Why the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers failed to reduce poverty and what lessons to learn for the future Abstract Instead of helping poor countries to develop, the Structural Adjustment Politics (SAP) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) contributed to further increase poverty and inequality, notably in Latin America. “Free-market” politics transformed formerly sustainable production processes into monocultures and extreme exploitation of natural resources. Formerly selfsufficient countries now need to import food. In order to fight these problems, the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSP) were invented consisting of five core principles to assure the effectiveness of politics. Poverty reduction strategies should hence involve the society (country-driven) and development partners (partnership-orientated), focus on the outcomes that benefit the poor (result-oriented), take into account the multidimensional nature of poverty and have a long-term perspective. But once again, the effectiveness is low and negative consequences are the standard, not the exception. This is mainly because the core principles exist on paper but not in reality. With the exception of increasing bureaucracy not that much has changed. Partly, this is due to the political unwillingness of rich countries to treat the poor ones equally and on a fair base which would imply to stop subsidies and home market protection in the European Union and the United States of America. Thus our present (economic) system cannot eliminate the roots of poverty. An integrative system giving equal rights and duties to everybody and searching for global, long-term solutions in a framework of international interdependency may work better. Anna Katharina Pikos 111228202939470 1 Table of content Abstract ............................................................................................................................................... 1 1. Introduction ................................................................................................................................. 3 2. Core principles and novelties of the PRPS approach .................................................................. 4 3. A critical view............................................................................................................................... 5 3.1 Broad-based participation of “the poor” ................................................................................ 6 3.2 National ownership ................................................................................................................. 8 3.3 Analyzing the contents ............................................................................................................ 9 4. Conclusion ................................................................................................................................. 10 5. References ................................................................................................................................. 13 2 1. Introduction Poverty Reductions Strategy Papers (PRSPs) were introduced in 1999 as an attempt to overcome the legitimacy crisis faced by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank (WB). Criticism and demonstrations all over the world showed the growing discontentment with the politics adopted by the International Financial Institutions (IFI). Instead of contributing to strong economic growth and welfare, the Structural Adjustment Politics (SAP) entailed an increase in poverty and inequality as well as a deterioration of living conditions. Especially Latin America was thrown into a deep crisis. The introduction of PRSP was seen as some kind of recognition of the IMF and the WB in what concerns the importance of country ownership of reform programs and a greater focus on poverty reduction. Another interpretation is that of an inevitable need in the face of demonstrations by NGOs and individuals against their politics at that time. The major problems were assessed by the IMF and WB’s think tanks and incorporated into a new strategy for poverty reduction. In order to achieve the main goals the following requirements were identified. Macroeconomic and structural policies need to support sustainable growth developing appropriate sectoral policies and programs. Governance and the financial management of the public sector have to be improved, costing has to be realistic and funding appropriate. Another important aspect is how to evaluate if progress is made. Transparent and systematic monitoring are essential issues that have been implemented in the obligatory annual progress report. It has to develop an evaluation strategy of impacts, improve budgetary management and should assess the critical role of participatory approaches. Equally important is the dissemination of results. Thus a PRSP is a timetable for technical policy-related work, combines diagnostics and analyses and consists of three dimensions: Not only does it include priority public actions but also a public expenditure management system and the corresponding monitoring and evaluation systems. 