COVER SHEET FOR PROPOSAL TO THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION PROGRAM ANNOUNCEMENT/SOLICITATION NO./CLOSING DATE/if not in response to a program announcement/solicitation enter NSF 04-23 FOR NSF USE ONLY NSF PROPOSAL NUMBER NSF 04-23 FOR CONSIDERATION BY NSF ORGANIZATION UNIT(S) 0608744 (Indicate the most specific unit known, i.e. program, division, etc.) EAR - SURFACE EARTH PROCESS SECTION, (continued) DATE RECEIVED NUMBER OF COPIES DIVISION ASSIGNED FUND CODE DUNS# 11/28/2005 2 06030000 EAR EMPLOYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBER (EIN) OR TAXPAYER IDENTIFICATION NUMBER (TIN) 7570 555917996 11/28/2005 5:12pm IS THIS PROPOSAL BEING SUBMITTED TO ANOTHER FEDERAL AGENCY? YES NO IF YES, LIST ACRONYM(S) SHOW PREVIOUS AWARD NO. 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Page 2 of 2 COVER SHEET FOR PROPOSAL TO THE NATIONAL SCIENCE FOUNDATION FOR CONSIDERATION BY NSF ORGANIZATION UNIT(S) - continued from page 1 (Indicate the most specific unit known, i.e. program, division, etc.) OIA - SCI & TECH CTRS (INTEG PTRS) Continuation Page 3. Project Summary NCED was created to catalyze development of an integrated, predictive science of the skin of the Earth – the socalled “critical zone” where interwoven physical, biological, geochemical, and anthropogenic processes shape the Earth’s surface. Critical-zone science has been held back by the inherent complexity of the Earth’s surface and by a tendency toward descriptive, piecemeal research bounded by discipline and geographic location. As a result, we do not have the tools we need to provide useful predictions of surface evolution to guide decision making and management. Important, and often costly, decisions concerning land management, restoration, and subsurface resources rely on outdated science and reasoning by analogy rather than process-based analysis. The necessary science comprises elements of geomorphology, ecology, hydrology, sedimentary geology, engineering, social sciences, and geochemistry, but is not any one of these. The foundation of a useful science of Earth-surface dynamics must be synthesis across disciplines and scales, and quantitative prediction. In seeking to change science, ideas are interesting but results are compelling. Thus the first part of NCED’s mission is to design and execute a research program that will demonstrate the power of sustained, transdisciplinary research by making transformative advances in Earth-surface dynamics. NCED’s strategy has been to transcend place by concentrating on processes and spatial structures that recur across the Earth-surface system. The most striking and widespread example of similarity and self-organization on the Earth’s surface is the channel networks that form its arterial system, linking environments from high mountains to the deep ocean. The inherent similarity of channel networks across environments and scales makes them a natural focus for NCED research in predictive Earth-surface science. Sustained, transdisciplinary research in ecology, geochemistry, hydrology, and geomorphology made possible by STC funding shows that the channel network provides a physical template not only for water and sediment flow, but also organizes nutrient flux, stream temperature, plant distribution, microbial metabolism, and channel habitat. In addition, we have found that the network structure controls critical dynamical events such as bed mobilization, denitrification, and algal blooms that trigger event cascades (e.g. insect emergence, predator aggregation) that propagate the network influence out into the riparian ecosystem. These results have led to the first of NCED’s three research Integrated Projects (IPs): Desktop Watersheds (DW). Desktop Watersheds seeks to exploit the spatial structure imposed by tributary channel networks, as expressed via high-resolution topography, to provide static and (eventually) dynamic predictions of local physical, geochemical, and ecosystem properties. Adopting the network as a template unifies several threads of NCED research and opens a new avenue for organizing and generalizing local environmental observations into a framework that can be used for practical forecasting and scenario analysis. The potential of this approach to transform land management has attracted participation by a range of applied stakeholders including CALFED, private consultants, and the US Forest Service. Watersheds – collecting systems for water and sediment – cover most of the terrestrial surface. A smaller but critical fraction of the land surface, including many low-lying coastal areas (e.g. the Mississippi Delta), is net depositional. Under natural conditions, deposition compensates for crustal subsidence and constructs 3D subsurface channel networks that host important reserves of hydrocarbons and water. Advancing the scientific basis for finding and developing these subsurface resources by understanding depositional systems is the mission of NCED’s second Integrated Project, Subsurface Architecture (SA). Unique experimental facilities made possible by STC funding allow us to speed up time and show in unprecedented detail how surface dynamics is translated into subsurface 3D structure. This experimental approach allows us to produce complete, highly resolved 3D stratigraphic data sets in which both surface evolution and depositional record are quantitatively documented. This work has revealed how sediment mass balance governs subsurface architecture, new forms of autogenic dynamics, similarities and dramatic differences between depositional patterns in meandering submarine and subaerial channels, how short-term (autogenic) fluctuations are controlled by long-term (allogenic) effects, and how experimental results can be transferred successfully to the field. The data sets provide the foundation to move from present purely analog methods toward a quantitative, analytical approach to subsurface prediction. The implications of this for subsurface exploration and development are powerful, so this work is supported by six oil-industry partners. A developing line of research is to transfer the scaling and spatial analysis techniques on which DW is based to analysis of depositional channel patterns. Analogously to DW, the long-term goal is to understand how the channel network organizes the depositional system and how this translates to 3D channel networks in the subsurface. Across the U.S., more than a billion dollars each year are being invested in restoring channels and riparian areas. The scientific basis for many of these projects is weak, the success of existing projects poorly known, and the connection between research and practice incomplete. NCED's third IP, Stream Restoration (SR) addresses these issues through a combination of research and training developed in coordination with an active group of agency, industry, and academic partners including the USGS, USACE, USEPA, USDA, USBR, and USBLM. Current restoration practice depends heavily on analogy. Our goal is to move restoration practice to an analytical, processbased approach that will lead to better prediction and hence better design. Predictive understanding is needed in a 1 number of key areas, including sediment routing at the reach to network scale, channel and floodplain response to watershed changes, and linkages between physical channel conditions and nutrient cycling, stream metabolism, primary production, and population dynamics. The broadest challenge facing restoration is placing projects in a watershed context. Work across all NCED IPs defining ecosystem relations, ecogeomorphic thresholds, and transport laws will be combined with scaling and spatial analysis methods to address this. Improvements in natural science alone are not sufficient to ensure that restoration projects effectively meet social goals. NCED's social science program focuses on improved methods for stream restoration decision-making and, with other NCED investigators, exploring the role of uncertainty in stream management. Finally, with its partners, NCED is conducting short courses and developing training materials and a web-based Toolbox that provides numerical models and supporting information to improve evaluation of stream channels, design of restoration projects, and linkages between geomorphic design and ecological outcomes. Advances in all three IPs build on our common core of methods and concepts. NCED’s research advances since 2002 contribute to this core, including: (1) advances in predictive morphodynamics such as channel width, valley evolution, and bedforms; (2) transfers of techniques from fields outside surface dynamics, such as turbulence modeling and heat transfer; and (3) scaling and other spatial analysis techniques that show how local physical, biological, and geochemical processes are mediated by the channel network. The DW and SR projects draw on our common field site in northern California. In Year 4 we will begin work toward developing predictive tools for restoration of the Mississippi Delta, including a second field site there, based on analysis of present and past subsidence and sediment dynamics, a task involving both the SR and SA projects. Knowledge transfer is tightly integrated into NCED’s research program, as discussed above under each IP. NCED knowledge transfer also includes exchange and engagement with the broader research community. STC funding allows us to do this via workshops (e.g. stream restoration, community sediment modeling, new initiatives in sedimentary geology, and dam removal), working groups (mathematical methods, environmental stratigraphy, and carbon storage in floodplains), a Visitors Program that brings researchers at all levels to NCED facilities (19 Visitors since 2002), short courses (e.g. stream restoration), and postdoctoral researchers (13 to date). Our education program uses the familiarity and esthetic appeal of landscapes to engage a broad spectrum of learners in NCED science. The centerpiece of our education program has been the creation of the EarthScapes outdoor exhibits at the Science Museum of Minnesota (SMM). STC funding has allowed us to create a unique exhibit featuring a miniature golf course that models landforms and transport from source to sink, plus additional free-standing surface-process exhibits, through close collaboration between exhibit designers and researchers. After two seasons, it has already attracted over 100,000 visitors and led to a major new traveling-exhibit initiative, Water Planet, which involves three STCs (NCED, WaterCAMPWS, SAHRA). The EarthScapes project also provided the basis for a major exhibit in June 2005 involving NCED, the US Forest Service, and the Smithsonian Institution on the National Mall in Washington DC, which was visited by over a million people. In Years 6-10 the collaboration will continue with upgraded EarthScapes exhibits and creation of EarthScapes 3D movies that will travel to museums nationwide. The SMM is a major participant in other NCED educational activities, including teacher training and the Youth Science Center. The SMM and St Anthony Falls Laboratory partner as venues for teachers to learn about Earth-surface dynamics, participate in research, and develop new classroom materials that are shared via our website (34 teachers so far). Finally, Graduate Museum Assistantships, a new certificate program in stream restoration, a new IGERT linking ecology, Earth science and engineering, and an “extended family” approach to graduate mentoring facilitated by videoconferences, retreats, Partner meetings, working groups and workshops, are major elements of the enriched graduate experience that STC funding makes possible. The spectrum of participants in environmental science to date does not represent the U.S. population well. STC support has allowed us to address this on two fronts. We have developed a series of environmental camps, informed by our research and experience from the SMM programs, that combine sustained contact with innovative, culturally sensitive programming, to excite Ojibwe children about environmental sciences and encourage them to excel in school and pursue science related careers. We also have a vigorous recruiting program for minority participants in NCED research. This includes a summer intern program and our new faculty-to-faculty (F2F) program, which aims to build long-term relations with Minority-Serving Institutions by engaging young faculty in NCED research. These programs have boosted NCED minority participation from 8% when we started to 15% this year. In Years 6-10 we will keep this momentum going, extending our MSI network and building stronger connections among existing programs, e.g. tracking promising students from our Ojibwe camps into our undergraduate and graduate programs. We envision that by the end of Year 10, NCED will have played a central role in the development and dissemination of transdisciplinary, predictive Earth-surface science for understanding and managing the environment. NCED will continue after STC funding ends because integrating across disciplines, communities, goals, and scales will have become the new standard – and it will still require coordination and leadership. 2 TABLE OF CONTENTS For font size and page formatting specifications, see GPG section II.C. Total No. of Pages Page No.* (Optional)* Cover Sheet for Proposal to the National Science Foundation Project Summary (not to exceed 1 page) 2 Table of Contents 1 Project Description (Including Results from Prior NSF Support) (not to exceed 15 pages) (Exceed only if allowed by a specific program announcement/solicitation or if approved in advance by the appropriate NSF Assistant Director or designee) 32 References Cited 5 Biographical Sketches (Not to exceed 2 pages each) 42 Budget 77 (Plus up to 3 pages of budget justification) Current and Pending Support 31 Facilities, Equipment and Other Resources 1 Special Information/Supplementary Documentation 7 Appendix (List below. ) (Include only if allowed by a specific program announcement/ solicitation or if approved in advance by the appropriate NSF Assistant Director or designee) Appendix Items: *Proposers may select any numbering mechanism for the proposal. The entire proposal however, must be paginated. Complete both columns only if the proposal is numbered consecutively. 3 5. Narrative description of the Focus, Research Plans, and Relevance Note to reviewers: Supplemental material to this proposal including figures and a hyperlinked version of the text is available in the Renewal section of the NCED website: http://www.nced.umn.edu/renewalproposal.html 5.1. Research focus The original NCED proposal as funded in 2002 defined a center with a broad, multi-disciplinary research program on Earth-surface dynamics spanning environments from the atmospheric boundary layer to the deep sea. The goal was to develop an integrated, predictive science of the Earth’s surface (sometimes referred to as the “critical zone” [National Research Council, 2001]). The societal benefits of such a science would be tools for sustainable landscape restoration and management, and resource development. As NCED’s research program has matured, we have successively refined and focused our research program. Our goal was to be focused but not regional. The challenge is that much of the important dynamics is localized, site-specific, and history-dependent, especially when biota is involved, but our vision of a general, predictive science of surface dynamics could never be realized just by accumulating place-specific details. Moreover, the heterogeneity of the environment in space and time makes complete characterization on the ground impractical. Our approach to these issues begins with the ubiquitous tendency of surface processes to create self-formed structures (e.g. channel networks, channels and floodplains, valleys, fans and lobes, bars, bends, bedforms) that show strong similarity across a wide range of scales and environments, ranging from upland sediment sources to lowland and submarine sediment sinks. We use “similarity” in its broadest sense, including dynamic and geometric similarity [Barenblatt, 2003]. In Year 2 we refined our focus to the most widespread self-organized spatial structures on Earth: channels and channel networks. Until recently, channel networks have been thought of only in terms of physical (morphodynamics) processes. However, NCED research, elaborated on below, has shown that local biotic and biogeochemical processes are strongly mediated by location in the channel network, measured using network-based coordinates. Thus a good deal of local variability can be accounted for by putting local measurements into a channel-network framework, which is now possible thanks to the availability of high-resolution topography from which the network structure can be extracted accurately. Linking local processes to the channel network sets them in a self-organized spatial framework that shows a high degree of similarity across a wide range of environments and scales [Rodriguez-Iturbe and Rinaldo, 1997]. This opens up the exciting possibility of using the network as a template for organizing, interpreting, and generalizing local observations; generating hypotheses; inferring unmeasured local properties; and predicting future evolution. Development of this idea requires spatially referenced data from common field sites closely tied to experiments that provide the mechanistic basis for prediction. Early in Year 2, we selected Angelo Coast Range Reserve (ACRR) in the rugged, rapidly uplifting Coast Range of northern California as our primary erosional field site, with the idea that once it was operational we would select a second, depositional field site. 5.2. Major research accomplishments Our research achievements since 2002 are presented in the context of the Research Focus Areas by which we organized ourselves initially. Maturation of the center by Year 3 led us to restructure our research around three Integrated Projects: Desktop Watersheds, Subsurface Architecture, and Stream Restoration. These are described in more detail in the next section. 5.2.1. Channel Network Dynamics and Scaling The major contributions of this group focus on demonstrating the influence of tributary (i.e. confluence-dominated) channel network structure, expressed via width functions and contributing area, on local physical and ecological properties. Initially this work focused on tributary networks. Work in the Rio Salado Basin, New Mexico [Caylor and Rodriguez-Iturbe, 2004; Caylor et al., 2003; RodriguezIturbe and Porporato, 2004], provided an initial indication of the potential of the network structure to control vegetation patterns, which can be predicted by combining network analysis with a simple local water-stress model for the plants. The approach developed in this research is now being applied to our common field site at Angelo Coast Range Reserve (ACRR), where the methodology is being expanded to explicity consider microbial processes [Green et al., 2005]. Parallel work has shown a systematic dependence of hydraulic geometry on scale (upstream contributing area) [Dodov and Foufoula-Georgiou, 2004a; 2004b], both statistically and using a theoretical model of river meandering developed by members of the Channel and Floodplain Dynamics group [Johannesson and Parker, 1989]. These findings provided the basis for explaining a scaling break in floods in terms of initiation of floodplain formation and for quantifying the coupled hydrologic-geomorphic system, including scaling in channel geometry, and floods [Dodov and Foufoula-Georgiou, 2005]. This analysis was originally applied to the southcentral U.S. but is now being adapted to the ACRR site. This group’s work provides a major part of the scientific basis for the Desktop Watersheds Integrated Project. Additional contributions included extending the spatial analysis to braided (confluence-bifurcation) networks, focusing on the third dimension (depth) [Tilman, 2005], and novel rainfall analysis methods for hydrologic modeling [Venugopal et al., 2005]. 4 This group has a new initiative with the Long-term Dynamics group to apply to depositional (distributary) networks the scaling and stochastic-geometry methods that have transformed analysis of drainage (tributary) networks. Initial work has focused on island and channel size and new methods to estimate local flow direction. This will allow us to create a network-based spatial framework for depositional systems and thus will be fundamental to the Subsurface Architecture Integrated Project. 5.2.2. Channel and Floodplain Dynamics This group has led development of tools for predicting geometry, bed grain size, migration, and floodplain dynamics of channels at the scales at which individual processes operate. One major focus area has been steepland rivers. Work here includes development of an initial general formulation for predicting bedrock incision based on experimental and field data [Sklar and Dietrich, 2005]; a new analysis of the effect of variable erosion rates on cosmogenic radionuclide distribution [Parker and Perg, 2005]; an experimental program on incision by debris flows; field study of fluvial and debris-flow incision [Stock et al., 2005]; and a new formulation for predicting suspension transport in boulder-bed streams [Grams et al., 2005]. Sediment routing and channel response to altered sediment supply often depend strongly on size sorting leading to armoring and grain size patchiness. The group has developed predictive models for a range of conditions [Blom and Parker, 2004; Dietrich et al., 2005; Wilcock, 2004; Wong and Parker, 2005]and initiated a new series of collaborative experiments focused on the interaction between bed topography and size sorting. Another major focus in this group has been improving stream management, emphasizing “green” engineering methods, such as bank stabilization using willows, and development of predictive methods for dam removal [Cantelli et al., 2004]. The latter is a coordinated effort with Long-term Dynamics, which applies them to predicting the effects of sea-level fall. At the downstream end of the transport system, the group has been working on channel-floodplain interactions in low-gradient coastal rivers, where it has developed new methods for predicting sediment exchange between channel and floodplain [Lauer and Parker, 2004] and response of low-gradient rivers to sea-level rise [Parker et al., 2004; Parker and Muto, 2003]. Finally, a broad linking question shared with Ecogeomorphology has been investigating the topographic signature of life. This group’s work has provided the initial scientific basis for our Stream Restoration Integrated Project, as well as the first elements of our online restoration Toolbox, described in Section 7 (Knowledge Transfer). 5.2.3. Advanced Mathematical and Observational Methods This group has led in accelerating the infusion of techniques and methods from more mature quantitative fields into Earth-surface dynamics. It thus embodies the cross-disciplinary center mode of operation. A major example has been adaptation, from heat transfer, of techniques for tracking moving boundaries between process domains. In the Earth-surface environment this includes features like fluvial gravel-sand transitions and the shoreline [Swenson et al., 2005; Voller and Paola, 2003; Voller et al., 2005] done in conjunction with Long-term Dynamics. The method is being adapted to modeling redistribution of the sediment pile following dam removal (jointly with Channel and Floodplain Dynamics) and, adapting it to cellular pattern-formation models, to Ecogeomorphic dynamic boundaries. Another major effort has been to adapt techniques of Large-Eddy Simulation to accurately average and parameterize fine-scale dynamics of landscapes, a crucial issue in dealing with the large range of time and space scales in surface dynamics. Because of the need for the most powerful quantitative methods across Earth-surface dynamics, this group has contributed to development of all three Integrated Projects. 