Research How to Economize on IT How to Economize on IT "How to Economize on IT" Managing organizational change in Japan Information technology - and the information society - have been high on the agenda of Japanese policy makers for nearly three decades. By dealing predominantly with the role ICTs have been playing in restructuring processes of the Japanese economy during the 1990s, this paper addresses the following two additional questions of general interest. Why do some countries proof better, some worse in generating gains on ICT investments? The second question asks for the way technological innovation and organizational change are related to each other. WOLFRAM MANZEN REITER Introduction Information technology- and the information society- have been high on the agenda of Japanese policy makers for nearly three decades. Following the first oil shock in the early 1970s, ICTs (information and communication technologies) turned rapidly into major targets of industrial policy interventions, resulting in a long series of highly visible government-sponsored development and demonstration projects (cf. Anchordoguy 2000). It was only in the 1980s that Japan finally mastered her way to the top leaving Western competitors behind, especially in technology- and knowledge intensive markets. A leading key factor was Japan's national innovation system, characterized by technological co-operation between firms of different industries as well as the close integration of R&D, production and marketing departments. The core of Japanese competitive power has been attributed to the continuous product and production improvements realized by multi-skilled workers of flexible manufacturing systems (Yoshitomi 1997:57-61). The effective fusion of mechanics and electronics introduced microelectronics technology to the manufacturing site and rationalized the workshop. In the late 1980s, Japanese corporations dominated 4 global markets for flat-panel displays, semiconductors and integrated circuits (Nagy et al. 1996:60). However, at the very end of the 20th century, and after a prolonged period of stagnation and sluggish growth in what has been coined as "Japan's lost decade" (Yoshikawa 1999:4; Aoki 2000), it was not Japan but rather the United States taking the international lead in ICT. In some instances, Japan turned out to be lagging several years behind the US, and even some European states, in the diffusion of crucial technologies (Saito 2000). The causes of the impressive robustness of the American economy have been scrutinized by many scholars, and still they are open to discussion. Particularly the low unemploment rate and strong noninflationary growth of the longest uprise business cycle ever measured in history have prompted economists to debate upon the conditions underlying long-term growth performance and the probability of a "New Economy" (cf. Bassanini et al. 2000). While most analysts will agree upon the importance of ICT investments as the most decisive single factor leading to economic growth in the latter half of the 1990s (cf. Schreyer 2000), overall effects of the application of ICT across a wide range of business sectors are still far from being clear. Should we understand the impact of ICT on corporate behavior and macroeconomics just in terms of capital investments? Or is there evidence in favor of the "New Economy hypothesis", which claims that ICT in general and Internet usage in particular are adding to trend growth of total factor productivity, rather than merely substituting other outdated innovation factors (cf. Cop pel 2000:19)? Research questions By dealing predominantly with the role ICTs have been playing in restructuring processes of the Japanese economy during the 1990s, this paper addresses two additional questions of general interest. Why do some countries proof better, some worse in generating gains on ICT investments? Nonwithstanding the rapid expansion of the ICT base all over the OECD area, only a small number of countries showed reasonable growth trends during the last decade (OECD 2000:3-4). Without doubt, US companies have managed best to get hold of domestic and global markets, in which first-mover advantages, high lock-in costs and economies of scales and scopes are of crucial importance (Shapiro and Varian 1999). The second question asks for the way technological innovation and organizational change are related to IFAS-Forum 2/2000 each other. Organizations bring people together in order to realize goals, which are explicitely stated in the case of formal organizations such as corporations. Companies usually pursue the ultimate objective of producing profits in order to protect interests of owners, capital lenders, and other agents, including management and workers, who have vested interest in the well-being of the organization. Thus we may expect organizations to behave like rational actors, and ICT strategies may be considered as strategic investment to attain profitability, which IS, in the Weberian sense, rational action in the pursuit of calculated ends. The implementation of ICT strategies may cover a wide array of operations, from buying a desktop computer to installing server/client-solutions for entire departments or to computerizing manufacturing or procurement processes. In any instance, formal structures or informal arrangements within the organization are very likely to change, once the new technology is in use. Basically two scenarios have been advanced on the impact of technology on the social environment. The first is a kind of technological determinism: organizational change is either directly effected or indirectly caused by the implementation of new technologies (cf. Rifkin 1996). The second starts from a different viewpoint: It is people that determine the scope of change effected by technology, not the other way around (Ohmae 1995). As in most either-or-situations, both sides are probably right-and wrong. Thus we can expect a more integrated perspective with a focus on a re-conceptualized understanding of "impact". Business operations In the ICT sector One basic way enabling companies to economize on ICT is to transfer business operations to the IFAS-Forum 2/2000 ICT sector, either by producing hard- or software, or by providing ICT related services. Generally, the market looks promising, and it is rapidly expanding: Since 1985, its