India Calling How to Do Business with India & Opportunities in ITES Sector By N K GOYAL President, Communications & Manufacturing Association of India Founder Member, TEMA Export Promotion Council Chairman Emeritus. TEMA [email protected] 98 111 29879 May 2008 Agenda Hon’ Hon’ble Prime Minister of India, Dr. Manmohan Singh’ Singh’s recent statements Super Growth Rate Fastest Growing nation 5 Ds Electronic Industry Electronic & IT Industry PC Market Desktop Market Set Top Box Market Telecom Emerging Markets world Wide Telecom Market in India India Vision for Broadband Broadband deployment Plan – Urban/Rural USO Subsidy Support Scheme Software & Services Market/Exports Semiconductor Market India Advantage The Future Venture Capital Industry Emerging Manufacturing Destination Service Sector Leaders Recommend India Dr Manmohan Singh Hon’ble Prime Minister of India invites you……. India has got off to a good start…. Savor the wonderful journey of creativity and enterprise taking place in the country. India is a nation on the move, set to regain its place in the community of nations as a plural, secular and liberal society with an open economy. Address at McKenzie Board Meeting in India 24.10.2007 PM to Fortune Global Forum Be it FDI, investments in India’s stock markets or investment in knowledge economy, the signals are all positive. We will work to keep these positive. Investment is an act of faith. It is shaped by perceptions, by expectations and by all uncertainties of life. India assure you that your faith will not be misplaced. All those who invest in India, who invest in its future, who invest in India’s prosperity and who invest in the capacity of Indian people will be investing in the future of democracy. 29th October, 2007 India’s super growth rate Slowdown in World growth : 5.4% in 2006, 5.2% in 2007 and expected to fall 4.8% in 2008. India : Fell from 11.5% in 2006 to 9.8% in first five months of 2007 - but yet much above the world level! Current GDP : 1 $ Trillion. World Bank report (Oct’07) foresee India can innovate to $5 Trillion GDP! Stocks booming : Sensitive Index (Sensex) took 15 years to sail from 1000-10,000 points & 20 months to reach 20,024 points! With Market capitalisation at $1.58 trillion, India is Number 9 in global pecking order after US, Japan, UK, China, France, Hong Kong, Germany, Canada. India foreign exchange reserves at US$261 Billion. Fifth largest in world and very soon going to be fourth position! GDP 3500 Fastest Growing Nation 3000 3228 GDP composition – FY 2007 GDP grew at 9.8% during 2007 Top 10% of nations since 1980 On the verge of sustained doubledouble-digit growth Strong investment momentum Market capitalization up from USD 140 Bn in FY 2001 to > USD 1.58 Trn recently FDI on the rise - USD 7.6 Bn (06) and USD 19.4 Bn (07) FII investment - USD 6.5 Bn in 20062006-07 140 + public traded companies with market cap > USD 1 Bn US$ BB 2500 2000 1229 1500 1000 635 722 FY2005 FY2006 891 500 0 FY2007 FY2010 FY2020 Industry 27% Services 54% Agriculture 19% By 2050, India projected GDP is US$ 70 Trillion Source: CMIE India : The 5 Ds • Democracy – Largest democracy in the world – Largest digital elections – 9 Prime ministers from 6 major parties, 50 + state parties, 3 MM elected representatives – ONE POLICY • Diversity • Diaspora – Highly diverse – 23 languages, 30 provinces – 6 major religions – Cultural,religious, & Climatic • Demographics – 1.12 Bn population, Remain a ‘young’ nation beyond 2050 – < 20 yrs population – 442 Mn currently – 479 Mn by 2050 – ~10 Mn finishing school, 600,000 Engineers and 3 Mn graduates p.a – Over 2 Mn Indians outside India – Indian companies outbound M&A > USD 15 Bn in 2006 • Demand – 5th largest consumer market in the world by 2025. – 300 Mn growing middle class – Rising incomes to lift 291 Mn out of poverty to make middle class 583 Mn by 2025 Ingredients for sustained and consistent economic performance Electronic industry The Market: 2006-07 Domestic demand: USD 34 bn Production: USD 16 bn, Imports USD18 bn Exports: USD 2.2 bn Employment Direct: 0.75 million Indirect: 1.5 million Components $ 2.15 Bn Strategic Electronics $ 1.09 Bn Consumer Electronics $ 4.87 Bn Comm. & Broadcasting Equip. $ 2.32 Bn Computers $ 3.12 Bn Industrial + Other $ 2.55 Bn Growth over 2005-06: 20% Electronics & IT industry The Market: 2006-07 IT Industry size: USD 48 billion + IT Hardware Domestic: USD 7 bn: USD 1.7 billion ITES & Software Exports: USD 31.3 bn ; Domestic: USD 8.4 billion 6.3 million PCs sold; Installed base: 22 million 13 million TVs consumed; Installed base 100 million + Cable TV installed base 65 million 5 million + DVDs sold: growing at 40% annually Internet