G I O A What on Earth Is Technology?

GIOA
MARCH
2010
How To Leverage
Technology
Rick Phillips
Jason Klinghoffer
Kevin Webb, CFA
What on Earth Is
Technology?
Windows XP crashed.
I am the Blue Screen of Death.
No one hears your screams.
Your file was so big.
It might be very useful.
But now it is gone.
Having been erased,
The document you're seeking
Must now be retyped.
What On Earth Is
technology?
Technology Defined:
“...tools and machines that may
be used to solve real-world
problems.”
Definition from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Technology#Definition_and_usage
What Real-World
Problems Can We
Solve?
What Do You Need?
Find
Data
* Called
Bonds
* New Issue
Bonds
* Economic
Stats
* Bond
Pricing
*Computer
*Internet Access
*Spreadsheet
Find
Information
* Knowledge
Engine
* Economic
forecasts
*Mobile Apps
to keep you
informed on
the go
Bloomberg Can
Answer, But It
Cost$
Finding Called Bond Data
FHLB Called Bond Data:
www.fhlb-of.com/cgi-bin/UpcomingCall.cgi
FNMA Called Bond Data:
www.efanniemae.com/syndicated/documents/mbs/
debtmarketing/callmonitor/callmonitor_current.htm
FHLMC Called Bond Data:
www.freddiemac.com/debt/data/cgi-bin/recentlycalled.cgi?
order=SD
Called Bond Data Query
Finding New Issue Data
Treasury Issuance Data:
www.treasurydirect.gov/RI/OFAuctions?form=histQuery
FHLB New Issue Data:
www.fhlb-of.com/data/GetEarlyReleaseBonds.xml
FNMA New Issue Data:
www.efanniemae.com/syndicated/documents/mbs/
debtmarketing/debtissued/callabledebtissued.htm
FHLMC New Issue Data:
www.freddiemac.com/debt/data/cgi-bin/issue_lookup.cgi?
order=SD Or www.freddiemac.com/debt/funding/
Weekly_Issuance_Report.xls
New Issue Data Filter
Finding Economic Data
Economic Data:
www.freelunch.com
Economic Data Query
Use “My
Basket” To
Download
Historical
Data on up
to 25
Economic
Series into a
spreadsheet
Trade Reporting and Compliance Engine
Purpose:
Increase Price Transparency in the
U.S. Corporate and Agency debt
markets.
History:
1998 - SEC asks NASD to adopt
reporting regulation, create an
historical pricing database, and
establish surveillance program for
U.S. Corporate debt market
2002 - TRACE goes online with
limited corporate coverage.
Corporate market fully integrated
by 2005
2009 - FINRA wins approval for
TRACE coverage of U.S. Agency
market. Reporting went live on
March 1st, 2010.
TRACE Access
Bloomberg:
TRACE data available
through Bloomberg
subscription, data
delayed beyond 15
minute window.
Web Interface
http://www.finra.org/
marketdata
TRACE data available
upon entry.
TRACE Queries
Breaking it Down
What are prices telling us?
- Trading levels with time, size and side variables
- Differences vary on trading factors
*Size, Liquidity, Dealer Interest, Etc.
- Prices only reflected if traded
Takeaways:
- Prices are indications, not guarantees
- GASB 31 and pricing source redundancy
- Broker check - fair practice
Finding Information
Using Computation Knowledge Engine:
www.wolframalpha.com
Finding Economic Forecasts:
www.cbo.gov
WOLFRAMALPHA
“What is a computational knowledge engine?”
An engine that generates output by doing
computations from its own internal knowledge
base instead of searching the web and returning
links.
Questions About Itself
What are you?
Who are you?
Where are you?
Questions About you
enter your name
enter your birthday
“where am i?”
“what’s the answer to life?”
Questions about
Economics
“Bond” - to get a bond
calculator
“Treasury Yield Curve”
“unemployment rate
california vs nevada”
“us debt vs gdp AND greece
debt vs gdp”
“us federal debt”
“how many roads must a man
walk before you can call him
a man?”
WOLFRAMALPHA SAMPLES
Economic Forecasts
www.cbo.gov
The
Congressional
Budget Office
is a
government
agency that
provides
economic data
to congress.
The website
provides
economic
forecasts
that can be
useful in
providing
estimates to
councils and
boards.
Top 10 Mobile Apps
to keep you
productive &
informed on the go
1
6
2
7
3
8
4
9
5
1 0
Other Cool Apps
Out of This
World Reading
“Financial Modeling” by Simon Benninga
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
20: Duration
22: Modeling The Term Structure
23: Calculating Default-Adjusted Bond Returns
29: Excel Functions
30: Some Excel Hints
31-35: Excel Visual Basic for Applications
“Mastering Financial Mathematics in
Microsoft Excel” by Alastair L. Day
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
2: Basic Financial Arithmetic
3: Cash Flows
4: Bond Calculations
5: Bond Risks
16: Basic Statistics
Out of This
World Reading
“Excel Hacks” by David & Raina Hawley
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
Chapter
3:
5:
6:
7:
8:
Naming Hacks
Charting Hacks
Hacking Formulas and Functions
Macro Hacks
Connecting Excel to the World
“Against The Gods - The Remarkable
Story of Risk” by Peter L. Bernstein
Disclaimer
The information herein has been obtained
from sources Cantor Fitzgerald and Co.
(“Cantor”) believes to be reliable, but
Cantor does not represent or warrant
that it is accurate or complete. This
information has been prepared solely for
informational purposes.
It is not an
endorsement of, or a solicitation to
purchase, any of the products or services
mentioned herein.
Cantor disclaims all
liability for the accuracy or completeness
of the information provided by any vendors
or contained in any websites mentioned
herein.