5.2.4. Ecogeomorphology This group is primarily responsible for linking network structure to local nutrient dynamics, food webs, habitat, microbial community, and nutrient flow paths. The initial basis for this has been a series of investigations at NCED’s erosional field site, the Angelo Coast Range Reserve, in conjunction with the Channel Network Dynamics and Scaling and Channel and Floodplain Dynamics groups. The main accomplishment has been development of a river-metabolism data set spanning a catchment scale range from 1 to 300 km2 showing how nutrient concentrations, organic matter fluxes, insect emergence and immersion, and plantherbivore interactions are all mediated by scale and hence by network structure [Finlay et al., 2002; Power et al., 2005; Power and Dietrich, 2002; Strayer et al., 2003; Suttle et al., 2004]. Equally important for prediction is identification of thresholds, points along gradients where dominant processes change; documented examples from the ACRR work include “hot spots” and “hot moments” of denitrification, periphyton biomass, and abrupt changes in energy flow through food webs linking stream algae through grazers to predators [McNeely, 2004]. Microbiological research, using extensive molecular microbiological methods (including microarray experiments) has been initiated to provide the basis for correlations among hydrologic factors, vegetation, and microbial activity including nitrogen fixation. To help provide a mechanistic basis for prediction, this field work is supported by laboratory experiments on, for instance, the effect of coherent turbulent structures on oxygen and nitrate fluxes across the sediment-water interface [Bergstedt et al., 2004; Hondzo et al., 2005; Hondzo and Wang, 2002]. This group’s work is a primary science driver for development of the Desktop Watersheds IP. 5 5.2.5. Long-term Dynamics This group has focused mainly on long-term evolution of depositional systems and the resultant stratigraphic products. Major accomplishments include large-scale experiments showing how fluvial systems respond to slow and rapid sea-level change and to differential tectonic uplift, using a unique subsiding-floor Experimental EarthScapes (XES) system. Data from these experiments are available to the community via our website. We developed a continuous high-resolution imaging camera for the XES basin, which allows rapid acquisition of continuous, undistorted digital image panels with resolution sufficient to identify individual grains. The experiments have shown the fundamental role of sediment mass balance in controlling downstream changes in preserved channel architecture [Hickson et al., 2005; Strong et al., 2005], a key concept in the Subsurface Architecture IP. Coordinated experimental and field study of submarine systems has led to comparable advances in understanding channel evolution and depositional processes [Abreu et al., 2003; Mohrig et al., 2005]; an emerging parallel is the role of out-of-channel flow events in controlling deposition. This group has worked closely with the Advanced Mathematical and Observational Methods group on (1) application of moving boundary methods to shoreline migration [Kim et al., 2006; Swenson et al., 2005; Voller and Paola, 2003; Voller et al., 2005; Voller et al., 2004] and particulate mass conservation including effects of tectonism, dissolution/precipitation, and sediment transformation to and from bedrock [Paola and Voller, 2005]; and (2) developing interface equations for morphodynamic modeling; for example, a relatively simple 1D interface equation that can account for major elements of bedform dynamics [Jerolmack and Mohrig, 2005a, 2005b]. This group’s work has provided the main basis for the Subsurface Architecture IP. 5.2.6. Human Dynamics This group began operation in Year 3, so it is premature to report results. The extent of human influence on Earth-surface dynamics is large [Hooke, 2000; Wilkinson, 2005], so this group’s contribution is critical. Its initial focus will be on stream restoration (Section 5.3.3.3), emphasizing multicriteria decision analysis and economic valuation. Longer-term goals include development of methods for factoring uncertainty into decision making, and incorporation of human-dynamics components across the Center’s research program. 5.3. Integrated Projects and plans for Years 6-10 A major accomplishment in Year 3 was to restructure our research program around three large-scale research projects, called Integrated Projects (IPs). The three IPs are closely linked as described below, and build on the NCED core of common concepts and methods. 5.3.1. Desktop Watersheds (DW) 5.3.1.1. Motivation: Digital topographic data allow us for the first time to build watershed-scale numerical models of real landscapes to explore problems ranging from the long time-scale controls on landscape evolution to short time-scale response of aquatic ecosystems to land-use change [Benda et al., 2004]. Such modeling efforts are limited by a lack of knowledge and quantitative expressions for many of the fundamental geomorphic and biotic processes [Dietrich et al., 2003]. Closing this knowledge gap will lead to discoveries about landscape evolution, ecosystem processes, and their possible coupling, and to the construction of practical numerical models that will revolutionize land-use management and environmental forecasting. At present, without such models, regulators rely on poorly targeted and often costly rules that do not protect key ecological processes. Cumulative effects analysis, required by Federal regulation [Council on Environmental Quality, 1997] calls for forecasting land-use effects. This requires modeling [University of California Committee on Cumulative Watershed Effects, 2001], but the lack of tools to do this quantitatively leaves most of these forecasts empirical or based on personal experience. NCED’s unique breadth of researchers, experimental facilities, and field programs enables it to lead in forging a scientific basis for cumulative watershed effect analysis, and to develop and distribute tools for linking landuse dynamics to ecosystem function. The Desktop Watershed Project complements, but is distinct from, other watershed efforts like CUAHSI’s Digital Watershed. DW emphasizes basic process investigation, tightly linked to experimentation, with the explicit goal of linking land-use dynamics and ecosystem processes; the CUAHSI Digital Watershed project focuses on hydrologic information science. The quantitative understanding of processes resulting from NCED’s research will also provide key information for module development in the developing Community Surface Dynamics Modeling System. 5.3.1.2. Goal: Our goal is to discover and advance fundamental relations needed to predict landscape evolution and to model the coupling of ecosystem, landscape, and land-use dynamics. Within the next two years we will assemble and make available to the community a first cut “static” version of Desktop Watersheds that will relate channel network and ecosystem attributes. Our vision is that within the next 5-7 years we will move to dynamic versions that couple land-use and aquatic ecosystem dynamics for small to large (order 10,000 km2) watersheds in order to optimize land-use management for the protection and recovery of ecosystems. We also want to transform fieldwork by enhancing the scope of hypothesis testing, using DW modeling at the beginning of a project to generate specific 6 predictions about the physical template and the corresponding physical, ecological, and geochemical conditions and processes. This will create a new dynamic in which the researcher will be challenged in the field to explain differences between observations and predictions. 5.3.1.3. Approach: The focus is on the channel network and its ecosystem. The recurring, hierarchical structure of channel networks leads to a predictive physical template of channel dimension, bed morphology, grain size, and solar irradiation, and to a corresponding structure of habitat, food web dynamics, and ecological and biogeochemical regimes. This structure provides a watershed context for local processes. Thus high-resolution digital topography and the channel network extracted from it provide the template for DW modeling. To unlock the potential of digital topography, we will continue, via theoretical, experimental, and field studies, to discover, parameterize, and evaluate the fundamental driving equations that link physical, ecological, and geochemical evolution of the landscape. The transfer of watershed currencies – heat, wood, water, sediment, nutrients, and organisms – through the network makes the system dynamic. Dynamic Desktop Watersheds, to be developed in the next 5-7 years, will enable us to model cumulative watershed effects, controls on total maximum daily load levels of sediment, and to “game” management scenarios in order to optimize land-use activities for sustainable resource harvest, ecosystem protection, and restoration. Our findings will be made available to others to improve watershed-scale numerical modeling being developed across the community. We use our current digital-terrain based models (“static” Desktop Watersheds), to guide prioritization of research and maintain a tight coupling between modeling and observation. In their simplest form, in which the topography is used to estimate such features as biological productivity, probable landslide location, channel morphology or bed grain size, Desktop Watershed models can, with minimal empirically fitted parameters, predict landscape attributes useful in guiding field work and in applications such as planning and siting of timber harvests and stream restoration projects. Our initial focus is on steep, relatively rapidly eroding landscapes, and fieldwork will continue to be concentrated on the Angelo Coast Range Reserve (ACRR), Eel River basin, California, where we are building an advanced environmental observatory including a wireless network and automated environmental sensors (so far, light, temperature, soil moisture, and imaging, with more to be added). The models and methods we will develop will, however, be broadly applicable. We will build from the static form of the Desktop Watersheds, in which fixed topography and steady state fluxes are used to estimate environmental properties, to a dynamic form in which solutes and sediment are routed from hillslopes through channel networks, and landscapes and ecosystems respond to changing environmental conditions. Priority research areas for DW are: Channel incision into bedrock: Channel incision drives terrestrial and submarine landscape evolution and while much progress has been made on theory and observations [Dietrich et al., 2003; Sklar and Dietrich, 2004; Whipple, 2004], important gaps in understanding remain. Submarine channel incision is widespread, but relatively uninvestigated [Das et al., 2004]. In the case of river incision, experimental data and improved theory are needed to account for effects of sediment coverage of the bed and fractured controlled wear [Whipple, 2004]. Granular flow incision, which cuts valleys in steep uplands [Stock and Dietrich, 2003], will be studied using a unique facility under development by NCED consisting of a 4 m rotating drum in which grain dynamics, boundary forces and wear can be physically modeled using sediment up to small boulders. Theory will include application of recent advances in the physics of energetic granular flow [Hill et al., 2003]. These studies will feed community level efforts in landscape evolution modeling and submarine channel incision theory, provide further insight in delineating process dominance in channel networks (and its relationship to ecosystems), and, in the case of granular flows, improve hazard models of flow rates and distances. Solutes, soil production, and biota: In mountainous western landscapes, such as in the Angelo Coast Range Reserve (ACCR), nitrogen is the major nutrient limiting primary and secondary production in both watershed and channel ecosystems [Boyer et al., 2005]. Soil solute chemistry that drains to channels is strongly microbiallymediated [Green et al., 2005; McClain et al., 2003]. We propose to build upon long term simulated climate change experiments in a field in the ACRR, in which for the past five years rainfall amounts and distribution have been manipulated and ecosystem response has been documented. NCED researchers bridge three fields: experimental community ecology, microbial genomics, and biogeochemistry-ecosystem science. New studies will use microbial genomics to reveal associations between microbes and various grass and herbaceous species, whose relative abundance has been changed by different rainfall regimes, as well as fungal response to altered rainfall and effects on mineral weathering [Cervini-Silva et al., 2006; Taunton et al., 2000]. Free-living soil bacteria will be documented using advanced genomic techniques and micro-arrays for identification and estimation of their metabolic activities, leading to a new understanding of nitrogen fixation and cycling. These studies will yield new insights on controls on biogeochemical cycles and fluxes, providing crucial input for river food web models, and watershed forecasts anticipating the effects of climate change. 7 Landslide rates: A major impediment to predicting the sediment supply to streams is the lack of theory for predicting rates of landsliding in a watershed. This problem must be tackled to advance both basic landscape evolution modeling [Dietrich et al., 2003] and the practical analysis of sediment production and channel response in association with land use. NCED researchers and colleagues will build three-dimensional slope stability models to explore controls on shallow landslide size. Existing models for debris flow entrainment and runout [Ayotte and Hungr, 2000] will be explored for use in the Desktop Watersheds models. Deep-seated landslides dominate the ACCR topography, and NCED researchers and collaborators are beginning to explore how to use the airborne laser swath mapping data to document extent and relative activity of landsliding. Cosmogenic radionuclide dating of channel incision and hillslope erosion will help define the pace. The theoretical framework proposed by Iverson [1986; Iverson, 2005] will be explored for application to this problem. Feature extraction and the prediction of habitat from digital topographic data: A key step in Desktop Watersheds is to use the digital topographic data to quantify the extent and morphology of the channels throughout the watershed. Our current approach is to use computed drainage area and slope to a reach to estimate channel dimensions, morphology, grain size, and other features, which in turn are used to estimate channel habitat condition. As discussed in the Stream Restoration IP, NCED researchers will conduct fundamental studies on controls on channel morphodynamics and sediment transport mechanics, which in turn will improve habitat prediction. The DW emphasis will be towards the steep shallow channels, where current theory for flow and sediment transport breaks down. These channels are rarely the subject of restoration efforts, but form the majority of channel length in a drainage network and the route for most sediment in hilly and mountainous areas. High-resolution topographic data obtained from airborne laser swath mapping allows us, for the first time, to map channel dimensions throughout a channel network. NCED researchers will develop tools to identify and extract channel morphology (width, depth, slope, and confinement) from these data, revolutionizing our ability to define channel habitat and to route water and sediment. A similar effort will be used to map the extent of roads, especially dirt ones, which can exert a major control on sediment supply. The airborne laser data also allows quantification of the vegetation structure. We will exploit these data to explore the possible co-organization of the vegetation and channel network structures [Caylor et al., 2005; Caylor et al., 2004]. Channel network controls on ecological regimes: We are assembling quantitative ecogeomorphological relations that we can apply to forecasting watershed-scale changes in ecosystems and food webs, in response to altered climate, land use, or biological events like extinctions or invasions. Current work in the laboratory and at ACRR has defined interactions between stream channel and network properties and the locations, rates, and scales of nutrient cycling, periphyton growth, contaminant uptake, riparian tree recruitment and survival, juvenile salmonid growth and survivorship, insect emergence, insect grazing on stream periphyton, and bat foraging. Using the DW approach, we have identified several drainage area thresholds where important changes occur in food web linkages between periphyton, aquatic insect prey and aquatic or aerial predators. We will refine our knowledge of the physical mechanisms mediating these regime shifts, test the generality of these mechanisms in other channel networks, and continue to quantify functional relationships between the physical environment and ecological responses and feedbacks as a basis for forecasting change from organismal to channel and watershed scales. Dynamic response and ecological consequences: The currencies of the watershed (its sediment, water, nutrients, wood, and heat) are all temporally dynamic, with strong legacy effects due to land use. This makes prediction of these properties difficult. Furthermore, it is currently not possible to predict local habitat response to changes in sediment supply, which is linked to pool depths, bed surface texture, and abundance of fines in the bed. This major gap reduces our ability to guide land-use management decisions. Focused experiments on sediment transport will be conducted jointly with the Stream Restoration IP; the DW emphasis will be on developing routing, storage and morphodynamics models in a digital topographic framework. With colleagues, NCED researchers will also explore coupled two-dimensional flow and sediment transport modeling in selected channels elsewhere in the Pacific Northwest. A state-of-the-art wireless backbone being installed in the ACRR will enable NCED researchers to monitor flow and particle dynamics in the channel network. Fine sediment has been identified as having detrimental effects on juvenile salmon and food webs that support them [Suttle et al., 2004], so we will develop methods of predicting sources of fine sediment (largely dirt roads) and routing and storage through the channel network. Upscaling: Process laws for transport, erosion and deposition are generally based on local mechanics. For small watersheds, computing local processes over the entire watershed is numerically tractable, but for large basins this is not so. This problem must be solved if the DW approach is to be used in larger watersheds, and is equally critical to the other two IPs. NCED researchers have begun exploring how to scale up driving equations to apply over large spatial domains, adapting methods from fields such as atmospheric sciences and hydrology where upscaling has been studied extensively, e.g. via subgrid-scale parameterization and closure models. These methods 8 can also be applied to ecological problems; for example, upscaling our understanding of fine sediment impacts on salmonids from organismal to habitat and sub-basin scales. 5.3.1.4 Summary: The Desktop Watersheds IP will provide concrete, practical methods for using high-resolution topography and associated channel network structure to predict static properties and, eventually, dynamics of watersheds, including morphology, hydrology, ecology, and geochemistry. This will transform field work by providing a basis for predictive mapping and hypothesis-testing, and land-use management by providing processbased tools for scenario evaluation and environmental forecasting. 5.3.2. Subsurface Architecture (SA) 5.3.2.1. Motivation: As channels evolve under conditions of net sedimentation, they leave behind subsurface networks of buried channels that serve as conduits and reservoirs for oil, water, and gas. The economic value of these subsurface resources is many billions of dollars. Extraction of these fluids from the subsurface depends sensitively on the structure of porosity and permeability fields within the deposit, which are in turn controlled by the properties and spatial architecture of the buried channel, floodplain, and related elements that make it up. As is the case for stream restoration, the complexity of natural channel systems has led to reliance on analog (here, either modern or ancient analogs) as a basis for modeling. The analog approach is not predictive, because it is not based on understanding the processes that create deposits; it cannot handle situations not covered by the range of available analog examples; and it relies heavily on intuition. Moving from analog case studies to subsurface prediction requires a process-based understanding of surface and preservation dynamics over a range of scales from individual beds filling single channel forms to clusters of channel bodies distributed throughout a basin fill. Providing this understanding requires the full range of NCED strengths in sedimentary geology, geomorphology, hydrology, civil engineering, ecology and biogeochemistry. The Subsurface Architecture IP is the sediment-sink complement to the sediment-source focus of Desktop Watersheds. This complementarity lets us take advantage of common elements in network-based routing of water and sediment through erosional versus depositional environments. The SA Integrated Project includes both fluvial and submarine channels, the latter both because of their fascinating similarity to fluvial channels and because they are high-value but high-risk prospecting targets in the energy industry. Science drivers include understanding (1) how subsidence and other external forcings control overall sediment mass balance; (2) how this mass balance and other factors determine spatial and temporal properties of channel networks and surface-subsurface transfer; and (3) the dynamics of unit transport and depositional mechanisms (e.g. in-channel processes, splays, floodplains): how they work, how their space-time distribution is controlled by the channel network, and how they are recorded stratigraphically. Stratigraphic records are the time integral of short-term processes central to the DW and SR IPs. As a result the SA IP takes advantage of discoveries in the other IPs in up and down scaling in space and time. In turn, depositional systems provide the only long-term records available of the history of surface evolution, including natural variability in channel dynamics, sediment flux, biota, etc. These records play a role in testing models for foreasting future Earth-surface evolution similar to that of paleoclimate records in testing climate models. 5.3.2.2.Goal: The goal of the SA IP is to understand how channel dynamics in depositional systems control the porosity, permeability, geometry and connectivity of subsurface fluid conduits and reservoirs in order to provide predictive tools for exploration, development, and conservation of subsurface resources. Within the next two years we will be able to predict subsurface architecture from surface dynamics in simplified experimental systems. Our work will continue to focus on deltas. We will also have a first-order understanding of how fluvial channel dynamics can/cannot be extended to submarine channels. In parallel, we will discover the basic principles governing spatial channel pattern in delta systems, continue development of integrated models of depositional systems, and (with nonNCED colleagues) begin developing a field site in the Mississippi Delta to gain a predictive understanding of the processes that maintain the delta against subsidence. As our understanding of deltaic channel patterns improves it will be extended to analysis of depth, time evolution, and channel pattern controls on critical depositional units like splays and bifurcations. In parallel we will work on coupling our physical understanding with microbial processes of cementation. By Year 7, we will be able to apply methods for predicting experimental architecture to field cases, including deltas and submarine channel systems. By Year 10 we will have not only a new generation of techniques for subsurface prediction that makes full use of high-resolution surface information, but also a suite of powerful new methdods for using subsurface research to inform restoration in depositional settings. 