3 2. Core principles and novelties of the PRPS approach The five guiding principles of a PRSP1 arose from the criticism concerning SAPs seeking for a sense of partnership with the borrowers and ownership of the strategy which should endorse the adaptation and implementation by increased commitment. On the other hand the credibility of the IFIs’ politics was to be restored. A key advantage towards a more comprehensive approach was seen in a widespread use of local knowledge2. The idea was that homegrown strategies (country-driven and country-owned) would have better chances to be developed and implemented in a way that shows impacts (resultoriented)3. The focus on long term results and assessing poverty through a multidimensional concept go hand in hand with international long term goals like the Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). Furthermore, stronger cooperation and better coordination as well between poor countries and all their external partners as between the donors (partnership-oriented) should contribute to a better allocation and bundling of resources resulting in clear impacts. While these principles themselves are not new, the PRSP process is considered as one of the largest-scale and highest profile attempts to institutionalize them on national as well as international level4. Countries are now supposed to write their own three – year national development plans encompassing macroeconomic politics, spending targets and social development plans. The common procedure is to first draft an Interim PRSP (I-PRSP) that is handed to the IMF for approval and will be changed according to their proposals. Assessing poverty and identifying its key determinants are the first of the basic elements a PRSP includes5. Furthermore, targets and priorities of public actions for poverty reduction are set. In order to evaluate the impact of government programs and policies a systematic monitoring of poverty trends is established and the main aspects of the participatory process are described. 1 2 3 4 5 Klugman (2002) and IMF (2011) Fraser (2005) Seshamani (2005) Marcus and others (2002) Klugman (2002) 4 The main novelty is a multidimensional concept of the characteristics of poverty which encompasses human rights and dignity as well as lack of access to safe water, education, sanitation and health etc. This allows a more differentiated approach in addressing the causes which now include the lack of opportunity, low capabilities, a low level of security and empowerment – a completely new issue never raised before6. Approaches to poverty thus contain so-called pro-poor growth and good governance as well as security and social safety nets7. A similar example for the degree of novelty is the recognition of high inequalities as a main obstacle to growth and poverty reduction. Understanding the multiple linkages between these factors marks a qualitative change promising better results. As for the contextual characteristics of a PRSP, the consistency between a country’s macroeconomic, structural and social policies is as essential as transparency and broad-based participation8. The importance of PRSP is multiplied by the fact that it serves as a basis for further WB and IMF lending operations as for instance the debt relief for Highly Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC). 3. A critical view When trying to evaluate the success of PRSPs so far, one has to keep in mind that they address long term goals. It is thus too early to decide whether they have succeeded or failed. Nevertheless, the direction of their impacts can already be seen and the concepts concerning development and implementation can be investigated upon. Expectations have been high. It seems that in practice, however, PRSP are just business as usual. Although time may be early and further investigation is needed, there is no evidence for the expected higher levels of commitment. Misapplications and abuses of the fund continue. Several institutional changes that may improve efficiency have been performed, e.g. planning units have been set up within the Ministry of Finance, civil society has organized itself and donors try to better coordinate their activities. Until now, however, most changes appear more cosmetic than anything else. 6 7 8 Klugman (2002) Craig and Porter (2003) Kamruzzaman (2009) 5 The worst is that there is little evidence of any important impact on poverty reduction. Information flow deficits and coordination problems still persist. 3.1 Broad-based participation of “the poor” Participation has been a key word marking the essential change in politics of the IMF and the WB. On the one hand it was meant to ensure deeper understanding of poverty facets and to include local differences, on the other commitment was expected to be higher. Reality, however, has proved rather disappointing. Instead of broad-based participation from “the poor” – a clearly heterogeneous group – in the sense of issue raising, discussion, stimulation and integrating opinions and results in the whole process of developing a PRSP, participation has been neglected in most cases and reduced to a few meetings with the character of mere information sharing and some consultation. In Bangladesh, for instance, participation was little and in spite of the theory a top-down bureaucratic process was implemented 9 . 