J Seismol DOI 10.1007/s10950-015-9494-z ORIGINAL ARTICLE Effects of seasonal changes in ambient noise sources on monitoring temporal variations in crustal properties Meng Gong & Yang Shen & Hongyi Li & Xinfu Li & Jinsheng Jia Received: 30 December 2013 / Accepted: 30 March 2015 # Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015 Abstract Continuous data recorded at 39 broadband stations near the Longmen Shan Fault operated by the China Earthquake Administration from 1 January 2008 to 30 September 2010 are used to study temporal variability in direct surface wave arrivals extracted from ambient noise. We use a cross-correlation technique to compute Empirical green functions (EGFs) for all available station pairs at the frequency range of 0.1 to 0.5Hz. Delay times are measured by cross-correlating reference empirical green functions and moving 60-day stacks of EGFs. By comparing the temporal changes with and without the correction for seasonal variations, our results show that for some station pairs temporal variations were strongly affected by the seasonal variation. After correction for seasonal variations, we measure a 0.5-% maximum velocity drop after the 2008 Ms8.0 earthquake in Sichuan, China. We find that the Sichuan Basin exhibited a larger relative velocity drop than the Tibetan plateau area. Our results suggest that correction for seasonal variation is an important procedure for monitoring temporal variations in crustal properties using the direct arrival surface waves extracted from ambient noise. M. Gong : H. Li : X. Li Key Laboratory of Geo-detection, Ministry of Education, China University of Geosciences, Beijing 100083, China Keywords Ambient noise . Empirical green function . Cross-correlations . Surface waves . Season variations . Temporal variation H. Li e-mail: [email protected] X. Li e-mail: [email protected] 1 Introduction M. Gong : Y. Shen Graduate School of Oceanography, University of Rhode Island, Narragansett 02882 RI, USA Empirical green functions (EGFs) can be extracted from cross-correlations of ambient noise and coda waves between station pairs with sufficiently long records (e.g., Campillo and Paul 2003; Shapiro and Campillo 2004; Sabra et al. 2005). EGFs have been used to image crustal and upper-mantle velocity structure at various scales (e.g., Sabra et al. 2005; Yao et al. 2006, 2008; Yang et al. 2007; Cho et al. 2007; Lin et al. 2007, 2008; Bensen et al. 2007, 2008; Li et al. 2009, 2010, 2012). EGFs have also been used to monitor temporal variations in crustal properties. For example, Brenguier et al. (2008a) observed seismic velocity drops along the San Andreas Fault after the 2003 San Simeon and 2004 Y. Shen e-mail: [email protected] J. Jia Shanxi Lanyan Coalbed Methane Co. Ltd., Jincheng 048000 Shanxi, China e-mail: [email protected] M. Gong (*) Seismological Bureau of Hebei Province, Shijiazhuang 050000, China e-mail: [email protected] J Seismol Parkfield earthquakes. Brenguier et al. (2008b) also found a decrease of seismic velocity on the order of 0.05 % a few weeks before the Piton de la Fournaise volcano eruptions. Wegler and Sens-Schönfelder (2007) found a 0.6-% drop in seismic velocity after the Mid-Niigata earthquake. Compared to naturally repeating earthquakes, the use of EGFs is more repeatable and avoids the uncertainty in earthquake source locations and origin times. It is also more economical than controlled repeated sources. For these reasons, the technique of passive monitoring with ambient noise is becoming a useful tool to detect temporal variations of the earth structure. On 12 May 2008, an Ms8.0 earthquake ruptured the Longmen Shan Fault in Sichuan, China (hereinafter the Wenchuan earthquake). It was the most destructive earthquake since 1980s in China in terms of human and property losses. There have been several related studies that focus on the earthquake source mechanism (Zhang et al. 2008; Royden et al. 2008; Lei et al. 2009), crustal structure (Wang et al. 2009; Wu et al. 2009), crustal rupture process (Wang et al. 2008; Zhang et al. 2009; Xu et al. 2009), and crustal movement (Jiang et al. 2009). Using ambient noise cross-correlations, Liu and Huang (2010), Cheng et al. (2010) and Chen et al. (2010) studied the temporal variations of the velocity structure near the Longmen Shan Fault. Liu and Huang (2010) used 3 years of continuous data from 2007 to 2009 at frequencies of 0.1 to 0.5 Hz. Cheng et al. (2010) used 100-day continuous records around the date of the main shock at frequencies of 0.04 to 0.1 Hz. Both studies found an approximately 0.4-% maximum seismic velocity drop after the Wenchuan earthquake. Chen et al. (2010) used the data from January 1, 2007 to the end of 2008 at periods of 1 to 3 s and found a seismic velocity drop of 0.08 % after the earthquake. These studies did not consider the effects of temporal variations in the distribution of ambient noise sources on ambient noise cross-correlations, which are known to be important depending on the application (e.g., Harmon et al. 2010; Froment