5.3.2.3. Approach: A comprehensive approach to subsurface architecture must be multi-scale, i.e. it must address prediction of both internal channel fills and the arrangement of preserved channel complexes within basins. It must also include submarine depositional systems, the main global sediment sink and an important but high-risk target in oil exploration. We adopt a network-based approach to subsurface prediction with three hierarchical elements: (1) 9 understanding unit depositional and erosional dynamics in channels and floodplains, (2) understanding the static and dynamic (space + time) properties of depositional channel networks and how these influence local unit processes, and (3) understanding how (1) and (2) are mediated by externally imposed controls on overall depositional mass balance in the depositional basin. All three elements involve internally generated (autogenic) dynamics as well as external controls like climate and sea level. The channel network structures the flow and extraction of sediment through the depositional system and creates the channel-body framework of the deposit – the preservation process transforms the 2D surface channel network into a 3D subsurface architecture. Understanding of depositional channel networks (e.g. deltas) is significantly behind that of erosional channel networks; thus a network-based approach to subsurface architecture represents a major new line of research. Natural channel systems evolve slowly, and depositional architecture reflects the net effect of many realizations of variable surface configuration. Thus NCED’s approach to subsurface prediction emphasizes experimental research because in effect it speeds up time, allowing us to study the complete process from surface dynamics to subsurface records. In Years 6-10 we will increasingly emphasize applying our methods to field cases including volumes of high-resolution seismic reflection. Modern seismic methods provide subsurface data analogous to LIDAR topography data, except that the subsurface data are three-dimensional and inherently record temporal evolution. Learning to exploit them will transform sedimentary geology just as high-resolution topographic data has transformed geomorphology [Davies and Posamentier, 2005]. The data are very costly to obtain and are mostly in private hands but by building relations with our industrial partners we have increasing access to these data. SA priority research areas are: Spatial analysis of delta and submarine channel networks: To adopt a network-based approach to depositional systems, we must first understand network structure in these systems and what controls it. We begin with deltas. It is clear that deltaic networks are much more variable than classical tributary networks. Nonetheless there are suggestions of allogenic control on some major aspects of delta organization [Syvitski, 2005] so the channel pattern may be predictable from knowledge of external forcing. Understanding the natural spatial organization of deltas would have a major impact on both prediction in the subsurface and restoration and maintenance of deltas in the world today. We have begun developing methodologies for identifying the channel network from satellite imagery using a large natural delta (Brahmaputra) and assigning flow directions to the channels so that we can measure distance along channels and apportion “nourishment area” (analogous to catchment area for a drainage basin) over the delta. These methods will then be applied to other deltas and also to NCED’s depositional field site when appropriate. Work on scaling and other similarity analyses for deltas will help us define those aspects of delta organization that are consistent across environments and scales. We are also applying the same techniques to experimental deltas, where time evolution and topography can be measured. Integrated modeling of channelized depositional systems: Predicting subsurface channel architecture requires that we extend the planform channel network into the third (depth) and fourth (time) dimensions. An initial goal has been to merge avulsion-based architecture models [Mackey and Bridge, 1995] with diffusion-type integrated models of fluvial evolution in response to external forcing [Marr et al., 2000; Paola et al., 1992] so that the controls of basin-scale depositional mass balance on architecture can be modeled in a consistent framework. Our initial effort has been to predict preserved channel fraction based on simple models of channel and floodplain sedimentation patterned after those used for diffusion-based modeling. The first phase of this work is largely complete; predictions are now being compared with XES experimental data. Subsequent steps will include incorporation of spatial pattern results from the project above; improved modeling of channel kinematics and avulsion [Slingerland and Smith, 2004], including possible space-time scaling [Sapozhnikov and Foufoula-Georgiou, 1999]; and modeling valley formation [Cantelli et al., 2004] and filling [Parker and Muto, 2003] jointly with the SR group. By Year 10 this project will provide the basis for integrated subaerial-submarine modeling and prediction. Submarine versus terrestrial channel dynamics and network properties: Submarine channels have become valuable but high-risk targets for oil exploration in the last decade. The obvious similarity of submarine channels and channel networks to their terrestrial counterparts raises the possibility of applying our understanding of depositional fluvial systems to predict properties of submarine exploration prospects [Mohrig et al., 2005]. Key issues include (1) predicting styles of overbank deposition and connecting overbank morphodynamics to the surface evolution of nearby submarine channels; (2) understanding the comparative physics of terrestrial and submarine channels and channel networks; and (3) seeking to apply results from steps (1) & (2) to submarine systems to catalyze rapid progress in understanding and predicting subsurface characteristics of submarine channel deposits. In particular, NCED’s strength in channel network analysis suggests adapting methods and insights from analysis of subaerial tributary channel networks to submarine channel networks, both tributary and distributary. Autogenic dynamics: Laboratory and field analyses demonstrate a natural unsteadiness in local values of sediment transport, even under conditions of constant forcing. The unsteadiness results from non-linear interaction 10 between sediment flux and topography. Examples range from variability in trains of bed forms, scour and lobe development, to channel avulsion. Goals include measuring the scaling and statistical signature of autogenic variability, and developing novel numerical interface models that relate the flux and spatial sorting of sediment through a channel reach to the topography itself. By Year 7, these will provide fully three-dimensional descriptions of channel-filling geometries, and by Year 9 we will add 3D descriptions of grain size and sorting (porosity and permeability). Unit depositional processes: In channelized systems, deposition occurs via a suite of depositional unit processes. These include structures like lobes, bars, splays, and floodplains, which correspond to building blocks (“architectural elements” [Miall, 1985; Miall and Tyler, 1991]) of 3D subsurface architecture. Understanding these processes is critical for building predictive subsurface models, as well as for restoration in depositional systems, providing a natural link with the SR IP. Floodplain deposition, which is strongly biotically influenced, is probably the least understood of these unit processes. Recent NCED research [Rowland et al., 2005] has revealed the key role played by small connector channels (tie channels) in floodplain nourishment. Our plans for focused work on floodplain restoration in the Mississippi Delta region are discussed below. Microbial processes: Microbially mediated cement precipitation is often a first-order control on porosity and permeability in the subsurface. In Year 6 we will initiate a new effort to combine NCED’s strengths in stratigraphic experiments and microbial biogeochemistry to explore biogeochemical controls on cementation, with emphasis on how stratal architecture controls microbial dynamics and cement distribution. 5.3.2.4. Summary: By developing network-based models of how the cumulative effect of time and space variations in surface topography create subsurface stratigraphy the Subsurface Architecture research agenda will provide transformative tools for prediction and interpretation of sedimentary deposits. 5.3.3. Stream Restoration (SR) 5.3.3.1. Motivation: “Stream restoration” refers broadly to bringing streams to a resilient, self-sustaining state that includes desirable conditions of ecosystem function and water quality. The term implies a green-engineering approach (i.e. emphasis on natural forms, processes, and materials and working with natural trends and variability). Stream restoration is now a multi-billion-dollar annual business with tens of thousands of projects in the U.S. [Bernhardt et al., 2005; Wohl et al., 2005]. The design of self-sustaining channels with well functioning ecosystems requires a sophisticated, transdisciplinary understanding of the linked physical and ecological dynamics of channels and floodplains that discipline-bounded science cannot provide. NCED’s stream restoration IP is motivated by the collision of social demand for stream restoration with a limited understanding of stream disturbance and restoration dynamics. The scientific basis for many restoration projects is weak, the success of existing projects poorly known, and the connection between research and practice poorly developed. Progress requires two-way collaboration between those developing new knowledge and those applying it. Improving the scientific basis for stream restoration requires a sustained, transdisciplinary approach that is ideally suited to the center mode. Combining expertise in biological, physical and social sciences with a research focus on channels and channel networks that spans the space and time scales needed to develop sustainable restoration projects, NCED is ideally positioned to develop the integrated knowledge needed to improve the practice of stream restoration. Changing restoration practice will require a sustained, collaborative effort linking research and practice through widely available tools, methods, and training. Through its position – affiliated with, but separate from both government and industry – NCED can define problems, propose solutions, and provide continuity and coordination without the constraints that can restrict those advocating, regulating, and conducting restoration practice. Basing a science/practice collaboration in a science organization (rather than an application agency) supports the sustained commitment to research needed to make real progress in improving restoration methods. In our interaction with SR Partners to date, access to research and absence of agenda has engendered considerable enthusiasm among those attempting to improve restoration practice. 5.3.3.2. Goal: To advance the science and practice of stream restoration by conducting and coordinating research and by working with agency and industry partners to identify information needs, develop improved tools, and transfer this knowledge into practice. The effect will be to promote a transition in restoration practice from an approach based on analogy to one based on quantitative prediction. 5.3.3.3. Approach: Together with agency and industry partners, we examine stream restoration practice, its scope, details, and missing links, so that we can define the most pressing research priorities and determine the best ways to get new information to those who use it. This activity is centered on the NCED Stream Restoration Partners Group, which includes agency, consulting, and academic partners and extends to allied organizations working on restoration research. Partner interaction and knowledge transfer permeate the stream restoration IP (Proposal Section 7). 11 Current stream restoration practice is based on analogy – a template is sought in a nearby or idealized channel that the designer judges to be suitable [Wilcock, 1997; Wohl et al., 2005]. But if a disturbed stream is adjusting to changes in essential controlling factors, an appropriate template is unlikely to exist. An analogy approach cannot lead to true prediction because it provides no basis for linking cause and effect in a logically complete and testable framework. At present, there is no process-based, predictive alternative to analogy-based design because we lack a predictive understanding of physical and biological disturbance and recovery in stream channels. The challenges facing improved restoration practice are essentially those facing a predictive understanding of stream geomorphology and ecology. Meeting these challenges requires the integration of physical, biological, and social sciences as they explain channel change, ecosystem interactions, and the impact of human actions. The research mission of the stream restoration IP is to identify (with our partners) and address those challenges that will lead most directly to improved restoration practice. The broadest challenge facing a predictive restoration science is placing the restoration project in a watershed context. The most persistent cause of physical failure is ignoring or incorrectly predicting the supply of water and sediment from the watershed. Current best practice includes a narrative watershed history identifying the timing and location of major watershed disturbances. A predictive restoration science will require transforming this history to a quantitative basis capable of prediction with specification of uncertainty. A center-based approach to these studies is essential because predictive restoration science requires developing new knowledge by integrating across multiple disciplines and multiple scales of space and time. These ideas lead to the following high-priority research topics: Routing and supply of sediment: Channels develop in response to their water and sediment supply. An inability to predict sediment supply (mean and variability) is the primary technical barrier to predicting future channel configuration and composition. Development of predictive sediment supply relations will require a means of determining sediment storage throughout the stream network and a reliable treatment of sediment storage in reach-scale transport models. We are currently developing models for routing sand and fine gravel through coarse immobile beds. The 2006 Visitors Program will be focused on collaborative experiments in the SAFL main channel exploring storage dynamics in a gravel-bed system, with the goal of a predictive routing model incorporating storage. Ongoing scaling analyses and DW advances in modeling channel slope and grain size are leading toward network scale transport predictions. Our goals are to develop reach-averaged transport models incorporating storage dynamics and to test these models at the watershed scale in different transport environments. Transport, sorting, and morphodynamics of mixed-size sediment: The transport of streambed material drives channel change and the composition and configuration of the bed, which determines the essential, organism-scale template for the stream ecosystem. We now have in place surface-based transport models [Wilcock and Crowe, 2003] and a general framework for bed scour and aggradation [Parker et al., 2000]. Current NCED work [Blom and Parker, 2004; Dietrich et al., 2005; Wilcock and DeTemple, 2005; Wong and Parker, 2005] focuses on rates of lateral and vertical sorting to provide the detail needed to complete a predictive mixed-size morphodynamic model. This work will be extended to incorporate recently discovered interactions between turbulent and chaotic mixing with spontaneous self-sorting of particles by size [Hill et al., 2005]. The 2006 Visitors Program will test transport relations under conditions of variable topography and sand content at nearly field scale in the SAFL main channel. With this model, our focus will shift to verification and application of the model in different settings and scaling up to the reach and channel network and integration of the model into predictive relations for streambed ecology. Size, shape, and planform of resilient, dynamically stable channels: The size, shape, composition and planform of the stream channel define the physical framework of a stream restoration project, but we still cannot predict channel geometry reliably. Current NCED activity focuses on channel geometry and channel change as it varies through a watershed, on morphodynamic models, and on the interaction between vegetation and channel dynamics. We propose to expand work on channel-transport-vegetation interactions using a major new outdoor bioengineering facility to be developed at SAFL, coupled to “virtual channels” developed using advanced CFD modeling. As improved predictions of sediment supply and its variability become available, we will develop methods that effectively incorporate variability and risk in channel design. Our goal is to develop predictive relations between valley slope, water discharge, sediment supply rate and caliber, riparian vegetation, and channel geometry. Rates, mechanisms, and location of floodplain deposition: Floodplain “reconnection” is a common restoration objective in order to provide habitat, support riparian vegetation, sequester nutrients and contaminants, and protect delta shorelines. Current NCED work focuses on channel-floodplain exchange of sediment through overbank flow and via tie channels [Lauer and Parker, 2004; Rowland et al., 2005]. Our future focus, joint with SA, will be an experimental, field, and theoretical study of rates and location of floodplain deposition in low-gradient systems, with application to Mississippi Delta restoration. Physical controls on nutrient cycling, stream metabolism, primary production: We are assembling quantitative ecogeomorphological relations that we can apply to restoration. Current work in the laboratory and at ACRR has 12 defined interactions between stream channel and network properties and the locations, rates, and scales of nutrient cycling, periphyton growth, primary production, community respiration, contaminant uptake, riparian tree recruitment and survival, juvenile salmonid growth and survivorship, insect emergence, insect grazing on stream periphyton, and bat foraging. Using the Desktop Watershed approach, we have identified several drainage area thresholds where important changes occur in food web linkages between attached algae, aquatic insect prey and aquatic or aerial predators. We will refine our knowledge of the physical mechanisms mediating these regime shifts, test the generality of these mechanisms in other channel networks, and continue to quantify functional relationships between the physical environment and ecological response as a basis for predictive restoration design. Restoration objectives: identification, evaluation, and incorporation in restoration design: Stream restoration is a social activity. Adequate information about the physical and ecological conditions of the stream is not sufficient to ensure that actions are taken that effectively meet social goals [Shields et al., 2003]. We are currently working on defining the value placed on different restoration objectives and on methods for evaluating tradeoffs in the restoration decision making process. We will turn next to practical yet theoretically valid approaches for implementing adaptive management [Walters, 1997] and for exploring how improved information can reduce uncertainty and make restoration more effective. We will improve decision making by quantifying the benefits and costs of additional information, using a Bayesian-based approach to characterize uncertainty and how it links with stakeholder preferences in restoration decision making. A longer-term goal that will draw on NCED’s expertise in stochastic processes is to develop means for incorporating uncertainty in restoration decision-making. From grains to the reach and network scale – placing restoration projects in their watershed context: The most obvious and persistent cause of physical failure is ignoring, or predicting erroneously, the supply of water and sediment from the watershed. Current best practice includes a narrative watershed history identifying the timing and location of major watershed disturbances. A predictive restoration science will require transforming this history to a form suitable for providing quantitative predictions, including uncertainty. We will address this challenge by linking restoration objectives to ecogeomorphic thresholds, transport laws, and ecosystem relations defined within a working Desktop Watersheds model. Determining where and when restoration would be most effective in triggering and sustaining ecological recovery: Effective restoration interventions trigger and sustain hydrologic, physical, and ecological regimes that favor desired species, support ecosystem services (e.g. water purification) and reduce or eliminate pest species and pollution. Insights from our Desktop Watershed efforts will serve as a basis for predictive restoration design. NCED's unique geodynamic mathematical and physical modeling and 4D visualization expertise will be applied to projecting (over yearly to decadal time scales) the landscape and ecological consequences of interventions such as dam removal, bank stabilization, gravel augmentation, revegetation, and large wood or boulder placement. Insights from DW ecology will be used to 1) project likely effects of vegetative feedbacks on the evolution of the template, and 2) assess the suitability of the evolving habitats for biota of interest. In restoration contexts, nuisance species (exotic invaders and predators or pathogens that threaten the recovery of desired species), or toxic legacies from past land use are key historical factors that will determine restoration outcomes. 5.3.3.4. Summary: NCED’s Stream Restoration IP will transform the science and practice of stream restoration by catalyzing a process-based, transdisciplinary approach to stream dynamics at multiple space and time scales, and by developing rational environmental decision-making methods that effectively incorporate uncertainty. 5.3.4. Initiative on Mississippi Delta restoration NCED’s transdisciplinary approach, emphasis on prediction, and status as an independent national research center make it ideally suited to provide predictive understanding and tools to support restoration of the Mississippi Delta, an issue long recognized as fundamental to protecting New Orleans and the Gulf Coast from hurricanes [Louisiana Coastal Wetlands Conservation and Restoration Task Force, 1998]. From its inception, NCED's plans have included a center-wide initiative on restoration of the Mississippi Delta. As our research program has evolved, we have continued work on this initiative, with the intent of developing a second, depositional field site in the Delta region and of linking our SR and SA Integrated Projects. The recent disasters related to hurricanes Katrina and Rita have lent new urgency to our efforts. Our current plan includes (1) adapting existing understanding of channel and floodplain processes and carrying out new research in the Mississippi and other low-gradient river systems to develop tools for analysis of restoration scenarios for the Delta; (2) an initiative with the broader research community to develop a natural “subsurface laboratory” that would use the Holocene record of the Mississippi Delta to quantify the rates and spatial distribution of natural depositional mechanisms that compensate for subsidence; (3) continued work to adapt methods from drainage networks to understand natural distributary patterns and how they self-organize to nourish the delta surface; and (4) experiments in our subsidingfloor XES experimental facility on depositional channel dynamics and the response of low-gradient depositional river channels to absolute and differential subsidence, including vegetation effects. 13 6. Education and Human Resource Development 6.1. Human Resource Development: Education 6.1.1. Goal, Motivation, and Approach The goal of NCED’s Education Initiative is to bring Earth-surface dynamics to life for a broad spectrum of learners, in order to educate the public, policymakers, and future researchers about the dynamic nature of the Earth’s surface and its response to human activities. Our motivation is that the familiarity and natural appeal of landscapes, and the methods of NCED’s integrative research approach, provide rich opportunities to capture the interest of the public to develop a better awareness of the landscape processes around them, help policymakers make more informed landscape management decisions, and to motivate students to pursue careers in many areas of science, engineering, and policy. Our approach is to use the familiarity and natural appeal of landscapes to promote active learning about critical concepts: (1) that the Earth’s surface is “the environment” in which human, ecologic and physical dynamics are intimately interwoven; (2) that the Earth’s surface is naturally dynamic; and (3) that the landforms we see around us – whether from the ground, from the air, or via maps and 3D imagery – tell us about our planet and how it has evolved over time and will evolve in the future [Barstow et al., 2002]. NCED adopts a broadband approach to education, emphasizing informal as well as formal learners, and strong connections between its research and education programs. Key elements of our Education Initiative include: (1) Working intensively with the Science Museum of Minnesota and other science museums to develop engaging new methods for informal education centered on Earth-surface science. (2) Enhancing the education of NCED student participants by providing unique opportunities and an extended, cross-disciplinary peer and mentor network. (3) Adapting research tools such as 3D visualization, wireless sensors, and laboratory experiments to provide novel 4-16 educational tools. (4) Developing new ways of broadening our graduate population and promoting practical traning. (5) Designing programs to engage science teachers in NCED research in ways that allow them to bring this knowledge to their students in practical ways, and share the products of this work via the NCED website. At the graduate level, NCED engages students, across NCED institutions, in integrative research and unique center-based activities, such as video-conferenced seminars, joint advising, integrative seminars and short courses, center retreats, museum assistantships and internships with industry and agency partners. At the undergraduate level, NCED engages students within and outside NCED institutions in research experiences and infuses the methods, perspectives and results of NCED research into undergraduate coursework. Children typically master the cognitive abilities to interpret representations of the Earth (e.g., that a globe is a model of the planet) by the age of 10 to 12 [Vosniadou and Brewer, 1992], so our pre-college focus is on grades 4-12. NCED engages pre- and in-service teachers in research experiences and field-based institutes, develops teaching materials to supplement their curriculum, brings experimental research to classrooms, and conducts environmental camps at middle- and highschool levels. NCED engages the public in NCED research through innovative museum experiences, such as outdoor parks and traveling exhibits, and media, such as films and television programs. 