21 consultation meetings appear fairly unrepresentative for a country of 140 million people. Moreover, the process was done hastily to prevent embarrassment in front of the donors. The parliament did not participate. The reason for this lies in narrow agendas, limited time and pre-determined strategies. Moreover, where consultation has been held, the participants were dominated by professional, urban groups. Almost everyone involved in formulating the PRSP proved to be a middle-class technocrat. Another problem is the employment of a highly technical language common people cannot understand. Even more shocking, however, is the failure to translate documents into local languages. The critics concerning the poor involvement of “the poor” face a severe problem of implementation because even if the cities’ poor are comparatively easy to reach, this does not hold for those living in remote rural areas. Direct costs like transportation to the side where consultation is held or information that is needed prior to the meeting in order to be prepared to raise issues and pose arguments are a serious difficulty. Furthermore, there are considerable opportunity costs for poor people joining a consultation meeting for they cannot work during 9 Kamruzzaman (2009) 6 the time of preparation and meeting. They need to have at least heard of what is to be discussed before, because otherwise they will be simply overrun by an amount of information without time to think of it and make their positions clear. In a democracy, when it comes to decision making the problems of time, resources, information and feasibility are solved by an elected institution whom precisely this task is ascribed: Parliament. In the process of developing a PRSP, however, parliaments only entered at the end. Their contribution is limited to an approval of the document when it has already been formulated. This is a serious danger for young and still not strongly consolidated democracies which are undermined in their core function and weakened in their influence not to speak of the impact of this on their perception from society. In the context of the focus which today is laid on building up and shaping democracies where there were autocratic systems before this is obviously incoherent and counterproductive. Some authors even argue that participation has proved to be a use- and powerful tool to discipline national political economies and individual participants. As a social technology of control it not only constrains local social forces but secures the existing power relations which put in danger sovereignty, self-determination and hopes for substantive democracy, especially in Africa10. The major beneficiaries have hence been mostly donors and IFIs11. Generally, the PRSP stand for consistency with the previously adopted strategies and do therefore not lead to changes in macro-economic policy conditions. A positive feature is an increased budget allocation towards “pro-poor” spending. Taking into account the above mentioned obstacles, the performance of governments has nevertheless been truly poor. Bolivia’s government for instance had the scope to dilute the impact of civil society involvement and thus not deal with the political system’s performance problems while in Uganda and Vietnam the governments selected the parties they would consult. On the other hand they cannot be blamed that easily without being unfair. As participation has been declared a major issue of PRSP by the IMF, they did not choose themselves, but had to accept it as a necessary condition for developing their PRSP. One might argue that nobody 10 11 Fraser (2005) Lazarus (2008) 7 forced them to do so and they could disengage of if they prefer, but only while forgetting that a PRSP meant the door for further bilateral and international aid. It is itself the condition. Once a country is dependent on external aid, its decisions are limited to an extent of affecting sovereignty. This is why the vast majority of poor countries do not have a choice and why the commitment of government leaves much to be desired. Aid dependent and poor countries thus had no real choice but to adopt a PRSP under whatever conditions. 3.2 National ownership These conditions do not originate in the poor countries, they have been developed by the IFIs’ think tanks and not in the countries they are now implemented in. Hence a major problem to the PRSP approach is that it is an inheritor of the SAP conserving the same ideology of neoliberalism meaning for instance privatization, monetary and fiscal discipline12. Even if the PRSP should be country – driven and –owned, the initiative of the process lay with the IFIs which is why poor countries still have to obey to their rules. In this sense, the ownership is more one of the IFIs. Taking into account the poor involvement of the people and parliament, one may speak of government or Ministry of Finance ownership. Some even proposed to characterize it donor ownership but this contradicts the perception of many donors that were frustrated by their now less involvement. Even they felt dominated by the WB and the IMF who claimed only to give the framework, the conditions for the process, but not to determine its outcome. It is evident, however, that the IMF and the WB did not fail to ensure the strengthening of their own influence and power in the process: In the end there is the same final authority deciding whether to approve the PRSP or not. The dimension of this gate-keeping role is the wider as other sources of bilateral aid e.g. the unconditional debt relief under the HIPC initiative, are closely linked to the PRSP of a country. Since there are enormous risks of testing the IFIs’ tolerance it is no surprise that neo-liberal policies continue to dominate. The extreme interpretation says that PRSPs have been the cover-up for the IFIs to tighten debt and lending relationships with poor countries. Neither participation nor ownership were a true 12 Seshamani (2005) 8 objective; they were nothing more than necessary components of a so denominated “new” strategy that allowed to continue the debt relationships between poor countries and the IMF and the WB thereby legitimating the hegemony of both13. 