sites (Χ2(1) = 2.16, P = 0.14) or depths (Χ 2(6) = 5.37, P = 0.50) at this site, but cores (Χ 2(2) = 5.92, P = 0.052) and site × core interaction (Χ 2(2) = 5.38, P = 0.07) were significant at P ≤ 0.10. While the two sampling sites were very close to being significantly different, the site with the greater total of resting spores had one core where no resting spores were detected (Table A2.2). Similarly, most cores at the Bassano, AB field showed a pattern of decreasing resting spores with depth. The site × core interaction was likely associated with the single core that was negative for DNA of P. brassicae at one sampling site; DNA was detected from the other two cores taken less than 1 m away, and from all three cores at the second sampling site (Table A2.2). 45 Figure 2.2. Median resting spore concentrations of P. brassicae in soils from different depths from Bassano AB, Flamborough ON, Holland Marsh ON, and Millgrove ON. Samples from Flamborough, ON showed a decrease in resting spores with depth (Figures 2.3.1, 2.3.2), with 82% of the resting spores within the top 23 cm of the soil profile (Table A2.3). There were no differences among the sampling sites (Χ2(1) = 3.51, P = 0.06) or cores (Χ2(2) = 0.44, P = 0.80). The concentration of resting spores was significantly higher in samples from the soil surface to a depth of 8 cm, than in the 23–53 cm sampled soil (Table A2.3). Significant differences were found among depths from all cores (Χ2(6) = 24.70, P = 0.0004) (Figure 2.3), when sites were controlled (Χ2(6) = 28.0, P = <0.0001) as well as when every core was observed separately (Χ2(6) = 26.57, P = 0.0002). The highest resting spore concentration (4.2 x 106 resting spores g-1 soil) was found in the top 8 cm of soil of the third replicate core of site 1 (Table A2.3). 46 Figure 2.3. Median (box and stem) and mean (◇) resting spore concentrations of P. brassicae from various depths in the soil profile at Flamborough, ON (Χ2(6) = 24.70, P = 0.0004) with outliers as ‘○’. The concentration of resting spores in the soil at the Holland Marsh, ON was highly variable among depths and cores (Figure 2.2, Table A2.4). The highest concentration (4.8 x 106 resting spores g-1 soil) was observed at a depth of 16–22.9 cm (Table A2.4). There was at least one sample from every core and from every depth where no P. brassicae DNA was detected. There were significant differences between the two sampling sites (Χ2(1) = 8.23, P = 0.004), but no differences among depths (Χ2(6) = 6.67, P = 0.35) or cores (Χ2(2) = 1.37, P = 0.50). There were no patterns of decreasing resting spores with depth at the Holland Marsh field. Inhibition levels were well above the recommended threshold (ΔCq <3.3) when 0.25 g of soil was used for the DNA extraction. To reduce this level of inhibition, smaller soil samples (0.15 g) were assessed and end values were adjusted accordingly. From the four field sites sampled, the soil at 47 the Holland Marsh had the highest adjustment for inhibition, resulting in an average change of 462% from initial to final values (Table A2.6). The sandy soil at Millgrove, ON had resting spore concentrations similar to those at Flamborough, ON in the upper layers of soil (0–30 cm), but large amounts of resting spores were also found in one core between 30–37.9 cm and 46–53 cm (Figure 2.2, Table A2.5). The highest concentrations of P. brassicae DNA were detected in two samples from the lowest depth of one sampling core (2.6 x 107 resting spores g-1 soil, Table A2.5). Differences were found in spore concentrations among sampling sites (Χ2(1) = 18.83, P <0.0001), but no differences were found between cores (Χ2(2) = 0.46, P = 0.79) or depths (Χ2(6) = 5.41, P = 0.49). Cores from the Millgrove, ON field showed a pattern of higher resting spores close to the soil surface and decreasing concentrations lower in the soil profile, with the exception of the first core from the second sample site (Table A2.5). No differences among sites, cores or depths were observed when data were pooled across the four fields using a Friedman’s test. A field × site interaction (Χ2(1) = 5.82, P = 0.02) and a field × depth interaction (Χ2(6) = 20.19, P = 0.003) showed differences among all sampling sites and depths. In addition, there was a field × site × depth interaction (Χ2(6) = 22.77, P = 0.0009) and a field × site × core × depth interaction (Χ2(6) = 22.71, P = 0.0001) (Table A2.1). 2.3.2 Comparison of manual counts to qPCR estimates Manual extractions using the method of Dhingra and Sinclair (1985) were compared to estimates from qPCR to evaluate the efficiency of both approaches for estimating resting spore concentration in soil. Naturally infested soil samples from Flamborough, ON were collected 48 separately but from the same location as the vertical distribution trial, were used to estimate resting spore concentrations. A single soil sample from Elora, ON was used as a negative control. As a positive control, 3g of severely infected Shanghai pak choy root with pathotype 6 was macerated and added to a naturally infested Flamborough sample. Estimates of spore concentration obtained using qPCR were consistently higher than from manual extraction for almost all samples (Table 2.4). Estimates from samples 1–12 of manual counts were not correlated with those from qPCR based on a rank correlation (r = 0.18, p = 0.33). A high resting spore concentration in qPCR was often associated in a high deviation from the quantity found using manual extraction (Table 2.4). Table 2.4. Comparison of resting spore concentrations (x 1000) per g of dry soil in 12 samples using manual counts and multiplex qPCR1 Sample Location Elora, ON Flamborough, ON Manual counts ± Std Dev. 0 ±0 qPCR ± Std Dev. 0 ±0 % Difference 100*[qPCR - MC) / qPCR -- 54 ± 3.8 770 ± 230 93% 61 ± 8.9 520 ± 110 88% 70 ± 8.1 2200 ± 1000 97% 71 ± 22 440 ± 300 84% 72 ± 7.2 2100 ± 750 97% 85 ± 9.9 74 ± 42 -0.15% 86 ± 25 87 ± 71 1% 95 ± 14 1200 ± 580 92% 100 ±12 150 ± 140 33% 160 ± 17 250 ± 71 36% 3500 ± 95 7800000 ± -100% 1Each sample was based on three technical replicates of one biological replicate. Negative control consisted of a single soil sample from Elora, ON and positive control (bottom sample) consisted of inoculating a naturally infested soil sample from Flamborough, ON. For the qPCR run, R2 = 0.97, Eff% = 97.0, Slope = -3.20. Std. Dev. = standard deviation 49 2.4 Discussion Rapid and accurate quantification of resting spores of P. brassicae from field samples would be of value to brassica growers, agronomists, regulators and researchers. Resting spores were found over 30 cm below the soil surface and below the depths where secondary infection generally occurs. In this study, 69–82% of resting spores were found in the top 0–30 cm of soil, but this was different from the 99.9% concentrations found by Kim et al. (2000). In this previous study, the vertical distribution of resting spores was taken from two cores from a single, heavily infested field. No resting spores were found in the lowest soil layer, a depth of 45 cm (Kim et al., 2000). It is possible that resting spores were present below 45 cm in that study, however, perhaps not in concentrations above the detection threshold of the extraction method utilized. In the current study, estimates of spore concentration within each core and among cores at each sampling site and field were highly variable. With only six cores taken from each field known to have clubroot, it was not surprising to find that most samples had some levels of P. brassicae DNA detected and only one core was completely free of P. brassicae DNA. Similar variability was reported in previous studies that assessed the quantity of resting spore DNA in soil (Wallenhammar et al., 2012). Additional replicates and larger, homogenized samples are needed to reduce variability in future studies. The high variability in this study was similar to that in previous studies assessing the quantity of resting spore DNA in soil (Wallenhammar et al., 2012). Clubroot was first identified at the Bassano, AB site in 2007, and identified as a mixture of pathotype 3 and 5 (D. Burke, personal communication). Unlike the Flamborough, Millgrove and the Holland Marsh sites, where susceptible brassica crops were grown almost every year with no rotation, the field near 50 Bassano has been planted primarily with wheat since 1999. Canola cultivars susceptible to P. brassicae were planted in 1998, 2004, and 2007, and a clubroot-resistant cultivar, 45H29, was seeded in 2010. Ninety percent of the resting spore DNA was found from the soil surface to a depth of 30 cm (Table A2.2) and there were no trends in distribution over depth. At Flamborough, ON, broccoli and cauliflower had been grown on a 2- to 3-year rotation for over 15 years, with rye planted as an occasional cover crop (D. Almas, personal communication). This short rotation likely contributed to a rapid accumulation of P. brassicae resting spores. The sites in the field that were sampled were high points, selected to minimize the possibility of overland flow or flooding affecting the natural distribution of resting spores. Levels of resting spores were high near the soil surface but decreased with depth. While canola roots can grow over 1 m from the soil surface, resting spores are produced by roots that have cortical infection, which are generally observed near the soil surface (Gan et al., 2009). Across all of the cores taken from the Flamborough field, the majority (82%) of the resting spores were found within the top 23 cm of the soil profile. The other 18% of resting spores found between 23–53 cm below the soil surface were likely not produced in this region of the soil profile and were moved there by other means. Previous literature on the vertical distribution of resting spores has indicated that resting spores move downward over time due to water movement (Kim et al., 2000). If water is the primary cause of the downward movement of resting spores, the uniform soil consistency throughout the Flamborough soil profile may have facilitated the development of significant differences with depths (Figure 2.3). Other possibilities include vertical tunnels created by disintegrating brassica roots throughout the soil which may facilitate downward 51 movement of resting spores. It is also possible that machinery disturbing the soil profile may allow resting spores to settle deeper than where they were originally produced. At the Holland Marsh, cores were taken at one site where clubroot-susceptible brassica crops have been grown repetitively over the last decade and an adjacent area where fewer clubroot susceptible crops have been grown and where lower amounts of infection have been recorded in recent trials (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008; Adhikari, 2010; Kasinathan, 2012; Gludovacz, 2013). There were no significant trends among cores or depth, but there were differences between the two sampling sites. Rototilling is the preferred method of preparing soil before planting at the Holland Marsh Muck Crops Research Station every spring, compared to discing, ploughing or no-till practiced at the other fields sampled. Rototilling uses motorized spinning blades to mix the soil. Therefore, no significant differences between cores or depths were expected since the soil was rototilled. However, there were samples in each soil core that tested negative for P. brassicae, indicating that there are pockets with very few resting spores. There was a high amount of inhibition present in several samples, so these samples were reassessed after further dilution. The CIPC allowed for the quantity of resting spores to be recalculated based on the amount of PCR inhibition caused by other soil components such as clay particles, humic acids and phenolic compounds (Deora et al., 2015). Even with adjustment for the impact of inhibition on the amplification of the target DNA using the CIPC, high levels of inhibition may reduce the accuracy of results and as a consequence, make it difficult to identify significant trends among depths. The Millgrove, ON, field had a 2-year cauliflower, 1-year lettuce rotation for the last 10 years (J. Schotsman, personal communication). Similar to the field at the Holland Marsh, there 52 were differences between sample sites, but no differences between replications or depth. The highest spore concentration detected in this study was at 46–53 cm below the soil surface at the Millgrove field with 2.6 x 107 resting spores g-1 soil. A layer of clay or silt was found approximately 30 cm below the soil surface at the Millgrove field, possibly causing the accumulation of resting spores. It is possible that secondary infection occurred on deep roots over 46 cm below the soil surface, however it is more likely that resting spores were produced closer to the soil surface and washed down to this layer over time. The high concentration of sand (79%) at the Millgrove location possibly resulted in larger macropores within the soil (Jiang et al., 2010) and easier flow of resting spores downward throughout the soil profile. If retention of resting spores is higher in soils with smaller macropores such as in clay soils, the pockets of high resting spore concentration might reflect the location of these aggregates in the soil (Jiang et al., 2010). The vertical pattern of spore distribution differed among the fields assessed. This was likely due to differences in soil composition, as well as the susceptibility and root structure of past brassica crops. Variability has been seen in previous studies among samples obtained from nearby sites in the same field (Wallenhammar et al., 2012). In the current study, the Flamborough field had the lowest variation, with no differences among the three cores taken from two sites approximately 10 m apart (Table A2.3). In contrast, the two sample sites at Bassano were much farther apart, and one site had fewer resting spores than the other (Table A2.2). Past studies investigating vertical distribution of other soil-borne microorganisms have shown that population density can greatly depend on soil structure (Workneh et al., 1998), and smaller microorganisms, such as P. fluorescens, have lower retention in undisturbed soils where 53 macropores, cracks and root channels exist (Natsch et al., 1994). Unlike air, where many types of dry spores are readily dispersed by wind, resting spores within the soil column likely remain in the spot where they were released unless the soil is moved or water transfers the resting spores through pores. The physical barriers found in soil are likely why there is so much variation in concentrations at different depths, even within a 1 m2 sampling site. Plasmodiophora brassicae resting spores are similar in size to Pseudomonas fluorescens cells (2–7 µm in length) and are likely to exhibit similar characteristics when water is moving throughout the soil. Pseudomonas fluorescens population density declined until a depth of 30 cm from the point of inoculation on the soil surface (Natsch et al., 1994). Given the assumption that most P. brassicae resting spores are produced within 20 cm from the soil surface, P. brassicae resting spores showed similar trends to P. fluorescens in fields composed of mineral soil. While the movement of both P. fluorescens and P. brassicae throughout the soil profile was not uniform and likely depended on the structure of the soil, both pathogens had a pattern of decreasing resting spores with depth. The fields at Bassano, Flamborough and Millgrove all showed a pattern of fewer resting spores with increasing depth in most cores, but there were a few exceptions (Table A2.2, A2.3 & A2.5). These three fields had the majority of resting spores within the top 30 cm with the exception of core 1 of site 2 at Millgrove ON (Table A2.2, A2.3 & A2.5). This is the same trend observed as the first vertical distribution study on P. brassicae by Kim et al. (2000). In that study, 99.9% of resting spores were found within the top 30 cm in Yeoncheon, South Korea compared to only 75% (Bassano), 82% (Flamborough) and 75% (Millgrove with core 1, site 2 removed) of the resting spores in fields in Canada. The results of this previous study indicate management techniques should be focused on the top 10 cm, or 30 cm if eradication is desired (Kim et al., 54 2000). The results from these four fields in Canada indicate that there were still large concentrations of spores capable of causing severe disease at depths of 50 cm if these resting spores are viable and roots are able to grow to these depths. Resting spores residing deep in the soil should not be a great concern for brassica growers. These resting spores are less likely to come into contact with feeder roots until late in the season, allowing less time for clubroot to successfully develop and decrease yields (Hwang, et al., 2012a). Also, soil temperatures at a 50 cm depth in the prairies would likely be less conducive for clubroot development, further limiting the possibility of infection occurring at these depths. While resting spores deep in the soil profile are unlikely to infect brassica roots to begin with, they are even more unlikely to be responsible for contributing to spore production for future brassica crops. Frost heaving, sub-soil tillage, a rising water table, soil saturation and road and pipeline construction are possible ways that spores deep in the soil could get back to the main root zone and initiate disease. Governments constructing roads and petroleum companies constructing pipelines should be concerned about spreading resting spores on machinery from contaminated fields to fields free of clubroot. The strategy of removing the top layers of soil from a worksite to avoid having clean machinery as it leaves a contaminated field will likely not be effective at limiting resting spore movement and so should not be used because it will spread P. brassicae to fields free of clubroot. There are a number of modifications that could be made to the methods of the current study to improve the accuracy and consistency of the results. Sampling could be improved by increasing the number of cores per m2. Approximately 3 g of soil were collected from