6.1.2. Achievements In NCED’s first three years, substantial progress toward meeting our graduate education goal – ensuring that students at our institutions benefit from the unique educational opportunities presented by participating in a Science and Technology Center – was achieved through regular video-conferenced seminars, joint formal and informal advising across institutions, and shared research experiences in the field at the Angelo Coast Range Reserve and in the laboratory at St. Anthony Falls Laboratory. Additional achievements include: (1) Graduate Museum Assistantships: Four NCED students participated in successful assistantships at the Science Museum of Minnesota. (2) Graduate Student Council: Formed at our 2004 annual retreat, the GSC elects a slate of three officers each year who serve as “connectors” between our institutions, students and PIs and develops and implements initiatives, such as a web-based listing of NCED equipment available for use across institutions and graduate science exchanges around national meetings and site visits. (3) An integrative graduate program in Stream Restoration Engineering and Science (SRES) was established, with input from NCED’s Stream Restoration Partners. It will begin as a Certificate to be added to existing degree programs at Minnesota, developing over time into a degree program with online components for broader dissemination, and is intended to attract students who are more interested in practice than research. (4) The three University of Minnesota (UMTC) departments in NCED (Civil Engineering; Ecology, Evolution and Behavior; Geology and Geophysics) received an NSF IGERT (Integrative Graduate Education and Research Traineeship) award focused on non-equilibrium dynamics across time and space scales in the environment, a theme arising directly from NCED’s quantitative, predictive approach to environmental science. Four NCED PIs are also IGERT participants, two as PIs. The project will prepare scientists across the interfaces of ecology, civil engineering, and the earth sciences to develop a conceptual framework for understanding how physical, chemical, and biological processes integrate across spatial and temporal scales. This framework supports NCED’s mission and brings in a broader cross section of faculty in NCED disciplines. 14 Progress toward achieving our 4-16 education goal – improving the teaching of NCED science through research-education collaboration – includes these accomplishments: (1) Materials for 4-16 education in Earthsurface dynamics: Morin and Campbell, working with NCED’s pre-service teacher interns, external colleagues and classroom teachers, developed, tested, and nationally promoted new course materials for 4-16 teachers based on NCED’s research visualizations (total students involved: 750); our work on 3D visualization was recognized in the New York Times in March, 2005. (2) Professional Development for Teachers: (i) Campbell and SMM staff delivered NCED’s two field, laboratory and museum-based Earthscapes Teacher Institutes to 26 teachers who used their Institute experience to design new field- and lab-based learning experiences for their students. (ii) eight pre-and in-service Earth Science teachers successfully completed ESTREAM internships, designing, documenting, and promoting at professional meetings NCED-based educational activities and materials for NCED’s website and (iv) a set of seven dam-removal stream tables, based on NCED Visitor research, and accompanying visualizations and activities was designed for SMM’s River Restoration Residency program and presented in classrooms, at conferences, and on the National Mall during the July 2005 Smithsonian Folklife Festival. Some of our most exciting achievements in NCED’s first three years significantly advanced our public educational goal, to create unique and stimulating educational experiences, based on NCED science, and communicate these via the national science museum community. We opened to the public our 1.75-acre outdoor science park – the Big Back Yard (BBY) – with its Earthscapes exhibits and miniature golf at the Science Museum of Minnesota in June 2004. Over 100,000 people explored the BBY over the past two years before it closed for the season on October 1, 2005. The park received extensive media coverage, including being the centerpiece for an episode of Dragonfly TV – a science education program produced by Twin Cities Public Television, Inc. with the support of Best Buy and NSF and distributed nationally by PBS. BBY improvements continue to be made with the help of a summative evaluation conducted in August 2004. NCED’s 3D visualizations have also gained increasing attention in our first three years [Fountain, 2005; Lubick, 2005]. For example, 40,000 copies of two Morin-designed 3D maps were printed and sold in summer 2005 to geology departments, professional geological organizations, and museums throughout the U.S. These maps also will be incorporated into a new Earth science textbook to be published in 2007. A summer 2005 program prototyped the use of GeoWall2 [Morin et al., 2003] at the Science Museum of Minnesota, as part of SMM’s strategy to advance the use of 3D Earth-surface computer- and paperbased visualizations in museums nationwide. A major outcome of this prototyping work was major visualization software improvements that significantly advanced the GeoWall2’s versatility to serve both educational and research purposes. Our work in public (informal) education took on new dimensions as NCED partnered with PBS NOVA in Year 3 to provide experiments that helped illustrate Earth-surface processes for national television audiences Later that year we collaborated with the USDA Forest Service to bring a three-part stream restoration exhibit – based on NCED Visitor research and including an experimental flume collecting live data – to 1,000,000 visitors at the 2005 Smithsonian Folklife Festival. These events provided NCED vital new experience in public education. The Science Museum of Minnesota, building on NCED’s integrated research-exhibit development model, has been awarded NSF Informal Science Education and NOAA funding to develop Water Planet, a 5,000 square foot nationally traveling exhibition on the global water cycle. Twenty science centers from across the U.S. already have expressed interest in leasing Water Planet, although this exhibition will not begin its national tour until fall 2009. This major public education project, for which NCED PI Patrick Hamilton serves as lead PI, will communicate the science of NCED and two other STCs (SAHRA and WaterCAMPWS) to millions of citizens across the U.S. 6.1.3. Plans for Years 6-10 At the graduate level, NCED plans to continue our very successful methods for providing a unique inter-institutional and inter-disciplinary experience for our graduate students. In addition to our methods and programs described under “achievements above”, we will formalize the involvement of interinstitutional advisors by ensuring their presence on doctoral committees. We will capitalize on the “bonding” experience of shared field and lab experiences by extending these opportunities to include our new depositional site and new laboratory facilities at UC Berkeley Richmond Field Station and University of Illinois Ven de Chow Laboratory. As our University of Minnesota integrative programs described above (the IGERT program and Stream Restoration (SRES) Certificate) mature, we will promote them as national models. Finally, we will begin immediately to offer our integrative model of research to a wider audience of graduate students through regular short course and summer institute opportunities for graduate students outside NCED institutions. At the 4-16 level, we plan to continue our successful ESTREAM internship program for pre- and in-service teachers to develop NCED related education material for distribution over the web. We will maintain connections with “alumni” of this program, offering them new materials for their classrooms and supporting their participation in national science and education conferences to promote and demonstrate the use of NCED-developed educational 15 resources. NCED will also maintain its EarthScapes summer Teacher Institute and school-year River Restoration Residency to bring NCED research methods and results to the 4-12 classroom, regionally. Development and testing of research-grade 3D visualizations at the 4-12 and undergraduate level will continue through local testing in Minnesota and nationally via the web. NCED-related modules for undergraduate instruction will be developed based on undergraduate courses being taught by NCED PIs and alumni graduate students and made available via NCED’s web site. NCED’s growing data archive will provide actual and in the case of ACRR, live, data for use in these modules. Finally, NCED will capitalize on its successful research-museum experiences to date to model the use of museums as undergraduate instructional space as detailed in the following section. At the public education level, NCED will continue to use the Big Back Yard as the focal point of our Earthsurface science education efforts and will continue to recruit and train diverse youth to serve as interpreters in the park. We have already begun collaborating on telling the Mississippi Delta story to the public at SMM and will develop at least one new exhibit component on subsidence, sedimentation, and land loss in the Delta either for the BBY or for Water Planet. Additionally, we will develop novel approaches to deliver NCED science to new audiences through a two-part strategy: (1) Undergraduate Education – make SMM an educational resource for undergraduate students attending nearby colleges and universities by developing ways in which museum exhibits can better serve the needs of Earth science curricula. (2) National Audiences – Expand the delivery of NCED-related research and science from the regional audiences that predominately comprise SMM’s BBY attendance to the national audiences served by SMM’s traveling exhibitions and 3D cinema shows. 6.1.3.1. Museums as undergraduate instructional resources: Experiences in the BBY and in sharing SAFL experimental space and 3D visualization equipment with local undergraduate and graduate institutions have shown us that there is a need for well-supported research-related instructional facilities for undergraduate students. To develop such a space in an existing gallery at SMM, we will: (1) involve instructors interested in bringing and/or directing their students to museums in the modification of existing exhibit components and/or the development, design, and fabrication of new Earth-process science exhibit components so that they facilitate undergraduate education while also serving the primary general public audience; (2) develop a website to provide detailed instructions on how various existing exhibit components can be used to investigate in greater depth specific undergraduate course content related to Earth-process science; and (3) incorporate high-resolution visualization equipment into selected existing Earth-process science exhibit components, which then will have the capacity to allow undergraduate students to access lab-related material, while at the same time providing museum visitors exposure to high-quality visualizations. We are excited about this potentially fertile intermingling of informal and formal education. We believe that our proposed efforts to strengthen museums’ ability to enhance the delivery of earth science concepts to undergraduate students will inform and motivate formal and informal educational communities elsewhere and could involve a wide range of scientific disciplines. We will evaluate this work carefully and will present it to professionals in both museum and academic communities. 6.1.3.2. National audiences: NCED will build on the success of the Big Back Yard and the intrinsic appeal that both adults and children find in landscapes to develop products that will deliver NCED-related research and science to national audiences. In Years Five-Ten, we will do this through two initiatives: HD 3D cinema and Water Planet. (1) HD 3D Cinema: In 2004, SMM expanded from being a leading developer of large-format films to also becoming a producer of 3D HD cinema. It premiered Mars 3D in October 2004 and is now leasing this show to other science museums and centers around the U.S. for presentation on their screens. Dynamic and arresting landscapes have long been popular subjects for large-format films. The addition of 3D (along with animation and physical modeling) offers great potential for the creation of a HD 3D cinema that not only presents landscapes in arresting detail but makes it possible to portray accurately the actual processes of landscape evolution and channel dynamics. The physical modeling expertise of NCED combined with SMM’s 25 years of experience in the production of largeformat educational films provides the means necessary to create a 20-minute HD 3D cinema that will present to large audiences the key concept that landscapes are not immutable and static forms but in fact are constantly evolving in response to continually changing physical and biological forces. In addition to being an effective public education tool, we anticipate serendipitous results from a 3D HD collaboration that will aid the scientific research of NCED in particular and the Earth-process science community in general. (2) Water Planet: Jointly funded by NSF Informal Science Education and NOAA, this 5,000 square-foot traveling exhibition, web site, and associated programs will use dynamic story-telling technologies to show museum visitors how water mediates many of the interactions among the atmosphere, hydrosphere, cryosphere, biosphere, and geosphere. Informed by research on cognition and pedagogy [Callanan et al., 2002; Edelson and Gordin, 1998; Jolly et al., 2004; Kali and Orion, 1997], the exhibition will help visitors to make the connection between their focus on local water conservation and pollution issues and the way the entire planet functions. Of the five main areas of the exhibition, one will be 16 devoted to conveying NCED-related research and science. An elegant feature of many Earth-surface processes is that they are scalable. Processes occurring over large stretches of space and time can be replicated by physical models or visualizations in just a few square feet in size and in only minutes or even seconds. A number of the Earth-process science exhibit components developed by NCED for the BBY will be replicated for display in Water Planet. SMM will assemble these exhibit components around the Digital River Basin (DRB), a scientific visualization technology developed by the Mississippi RiverWeb Museum Consortium (SMM, St. Louis Science Center, Illinois State Museum, University of Illinois). Water Planet will open at SMM in 2008 and begin a national tour in 2009. We estimate that these new learning tools will reach some 4 million people in at least 20 museums throughout the U.S. Finally, Water Planet will contribute to gidakiimanaaniwigamig (Our Earth Lodge), NCED’s program for Native K-12 students. Water Planet will bring Native American high school students together with staff from SMM/NCED to produce a land-use/water-quality outreach program that the teens will present to their elders. 6.2. Human Resources Development: Diversity 6.2.1. Goals, Motivation, and Approach The goal of NCED’s Diversity Initiative is to increase participation by underrepresented groups in NCED scientific disciplines until minority representation is continuously reflective of the U.S. national population. This includes an immediate improvement in participation by members of all underrepresented groups in NCED itself, and a specific focus on improvement in representation of Native Americans in NCED related disciplines. Our motivation is that NCED’s research mission is enriched by the inclusion of diverse voices. The environmental sciences have generally underperformed other area of science and engineering in minority representation. For long-term success, efforts must be made to interest minority students in the sciences at an early age, and to sustain that interest over the course of their educational careers. To achieve this, NCED must itself be a model of a diverse research and learning community. Our approach is (1) to actively pursue research collaborations with faculty from institutions with high minority enrollments, and particularly with Minority-Serving Institutions (MSIs), to spread the excitement of NCED research beyond the boundaries of our institutions; (2) to provide research experiences for underrepresented undergraduate students so that they can engage in field and laboratory experiments and gain the desire to be research scientists; and (3) to network with local communities in order to immerse youth in science so that they can discover and gain necessary skills for pursuing careers in science, technology, engineering, and mathematics. 6.2.2. Achievements Since its inception, NCED has made steady progress in increasing the diversity of our researchers and staff. Participation by members of underrepresented groups in our research program, including graduate students, post docs, and faculty, has risen from 8% at NCEDs inception in 2002 to 15% by fall of 2005. 6.2.2.1. Undergraduate Summer Internship Program (USIP): USIP brings undergraduate students from underrepresented groups to NCED institutions for a 10-week summer program each year and has been an important mechanism for accomplishing our diversity mission. Undergraduate research experiences show a high level of success in promoting enrollment in graduate school by minorities [Brazziel and Brazziel, 2001; George et al., 2001; Huntoon, 2004]. Of the students supported through this program, 86% have expressed a desire to continue their education in graduate programs, and 28% have been accepted into graduate programs. 6.2.2.2. Ando-giikendaasowin (Seek to Know) and Gidakiimanaaniwigamig (Our Earth Lodge): NCED’s scienceimmersion programs for Native American youth have become models for partnership between science centers and local communities for introducing young people from underrepresented groups to science, math, engineering, and technology careers. The camps integrate science concepts and traditional community practices [Cajete, 1999; Cleary and Peacock, 1998; James, 2001] NCEDs camps have been carefully coordinated with other camps and programs which are organized by NCED and Fond Du Lac Tribal and Community College (FDLTCC) staff and researchers and funded through other leveraged sources. Students participating in our seasonal camps have been active participants in local and national science fairs. More than 100 students have participated in NCED camps and related activities, with 53% attending more than one activity. Students are showing improvements in math and science grades and test scores. The first of our Gidakiimanaaniwigamig students to graduate from high school has been accepted into the University of St. Thomas with a full scholarship. Several other Gidakiimanaaniwigamig students are in their sophomore and junior years in high school and have plans to continue on to college. 6.2.3. Plans for Years 6-10 6.2.3.1. Gidakiimanaaniwigamig and Ando-giikendaasowin: Since the inception of NCED, our Native Youth programs have been integrated with the research program and with our programs at the Science Museum of Minnesota. In the future, this collaborative work will be expanded through innovative programming associated with 17 the SMM’s new Water Planet traveling exhibition. Also in the second five years undergraduates studying teaching at FDLTCC will be recruited as teachers for the camps in order to give them experience in teaching science and math activities to Native American youths. NCED will merge the Gidakiimanaaniwigamig and Andogiikendaasowin programs and run both the middle-school and high-school camps at FDLTCC. As students build expertise with multiple camp experiences, NCED will coordinate participation in non-NCED science programs and internships. FDLTCC is coordinating a regional science fair which will involve students from NCED’s program and students from other tribes within northern Minnesota and Wisconsin. 6.2.3.2. Undergraduate Summer Internship Program (USIP): NCED’s successful USIP program will be expanded to include larger numbers of students and placements at various NCED institutions. As an accompaniment to our Undergraduate Summer Internship Program, in the second five years NCED will develop the Nibi (Water) program with FDLTCC. The focus of this program will be to track and advise students who have finished their first two years of undergraduate study at FDLTCC as they complete their undergraduate degrees at the University of Minnesota or another university. Students in the program will be offered summer environmental jobs during the years at FDLTCC which will prepare them for working in a research environment. As they continue as juniors and seniors at their transfer institute, they will be encouraged to apply to NCED’s Undergraduate Summer Internship Program. As USIP students, they will be able to pursue research at any NCED institution, including FDLTCC. 6.2.3.3. Graduate Recruiting: We intend to continue our vigorous program of graduate recruiting, including the USIP program above as well as visits to recruiting venues such as the American Indian Science and Engineering Society (AISES) National Conference, the Society for the Advancement of Chicanos and Native Americans in Science (SACNAS) National Conference, the American Indian Higher Education Consortium (AIHEC) National Coference, state and regional Louis Stokes Alliance for Minority Participation (LSAMP) conferences, and the Faculty to Faculty program below. In addition, one of the motivations in our new SRES Certificate program, described above, was to provide an additional portal to NCED graduate research that we believe will broaden access to minority students. The program will be designed to make it straightforward to transfer to research-oriented MS or PhD programs for students with the desire and aptitude to do so. 6.2.3.4. Faculty-to-Faculty (F2F): In 2005, NCED piloted its new Faculty-to-Faculty program, which, by involving faculty from Minority-Serving Institutions in NCED research projects, will foster long-term relationships that will lead to a natural increase in the flow of underrepresented individuals into graduate and postgraduate positions at NCED and other national research centers. To attract minority students, we must build relations with MSIs, and the best way to do this is by supporting junior faculty. Programs like the NSF Collaboratives to Integrate Research and Education (CIRE) program have demonstrated that bringing MSIs and national research centers together in research collaborations is a successful method of increasing the flow of underrepresented individuals into graduate and post-graduate positions in some of the best-funded research enterprises in the nation. In the report of the Geosciences Diversity Workshop, August 2000, NSF, two of the key recommendations were that NSF should foster educational and research partnerships/collaborations/exchanges between and among minority serving institutions and research centers and ‘facilitate the establishment/development/enhancement of educational and research capabilities in minority serving institutions’ [National Science Foundation, 2000]. The Faculty to Faculty program is designed around these two key goals. NCED will also gain understanding of institutional and other barriers to participation by underrepresented groups so that we can more effectively work to eliminate them. [Adessa and Sonnewald, 2003; Committee on Equal Opportunities in Science and Engineering, 1998] By also involving graduate students from these institutions, NCED will foster the development of new PhDs from underrepresented groups in NCED disciplines. In addition, faculty at MSIs will gain a new level of excitement and interest in NCED research, as well as access to NCED teaching material, which we believe will help them in turn excite their students about NCED research. The research partnerships will also help to build the research infrastructure of the faculty members’ home institutions. At present, we have F2F connections with Florida A&M University, Texas A&M University Kingsville and Jackson State University. F2F was developed based on discussions with MSI leadership and research on best practices in supporting young faculty [Luna and Cullen, 1995; Sorcinelli, 2000; Turner, 2002]. Individuals from MSIs are identified to participate in the Faculty to Faculty program based on research interests consistent with NCED’s purpose. Once identified, NCED develops relationships with these potential participants through professional meetings, visits to NCED facilities, participation in an NCED working group, and/or the opportunity to deliver an NCED videoseminar. Once selected to participate in Faculty to Faculty, participants will be provided mentoring by NCED PIs comparable to that provided for junior faculty at NCED institutions, including help in developing a research program, networking and contacts, and, as appropriate, further research collaboration. 