Course Materials Database Cover Sheet COMMONWEALTH OF AUStrALIA Copyright Regulations 1969 WARNING This material has been reproduced and communicated to you by or on behalf of Queensland University of Technology pursuant to Part VB of the CopyrightAct 1968 (the Act). The material in this communication may be subject t o copyright under the Act. Any further reproduction or communication of this material by you may be the subject of copyright protection under the Act. Do not remove this notice. This file is a digital version of printed copyright material. Due to the process used to create it, its accuracy cannot be guaranteed. Please refer to the original published version if you have any concerns about its accuracy. Whole Work Title : 1975 Seminar on Guaranteed Minimum Income Author : ACOSS Edition : 1975 Publisher : ACOSS Place Of Publication : Sydney Year : 1975 Additional Information : Entire conference This article was originally digitised for the following unit. Articles may be reused in future semesters in other units by different lecturers. Unit code : HHB212 Unit title : COMMUNITY WORK Lecturer's Name : Tomlinson, John Faculty/School : School of Humanities and Human Services Request ID : 45949 DIGITAL COPY MADE FOR QUEENSLAND UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY under part VB o f the CopyrightAct 1968 reliance on: S.135ZMB (insubstantial portions of a work), OR S.135ZMC (article contained in a periodical), OR S.135ZMD (literary, dramatic, musical and artistic works), OR S.135ZME (certain illustrations in electronic form) on 13-JUL-04 SEMINAR ON MINIMUM GUARANTEED INCOME Proceedings of a Seminar h e l d b y t h e Australian Council o f S o c i a l Service, May 1975. 4 INTRODUCTION The main p u r p o s e o f t h i s s e m i n a r o r g a n i s e d b y ACOSS was t o f a m i l i a r i s e a b r o a d e r group o f p e o p l e w i t h t h e concept of g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income, a n d t o p r o v i d e an o p p o r t u n i t y t o u n d e r s t a n d some o f t h e d i f f e r e n t methods o f i m p l e m e n t a t i o n , t h e c o m p l e x i t i e s , and t h e econbmic, s o c i a l and p o l i t i c a l i m p l i c a t i o n s o f g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income schemes. The seminar w a s a f a i r l y u n i q u e ex-porience because it b r o u g h t t o g e t h e r many o f t h e consumer g r o u p s d i r e c t l y a f f e c t e d o r i n t e r e s t e d i n t h e t o p i c , and t h e l q p o l i c y makers" ( f r o m government, committees o f i n q u i r y and u n i v e r s i t i e s ) r e p r e s e n t i n g many d i f f e r e n t s p e c i a l i s a t i o n s and professions. This d i v e r s i t y was n o t without i t s d i f f i c u l t i e s o f communication. However it was c o n s i d e r e d t o b e e s s e n t i a l t h a t d i a l o g u e s h o u l d be e s t a b l i s h e d between t h o s e p e o p l e who r e a l l y u n d e r s t a n d t h e problems o f p o v e r t y -- who a r e d e a l i n g w i t h i t o r h a v e a c t u a l l y e x p e r i e n c e d i t -- and t h o s e p e o p l e whose t a s k i t i s t o develop t h e p o l i c i e s which deal. with it. The problem f i r t h e r r e q u i r e s p e o p l e with d i f f e r e n t t y p e s o f s p e c i a l i s a t i o n a n d d i f f e r e n t t y p e s o f emphasis. It i s hoped t h a t t h i s s e m i n a r may have f a c i l i t a t e d p a r t o f t h i s p r o cess, The seminar was h e l d p r i o r t o t h e r e l e a s e o f t h e P o v e r t y Commission's findings. This w a s u n f o r t u n a t e s i n c e one o f t h e t h i n g s t h a t b e d e v i l a n y d i s c u s s i o n a b o u t g e t t i n g r i d of p o v e r t y i s t h e l a c k o f i n f o r m a t i o n a b o u t who a r e t h e p o o r , It i s hoped however t h a t t h i s d i s c u s s i o n p r i o r t o t h e r e l e a s e o f t h e r e p o r t will h e l p i n t h e p r o m o t i o n o f i n f o r m e d d i s c u s s i o n . It i s h i g h l y d e s i r a b l e that p u b l i c d e b a t e should c o n t i n u e about income s e c u r i t y and t h e p o s s i b l e o p t i o n s a v a i l a b l e s i n c e t h e p u b l i c w i l l i n g n e s s t o a c c e p t a n y new programs w i l l o n l y come a f t e r a l o n g p e r i o d of d i s c u s s i o n and d e b a t e . P e o p l e must b e convinced t h a t t h e r e i s a problem; and t h a t s e c o n d l y t h e r e i s a s o l u t i o n . T h i s i n d i c a t e s t h e n e b e s s i t y f o r a g r e a t many g a t h e r i n g s of t h i s kind. Today's s e m i n a r may b e t h e f i r s t s t e p o n some k i n d of long march, 5 P a p e r p r e p a r s d . by Mr.B i l l Hayden, M i n i s t e r f o r S o c i a l S e c u r i t y ; and I p r e s e n t e d b y Mr.John C o a t e s , M.P, I for D e n i s t o n e , and S e c r e t a r y t o t h e Caucus W e l f a r e C o m d t t e e . I TCHE SOCIAL OBJECTIVES AND PRINCIPLES OF A GUARANTEED MINIMUM INCONIE SCHElvIE - INTRODUCTION One o f t h e most p e r s o n a l l y r e w a r d i n g a s p e c t s o f my t i m e i n Far1iamen.t has b e e n that I h a v e l e a r n t things, A t l e a s t , 1 hope I have l e a r n t things. During t h m e a r s I h a v e b e e n i n P a r l i a m e n t , and e s p e c i a l l y s i n c e becoming a M i n i s t e r , many of my e a r l i e r views o n s o c i e t y a n d s o c i a l r e f o r m have changed. Today I w a n t t o t a l k t o you about s e v e r a l i m p o r t a n t l e s s o n s t h a t I b e l i e v e I h a v e l e a r n t , I do t h i s b e c a u s e 1 think i t might be u s e f u l t o you i n your i m p o r t a n t q u e s t t o r e f o r m Australia's s o c i a l w e l f a r e system. P e r h a p s t h e m o s t s i g n i f i c a n t thing t h a t 3: h a v e l e a r n t as a P a r l i a m e n t a r i a n i s t h a t s o c i e t y i s h a r d e r t o r e f o r m than I used It has n o t b e e n an e a s y l e s s o n for m e t o a c c e p t , t o t h i n k it w a s . but t h e r e a r e u s u a l l y advantages a t t a c h e d t o being r e a l i s t i c a b o u t t h i n g s and I t h i n k i t i s e s p e c i a l l y i m p o r t a n t t h a t s o c i a l r e f o r m e r s l i k e yo-it and me t r y t o b e r e a l i s t i c . We s h o u l d n e v e r g o r g e t that t h e o v e r r i d i n g g o a l o f a l l our w e l f a r e programs i s t o s u c c e s s f u l l y t a c k l e t h e problem o f p o v e r t y . T h i s i s n o t t h e o n l y g o a l , but it i s i n my v i e w t h e paramount o n e , It i s always u s e f u l t o a s k o f our w e l f a r e p r o g r a m s Ifdoes t h i s program, o r d o e s i t n o t , c o n t r i b u t e t o w a r d s t h e e l i m i n a t i o n o f poverty?" It i s w i t h i n t h i s b r o a d o b j e c t i v e t h a t t h e d i s c u s s i o n o n g u a r a n t e k d minimun, income schemes f i t s . B u t one c a n s t i l l ask why i t i s n e c e s s a r y t o c o n s i d e r g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income schemes i f a l l e v i a t i o n of p o v e r t y i s t h e main g o a l . One r e a s o n i s t h a t p r i m a r y p o v e r t y a r i s e s when a p e r s o n P S , o r a f a m i l y v s income i s t o o l o w . Too l o w , that i s when compared w i t h some minimum s t a n d a r d o f l i v i n g r e c o g n i s e d b y t h e comnunity. 6 In A u s t r a l i a we h a v e v a r i o u s c a t e g o r i e s o f g u a r a n t e e d income b a s e d o n m e a n s t e s t s , namel.y, age and i n v a % i d p e n s i o n s , widows pensions, s u p p o r t i n g niothers b e n e f i t s , s p e c i a l b e n e f i t s , unemployment and s i c k n e s s b e n e f i t s and s o on. These a r e " c a t e g o r i s e d " b e n e f i t s , some b e i n g s u b j e c t t o s t r i c t e r means t e s t s than o t h e r s . The v e r y n a t u r e o f % h i s system o f c a t e g o r i s a t i o n , a n d o f t h e method. of e s t a b l i s h i n g e l i g i b i l i t y f o r a b e n e f i t under t h e various c a t e g o r i e s , leads t o n o t a l i t t l e confusion. A n o t h e r a.dvantage o f a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income scheme, i t i s b e l i e v e d , i s t h a t i t w o u l d s i m p l i f y and: s t a n d a r d i s e our p r e s e n t l y c o n f u s e d s y s t e m o f w e l f a r e b e n e f i t s . We a l l know t h e problems t h a t a r i s e from t h e c o m p l e x i t y of the v a r i o u s w e l f a r e b e n e f i t schemes t h a t e x i s t at p r e s e n t , It i s f r e q u e n t l y d i f f i c u l t f o r a p e r s o n t o f i n d o u t e x a c t l y what b e n e f i t s he o r s h e i s e n t i t l e d t o , I n d e e d b e c a u s e o f t h e r i g i d i t y t h a t i n e v i t a b l y r e s u l t s from caref u l l y drawn up g u i d e l i n e s , i t c a n happen t h a t a p e r s o n i n genuine n e e d i s n o t e n t i - t ; l e d t o m y Government-specified b e n e f i t s at all. Sometimes -- p e r h a p s , l d n f o r t u n a t e l y , even u s u a l l y -- t h e r e i s a c e r t a i n amount o f embarrassment i n v o l v e d f o r t h e p e r s o n a p p l y i n g for b e n e f i t s , And i t can h a p p e n t h a t an i n c r e a s e i n one b e n e f i t , say t h e age p e n s i o n , c a n l e a d t o a sudden withdrawal o f ot'her b e n e f i t s , s u c h as l o w 'bus f a r e s , i f t h e i n c r e a s e i n t h e age p e n s i o n happens t o t a k e t h e p e n s i o n e r p a s t some a r b i t r a r i l y def i n e d u p p e r income l i m i t f o r low b u s f a r e s . It c o u l d happen t h a t t h e v a l u e o f t h e b e n e f i t s l o s t i s g r e a t e r than t h e v a l u e o f t h e b e n e f i t s g a i n e d s o t h a t t h e p e n s i o n e r i s on t h e whole worse o f f a f t e r t h e change than b e f o r e , - Another problem t h a t n o t i n f r e q u e n t l y a r i s e s u n d e r t h e p r e s e n t s y s t e m o f w e l f a r e i n Australia i s t h a t anomalies, which a p p e a r o n t h e s u r f a c e t o b e u n f a i r , 0ccu.r between d i f f e r . e n t w e l f a r e It can o c c u r t h a t one c l a s s o f r e c i p i e n t s , s a y recipients. p e o p l e o n i n v a l i d p e n s i o n s , r e c e i v e c e r t a i n e n t i t l e m e n t s while a n o t h e r group o f r e c i p i e n t s , s a y unemployed p e r s o n s , do n o t r e c e i v e similar b e n e f i . t s . O f t e n t h e r e a r e g o o d r e a s o n s f o r t h e s e d i f f e r e n c e s , but t h e p o i n t u n f o r t u n a t e l y remains t h a t t o t h e welf a r e r e c e i p i e n t s t h e system a p p e a r s b u r e a u c r a t i c , a r b i t r a r y and unfair, It i s b e c a u s e o f a1.1 t h e s e d i f f i c u l t i e s t h a t t h e i d e a o f a guara n t e e d m i n i m u n l income has b e e n p r o p o s e d . The hope o f t h e s u p p o r t e r s o f such a p r o p o s a l i s t h a t one s i m p l e scheme w i l l b e f o u n d t h a t w i l l . b o t h cut; t h r o u g h most o f t h e a d m i n i s t r a t i v e t a n g l e s of t h e p r e s e n t programs and p r o v i d e a b a s i c g u a r a n t e e d minimum level. o f income for a l l p e o p l e in. Australia. 7 Main P r o p o s a l s Having now o u t l i n e d t h e raison d P e t r e o f g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income p r o p o s a l s , I want t o t u r n t o l o o k at t h e main s u g g e s t i o n s t h a t h a v e b e e n p u t f o r w a r d i n more d e t a i l . There i s much l i t e r a t u r e a v a i l a b l e o n g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income schemes, b u t f o r a quick stm-rilary o f t h e i s s u e s I can recomniend t w o books: a p u b l i c a t i o n by t h e O r-g a n i s a t i o n f o r European C o - o p e r a t i o n and Development c a l l e d N e g a t i v e Income Tax (you s h o u l d be a b l e t o g e t t h i s book from BCN Agencies h e r e i n M e l b o u r n e ) , and a -p a m-p h l e t c a l l e d N e g a t i v e Igcome Tax and Tax C r e d i t Systems. There i s one p o i n t t h a t should be made c l e a r a t t h i s s t a g e : t h e t e r m " g u a r a n t e e d minimum income scheme" does n o t d e f i n e one p a r t i c u l a r program. R a t h e r , i t r e f e r s t o many d i f f e r e n t p r o p o s a l s t h a t have b e e n put f o r w a r d . Such a scheme may b e u n i v e r s a l , i n t h e s e n s e t h a t i t c o v e r s e v e r y o n e i n Australia whose income i s below some p r e- d e t e r m i n e d l e v e l . It may thus t a k e t h e p l a c e o f a l l e x i s t i n g s o c i a l s e c u r i t y schemes. On t h e o t h e r hand, it may be designed t o cover a s p e c i f i c group, o r groups, o f people such as t h e aged, t h e i n v a l i d , t h e unemployed, t h e low-wage income earner, etc. A f ' u r t h e r p o i n t w o r t h noting i s t h a t t h e r e i s an i n c r e a s i n g appreciatiion o f supporters of s o c i a l welfare reform o f the interc o n n e c t i o n o f w e l f a r e programs and t h e t a x a t i o n s y s t e m . I n one s e n s e , w e l f a r e programs and t a x e s a r e o p p o s i t e s i d e s o f t h e same c o i n . One system p r o v i d e s r e s o u r c e s and money t o t h e p o p u l a t i o n , w h i l e t h e o t h e r system t a k e s away. I t w i l l be c o n v e n i e n t f o r us t o c o n s i d e r g u a r a n h e e d income schemes u n d e r f o u r h e a d i n g s : N e g a t i v e Income Tax . . . Tax C r e d i t s Demogrants Family Income S u p p l e m e n t s F i r s t , t h e i d e a o f a n e g a t i v e income t a x . In i t s p u r e s t s e n s e , a n e g a t i v e income scheme i s a t e r m u s e d t o d e n o t e an income s u p p o r t p r o g r a m which p r o v i d e s w e l f a r e b e n e f i t s through, o r at l e a s t i n c o n j u n c t i o n with, t h e s y s t e m o f p e r s o n a l income t a x . I t s o b j e c t i v e -- a n d i t s o b j e c t i v e s a r e u s u a l l y t h o s e o f o t h e r g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income schemes -- have b e e n s t a t e d b r o a d l y as b e i n g : 8 . . t o a i m p l i f y t k e sociall. w e l f a r e s y s t e m ; t o e n s u r e t h a t t h o s e who g e t h e l p a r e t h o s e who n e e d h e l p , and t o avoid sharp jumps i n t h e s o - c a l l e d " e f f e e t i v e " t a x rat e t h a t we1 f a r e r e c i p i e n t s sometimes p a y , (These jwnps i n t h e " e f f e c t i v e " t a x r a t e can sometimes be q u i t e d r a m a t i c , I m e n t i o n e d e a r l i e r t h a t 1%can happen that an i n c r e a s e i n , say, t h e age pensi"on, l e a d s t o t h e w i t h d r a w a l o f o t h e r b e n e f i t s . F o r example, i f a $5 p e r week r i s e i n t h e age p e n s i o n l e a d s t o a $1 p e r week loss i n o t h e r b e n e f i t s , i n e f f e c t t h e r e i s a t a x on t h e $5 p e r week p e n s i o n r i s e of 20%. In an extreme c a s e , i f a $5 p e n s i o n r i s e l e a d s t o t h e p e n s i o n e r l o s i n g , say, $5 worth o f o t h e r b e n e f i t s , t h e e f f e c t i v e t a x o n t h e p e n s i o n r i s e i s 100%. It i s n o t unknown f o r t h e t a x r a t e t o r i s e t o o v e r loo$, which i s just a n o t h e r way o f s a y i n g that t h e p e n s i o n E T o s e s more than h e o r she gains. The q u e s t i o n here a r i s e s on why a p e n s i o n e r s h o u l d be a s k e d t o pay a t a x r a t e that i s , i n e f f e c t , much h i g h e r than any t a x r a t e shown i n t h e o f f i c i a l t a x s c h e d u l e s i n Australia), Negative income t a x e s have t h r e e main e l e m e n t s : a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income; a n e g a t i v e income t a x r a t e ; and a b r e a k e v e n l e v e l o f income, The g d a r a n t e e d income i s t h e m i n i m u m l e v e l o f income that t h e Government g u a r a n t e e s t o p e r s o n s who are c o v e r e d by t h e scheme and have no o t h e r income. This m i n i m u m income would v a r y a c c o r d i n g t o f a m i l y s i z e but may o r may not c o n f o m t o %he inc m e l e v e l o f t h e accepted poverty l i n e , The n e g a t i v e t a x r a t e i s t h e r a t e at which t h e g u a r a n t e e d income d e c r e a s e s as other income i n c r e a s e s . Viewed a n o t h e r way, i t i s t h e r a t e a t which a p e r s o n g s n e g a t i v e t a x b e n e f i t i n c r e a s e s as h i s income d e c l i n e s below t h e p o i n t where p o s i t i i v e t a x b e g i n s t o appl-yo 7 The "bye& even" l e v e l o f income i s t h e p o i n t a t which t h e n e g a t i v e t a x b e n e f i t s s h a d e o u t a l t o g e t h e r and p o s i t i v e t a x commences, A p r a c t i c a l example w i l l make t h i s clear. C o n s i d e r t h e c a s e of a g u a r a n t e e d income s e t at $2,000 p e r annum, and a n e g a t i v e incame t a x r a t e a f 50%. F o r e a c h $2 t h e w e l f a r e r e c i p i e n t e a r n s , h e w i l l l o s e $1 i n b e n e f i t , s o he will be a b l e t o e a r n up t o $4,000 p e r annum b e f o r e t h e b e n e f i t c u t s out e n t i r e l y . Thus $4,000 p e r axmum i s t h e "break even" l e v e l o f income. 9 Obviously t h e f i g u r e s I have c h o s e n i n t h i s example a r e a r b i t r a r y , and c a n be v a r i e d d e p e n d i n g o n t h e p r e c i s e goals that one wants t o a c h i e v e . The s e c o n d scheme t h a t 1 m e n t i o n e d w a s t h e " t a x c r e d i t " proposal.. Tax c r e d i t s a r e s o named b e c a u s e t h e y p r o v i d e f o r f i x e d amounts t o b e c r e d i t e d against t a x c a l c u l a t e d on a p e r s o n * s income. The c r e d i t s , i f introduced, would r e p l a c e concessional t a x deductions and p e r h a p s some o t h e r w e l f a r e payments, s u c h as c h i l d endowment. They a r e f l a t - r a t e amounts which a r e d e t e r m i n e d l a r g e l y by t h e i n d i v i d u a l ' s family circumstances. In t h e p r o p o s e d U n i t e d Kingdom Tax C r e d i t Scheme, f o r example, c r e d i t s o f &4 a week for a s i n g l e man, cE6 a week f o r a m a r r i e d c o u p l e , and i€2 a week for e a c h c h i l d were a d o p t e d f o r i l l u s t r a t i v e p u r p o s e s , Where t h e c r e d i t s e x c e e d t h e amount o f t a x c a l c u l a t e d , t h e amount of t h e excess i s p a i d t o t h e p e r s o n concerned. S u p p o r t e r s o f t h e t a x c r e d i t s argue t h a t t h e y a r e t o b e p r e f e r r e d t o c o n c e s s i o n a l d e d u c t i o n s f r o m income b e c a u s e t h e y a r e o f e q u a l value t o all whereas c o n c e s s i o n a l d e d u c t i o n s i n c r e a s e i n v a l u e as income i n c r e a s e s . Another p r o p o s a l , t h e lfdemograntV1system, a t t r a c t e d a good d e a l o f a t t e n t i o n during t h e 1972 U.S. p r e s i d e n t i a l campaign when S e n a t o r George McGovern p r o m i s e d a payment o f $1,000 p e r y e a r t o e a c h American c i t i z e n , c h i l d r e n i n c l u d e d . A s y s t e m of demogrants i n v o l v e s t h e payment o f f l a t - r a t e b e n e f i t s t o a p a r t i c u l a r g r o u p o f p e o p l e . The group c a n b e t h e w h o l e p o p u l a t i o n of a c o u n t r y , as S e n a t o r McGovern p r o p o s e d , ' o r c a n b e a p a r t i c u l a r group d e f i n e d by s u c h c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s as age, f a m i l y s i z e , d i s a b i l i t y , e t c . Such payments a r e f r e e o f any s p e c i f i c t e s t o n income o r assets. Although t h e payment o f d e m o g r a n t s a v o i d s p r o b l e m s l i n k e d t o means t e s t p r o c e d u r e s , o t h e r i s s u e s a r e r a i s e d b y s u c h s y s t e m s ; m a i n l y t h e i r c o s t and t h e i r e f f i c i e n c y i n m e e t i n g n e e d s . The c o s t o f demogrants i s s e e n by many c r i t i c s as i n d i c a t i v e o f waste i n t h a t t h e y p r o v i d e b e n e f i t s t o everyone i n s t e a d o f conc e n t r a t i n g a v a i l a b l e r e s o u r c e s on t h e p o o r . One p o s s i b l e means o f r e d u c i n g t h e c o s t o f s u c h programs o r of c o n c e n t r a t i n g r e s o u r c e s o n t h e " n e e d i e s t " i s t o r e c o u p p a r t o f t h e demogrant through t h e t a x a t i o n system. Such t a x a t i o n , i n e f f e c t , m o u n t s t o s u b j e c t i n g t h e b e n e f i t t o a means t e s t . IO C h i l d endowment w h i c h i s exempt from t a x and t h e f r e e o f means test a g e p e n s i o n which i s s u b j e c t t o t a x , a r e e x m p l e s o f demos grants i n Australia. The f o u r t h t y p e of g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m m i income scheme t h a t I m e n t i o n e d w a s t h e " f a m i l y income supplement". This t e r m has no p r e c i s e t e e h n i c a l meaning b u t i s a g e n e r a l t e r m which may be u s e d t o d e s c r i b e a wide v a r i e t y o f programs i n t e n d e d t o assist families . Difficulties So much f o r a summary- d e s c r i p t i o n o f t h e main g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income proposals, I think t h e r e i s much t o be said for each o f t h e s e schemes -- e a c h p r o p o s a l has i t s a d v a n t a g e s a n d each prop o s a l has i t s disadvantages. S o how can we choose which o f the programs, i f any, s h o u l d be a d o p t e d ? When f a c e d with a s i t u a t i o n like t h i s , as a p o l i t i c i a n t h e m o s t i m p o r t a n t s i n g l e q u e s t i o n t h a t I ask myself a b o u t e a c h p r o p o s a l i a "Is i t p r a c t i c a l ? " Van i t b e done?'