Chapter 123 Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: What is New? Prafulla G Kerkar, Srivallabh Karlekar, Vinay Jaiswal INTRODUCTION NEED FOR A NOVEL ORAL ANTICOAGULANT Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common cardiac arrhythmia observed in the elderly population. Stroke is the most common and devastating complication of AF, even in the absence of rheumatic valvular disease. The incidence of all-cause stroke in patients with AF is 5% per year. Stroke risk persists even in asymptomatic AF and the mortality in AF is primarily due to stroke. Warfarin is a vitamin K antagonist and has a half-life of 36 hours and predominantly circulates bound to albumin. The dose-response of warfarin is impacted on by environmental and genetic factors. Polymorphisms of genes that encode for the vitamin-K epoxide reductase enzyme and CYP2C9 enzyme have been identified as the most important contributors to the wide interindividual variations in dose requirements. RISK STRATIFICATION AND BLEEDING RISK ASSESSMENT: WHAT IS NEW? For stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (SPAF), most of the stroke risk assessment schemes categorize patients into “high”, “moderate”, and “low” risk categories for stroke. The simplest of the strokeassessment scheme is the CHADS2 score. For patients with a CHADS2 score 0−1 or where a more detailed stroke risk assessment is indicated, a more thorough and comprehensive risk factor-based approach, the CHA2DS2-VASc scoring system (Table 1) has been recommended. While the CHADS2 score is easy to remember, CHA2DS2-VASc score is more accurate in identifying the patients who are actually at low risk of stroke and has been approved as Class I recommendation for risk assessment in stroke prevention in patients of nonvalvular AF. Bleeding complications with oral anticoagulants (OAC) is the major concern with the use of these drugs, which needs to be balanced against the risk of ischemic stroke. Individual bleeding risk in real-world patients with AF can be assessed using hypertension, abnormal renal/liver function, stroke, bleeding history or predisposition, Labile international normalized ratio, elderly, drugs/ alcohol concomitantly (HAS-BLED) risk score (Table 2). This risk score potentially supports clinical decision-making regarding antithrombotic therapy in patients with AF. A HAS-BLED score more than or equal to 3 indicates that caution should be exercised while prescribing oral anticoagulant therapy and the patient should be available for regular review. Importantly, a high HAS-BLED score does not contraindicate OAC therapy and for a given HAS-BLED score, the risk of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH) and major bleeding in patients on aspirin is similar to that for those taking warfarin. The 2010 European Society of Cardiology (ESC) Guidelines on AF, Canadian Cardiovascular Society Guidelines (recently updated) and the consensus document on bleeding in AF, prepared by the European Heart Rhythm Association (EHRA) and the ESC Working Group on thrombosis, all recommended use of the simple bleeding risk assessment score, HAS-BLED, rather than the more complicated HEMORR2HAGES score, or the less practical ATRIA score. The HASBLED score has better predictive value than that of ATRIA and, importantly, highlights risk factors that can be actively managed to reduce the bleeding risk. Ideal Anticoagulant Efficacy of warfarin as prophylaxis against stroke is established and unequivocal. Unfortunately, there are many limitations associated with warfarin (Table 3). Due to these factors, warfarin requires close laboratory monitoring of coagulation via the international normalized ratio (INR) and subsequent dose adjustments. These TABLE 1 │ The CHA2DS2-VASc score for risk of stroke in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) Risk factors Score Congestive cardiac failure Hypertension Age > 75 years Diabetes mellitus Stroke/TIA/thromboembolism Vascular disease Age 65–74 years Female sex Maximum score 1 1 2 1 1 1 1 1 9 Source: Lip GY, Nieuwlaat R, Pisters R, et al. Chest. 