each level of the soil core, ground to a powder, and mixed thoroughly. Extracting larger cores or larger 55 samples per layer and then homogenizing the larger samples prior to DNA extraction may serve to smooth out some of the spikes in DNA concentrations. If soil aggregates were not ground to a fine powder, it is possible that a large proportion of the DNA would be lost in the extraction process. Another area to improve the method would be to remove or denature the DNA of dead cells prior to amplification. Non-viable resting spores may be present within the soil sample, and PCR cannot distinguish DNA of dead vs viable spores (Faggian and Strelkov, 2009). As a result, qPCR may over-estimate the inoculum potential in the soil. This may have an important effect on spore concentration estimates for some management studies (e.g. sanitation and fumigation), but may also affect estimates of vertical spore distribution. It is possible that older resting spores found deeper within the soil profile are no longer viable and as a result can no longer infect host plants and reduce yield. Quantification of non-viable resting spores in a sample could be an area of future research. Estimates of resting spore concentration based on direct counts conducted using manual extractions methods (Dhingra and Sinclair, 1985) were time consuming and did not correspond to the results from the qPCR. The process took a minimum of three days and was labour intensive. Large differences between estimates from different counts and qPCR were found between estimates that contained high resting spore concentration. It is possible that the extraction step involving a 40% sucrose concentration to maintain the resting spores in the supernatant becomes less efficient as spores per ml increase. As the concentration of spores in the suspension increases, spores are increasingly likely to clump together and settle with the mineral matter to the bottom of the beaker, which is later discarded. Also, direct counts from the 56 haemocytometer can be variable if the measured suspension is not mixed well or clumping of resting spores occurs. These errors can be avoided by using the qPCR method discussed in this chapter (Deora et al., 2015) to provide accurate results for detection and quantification. While many studies have focused on detecting if a field is contaminated with P. brassicae (Cao et al., 2007), the aim of this study was to determine the proportion of resting spores in fields known to be infested with P. brassicae. This is the first study to look at resting spores to a depth of 50 cm and to quantify their densities using qPCR in several different soil types. The results of this study have implications for growers, contractors constructing roads, private companies constructing pipelines as well as for researchers. Researchers and producers applying fumigants or biocontrols to reduce spore loads often need to apply the active ingredients to a depth below where the bulk of host brassica crop roots are active growing where secondary infection could develop before frost. Ultimately, this will increase the efficiency of management strategies, which will help brassica growers make practical decisions to increase yield, profit and sustainability. The observation that the resting spores of P. brassicae are often present deep in the soil profile may help to explain why the pathogen is so difficult to eradicate. The removal of topsoil will not remove the risk of heavy machinery (e.g. for road / pipeline construction or oil / gas exploration) coming into contact with spores. If contaminated machinery is not cleaned after leaving a clubroot-infested field before entering a clubroot-free field, resting spores may be spread to the non-infested field. 57 CHAPTER THREE - INFLUENCE OF TEMPERATURE AND SOIL MOISTURE ON CLUBROOT INCIDENCE AND SEVERITY 3.1 Introduction Clubroot is among the most destructive pathogen of brassicas worldwide. Management of this soil-borne pathogen is difficult and the resting spores are long-lived once a field is infested (Wallenhammar, 1996; Dixon, 2014). The potential geographic range of clubroot is still unknown and clubroot prediction models based on environmental factors would provide insights into the relative importance and impact of these factors on clubroot development (Turkington et al., 2004; Gossen et al., 2014). Clubroot prediction models can also be used to improve disease management strategies via modification of irrigation practices, seeding before a soil temperature is conducive for clubroot development, or providing a warning when the weather is conducive for clubroot development. Vegetable growers would then have the option of harvesting early to avoid potential yield loss. Knowledge of the relative importance of environmental factors can be used to identify locations where temperature and soil moisture conditions are outside the range for clubroot development and could help explain differences in the rate of clubroot spread in some areas. In the longer term, climate change may result in some areas becoming more suitable for pathogen development and increase the risk of clubroot establishment and development (Gossen et al., 2014). Climate models such as CLIMEX V2.0 software (Hearne Scientific Software Pty. Lit, Melborne, Australia) were used to predict the spread of clubroot in clubroot-free areas of the Canadian prairies (Turkington et al., 2004), but P. brassicae has already spread beyond the areas of high risk predicted by these models (Gossen et al., 2014). 58 Temperature and soil moisture are environmental factors that have an important influence on the germination of resting spores of P. brassicae, primary and secondary infection of the host and symptom development (Gossen et al., 2012b). An early study reported that resting spores required 14 °C for germination (Chupp, 1917), while later studies estimated the minimum temperature for clubroot development to be at least 18 °C (Colhoun, 1953). Temperatures between 27–30 °C were optimal for the germination of resting spores and infection of cabbage roots in a greenhouse setting (Chupp, 1917). Clubroot development in both Shanghai pak choy and canola was optimal between 20–26 °C, based on a quadratic response over the range of 12.5–30 °C (Sharma et al., 2011a). The highest incidence of root hair infection in canola (Gossen et al., 2013), cortical infection in Shanghai pak choy seedlings (Sharma et al., 2011a) and the number of mature and dehisced zoosporangia in cabbage roots (Gludovacz, 2013) occurred at 25 °C. In a recent study conducted at 25 °C, primary root hair infection took place as little as 1 day after a drench-applied inoculation and secondary zoospores were released approximately 3–5 days after primary infection had occurred (McDonald et al., 2014). Therefore, secondary infection can occur in as little as 4 days after inoculation (McDonald et al., 2014). At 25 °C, secondary symptom development was visible at as early as 10 days after inoculation (Sharma et al., 2011a). Environmental conditions outside of the optimal range for germination and infection reduce the incidence and severity of clubroot. Temperatures above 35 °C limit cortical infection and symptom development (Wellman, 1930), but are also unfavourable for crop development. It was nearly impossible to obtain infection between 10–18 °C (Chupp, 1917). At 14 °C, variable levels of clubroot severity were observed in cabbage, Chinese cabbage, mustard and radish 59 (Thuma et al., 1983). Similarly, little or no clubroot developed on Shanghai pak choy at temperatures at or below 17 °C (Sharma et al., 2012; Gossen et al., 2012b). In a controlled environment study using a temperature gradient plate, constant temperatures resulted in similar pathogen development than daily temperature fluctuations of 10 °C within the optimal range of 20–30 °C (Gludovacz, 2013). However, root hair infection occurred at temperatures as low as 12.5 °C. Seeding early or late in the season, when soil temperatures are low, can provide effective management of clubroot in short-season crops (McDonald et al., 2004; Gossen et al., 2012a). In canola, earlier seeding dates generally produce higher yields even without a P. brassicae interaction (Christensen et al., 1985), but clubroot development is reduced and yield is slightly increased in canola that is seeded in clubroot-infested soil early in the season (Hwang et al., 2012). Degree-day calculations are often used to summarize heat units to predict timing of a biological process, especially when these processes start above, or stop below a certain temperature (McMaster and Wilhelm, 1997). The effect of temperature on disease incidence or severity might be reflected more accurately with degree days than mean daily temperatures, since a degree day calculation involves a minimum base temperature. For example, a degree-day calculation might better represent the lack of disease development below the low temperature threshold of 14 °C, as compared to a daily average temperature. Accumulated degree days with a threshold of 12.2 °C based on soil temperatures was one of the most important variables for predicting clubroot severity on radish (Raphananus sativus L.) in muck soils (r = 0.73) (Thuma et al., 1983). A basic degree day equation is structured as follows: 60 °D = [(TMax + TMin)/2] - TBase Where TMax and TMin are the daily maximum and minimum temperatures, respectively, and TBase is the base or minimum temperature (McMaster and Wilhelm, 1997), which, in this case are thought to be the threshold for disease development (Gludovacz, 2013). Soil moisture is also important in the disease cycle of P. brassicae. Zoospores are equipped with twin flagellae, which they use to swim toward root hairs in the water film around soil particles (Dixon, 2014). Wet soils, where the moisture film between soil particles is continuous, are much more favourable for movement than drier soils (Dixon, 2014). Zoospores are attracted to root hairs by a nutrient gradient of root exudates found in moisture films (MacFarlane, 1970; Friburg et al., 2005). Root hairs may also aid zoospore movement as they absorb moisture from the rhizosphere and potentially pull zoospores towards them, but this has not been tested in any host-pathogen system. The minimum soil moisture level necessary for P. brassicae infection is not well understood. It is difficult to compare the various studies measuring the effect of soil moisture content on clubroot since studies use a variety of methods to describe soil moisture content, including gravimetric, volumetric and water holding capacity. Gravimetric soil moisture measurements are based on the ratio of the mass of water in the soil to the mass of the dry soil, and volumetric soil moisture is a ratio of the volume of water present in the soil divided by the total volume of water and dry soil. In an early study, clubroot incidence (CI) increased when soil moisture levels were between 40–70% gravimetric soil moisture, with 70% being most favourable for clubroot development (Colhoun, 1953). Subsequent studies have shown that a high gravimetric soil 61 moisture content of 80% favoured clubroot development, with substantial reductions in clubroot levels at soil moisture contents of 40 and 60% (Narisawa et al., 2005). In another study, clubroot development in mineral soil required gravimetric soil moisture levels of 9%, while in organic soils moisture levels of at least 60% were needed (Hamilton and Crête, 1978). Soil bulk density and clubroot infection are strongly correlated (r = 0.99) (Kasinathan, 2012). In mineral soil, a clubroot disease severity index (DSI) of 27 was observed in samples packed to a bulk density of 0.35 g/cm3,while samples with a higher density of 0.68g/ cm3 (muck soil) had a clubroot severity of 90 DSI (Kasinathan, 2012). There is wide variation in the literature among the soil moisture values that have been found to limit disease development and these differences are likely due to differences in soil texture, bulk density and pH. In radish (Raphanus sativus L.), temperature and rainfall were monitored and plants were harvested at 4 and 6 weeks after seeding and rated for clubroot severity (Thuma et al., 1983). Multiple regression analyses explained 59–73% of the variability in clubroot severity for plants harvested at 4 weeks and equations for plants harvested at 5 and 6 weeks were very similar (Thuma et al., 1983). Clubroot severity increased as a linear function of soil temperature or moisture individually (Thuma et al., 1983). Similarly, in another study on muck soils, mean air temperatures during crop development (range: 15–22 °C) for the season were positively correlated with clubroot incidence and severity for both Shanghai pak choy (r = 0.68), and Chinese flowering cabbage (B. rapa L. var. chinensis var. utilis (Tsen and Lee)) (r = 0.73) (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008). In the same study, clubroot incidence and severity on Shanghai pak choy (r = 0.82) and Chinese flowering cabbage (r = 0.84) were greatly influenced by air temperature during the last 10 days before harvest. In a more recent study, clubroot 62 severity was strongly correlated with season-long rainfall (range 68–173 mm) in both Shanghai pak choy (r = 0.74) and Chinese flowering cabbage (r = 0.83) (Gossen et al., 2012a). In canola, clubroot incidence and severity were correlated with accumulation of air degree days (r = 0.81 – 0.83) and soil degree days (r = 0.31 – 0.35) (Gludovacz, 2013). The objective of this research was to examine the relationship between weather conditions and clubroot development on canola and brassica vegetables under field conditions. It would then be possible to develop a linear regression model that describes clubroot development using temperature and rainfall data that can be easily obtained by a grower. The effect of temperature on infection and subsequent development of P. brassicae has been studied in detail under controlled conditions (Gossen et al., 2013), but the impact of soil moisture is less well understood. It is hypothesized that soil moisture and temperature will account for a large portion of the variability on clubroot incidence and severity. 3.2 Materials and Methods 3.2.1 Seeding All trials were conducted in organic soil (pH ~ 6.7, organic matter ~ 81%) naturally infested with P. brassicae pathotype 6 at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, Ontario in 2013 and 2014. Canola cv. ‘Invigor 5030 LL’ (Bayer CropScience, ON, Canada), which is moderately susceptible to pathotype 6 (Deora et al., 2012), was used. The canola seed was treated with carbathiin (50 g/L), clothianidin (285.7 g/L), metalaxyl (5.36 g/L) and trifloxystrobin (7.14 g/L) at a rate of 1.4 L per 100 kg of seed to control flea beetles up to the 4leaf stage as well as damping off, early season root rot and blackleg (Bayer CropScience, 63 Calgary, AB, Canada). Seeding dates were spaced at approximately 2-week intervals each year: 3 May, 15 May, 30 May, 12 June, 26 June, 9 July, 24 July and 7 August in 2013; and 8 May, 22 May, 4 June, 18 June, 3 July, 16 July, 30 July and 15 August in 2014. In 2014, Chinese flowering cabbage was also seeded at the same intervals as the canola. An Earthway® push seeder fitted with an Earthway® 1002-9 mustard disc was used to seed approximately 18 seeds per m of row. Each trial was designed as a randomized complete block design with four replications. Plots were 5 m long. There were seven rows per plot for canola and four rows per plot for Chinese flowering cabbage. Weeds were managed according to recommended commercial practices (OMAFRA, 2014), and flea beetles and Swede midge were managed using label rates of Actara® 240SC and Movento® 240 SC. In 2013, Swede midge caused damage in the 26 June, 9 July and 24 July seeding dates, causing many plants to die prematurely. Despite this, there were still enough plants to sample at the 4- and 6-week harvest dates. In 2014, a soil formulation instead of a foliar formulation of Actara® was applied in early June (as a result of mislabeling by a supplier), causing severe wilt on the Chinese flowering cabbage. As a result, the Chinese flowering cabbage seeded on 18 June and 3 July were removed from the trial. 3.2.2 Assessment In each replication, 50 canola plants were uprooted and assessed at approximately 14-day intervals starting 4 weeks after seeding. Fifty Chinese flowering cabbage plants were assessed at 4 and 6 weeks after seeding, and two 1-m-long rows were harvested at 6 weeks to assess total yield. Sampling of canola plants continued until all plants within a treatment reached a disease severity of 100, plants senesced, or frost terminated plant growth. All roots were assessed for 64 clubroot incidence (%) and severity using a 0–3 rating scale where 0 = no clubbing, 1 < 1/3 of root clubbing, 2 = 1/3 to 2/3 of root clubbing, and 3 > 2/3 of root clubbing. A standard disease severity index (DSI) was calculated with the following equation (Crête et al., 1963; Strelkov et al., 2006): ∑[(class no.)(no. of plants in each class)] DSI = (total no. plants per sample)(no. classes –1) x 100 The area under the disease progress curve (AUDPC) was calculated to combine multiple observations of disease progress into a single value so that intensity can be compared across years. An improved alternative to AUDPC was also calculated, as the area under the disease progress stairs (AUDPS) (Simko and Piepho, 2012), which provided a weighted estimate closer to the optimal to the first and last observations (Simko and Piepho, 2012). In this study, clubroot incidence and severity were measured at 4 and 6 weeks after seeding from multiple seeding dates throughout the growing season. Since only two observations over time were obtained, the use of AUDPC or AUDPS is limited since the observation points are also the first and the last observations. 