et al. 2010). At the level of a fraction of a percent velocity change, these source effects become important and have to be separated from the true, in situ wave speed changes. Passive monitoring with ambient noise to date has relied primarily on the coda of surface waves. By definition, the coda is a scattered wave less affected by variation in noise source than the direct surface wave arrival, although it has been shown that the coda wave is affected by rainfalls during the monsoon season (Froment et al. 2013; Obermann et al. 2014). Compared to the coda, the direct surface waves are sensitive to structures in a defined and relatively narrow band between a station pair and thus essential for accurately locating and tomographic imaging of the temporal variations in crustal properties. In this paper, we use cross-correlations of ambient noise recorded by the China Earthquake Administration from January 2008 to September 2010, a much longer recording period after the main shock than in the previous studies, to determine the temporal seismic velocity variation in the Longmen Shan fault zone and adjacent areas. Compared to Liu and Huang (2010), we use direct arrival surface wave instead of coda wave, and we use substantially more stations (39 in this study versus 17) over a much broader area to obtain baseline measurements from stations far away from the fault zone, which are presumably less affected or unaffected by the fault rupture. We find that in some station pairs the apparent temporal changes in ambient noise cross-correlations are strongly influenced by seasonal variations. After correction for seasonal variations, we measure a 0.5-% maximum relative velocity drop after the 2008 Ms8.0 earthquake in Sichuan, China. 2 Data and methods The vertical component continuous data from 39 broadband stations near the Longmen Shan Fault (Fig. 1) operated by the China Earthquake Administration between 1 January 2008 and 30 September 2010 are used in this study. Seismograms are first cut into daily segments. After the removal of the mean, trend, and instrument response, a 0.5-Hz low-pass filter is applied. To reduce the effect of earthquakes and instrumental irregularities on cross-correlations, we normalized the seismograms with a time–frequency normalization method (Ekström et al. 2009; Shen et al. 2012) and deleted time segments that contain earthquakes with Ms≥ 3.5 according to the earthquake catalogs from the China Earthquake Network Center. We computed daily cross-correlations for all station pairs to obtain EGFs. For each station pair, we stack daily cross-correlations before the main shock from 1 January to 30 April 2008 and about 1 year after the main shock from 1 May 2009 to 30 September 2010 to construct our reference empirical green function (REGF). To detect temporal variations, we stack cross-correlations in a 60-day moving J Seismol Fig. 1 Topographic relief of the Longmen Shan Fault area. Black dashed lines denote the faults; triangles are stations used in this study. The epicenter of the Ms8.0 earthquake is marked by a star, and circles denote the aftershocks (Ms≥ 3.5) window and denote the resulting stack (EGF60) to the center of the moving window in our date sequence. If the number of daily records in the moving window is less than 30, EGF60 is not computed. In order to measure a fraction of a percent velocity change, we interpolated the REGFs and EGF60 from five samples per second to 50 samples per second to measure the relative time-shifts at the frequency range of 0.1 to 0.5 Hz. If the relative velocity change in the medium is isotropic and homogeneous, it can be determined from a linear regression of the relative delay time Δτ/τ between the reference and windowed EGFs, where Δτ is the relative delay at the time lag of cross-correlation τ (Brenguier et al. 2008a, b; Liu and Huang 2010). Because this method uses the coda, the measurement reflects an average over a large area determined by the length of the coda instead of the immediate area around the direct path between the station pairs. Moreover, if the time window used in the measurement, τ, starts before the main surface wave arrival (e.g., Liu and Huang 2010), the waveform may contain teleseismic and local P and S body waves (Roux et al. 2005; Zhang et al. 2010; Zhan and Clayton 2010), making it difficult to associate the measurement with a single wave type and path. J Seismol In this study, we explore the benefits of direct surface wave arrivals and the factors that may affect their stability. We use the direct surface (Rayleigh) wave defined by a range of group velocities (2–4 km/s) to measure the relative temporal variation in the seismic velocity. This range is substantially wider than the likely range of group velocities in the region at 2–10-s periods. In this period range, Rayleigh waves are sensitive to velocities in the upper and middle crust (approximately upper 15km depth). In general, the EGF60 and REGF for the same station pair are very similar to each other as shown in Fig. 2. Relative