Thrombosis Research (2007) 119, 265 — 274 intl.elsevierhealth.com/journals/thre REVIEW ARTICLE What is the optimal pharmacological prophylaxis for the prevention of deep-vein thrombosis and pulmonary embolism in patients with acute ischemic stroke? Pieter W. Kamphuisen a,b,*, Giancarlo Agnelli a a Stroke Unit and Division of Internal and Cardiovascular Medicine, University of Perugia, Perugia, Italy Division of Vascular Medicine, Department of Internal Medicine, Radboud University Medical Center Nijmegen, Nijmegen, The Netherlands b Received 30 August 2005; received in revised form 22 March 2006; accepted 22 March 2006 Available online 3 May 2006 Abstract Background: Pulmonary embolism after acute ischemic stroke (AIS) is associated with a high in-hospital mortality. The benefit from pharmacological prophylaxis for venous thromboembolism (VTE) is uncertain probably due to doubts about the optimal agent and dose. We evaluated the benefit/risk ratio of different anticoagulant regimens in the prevention of VTE in patients with AIS. Methods: The MEDLINE, EMBASE, and Cochrane Library databases were searched up to January 2005. Randomized controlled trials (RCT) comparing early administration of either low-molecular-weight heparin (LMWH) or unfractionated heparin (UFH) with control were included. Endpoints were objectively diagnosed deep-vein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism, intracranial hemorrhage (ICH), and extracranial hemorrhage (ECH). Low-dose UFH was arbitrarily defined as V 15,000 IU/day, lowdose LMWH as V6000 IU/day or weight-adjusted dose of V 86 IU/kg/day. Results: Sixteen trials involving 23,043 patients with AIS met the inclusion criteria. The number of events was small and different doses of anticoagulant treatment were used. Compared to control, high-dose UFH was associated with a reduction in pulmonary embolism (OR = 0.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.29—0.83), but also with an increased risk of ICH (OR = 3.86, 95% CI = 2.41—6.19) and ECH (OR = 4.74, 95% CI = 2.88—7.78). Low-dose UFH decreased the thrombosis risk (OR = 0.17, 95% * Corresponding author. Stroke Unit and Medicina Interna e Cardiovascolare, Universita ` di Perugia, Via Enrico Dal Pozzo, 06126 Perugia, Italy. Tel.: +39 075 5783395; fax: +39 075 5733642. E-mail address: [email protected] (P.W. Kamphuisen). 0049-3848/$ - see front matter D 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.thromres.2006.03.010 266 P.W. Kamphuisen, G. Agnelli CI = 0.11—0.26), but had no influence on pulmonary embolism (OR = 0.83, 95% CI = 0.53—1.31); the risk of ICH or ECH was not statistically significant increased (OR = 1.67, 95% CI = 0.97—2.87 for ICH; and OR = 1.58, 95% CI = 0.89—2.81 for ECH, respectively). High-dose LMWH decreased both DVT (OR = 0.07, 95% CI = 0.02—0.29) and pulmonary embolism (0.44, 95% CI = 0.18—1.11), but this benefit was offset by an increased risk for ICH (OR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.02—3.96) and ECH (OR = 1.78, 95% CI = 0.99—3.17). Low-dose LMWH reduced the incidence of both DVT (OR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.19—0.59) and pulmonary embolism (OR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.15—0.87), without an increased risk of ICH (OR = 1.39, 95% CI = 0.53—3.67) or ECH (OR = 1.44, 95% CI = 0.13—16). For low—dose LMWH, the numbers needed to treat were 7 and 38 for DVT and pulmonary embolism, respectively. Conclusions: Indirect comparison of low and high doses of UFH and LMWH suggests that low-dose LMWH have the best benefit/risk ratio in patients with acute ischemic stroke by decreasing the risk of both DVT and pulmonary embolism, without a clear increase in ICH or ECH. D 2006 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Contents Introduction . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Methods. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Search strategy . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Criteria for study selection . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Outcomes . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Data extraction and statistical analysis . . . . . . . Results . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Incidence of DVT . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Incidence of symptomatic pulmonary embolism. . . Incidence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage. Incidence of major extracranial hemorrhage . . . . Discussion. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Acknowledgments . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . References . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . Introduction Stroke is the third highest cause of death in the Western world. Pulmonary embolism is a major contributor to in-hospital death after stroke. Although the rate of clinically overt pulmonary embolism after stroke has been estimated to be less than 1% [1], pulmonary emboli account for up to 50% of early deaths after stroke [2,3]. Anticoagulant prophylaxis is effective in preventing pulmonary embolism in hospitalized patients, and reduces mortality related to this disease after surgery [4]. Current guidelines recommend the use of prophylaxis in stroke patients with risk factors for venous thromboembolism (VTE) [5,6]. However, intracranial bleeding seems to be associated with early anticoagulation in acute stroke and may outweigh the benefit of prevention of VTE [7]. The risk of intracranial bleeding after acute stroke seems to be related to the dose of the used . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 266 267 267 267 267 267 267 268 270 270 272 272 273 273 anticoagulant agent. In the International Stroke Trial (IST), the risk of major intracranial hemorrhage associated with 25,000 IU/day of unfractionated heparin (UFH) was more than doubled compared to 10,000 IU/day [1]. Also for lowmolecular-weight heparin (LMWH) there seems to be a dose-dependent bleeding risk [8]. Although these two agents have been shown to be effective in preventing VTE after stroke, the optimal benefit/risk ratio between the risk of VTE and the risk of bleeding in patients with acute ischemic stroke has not been established. This ratio could be influenced by the type and the dose of the prophylactic agent. There are no clinical trials with adequate sample sizes that directly compared the clinical benefit from UFH and LMWH or their doses. Given this absence, we performed a systematic review to assess the effectiveness of LMWH or UFH in reducing the rate of objectively diagnosed deepvein thrombosis (DVT), pulmonary embolism, without an excessive risk of intracranial hemorrhage in VTE prophylaxis in acute ischemic stroke patients with acute ischemic stroke. We tried to identify regimens with a favorable benefit/risk profile. Methods Search strategy We performed a search for randomized controlled trials in which early treatment with either UFH or LMWH was compared with control in patients with acute ischemic stroke. We looked specifically for studies reporting on the incidence of DVT or pulmonary embolism and intracranial and extracranial hemorrhage We searched electronic databases (MEDLINE and EMBASE) and the Cochrane library for studies published up to January 2005. Keywords were cerebrovascular disorders, stroke, venous thrombosis, thromboembolism, pulmonary embolism, intracranial bleeding, prophylaxis, heparin, low-molecular-weight heparin, and randomized controlled trial. Meeting abstracts were scanned, and the reference lists of the identified articles were manually checked for additional publications. Criteria for study selection We included studies that met the following criteria: (1) Randomized controlled trials that included at least one arm of the study with either LMWH or UFH among patients with acute ischemic stroke. Control patients were defined as patients that either received placebo or no treatment. Antiplatelet treatment was allowed as long as the distribution of patients who used this treatment was not different between the comparison groups. (2) Randomization within 14 days after the acute ischemic event. (3) Objective diagnosis of venous thrombosis by 125I-fibrinogen scan, contrast venography, or venous ultrasound of the leg. (4) Pulmonary embolism reported either as primary or secondary outcome. (5) Intracranial hemorrhage confirmed by either CT or MRI scanning after clinical deterioration or at autopsy. The search was not restricted to studies that performed a systematic screening for either DVT or pulmonary embolism. Outcomes The primary outcome of this review was the incidence of adverse clinical outcome events (DVT, pulmonary embolism, or major intracranial or extracranial hemorrhage) which occurred dur- 267 ing treatment and follow-up. Major intracranial bleeding was defined as acute or subacute events of neurological