3.2.3 Weather data ! Ambient air temperature was measured using a CR21X weather station (Campbell Scientific, Edmonton, AB, Canada) with a HMP35C probe positioned in the shade at 1.2 m above ground level in the field plots. Hourly mean air temperatures were recorded. Daily mean temperatures were calculated as maximum plus minimum temperature each day divided by two. A TE35C tipping bucket rain gauge placed less than 100 m from the trial was used to measure 65 rainfall, reported hourly. Cumulative rainfall over a given time period was calculated based on adding daily totals. In 2014, soil volumetric water content in the trial was measured using a EC-5 Soil Moisture Smart Sensor (Onset Computer Corporation, Bourne, MA, USA). The EC-5 Soil Moisture Smart Sensor uses a 70 MHz frequency to measure the dielectric constant of soil, which is primarily a function of soil water content (Decagon Devices, 2014). The result is volumetric soil moisture (volume of water per cubic m by the volume of soil, water and air space per cubic m (m3 m-3)). A value of 0.3 m3 m-3 or higher represents wet to saturated soil. The degree day equation for air temperatures was: °D = [(TMax + TMin)/2] – TBase Where TMax and TMin are the daily maximum and minimum temperatures, respectively, and TBase is the base temperature (McMaster and Wilhelm, 1997). A base temperature, TBase, of 14 °C was used, as a compromise between 12 °C where there was no clubroot development (Monteith, 1924) and 15 °C (Sharma et al., 2012) where clubroot development is possible (Gludovacz, 2013). The daily degree day values were added over each time period of interest, for instance 14 and 21 days after seeding. Cumulative degree days were used in all correlations. 3.2.4 Statistical analysis Analysis of variance was performed on clubroot incidence and severity (DSI) as well as AUDPC and AUDPS incidence and severity ratings using PROC MIXED (SAS software version 9.3, SAS Institute, Cary, NC). The data were tested for outliers using the Shapiro-Wilk test of 66 residuals and for normality using Lund's test. All of the data sets were normal and no outliers were identified. Means were separated using Tukey’s multiple mean comparison (Tukey, 1949). Correlations among clubroot incidence, clubroot severity, AUDPC and AUDPS clubroot incidence and severity ratings, and weather parameters based on different time intervals were conducted using PROC CORR. These parameters included mean daily air temperature, cumulative degree days, cumulative daily rainfall, and mean daily volumetric soil moisture (when available). Parameters were calculated at selected time points (0- and 1-week delays, 5– 10, 5–15, 7–14, 10–15, and 14–21 days after seeding or before harvest) to account for a potential lag in biological response to changing abiotic variables at different time points throughout the disease cycle. Linear correlations with these parameters were calculated with final disease levels at 6 weeks after seeding with seeding dates from 2013 and 2014 (n = 16). Similar seeding date trials using Chinese flowering cabbage from 1999–2002 (n = 15) (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008), 2008–2009 (n = 10) (Adhikari, 2010) and from canola trials from 2011 and 2012 (n = 9) (Gludovacz, 2013) were included in the analysis. Stepwise regression was conducted using PROC REG for final clubroot incidence and severity using the same environmental parameters (mean daily air temperature, rainfall, volumetric soil moisture and cumulative degree days) and selected time points as in the correlations. To validate the model, data of canola and Chinese flowering cabbage were pooled and randomly partitioned into two subsets using the random function in Microsoft® Excel 2008. One subset containing 35 seeding date treatments was used to produce the stepwise regression models, while the other subset containing 15 seeding dates was used to validate the model. 67 Stepwise regression significance levels were set at P = 0.15 to enter the model and P = 0.10 to stay. 3.3 Results 3.3.1 Weather The mean monthly air temperature for the growing season (May – October) was 1 °C higher than the 10-year average in 2013 and 0.4 °C higher in 2014 (Table 3.1). The highest monthly mean was 21.3 °C in July 2013. The Holland Marsh experienced above average rainfall in both years. During the 2013 growing season, rainfall was above average in every month except September, which resulted in over 100 mm more precipitation than normal over the duration of the trial. The cumulative monthly rainfall in 2014 was above average for June and September, below average for May and August and approximately the same as the 10-year average for July (Table 3.1), resulting in 60 mm more precipitation than the 10-year long-term average. There were no more than 10 days between rainfall events during the growing season in both 2013 and 2014 (Figures 3.2 and 3.3). Mean daily air temperatures were higher than the 14 °C threshold from 8 June to 4 September in 2013 and from 6 June to 11 September in 2014, except for two days (14 June and 14 August), where the mean temperature was 13 °C. In 2013, 119 days (3 May – 31 October, n = 183) had a mean temperature over 14 °C and in 2014, 114 days (8 May – 24 September, n = 140) had a mean temperature over 14 °C. 68 Table 3.1. Mean monthly air temperature and rainfall during the canola seeding date trials at the Holland Marsh, ON, 2013 and 2014. Temperature (°C) Rainfall (mm) Month and Year 2013 May June July August September October Average temperature and total rainfall 2014 May June July August September Average temperature and total rainfall 1 Long-term LTA1 Actual LTA1 Actual 12.9 17.8 20.4 19.2 15.0 8.7 15.7 14.7 18.5 21.3 19.6 15.3 10.5 16.7 74 76 86 80 83 69 468 112 94 104 87 83 92 572 12.9 17.8 20.4 19.2 15.0 17.1 13.6 19.4 19.3 19.1 15.6 17.4 74 76 86 80 83 399 54 114 87 62 147 464 average (10-year mean) (Muck Vegetable Cultivar and Research Report, 2013). 69 Figure 3.1. Mean daily air temperature and daily precipitation at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2013. 70 Figure 3.2. Mean daily air temperature, soil moisture and daily precipitation at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2014. 71 3.3.2 Clubroot incidence and severity In 2013, clubroot levels increased over time and two seeding dates, 15 May and 12 June, reached 100% incidence at 24 weeks and 18 weeks after seeding, respectively (Figure 3.3, A3.11). Disease severity (DSI) followed a similar pattern. A rating of 95 DSI or higher was reached by the last harvest on canola seeded on the first four dates, 3 May, 15 May, 30 May, and 12 June (Figure A4.4). There was a decline in clubroot incidence and severity in the 26 June seeding. This was likely due to stunted growth of the plants during peak Swede midge damage around July 24. Environmental conditions in 2014 were conducive for clubroot development, and five seeding date treatments reached 100% incidence and severity: 22 May, 4 June, 18 June, 3 July, and 16 July while the remainder of seeding dates had a DSI of 90 or above (Table A3.9). Maximum severity on canola developed within 6 weeks after seeding on 3 July, and 16 July (Figure 3.4). Canola seeded on the first date, 8 May, gradually developed symptoms throughout the season but did not reach 100% incidence before senescence, which occurred 18 weeks after seeding (Figure 3.4, A3.12). Chinese flowering cabbage was seeded and harvested at the same time as canola in 2014, with the exception of the treatments seeded on 18 June and 3 July that were sprayed with the incorrect insecticide formulation and removed from the trial (described in 3.2 Materials and Methods). Plants that were seeded earlier in the season developed less clubroot than those planted later (Table 3.2). Flowering cabbage was found to have a slightly lower incidence of clubroot (range 5–95%, mean = 55%) than canola (‘InVigor 5030’) (range 5–100%, mean = 74%) at 6 weeks after seeding in 2014, as has been reported previously (Adhikari, 2010; Deora et 72 al., 2012). Clubroot severity showed a similar trend, with flowering cabbage having a DSI of 4– 90% (mean = 47%) and canola at 4–100% (mean = 66%). Clubroot incidence and severity on flowering cabbage were slightly but consistently lower than canola, with the exception of the treatment planted on 30 July. However, the trends were similar and clubroot incidence (r = 0.91) and severity (r = 0.87) of the two crops were strongly correlated. In an initial analysis, a linear adjustment factor created by obtaining an average difference between the two crops was used to adjust the CI and DSI of flowering cabbage to be similar to canola (not shown). However, correlations and regression parameters were not improved after this linear adjustment factor was applied. As a result, previous data from seeding date trials with flowering cabbage from years 1999–2002 (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008) and 2008–2009 (Adhikari, 2010) were added directly to the pool of canola data. Previous seeding dates using canola cv. ‘InVigor 5030 LL’ from 2011 and 2012 were combined with canola seeding dates from this current study (Gludovacz, 2013). By adding data from flowering cabbage and the previous canola trial to the data set for canola from 2013–2014, an additional 34 data points were added to the model. 73 Figure 3.3. Clubroot incidence on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2013. There were no significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test at P = 0.05. Figure 3.4. Clubroot incidence on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON in 2014. Significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test at P = 0.05 are presented in Table A3.9. 74 Table 3.2. Clubroot incidence (%) at 4 and 6 weeks after seeding on flowering cabbage planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2014. Clubroot incidence by seeding dates 8 May 22 May 4 June 18 June 3 July 16 July 30 July 15 August 4 WAS1 6 WAS 1Weeks 0 5 0 47 1 . . . 2 59 76 95 48 48 0 76 after seeding Table 3.3. Linear correlations (r) between clubroot incidence or severity 6 weeks after seeding and temperature, air degree days and rainfall during the various time intervals for 47 seeding dates of canola cv. ‘InVigor 5030 LL’ and Chinese flowering cabbage grown at the Holland Marsh, ON in 1999–20141,3. Variable and time interval Sample size Incidence Severity r p r p Temperature First 14 days after seeding First 21 days after seeding 7–14 days after seeding 7–21 days after seeding 14–21 days after seeding Last 14 days before sampling Last 21 days before sampling 5–10 days before sampling 10–15 days before sampling 5–15 days before sampling 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 0.26 0.29 0.28 0.32 0.21 0.05 0.10 0.09 -0.11 -0.00 NS 0.047 NS 0.03 NS NS NS NS NS NS 0.19 0.21 0.20 0.23 0.15 -0.07 -0.02 0.00 -0.20 -0.10 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS Degree days2 Total Total (7 day delay) First 14 days after seeding First 21 days after seeding 7–14 days after seeding 7–21 days after seeding 14–21 days after seeding Last 14 days before sampling Last 21 days before sampling 5–10 days before sampling 10–15 days before sampling 5–15 days before sampling 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 50 0.19 0.16 0.21 0.26 0.22 0.27 0.20 0.05 0.08 0.15 0.23 -0.02 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS 0.06 0.03 0.13 0.16 0.13 0.17 0.13 -0.08 -0.06 0.04 0.21 -0.13 NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS NS 75 Variable and time interval Sample size Incidence Severity r p r p -0.08 0.03 -0.13 0.04 -0.21 -0.09 NS -0.01 0.09 -0.05 0.07 -0.16 -0.09 NS NS NS NS NS NS Rainfall (mm) Total Total (7 day delay) First 2 weeks after seeding First 3 weeks after seeding Last 2 weeks before sampling Last 3 weeks before sampling 50 50 50 50 50 50 Soil moisture (volumetric %) First 14 days after seeding First 21 days after seeding 5–10 days after seeding 10–15 days after seeding 5–15 days after seeding Last 14 days before sampling Last 21 days before sampling 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 NS NS NS NS NS 0.01 -0.57 0.008 -0.56 0.02 -0.52 0.02 -0.53 0.005 0.009 -0.60 -0.57 0.01 0.02 -0.55 -0.52 NS -0.46 0.04 -0.43 0.02 -0.36 NS -0.51 0.04 -0.30 NS -0.45 1 Plants were assessed for clubroot symptoms at 6 weeks after seeding. Mean daily ambient temperature, cumulative degree days, cumulative daily rainfall, and mean daily volumetric soil moisture were calculated for the specified time intervals. 2 Degree Days = [(T max + Tmin) / 2] - Tbase where Tbase = 14 °C. 3Values in bold are significant at P < 0.05. 3.3.3 Model calibration Stepwise regression was used to indicate the parameters that could be used for a clubroot incidence or severity model. Environmental parameters that had a high positive autocorrelation from the correlation analysis were removed before the stepwise regression was conducted (Legendre, 1993). Harvesting 6 weeks after seeding was chosen as the optimum time to assess clubroot incidence and severity based on the results of earlier studies. In the current study, assessments of canola continued until all plants within a treatment reached a severity of 100, plants senesced, or frost terminated plant growth, allowing for different time-points to be used for correlations. 76 Using the disease assessments at 8 weeks after seeding resulted in weaker correlations (data not shown). Therefore, 6 weeks after seeding was retained as the best time point for assessing the effects of environment parameters on clubroot development. Stepwise regression showed that clubroot incidence increased with increasing daily mean air temperature 7–21 days after seeding and with season-long total rainfall with a 1-week delay. Mean air temperature at 7–21 days after seeding (range = 13.8–23.3 °C) accounted for 22% of the variation and season-long total rainfall with a 1-week delay (range = 17.8–211.9 mm) accounted for 9% of the variation (Table 3.4, Figures 3.6, 3.7). Similarly, severity increased with mean air temperature at 14–21 days after seeding (15%) and with season total rainfall with a 1week delay, which accounted for 11% of the variation in the model (Table 3.4, Figures 3.8–3.9). Table 3.4. Stepwise regression of the effect of rainfall, air temperature degree days (°D), air temperature and soil moisture over selected time intervals on clubroot incidence (CI) and severity (DSI) over time on flowering cabbage and canola based on 35 seeding dates at the Holland Marsh, ON. Step CI Parameter Partial R2 Model R2 F Value Pr > F 1 Air temperature 7–21 days after seeding 0.22 0.22 9.14 0.005 2 Total precipitation with a 1-week delay 0.09 0.31 4.10 0.05 DSI 1 Air temperature 7–21 days after seeding 0.15 0.15 5.70 0.02 2 Total precipitation with a 1-week delay 0.11 0.26 4.75 0.05 CI = -91.77 + 5.69 × (Air temperature 7–21 days after seeding) + 0.18 × (Total precipitation with a 1-week delay). DSI = -70.50 + 4.11 × (Air temperature 7–21 days after seeding) + 0.17 × (Total precipitation with a 1-week delay). 77 y = 4.4x - 45.7 R2 = 0.39 P = 0.005 Figure 3.5. Linear regression relationship between mean air temperature at 7–21 days after seeding and validation set of clubroot incidence six weeks after seeding on canola and flowering cabbage at the Holland Marsh, ON showing scatter plot of individual data points and best fit linear regression. (n = 47). Figure 3.6. Scatter plot of individual data points between season total rainfall with a 1-week delay after seeding and validation set of clubroot incidence on canola and flowering cabbage six weeks after seeding at the Holland Marsh, ON (n = 47). 78 Figure 3.7. Scatter plot of individual data points between mean air temperature 7–21 days after seeding and validation set of clubroot severity on canola and flowering cabbage six weeks after seeding at the Holland Marsh, ON (n = 47). Figure 3.8. Scatter plot of individual data points between season total rainfall with a 1-week delay after seeding and validation set of clubroot severity on canola and flowering cabbage six weeks after seeding at the Holland Marsh, ON (n = 47). 79 3.3.4 Influence of soil moisture There was a negative relationship between soil moisture and clubroot incidence for all of the available data from canola grown in 2012 (Gludovacz, 2013, n = 6) and this trial (2014, n = 8) (Table 3.3). Mean soil moisture 5–10 days after seeding showed a negative correlation for disease incidence (r = -0.60) and severity (r = -0.57) (Figures 3.9 and 3.11). The mean volumetric soil moisture was 0.35 m3 m-3 (range = 0.27–0.48 m3 m-3) in 2012 and 0.22 m3 m-3 (range = 0.11–0.29 m3 m-3) in 2014. Figure 3.9. Relation between soil moisture 5–10 days after seeding and clubroot incidence on canola six weeks after seeding at the Holland Marsh, ON in 2012 and 2014 (n = 14). 80 Figure 3.10. Relation between soil moisture 5–10 days after seeding and clubroot disease severity on canola six weeks after seeding at the Holland Marsh, ON in 2012 and 2014 (n = 14). 