Document 247372

Why Calibration & Benchmarking Icarus KBase?
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
ICEC.nl B.V.
Independent Cost Engineering Consultancy
Presentation Program
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
Who is ICEC.nl?
Why?
1. Why Calibration and Benchmarking KBase?
2. Estimate Tunnel
What?
1. Definitions of Calibration & Benchmarking
2. Levels of Benchmarking
3. Benefits
How ?
1. Scope of Calibration & Benchmarking effort
2. Define Design and Cost Basis!
3. Populate a Reference Project!
4. Change the estimating process from conventional into KBase!
Results!
1. Effects of Calibration & Benchmarking
2. Effect on Overrun Allowance!
3. Are KBase Estimates Lucky Shots?1
Questions & Answers
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 2
Who is ICEC.nl
Holding
ICEC.nl BV
Estimating
Consultancy
Strengthening through Competence Network
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 3
1
Why?
Calibration & Benchmarking Icarus KBase
• Improve quality, quantity and consistency of estimates in all
project phases
• Improve accuracy in all project phases
• Cut down estimating effort (up to 50% or more) in all project
phases
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 4
Why?
Estimating Tunnel
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 5
What?
Definitions of Calibration & Benchmarking
Calibration of KBase is……….
defining Client’s standard work practices, systems and workflow, using one of
the default KBase locations
Reference Projects are………
Process & Utility Systems loaded in Work Breakdown Structures for Client’s
typical Production Facilities to be used as “Piggybacks” to develop new estimates
Benchmarking is ……………..
comparing at different levels the “Reference Projects” against history or alive
projects to establish accuracy in all project phases
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 6
2
What?
Levels of Benchmarking
Conventional Model
KBase Model
Comparisons
Low Level
High Level
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 7
What?
Benefits of Calibration & Benchmarking
Today using conventional (excel) tools
• High usage of resources
• High costs
• Inaccurate cost estimates at all phases of a project
• Inconsistent estimates by different engineers
After introduction KBase estimating:
• Overall improvement of reliability and repeatability of Estimates
• Reduce hours spend and response time
• Consistent estimates in an integrated workflow
• 15% accurate estimates at Identification Phase
• 5-10% accurate estimates during FEL\FEED
• Overrun allowance can be reduced
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 8
How?
Scope of Calibration & Benchmarking Project effort
•
Define Client’s own workpractice, systems and workflow in Templates
of Design
and Cost Basis
•
Populate Reference Projects (“Equipment Baskets”) with Client’s core
process for use as “Piggybacks”
•
Benchmark Reference Projects at different levels against history or alive
projects to improve accuracy in all project phase
•
Calibration & Benchmarking report and procedures for QMS
•
Change conventional workflow into Icarus workflow
•
Deliver hands-on training for advanced KBase users
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 9
3
How? Define Design Basis!
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 10
How? Define Cost Basis!
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 11
How? Populate a Reference Project!
Work Breakdown
Structure
Defined in:
-Report Groups &
-Area’s
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 12
4
How?
Change the estimating Process from conventional!
Black out
Period
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 13
How?
Change the estimating Process into KBase!
Black out
Period
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 14
Results!
Effects of Calibration & Benchmarking
TIC estimate Range
(for same project scope)
in million EUROS
<10
> 10 – < 100
>100 – < 500
KBase Out of the Box
100 %
100 %
100 %
Initial KBase Estimate
50,5 %
112,1 %
95,2 %
After Calibration & Benchmarking
27,7 %
147,9 %
88,1 %
Contractors Initial Target Budget
24,1 %
134,5 %
104,0 %
Contractors FINAL Target Budget
.. %
.. %
78,9 %
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 15
5
Results
Effects on Overrun Allowance!
90/10
Class 4
Screening
Class 3
Budget
Class 2
FEED
+40%
Overrun
Allowance
Class 1
Detail
When using Reference Projects, the
overrun allowance can be reduced
in all project phases
+30%
+20%
90/10
+10%
50/50
Contingency
Base
Activity
Allowance
15%
20%
10%
5%
-5%
50/50
Base
10/90
-10%
-5%
10/90
- 20%
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 16
Are Icarus KBase Estimates Lucky Shots?
No lucky shots, but results of continuous improvement!
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 17
Questions & Answers
1. Is there interest in sharing forces/competences to establish
more standard locations in KBase? (new workgroup)
e.g. - Africa
- Arabic Gulf
- Eastern Europe
- Scandinavian
- Balkan
- Russia
2. Other Q&A’s
2005 User Group Meeting, Amsterdam
Why Calibration & Benchmarking KBase sheet 18
6