Consensus Conference on Nutrition Diet and food policies affecting cardiovascular disease globally A joint conference of WHF and the Canadian Academy of Health Sciences Hamilton, Canada, May 14-16, 2014 The global shift from foods and freshly prepared meals to ultraprocessed products: health impact and policy implications Carlos A. Monteiro [email protected] Center for Epidemiological Studies in Health and Nutrition University of Sao Paulo, Brazil • Classifying foodstuffs according the extent and purpose of food processing • What is wrong with ultra-processed products • The global shift from foods and freshly prepared meals to ultra-processed products • Implications for national and global public policies NOVA: a food classification based on extent and purpose of industrial processing Groups and sub-groups Extent, and examples Unprocessed foods No industrial processing: raw milk, fruits, nuts Minimally processed foods No subtraction of edible parts: brown rice, pasteurized milk Moderately processed foods Edible parts subtracted: white rice, white wheat flour Processed culinary ingredients Substances extracted from foods or nature: oil, fat, sugar, salt Processed ready-to-consume products Single, whole foods added of salt or sugar or other substances: vegetables in brine, fruits in syrup, cheese, simple breads Ultra-processed ready-to-consume products Formulations of ingredients extracted or derived from foods and other organic sources, with little or no intact food: sweet/savory snacks, soft drinks, confectionery, ‘energy’ bars, buns, reconstituted meat products, instant noodles etc NOVA: a food classification based on extent and purpose of industrial processing Groups and sub-groups Purpose Unprocessed foods - Minimally processed foods Increase duration of foods Moderately processed foods Increase duration of foods Processed culinary ingredients Converting foods into freshly prepared meals Processed ready-to-consume products Increase duration and modify palatability of foods Ultra-processed ready-to-consume products Creation of convenient, low cost, hyper-palatable products to replace fresh foods and freshly prepared meals Source: Moubarac et al Current Obesity Reports 2014 3: 256-273 Food processing to encourage consumption of foods and freshly prepared meals Unprocessed foods Minimally processed foods Moderately processed foods Processed culinary ingredients Processed ready-to-consume products MULTI-FOOD FRESHLY PREPARED MEALS (mostly consumed in regular times, at table, and often in company) Food processing to displace consumption of foods and freshly prepared meals Ultra-processed ready-to-consume products SNACKS, DRINKS AND `FAST MEALS` (mostly consumed across the day, on the go, and often alone Foods and products ranked by percentage of total energy intake US population, all ages, NHANES 2009-2010 Foods Culinary ingredients Processed products Ultra-processed products 1 Meat 8% Oils 1% Cheese 4% Pizza, sandwich, other fast meals 10% 2 Fruits 5% Sugar 1% Ham 1% Breads 9% 3 Milk 5% All other < 1% All other 2% Soft drinks, fruit and milk drinks 8% 4 Grains 3% Sweet snacks, ice cream, desserts 6% 5 Potatoes 2% Cakes, cookies, pies, pastries 5% 6 Eggs 1% Salty snacks 4% 7 Pasta 1% Sugared breakfast cereals 3% 8 Fish < 1% Alcoholic drinks 3% 9 Legumes<1% Sauces, dressings, gravies 3% 10 Veggies < 1% Reconstituted meat/fish products 2% All other 1% All other 5% All 30.1% 2.9% 7,1% 59.9% Source: NHANES 2009-2010 and Martinez et al (manuscript in preparation as part of a PhD dissertation) Foods and products ranked by percentage of total energy intake Brazilian population ≥ 10 y, POF 2008-2009 Foods Processed products Ultra-processed products 1 Rice 12.7% Salted meat 1.1% Bread 9.4% 2 Beans 10.7% Cheese 0.7% Pizza, sandwich, other fast meals 4.6% 3 Red meat 9.5% All other 0.1% Soft drinks, fruit and milk drinks 4.2% 4 Fruits 7% Cakes, cookies, pies 3% 5 Other cereals 6% Sweet snacks, ice cream, desserts 2.2% 6 Milk 5.5% Salty snacks 2% 7 Poultry 5.3% Reconstituted meat products 1.7% 8 Roots and tubers 3.6% Alcoholic drinks 0.6% 9 Coffee and tea 2.9% All other 1.6% 10 Fish 1.7% All other 5% ALL 68.9% 1.9% 29.2% Source: POF 2008-2009 and Louzada et al (manuscript in preparation as part of a PhD dissertation) • Extent and purpose of food processing: the key issue • What is wrong with ultra-processed products • The global shift from foods and freshly prepared meals to ultra-processed products • Implications