! And u n l e s s , a f t e r making a r e a s o n a b l e judgment, t h e answer t o t h i s q u e s t i o n f o r at l e a s t one o f t h e p l a n s i s fly-es", t h e n t h e schemes must r e m a i n j u s t s o much w i s h f u l thinking. T h i s i s n o t j u s t my own r e a c t i o n -- any o t h e r M i n i s t e r i n any o t h e r A u s t r a l i a n Government would t a k e t h e same approach, L e t me r e c a l l t h e pclinCs t h a t I made e a r l i e r a b o u t r e a l i s m . A s o c i a l w e l f a r e program n a s t b e l e all r e a l i s t i c , b e c a u s e t h e r e i s no p o i n t i n a t t e m p t i n g t o i n r o u c e a new scheme i f i t i s going t o be r u l e d u n c o n s t i t u t i o n a l . You w i l l know t h a t t h e Labor Government x A u s t r a l i a A s s i s t a n c e P l a n i s p r e s e n t l y u n d e r l e g a l c h a l l e n g e f r o m V i c t o r i a and N.S.W. i n t h e High C o u r t , s o t h e p o s s i b i l i t y o f a l e g a l d i s p u t e o v e r a s o c i a l w e l f a r e proposal i s by no means t h e o r e t i c a l . Indeed I u n d e r s t a n d t h a t t h e C o n s t i t u t $ o n a l l e g a l i t y of a t a x c r e d i t scheme i n Australia must as y e t be r e g a r d e d as u n c e r t a i n . e Any new program must be a d m i n i s t r a t i v e l y r e a l i s t i c t o o . It i s a simple f a c t o f life t h a t some schemes r e q u i r e many more p u b l i c servants t o a d m i n i s t e r them than do o t h e r s ; A pro&-am which c a l l s for an army o f b u r e a u c r a t s handling mountains of p a p e r w i l l p r o b a b l y s t i f l e i t s e l f t o d e a t h . And f o r b o t h economic and p o l i k i c a l r e a s o n s , t h e r e a r e o b v i o u s l y l i m i t s t o t h e number of p u b l i c s e r v i c e employees that a Government c a n a l l o c a t e t o any one program. I1 F u r t h e r , a s o c i a l w e l f a r e p r o g r a m must b e p o l i t i c a l l y r e a l i s t i c . The sad e x p e r i e n c e o f S e n a t o r G e o r g e McGovern's "demogrant" p r o p o s d i s t e s t i m o n y enough t o t h a t . H i s p r o p o s a l , i n f a c t , h a d much t o recornlend it. B u t h e f a i l e d t o e x p l a i n t h e scheme t o a s c e p t i c a l American e l e c t o r a t e . The i d e a o f p a y i n g e v e r y maul, woman and c h i l d i n t h e U . S . $1,000 at f i r s t sounded just silly.. Although t h e o v e r a l l r e s u l t o f McGovern's ltdernogrant'l p r o p o s a l would h a v e b e e n t o r e d i s t r i b u t e income t o w a r d s t h e poor, t h e i d e a sounded s o s t r a n g e t h a t McGovern l o s t a good d e a l o f p o l i t i c a l c r e d i b i l i t y b e c a u s e o f it. The c & e a r l e s s o n i s %hat in a d e m o c r a t i c system t h e gaound must be w e l l - p r e p a r e d i f i m p o r t a n t s0qia.l changes a r e t o be a c c e p t a b l e . + Fourth, a p r o p o s a l must be e c o n o m i c a l 1 r e a l i s t i c . P e r h a p s t h e most f r e q u e n t ' r e q u e s t t h a t a i n i s e r e a r s i s one f o r more money. It i s my own e x p e r i e n c e t h a t t h e r e i s h a r d l y a p o l i t i c a l a c t i v i s t a L i v e who does n o t s i n c e r e l y b e l i e v e t h a t more money s h o u l d b e s p e n t on t h e p a r t i c u l a r programs t h a t h e s u p p o r t s . I hope you w i l l n o t t h i n k that I am e x c e s s i v e l y c y n i c a l i f I s a y that it a l w a ; y s seems t o b e t h e case that p o l i t i c a l a c t i v i s t s can - p r o v e t h a t t h e i r p r o p o s a l s a r e f o r t h e g r e a t e r good o f a11 A u s t r a l i a n s everywhere a l l o f t h e t i m e ! The t r u t h is, O f c o u r s e , that t h e Government's p u r s e i s n o t b o t t o m l e s s . Spending has t o s t o p somewhere. The w e l f a r e p r o p o s a l t h a t I would most l i k e t o see i s t h e one t h a t does more t o a l l e v i a t e p o v e r t y than our p r e s e n t s o c i a l w e l f a r e system but which c o s t s l e s s ! And I am n o t s o s u r e t h a t it is r i d i c u l o u s t o suggest t h a t s u c h a p r o p o s a l c o u l d be found. I n c i $ e n t a l l y , I a m n o t s u g g e s t i n g t h a t l e s s money s h o u l d be spent on w e l f a r e i n Australia. B u t I do f e e l that p o u r i n g more money into t h e s y s t e m i s n o t n e c e s s a r i l y t h e answer. It i s easy t o just s p e n d money, It i s l e s s e a s y t o s p e n d i t w e l l . The n e e d t o be r e a l i s t i c , t h e n , w i l l be an i m p o r t a n t c r i t e r i a o f any w a r a n t e e d minimutr, income plan. B u t t h e r e a r e o t h e r , more s p e c i f i c d i f f i c u l t i e s a t t a c h e d t o m o s t o f t h e programs t h a t I want t o m e n t i o n some o f t h e s e t e c h n i c a l have been, p r o p o s e d . prgblems i n o r d e r t o d e m o n s t r a t e t o you just how i m p o r t a n t t h e y a r e . As a g e n e r a l r u l e , i f one cannot come t o terms w i t h t h e t e c h n i c a l problems, t h e scheme ( w h i c h e v e r one i - t i s t h a t i s being d i s c u s s e d ) w i l l s o o n be s e e n as u n r e a l i s t i c . 12 One s p e c i f i c d i f f i c u l t y w i t h n e g a t i v e income t a x p r o p o s a l s i s t h a t t h e r e i s an i n h e r e n t c o n f l i c t between t h e t h r e e main e l e m e n t s o f t h e scheme. (You w i l l r e c a l l that t h e s e a r e (1) a g u a r a n t e e d income; ( 2 ) a n e g a t i v e t a x r a t e ; and ( 3 ) a " b r e a k even" l e v e l o f i n c o m e . ) If one s e t s t h e g u a r a n t e e d income at a decent m i n i m m l e v e l (say, $2,000 p e r annum) and if one s e t s a n e g a t i v e tax r a t e which i s n o t t o o o n e r o u s ( s a y , 50%) t h e n t h i s means e v e r yone with an income o f l e s s than $4,000 p e r annum w i l l r e c e i v e a grant f r o m t h e Government. Such a program i s bound t o be v e r y e x p e n s i v e and may t h e r e f o r e v i o l a t e our c r i t e r i o n o f "economic r e a l i s m " . F u r t h e r , for various r e a s o n s not everyone r e c e i v i n g . l e s s than $4,000 p e r amurn c a n be s a i d t o 'be p o o r , and s o t h e n e g a t i v e income tax plan i n t h e example I have just g i v e n w i l l b e s u b s i d i s i n g some p e o p l e who do not r e a l l y n e e d i t . We c a n g e t around t h e s e t w o problems by e i t h e r (1) s e t t i n g t h e minimmi income at a lower l e v e l ( s a y , $1,000 p e r annum), o r But i s i t r e a l l y ( 2 ) introducing a steeper negative t a x rate. d e s i r a b l e to do e i t h e r o f t h e s e t h i n g s ? A m i n i m m i income l e v e l o f $1,000 p e r annum i s n o t e x a c t l y generous, And a s t e e p n e g a t i v e income t a x r a t e ma d i s c o u r a g e p e o p l e from l o o k i n g f o r work. E a r l y e x p e r i e n c e wi h t h e New J e r s e y n e g a t i v e income t a x experiment t e n d s t o s u g g e s t o t h e r w i s e b u t i t i s r e a l l y t o o early f o r dogmatic c o n c l u s i o n s y e t . I -2- So c l e a r l y we a r e i n a dilemma: i f t h e scheme i s t o o g e n e r o u s i t w i l l be e x p e n s i v e and w i l l h e l p people who a r e n o t p o o r ; if t h e m i n i m u m income l e v e l i s s e t a t t o o l o w a l e v e l -then t h e scheme may f a i l t o h e l p p e o p l e who a r e r e a l l y p o o r ; and i f a high n e g a t i v e t a x r a t e i s imposed, b e n e f i c i a r i e s may b e d i s couraged from l o o k i n g for work, There a r e a l s o o t h e r d i f f i c u l t i e s t o be f a c e d up t o . How c a n one k e e p -track o f an i t i n e r a n t worker who moves f r o m j o b t o job? How does one d e f i n e t h e w e l f a r e u n i t ? Is i t t o be an i n d i v i d u a l ? O r i s it t o be a f a m i l y ? How does one t r e a t a s i n g l e i n d i v i d u a l who by h i m s e l f might a p p e a r t o have a l o w income, but i n f a c t l i v e s i n a commune and s h a r e s a high standard o f l i v i n g w i t h h i s f r i e n d s ? Or c o n s i d e r t h e a n o m a l i e s t h a t would a r i s e i n comparing f a m i l i e s w i t h t h e same gross income b u t where t h e income was e a r n e d i n d i f f e r e n t ways. In one case, t h e whole income ( s a y , $20,000 p e r annum) might be e a r n e d b y t h e m a l e . In a s e c o n d c a s e , t h e md.e might earn @.8,000 p e r annum and t h e female m i g h t r e c e i v e $2,000. In t h e first c a s e , i n t h e a b s e n c e of a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m m income s y s t e m b a s e d on t h e combined f a m i l y income, t h e Wife as a non-income e a r n e r would a t t r a c t a full. b e n e f i t . I n t h e s e c o n d c a s e t h e w i f e w o u l d r e c e i v e a r e d u c e d income g u a r a n t e e , y e t t h e gross f a m i l y income would b e no g r e a t e r than i n t h e f i r s t c a s e while t h e c o s t s o f maintaining t h e home, e s p e c i a l l y if c h i l d c a r e c o s t s a r e i n v o l v e d , would p r o b a b l y be great. It m i g h t l e g i t i m a t e l y b e a r g u e d , o f c o u r s e , t h a t n e i t h e r f a m i l y i s e n t i t l e d t o any income g u a r a n t e e b e c a u s e of t h e high t o t a l . l e v e l o f f a m i l y income, but t h e b a s i c dilemn,a I am p o i n t i n g It i s t r u e t h a t some o f t h e s e p r o b l e m s e x i s t u n d e r t o is clear. t h e p r e s e n t w e l f a r e system i n Australia, but some o f t h e p r o b l e m s t h a t I h a v e m e n t i o n e d do n o t . And t o t h e e x t e n t that t h e y do e x i s t a t p r e s e n t , i n most c a s e s we h a v e managed t o s o r t o u t t h e a n o m a l i e s by a rough p r o c e s s o f t r i a l and e r r o r o v e r t h e y e a r s . Under a new system, a l o t o f t h e o l d p r o b l e m s would be c e r t a i n t o c r o p up a g a i n i n a new f o r m . In c o n c l u s i o n , and s o t h a t you w i l l not b e t o o d i s i l l u s i o n e d o r despondent a f t e r my corraents, l e t me r e a s s u r e you that t h e Government has b e e n working a c t i v e l y o n t h i s m a t t e r f o r more than 18 nlonths now. The p r o b l e m s I have o u t l i n e d i n t h i s p a p e r a r e m e r e l y i n t e n d e d t o g i v e you an i d e a o f t h e complex d i f f i c u l t i e s which we must s o l v e i f we a r e going t o i n t r o d u c e a s u c c e ss fil s cheme . My d e p a r t m e n t and I , o f t e n t o g e t h e r , and e v e n more o f t e n s e p a r a t e l y , h a v e r e s e a r c h e d many p r o p o s a l s t h a t have o c c u r r e d t o u s o r t h a t h a v e b e e n brought t o our n o t i c e . We h a v e mn i n t o all sorts of d i f f i c u l t i e s . The p o l i t i c a l problems c a n n o t be i g n o r e d , e x c e p t by t h o s e who do n o t h a v e t o s u c c e s s f u l l y i n t r o d u c e and o p e r a t e reforms. It has n o t b e e n e a s y t o s o l v e t h e d i f f i c u l t i e s , a n d t o b e frank we have n o t y e t found a s i m p l e s o l u t i o n t h a t s a t i s f a c t o r i l y improves o n schemes t h a t c u r r e n t l y e x i s t . A t p r e s e n t , t h e P r i o r i t i e s Review S t a f f and t h e S o c i a l W e l f a r e Commission a r e t r y i n g t o d e v e l o p a s o l u t i o n t o t h e s e problems. N a t u r a l l y we a r e l o o k i n g f o r w a r d t o t h e i r p r o p o s a l s w i t h e a g e r n e s s , as we a r e s i m i l a r l y l o o k i n g f o r w a r d t o P r o f e s s o r Henderson's proposals with keen i n t e r e s t . I hope t h a t from t h e s e e f f o r t s a b e t t e r scheme w i l l b e born. B u t e v e n if we do produce a n e a t s o l u t i o n , ;t know f r o m n ~ yown e x p e r i e n c e as a M i n i s t e r t h a t t h e b a t t l e w i l l by no means have b e e n won. T h e scheme would s t i l l h a v e t o b e implemented and t h a t c a n o n l y Be done w i t h t h e a c c e p t a n c e o f t h e p u b l i c , It seems t o e s c a p e t h e n o t i c e o f many i n t h e community, although I would c e r t a i n l y hope that i t w o u l d not excape t h e n o t i c e o f anyone i n t e r e s t e d enough i n t h e s e m a t t e r s t o a t t e n d a c o n f e r e n c e s u c h as t h i s , t h a t i f we a r e going t o r e d i s t r i b u t e income i n t h e comnunity t o h e l p t h e p o o r , t h e n some p e o p l e m u s t b e worse o f f . That i s what r e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f income nleans. 14 U n f o r t u n a t e l y , w h i l e e v e r y o n e wants t n o t many of t h o s e capable o f b e a r i n g do s o , F o r example, a,n e d i t o r i a l i n 1974 d i s c u s s i n g t h e L a b o r Government p r o g r a m s said: o see poverty eliminated, -the c o s t a r e p r e p a r e d t o The Australian o f March 11, s various s o c i a l welfare "The p h i l o s o p h y o f e a c h mr3ve i s d e f e n s i b l e i n isolation. T o g e t h e r t h e y add up t o a massive a t t e m p t t o r e d i s t r i b u t e income., The program an,ounts -- and t h e r e i s no way t h i s can b e d e n i e d -- t o an a t t e m p t t o p e n a l i s e t h e middle- income g r o u p i n f a v o u r o f t h e * . F o r t h e s e r e a s o n s t h e program i s f'ull o f poor. risks f o r t h e Labor Government. I t s i n d i v i d u a l p r o p o s a l s a r e a t t r a c t i v e , b u t when t h e b i l l s a r e p r e s e n t e d t 3 e e f f e c t i s l i k e l y t o endanger p a r t i c u l a r l y t h o s e swinging urban seats which p u t Labor i n power i n e . 1972. " I s t r e s s t h a t when we do move t o lin$roduce a farm o f g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income -- and I hope -Khat t i m e i s not t o o far o f f now -- we w i l l be a b l e t o c o u n t on a g e n u i n e , a c t i v e , out- spoken commitment i n s u p p o r t o f our p r o g r a m s from p e o p l e like yourselves. We w i l l n e e d y o u r s u p p o r t s o t h a t t h o s e who s a y t h e y b e l i e v e i n change, but r e a l l y d o n v t w a n t any-khing t o Se d i f f e r e n t , w i l l a c c e p t t h a t things w i l l hame t o be d i f f e r e n t i f t h e r e a r e t o be changes. They w i l l h a v e t o a c c e p t t h a t a r e d i s t r i b u - t i o n of income w i l l b e n e e d e d t o p r o v i d e t h e s o r t s o f b e n e f i t s we a r e talking about today. They w i l l a l s o have t o a c c e p t t h a t t h e c o s t o f t h e r e d i s t r i b u t i o n w i l l h a v e t o be s h o u l d e r e d by t h e b e t t e r - o f f menlbers o f o u r comnxnity. U n l e s s Australians a r e p r e p a r e d t o a c c e p t t h i s s i m p l e f a c t , our a t t e m p t s t o h e l p t h e p o o r w i l l make o n l y small progress. 15 E D I T E D D I S C U S S I O N ON MR, HAYDENOS P'ASER QUESTION NO. 1 You m e n t i o n t h a t t h e r e h a v e b e e n . . i n v e s t i g a t i o n s , o r a p r o c e s s of i n v e s t i g a t i o n s , over t h e last 18 months. Is it t h e i n t e n t i o n o f t h e government t o p r e s e n t a g r e e n p a p e r o n t h i s a r e a and open t h e m a t t e r t o p u b l i c d i s c u s s i o n or d o e s t h i s seminar by ACOSS c o n s t i t u t e t h e o p e n i n g f o r u m i n any way o f a p r o c e s s o f public participation. The m i n i s t e r s t a t e s i n h i s a d d r e s s t h a t h e w o u l d ask p e o p l e s u c h as o u r s e l v e s t o campaign or t o s u p p o r t t h . e s s sort o f changes,; b:nt i t d o e s seem t o me t h a t i n v i e w o f a.n open g o v e r r m e n t 1 8 riionths i s a l o n g t i m e a f t e r t h e s t a r t o f t h e involvement process. ANSWER Yes, i t d o e s , t h o u g h I t h i n k t h a t may b e due t o t h e d i f f i c u l t i e s t h a t t h e m i n i s t e r o u t l i n e d i n h i s p a p e r , A l o t o f t i m e has b e e n s p e n t discussing t h e p r o s and cons, t h i n k i n g w e p v e come t o a b r i c k w a l l . a n d t h e n t h i n k i n g again. QUESTION IYO. 2 I ' d l i k e t o make two o b s e r v a t i o n s . One i s on t h e q u e s t i o n o f Mr, HaydenOS p l e a for p e o p l e t o be r e a l i s t i c , I w o u l d c o n s i d e r it a t r a g e d y if all s o c i a l r e f o m i e r s d e c i d e d t h a t t h e y had t o b e r e a l i s t i c i n t h e s e n s e k h a t w h a t end.ed u p v i r t u a l l y amounted t o a c o n s p i r a c y where t h e p o l i t i c i a n s , t h e p e o p l e from t h e r e l e v a n t government d e p a r t m e n t s s u c h as s o c i a l s e c u r i t y , t h e a g e n c i e s such as t h e s o c i a l w e l f a r e c o n m i s s i o n , v o l u n t a r y a g e n c i e s and o r g a n i s a t i o n s l i k e ACOSS a1.l came t o g e t h e r and a g r e e d on s o m e t h i n g t h a t w a s r e a l i s t i c , p r a g m a t i c , p r a c t i c a l and which met a11 t h e s e c r i t e r i a , These a r e v e r y r e a l c r i t e r i a and I d o n ' t w i s h t o i g n o r e them at aL1 b u t u n l e s s some p e o p l e t r y t o b e u n r e a l i s t i c I d o n o t s e e how s o c i a l change beyond " r e a l i s t i c c h a n g e g i s e v e r r e a l l y going t o b e p o s s i b l e . I d o n ' t s e e how t h e d e b a t e o n sxch i s s u e s i s e v e r g o i n g t o become n u c h w i d e r if i n f a c t a Owelfare e l i t e ' d e c i d e o n t h e s o c i a l change which i s practicable The s e c o n d o b s e r v a $ i o n i s on Mr. H a y d s n D s cornlent r e g a r d i n g w h a t h e c a l l e d 'a d e c e n t minimiani l e v e l o f some%hing l i k e $2,000 p e r ammo And then he s u g g e s t e d that maybe t h e m i n i m u m l e v e l c o u l d b e s e t a t something l i k e $1,000 p e r annul, which h e s u g g e s t e d w a s n o t e x a c t l y generolxs. My o n l y cormlent on t h a t i s t h a t I d o n Q t c o n s i d e r $2,000 p a r t i c u l a r l y g e n e r o u s e i t h e r . 16 ANSWER I a m b a s i c a l l y an i d e a l i s t a.nd an o p t i m i s t t o o , but I do a p p r e c i a t e t h a t t h e r e a r e r e a l i s t i c f a c t o r s t o b e t a k e n i n t o a c c o u n t , I mean t h e r e a r e going t o be some d i f f i c u l t budget d e c i s i o n s coming u p , c r i e s f o r r e d u c t i m i s i n governrcent e x p e n d i t u r e s , a l o o k at t h e d e f i c i t , and s o OE, It would b e s o n i c e t o rutLe o f f and s t a r t a g a i n h u t one o f t h e . p r o b l e m s i s t h a t e a c h i n d i v i d u a l i n t n e comaunity l o o k s at how he i s t h i s y e a r , and when a change i s n a d e , how h e i s i n t h e n e x t y e a r , One o f t h e u n f o r t u n a t e t h i n g s i s % h a t I suppose that a l l o f us t o one e x t e n t o r a n o t h e r a r e b a s i c a l l y s e l f i s h . Without u s i n g t h a t i n a d e r o g r a t o r y way t h e r e i s this comparison t h a t p e o p l e make, O n t h e o t h e r p o i n t , i n s a y i n g t h a t $2,000 i s a decent minimm l e v e l , I p o i n t o u t that it i s s u b s t a n t i a l l y h i g h e r than t h e e x i s k i n g b a s i c pension r a t e . . QUESTION NO. 3 If I coulc? just say one t h i n g about p o l i t i 9 a l f e a s i b i l i t y . It a p p e a r s t o me t h a t It i s p0ssibl.e t o a r r i v e a t t w o d i f f e r e ; n t conclusions. You cor;.id c o n s i d e r tha5 t h e o b j e c t i v e f u n c t i o n of a scheme i s t o b e p o l i t i c a l l y f e a s i b l e . A l t e r n a t i v e l y you c o u l d p r o p o s e a scheme which by i t s e l f might n o t 5 e q u i t e s o a c c e p t a b l e b u t w i t h t h e r e o r d e r i n g o f p r ? - o r i t i e s i n o7;her a r e a s does become acceptable. P e r h a p s % b e s e c o n u s ~ h e r mi n t h i s i n s t a n c e might b e B u t it d o e s mean t h a t o t h e r schemes o r t h a t more e x p e n s i v e . o t h e r i n t e n d e d programs o f t h e government have t o b e r e o r d e r e d and It d o e s a p p e a r t o xe t h a t i5 i s f a i r l y c r u c i a l which some d e l a y e d . one o f t h e s e o b j e c t i v e s you choose bEca;l.se t o a y view you c o u l d v e r y much g e t t w o d i f f e r e n ' i ; schemes o u t o f it. 1 w a s wondering when yo11 were t a l k i n g about t h i s , which o b j e c t i v e f u n c t i o n where you s u g g e s t i n g ? ANSWER Well one i s more i d e a l i s t i c -khan zhe o t h e r , I wouldnOt p r o p o s e at t h i s s t a g e w h i l e , w e o r e s t i l l t k i n k i n g a b o u t i t , t h a t one s h o u l d s e t t l e o n one a l t e r n a t i v e t o t h e e x c l u s i o n o f t h e o t h e r . M y p e r s o n a l f e e l i n g i s that one way c f i n t r o d u c i n g a r a d i c a l change i n this whole a r e a i s t o do it a l i at once. AB a t t e m p t t o do it g r a d u a l l y means t h a t p e o p l e do comgarisons o f t h e i r p a r t i c u l a r c i r c u m s t a n c e s year by y s a r . P e r h a p s t h e answer, and I * m n o t s a y i n g t h i s e n t i r e l y c y n i c a l l y , i s t o s o s c r a m b l e t h e t a x a t i o n and w e l f a r e s y s t e m and r e - i n v e n t a scheme o u t o f i t where c o m p a r i s o n s a r e n o t p o s s i b l e . QUESTION NO. 4 In Mr. HaydenOs p a p e r he m e n t i o n e d t h e t a x t r e a t m e n t , o r problem o f t a x treatment, o f single v s multiple earning families. I wonder i f t h e government has done a n y t h i n g about l o o k i n g at t h e whole q u e s t i o n o f s i n g l e vs m u l t i p l e earning f a m i l i e s ? ANSWER I guess p e o p l e all r e a l i s e t h e problems o f t r a n s f e r r i n g t o a s p l i t t i n g o f incomes for t a x a t i o n p u r p o s e s : as t o w h e t h e r i t ' s compulsory o r v o l u n t a r y ; w h e t h e r you have a d i f f e r e n t s c a l e f o r t h e s p l i t income compared t o t h e income t a x e d i n t h e hands o f one p e r s o n . P r o b a b l y t h e o n l y s a t i s f a c t o r y way a r o u n d t h e problem o f some p e o p l e i n p r i v i l e g e d p o s i t i o n being a b l e t o s p l i t t h e i r incomes and o t h e r s n o t , o r t h e u n f a i r n e s s o f i t , is t o change from a p r o g r e s s i v e s y s t e m o f t a x a t i o n . I f it w a s a p r o p o r t i o n a l r a t e you wouldn't h a v e t h i s problem. That's p a r t i a l l y r e g r e s s i v e s o I d o n ' t t h i n k you c a n s o l v e a l l t h e p r o b l e m s . One o f t h e problems i n t h e whole system i s t h a t you h a v e t h i s p e r p e t u a l c o n f l i c t o f t h e t w o p r i n c i p l e s o f t r e a t i n g everybody as an i n d i v i d u a l and a p e r s o n i n t h e i r o w n r i g h t and l o o k i n g at economic u n i t s . The t h i n g i s t h a t when y o u ' r e t a l k i n g about f a m i l i e s y o u ' r e n o t n e c e s s a r i l y t a l k i n g about t h e o n l y economic u n i t you have g o t . The M i n i s t e r i n h i s p a p e r m e n t i o n e d comnunes. But again, why s h o u l d a family o f h u s b a n d and w i f e and c h i l d r e n , o r j u s t husband and wife, be t r e a t e d d i f f e r e n t l y from t w o e l d e r l y s i s t e r s l i v i n g t o g e t h e r , o r a homosexual m a r r i a g e f o r that m a t t e r , But i n l o o k i n g at economic u n i t s y o u ' v e g o t t h e problem o f d e f i n i n g i t , I think t h a t t h e T r e a s u r y p a p e r number 6 -- p e r s o n a income t a x , t h e t a x u n i t , i s t h e one I s h o u l d r e f e r you t o . FURTH%R COlYRlENT On t h e t a x c r e d i t i t depends o n how you do i t . A p a p e r by Downing and a few o t h e r s , way back i n 1964, s u g g e s t e d v e r y s t r o n g l y t h a t a t a x s p l i t t i n g s y s t e m w h i l e i t has a d v a n t a g e s o f h o r i z o n t a l e q u i t y can have v e r y g r e a t d i s a d v a n t a g e s o f v e r t i c a l e q u i t y . That i s , it i s p r o b a b l y t h e m o s t r e g r e s s i v e measure o n i t s own. F a r more r e g r e s s i v e than o t h e r c h a n g e s i n t h e t a x system. 