share in total real gross domestic output has more than doubled, moving ahead of both wholesale and construction sectors. The 1998 value of 12.5 percent indicates the relative strength of the industry amid several years of sluggish domestic growth (MPT 2000a:38-39). PC shipment in volume grew 31.9 percent over year in fiscal 1999, reaching almost 10 million units (MPT 2000a:7). Despite the upsurge of total unit sales, values continued to decrease. In line with biotechnologies, Japan's software industry often has been cited characteristic of Japan's backwardness in future technology segments. The harsh assessment seems to be justified not only in terms of creativity or development, but also in structural dimensions. Two major miscalculations are responsible for falling revenues of the hardware business. Firstly, manufacturers of the early 1990s had completely overweighted the role of mainframe computers. Japan nowadays still maintains competitive power in this segment; yet its total value is constantly declining because of the expansion of related application fields of PC and UniX servers. Secondly, management mistakenly disregarded the future role of the PC market, as well as the crucial importance of software development. Additionally, closed production networks maximizing on internal standards, that guaranteed Japan's car and electronics manufacturers leadership, were disadvantageous in the new ICT market. Due to proprietary architecture adopted by each PC manufacturer, the industry had been prone to loss of economies of scale. For example, NEG's operating system PC 98, that was incompatible with IBM standard, had been hold- Research ing a share of over 50 percent for years until the open architecture of Microsoft's DOSN was introduced in a localized version. IBM-compatibles saw their share climb from 16 percent to 30 percent of the market between 1993 and 1994. Japanese PC manufacturers changed their strategy: Fujitsu began producing IBM compatibles at the end of 1993, while the sole manufacturer of NEC compatibles, Seiko Epson, began producing IBM compatibles in September 1994 and announced that it would stop producing NEC compatible PC-98s (Anchordoguy 2000). After years of slow or negative growth the PC market was forcefully revived by the introduction of Windows 95 in the last quarter boosting sales numbers up 93 per cent over the same period in the previous year. PC-shipment that were 2,3 million units in 1993 (Kokuryo 1997), climbed up to 5.8 million units in 1996 (OECD 1999) and 9.2 million units in 1999 (MIT! 2000). However, since new entries to the world market, such as China, Eastern Europe and the Southeast Asian NICs, are able to profit by much lower labor costs, Japan's revenues in these mass product markets keep on decreasing (Baba/Nobetaka 1998:60). The decision to promote hardware and software as a package makes perfect sense, if customers are willing to accept the constraints they are facing once their choice of a given standard is settled. In general, relying on proprietary standards enables enterprises to gain profits from sales, because they save royalties and may rationalize procurement efficiencies. In practice, consumers turned out to be better off with IBM compatibles as competition between manufacturers kept prices down, while the selection of software applications increased. With bundling hard and software, Japanese manufacturers have been Research How to Economize on iT quite successful only in the digital game market. Apart from that niche market, no operation system, and no business software with global market reach has been developed in Japan. Aggregate sales in service businesses related to implementation, operation management and version upgrades of custom software reached 107.64 billion yen in 1999, or up 9.5 percent from the previous year. These numbers are perhaps indicative of a new trend: IDC Japan, the Japan branch of the market research institute specialized on technology markets and infocommunications, forecasts growth at an average annual rate of 12.9 percent with packaged business solutions fuelling growth at a very high-speed rate of 118.6 percent in the coming five years (Nikkei BP 2000-08-07). ICT used In companies A second way of economizing on ICTs is to use them in business. Most economists probably will regard computers, networks and other information technologies-inuse as input factors. This given, rationality is dictated by prices. If ICT capital goods are of no difference from all other types of capital goods, and if prices are falling, company management might substitute the latter for the former and rearrange the way in which they combine inputs into production (Schreyer 2000:6). This perspective also summarises the conventional look at the Japanese innovation system. Computers, and other technologies, are chiefly a tool to support the production process. Notwithstanding the recent popularity of the 'New Economy discourse', the fact that most large companies in the industrialized world have automated and computerized parts of their business routines during the past thirty or even forty years deserves attention. Japan has been no excep- tion, and substantial parts of the Japanese success story are closely related to the skilfull integration of microelectronics and computing technology into manufacturing and administrative work processes. One characteristic example, taken from the history of production automatisation, is the Japanese EDI story. Keiretsu companies, such as Matsushita or Toyota, have continuously tried to rationalize procurement and supply routines by exchanging data files via communications networks. Efficiency of electronic data interchange (EDI), however, remains limited as long as each production network uses a system of its own. In order to achieve the maximum of efficiency, suppliers, end manufacturers and vendors have to agree upon common standards. A national all-industry-wide standard, which is in compliance with the United Nations' EDIFACT (EDI for Administration, Commerce and Transport), is actively promoted by the Center for the Informatization of Industry (ClI). In 1999, the CII syntax has been formally approved as compliant with]IS (Japan Industrial Standard) rules. Although 20 branches have adopted the cn syntax as an industrial standard, its basic protocoll is used by only 25.2 percent of all