18 7. Knowledge Transfer NCED’s Knowledge Transfer Initiative has two main, non-exclusive target groups: application partners and the broader research community. Applications of NCED research range from land use management and planning through stream restoration design to exploration and development of subsurface hydrocarbon and water resources. We strongly believe in the value of basic science in solving problems and in societal needs as a motivation for basic research. Thus knowledge transfer is intimately interwoven with the work of each IP, as discussed below. 7.1. Desktop Watersheds A major part of the motivation for Desktop Watersheds is the need for better tools for analyzing, forecasting, and managing landscape and land use dynamics. Hence we will share outcomes of DW research with the academic and applied geomorphology communities, government regulators, and industrial scientists to advance and put into practice Desktop Watershed approaches and models. This will be accomplished through three means. First, we will make models available over the web, as we have done with our model for estimating probable locations of shallow landslides (SHALSTAB at http://socrates.berkeley.edu/~geomorph). In collaboration with our Partner, Stillwater Sciences, we are currently assembling the first cut of a Desktop Watershed model for estimating limiting factors for salmon. By Year 10 of NCED, we plan to have available a dynamic version of this model. We will also put components of this model, such as channel slope determination, grain size calculation and stream temperature estimation, on the web using our existing Toolbox format, described below. Second, in conjunction with model release we will hold workshops and short courses to introduce potential users to Desktop Watersheds and model applications. Third, we will collaborate with various groups (government and industry scientists, non-government organizations, and others) in the application of Desktop Watersheds to specific landscapes. We will purposely seek diverse regions and problems. In addition to these three means, we will write papers and give talks widely in order to convey what we have learned and receive insight from others. At present, the DW group meets informally with its Partners Group, which includes CALFED, the USDA-FS, and several private consulting companies (Stillwater Sciences, R2). 7.2. Subsurface Architecture An ability to predict subsurface architecture is critical to the discovery and development of societally critical hydrocarbon and water resources. Thus NCED SA research to date has attracted an industrial Partners Group comprising six companies (Anadarko Petroleum, ConocoPhillips, Chevron, ExxonMobil, Japan Oil Gas and Mineral, and Shell). Knowledge Transfer activities with this group include annual meetings, short courses, and research visits. So far NCED has trained over 100 industrial scientists and managers from five continents in our quantitative, experimentally oriented approach through industrial short courses (typically two per year). Visits generally focus on experiments designed jointly by NCED PIs and industrial scientists. We will continue to share insight, data sets, and models generated by the SA IP with the academic, industrial and government communities by the following means. Experimental data are available over the web. These include high-resolution time series of surface topography and associated volumes of subsurface stratigraphy. These volumes will be available both in raw form and as SEGY files for visualization and interpretation using reflection seismic software. Co-registered grain size and sorting data will also be made available. Analyses leading to the development of preservation algorithms will be published as will the interpreted data used to capture the scaling and statistical signature of the processes controlling generation of subsurface architecture. We are committed to working with industrial, academic and government associates to increase the release of industry collected, 3D seismic data into the public domain. To help generate momentum for this transfer, NCED will provide as many examples as possible demonstrating the utility of 3D seismic data in the mass balance approach to quantitative stratigraphic analysis. Short courses focused on real-time laboratory experiments will continue to be offered to our industrial partners and a plan is being developed to offer these courses to graduate students and post-docs. Materials summarizing SA IP results will also be developed for presentation in the class room. Short courses based on these materials will be offered at selected annual meetings of appropriate professional societies starting in Year 6. In Years 6-10 our SA KT program will increasingly integrate with that of SR as we develop our joint project on deposition in delta systems and work to develop environmental applications of stratigraphy. To that end, we have just initiated a new NCED working group on environmental stratigraphy. The focus includes both groundwater applications for which prediction of aquifer continuity is critical, and applications of stratigraphic history and reconstruction in the design of restoration projects. In both arenas, it is essential that we develop better means of taking advantage of the billions of dollars in subsurface seismic, well-log, and core data already amassed by the oil industry. NCED, with its unique combination of strengths in restoration and subsurface analysis, is ideally suited to play a leadership role in this. 7.3. Stream Restoration Our goal is to serve as a national center for stream restoration science, a role supported by our position within research institutions and maintained by an active collaboration with restoration practitioners. The 19 SR Partners Group includes USGS, USEPA, USACE, USBR, and USDA, state natural resource agencies, and private consulting companies (e.g. Wildlands Hydrology, Stillwater Sciences, R2). The Partners Group informs NCED of the training and research needs of the stream restoration community and provides a constituency ready to improve practice by incorporating new science and knowledge generated by NCED and others. Key elements of this exchange are the availability of open-source methods and models, access to restoration research, and promotion of an expectation of predictive design in a two-way collaboration between science and practice. In our partner interactions, we strive to maintain a consistent, straightforward agenda: improving stream restoration practice through improved restoration science and knowledge transfer. Interactions with our Partners Group include a range of meetings, information archiving, and developing training materials and design models and methods. The primary goal of our annual Partners meetings is to promote exchange of information needs and available knowledge. We propose to hold this gathering near restoration projects that provide opportunities for learning; our partners have suggested a ‘best and worst restoration project’ organization. Smaller partner meetings are held on particular subjects, such as developing a rational organization to current training opportunities. A primary knowledge-transfer vehicle is our online stream restoration Toolbox, a set of tools supporting channel assessment and design. The tools are presented as Visual Basic modules embedded in Microsoft Excel documents, with fully worked examples, in order to promote the broadest possible accessibility. The programs are accompanied by separate Powerpoint documents that explain the theory and use of the module. The Toolbox will continue to grow in the years to come and will expand to include modules on ecology, geochemistry, and spatial and statistical analysis. We are collaborating with our partners in an effort to organize and develop training and educational training opportunities in stream restoration. The SR portal (http://www.streamrestoration.net) includes a catalog of training and educational courses available throughout North America. The site will ultimately include course details and curriculum. We are developing stream restoration training courses that promote a predictive and interdisciplinary approach. We coordinate these efforts with SR partners active in training, in order to help develop a consistent and rational approach to restoration practice. An important KT effort in Stream Restoration is our SR newsletter, the Stream Restoration Networker, which had its first issue in the summer 2005 and will be issued quarterly. More information is at http://www.nced.umn.edu/stream_newsletter.html. SR knowledge transfer also involves active collaboration with those engaged in restoration research. Our KT efforts in this regard include organizing sessions at professional conferences, organizing and supporting workshops and working groups (see below), presenting training workshops for advanced graduate students and junior faculty, NCED and sabbatical visitors. 7.4. Additional KT mechanisms 7.4.1. Short courses NCED holds various short courses aimed at both graduate students and professional practitioners. Topics have included stream restoration, and shallow-water and deep-water processes for oil-industry practitioners. Our short-course offerings will expand in Year 4 with courses during the summer and around national meetings – for instance, there will be one on Mountain Rivers after the 2005 Fall AGU meeting. This one will be free; future ones may involve modest fees but our goal is to be able to offer 2-3 courses per year and subsidize most of the costs for participation of students and postdocs. 7.4.2. Working groups Based on the National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis (NCEAS) model, NCED has since Year 2 been hosting working groups in which a small (10-15) group of researchers convenes for several days to work intensively on a specific problem of critical interest within NCED’s mission. We attempt to be catholic in setting up the groups, including Partners, MSI faculty, junior faculty, and postdocs. The program is growing: it began with one in Year 2 on mathematical modeling methods; in Year 3 this one continued and we initated two more (carbon storage in floodplains and environmental stratigraphy). In addition, in Year 2 we hosted a more traditional workshop on dam removal that is expected to lead to a working group on the same topic in Year 4. Following advice from NCEAS we initially set the topics and appointed the group leader (not an NCED PI in most cases). As we gain experience, in Years 6-10 we will open working group organization to the community via a competitive proposal process. 7.4.3. Visitors Program This is the most demanding of NCED’s general KT programs in terms of resources and time, but it has also been one of the most successful. It allows visitors to come to NCED facilities to carry out their own research, so far mostly experimental. Visitors are selected competitively based on a short proposal that is evaluated in terms of feasibility, scientific value, and relevance to NCED’s mission. NCED covers most or all of the cost including subsistence and the technical cost of designing and setting up the experimental or other required 20 equipment. Visitors join the mix of informal mentors available to NCED graduate students, giving videoconference seminars and other talks during their stays. Their enthusiasm and focus while doing visiting research also makes Visitors ideal advisors for NCED education efforts; indeed some of our most successful education projects incorporate Visitor research. Visitors are expected to provide a report of their work at the end of their stay and to keep NCED informed of further developments such as publications and proposals. We strongly encourage Visitors from outside of academia including industrial and government researchers. So far 19 Visitors have participated in the program. To date, all have performed research at St. Anthony Falls Laboratory; in 2006, Visitors will also work at other NCED facilities. In Year 4 the Visitor Program will begin to focus Visitor research on a specified critical research area that supplements important NCED research. In 2006 the topic is fluvial-sediment and 2d morphology and includes research on sediment transport monitoring technologies and 2D morphological controls on sediment transport. The project will involve NCED PI’s, graduate students, NCED Partners, and visiting researchers. Visitor Program funds will support participation of university researchers, federal agency researchers and visiting consultants in this community research experiment in the Main Channel Facility at SAFL. 7.4.4. Sabbatical visits NCED has also made funds available to support visits by faculty members on sabbatical, to pursue topics that contribute to NCED’s mission. We can provide full or partial salary support as well as help with travel and lodging. 7.4.5. NCED website and data archive The Center website is www.nced.umn.edu. A primary vehicle for NCED KT, it has evolved in NCED’s first three years from a static site, to a dynamic one which includes news, links, downloadable NCED seminars and talks, an image bank, a large base of archival sediment and channel geometry data, and information and results from all three IPs. We have had good results in the last year using wikis and other online collaboration tools for internal discussion. We have just launched NCED’s forum page, http://forum.nced.umn.edu/ for project related discussions and internal NCED discussion. In the Spring of 2006, the forum will be expanded to the larger community, providing online space for discussion and sharing of results on a variety of topics within NCED’s mission area. NCED now hosts a fully operational online archive, providing access to NCED-generated and archival data of importance to the research and education communities. Through a web-based interface, researchers can upload both data and meta-data, which is then added to a fully secure, mirrored archival server. Descriptive summary information is added for each experimental “run” or field “campaign”. Visitors to NCED’s website may then download data, such as “peels” from our subsiding basin or images of our experimental delta, in zipped sets or as individual images. Data in the archive is discoverable through popular search engines such as Google; metadata is stored in a manner consistent with developing community standards. NCED staff are in regular contact with efforts such as CHRONOS, CUAHSI, CLEANER, NEON, GEON and FGIT to ensure that NCED’s data management practices are consistent with other NSF-funded efforts. 7.5. Research community and related environmental centers NCED seeks to include the wider research community in its efforts via a range of efforts discussed above. We also work with related center programs including CUAHSI, SAHRA, WaterCAMPWS, LTER, CLEANER, WSSC, NEON, CENS, GEON, and CHRONOS. Specific examples include the newly funded SMM Water Planet project, joint with SAHRA and WaterCAMPWS; and cooperation with CUAHSI including an emerging collaboration on our SA project and efforts to exploit complementarity between the NCED Desktop Watershed and CUAHSI Digital Watershed projects. We have worked with NSF personnel to organize a series of forums on defining a vision for sedimentary geology; four have been hosted so far, and the effort has spawned a working group on environmental stratigraphy that among other things is now leading development of a research initiative on subsurface applications to Mississippi Delta restoration. We are also working with NSF to organize a “summit meeting” of environmental center leaders this winter to promote cross-center coordination. We have also been working closely with the team leading the push for creation of a Community Surface Dynamics Modeling System (CSDMS), which would provide tools for numerical modeling of surface dynamics on an open-source basis, created by and available to the research community. The CSDMS, with its focus on numerical modeling, nicely complements NCED’s focus on developing tools and algorithms based on field and experimental observation. NCED Director Chris Paola serves on the leadership team for CSDMS, and two other NCED PIs have been involved in CSDMS planning workshops. A CSDMS proposal to establish a national center, based on extensive community input fostered by NCED and the proposed lead organization, University of Colorado/INSTAAR, will be submitted to NSF in February 2006. If NCED is renewed and CSDMS is funded, NCED will co-fund up to 3 shared “liaison” postdoctoral researchers to insure that NCED results are quickly incorporated into CSDMS numerical modules. 21 8. Rationale for the Center concept The Earth’s surface is “the environment” for nearly all life and human activity. People tend to view the surface as relatively static. But the more we think on intergenerational time scales and seek resilient, self-sustaining solutions to environmental problems, the more we must understand the surface as dynamic, evolving in response to anthropogenic and natural influences. At present, we do not have the tools we need to make reliable, quantitative predictions of surface evolution to guide decision making and management. The complexity of the surface environment demands a unified science comprising elements of earth sciences (e.g. geomorphology, geochemistry, sedimentary geology), engineering (hydrology, hydraulics), ecology, and social sciences. The disciplines involved span a wide range of programs within NSF. So the first major rationale for tackling Earth-surface dynamics via the center mode is that integrated Earth-surface dynamics is intrinsically transdisciplinary and cannot be done effectively within the confines of program-specific support. NCED is to our knowledge the only center in the world devoted to this unified, transdisciplinary approach to Earth-surface dynamics. Catalyzing a new approach to science requires time: for researchers from diverse disciplines to understand one another and develop productive working relationships; to become a focal point for the research community; to carry out ambitious projects; to have repeated contact with students; and to achieve the kind of major research results that demonstrate the power of the new approach. In Earth-surface dynamics, time is crucial also because the systems we work on evolve slowly and in many cases are active infrequently. So the second fundamental rationale for the center mode is that achieving NCED’s goals requires sustained effort. Each of the three research IPs is inherently transdisciplinary and ambitious enough to require sustained collaborative research, so each is individually ‘center-worthy’. But all three benefit strongly by being done together under the common umbrella of a major research center. The three projects are built on a common scientific core, so that common problems can be identified and tackled, and advances in one project accelerate progress in the others. The common scientific core begins with channels and channel networks, with their similarity across environments and scales, and also includes recurring channel structures (e.g. bedforms, bars, lobes, fans, braiding and meandering); scaling and similarity; stochastic effects and uncertainty; human impacts on natural processes; and physical-biological interactions. The center-based approach to Earth-surface dynamics allows us to fully capitalize on this core of common concepts and methods to accelerate our research and its application to benefit society. The center structure allows for comprehensive integration of knowledge transfer into NCED’s research program. The center mode gives NCED researchers immediate access to a national network of agencies and commercial companies that apply Earth-surface research to problems ranging from landscape management and restoration to finding hydrocarbons, gives these practitioners access to NCED research results, and allows for synergies among different application areas – for example, the possibility of using industrial subsurface data to aid in designing a restoration program for the Mississippi Delta. NCED also functions as a center for the research community by hosting workshops, working groups, and short courses, supporting leveraged research, and providing postdoc opportunities and access to NCED facilities via our energetic Visitors Program. One of the most significant outcomes of center-mode operation is the close collaboration between researchers and the Science Museum of Minnesota. The first phase of this culminated in the opening of the EarthScapes exhibits at the SMM near the end of Year 2, as discussed in the Education section of this proposal. There is no way that a research-education collaboration on this scale could be undertaken outside of a center. The partnership we have developed over our first three years of operation allowed us to respond quickly to a request to participate in the Smithsonian Folklife Festival this year, and will provide the basis for further collaboration with the SMM and other informal education institutions (described above) if NCED is renewed. The center mode also makes possible an ongoing teacher education program that links the SMM, researchers, and teachers to provide a growing set of teaching materials that are shared via our website. The continuity provided by the center mode enhances the quality of the program, helps attract the best teachers to it, and lets us develop new teaching materials in a programmed, systematic way. The center mode also provides a nexus by which advanced research methods like 3D visualization and wireless sensor networks can be brought rapidly into education at all levels. Our museum connection allows us to offer Museum Assistantships to our graduate students, which along with an “extended family” approach to advising and a greatly enlarged peer network, provides a uniquely rich graduate experience that would not be possible without the center structure. The environmental sciences suffer from inadequate representation of our diverse U.S. population. A center creates a focal point in Earth-surface science for interested minority students, and makes possible summer research and other access programs to allow minority students to experience the excitement of transdisciplinary surfaceprocess research first hand. Finally, the sustained nature of center activity provides program continuity for our Native American camps and other minority programs, a factor that numerous studies have shown to be critical for long-term success. 22 9. Management Plan 9.1. Goals of NCED Management The overall responsibilities of NCED management are to articulate the Center’s vision, to keep the Center moving towards it, and to maximize the Center’s added value: the difference between the whole and the sum of its parts. NCED management does this by: working with center participants to formulate compelling, well focused initiatives; facilitating communication about the Center’s goals, initiatives, and expectations among center participants; and promoting synthesis and synergy across Center initiatives. NCED is neither a “top down” nor a “bottom up” organization but rather one that encourages shared goals and rapid, clear communication throughout its network of participants, seeking an optimal balance between consensus and efficiency, and between creative adaptation to changing circumstances and organizational stability. NCED’s management plan is driven by the goals expressed in our statement of purpose and developed in our strategic implementation plan (SIP). NCED uses an array of metrics to measure progress towards these goals; these are available at the renewal supplementary website. 9.2. Administration Administration of the center is bound by NCED’s by-laws and cooperative agreement, available online at our website http://www.nced.umn.edu. NCED’s central administrative body organizes and evaluates Center activities at three interconnected levels: the Directorate, the Executive Committee and the External Advisory Board. 9.2.1. Directorate The Director (Chris Paola) and Co-Director (Efi Foufoula-Georgiou) are responsible for the overall operation and performance of the Center, in particular for scientific direction and strategic planning, overall resource allocation, and communication of objectives and strategy with center participants, the Executive Committee, NSF, and the External Advisory Board. The Deputy Director Administration and staff are responsible for overseeing day-to-day center management and use of Center resources. 9.2.2. Executive Committee (EC) The Executive Committee is composed of PIs who meet regularly by videoconference and in person at the site visit and EAB meeting to provide leadership in carrying out the mission and vision of the Center. Membership includes leaders of NCED major initiatives, the Directors, and one or more additional PIs chosen by the Director with the advice of the PIs, to provide adequate representation of NCED as a whole. The Executive Committee is charged with ongoing review of Center performance including progress on research projects and individual PIs, and also with assisting the Director and Co-Director in formulating policy, allocating funds, selecting center research personnel, and evaluating NCED management performance. The Executive Committee includes: Chris Paola (Director), Efi Foufoula-Georgiou (Co-Director), Bill Dietrich (Lead PI DW), Peter Wilcock (Lead PI SR), David Mohrig (Lead PI SA), Mary Power (member at large, NCED PI), Karen Campbell (Education Director), Diana Dalbotten (Diversity Director), Jeff Marr (Knowledge Transfer Director) and Rochelle Storfer (Deputy Director, Administration). 