for national and global public policies What is wrong with ultra-processed products? Nutrient profile of ultra-processed products compared to foods plus culinary ingredients in national food baskets Nutrient profile of overall diets according to quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed products Ultra-processed products and obesity and NCD outcomes The share of ultra-processed products (% of energy) in national food baskets (1991-2010) % 70 60 50 40 33 35 36 36 41 41 39 40 40 46 43 45 50 50 55 53 54 58 28 28 25 27 30 19 20 13 * Estimated from national household food expenditure surveys for Brazil (HBS), Canada (FOODEX), Chile (EPF), Colombia (ENIG), Peru (ENAPREF) Mexico (ENIGH), Uruguay (EGIH), and the Data Food Networking (DAFNE) for all European countries, except UK (LCF). UK 2008 CANADA 2001 GERMANY 1998 CHILE 2007 IRELAND 1999 BELGIUM 1999 FINLAND 1998 MALTA 2000 NORWAY 1998 SLOVAKIA 2003 AUSTRIA 1999 CROATIA 2004 MEXICO 2010 LATVIA 2004 URUGUAY 2006 SPAIN 1999 CYPRUS 2003 GREECE 2002 FRANCE 1991 ITALY 1996 PORTUGAL 2000 BRAZIL 2008 COLOMBIA 2006 0 PERU 2009 10 vs. In all countries we have studied, when compared to foods plus culinary ingredients, ultra-processed products have: Higher energy density More free sugar More trans fats Less protein, less fiber Less vitamins and minerals in general Sources: Monteiro et al Pub Health Nutr 2011; Moubarac et al Pub Health Nutr 2013 and work in progress for countries other than Brazil and Canada ENERGY DENSITY (KCAL/G) Country Foods plus culinary ingredients Ultra-processed products CANADA 2001 1.3 2.8 BELGIUM 1999 1.6 3.0 AUSTRIA 1999 1.7 3.1 FINLAND 1998 1.4 2.7 SPAIN 1999 1.9 2.7 GERMANY 1998 1.6 2,9 FRANCE 1991 1.5 2.6 UK 2008 1.4 2.8 BRAZIL 2008-09 1.9 2.9 COLOMBIA 2007 1.8 2.7 1.3-1.9 2.6-3.1 ALL (range) Estimated from national household food expenditure surveys for Brazil (HBS), Canada (FOODEX), Colombia (ENIG), and the Data Food Networking (DAFNE) for all European countries, except UK (LCF). The dietary share of ultra-processed products (% of total energy - quintiles) and the quality of the overall diet in the U.S. and Brazil Dietary share (% of energy) of foods and products US population, all ages, NHANES 2009-2010 Culinary ingredients: 4.9% Processed products: 8.9% Processed products: 4.0% FOODS 50.5% (Unprocessed, minimally or moderately processed) ULTRAPROCESSED PRODUCTS 35.5% Lower quintile of ultra-processed products Culinary ingredients: 1.2% FOODS 12.2% ULTRAPROCESSED PRODUCTS 82.6% Upper quintile of ultra-processed products Source: NHANES 2009-2010 and Martinez et al (manuscript in preparation as part of a PhD dissertation) Dietary share (% of energy) of foods and products Brazilian population ≥ 10 y, POF 2008-2009 Processed products: 3.5% FOODS 90.7% (Unprocessed, minimally or moderately processed) Processed products: 0.4% ULTRAPROCESSED PRODUCTS 8.9% Lower quintile of ultra-processed products Source: POF 2008-2009 FOODS 44.5% ULTRAPROCESSED PRODUCTS 52.1% Upper quintile of ultra-processed products Dietary fiber according to national quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed products Fiber (g/1,000 kcal) ---BRAZIL POF 2008-09 ---US NHANES 2009-10 15 Q1 13 11 Q1 9 Q5 7 Q5 5 0 20 40 60 80 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) 100 SOURCES: Louzada ML et al, Martinez E et al (manuscripts in preparation as part of PhD theses) Protein according to national quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed products Protein (% of energy) 20 ---BRAZIL POF 2008-09 ---US NHANES 2009-10 Q1 Q1 18 16 14 Q5 Q5 12 10 0 20 40 60 80 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) 100 SOURCES: Louzada ML et al, Martinez E et al (manuscripts in preparation as part of PhD theses) Total fat according to national quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed products Total fat ---BRAZIL POF 2008-09 ---USA NHANES 2009-10 (% of energy) 40 Q5 35 Q1 30 Q5 25 Q1 20 0 20 40 60 80 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) 100 SOURCES: Louzada ML et al, Martinez E et al (manuscripts in preparation as part of PhD theses Saturated fat according to national quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed products Sat fat ---BRAZIL POF 2008-09 ---USA NHANES 2009-10 (% of energy) 14 Q5 12 Q1 Q5 10 Q1 8 6 0 20 40 60 80 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) 100 SOURCES: Louzada ML et al, Martinez E et al (manuscripts in preparation as part of PhD theses