impairment, with hemorrhage proven by CT scan or autopsy. Major extracranial hemorrhage was defined as fatal bleeding or a bleeding requiring transfusion or hospitalization. DVT or pulmonary embolism had to be objectively diagnosed. Data extraction and statistical analysis The aim of our review was to compare the incidence of outcome events in patients receiving UFH or LMWH compared to control. In addition, we analyzed the effect of high dose versus low dose of these agents, again compared to control. From each study we extracted information on the odds ratios (OR) and its 95% confidence interval (CI) of the separate adverse outcome events (DVT, pulmonary embolism, intracranial and extracranial hemorrhage). If the odds ratios and 95% CI were not provided, they were calculated from the number of events occurring in the intervention or control groups. For all analyses, summary estimates were obtained by taking an inverse variance weighted average of the log odds ratio from individual studies. Heterogeneity was assessed using standard v 2 tests. We compared the occurrence of outcome events in the treatment group and in the control group using Cox proportional hazard models. The number needed to treat and the number needed to harm were calculated. We performed subgroup analyses of high- and low-dose LMWH including heparinoids or UFH. To facilitate a comparison between different doses, UFH high dose was arbitrarily defined as a dose higher than 15,000 IU daily, UFH low dose as a dose lower than 15,000 IU daily. Low dose of LMWH was arbitrarily defined as a fixed dose of less than 6000 IU daily. Higher doses of LMWH were considered LMWH high dose. Concerning weight-adjusted doses of LMWH, 86 IU/kg/day was considered as LMWH low dose while 86 IU/kg twice a day was considered LMWH high dose. Results We identified 681 potentially eligible articles. After scanning the abstracts and titles, we selected 26 articles for more detailed evaluation, of which 16 trials fulfilled the predefined inclusion criteria (Table 1) [1,9—23]. Two of these trials were published only as an abstract [18,22]. The total number of patients included in the analysis was 268 Table 1 P.W. Kamphuisen, G. Agnelli Characteristics of the studies included in the overview Prophylaxis regimen Unfractionated heparin 5000 IU or 12,500 IU bd s.c. 5000 IU td s.c. 5000 IU td s.c. 5000 IU td s.c. 5000 IU td s.c. Dose-adjusted continuous i.v., APTT 50—70 s Dose-adjusted continuous i.v., APTT 50—70 s LMWH Dalteparin 2500 IU bd s.c. Dalteparin 3000—5500 IU od s.c. Dalteparin 15,000 IU od s.c. Nadroparin 4100 IU od or bd s.c. Nadroparin 15,000 IU bd s.c. for 1 week, then 7500 IU bd s.c. Nadroparin 86 IU/kg od or td s.c. Mesoglycan 50 mg td i.m. (5 days), then 144 mg od p.o. Danaparoid 750 IU bd s.c. Danaparoid 2500 IU i.v. bolus, then dose-adjusted continuous i.v., antiXa 0.6—0.8 No. of patients Time from stroke to treatment Treatment (days) Follow-up (months) Reference 19435 32 65 305 131 45 225 b48 b48 b48 b48 b14 b48 b48 h h h h days h h 14 14 7 14 7 10 7 6 1 12 3 1 0.5 12 IST [1] McCarthy et al. [9] Duke et al. [10] McCarthy et al. [11] Pambianco et al. [12] Hakim et al. [13] Duke et al. [14] 60 103 30 312 120 b72 b72 b48 b48 b48 h h h h h 14 14 14 14 14 0.5 1 0.5 6 3 Prins et al. [15] Sandset et al. [16] Elias et al. [21] Kay et al. [17] Kwiecinski et al. [22] 767 57 b24 h b48 h 14 30 6 1 Hommel et al. [18] Cazzato et al. [19] 75 1281 b168 h b24 h 14 7 3 3 Turpie et al. [20] TOAST [23] od = once daily; bd = twice daily; td = thrice daily; s.c. = subcutaneous; i.m. = intramuscular; i.v. = intravenous; p.o. = per os. 23,043. Most trials excluded patients with a high risk of bleeding. In most of the trials prophylaxis was started within 48 h after stroke onset. 20,238 patients received UFH and 2805 patients LMWH. Five studies assessed the effect of low-dose UFH [1,9—12], and 3 studies the effect of high-dose UFH [1,13,14] (Table 1). In two studies patients were treated with intravenous UFH [13,14] and in the other six studies with subcutaneous UFH [1,9—12]. Six studies assessed the effect of low-dose LMWH [15—20], and five of high-dose LMWH [17,18,21— 23]. Three trials used dalteparin, three nadroparin, two danaparoid and one a mesoglycan. In one study LMWH was given intravenously [23]. One study used bodyweight-adjusted doses of LMWH [18]. Three studies, FISS [17], FISS-bis [18], and IST [1], investigated two different treatment