Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations A Deloitte Research Study Retail’s future Innovations in mobile and digital technologies are moving at a pace that is leaving a trail of disruption in their wake. Some retailers that are able to harness the force of change wrought by mobile innovations will thrive; the rest may be left behind. The store of the future may provide a radically different shopping experience, weaving mobile and digital technologies in their marketing, store design, in-store customer experience and promotions. Mobile and digital innovations can enable retailers to know with clarity who their core customers are and to build emotional relationships with them. Promotions are now targeted and context-aware, using customers’ social networks to build strong loyalties. Stores of the future may break the casual connection between geographic expansion and growth; small stores with extended online inventories and virtual stores may become the giant-killers of the future. Digital and mobile innovations will likely allow retailers to grow profitably and flexibly without a commensurate increase in real-estate assets. Retailers are being pulled into the future by consumers who are embracing smartphones for shopping (see figure 1 and 2) and by players outside the industry who are converging on the mobile platform to tap new business opportunities for growth. The onslaught of changes introduced by mobile and digital innovations are leaving some retailers wondering which technologies to pursue and how they would contribute to overall business objectives and improve store performance. This study identifies the levers that can move store performance and provides a framework for assessing new technologies. At their best, digital and mobile innovations can influence four broad levers of store performance: enhancing the shopping experience, improving conversion rates, increasing revenue per customer and reducing costs. A coherent strategy pertaining to digital and mobile technology could avoid the ad-hoc adoption of expensive technologies that may stymie future investments needed to prepare retailers for subsequent waves of competition. Figure 1. Smartphone ownership is growing rapidly Any sufficiently advanced technology is indistinguishable from magic. October 2011 July 2011 – Arthur C. Clarke (Clarke’s Third law of prediction) April 2011 January 2011 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% Source: BIGresearch, CIA Survey; N=8585 (October 2011) Figure 2. Comfortable paying with a smartphone Not at all Not very Neutral Somewhat Very 0% 10% 20% Source: BIGresearch, CIA Survey; N=149 (June 2011) 1 Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations 30% 40% Trends in Retail Performance Profitable retailers have adapted to changing marketing environments, demographic and cultural shifts, and the introduction of game-changing technologies. To understand how retail categories have performed over time, we selected 626 retail companies from eight different retail categories and compared their return on assets (ROA) from 1966 until 2006. grocery, and specialty — underperformed compared to the industry’s average ROA. For outperforming sectors, the primary driver of performance is gross margin (both in direction and magnitude). For outperforming sectors, gross margin advantage is accompanied by higher investments in selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) and an overall total asset turnover advantage. The outperforming sectors tend to spend more on SG&A marketing, advertising and in-store experience - that may have provided ample brand premium to charge higher margins for their products compared to their underperforming counterparts. During this 40-year period, the apparel, discount store, drug store and home improvement retail categories outperformed the average industry ROA. (See figure 3.) Four of the other retail categories — department, electronics, Figure 3. ROA difference across different retail categories Apparel retail Discount stores Drugs retail Home Improvement Department stores Electronics Grocery Specialty 1966 1971 Dashed line represents industry average 1976 1981 Outperforming sectors 1986 1991 1996 2001 2006 Under-performing sectors Source: Compustat data, Deloitte analysis Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations 2 Retailers’ future profitability may depend on how effectively they are able to move the levers of performance. The ability to generate higher revenue will depend on how retailers are able to attract and retain loyal customers, provide convenience and value, and increase revenues per customer.1 Retailers can also become more efficient by utilizing appropriate technologies and practices to reduce costs. Improving performance with digital and mobile innovations Digital and mobile innovations can move the levers of store performance by increasing revenues or decreasing costs. They can also do both. For example, stores could decrease marketing costs by using mobile advertising that send fewer but more targeted messages to their core customers compared to mass media and mass mailings. Because these messages are personalized and contextaware (suggests gift ideas for an upcoming anniversary), the customers feel like the retailer “knows them” which may lead to higher conversions to sale. Innovations can fall into four buckets: their ability to enhance in-store experience, how they can enable personalization or “mass customization” of products and services, their facility to lure shoppers to the store through creative and enticing promotions and their ability to enhance efficiency in operations (see figure 4). While technological innovations can enhance both customer-facing technologies (in-store experience, mobile payment) and non-customer-facing technologies (supply chain management), this report will focus on customer-facing technologies. 