delay times are measured from the cross-correlations of daily EGF60 and REGF in the time window for the direct Rayleigh wave for both the positive (causal) and negative (acausal) time lags. If the correlation coefficient of EGF60 and REGF is less than 0.6 or the EGF60 signal–noise ratio (SNR) is less than 4, the delay time is not computed. The SNR is defined as the maximum amplitude of signal divided by the standard deviation in the noise time window (Fig. 2a). The bootstrap method (Efron and Gong 1983) is used to assess the uncertainties of the delay time measurements at a 60-day interval. The uncertainty is highest after the main shock, possibly due to intense aftershock activities and the removal of time segments that contain the aftershocks. In this paper, a measurement is valid if the standard deviation of the delay measured by the bootstrap method is smaller than 0.06 s. Fig. 2 a REGF (solid line) and one EGF60 centered on 20 May 2008 (dashed line) for the station pair PWU-JMG; vertical solid lines indicate the signal and noise time windows used. b Enlarged a time lags from −60 to 60 s 3 Result 3.1 Clock-shift and seasonal variation A change in the physical property of the medium should cause the same earlier or later travel time in both the causal and acausal time lags. But uneven and varied spatial distribution of noise sources and the instrumental clock errors may affect the EGFs and make the measurements on the positive and negative time lags asymmetric (Stehly et al. 2007; Zhan and Clayton 2010). As discussed in Stehly et al. (2007), the travel time variation δτ(t) measured from a surface wave by crosscorrelations can be written as: δτ ðt Þ ¼ Dðt Þ þ φðt Þ þ εðt Þ ð1Þ In this equation, δτ(t) denotes the variation of surface wave travel time measured either on the positive or on the negative part. D(t) is the time delay caused by the instrument clock errors. φ(t) is the time-shift due to changes in the medium. ε(t) is the time-shift due to changes in the spatial distribution of the source. D is an even function, whereas φ(t) is an odd function. By taking the even and odd part of Eq. (1), we obtain: δτ ðt Þ þ δτ ð−t Þ εðt Þ þ εð−t Þ ¼ D ðt Þ þ 2 2 ð2Þ J Seismol This equation allows us to evaluate the relative drift of the station clock D(t), under the assumption that D is ð−t Þ large compared to εðtÞþε . Following Eqs. (1) and (2), 2 we can correct instrumental errors and get the measured time delay fluctuations δτ*(t) by: εðt Þ þ εð−t Þ δτ * ðt Þ ¼ ½Dðt Þ þ φðt Þ þ εðt Þ− Dðt Þ þ 2 ð3Þ δτ * ðt Þ ¼ φðt Þ þ εðt Þ−εð−t Þ 2 ð4Þ Figure 3 shows the measured temporal variations of the apparent velocity for three station pairs and their path locations. We first measure the delay times on the positive (δτ(t)) and negative (δτ(−t)) time lags, respectively (e.g., Fig. 3a—i and ii) and then use Eq. (2) to compute the time-shift which includes the effects of instrument clock shift (Fig. 3a—iii) and Eq. (3) to correct the anti-symmetry component of the measurements to get the corrected delay time including the timeshift due to changes in the medium and the time-shift due to the seasonal variations as shown in Eq. (4). We use this delay time divided by the arrival time of the direct arrival surface wave to compute the relative velocity change, including the effects of seasonal variations in percent (Fig. 3a—iv). After the correction for the anti-symmetry component, two of the station pairs in Fig. 3 (GZA-EMS and HSH-YGD) show temporal variations that have a clearly identifiable yearly oscillation (Fig. 3a—iv, b—iv). The apparent velocity begins to increase in January and reach to peak in July and then decreases back to a trough in the next January. For path GZA-EMS, the positive time lag of the correlation corresponds to waves traveling from GZA to EMS, while the negative part corresponds to waves traveling from EMS to GZA. The positive time lag is sensitive to sources in the northwestern direction and exhibits larger fluctuations (Fig. 3a—i) than the negative time lag (Fig. 3a—ii), which is sensitive to sources coming from the southeastern direction. The same features can be found for the path HSH-YGD. However, station pair XJI-MDS exhibits a relatively smaller and different type of seasonal fluctuation. These periodic fluctuations were likely caused by seasonal variation in the noise source located in distant regions and local rainfalls (Froment et al. 2013; Obermann et al. 2014). They are of similar order of magnitude as the reported velocity drops after the earthquake. To correct for seasonal variation, we average the relative delay times in 2009 and 2010 by the same date of the year for each station pair to obtain the average yearly seasonal variation, and then we assume that this average yearly season variation is representative for the whole study period (from 1 January 2008 to 30 September 2010) as shown in Fig. 3a—v, with the assumption that the deviation from the average seasonal variations in the 60-day moving window of a particular year is of second