3.3.5 Model validation Thirty of forty-seven (63.8%) of deviations between predicted and observed clubroot incidence values were within the range of ± 20%. The highest absolute deviation was 70%. When clubroot incidence was over 50%, the model predicted values to be higher than they actually were (Figure 3.11). All deviations over +35% were treatments from 2014 where environmental conditions proved to be very conducive for pathogen development. Treatments from 1999–2013 had deviations between -34% and +34% (Figure A4.1). Similar results were found for the prediction of clubroot severity. The highest absolute deviation between observed and predicted values was 78 DSI and the majority of values fell within the range of ± 20%. The highest deviations were found when 100% incidence or 100 DSI 81 was encountered (Figure 3.12). All deviations over +29% were treatments from 2014; treatments from 1999–2013 had deviations between -29% and +29% (Figure A4.1). Figure 3.11. Deviation of predicted clubroot incidence from observed clubroot incidence on canola and flowering cabbage (n = 47) grown for 6 weeks at the Holland Marsh, ON. Figure 3.12. Deviation of predicted clubroot severity from observed severity on canola and flowering cabbage (n = 47) grown for 6 weeks at the Holland Marsh, ON. 82 3.4 Discussion Soil moisture and temperature are most important factor influencing the development of many plant diseases, including clubroot. This study, combined with data from past studies from as early as 1999, found a trend of increasing clubroot incidence and severity with increasing air temperature up to 3 weeks after seeding (r = 0.29–0.32). There was also a trend of decreasing disease with increasing soil moisture (r = -0.52 to -0.60), which is consistent with previous studies (Thuma et al., 1983). The increase in incidence with increasing mean temperature during the first 21 days and 7–21 days after seeding is consistent with what is known about temperature effects on the various stages of the disease cycle of P. brassicae on canola. Primary zoospores infect root hairs of very young roots and secondary infection occurs ~5 days after primary infection at temperatures of 20–25 °C and with sufficient moisture. If canola and flowering cabbage seeds germinated 2 days after seeding and became infected, cortical infection and development would begin about 7 days after seeding and show symptoms as early as 10 days after inoculation (Sharma et al., 2011a). In a previous study, seedlings infected at an earlier stage of development resulted in a higher disease severity compared to plants with infection delayed by a week or more (Hwang et al., 2012). Increasing mean temperature 7–21 days after seeding is a reasonable environmental parameter for this model since seedlings infected 1 week after seeding should result in higher disease severity if conditions are favourable. The temperature range known to allow for P. brassicae development (above 14 °C and below 30 °C) under controlled conditions (Sharma et al., 2011a; Sharma et al., 2012; Gludovacz et al., 2013) occurred throughout most of the growing season. Mean daily temperature fell below this range only in the earliest seeding date and at the end of the growing season. The lack of a 83 clear and consistent correlation between temperature and clubroot symptoms in this study may be associated with the relatively narrow range of temperature assessed in the two years of the current trial. In 2013, the period from 8 June until 4 September and in 2014, 6 June until 10 August (with the exception of two days), were warm enough to be conducive for pathogen development. Half of the 16 possible seeding dates fell entirely within this range of conducive temperatures, while the other eight seeding date treatments had various portions of development outside the conducive zone. Of the 8 seeding dates with daily averages outside the conducive zone of disease development, there were 53 days in 2013 and 42 days in 2014 for the duration of the seeding date to its 6-week assessment. Similar dates where the temperature remained over 14 °C were recorded in 2011 (3 June to 26 August) and 2012 (5 June to 8 September) which accounted for a large proportion of the treatments in both years (Gludovacz, 2013). Since treatments were generally started as soon as possible in the early spring, seeding even later in the season would be an alternative for a treatment to experience a 6-week period where the mean daily temperature remained below 14 °C, however, depending upon the year, frost makes this strategy difficult to achieve under normal environmental conditions in Ontario. Seeding dates with a clubroot incidence of less than 5% and a DSI of 5 (n = 6) generally were seeded in early May or late in the summer (Table A3.5). The seeding dates with low or no clubroot development at 6 weeks after seeding also experienced low average temperatures at 7– 21 days after seeding (treatment mean = 16.3 °C, season mean = 18.8 °C), total air degree days (108 °D, mean 203 °D) and near average total rainfall (118 mm, mean 111 mm) (data not shown). When finding thresholds for clubroot development, there are many seeding dates that had a clubroot incidence of more than 5% and a DSI greater than 5 that have lower mean 84 temperatures and air degree days than seeding dates with very little clubroot. Mean temperatures above 18.5 °C at 3 weeks after seeding were associated with incidence of > 5% only 50% of the time. Thresholds for the initiation of clubroot development in the field likely lie within a mean temperature at 7–21 days after seeding of 14–18.5 °C, but the interaction with other factors such as soil moisture and precipitation make finding a threshold difficult. More treatments with temperatures outside the zone that is conducive for pathogen development are necessary to determine a threshold for clubroot development. Abnormally high mean monthly temperatures and above average rainfall, resulting in over 100 mm more precipitation than averages were experienced in the 2013 growing season. Even though there was higher mean monthly temperatures and above average rainfall in 2013, clubroot levels were higher in 2014. High rainfall often decreased clubroot development. There was a negative correlation between total rainfall (r = -0.54) and clubroot incidence when data from 2013 and 2014 were analyzed separately. Rainfall was not correlated with clubroot development on flowering cabbage in 1999–2002 (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008). Since plots were irrigated before seeding if the soil was dry, the high water-holding capacity of the highorganic-matter soil resulted in sufficient soil moisture for clubroot development throughout the growing season (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008). Accumulated rainfall at 2 weeks after seeding was correlated (r = 0.59 and r = 0.33) with clubroot severity in radish grown in Carlisle muck soil near Hartville, Ohio in 1980 and 1981 (Thuma et al., 1983). In the same study, soil moisture was negatively correlated (r = -0.25) with severity in 1981. More recently, a strong correlation (r = 1) between clubroot severity and accumulated precipitation at 30 days after seeding was reported on canola in 2010–2011 (Adhikari, 2012). 85 Stepwise regression was used to examine the relationships between weather parameters and clubroot incidence and severity 6 weeks after seeding. Since only one year of soil moisture data was collected in the current study, these data were not included in the stepwise regression models. The best predictive parameters for forecasting clubroot incidence and severity at 6 weeks was mean air temperature and air degree days at 7–21 days after seeding and season total rainfall with a 1-week delay. In 2013 and 2014, no irrigation was applied nor necessary, and there was a negative correlation between soil moisture two weeks after seeding and clubroot incidence (r = -0.59) and severity (r = -0.66) when soil moisture was measured in 2014. A negative relationship between clubroot levels and soil moisture has been reported previously (Thuma et al., 1983), but is difficult to reconcile this relationship with the requirement for soil moisture to facilitate zoospore movement. It is possible that since soil moisture was likely conducive for clubroot incidence and severity throughout the season, that temperature was more of a limiting environmental parameter. It is also possible that once a minimum soil moisture threshold was reached for zoospore movement, extra soil moisture may have caused resting spores to be washed downward via precipitation (Dixon, 2014). With a greater amount of moisture, lower resting spore concentrations per mL of water might result, causing a decrease in infection. Additionally, greater soil moisture levels might dilute the root exudates that act as triggers for resting spore germination. Soil moisture levels also tend to be the highest after accumulated snow melts in the spring. The average daily temperatures at the start of the season are colder, which would result in lower amounts of clubroot incidence or severity. The level of moisture necessary for infection is unknown, and several studies that values above some threshold do not produce greater amounts 86 of disease. In mineral soil, the critical moisture level was below 9% soil moisture (25% of water holding capacity). In muck soil, the threshold moisture level to cause clubroot was found to require soil moisture levels above 45% and below 60% soil moisture (40% of water holding capacity) (Hamilton and Crête, 1978). In the current study on muck soil, average volumetric soil moisture was 0.35 m3 m-3 in 2012 and 0.22 m3 m-3 in 2014. When the data from 2012 and 2014 were combined, all of the parameters measured for soil moisture had a negative correlation with clubroot incidence and severity. While soil moisture at 5–10 days had the strongest association with clubroot incidence (r = 0.60) and severity (r = 0.57), soil moisture 2 and 3 weeks after seeding, as well as at 5–15 and 10–15 days after seeding, were also significant for both incidence and severity (r = -0.52 to r = -0.57). Seeding susceptible brassicas as early as possible minimized clubroot severity in the current study as well as previous studies at the Holland Marsh (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008; Gossen et al., 2012a). Clubroot severity developed slowly on the first seeding of canola each year, but developed much more quickly in later seeding date treatments. In 2014, the 8 May seeding took 16 weeks to reach a DSI of 98.5, yet crops planted later quickly reached a DSI of 100. This observation supports the conclusions of studies in Alberta, where the delay of infection for several weeks after seeding canola or early seeding had a positive impact on seed yield and a negative impact on clubroot severity (Hwang et al., 2012a). The degree-day calculation was based on a threshold of TBase = 14 °C, where temperatures below 14 °C would not be suitable for clubroot development. A previous study (Gludovacz, 2013) used 14 °C as a compromise among the diverse estimates of the lower threshold from previous studies (Monteith, 1924; Thuma et al.; 1983; Sharma; 2011; Gossen et al., 2012a). 87 Sharma (2011) found no clubroot development at 10 and 15 °C, while Monteith (1924) reported no clubroot development at 12 °C. A TBase = 12 °C was chosen based on ratings of field-grown radishes in 1980 using a regression with mean soil temperature (Thuma et al., 1983). Controlled environment studies on Shanghai pak choy demonstrated that temperatures below 17 °C slowed or halted clubroot development (Gossen et al., 2012a). In the current study, preliminary results (not shown) demonstrated that a TBase of 14 °C provided stronger correlations between clubroot incidence and severity with the multiple time intervals tested. A TBase of 14 °C provided an estimate of the minimum threshold for clubroot development based on symptom development at these low temperatures. In both 2011 and 2012, correlations with clubroot incidence were stronger when accumulated season total rainfall and degree days of soil temperature were assessed with a 1-wk delay (Gludovacz, 2013). In the current study, correlations between air degree days in 2013 and 2014 were not significant in canola, most likely because suitable temperatures for clubroot development were present across most of the growing season. Accumulated seasonal rainfall was also not correlated with clubroot incidence or severity in 2013 and 2014. Clubroot incidence of 20% and severity of 20 DSI or greater for 13 of the 16 possible seeding dates may indicate that environmental parameters for these seeding dates were conducive for clubroot development. With only three seeding dates with low clubroot levels, it comes as no surprise that direct relations between environmental parameters and clubroot incidence and severity were weak. When the additional two years of data from the study by Gludovacz (2012) were added to that from the current study, there is still a large amount of unexplained variation. Year-to-year variability was high, which rendered the model unsuitable for prediction. In both 2013 and 2014, 88 the Holland Marsh experienced monthly mean temperature and rainfall amounts close to the long-term average, yet clubroot was much more severe than in 2011 and 2012. Between 1999 and 2009, incidence in flowering cabbage (moderately susceptible) never exceeded 70% (mean = 28%) or 50 DSI (mean = 18 DSI) at 6 weeks after seeding. In 2013, flowering cabbage had a mean incidence of 73% and 67 DSI at 6 weeks after seeding, and 94% incidence and 90 DSI in 2014. A similar pattern of response was observed in canola cv. ‘InVigor 5030’, with the highest incidence at 6 weeks of 30% in 2011 and 67% in 2012 (Gludovacz, 2012) compared to 52% in 2013 and 100% in 2014. Each year showed an increase in the maximum clubroot incidence and severity, with the exception of incidence in 2013. Six of the eight seeding dates from 2014 showed the highest variation between predicted and observed incidence and severity when the stepwise regression model was utilized (Table A3.6). The eight seeding dates from 2014 had an average deviation of +40 incidence and severity when predicted values were compared to observed values. The environment in 2014 may have been extremely favourable for pathogen development, but it is more likely that the trial location experienced a large increase of inoculum from the 2013 growing season. The majority of the 2014 trial was positioned in the same location as the 2013 trial, and the entire area was rototilled several times prior to 2014 seeding in attempt to thoroughly mix the soil and provide uniform disease pressure throughout the study area. Previous seeding date trials (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008; Adhikari, 2010; Gludovacz, 2013) were conducted in approximately the same location as the current study. Resting spore concentrations could have increased dramatically with each successive trial. Assessments based on manual extraction (Dhingra and Sinclair, 1985) showed that there were 1.3 × 106 resting spores g-1 soil in 2009, 9.0 × 106 resting spores g-1 soil in 2010 (Saude et al., 2011), and 2.4 × 107 89 resting spores g-1 soil in 2011 (Kasinathan, 2012). Estimates of resting spore numbers at this site using real time qPCR in 2013 were as high as 4.7 x 107 resting spores g-1 soil (Table A2.4). It is also possible that a pathotype shift has occurred, causing a breakdown of the moderate susceptibility of flowering cabbage and intermediate resistance of canola cv. ‘InVigor 5030’ (Deora et al., 2012) to pathotype 6. However, this latter possibility is unlikely because pathotype shifts are more likely to occur when resistant cultivars are planted and the selection pressure for virulent pathotypes is increased. There are small differences in the susceptibility of canola and Chinese flowering cabbage and the inoculum density has definitely increased from 1999. While the soil type has remained unchanged for all the seeding dates used within this study, it may be difficult to convert results obtained from muck soil to mineral soil used in canola and other brassica vegetable production. This research adds data to further the development of a calibrated clubroot forecast model that has potential to be integrated into a clubroot management program. Modification of irrigation practices, seeding before the soil temperature is conducive for disease development or harvesting before a potential yield loss could help lower the effect of clubroot. 90 CHAPTER FOUR - GENERAL DISCUSSION Plasmodiophora brassicae causes a complex disease that remains difficult to manage. The recent development of a new pathotype that is virulent on canola cultivars that previously were clubroot resistant demonstrates the need for continued research on disease management. The research described in this thesis addressed questions important to the understanding of the pathogen’s biology as well as increasing the effectiveness of applied management strategies. The effectiveness of qPCR was compared with manual extractions to quantify resting spore concentrations in naturally infested soil. Also, the vertical distribution of resting spores within the soil profile of multiple soil types was explored. The effect of the interaction of temperature and soil moisture on P. brassicae development was investigated for use in a clubroot prediction model. The knowledge gained from this research will strengthen existing management strategies as well as influence novel practices in the future. This is the first study to look at resting spores to a depth of 50 cm in different soil types. This research supports the results of previous trials, which indicate that qPCR is an effective method to quantify resting spore concentrations in naturally infested soil (Deora et al., 2015), and has demonstrated that it represents an improvement in estimates based on manual extraction. The current study demonstrated that soil type and stratification has a substantial influence on the vertical distribution of resting spores. Future studies of resting spores movement throughout the soil profile may offer additional strategies to growers of high value brassica crops, such as irrigation to flush resting spores downward and away from plant roots. 