3 Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations Increasing revenues Foot traffic is critical to retail and sets up the all-important impulse purchase. Retailers can attract more shoppers to their stores by improving the in-store shopping experience or by providing customized products that are tailored to meet consumers’ varied needs close to mass-production prices. Customer experience may be a key to growing the bottom line. Augmented reality, for example, improves in-store experience by layering digital information on top of a product when consumers scan it with a smartphone. Augmented reality provides relevant information such as product reviews and stories behind a product and how it was made. The convenience and seamless experience of accessing product information with the swipe of a smartphone is a significant improvement from consumers having to look up individual products on a mobile browser. Augmented reality could empower consumers with relevant product information and may lead to more frequent visits to retailers that provide such an experience. Mass customization through digital technologies like facial recognition and body scanning can capture user preferences and provide highly customized experiences, recommendations and products at prices akin to massproduced goods. For example, a full-body scanning device at an apparel store can take multiple measurements and recommend brands, styles and sizes that are closely aligned to a consumer’s body proportions. Another version of this technology may create a digital avatar (based on a consumer’s measurements) that tries on clothing in different sizes without the customer having to physically try on the clothes. Both of these approaches can significantly improve the hit-and-miss approach of trying on clothes, thus enhancing the shopping experience. Retailers can use smart promotions to increase revenues and traffic in their stores. Retailers can broadcast locationaware offerings to nearby shoppers’ smartphones during slow periods. Digital wallets significantly decrease the barriers of entry to loyalty cards and allow retailers to collect new insights about their customers’ preferences and shopping behavior.2 Increasingly, retailers may be in a position to manage and mine shopper data that would help them develop more targeted and personalized offerings based on analytics, thereby converting promotions into sales. Decreasing costs Digital and mobile innovations have the potential to reduce costs by enabling more efficient operations. Retail costs — including marketing, distribution, customer service and sales — can be more effectively directed with creative, relevant use of mobile and digital innovations. Specifically, retailers are already reducing their marketing costs by printing fewer circulars and “books” and offering more targeted promotions on smartphones and over the Internet. Figure 4. Matching business strategy to innovation Digital and mobile innovations In-store experience Increase number of customers Increase revenues Mass customization •Celebrity designer videos can enhance product value •Augmented reality on mobile can improves consumer experience •Full-body scanning provides customized apparel recommendation •Virtual fitting can improve customer experience •Special treatment based on social influence Increase revenue per customer Promotions Reduce marketing costs Reduced costs •App can draw customers to stores during slow time •App can offer local, limited-time deals driving footfall •Staff connected to stocked inventory online Reduce distribution costs •Smartphone app locates items on the shelf Reduce customer service costs Operations •Eases checkout lines with mobile POS •Mobile payments can increase speed of transaction Reduce sales costs •QR (Quick Response) code with product info can reduce staff time Source: Ask & Golvin 20093, Deloitte analysis. Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations 4 Sale associates armed with tablets can access a retailer’s online and offline inventory, allowing customers to choose from a wide range of products without requiring retailers to assume the costs of holding large inventories in any one store. “Clienteling” application on a tablet can also enable sales associates to access customer profile and shopping history to provide a more personalized experience. These technologies can reduce inventory costs while expanding customers’ choices and simultaneously reducing stock-outs. Out-of-stock items can cost retailers nearly half of a customer’s intended purchases.4 The same study found that 70–75 percent of out-of-stocks are the result of retail store practices, including restocking practices where a product is in a store but not on a shelf. By making inventory visible to customers, retailers can keep them from shopping