25 August 2012 Meles Zenawi: Why He will be Missed Peter Kagwanja In Summary Stain on his legacy: He reformed Ethiopia’s economy but has been criticised for failing to increase democratic space and human freedoms His influence in the political and security arenas puts him in the league of Africa’s greatest leaders Meles dedicated his life fighting for the stability of his country and the region The unsaid wisdom is that be it an absolute monarch, a sit-tight despot or a reformer on the seat of power in Addis Ababa, Kenyan-Ethiopian relations will always sail on like a ship in calm waters. use. According to the World Bank, Ethiopia’s GDP has grown by 10.6 per cent a year over the past decade, double Africa’s average. Child mortality has dropped by 40 per cent, and just under 30 per cent of Ethiopians are living in extreme poverty (those on less than a dollar a day), a quantum jump from 45 per cent when Meles took power. But the death of Prime Minister Meles Zenawi on August 20 has, without doubt, ruffled the waters and thrown the geo-politics of the region into deep uncertainty. Meles has left a diversified economy and laid the foundation for an industrial Ethiopia with new industries like floriculture, beverages, leather making, car assembly and infrastructure projects, including Africa’s largest hydro-electric dam (Gibe III). The young medical student who joined the guerrilla war against the Derg — the Marxist junta of Mengistu Haile Mariam — in the 1970s as “Legesse” Zenawi returned triumphantly to Addis Ababa in 1991 as “Meles”, a nom de guerre he adopted in the trenches in honour of a fallen compatriot. These economic gains at home have their corollary in a brand of “development diplomacy” Meles has pursued in Africa. Years in the bush as a revolutionary infused personal discipline, committed and principled leadership and a pan-African disposition into modern Ethiopia’s third ruler who took power at 36 after the fall of Mengistu’s regime, becoming Africa’s youngest leader. Consequently, Kenya and Ethiopia have grown stronger together as what political scientists tout as “regional hegemons” or powerhouses in the Eastern Africa region along the lines of Nigeria and South Africa in West and Southern Africa regions, respectively. Indelible marks Twenty-one years later, the indelible marks of Meles’ fine mind, firm persona and pragmatic traits are all over the canvas of the Ethiopian economy and society. Rightly eulogised as an economic reformer, Meles solicited and put foreign development aid to good “Our joining the East African community is long overdue,” Meles told a Kenyan delegation early last year. He agreed to broaden the EthiopiaKenya Joint Commission from a military pact to socio-economic cooperation. 1 And on March 2 this year, Meles joined President Mwai Kibaki of Kenya and President Salva Kiir of South Sudan to officially launch Africa’s most ambitious project: a Sh1.5 trillion Lamu PortSouthern Sudan-Ethiopia Transport project at the Lamu Port, with its main components as networks of roads, railways, an oil pipeline and airports. related dispute between Khartoum and Juba. Moreover, despite a calamitous Ethio-Eritrean war (1998-2000) and persistent flare-ups of hostilities along the border with Eritrea, Meles will be remembered for stemming a prolonged civil war and agreeing to the painful secession of Eritrea in 1993. For this, many diehard Ethiopian nationalists have never forgiven him. Critics are hoisting Meles’ failure to strike a neat balance between development and human freedom as the great stain on his legacy. He has been faulted for his intolerance of dissent and disdain for “liberal activists, hecklers and hippies” in the streets of Addis Ababa. He will also be missed in Somaliland where he maintained friendship, short of formally recognising Hargeisa. With Chinese aid, Meles planned a gas pipeline through Somaliland territory to the Red Sea Coast. However, Meles’ human rights record outstrips that of his communist predecessors. Laudably, he made efforts to clinch a deal with Egypt over the use of the Blue Nile waters. In 2000, he became the first Ethiopian ruler to allow multi-party elections and private press. The deeper he dug into economic empowerment, the more he tightened his government’s version of “democratic centralism”. In the 2010 parliamentary elections, his party won 99.6 per cent of the vote, virtually wiping out the opposition. Key ally A key ally of the West in counter-terrorism, Meles marched his troops to Somalia in 2006 and allowed the US to base unarmed drones at a remote airfield. More recently, Ethiopia has coordinated efforts with Kenya in the on-going war against the al Shabaab militia group. Arguably, his record on Africa’s political scene brings Meles into the pantheon of towering figures such as Ghana’s Kwame Nkrumah, Tanzania’s Julius Nyerere and Senegal’s Leopold Senghor. Since 2009, Meles played a key role in developing the AU’s position on climate change, becoming chair of the African Heads of State and Government on Climate Change. Under Meles, Addis Ababa is the home of a reformed African Union and firmly Africa’s diplomatic capital. With Ethiopia as a member of the powerful AU Peace and Security Council and him as the chair of Nepad and Igad, Meles has been one of the architects of Africa’s emerging peace, security and governance infrastructure. Meles dedicated his life fighting for the stability of his country and the region. With his demise, his comrades at the helm of the ruling Ethiopian People’s Revolutionary Democratic Front must shun power tussles that might plunge Ethiopia and the region into instability. Meles will be sorely missed by the two Sudans where he has recently mediated border and oil- Prof Peter Kagwanja is a Kenyan academic and governance consultant who heads the Africa Policy Institute, Nairobi/Pretoria. This article first appeared in the Sunday Nation (Nairobi, Kenya) on 25 August 2012. 2
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