91 Information on the vertical distribution of resting spores is important for determining the depth of treatments, such as fumigation and other disease management practices as well as for optimizing sampling for assessment of pathogen incidence and inoculum pressure. The results of this study demonstrated that the distribution of resting spores was highly variable and large concentrations capable of causing severe disease symptoms were found at depths 50 cm below the soil profile. Removing the top layers of soil will not prevent resting spores from contaminating machinery used for pipeline or road construction. We conclude that equipment should be cleaned before leaving a clubroot-infested field. Researchers testing fumigants, biocontrols or other strategies aimed at decreasing resting spore levels, especially eradication, need to consider the implications of resting spores below the level of application. Applying such management strategies to the full rhizosphere will be difficult, and devising alternative application methods may be the only option if eradication is necessary. Prior to the research reported here, there had been only one previous study that investigated the vertical distribution of resting spores, which reported that these spores were highly concentrated in the upper 5 cm of the soil (Kim et al., 2000). These estimates were based on experiments that were conducted with a modified form of manual extraction that required a substantial amount of skill and took several days to process a sample. A simpler process to rapidly detect and accurately quantify live resting spore populations in the soil profile in various soil types was needed. A novel qPCR protocol was used to quantify resting spores in the soil profile in naturally infested fields in Canada. The hypothesis that there would be few or no spores present 30 cm below the soil surface was rejected. Large concentrations of spores were 92 found below the plough layer at several locations, and these concentrations were high enough to cause disease given they were viable. Quantitative PCR has recently been shown to be a high-throughput method of assessing the concentration of resting spores in soil or other substrates, with detection limits of 104 P. brassicae resting spores g-1 soil (Deora et al., 2015). Values near the lower limit of detection are at risk of providing false negative values because the quantified value is outside the lowest concentration of the standard curve (Bilodeau et al., 2012). Samples near the lower limit of detection also tend to have a greater variation among replications since there are low amounts of target DNA present (Bilodeau et al., 2012). A TaqMan multiplex system was used for the detection of P. brassicae in soil samples with a competitive internal positive control (CIPC) to quantify inhibition so accuracy and precision near the detection limit are increased (Deora et al., 2015). Primers contained an amplified region of 90 bp of the internal transcribed spacer (ITS1) region of the P. brassicae genome and amplified both the CIPC and the target P. brassicae DNA. Assays were normalized by adjusting values when the cycle threshold (Cq) value of the CIPC rose above the CIPC of the negative control. Samples with high levels of inhibition were diluted 10 and 15 times and assayed again to obtain a lower ∆Cq value. When acceptable amounts of inhibition were detected, a formula developed by Bilodeau (2011) was used to estimate a more precise quantity of P. brassicae DNA present. For example, without a CIPC, one sample from Bassano, AB had an initial concentration of 2.4 x 104 resting spores g-1 soil (Table A2.6). With inhibition quantified, the same sample were adjusted to 9.0 x 104, over three times greater than its original concentration. This improved precision, along with a decrease in time needed to analyze a sample, makes this method superior to manual extractions and bioassays for 93 quantifying resting spores, whether they are from different soil layers or as a detection method for fields that may be infested with P. brassicae. In the past, bioassays were one of the only ways to measure efficiency of management strategies, however, bioassays are often unable to differentiate between soil with 1 x 104 resting spores g-1 soil or with 1 x 107 spores g-1 soil since both concentrations are capable of causing severe clubroot symptoms. Even if a management strategy reduced the spore load by 90%, there are still more than enough resting spores g-1 soil to cause severe disease. However, molecular methods and manual extraction have the drawback that they cannot differentiate between a live and dead P. brassicae resting spores since the amplification of DNA is non-selective (Martin et al., 2012). Research is already underway to develop a method where only the DNA from viable resting spores will be amplified, which might provide a more accurate assessment of the effectiveness of management strategies (F. Al-Daoud, personal communication). Preliminary results provide evidence that PMA (propidium monoazide) only crosses into non-viable cells of many microbes and inhibits subsequent amplification by qPCR (Nocker, et al., 2006; Pan and Breidt, 2007). Future research should also confirm whether precipitation is the primary cause of downward resting spore movement. Undisturbed mineral soil cores with a set amount of resting spores placed on the soil surface and a method of catching and quantifying the percentage of resting spores found in the leachate would allow us to understand the role of precipitation in downward spore movement. Another potential trial could involve testing water from field tiles for P. brassicae DNA after a sufficient amount of precipitation has occurred. These results may 94 determine whether there is potential for brassica growers to contaminate their crops by using this water to irrigate. A clubroot forecast model that could be integrated into a clubroot management strategy would be useful, but more sampling treatments with temperature, soil moisture or other parameters outside the conducive zone for clubroot development are necessary to reduce the amount of unexplained variation in the model. Seeding dates with a clubroot incidence of less than 5% and a DSI of 5 (n = 6) generally were seeded in early May or late in the summer, and while they usually experienced low average temperatures at 7–21 days after seeding, this was not always the case. Treatments with low clubroot incidence and severity often occurred at the beginning of the growing season, which is also when the field is at, or near, water-holding capacity (Gludovacz, 2013). It is unclear how soil moisture levels and temperatures in different combinations influence clubroot incidence and severity. Temperatures over 14 °C may not be necessary for all stages of clubroot development. Primary plasmodia developed at a high frequency at 12.5 °C (Gludovacz, 2013), but mature zoospores are not yet formed or released (Sharma et al., 2011b). It is likely that primary infection has occurred at levels below 14 °C, but secondary infection resulting in clubroot symptoms developed only above 15 °C (Sharma et al., 2011a). Cumulative degree days may be an inaccurate parameter for use in a model. Both clubroot development and cumulative degree days increase over time, resulting in a correlation. Degree days generally accumulate at a slower rate early in the season. Plants that were seeded early and developed clubroot symptoms at later growth stages produced greater yield than those planted later in the season (Hwang et al., 2012a). 95 There was a negative correlation between soil moisture and clubroot incidence and severity. This correlation has been reported previously (Thuma et al., 1983), but is not consistent across all such trials (McDonald and Westerveld, 2008; Adhikari, 2010; Gludovacz, 2013). Soil moisture is required both for zoospores to swim and for kinetic penetration of zoospores into root hairs and cortical tissue (Dixon, 2009). Interestingly, a negative correlation was found in this study between soil moisture and clubroot incidence (r = -0.60) and severity (r = 0.57) 5–10 days after seeding in 2013 and 2014. While surprising, these results are consistent with a previous study involving canola, where clubroot incidence and severity two weeks after seeding were negatively correlated with soil moisture in 2011 and 2012 (Gludovacz, 2013), and a negative interaction between total rainfall and clubroot incidence (r = 0.25) in radish was observed in 1980 (Thuma et al., 1983). While it is not certain, a previous author has suggested that rainfall and, subsequently excess moisture causes the downward movement of resting spores away from the developing brassica root and, therefore, reduces disease incidence (Gludovacz, 2013). A greater amount of moisture could also lower resting spore concentrations per mL, resulting in a decrease in infection or a decrease in concentration of root exudates, which are responsible for resting spore germination. Finding the threshold to determine the exact volumetric soil moisture level that limits clubroot development will be difficult. An ideal experiment would include a precise irrigation system using multiple soil moisture sensors to maintain a soil moisture level by automatically watering when necessary, and a computer network to control different soil moisture levels. Manually watering plants based on soil moisture measurements every day could achieve the same result, however labour and daily fluctuations in soil moisture may be limiting factors. 96 Susceptible or intermediate-resistant canola cultivars could be planted in naturally infested mineral soil in pots in a controlled environment. The plants in such a study would experience the same light conditions, and the experiment could be repeated at different temperatures if necessary to clearly identify the relationships among soil moisture, temperature and clubroot incidence and severity. The current study was conducted on high-organic-matter muck soil at the Holland Marsh because the Muck Crops Research Station provided a research site naturally infested with P. brassicae. Only two comparable research sites are available in western Canada. In western Canada, canola is grown on mineral soil. This means that for a model to work on mineral soils, additional trials in mineral soils would be required. Strict sanitation requirements and limited space make it difficult to conduct similar trials at the Alberta Agriculture and Food clubroot nursery in Edmonton or the clubroot site at Bassano in southern Alberta. It would be valuable for future seeding date trials on canola in Canada investigating the effects of soil moisture and temperature to seed a bulk amount of treatments early and late in the season. Weather conditions midway through the season are conducive for clubroot development and likely will not be useful for calculating parameter thresholds. Future seeding dates should confirm the negative relationship between clubroot levels and soil moisture which was found in this study and has been reported previously (Thuma et al., 1983). The properties of high organic muck soil are substantially different compared to mineral soil. Mineral soil has smaller pores, lower water holding capacity and a higher bulk density than muck soil (Kasinathan, 2012). A recent study has shown that high levels of clubroot were found in both much and mineral soil when there was high moisture (Kasinathan, 2012). Clubroot levels 97 were also correlated with bulk density, but negatively correlated with water holding capacity and pore volume. The larger pore volumes in muck soils may allow resting spores to move downward much more easily than in many mineral soils. Therefore, retention of resting spores may be higher in mineral soils compared to muck due to lower pore volumes and higher bulk densities. A portion of the unexplained variation in the regression models for clubroot incidence and severity may be associated with the limitation that most of the seeding dates occurred during periods when conditions were conducive for pathogen development. Also, factors that were not measured in this study, such as sunlight irradiance, nutrient levels and microflora of the soil, may influence clubroot at various stages of development. Sunlight irradiance might determine the speed at which germination occurs or the rate of plant growth. Plants with sufficient nutrients such as boron, may show less clubroot severity than those grown in nutrient deficient soils (Deora et al., 2013). Antagonistic microbes could reduce the germination rates of P. brassicae and as a result, lower clubroot incidence and severity of the brassica host (Wang et al., 2011). The current study demonstrated that air temperature at 7–21 days after seeding influenced clubroot incidence, and air temperature 14–21 days after seeding has a greater impact on clubroot severity than any other variable assessed. The hypothesis that soil moisture and temperature would have a substantial impact on the development of P. brassicae and subsequent levels on canola was accepted. These data have helped identify some relationships that might be used in a prediction model, however additional studies are required to develop a model that can be used by growers or agronomists to predict clubroot development. A successful clubroot forecasting model would help vegetable growers to make an informed decision on the utility of 98 additional inputs such as irrigation, to a potentially infested crop. In brassica vegetable production, it might be possible to harvest the crop at the current yield or if it is an alternative, disc the crop under and seed an alternative crop. In summary, this study evaluated the effect of temperature and soil moisture on secondary development of P. brassicae. A negative relationship between clubroot levels and soil moisture was found when soil moisture was measured in 2014, which, is consistent with previous studies (Thuma et al., 1983). 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Crantz camelina, false flax C. microcarpa (Andrz.) small-seeded false flax Capsella bursa-pastoris (L.) Medik. shepherd’s purse Erysimum asperum (Nutt.) DC. western wallflower Hesperis matronalis (L.) dame’s rocket, dame’s violet Lepidium campestre (L.) W.T. Aiton pepperwort Rorippa islandica (Oeder) Borbás marsh cress R. sylvestris (L.) Besser creeping yellow cress, yellow field cress Sisymbrium altissimum (L.) tumbling mustard S. officinale (L.) Scop. hedge mustard Thlaspi arvense (L.) stinkweed Rumex spp. (L.) dock 116 APPENDIX 2: SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES FOR CHAPTER TWO Table A2.1. Friedman’s chi-square test for treatment differences of resting spore quantities between fields, locations, replications and depths1 Field Bassano, AB Flamborough, ON Holland Marsh, ON Millgrove, ON All fields Comparison site×spores core×spores depth×spores site×core×spores site×depth×spores site×core×depth×spores site×spores core×spores depth×spores site×core×spores site×depth×spores site×core×depth×spores site×spores core×spores depth×spores site×core×spores site×depth×spores site×core×depth×spores site×spores core×spores depth×spores site×core×spores site×depth×spores site×core×depth×spores site×spores core×spores depth×spores site×core×spores site×depth×spores site×core×depth×spores field×site×spores field×core×spores field×depth×spores DF 1 2 6 2 6 6 1 2 6 2 6 6 1 2 6 2 6 6 1 2 6 2 6 6 1 2 6 2 6 6 1 2 6 Chi-square 2.16 5.92 5.37 5.38 5.52 6.58 3.51 0.44 24.70 0.63 28.00 26.57 8.23 1.37 6.67 1.50 6.51 8.61 18.83 0.46 5.41 0.08 10.90 11.07 0.79 1.51 10.84 1.58 13.07 11.75 5.82 2.79 20.19 Probability 0.14 0.05 0.50 0.07 0.48 0.36 0.06 0.80 0.0004 0.73 <0.0001 0.0002 0.004 0.50 0.35 0.47 0.37 0.20 <0.0001 0.79 0.49 0.96 0.09 0.09 0.37 0.46 0.09 0.45 0.04 0.07 0.02 0.25 0.003 117 Field Comparison field×site×core×spores field×site×depth×spores field×site×core×depth×spores DF 2 6 6 Chi-square 3.56 22.77 27.17 Probability 0.17 0.0009 0.0001 Values in bold are significant at P < 0.05. 1 Table A2.2. Bassano, Alberta resting spore quantification using qPCR1 Sample Site 1 Sample Site 2 Depth(cm) Core 1 Core 2 Core 3 Core 1 Core 2 0–7.9 90 0 0 27 64 8–15.9 86 0 5 11 96 16–22.9 58 0 0 21 14 23–29.9 9 0 3 17 0 30–37.9 0 0 4 0 0 38–45.9 70 0 0 5 9 46–53 19 0 18 0 0 2 Mean Core 48 0 4 12 26 Mean Site 107 1spore concentration x 1000 Site 1: R2 = 0.97, Eff% = 93.5, Slope = -3.465. Site 2: R2 = 0.98, Eff% = 96.8, Slope = -3.40. Table A2.3. Flamborough, Ontario resting spore quantification using qPCR1 Sample Site 1 Sample Site 2 Depth(cm) 1 2 3 1 2 0–7.9 257 1750 1052 906 1866 8–15.9 732 1378 671 1101 1381 16–22.9 690 158 284 1524 1060 23–29.9 131 48 128 91 36 30–37.9 248 85 26 602 114 38–45.9 143 91 30 138 55 46–53 532 3 17 26 190 2 Mean Core 390 502 315 627 672 Mean Site 402 1spore concentration x 1000 Site 1: R2 = 0.97, Eff% = 96.0, Slope = -3.20. Site 2: R2 = 0.97, Eff% = 96.0, Slope = -3.30. Core 3 56 27 4 36 68 0 32 32 23 3 4259 1976 1381 451 67 889 732 1394 897 118 Table A2.4. Holland Marsh, Ontario resting spore quantification using qPCR1 Sample Site 1 Sample Site 2 Depth(cm) 1 2 3 1 2 0–7.9 140 720 640 44 33 8–15.9 100 330 200 0 0 16–22.9 110 18 4800 0 22 23–29.9 60 10 73 36 8 30–37.9 590 50 1700 54 29 38–45.9 0 0 0 49 18 46–53 610 12 17 34 89 2 Mean Core 230 163 1061 31 28 Mean Site 485 1spore concentration x 1000 Site 1: R2 = 0.97, Eff% = 106.0, Slope = -3.18. Site 2: R2 = 0.98, Eff% = 111.0, Slope = -3.18. Table A2.5. Millgrove Ontario resting spore quantification using qPCR1 Sample Site 1 Sample Site 2 Depth(cm) 1 2 3 1 2 0–7.9 481 3241 535 167 2470 8–15.9 269 77 106 177 459 16–22.9 66 343 325 529 1253 23–29.9 196 185 195 1282 1464 30–37.9 130 284 156 20868 800 38–45.9 255 227 247 1605 986 46–53 89 0 122 25873 538 Mean Core2 212 622 241 7214 1139 Mean Site 357 1spore concentration x 1000 Site 1: R2 = 0.98, Eff% = 95.0, Slope = -3.20. Site 2: R2 = 0.97, Eff% = 91.0, Slope = -3.18. 