elsewhere. Even if a desired product is not available in a store, it could be delivered to the customer’s home or picked up at a more convenient location. Brick-and-mortar retailers could give smartphone-equipped customers direct access to both online and offline inventory, providing a better customer experience than their online counterparts by offering free pick-up of orders at stores and no-hassle returns and exchanges. Searching for sales associates to help locate products and answer questions can be a frustrating experience for shoppers. Retailers could address this frustration by designing a mobile application to help customers navigate stores more efficiently and locate specific products on their shopping lists. This could make life easier for shoppers and reduce customer service costs for retailers by decreasing the number of sales associates required to support a store. By using smart technologies, retailers can use augmented reality, QR codes and near field communication (NFC) to make relevant product information readily available to customers, thereby reducing staff time spent answering product-related questions. 5 Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations Mobile payment pilots suggest that contactless payment can cut average transaction time for cash payments in half, and they could be at least five times faster for card payments that require signatures.5 Thanks to faster contactless mobile payments, retailers can reduce the number of check-out counters and associated sales staff while processing the same number of transactions. Mobile point-ofsale (POS) terminals enabled with NFC can allow retailers to reduce the required number of checkout counters and increase their ability to process transactions by allowing customers to make purchases directly with sales associates rather than waiting in a checkout line. Furthermore, the retail space freed up from reducing checkout counters can be harnessed for more productive functions. Along with operational benefits, mobile payments and mobile POS terminals can improve the customer experience by reducing wait times and simplifying coupon redemption at the point-of-sale. Typically, a customer would clip coupons from a retailer’s advertisement at home and bring them along on a shopping trip. Mobile wallets allow consumers to download relevant coupons on their smartphones, receive promotions in real-time and keep otherwise unwieldy coupons readily available. At the point-ofsale, relevant coupons would be automatically retrieved from a mobile wallet and redeemed, saving considerable hassle at the register. Digital receipts can also be sent to a mobile wallet, saving retailers costs incurred from printing receipts while providing convenience to customers. Assessing customer expectations Understanding customers’ desires for in-store experience is a critical element of brick-and-mortar profitability. Expectations vary according to the type of store a customer enters. For example, customers in apparel stores may value creative displays, appealing lighting, ambient music, and interesting decorations that create an attractive perusing experience. Grocery store customers, on the other hand, may have a more utilitarian outlook. They typically enter a store with the intention of ticking items off a shopping list as they systematically scurry from one aisle to the next. Therefore, fashion-savvy staff at a grocery store is as helpful as efficient aisles in an apparel store. These considerations extend to other levers of store performance like mass customization, promotions and operations; retailers that understand their customers’ needs and the relative importance of different levers may be in a position to differentiate themselves from their competition. A framework to assess the relative importance of different performance levers can help retailers think through their digital and mobile strategies (see figure 5) and select the most relevant digital and mobile innovations. For each lever of performance (in-store experience, mass customization, promotions and operations) specific services — expert opinion, personalized recommendations, etc. — are highlighted. Each retail category is assessed across nine services that roll-up to the levers of performance. Figure 5. A framework for assessing customer expectations from different retail categories In-store experience Retail categories Expert opinion Store experience Navigability Mass customization Promotions Operations Personalized recommendation Offers Price Bundling Product Speed information Apparel Department store Discount store Club Drug store Grocery Home improvement Non-apparel specialty Electronics Very important Least important Source: Deloitte analysis Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations 6 Are you ready? An assessment of a retailer’s current preparedness and vision for the future may provide a reality check on where they stand with the four levers of store performance: in-store experience, mass customization, promotions and operations. A majority of retailers (65 percent) are just meeting or below the expectation for in-store experience (see figure 6). A unique and differentiated in-store experience can provide retailers with a significant competitive advantage. The current baseline on in-store experience provides retailers with an opportunity to stand out from