doses. In the IST [1] we selected patients randomised to either heparin or control, including the patients that were allocated to aspirin, since aspirin use was the same in both arms. The method of randomization was adequate in 10 studies [1,10,14—20,23], while in 5 studies sealed envelopes were used [9,11—13,21]. In one study, the method of randomization was unclear [22]. Also not all studies used a double-blind design [1,13,21,22, 12], which could have influenced the final results. CT scan of the head to rule out intracranial hemorrhage was performed in most studies. In two studies, a CT scan was seldom performed [9,11]. The treatment period in the different trials varied considerably, from 7 to 30 days (Table 1). In only one study, treatment duration was longer than 14 days [19]. Also follow-up was generally relatively short (Table 1), ranging from 14 days to 12 months. The IST, the by far largest included study had a duration of treatment of 14 days and a follow-up of 6 months. Overall, only 4 patients were excluded from the trials after randomization. 91 of the 23,043 patients (0.7%) were lost to follow-up, 83 patients allocated to anticoagulation, and 89 of the controls. In three patients lost to follow-up the result of allocation was unknown. In one study by Kwiecinski et al., no data on follow-up or exclusion were provided. Data on the concomitant use of aspirin were generally insufficiently provided. In most studies, like the IST, aspirin use was permitted, but exact numbers of patients using antiplatelet agents were lacking. Incidence of DVT Eleven studies were included in the analysis of the efficacy of the different prophylactic regimens, involving 2484 patients. Eight studies systematically sought for asymptomatic and symptomatic DVT. Six studies investigated DVT by 125I-fibrinogen scanning [9—11,15,20,21], one by contrast venography [16], and one by Doppler-ultrasound [12]. Three studies defined DVT as a secondary endpoint and diagnostic tests were only performed at clinical VTE prophylaxis in acute ischemic stroke 269 suspicion [17,22,23]. Four studies analyzed the efficacy of low-dose UFH, four studies investigated low-dose LMWH or high-dose LMWH. There were no trials that investigated the incidence of DVT with high-dose UFH. In none of the studies, systematic screening for DVT was performed after the end of the treatment or follow-up period. The total incidence of thrombosis was 4.8% in patients receiving any type of prophylaxis and 17% in the control patients (OR = 0.19, 95% CI = 0.13—0.27). A. Deep Vein Thrombosis Study or sub-category Treatment n/N 01 High dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 0/15 Elias 1990 0/101 FISS 1995 0/62 Kwiecinski 1995 2/638 TOAST 1998 816 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 2 (Treatment), 26 (Control) 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 3.22, df = 3 (P = 0.36), I2 = 6.9% Test for overall effect: Z = 4.06 (P < 0.0001) Control n/N OR (fixed) 95% CI Weight % 12/15 1/53 3/58 10/628 754 02 Low dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 2/16 12/16 McCarthy 1977 0/35 3/30 Duke 1980 32/144 117/161 McCarthy 1986 2/50 7/25 Turpie 1987 6/30 15/30 Prins 1989 15/42 17/50 Sanset 1990 0/101 1/53 FISS 1995 3/64 3/67 Pambianco 1995 482 432 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 60 (Treatment), 175 (Control) 2 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 27.19, df = 7 (P = 0.0003), I = 74.3% Test for overall effect: Z = 8.55 (P < 0.00001) 1298 Total (95% CI) Total events: 62 (Treatment), 201 (Control) 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 31.17, df = 11 (P = 0.001), I2 = 64.7% Test for overall effect: Z = 9.56 (P < 0.00001) 7.41 1.19 2.19 6.14 16.94 0.01 0.17 0.13 0.19 0.10 [0.00, [0.01, [0.01, [0.04, [0.03, 0.19] 4.31] 2.51] 0.89] 0.31] 6.42 2.27 52.55 5.48 7.34 6.10 1.19 1.71 83.06 0.05 0.11 0.11 0.11 0.25 1.08 0.17 1.05 0.21 [0.01, [0.01, [0.06, [0.02, [0.08, [0.46, [0.01, [0.20, [0.14, 0.31] 2.23] 0.18] 0.56] 0.79] 2.55] 4.31] 5.40] 0.30] 100.00 1186 0.01 0.1 1 Favours treatment 10 OR (fixed) 95% CI 0.19 [0.13, 0.27] 100 Favours control B. Pulmonary Embolism Study or sub-category Treatment n/N 01 High dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 0/24 Hakim 1983 1/5 Elias 1990 0/112 FISS 1995 0/62 Kwiecinski 1995 20/4860 IST 1997 5/245 FISS-bis 1998 2/638 TOAST 1998 5946 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 28 (Treatment), 