18 The T r s a s z r y p a p e r yo71 r e f e r r e i t o has a l o t o f a s s m g t i o n s i n i t , f recalcXLatei3 t h o s e f i g w e s ami e s s e n t i e i y t h e p a p e r w a s a r g u i n g f o r a v e r y nxeh lzeavier t a x r a t e on p s o p l s i n two e a r n e r f m i L i e s i n assuming t h a t eazk i r x i i v i 3 u a l 6arns l e s s than t h e Gne e a r n e r family. The w h o l s przLlem seems t o me t h a t t h e argument i s always couched i n terms of t h e problem o f v e r t i c a l equitg when t h e r e a 9 i s s u e i s o z e o f k o r i z o n t a i e q u i t y . What t h e t a x r e f o r m e r s f a i l t o recogrLise i s tlriat t k e econcmic problem starts w i t h t h e f a i l u r e t o pay people who c o n t r i b u t e t o "national produztion". W E a t you w a n t i s k s r i z o n t a l t r e a t m e n t o f t h o s e p e o p l e who work i n household i n d w t r i e a , w i t h p e a p l e who work i n t h e b u s i n e s s s e c t o r . The p a p e r i g n o r e s for example, t h e imputed income i f t h e wife s t a y s a t home; it i g n o r e s t h e c h i l d c a r e c o s t s o f people witk pre-sckool ckilfiren. I w a n t 30 r a i s e an i s s u e which I tkiirik w i l l probably zoae up again i n Jim C u t t ' s paper. It I s p a r t l y a p c l i t i ( c a L tq-iestioz ana p s r t l y a c p e s t i o n o f p r i o r i t i e s . P r i o r i t y d i s c u s s i o n s :?ave t c be tzkeri by t k e g3verrner;T as t o what t h e first o r mejgr obj2ct;lve ougk.3 t o bE in. z s o c i a l s e c x r i t y program. Whether t k e first c b j e e t i v e ougkt t o be t o g e t more money i n t c p e o p l e ' s p o c k e t s o r whetksr t h e r e wight t o be a more d i v e r s i f i e d c o n c e n t r & t i m o f r e s o u r c e s i n e d u c a t i o n , wellarf and s o f o r t h . I ' m raising t h i s i s s x e because a l r e a d y t h e r e i s a b.z:klash w i t h o u t Laving a scheme S G C ~ aa ' g ~ a r s t n t e e dm i n i m n income*, I understand that t k e combined m s t o f medibmk, conipensation and insurance scheme, national s - J p e r a m i i a t i m i s something o v e r b i l l i o n p e r annurri, o v e r and a b w s t h e presen-t; d e f i z i t . Further, a.n enomous mount c f moxtey has been g e n e r a t e d i n t h e education f i e l i i . In a sense p r i o r i t i e s have a,irestCiy been s e t , because t h e expenditurze p a t t e r n s have been e s t a b l i s h e d , L t h i n k t h a t t h e r e is a s e t of Q n s t a t e d p r i o r i t i e s aroxid, an2 I d m ' t %kink t k a t t h o s e p r i o r i t i e s would favotlr a gdaranteed m i g i m m income, I suppose the i s m e that's bothering me i s t h a t i n some programs you c m t a k e i n i t i a t i v e s and l a t e r decide t o d i s m a n t l e them beeau %hex e i t h e r have. a nega-tive e f f e c t o r s i d e e f f e c t s . B u t t h e r e a1 SOme that involve legislation and the &ole r e s t r d c t c r i n g of aBpects uf society i c 3 would make i t very mueh more d i f f i w l t and is B closing of options. I9 ANSWER I a g r e e with you that; t h e r e has g o t t o be a s o l i d t h i n k about p r i o r i t i e s , P a r t i c u l a r l y t o beware about implementing programs which w i l l . remove ones o p t i o n s about something more s i m p l i f i e d and a 1:: c ep -ti a b 1 e e QUESTION NO. 6 The M i n i s t e r O s p a p e r , a f t e r t h e i n t r o d u c t i o n , d i d n ' t speak v e r y much. at aL1 on t h e concept o f G u a r a n t e e d M i n i m u m Income. 1 d o n o t know whether it i s a p p r o p r i a t k -to s a y t h a t t h e r e i s a d i v i s i o n i n t h e camp o v e r t h i s t e r m . In t h e main i t h a s come t o t h e s c e n e i n r e c e n t y e a r s . If you speak o f Oguaranteed minimmi income0 in. S t ~ sv a r i o u s p o t e n t i a l : Minimunl wage l e g i s l a t i o n ; v a r i o u s s o c i a l s e c u r i t y b e n e f i t s , aimed a t c e r t a i n m i n i m a , can i n i t s e l f p r o v i d e a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income, S u p p l e m e n t a t i o n for housing, f a m i l y a l l o w a n c e s , and s o on, have something t o do with p i c k i n g up t h e p a r t i c u l a r d i f f e r e n c e s between d i f f e r e n t f a m i l y s i t u a t i o n s , The main argument made h e r e i s c a t e g o r i s a t i o n and c o n f u s i o n . I o d l i k e t o q u e s t i o n whether i t i s a v a l i 2 argument at all i n Australia. A s I remember i t t h e d e b a t e on g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u n income a r o s e i n t h e conhext o f a complex w e l f a r e system. The Australian system i s a v e r y s i m p l e c h a r a c t e r i s a t i o n system and I t h i n k t h a t we should a s k o u r s e l v e s c a n you do away w i t h t h e c a t e g o r i e s and t r y t o s u . b s t i t u t e t h e a g g r e g a t e w e l f a r e system i n t a x a t i o n . Is it a v a l i d and workable c o n c e p t ? Do p e o p l e want i t ? In t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s you had a v e r y complex system o f c a t e g o r i e s . You had a number o f p e o p l e l o o k i n g f o r t h e one b i g measure t h a t wo'uld s o l v e a l l o f t h i s , and who w e r e n o t all t h a t concerned about how t h e whole w e l f a r e system o p e r a t e d . I a m concerned. I had a. f a i r l y c l o s e l o o k a t g u a r a n t e e d minimunl income schemes a few y e a r s ago, and d e c i d e d t h e y were Itlemonst', The concept i t s e l f was i n v a l i d , This d o e s n ' t seem t o 'be q u e r i e d i n -the p a p e r and t h e c a s e f o r t h i s s o c a l l e d concept o f a g u a r a n t e e d minimiam income scheme t o o k about a page. 20 I s-a.ppose t h e main v a l i d i t y i s t o a c h i e v e e q u i t y between d i f f e r e n t c a t e g o r i e s . Now yoii m e n t i o n e d m i n i m u m wage. M i n i m u m wage i s not r e l a t e d t o f a m i l y s i z e , and h e n c e need. One can a s k why should a w i d o w w i t h x c h i l d r e n r e c e i v e s o many d o l l a r s a week untaxed when a p e r s o n i n t h e work f o r c e w i t h "x-plus" c h i l d r e n r e c e i v e s a s m a l l e r amount which i s t a x e d and without a n y f r i n g e I t h i n k that i t i s t r y i n g t o work t o w a r d s a b e n e f i t s and s o on. more e q u i t a b l e s y s t e m i n t h o s e t w o examples. Take a l s o t h e p e r s o n o n unemployment b e n e f i t s , You c a n t r y a n d r a t i o n a l i s e t h e systen?, b y s e t t i n g a l i m i t o n unemployment b e n e f i t s s o that it i s n o t more t h a n lo%, 90% or 85% o f what t h a t p e r s o n w a s e a r n i n g before h e S e z m e unemployed, Or you c o u l d have a m a j o r i n c r e a s e i n a l l p e n s i o n s and make them t a x a b l e . C e r t a i n l y t h e r e i s an argmaent for making unemployment t a x a b l e a t t h e end o f t h e year. F o r example, somebody may b e o n $10,000 for n i n e months and unernployment b e n e f i t s f o r t h r e e m o n t h s . I t h i n k t h a t we havs a t least t o e n s u r e t h a t it i s an a b s o l u t e statement t h a t a g u a r a n t e e d minimm income scheme, o f some s o r t , i s a Yemon1I, b e f o r e we c o n t i n u e on p a t c h i n g up t h e e x i s t i n g system, t r y i n g t o r e g r e s s i n e q u i t y ; and p o s s i b l y at t h e same t i m e o n l y introducing more a n o m a l i e s t h a n we a r e c u r i n g . RESPONSE The schemes being p u t f o r w a r d u n d e r t h e name G u a r z n t e e d M i n i m u m Income have b e e n f o r w a r d e d t o try t o c o v e r t h e kind o f problems touched on b e f o r e - n o t c h problems, dimensions o f t h e f a m i l y , and s o on, Family s i z e i s one o f t h e w e l l known major f a c t o r s as t o why some p e o p l e are F o o r and o t h e r s n o t . My s u g g e s t i o n i s t h i s : t h a t EL w e l l known c a t e g o r y , i m p o r t a n t c a t e g o r y , s h o u l d be t r e a t e d t h a t way w i t h a method t o t r e a t t h a t p a r t i c u l a r situation. My concern i s t h a t i n t r y i n g t o f i n d one answer t h a t ' s going t o cover a l l p o s s i b l e c a t e g o r i e s t h a t you a r e going i n a d i r e c t i o n t h a t d o e s n ' t h a v e v a l i d i t y . ThatPs what I'm on about r a t h e r than saying that you s h o u l d n v t a t t e m p t to i r o n o u t t h e r e a l d i f f i c u l t i e s i n t h e w e l f a r e system. A s far as f a m i l y a l l o w a n c e s a r e concerned yo^ c a n c e r t a i n l y i n c r e a s e c b i l d endowment, and t h e n , i n o r d e r t o r e g r e s s t h a t a b i t you make i'c d a x a b l e . 21 But then you have t h e question o f : i n whose hands do you t a x i t ? Do you t a x it i n t h e hands o f t h e non-earner i n t h e family, t h e family having a t o t a l high income; or do you t a x it i n t h e hands o f t h e highest income earner; o r do you include it i n a s p l i t t i n g system; o r what? I n doing all s o r t s o f %hings %hat a r e % . d t e r n a t i v e ts o guaranteed minimum income you could g e t an even m o r e complex system than we have at t h e moment. Even accepting t h a t t h e r e a r e , i n o t h e r countries, systems t h a t a r e m o r e complex than ours I donat think t h a t s an argument against looking a t t h i s whole question. 22 John Harpe'r S e n i o r L e c t u r e r i n Economics, U n i v e r s i t y of Melbourne. LEVEL OF GUARANTEED MINIMUM INCOME I n many c o u n t r i e s i n r e c e n t y e a r s t h e r e have b e e n many s u g g e s t i o n s f o r p o l i c i e s t h a t a r e p r e s e n t e d as s o c i a l l y d e s i r a b l e and, at l e a s t b y i m p l i c a t i o n , c o n t a i n t h e k e y t o a s i m p l i f i e d , more r a t i o n a l e ayld e q u i t a b l e f i n a n c i a l arrangement between i n d i v i d u a l s and t h e gov-ernment, Such p o l i c i e s have b e e n p r e s e n t e d u n d e r a v a r i e t y of t i t l e s . These i n c l u d e , f o r example, programmes f o r n e g a t i v e i n c o m e t a x e s , t a x c r e d i t schemes, s o c i a l d i v i d e n d s , demogrants, and, o f co-ilrse, t h e t i t l e u n d e r which we a r e m e e t i n g t o d a y Othe g u a r a n t e e d minimum i n c o m e Q , Even though t h e r e a r e s e v e r a l common %breads r u n n i n g t h r o u g h all o f t h e s e p r o p o s a l s , t h e d i f f e r e n t termi n o l o g y and t h e d i f f e r e n c e s i n d e t a i l have 1 t h i n k caused c o n s i d e r a b l e amount o f c o n f u s i o n and ambiguity. They have a l s o r a i s e d some f a l s e hopes. I t i s p a r t l y b e c a u s e of t h i s t h a t I w a n t t o t a k e a v e r y s i m p l e a p p r o a c h t o t h e t o p i c of t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income t o d a y . I f e e l t h a t an approach t h a t i s s i m p l e , but one which I hope r a i s e s s o m e fundamental q u e s t i o n s , i s t h e most a p p r o p r i a t e for t o d a y ' s a u d i e n c e 53ecause among u s t h e r e a r e a wide r a n g e o f backgrounds and e x p e r i e n c e s and l e v e l s o f e x p e r t i s e i n t h e a r e a s o f t a x a t i o n and s o c i a l s e c u r i t y arrangements. A s i m p l e minded approach a l s o s u g g e s t s i t s e l f for a n o t h e r r e a s o n - a r e a s o n t h a t I n o t i c e d w a s a l s o r a i s e d i n t h e M i n i s t e r g s paper. I f t h e g u a r a n t e e d income i s e v e r t o b e i n t r o d u c e d i n t o A u s t r a l i a it must b e p r e s e n t e d t o t h e general p u b l i c i n s i m p l e terms. QGite b a s i c q u e s t i o n s must b e a n s w e r e d c l e a r l y and s i m p l y i f such a scheme i s t o be a c c e p t e d ; and, of c o u r s e , it must b e g e n e r a l l y a c c e p t e d i n t h e community i f it i s e v e r t o succeed. NQWt h e l e v e l of t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m i m income i s what I am t o t a l k about. The l e v e l a t which a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income i s t o b e s e t depends, I b e l i e v e , o n t h e answers t o a number o f i n t e r r e l a t e d questions. I have s e t o u t t h e m o s t o b v i o u s o f t h e s e i n t h e s y n o p s i s * and I w o u l d l i k e now t o d e a l w i t h t h e q u e s t i o n s t h a t I have r a i s e d i n t h i s s y n o p s i s more o r l e s s i n t u r n . R e a l l y t h e y should be disc u s s e d s i n - i t a n e o u s l y because t h e y a r e v e r y much i n t e r d e p e n d e n t b u t i t i s n o t p o s s i b l e t o t a l k on s e v e r a l p o i n t s at once. * P l e a s e note. A background s y n o p s i s w a s p r e p a r e d and c i r c u l a t e d 'before t h e seminar. This synopsis i s included i n Appendix C. F i r s t o f a l l , i t i s n e c e s s a r y t o understand t h e e l e m e n t s o f a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income scheme. I'here a r e t h r e e b a s i c elements that I t h i n k a r e f o u n d i n a l o f t h e o t h e r v a r i o u s l y d e s c r i b e d schemes t h a t I m e n t i o n e d a moment ago. First; the l e v e l o f t h e guarantee. Tnis is t h e m i n i m u m that a p e r s o n i s g u a r a n t e e d as a m a t t e r o f r i g h t i f h e has no o t h e r income. A s he a c q u i r e s o t h e r income, e i t h e r from p e r s o n a l e x e r t i o n or income f r o m c a p i t a l , h e would emec-t; t o f i n d h i s b e n e f i t f r o m t h e government r e d u c e d . It c o u l d c o n c e i v a b l y b e r e d u c e d d o l l a r f o r dollar. Tha.t i s , f o r each a d d i t i o n a l d o l l a r o f income h e r e c e i v e d , h i s b e n e f i t i s r e d u c e d by a d o l l a r . T h i s may seem an unduly harsh a r r a n g e m e n t b u t it should b e remembered t h a t t h i s zero r e t e n t i o n r a t e w a s a f e a t u r e o f t h e administration o f pensions i n this country f o r n e a r l y s i x t y years ( u n t i l t h e t a p e r e d means t e s t ; was i n t r o d u c e d i n 1969) a n d i s s t i l l a f e a t u r e o f t h e a d m i n i s t r a t i o n o f unemployment, s i c k n e s s and s p e c i a l b e n e f i t s today, Such a scheme w o u l d a p p e a r t o h a v e c o n s i d e r a b l e d i s i n c e n t i v e s w i t h r e s p e c t t o e a r n i n g a d d i t i o n a l income. For t h i s r e a s o n i t i s thought t o b e more a p p r o p r i a t e t o choose a r a t e of r e d u c t i o n o f l e s s t h a n one- hundred p e r c e n t , a n d t o d a y t h e r a t e of t a p e r t h a t i s a p p l i e d t o p e n s i o n s i s 50 p e r c e n t . This is t h e s e c o n d e l e m e n t i n t h e scheme - t h i s r a t e o f t a p e r . Thus i f for example t h e g u a r a n t e e i s $1800 p e r annum and t h e r a t e o f t a p e r i s 50 p e r c e n t , a p e r s o n would s t i l l r e c e i v e some b e n e f i t o r supplement f r o m t h e government u n t i l h i s income had r e a c h e d $3,600. And t h i s $3,600 r e p r e s e n t s t h e t h i r d e l e m e n t i n t h e scheme - an e l e m e n t which i s o f t e n r e f e r r e d t o as t h e vbrea.k even! That i s , t h e income at which you. r e c e i v e nothing from income. t h e government a n d i n t h e o r y p a y n o t h i n g t o t h e government i n taxes, ( I n c i d . e n t a l l y , I chose a g u a r a n t e e o f $1800 p e r amum f o r a s i n g l e erson s i n c e this is approximately the l e v e l o f t h e basic pension P. You w i l l r e a l i s e t h a t i f a n y t w o o f t h e e l e m e n t s a r e s e t t h e n t h e t h i r d is determined. Thus i f we h a v e a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income i n mind and an a g r e e d r a t e o f t a p e r t h e b r e a k - e v e n w i l l b e d e t ermined. A l t e r n a t i v e l y , i f we h a v e an income below which we b e l i e v e p e o p l e s h o u l d n o t p a y t a x a t i o n and WE: h a v e a r a t e o f t a p e r T h i s way o f l o o k i n g then t h e guaranteed m i n i m u m i s determined. at i t is t h e b a s i c i d e a o f a n e g a t i v e income t a x , t h a t i s t o extend t h e t a x s c h e d u l e below t h e p r e s e n t e x e m p t i o n l e v e l s s o t h a t p e o p l e whose incomes f a l l b e l o w t h e s e l e v e l s w i l l n o t m e r e l y pay no t a x b u t w i l l r e c e i v e some s u p p l e m e n t a r y payment. In o t h e r words, whereas u n d e r t h e p r e s e n t income t a x t h e p e r s o n p a y s t a x o r he does n o t , w i t h a n e g a t i v e income t a x t h e r e i s t h e t h i r d p o s s i b i l i t y that t h e t a x department w i l l p a y h i m . 24 Now of c o u r s e t h e s e t h r e e e l e m e n t s can be v a r i e d t o p r o v i d e a m u l t i t u d e o f d i f f e r e n t schemes and d i f f e r e n t a r r a n g e m e n t s . The h i g h e r t h e g u a r a n t e e d income f o r a g i v e n r a t e of t a p e r t h e h i g h e r w i l l b e t h e b r e a k - e v e n income - that income at which p o s i t i v e t a x e s b e g i n t o be p a i d - and t h e h i g h e r w i l l b e t h e A l t e r n a t i v e l y , f o r a n y g i v e n l e v e l of c o s t o f t h e scheme. g u a r a n t e e d income t h e l o w e r t h e r a t e of t a p e r , t h a t i s t h e l o w e r t h e r a t e o f a i ? e g a t i v e income t a x a n d t h u s t h e l o w e r t h e - p o t e n t i a l d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t , t h e h i g h e r t h e break- even income. Now one o t h e r v a r i a t i o n i s p e r h a p s worth m e n t i o n i n g , s i n c e it has b e e n a familiar f e a t u r e o f our s o c i a l s e c u r i t y system s i n c e t h e o l d a g e p e r s i o n w a s first p a i d i n 1909. That i s t h a t t h e r e i s s o m e l i m i t e d amount o f income t h a t a p e r s o n may r e c e i v e w i t h out h i s b e n e f i t s b e i n g a f f e c t e d a t all. T h i s has t h e a f f e c t , o t h e r t h i n g s b e i n g e q u a l , o r r a i s i n g t h e break- even income. Today, f o r a s i n g l e p e n s i o n e r , f o r example, t h i s ' f r e e income' i s t w e n t y - d o l l a r s p e r week and t h u s has t h e e f f e c t of raising t h e ' b r e a k - e v e n ' income by a p p r o x i m a t e l y $1,040 p e r annum. If I may t a k e my example of t h e s i n g l e p e n s i o n e r a l i t t l e f u r t h e r we f i n d , a t l e a s t by i m p l i c a t i o n t h a t we have a l r e a d y d e t e r m i n e d s e v e r a l o f t h e e l e m e n t s i n our scheme. The b a s i c p e n s i o n r a t e f o r a s i n g l e -person t o d a y $36.00 p e r week o r $1,872 p e r annum, t h e r a t e o f t a p e r i s 50 p e r c e n t and t h e f r e e income i s $1,040 T h i s i m p l i e s t h a t f o r a s i n g l e p e r s o n t h e break- even p e r annum. p o i n t would b e t w i c e $1,872 p l u s $1,040. That i s t o s a y t h e ' b r e a k - e v e n income' i s $4,784 f o r a s i n g l e p e r s o n . Now t h i s annual income o f $ 4 , 7 8 4 i s t h e income a t which t h e p e n s i o n c u t s o u t f o r a s i n g l e p e r s o n , b u t , as I am s u r e many o f you know, it i s n o t b r e a k - e v e n income i n t h e s e n s e that I have beeen p r e s e n t i n g it. P o s i t i v e t a x payments a r e l e v i e d on incomes w e l l below t h i s I n f a c t , e v e n a l l o w i n g f o r t h e aged p e r s o n s t a x r e b a t e figure. it i s o n l y t a x a b l e incomes of $2,358 o r l e s s t h a t a r e exempt f r o m And i n d e e d a t a x i f our s i n g l e p e n s i o n e r happens t o b e aged. p e r s o n whose t a x a b l e income i s o v e r $4,000 i s i n f a c t s u b j e c t t o a marginal t a x r a t e o f 26 p e r c e n t . In p r a c t i c e t h e n i t seems t h a t t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p between t h e s e There i s no s i m p l e t h r e e e l e m e n t s i s c o n s i d e r a b l y confwsed. P o s i t i v e taxes a r e p a i d well before t h e b r e a k - e v e n income. n e g a t i v e tax payments c u t o u t , Even i n t h i s s i m p l e i l l u s t r a t i o n it i s c l e a r t h a t t h i s h a s s e r i o u s consequences, f o r , o v e r a r a n g e o f income, e a c h a d d i t i o n a l d o l l a r o f income r e c e i v e d i s s u b j e c t n o t o n l y t o t h e 50 p e r c e n t t a p e r b u t a l s o t h e m a r g i n d t a x r a t e which m a y b e as h i g h as 26 p e r c e n t . That i s , 76 c e n t s o f e a c h Now t h e s e d o l l a r o f a d d i t i o n a l income t h a t i s r e c e i v e d i s l o s t . r e l a t i o n s h i p s that a r e i m p l i e d i n our p r e s e n t p o l i c i e s n e e d t o b e c a r e f ' u l l y t h o u g h t t h r o u g h b e f o r e one can c o n f i d e n t l y s e t t h e l e v e l o f t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income. 