9.2.3. External Advisory Board (EAB) The External Advisory Board provides the Center with guidance on research, education and knowledge transfer accomplishments, plans and goals. NCED meets formally with the EAB annually and communicates informally with the EAB Chair as needed. The annual meeting includes presentations on all aspects of NCED’s activities in the current year and an update on its plans. The meeting culminates with a written report by the EAB, which is provided to the Director within two weeks of the end of the meeting, followed by a written response from the Director within two weeks. All recommendations given by the EAB, received in the form of a report, are taken seriously by NCED management and strongly influence NCED policy and direction. The current membership of the EAB may be found at the NCED web site, www.nced.umn.edu. 9.3. Organizing NCED’s Research The main challenge for NCED in its first three years has been to narrow its focus sufficiently to bring all its “research particles” within interaction range of one another. We began narrowing our focus, during Year 2, by restricting attention to channels and channel networks, the single most striking and widespread self-organized pattern on Earth (and other planets as well) and a natural focal point for a center devoted to predictive understanding of Earth-surface dynamics. To further reduce research scattering, during Year 3 we migrated our research program to a project-based structure, based on the three Integrated Projects discussed above. From the point of view of management, these IPs provide a natural means of setting priorities, goals, and deliverables by which ongoing and proposed research projects and PIs can be evaluated. Because the IP goals are intermediate in scale between the center’s overall mission and its collection of day-to-day research tasks, they serve a crucial management need: to maintain a clear “line of sight” between long-term and short-term objectives. 23 The Integrated Projects were chosen to be: (1) scientifically compelling, (2) broad and cross disciplinary, but also (3) focused enough to allow for measurable progress each year and major progress over several years, (4) societally relevant, and (5) integrative in terms of our core scientific expertise. In particular, all three IPs capitalize on NCED’s strength in combining field, laboratory, and theoretical approaches. Each Integrated Project is led by a project leader and steering committee who, together with NCED management, establish priorities and targets for work on the IP, determine allocation of resources among research activities, evaluate ongoing or potential outside collaborations, establish working groups, and select synthesis group postdoctoral researchers and Visitor Program participants. Each Integrated Project comprises a set number of priority research areas, which are listed in Section 5 of this proposal. Identification of the priority research areas is the responsibility of the IP leader with input from all PIs involved in the IP. Each research topic requires multiple investigators and subprojects to complete. The priority research area list serves three purposes: 1) it provides organization, direction and timing to the research that needs to be conducted 2) it provides a structure and guide for what specific research questions need to be answered, in what order and by which NCED researchers and 3) it provides a means of evaluating progress toward the final goals of the IP. Tracking of progress within the IP is done by the IP Project Manager. It is the responsibility of the Project Managers to provide quarterly progress updates to the Lead PI. This information will be compiled by communicating with the individual NCED PI’s and students and extracting from them project status in terms of anticipated end dates and percent completion. The IP leader will use this information in determining future direction for the IP and will report this information to the Directors and Executive Committee. We expect the Integrated Projects to evolve in time. They will be continuously evaluated in terms of their scientific importance, societal relevance, and appropriateness for NCED. To insure that we remain open to new possibilities for growth, we support small research programs in areas that are possible targets for future work and/or high-risk but potentially high-return topics consistent with our mission but outside our current IP structure. 9.4. Promoting communication and synthesis The center cannot add up to more than the sum of its parts if the parts don’t communicate. Thus one of the crucial tasks of center management is to encourage and facilitate communication among the center’s 150+ participants, deployed across the continental U.S.. We do this via the following means: center meetings, including PIs, grad students and postdocs, held typically twice per year; weekly videoconferences; use of collaboration as a metric for PI evaluation; and Partner meetings, workshops and working groups involving PIs, postdocs and graduate students. The NCED postdoc program is designed to encourage collaboration and synthesis: NCED central administration provides postdoc funding to PIs as a 50% match, contingent on at least two PIs agreeing to advise and support the postdoc by providing the remaining 50% of the funding. In Year 3 we added a Grad Student Council, which among other initiatives plans yearly center-wide graduate retreats to promote communication and exchange of ideas. 9.5. Management and monitoring 9.5.1. Determining NCED Research Goals: selection and termination of projects Multiple NCED PIs conduct research within a single IP Priority Research Area. The leader and steering committee for each Integrated Project must recognize when 1) work on an individual research project is complete or 2) insufficient progress is being made, and/or 3) priorities have changed and require refocusing of resources. Projects are terminated on this basis by the IP leader with input from the directorate, appropriate NCED PIs, and the Executive Committee. Identification of completed research or initiation of new research will be led by the Lead PI based on the progress reports compiled by the Project Manager. Project assessment will be conducted at least semi-annually at NCED PI retreats. 9.5.2. Allocating the Center’s Resources The fundamental expression of NCED priorities is in how we allocate our resources. This is done by the Director and Co-Director, with guidance from the Executive Committee. One of our key management decisions has been to allocate nearly all of NCED’s research resources to PIs rather than projects. This approach reduces compartmentalization of research, allows flexibility, and encourages PIs to contribute to multiple projects. Once resources are allocated to PIs, responsibility for ensuring the resources are properly and fully utilized is delegated to the PI with oversight by NCED central administration. The Deputy Director, Administration is responsible for providing the Directors with information on resource use, especially spending rates and projected over- or underspending, on a monthly basis. Resources may be redirected based on this information. 9.5.3. Evaluating Research Progress Our strategy of allocating research funds to PIs rather than projects means that resources available to each project are determined by how PIs allocate their efforts and those of their students and postdocs. We achieve consistency between PI plans and project needs by direct negotiation among the IP leaders, the NCED directorate, and the PIs. Research evaluation is then done by comparing each PI’s output with 24 their stated commitments. Communication of IP project status, budgets, and successes takes place through videoconferences, retreats and other meetings, and through IP progress reports. This reporting includes status on IP Priority Research Areas, knowledge transfer, education, and diversity activities, budget status and any relevant special issues. Evaluation of PIs and center progress on its research initiatives is both formative and summative. 9.5.4. Partnerships: Selection and Integration NCED selects Partners based on relevance to our mission, quality of work, and national and international impact. We seek to form lasting relationships with federal and state agency, industrial and non-profit Partners who are engaged in research or practice that parallels NCED’s three Integrated Projects. The purpose of our partnerships is both to ensure our research is relevant to practitioners and to provide mechanisms for disseminating NCED research quickly into practice and to the broader scientific community. The ultimate goal of our partnerships is to keep NCED research informed and societally relevant while establishing/promoting wide-spread application of NCED’s deliverables, e.g., the Stream Restoration Toolbox or incorporating desktop watershed models into training programs. Partners are affiliated with IPs via Partners Groups; communication is done via meetings, visits, and short courses, as described in Section 7 of this proposal. The process for forming partnerships is unique in each instance as the nature of the relationship differs with regard to focus area, tools, training and joint research opportunities. Members of the Partners Group are selected to ensure that members are committed to entering a two-way relationship with NCED, informing NCED research, and helping to incorporate NCED research into practice. The IP Lead PI is responsible, with input from other NCED PIs, for assembling and maintaining the Partners Group for each IP. 9.5.5. Changes to NCED Research Personnel The Center may require changes in research personnel either because of changing priorities or insufficient progress on existing priorities. Potential new PIs are proposed from within the center and are evaluated by meeting with the candidate (retreats, field sites, national meetings, etc); presentation of NCED videoconferences; and/or participation in the Visitors Program. Vetted candidates are then nominated by the Executive Committee and appointed by the Director with the advice of the PIs. PIs may be dropped from the Center by the Director, in consultation with the Executive Committee. 9.5.6. Tracking Center Internal Data We are in the process of improving our data acquisition strategy by establishing a data warehouse to provide an integrated set of participant and output information (e.g. papers submitted, awards, leveraged funding, and student information). Primarily, the data warehouse will facilitate reporting and strategic decision making by facilitating measurement of the efficacy, relevance and leadership of the Center’s activities. In addition, the data warehouse will interface with NCED’s website to make it easier to access. 9.6. NCED after 10 We have just completed three years out of a maximum of ten years of STC funding, so it is premature to offer a detailed plan for extending NCED beyond Year 10. We envision that predictive Earth-surface dynamics will emerge at the core of basic and applied environmental research and that the essential role of the center in developing, integrating and supporting research and applications will be widely recognized. To prepare a clear and effective long-term plan, we will establish a Continuation Committee this year (Year 4) that will present an initial plan at the next PI retreat in spring, 2006. By articulating this plan six years before the end of NSF support, we expect to enlist our partners in helping define, and eventually supporting, NCED as a long-term entity. Here we anticipate some of the elements of our long-term planning: (1) Each NCED Integrated Project provides a uniquely valuable contribution to applied research and environmental management. Our partners are actively involved and represent government and industrial entities with substantial resources. Our long-term planning will be a collaboration with these partners, working toward a shared vision and commitment to basic and applied research. (2) NCED continues its commitment to integrating experimental research into Earth-surface dynamics, and we expect that this will fuel demand in the community for access to advanced experimental facilities. The laboratories in NCED could be structured into a national network to provide community access. Such a national center was called for in an NSFsponsored workshop on the future of geomorphology and Quaternary science [Anderson and Ito, 2000], and provided a major impetus for NCED’s Visitors Program. A potential model is the National Nanotechnology Infrastructure Network, http://www.nnin.org/. (3) St. Anthony Falls Laboratory, headquarters of NCED, is itself a self-supporting organization. Coordinating applied aspects of NCED’s Integrated Projects with SAFL’s applied research program will help this research attract independent funding, capitalizing on NCED-related SAFL investments such as the Outdoor Laboratory for Ecogeomorphology and River Restoration (discussed in Section 14 of this proposal). (4) NCED will continue coordinating its efforts with other relevant national programs such as CUAHSI, SAHRA, LTER, CLEANER, NCALM, WSSC, NEON, CENS, GEON, and CSDMS, building towards a coordinated national effort in predictive environmental science. We are confident that integrated Earth-surface dynamics will continue to be central to this effort. 25 10. Lists of Project Personnel and Institutions UNIVERSITY PARTICIPANTS (Senior personnel in bold) University of Minnesota, Twin Cities (UMTC): Chris Paola (Professor, Department of Geology and Geophysics) Efi Foufoula-Georgiou (Professor, Department of Civil Engineering) Vaughan Voller (Professor, Department of Civil Engineering) Miki Hondzo (Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering) Fernando Porté-Agel (Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering) Jacques Finlay (Assistant Professor, Department of Ecology, Evolution and Behavior) Lesley Perg (Assistant Professor, Department of Geology and Geophysics) Diana Dalbotten (Research Associate) Karen Campbell (Research Fellow) Jeff Marr (Research Fellow) Rochelle Storfer (Administrative Professional) University of California – Berkeley (UCB): Jillian Banfield (Professor, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences) William Dietrich (Professor, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences) Mary Power (Professor, Department of Integrative Biology) Princeton University (PU): Ignacio Rodriguez-Iturbe (Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering) Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT): David Mohrig (Assistant Professor, Dept of Earth, Atmospheric, & Planetary Sciences) Fond du Lac Tribal and Community College (FDLTCC): Andrew Wold (Department of Biology) Holly Pellerin (Gear Up! Director) Johns Hopkins University (JHU): Benjamin Hobbs (Professor, Geography & Environmental Engineering) Peter Wilcock (Professor, Geography & Environmental Engineering) University of Colorado (UCo): Nicholas Flores (Associate Professor, Department of Economics) University of Illinois – Urbana/Champagne (UIUC): Gary Parker (Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering) Gregory Wilkerson (Assistant Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering) NON-PROFIT PARTICIPANTS Science Museum of Minnesota (SMM) Patrick Hamilton (Director, Environmental Sciences and Earth System Sciences) GOVERNMENT PARTNERS CALFED: Bay-Delta Program (Johnnie Moore) US Department of Agriculture: National Sedimentation Laboratory (Doug Shields) US Department of Agriculture: Natural Resources Conservation Service (Jerry Bernard; Jon Fripp) US Department of Agriculture: US Forest Service (John Buffington; John Potyondy) US Department of Commerce: National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration: Fisheries (Brian Cluer) US Department of Defense: Office of Naval Research (Tom Drake) US Department of Defense: US Army Corps of Engineers (Meg Jonas; Craig Fischenich; Rebecca Soileau) Environmental Protection Agency (Thomas Davenport; Elise Striz) US Department of the Interior: Bureau of Land Management (Jim Fogg) 26 US Department of the Interior: Fish and Wildlife Service (Janine Castro; Alan Temple) US Department of the Interior: National Park Service (Hal Pranger; Bill Jackson) US Department of the Interior: US Bureau of Reclamation: Sediment and River Hydraulics Group (Drew Baird; Lisa Fotherby; Tim Randle) US Department of the Interior: US Bureau of Reclamation: Trinity River Restoration Program (Andreas Krause) US Department of the Interior: US Geological Survey (John Gray; Robert Jacobson) ACADEMIC PARTNERS CHRONOS (Iowa State Univ., Cinzia Cervato) Fond du Lac Ojibwe School (Holly Pellerin) Lawrence University: Dept. of Geology (Jeff Clark) San Francisco State University: Department of Geosciences (Leonard Sklar) Texas A&M, Kingsville: Center for Research Excellence in Science and Technology (Jennifer Ren) Universidad Central de Venezuela, Caracas (Jose Lopez) Universidad Nacional del Litoral, Santa Fe, Argentina (Mario Amsler) University of Arizona: Sustainability of Semi-Arid Hydrology and Riparian Areas (Jim Shuttleworth) University of California, Berkeley: Department of Landscape Architecture and Environmental Engineering (Matt Kondolf) University of California, Los Angeles: Center for Embedded Network Sensing (Deborah Estrin; Karen Kim; Wesley Uehara) University of Colorado: INSTAAR (James Syvitski ) University of Florida: National Center for Airborne Laser Mapping (Ramesh Shrestha) University of Illinois, Urbana/Champaign: Advanced Materials for Water Purification (Mark Shannon) University of Maryland: Department of Entomology and Chesapeake Biological Laboratory (Margaret Palmer) University of Michigan: Geowall Consortium (Paul Morin) University of Minnesota: Minnesota Supercomputing Institute / Digital Technology Center (Don Truhlar; Andrew Odlyzko) University of Minnesota: Graduate School Outreach Office (Kathryn Johnson) University of Minnesota: Institute for Mathematics and its Applications (Doug Arnold) University of Minnesota: Minnesota Geological Survey (Harvey Thorliefson) University of Minnesota: St. Anthony Falls Laboratory Applied Research Group (Omid Mohseni) University of North Carolina: Dept. of Geography (Martin Doyle) University of Washington: Center for Water and Watersheds (Derek Booth) Utah State University: Department of Aquatic, Watershed and Earth Resources (Jack Schmidt) West Virginia University: Department of Geology and Geography (Steve Kite) INDUSTRIAL PARTNERS Anadarko Petroleum Corporation (Todd Greene) ChevronTexaco (Marty Perlmutter, Frank Harris) ConocoPhillips (Al Shultz, Julia Ericsson) ExxonMobil Upstream Research (Penny Patterson, Frank Goulding) Japan Oil Gas and Mineral Exploration Company (Osamu Takano) R2 Resource Consultants (Dudley Reiser, Paul DeVries) Shell International Exploration and Production Company (Carlos Pirmez) Stillwater Sciences (Frank Ligon, Bruce Orr; Peter Downs) Wildland Hydrology (David Rosgen) NON-PROFIT PARTNERS American Indian Higher Education Consortium (Dana Grant) American Indian Science and Engineering Society (Pamela Silas) Association for Women Geoscientists, Minnesota Chapter (Lesley Perg) Canaan Valley Institute (Ron Preston) Greater Minneapolis Council of Churches, Division of Indian Work (Louise Mattson) Dragonfly TV (Richard Hudson) 27 Laurentian Center (Kristian Jankofsky) Quality Education for Minorities (Shirley McBay) Science Center at the Maltby Nature Preserve (Jeff Maltby, Sil Pembleton) SciTech Hands On (Ronen Mir) EXTERNAL ADVISORY BOARD Richard Sparks, Chair (Director of Research, National Great Rivers Research and Education Center) David Cacchione (Senior Oceanographer, Coastal and Marine Environments) Dhamo Dhamothran (Senior Vice President and Regional Manager, URS Corporation) David Furbish (Professor and Chair, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Vanderbilt University) Richard Hooper (Executive Director, CUAHSI) Jean Moon (Director, Board on Science Education, National Research Council) Anthony Paul Murphy (Assistant Professor, College of St. Catherine) Margaret Palmer (Director and Professor, Chesapeake Biological Laboratory, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Sciences) Rick Sarg (Senior Advisor – geosciences William M. Cobb and Associates Inc. World wide Petroleum Consultants) David V. Taylor (Provost and Senior Vice President for Academic Affairs, Morehouse College) Madonna Yawakie (President and CEO, Turtle Island Communication, Inc.) CONFLICTS-OF-INTEREST The list of reviewers with potential conflicts of interest is voluminous. An Excel workbook containing this list will be submitted to NSF electronically. 28 11. Intellectual Property Rights The National Center for Earth-Surface Dynamics (NCED) will develop new methodologies for laboratory experiments, new field equipment and instrumentation, and new computer models for modeling and prediction of landscapes, including meandering rivers, braided rivers and alluvial fans. Some examples of new laboratory measurement technologies include dye-based methodologies for measuring flow over complex surfaces, development of laser-based methods for measuring surface elevation with millimeter accuracy in the vertical and over extensive areas, the development of a rotating cylindrical channel to test bedrock incision theories, and development of basins with a programmable subsiding floor. Some example computer models include the “River Restoration Toolbox” and algorithms for the extraction of channels, floodplains and other topographic features from high resolution LIDAR data. These new tools will be developed from the staff of the St. Anthony Falls Laboratory or any other NCED participating institution, from government research organizations and from the private sector. Intellectual property is defined as all inventions, devices, processes, methods, software products, whether patentable or not, and works of authorship, and related know-how conceived or first actually reduced to practice in the course of research conducted by the Center researchers or at the Center by its participants. Intellectual property will be allocated according to applicable employment contracts and U. S. Patent Law (Title 35 U. S. Code) and U. S. Copyright Law (Title 17 U. S. Code) in effect at the time the intellectual property was created. Federal agency participants’ rights to intellectual property are governed by the Bayh-Dole Act. The U.S. Government has rights to intellectual property developed all or in part in the Center with the use of federal funds. Protection and transfer of Center intellectual property shall be managed by the University of Minnesota in consultation with the Center’s participants. Any income, less costs, to protect Intellectual property, shall be shared with inventors and developers or works of authorship according to the policies of their employers. The Center invites participation by industry. Industrial participation in Center-funded activities, however, will be predicated on the concept of open research producing openly available results. Separately funded spinoffs from Center research may be subject to reasonable disclosure agreements with the Center and the University of Minnesota. In some cases of separately funded spinoffs the intellectual property rights may accrue to the company in question rather than the Center. Any commercial license to intellectual property resulting from work conducted under the Center’s funding is, of course, subject to the rights of the federal government. The Center is committed to the distribution of free shareware based on the results of research, primarily via our website www.nced.umn.edu. 29 12. Shared Experimental Facilities 12.1. University of Minnesota – Twin Cities: St. Anthony Falls Laboratory (SAFL) The St. Anthony Falls Laboratory for Engineering, Environmental, and Geophysical Fluid Dynamics is located on an island just downstream of the only major waterfall on the Mississippi River – St. Anthony Falls. The site provides access to about 14m of hydraulic head to drive water through SAFL’s experimental basins and channels. Availability of water is thus not a limiting factor in designing experiments. SAFL is one of the few university-based experimental laboratories in the United States where engineering sediment transport, geomorphology, sedimentary geology, hydrology and ecobiological fluid dynamics are completely and seamlessly integrated. SAFL comprises 4460 m2 of flumes, basin, tanks and offices. It has a number of unique facilities, including (1) a channel running the length of the laboratory (84m), fed directly from the Mississippi River for large-scale experiments; (2) a 2.7m deep aquarium-grade tank with a suspended inner channel for subaqueous flow experiments; (3) a recirculating turbidity-current flume for studying sustained turbidity currents; (4) a boundarylayer wind tunnel capable of speeds up to 45m/s; and (5) a basin equipped with a programmable subsiding floor used to reproduce patterns of tectonic subsidence and uplift. SAFL also houses several smaller labs, including wet chemistry, sediment analysis, and a biological laboratory with plant-growth chambers, incubators and spectrophotometers. SAFL major facilities include: Experimental EarthScapes (XES) Basin Size: 12.2m x 0.5m x 1.2 