Dietary energy density according to national quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed products Energy density (g/kcal) Q5 2.5 ---BRAZIL POF 2008-09 Q5 2 ---USA NHANES 2009-10 Q1 1.5 Q1 1 0 20 40 60 80 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) 100 SOURCES: Louzada ML et al, Martinez E et al (manuscripts in preparation as part of PhD theses Added sugars according to national quintiles of the dietary share of ultra-processed products Added sugars (% of energy) 20 Q5 Q5 ---BRAZIL POF 2008-09 15 ---USA NHANES 2009-10 Q1 10 Q1 5 0 20 40 60 80 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) 100 SOURCES: Louzada ML et al, Martinez E et al (manuscripts in preparation as part of PhD theses Non-nutrient attributes of ultra-processed products which disturb the regulation of energy balance and make them be often overconsumed Hyper-palatability (all products) Habituation/addiction (some products) Super size servings (many products) Inducement of mindless eating (all products) Ultra-processed products are made to be overconsumed: sugar, salt, fat, caffeine, sodium monoglutamate, texture, flavors, colors, packaging … Non-nutrient attributes of ultra-processed products which disturb the regulation of energy balance and make them be often overconsumed Hyper-palatability (all products) Habituation/addiction (some products) Super size servings (many products) Inducement of mindless eating (all products) Aggressive marketing The marketing of ultra-processed products typically promotes compulsive overeating New brand of ultra-processed products in Brazil It is one after the other! The name says it all: ‘Non-stop is simply irresistible’. The marketing of ultra-processed products typically promotes compulsive overeating `Nestlé Canada is thrilled to introduce Peelin’ Pops, a unique new frozen treat that looks like a banana and tastes like one too! Bite the tip of the bar, peel the “banana skin”, enjoy the creamy vanilla filling!` `With something so fun and tasty, kids and adults alike will be entertained each and every time, keeping them coming back for more.` http://www.corporate.nestle.ca/en/media/pressreleases/...treat-kids-will-go-bananas-over The fake banana also in Brazil See Nestlé. The BenNaNa master plan World Nutrition May 2014, 5, 5, 436-445 Reformulated ultra-processed products can be as obesogenic as regular products (or more if advertised as `healthy foods`) Studies on the association between the dietary share of ultra-processed products and health outcomes (work in progress) Share of ultra-processed products in national food baskets and obesity in 7 countries in the Americas (2001-2010) 40 Obesity in adults (%) USA y = 0.287x + 12.112 R² = 0.543 35 30 Mexico Chile Canada 25 Uruguay Peru 20 Colombia Brazil 15 10 5 0 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) Sources of data: National household food expenditure surveys and national health surveys in the same year or period and NHANES for USA NUPENS/USP Obesity in adults (%) Share of ultra-processed products in national food baskets and obesity in 19 European countries (1991-2008) 30 y = 0.3514x + 1.0513 R² = 0.4141 25 UK Germany 20 Hungary Croatia Norway Lithuania Greece Spain Latvia Portugal 15 Ireland Slovakia Austria Cyprus 10 Malta Belgium Finland France Italy 5 0 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 Ultra-processed products (% of total energy) Sources of data: National household food expenditure surveys and national health surveys in the same year or period Table 3. Predictive values for household obesity indicators1 according to the availability of ultra-processed food products (UPP). Brazil, POF 2008-2009. Canella D et al PLoS One 2014 Mar 25 Household daily Household Household Household per capita mean BMI prevalence of prevalence of availability of (Z score) overweight + obesity (%) UPP (quartiles) 1 obesity (%) 1st (220.0 kcal) 0.56 35.6 9.9 2nd (345.6 kcal) 0.66 38.7 12.0 3rd (422.0 kcal) 0.69 39.6 12.3 4th (564.3 kcal) 0.75 41.7 13.6 From a linear regression model adjusted for income, demographic variables, region and setting, percentage of expenditure on eating out of home, and complementary calories; all confounding variables set to the mean. Adjusted1 odds ratio for being obese by the dietary share (% of energy) of ultra-processed products in Brazilian (2008-9) and US adolescents (2007-08) Quintiles of ultraprocessed products 1 Brazilian 10 y+ (n=33,613) 1 US 8-19 y (n=669) 1 2 