25 L e t me now move o n t o my n e x t m a i n p o i n t , S u r e l y t h e purpose o f t h e i n t r o d u c t i o n of a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income scheme should have a c o n s i d e r a b l e b e a r i n g on t h e l e v e l t h a t i s s e t , There a p p e a r t o be t h r e e main r e a s o n s f o r t h e i n t r o d u c t i o n o f t h e v a r i o u s schemes t h a t may b e p u t u n d e r t h i s g e n e r i c h e a d i n g o f g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income. F i r s t ] - y , i t i s a p p a r e n t t h a t a fundamental. i n e q u i t y e x i s t s i n t h e p e r s o n a l income t a x system when we allow t a x r e d u c t i o n s t o f l o w f r o m t h e a b i l i t y t o make d e d u c t i o n s f r o m t a x a b l e income f o r t h e e x i s t e n c e of d e p e n d a n t s o r f o r v a r i o u s f o r m s o f expenditure such as e 6 u c a t i o n , h e a l t h o r gift- giving. Q u i t e a p a r t f r o m t h e f a c t t h a t t h e s e d e d u c t i o n s r e p r e s e n t a l a r g e r t a x saving f o r t h e high income p e r s o n t h a t f o r t h e low income p e r s o n b e c a u s e o f t h e p r o g r e s s i v e n a t u r e o f t h e t a x r a t e s t r u c t u r e - q u i t e a p a r t from t h i s a n d a n y i n e q u i t y t h a t t h i s may i m p l y - t h e r e i s t h e f a r g r e a t e r i n e q u i t y t h a t f l o w s f r o m t h e f a c t that n o t a x saving i s a v a i l a b l e at a l l t o t h o s e w i t h d e p e n d a n t s , o r who h a v e made exp e n d i t u r e s o n a l l o w a b l e i t e m s , i f t h e y have n o t a x a b l e income, An a t t e m p t t o i n c r e a s e e q u i t y and t o e x t e n d t h e c o n c e s s i o n s t h a t a r e e n j o y e d 'by t h e r i c h t o t h e n o n - r i c h p e r s o n s o r t h e zeroincome p e r s o n i s a b a s i c p u r p o s e b e h i n d t h e i n t r o d u c t i o n o f s u c h schemes as t h e t a x c r e d i t scheme t h a t w a s p r o p o s e d i n t h e U n i t e d Kingd.om i n 1972. The t a x c r e d i t s t h a t were p r o p o s e d t o b e g r a n t e d were d e t e r m i n e d by t h e d e p e n d a n t s one had and were unr e l a t e d . t o income. The t a x c r e d i t s t h a t were p r o p o s e d w e r e - t o r e p l a c e t h e c o u n t e r - p a r t s of our c o n c e s s i o n a l d e d u c t i o n s f o r d e p e n d a n t s and our c h i l d endowment. These t a x c r e d i t s would be o f f - s e t against o n e s t a x l i a b i l i t y and i f t h a t l i a b i l i t y was l e s s than t h e c r e d i t , one r e c e i v e d a b a l a n c e i n t h e f o r m o f n e g a t i v e Thus t h e t a x c r e d i t i t s e l f r e p r e s e n t e d a g u a r a n t e e d minitax. miim income i n t h a t i t was a n amount t h a t was available i f one had no income a t a l l . A second purpose a s s o c i a t e d w i t h t h e introdu.ction o f a guaranteed m i n i m u m income a r i s e s f r o m t h e f a c t t h a t t h e t a x systems and t h e s o s i a l s e c u r i t y s y s t e m s i n m o s t c o u n t r i e s have t e n d e d t o develop A s a consequence i n c o n s i s t e n c i e s independently o f each other. and a n o m a l i e s have a r i s e n . We have a v e r y s i m p l e example o f this i n Australia i n t h e e x i s t e n c e o f c h i l d endowment and t h e way i n which t h a t i s o r g a n i s e d , s i d e by s i d e w i t h c o n c e s s i o n a l deducti,ons f o r dependant c h i l d r e n . The o p e r a t i o n o f t h e s e t w o government p o l i c i e s b o t h of which give a s s i s t a n c e t o p e o p l e w i t h Even t h e s i m p l e i d e a that a taxfamilies i s quite inconsistent. p a y e r may p a y t a x e s b u t a l s o r e c e i v e cash b e n e f i t s f r o m t h e governrnent a p p e a r s t o many as an anomaly and c e r t a i n l y a c a u s e o f unn e c e s s a r y administration. To c u t through t h i s c o n f u s i o n and t o r e p l a c e it w i t h a more r a t i o n a l e s y s t e m has b e e n o n e o f t h e prime purpoxes o f r e f o r m s t h a t have b e e n e n v i s a g e d i n a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income. 26 Thirdly, t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income may have as i t s P u r p o s e t h e e l i m i n a t i o n of p o v e r t y , - a t l e a s t t h e e l i m i n a t i o n of p o v e r t y i n t h e s e n s e of i n a d e q u a c y o f income. It i s t h i s p u r p o s e t h a t i s t h e f o r e f r o n t , I would t h i n k , i n our d i s c u s s i o n s when we emphasise t h e g u a r a n t e e d minimum as i s i n d i c a t e d b y t h e f o l l o w i n g s t a t e m e n t about t h e g u a r a n t e e d minimum income t h a t was r e c e n t l y made i n t h e U n i t e d Kingdom. 'A g u a r a n t e e d income f o r everyone i n t h e c o u n t r y c o u l d a t a s t r o k e e l i m i n a t e .the hard c o r e o f r e a l poverty. Everyone would b e e n t i t l e d t o it, and e v e r y o n e would r e c e i v e it. P o v e r t y due t o i g n o r a n c e , i n e l i g i b i l i t y ( n o t f a l l i n g i n t o t h e right category), o r p r i d e l e a d i n g t o not claiming p r e s e n t b e n e f i t s would b e e l i m i n a t e d . The p r e s e n t system of b e n e f i t s f r o m numerous a g e n c i e s using d i f f e r e n t and sometimes conf l i c t i n g c r i t e r i a w o u l d end.' So we have a r o s y f u t u r e i n which all t h e anomalies w o u l d be wiped out and p o v e r t y at t h e Same t i m e would be e l i m i n a t e d . It seems t h a t s u c h a scheme i s t h o u g h t o f as a panacea t o overcome p o v e r t y . Now t h e s e t h r e e p u r p o s e s t h a t I ' v e mentioned l i e at t h e b a s e of m o s t schemes b u t t h e emphasis varies. The U n i t e d Kingdom t a x c r e d i t p r o p o s a l , f o r example, p l a c e d m o s t emphasis o n e q u i t y and t h e r a t i o n a l i s a t i o n o f t h e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y and t a x a t i o n systems. I n our p r e s e n t c o n t e x t i n t h e shadow of t h e work of t h e P o v e r t y I n q u i r y , it i s l i k e l y I t h i n k t h a t we s h o u l d p l a c e g r e a t e s t emphasis on p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n . I suppose, t o o , t h e n a t u r e o f t h e group h e r e would s u g g e s t t h a t we w o u l d p r o b a b l y Now i f t h e emphasis i s o n p l a c e m o s t emphasis o n t h a t purpose. t h e a l l e v i a t i o n o f p o v e r t y t h e n it f o l l o w s t h a t t h e r e a r e sign i f i c a n t i m p l i c a t i o n s for t h e l e v e l o f t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income. If t h a t p u r p o s e p r e d o m i n a t e s one w o u l d imagine t h a t t h e guarantee c o u l d b e s e t no l o w e r t h a n t h e b a s i c p e n s i o n r a t e that i s presently paid. Up u n t i l now I h a v e c a r e f u l l y spoken about ' a p e r s o n ' when d i s cussing t h e r e c i p i e n t o f a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income, T h i s has been a s i m p l i f i c a t i o n which we must now examine, f o r t h e d e f i n i t i o n of t h e r e c i p i e n t u n i t has a d e c i d e d b e a r i n g on t h e l e v e l a t which Should we p a y b e n e f i t s and t h e guaranteed m i n i m u m income i s s e t . count income on t h e basis o f t h e i n d i v i d i i a l , t h e f a m i l y o r t h e household? Under a system which t r e a t e d each i n d i v i d u a l . as a r e c i p i e n t u n i t , g u a r a n t e e s would be independent o f family o r h o u s e h o l d formation. Thus m a r r i a g e w o u l d n u t b e d i s c o u r a g e d and p o o r persons could economise by s h a r i n g h o u s e h o l d s w i t h o u t a f i n a n c i d penaty. But i f a l l i n d i v i d u a l s were e l i g i b l e r e g a r d l e s s o f age, such a programme may o f f e r a n u n d e s i r a b l y l a r g e f i n a n c i a l i n c e n ? t i v e for having c h i l d r e n . Because it w o u l d t a k e no a c c o u n t o f t h e economies of s c a l e i n f a m i l y s i z e it w o u l d b e l i k e l y t o r e d i s t r i b u t e t o o much -to large f a m i l i e s r e l a t i v e t o amall ones. Moreover an i n d i v i d u a l d e f i n i t i o n , u s i n g t h e i n d i v i d u a l as a u n i t , would i g n o r e actuaL income s h a r i n g o f all k i n d s i n c l u d i n g s h a r i n g 27 within t h e f a m i l y . A h o u s e h o l d as t h e u n i t a p p e a r s admini s t r a t i v e l y u n l i k e l y and I w i l l l e a v e a s i d e t h e commune which appears even l e s s l i k e l y . These as u n i t s a r e u n l i k e l y and i m p r a c t i c a l a n d . I w o n v t d i s c u s s them a n y f ' u r t h e r . The most A system which t r e a t e d t h e f a m i l y l i k e l y unit i s t h e family. s u i t a b l y defined., as t h e r e c i p i e n t = n i t could t a k e account of t h e economi.es o f f a m i l y s i z e and o f income sharing. Having s e t t l e d on t h e s u i t a b l y d e f i n e d f a m i l y , we would s t i l l have t h e c o n s i d e r a b l e problem o f d e t e r m i n i n g t h e g u a r a n t e e f o r f a m i l i e s o f d i f f e r e n t s i z e and composition, It i s u s u a l l y i m p l i e d t h a t t h e g u a r a n t e e would b e g r e a t e s t f o r t h e adult male but would b e l e s s f o r t h e female spouse and l e s s s t i l l f o r dependent c h i l d r e n , but t h e v a r i a t i o n s and t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p s between t h e amounts a t t a c h i n g t o each o f t h e s e i n d i v i d u a l s i n t h e family a r e far f r o m clear. For example, i n t h e U n i t e d Kingdom t a x c r e d i t p r o p o s a l s , t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p s were as f o l l o w s : a s i n g l e male would r e c e i v e $4.00 p e r week t a x c r e d i t , a m a r r i e d c o u p l e &6.00 p e r week, and each c h i l d an a d d i t i o n a l $2.00. That is, a c h i l d u n d e r t h a t scheme a t t r a c t s half t h e c r e d i t o f an adult male. Compare t h a t with t h e e l e m e n t s i n our own scheme i n which t h e b a s i c p e n s i o n r a t e t o d a y i s $36.00 p e r week for a single a d u l t , t h e p e n s i o n r a t e f o r t h e married cou.ple i s $60.00 and t h e b e n e f i t attaching t o a c h i l d i s $7.00 p e r week p l u s o f course t h e v a r i a b l e amount o f c h i l d endowment depending on where t h e c h i l d i s i n t h e family. Thus, $7.00 p l u s ~ O C , o r whatever h i g h e r amount i s a p p r o p r i a t e , compared with $36.00 f o r t h e s i n g l e p e r s o n i s far l e s s f a v o u r a b l e f r o m t h e p o i n t o f vievv o f c h i l d r e n than t h e Now I suppose t o e l e m e n t s o f t h e scheme i n t h e U n i t e d Kingdom, t h e e x t e n t t h a t we have a l o w g u a r a n t e e f o r a c h i l d , which seems i s t h e Australian t r a d i t i o n when viewed i n t h e c o n t e x t o f many o t h e r c o u n t r i e s , we can have a h i g h e r g u a r a n t e e f o r adults. The a p p r o p r i a t e disbribl;it'ion of t h e g u a r a n t e e among various members i n t h e f a m i l y i s a v a l u e judgement and t h e r e i s very l i t t l e o b j e c t i v e e v i d e n c e a v a i 1 , a b l e on which t o b a s e our decision. Even it we d i d have some o b j e c t i v e evidence on r e l a t i v e If t h e c o s t s it would s t i l l be l a r g e l y a m a t t e r o f o p i n i o n . g u a r a n t e e i s t o a p p e a r t o have a n y rational b a s i s i n t e r m s o f n e e d s or c o s t s a p p r o p r i a t e t o c o n s i d e r i t with r e s p e c t t o t h e age of the child. It seems t h . a t one t h i n g that can be s a i d i s t h a t i t would be a p p r o p r i a t e t o distingxish between t h e g u a r a n t e e for a two months o l d c h i l d and t h e g u a r a n t e e f o r a s i x b e e n year o l d dependent c h i 1d. 28 Having d i s i x s s e d t h e r e c i p i e n t u n i t t h e r e r e m a i n j u s t t w o o t h e r as$fact;s o f t h e r e c i p i e n t t h a t I w a n t t o m e n t i o n b r i e f l y . F i r s t l , y p shoifld t h e g u a r a n t e e d income be u n i v e r s a l o r s e l e c t i v e ? Now t h e wL02.e S a s i s , t h e whole t e n o r o f t h e scheme, s u g g e s t s tna* it 333;;11d 5 e u n i v e r s a l . G e t t i n g away f r o m c a t e g o r i s a t i o n and ge";-ting away f r o m m e a n s - t e s t i n g i n d i c a t e s a move t o w a r d s uniuerszlit;~. The s e c o n d p o i n t c o n c e r n s t h e w o r k - t e s f . Unive r s a L i t y i x p l i e s a r i g h t and t h e r e f o r e a work t e s t would n o t a p p e a r t:, +;e r e l e v a n t , But it seems u n l i k e l y with t h e p r e s e n t a t t i t u d e s m.3 customs i n s o c i e t y t o d a y t h a t t h e community w o u l d a g r e e t l s , and be willing t o p a y f o r , a g u a r a n t e e d income b e i n g p a i d t c r h e a b l e b o d i e d work-shy. A t l e a s t if t h e g u a r a n t e e was am,il.aoi.e without a work t e s t i t i s c e r t a i n t h a t t h e r e wGuic? k e p r e s s m e f o r t h e l e v e l t o be c o n s i d e r a b l y l o w e r than i t w.312';1 bs i f t h e r e were a w o r k t e s t . N y 2~x-kq i e s t i o n , what would t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income r ep l a e 7 This may seem t o have a f a i r l y o b v i o u s answer. It: w:mLr? p r z s a a b l y r e p l a c e t h e e x i s t i n g s o c i a l s e c u r i t y s y s t e m age, -in7raJ.irl an3 w i d o w p e n s i o n s , unemployment, s i c k n e s s b e n e f i t s .aE-3 XL~-IG sndoment. If it i s t o b e t h o u g h t o f as a r a t i o n a l i s i n g XVE n o doubt i t would a l s o r e p l a c e t h e syst-em o f t a x a t i o n d-e6u~'7ionaf o r dependants, but, beyond t h a t , who knows. If it i s introl;.:ea i n a r e a l l y r a t i o n a l i s i n g move many o t h e r b e n e f i t s arld c o n z e s s i c n s may go as w e l l . There has b e e n a t e n d e n c y t o S c l i e v e T h a t t h e g u a r a n t e e o f a m i n i m u m income removes t h e n e e d for, a ~ c ij z s t i f i e s t h e r e m o v a l o f , many b e n e f i t s i n k i n d and many fringe S e r e f i t s . This i s where l o w take- up, many of t h e a d x i i x i i s t r a t i v e d i f f i c u l t i e s , t h e s t i g m i t i s a t i o n o f t h e means -5est,-aL7_ c f t h e s e d i s a d v a n t a g e s c m be g o t r i d o f i n one sweep B u t tkirik o f Cr-is i n p r a c t i s e , should we p a y a g u a r a n t e e a t a L e v e l +:?at is s u f f i c i e n t t o e n a b l e t h o s e w i t h o u t o t h e r income t o be akl.e t o p r c h a s e t h e i r m e d i c a l r e q u i r e m e n t s o n t h e open m a r k e t r G h e r h2isn have them p r o v i d e d through t h e p e n s i o n e r m e d i c a l s e r v i . ~ ? F o r t u n a t e l y , t h a t q u e s t i o n l o o k s as i f it i s one we w i l l ncjt have t o f a c e b e c a u s e o f t h e imminent i n t r o d u c t i o n o f Mcdi.kank.. Take a n o t h e r example, should we a b o l i s h t h e s y s t e m o f s+;Lpplcrafntarya s s i s t a n c e and s o g e t r i d o f a n o t h e r means t e s t ? To dc this w o s l d imply raising t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income f o r a sing2.e p e r s o n t o $40.00 p e r week and t h i s w o u l d have a c o n s e q u e n t e f f e c t , v i s t l i e r a t e o f t h e t a p e r , o n t h e break- even income. .d b e a u n i v e r s a l payment and w o u l d b e made T h i s w ~ ~ 1 presumably w h e t h e r rent; w a s p a i d o r n o t and whether t h e r e c i p i e n t w a s i n n e e d o r not. X n l l a r l y w i t h t h e m a n y o t h e r f r i n g e b e n e f i t s and concessims, To pay a g u a r a n t e e d minimum income makes them n o Longer n e c s s s a r y . But if it i s t o b e s u f f i c i e n t , s o t h a t no one i s WGTSB c.f u n d s r t h e new scheme than t h e y a r e t o d a y , t h e r e are ver.y s e r i m s r::c,st 2onsequences. La 29 My l a s t t h r e e p o i n t s : the relationship o f t h e guaranteed m i n i m u m income t o e x i s t i n g and o t h e r p r o p o s e d schemes o f income m a i n t a i n a n c e , t h e work i n c e n t i v e a s p e c t , and t h e c o s t o f t h e scheme, a r e much more h y p o t h e t i c a l and I w i l l d e a l w i t h A s a background you w i l l s e e t h a t I am them v e r y q u i c k l y . t r y i n g t o e n v i s a g e t h e s o r t of l e v e l o f t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income that i s i m p l i e d by many m r existing social security provisions. F i r s t l y , t h e g u a r a n t e e would need t o b e a p p r e c i a b l y h i g h e r t h a n t h e p r e s e n t b a s i c p e n s i o n r a t e t o cover t h e p o i n t s I have j u s t made. Secondly, t h e t a p e r i s u n l i k e l y t o be m o r e t h a n 50 p e r c e n t f o r then d i s i n c e n t i v e s would be t o o g r e a t . On t h e o t h e r hand, it i s u n l i k e l y t o b e l e s s t h a n 50 p e r c e n t f o r t h e n t h e income at which t h e b e n e f i t c u t s out would be v e r y much h i g h e r and t h e scheme p r o h i b i t i v e l y c o s t l y . Thirdly, the l e v e l of income a t which t h e b e n e f i t c u t s o u t o r t h e ' b r e a k even income' w i l l b e v e r y h i g h and o b v i o u s l y w i l l b e i n a range where t h e r a t e o f p o s i t i v e t a x t h a t w i l l b e p a i d w i l l b e q u i t e high a seemingly i n c o n s i s Q n t and c o n t r a d i c t o r y n o t e i n the scheme at t h e o u t s e t . Now t h e s e problems w i l l b e m a g n i f i e d a n d g r e a t e r i n c o n s i s t a n c i e s w i l l e x i s t i f new schemes l i k e t h e p r oposed compensation and r e h a b i l i t a t i o n scheme, t h e p r o p o s e d n a t i o n a l s u p e r a n n u a t i o n scheme and employment schemes l i k e N.E.A.T. a r e i n operation. They t e n d t o s e t new h i g h e r l e v e l s o f g u a r a n t e e f o r some c a t e g o r i e s o f p e o p l e and t h u s r a i s e t h e l e v e l s o f e x p e c t a t i o n s and r a i s e t h e l e v e l o f a n o m a l i e s t h a t may f a c e us. - There i s an a d d i t i o n a l , and I f e a r o f t e n c o n c e a l e d d i f f i c u l t y t o o , t h a t r e a l l y s h o u l d be brought i n t o t h e open. These new schemes and t h e g u a r a n t e e d minimum income scheme i t s e l f have t o be p a i d f o r . However we c a l c u l a t e t h e i r c o s t , t h e y mean t h a t h i g h e r o v e r a l l t a x e s t h a n we a r e e x p e r i e n c i n g t o d a y w i l l have t o be p a i d at a n y g i v e n l e v e l . o f r e a l income. To this c o s t must be added t h e p o s s i b i l i t y that t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t o f t h e s e t a x e s w i l l be considerably increased. On t h e q u e s t i o n o f d i s i n c e n t i v e s , much as b e e n w r i t t e n b u t l i t t l e One can r e a l l y c o n c l u s i v e evidence h a s b e e n p u t f o r w a r d , t h e o r i s e about t h e income and s u b s t i t u t i o n e f f e c t s i n v o l v e d i n t h e v a r i o u s changes we have been c o n s i d e r i n g , one can r e f e r t o t h e e m p i r i c a l work t h a t h a s been done i n o t h e r c o u n t r i e s about t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s o f t a x e s and t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s of s o c i a l s e c u r i t y arrangements, one ca,n t r y t o p a g e t h e n e t e f f e c t s o f these things. mt r e a l l y i t s a l l t o no avail. We just do n o t know. The p r o p o s a l s t x a t wa a r e c o n s i d e r i n g now are proposals t h a t a r e s e t i n a d i f f e r e n t c o n t e x t t o a n y o f t h e e m p i r i c a l work t h a t has b e e n done i n other countries. I n c e n t i v e q u e s t i o n s have b e e n examined i n a d i f f e r e n t p o l i t i c a l c l i m a t e anti i n a d i f f e r e n t s o c i a l climate. E think. b e c a u s e o f t h i s it i s l i k e l y that t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s o f o u r s o c i a l w e l f a r e and s o c i d s e c u r i t y schemes w i l l b e g r e a t e r t h a n o v e r s e a s e x p e r i e n c e i n t h e p a s t has indicated. Beyond t h a t p e r h a p s I s h o u l d n @ tgo. We do n e e d t o d i s t i n g u i s h , i n c i d e n t a l y , between t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s among t w o g r o u p s . O n t h e one hand, t h e r e i s t h e This concerns t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e t o e n t e r t h e work f o r c e . problem o f t h e work- shy and t h e m a r r i e d women when t h e y a r e c o n s i d e r i n g w h e t h e r t h e y w i l l t a k e employment. On t h e o t h e r hand, we n e e d t o c o n s i d e r t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t on t h o s e i n t h e work f o r c e when t h e y c o n s i d e r whether t h e y w i l l work more hours. Now i f we a r e c o n c e r n e d about d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s as I t h i n k we s h o u l d b e even i f p a s t e x p e r i e n c e and p a s t t h e o r i s i n g has t e n d e d t o s u g g e s t t h a t d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s a r e n o t t o o g r e a t - we may c o n s i d e r o n e o r two changes aimed at reducing t h e disincentive effects. One o f which w i l l be t o switch o u r t a x system s u b s t a n t i a l l y in t h e d i r e c t i o n o f i n d i r e c t t a x a t i o n r a t h e r than d i r e c t t a x a t i o n . This s u r e l y c o n f l i c t s , o r at l e a s t we s h o u l d a p p r e c i a t e t h a t i t i s p r o b a b l y g o i n g t o c o n f l i c t , w i t h o u r anti p o v e r t y purpose. The r e g r e s s i v e n a t u r e o f most i n d i r e c t t a x e s w i l l b e a r h e a v i l y and indiscriminately on t h e poor, Another a l t e r n a t i v e i s t h a t we may a l t e r t h e income t a x r a t e s t r u c t u r e s o t h a t t h e marginal t a x Such a r a t e i s c o n s t a n t o v e r a v e r y wide r m g e o f incomes. system may p r e s e n t l e s s d i s i n c e n t i v e s as one would n o t be confronted w i t h h i g h e r and h i g h e r marginal t a x r a t e s . It may, i n f a c t , h a v e some i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s because s u c h a c o n s t a n t m a r g i n a l t a x r a t e p r e s u m a b l y would b e c o n s i d e r a b l y l o w e r than t h e p r e s e n t 67 p e r c e n t (which i s t h e h i g h e s t r a t e l e v i e d ) and p r o b a b l y w o u l d b e l o w e r than t h e marginal r a t e s c u r r e n t l y b e i n g p a i d by t h o s e whose incomes a r e h i g h e r t h a n a v e r a g e e a r n i n g s . Presumably f o r t h e s e h i g h e r income groups t h e r e may b e some i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t i n sineh a change and t h e y may be s t i m u l a t . e d t o work somewhat h a r d e r . B u t c l e a r l y t h i s i s not t h e bulk It i s t h e b u l k o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n who a r e o f t h e population. t h e y a r e t h e p e o p l e who p a y t h e t a x e s t h e p e o p l e who m a t t e r : f o r whom t h e i n c e n t i v e s a r e i m p o r t a n t and t h e y a r e t h e p e o p l e Very e a s i l y you and o n whom t h e s t r e n g t h of t h e economy r e s t s . c o u l d d i s c r e d i t a n y scheme i f t h e d i s i n c e n t i v e e f f e c t s t h a t a r e embodied i n it a r e g r e a t . 