2010;137:2630-72. TABLE 2 │ The HAS-BLED score for bleeding risk Risk factor Score Hypertension Abnormal renal/liver function Stroke Bleeding tendency Labile INR Age (e.g. > 65 years) Drugs (e.g. concomitant aspirin, NSAIDs, etc.) or alcohol Maximum score 1 1 or 2 1 1 1 1 1 9 Notes: A score of 0–2 indicates low risk of bleeding; a score of more than 3 indicates high risk of bleeding. Hypertension is defined as a systolic blood pressure: 160 mm Hg. 1 point is awarded for each of abnormal renal or liver function, and drugs or alcohol. Source: Pisters R, Lip GY, Nieuwlaat R, et al. Chest. 2010;138:1093-100. Section 16 Chapter 123 Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: What is New? TABLE 3 │ Limitations of warfarin • Frequent monitoring necessitating regular clinic attendance • Narrow therapeutic window • Slow onset and offset of action, requiring 3–6 days to reach therapeutic levels • Long half-life • Numerous drug and dietary interactions • Genetic polymorphisms exist which confer increased sensitivity or resistance to warfarin • Unpredictable pharmacodynamics and pharmacokinetics leading to inter- and intraindividual variability in dose and metabolism TABLE 4 │ Characteristics of the ideal anticoagulant • • • • • • • • • Equivalent efficacy to warfarin at least Predictable response Wide therapeutic window Low inter- and intrapatient variability Fixed oral dosing Low potential for drug and dietary interactions No need for regular coagulation monitoring Fast onset and offset of action Low incidence and severity of adverse effects Source: Ahmad Y, Lip GY. Clinical insights in cardiology. 2012;6: 65-78. regular clinics attendances bring an increased financial burden and inconvenience to patients. Thus, many patients who are eligible for warfarin choose not to use it. A clinically viable alternative to warfarin will need to possess several key characteristics (Table 4). New therapies would of course need to be safe and well tolerated, with low frequency and severity of adverse effects. They should also obviate the need for regular coagulation monitoring. SO WHAT IS NEW ON THE HORIZON? Direct Thrombin Inhibitors The final step of the coagulation pathway requires thrombin to convert fibrinogen to fibrin. Direct thrombin inhibitors bind to thrombin and prevent its interaction with substrates; this inhibits fibrin production. Ximelegatran was the first available oral direct thrombin inhibitor, was withdrawn from the market in 2004 due to its potential to cause raised liver enzymes and reported cases of fulminant hepatic failure. Dabigatran etexilate is an oral pro-drug which is converted in the liver to its active compound; dabigatran. Dabigatran exerts an effect on both clot-bound and free thrombin. Dabigatran has a fast onset of action (peak 0.5–4 hours), a half-life of 17 hours with multiple doses (7–9 hours with single dose) and reaches clinical steady state within 2.5 days of initiation. Dabigatran is predominantly (80%) cleared by the kidneys. Absorption of dabigatran may be delayed by food and there is an age effect on pharmacokinetic parameters although no reported gender effect. Factor Xa Inhibitors Fondaparinux inhibits factor Xa indirectly, utilizing antithrombin as a cofactor and producing a conformational change similar to heparin to inhibit factor Xa—but it can only inhibit factor Xa in its free form. The emerging direct factor Xa inhibitors do not require antithrombin as a cofactor and bind directly to the active site of factor Xa. Factor Xa has fewer effects outside of the clotting cascade, so may cause fewer side-effects than direct thrombin inhibitors. Apixaban is an oral, selective, reversible direct factor Xa inhibitor. It has high oral bioavailability and onset of action is within 3 hours. The drug has a half-life of 12 hours and is cleared via multiple pathways: 25% renal, 75% in feces. Data indicate that apixaban does not inhibit or induce CYP enzymes. Its absorption is not impacted by food. Rivaroxaban is an oral, reversible, direct factor Xa inhibitor. It inhibits prothrombinase activity, as well as free and clot-associated Fax activity in plasma. It has high oral bioavailability and is rapidly absorbed with a half-life of 9 hours in healthy subjects and 12 hours in those aged over 75 years. It has a rapid onset of action with maximal concentrations reached between 2 and 4 hours. Rivaroxaban has a dual mode of elimination with no identified active circulating metabolite: one-third of the dose is renal cleared, the remainder being metabolized by the liver. The pharmacokinetics of rivaroxaban are