0.94 1.55 3 1.69 1.68 4 1.79 2.29 5 2.59 2.41 p for linear trend < .05 0.14 Sources: Louzada et al for Brazil and Baraldi et al for US – manuscripts in preparation as part of PhD dissertations 1 In Brazil: adjusted for age, sex, family income, education, ethnicity, region and setting, smoking status, physical activity and consumption of fruits, vegetables, read meat and alcohol. In the US: adjusted for age, sex, family income, family head`s education, ethnicity, physical activity and screen time. • Extent and purpose of food processing: the key issue • What is wrong with ultra-processed products • The global shift from foods and freshly prepared meals to ultra-processed products • Implications for national and global public policies Changes from 1987 to 2009 in the caloric share of foods and products purchased by Brazilian households 6 Δ % TOTAL KCAL 4 Sweet Snacks 2 Sugared Sausages drinks Bread 0 -2 Rice Beans Manioc Milk -4 -6 Oils, fats, and table sugar Source: Adapted from Martins et al 2013 Rev Saude Pub 47:656-65 Fast meals Changes from 1987 to 2009 in the caloric share of foods and products purchased by Brazilian households 6 Δ % TOTAL KCAL 4 2 Ultra-processed products Foods 0 -2 -4 -6 Processed culinary ingredients Source: Adapted from Martins et al 2013 Rev Saude Pub 47:656-65 Changes from 1939 to 2001 in the caloric share of foods and products purchased by Canadian households Sweet snacks Soft drink and juices Frozen dishes, pizzas Margarine, sauces Cheese Salty snacks Breakfast cereals Sausages Vegetables Meat and chicken Fruits Milk Wheat flour Breads Potatoes Table sugar Butter, cream -20 -10 0 Moubarac et al. (2014) Can J Diet Pract Res. 75(1):15-21 10 20 Δ % TOTAL KCAL Time changes in the dietary share (%) of ultra-processed products in household food baskets in Canada and Brazil % of total energy 60 Canada 50 43.7 40 54.9 ■ ~55 46.6 36.9 30 20 29.6 Brazil 26.1 24.4 21.0 18.7 10 0 1930 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 SOURCES: Martins et al 2013 Rev Saude Pub 47:656-65 and Moubarac et al. (2014) Can J Diet Pract Res. 75:15-21 Per capita retail sales of selected ultra-processed products 46 middle income countries: 1998-2012 Kg Frozen products Kg Snacks Soft drinks L 8 8 80 6 6 60 4 4 40 2 2 20 0 0 0 ▲ Upper-middle-income countries ■ Lower-middle-income countries. Source: EUROMONITOR in: Monteiro, Moubarac, Cannon, Ng, and Popkin. Obes Rev 2013 Per capita retail sales of selected ultra-processed products 33 high income countries: 1998-2012 Frozen products Snacks Kg L Kg 40 40 140 30 30 130 20 20 120 10 10 110 0 0 100 Soft drinks Source: EUROMONITOR in: Monteiro, Moubarac, Cannon, Ng, and Popkin. Obes Rev 2013 Annual per capita sales growth of selected ultra-processed products regressed on per capita national income (1998-2012) 20 Snacks 15 15 -5 -5 Per capita GNI (US$) -5 Per capita GNI (US$) Per capita GNI (US$) SOURCE: Monteiro, Moubarac, Cannon, Ng, and Popkin (2013). Ultra-processed products are becoming dominant in the global food system. Obes Rev doi: 10.1111/obr.12107 50000 0 50000 40000 30000 20000 0 10000 0 50000 0 40000 0 30000 5 20000 5 10000 5 0 % 10 % 10 % 10 40000 % = -1,66 ln(GNI) + 19,23 R² = 0,41 % = -1,09 ln(GNI) + 12,51 R² = 0,34 % = -0,97 ln(GNI) + 10,20 R² = 0,39 30000 15 Soft drinks 20000 Frozen products 20 10000 20 • Extent and purpose of food processing: the key issue • What is wrong with ultra-processed products • The global shift from foods and freshly prepared meals to ultra-processed products • Implications for national and global public policies Business as usual (industry-driven product reformulation, marketing self-regulation, dietary guidelines which ignore food processing) Health-oriented fiscal policies, government-driven marketing regulations, food- and meal-based dietary guidelines, Dietary Guidelines for the Brazilian Population Issued by the Brazilian Federal Ministry of Health, Brasília DF Draft. Has been for public consultation until 30 April 2014 http://www.saude.gov.br/consultapublica THE FOOD SYSTEM The big issue for nutrition Carlos Monteiro, Geoffrey Cannon Renata Bertazzi Levy, Rafael Claro, Jean-Claude Moubarac Ana Paula Martins, Maria Laura Louzada, Larissa Baraldi, Daniela Canella, Diana Parra, Logan Mauney, Maluh Barciottte, Semiramis Domene Centre for Epidemiological Studies in Health and Nutrition (NUPENS) School of Public Health, University of Säo Paulo. Brazil
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