31 It i s v e r y e a s y i n t h e p r e s e n t s i t u a t i o n t o f i n d t h a t t h e c l i m a t e of f e e l i n g r e s u l t i n g f r o m i n f l a t i o n , on t h e one hand, a n d h i g h e r t a x c o l l e c t i o n s on t h e o t h e r have produced an antagonism t o w a r d government i n t e r v e n t i o n , p a r t i c u l a r l y i n t h e income t a x f i e l d . You have t h e community q u e s t i o n i n g why it i s t h a t governments t h a t are n o t a b l e t o e l i m i n a t e unemployment, and cannot c o n t r o l i n f l a t i o n should b e l i e v e t h a t t h e y can u n d e r t a k e t h i s mammoth r e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f income s o efficiently. The c o n c l u s i o n t h a t I w a n t you t o c o n s i d e r i s t h a t it may b e b e t t e r t o t h i n k o f a p l a n - a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income p l a n based on our e x i s t i n g s o c i a l s e c u r i t y arrangements - r a t h e r than i n t r o d u c i n g an e n t i r e l y new scheme. We a l r e a d y have a good d e a l o f g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income i n o u r s o c i a l s e c u r i t y system. It has b e e n mentioned, and I t h i n k t h e p h r a s e has b e e n u s e d once a l r e a d y t o d a y , t h a t we This i s have b e e n p a t c h i n g up t h e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y system. o f t e n d e s c r i b e d d e r i s i v e l y as t h e * b a n d - a i d ' approach. But I think t h a t t h e r e i s a l o t t o b e s a i d f o r c o n s i d e r i n g very c a r e f u l l y b e f o r e we d i s c a r d a s y s t e m t h a t has many o f t h e e l e m e n t s w e w a n t and has been t h e r e s u l t o f a long p r o c e s s o f With f u r t h e r m o d i f i c a t i o n , a d j u s t m e n t and improvement. a l t e r a t i o n s it may w e l l p r o v i d e us w i t h a more v i a b l e and a c c e p t a b l e p l a n f o r e n s u r i n g that t h o s e who r e a l l y n e e d it a r e g u a r a n t e e d a m i n i m u m income than w o u l d be t h e case with t h e i n t r o d u c t i o n of a more thorough- going, r e v o l u t i o n a r y scheme . I f a new scheme i s t o p r o v i d e a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income that i s f r e e o f a means t e s t and i s at a l e v e l t h a t i s s a t i s f a c t o r y t h e r e i s a r e a l danger t h a t i t s c o s t and t h e n e c e s s a r y t a x c o l l e c t i o n s w i l l b e u n a c c e p t a b l e t o t h e community, To r e d u c e c o s t s would r e q u i r e t h a t t h e l e v e l o f $ h e g u a r a n t e e be l o w e r e d . I f t h i s r e s u l t s i n a l e v e l t h a t i s i n a d e q u a t e f o r t h o s e who have no o t h e r income, we a r e l i k e l y t o be f a c e d w i t h t h e i n t r o d u c t i o n o f supplements t h a t w i l l be h a r s h l y means- tested. A l t e r n a t i v e l y , we c o u l d r e t a i n a l o w l e v e l o f g u a r a n t e e d income and j e t t i s o n our a t t e m p t s t o overcome income inadequacy and poverty. These a r e t h e a l t e r n a t i v e s . They are t h e q u e s t i o n s that n e e d t o b e r a i s e d when we c o n s i d e r t h e l e v e l o f t h e guaranteed m i n i m u m income. I don't p r e t e n d t h a t I know t h e answers. But I am c e r t a i n t h a t t h e answers n e e d t o b e e x p l o r e d very care f u l l y b e f o r e we a c c e p t , and b e f o r e we e x p e c t t h e community t o a c c e p t , a l l that i s i n v o l v e d i n a g u a r a n t e e d minimum income scheme. - 32 EDITED DISCUSSION: OF JOHN HARPEROS PAPER - - QUESTION NO 1 Just two q u i c k o b s e r v a t i o n s . F i r s t , I take t k e p o i n t that a g u a r a n t e e d minimum income p l a n must h e p r e s e n t e d t o t h e It seems to me t h i s whole public in quite simple terms. q u e s t i o n i s r e l a t e d t o t h e p r o m o t i o n of t h e p o s s i b i l i t i e s a n d t h e a H e r n a t i v e s i n t h e community. It i s s u r e l y desi r a b l e t h a t as many p e o p l e as p o s s i b l e become aware o f a scheme - l e t s hope t h e government doesnOt p r o m o t e one scheme and t h a t s it b u t i f t h e r e are many schemes and d i f f e r e n t p o s s i b i l i t i e s t h a t t h e q u e s t i o n i s s e r i o u s l y d e b a t e d whether we s h o u l d h a v e a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income. I t h i n k one of t h e d a n g e r s o f t h e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income i s t h a t a p a r t from p a t c h i n g up a few holes it w i l l j u s t b e a u s e l e s s e x e r c i s e and i n s t e a d o f b e i n g a r o s e by a n y o t h e r name i t i s j u s t going t o b e a n i c e name for a b e t t e r b s n e f i t scheme. - The second p o i n t c o n c e r n s the g e n e r a l t h r u s t o f your paper, I found It some what t e n t a t i v e and c a u t i o u s , a n d I found i t v e r y difficrx1-b t o work o-dt what y o u r p o s i t i o n is. Maybe t h i s i s because t h e r e a r e c o m p l e x i t i e s e t c . and you h a v e n ' t worked your p o s i t i o n o u t and I don't c r i t i c i s e you f o r that, but it wasn't c l e a r e x a c t l y where you stand. Although I arn g l a d that you m e n t i o n e d t h a t t h e g u a r a n t e e s h o u l d b e a p p r e c i a b l y h i g h e r , I would 'be i n t e r e s t e a t o k n o w what you meant b y t h a t I found i t y-kite s i g n i f i c a n t t h a t yo:n u s e d t h e f i g u r e o f $1,800 i n giving an example. It seems t o m e that t h e r e i s a g e n e r a l t e n d e n c y whenever p e o p l e t a l k a b o u t a g u a r a n t e e c m i n i m u m income t h a t t h e y opt, f o r some low f i g m e , and t h e y a l w a y s opt f o r something which i s e q u i v a l e n t t o t h e p e n s i o n . These f i g u r e s We s h o u l d be t e n d t o s k i e k and t h e s e f i g u r e s t e n d t o s t a y . iihinkimg more i n t h e d i r e c t i o n o f some com$crtab;e standard of l i v i n g r a t h e r than a b a s i c miniawn standard o f l i v i n g . You s u g g e s t e d that rna,ybe t h e work t e s t wasnpt r e l e v a n t t o t h e question It seems t o m e t h a t i f i n f a c t o f a g u a r a n $ e e d m i n i m u m income. t h e g u a r a n t e e i s s o l o w th:en t h e reason why i s b e c a u s e o f t h e work t e s t , b e c a u s e p e o p l e a r e a f r a i d t h a t p e o p l e a r e n o t going t o work. k d t h a t raises a f i n a l p o i n t which I think w i l l have t o be t a c k l e d - shoTJld we be w o r r i e 3 a b w t w h e t h e r p e o p l e want t o work o r n o t ? ANSWER Well t h e r e a r e a lot o f p o i n t s t h e r e that I would l i k e t o answer. F i r s t , p e r h a p s i f I c l a r i f y where I stand. I think p r o b a b l y you b e t t e r c l a s s i f y me as a v e r y o l d f a s h i o n e d c o n s e r v a t i v e . I d o n ' t think t h a t t h e t h r u s t o f my p a p e r w i l l be r e g a r d e d as anything but t h a t , i n t h e end, I t h i n k probab1.y t h e t h r u s t o f much o f what I ' m s a y i n g i s p r e t t y much i n t h e o p p o s i t e d i r e c t i o n t o what your s a y i n g . The main thrust o f my p a p e r r e a l l y i s that t o have a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m that i s a c c e p t a b l e t o a b o l i s h p o v e r t y i s going t o b e t o o c o s t l y f o r t h e community t o t o l e r a t e . If you t a l k a b o u t having a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income t h a t p r o v i d e s a s a t i s f a c t o r y l e v e l w e l l above t h e p o v e r t y l i n e t h i s i s c l e a r l y far more c o s t l y . The e s s e n t i a l t h i n g t h a t WP h a w t o r e a l i s e i s t h a t whatever scheme you u s e i t i s going t o have t o be p a i d f o r and i s going t o i n v o l v e massive t r a n s f e r s t h r o u g h t h e government, Now i f t h e s e t r a n s f e r s a r e made more massive u n d e r a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income scheme b e c a u s e we a r e going t o p a y t h e g u a r a n t e e t o t h e whole community i n some f o r m w i t h o u t a means t e s t t h e n many p e o p l e w i l l r e a c t v e r y s t r o n g l y t o t h e s e new high They may be g e t t i n g money back f r o m t h e l e v e l s o f taxation. government but t h e y w i l l b e c o n f r o n t e d w i t h v e r y high l e v e l s of t a x a t i o n , p a r t i c u l a r l y of c o u r s e if we a s s o c i a t e t h i s with various o t h e r v e r y d e s i r a b l e w e l f a r e programmes ranging f r o m e d u c a t i o n r i g h t through t o s u p e r a n n u a t i o n , compensation, r e h a b i l i t a t i o n . A l l t h e s e things a r e going t o c o s t b i l l i o n s and t h e money has t o b e r a i s e d and I j u s t doubt whether t h e community i n i t s p r e s e n t frame o f mind w i l l buy t h i s whether i t i s a r o s e b y any o t h e r name o r a lemon. QUESTION NO 2 It i s d i f f i c u l t t o m a k e up o n e ' s mind about t h e l e v e l s , and what i s p o s s i b l e , u n t i l we g e t some i d e a o f what i s i n v o l v e d e v e n up t o t h e l e v e l o f $ 2 , Q O O - b e a r i n g i n mind t h e p r e s e n t Has anyone produced f i g u r e s o r addd i s t r i b u t i o n o f income. itional net costs? There i s a l i m i t t o what you can do without t a x i n g p e o p l e o n l o w e r incomes. ANSWER I think it i s common knowledge that t h e p o v e r t y i n q u i r y has b e e n determining t h i s on t h e b a s i s o f c o s t , t h e r e w i l l be r e p o r t s a v a i l a b l e f a i r l y soon that w i l l have t h i s documented i n a f a i r If I c o u l d just go o n though and comment on amount o f d e t a i l . t h e g e n e r a l r e a c t i o n o f c o s t s md t h e l e v e l o f g u a r a n t e e , I c a n ' t h e l p wondering whether t h e r e i s t o o much emphasis on one l e v e l o f guarantee. John d i d m e n t i o n t h e p o s s i b i l i t y o f p e r h a p s having a When you t a l k o f c o s t s , o b v i o u s l y l o w e r g u a r a n t e e for some p e o p l e . i f you a r e going t o have a high l e v e l o f g u a r a n t e e s o t h a t n o one 34 i s worse o f f and t h e r e f o r e a l o t of p e o p l e a r e g o i n g t o b e b e t t e r o f f - and t h a t a p p l i e s t o everyone - it i s going t o b e extremely costly, However one o f t h e v a r i a b l e s t h a t we c a n u s e and m a n i p u l a t e i s t o have d i f f e r e n t l e v e l s o f g u a r a n t e e . Perhaps t h i s does n o t do away w i t h some o f t h e o t h e r problems t h a t we a r e c o n s c i o u s of but I t does m a r k e d l y a f f e c t c o s t s . S i m i l a r l y $ t h i n g s l i k e f r i n g e b e n e f i t s , supplementary allowances were mentioned. - a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income which s t i l l makes t h e s e t h i n g s n e c e s s a r y d o e s not do away w i t h a l l t h e d i f f i c u l t i e s we would l i k e but s h o u l d S e c o n s i d e r e d i n t h e r a n g e o f p o s s ibilities. F i n a l l y , I would l i k e t o state! my v i e w t h a t I d o n ' t t h i n k we s h o u l d be overwhelmed b y t h e c o s t problem r a t h e r t h a t we s h o u l d b e l o o k i n g at ways t o minimise c o s t s . COMMENT 1 a g r e e that; you can g i v e d i f f e r e n t l e v e l s o f g u a r a n t e e a n d s o o n but t h a t r a i s e s t h e q u e s t i o n o f c a t e g o r i s a t i o n which comes r i g h t back t o t h e b e g i n n i n g o f your c r i t i c i s m a b o u t various pensions. QUESTION NO 3 I t h i n k thar, t h e r e a r e a few p a r a m e t e r s o f t h e c o s t t h i n g t h a t ought t o b e d i s c u s s e d b e f o r e w e d i s c u s s whether i t i s f e a s i b l e . I c o u l d a r g u e t h a t t h e n e g a t i v e income t a x scheme i s f e a s i b l e i f you. a r e p r e p a r e d t o do c e r t a i n t h i n g s , and some o f t h e s e things w i l l i n v o l v e a r e - e v a l u a t i o n o f w e l f a r e h o u s i n g , e d u c a t i o n I t h i n k however t h a t we n e e d t o p o l i c i e s , c h i l d endowment e t c . f i r s t o f a l l g e t some i d e a o f what i s t h e p o v e r t y p o p u l a t i o n ; what i s t h e duration o f poverty.; what i s t h e n a t u r e o f p o v e r t y j how long a r e p e o p l e p o o r ; t o what e x t e n t w i l l t h e y s t a y i f t h i s c u r r e n t s y s t e m r e m a i n s ; t o what e x t e n t w i l l t h e y c e a s e t o b e p G o r i f w e change t h e i n c e n t i v e s t r u c t u r e , w e l f a r e s t r u c t u r e e t c . I t h i n k t h a t it can be a r g u e d t h a t a l o t o f p o v e r t y d o e s n 9 t l a s t v e r y l o n g , a l o t of t h e z u r r e n t programmes d i r e c t e d at p o v e r t y , for example, h o u s i n g s u b s i d i e s , b e n e f i t p e o p l e o v e r t h e i r l i f e t i m e , even though t h e y m a y b e p o o r f o r o n l y about 5 p e r c e n t of that t i m e . While such goverrment e x p e n d i t u r e s , e.g. o n w e l f a r e h o u s i n g , h e l p a l o t o f p o o r p e o p l e t h e y a l s o n e l p a l o t o f non p o o r people, Likewise, m o s t 1 w g e f a m i l i e s a r e n o t poor, about 80 p e r c e n t of ,them a r e n o t p o o r , s o g e a r i n g u p c h i l d endowment as p r o p c e e d o r i g i n a l l y by t h e Henderson committee i s an e x t r a o r d i n a r i l y i n e f f i c i e n t way t o t a c k l e p o v e r t y . Now i f we s e t a n e t s o t h t no f a m i l y o r persons i s a l l o w e d t o f a l l below a 35 c e r t ; a i n m i n i m m stan6ard o f living then we wilP g e t some c l e a r e r i d e a a',;ejirt w h a t * h e r e s i d u a l w e l f a r e needs i n t h e s y s t e m are, B i t that net; w i L h e j o l . l y low i f we k s q all t h e o t k e r s;ystms going, I t h i n k that; t h e vay t h e E r i o r i t y Review S t a f f has b e e n l o o k i n g at ginaranteed i n c m e i s b y l o a k i n g a t what p r o g r m e s could we repl-acc, - ~0-212 w t r z p l a c e sone o f $7163 e d u c a t i m i e x p e n d i t u r e s , c o u l d we r e p l a c e some o f t k e w e l f a r e S o u s i n g e x p e n d i t x - e s , c l e a r l y c h i l d E n d o m e n f s i s a c a n d i d a t e , a n d t h e l i s t g o e s on. N OW I t h i n k t.cna%m t h e b a s i s a f -ijhese sorts o f s51ms one can t a l k a3ciAt an incorre g i i a r a n t e z tha-t; c a n b e f i n a n c e d lsx a t a x rate tiha% is t o i e r a b l e be%xse we woln'id be c o n s i d e r i n g removing o t h e r e q q n d i t z r e s at %he same tirce, But i f we a r e t o move t o w a r d s a p a r a n t e e d income wit11 r e t e n t i o n o f all. t h e e x i s t i n g schemes t h e n t k e gcverrment t5at i n t r o d x c e s sslcpl a g u a r a n t e e d income W C K L ~ Z l a s t v e r y long. S i m i l a r l y i.f we move for an i n d i v i d i l a l bases systeiz r a . t h e r t h a n a f a m i l y b a s e d one t h e govermen-h w c x Z d n a t l a s t v e r y lGng b e c a u s e you wouic3. be e n d i n g up w i t h t a x rates o f armin3 50 F e r =ento SO I think a group such as i n h i sm i g h t proflt;aS;;Ly discuss n o t onl-y what i s t h e income t a r g e t b u t j - ~ s wkat t i s $he a t t i t u . d e t o p r o g r m l e s like w e l f a r e housing7 e d L i c a t i m m b s i d i e s t a r g e t e d on t h e disadv a n t a g e , b e c a u s e i f t L e y c a n change t h e i r a t t i t u d e t o some of tLc,ose programmes, a n d are w i l l i n g t o a t t a c k : a l o w e r p r i o r i t y t o some of t h o s e programmes, then g u a r a n t e e d income becomes f e a s i b l e at t o l e r a b l e t a x r a t e s i n %he o r d e r o f marginal t a x r a t e s o f c e r t a i n l y rouck L e s s than. 50 p a ? c e n t . COImVLENT F i r s t o f all. I w m l d L i k e knaw who i s g o i n g t o b e n e f i t from g z a r a n t e e d minirrrm inzome s*;heme, who a r e we aiming t o &re we aiming to k e l p the e c a a o r c i s t g e t a rational help, e c o n o a i c model. '31: are we t r y i n g t o i n f a z t , g x a r a n t e e income IT is qG.ite c l e a r 3ha.t w h a t i s going t o 5 e a c c e p t a b l e security., i s w h a t %he b i m i n e s s syatem f ' s e l s i s n e c e s s a r y t o keep t h o s e b u s i n e s s e s go ing. I f y m get, t o that pploint then you a n s t a r t t o i c o k a t that qxiesti-on vvikk: t h e other a l t e r n a t e f c r m s e f w e l f a r s sLLpport a n d wke-cher we s m a f f o r d t o have national compensation schemes I would l i k e t o and l e a v e t h e b o t x o m ?.eve1 t o t a l l y u n t w c h e d . know w h e t h e r you are l o o k i n g at t h e w h C e t n i n g w i t l l i n t h e market mou1.d o r w h e t h e r yov. a m l o o k i n g zt, some s o r t o f conzept of g u a r a n t e e i n g a minin-xn l e v e l . of we11 being ana t k e n t h e r e being 36 a l t e r n a t i v e ways of doing it. The l a s t q u e s t i o n a l m o s t s a i d l e t s cut b a c k , for example, on w e l f a r e h o u s i n g and g i v e some of t h a t money i n c a s h f l o w s o p e o p l e c a n buy i n t h e market p l a c e . 'Phis assumes t h a t t h e m a r k e t p l a c e i s a r a t i o n a l e human p l a c e c o n c e r n e d w i t h hmnan n e e d s a n d d o e s n w t t a k e i n t o account, o f course,that a l a r g e s e c t i o n of the population is outside t h e market place. Further, l e t s assume t h a t a l l one i s t r y i n g t o do i s t o r e d i s t r i b u t e income s o t h a t l o w income g r o u p s c a n e n t e r t h e m a r k e t , assuming t h a t t n e s e m a r k e t mechanisms a l l o w t h e l o w income s e c t o r s equal a c c e s s t o t h e market. The r e a l i t y i s that t h e low income s e c t o r p a y t h e h i g h e s t amount o f t a x , i s g i v e n t h e s h o d d i e s t goods f o r t h e h i g h e s t p r i c e . A r e you saying l e t s c u t b a c k t h e s e o t h e r programs r a t h e r than evaluating h o w we c a n g e t b e t t e r value o u t o f our w e l f a r e system. It seems t h a t most of our systems a t t h e moment assume t h a t we a r e i n the market p l a c e , REPLY TO ABOVE COMMENT I am r e a l l y asking you as a w e l f a r e e x p e r t w h a t your p r e f e r e n c e s are. I am assuming t h a t we d o n ' t change s o c i e t y f u n d a m e n t a l l y . What a r e your p r i o r i t i e s - i f you w i s h t o r e t a i n i n k i n d s e r v i c e s such as welfare i n v e r y g e n e r o u s magnitudes t h e n t h i s i s g o i n g t o m o d e r a t e t h e l e v e l o f income g u a r a n t e e t h a t you a r e going t o b e a b l e t o offer. It i s a q u e s t i o n o f p r i o r i t i e s . I. would be w i l l i n g t o a r g u e that t h e g o v e r n m e n t v s e d u c a t i o n e x p e n d i t u r e i s e x t r a o r d i n a r i l y e f f i c i e n t i n d i s t r i b u t i n g income t o t h e a d v a n t a g e d , and t h e r e i s a l i t t l e b i t o f compensation at t h e b o t t o m end. If we a r e going t o t a l k about t h e l e v e l o f income g u a r a n t e e t h a t we m i g h t s u p p o r t t h e n we r e a l l y have t o d e b a t e s i r n i l t a n e o u s l y t h o s e o t h e r programmes which c o s t a lot o f moneg. Just how e f f e c t i v e i s e d u c a t i o n , how e f f e c t i v e i s housing, how e f f e c t i v e need your income t a x b e , and how e f f e c t i v e i s t h e c u r r e n t system. COMMENT I think it Eight w e l l b e a r g u e d t h a t e x p e n d i t u r e o n g u a r a n t e e d income n e c e s s i t a t e ever g r e a t e r e x p e n d i t u r e o n some o t h e r w e l f a r e 37 areas. It seems that t h e r e i s a h i d d e n moral assumption t h a t p e o p l e r e a l l y ought t3 be a b l e t o e x i s t o n a c a s h income i f t h e c o r n u n i t y d e c i d e s that t h e y a r e e n t i t l e d t o have it. It may w e l l be argued t h a t many p s o p l e , p a r t i c u l a r l y people who have been u s e d t o l i v i n g with p o o r incomes, may n o t be a b l e t o e x i s t i n t h e way t h a t everybody e x p e c t s t h a t t h e y can and t h e r e f o r e t o make a g u a r a n t e e d income system work you may need t o spend even more sums on such things as community development and education. I think t h a t as w e l l as l o o k i n g at what w i l l a g u a r a n t e e d income r e p l a c e , I t h i n k we ought t o spend some t i m e l o o k i n g at what a d d i t i o n a l things would be r e q u i r e d i f a g u a r a n t e e d income were t o work. COMMENT It does seem t o me t h a t t h e minute you start t a l k i n g about a l i m i t e d l e v e l o f guaranteed income of say $2,000 t h a t t h i s doesnOt even begin t o d e a l w i t h t h e problems o f e x p e n d i t u r e t h a t a f a m i l y has t o cope w i t h a f t e r income t a x . It would seem t o me r a t h e r more a p p r o p r i a t e t h a t we g o f u r t h e r along t h e l i n e ayld f o c u s schemes l i k e h o w i n g , welfare b e n e f i t s , much more t o w a r d s l o w income groups. I d o n ' t see it as an e i t h e r / o r p r o p o s i t i o n except i n t h e s e n s e that it. has g o t t;o b e a r e d i s t r i b u t i v e thing n o t o n l y i n t e r m s o f income but i n t e r m s o f fwadamental r e s o u r c e s l i k e housing and h e a l t h . IVD3THODS OF ACHIEVING A P r o f e s s o r James Cutt GUARANTEED MINIMUM INCOME Prof e ss o r o f Administ rat i v e S t u d i e s , Facu1,ty o f Economics, Australian National U n v e r s i t y This b r i e f p a p e r reviews t h e range o f a l t e r n a t i v e a p p r o a c h e s t o welfare reform, and s u g g e s t s a b r o a d framework f o r t h e e v a l u a t i o n o f such a l t e r n a t i v e s . The broad range o f r e l e v a n t p o l i c y o p t i o n s may b e c o n s i d e r e d t o f o r m a continuum o f spectrum and t h e p a r t i c u l a r c a t e g o r i e s d e f i n e d may be r e g a r d e d simply as i l l u s t r a t i v e o f major sections o f t h e spectrum, i m p l i c i t i n which i s a v i r t u a l l y i n f i n i t e r m g e o f p e r m u t a t i o n s and combinations. The p a p e r p r e - c i r c u l a t e d " g i v e s t h e broad c a t e g o r i e s o f programs which may be i d e n t i f i e d o n t h i s spectrum. Such w e l f a r e programs w i l l have a v a r i e t y o f v e r y d i f f e r e n t e f f e c t s a n d o b j e c t i v e s - some o f which w i l l b e