order in magnitude. Finally, the seasonal variation was subtracted from our relative velocity changes with the anti-asymmetry correction to get the final result (Fig. 3—vi). Figure 4 shows additional examples of the temporal velocity changes, with and without correction for seasonal variation and their path locations. Most of the station pairs show seasonal variation. However, station pairs with similar path orientations may exhibit a different seasonal variability. For example, station pairs XJIMDS, HSH-JJS, and YZP-HMS are all nearly orthogonal to the Longmen Shan Fault (Fig. 4a), but YZP-EMS (Fig. 4j) exhibits a stronger seasonal variation than others. On the contrary, REG-RTA (Fig. 4b), WDTWXT (Fig. 4d), and YGD-EMS (Fig. 4g) are all subparallel to the Longmen Shan Fault and show similar seasonal variations. ZJG-BZH are located in Sichuan Basin, and XJI-YZP are located in the Tibetan Plateau (Fig. 4a). The paths of these two station pairs are almost parallel to each other, but ZJG-BZH (Fig. 4m) exhibits the strongest seasonal variation. These observations suggest that in addition to the influence of remote noise sources, local crustal scattering and local seasonal noise sources (e.g., rainfalls and rivers) may also play an important role in seasonal variation, although the exact causes and mechanisms of the apparent local influences remain unknown. 3.2 Velocity change after the main shock As shown in Fig. 4, most of the station pairs located near or across the Longmen Shan Fault exhibit a velocity drop after the main shock (Fig. 4d–f). In particular, WDT-WXT (Fig. 4d), which is located northwest of the Longmen Shan Fault, had an approximately 0.5-% maximum relative velocity drop. Station pairs located in the plateau area exhibit no obvious velocity change immediately after the main shock as seen at station pairs J Seismol Fig. 3 Examples of removal seasonal variation and clock errors from measured temporal velocity change for the paths GZA-EMS, HSH-YGD, XJI-MDS, and their locations. a–c The heavy vertical lines denote the time of the Wenchuan earthquake. i and ii The temporal variations for the positive and negative time lags, respectively; iii the anti-symmetry component of the measurements includes the effects of instrumental clock-shift; iv the relative velocity temporal variation after correction for the anti-symmetry component; v the seasonal variation obtained from iv; vi the final result after correction for seasonal variation; negative values indicate a velocity decrease relative to the reference. d Locations and paths of station pairs used in a–c. d Black dashed lines denote the faults; the epicenter of the main Wenchuan earthquake is marked by a black star REG-SPA and REG-RTA (Fig. 4b, c). In the basin area, we measured sharp velocity drops after the main shock at station pairs YGD-EMS (Fig. 4g), YZP-EMS (Fig. 4j), and YZP-HMS (Fig. 4i). Station pair ZJG- BZH (Fig. 4m) do not show a significant relative velocity change after the main shock. We use the average velocity change 60 days after the Wenchuan earthquake from all station pairs to analyze J Seismol Fig. 4 Examples of relative velocity changes for station pairs and their location distributions. Negative values indicate a velocity decrease relative to the reference. a Locations and paths of station pairs used in b–m; red lines denote the Longmenshan faults. The epicenter of the main Wenchuan earthquake is marked by a red star. b–m The red and black lines denote the results with and without seasonal variation correction, respectively. The black vertical line denotes the time of the Ms8.0 Wenchuan earthquake. The vertical blue lines are the standard deviation estimated from bootstrap at 60-day interval the spatial distribution of the temporal variation in seismic velocity. Figure 5 shows the relative velocity changes, with and without the correction for seasonal variation. Prior to the correction for seasonal variation (Fig. 5a), station pairs DBT-REG, GZA-SMI, and YZP-MDS have average relative velocity changes of up to approximately −0.4 %. The nearby station pairs exhibit a complicated pattern; some paths exhibit a velocity drop, while others show a velocity increase. After correction for seasonal variation (Fig. 5b), DBTREG, GZA-YZP, and nearby station pairs exhibit consistent relative velocity changes, while the relative velocity change of YZP-MDS decreases from approximately −0.4 % to less than −0.1 %. As shown in Fig. 5b, even after correction for the seasonal variation, there are still some paths that exhibit velocity increase after the main shock, which were inconsistent with their surrounding paths (e.g., RTA-HSH and SPA-ZJG). These contradictory observations may be caused by the uncertainties of our measurements and the effects of seasonal variations that are not completely removed. Since the fluctuation of the measured velocity from January 2010 is up to ±0.2 % (Fig. 4), only the average velocity changes larger than 0.2 % are considered to have been affected by the earthquake. After correction