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motive.project-eu
How to provide decision support to
practitioners and policy makers
the AFM ToolBox approach
Werner Rammer, Christian Schauflinger, Harald Vacik, Kristoffer
Kleine, Michael Maroschek, Manfred J. Lexer
Martina Roubalova, Petr Kneblik
Jose Borges, Jordi Garcia-Gonzalez, Joao, Palma, Margarida Tome
Freiburg, 9-10 April 2013
background
Manager/
decision maker
External drivers
climate change
Stakeholder interaction
protection
habitat
Photo: Fparrel
Institute of Silviculture
biomass
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Manfred J. Lexer
Ecosystem services
landuse change
socio-economic conditions
recreation
vision
 knowledge transfer
-
Background information on climate change and related impacts.
How to address climate change vulnerability and adaptation?
Options to respond in forest management to climate change.
Learn from examples from across Europe.
 decision support
- provide access to tools and functionalities otherwise not available
- explore how your preferences & interests affect judgement s on
vulnerability and the selection of adaptive management actions.
- optimize your management plan.
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Manfred J. Lexer
Challenges when designing decision support tools (…)
Hard to target the right users
Foresters? Forest owners? Policy maker? Particularly difficult within EU projects!
Hard to handle complexity
… in knowledge transfer processes
How to simplify vast amount of data & multiple problem dimensions
(space, time, …)
Hard to produce software
… at high quality standards
multi-project timeframe may allow continuous development
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the ToolBox approach
Web-based
low-barrier access
different types
of knowledge
information, examples, FAQs
collection of
different tools
vulnerability assessment, MIP
optimization, niche models, …
targets different users
useful knowledge for managers (DIY)
and analysts (consultants)
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motive afm toolbox
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Specifc content for
steps of the
management cycle
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Select cases from
map/ list
slidebar to determine
preferences
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Choose analysis
question….
… and view results
STP[FS-QR] (2)
STP[FS-QR, th] (4)
STP[FS-PM, th] (3)
STP[FS-PM, th+] (7)
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workshop session with local forest managers
preparing the session
your own preference
interactive exploration
of adaptation options
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„make your own (…)“ - customizing the AFM ToolBox
own local context
AFM ToolBox
ToolBox Database
upload into
DataBase
Model B
Model A
alternatives
your data
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(more) lessons learned
 tools and models to provide decision support are available at science labs
 applying them in a useful & efficient way remains a challenge (for DIY managers
and for analysts/experts in consultancy mode)
- identifying & structuring the problem and agreeing on a decision support process!!
- communicating and interpreting/ translating model results
- requires integration of DM tools with KM practices & stakeholder interaction processes
 DIY managers or expert consultancy?
– Case specific context is mandatory for successful decision support
• emphasizing integration of tools & software comes to the cost of diversity and
flexbility
– If technical complexity of a desision support process is high
• cost of tool integration and standardization may be prohibitive for computerized
DSS
• user DIY is impossible, facilitator is required (consultancy)
– If procedural complexity is high (i.e. intensive SH interaction) a facilitator is
required
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Manfred J. Lexer
Thank you!
Contact:
Manfred J. Lexer
University of Natural Resources and Life Sciences, Vienna
Department of Forest and Soil Sciences
Institute of Silviculture
Peter Jordan-Strasse 82, 1190 Vienna, Austria
Tel.: +43 - 1 - 47654 4050
e-mail: [email protected]
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