55 (Control) 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 2.37, df = 4 (P = 0.67), I2 = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 3.23 (P = 0.001) 02 Low dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 0/50 Turpie 1987 1/28 Cazzato 1989 1/30 Prins 1989 2/42 Sanset 1990 0/101 FISS 1995 2/64 Pambianco 1995 33/4856 IST 1997 4/272 FISS-bis 1998 5443 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 43 (Treatment), 56 (Control) Test for heterogeneity: Chi2 = 7.34, df = 7 (P = 0.39), I2 = 4.6% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.79 (P = 0.07) 11389 Total (95% CI) Total events: 71 (Treatment), 111 (Control) 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 11.36, df = 12 (P = 0.50), I2 = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 3.51 (P = 0.0004) Control n/N OR (fixed) 95% CI Weight % OR (fixed) 95% CI 0/21 1/15 0/53 2/58 41/4859 7/125 4/628 5759 2.18 34.79 7.74 3.42 48.48 Not estimable 3.50 [0.18, 69.34] Not estimable 0.18 [0.01, 3.85] 0.49 [0.28, 0.83] 0.35 [0.11, 1.13] 0.49 [0.09, 2.69] 0.47 [0.30, 0.74] 2/25 0/29 2/30 2/50 1/53 1/67 41/4859 7/125 5238 2.79 0.40 1.65 1.48 1.66 0.81 34.68 8.05 51.52 0.09 3.22 0.48 1.20 0.17 2.13 0.80 0.25 0.70 0.34 10997 100.00 0.01 0.1 Favours treatment 1 10 [0.00, [0.13, [0.04, [0.16, [0.01, [0.19, [0.51, [0.07, [0.47, 2.02] 82.38] 5.63] 8.91] 4.31] 24.07] 1.27] 0.88] 1.03] 0.59 [0.44, 0.79] 100 Favours control Figure 1 Odds ratio’s for DVT (A) and pulmonary embolism (B) in controls and patients receiving low-dose and highdose anticoagulation after acute ischemic stroke. 270 P.W. Kamphuisen, G. Agnelli Fig. 1A shows the odds ratio’s of DVT for low dose and high dose of anticoagulant prophylaxis. There was significant heterogeneity between the different studies (v 2 = 31.2, p = 0.001), probably caused by the different diagnostic methods. Both high- and lowdose prophylaxis reduced DVT after ischemic stroke. In patients assigned to low-dose UFH, the incidence of DVT was 14%, whereas this was 49% in patients assigned to placebo, resulting in an odds ratio of 0.17 (95% CI = 0.11—0.26, number needed to treat = 3) (Table 2). The incidence of DVT was 10% in the patients receiving low-dose LMWH and 25% in patients receiving placebo (OR = 0.34, 95% CI = 0.19—0.59, number needed to treat = 7). No studies on high-dose UFH reported data on DVT. The incidence of DVT was 0.2% in the patients receiving high-dose LMWH and 3.4% in patients receiving placebo (OR = 0.07, 95% CI = 0.02—0.29, number needed to treat = 31). Furthermore, we restricted our analysis to the incidence of symptomatic or proximal DVT. Trials with low-dose heparin did not report these incidences separately. In the two trials with low-dose LMWH in which the occurrence of symptomatic or proximal DVT was reported [16,17], this incidence was 8.4% in patients receiving LMWH and 16% in patients receiving placebo, which resulted in an OR of 0.46 (95% CI = 0.21—1.02, number needed to treat = 13). The incidence of symptomatic or proximal DVT in patients with high-dose LMWH was reported in three trials [17,22,23], and was 0.2% among patients receiving LMWH and 1.9% in patients receiving placebo (OR = 0.13, 95% CI = 0.03—0.57, number needed to treat = 59). Incidence of symptomatic pulmonary embolism Eleven studies including 22,386 patients provided data on the incidence of pulmonary embolism. The diagnostic method for confirmation of pulmonary embolism was seldom mentioned in the different trials and, in all trials, it was merely a secondary outcome. The overall incidence of pulmonary embolism was low, 0.6% in the treatment group and 1.0% in the control patients (OR = 0.59, 95% CI = 0.44—0.79). Two studies reported the efficacy of low-dose UFH or high-dose UFH. Six studies investigated low-dose LMWH and four studies highdose LMWH. There was no statistical heterogeneity between the different studies. Fig. 1B shows the results of low- and high-dose anticoagulant prophylaxis on the incidence of pulmonary embolism. Both high- and low-dose anticoagulants reduced pulmonary embolic events. When we calculated dose and type of anticoagulant separately, the incidence of pulmonary embolism was 0.7% in patients receiving low-dose UFH and 0.9% for controls, resulting in an odds ratio of 0.83 (95% CI = 0.53—1.31) (Table 2). High-dose UFH was associated with an OR of 0.49 (95% CI = 0.29—0.83, number needed to treat = 277). Low-dose LMWH resulted in a