users: 38 million+ including wireless mobile internet users 30+ million Broadband connections: 2.65 million Mobile sales: 75 million; Installed base: 209.08 million Significant R&D and product development Sizeable presence of MNCs: Intel, IBM, Cisco, Motorola, Nokia, Samsung, LG India is suddenly attractive for hardware/electronics manufacturing The PC market (Desktop + Notebooks) 7,500,000 Units 6,341,451 6,000,000 5,046,558 4,500,000 3,809,724 3,124,422 3,000,000 2,344,617 1,715,620 1,500,000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 • CAGR 2001-07: 30% • Growth over 2005-06: 26% 2005-06 2006-07 Desktop Market: Share of Indian, MNC & Assembled Indian Brands MNC brands Assembled 28% 37% 2005-06 Indian Brands MNC brands Assembled 23% 38% 2006-07 35% 39% • Consumption of Indian brands decreased 2% in absolute terms • Sales of MNC Brands grew by 33% and that of Assembled by 22% in absolute terms The Set top box market: 2004-07 Million Units 2.75 3 2.5 2 1.5 1.5 1 0.75 0.5 0 2004-05 2005-06 Set-top box • Annual growth 84%; • 2007-08: sales expected to cross 2.5 million 2006-07 Telecom Emerging Markets World Wide By 2010 the emerging markets will account for more than 2/3rd of the world’s telecom connections and almost 90% of growth in the world’s mobile sector, with China and India leading the way. Emerging markets are also beginning to take the lead in innovation, as users spend increasing amounts on digital entertainment and lifestyle services. Telecom Market in India : 2002-07 Mobile Phones 171.21 180 Million Units 160 140 120 98.78 100 66.5 80 52.2 60 41.9 33.6 40 15.4 13 20 0 2002-03 2003-04 Annual Mobile Sales 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 Mobile Subsciber Base • 3rd largest in Asia after China, US; 2nd largest in Asia • Annual subscriber base growth 44%; Total 248.67 million sep.07, expected 500 million by 2010 • 2006-07: Base Stations installed: 100,000; Annual growth: 55% • 2006-07: Towers installed: 100,000; Annual growth: 60% India Vision for Broadband Year ending Broadband subscribers 2007 9 million 2010 20 million 2012 140 million (Wireless 100 Million) Broadband Deployment Plan - Urban Broadband deployment on ADSL To use more than 25 million existing copper loops in 1800 Towns/cities To use existing 100 million Cable TV network in all major Towns/cities Broadband for all Secondary Schools & Public Health care centers Broadband Deployment Plan - Rural Broadband deployment in 20,000 rural Telephone Exchanges on ADSL covering more than 25,000 villages Broadband on wireless through Wi-Max in 1000 Blocks covering 30,000 villages To set up 100,000 Common Service Centres (CSC) in Villages USO subsidy support scheme Universal support obligation (USO) subsidy for shared wireless infrastructure in rural areas Support for 8,000 Towers by 2007 Subsidy for 10,000 additional Towers by 2010 Aim to provide wireless connectivity for Broadband and Mobile services in rural areas The Software & Services market USD Million 45,000 39,700 40,000 35,000 Industry Size 30,300 31,300 30,000 25,000 22,600 20,000 15,900 15,000 10,000 10,100 7,680 12,450 9,870 Domestic Exports Total 23,600 17,700 12,500 5,000 0 2001-02 2002-03 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 2006-07 Year Annual growth: 31%; Exports growth at over 32% and domestic at 25% Source: NASSCOM Software & Services Exports Markets 2003-04 2004-05 2005-06 Americas 69.4% 68.3% 67.18% Europe 22.6% 23.10% 25.13% ROW 8.0% 8.60% 7.69% Source: NASSCOM ~ 80% of Fortune 500 outsource their IT from India India Semiconductor Market 40 Revenues $ Billion 35 TM CAGR – 29.8%, TAM CAGR- 29.4% TM 36.3 TAM 30 TM in 2015 is expected to grow by 13 times the TM in 2005 25 TAM in 2015 is expected to grow by 14 times the TAM in 2005 20 15.52 12.67 15 10 5 5.8 2.82 1.14 0 2005 2010 2015 • India’s share in the global semiconductor market is expected to increase from 1.2 % in 2005 and is forecast to be 5 % by 2015 • Telecommunication, Consumer and IT Hardware are the segments driving the market during the forecast period • Wireless handsets, Base Station Transceivers (BTS) are the major sub product categories driving the TAM for telecommunications segment • Set Top Box, DVD players and writers are the emerging product categories in consumer segment • Few other emerging product categories are electronic clusters, Capacitive Discharge Units (CDI) and Engine Management Systems (EMS) Source: ISA – Frost & Sullivan India advantage Local Market A very rapidly growing domestic market: CAGR 30%+ Global recognition for back-end services: A proven case for IP, embedded systems and IC design Profit from Local Sales Attractive for Manufacturing Investments Skilled