dose proportional and generally unaffected by gender, body weight or extremes of age. Although rivaroxaban can theoretically be affected by drugs that interact with CYP3A4, a low potential for clinically significant drug or food interactions has been reported (Table 5). Left Atrial Appendage Closure Although clinically applied for decades, there is no conclusive evidence that surgical left atrial appendage (LAA) excision or occlusion reduces stroke risk in AF patients, due to a lack of large controlled trials with systematic follow-up. Furthermore, there are data to suggest that not all strokes in AF patients are cardioembolic or due to AF, and the LAA is probably not the only left atrial region where thrombi can potentially originate. This suggests that there may be a need for antithrombotic therapy in AF patients, even after removal or closure of the LAA (Table 6). At present, interventional LAA closure is not indicated simply as an alternative to OAC therapy to reduce stroke risk. ESC guidelines recommend transcatheter closure of LA appendage should be considered in patients with a high stroke risk and contraindication for long-term anticoagulation. Clinical Studies of the Old and New OACs: Efficacy and Safety Warfarin Oral vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) are the gold standard over the last 5 decades in the prevention of thromboembolism in patients with nonvalvular AF as demonstrated in several trials, with relative risk reduction ranging from 52–86%. Also, multiple primary prevention trials evaluated the efficacy of aspirin at various doses (50–325 mg/ day) compared to VKAs (AFASAK-1, SPAF-II, SPAF-III, AFASAK-2). These trials concluded that in comparison with aspirin, warfarin showed a 52% relative risk reduction for stroke. The SPAF III study comparing the efficacy of a combination of low-intensity, fixed-dose VKAs plus aspirin with conventional adjusted-dose VKA, in 1,044 patients had to be stopped prematurely after a mean follow-up of 1.1 years due to the occurrence of higher rates of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism in patients who were on combination therapy compared to those on adjusted-dose VKAs (7.9% per year vs 1.9% per year; p < 0.0001). The ACTIVE-W study showed clearly that warfarin was superior dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) with aspirin and clopidogrel, and was stopped early due to the clear benefit of oral anticoagulation. In ACTIVE-A trial patients deemed unsuitable for warfarin were given either aspirin alone or a combination of aspirin and clopidogrel. Aspirin plus clopidogrel reduced the rate of ischemic stroke by 28% compared with aspirin alone. Therefore, DAPT would not be a suitable alternative to warfarin in patients deemed high-risk for hemorrhage. However, DAPT may be a therapeutic option for patients truly ineligible for warfarin for other reasons. 563 Neurology Section 16 TABLE 5 │ Pharmacokinetic and pharmacodynamics properties of the novel anticoagulants Dabigatran Rivaroxaban Apixaban Mechanism of action Direct thrombin inhibitor Direct factor Xa inhibitor Direct factor Xa inhibitor Prodrug Double prodrug No No Dosing frequency Twice daily Once daily Twice daily Bioavailability % 6.5 50 80 Tmax 2 hours 2–4 hours 3 hours Half-life 17 hours with multiple doses 7–9 hours with single dose 9 hours in healthy subjects 12 hours in elderly subjects 12 hours Mode of excretion 80% cleared renally One-third cleared renally, two-thirds metabolized by the liver 70% cleared in feces 25% cleared renally Age effect Age effect affects pharmacokinetic parameter No No Drug interactions Interaction with aspirin at high doses None reported None reported Source: Ahmad Y, Lip GY. Clinical Medicine Insights: Cardiology. 