m The Experimental EarthScapes facility (a.k.a. “Jurassic Tank”) is a unique experimental basin equipped with a programmable subsiding floor that can produce up to 1.3m of differential vertical movement. Since base level is also independently controllable, the XES basin can reproduce patterns of uplift as well as subsidence, by simply subsiding one region more slowly than another. It thus can be adapted for the study of erosionally driven drainage basin formation as well as depositionally driven processes. Submarine as well as subaerial processes can be modeled. The XES basin is equipped with laser and sonar systems for subaerial and submarine topography, respectively, overhead digital cameras, and a unique telecentric panel-scanning camera that provides grain-scale resolution in images of arbitrary size. Main Test Channel Size: 84.0m x 2.75m x 1.80m; Discharge capacity: 8,500 l/s The main channel at the St. Anthony Falls Laboratory receives flow directly from the Mississippi River, providing discharges as high as 7 m3/s. It has a variable-speed motor-driven carriage, a wavemaker at one end, facilities for recirculating sediment, a glass-wall observation section, towing carriage with 6 m/s maximum velocity, and a measurement carriage. Submarine Flow Tank Size: 10.0m x 3.0m x 0.6m This facility is designed for the study of both subaqueous and subaerial debris and turbidity flows. The walls on three sides are constructed from 32 mm thick aquarium-grade glass to resist up to 3 m of hydrostatic water pressure. Inside the tank is a channel with a width of 20cm down which the experimental flows run. The slope of this channel can be varied from 0° - 20°. A system of video recorders, acoustic profilers, sediment siphons and freeze corers, along with a Particle Image Velocimetry (PIV) system for velocity measurements allows for complete documentation of flows. Boundary Layer Wind Tunnel Test Section 1: 16.0m x 1.5m x 1.7m; Discharge velocity: 45 m/s Test Section 2: 18.0m x 2.4m x 2.4m; Discharge velocity: 19 m/s The SAFL wind tunnel is a recirculating tunnel with two sections. It is a boundary layer tunnel that is designed for the study of the Earth surface/atmospheric interaction. It has been used for, among other things, studies of wind in vegetation canopies, wind patterns around obstacles, blown snow and evapotranspiration. It is presently adapted for the verification of Large Eddy Simulation (LES) models of geophysical turbulence in the bottom boundary layer of the atmosphere. Tilting Bed Flume Size: 12m x 0.5m x 0.91m The slope of the tilting flume can be varied by motor control from 0 to 5%. The flume has an elevator sediment feed at the upstream end and a sediment trap at the downstream end. Sediment can either be recirculated or fed. 30 Bioflume Size: 12.2m x 0.15m x 0.4m; Discharge capacity: 14 l/s The bioflume, with its plexiglass observation walls, is designed for conducting experiments on interaction of fluids and biota. General Purpose Flumes Two 15 cm Flumes - Size: 12.2m x 0.15m x 0.4m; Discharge capacity: 14 l/s 50 cm Flume - Size: 9.1m x 0.5m x 0.7m; Discharge capacity: 113 l/s 60 cm Flume - Size: 15.2m x 0.6m x 0.4m; Discharge capacity: 113 l/s Channels Sediment Channel - Size: 27.0m x 0.5m x 0.6m; Water discharge: 20 to 125 l/s 30 cm Channel - Size: 16.2m x 0.3m x 0.65m Basins Main River Model Basin - Size: 47.0m x 7.0m x 0.6m; Discharge capacity: 450 l/s Delta Basin - Size: 5.0m x 5.0m x 0.64m Unconfined Debris Flow Basin - Size: 4.0m x 1.8m x 0.6m; Discharge capacity = 42 l/s SAFL has a fully equipped machine shop that can construct new basins or modify existing ones to meet special needs. The SAFL staff are particularly experienced in building scale models, such as approach channels and intakes, and sections of natural rivers. In addition to the above facilities for NCED research, SAFL has a suite of instrumentation and equipment available to measure temperature, pressure, velocity, flowrate, water surface elevation, dynamic forces (e.g., lift and drag), sub-aerial and sub-marine topography, weather parameters, air pressure, solar radiation, dissolved oxygen, pH, conductivity, chlorophyl concentration, particle size and concentration, turbidity, etc., including: two Scani-Valves, one JSR Pulser, one xyz positioning system, one Telecentric Sediment Scanner, four Keyence LK2500 Series laser displacement sensors, three Massa M5000/220 smart ultrasonic sensors, three Campbell Scientific CR10X dataloggers, one Sontek PC-ADP acoustic doppler velocity profiler, and one Sontek micro ADV acoustic doppler velocity meter. 12.2. University of California – Berkeley: Angelo Coast Range Reserve NCED field work will be carried out in the South Fork of the Eel River, within the Angelo Coast Range Reserve, located 3.5 hours by car from the U.C. Berkeley Campus and the San Francisco or Oakland airports. The entire study area is protected from unrestricted public access by a gated road, which provides easy transportation of material and equipment to field sites. The Reserve Steward, Peter Steel, who lives year-round at the Reserve, provides site supervision and is available for rapid response to hardware malfunctions. Co-PI Mary Power is the Faculty Manager of this University of California Natural Reserve System Preserve. Various buildings and outbuildings on the reserve are available for year-round housing, laboratory use, and equipment storage. A new $1.4 M Environment Science Center, constructed in 2002 with a gift from the Goldman Fund, includes a two large laboratories (with ovens, muffle furnace, fume hood, and extensive workspace), a computer lab and DSL connectivity to all rooms where sensors can be calibrated etc., a herbarium, and a facility providing access to the canopy of old growth redwood and Douglas fir trees along a river to ridgeline gradient. At present, in collaboration with fellow STC the Center for Embedded Network Sensing (CENS), we are constructing a wireless network at ACRR. This network is being designed by DW project manager Collin Bode with input from the SAFL technical staff, based on a viewshed analysis of ACRR using recently acquired NCED bare-earth and canopy LIDAR data acquired by NCED in collaboration with the NCALM airborne-laser center. The network will support automated environmental sensors of light, temperature, and soil moisture, plus imaging for algal blooms and acoustic detection of bats. The LIDAR also supports analysis of relations between network structure and habitat, local channel properties, and vegetation as discussed above under the Desktop Watersheds IP (Section 5.3.1). Finally, in view of the importance of nitrogen to the ACRR system, we are also developing a new nitrate probe based on genetically engineered bacterial technology that will be tested at SAFL and then deployed at ACRR. The next year or so will see expansion of metabolism studies at ACRR to cover 12 positions from 1 to 310 km2 drainage area. 12.3. University of California – Berkeley: Richmond Field Station The Richmond Field Station (RFS) is an academic teaching and research off-site facility located 6 miles northwest of the UC Berkeley Central Campus on the San Francisco Bay that has been used primarily for large-scale engineering research since 1950. The 152-acre property consists of 100-acres of uplands with the remainder being marsh or bay lands. 31 The Field Station has several flumes and channels available for NCED’s use, including a 30 m long by 0.86 m wide sediment feed flume, a 7 m long 1.5 m wide sediment feed flume, a 7 m by 4 m sediment basin for conducting experiments on self formed channel, a 12 m by 7 m sediment basin for conducting experiments on self formed channels, a 7m by 3m basin for conducting experiments on tie channels, and a 4 m vertically rotating drum for conducting experiments on granular and debris flows. 12.4. Massachusetts Institute of Technology: Experimental Sedimentology and Geomorphology Laboratory The Morphodynamics Laboratory of the Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences is located in Building N9 on the MIT campus. The laboratory has a footprint of 380 m2 and contains three long channels for investigating channel-bed evolution associated with sediment-transporting unidirectional flows, 1 large duct for studying sediment transport under conditions of combined flow (reversing current + unidirectional flow), and a large tank for studying depositional and erosional patterns associated with unconfined to fully channelized density currents. In addition to this infrastructure the lab operates a Horiba LA-300 laser particle-size analyzer and a Retsch Technology CAMSIZER (digital image-processing particle-size analyzer) providing high-resolution grain size and shape data for the ongoing morphodynamic studies. Experimental turbidity current tank The experimental turbidity current tank is used to study depositional turbidity currents in various channel geometries by preparing crushed silica in the reservoir tank, and then pumping to a constant head tank, which then delivers a steady flow to the main tank. The ambient water in the main tank is less dense than the sediment mixture, and so the sediment mixture flows out into a constructed channel as a turbidity current, i.e. along the bottom and beneath the ambient fluid. The design allows study of the effects of varying discharge, sediment concentration and channel geometry on the fluid dynamics and depositional behavior of turbidity currents. Combined flow duct Size: 9.8m x 1.2m x 0.6m The combined flow duct is an enclosed flume that allows study of sediment transport and bed evolution under oscilliatory flow (wave), unidirectional flow (current), and combined wave and current conditions (combined flow). This experimental facility was specifically designed so that peak velocities for reversing currents were sufficient to suspend natural particles as large as lower coarse sand in size. These high velocities are generated using a two-piston drive that acts on water filled columns connected to each end of the test chute. Narrow accelerating turbidity current channel Size: 12.0m x 0.5m x 1.5m The narrow accelerating turbidity current channel is used to study flow and deposition of turbidity currents in 2D. The large depth allows us to install platforms of various geometries and slope to study the behavior of turbidity currents over varying topography. In particular, sloped ramps may be installed to examine turbidity current acceleration and subsequent changes in fluid entrainment, deposition and flow velocity. Narrow unidirectional flume Size: 10.0m x 0.2m x 0.25m The narrow unidirectional flume is used to study two-dimensional ripples, bedform interaction, and also as a teaching flume for demonstration of hydraulics and sediment transport. Bed geometry is documented in the flume using a laser displacement sensor from Banner Engineering, which allows profiles to be pulled by sweeping over the bed, or can be left in place to measure ripples translating past a fixed location. Bedform evolution has also been documented using time lapse photography at the sidewall of the channel. Wide unidirectional flume Size: 10.0m x 2.0m x 0.5m The wide unidirectional flume allows us to study the full range of bedforms that occur in a natural river, including large dunes with ripples superimposed on them, and sandy bars whose depth is comparable to the flow depth. 12.5. University of Illinois – Urbana/Champaign: Ven Te Chow Hydrosystems Laboratory (VTCHL) The Ven Te Chow Hydrosystems Laboratory covers a surface area of about 1100 m2. It contains several large flumes, physical models, and other experimental facilities. Special purpose research facilities include: an oscillatory flow facility that has been used to make preliminary observations on contaminant fluxes at sediment-water 32 interfaces, an apparatus for studying sediment transport in unsteady flows, an annular flume for sediment flocculation studies, a stratified flow facility for modeling sediment-laden gravity currents, and a tank for studying sediment dynamics on a continental shelf. The VTCHL also houses several smaller facilities, including a sedimentation lab and computer facilities. Large Tilting Flume Size: 49.0m x 1.83m x 1.22m The motor-operated jack system may be used to set the channel at slopes from 0 to 2.5%. Near the headbox of the channel is a sediment feed hopper set into the bed of the channel. A large hydraulic cylinder supports the bottom plate of the sediment feed hopper. A hydraulic system drives this upward at various rates to allow material at the bed elevation to be sheared off by the flow. Near the tail gate of the channel is a sediment collection hopper that may be flushed through a pinch valve on the side of the channel. The bed plates and side plates of the channel are all independently adjusted for alignment. The No. 7 pump normally supplies the channel and discharge returns to the main and auxiliary sumps by the floor channel system. However, experimenters may isolate the north floor channel from the remainder of the system by inserting bulkheads with inflatable seals. They may isolate the auxiliary sump from the main sump by closing the valve on the connecting line. Thus, the 161-ft channel, the north floor channel, and the auxiliary sump may function as a closed recirculating system. Smaller Tilting Flume Size: 19.51m x 0.91m x 0.61m There is a 4' deep section near the headbox that may be used for section models. A pin and two mechanically connected screwjacks that may be set at slopes from 0 to 10% provide the mounting for the channel. In other respects it is similar to the large tilting flume. Smallest Tilting Flume Size: 9.14m x 0.46m x 0.61m Hydraulically operated cylinders provide slope regulation from -5% to +15%. When operating the tilting mechanism it is important to switch on the oil pump to avoid spilling oil forced out of one set of cylinders over the floor. The head gate and tail gate are also hydraulically operated - city water supply provides the pressure. At 12" intervals along the channel floor are brass inserts. These have a 1/4-20 female thread to permit attaching models and other devices. Large Oscillating Water Sediment Tunnel (LOWST) This flume, one of the largest of its kind in the world, allows for research into boundary layer flows, turbulence, ripple formation, and cylinder burial. 12.6. Johns Hopkins University: Erosion and Sedimentation Laboratory The Erosion and Sedimentation Laboratory at Johns Hopkins University is located in a newly renovated industrial space. The lab footprint is approx. 175 m2 and includes two flumes and a 4m x 16m open space with 3.5m clearance and a below-grade sump (section dimensions 1.3m x 1.3m), for scale models or a stream table. Large tilting flume Size 17m x 0.6m x 0.35m A motor operated jack system adjusts the slope between 0-2.75 %. The channel is constructed of clear plastic, allowing viewing of the full sediment bed and transport. Water is recirculated from a tailbox through two 750 gpm centrifugal pumps. Sediment up to 32 mm can be recirculated through an air-driven diaphragm pump or fed from a conveyor belt above the flume headbox.. Small tilting flume Size 4m x 0.15m x 0.35m Slope is manually adjustable between 0-12 %. The channel is constructed of clear plastic, allowing viewing of the full sediment bed and transport. Sediment is fed from a conveyor belt above the flume headbox.. Design is intended for pilot tests and large numbers of replicates of simple experiments. 33 13. Committed Funding by Source The first and third lines of Table 1 below show the NCED NSF request and match, respectively. Lines two, four, and five represent commitments by our Partners. Partners contribute substantial funding to NCED collaborations, primarily through personnel time and internal research support. The effort includes participation in IP Partners meetings as well as meetings of Partner subgroups (e.g. restoration training), and direct participation in research projects. An example collaboration is a series of experiments this year at SAFL in which researchers from the USGS, US Bureau Reclamation, and USDA Forest Service will participate in testing sediment-transport techniques and instrumentation as part of the 2006 Visitors Program. Table 1 shows spending by Partners directly on NCED activities. It does not include much larger amounts spent by our Partners on their own research that contributes to NCED’s mission and in many cases is coordinated with NCED research. For example, our collaboration with the US Bureau of Reclamation includes projects on dam removal, development of restoration strategies for braided channels, and development of design procedures for river structures; Bureau of Reclamation research on these topics involves personnel spending in excess of $350k per year. Collaboration with Stillwater Science and CALFED on experimental studies of dam removal, gravel augmentation, and channel geometry currently involves support in excess of $1M through the California Bay-Delta Authority. We expect both research and training collaborations with Partners in all three IPs to continue through Years 6-10 and have received commitments from many of our Partners to that effect. The figures provided below are very conservative estimates for the Year 6-10 continuation of agency and industry Partner direct spending on NCED collaboration. Table 1 Committed funding by source, in thousands of dollars SOURCE NSF Year 6 Cash In Kind Year 7 Cash In Kind Year 8 Cash In Kind Year 9 Cash In Kind Year 10 Cash In Kind 4,000 4,000 4,000 3,320 2,656 - - - - - Industry 125 60 125 60 125 60 125 60 125 60 Academic Institutions 643 484 647 477 663 471 551 506 452 498 Other Govt. - 206 - 146 - 146 - 146 - 146 Other - - - - - - - - - - TOTAL 4,768 750 4,772 683 4,788 34 677 3,995 712 3,232 704 14. Institutional and Other Sector Support Several major developments have taken place at leading NCED institutions that reinforce and accelerate NCED’s mission of developing an integrated, predictive science of Earth-surface dynamics and communicating this with diverse stakeholders. The University of Minnesota has embarked on a series of six new presidential level initiatives, one of which is in environmental science. At present, $1.5 million has been allocated to this initiative, which will provide small grants and new faculty hires across the Twin Cities campus in support of environmental science. The University’s presidential initiative will complement and synergize with NCED in an expanded UMTC effort in predictive environmental science over the next several years. Another major development last year was our success at UMTC in obtaining a new IGERT grant ($2,199,669 over five years) in nonlinear dynamics as a unifying theme in the environment. The IGERT program involves ecology, civil engineering, and geology, the three departments involved in NCED, and four NCED PIs are participants, including two lead IGERT PIs. It extends the NCED transdisciplinary effort to a much larger group of UMTC faculty and, with its emphasis on quantitative analysis, nicely complements NCED’s core research program. St Anthony Falls Laboratory has also continued its strong commitment to investing in the joint future of the lab and NCED. In support of NCED’s stream restoration IP, and recognizing the future potential of stream restoration for the lab itself, SAFL is working to develop two floodway channels adjacent to its main building into a new Outdoor Laboratory for Ecogeomorphology and River Restoration (OLERR). This unique research facility will comprise two parts: (1) The Riverine Corridor Laboratory, 120 m long with flow capacity up to 8.5 m3/s, will be used to study a broad range of channel and floodplain processes. The channel pattern and shape will be configurable according to research needs. It will be designed for mobile bed/sediment transport research, to study the interactions among the channel, floodplain and vegetation. (2) The Ecology and Land Use Dynamics Basin will be a 30 m by 12 m area, with flow capacity 0.8 m3/s, that will be designed to accommodate channel research, to impound water for studying reservoir, lake, and ocean processes and will be equipped with a computer-controlled weir for water surface elevation control. The guiding principle of the OLERR design is to allow study of a wide range of ecological and biogeochemical processes under controlled conditions. The research topics we envision for the OLERR facility include channel-floodplain interactions, vegetation and channel dynamics, natural and biodegradable bank stabilization, biogeochemical processes in streams, physical controls on fish habitat, dam removal, and channel realignment and reconstruction schemes. 14.1. Additional institutional support All institutions participating in NCED are contributing cost share to NCED. Here we highlight cash contributions and other related support for NCED. The University of Minnesota – Twin Cities has committed a total of $3,845,383 of matching funds to the National Center for Earth-surface Dynamics. Of these funds, $2,394,708 is in cash: $1,000,000 from the Office of the Vice President for Research; $721,000 from the Institute of Technology Dean’s Office; $237,408 from the Department of Civil Engineering; $94,962 from the Department of Geology and Geophysics; and $340,900 from SAFL. These funds will pay for essentially all of NCED administration, freeing us to use nearly 100% of our NSF funds for research, education, knowledge transfer, and diversity. The Science Museum of Minnesota has committed $120,000 of in-kind matching funds to the Center and continues to energetically pursue leveraged successes such as its new Water Planet program involving three STCs (NCED, WaterCAMPWS, and SAHRA), which was funded in 2005 for $2,698,988 (NSF, NOAA). In addition, the Museum continues to commit a major portion of its outdoor Science Park (the “Big Back Yard”) for EarthScapes exhibits. Finally, the Museum has committed both space and facilities pertaining to its Youth Science Center and Science Outreach Program for use in the Center’s educational and knowledge transfer missions. The University of California, Berkeley Department of Earth & Planetary Science and Department of Integrative Biology have committed a total of $359,788 of cash and $164,912 of in-kind matching funds to the Center. In addition, Berkeley has committed access and support for the Angelo Coast Range Reserve and Richmond Field Station for field research. ACRR is a major field research site, with a recently completed $1,400,000 Environmental Center. Support from the UC system for maintenance and management will amount to approximately $320,000 over Years 6-10. A proposal currently under consideration by the Keck foundation would provide high-resolution (time and space) monitoring of precipitation, humidity, temperature, soil moisture and runoff geochemistry in the Elder Creek watershed in the ACCR. At the Richmond Field Station over $1,000,000 has been spent in the past two years renovating a building and constructing new flumes. The University of Illinois-Urbana/Champaign has committed $74,884 of cash and $176,461 of in-kind matching funds to the Center. Johns Hopkins University and MIT will cover tuition for NCED graduate students, in the amounts of $215,790 and $126,600 respectively. The remaining institutional matches are in kind, and are detailed in the budget section of this proposal. 35 15. References Cited Abreu, V., M. Sullivan, C. Pirmez, and D. Mohrig (2003), Lateral accretion packages (LAPs); an important reservoir element in deep water sinuous channels, Marine and Petroleum Geology, 20, 631-648. Adessa, C., and D. H. 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Garcia, pp. 1074-1081, Taylor and Francis, London. Green, E. G., W. E. Dietrich, and J. F. Banfield (2005), Quantification of chemical weathering rates across an actively eroding hillslope, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, in press. Hickson, T. A., B. A. Sheets, C. Paola, and M. Kelberer (2005), Experimental test of tectonic controls on three dimensional alluvial facies architecture, Journal of Sedimentary Research, 70, doi: 10.2110/jsr.2005.2057. Hill, K. M., G. Gioia, D. Amaravadi, and C. Winter (2005), Moon patterns, sun patterns, and wave breaking in rotating granular mixtures, Complexity, 10, 79-86. Hill, K. M., G. Gioia, and V. V. Tota (2003), Structure and kinematics in dense free-surface granular flow, Physical Review Letters, 91, 064302, doi:10.1103/PhysRevLett.91.064302 Hondzo, M., T. Feyaerts, R. Donovan, and B. O'Connor (2005), Universal scaling of dissolved oxygen distribution at the sediment-water interface: A power law, Limnology and Oceanography, 50, 1667-1676. 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Mohrig (2005b), Frozen dynamics of migrating bedforms, Geology, 33, 57-60. 