employee base Fast and upcoming modern infrastructure (SEZs) Proximity to EU and MEA market Freight Cost; 20% cheaper than China - Faster delivery and lesser pipeline inventory Advantage India Harness low cost manufacturing base to service local, European and MEA markets Use India for IP and ITes Services -New Product development -Engineering services -BPO Manufacture Back-end Services India is a great Opportunity - –Triple Advantage The Future… Electronic hardware market by 2015 USD 320 billion including production USD 150 billion and exports USD 21 billion. Telephone subscribers: 500 million by 2010 PC sales: 25 million; installed base 65 million by 2010 ITES & Software exports: USD 60 billion by 2010 40 million new internet connection; at least 50% broadband by 2010 Nationwide TV broadcast to be digital by 2015 beginning 2010: significant opportunity for STB consumption & manufacturing Over USD10 bn investment in e-governance and national id card by 2010 2015: Total expected Market USD 320 bn; Domestic production USD 155 bn Venture Capital Industry An estimated USD 7.5 billion in VC/PE in 2006 across 299 deals • Over 250 deals in first half of 2007 with USD 5.6 billion • Expected to cross USD 10 bn in 2007 Key Investment Verticals – IT/ITES (23.5%), BFSI (12.1%), Manufacturing (12%), Real Estate (7.1%); Engg & Construction (7.9%) India Specific VCs: ChrysCapital, HSBC Pvt Equity, ICICI Ventures, IL&FS Venture Corporation, Infinity Technology Ventures, SIDBI, Walden International etc. Source: IVCA India emerging as a manufacturing destination Surge in manufacturing confidence led by mobile players Branded players: Nokia, Motorola, LG, Samsung, Ericsson… EMS companies: Elcoteq, Flextronics, Solectron, Jabil Circuits, Sanmina, Celestica and Foxconn/Honhai … With new Fab policy several Semiconductor firms are keen to manufacture in India Taiwanese Companies just about coming in Foxconn/Honhai; Compal (Reliance), Delta Electronics, Liteon India Growing Services Sector Today India is a services superpower in the making. the 12th largest economy in world. Indian growth can be attributed to traditional drivers like growing urbanization, significant development of small towns and rural India, Increased focus on infrastructure and education. Services sector that witnessed three waves 1990s the software services 2002s telecom services witnessing 80% growth 2005 financial services wave Incentives provided by the Government: Custom duty on ITA-I product reduced to zero w.e.f. 01.03.2005. No industrial licence for manufacturing of telecom equipment. 100% Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) through automatic route permitted for Manufactuirng. Fully repatriable dividend income and capital invested Payment of technical know-how fee of up to US$ 2 million and royalty up to 5% on domestic sales and 8% on export sales, net of taxes, through automatic route. Promotion of telecom product specific SEZs. Import of all capital goods for manufacturing telecom equipment does not require any license. 10 year income tax holiday for EOU/EPZ/STP/EHTP units. Export income is exempt from income tax for all exporters. Tax holiday 100% for five years and 30% for next five years in a block of 15 years. Infrastructure Telecom equipment exempted from customs duty. Exemption from Excise duty on Cellular Phones and it components, Pagers, Radio Trunking Terminals and Parts. Telecom services sector allowed the benefit of carry forward of losses on mergers. Entry Strategies for Foreign Investors STARTING OPERATIONS IN INDIA Incorporation of Company For registration and incorporation, an application has to be filed with Registrar of Companies (ROC). Once a company has been duly registered and incorporated as an Indian company, it is subject to Indian laws and regulations as applicable to other domestic Indian companies. A foreign company planning to set up business operations in India has the following options Indian Company A foreign company can commence operations in India by incorporating a company under the Companies Act,1956 through Joint Ventures; or Wholly Owned Subsidiaries Foreign equity in such Indian companies can be up to 100% depending on the requirements of the investor, subject to equity caps in respect of the area of activities under the Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) policy. Joint Venture Joint Venture With An Indian Partner Foreign Companies can set up their operations in India by forging strategic alliances with Indian partners. Joint Venture may entail the following advantages for a foreign investor: Established distribution/ marketing set up of the Indian partner Available financial resource of