companies; most companies still rely on in-house protocols or their trading partners' proprietary format (JEDIC 2000:9). As in most other economies, the decision for either the international ED 1FACT protocoll, the national (CII) syntax, a subset specific to a branch, or a proprietary, self-developed system of a most important business partner is not a matter of free choice but depends on comparative market power. EDI usually relies on the transmission via privately leased data circuits. As the high costs associated with EDI can be mitigated by use of the Internet, various technologies How to Economize on iT such as XML (Extended Markup Language, a subset of HMTL) are under examination. According to the 1999 edition of the survey on corporate investment in information systems which was conducted for the seventh consecutive year by the Japan Users Association of Information Systems (JUAS) , more and more companies are planning to replace their traditional EDI system with the Internet (Nikkei BP 200005-03). Numbers of companies registered with the EDI governing body CII show steep growth trends, particularly since the Law on Information Disclosure was revised in 1998. Until its revision the law enforced companies to store all business documents as hard copy files. The legal constraint to print out all documents was a major impediment against streamlining office work as well as the spread of EDI usage. EDI is the key technology for implementing business software packages that have been crucial in restructuring business procedures in the US and European economies. ERP (Enterprise Resources Planning) software in general enables companies to automate and monitor flow of goods, cash and information throughout the entire supply chain. According to various business simulations by The Working Group on Supply Chain Management Models of the Council for the Promotion of E-commerce (ECOM), savings of about 30 percent of present inventory costs are possible for any party in the supply chain (Ishiguro 2000). SAP, one of the leading software developers, promises return-on-investment of up to 400 percent to its customers thanks to savings opportunities of 10 to 20 percent on the procurement side. The Japan branch of SAP, though leading the domestic market, is only slowly getting hold after having recorded heavy cuts in sales in 1998 (Nikkei BP 1999-07-06). IFAS-Forum 2/2000 For the time being, the Japanese market for ERP or ASP (Application service provider) software is still in its infancy. According to the JUAS 1999 survey, more than 70 percent of all companies surveyed have not installed business engineering software packages at all. Those who have record either positive impacts on or no changes of business performance. The contradictory result might be related to the "particular Japanese way" of squeezing the software program into company needs rather than trimming business procedures to adjust to the software package. Localized versions usually consist of translated modules that take regional variations, e.g. of legal issues, into account but not the tacit knowledge of a company and its members. Customisation of business solutions always is part of the sales strategy. Yet beyond a certain degree of adoption, efficiency losses are prone to follow. The very idea that the complexity of work processes can be adjusted to a monitoring software may seem awkward to a Japanese user. The impression that management and consulting formulas are culturally bound is part of the literature which suggests the Japanese company to keep its core competencies in mind when implementing a "Japanese style SCM business model" or getting connected to a "Japanese style EDI network" (JUAS 1999). ICT • a comparative advantage for Japan? The preference of rewriting software programs for any particular case is a very important observation touching upon the general relationship between technological and organizational change in Japan, and it might shed light on one of our key questions concerning national comparative advantages. Whether in Japan, in the US or in the UK, intro- IFAS-Forum 2/2000 ducing new technologies to the work shop or the office needs careful consideration of all parties involved. In general, workers as well as lower management tend to reject new technology because they are reluctant to change. A first step consists of a convincing marketing concept. Business terminology that combines the vocabularies of consulting and state-of-the-art technology is part of the current sales strategy for SCM (Supply Chain Management), CRM (Customer Related Management) or CALS (Computer-Aided Lifecyle Support) systems which slowly start to spread in Japan. My previous research on telework in Japan (Manzenreiter 2001) has produced ample evidence on the functionality of discourse. In most cases, the intention to reduce office rent or labor costs initiated the implementation of telework. Larger companies usually pursue two strategies, with one aiming at their regular office staff and another one at the delegation of DTP and similar simple work tasks to unskilled, thus cheaper temporary workers. Falling prices for network services, work stations and personal computers and the liberalization of labor regulations facilitated the trend towards outsourcing white-collarwork. In many interviews managers related their view on telework experiments to humanist ideals, and they extensively talked about the idea to re-establish the balance between individual and company and provide employees with the time and potential to develop their individual skills. In all case studies, middle management was blamed for impairing efficiency gains, as they were not able to develop goal-oriented tasks and measures of job performance. Yet most pilots reveal efficiency gains of about 20 percent, primarily due to increased self-management skills of workers and cuts in commuting time. Research According to vanous surveys by public and private research institutions, adapting workshop or office routines to the particularities of ICT usage has been appraised with increasing priority throughout the 1990s. However, stuck between sluggish demand of anxious or troubled customers, ailing financial intermediaries, and internal problems resulting from overstaffing and excessive stock inventories, companies tended to keep new investments as low as possible (or necessary). Restructuring