complementary, o t h e r s c o n f l i c t i n g - and a wide range o f performance i n d i c a t o r s may be u s e d f o r t h e s e w e l f a r e programs. The macro measures o f a program w i l l i n c l u d e t h e e f f e c t of t h e program on t h e growth of GNP;and t h e e f f e c t o f t h e program o n economic s t a b i l i t y , f o r example t h e r a t e o f unemployment a n d i n f l a t i o n . The micro, o r s p e c i f i c outcomes, may b e s e e n f i r s t i n terms of a b s o l u t e outcomes. For example, t h e a b s o l u t e o u t comes d e f i n e d i n terms o f a s p e c i f i e d p o v e r t y l i n e and t h e c o r r e s p o n d i n g p o v e r t y gap. The outcomes may a l s o be s e e n i n a r e l a t i v e way and d e f i n e d i n terms o f a v a r i e t y o f measures o f income d i s t r i b u t i o n . There a r e o t h e r outcomes which s h o u l d a l s o be e v a l u a t e d . F o r example, t h e program c o s t , This will i n t u r n r e f l e c t whether o r n o t t h e program i n q u e s t i o n i s i n t e n d e d t o s u p p l e ment o r r e p l a c e e x i s t i n g programs. Secondly, t h e e f f e c t 09 work i n c e n t i v e s and t h e o b s e r v e d change i n labotlr supply on t h e p a r t o f p e r s o n s u n d e r t h e program i n question. Third, t h e effecj; o f t h e program o n t h e consumption/saving behaviour o f t h e r e c i p i e n t f a m i l i e s , and t h e e x p e n d i t u r e p a t t e r n o f such f a m i l i e s . * P l e a s e note. A background p a p e r w a s p r e p a r e d and c i r c u l a t e d before t h e seminar. The paper i s i n c l u d e d i n Appendix A. 39 Fourth, % h e e f f e c t o f t h e p r o g r m o n f a m i l y s t a b i l i t y . P a r t i c u l a r l y i n terms o f t h e e x t e n t t o which income s u p p o r t program p r o v i d e s an i m p l i c i t m o n e t a r y i n c e n t i v e f o r one s p o u s e i n a twoparent fmily t o e s t a b l i s h a s e p a r a t e household. F i f t h , t h e s t i g m a t i z i n g e f f e c t o f t h e program i n q u e s t i o n . Such an e f f e c t b e i n g r e l e v a n t f o r i t s own s a k e i n as much as i t i s g e n e r a l l y h e l d t h e s e d a y s t h a t income s u p p o r t programs s h o u l d n o t be p r o v i d e d i n a manner t h a t somehow s t i g m a t i z e s t h e r e c i p i e n t s . F u r t h e r t h e program e f f e c t i v e n e s s and c o s t w i l l b e determi n e d b y t h e e x t e n t t o which e l i g i b l e b e n e f i c i a r i e s e n r o l i n t h e pr0gra.n - this w i l l b e d i r e c t l y r e l a t e d t o t h e e x t e n t t o which t h e program.is p e r c e i v e d t o be s t i g m a t i z i n g . S i x t h , t h e p o l i t i c a l a c c e p t a b i l i t y o f t h e program. T h i s may b e d e f i n e d i n t e r m s o f Cost, o r m o r e i n t e r e s t i n g l y , i n t e r m s of t h e e f f e c t s o f t h e program o n i n t e r e s t e d p e r s o n s i n t h e p o l i t i c a l arena. Program outcomes may f i n a l l y be seen i n terms o f t h e administ r a t i v e e f f i c i e n c y o f t h e program. This may b e d e f i n e d i n t e r m s of t h e p e r c e n t a g e o f t o t a l program c o s t s r e q u i r e d t o a d m i n i s t e r t h e program. Suppose t h a t we had i n f o r m a t i o n o n t h e s e t o f outcomes l i s t e d above f o r a l t e r n a t i v e w e l f a r e r e f o r m measures. How do we u s e t h e s e i n an e v a l u a t i o n s t r a t e g y ? Even i n a p a r t i a l , s t a t i c s e n s e , it i s d i f f i c u l t t o m a k e s e n s e o f a m u l t i - d i m e n s i o n a l s e t o f incommensurables. The standard a p p r o a c h would be % o s e p a r a t e o u t t h e c o s t income, and t o u s e a standard c o s t - e f f e c t i v e n e s s a p p r o a c h i n which we a t t e m p t e d t o f i n d o u t h o w b e s t we c o u l d do f o r a s p e c i f i e d c o s t c c j n s t r a i n t o r how c o s t c o u l d b e minimized f o r t h e attainment o f a s p e c i f i e d p e r f o r m a n c e t a r g e t . The d i f f i c u l t y however l i e s i n s p e c i f y i n g t h e t a r g e t . We have a s e t o f incommensurable o u t p u t measures, and we c a n o n l y o p t i m i z e one s u c h measure at a time. But t h i s p r o c e d u r e does s c a n t j u s t i c e t o t h e richness o f t h e s e t o f o u t p u t measures we have s p e c i f i e d and, i d e a l l y , we would l i k e t o be a b l e t o d e f i n e e a c h outcome o n a common s c a l e , a p p l y a p p r o p r i a t e weights t o e a c h outcome, and c o l l a p s e t h e v a r i o u s o u t come measures i n t o a s t a n d a r d i z e d o v e r a l l performance s c o r e f o r Now i n the f i n a l a n a l y s i s we each a l t e r n a t i v e w e l f a r e program. w i l l have t o conduct such an e x e r c i s e t o d e c i d e o n t h e b e s t p r o gram, but I would now l i k e t o argue t h a t t o conduct s u c h an e x e rc i s e meaningfully we m u s t define a framework i n which t h e i n t e r r e l a t i o n s h i p s b e t w e e n t h e s e t o f outcome m e a s u r e s o v e r t i m e f o r each program under c o n s i d e r a t i o n a r e e s t a b l i s h e d . 40 The program lTiUst also b e p l a c e d i n i t s macro c o n t e x t and under t h i s h e a d we c a n n o t e s c a p e t h e r a t h e r t h o r n y q u e s t i o n of program dynamics. A p r o g r a n which w a s c o n s i d e r e d t o i n c r e a s e t h e r a t e of i n f l a t i o n w o u l d c l e a r l y d i m i n i s h t h e r e a l value of t h e performa n c e m e a s u r e s o v e r t i m e ; and a program which w a s c o n s i d e r e d t o c o n t r i b u t e t o unemployment would i n c r e a s e t h e p o t e n t i a l c l i e n t e l e , a n d a f f e c t t h e c o s t and p e r f o r m a n c e m e a s u r e s o f t h e program. C o n v e r s e l y , f a v o u r a b l e e f f e c t s o n i n f l a t i o n and unemployment would h a v e c o r r e s p o n d i n g l y f a v o u r a b l e e f f e c t s o n program outcomes over time. The u l t i m a t e macro c o n t e x t , o f c o u r s e , i s t h a t of t h e g r o w t h of a g g r e g a t e o r n a t i o n a l income o v e r t i m e . If t h e program were c o n s i d e r e d t o a f f e c t t h e r a t e o f growth o f n a t i o n a l income, t h i s would h a v e r a d i c a l i m p l i c a t i o n s f o r t h e c o s t and performance of t h e program o v e r t i m e , i n c l u d i n g t h e national c a p a c i t y t o f i n a n c e such programs. P e r h a p s t h e m o s t c o n v e n t i o n a l dynamic argument i s t h a t r e l a t i n g program c o s t and a b s o l u t e outcome m e a s u r e s t o t h e e f f e c t s of t h e program o n work i n c e n t i v e s . The q u e s t i o n i s complex, although we h a v e t h e a s s i s t a n c e i n t h i s c a s e of t h e e v i d e n c e f r o m t h e flew J e r s e y g u a r a n t e e d income e x p e r i m e n t , and a c o n s i d e r a b l e body o f t h e o r e t i c a l and e m p i r i c a l e v i d e n c e . The dynamic d i l e r m a here i s that i f t h e w e l f a r e program r e s u l t s i n a r e d u c t i o n i n l a b o u r s u p p l y , program c o s t s w i l l b e h i g h e r o v e r t i m e , p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n w i l l b e l e s s s u c c e s s f u l , and t h e r e w i l l b e d e f i n i t i o n a l i m p l i c a t i o n s f o r economic growth t h r o u g h t h e r e d u c t i o n i n l a b o u r s u p p l y , T h e work i n c e n t i v e i m p l i c a t i o n s o f t h e program would c l e a r l y a l s o seem t o b e r e l e v a n t t o i t s p o l i t i c a l a c c e p t a b i l i t y . Again my argument i s s i m p l y t h a t f o r t h e s e t o f a l t e r n a t i v e programs u n d e r c o n s i d e r a t i o n t h e work i n c e n t i v e i m p l i c a t i o n s o f each p r o g r a m o v e r t i m e b e e x p l o r e d and p r e s e n t e d t o t h e decision- maker. The dynamic i n t e r - r e l a t i o n s h i p s o f outcome m e a s u r e s a r e , alas, v e r y numerous. May I s u g g e s t o n l y t w o more o f t h e s e r e l a t i o n s h i p s . F i r s t , c o n s i d e r t h e e f f e c t o f s t i g m a t i z a t i o n . I f a program i s considered t o be s t i g m a t i z i n g by i t s b e n e f i c i a r i e s , then t h e extent t o which t h e s e e l i g i b l e b e n e f i c i a r i e s e n r o l i n t h e program w i l l b e d i m i n i s h e d ; a c c o r d i n g l y , n o t o n l y w i l l program c o s t o v e r time b e l e s s , but s o a l s o w i l l t h e programvs s u c c e s s i n p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n . Second, c o n s i d e r t h e i m p l i c a t i o n s o f f a m i l y s t a b i l i t y . If t h e n a t u r e of a program i s s u c h as t o encourpge t h e s p l i t t i n g o f f a m i l i e s , t h e n program c o s t will be h i g h e r o v e r t i m e and t h e p r o g r a m ' s s u c c e s s - - i n p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n w i l l b e diminished. In sum, s e r i o u s a n a l y t i c a L . a d v i c e o n t h e p e r f o r m a n c e o f a l t e r n a t i v e w e l f a r e r e f o r m m e a s u r e s must c o n c e r n i t s e l f w i t h c o n f l i c t a n d c o m p l e m e n t a r i t i e s b e t w e e n program outcomes o v e r t i m e , and must s p e c i f y t h e t r a d e - o f f s which e x i s t between d e s i r e d but conflicting output measures. 41 I would l i k e t o make t w o f i n a l p o i n t s , each r a t h e r b r i e f l y , and e a c h r e f l e c t i n g a n a s p e c t o f t h e c e n t r a l argument o f t h i s s e c t i o n o f t h e paper. It i s v e r y The f i r s t d e a l s with t h e q u e s t i o n o f s e l e c t i v i t y . d i f f c i u l t t o u n d e r s t a n d t h e old F a b i m argument f o r u n i v e r s a l i t y as against s e l e c t i v i t y . It seems p r e t t y o b v i o u s , i n d e e d i s s t a t i s t i c a l l y d e m o n s t r a b l e , t h a t i f one a p p r o a c h e s o b j e c t i v e s s u c h as a g g r e g a t e adequacy, o r t a r g e t e f f i c i e n c y , for a g i v e n c o s t , t h e n t h e s e l e c t i v e , o r i n c o m e - t e s t e d , a p p r o a c h i s far more c o s t e f f e c t i v e f o r a g i v e n w e l f a r e b u d g e t ; t h e argument f o r u n i v e r s a l i t y seems t o f o u n d e r o n t h e r o c k of i n a d e q u a t e payments t o t h o s e m o s t i n need. And y e t t h e Fabians had come a long way f r o m t h e 1830s, and one wonders at t h e i r i n s i s t e n c e on t h e i m p o r t a n c e o f u n i v e r s a l i t y . There a r e t w o arguments which seem t o s u g g e s t that u n i v e r s a l programs f o r m a t l e a s t a component o f our o v e r a l l w e l f a r e s t r a t e g y . The first argument r e l a t e s t o t h e s o c i a l and p o l i t i c a l e f f e c t s o f w e l f a r e programs. One o f t h e dilemmas o f s e l e c t i v i t y i s t h e e x t e n t t o which, b y d e f i n i t i o n , t h e p r o c e d u r e d i v i d e s t h e p o p u l a t i o n . I r e c a l l t h e s t o r y o f t h e New York t a x i d r i v e r who i n d i c a t e d how he w a s p a y i n g f o r t h o s e who were l i v i n g o n w e l f a r e payments. T h i s i s a v e r y r e a l f a c t f o r t h o s e l i v i n g , if you l i k e , i n t h a t s e c o n d b o t t o m one f i f t h of income who h a v e b e e n l a b e l l e d b y t h e r h e t o r i c o f s e l e c t i v ' e programs i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s at t h a t t i m e as " r e a c t i o n a r y ' ! if t h e y i n f a c t opposed t h e payments t o p e o p l e who a r e , i n So t h e r e i s r e d t e r m s , v e r y c l o s e i n t h e i r n e e d s and a s p i r a t i o n s . a problem i n t h e s e n s e i n which you d i v i d e p e o p l e e r r o n e o u s l y s h a r p l y b y s e l e c t i v e programs. This d o e s n ' t seem t o b e an a b s o l u t e l y c o n v i n c i n g argument, a l t h o u g h o b v i o u s l y an i m p o r t a n t one. You c o u l d somehow smooth it o v e r p o l i t i c a l l y or you c o u l d b l u r t h e l i n e . B u t t h e r e i s a n o t h e r v e r y i m p o r t a n t f a c t o r and t h i s i s one that i s p r o b a b l y v e r y o l d but o n l y o c c u r r e d t o me f a i r l y r e c e n t l y : and t h i s r e l a t e s t o t h e f a c t t h a t many o f t h e i n t e n d e d r e c i p i e n t s u n d e r a s e l e c t i v e scheme do n o t i n f a c t , f o r a v a r i e t y o f r e a s o n s , e n r o l . i n t h e scheme. In o t h e r words, i f your t a k e up r a t e i s s i g n i f i c a n t l y l o w e r t h a n 100% t h e n t h e f a c i l e argument t h a t a s e l e c t i v e scheme i s b y d e f i n i t i o n more c o s t e f f e c t i v e begins t o aisintegrate very rapidly. I ' v e r e a d some astonishing e v i d e n c e o n pick- up r a t e s i n r e c e n t l i t e r a t u r e f r o m t h e P o v e r t y A c t i o n g r o u p i n London. They p o i n t out t h a t i n t h e c a s e of t h e f a m i l y income supplement, for example, t h e t a k e up r a t e i s about 50$. N o w t h i s i s an u n e x c e p t i o n a b l e scheme, t h e r e would a p p e a r t o be n o stigma, and t h e o n l y t e s t i s a one l i n e s t a t e m e n t o f income. The i n f o r m a t i o n t h e government p r o v i d e d on t h i s i s m a z i n g - a l e t t e r i n e v e r y l e t t e r b o x , e v e r y t i m e you w a l k i n t o a p o s t o f f i c e 42 t h e r e a r e new p o s t e r s s a y i n g '?have you c l a i m e d ' q , l ' t h i s i s your r i g h t ' ' , e t c . , and y e t o n l y 50% who were e l i g i b l e t o o k i t up. And w o r s t s t i l l t h e 9%who d i d t a k e it up a p p e a r e d t o b e t h o s e l e a s t i n need, So that t h e problem i s , I t h i n k , t h a t a s e l e c t i v e scheme which i s s t a t i s t i c a l l y more s u c c e s s f u l than a u n i v e r s a l scheme o n t h e assumption o f a LOO$ t a k e u p , may n o t i n d e e d , b e more s u c c e s s f u l i f t a k e up r a t e s a r e much l o w e r than 100%; and p a r t i c u l a r l y i f that l o w t a k e u p i s c o n c e n t r a t e d among t h e l o w e r income groups. This does T t h i n k g i v e some economic r a t i o n a l e t o t h e v e r y c o n s i d e r a b l e and hurnane insight o f t h e F a b i o n s i n t h e U.K. S e l e c t i v i t y i s f i n e , i n a s t a t i s t i c a l s e n s e , but i f i n f a c t it l e a d s t o a l a r g e number o f p e o p l e who were i n t e n d e d t o b e e l i g i b l e n o t becoming e l i g i b l e , o r t h o s e who i n f a c t h a v e t o e n r o l l being sometimes s t i g m a t i z e d o r d i s c r i m i n a t e d against i n t h e i r own eyes because o f i t , t h e n i n f a c t t h e Frogram i s i m p e r f e c t i n a v e r y i m p o r t m t way, My own c o n c l u s i o n i s t h a t you do i n f a c t n e e d a mixed s t r a t e g y , I l i k e t h e i d e a o f t h e Canadian o l d age p e n s i o n which i s a u n i v e r s a l b a s e and a n e g a t i v e income t a x supplement, s o t h a t everybody g e t s some. The g e n e r a l scheme i s a c c e p t a b l e , b u t t h o s e who remain i n a b s o l u t e p o v e r t y a t t h e end o f it c a n i n f a c t claifi, and o b t a i n , an income supplement. I t d o e s n ' t answer m y p o i n t t h a t many who a r e i n a b s o l u t e p o v e r t y a f t e r t h e u n i v e r s a l payment may i n f a c t not claim f o r t h e income supplement. So t h a t ' s my f i r s t o f two final p o i n t s . The last p o i n t I wish t o r a i s e i s p e r h a p s a l i t t l e more contentous. A couple o f things i n t e r e s t e d me enormously t h i s m o r n i n g i n Mr. Hayden's paper. There w a s a p a r a g r a p h which said t h e "paramount o b j e c t i v e o f a l l t h e s e w e l f a r e programs w a s p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n f 1 and t h e n on t h e p e n t u l t i m a t e and u l t i m a t e p a g e s we g e t a t r e n d y s o r t o f sermon o n t h e i m p o r t a n c e o f t i g h t e n i n g our b e l t s , a n d t h e need f o r income r e d i s t r i b u t i o n . Now, I t h i n k i n f a c t that t h e t w o are not n e c e s s a r i l y i n t h e same package and t h a t we s h o u l d l o o k at them as e s s e n t i a l l y r e l a t e d but i n some v e r y i m p o r t a n t s e n s e d i s t i n c t o b j e c t i v e s . I think that t h e a l l e v i a t i o n o f a b s o l u t e p o v e r t y i s arn o b j e c t i v e t h a t we can r e a s o n a b l y argue i s a c c e p t a b l e a c r o s s t h e p o l i t i c a l s p e c t m i n U. S . , Canada, Britain, A u s t r a l i a and Western Europe. And o f c o u r s e t h e y w i l l be r e d i s t r i b u t i v e ; I t h i n k t h a t i t i s f a c i l e t o a r g u e t h a t i t i s n o t . But I t h i n k that i n t h i s case t h e c o s t may be w i d e l y s p r e a d , say, t h r o u g h t h e f i n ancing mechanism, and t h e g o a l a c h i e v e d w i t h m i n i m a l f o r m a l , int e n d e d and a c t u a l e f f e c t on ir,come d i s t r i b u t i o n . I f you l i k e it can be l a r g e l y achieved, I think, i n our s o c i e t y r i g h t n o w ; I b e l i e v e that we c o u l d Dove t o a v e r y substantial a l l e v i a t i o n o f pover3y through e s s e n t i a l l y t r a d i n g r a t h e r than c o n f l i c t , i n o t h e r words, w i t h m i n i m a l formal r e d i s t r i b u t i v e e f f e c t . 43 R e d i s t r i b u t i o n i s q u i t e another m a t t e r p a r t i c u l a r l y i f i t s t i e d i n t o a n a b r a s i v e p o l i t i c a l r h e t o r i c which has o v e r t o n e s of envy, vengeance and s o o n , By d e f i n i t i o n i t i n v o l v e s , and I t h i n k i s i n t e n d e d t o i n v o l v e , g a i n e r s and l o s e r s . And a program couched e x p l i c i t l y i n t h i s way as a r e d i s t r i b u t i v e program r a t h e r than a program d e a l i n g w i t h p o v e r t y , I think i s c e r t a i n t o c r e a t e p o l i t i c a l o p p o s i t i o n . 1 t h i n k f u r t h e r i f one i s s e r i o u s l y a t t e m p t i n g t o implement r e d i s t r i b u t i o n t h e n one must take a v e r y s e r i o u s l o o k at t h e whole q u e s t i o n o f t r a d e o f f s o v e r t i m e i n r e l a t i o n t o economic growt;h and t h e whole dilemma o f a b s o l u t e income l e v e l s and r e l a t i v i t i e s o v e r time. Now o f course t h i s argwnent i s p a r t i a l l y o f f s e t b y t h e evidence t h a t i t i s e x t r e m e l y hard i n any That i f one a t t e m p t s t o do e v e n t t o change income d i s t r i b u t i o n . t h i s t h e system, o r s o c i e t y , w i l l a d j u s t o v e r time t o t h e a t t e m p t . L e t q s s a y t h e t r a d e u n i o n asks f o r a t a x - p l u s wage i n c r e a s e , t h e d o c t o r p u t s h i s f e e up, and t h e system adjusts s o t h a t t h e p o s t t a x d i s t r i b u t i o n i n d e x i s v e r x much l i k e t h e p r e - t a x . So if you l i k e , r e d i s t r i b u t i o n has been f r u s t r a t e d . I n a s e n s e t h a t does o f f s e t t h e argument t h a t r e d i s t r i b u t i o n may b e p e r n i c i o u s i n t e r m s o f t h e macro i m p l i c a t i o n s b u t I t h i n k t h e t w o a r e n o t e n t i r e l y rnutualJy e x c l u s i v e . You can v e r y s o o n have s e r i o u s b e h a v i o u r a l r e s p o n s e s even i f i n t h e a g g r e g a t e t h e r e d i s t r i b u t i v e e f f e c t i s o f f s e t . But t h e i m p o r t a n t t h i n g I t h i n k , i s t h a t i t i s a much more sweeping and much more r a d i c a l o b j e c t i v e t h a n t h e a l l e v i a t i o n of p o v e r t y . T h a t ; i s , it i s a v e r y d i f f i c u l t t h i n g t o do, a v e r y complex s o c i a l i s s u e , t h e p a r a m e t e r s o f which I v m riot a r g u i n g t h a t i t i s n e c e s s a r i l y we s c a r c e l y u n d e r s t a n d . A bad t h i n g e x c e p t t h a t we r e a l l y d o n * t u n d e r s t a n d it and we p r o b a b l y c a n v t do i t ; and i f i n fact; we p u t that o b j e c t i v e a h e a d o f p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n , o r make it t h e v e h i c l e by which p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n i s t o b e c a r r i e d , t h e n 1 s u g g e s t t h a t we w i l l f a i l i n t h e l a t t e r o b j e c t i v e . I would a r g u e t h a t you c o u l d a t t a i n p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n and t h a t it i s a m o r a l i m p e r a t i v e i n a rexa t i v e l y a f f l u e n t s o c i e t y ; whereas r e d i s t r i b u t i o n i s a much more complex s o c i a l i s s u e o n which I s u s p e c t we have as y e t a v e r y i m p e r f e c t s o c i a l technology. EDITED DISCUSSION ON PROFESSOR CUTT'S PAPER QUESTION NO. 1. I f e e l v e r y s y m p a t h e t i c a l l y w i t h what J i m C u t t ' s s a y i n g . 