2012;6:65-78. TABLE 6 │Recommendations for prevention of thromboembolism in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) Recommendations for prevention of thromboembolism in nonvalvular AF—general Antithrombotic therapy to prevent thromboembolism is recommended for all patients (both male and female) who are at a risk (aged < 65 years and lone factor AF) or with contraindications. I A The choice of antithrombotic therapy should be based upon the absolute risks of strokes/thromboembolism and bleeding and the net clinical benefit of a given patient. I A The CHA2DS2-VASc score is recommended as a means of assessing stroke risk in nonvalvular AF. I A In patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 0 (i.e. aged < 65 years with lone AF) who are at low risk, with none of the risk factors, no antithrombotic therapy is recommended. I B In patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2, OAC therapy with: • Adjusted-dose VKA (INR 2–3); or • A direct thrombin inhibitor (dabigatran); or • An oral factor Xa inhibitor (e.g. rivaroxaban, apixaban)d is recommended, unless contraindicated. I A In patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1, OAC therapy with: • Adjusted-dose VKA (INR 2–3); or • A direct thrombin inhibitor (dabigatran); or • An oral factor Xa inhibitor (e.g. rivaroxaban, apixaban)d should be considered, based upon an assessment of the risk of bleeding complications and patient preferences. IIa A Female patients who are aged < 65 years and have lone AF (but still have a CHA2DS2-VASc score of 1 by virtue of their gender) are low risk and no antithrombotic therapy should be considered. IIa B When patients refuse the use of any OAC (whether VKAs or NOACs), antiplatelet therapy should be considered, using combination therapy with aspirin 75–100 mg plus clopidogrel 75 mg daily (where there is a low risk of bleeding) or—less effectively—aspirin 75–325 mg daily. IIa B Source: 2012 Focused Update of the ESC Guidelines of the management of atrial fibrillation. Dabigatran The RE-LY trial was a phase III, blinded, noninferiority trial in 18,113 patients with nonvalvular AF with a CHADS2 score of 1 or higher or who were older than 65 years with coronary artery disease. Patients were randomized to either dabigatran, at a dosage of 110 or 150 mg twice daily or warfarin titrated to a goal INR of 2–3. Major bleeding was less with 110 mg of dabigatran when compared to warfarin, and rates of major hemorrhage are similar with 150 mg dabigatran and warfarin. Low-dose dabigatran was shown to be noninferior to warfarin and high-dose dabigatran was shown to be superior to warfarin. Dabigatran 150 mg was found to have a trend towards increased rate of myocardial infarction (0.74%) when compared with warfarin (0.53%/year) which was revised in a subsequent publication12 to 0.81 versus 0.64%/year, p = 0.12). Rivaroxaban 564 ROCKET-AF study was a phase III, randomized, double-blind, eventdriven noninferiority trial with over 14,000 patients comparing rivaroxaban with warfarin in nonvalvular AF and a history of stroke, TIA, or non-CNS embolism or at least two independent risk factors for future stroke. Patients were randomized to rivaroxaban 20 mg once daily (or 15 mg once daily in patients with moderate renal impairment), or dose-adjusted warfarin titrated to a target INR of 2.5. Rivaroxaban was similar to warfarin for the primary efficacy endpoint of prevention of stroke and systemic embolism. Major and nonmajor clinically relevant bleeding was similar with rivaroxaban and warfarin. The rivaroxaban group demonstrated significantly less fatal bleeding, intracranial hemorrhage. Apixaban The AVERROES study enrolled 5,600 patients with AF who were either intolerant of or unsuitable for warfarin and compared apixaban 5 mg twice daily with aspirin 81–324 mg/day. The study was prematurely terminated because of an acceptable safety profile and benefit in favor of apixaban. The ARISTOTLE trial was randomized phase III, double-blind, international trial comparing apixaban 5 mg twice/day versus Section 16 Chapter 123 Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation: What is New? warfarin titrated to an INR between 2 and 3 in over 18,000 patients. Apixaban was found to be safer than warfarin in regard to major bleeding: 2.13% per year in the apixaban group versus 3.09% per year in the warfarin group. PATIENT VALUES AND PREFERENCES Patients will, generally speaking, be taking the prescribed therapies for the duration of their lives so it is crucial that they are adequately informed. The predominant concern of patients is that of stroke, and many are willing to accept slightly increased bleeding risks to avoid a stroke. Physicians tend to be more concerned with hospital admissions, whereas patients are ultimately worried about death. The AF-AWARE study also found that physicians tended to overestimate the burden of anticoagulant treatment. By