thus has been taking place under two antagonistic perspectives: prospective restructuring of sound and solid firms, retrospective restructuring of weak firms. Attempts to restore productivity just by cutting the payroll turned out to be ineffective in the longer run. At first just the announcement of corporate restructuring gave a fillip to stock prices, but the market soon turned to be rather concerned with the plans' effectiveness, or their effect on profits. Hence what should be clear from the telework story, or the EDI history, is the need to incorporate organizational learning into the acceptance of information technology (Nohara 1999:259-260). It is essential to develop appropriate management tools suited to technological change. The need of coordinating ICT and business management might be a crucial impedient for the time being. Electronic commerce technology and infrastructure investments were top IT priority in 2000 for 65 percent of CIOs (Chief US-American Information Officer). But in Japan, CIOs are comparatively low-ranked in the company hierarchy and powerless. While the real distance between CIO and top management is still wide, he usually is in charge of managing informaton. Rather than being responsible for formulating IT strategies, tasks are restricted to managing the information systems (JIPDEC 1999; MITI/McKinsey 1999). 1 Research How to Economize on IT The use ofICTs can also impact a company's relationship with its suppliers and distribution partners. The (\',ility to gain information from others up or down procurement or distribution channels makes having control over that process or entity less of an issue. As an example, electronics giant Matsushita has established an Internet presence linking all its 100 factories with some 3,000 suppliers, exchanging orders, payments and information. Only 900 of them, usually bigger companies, had already been connected to the old EDI network of Matsushita. With the Internet-based system, Matsushita will be more responsive to changes in the market and reduce its stock of parts, by 30 or 40 billion Yen which in turn helps saving financial costs (Economist 2000-04-15). It is of no surprise that industries with an established expertise of standardization and network routines - such as electronics and car manufacturers - are presently leading Japan's electronic commerce business. The spread of the Internet in Japan opened small- and mediumsized enterprises (SME) a cheap way to reach out directly to general consumers and customers over a wide area. Commercial use of open networks by SMEs is still in its infancy, yet a number of firms have already established their own web sites and stores on the Internet. The number of allocated commercial domain names has increased a hundred times over the past five years mounting up to 170,000 in August, 2000; the number of connected domains is only 10 or 20 percent smaller, according to the Japan Information Network Center (JPNIC 2000) which is in charge of registering all domain names ending in ".jp". A survey conducted for the Japanese manager association Keizai Doyukai in 2000 showed that 94 percent of all enterprises manage a 8 homepage, 44 percent are using the Internet for customer relations, 28 percent for procurement, 71 percent for supply and sales, 72 percent for job recruiting, and 32 percent for R&D. Internet usage in general began to rise only after 1995. About 4 million Internet hosts (computers that are connected with an Internet protocol to the network) were registered in Japan by early 2000 (JPNIC 2000). The number of users exceeded 20 millions in June 2000, which is the second-highest number after the US - though with 21.4 percent connect-, ed households Japan holds a place in the OECD middle field, despite a twofold-rise up from the year before. A pretty good indicator of the spread of e-commerce, which is a widely used term subsuming all commercial transactions via electronic mediation using TCP/IP or other network technologies, is the number of secure servers. By encrypting the transmitted information, secure servers are able to safeguard consumer privacy. The OECD counted 1,946 of such secure servers in Japan in March 2000, which is a close value to the Nikkei Business Press estimate of 2,000 commercial sites operating at the end of July, 2000 (Nikkei BP 2000-07-26). Sales operations which address private households are only a minor aspect of the digital economy. In 1998, business-to-consumer-e-commerce (BtoC) was 65 billion yen, or 0.02 percent of private household consumptive spending. Notwithstanding vital growth trends - in fiscal 1999, total payments using JCB credit cards on electronic-commerce web sites increased by a factor of five on a year-on-year basis (Nikkei BizTech 2000-07-26) - the ratio of e-commerce to total BtoC-transactions will remain close to 1 percent (MITI/Andersen 2000). Currently, Japan's BtoC-market is about 1I35th of the US, or lagging behind four, How to Economize on IT five years. The gap is expected to shrink to l!7th over the next five years. The lag is already today much smaller in the business-to-business sector (BtoB). The Japanese BtoB-ecommerce market was worth approximately 8.6 trillion Yen in 1998, which is slightly less than half of the estimated US market size in terms of value. Forecasts expect the Internet penetration rate to rise to 11.2 percent of all BtoB-transactions (MITI/Andersen 2000). The ability to share information and the ease of transfering designs can lead to lower procurement costs, increase of sales transactions, and streamlining of business routines. It is evident from the Basic Survey on Business Structure and Activities (BSBSA) 1999 that informatization propels the increase of outsourcing activities, too. One more aspect is emphasized by the survey: The Internet has leveraged the informatization of smaller companies. But there are still signs of a digital divide within the Japanese economy: Firstly, in regional dimensions the report hints at the uneven distribution of Internet-connected corporations which are over-represented in Tokyo and other web knot areas. Secondly, a strong correlation with firm size is recorded. Larger firms reveal a two or three times higher probability of all kind of ICT investments (OECD 1998a:68). According to the 1999 White Paper on SME, around 90 percent of firms with 