decrease of pulmonary embolism, with an incidence of 1.5% in patients receiving LMWH and 4.1% in patients receiving placebo or no treatment (OR = 0.36, 95% CI = 0.15—0.87, number needed to treat = 38). Finally, the incidence of symptomatic pulmonary embolism was 0.7% in patients receiving high-dose LMWH and 1.5% in controls (OR = 0.44, 95% CI = 0.18—1.11, number needed to treat = 120). Most episodes of pulmonary embolism were reported as non-fatal. From the IST [1], it was possible to distinguish fatal and non-fatal events within the 14 days of treatment. The incidence of non-fatal pulmonary embolism was the same for low- or high-dose heparin (0.16%), and 0.4% for patients not receiving heparin (OR = 0.38, 95% CI = 0.17—0.86). It should be noted, however, that half of these patients, equally distributed, used 300 mg of aspirin. Incidence of symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage From twelve studies data on symptomatic intracranial hemorrhage confirmed by CT scan or autopsy Table 2 Relative risk of deep-vein thrombosis, pulmonary embolism, intracranial hemorrhage and extracranial hemorrhage associated with prophylaxis of low-dose or high-dose unfractionated heparin or low-molecular-weight heparin compared to no prophylaxis after acute ischemic stroke DVT OR Low-dose UFH High-dose UFH Low-dose LMWH High-dose LMWH PE 95% CI 0.17 0.11—0.26 No studies 0.34 0.19—0.59 0.07 0.02—0.29 ICH ECH OR 95% CI OR 95% CI OR 95% CI 0.83 0.49 0.36 0.44 0.53—1.31 0.29—0.83 0.15—0.87 0.18—1.11 1.67 3.86 1.39 2.01 0.97—2.87 2.41—6.19 0.53—3.67 1.02—3.96 1.58 4.74 1.44 1.78 0.89—2.81 2.88—7.78 0.13—16 0.99—3.17 DVT = deep-vein thrombosis; PE = pulmonary embolism; ICH = intracranial hemorrhage; ECH = extracranial hemorrhage; OR = odds ratio; CI = confidence interval. VTE prophylaxis in acute ischemic stroke 271 were available (22,471 patients). Four of the twelve studies systematically repeated a CT scan, usually at the end of the treatment period [13,15— 17]. Two studies reported the safety of low-dose UFH and three of high-dose UFH. For LMWH, six studies investigated low dose and three studies high dose. Sensitivity analysis showed no significant heterogeneity between the results of the different studies analyzing the incidence of ICH. The overall incidence of intracranial bleeding was 1.4% in the treatment group and 0.5% in the control patients (OR = 2.39, 95% CI = 1.78—3.20). Fig. 2A shows that especially high-dose anticoagulation increased the risk of intracranial bleeding. A. Intracranial Hemorrhage Study or sub-category Treatment n/N Control n/N OR (fixed) 95% CI 01 High dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 0/24 0/21 Hakim 1983 0/112 0/113 Duke 1986 0/101 1/53 FISS 1995 85/4856 21/4859 IST 1997 15/245 4/125 FISS-bis 1998 14/638 7/628 TOAST 1998 5976 5799 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 114 (Treatment), 33 (Control) Test for heterogeneity: Chi2 = 5.94, df = 3 (P = 0.11), I2 = 49.5% Test for overall effect: Z = 5.82 (P < 0.00001) 02 Low dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 1/50 Turpie 1987 0/28 Cazzato 1989 1/30 Prins 1989 2/50 Sanset 1990 0/101 FISS 1995 0/64 Pambianco 1995 35/4860 IST 1997 10/272 FISS-bis 1998 5455 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 49 (Treatment), 27 (Control) 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 2.35, df = 5 (P = 0.80), I2 = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.77 (P = 0.08) 11431 Total (95% CI) Total events: 163 (Treatment), 60 (Control) 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 13.52, df = 9 (P = 0.14), I2 = 33.4% Test for overall effect: Z = 5.82 (P < 0.00001) Weight % OR (fixed) 95% CI 3.02 31.94 7.70 10.68 53.34 Not estimable Not estimable 0.17 [0.01, 4.31] 4.10 [2.54, 6.63] 1.97 [0.64, 6.07] 1.99 [0.80, 4.96] 3.15 [2.14, 4.64] 1.00 0/25 0/29 0/30 1/53 1/53 0/67 21/4859 4/125 5241 0.74 1.44 3.02 32.28 8.17 46.66 100.00 11040 0.01 0.1 1 Favours treatment 1.55 [0.06, 39.31] Not estimable 3.10 [0.12, 79.23] 2.17 [0.19, 24.67] 0.17 [0.01, 4.31] Not estimable 1.67 [0.97, 2.87] 1.15 [0.36, 3.76] 1.52 [0.96, 2.41] 2.39 [1.78, 3.20] 10 100 Favours control B. Extracranial Hemorrhage Study or sub-category Treatment n/N Control n/N OR (fixed) 95% CI 01 High dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 0/24 0/21 Hakim 1983 0/102 1/53 FISS 1995 90/4856 19/4859 IST 1997 34/646 17/635 TOAST 1998 5628 5568 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 