for seasonal variation (Fig. 5b), most of the station pairs near the Longmen Shan fault exhibit a drop in the average relative velocity after the Wenchuan earthquake. Station pairs located in the northern part of the Longmen Shan Fault have larger relative velocity drops than the southern part, and the velocity drop in the Sichuan Basin is on average larger than in the Tibetan plateau area, respectively. Similar observations were also documented in the studies of Liu and Huang (2010) and Chen et al. (2010) from measurements of coda waves. Liu and Huang (2010) measured a maximum relative velocity drop of 0.4 % in the station pair AXI-PWU, and Chen et al. (2010) found J Seismol Fig. 5 Spatial distribution of the relative velocity variation averaged over 60 days after the Wenchuan without (a) and with (b) correction for seasonal variation. Negative values indicate a velocity decrease relative to the reference. The epicenter of the Wenchuan earthquake is marked by a black star; the red dots denote the aftershocks, and black dashed lines denote the faults. Triangles are stations used in this study. The color of the lines connecting the station pairs corresponds to the relative velocity changes, with dark blue and dark red representing the maximum velocity increase and drop, respectively a maximum velocity drop of 0.08 % just after the main shock in the Longmen Shan fault region. Cheng et al. (2010) found that seismic wave velocities drop by as much as ∼0.4 % in the northwest side of the Longmen Shan Fault. Wang et al. (2008) showed that Yingxiu and Beichuan counties had the largest strike-slip motions after the Wenchuan earthquake. Stations YZP and PWU are located within these two counties. Most of the station pairs around PWU and YZP in our study (Fig. 5b) exhibit more than 0.2 % relative velocity drop after the main shock, and for station pairs AXI-PWU, QCH-PWU, and WDT-WXT, the relative velocity drops reach 0.4 %. Thus, our measurements using the direct surface arrivals are generally consistent with the coda measurements in the previous studies, and these velocity drops can be attributed to the damage of the upper and mid crust during the main shock, as suggested by Liu and Huang (2010) and Cheng et al. (2010). Longmen Shan fault area. We find that the apparent temporal changes in ambient noise cross-correlations may be strongly influenced by seasonal variations. Comparison of station pairs having similar path orientations reveals complexity in the seasonal variations, suggesting that the seasonal variability may include both local and remote influences, although the sources and mechanisms of the local influence remain unknown. After correction of seasonal variations, we measure an approximately 0.5-% maximum relative velocity drop after the main shock. Station pairs located near the Longmen Shan fault exhibit obvious velocity drops after the Wenchuan earthquake, and the velocity drop in the northern part of Longmen Shan Fault is larger than the southern region. The relative velocity drop in the Sichuan Basin is on average larger than that in the Tibetan plateau. Our results suggest that correcting seasonal variations determined from multiple years of data leads to a geographically more consistent pattern in the apparent velocity changes after the earthquake. Correction for seasonal variations is therefore an important procedure when we apply the ambient noise technique to monitor temporal variations in crustal properties with direct arrival surface waves. An important implication of this study is that direct surface 4 Conclusions We demonstrate that direct surface waves extracted from ambient noise also provide viable measurements to monitor the temporal variations in the crustal velocity structure before and after the Ms8.0 main shock near the J Seismol arrivals, corrected for seasonal variations, can be used to monitor seismic wave temporal change in crustal properties. 4.1 Data and resources Waveform data for this study are provided by the Data Management Centre of China National Seismic Network at Institute of Geophysics, China Earthquake Administration (Zheng et al. 2009). Acknowledgments This research was supported by Open Fund (No. GDL1202) of Key Laboratory of Geo-detection (China University of Geosciences, Beijing), Ministry of Education, National Science Foundation of China under Grant 41174050, the Program for New Century Excellent Talents in University (NCET), the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities, and the US National Science Foundation under Grant 0738779. References Bensen GD, Ritzwoller MH, Barmin MP, Levshin AL, Lin F, Moschetti MP, Shapiro NM, Yang Y (2007) Processing seismic ambient noise data to obtain reliable broad-band surface wave dispersion measurements. Geophys J Int 169:1239– 1260. doi:10.1111/j.1365-246X.2007.03374.x Bensen, G. D., Ritzwoller, M. H., and N. M. Shapiro (2008), Broadband ambient noise surface wave tomography across the United States. J. Geophys. 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