1 would have t h o u g h t t h a t p o v e r t y i s symptomatic o f c e r t a i n c a u s e s t h a t go back t o t h e s o c i a l s t r u c t c m e i t s e l f . One would wonder whether an a n t i - p o v e r t y program which d o e s n P t l o o k a t some of t h e macros t r u c t u r a l issues you were r a i s i n g w i l l n o t i n t h e l o n g r u n f a i l itself. ANSWER I t h i n k that i t ' s a b s o l u t e l y c r u c i a l that p o v e r t y i s c l o s e l y l i r r k e d as one dimension o r one a s p e c t o f e q u a l i t y . The Trudeau Government g o t a whole l o t o f t h i n g s t h r o u g h t h e Canadian house, and t h e Senate almost b y consensus. Things t h a t we would r e g a r d as being enormously r a d i c a l , These t h i n g s were a t t a i n e d b y consensus, l a r g e l y because o f caref'ul p r a g m a t i c structuring of t h e p r o g r a m , t a y l o r i n g t h e means o f financing t o m i n i m i s e t h e e f f e c t o f t h e p r o g r a s on work i n c e n t i v e s , and savings. But p r o b a b l y most o f a l l t h e s h e e r r h e t o r i c of t h e program. The s u b s t a n c e may n o t be a l l t h a t d r a m a t i c a l l y d i f f e r e n t , but i f t h e p r o g r m is ccuched i n t e r m s o f I t f a t c a t s ' l and "poor c a t s q 1and s o on t h e n i n f a c t I t h i n k t h a t t h e t h i n g almost becomes s e l f - d e f e a t i n g by d e f i n i t i o n . I would argue t h a t one can go a l o n g way a l o n g t h e r o a d t o p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n l a r g e l y by consensus, w i t h o u t s e r i o u s macro -imp11 c a t i o n s . It i s r e d i s t r i b u t i v e , t h e r e i s no q r i e s t i o n a b o u t t h a t ; b u t p e o p l e would g o a l o n g w i t h t h a t p r o v i d e d i f i n t h e c o n t e x t o f a cake t h a t w i l l continue t o grow a n d i f you- a r e n o t a b s o l u t e l y r e d u c i n g anyo n e ' s income, The evidence fron Canada a n d U.S. does s u g g e s t v e r y s t r o n g l y t h a t p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n , c e r t a i n l y on a t i m e spectrum, s h o u l d b e p u t i n f r o n t af major r e d i s t r i b u t i o n because i f you p u t them t h e o t h e r way a r o u n d you. may l o s e t h e former, and n o t a t t a i n the l a t t e r . QUESTION NO. 2 You t a l k o f p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n p r o g r a s . What i s p o v e r t y as a f a c t o r t h a t you can a l l e v i a t e ? A r e n u t we c l o s e t o t h a t g o a l a1r e ady? 45 ANSWER I t h i n k t h a t we have a g r e a t d e a l o f work t o do i n t h i s human s e r v i c e , human r e s o u r c e a r e a . We o n l y have a v e r y p r i m i t i v e s e n s e of what we're r e a l l y t r y i n g t o do, o f w h a t p u t t i n g money i n w i l l a c t u a l l y d o ; and v e r y l i t t l e a p p a r a t u s t o guage t h e e f f e c t i v e n e s s of what we a r e doing. I t h i n k t h a t what we have t o do i s come up with some d e f i n i t i o n o f a b s o l u t e d e p r i v a t i o n o r p o v e r t y which h a s s u f f i c i e n t dimensions t o b e r e a i s t i c . T h e r e i s a t e n d e n c y f o r e x p e r t s t o s a y g i v e them c a s h and i t ' s a l l o v e r . I think: t h a t we s h o u l d have a d e f i n i t i o n t h a t i s s u f f i c i e n t l y b r o a d l y f a c e t e d and c a r e f u l l y d e v i s e d as t o be on t h e a v e r a g e a r e a s o n a b l e d e f i n i t i o n , and t r y t o move t h e components of t h a t i n t h e d i r e c t i o n t h a t t h e d e f i n i t i o n s u g g e s t s that t h e y should move f o r p o v e r t y t o be a l l e v i a t e d , Suppose you d i d s o r t all t h a t out and it t u r n e d out t h a t t h e p e r s o n ' s p r e f e r e n c e p a t t e r n f o r spending h i s income. and u s i n g h i s f a c i l i t i e s i s s t i l l s u c h t h a t h i s f a m i l y at t h e end o f t h e y e a r s t i l l t u r n s out t o b e d i s a d v a n t a g e d . He p u t s h i s money down t h e drain, d o e s n ' t s e n d h i s k i d t o p r e - s c h o o l . What do you -t h e n do? I n t h e f i n a l a n a l y s i s it i s a f r e e s o c i e t y . But you c a n make t h e r a n g e o f a v a i l a b l e c h o i c e s as wide and a.s c i v i l i s e d as p o s s i b l e , t o maximise t h e e x t e n t ' t h a t p e o p l e do t a k e a d v a n t a g e o f t h e o p p o r t u n i t y t o g e t out o f p o v e r t y . You make t h e o p p o r t u n i t y a v a i l a b l e and p e o p l e t a k e i t o r l e a v e it. We a r e l o o k i n g f o r a d e f i n i t i o n o f a b r o a d e r more comprehensive k i n d and a r e c o g n i t i o n o f t h e n e e d t o d e a l w i t h t h e s e many f a c e t s o f it. And u l t i m a t e l y t o g i v e p e o p l e w i d e r o p p o r t u n i t i e s t o s o l v e t h e i r own p o v e r t y problem. It may mean c a s h b u t i t a l s o means t h a t t h e r e i s f o r example, a day c a r e c e n t r e or p r e s c h o o l n e a r b y ; o r t o b e s u r e t h a t t h e man cain g e t r e t r a i n i n g . COMMENT I t sems t o me that we might f i n d i n c r e a s i n g l y t h a t we're moving from a s o c i e t y where we d e f i n e p o v e r t y i n t e r m s o f economic f a c t o r s t o a s o c i e t y where we a r e t a l k i n g a b o u t t h e s o c i o l o g i c a l and p s y c h o l o g i c a l phenomena as t h e r o o t c a u s e o f p o v e r t y . ANSWER A c l a s i c example o f what y o u g r e s a y i n g i s t h e f a n t a s t i c a l l y I f o r g e t what t h e g e n e r o u s w e l f a r e payments i n New 'York C i t y . e x a c t f i g u r e s a r e - b u t i n t h e m i d d l e o f 1973 a f a m i l y w i t h f o u r c h i l d r e n g o t a l m o s t $8,000. That d i d n ' t solve t h e p r o b l e m though. The o t h e r dimensions o f p o v e r t y - t h e raci.aL d e v i s i v e n e s s , crime, d e l i n q u e n c y , f a i l u r e t o t a k e advantage o f educational f a c i l i t i e s - have increased. 46 COMMENT Doesn't t h a t p o i n t though TUC r a t h e r r a i s e d b e f o r e , i n t h a t some o f -these d y s f u n c t i o n , do seem t o a r i s e o u t o f a c r o s s t h e whole s o c i e t a l s t r u c t u r e , of absolute poverty. c o u n t e r t o t h e p o i n t t h a t YOU f a c e t s o f p o v e r t y , or s o c i a l d i s a d v a n t a g e and i n e q u i t y r a t h e r than b e i n g t h e p r o d u c t s ANSWER I think b y and l a r g e t h e areas where p o v e r t y or t h o s e dimens i o n s of p o v e r t y s u c h as crime, s o c i a l d i s r u p t i o n , have f a i l e d t o b e a l l e v i a t e d , a r e i n f a c t predominantly g h e t t o areas. There a r e a r e a s dLI through Eulrope, England, Manhattan, where t h e s e p r o g r a m s a r e enormously s u c c e s s f u l . Yes. I t h i n k that t h e t r a g e d y o f t h e U.S. i s that t h i s p a r t i c u l a r patho l o g y i s a f u n c t i o n o f s o c i a l and h i s t o r i c a l f o r c e s which i s f a r t o o big t o be s o l v e d b y money o n one g e n e r a t i o n . It i s t h e g o o d f o r t u n e o f A u s t r a l i a t h a t t h e r e i s no p a r a l l e l dimension. QUESTION NO. 3 There seem t o be a few p o i n t s h e r e a l l p u t t o g e t h e r . It seems t o b e a good i d e a t o have a l o o k at them i n a comprehensive way, as you have p u t it f o r w a r d t o u s . I t h i n k t h a t t h e p o i n t has t o b e t a k e n t h a t i n a l l e v i a t i n g p o v e r t y , o r having any form o f s o c i a l reform, i n A u s t r a l i a , t h e r e i s r e q u i r e d a m u l t i - f a c e t e d approach; t h a t you have g o t t o have income s u p p o r t and o t h e r s u p p o r t p o l i c i e s . A t t h e same t i m e , however, t h i s d o e s n o t n e g a t e i n any way t h e need t o t h i n k about a n e t m i n i m u m income p o l i c y as a start. B u t t h e n h a v i n g s a i d that comes t h e q u e s t i o n as t o what l e v e l should b e s e t . Once you s e t t h a t l e v e l you t h e n come t o an argument o f m a r g i n a l m a t t e r s , whether you go t o housing p o l i c y , o r educ a t i o n a l p o l i c y , o r more money o n your m i n i m u m income, .And I t h i n k t h a t becomes a v e r y d i f f i c u l t q u e s t i o n and n o t one t h a t you can n e a t l y do i n a f o r m u l a e . It t a k e s a l o n g a n a l y s i s o f t h e a l t e r n a t i v e programs o n t h e i r own t o s e e i f t h e y have t a r g e t e f f i c i e n c y a d do g e t t o t h e p e o p l e t h e y a r e aimed a t . Then you come t o t h e T i n a question. That i s t r y i n g t o l i s t a l l t h e d i f f e r e n t p o l i c i e s , and p u t t i n g t h i s t o g e t h e r i n a dynamic model t o f i n d t h e n e t e f f e c t o f t h e program. 47 I wonder i n f a c t whether t h i s i s a c t u a l l y v a l i d . It seems t o me that t h e r e a r e s o many p i e c e s i n t h e formula t h a t you e n d up making a v a l u e judgmente You h a v e a whole l o t o f v a l u e s i n v o l v e d and you have a whole l o t o f i m p l i c a t i o n s from e a c h of t h e s e options. I c a n ' t s e e how you a r e going t o come o u t o f it w i t h t h e s o r t o f formula you seem t o b e suggesting. ANSWER I a c c e p t your p o i n t . I t h i n k t h a t one can g e t t o t h e p o i n t where one i s i n d u l g i n g o n e s e l f a c a d e m i c a l l y . The o n l y t h i n g t h a t I would argue i n r e s p o n s e i s t h a t i t i s r e a l l y c r u c i a l i n p o l i c i e s o f t h i s n a t u r e t o s a y something a b o u t how you r a i s e t h e money, a n d how p e o p l e r e s p o n d t o it - a t l e a s t m i n i m a l l y i n t e r m s o f w o r k s a v i n g s and i n v e s t m e n t . These t h i n g s a r e just s o i n t e r - r e l a t e d w i t h t h e program p e r formance and c o s t s . I b e l i e v e t h a t one can hope t o say a l i t t l e more about broad g e n e r a l d i f f e r e n c e s i n t h e l i k e l y e f f e c t s o f programs g i v e n t h e a l t e r n a t e assumptions a b o u t how p eopl e behave . QUESTION NO. 4 You make a d i s t i n c t i o n between t h e a l l e v i a t i o n o f p o v e r t y and redistribution. I g m not q u i t e s u r e t h a t t h a t ' s t e r r i b l y useful i n t h e Australian s i t u a t i o n . It depends o f c o u r s e o n what percentage o f t h e population is i n poverty. I suppose that somewhere between 10% and 20% i s t h e p r o p o r t i o n o f p o p u l a t i o n you w o u l d b e h o p i n g t o e f f e c t w i t h a n y p o v e r t y program. Now t h i s i n v o l v e s changing t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p between t h e g r o u p w'eiwould l i k e t o s a y a r e a t t h e b o t t o m , i n p o v e r t y , a n d t h e group which i t i s i m p l i e d we w i l l have t o r e d i s t r i b u t e money f,rom. The more p e o p l e you deal w i t h i n t h e b o t t o m l e v e l t h e more it becomes r e d i s t r i b u t i o n r a t h e r than j u s t a l l e v i a t i o n o f p o v e r t y ; and t h e more e q u a l t h e s o c i e t y becomes i n income d i s t r i b u t i o n , t h e more y o u s v e g o t t o t a l k a b o u t income d i s t r i b u t i o n r a t h e r than a p o v e r t y measure, It a p p e a r s t o me t h a t i n t h e p r e s e n t s i t u a t i o n i n a c o u n t r y l i k e Australia t h a t we a r e t a l k i n g q u i t e s t r o n g l y i n t e r m s o f r e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f income and p e r h a p s l e s s s o i n t e r m s o f a l l e v i a t i o n o f p o v e r t y . The o t h e r t h i n g o f c o u r s e i s t h a t when I say t h e r e may be 15% o f p e o p l e i n p o v e r t y we a r e a l r e a d y making a r e d i s t r i b u t i v e judgment i n t h e s e n s e t h a t w e a r e t a l k i n g about some r e l a t i v e t y p e t y p o l o g y . The q u e s t i o n i s o f c o u r s e w h e t h e r i t makes much s e n s e t o t a l k about a b s o l u t e p o v e r t y i n a c o u n t r y l i k e Australia. F o r example, i f you compare t h e standard o f t h e p o o r e s t p e o p l e i n Australia t o p e o p l e l i v i n g i n I n d i a . 48 ANSWER I d o n ' t t h i n k t h a t t h e r e i s any q u e s t i o n about t h a t i f you a r e t a l k i n g a b o u t s p e c t r u m s . I s t i l l t h i n k t h a t it i s v e r y unfortuna t e i n Australia t h a t t h e r h e t o r i c about p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n i s i n t e r m s of r e d i s t r i b u t i o n , One has t o couch i t i n p o l i t i c a l l y a c c e p t a b l e terms. I n o r d e r o f t i m e you will p r o b a b l y b e a b l e t o g e t agreement t h a t p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n i s a good thing, and you p u t t h a t f i r s t . When t h a t one i s s o l v e d you can t h e n l o o k a t t h e larger i s s u e s . 49 THE Jan Salmon B.A., Dip. S o c i a l S t u d i e s , R e s e a r c h Worker, Family C e n t r e Projec'G,Brotherhood o f S t . Laurence. I FAMILY CENTl3E An Experiment Guaranteed and i$s Minimum PROJECT:* In Income Implications With t h e income supplement we t r i e d t o e n s u r e that t h e f a n l i l i e s had an a d e q u a t e income e a c h week. Unfortunately t h e r e is r e a l l y no Australian data t o t e l l u s what an a d e q u a t e income i s . We r e j e c t e d Hendersonvs p o v e r t y l i n e b e c a u s e it w a s t o o t h e o r e t i c a l , and w e wanted t h e f a m i l i e s t o u n d e r s t a n d t h e b a s i s of t h e income supplement s o t h a t t h e y c o u l d s e e i t as a t h i n g o f r i g h t , a n d t h e y knew t h e r a t i o n a l e . I think a l s o i n Professor Hendemonvs l i n e t h e r e i s l i t t l e evidence t o s u g g e s t t h a t it i s a d e q u a t e and I t h i n k t h a t p r o b a b l y i t w i l l be found t h a t it i s a v e r y s t a t i c view. 'Poverty l i n e ' seems t o convey a n o t i o n t h a t p e o p l e a r e i n p o v e r t y o r o u t o f p o v e r t y . Our e x p e r i e n c e i s t h a t a f a m i l y c a n be i n and o u t o f p o v e r t y e v e r y a l t e r n a t e week. We s e l e c t e d t h e r e f o r e as o u r c r i t e r i a o f m i n i m u m a d e q u a c y t h e m i n i m m i wage and we a d j u s t e d i t a c c o r d i n g t o c e r t a i n f a c t o r s s u c h as f a m i l y c o m p o s i t i o n , work s t a t u s , t y p e o f accommodation. We'also p a i d on t o p of t h i s a r e n t subsidy. WeOre n o t t r y i n g t o s e t out and s a y t h a t t h e m i n i m u m wage i s an a d e q u a t e l e v e l but it w a s a l e v e l t h a t p e o p l e u n d e r s t o o d and c o u l d r e a d about i n t h e p a p e r . It seemed t o convey sorile n o t i o n o f b e i n g e q u a t e d w i t h what w a s f a i r and r e a s o n a b l e , So we u s e d t h a t as a l e v e l but we're n o t s a y i n g i t ' s a d e q u a t e , We t r i e d t o make t h e scheme as s i m p l e as p o s s i b l e s o t h a t t h e f a m i l i e s c o u l d u n d e r s t a n d i t . This meant t h a t we d i d n ' t go i n t o t a x a t i o n s c a l e s ; a 100% t a x a t i o n s c a l e was u s e d . Therefore it could be said t o be t e r r i b l y p u n i t i v e , that t h e r e w a s a v e r y strong d i s i n c e n t i v e f a c t o r o p e r a t i n g . * The Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t i s a 3- year income s u p p l e m e n t a t i o n scheme, i n i t i a t e d by t h e B r o t h e r h o o d o f S t . L a u r e n c e i n F i t z r o y , Melbourne, as p a r t o f a g e n e r a l scheme t o i n c r e a s e t h e r e s o u r c e s a v a i l a b l e t o a l i m i t e d group o f p o o r f a m i l i e s . S i x t y f a m i l i e s were i n v o l v e d . NowYve c o v e r e d $ h e d e t a i l s o f t h e income supplement scheme i n t h e a c t u a l p a p e r I wont go j.ntrJ t h e d e t a i l s o f t h a t . I want t o f o c u s p r i r n a r i l . y o n t h e d i f f i c u l t i e s e n c o u n t e r e d w i t h our income supplement ,. I t h i n k t h a t i t has a l r e a d y b e e n mentioned t o d a y t h a t t h e r e a r e p r o b l e m s i n d e f i n i n g w h a t an income u n i t s h o u l d be, o r a h o u s eh o l d u n i t , or whatever you u8e t o a t t a i n t h a t u n i t . We've found f r o m o u r e x p e r i e n c e that the income u n i t d o e s n P t have t o c o r r e s p o n d w i t h t h e n o r m a l n o t i o n o f a f a m i l y o f mum, dad and t h e k i d s , T h e r e a r e many, many d i f f e r e n t s t r u c t u r e s , You c a n have u n c l e s a n d aunts, you c a n h a v e o t h e r c h i l d r e n l i v i n g i n t h e honle, you c a n have a s e p a r a t e d woman and a s s p a r a t e d man b r i n g i n g t h e c h i l d r e n o f d i f f e r e n t s p o u s e s t o g e t h e r a n d t h e n having t h e i r own l o t s o f c h i l d r e n , o r you can h a v e d i f f e r e n t p e o p l e coming i n as b o a r d e r s . So t h e h o u s e h o l d c o m p o s i t i o n a n d f a m i l y c o m p o s i t i o n c a n be a v e r y complex a n d v a r y i n g thing., Secondly t h e s e s t r u c t u r e s o f w h a t i s a f a m i l y c a n change o v e r t i m e , e v e n on a weekly b a s i s . T h e i r husband c a n come and g o , c h i l d r e n can go i n t o i n s t i t u t i o n s o r come o u t o f i n s t i t u t i o n s . These s o r t s o f t h i n g s go on, o n a weekly b a s i s i n t h e centre. The o t h e r t h i n g s we have found i s t h a t you c a n ' t assume t k a t r e s o u r c e s w i l l b e p o o l e d j u s t b e c a u s e t h e y l i v e u n d e r t h e same r o o f o r seem t o c o r r e s p o n d -to a nil-clear f a m i l y . For i n s t m c e , a woman l i v i n g i n a d e f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p w i t h h e r c h i l d r e n f r o m a former r e l a t i o n s h i p . There i s no l e g a l r e a s o n why t h e d e f a c t o husband s h o u l d b e r e s p o n s i b l e f o r t h e woman, or f o r t h e c h i l d r e n , y e t we e x p e c t t h i s . We expect t h a t t h e man i s going t o b e t h e p r o v i d e r , avld t h i s i s a v a l u e judgment. The t h i n g i s t h a t i f we i g n o r e t h i s , we a r e a c t u a l l y d i s c o u r a g i n g p e o p l e from f o r m i n g t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p s which a r e t h e i r c h o i c e , and we can a l t e r t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p t h a t p e o p l e have g o t . There a r e a number o f a n o m a l i e s which e x i s t i n our s o c i a l s e c u r i t y system, For i n s t a n c e t h e d e f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p : a t t h e moment a woman s e t s up a d e f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p i n t h e f i r s t week s h e can be c u t o f f a widows p e n s i o n , b e c a u s e she c a n b e s a i d t o be l i v i n g i n a d e f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p , t h e r e f o r e t h e man s h o u l d s u p p o r t h e r . On t h e o t h e r hand f o r h e r t o b e ent i t l e d t o a widows p e n s i o n s h e has t o b e l i v i n g w i t h t h a t man f o r t h r e e y e a r s b e f o r e i t i s r e c o g n i s e d as a s o r t o f comnLonl a w marriage. So t h e r e i s a c o n t r a d i c t i o n between l e g a l d e f i n i t i o n s and s o c i a l l y a c c e p t a b l e d e f i n i t i o n s . U n d e r l y i n g e a c h o f t h e s e a r e v a l u e judgments - t h i n g s l i k e men s h o u l d p r o v i d e f o r women, 2nd men s h o u l d b e r e s p o n s i b l e . P l e a s e n o t e . A Sackground p a p e r w a s p r e p a r e d and c i r c u l a t e d b e f o r e t h e seminar. The p a p e r i s i n c l u d e d i n Appendix B. 51 T h e r e i s a n o t h e r example o f how v a l u e judgments can b e made when we start t a l k i n g a b o u t t h e d e f i n i t i o n o f things. It's not r e l a t e d t o Oguaranteed minimwl income ( G . M . I . )' b u t I t h i n k t h a t i t i s a v e r y g o o d example o f how p e o p l e v s r i g h t s a r e t e r r i b l y i n f r i . n g e d . A t t h e moment t h e r e i s a h o u s i n g comniission p o l i c y t h a t you n e e d a h o u s e h o l d with s e v e n p e o p l e i n i t b e f o r e you can r e n t a house. Now t h i s means t h a t l o w income f a m i l i e s d e l i b e r a t e l y g o o u t t o have f i v e c h i l d r e n . Sometimes s i n g l e p a r h n t s go o u t t o h a v e s i x c h i l d r e n , even i f t h e y d o n ' t want t h e c h i l d r e n o r c a n ' t a f f o r d t o have t h e c h i l d r e n , So we a r e i m p o s i n g i n c r e d i b l e c o n s t r a i n t s on p e o p l e i n making a v e r y s i m p l e d e c i s i o n t o s a v e administration c o s t s . The h o u s i n g c o m n i s s i o n i s t r y i n g t o s e t down p r i o r i t i e s , t h a t v s r e a s o n a b l e enough, but i t has had incredible implications. S i m i l a r l y i n d e f i n i n g income when you assume t h a t t h e h o u s e h o l d w i l l p o o l t h e i r income. Now I ' v e t a l k e d a b o u t t h e i n s t a n c e o f d e f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p s . U l t i m a t e l y what happens t o t h e income when it comes t o t h e h o u s e h o l d w i l l depend o n who r e c e i v e d it and who manages t h e household. For i n s t a n c e , we h a v e i n v a l i d p e n s i o n e r s . A t t h e moment t h e i n v a l i d p e n s i o n c a n be d i v i d e d i n t o a husband's a n d w i f e ' s a l l o w a n c e . With unemployment t h e husband r e c e i v e s i t g e n e r a l l y . Now w i t h i n v a l i d p e n s i o n s t h e h u s b a n d u s u a l l y assumes t h a t t h e w i f e i s going t o manage t h e With unemployment b e n e f i t t h e h o u s e h o l d on t h e w i f e ' s allowance. husband g e t s a11 t h e unemployment b e n e f i t , and t h e w i f e might no% n e c e s s a r i l y r e c e i v e any p a r t o f that b e n e f i t . Now I d o n ' t s e e a n y e a s y way o f r e s o l v i n g t h i s problem o f how t o make s u r e that we a r e not i n f l u e n c i n g t h e f a m i l y ' s a b i l i t y t o cope but p e r h a p s th.e e a s i e s t way i s t o j u s t g i v e t h e p e o p l e a c h o i c e . Actually a s k t h e consumer h o w t h e y would l i k e t h e sum o f t h e s e r v i c e s d e l i v e r ed. T h e r e a r e a l s o a d m i n i s t r a t i v e d i f f i c u l t i e s which h a v e come up. For i n s t a n c e how can a scheme be r e s p o n s i v e t o f a m i l i e s t h a t change t h e i r c i r c u m s t a n c e s as r a p i d l y as t h e f a m i l i e s i n t h e c e n t r e seemed t o have changed. For i n s t a n c e t h e i r r e n t changes, a n d t h e nuniber h n t h e h o u s e h o l d changes, and m o s t i m p o r t a n t l y t h e i r income changes at a phenonienal r a t e ( e s p e c i a l l y where t h e r e i s a r e g u l a r b r e a d w i n n e r i n t h e f a m i l y ) . Now we h a v e b e e n a b l e t o overcome t h i s problem by d e a l i n g w i t h t h e f a m i l i e s o n an i n d i v i d u a i basis. The f a m i l i e s f i l l i n a q u e s t i o n n a i r e and i t i s a s s e s s e d o n a weekly basis; i t i s a l s o a s s e s s e d o n a p r o s p e c t i v e basis. But h o w does one ,do t h i s when one i s t r y i n g t o i m p l e m e n t a n a t i o n a l scheme, I t h i n k t o some e x t e n t you a r e caught i n a bind of e i t h e r having a f a i r l y s t r a i g h t forward simple scheme that p e o p l e u n d e r s t a n d as a r i g h t , o r you h a v e s o m e t h i n g 52 T h a t i s mcre d i s c r e t i o n a r y a n d aware o f t h e p r o b l e m s o f d i f f e r e n t f a m i l i e s . L have no s o l u t i o n t o t h a t problem at t h e moment as t o how one can h e r e s p o n s i v e t o t h e c h a n g i n g c i r c w a s - t a n c e s ; d o e s one h a v e an exLra g r m $ o n t o p of t h e GMI - I d c n v t know. A n o t h e r im-prtant p o i n t coming G Z ~ e f t h e income supplement i s t h e F e r i o 3 o f a c c o x n t i n g . Kcat p e r i o d o f a c c o u n t i n g i s t h e b e s t o n e t o x s e , We@veinas3 a weekly b a s i s . Again we c a n do t h i s b e c a u s e we havs 60 f m i l i e s and t h e r e s o u r c e s . L a s t y e a r when I was i n MadisorL (USA) I w a s v e r y i n t e r e s t e d t o t r y a n d work o u t h o w t&ir s a m ~ icompared ~ w i t h t h e sample i n t h e Family C e n t r e F r o j e c t and T found fhat t h e Maddison sample d i a n o t o n t h e whole r e f l e c t t h e p e o p l e t h a h we have i n t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t . more p r o n e t o b e t ' r e marginal. worker, t h e worker They were on t h e m i n i i n u m w8ge and t h e r e were few c h r o n i c a l l y i m p o v e r i s h e d p ~ c p l o ,i n %lie samp?,e. Tk_ey u s ~ da q u a r t e r l y a c c o u n t i n g p e r i o d m d t k y p a i d on a mont3lJy b a s i s . And t h e y a s s u h e d i f you h a d a gco? m e k ycv- c c u l d s a v e t h e monr3.y ancl z o u l d u s e i t i n a b a d waek, s o y~.