124 (Treatment), 37 (Control) 2 2 Test for heterogeneity: Chi = 8.12, df = 2 (P = 0.02), I = 75.4% Test for overall effect: Z = 6.42 (P < 0.00001) 02 Low dose anticoagulant prophylaxis 0/35 Duke 1980 0/50 Turpie 1987 1/28 Cazzato 1989 0/30 Prins 1989 0/52 Sanset 1990 1/101 FISS 1995 0/64 Pambianco 1995 30/4856 IST 1997 5216 Subtotal (95% CI) Total events: 32 (Treatment), 19 (Control) Test for heterogeneity: Chi2 = 0.18, df = 2 (P = 0.91), I2 = 0% Test for overall effect: Z = 1.70 (P = 0.09) 10844 Total (95% CI) Total events: 156 (Treatment), 56 (Control) Test for heterogeneity: Chi2 = 12.40, df = 5 (P = 0.03), I2 = 59.7% Test for overall effect: Z = 6.49 (P < 0.00001) 0/21 0/25 0/29 0/30 0/51 0/53 0/67 19/4859 5135 Weight % OR (fixed) 95% CI 3.45 32.80 28.58 64.83 Not estimable 0.17 [0.01, 4.26] 4.81 [2.93, 7.90] 2.02 [1.12, 3.65] 3.33 [2.31, 4.81] 33.22 35.17 Not estimable Not estimable 3.22 [0.13, 82.38] Not estimable Not estimable 1.60 [0.06, 39.88] Not estimable 1.58 [0.89, 2.82] 1.62 [0.93, 2.83] 100.00 2.73 [2.02, 3.70] 0.82 1.13 10703 0.01 0.1 1 Favours treatment 10 100 Favours control Figure 2 Odds ratio’s for major intracranial hemorrhage (A) and extracranial hemorrhage (B) in controls and patients receiving low-dose and high-dose anticoagulation after acute ischemic stroke. 272 High-dose UFH treatment resulted in a nearly fourfold increased bleeding risk compared to placebo (incidence 1.7% in patients and 0.4% in controls, OR = 3.86, 95% CI = 2.41—6.19, number needed to harm = 77) (Table 2). The incidence of intracranial bleeding was 0.7% in 4924 patients receiving low-dose UFH and 0.4% in 4926 controls (OR = 1.67, 95% CI = 0.97—2.87). For LMWH, high dose doubled the risk of symptomatic intracranial bleeding (2.6% in patients and 1.5% in controls, OR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.02—3.96, number needed to harm = 91). Low-dose LMWH did not seem to influence the risk of hemorrhage (2.6% in patients and 1.9% in controls, OR = 1.39, 95% CI = 0.53—3.67). Incidence of major extracranial hemorrhage Ten trials from 21,547 patients reported data on major extracranial hemorrhage. There was statistical heterogeneity between the studies (v 2 = 31.2, p = 0.001). High dose seemed more harmful than low-dose anticoagulation (Fig. 2B). Both low-dose LMWH and UFH did not increase the risk of major extracranial bleeding, but incidences were low. The risk associated with high-dose UFH was nearly five-fold increased (OR = 4.74, 95% CI = 2.88—7.78, number needed to harm = 71), and high-dose LMWH doubled the risk of major extracranial hemorrhage (OR = 1.78, 95% CI = 0.99—3.17, number needed to harm = 53). Discussion When dealing with the balance between efficacy and safety of a pharmacological agent for a specific indication, the treatment dose is crucial; this is particular to the case for anticoagulant agents whose efficacy and safety are closely related to the dose and route of administration. This review was performed to assess the risk/ benefit ratio of low or medium/high dose of UFH or LMWH in patients with ischemic stroke and focused on adverse clinical outcomes like DVT, pulmonary embolism, and intracranial and extracranial hemorrhage. The main conclusion of our pooled analysis across different studies is that low-dose LMWH seems to be associated with the best benefit/risk ratio. With this regimen, the numbers needed to treat to prevent a DVT or pulmonary embolism were 7 and 38, respectively, while risk of both ICH and ECH was not significantly increased. The other three regimens performed less well as either they increased the bleeding risk (high-dose UFH and LMWH) or had no P.W. Kamphuisen, G. Agnelli obvious effect on pulmonary embolism (low-dose UFH). Based on these figures, low-dose LMWH seems to be the most adequate for prophylaxis of venous thromboembolism in stroke patients. We have not performed direct comparisons of UFH and LMWH and we cannot, therefore, conclude with certainty that one anticoagulant regimen is better than the other. The results of our present study are however supporting the results of a Cochrane review that evaluated five randomized trials directly comparing LMWH with UFH in 705 stroke patients [24]. LMWH significantly reduced the incidence of DVT by approximately 50% without increasing the rate of symptomatic intracranial and extracranial hemorrhage. Very recently, the PROTECT trial, comparing 3000 U of the