Ellerston Australian Small Companies Fund PERFORMANCE REPORT April 2015 The Ellerston Australian Small Companies Fund employs an active research driven investment approach to identify a portfolio of 30 - 50* small company securities which aims to deliver returns superior to the S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index over time. Ellerston Australian Small Companies Fund Performance Return % Net^ Benchmark Net Alpha Gross 1 Month 2.02% 1.66% 0.36% 2.12% 3 Months 11.09% 8.10% 2.99% 11.79% FYTD 12.26% 6.40% 5.85% 14.07% 1 Year 14.40% 5.31% 9.09% 17.04% Since Inception p.a. 11.23% 4.61% 6.63% 13.36% Ellerston Australian Small Companies Fund Top Holdings Top 5 Stock holdings as at 30 April 2015 Slater & Gordon Ltd Austal Limited Mantra Group Limited Transfield Services Limited Nextdc Limited Ordinary Fully Paid Sector % Consumer Discretionary 4.80 Industrials 3.82 Consumer Discretionary 3.79 Industrials 3.77 Information Technology 3.47 ^ The net return figure is calculated after fees & expenses. The gross return is calculated before fees & expenses. Past performance is not a reliable indication of future performance. The benchmark is the ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index. The Fund commenced on 10 October 2013. *This is the typical number of stocks in the portfolio. The Information Memorandum does allow for 20 - 50 stocks. Ellerston Capital Limited ABN 34 110 397 674 AFSL 283 000 Level 11 179 Elizabeth Street Sydney NSW 2000 Tel: 02 9021 7797 Fax: 02 9261 0528 [email protected] www.ellerstoncapital.com APIR Code: ECL0015AU Commentary For the month ending 30 April 2015, the Ellerston Australian Small Companies Fund outperformed the ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation index rising 2.0% (Net) compared to a 1.7% gain for the index. During the month the Small Industrials Accumulation Index was flat whilst the Small Resources Accumulation Index increased 11.3%. The Fund’s outperformance was largely driven by stock specific benefits as we retain a less than half market weighting in resources versus the index. The top contributors to positive relative performance were Bellamy’s (BAL), Metals X (MLX), and Austal Ships (ASB). Bellamy’s reported very strong earnings for the half year and ungraded prospectus guidance which has resulted in continuing positive momentum in the share price. The key constraint to growth in the short term is supply of product rather than demand, indicating an opportunity to accelerate further. The company’s revised guidance looks conservative to us and whilst the valuation looks high, further upgrades are likely to be supportive. Metals X continued its strong share price performance despite the gold price remaining flat for the month, although there was generally positive price action in the small cap gold miners. Metals X spent a small fraction of its market cap to become a mid-tier Australian gold company as well as one of the few listed Tin producers globally. Austal Ships announced during the month that the US Navy would fund another 2 Littoral Combat Ships with the option of another vessel. This continues the trend of the business continuing to win work for its US shipyard and extending the order book. These latest contracts mean that the US Navy has now funded up to half of the vessels that are expected in the full fleet program. The largest detractors during the month were Slater & Gordon (SGH), Next DC (NXT) and IMF Bentham (IMF). The Slater & Gordon share price fell after a significant capital raising was undertaken during the month to fund the acquisition in the UK of a business unit of Quindell. The acquisition is expected to be 30-40% accretive, however, the price paid and therefore the size of the raising was significantly larger than expected which weighed on the market price. Next DC fell marginally for the month after a significant run up in the share price over the previous 3 months. There was no new news flow. IMF Bentham lost two cases during the month including the bank fees case versus ANZ and they lost on appeal in South Africa against National Potato. This is part of the normal course of doing business as a litigation funder. As long as you win more than you lose over the medium term. Outlook The low interest rate environment continues to be supportive of the equity market as the yield differential is so large. However, the domestic economy continues to be sluggish and generating EPS growth for the market as a whole continues to be difficult. Couple this with a rising equity market and it continues to be difficult to find “value”. This is not just a local phenomena but a global thematic, whereby central banks have pushed interest rates to such historical lows that equity markets look attractive on a yield basis, rather than historical PE and DCF measures. Consequently, the three year outlook for Portfolio returns, look less attractive than the last couple of years. That said, in a continuing low interest rate environment it is difficult to see any more attractive asset class than equities at the moment About the Ellerston Australian Small Companies Fund The Fund employs an active, research-driven investment approach which seeks to identify a portfolio of smaller company securities with the aim of delivering superior returns to the Benchmark over time. The Fund will invest in companies that are believed to have the potential to deliver significant upside over the medium term and where there is a reasonable margin of safety to mitigate the downside risk. We will actively manage the positions of the Fund. Investments will generally be made in companies that have a sound business franchise with an attractive earnings profile, that operate in growth industries and trade at a discount to valuation. Fund Facts Strategy Funds Under Management $831 million Total number of Stocks 46 Application Price $1.1377 Redemption Price $1.1321 Inception Date 10 October 2013 Disclaimer Returns are unaudited estimates and before fees and expenses and assume distributions have been reinvested. Past performance is not indicative of future performance. This letter does not constitute an offer of any Units in the Fund. This letter does not take into account your investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs. Before making an investment decision about the Fund, persons should read the information memorandum which can be obtained from Ellerston Capital and obtain advice from an appropriate financial adviser. This material has been prepared based on information believed to be accurate at the time of publication. Assumptions and estimates may have been made which may prove not to be accurate. Ellerston Capital undertakes no responsibility to correct any such inaccuracy. Subsequent changes in circumstances may occur at any time and may impact the accuracy of the information. Stock opinions and views expressed in this document are Ellerston Capital’s and are not necessarily the views or opinions of the market. To the full extent permitted by law, none of Ellerston Capital, or any member of the Ellerston Capital Limited Group of companies makes any warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of the information in this document and disclaims all liability that may arise due to any information contained in this document being inaccurate, unreliable or incomplete
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