37 Johannesson, H., and G. Parker (1989), Linear theory of river meandering, River Meandering, Water Resour. Monograph, pp. 181-214, AGU, Washington D.C. Jolly, E. J., P. B. Campbell, and L. K. Perlman (2004), Engagement, capacity, and continuity: A trilogy for student success, Science Museum of Minnesota, http://www.smm.org/ecc. Kali, Y., and N. Orion (1997), Software for assisting high school students in the spatial perception of geological structures, Journal of Geoscience Education, 45, 10-21. Kim, W., C. Paola, V. R. Voller, and J. B. Swenson (2006), Experimental measurement of the relative importance of controls on shoreline migration, Journal of Sedimentary Research, in press. Lauer, J. W., and G. Parker (2004), Modeling channel-flood co-evolution in sand-bed streams, Proceedings, EWRI World Water and Environmental Resources Conference, ASCE, Salt Lake City, UT, June 28-July1. Louisiana Coastal Wetlands Conservation and Restoration Task Force (1998), Coast 2050: Toward a Sustainable Coastal Louisiana, 161 pp, Louisiana Department of Natural Resources, Baton Rouge, LA. Lubick, N. (2005), Taking a 3D Field Trip, in GEOTIMES (American Geological Institute), 50, 44-45. Luna, G., and D. L. Cullen (1995), Empowering the Faculty: Mentoring Redirected and Renewed, ASHE-ERIC Higher Education Report, Series 95-3 (Volume 24-3), http://www.ntlf.com/html/lib/bib/95-3dig.htm Mackey, S. D., and J. S. Bridge (1995), Three-dimensional model of alluvial stratigraphy: theory and application, Journal of Sedimentary Research, B65, 7-31. Marr, J., J. Swenson, C. Paola, and V. Voller (2000), A two-diffusion model of fluvial stratigraphy in closed depositional basins, Basin Research, 12, 381-398. McClain, M. E., E. W. Boyer, C. L. Dent, S. E. Gergel, N. B. Grimm, P. M. Groffman, S. C. Hart, J. W. Harvey, C. A. Johnston, E. Mayorga, W. H. McDowell, and G. Pinay (2003), Biogeochemical hot spots and hot moments at the interface of terrestrial and aquatic ecosystems, Ecosystems, 6, 301-312. McNeely, F. C. (2004), Herbivore Responses to Stream Size Gradients in a Northern California Watershed, PhD thesis, University of California, Berkeley, Berkeley, CA. Miall, A. D. (1985), Architectural element analysis: a new method of facies analysis applied to fluvial deposits, Earth-Science Reviews, 22, 261-308. Miall, A. D., and N. Tyler (1991), The Three-dimensional Facies Architecture of Terrigenous Clastic Sediments and Its Implications for Hydrocarbon Discovery and Recovery, in Concepts in Sedimentology and Paleontology, 3, 309 pp., SEPM (Society for Sedimentary Geology). Mohrig, D., K. M. Straub, J. Buttles, and C. Pirmez (2005), Controls on geometry and composition of a levee built by turbidity currents in a straight laboratory channel, in River, Coastal, and Estuarine Morphodynamics: RCEM 2005, edited by G. Parker and M. H. Garcia, pp. 579-584, Taylor & Francis, London. Morin, P. J., J. Leigh, P. van Keken, and A. Johnson (2003), The State of the Geowall, Eos Trans AGU, Fall Meeting Suppl., 84, Abstract ED31A-01. National Research Council (2001), Basic Research Opportunities in Earth Science, 168 pp, National Academy of Science, Washington, DC. National Science Foundation, G. D. (2000), Strategy for Developing a Program for Enhancing Diversity in Geosciences. Report of the Geosciences Diversity Workshop, August 2000. Paola, C., P. L. Heller, and C. L. Angevine (1992), The large-scale dynamics of grain-size variation in alluvial basins, 1: Theory, Basin Research, 4, 73-90. Paola, C., and V. R. Voller (2005), A generalized Exner equation for sediment mass balance, Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, in press. Parker, G., Y. Akamutsu, T. Muto, and W. E. Dietrich (2004), Modeling the effect of rising sea level on river deltas and long profiles of rivers, Proceedings, International Conference on Civil and Environmental Engineering (ICCEE), Hiroshima University, Japan, July 27-28, 2004. Parker, G., and T. Muto (2003), 1D numerical model of delta response to rising sea level, Proceedings of 3rd IAHR Symposium on River, Coastal and Estuarine Morphodynamics, Barcelona, Spain, September 1-5. Parker, G., C. Paola, and S. F. Leclair (2000), Probabilistic form of Exner equation of sediment continuity for mixtures with no active layer, Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 126, 818-826. Parker, G., and L. A. Perg (2005), Probabilistic formulation of conservation of cosmogenic nuclides: Effect of surface elevation fluctuations on approach to steady state, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, in press. 38 Power, M. E., N. Brozovic, C. Bode, and D. Zilberman (2005), Spatially explicit tools for understanding and sustaining inland water ecosystems, Frontiers in Ecology and the Environment, 3, 47-55. Power, M. E., and W. E. Dietrich (2002), Food webs in river networks, Ecological Research, 17, 451-471. Rodriguez-Iturbe, I., and A. Porporato (2004), Ecohydrology of Water Controlled Ecosystems: Soil Moisture and Plant Dynamics, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Rodriguez-Iturbe, I., and A. Rinaldo (1997), Fractal River Basins, 539 pp., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. Rowland, J., W. E. Dietrich, K. Lepper, and C. J. Wilson (2005), Tie channel sedimentation rates, oxbow formation age, and channel migration rate from Optically Stimulated Luminescence (OSL) analysis of floodplain deposits, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, in press. Sapozhnikov, V. B., and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (1999), Horizontal and vertical self-organization of braided rivers towards a critical state, Water Resources Research, 35, 843-851. Shields, F. D., C. M. Cooper, S. S. Knight, and M. T. Moore (2003), Stream corridor restoration research: a long and winding road, Ecological Engineering, 20, 441-454. Sklar, l., and W. E. Dietrich (2004), A mechanistic model for river incision into bedrock by saltating bedload, Water Resources Research, 40, doi: 10.1029/2003WR002496. Sklar, L., and W. E. Dietrich (2005), Steady-state bedrock channel slope: implications of the saltation-abrasion incision model, Geomorphology, in press. Slingerland, R., and N. D. Smith (2004), River avulsions and their deposits, Annual Review of Earth and Planetary Sciences, 32, 257-285. Sorcinelli, M. D. (2000), Principles of Good Practice, Supporting Early-Career Faculty, Guidance for Deans, Department Chairs, and Other Academic Leaders, in Needing New Voices: Academic Careers for a New Generation, edited by R. E. Rice, et al., American Association for Higher Education, Washington, DC. Stock, J. D., and W. E. Dietrich (2003), Valley incision by debris flows: evidence of a topographic signature, Water Resources Research, 39, 1.1-1.25. Stock, J. D., D. R. Montgomery, B. R. Collins, W. E. Dietrich, and L. Sklar (2005), Field measurements of incision rates following bedrock exposure: Implications for process controls on the long profiles of valleys cut by rivers and debris flows, GSA Bulletin, 117, 174-194. Strayer, D. S., M. E. Power, W. F. Fagan, S. T. A. Pickett, and J. Belnap (2003), A classification of ecological boundaries, BioScience (Special Section on Ecological Boundaries), 53, 723-729. Strong, N., B. A. Sheets, T. A. Hickson, and C. Paola (2005), A mass-balance framework for quantifying downstream changes in fluvial architecture, in Fluvial Sedimentology VII, edited by M. Blum, et al., Blackwell Pub., Malden, MA Suttle, K. B., M. E. Power, J. A. Levine, and F. C. McNeely (2004), How fine sediment in river beds impares growth and survival of juvenile salmonids, Ecological Applications, 14, 969-974. Swenson, J. B., C. Paola, L. Pratson, V. R. Voller, and A. B. Murray (2005), Fluvial and marine controls on combined subaerial and subaqueous delta progradation: Morphodynamic modeling of compound-clinoform development, Journal of Geophysical Research, 110, F02013, doi:10.1029/2004JF000265. Syvitski, J. P. M. (2005), The morphodynamics of deltas and their distributary channels, 4th IAHR Symposium on River, Coastal, and Estuarine Morphodynamics, pp. 143-150, Taylor & Francis Group, Urbana, IL. Taunton, A. E., S. A. Welch, and J. F. Banfield (2000), Microbial controls on phosphate and lanthanide distributions during granite weathering, Chemical Geology, 371-382. Tilman, E. (2005), Scaling relationships for the depth and width of channels in an experimental braided river, M.S. thesis, University of Minnesota, Minneapolis. Turner, C. S. V. (2002), Diversifying the Faculty: A Guidebook for Search Committees, Association of American Colleges and Universities, Washington, DC. University of California Committee on Cumulative Watershed Effects (2001), A Scientific Basis for the Prediction of Cumulative Watershed Effects, 103 pp, Wildland Resources Center, Div. Agriculture and Natural Resources, University of California, Berkeley. Venugopal, V., S. Basu, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2005), A new metric for comparing precipitation patterns with application to ensemble forecasts, Journal of Geophysical Research, in press. 39 Voller, V. R., and C. Paola (2003), Moving Boundary Problems in Earth-surface Dynamics, Moving Boundaries VII: Computational Modeling of Free and Moving Boundary Problems, WIT Press. Voller, V. R., J. B. Swenson, W. Kim, and C. Paola (2005), A fixed grid method for moving boundary problems on the Earth's surface, International Journal for Heat and Fluid Flow, in press. Voller, V. R., J. B. Swenson, and C. Paola (2004), An analytical solution for a Stefan problem with variable latent heat, International Journal of Heat and Mass Transfer, 47, 5387-5390. Vosniadou, S., and W. F. Brewer (1992), Mental models of the Earth; A study of conceptual change in childhood, Cognitive Psychology, 24, 535-558. Walters, C. (1997), Challenges in adaptive management of riparian and coastal ecosystems, Ecology and Society, 1, http://www.consecol.org/vol1/iss2/art1/. Whipple, K. X. (2004), Bedrock rivers and the geomorphology of active orogens, Annual Reviews of Earth and Planetary Science, 32, 151-185. Wilcock, P. (2004), Sediment Transport in the Restoration of Gravel-bed Rivers, Environment and Water Resources Institute Annual Congress, Salt Lake City, June. Wilcock, P., and J. C. Crowe (2003), A surface-based transport model for sand and gravel, Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 129, 120-128. Wilcock, P., and B. T. DeTemple (2005), Persistence of armor layers in gravel-bed streams, Geophysical Research Letters, in press. Wilcock, P. R. (1997), Friction between science and practice: the case of river restoration, Eos, Transactions, Am. Geophysical Union 78, 454. Wilkinson, B. H. (2005), Humans as geologic agents: A deep-time perspective, Geology, 33, 161-164. Wohl, E., P. L. Angermeier, B. Bledsoe, G. M. Kondolf, L. MacDonnell, D. M. Merritt, M. A. Palmer, N. L. Poff, and D. Tarboton (2005), River restoration, Water Resources Research, 41, doi:10.1029/2005WR003985. Wong, M., and G. Parker (2005), Flume experiments with tracer stones under bedload transport, in River, Coastal, and Estuarine Morphodynamics: RCEM 2005, edited by G. Parker and M. Garcia, pp. 131-139, Taylor and Francis, London. 40 16. Biographical Sketches Biographical sketches have been removed from the public version of the renewal proposal. Information is available from David Olsen at [email protected]. pages 41 - 82 17. Budget and Budget Justification The budget and budget justification has been removed from this version of the renewal proposal. Information is available from David Olsen at [email protected]. pages 83 - 159 18. Current and Pending Support Information on senior personnel current and pending support has been removed from the public version of the renewal proposal. Information is available from David Olsen at [email protected]. pages 160 - 190 FACILITIES, EQUIPMENT & OTHER RESOURCES FACILITIES: Identify the facilities to be used at each performance site listed and, as appropriate, indicate their capacities, pertinent capabilities, relative proximity, and extent of availability to the project. Use “Other” to describe the facilities at any other performance sites listed and at sites for field studies. Use additional pages if necessary. Laboratory: University of Minnesota, St. Anthony Falls Laboratory (see shared facilities section) MIT – Experimental Sedimentology and Geomorphology Laboratory (see shared facilities section) University of Illinois, Urbana/Champaign – Ven Te Chow Hydrosystems Laboratory (see shared facilities section) Johns Hopkins University, Erosion and Sedimentation Laboratory. 175 sq. m laboratory space, including 4m x 16m open space with large below-grade sump for model construction or stream table. Clinical: n/a Animal: n/a Computer: NCED researchers have access to supercomputing facilities at participating institutions, including the Minnesota Supercomputing Institute and National Center for Supercomputing Applications. Office: In addition to the spaces provided at participating institutions to house faculty and students, SAFL has dedicated 11 offices for NCED research, staff and visitor use Other: Field Sites University of California, Berkeley - Angelo Coast Range Reserve (see shared facilities) University of California, Berkeley - Richmond Field Station (see shared facilities) MAJOR EQUIPMENT: List the most important items available for this project and, as appropriate, identify the location and pertinent capabilities of each. In addition to the facilities described in Section 12 and computers, digital cameras, standard equipment and supplies made available by participating institutions for use in laboratory and field work, the following major pieces of equipment are utilized extensively by NCED researchers: SAFL:two Scani-Valves, one JSR Pulser, one xyz positioning system, one Telecentric Sediment Scanner, four Keyence LK2500 Series laser displacement sensors, three Massa M5000/220 smart ultrasonic sensors, three Campbell Scientific CR10X dataloggers, one Sontek PC-ADP acoustic doppler velocity profiler, and one Sontek micro ADV acoustic doppler velocity meter ACRR & Power Lab: In addition to standard equipment and supplies used in lab and field work: 3 Hydrolab Datasonde 4a (TM) portable data loggers, 1 Epifluorescence microscope, 2 compound light microscopes, 4 dissecting microscopes, 2 Carlo Erba CHN analyzers, 2 Wiley Mills and other stable carbon and nitrogen isotope sample preparation equipment, 2 Europa dual inlet mass spectrometers, 1 Spectronics 21 spectrophotometer, 1 Turner Designs Model TD 700 fluorometer, 1 Shimadzu TIC/TOC analyzer for total inorganic and organic dissolved carbon, 1 Mettler and Ohaus laboratory and field balances, 1 Cahn microbalance, 2 large drying ovens, 2 muffle furnaces, refrigerators and freezers for sample storage, 2 portable YSI DO meters (Model 550), 1 YSI conductivity and salinity meter, 1 Licor underwater photometer and spherical radiometer, 1 Unidata 1 m capacitive water depth probe for low-stage monitoring, 1 Digital stage recorder for winter flood stage measurements Banfield Lab: X-ray diffractometer, Ion chromatograph, BET instrument, laminar flow hoods, autoclaves, centrifuges and other laboratory equipment for microbiological studies OTHER RESOURCES: Provide any information describing the other resources available for the project. Identify support services such as consultant, secretarial, machine shop, and electronics shop, and the extent to which they will be available for the project. Include an explanation of any consortium/contractual/subaward arrangements with other organizations. SAFL’s instrumentation lab and machine shop are available as needed for the construction of specialized equipment or customization of laboratory facilities. NSF Form 1363 (10/99) 56 191 20.1. List of NCED publications Abreu, V., M. Sullivan, C. Pirmez, and D. Mohrig (2003), Lateral accretion packages (LAPs); an important reservoir element in deep water sinuous channels, Marine and Petroleum Geology, 20, 631-648. Basu, S., E. Foufoula-Georgiou, and F. Porte-Agel (2004), Synthetic turbulence, fractal interpolation and large-eddy simulation, Physical Review E, 70, 026310, doi:10.1103/PhysRevE.70.026310. Bergstedt, M., M. Hondzo, and J. B. Cotner (2004), Effects of small-scale fluid motion on bacterial growth and respiration, Freshwater Biology, 49, 28-40. Blom, A., and G. Parker (2004), Vertical sorting and the morphodynamics of bedform-dominated rivers: a modeling framework, Journal of Geophysical Research Earth Surface, 109, F02007, doi: 10.1029/2003JF000069. Cantelli, A., C. Paola, and G. Parker (2004), Experiments on upstream-migrating erosional narrowing and widening of an incisional channel caused by dam removal, Water Resources Research, 40, doi: 10.1029/2003WR002940. Carper, M., and F. Porte-Agel (2004), The role of coherent structures and subfilter-scale dissipation rates of turbulence measured in the atmospheric surface layer, Journal of Turbulence, 5, 1-24. Casadei, M., W. E. Dietrich, and N. L. Miller (2003), Testing a model for predicting the timing and location of shallow landslide initiation in soil mantled landscapes, Earth Surface Processes and Landforms, 28, 925-950. *Caylor, K. K., S. Manfreda, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2005), On the coupled geomorphological and ecohydrological organization of river basins, Advances in Water Resources, 28, 69-86. Caylor, K. K., T. M. Scanlon, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2004), Feasible optimality of vegetation patterns in river basins, Geophysical Research Letters, 31, doi: 10.1029/2004GL02060. Cazanacli, D., C. Paola, and G. Parker (2002), Experimental steep, braided flow: Application to flooding risk on fans, Journal of Hydraulic Engineering, 128, 322-330. Cui, Y., G. Parker, C. Braudrick, W. E. Dietrich, and B. Cluer (2005), Dam Removal Express Assessment Models (DREAM), Part 1: Model development and validation, Journal of Hydraulic Research, in press. Cui, Y., G. Parker, C. Braudrick, W. E. Dietrich, and B. Cluer (2005), Dam Removal Express Assessment Models (DREAM), Part 2: Sample runs/sensitivity tests, Journal of Hydraulic Research, in press. Cui, Y., G. Parker, T. Lisle, J. Gott, M. Hansler, J. E. Pizzuto, N. E. Allmendinger, and J. M. Reed (2003), Sediment pulses in mountain rivers Part 1: Experiments, Water Resources Research, 39, 1239. Cui, Y., G. Parker, J. E. Pizzuto, and T. Lisle (2003), Sediment pulses in mountain rivers Part 2: Comparison between experiments and numerical predictions, Water Resources Research, 39, 1240. Daly, E., A. Porporato, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2004), Coupled dynamics of photosynthesis, transpiration and soil water balance: I. Upscaling from hourly to daily level, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5, 546-558. Daly, E., A. Porporato, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2004), Coupled dynamics of photosynthesis, transpiration and soil water balance: II. Stochastic analysis and ecohydrological significance, Journal of Hydrometeorology, 5, 559566. Daly, E., A. Porporato, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2005), Ecohydrological significance of the coupled dynamics of photosynthesis, transpiration and soil water balance, Journal of Hydrometeorology, in press. Daly, E., A. Porporato, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2005), Modeling photosynthesis, transpiration and soil water balance hourly dunamics during inter-storm periods, Journal of Hydrometeorology, in press. Das, H. S., J. Imran, C. Pirmez, and D. Mohrig (2004), Numerical modeling of flow and bed evolution in meandering submarine channels, Journal of Geophysical Research, 109, C10009 doi: 10.1029/2002JC001518. *Dietrich, W. E., D. Bellugi, A. M. Heimsath, J. J. Roering, L. Sklar, and J. D. Stock (2003), Geomorphic transport laws for predicting landscape form and dynamics, in Prediction in Geomorphology, edited by P. Wilcock and R. Iverson, pp. 103-132. Dietrich, W. E., P. A. Nelson, E. Yager, J. G. Venditti, M. P. Lamb, and B. R. Collins (2005), Sediment patches, sediment supply and channel morphology, in River, Coastal, and Estuarine Morphodynamics: RCEM 2005, edited by G. Parker and M. H. Garcia, pp. 79-90, Taylor & Francis, London. 192 D'Odorico, P., F. Laio, A. Porporato, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2003), Hydrologic controls on soil carbon and nitrogen cycles. II A case study, Advances in Water Resources, 26, 59-70. D'Odorico, P., A. Porporato, F. Laio, L. Ridolfi, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2004), Probabilistic modeling of nitrogen and carbon dynamics in water-limited ecosystems, Ecological Modeling, 179, 205-219. Dodov, B., and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2004), Generalized hydraulic geometry: Derivation based on a Multi-scaling Formalism, Water Resources Research, 40, W06302 doi: 10.1029/2003 WR002082. Dodov, B., and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2004), Generalized hydraulic geometry: Insights based on fluvial instability analysis and a physical model, Water Resources Research, 40, W12201 doi: 10.1029/2004 WR003196. Dodov, B., and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2005), Floodplain morphometry extraction from a high resolution digital elevation model: a simple algorithm for regional analysis studies, Geoscience and Remote Sensing Letters, Frontier Tools and Techniques for Surficial Mapping, Analysis and Characterization: Relevance to Geosciences (a special issue), in press. *Dodov, B., and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2005), Fluvial processes and streamflow variability: interplay in the scale frequency continuum and implications for scaling, Water Resources Research, 41, W05005 doi: 10.1029/2004 WR003408. Dodov, B., and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2005), Incorporating the spatio-temporal distribution of rainfall and basin geomorphology into nonlinear analyses of streamflow dynamics: Methodology development and a predictability study, Advances in Water Resources, 28, 711-728. Federici, B., and C. Paola (2003), Dynamics of channel bifurcation in non-cohesive sediments, Water Resources Research, 39, 3-15. Fernandez-Illescas, C., and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2003), Hydrologically driven hierarchical competition-colonization models: the impact of interannual climate fluctuations, Ecological Monographs, 73, 207-222. Fernandez-Illescas, C., and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2004), The impact of inter-annual rainfall variability on the spatial and temporal patterns of vegetation in a water-limited ecosystem, Advances in Water Resources, 27, 83-95. Finlay, J. C. (2004), Patterns and controls of lotic algal stable isotope ratios, Limnology and Oceanography, 49, 850861. Grams, P., P. Wilcock, and S. M. Wiele (2005), Entrainment and nonuniform transport of fine sediment in coarsebedded rivers, in River, Coastal, and Estuarine Morphodynamics: RCEM 2005, edited by G. Parker and M. Garcia, pp. 1074-1081, Taylor and Francis, London. *Green, E. G., W. E. Dietrich, and J. F. Banfield (2005), Quantification of chemical weathering rates across an actively eroding hillslope, Earth and Planetary Science Letters, in press. Gupta, R., V. Venugopal, and E. Foufoula-Georgiou (2005), A methodology for merging multisensor precipitation estimates based on expectation-maximization and scale recursive estimation, Journal of Geophysical Research, in press. Guswa, A. J., M. A. Celia, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2002), Models of soil moisture dynamics in ecohydrology: a comparative study, Water Resources Research, 38, 5.1-5.15. Guswa, A. J., M. A. Celia, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2004), Effect of vertical resolution on prediction of transpiration in water-limited ecosystems, Advances in Water Resources, 27, 467-480. Guswa, A. J., M. A. Celia, and I. Rodriguez-Iturbe (2005), Effect of vertical resolution on predictions on transpiration in water-limited ecosystems, Advances in Water Resources, in press. Guzina, B. B., V. R. Voller, and D. H. Timm (2004), Crack spacing in strained films, Journal de Physique IV, 120, 201-208. Haider, Z., M. Hondzo, and F. Porte-Agel (2005), Advective velocity and energy dissipation rate in an oscillatory flow, Water Research, 39, 2569-2578. Harbitz, C. B., G. Parker, A. Elverhi, J. G. Marr, D. Mohrig, and P. Harff (2003), Hydroplaning of subaqueous debris flows and glide blocks: analytical solutions and discussion, Journal of Geophysical Research, 108, doi: 10.1029/2001 JB001454. 193 Hasbargen, L., and C. Paola (2003), How predictible is local erosion rate in erosional landscapes?, in Prediction in Geomorphology, edited by P. R. Wilcock and R. M. Iverson, pp. 231-240, American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C. Hickson, T. A., B. A. Sheets, C. Paola, and M. Kelberer (2005), Experimental test of tectonic controls on three dimensional alluvial facies architecture, Journal of Sedimentary Research, 75, doi: 10.2110/jsr.2005.057, 710722. *Hondzo, M., T. Feyaerts, R. Donovan, and B. O'Connor (2005), Universal scaling of dissolved oxygen distribution at the sediment-water interface: A power law, Limnology and Oceanography, 50, 1667-1676. Hondzo, M., and Z. Haider (2004), Boundary mixing in a small stratified lake, Water Resources Research, 40, W03101, doi: 10.1029/2002WR001851, 1-12. Hondzo, M., and H. Wang (2002), Effects of turbulence on growth and metabolism of periphyton in a laboratory flume, Water Resources Research, 38, doi: 10.1029/2002WR001409, 13.1-13.9. *Jerolmack , D. J., and D. Mohrig (2005), A unified model for subaqueous bedform dynamics, Water Resources Research, in press. Jerolmack, D. J., and D. Mohrig (2005), Frozen dynamics of migrating bedforms, Geology, 33, 57-60. Jerolmack, D. J., and D. Mohrig (2005), Interactions between bedforms and their roles in determining stream-bed profiles, Journal of Geophysical Research, in press. Jerolmack, D. J., D. Mohrig, and B. 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