20 or more employees are using computers. Yet a large proportion of SMEs with less than 20 employees had not introduced computers at all, and this proportional share increases the smaller the firm is. Computer usage, however, IS widespread among SMEs with growing profits. Taking and placing orders, gathering data and sharing information with customers and suppliers were main reasons for their use of computer networks. This indicates that some IFAS-Forum 2/2000 SMEs are making active use of business-to-business networks for everyday transactions and as a means of accessing external resources (Chusho Kigyo Cho 1999). According to the BSBSA 1999, companies with one or two PCs per employee were overproportionally represented among all profit-making firms. Furthermore, manufacturing companies with highest computer ratios tended to have restructured their inter-company relations, either by spinning off operations, byestablishing new subsidiaries through acquisition of stocks, or by taking parts in a parents-subsidiaries relationship. Trade enterprises with growing numbers of employees showed a similar positive correlation with PC ratio (MITI 1999). ICT related employment grew at an average of 2.1 percent annually between 1980 and 1998, which is a faster rate than the average 1.6 percent of allindustry employment - albeit not the fastest of all sectors. However, dynamics of growth were more or less exhausted already at the beginning of the 1990s. In general, ICTs in Japan have not yet managed to get rid of the job-killer image. A recent study conducted in cooperation of MITI and Andersen Consulting proposed the creation of 3.7 million jobs over the years from 1999 to 2003, while outsourcing and changing job content due to the spread of advanced telecommunication technologies will eliminate 3.5 million jobs (MITI/Andersen 1999). Institutional effects on ICT development Although progress and promotion of e-commerce solutions is primarily assigned to private sector leadership and market-driven initiative, strong support has come from the Japanese government ever since. What it does is to prepare the conditions that may facilitate or exacer- IFAS-Forum 2/2000 bate the foundation of new business ideas. Thus the government enhanced attempts to restore capital markets. The credit crunch of the late 1990s had major impact upon the stagnation of the Japanese economy, and it is partly responsible for the delay of the spread of infocommunications. The state in particular plays a leading role in improving the communication infrastructure. Since the "New Social Infrastructure" initiative was launched in March 1993 to stimulate the stagnant economy, billions of Yen have been poured into research and development programs. Major actors from the government include the Ministry of Trade and Industry (MITI, the Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications (MPT), and the National Land Agency (NLA). Because of the central importance attached to ICTs, the Japanese government set up its headquarter of I CT policy in 1994 under the direct auspices of the Prime Minister (as chair) and the Chief Cabinet Secretary, the Minister of International Trade and Industry and the Minister of Posts and Telecommunications as vicechairs. The Advanced Information and Telecommunication Society Pro-motion Headquarter (Kodo Joho Tsushin Shakai Suishin Honbu) developed its general policy in 1995. In view of rapid changes and technological achievements, the "Basic Program" was revised in November 1998. Until the end of 2001, four major goals are to be realized: Firstly, full scale spread of ecommerce (security issues, personal information protection), secondly, introduction of e-government (for example, one-stop administrative services via pcs or local spots; R&D of Intelligent Transport Systems), thirdly, improvement of information literacy (i.e., connecting all schools to the Internet), and Research fourthly, development of a highly efficient ICT infrastructure by installing a gigabit satellite network (JIPDEC 1999c:41-44). While the MPT places particular emphasis on the extension of the communication infrastructure, MITI supports the promotion of electronic commerce. Since 1995, about 110 billion Yen have been allocated for a variety of testbed projects related to e-commerce (JIPDEC 1999c). 598 proposals (worth 366 billion yen in total) from various industries applied for admission to the Advanced Information System Development Testbed Projects. Of these 156 were finally selected under the first modified government supplementary budget for FY1998 (JIPDEC 1999a). Another 106 pilots applied for participation in the Industrial and Social Infrastructure Development Projects. This program was implemented under the third government supplementary budget for FY1998. 39 gained admission in such areas as government procurement systems and financial transaction systems based on EDI (JIPDEC 1999b) . MITI has been hailed for its policy swift towards promoting more competition, encouraging venture capital and basic R&D (Anchordoguy 2000). Yet the MPT is often criticized for its protectionist industrial policy and its onesided, hardware-oriented approach towards ICTs (Imai 1996:102). Notwith-standing ministerial turf wars, it was the telecommunication sector that took the lead in Japan's deregulation policy. According to a recent OECD study on mobile phones, the countries with most competitors were, apart from the USA, Japan, Korea and Netherlands. These countries have up to five mobile operators competing in the same markets. In Tokyo there were four cellular mobile companies Research How to Economize on IT in operation by 1994. The following year three PHS systems commenced, one of which did not have an existing cellular operation. This meant that Japan was the first country with five operators competing in the same market (OECD 1999:17). Local access pricing which is said to have major impact on the spread of Internet usage and e-commerce sales (OECD 2000:10) has been another target of international criticism, especially from the US where prices are lowest and flat rates are common. NTT which monopolizes the 'local loop' has been reorganized into a holding company of two regional segments (NIT East and West), that manage communication within prefectures, and a long distance communication carrier. Due to the competitive climate