their competition by considering digital and mobile innovations that can provide a significantly improved shopping experience for their customers. The current focus on differentiation does not adequately account for augmented reality, mobile wallet, mobile checkout, social commerce and navigation, which are likely to be important elements when measuring store performance in the near future (see figure 7). To be profitable in the future, retailers may need to reevaluate their digital and mobile strategies, and the customer expectation framework in figure 5 may be a good starting point. Figure 6. How well do you think your company is currently delivering its stated in-store customer experience? Off track 2% Slightly below expectations 24% Meets expectations 39% 27% Very well Outstanding No opinion 5% 2% Source: NRF/Deloitte Survey, Deloitte analysis 7 Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations Consumer adoption of mobile innovations is following a trajectory that is unprecedented for any technology in the past. The retail industry may be well-served by tapping into the higher levels of awareness that technology and telecom companies have of the frenetic evolution of mobile technologies and services. Conclusions Retailers faced with the frenetic pace of change wrought by digital and mobile innovations may plunge into the current ferment and emerge with technology implementations that are not aligned with their business strategies. It is easier to create a product page on Facebook or develop a mobile app than it is to develop an integrated digital and mobile strategy. Such a strategy can leverage innovations to drive store performance and provide customers a seamless, multi-channel experience. Retailers that are able to work across industry boundaries and partner with relevant players in the fast-evolving mobile ecosystem may prevail in the marketplace of the future. Figure 7. How will your company differentiate your stated in-store customer experience from your competitors? 73% In-store experience 51% 71% Multi-channel integration 54% 68% Service quality 56% 68% Product offering 51% 54% Mobility (Smartphone/table shopping enablement) 49% 54% Convenience (store layout/design, ease of finding) 39% 51% Social commerce 41% 44% Store location (ease of access to consumer) 32% 41% 39% Mobile checkout (store associate able to perform) 41% Price offering 27% 34% 34% Customer segmentation 5+ years from now 32% Kiosks or other “in aisle” technology 27% 17% Mobile wallet 27% 15% Augmented reality (combining real and virtual) 27% 10% Not yet created or imagined 32% 7% Self-service payment Do not know how my company will differentiate itself 3-5 years from now 22% 2% 12% Source: NRF/Deloitte Survey 2011, Deloitte analysis Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations 8 Endnotes 1 Joel Evans, Retailing in perspective: the past is a prologue to the future, The International Review of Retail, Distribution and Consumer Research, Vol. 21, No. 1, February 2011, 1–31. Divakar Goswami, Cell me the money: Unlocking the value in the mobile payment ecosystem, Deloitte Research report, February 2011. 2 Julie Ask and Charles Golvin, The POST Method: A systematic approach to mobile strategy, Forrester, April 9, 2009. 3 Thomas Gruen, Daniel Corsten and Sundar Bharadwaj, Retail out of stocks: A worldwide examination of extent, causes, and consumer responses, University of Colorado, Colorado Springs, May 19, 2002. 4 Craig Conklin, NFC and the mobile payment initiative, January 17, 2011, accessed online: http://craigconkling. blogspot.com/2011/01/nfc-and-mobile-payment-initiative-4.html 5 9 Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations Authors Phil Asmundson Vice Chairman, U.S. Media and Telecommunications Leader Deloitte USA LLP Tel: +1 203 708 4860 Email: [email protected] Alison Paul Vice Chairman, U.S. Retail & Distribution Leader Deloitte Consulting LLP Tel: +1 312 486 4457 Email: [email protected] Divakar Goswami Executive Manager Deloitte Research Deloitte Support Services India Private Limited Tel: +1 615 718 5910 Email: [email protected] About Deloitte Research Deloitte Research, a part of Deloitte Services LP, identifies, analyzes, and explains the major issues driving today’s business dynamics and shaping tomorrow’s global marketplace. 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Tiffany Mawhinney Retail Senior Specialist Deloitte USA LLP Tel: +1 404 631 2088 Email: [email protected] Transforming retail: How to improve performance with mobile and digital innovations 10 This publication contains general information only and Deloitte Services LP is not, by means of this publication, rendering accounting, business, financial, investment, legal, tax, or other professional advice or services. This publication is not a substitute for such professional advice or services, nor should it be used as a basis for any decision or action that may affect your business. Before making any decision or taking any action that may affect your business, you should consult a qualified professional advisor. Deloitte Services LP its affiliates and related entities shall not be responsible for any loss sustained by any person who relies on this publication. As used in this document, ‘Deloitte’ means Deloitte LLP (and its subsidiaries). 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