the Indian partners Established contacts of the Indian partners which help smoothen the process of setting up of operations Subsidiary Company Wholly Owned Subsidiary Company Foreign companies can also to set up wholly-owned subsidiary in sectors where 100% foreign direct investment is permitted under the FDI policy. Foreign Company Foreign Companies can set up their operations in India through Liaison Office/Representative Office Project Office Branch Office Such offices can undertake any permitted activities. Companies have to register themselves with Registrar of Companies (ROC) within 30 days of setting up a place of business in India. Liaison Office Liaison Office Liaison office acts as a channel of communication between the principal place of business or head office and entities in India. Liaison office can not undertake any commercial activity directly or indirectly and can not, therefore, earn any income in India. Its role is limited to collecting information about possible market opportunities and providing information about the company and its products to prospective Indian customers. It can promote export/import from/to India and also facilitate technical/financial collaboration between parent company and companies in India. Project office Foreign Companies planning to execute specific projects in India can set up temporary project/site offices in India. Such offices can not undertake or carry on any activity other than the activity relating and incidental to execution of the project. Project Offices may remit outside India the surplus of the project on its completion, general permission for which has been granted by the RBI. Branch Office Foreign companies engaged in manufacturing and trading activities abroad are allowed to set up Branch Offices in India for the following purposes: Export/Import of goods Rendering professional or consultancy services Carrying out research work, in which the parent company is engaged. Promoting technical or financial collaborations between Indian companies and parent or overseas group company. Representing the parent company in India and acting as buying/selling agents in India. Rendering services in Information Technology and development of software in India. Rendering technical support to the products supplied by the parent/ group companies. Foreign airline/shipping company. Branch office Contd… A branch office is not allowed to carry out manufacturing activities on its own but is permitted to subcontract these to an Indian manufacturer. Branch Offices established with the approval of RBI, may remit outside India profit of the branch, net of applicable Indian taxes and subject to RBI guidelines Permission for setting up branch offices is granted by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Branch Office on “Stand Alone Basis” Such Branch Offices would be isolated and restricted to the Special Economic zone (SEZ) alone and no business activity/transaction will be allowed outside the SEZs in India, which include branches/subsidiaries of its parent office in India. No approval shall be necessary from RBI for a company to establish a branch/unit in SEZs to undertake manufacturing and service activities subject to specified conditions. Leaders Recommend India Arun Sarin, Vodafone says…. I am getting a taste of how they do business in India. My team studying secret of low cost business model In UK average call costs 15 cents and in India only 2 cents. Margin remains 40%. Low cost labour is hardly one third. The other two third is just how they do business. India has innovative approach to delivery, services and distribution systems. India more open in telecom. In China they own just 3% & balance Govt., but in India up to 74% and balance with private parties. Leaders Recommend India… India has a fantastic pool of software professionals. The world needs to benefit from this Bill Gates, Microsoft Chairman Not only are there brilliant engineers here [in India], I've been seeing that the entrepreneurial spirit of the businesses is second to none Mike S. Zafirovski President and Chief Operating Officer Motorola Through the wisdom of its government leaders and the entrepreneurship of its private sector, India has risen to become a major force in the global economy John Chambers, President and CEO, Cisco Systems Inc India has evolved into one of the world's leading technology centres Craig Barrett, Chairman, Intel Corporation I put India on the top priority market among emerging markets Yuanquing Yang, Chairman, Lenovo GIO Factor In Hindi – GIO means Live Long Come…..explore….and be a part of the…. Great Indian Opportunity
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