generated by alternative network providers, and particularly due to the unbroken popularity of mobile cellular phones, fixed-line telephone subscriptions have decreased over the past two years. At the same time, NIT has lowered its subscription rates substantially. Both ministries are said to be at odds over questions of what industries the government should support or what the intended benefits from e-commerce will be. In spring 2000, a MPT working group presented a report called "Information Technol-ogy in Japan for All" to the Telecommunications Council. The Industrial Structure Council, an advisory panel to the MITI, issued its own report under the heading "Tasks and Prospect of Economic and Industrial Policy in the 21st Century". Both reports came up with similar recommendations, such as strengthening the protection of intellectual property rights, promoting consumer protection, the creation of an efficient environment with tax incentives and low interest-loans that encourage private sector initiatives in the ICT 10 sector (Asahi Shin bun 2000-05-25). Especially MPT is actively reshaping the high tech-image of Japan to "become the home of the worldwide IT revolution and the preferred site experimentations" (MPT for 2000a:28). One field in which Japan probably is going to take the lead is the next generation mobile communication system. IMT-2000 services (or, UMTS) are going to be launched already in 2001, with the MPT carefully selecting candidates for wireless station licenses. While the US still ignore opportunities of mobile commerce, telecommunication carriers, hardware manufacturers and software developers in Europe keep a close eye at the booming market spearheaded by NIT's mobile telecommunication carrier DoCoMo. Conclusion The correlation of technological innovation, organizational change and policy shift helps to explain the Japanese reality of the "productivity paradox" (R. Solow). It is also a basic prerequisite for understanding the potentialities and restrictions that restructuring Japanese companies have to face. It is interesting to note that a lot of literature on the Information Economy explains restructuring processes as the convergence of Western and Japanese management styles. However, why do Western or US companies benefit from building "Japanese" strategic production networks, and why do Japanese companies do so hard in adopting the flexibility required? Two answers are provided by this paper: Firstly, even goal-oriented organisations do not necessarily behave rationally because of the internal diversification of vested interests, power imbalance and asymmetries of knowledge and mobilizing power. We thus can rightly assume that firstly, organisations How to Economize on IT are to some extent susceptible to non-rational influences, and secondly, framed by their particular conditions and their position relative to the market and the state. Politics, the law, and capital markets are some additional factors acting upon the way technology is adopted by social organisations. They contributed to the formation of Japan's national innovation system that was highly efficient for catch-up industries. But it is not necessarily good for innovative industries. Where does the quest for Japan's "new economy" finally stop? Data that illustrate the continuous diffusion of ICT in Japanese enterprises are abundant. In fact, the Director of the Economic Planning Agency (EPA) Sakaiya Taichi recently announced in front of OECD ministers that ICT related investments finally had substituted government spending as most important growth factor. However, according to firmlevel survey data from both OECD and Sakaiya's agency, total factor productivity gains are only evident in some cases (Motohashi 1996; EPA 2000). Considering the connectivity of technological and organizational change, empirical studies such as EPA's 'In Search of Japan's "New Economy'" show that both act upon each other. "Impact" is a complex, interactive and ongoing process, and not a simple linear movement. Technology does not "impact" on its social environment or vice versa but, over time, each shapes the other. Thus adopting ICT is just the first step of restructuring Japanese enterprises. Without the second step of human capital formation and the third of flattening work organizations, firms cannot get total benefits from ICT investments. The chief responsibility is with companies, but policy measures that enhance workers' employability and make labor markets more flexible are required to complement the firms' efforts. IFAS-Forum 2/2000 Wolfram Manzenreiter is Assistant Professor at the Department of East Asia Studies, Vienna University, where he is teaching modern Japanese society. Recent research projects deal with the social and economic implications of the spread of new information and telecommunication technologies in contemporary Japan. He is author of several books and articles on popular culture, leisure and sport in Japan. Currently he is writing a new book on sport and nation in Japan (with John Horne). Recent publications include the monographs Pachinko Monogatari: Japan's Gambling Industry (Muenchen 1998), and The Social Construction of Japanese Mountaineering (Wien 2000; both in German). kigyo hakusho 1999. Tokyo: Okurasho Insatsu Coppel, Jonathan. 2000. E-commerce: Impacts and policy challenges. Paris: OECD tai chosa 99 nendoban - The 1999 survey of IT usage in firms. Tokyo: JUAS (Economics Department Working Papers; Kokuryo Jiro. 1997. "Information technolo- 252). Online: http://www.oecd.orgleco/wp/ gies and the transformation of Japanese onlinewp.htm#2000 industry". Online http://www.kbs.keio.ac.jp/ The Economist. "No room in the nest. Business-to-business in Japan", kokuryolab/papers/1997003/pacis97.htm Manzenreiter, Wolfram. 2001. "Telework The Economist 15-04-2000, pp. 77-78 in Japan. Apokalyptische und idealistische EPA - Economic Planning Agency. 2000. Visionen der Arbei tsgesellschaft", Hilaria "IT ka ga seisansei ni ataeru koka ni tsuite. Gassmann and Andreas Mrugalla, eds.: 11. Nihonpan nyu ekonomii no kanosei saguru Deutschsprachiger Japanologentag in Trier (seisaku koka bunseki repoto No.4)" - The 1999. Band 1: Geschichte, Geistesgeschichte/ 0 effect ofIT on productiviry. In search ofJapan's Religionen, Gesellschaft, Politik, Recht, new economy. - Online http://www.epa.go.jp/ Wirtschaft. Miinster: Lit Verlag (in print) 2000/f/1 031 f-seisakukoka4.pdf MITI - Ministry of International Trade Imai, Kenichi. 