3 0 24 28 0 0 14 8 11 23 3 1875 812 1237 991 653 752 428 964 3105 Table A2.6. Initial and final resting spore concentration across sample cores and soil depths at sites in Alberta and Ontario using the formula: QTYFinal = QTYInitial x (Efficiency + 1)∆Cт Resting spore quantity1 Field Site Core Depth Efficiency IC ΔCq QTYInitial QTYFinal Bassano 1 0.94 2.01 24 90 1 1 1 0.94 2.50 17 86 1 2 1 0.94 2.41 12 58 1 3 1 0.94 2.28 2.1 9.3 1 4 119 Flamborough 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.94 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.97 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 2.08 2.51 2.57 3.42 0.61 2.28 0.25 -0.55 -0.55 -0.90 -0.25 0.61 0.38 0.52 1.26 0.78 1.36 1.38 1.33 1.10 0.39 2.72 2.31 0.98 0.87 1.98 1.16 1.01 0.70 0.98 1.27 2.03 1.98 2.05 2.76 1.77 1.12 2.04 -0.84 -0.18 -0.47 -0.46 -0.06 0 13 3.6 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 3.4 0 2.3 1.6 0 7.4 11 4.5 10 13 0 0.96 0 36 25 6.3 0 0 4.9 0 14 7.0 0.90 5.5 20 0 8.0 450 820 940 180 260 0 70 19 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 5.1 0 3.2 3.7 0 18 27 11 21 17 0 4.6 0 64 96 14 0 0 9.5 0 56 27 3.6 36 68 0 32 260 730 690 130 250 120 Holland Marsh 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 0.96 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 0.06 -0.40 -0.33 0.09 0.27 -0.32 -0.56 -0.13 -0.34 -0.36 0.09 0.44 -0.06 -0.66 -0.21 0.02 0.08 0.24 -0.24 0.14 0.49 0.39 0.67 -0.02 0.00 0.54 -0.23 0.40 -0.03 0.33 -0.40 0.00 0.22 0.38 0.55 0.38 0.62 2.19 2.82 3.14 1.57 2.60 2.36 140 700 2200 1300 130 60 120 100 4 1300 630 210 130 40 36 16 860 940 1800 84 430 100 16 1900 1400 740 44 88 56 150 5600 2000 1200 350 48 690 480 30 13 11 19 90 0 140 530 1800 1400 160 48 85 91 2.6 1100 670 280 130 26 30 17 910 1100 1500 91 0600 140 26 1900 1400 1100 36 110 55 190 4300 2000 1400 450 67 890 730 140 100 110 60 590 0 121 Millgrove 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.06 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 1.11 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 3.28 2.94 2.35 1.61 1.66 2.67 1.73 2.46 3.72 2.35 4.61 4.73 2.31 2.25 1.93 -0.03 -0.34 1.51 -0.49 0.97 1.31 -0.50 0.11 -0.10 -0.06 0.14 1.98 0.22 0.98 -0.09 -0.10 0.01 0.10 0.34 -0.04 -0.95 0.82 1.18 0.31 0.87 1.10 0.92 0.87 57 85 60 5.6 3.0 7 0 32.0 43 36 170 2 330 0 4.2 45 0 0 52 26 19 49 30 0 23 6.7 6.6 15 43 0 26 28 0 0 15 16 280 120 52 1100 64 140 48 610 720 330 18 10.0 50 0 12 640 200 4800 73 1700 0 17 44 0 0 36 54 49 34 33 0 22 7.5 29 18 89 0 24 28 0 0 14 8.0 480 270 66 200 130 260 89 122 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 1spore concentration x 1000 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 0.91 1.00 0.62 1.18 1.09 1.26 0.97 -0.22 0.51 0.62 0.84 2.02 0.94 0.82 0.55 0.31 -0.29 -0.70 -0.09 -0.09 0.39 1.49 0.42 1.10 1.34 1.84 0.69 1.00 1.10 1.05 1.10 1.06 1.57 1.44 1.08 1.42 1700 52 160 88 120 120 0 380 72 180 52 84 140 84 140 210 830 1400 22000 1300 10000 1900 220 520 440 510 520 260 950 400 620 360 260 380 170 3200 77 340 190 280 230 0 540 110 330 200 160 250 120 170 180 530 1300 21000 1600 26000 2500 460 1300 1500 800 990 540 1900 810 1200 990 650 750 430 123 Table A2.7. Manual counts compared to qPCR Source df Treatment (T) 10 Manual vs qPCR (1) Error 22 Mean Square 44298650568 6771 551906 F value 8.03 0.50 Pr>F <0.0001 0.49 124 APPENDIX 3: SUPPLEMENTARY TABLES FOR CHAPTER THREE Table A3.1. Clubroot incidence: 2013 Source df Block (B) 3 Seeding Date (S) 7 Time (T) 1 TxS (7) Error 189 Mean Square 1200 1242 35529 1268 673 F value 1.78 1.85 52.80 1.88 Pr>F 0.15 0.08 <0.0001 0.07 Table A3.2. Disease severity index: 2013 Source df Block (B) 3 Seeding Date (S) 7 Time (T) 1 TxS (7) Error 189 Mean Square 1323 1057 28445 1149 680 F value 1.95 1.56 41.84 1.69 Pr>F 0.12 0.15 <0.0001 0.11 Table A3.3. Clubroot Incidence: 2014 Source Block (B) Seeding Date (S) Time (T) TxS Error df 3 7 1 (7) 93 Mean Square 21 3087 58163 4354 349 F value 0.06 8.83 166.43 12.46 Pr>F 0.98 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 Table A3.4. Disease Severity Index: 2014 Source df Block (B) 3 Seeding Date (S) 7 Time (T) 1 TxS (7) Error 93 Mean Square 20 1873 53272 3678 245 F value 0.08 7.65 217.56 15.02 Pr>F 0.97 <0.0001 <0.0001 <0.0001 125 Table A3.5. Observed and predicted values of clubroot incidence and disease severity and incidence over time of Chinese Flowering cabbage (1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2008 and 2009) and canola (2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014) using regression equations: CI = -91.77 + 5.69 × (Air temperature 7-21 days after seeding) + 0.18 × (Total precipitation with a 1-week delay) DSI = -70.50 + 4.11 × (Air temperature 7-21 days after seeding) + 0.17 × (Total precipitation with a 1-week delay) Seeding Date Observed DI Predicted +/- Observed DS Predicted +/- 1999-06-01 1999-08-09 2000-06-12 2000-08-24 2001-05-24 2001-05-30 2001-06-01 2001-06-01 2001-06-25 2001-07-25 2001-08-23 2002-05-21 2002-05-24 2002-05-24 2002-06-24 2008-05-13 2008-06-11 2008-07-09 2008-08-06 2008-09-03 2009-05-13 2009-06-11 2009-07-08 2009-08-05 2009-09-02 2011-05-25 2011-06-11 2011-06-22 2012-05-02 2012-05-16 2012-05-30 2012-06-13 2012-06-27 2012-07-11 45.40 1.90 22.50 0.00 38.30 13.30 59.20 31.70 1.70 25.00 50.80 50.80 50.90 24.20 21.70 6.80 36.00 63.80 0.80 0.20 18.00 68.00 60.00 17.00 0.00 15.50 12.98 28.98 31.86 38.66 49.55 66.00 46.66 44.66 22.70 34.97 45.87 25.07 27.40 27.40 42.68 19.83 25.88 28.30 24.85 24.85 31.83 36.70 27.34 7.36 43.95 66.18 30.26 -0.48 4.79 34.40 39.48 33.87 10.35 25.13 27.81 41.35 7.01 18.30 39.37 47.23 67.59 61.37 -22.70 33.07 23.37 25.07 -10.90 14.10 -16.52 -11.87 24.18 3.30 -25.95 -25.95 -19.07 12.50 5.64 0.56 7.95 2.38 29.46 -0.68 -13.21 -33.60 -20.52 16.87 10.35 9.63 14.83 12.37 -24.85 -20.36 -10.18 -18.77 20.93 16.71 26.20 0.50 11.11 0.00 22.80 8.30 35.60 15.60 0.60 17.20 33.60 33.60 33.60 19.20 12.00 3.00 28.90 48.10 0.40 0.80 10.00 43.00 36.00 6.00 0.00 7.33 5.40 10.80 11.24 15.77 37.11 37.11 22.88 25.88 13.98 25.75 36.12 17.94 18.29 18.29 28.38 12.77 19.09 22.73 19.76 19.76 19.60 24.08 17.94 3.88 31.99 51.01 21.78 -2.04 3.64 25.03 30.93 21.51 7.17 17.66 18.30 28.17 3.00 11.48 26.17 33.08 51.38 47.47 -12.22 25.25 25.01 17.94 -4.51 9.99 -7.22 -2.83 18.49 5.53 -13.84 -13.84 -14.00 4.88 5.94 0.88 3.09 2.91 21.38 -2.84 -6.36 -17.97 -5.07 15.51 7.17 10.33 12.90 17.37 -8.24 -4.29 -10.94 -4.03 28.50 21.59 126 Seeding Date Observed DI Predicted 2013-05-02 2013-05-15 2013-05-30 2013-06-12 2013-06-26 2013-07-09 2013-07-24 2013-08-07 2014-05-08 2014-05-22 2014-06-04 2014-06-18 2014-07-03 2014-07-16 2014-07-30 2014-08-15 3.00 26.00 31.00 51.50 32.50 21.00 8.00 43.50 5.00 84.50 81.40 97.06 100.00 100.00 25.50 95.00 17.03 13.78 29.72 47.16 66.93 40.80 28.82 32.42 13.67 28.41 50.73 46.61 34.33 30.38 21.68 43.64 +/- 14.03 -12.22 -1.28 -4.34 34.43 19.80 20.82 -11.08 8.67 -56.09 -30.67 -50.45 -65.67 -69.62 -3.82 -51.36 Observed DS Predicted +/- 1.17 16.67 22.83 41.33 30.00 10.50 5.83 31.83 3.83 63.67 75.14 94.95 100.00 100.00 22.83 68.50 15.59 10.32 23.78 34.63 50.70 28.95 20.88 22.14 11.67 21.67 41.91 34.08 24.93 22.13 14.86 32.37 14.42 -6.35 0.95 -6.70 20.70 18.45 15.05 -9.69 7.84 -42.00 -33.23 -60.87 -75.07 -77.87 -7.97 -36.13 Table A3.6. Linear correlations (Prob > r) among mean air temperature, air degree days, rainfall and soil moisture for 47 seeding dates of Chinese flowering cabbage and canola cv. ‘InVigor 5030 LL’ grown at the Holland Marsh, ON, 1999, 2000, 2001, 2002, 2008, 2009, 2011, 2012, 2013 and 20141 Disease Parameter Incidence Disease Incidence Disease Severity AUDPCDI AUDPCDS AUDPSDI AUDPSDS Temp 2 WAS Temp Temp Temp 3 WAS 7-14DAS 7-21DAS 1.00000 0.95341 0.86756 0.84131 0.78258 0.77544 0.25593 0.29161 0.27960 0.31587 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0825 0.0467 0.0570 0.0305 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Disease Severity 0.95341 1.00000 0.86453 0.91337 0.78533 0.85208 0.18607 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.2105 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 0.21109 0.20194 0.22760 0.1544 0.1734 0.1239 47 47 47 AUDPCDI 0.86756 0.86453 1.00000 0.93965 0.98637 0.93591 0.35343 0.40013 0.32317 0.38772 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0831 0.0475 0.1151 0.0555 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 AUDPCDS 0.84131 0.91337 0.93965 1.00000 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 25 25 25 25 0.91199 0.99008 0.25933 0.27021 0.24794 0.26248 <.0001 <.0001 0.2106 0.1914 0.2321 0.2050 25 25 25 25 25 25 AUDPSDI 0.78258 0.78533 0.98637 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 25 25 25 0.91199 1.00000 0.92954 0.38576 0.42805 0.33267 0.39832 <.0001 <.0001 0.0568 0.0328 0.1042 0.0486 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 AUDPSDS 0.77544 0.85208 0.93591 0.99008 0.92954 1.00000 0.27226 0.27833 0.24381 0.25741 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1880 0.1779 0.2402 0.2142 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 Temp 2 WAS 0.25593 0.18607 0.35343 0.25933 0.38576 0.27226 1.00000 0.95105 0.92161 0.86449 0.0825 0.2105 0.0831 0.2106 0.0568 0.1880 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 127 Temp 3 WAS 0.29161 0.0467 47 0.21109 0.40013 0.27021 0.42805 0.27833 0.95105 1.00000 0.88248 0.95108 0.1544 0.0475 0.1914 0.0328 0.1779 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Temp 7-14DAS 0.27960 0.20194 0.32317 0.24794 0.33267 0.24381 0.92161 0.88248 1.00000 0.91352 0.0570 0.1734 0.1151 0.2321 0.1042 0.2402 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Temp 7-21DAS 0.31587 0.22760 0.38772 0.26248 0.39832 0.25741 0.86449 0.95108 0.91352 1.00000 0.0305 0.1239 0.0555 0.2050 0.0486 0.2142 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Temp 14-21 DAS 0.21118 0.14573 0.30795 0.16870 0.32219 0.16615 0.52873 0.75727 0.52157 0.81370 0.1542 0.3284 0.1342 0.4202 0.1163 0.4273 0.0001 <.0001 0.0002 <.0001 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Temp 2 WBS 0.04984 -0.06602 -0.09600 -0.22149 -0.05987 -0.19652 0.14019 0.10201 0.18440 0.7394 0.6593 0.6480 0.2873 0.7762 0.3464 0.3473 0.4950 0.2147 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 0.11988 0.4222 47 Temp 3 WBS 0.09657 -0.02463 0.00917 -0.14902 0.04880 -0.12119 0.27292 0.24852 0.33563 0.28200 0.5185 0.8695 0.9653 0.4771 0.8168 0.5639 0.0634 0.0921 0.0211 0.0548 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Temp 5-10 DBS 0.08847 0.00282 -0.01935 -0.10425 0.01398 -0.08173 0.19354 0.12095 0.26245 0.14536 0.5543 0.9850 0.9269 0.6199 0.9471 0.6977 0.1924 0.4180 0.0747 0.3296 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Temp -0.11343 -0.19800 -0.23543 -0.34684 -0.19131 -0.32332 10-15 0.4477 0.1822 0.2572 0.0894 0.3596 0.1149 DBS 47 47 25 25 25 25 0.30486 0.29508 0.28825 0.27522 0.0372 0.0441 0.0494 0.0612 47 47 47 47 Temp -0.00057 -0.09590 -0.11342 -0.22647 -0.07169 -0.20021 5-15 0.9970 0.5214 0.5893 0.2763 0.7334 0.3373 DBS 47 47 25 25 25 25 0.25480 0.20726 0.0839 0.1622 47 47 0.29114 0.21489 0.0471 0.1469 47 47 Total DD 0.18783 0.05674 0.19801 0.02792 0.24400 0.05196 0.73213 0.76784 0.73907 0.77234 0.2061 0.7048 0.3427 0.8946 0.2398 0.8052 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Total DD (7 day delay) 0.16390 0.02782 0.14712 -0.02464 0.18484 -0.00586 0.60352 0.65298 0.67934 0.71338 0.2710 0.8527 0.4828 0.9069 0.3764 0.9778 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 DD 2 WAS 0.21432 0.13496 0.31084 0.20651 0.1480 0.3657 0.1304 0.3220 47 47 25 25 DD 3 WAS 0.25562 0.16474 0.36536 0.0829 0.2685 0.0725 47 47 25 0.35112 0.22387 0.98438 0.93826 0.88824 0.83990 0.0853 0.2820 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 25 25 47 47 47 47 0.22118 0.39903 0.23256 0.92272 0.98697 0.84130 0.93380 0.2880 0.0482 0.2633 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 DD 7-14 DAS 0.21782 0.13370 0.26234 0.18194 0.27919 0.18050 0.1413 0.3703 0.2052 0.3841 0.1765 0.3879 47 47 25 25 25 25 DD 7-21 DAS 0.26588 0.17007 0.34345 0.20476 0.35932 0.20205 0.82937 0.93683 0.86470 0.98271 0.0709 0.2531 0.0928 0.3262 0.0777 0.3328 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 DD 14-21 DAS DD 2 WBS 0.20429 0.12756 0.1684 0.3928 47 47 0.91157 0.87544 0.97776 0.89870 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 0.29118 0.14229 0.30607 0.14058 0.51084 0.74504 0.50136 0.80176 0.1579 0.4975 0.1368 0.5027 0.0002 <.0001 0.0003 <.0001 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 0.05142 -0.08299 -0.10498 -0.24521 -0.07789 -0.22700 0.14297 0.12510 0.18859 0.15001 0.7314 0.5792 0.6175 0.2374 0.7113 0.2752 0.3377 0.4021 0.2043 0.3142 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 128 DD 3 WBS 0.07645 -0.05981 -0.01323 -0.18602 0.02235 -0.16142 0.29045 0.28595 0.35231 0.32448 0.6095 0.6896 0.9500 0.3733 0.9156 0.4408 0.0476 0.0514 0.0152 0.0261 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 DD 5-10 DBS 0.14865 0.03719 0.00602 -0.10087 0.02076 -0.09132 0.24395 0.18689 0.31973 0.22030 0.3186 0.8040 0.9772 0.6314 0.9216 0.6642 0.0984 0.2084 0.0285 0.1367 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 DD 10-15 DBS 0.23086 0.21465 0.15848 0.13986 0.17516 0.15339 0.30745 0.30659 0.23855 0.25185 0.1185 0.1474 0.4493 0.5049 0.4023 0.4641 0.0355 0.0361 0.1064 0.0877 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 DD -0.01789 -0.12683 -0.12079 -0.24919 -0.08760 -0.22907 5-15 DBS 0.9050 0.3956 0.5652 0.2297 0.6771 0.2707 47 47 25 25 25 0.28176 0.25086 0.31646 0.26190 0.0550 0.0890 0.0302 0.0754 25 47 47 47 47 SM -0.57447 -0.55866 -0.41597 -0.50180 -0.33446 -0.47416 -0.14337 -0.15429 -0.18402 -0.18229 0.0081 0.0105 0.1391 0.0675 0.2425 0.0867 0.5465 0.5160 0.4374 0.4418 2 WAS 20 20 14 14 14 14 20 20 20 20 SM -0.51913 -0.52634 -0.32190 -0.43662 -0.23035 -0.39844 -0.06154 -0.08292 -0.12044 -0.12750 3 WAS 0.0190 0.0171 0.2617 0.1185 0.4282 0.1582 0.7966 0.7282 0.6130 0.5922 20 20 14 14 14 14 20 20 20 20 SM -0.59723 -0.57049 -0.53432 -0.57260 -0.48439 -0.57027 -0.24349 -0.23814 -0.27095 -0.25051 5-10 DAS 0.0054 0.0086 0.0490 0.0324 0.0792 0.0332 0.3009 0.3120 0.2479 0.2867 20 20 14 14 14 14 20 20 20 20 SM -0.55387 -0.52154 -0.34495 -0.43537 -0.25262 -0.40140 -0.13735 -0.13257 -0.22103 -0.18320 5-15 DAS 0.0113 0.0184 0.2271 0.1197 0.3836 0.1549 0.5636 0.5774 0.3490 0.4395 20 20 14 14 14 14 20 20 20 20 SM -0.46055 -0.42519 -0.14899 -0.27278 -0.02919 -0.21464 -0.03517 -0.03232 -0.16014 -0.11185 10-15 0.0410 0.0616 0.6112 0.3454 0.9211 0.4612 0.8830 0.8924 0.5000 0.6387 DAS 20 20 14 14 14 14 20 20 20 20 SM -0.36086 -0.50580 -0.25317 -0.49796 -0.17644 -0.47485 0.1180 0.0229 0.3825 0.0700 0.5462 0.0862 2 WBS 20 20 14 14 14 0.18656 0.4310 14 20 0.37311 0.12728 0.38852 0.1052 0.5928 0.0905 20 20 20 SM -0.29962 -0.45416 -0.18635 -0.43900 -0.11664 -0.41982 0.1994 0.0443 0.5236 0.1163 0.6913 0.1351 3 WBS 20 20 14 14 14 0.25808 0.40779 0.15848 0.38457 0.2719 0.0743 0.5046 0.0941 14 20 20 20 20 Season -0.07555 -0.01231 Rainfall 0.6137 0.9346 47 Season Rainfall (7 day delay) 0.06962 0.04344 0.10400 0.06062 -0.32283 -0.28725 -0.41662 -0.33885 0.7409 0.8367 0.6208 0.7735 0.0269 0.0503 0.0036 0.0198 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 0.03407 0.08879 0.25333 0.19827 0.28706 0.20535 -0.29561 -0.24279 -0.36828 -0.27477 0.8202 0.5529 0.2218 0.3421 0.1641 0.3248 0.0437 0.1001 0.0109 0.0616 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Rain -0.12642 -0.05465 2 WAS 0.3971 0.7152 47 Rain 3 WAS 0.00176 0.04218 0.03588 0.07254 -0.14504 -0.13793 -0.15296 -0.13858 0.9934 0.8413 0.8648 0.7304 0.3307 0.3552 0.3047 0.3529 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 0.03650 0.07483 0.13866 0.16653 0.16615 0.19075 -0.26580 -0.25605 -0.31338 -0.28292 0.8076 0.6171 0.5086 0.4263 0.4273 0.3611 0.0709 0.0823 0.0320 0.0540 47 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Rain -0.20620 -0.15990 -0.02633 -0.12580 2 WBS 0.1644 0.2830 0.9006 0.5491 47 47 25 0.02209 -0.10127 -0.27731 -0.20638 -0.36318 -0.24246 0.9165 0.6300 0.0591 0.1640 0.0121 0.1006 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 129 Rain -0.09277 -0.08578 3 WBS 0.5351 0.5664 47 Parameter Temp 14-21 DAS 0.01783 -0.09095 0.03312 -0.09722 -0.28480 -0.21758 -0.38788 -0.26733 0.9326 0.6655 0.8751 0.6439 0.0523 0.1418 0.0071 0.0693 47 25 25 25 25 47 47 47 47 Temp 2 WBS Temp Temp 3 WBS 5-10 DBS Temp 10-15 DBS Temp Total DD 5-15 (7 day DBS Total DD delay) DD 2 WAS DD 3 WAS Disease Incidence 0.21118 0.04984 0.09657 0.08847 -0.11343 -0.00057 0.18783 0.16390 0.21432 0.25562 0.1542 0.7394 0.5185 0.5543 0.4477 0.9970 0.2061 0.2710 0.1480 0.0829 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Disease Severity 0.14573 -0.06602 -0.02463 0.00282 -0.19800 -0.09590 0.05674 0.02782 0.13496 0.16474 0.3284 0.6593 0.8695 0.9850 0.1822 0.5214 0.7048 0.8527 0.3657 0.2685 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 AUDPCDI 0.30795 -0.09600 0.00917 -0.01935 -0.23543 -0.11342 0.19801 0.14712 0.31084 0.36536 0.1342 0.6480 0.9653 0.9269 0.2572 0.5893 0.3427 0.4828 0.1304 0.0725 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 AUDPCDS 0.16870 -0.22149 -0.14902 -0.10425 -0.34684 -0.22647 0.02792 -0.02464 0.20651 0.4202 0.2873 0.4771 0.6199 0.0894 0.2763 0.8946 0.9069 0.3220 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 0.22118 0.2880 25 AUDPSDI 0.32219 -0.05987 0.04880 0.01398 -0.19131 -0.07169 0.24400 0.18484 0.1163 0.7762 0.8168 0.9471 0.3596 0.7334 0.2398 0.3764 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 AUDPSDS 0.16615 -0.19652 -0.12119 -0.08173 -0.32332 -0.20021 0.05196 -0.00586 0.22387 0.23256 0.4273 0.3464 0.5639 0.6977 0.1149 0.3373 0.8052 0.9778 0.2820 0.2633 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 Temp 2 WAS 0.52873 0.14019 0.27292 0.19354 0.30486 0.25480 0.73213 0.60352 0.98438 0.92272 0.0001 0.3473 0.0634 0.1924 0.0372 0.0839 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Temp 3 WAS 0.75727 0.10201 0.24852 0.12095 0.29508 0.20726 0.76784 0.65298 0.93826 0.98697 <.0001 0.4950 0.0921 0.4180 0.0441 0.1622 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Temp 7-14DAS 0.52157 0.18440 0.33563 0.26245 0.28825 0.0002 0.2147 0.0211 0.0747 0.0494 47 47 47 47 47 Temp 7-21DAS 0.81370 <.0001 47 Temp 14-21 DAS 0.29114 0.73907 0.67934 0.88824 0.84130 0.0471 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 0.11988 0.28200 0.14536 0.27522 0.21489 0.77234 0.71338 0.83990 0.93380 0.4222 0.0548 0.3296 0.0612 0.1469 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 1.00000 -0.00442 0.12594 -0.05850 0.19988 0.05312 0.60517 0.56599 0.52122 0.77395 0.9765 0.3989 0.6961 0.1780 0.7229 <.0001 <.0001 0.0002 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Temp -0.00442 2 WBS 0.9765 47 Temp 3 WBS 0.35112 0.39903 0.0853 0.0482 25 25 1.00000 0.95734 0.87973 0.82021 0.95702 0.64359 0.70458 0.17765 0.12322 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.2322 0.4093 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 0.12594 0.95734 1.00000 0.88344 0.3989 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 Temp -0.05850 5-10 DBS 0.6961 0.81110 0.95400 0.75130 0.80477 0.28890 0.25349 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0489 0.0856 47 47 47 47 47 47 0.87973 0.88344 1.00000 0.62949 0.91398 0.62340 0.68242 0.19927 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1793 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Temp 10-15 DBS 0.19988 0.82021 0.1780 <.0001 47 47 0.11301 0.4495 47 0.81110 0.62949 1.00000 0.88421 0.66220 0.68162 0.33009 0.30985 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0235 0.0340 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 130 Temp 5-15 DBS 0.05312 0.95702 0.95400 0.91398 