3.3 Analyzing the contents After taking a closer look on how PRSP processes work and how they were implemented, the content cannot be left out. Local ideas and expertise were to influence the development of clearly defined and feasible poverty reduction programs. In reality, however, the order of priorities has remained untouched: The most important thing for international actors is global economic integration followed by good governance which is sensed to lead automatically to poverty reduction 14 . In this setting, poverty reduction and social inclusion policy represent nothing more than a refinement of the liberal political project, some kind of “inclusive” liberalism that aims at including the poor and their countries in a disciplined way. Poverty is framed in a naïvely technical way but by no means neutral. Moreover, instead of being country-shaped, most PRSPs follow a donors’ one size fits all approach which fits into international norms of best practice at the cost of a serious undermining of the core principles. Most PRSPs are more concerned with fulfilling donor criteria than with representing the actual situation of poverty15. In Uganda most stakeholders were generally confused and bewildered by the diversity of instruments 16 . While the country experienced an unprecedented joining-up of poverty eradication, the costs have been equally unprecedented. The essential mistake is that many simple things can be done in Uganda to alleviate poverty but the focus of its PRSP is nearly entirely elsewhere. What will be decisive for the future is not macro-stability alone; in the end everything will depend upon the local and thus more specific dimensions of politics, society and economy. 13 14 15 16 Craig and Porter (2003) and Kamruzzaman (2009) Craig and Porter (2003) Kamruzzaman (2009) Craig and Porter (2003) 9 Marcus and others quantified some of the main problems in 2002 investigating 23 PRSPs and I-PRSPs: None stated a convincing set of commitments to the poorest groups. Only two admitted that impacts of economic policies like for instance privatization can be different and have negative effects and that growth does not necessarily reduce poverty. Not more than three discussed transitory or compensatory social security measures and none long-term implications of childhood and youth poverty. Important obvious links as between food security and nutritional goals were not explicitly stated. The multiple dimensions of poverty were not sufficiently taken into account, an example being child trafficking, sexual exploitation and forced recruitment to arms when dealing with child poverty. Child labor was mentioned, but only by five countries of which two draw a link to actions. The roots to these omissions lay in the marginalization from consultation processes of children and young adults. PRSPs were found likely to benefit poor people but haphazardly. 4. Conclusion Although time may be early – cost structures of governments cannot be adjusted easily in the short term planning horizon – and further investigation is needed, the PRSP strategy has been widely interpreted as a public relations exercise from the IFIs as a response to growing public demonstrations against their politics and an accompanied loss of legitimacy in the public opinion17. Participation was and to a certain part remains the reason of hope: It can be the key to a transformation of the relations between recipients and donors and the way towards better assessing and combating poverty. To date, however, participation came down to poorly conceived, rushed, exclusive and badly organized consultation procedures. On the other hand poor countries do not have a lot of experience in organizing such large scale events that are difficult to put into practice. Rather inexistent national ownership explains why transition of policy targets into real action at grassroots level is slow and policies departing from broad policy consensus are not proposed. Instead of local solutions and ideas, IMF agendas have been internalized. 