LMWH certoparin once daily and 5000 U UFH twice daily in 545 patients with acute ischemic stroke, showed that certoparin was associated with an incidence of DVT, pulmonary embolism or death of 7%, compared to 9.7% in the UFH group ( p = 0.0011), without a difference in bleeding complications [25]. Nearly half of the patients with ischemic stroke who developed pulmonary embolism die [26]. In daily practice the clinical burden of pulmonary embolism in patients with stroke is, however, underestimated since the clinical symptoms of stroke may obscure the recognition of this complication. Venous thromboembolism is clinically recognized in about one quarter of patients with stroke ultimately found to have DVT or pulmonary embolism when screened with objective testing [27]. This is one of the problems we encountered in the interpretation of the different trials. Considering the difficulty of diagnosing VTE in patients with stroke, systematic screening for these events would have produced more reliable incidences. However, the outcomes of efficacy and safety identified for our analysis were not always (DVT) or even seldom (pulmonary embolism) the primary study outcomes in the individual trials. This could have caused an underreporting of these events with consequent underestimation of their incidence. Furthermore, there is also a risk of bias due to non-blinding. Another point of concern is the heterogeneity in the dose of anticoagulation, conditional on the purpose of the study. Some studies aimed at preventing ischemic stroke progression and used therapeutic doses of UFH or LMWH, while other trials evaluated the prevention of venous thromboembolism after ischemic stroke with prophylactic doses [28]. In addition, for the purpose of our analysis between low and medium/high dose of anticoagulation, we used artificial cut-off levels. The VTE prophylaxis in acute ischemic stroke cut-off dose to separate low and high dose of LMWH (6000 IU/daily) is higher than the prophylactic dose mostly used in clinical practice. Finally, the duration of antithrombotic prophylaxis in almost all studies was 14 days or less. Since the occurrence of pulmonary embolism peaks at 2—4 weeks after stroke onset [29], it is possible that the duration of prophylaxis was in most of the cases too short to provide full benefit. Notwithstanding these uncertainties, we think that especially the analysis of the safety of anticoagulation is solid, since the incidence of ICH was the primary outcome in all included trials. Since prevention of DVT with anticoagulant prophylaxis has been well-established, the favorable safety profile of low-dose LMWH or UFH makes them useful as prophylactic agents in patients with acute ischemic stroke who have risk factors for VTE, as propagated by the American College of Chest Physicians (ACCP) [5] and the Stroke Council of the American Stroke Association [6]. A recently published Cochrane review on anticoagulants for acute ischemic stroke did not support the routine use of pharmacological prophylaxis in acute ischemic stroke, but the included trials were not analyzed for different doses of the anticoagulant agent [7]. Our results thereby exceed these observations, since we encountered for several treatment doses and we tried to identify an optimal benefit/risk ratio. A considerable amount of patients included in our analysis did not receive an antiplatelet agent in association with LMWH or UFH. Since aspirin is currently recommended in patients with acute stroke, the question is whether LMWH or UFH are safe when given in association with aspirin. On the other hand, the combination of aspirin and lowdose LMWH might be more beneficial in the prevention of venous thromboembolism than aspirin alone, as it was suggested in a review by the Cochrane collaboration [30]. Although the results of our analysis advocate the use of low-dose LMWH in patients with acute stroke to prevent venous thromboembolism, it may be argued that compression stockings are sufficient. However, while waiting for clinical trials showing a definitive benefit from elastic stockings, these should be recommended as prophylaxis only in patients who have a high bleeding risk associated with LMWH [5,31—33]. In conclusion, a low dose of LMWH or UFH seems effective and relatively safe as a prophylactic agent to prevent venous thromboembolism in patients with ischemic stroke. 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