0.88421 1.00000 0.69982 0.74764 0.27371 0.21245 0.7229 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0626 0.1517 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Total DD 0.60517 0.64359 0.75130 0.62340 0.66220 0.69982 1.00000 0.97575 0.73725 0.76858 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Total DD (7 day delay) 0.56599 0.70458 0.80477 0.68242 0.68162 0.74764 0.97575 1.00000 0.60258 0.65184 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 2 WAS 0.52122 0.17765 0.28890 0.19927 0.33009 0.27371 0.73725 0.60258 1.00000 0.93710 0.0002 0.2322 0.0489 0.1793 0.0235 0.0626 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 3 WAS 0.77395 0.12322 0.25349 <.0001 0.4093 0.0856 47 47 47 0.11301 0.30985 0.21245 0.76858 0.65184 0.93710 1.00000 0.4495 0.0340 0.1517 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 7-14 DAS 0.52633 0.20448 0.33591 0.25409 0.30806 0.29767 0.74443 0.68188 0.91052 0.86333 0.0001 0.1680 0.0210 0.0848 0.0351 0.0421 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 7-21 DAS 0.84532 <.0001 47 0.11949 0.26672 0.4237 0.0699 47 47 0.11748 0.28027 0.20221 0.76513 0.70619 0.83170 0.94703 0.4316 0.0564 0.1728 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 14-21 DAS 0.99413 0.00104 0.12470 -0.06148 0.20241 0.05312 0.59721 0.56069 0.51373 0.77303 <.0001 0.9944 0.4036 0.6814 0.1724 0.7229 <.0001 <.0001 0.0002 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 2 WBS 0.04610 0.97717 0.92447 0.85327 0.80689 0.93075 0.65953 0.72343 0.17433 0.14378 0.7583 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.2412 0.3350 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 3 WBS 0.18557 0.93940 0.97948 0.86425 0.81455 0.94051 0.78508 0.83996 0.30274 0.29125 0.2117 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0386 0.0470 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 5-10 DBS 0.00283 0.80417 0.81904 0.94283 0.56446 0.84570 0.62848 0.68226 0.23598 0.16934 0.9850 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1103 0.2552 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 10-15 DBS 0.19513 0.62767 0.60313 0.46479 0.73551 0.66084 0.54158 0.52916 0.29636 0.29157 0.1887 <.0001 <.0001 0.0010 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0001 0.0431 0.0468 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD 5-15 DBS 0.11291 0.92042 0.91637 0.86897 0.88417 0.97137 0.72319 0.77047 0.29212 0.25072 0.4499 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0463 0.0892 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 SM -0.11361 0.6334 2 WAS 0.42473 0.45074 0.41524 0.31230 0.40158 0.19515 0.24950 -0.06501 -0.08780 0.0620 0.0461 0.0687 0.1801 0.0793 0.4096 0.2888 0.7854 0.7128 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM -0.07759 3 WAS 0.7451 0.44389 0.48300 0.42730 0.29325 0.40293 0.25626 0.29568 0.02151 -0.01475 0.0499 0.0310 0.0602 0.2095 0.0782 0.2755 0.2056 0.9283 0.9508 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM -0.14982 5-10 DAS 0.5284 0.30905 0.32635 0.29608 0.25706 0.30166 0.06473 0.12368 -0.17165 -0.17546 0.1849 0.1602 0.2050 0.2739 0.1962 0.7863 0.6034 0.4693 0.4594 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM -0.06611 5-15 DAS 0.7819 0.42557 0.45089 0.40021 0.31517 0.39397 0.20483 0.24581 -0.05627 -0.06612 0.0614 0.0460 0.0804 0.1759 0.0857 0.3863 0.2962 0.8137 0.7818 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 131 SM 10-15 DAS 0.00852 0.48615 0.51571 0.45321 0.33329 0.43605 0.30377 0.32527 0.04602 0.03080 0.9716 0.0298 0.0199 0.0448 0.1510 0.0546 0.1929 0.1617 0.8472 0.8974 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 2 WBS 0.57777 0.35350 0.43413 0.18212 0.44618 0.32891 0.50802 0.52855 0.25839 0.44433 0.0076 0.1263 0.0558 0.4422 0.0486 0.1568 0.0222 0.0166 0.2714 0.0497 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 3 WBS 0.54356 0.35967 0.43295 0.18393 0.41329 0.31482 0.52680 0.52068 0.33302 0.47717 0.0132 0.1193 0.0566 0.4376 0.0701 0.1764 0.0170 0.0186 0.1514 0.0334 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Season -0.13310 Rainfall 0.3725 0.00693 -0.01672 -0.06567 -0.01053 -0.02354 -0.19843 -0.20744 -0.28386 -0.25180 0.9631 0.9112 0.6610 0.9440 0.8752 0.1812 0.1618 0.0532 0.0877 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Season -0.06584 -0.04136 -0.06680 -0.11482 -0.09171 -0.09448 -0.16934 -0.17464 -0.25715 -0.20577 Rainfall 0.6602 0.7825 0.6555 0.4422 0.5398 0.5276 0.2551 0.2404 0.0810 0.1653 (7 day 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 delay) Rain -0.05109 2 WAS 0.7331 0.24137 0.27516 0.15728 0.25809 0.23889 0.02295 0.04582 -0.14270 -0.13893 0.1022 0.0612 0.2911 0.0799 0.1058 0.8783 0.7598 0.3386 0.3517 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Rain -0.15931 3 WAS 0.2848 47 0.11574 0.08388 -0.00126 0.04909 0.04476 -0.16836 -0.16843 -0.23166 -0.23024 0.4385 0.5751 0.9933 0.7432 0.7651 0.2579 0.2577 0.1172 0.1195 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Rain -0.00737 -0.13067 -0.11016 -0.17869 -0.02048 -0.09771 -0.20106 -0.21069 -0.24630 -0.16655 2 WBS 0.9608 0.3813 0.4611 0.2295 0.8913 0.5135 0.1754 0.1552 0.0951 0.2632 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 Rain -0.06005 -0.05065 -0.09146 -0.12858 -0.05585 -0.07673 -0.20730 -0.22721 -0.23436 -0.16686 3 WBS 0.6885 0.7353 0.5409 0.3890 0.7092 0.6082 0.1621 0.1246 0.1128 0.2623 47 47 47 47 DD DD Parameter 7-14 DAS 7-21 DAS DD 14-21 DAS DD 2 WBS 47 47 DD DD 3 WBS 5-10 DBS 47 47 47 47 DD 10-15 DD DBS 5-15 DBS SM 2 WAS SM 3 WAS Disease Incidence 0.21782 0.26588 0.20429 0.05142 0.07645 0.14865 0.23086 -0.01789 -0.57447 -0.51913 0.1413 0.0709 0.1684 0.7314 0.6095 0.3186 0.1185 0.9050 0.0081 0.0190 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Disease Severity 0.13370 0.17007 0.12756 -0.08299 -0.05981 0.03719 0.21465 -0.12683 -0.55866 -0.52634 0.3703 0.2531 0.3928 0.5792 0.6896 0.8040 0.1474 0.3956 0.0105 0.0171 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 AUDPCDI 0.26234 0.34345 0.2052 0.0928 25 25 AUDPCDS 0.18194 0.20476 0.14229 -0.24521 -0.18602 -0.10087 0.13986 -0.24919 -0.50180 -0.43662 0.3841 0.3262 0.4975 0.2374 0.3733 0.6314 0.5049 0.2297 0.0675 0.1185 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 14 14 AUDPSDI 0.27919 0.35932 0.30607 -0.07789 0.02235 0.02076 0.17516 -0.08760 -0.33446 -0.23035 0.1765 0.0777 0.1368 0.7113 0.9156 0.9216 0.4023 0.6771 0.2425 0.4282 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 14 14 AUDPSDS 0.18050 0.20205 0.14058 -0.22700 -0.16142 -0.09132 0.15339 -0.22907 -0.47416 -0.39844 0.3879 0.3328 0.5027 0.2752 0.4408 0.6642 0.4641 0.2707 0.0867 0.1582 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 25 14 14 0.29118 -0.10498 -0.01323 0.00602 0.15848 -0.12079 -0.41597 -0.32190 0.1579 0.6175 0.9500 0.9772 0.4493 0.5652 0.1391 0.2617 25 25 25 25 25 25 14 14 132 Temp 2 WAS 0.91157 0.82937 0.51084 0.14297 0.29045 0.24395 0.30745 0.28176 -0.14337 -0.06154 <.0001 <.0001 0.0002 0.3377 0.0476 0.0984 0.0355 0.0550 0.5465 0.7966 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Temp 3 WAS 0.87544 0.93683 0.74504 0.12510 0.28595 0.18689 0.30659 0.25086 -0.15429 -0.08292 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.4021 0.0514 0.2084 0.0361 0.0890 0.5160 0.7282 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Temp 7-14DAS 0.97776 0.86470 0.50136 0.18859 0.35231 0.31973 0.23855 0.31646 -0.18402 -0.12044 <.0001 <.0001 0.0003 0.2043 0.0152 0.0285 0.1064 0.0302 0.4374 0.6130 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Temp 7-21DAS 0.89870 0.98271 0.80176 0.15001 0.32448 0.22030 0.25185 0.26190 -0.18229 -0.12750 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.3142 0.0261 0.1367 0.0877 0.0754 0.4418 0.5922 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Temp 14-21 DAS 0.52633 0.84532 0.99413 0.04610 0.18557 0.00283 0.19513 0.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.7583 0.2117 0.9850 0.1887 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 0.11291 -0.11361 -0.07759 0.4499 0.6334 0.7451 47 20 20 Temp 2 WBS 0.20448 0.1680 47 Temp 3 WBS 0.33591 0.26672 0.12470 0.92447 0.97948 0.81904 0.60313 0.91637 0.45074 0.48300 0.0210 0.0699 0.4036 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0461 0.0310 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Temp 5-10 DBS 0.25409 0.0848 47 0.11949 0.00104 0.97717 0.93940 0.80417 0.62767 0.92042 0.42473 0.44389 0.4237 0.9944 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0620 0.0499 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 0.11748 -0.06148 0.85327 0.86425 0.94283 0.46479 0.86897 0.41524 0.42730 0.4316 0.6814 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0010 <.0001 0.0687 0.0602 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Temp 10-15 DBS 0.30806 0.28027 0.20241 0.80689 0.81455 0.56446 0.73551 0.88417 0.31230 0.29325 0.0351 0.0564 0.1724 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1801 0.2095 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Temp 5-15 DBS 0.29767 0.20221 0.05312 0.93075 0.94051 0.84570 0.66084 0.97137 0.40158 0.40293 0.0421 0.1728 0.7229 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0793 0.0782 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Total DD 0.74443 0.76513 0.59721 0.65953 0.78508 0.62848 0.54158 0.72319 0.19515 0.25626 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.4096 0.2755 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Total DD (7 day delay) 0.68188 0.70619 0.56069 0.72343 0.83996 0.68226 0.52916 0.77047 0.24950 0.29568 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0001 <.0001 0.2888 0.2056 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 DD 2 WAS 0.91052 0.83170 0.51373 0.17433 0.30274 0.23598 0.29636 0.29212 -0.06501 0.02151 <.0001 <.0001 0.0002 0.2412 0.0386 0.1103 0.0431 0.0463 0.7854 0.9283 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 DD 3 WAS 0.86333 0.94703 0.77303 0.14378 0.29125 0.16934 0.29157 0.25072 -0.08780 -0.01475 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.3350 0.0470 0.2552 0.0468 0.0892 0.7128 0.9508 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 DD 7-14 DAS 1.00000 DD 7-21 DAS 0.88607 1.00000 0.84529 0.14660 <.0001 <.0001 0.3254 47 47 47 47 DD 14-21 DAS 0.88607 0.51677 0.19943 0.34871 0.29604 <.0001 0.0002 0.1790 0.0163 0.0433 47 47 47 47 47 47 0.21106 0.31337 -0.10098 -0.03257 0.1544 0.0320 0.6719 0.8916 47 47 20 20 0.31107 0.18271 0.22503 0.24454 -0.11425 -0.05931 0.0333 0.2190 0.1283 0.0976 0.6315 0.8038 47 47 47 47 20 20 0.51677 0.84529 1.00000 0.05297 0.18752 -0.00214 0.18533 0.0002 <.0001 0.7236 0.2069 0.9886 0.2123 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 0.11119 -0.07646 -0.04062 0.4568 0.7487 0.8650 47 20 20 133 DD 2 WBS 0.19943 0.14660 0.05297 1.00000 0.94673 0.83173 0.60777 0.93803 0.34475 0.36704 0.1790 0.3254 0.7236 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1366 0.1114 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 DD 3 WBS 0.34871 0.0163 47 DD 5-10 DBS DD 10-15 DBS DD 5-15 DBS 0.31107 0.18752 0.94673 1.00000 0.84607 0.58863 0.94345 0.38443 0.42146 0.0333 0.2069 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.0942 0.0642 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 0.29604 0.18271 -0.00214 0.83173 0.84607 1.00000 0.39782 0.87104 0.20629 0.22514 0.0433 0.2190 0.9886 <.0001 <.0001 0.0056 <.0001 0.3829 0.3399 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 0.21106 0.22503 0.18533 0.60777 0.58863 0.39782 1.00000 0.64996 0.1544 0.1283 0.2123 <.0001 <.0001 0.0056 <.0001 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 0.31337 0.24454 0.0320 0.0976 47 47 0.01190 -0.06069 0.9603 0.7994 20 20 0.11119 0.93803 0.94345 0.87104 0.64996 1.00000 0.30974 0.4568 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1839 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 SM -0.10098 -0.11425 -0.07646 0.6719 0.6315 0.7487 2 WAS 0.01190 0.30974 1.00000 0.97185 0.9603 0.1839 <.0001 20 20 20 20 SM -0.03257 -0.05931 -0.04062 3 WAS 0.8916 0.8038 0.8650 0.31125 0.97185 1.00000 0.1816 <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0.34475 0.38443 0.20629 0.1366 0.0942 0.3829 20 20 20 20 0.31125 0.1816 20 0.36704 0.42146 0.22514 -0.06069 0.1114 0.0642 0.3399 0.7994 20 20 20 20 20 SM -0.19418 -0.18390 -0.11462 5-10 DAS 0.4120 0.4377 0.6304 20 20 0.23505 0.26522 0.09753 -0.01891 0.21945 0.96769 0.90086 0.3185 0.2584 0.6825 0.9369 0.3526 <.0001 <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM -0.13654 -0.11404 -0.03583 5-15 DAS 0.5660 0.6321 0.8808 20 20 SM -0.07739 -0.04749 10-15 0.7457 0.8424 DAS 20 20 0.33482 0.37583 0.1490 0.1025 20 20 20 0.16211 0.01634 0.28824 0.98181 0.97381 0.4947 0.9455 0.2178 <.0001 <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 0.03136 0.38841 0.43480 0.20150 0.04492 0.31873 0.89685 0.94249 0.8956 0.0906 0.0554 0.3943 0.8509 0.1708 <.0001 <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 2 WBS 0.20837 0.47068 0.60632 0.40805 0.48644 0.20500 -0.04078 0.37917 0.54772 0.58518 0.3780 0.0362 0.0046 0.0741 0.0296 0.3859 0.8644 0.0992 0.0124 0.0067 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 3 WBS 0.24196 0.46274 0.57121 0.40406 0.47610 0.18495 -0.06087 0.34926 0.55610 0.62363 0.3040 0.0399 0.0085 0.0772 0.0338 0.4350 0.7988 0.1312 0.0109 0.0033 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 Season -0.39207 -0.30762 -0.12723 -0.06271 -0.07829 -0.13888 Rainfall 0.0064 0.0354 0.3941 0.6754 0.6009 0.3519 47 47 47 47 47 0.00719 -0.06870 0.18901 0.17503 0.9618 0.6464 0.4248 0.4605 47 47 47 20 20 Season -0.34319 -0.24109 -0.05697 -0.08377 -0.09833 -0.16322 -0.07245 -0.12111 Rainfall 0.0182 0.1026 0.7037 0.5756 0.5108 0.2730 0.6284 0.4174 (7 day 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 delay) 0.11041 0.18631 0.6431 0.4316 20 20 Rain -0.16655 -0.15031 -0.05926 2 WAS 0.2632 0.3132 0.6923 47 47 0.14149 0.18917 0.02388 0.22885 0.15778 0.26442 0.22483 0.3428 0.2028 0.8734 0.1218 0.2895 0.2599 0.3406 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 Rain -0.29689 -0.26809 -0.16208 3 WAS 0.0427 0.0685 0.2764 47 47 0.03618 0.01057 -0.06518 0.01895 -0.01078 0.02299 0.13784 0.8092 0.9438 0.6634 0.8994 0.9427 0.9234 0.5622 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 134 Rain -0.34120 -0.19906 2 WBS 0.0189 0.1798 0.01569 -0.16698 -0.13333 -0.21834 -0.03980 -0.10937 0.25812 0.17950 0.9166 0.2619 0.3716 0.1404 0.7906 0.4643 0.2719 0.4489 47 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 20 47 Rain -0.36127 -0.22520 -0.03676 -0.06366 -0.10805 -0.13364 -0.03313 -0.07418 3 WBS 0.0126 0.1280 0.8062 0.6707 0.4697 0.3705 0.8250 0.6202 47 Parameter SM 5-10 DAS 47 SM 5-15 DAS 47 SM 10-15 DAS 47 SM 2 WBS SM 3 WBS 47 47 47 Total Rainfall T Rain (7 day delay) Rain 2 WAS 0.21258 0.15659 0.3682 0.5097 47 20 20 Rain 3 WAS Rain 2 WBS Rain 3 WBS Disease -0.5972 -0.5538 -0.4605 -0.3608 -0.2996 -0.0755 0.03407 -0.1264 0.03650 -0.2062 -0.0927 Incidence 3 7 5 6 2 5 0.8202 2 0.8076 0 7 0.0054 20 0.0113 20 0.0410 20 0.1180 20 0.1994 20 0.6137 47 47 0.3971 47 47 0.1644 47 0.5351 47 Disease -0.5704 -0.5215 -0.4251 -0.5058 -0.4541 -0.0123 0.08879 -0.0546 0.07483 -0.1599 -0.0857 Severity 9 4 9 0 6 1 0.5529 5 0.6171 0 8 0.0086 20 0.0184 20 0.0616 20 0.0229 20 0.0443 20 0.9346 47 47 0.7152 47 47 0.2830 47 0.5664 47 AUDPCDI -0.5343 -0.3449 -0.1489 -0.2531 -0.1863 0.06962 0.25333 0.00176 0.13866 -0.0263 0.01783 2 5 9 7 5 0.7409 0.2218 0.9934 0.5086 3 0.9326 0.0490 0.2271 0.6112 0.3825 0.5236 25 25 25 25 0.9006 25 14 14 14 14 14 25 AUDPCDS -0.5726 -0.4353 -0.2727 -0.4979 -0.4390 0.04344 0.19827 0.04218 0.16653 -0.1258 -0.0909 0 7 8 6 0 0.8367 0.3421 0.8413 0.4263 0 5 0.0324 0.1197 0.3454 0.0700 0.1163 25 25 25 25 0.5491 0.6655 14 14 14 14 14 25 25 AUDPSDI -0.4843 -0.2526 -0.0291 -0.1764 -0.1166 0.10400 0.28706 0.03588 0.16615 0.02209 0.03312 9 2 9 4 4 0.6208 0.1641 0.8648 0.4273 0.9165 0.8751 0.0792 0.3836 0.9211 0.5462 0.6913 25 25 25 25 25 25 14 14 14 14 14 AUDPSDS -0.5702 -0.4014 -0.2146 -0.4748 -0.4198 0.06062 0.20535 0.07254 0.19075 -0.1012 -0.0972 7 0 4 5 2 0.7735 0.3248 0.7304 0.3611 7 2 0.0332 0.1549 0.4612 0.0862 0.1351 25 25 25 25 0.6300 0.6439 14 14 14 14 14 25 25 Temp -0.2434 -0.1373 -0.0351 0.18656 0.25808 -0.3228 -0.2956 -0.1450 -0.2658 -0.2773 -0.2848 2 WAS 9 5 7 0.4310 0.2719 3 1 4 0 1 0 0.3009 20 0.5636 20 0.8830 20 20 20 0.0269 47 0.0437 47 0.3307 47 0.0709 47 0.0591 47 0.0523 47 Temp -0.2381 -0.1325 -0.0323 0.37311 0.40779 -0.2872 -0.2427 -0.1379 -0.2560 -0.2063 -0.2175 3 WAS 4 7 2 0.1052 0.0743 5 9 3 5 8 8 0.3120 20 0.5774 20 0.8924 20 20 20 0.0503 47 0.1001 47 0.3552 47 0.0823 47 0.1640 47 0.1418 47 Temp -0.2709 -0.2210 -0.1601 0.12728 0.15848 -0.4166 -0.3682 -0.1529 -0.3133 -0.3631 -0.3878 7-14DAS 5 3 4 0.5928 0.5046 2 8 6 8 8 8 0.2479 20 0.3490 20 0.5000 20 20 20 0.0036 47 0.0109 47 0.3047 47 0.0320 47 0.0121 47 0.0071 47 Temp -0.2505 -0.1832 -0.1118 0.38852 0.38457 -0.3388 -0.2747 -0.1385 -0.2829 -0.2424 -0.2673 7-21DAS 1 0 5 0.0905 0.0941 5 7 8 2 6 3 0.2867 20 0.4395 20 0.6387 20 20 20 0.0198 47 0.0616 47 0.3529 47 0.0540 47 0.1006 47 0.0693 47 135 Temp -0.1498 -0.0661 0.00852 0.57777 0.54356 -0.1331 -0.0658 -0.0510 -0.1593 -0.0073 -0.0600 14-21 2 1 0.9716 0.0076 0.0132 0 4 9 1 7 5 DAS 0.5284 0.7819 20 20 20 0.3725 0.6602 0.7331 0.2848 0.9608 0.6885 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 Temp 0.3090 0.42557 0.48615 0.35350 0.35967 0.00693 -0.0413 0.24137 0.11574 -0.1306 -0.0506 2 WBS 5 0.0614 0.0298 0.1263 0.1193 0.9631 6 0.1022 0.4385 7 5 0.1849 20 20 20 20 20 47 0.7825 47 47 47 0.3813 47 0.7353 47 Temp 0.3263 0.45089 0.51571 0.43413 0.43295 -0.0167 -0.0668 0.27516 0.08388 3 WBS 5 0.0460 0.0199 0.0558 0.0566 2 0 0.0612 0.5751 0.1602 20 20 20 20 20 0.9112 47 0.6555 47 47 -0.1101 -0.0914 6 6 47 0.4611 0.5409 47 47 Temp 0.2960 0.40021 0.45321 0.18212 0.18393 -0.0656 -0.1148 0.15728 -0.0012 -0.1786 -0.1285 5-10 DBS 8 0.0804 0.0448 0.4422 0.4376 7 2 0.2911 6 9 8 0.2050 20 20 20 20 20 0.6610 47 0.4422 47 47 0.9933 47 0.2295 47 0.3890 47 Temp 0.2570 0.31517 0.33329 0.44618 0.41329 -0.0105 -0.0917 0.25809 0.04909 -0.0204 -0.0558 10-15 6 0.1759 0.1510 0.0486 0.0701 3 1 0.0799 0.7432 8 5 DBS 0.2739 20 20 20 20 0.9440 0.5398 47 47 0.8913 0.7092 20 47 47 47 47 Temp 0.3016 0.39397 0.43605 0.32891 0.31482 -0.0235 -0.0944 0.23889 0.04476 -0.0977 -0.0767 5-15 6 0.0857 0.0546 