17 Fraser (2005) 10 The question of whom to blame for the failure of most PRSPs is not easy to answer, too. Civil society disappointed the hopes of articulating well-thought positions but evidence suggests it is not their fault. National governments surely can be blamed for having gone the shortest way and for contouring already existing institutions like parliament. Nevertheless, the root of the problem lies within the consequences of an externally imposed condition and the still gatekeeping role of IMF and WB. That is why the whole PRSP process often came down to mere document creating. A major problem is the timeline set for most PRSPs. The need to receive external aid, loans and debt release did of course not permit to investigate deeply into the roots of poverty and actions that can be taken against. This should have been included in the process of change towards the PRSP. First creating I-PRSPs does not serve for more than for the WB and the IMF supervision; it does not give additional time to countries. There is a crucial need for allowing countries to investigate soundly which means that they need the resources and maybe even external advice if they wish. This would of course slow down the whole process and thus not combat poverty right now, but a thoroughly planned strategy and its implementation, measures etc. promise a greater success in the long term. And it is precisely the long term that matters. Parliament as the most important institution of democracy should be involved considerably deeper in the process. PRSPs promise a lot in theory but their reality is rather disappointing due to unrealistic framework and plans that have proved not only to contain conditions difficult to meet, but they are also difficult to implement. Furthermore, they remain difficult to measure when it comes to the fulfillment of abstract concepts like participation and good governance. While there is still space and time left for hope or even optimism, the reality of PRSP until today poses once again the question whether our economic system is capable of eliminating the roots of poverty. In the end, capitalism is based on inequalities difficult or impossible to eliminate without touching the present system. PRSPs seem more like another attempt of the IMF and the WB to address poverty in poor countries without at the same time changing anything in power relations. Poor countries became aid dependent as a consequence of international politics and this is precisely why they cannot disengage from this vicious circle. Nor does this seem to be an objective from the side of donors or IFIs because only by keeping 11 the status quo they keep their influence, too. Globalization has good consequences for some and bad ones for the others – the latter making up the majority. PRSPs were meant to alleviate the bad consciousness (“guilt conscience”18) of the former but they are far from solving the world’s poverty problem. A way out may consist in an integrative system which imposes the same rules for rich as for poor countries, e.g. a true and complete opening up of markets in the EU and also the USA, and gives equal rights and duties in whatever international institution, be it the WB, the IMF or the UN. The main problem of this would of course be decision taking structures and coordination. Without dependencies and different power statuses there is a need for consensus without underlying pressures. Maybe a change like this is impossible. But taking into account the world’s situation today – high inequalities between and across countries and persisting poverty – it should be worth a try. At best everybody would understand that only together humans are able to address their problems and the search for long-term and global solutions would lead to an overall and integrative combat of the roots, not of the symptoms. If it does not work, frankly, can it be worse than today? Of course, considerable progress has been made19. Poverty is declining all in many countries. In the East and the South – East of Asia the first MDG – halving the proportion of people whose income is less than $1 a day between 1990 and 2015 – has already been reached. Sub-Saharan Africa, Southern Africa, Southern Asia (including India), the Caribbean, Latin America and Northern Africa will fail. In the Caucasus, Western and Central Asia poverty even increased. About 1.8 billion people continue to live on less than $ 1.25 per day. The difference is that by now we are better off and not willing to give up our position. 3,827words 18 19 Seshamani (2005) United Nations (2011) 12 5. References Craig, David and Porter, Doug (2003): Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers: A New Convergence, World Development Vol. 31, No. 1, 53-69 Fraser, Alastair (2005): Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers: Now Who Calls the Shots?, Review of African Political Economy, Nos. 104-105, 317-340 International Monetary Fund Factsheet (2011): Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSP), last viewed on 22nd of March 2012: http://www.imf.org/external/np/exr/facts/prsp.htm Kamruzzaman, Palash (2009): Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers and the rhetoric of participation, Development in Practice, Vol. 19, No. 1, 61-71 Klugman, Jeni (2002): A sourcebook for poverty reduction strategy: core techniques and cross-cutting issues, Vol. 1, The World Bank Lazarus, J. (2008): Participation in Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers: reviewing the past, assessing the present and predicting the future, Third World Quarterly, Vol. 29, No. 6, 12051221 Marcus, R., Wilkinson, J. and Marshall, J. (2002): Poverty reduction strategy papers (PRPS) – fulfilling their potential for children in poverty?, Journal of International Development, No. 14, 1117-1128 Seshamani, V. (2005): The same old wine in the same old bottle? Content, process and donor conditionalities of the PRSP, conference “Political Dimensions of Poverty Reduction – the Case of Zambia”, Lusaka United Nations (2011): The Millennium Development Goals Report 2011, New York 13
© Copyright 2024