and large, patients are willing to accept the inconveniences of anticoagulation to avoid serious adverse outcomes. The advent of novel anticoagulant therapies is changing the landscape of stroke prevention in AF, and will significantly impact on patient preference. In comparison to the VKAs, these new alternatives have therapeutic advantages, given their superior or similar reduction in stroke risk, a lower risk of ICH, and similar or lower major bleeding. The new agents circumvent many of the inconveniences of warfarin: regular INR checks, dietary restrictions, drug interactions. Therefore, these novel OACs will be preferred alternatives to VKAs in many patients for SPAF, although the high cost of the drugs may be a major hurdle in a developing country like India. They also bring with them other considerations and caveats. There are no known antidotes currently available for dabigatran, rivaroxaban or apixaban. The benefit of not requiring regular INR monitoring is offset by the fact that there is no validated way to assess the anticoagulant effect or level of the drug. We are also yet to establish how successful anticoagulant bridging prior to surgery can be achieved with the new agents. Dabigatran and rivaroxaban must be used with caution in patients with renal insufficiency, and the dose of dabigatran recommended by the FDA for renal impairment was not studied in the RE-LY trial. PLACE IN THERAPY Warfarin has a clearly defined place in therapy, as the established gold standard antithrombotic for SPAF. The optimal INR for AF patients is in the range 2.0–3.0, with increased risk of thromboembolism and hemorrhage outside this range at either end. The benefit of warfarin is strongly linked to the proportion of time spent in the therapeutic range (TTR). Even modest TTR improvements of 5%–10% have profound beneficial effects on clinical outcomes. TTR in clinical trials is typically 60%–65%, but this exceeds that routinely achieved in clinical practice. Very low TTR may completely obliterate the potential benefit of warfarin. It has been demonstrated that selfmonitoring improves the quality of INR control and therefore outcome measures. Despite its efficacy, the limitations of warfarin mean that a large group of patients with AF are not receiving effective prophylaxis against stroke. The US guidelines recommend dabigatran 150 mg BD as an alternative to warfarin (or 75 mg for patients with renal impairment). The European guidelines currently recommend 150 mg dabigatran twice a day for a patient at low bleeding risk (HAS-BLED score 0–2) and 110 mg dabigatran twice a day for those at high risk of bleeding (HAS-BLED score 3 or greater). Rivaroxaban has been approved for stroke prevention in nonvalvular AF by both the FDA and the EMA, and in many countries worldwide. European commission has approved apixaban for stroke prevention in adults with nonvalvular AF with 1 or more risk factors. These two factorial inhibitors have not been shown to cause significant upset, so may represent an appealing treatment option for those patients unsuited to warfarin and unable to tolerate dabigatran due to dyspepsia. Conclusive comparisons between the new and emerging agents cannot be made until they have been evaluated against each other in trials. CONCLUSION For six decades, warfarin has been the only available therapeutic strategy for prophylaxis against stroke inpatients with AF. Its limitations have led to its underutilization and wide variability in AF management. Major progress has been made in AF research, providing clinicians with improved management strategies. Better risk stratification schemes permits accurate identification of truly low-risk patients who do not require anticoagulation, and those patients who ought to be receiving antithrombotic therapy. We are also able to simply and practically evaluate a patient’s risk in relation to bleeding, enabling risk-benefit decisions to be made in a more straightforward manner. The advent of novel OACs means that warfarin is no longer the only choice for effective stroke prophylaxis. The recent aggressive propaganda for novel OACs in medical literature, on the internet and in medical conferences could also mean a justifiable attention to SPAF and a rational prescription of OACs both old and new. 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