0.1568 0.1764 4 8 0.1058 0.7651 1 3 DBS 0.1962 20 20 20 20 0.8752 0.5276 47 47 0.5135 0.6082 20 47 47 47 47 Total DD 0.0647 0.20483 0.30377 0.50802 0.52680 -0.1984 -0.1693 0.02295 -0.1683 -0.2010 -0.2073 3 0.7863 20 0.3863 20 0.1929 20 0.0222 20 0.0170 20 3 0.1812 47 4 0.2551 47 0.8783 47 6 0.2579 47 6 0.1754 47 0 0.1621 47 Total DD 0.1236 0.24581 0.32527 0.52855 0.52068 -0.2074 -0.1746 0.04582 -0.1684 -0.2106 -0.2272 (7 day 8 0.2962 0.1617 0.0166 0.0186 4 4 0.7598 3 9 1 delay) 0.6034 20 20 20 20 0.1618 0.2404 47 0.2577 0.1552 0.1246 20 47 47 47 47 47 DD -0.1716 -0.0562 0.04602 0.25839 0.33302 -0.2838 -0.2571 -0.1427 -0.2316 -0.2463 -0.2343 2 WAS 5 7 0.8472 0.2714 0.1514 6 5 0 6 0 6 0.4693 20 0.8137 20 20 20 20 0.0532 47 0.0810 47 0.3386 47 0.1172 47 0.0951 47 0.1128 47 DD -0.1754 -0.0661 0.03080 0.44433 0.47717 -0.2518 -0.2057 -0.1389 -0.2302 -0.1665 -0.1668 3 WAS 6 2 0.8974 0.0497 0.0334 0 7 3 4 5 6 0.4594 20 0.7818 20 20 20 20 0.0877 47 0.1653 47 0.3517 47 0.1195 47 0.2632 47 0.2623 47 DD -0.1941 -0.1365 -0.0773 0.20837 0.24196 -0.3920 -0.3431 -0.1665 -0.2968 -0.3412 -0.3612 7-14 8 4 9 0.3780 0.3040 7 9 5 9 0 7 DAS 0.4120 0.5660 0.7457 20 20 0.0064 0.0182 0.2632 0.0427 0.0189 0.0126 20 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD -0.1839 -0.1140 -0.0474 0.47068 0.46274 -0.3076 -0.2410 -0.1503 -0.2680 -0.1990 -0.2252 7-21 0 4 9 0.0362 0.0399 2 9 1 9 6 0 DAS 0.4377 0.6321 0.8424 20 20 0.0354 0.1026 0.3132 0.0685 0.1798 0.1280 20 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 DD -0.1146 -0.0358 0.03136 0.60632 0.57121 -0.1272 -0.0569 -0.0592 -0.1620 0.01569 -0.0367 14-21 2 3 0.8956 0.0046 0.0085 3 7 6 8 0.9166 6 DAS 0.6304 0.8808 20 20 20 0.3941 0.7037 0.6923 0.2764 47 0.8062 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 136 DD 0.2350 0.33482 0.38841 0.40805 0.40406 -0.0627 -0.0837 0.14149 0.03618 -0.1669 -0.0636 2 WBS 5 0.1490 0.0906 0.0741 0.0772 1 7 0.3428 0.8092 8 6 0.3185 20 20 20 20 20 0.6754 47 0.5756 47 47 47 0.2619 47 0.6707 47 DD 0.2652 0.37583 0.43480 0.48644 0.47610 -0.0782 -0.0983 0.18917 0.01057 -0.1333 -0.1080 3 WBS 2 0.1025 0.0554 0.0296 0.0338 9 3 0.2028 0.9438 3 5 0.2584 20 20 20 20 20 0.6009 47 0.5108 47 47 47 0.3716 47 0.4697 47 DD 0.0975 0.16211 0.20150 0.20500 0.18495 -0.1388 -0.1632 0.02388 -0.0651 -0.2183 -0.1336 5-10 DBS 3 0.4947 0.3943 0.3859 0.4350 8 2 0.8734 8 4 4 0.6825 20 20 20 20 20 0.3519 47 0.2730 47 47 0.6634 47 0.1404 47 0.3705 47 DD -0.0189 0.01634 0.04492 -0.0407 -0.0608 0.00719 -0.0724 0.22885 0.01895 -0.0398 -0.0331 10-15 1 0.9455 0.8509 8 7 0.9618 5 0.1218 0.8994 0 3 DBS 0.9369 20 20 0.8644 0.7988 47 0.6284 47 47 0.7906 0.8250 20 20 20 47 47 47 DD 0.2194 0.28824 0.31873 0.37917 0.34926 -0.0687 -0.1211 0.15778 -0.0107 -0.1093 -0.0741 5-15 DBS 5 0.2178 0.1708 0.0992 0.1312 0 1 0.2895 8 7 8 0.3526 20 20 20 20 20 0.6464 47 0.4174 47 47 0.9427 47 0.4643 47 0.6202 47 SM 0.9676 0.98181 0.89685 0.54772 0.55610 0.18901 0.11041 0.26442 0.02299 0.25812 0.21258 9 <.0001 <.0001 0.0124 0.0109 0.4248 0.6431 0.2599 0.9234 0.2719 0.3682 2 WAS <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 0.9008 0.97381 0.94249 0.58518 0.62363 0.17503 0.18631 0.22483 0.13784 0.17950 0.15659 3 WAS 6 <.0001 <.0001 0.0067 0.0033 0.4605 0.4316 0.3406 0.5622 0.4489 0.5097 <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 1.0000 0.94064 0.79556 0.52510 0.52351 0.26283 0.10504 0.29229 0.00112 0.33304 0.32725 5-10 0 <.0001 <.0001 0.0174 0.0178 0.2629 0.6594 0.2111 0.9963 0.1513 0.1590 DAS 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 0.9406 1.00000 0.95391 0.58859 0.60626 0.30126 0.24562 0.35062 0.14389 0.29612 0.26516 5-15 4 <.0001 0.0063 0.0046 0.1968 0.2966 0.1296 0.5450 0.2049 0.2585 DAS <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 0.7955 0.95391 1.00000 0.58315 0.61733 0.30327 0.34371 0.37222 0.26045 0.22817 0.17871 10-15 6 <.0001 0.0070 0.0037 0.1937 0.1379 0.1061 0.2674 0.3333 0.4509 DAS <.0001 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 0.5251 0.58859 0.58315 1.00000 0.97461 0.23969 0.35524 0.01029 0.05383 0.34318 0.48608 0 0.0063 0.0070 <.0001 0.3087 0.1243 0.9657 0.8217 0.1385 0.0298 2 WBS 0.0174 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 SM 0.5235 0.60626 0.61733 0.97461 1.00000 0.25460 0.40792 -0.0437 0.10808 0.29626 0.49202 1 0.0046 0.0037 <.0001 0.2787 0.0742 2 0.6501 0.2047 0.0276 3 WBS 0.0178 20 20 20 20 20 20 20 0.8548 20 20 20 20 Season 0.2628 0.30126 0.30327 0.23969 0.25460 1.00000 0.87442 0.65422 0.75567 0.67025 0.79838 Rainfall 3 0.1968 0.1937 0.3087 0.2787 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.2629 20 20 20 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 137 T Rain (7 0.1050 0.24562 0.34371 0.35524 0.40792 0.87442 1.00000 0.46552 0.66336 0.61018 0.75123 day 4 0.2966 0.1379 0.1243 0.0742 <.0001 0.0010 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 delay) 0.6594 20 20 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 Rain 0.2922 0.35062 0.37222 0.01029 -0.0437 0.65422 0.46552 1.00000 0.75064 0.30933 0.22619 2 WAS 9 0.1296 0.1061 0.9657 2 <.0001 0.0010 <.0001 0.0344 0.1263 0.2111 20 Rain 3 WAS 20 20 20 0.8548 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 0.0011 0.14389 0.26045 0.05383 0.10808 0.75567 0.66336 0.75064 1.00000 0.19140 0.36090 2 0.5450 0.2674 0.8217 0.6501 <.0001 <.0001 <.0001 0.1975 0.0127 0.9963 20 20 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 20 Rain 0.3330 0.29612 0.22817 0.34318 0.29626 0.67025 0.61018 0.30933 0.19140 1.00000 0.77546 2 WBS 4 0.2049 0.3333 0.1385 0.2047 <.0001 <.0001 0.0344 0.1975 <.0001 0.1513 20 20 20 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 Rain 0.3272 0.26516 0.17871 0.48608 0.49202 0.79838 0.75123 0.22619 0.36090 0.77546 1.00000 3 WBS 5 0.2585 0.4509 0.0298 0.0276 <.0001 <.0001 0.1263 0.0127 <.0001 0.1590 20 20 20 20 20 47 47 47 47 47 47 Abbreviations are as follows; AUDPCDI = Area under the disease progress curve disease incidence, AUDPCDS = Area under the disease progress curve disease severity, AUDPCDI = Area under the disease progress steps disease incidence, AUDPCDS = Area under the disease progress steps disease severity, WAS = Weeks after seeding, DAS = Days after seeding, WBS = Weeks before sampling, DBS = Days before sampling, DD = Degree days, SM = Soil moisture, T = Total, Temp = Temperature 1 138 Table A3.7. Clubroot incidence on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturallyinfested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2013.1 Seeding date WAS 3 May 22 May 30 May 18 June 26 June 9 July 24 July 7 August 4 0 0 10 4 47 1 4 2 6 3 26 31 52 33 21 8 44 8 28 35 65 50 50 23 18 49 10 40 49 61 75 59 31 48 96 12 57 65 62 84 52 33 19 71 14 63 81 69 95 47 50 39 16 74 91 75 98 83 53 18 78 79 93 100 65 20 81 87 91 22 79 97 96 24 97 100 26 99 1No significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test (P = 0.05) Table A3.8. Clubroot severity on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturallyinfested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2013.1 Seeding date WAS 3 May 22 May 30 May 18 June 26 June 9 July 24 July 7 August 4 0 0 7 2 38 1 3 1 6 1 17 23 41 30 11 6 32 8 14 26 58 43 40 17 12 35 10 24 35 57 62 54 25 38 68 12 49 57 60 78 47 23 12 65 14 52 66 66 89 41 40 32 16 69 86 74 96 73 43 18 73 74 88 100 60 20 79 83 89 22 76 94 94 24 95 100 26 99 1No significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test (P = 0.05) were observed. 139 Table A3.9. Clubroot incidence on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturallyinfested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2014.1 Seeding date WAS 8 May 22 May 4 June 18 June 3 July 16 July 30 July 15 August 4 0d 0d 39 b 30 bc 7 cd 95 a 24 bcd 0d 6 5b 85 a 81 a 97 a 100 a 100 a 26 b 95 a 8 32 b 100 a 93 a 100 a 90 a 10 84 a 100 a 100 a 12 97 a 14 97 a 16 99 a 18 98 a 1Significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test (P = 0.05) Table A3.10. Clubroot disease severity on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally-infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2014.1 Seeding date WAS 8 May 22 May 4 June 18 June 3 July 16 July 30 July 15 August 4 0b 0b 18 b 17 b 7b 87 a 21 b 0b 6 4d 64 c 75 abc 95 ab 100 a 100 a 23 d 69 bc 8 15 c 99 a 91 ab 100 a 65 b 10 53 b 100 a 100 a 12 75 a 14 89 a 16 94 a 18 97 a 1Significant differences within sampling week based on Tukey’s multiple mean comparison test (P = 0.05) 140 Figure A3.1. Clubroot incidence throughout the growing season on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally-infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2013. Figure A3.2. Clubroot incidence throughout the growing season on canola planted at approximately 2-wk intervals in naturally- infested muck soil at the Muck Crops Research Station, Holland Marsh, ON, 2014. 141 Table A3.11 Raw data for canola trials at the Holland Marsh in 2013. Seeding Date TRT WEEK BLOCK 2013/05/02 4 1 1 2013/05/02 4 1 2 2013/05/02 4 1 3 2013/05/02 4 1 4 2013/05/02 6 1 1 2013/05/02 6 1 2 2013/05/02 6 1 3 2013/05/02 6 1 4 2013/05/02 8 1 1 2013/05/02 8 1 2 2013/05/02 8 1 3 2013/05/02 8 1 4 2013/05/02 10 1 1 2013/05/02 10 1 2 2013/05/02 10 1 3 2013/05/02 10 1 4 2013/05/02 12 1 1 2013/05/02 12 1 2 2013/05/02 12 1 3 2013/05/02 14 1 1 2013/05/02 14 1 2 2013/05/02 14 1 3 2013/05/02 16 1 1 2013/05/02 16 1 2 2013/05/02 16 1 3 2013/05/02 18 1 1 2013/05/02 18 1 2 2013/05/02 18 1 3 2013/05/02 20 1 1 2013/05/02 20 1 2 2013/05/02 20 1 3 2013/05/02 22 1 1 2013/05/02 22 1 2 2013/05/02 22 1 3 2013/05/02 12 1 4 2013/05/02 14 1 4 2013/05/02 16 1 4 2013/05/02 18 1 4 2013/05/02 20 1 4 CI 0 0 0 0 0 0 4 8 8 6 66 30 4 32 58 64 34 14 80 12 56 100 36 60 100 52 60 100 38 84 100 70 46 100 100 82 100 100 100 DSI 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 3 3 2 39 12 1 16 37 40 18 9 70 7 29 100 27 51 99 42 51 100 32 83 100 67 38 100 99 72 100 100 100 142 2013/05/02 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/15 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 22 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 12 12 12 14 14 14 16 16 16 18 18 18 20 20 20 10 12 14 16 18 20 4 4 4 4 6 6 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 100 0 0 0 0 10 4 10 80 12 8 22 98 24 40 38 96 38 30 98 68 56 100 86 76 72 86 58 78 106 70 94 94 100 100 100 100 2 24 12 2 6 70 100 0 0 0 0 5 3 5 53 5 6 11 83 15 23 21 93 30 24 65 48 49 94 84 67 67 75 55 75 93 66 82 82 100 100 100 100 1 17 8 1 4 55 143 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/05/30 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 6 6 8 8 8 10 10 10 12 12 12 14 14 14 16 16 16 18 18 18 8 10 12 14 16 18 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 3 4 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 1 2 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 40 8 30 100 98 18 100 100 22 100 100 58 100 100 88 100 100 90 100 100 30 24 26 18 12 80 0 0 16 0 10 58 100 38 8 58 100 34 38 98 100 64 50 25 7 20 100 95 13 100 100 17 100 100 49 100 100 84 100 100 79 100 100 15 16 22 16 10 71 0 0 6 0 3 37 98 27 8 45 93 28 25 86 100 37 31 144 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/12 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/06/26 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 98 100 88 88 96 100 94 90 100 100 100 94 30 42 20 60 18 42 10 98 36 48 16 100 52 66 16 100 54 26 28 100 30 40 18 0 4 0 0 16 44 4 20 95 100 83 82 88 100 87 83 100 100 100 85 23 29 16 60 15 38 7 97 25 27 10 100 43 61 11 100 47 17 25 100 18 30 15 0 3 0 0 7 26 1 7 145 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/09 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/07/24 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 2013/08/07 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 Table A3.12. Raw data for canola trials at the Holland Marsh in 2014. 22 44 12 14 30 52 24 16 44 25 34 28 6 4 4 0 16 2 6 8 30 8 8 24 92 4 34 60 0 0 0 6 36 50 46 42 38 78 52 26 17 31 7 11 20 47 22 10 36 13 27 14 6 3 2 0 11 1 5 7 21 7 7 15 81 2 21 46 0 0 0 2 19 42 38 29 25 71 25 17 146 Seeding Date 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/08 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 TRT 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 Week 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 18 20 20 20 20 4 4 4 4 6 6 BLOCK 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 DI 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.00 0.00 4.00 12.00 42.00 32.00 14.00 38.00 86.00 78.00 78.00 94.00 100.00 92.00 98.00 96.00 100.00 94.00 98.00 96.00 100.00 96.00 98.00 100.00 100.00 96.00 94.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 94.00 88.00 DSI 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.00 0.00 3.33 10.00 17.33 14.00 6.67 20.00 54.00 45.33 44.67 66.67 93.33 61.33 64.67 79.33 98.00 75.33 87.33 94.67 100.00 84.00 92.00 100.00 100.00 96.00 92.67 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.33 74.00 147 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/05/22 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 18 18 18 18 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 84.00 72.00 100.00 100.00 98.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.00 62.00 46.00 20.00 70.00 66.67 95.00 93.94 90.00 100.00 100.00 82.76 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 66.00 45.33 98.00 100.00 96.67 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.33 30.00 18.00 8.67 60.67 60.00 90.00 89.90 84.00 100.00 100.00 79.31 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 148 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/04 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/06/18 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 16 16 16 16 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 14 14 14 14 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.57 20.00 72.73 88.24 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 0.00 5.88 20.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.29 11.11 42.42 88.24 100.00 97.62 93.94 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.33 0.00 5.88 18.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 149 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 10 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 8 8 8 8 4 4 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 100.00 84.00 94.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.00 28.00 42.00 12.00 22.00 22.00 40.00 18.00 100.00 94.00 98.00 68.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00 92.67 74.00 82.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 11.33 24.00 42.00 7.33 20.00 20.67 37.33 13.33 72.00 74.67 78.67 36.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 150 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 8 8 8 8 8 4 6 6 6 6 4 1 2 3 4 0.00 102.00 86.00 92.00 100.00 0.00 78.00 55.33 52.00 88.67 Table A3.13. Raw data for Chinese flowering cabbage trials at the Holland Marsh in 2013. Seeding Date TRT WEEK BLOCK DI DSI 2013/08/07 4 72.00 49.33 1 1 2013/08/07 4 68.00 57.33 1 2 2013/08/07 4 72.00 62.00 1 3 2013/08/07 4 18.00 6.67 1 4 2013/08/07 6 28.00 20.00 1 1 2013/08/07 6 96.00 96.00 1 2 2013/08/07 6 100.00 98.67 1 3 2013/08/07 6 66.00 53.33 1 4 Table A3.14. Raw data for Chinese flowering cabbage trials at the Holland Marsh in 2014. Seeding Date TRT WEEK BLOCK DI 2014/05/08 4 0.00 1 1 2014/05/08 4 0.00 1 2 2014/05/08 4 0.00 1 3 2014/05/08 4 0.00 1 4 2014/05/08 6 20.00 1 1 2014/05/08 6 0.00 1 2 2014/05/08 6 0.00 1 3 2014/05/08 6 0.00 1 4 2014/05/22 4 0.00 2 1 2014/05/22 4 0.00 2 2 2014/05/22 4 0.00 2 3 2014/05/22 4 0.00 2 4 2014/05/22 6 36.00 2 1 2014/05/22 6 84.00 2 2 2014/05/22 6 52.00 2 3 2014/05/22 6 16.00 2 4 2014/06/04 4 0.00 3 1 2014/06/04 4 0.00 3 2 2014/06/04 4 2.00 3 3 2014/06/04 4 0.00 3 4 2014/07/03 4 0.00 5 1 DSI 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 22.00 62.67 30.67 6.67 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.00 0.00 151 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/03 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/16 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/07/30 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 2014/08/15 5 5 5 5 5 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 8 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 4 4 4 4 6 6 6 6 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 1 2 3 4 0.00 2.00 4.00 98.00 16.00 68.00 52.00 86.00 78.00 88.00 52.00 98.00 90.00 92.00 98.00 72.00 88.00 10.00 22.00 72.00 86.00 16.00 16.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.00 98.00 80.00 48.00 0.00 2.00 2.00 92.67 8.00 56.67 48.67 76.67 65.33 70.67 35.33 98.00 84.00 88.00 89.33 70.00 83.33 6.67 17.33 70.00 83.33 16.00 14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.67 89.33 66.67 29.33 152 Table A3.15. Raw data for calculated degree days (Tbase = 14 °C) and rainfall (mm) for 2013 and 2014. Air DD Season Total Season Total Seeding Date Air DD 1 W Delay Rainfall Rainfall 1W Delay 2013/05/02 105.2 88.7 167.7 167.7 2013/05/15 162.5 138.3 162.4 102.0 2013/05/30 224.8 192.8 174.2 145.6 2013/06/12 305.6 281.0 119.8 106.5 2013/06/26 284.5 240.0 171.1 146.6 2013/07/09 259.0 202.3 83.1 82.0 2013/07/24 217.3 193.8 113.2 95.1 2013/08/07 202.4 168.5 71.2 65.2 2014/05/08 107.5 94.0 157.7 134.1 2014/05/22 196.6 174.8 135.9 119.5 2014/06/04 216.0 198.1 156.1 211.9 2014/06/18 234.9 199.9 96.7 102.9 2014/07/03 202.9 167.5 133.7 96.8 2014/07/16 195.6 159.4 98.6 98.0 2014/07/30 197.9 169.8 142.3 75.8 2014/08/15 138.0 110.6 122.2 112.7 153 APPENDIX 4: RAW DATA FOR TILLAGE RADISH STUDY Table A4.1. Raw data for tillage radish trials in an controlled environment in Guelph, ON. Cultivar Pathotype BLOCK DI DSI Tillage radish 0.00 0.00 2 1 0.00 0.00 2 2 0.00 0.00 2 3 0.00 0.00 2 4 3.75 2.50 3 1 0.00 0.00 3 2 0.00 0.00 3 3 0.00 0.00 3 4 0.00 0.00 5 1 0.00 0.00 5 2 0.00 0.00 5 3 0.00 0.00 5 4 0.00 0.00 6 1 0.00 0.00 6 2 0.00 0.00 6 3 0.00 0.00 6 4 Shanghai pak choy 100.00 100.00 2 1 90.00 60.00 2 2 100.00 100.00 2 3 100.00 93.33 2 4 100.00 100.00 3 1 80.00 73.33 3 2 90.00 90.00 3 3 100.00 100.00 3 4 100.00 100.00 5 1 90.00 80.00 5 2 100.00 100.00 5 3 100.00 100.00 5 4 100.00 100.00 6 1 70.00 70.00 6 2 100.00 100.00 6 3 100.00 100.00 6 4
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