1996. Information infra- and Industry. 1999. "Points on the prelimi- structures and the creation of new markets: nary report on the 1999 Basic Survey Japan's perspective. In OECD, ed., Employ- of Business Structure and Activities (results ment and growth in the knowledge-based of economy. Paris: OECD, pp. 101-113 http://www.miti.go.jp/stat-jlh2clsabj.html Ishiguro Eiji. 2000. Nihon-gata SCM biji- industry: a failure of institutions?" In: JUAS - Japan Users Association of Information Systems. 1999. Kigyo johoka jit- Kyoku References Anchordoguy, Marie. "Japan's software Research fiscal year MITI. 2000. IT business and policy. Online ness model. Tokyo: Denshi Sho Toribiki information/downloadfiles/cITBusine.pdf Suishin Kyokai http://www.miti.go.jp/english/ MITI and Andersen Consulting. 1999. JPNIC - Japan Network Information Change in the employment structure brought Aoki Masahiko. 2000. The Japanese firm Center. 2000. "JP domain statistics". Online about may be becoming too rigid for information- http://www.nic.ad.jp/en/in ternet/sta tis- http://www.miti.go.jp/ sharing in the digital age. info.html Communications Platform August 2000. Online essays/200008 _aoki jnfo_ sharinglindex.html by the IT evolution. Online MITI and Andersen Consulting. 2000. JEDIC http://www .glocom.orglopinions/ Online nesu moderu - A Japanese-style SCM busi- Research Policy 29 (2000), pp. 391-408 In Global 1998)". Data Denshi sho toribiki shijo no shorai. - The Interchange Center. 2000. Kokunai kigyo ni Japan Electronic future of the e-commerce market. Online okeru EDI jittai chosa 2000 - Survey on EDI http://www.ecom.or.jp/g ecom/mem ber/ Asahi Shinbun. 2000. "Precious time being usage of firms in Japan, 2000 - Online seminar/29th/andersen/ wasted in ministerial IT turf feud". In Asahi http://www.ecom.orjp/jedic/activiry/jittai2000.pdf Shinbun. Online 2000-05-25 JIPDEC - Japan Information Procession Baba Yasunori and Nobetaka Kentaro. Development Corporation (1999a): "Outline MITI and McKinsey. 1999. Corporate approaches to IT governance. Motohashi Kazuyuki. 1996. Use of infor- 1998). "A new technological enabler for cross- of border networks: the Lesson from the Boeing Development Testbed Projects". Online productiviry: firm level evidence in Japan. In 777 model". In OECD, ed., The OECD http://www.jecals.jipdec.or.jp/abstje/head.html OECD, ed., The OECD Workshop on the Workshop on the Economics of the Information Sociery. 6th Workshop, London, 19-20 March 1997. Paris: OECD, pp. 60-71 Bassanini, Andrea, Stefano Scarpetta and the Advanced Information System JIPDEC. 1999b. "Outline ofthe Industrial and Social Information Development Infrastructure Projects". mation networks, organisational change and Economics of the Information Society. 3rd Workshop, Tokyo: 4-5 March 1996, pp. 81-82 Online MPT - Ministry of Posts and Telecom- http://www.jecals.jipdec.or.jp/abstje3/head.html munications. 2000a. Joho tsushin hakusho Ignazio Visco. 2000. "Knowledge, technology JIPDEC. 1999c. Johoka hakusho 1999 - Heisei 12 nenpan. IT ga hiraku 21 seiki and economic growth: recent evidence from White paper on informatization. Online intaanetto to mobairu tsushin ga hirogeru OECD countries". Research document pre- http://www.jipdec.or.jp/chosa/haku sh099 / furontia. - Communications in Japan white sented by I. Visco at the 150th Anniversary souron.pdf paper 2000. Expanding frontiers: IT in the Conference of the National Bank of Belgium JIPDEC (1999d): Kigyo ni okeru johoka on "How to promote economic growth in the doko ni kan suru chosa kenkyu - Research on http://www.mpt.go.jp/policyreports/ Euro area", Brussels. 11-12 May 2000. Online the japanese/papers/index.html http://www.oecd.orgimedialreleaseINBB29May.pdf http://www.jipdec.or.jp/chosa/comproyou99/ Chusho Kigyo Cho, ed. 1999. Chusho IFAS-Forum 2/2000 informatization compriyou99ind.htm of firms. Online 21st century. Tokyo: Gyosei. Online MPT - Ministry of Posts and Telecommunications. 2000b. Outline of the telecom- 11 Researoh How to Economize on IT munications business in Japan. Online http://www.mpt.go.jp/eng/S ta ti s tics/ yellowbookIYB_August2k.pdf Nagy Hanna, Boyson http://www.nikkeibp.asiabiztech.com/ shorai to IT kakumei. OECD kakuryo rijikai Nohara Hiroatsu. 1999. "Human resource riido supiichi" - The Japanese economy and management in Japanese firms undergoing the IT revolution. Keynote speech at the 39th and transition: a hierarchical approach", Daniel council meeting at ministerial level (26 June, Shakunfala Gunaratne. 1996. The East Asian Dirks et aI., eds.: Japanese management 2000). Online http://www.epa.go.jp/2000/b/ miracle and information technology. Strategic in the low growth era. Berlin: Springer, 0626b-daijinkouen.html management pp.244-262 of Sandor Distribution of Consumer Goods technological learning. Washington: World Bank, (World Bank discussion papers; 236), pp. 23-68 undergoes AsiaBizTech 6, structural July, OECD. 1999. Communications Outlook 1999. Paris: OECD Nikkei BP. 1999-07-06. "Japanese IT market Schreyer, Paul. 2000. The Contribution of change". 1999. In Online http://www.nikkeibp.asiabiztech.com/wcs/ leaf?Cm =onair/asabt/fw/7 6130 to Output Growth: a Study of the G7 OECD. 2000. A new economy? The Countries. Paris: OECD (STI Working Paper changing role of innovation and information 2000/02). Online http://www.oecd.orgldsti/ technology in growth. Paris: OECD sti/prod/sti_wp.htm (7 August, 2000) Ohmae Kenichi. 1995. Intanetto kakumeiInternet revolution. Tokyo: Purejidento Sha Nikkei BP. 2000-05-03. "Signs of IT Rifkin, Jeremy. 1996. The end of work. investment increase in fiscal 2000, survey The decline of the global labor force and the says". In AsiaBizTech 3 May, 2000. Online dawn of the post-market era. New York: http://www.nikkeibp.asiabiztech.com/ Tarcher/Putnam Nikkei BP. 2000-07-26. "Japan's e-com·· Information and Communication Technology Shapiro, Carl and Hal R. Varian. 1999. Information rules. A strategic guide to the Network Economy. Boston: Harvard Business School Press Yoshikawa Hiroshi. 1999. "Tenkanki no Nihon keizai to rodo shijo" - The Japanese Saito Yoshinobu. 2000. Johoka kanren economy and labor markets in times of merce transactions up 400 Pct. in FY99: toshi 0 heikei to shi ta Beikoku de no seisansei change, Nihon Rodo Kenkyu Zasshi 470 Nikkei Survey". In AsiaBizTech 26 July, 2000. josho - Productivity growth in America on (41/special edition), pp. 4-10 Online http://www.nikkeibp.asiabiztech.com! the premises of IT-related investments. Yoshitomi Masaru. 1997. New challenges Nikkei BP. 2000-08-07. "Application out- Tokyo: Nihon Ginko Kokusai Kyoku. Online for the current technology paradigms in http://www.boj.go.jp/ Japan. In OECD, ed., Creativity, innovation sourcing service sales rise 9.5 pct. in 1999". In AsiaBizTech 7 August, 2000. Online Sakaiya Taichi. 2000. "Nihon keizai no and job creation. Paris: OECD, pp. 57-64 http://www.wu-wien.ac.at/groups/ifas IFAS Online you want to know more about us, want to order our publications, are looking for lectures, or need information on an asian country. links nach Landern Then you are right at our spot on the NET. 12 IFAS-Forum 2/2000 Research News Distribution of Consumer Goods in the Peoples· Republic of China Master's Thesis by Angela DUS (Academic Supervisors: Prof. Dr. Helmut KASPER, Department of General Management, Human Resource Management and Organizational Behavior, Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration, and Dr. Christiane ERTEN-BUCH, Department of Management and Organizational Behavior, Vienna University of Economics and Business Administration) HELMUT KASPER This master's thesis is a casestudy-based investigation into the practice of business in the Peoples' Republic of China (PRC) and offers interesting insights particularly for readers of the business community. It was financed by the Austria-China Foundation and included two months of on-site field research in the PRC, mainly interviews with managers of mul tinational corporations. The research paper investigates, describes, and discusses the distribution of consumer goods in the Peoples' Republic of China. Particu-lar emphasis is placed on the food industry, which appears a highly interesting sector for two reasons. First, the food sector in China is (still) rather closed to foreign corporations. Second, it is an industry which is highly dependent on comprehensive infrastructure development and thereby presently rather obstructed by the lack of such facilities in the PRC. The thesis appears highly topical in the aftermath of the Asian Crisis - a period which highlights how closely profits and risks are intertwined in the process of globalization. It shows that there is no better instrument to minimize risks than precise knowledge of local markets. As for China, understanding specific features and the functioning of distribution networks appears absolutely crucial for success in the consumer goods industry. The author describes the current situation of wholesale and retail trade in China characterizing the three types of distribution companies existing in IFAS-Forum 2/2000 the PRC: nationalized, private, and international distribution companies. Besides such structural issues of consumer goods distribution, the study also touches the sensitive issues of identifying appropriate distribution partners in the PRC, dealing with competitors, and of protecting intellectual property. The author also provides insights into the current state of the transportation and telecommunication sectors, which are highly relevant in the distribution of consumer goods. Among the major findings of the study are pieces of practical advice how to handle fraud regarding intellectual property. Two approaches to prevent such fraud appear effective in practice: a) to contact the company or party forging products and involve them into the market penetration strategy, or b) to take over the forging company. It is interesting to note at this point, that forging companies are at times owned by government officials or other public sector officials. Another group of findings relates to infrastructure shortages in China and possible measures to overcome them. The author provides a large number of recommendations for direct investors in order to avoid costly market entry failures. She explains and discusses the typical Chinese "Guanxi" relationship structure, which is lacking a precise analogous term in Western languages, but is the foundation for success in conducting business in China. Moreover, she underlines the value of investigations into transport routes before transportation by road is effect- ed, and she reports about critical insurance clauses leaving the damaged party uninsured, e.g. in case entire containers disappear without any broken carriage seal - a case that happens all too frequently. The marketing problems of two multinational groups, Procter and Gamble and United Biscuits, are more closely investigated. What emerges is that both of them face situations rather uncommon in Western markets. In China producers of consumer goods may need to accept frequent long range transportation of very small quantities (e.g. two bottles of hair shampoo) since retailers are financially unable to keep a larger stock of such products. Generally, building sustainable customer relationships in the consumer goods industry requires much more of an effort in the PRC than many Western companies expected. The author concludes that four factors are at the core of investors' problems in the consumer goods industry in the PRe. First, they frequently lack knowledge about companies and individuals active within the distribution system. Second, retail business is highly fragmented in China and therefore requires a large number of contacts to build up and maintain carefully. Third, physical infrastructure is badly developed, which makes communication and transport tiresome, and as a result hampers the functioning of the market. Fourth, in spite of the previous factors, competition in the consumer goods industry is increasingly keen and calls for cost efficiency. 13 Editorial Research Research News 3 "How to Economize on IT" Managing organizational change in Japan Wolfram Manzenreiter 4 Distribution of Consumer Goods in the PRC (by Angela Dus) Helmut Kasper 13 Human Resource Management in the PRC (by Elke Neubacher) Helmut Kasper 14 Who Says 10 Percent Growth ? Christof Strategic Challenges Facing Chinese Enterprises Yajun Wu 19 Info Studying in the PRC Astrid Schnitzer 23 Review Can Japan Compete? Parissa Haghirian 25 Report J. Paparella 15
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