=;-~i s a v e 5 ZG~: a rainy day and t h e y p a i d or. t h a t basis. I w a s t o l d infsrrriallg T h a T t 5 e y felt t h a t one o f t h e r e a s o n s t h e y were l o s i n g a IC-:sf t h e p o o r e r p e o p l e frort, t h e i r sample w a s t h e fact t h a t t h e scheme d i d have t h i s prcblem - i t d i d n q t a c c o u n t f o r r k e f a z t zkat pe3pif; z c u l d n G t save € o r a rainy day and a l s o t h e f a c t thar tk? Pxlstilmg S o c i a l Welfare Scnemes were b a s e d o n a p r o s p e c x i v e bas:s r a d were far mcre r e s p o n s i v e . So for t h a t e q e r i m e n t a l g r o - ~ pit was p r e f e r a k i e fi;r then1 t o go back o n t o n o n a 3 . s z c i L s 5 c x - i t b r payments :hac t o r e m a i n p a r t o f t h e i a c m e mainT;?rLmcc exyeriment m1115l S E a t t L e !Emer Schsme (RA), whi& was s e t lip a f t e r t h a t , r e c o g - t s c l '&3 F r o F e . 2 t c same exLent. F i r s t of a l l t h e y s e t u p Ei fie:? 2 f f L C Z iVhE1-G F ? ? p l ~ ?C G U l C ? ccme i n and c o n s u l t w i t h p e o p l e 3bT.LT p r C ~ ~ 3 r r i s in fi11i*y,gi n forms, aDd things l i k e t h a t . T h E J 2 2 ' i l < TeC911?LEL 2haEge i n circ!mst&qces. The S e a t t l e Denver ,?x&?&TE~ a:%o In;;roi=rl-.ced a n c t i o n c.f advances & t h o u g h t h e y o f l y F Z l 3 2 2 T3-e b s s i s Q:.f 80% O f t ' n e i r enti5Lemen-t. In Some ways t h e S s s T t l e % T L- -.T ~ ~2 ',LlE3ii..% i s a&ncv&sdging t h i s t h i n g that l o w i l ' l C o L - 3 f a r 2 i L L e S 22; Z O , h V E ? MGney for a r a i n y daya yoin h a v e t o 1 sziy 3 2 I, T'gii-ET - DBSlS. 53 through. f r e q u e n t l y u n t i l t e n days l a t e r , and t h a t f o r t h e first s e v e n d a y s p e o p l e a r e n o t e n t i t l e d f o r unemployment b e n e f i t s at allo So th.at; means 10 days at l e a s t where people have no income. It seem t o me i n c r e d i b l e that we have a system which i s p e r p e t u a t i n g t h e problem b e c a u s e o f i t s r g l e s . You can a l s o note on Page t h a t t h e mean inconLe i s $27 which i s c o n s i d e r a b l y l o w e r t h a n t h e minimum wage. If one i s t o c o n s i d e r a GMI scheme it i s impor-tant n o t o n l y t o c o n s i d e r t h e adequacy o f t h e Level o f income, i t i s a l s o s o v e r y v e r y i m p o r t a n t t o c o n s i d e r t h e regul a r i t y o f t h e income. Income has t o come i n on a r e g u l a r b a s i s , I t h o u g h t j u s t f i n a l l y , because i t s t h e $64 q u e s t i o n , I would m e n t i o n t h e q u e s t i o n of t h e work i n c e n t i v e s . The d a t a seems t o i n d i c a t e t h a t t h e men a r e d e c r e a s i n g t h e i r work e f f o r t , I d o n ' t know t h a t I l i k e t h i s t h o u g h t , When I saw t h e s e r e s u l t s s t a r t i n g t o conLe o u t I r e a l l y thought ' o h no!'; because %he Maddison ones hadn't come u p with t h e s e sorts of r e s u l t s and i t also seemed a n i c e answer t o people who were conc e r n e d a b o u t p e o p l e s t o p p i n g work. I have been a n a l y s i n g t h e r e s u l t s i n t h e l a s t few days with t h e h e l p o f t h e staff from t h e I n s t i t i n t e o f A p p l i e d Economics and S o c i a l Beaearch and i t 3oes seem t o b e that way,, It seems t h a t t h e decrease i s somewhat i n d e p e n d e n t e v e n o f t h e g e n e r a l market s i t u a t i o n , because g e n e r a l l y t h e r e are n o t many j o b s around. When I first s a w t h i s I t h o u g h t 'Oh my goodness' t h e n I thought ' w e l l s o what', c o n s i d e r i n g t h e s o r t o f work t h a t t h e men have t o do, which are u s u a l l y d e g r a d i n g , o v e r exerting, p o o r l y p a i d j o b s . F o r i n s t a n c e - t h e r e were a g r o u p of men who u s e d t o go and s t o k e l a r g e f u r n a c e s w i t h m e t a l i n g e t s , with s o a r i n g kemperatures o f w e l l o v e r 1000, not b e i n g p r o v i d e d w i t h p r o t e c t i v e c l o t l i i n g a n d sometimes f o r c e d , b e c a u s e t h e j o b was s o bad, t o do double s h i f t s because t h e s e c o n d s h i f t d i d n o t t u r n up. That i s an example o f t h e s o r t o f work t h e s e men a r e e x p e c t e d t o do. I t ' s no% v e r y p l e a s a n t sort o f work and i t ' s not v e r y satisf y i n g work, s o i s it any wonder that t h e s e people would s t o p working? I f this i s t h e c a s e maybe i t means t h a t low s k i l l workers, p e o p l e who d o n ' t g e t m y s a t i s f a c t i o n o u t o f work, p e o p l e who d o n o t e v e n g e t a decent salary o u t o f work, might d e c r e a s e t h e i r work e f f o r t i f t h e y g e t a G M I , b u t t h e t h i n g I r e a l l y q u e s t i o n i s , does t h i s mean t h a t t h e m a j o r i t y o f p e o p l e , o t h e r p e o p l e who a r e working q u i t e r e g u l a r l y at t h e monlent, does I this mean t h a t t h e y a r e g o i n g t o s t o p working t o o ? f i r m l y b e l i e v e most p e o p l e work for o t h e r r e a s o n s a p a r t fronl I t h i n k t h a t p e o p l e u s u a l l y g e t some s a t i s f a c t i o n o u t of money. working, Again t h e s e p e o p l e who a r e s t o p p i n g work; maybe t h i s 54 has i m p l i c a t i o n s f o r t h e working c o n d i t i o n s . Perhaps employers a r e g o i n g t o h a v e t o s t a r t t o develop a g r e a t e r awareness that t h e p e o p l e t h e y h a v e g o t down on t h e i r f l o o r s working t h e i r machines a r e hm,an b e i n g s and not j u s t u n i t s o f p r o d u c t i o n . P e r h a p s i n t e r m s o f M r . Hayden I an b e i n g v e r y o p t i m i s t i c , and n o t v e r y p r a c t i c a b l e , b u t I t h i n k t h a t we have become t e r r i b l y c o n c e r n e d w i t h human b e i n g s i n t h e p r o j e c t . J u s t one more p o i n t t h a t 1'11 t o s s i n , I t h i n k t h a t as long as t h e s o c i d s e c u r i t y d e p a r t m e n t i s caught up w i t h notions o f work i n c e n t i v e s , t h e r e w i l l a l w a y s b e a c o n f l i c t o f i n t e r e s t s . There i s a conf l i c t o f i n t e r e s t , I b e l i e v e , between. income maintenance a n d work i n c e n t i v e s . One i s u s e d t o f a c i l i t a t e t h e labour m a r k e t , and t h e o t h e r i s s e t up t o h e l p p e o p l e t o have a good income. And weOve g o t t h a t problen, at t h e moment and t h i s i s why we h a v e p e o p l e w i t h no income for weeks. T h i s i s why we have p e o p l e b e i n g cut o f f uneaployment b e n e f i t s at t h e moment f o r ins u f f i c i e n t grounds. A s long as we have a l l t h e s e checkings we a r e n o t g o i n g t o have an a d e q u a t e f o r m o f income maintenance. 55 E D I T E D DISCUSSION ON JAN SALMON'S PAPER QUESTION NO. 1 H o w s u c c e s s f u l was t h e program, what e f f e c t d i d it h a v e o n t h e s e families? AJYSWER BY ONE OF THE FAMILY CENTRE MEMBERS I f e e l m y s e l f t h a t i - t has b e e n a m o s t s u c c e s s f u l scheme. I have e x p e r i e n c e d i t and not o n l y has i t h e l p e d us money-wise but i t has h e l p e d us t o t a k e a d v a n t a g e o f o t h e r r e s o u r c e s . We have housing a n d employnlent and h e a l t h r e s o u r c e s . These t h i n g s h a v e h e l p e d u s i n o u r n o r m a l everyday l i f e and has a l l o w e d u s t o e x p e r i e n c e things w i t h o u t j u s t b e i n g b u r d e n e d down by money It i s a m o s t needy t h i n g , matters. FURTHER COMMENT BY JAN SALMON P e r h a p s *Ican i l l u s t r a t e how t h e income supplement can. f r e s people. Just r e c e n t l y t h e r e was a d e m o n s t r a t i o n i n t h e s o c i a l s e c u r i t y d e p a r t m e n t j u s t b e f o r e E a s t e r . Some i n v o l v e m e n t w a s g a i n e d w i t h p e o p l e waiting f o r t h e i r cheques b u t a l o t o f p e o p l e w e r e v e r y r e l u c t a n t t o become i n v o l v e d i n t h i s b e c a u s e i t w a s g e t t i n g c l o s e t o 4 p.iu. and t h e y were f r i g h t e n e d t h a t t o become i n v o l v e d i n $ome s o r t o f d e m o n s t r a t i o n o r p r o t e s t might p r e v e n t t h e m f r o m g e t t i n g t h e money t h a t would c a r r y them o v e r E a s t e r . QUESTION NO. 2 I w a s v e r y i n t e r e s t e d i n your p i c t u r e o f t h e f a m i l i e s i n p o v e r t y c h a n . g i n g i n t h e i r nuniber, family s t a t u s , p a r e n t a l s t a t u s , q u i t e o f t en. M y q u e s t i o n i s t o what e x t e n t do you t h i n k t h a t t h i s g r o u p i s t y p i c a l o f t h e p o o r i n A u s t r a l i a ? Is it a g r o u p where economic s t a t u s changed c o n t i n u a l l y , t h a t changed i n an u n p r e d i c t a b l e w a y s u c h t h a t a s e r v i c e - t y p e program for example, housing a s s i s t a n c e , t e n d s t o b e i n a p p r o p r i a t e o r t w o slow t o s t a n d t h e d y n a m i c s of t h e s i t u a t i o n ? 56 Do you t h i n k that t h e s i t u a t i o n t h e y found i n America* i s t r u e h e r e ? Namely t h a t t h e m a j o r i t y o f t h e p o o r a r e p o o r b e c a u s e of a change i n family s t a t u s , a m a r r i a g e s p l i t , b e c a u s e t h e b r e a d w i n n e r l e f t honie, o r b e c a u s e t h e r e a r e a d d i t i o n a l c h i l d r e n i n t h e f a m i l y , That numbers i n p o v e r t y a r e l a r g e l y due t o t h e demographic f a c t o r s r a t h e r than t h e o t h e r v a r i a b l e s which are o f t en discussed. I ' d l i k e t o raise that question. Secondly, I would l i k e t o ask w h e t h e r you think that t h e d i f f e r ence between t h e W i s c o n s i n program and y o u r program, i n terms o f work i n c e n t i v e s c a n b e e x p l a i n e d by t h e d i f f e r e n c e s i n t h e t a x r a t e s . A s you s a i d y o u r s i s a 100% t a x r a t e , t h e r e i s a v e r y s t r o n g i n c e n t i v e t o s t a y i n t h e scheme. In W i s c o n s i n I g a t h e r t h e r e i s a r a n g e o f "tax s c a l e s . To what e x t e n t do you t h i n k t h a t t h e d i f f e r e n t i a l work e f f o r t o b s e r v e d t o t h o s e differences? ANSWER Perhaps i f I c a n t a k e t h e s e c o n d p o i n t f i r s t , I t h i n k t h a t w e a r e d e a l i n g w i t h a t o t a l l y d i f f e r e n t scene. The s o r t o f f a n ; i l i e s i n t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t were o i d y a sub-sample o f t h e g r o u p i n Wisconsin. T h e r e f o r e , it i s q u i t e p o s s i b l e that t h e y d i d have t h i s s o r t o f t h i n g g o i n g o n but it would h a v e been s t a t i s t i c a l l y l o s t t o some e x t e n t and a l s o t h e s e were t h e f a m i l i e s t h a t moved, a d t h e s e were t h e f a m i l i e s t h a t p e r h a p s had some d i s i n c e n t i v e t o remain i n t h e experimental group. Therefore, t h e y were l o s t . So I d o n ' t r e a l l y h a v e a c l e a r a n s w e r and d o n ' t think that i t i s as s i m p l e as t h e t a x a t i o n r a t e , although I a g r e e t h a t we have a v e r y high d i s i n c e n t i v e f a c t o r w i t h a 100% t a x a t i o n r a t e . In t e r m s o f t h e c h a n g i n g f a m i l y s t a t u s you t a l k a b o u t demographic f a c t o r s . I 8 v e b e e n r e a d i n g some a n a l y s i s o f f a m i l y breakdown from t h e c e n s u s i n t h e S t a t e s . The k e y p r e d i c t o r i s income. And 1 think t h a t income e x p l a i n s a l o t o f t h i s v a r i a b i l i t y i n family structure. F a m i l i e s sometimes b r e a k a p a r t b e c a u s e it i s t h e o n l y way t h a t t h e y c a n marshal1 f i n a n c i a l s u p p o r t , I have s e e n l o t s G f examples o f t h a t . F r e q u e n t l y c h i l d r e n w i l l go i n t o i n s t i t u t i o n s b e c a u s e o f a c h r o n i c l a c k o f r e s o u r c e s . We seem t o l o a d our s o c i a l s e c u r i t y o n t h e w r o n g end. R a t h e r than d e v e l o p i n g p r e v e n t a t i v e s e r v i c e s , we p a t c h t h i n g s u p a f t e r t h e horse h a s bolted. * Report r e f e r r e d t o i s : The c h a n g i n g economic status o f 5,000 American f a m i l i e s : H i g h l i g h t s from t h e P a n e l Study o f Income D namics, U . S . R e p o r t s H e a l t h , E d u c a t i o n and W e l f a r e , O f f i c e h e S e c u r i t y P o l i c y R e s e a r c h , 1974. 57 FURTHER COMMENT Can I j u s t a,dd something t o t h a t . I understand t h e point that i s b e i n g made about t h e dynamic n a t u r e o f p o v e r t y and p e o p l e b e i n g i n a s i t u a t i o n o f p o v e r t y , but 1 t h i n k t h a t we have t o b e c a r e f u l a b o u t s e e i n g t h a t as an e a s y way o u t o f t h e c u r r e n t thinking. C e r t a i n l y t h e r e are l o t s o f c h a n g e s t h a t t a k e p l a c e i n t h e c i r c u m s t a n c e s o f t h e f a m i l i e s i n t h e F a m i l y C e n t r e Proj e c t . But t h o s e changes do n o t a u t o m a t i c a l l y t a k e them o u t o f p o v e r t y or back i n t o p o v e r t y . The n a t u r e o f t h e p o v e r t y , o r circumstances that cause poverty, f o r most o f t h e f a m i l i e s i n t h e p r o j e c t r e m a i n f a i r l y e n t r e n c h e d and i f t h e f a m i l y s p l i t s , o r if i t comes t o g e t h e r , o r i f someone i s i n a j o b or o u t of a j o b , o f t e n does not a f f e c t t h e b a s i c c i r c u m s t a n c e s c a u s i n g p o v e r t y . R a t h e r i t i s s i m p l y a r e f l e c t i o n o f t h e s t r a i n s and s t r e s s e s o f p o v e r t y . But p o v e r t y as we've e x p e r i e n c e d it i n t h e f a m i l y c e n t r e i s a c o r e o f c i r c u m s t a n c e s which a r e n o t s i m p l y a r e f l e c t i o n o f t h e s e changes. I d o n s t t h i n k t h a t we c a n d i s m i s s t h e whole notion o f p o v e r t y b y s e e i n g it just as a transient situation. The o t h e r t h i n g t h a t I ' d l i k e t o s a y i n r e l a t i o n t o work i n c e n t i v e s - it i s not t h a t p e o p l e n o l o n g e r wish t o work. Q u i t e o f t e n i t i s t h a t p e o p l e ' s e x p e c t a t i o n s o f what work s h o u l d p r o v i d e f o r them h a s changed, There a r e a number of men i n t h e c e n t r e who i n e f f e c t p u t i n a full working week a t t h e c e n t r e . They d o n v t g e t p a i d f o r i t b u t t h e r e are a number o f p e o p l e who s p e n d what amounts t o a working week a r o u n d t h e c e n t r e b e c a u s e t h i s o f f e r s them m o r e r e w a r d s than t h e work s i t u a t i o n s t h a t t h e y have had a v a i l a b l e t o them i n t h e p a s t . The i m p l i c a t i o n s o f t h a t I think a r e that the s o r t s o f circumstances that a f f e c t p e o p l e q s d e c i s i o n t o work i s not s i m p l y t h e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f a n o t h e r s o u r c e o f money b u t r a t h e r t h e a v a i l a b i l i t y of an a l t e r n a t e s o u r c e of stimulation and s a t i s f a c t i o n . QUESTION NO. 3 C o u l d you make a comment on what you t h i n k i s t h e r e l a t i v e cont r i b u t i o n t o t h e s u c c e s s o f t h e program f r o m t h e income s u p p l e ment f a c t o r s and t h e o t h e r a c t i v i t i e s t h a t g o o n i n t h e l i f e o f t h e family centre? ANSWER I d o n a t t h i n k t h a t i t i s p o s s i b l e t o g i v e a c l e a r answer. Income s u p p l e m e n t s have made o b v i o u s improvements i n t e r n s of s t a b i l i s i n g f a m i l i e s . I t h i n k we can s e e t o some e x t e n t t h i s t r a d e o f f i n r e l a t i o n s h i p s where t h e income s u p p l e m e n t i s p r o b a b l y i n a d e q u a t e b e c a u s e it d o e s n v t b e a r a n y r e l a t i o n s h i p t o p e o p l e ' s debt s t r u c t u r e s . It d o e s n ' t a c c o u n t f o r emergency c i r c u m s t a n c e s , e . g . i f you move h o u s e . Therefore, add5,tional r e s o u r c e s a r e needed. 58 Adeqiiate housing i s & s o n e e d e d o n t o p of t h e income supplement. We can p r o v i d e r e n t s u b s i d i e s but t h a t d o e s n l t n e c e s s a r i l y mean that -people a r e going t o g e t a d e q u a t e housing. It depends on t h e market c o n : l i t i o n s , For example, a t t h e moment it i s v e r y difficrn'1.t f o r families t o r e m a i n i n t h e i n n e r s u b u r b a n a r e a s . They & r e b e i n g f o r c e d o u t i n d e p e n d e n t l y o f t h e r e n t s u b s i d y , because t h e rent subsidy w o u l d c o v e r t h e high r e n t . They a r e n o t able t o o b t a i n h o u s e s . T h i s i s where you g e t t h e o t h e r d i m e n s i o n s o f p o v e r t y - t h e s o c i d . and p o l i t i c a l a s p e c t s of poverty. QUESTION NO,4 I w a s i n t e r e s t e d i n t h e p o i n t made e a r l i e r a b o u t t h e i n d i v i d u a l s who work i n the c e n t r e . Could you c o m e n t o n t h e s o r t of work t h e y do a n d a r e p a i d for o u . t s i d e t h e c e n t r e , i n c o n t r a s t t o t h e work tha;t t h e y do i n t h e c e n t r e ? It o c c u r s to me t h a t p r o f e s s i o n a l s , and acad.emics, g e t p a i d f o r doing a lot o f t h e i n g s which we r e g a r d as fun but a r e n o t i n our j o b d 3 3 f i n i t i o n f o r which we a r e o f f i c i a l l y p a i d . It seems t o me t h a t t h e r e i s a gross d i s c r i m i n a t i o n w i t h o t h e r p e o p l e who a r e n o t p a i d for t h e same t y p e o f a c t i v i t i e s . ANSWER ( M i c h a e l L i f f m a n ) B a s i c a l l y t h e r e w a r d . t h a t t h e y g e t depends n o t s o much o n t h e s p e c i f i c p h y s i c a l a c t i v i t y but t h g f a c t t h a t t h e y a r e d o i n g somet h i n g i n a setting i n which t h e y f i n d c o n g e n i d p e o p l e w i t h whom t h e y c m i n x e r a c t i n a n ' a g r e e a b i e and w o r t h w h i l e way, an i d e a t h a t t h e y have some commitment t o , and a more c o n g e n i a l a u t h o r i t y s i t u a t i o n than i s n o r m a l l y o p e r a t i n g o n t h e f a c t o r y floor. I n e v e r y way t h e t i m e s p a n t a r o u n d t h e c e n t r e b y t h e f a m i l i e s i s usually a f a i r l y rewarding and p r o d u c t i v e a c t i v i t y . It i s totally uriLike t h e s i t i d a t i o n t h a t p r e v a i l s o n f a c t o r y floors, assembly l i l n e s , D r t h e o t h e r general o c c u p a t i o n s t h a t a r e l e f t open t o t h e u n s k i l l e d . I think t h a t t h e e x t e n s i o n t o this i s t h a t we r e a l l y must t h i n k v e r y much more b r o a d l y as t o what c o n s t i t u t e s work. I n some way we may have t o s t a r t t h i n k i n g a b o u t b r e a k i n g t h e n e x u s t h a t c u r r e n t l y e x i s t s b e t w e e n a c t i v i t y f o r which you a r e p a i d , a c c o r d ing t o a c o m m e r c i d o r i n d u s t r i a l stnxctil-l'e, m d which t h e r e f o r e z o n s t i t u t e s work. I think p e o p l e a r e doing work i n a l l s o r t s o f s e t t i n g s but f o r which t h e y a r e n o t i n f a c t b e i n g p a i d b e c a u s e it doss not; f a l l w i t h i n our current business s t r u c t u r e s . 59 QUESTION MO. 5 (I It i s n o doubt t h a t your c l i e n t s g point c o u l d say something r e s o u r c e s t h a t have t h e f a m i l y c e n t r e has be.en a s u c c e s s from o f view. I do wonder, however, i f you about t h e c o s t o f i t . What a r e t h e gone i n t o t h i s , s p r e a d o v e r t h e s e 60 f a m i l i e s . The f a c t t h a t i t i s a s u c c e s s t e n d s t o i n d i c a t e , i n some p e o p l e ' s minds, t h a t t h e whole t h i n g s h o u l d be extended. What, o u t of t h e p r o j e c t , do you s e e having an a p p l i c a t i o n i n a more g e n e r a l context? ANSWER I n -terms o f r e s o u r c e s - t h e r e i s a l a r g e b u i l d i n g , a staff component o f twenty- odd people. I w o u l d a l s o c o n s i d e r as r e s o u r c e s t h e r u n n i n g of a c t i v i t i e s i n t e r m s o f o p p o r t u n i t i e s . Tha-t would be i n t h e v i c i n i t y o f a q u a r t e r o f a m i l l i o n d o l l a r s a yzsr. The income supplement o n t o p o f t h a t i s a f u r t h e r s i x t y t o s e v e n t y t h o u s a n d d o l l a r s a y e a r , Most o f t h i s money i s b e i n g f u n d e d by t h e B r o t h e r h o o d o f S t Laurence. We a r e i n t h e p r o c e s s o f change a t t h e moment, G r a d u a l l y t h e p r o f e s s i o n a l s t a f f a r e moving out o f t h e c e n t r e . It i s s t i l l g o i n g t o c o s t t h e same amount of ruoney i n terms o f s t a f f i n g r e q u i r e m e n t s t o have n o n - p r o f e s s i o n a l s t a f f . The c e n t r e w i l l be o p e n n e x t y e a r , and t h e b u i l d i n g w i l l be open t o a l a r g e r comniinnity b a s e . The r e a o i n c e s t h a t I havenvt m e n t i o n e d a r e t h e 60 f a m i l i e s . T h e r e will b e p o t e n t i a l l y 60 f a m i l i e s as a d d i t i o n a l r e s o u r c e s on t o p o f t h e s t a f f s t r u c t u r e , and on t o p o f t h e b u i l d i n g r e s o u r c e s t o t h e w i d e r comiunity group. That i n some ways may r e d u c e t h e unit cost s t r u c t u r e , I n t h e c e n t r e i t has b e e n shown that t h e f a m i l i e s have b e e n a b l e t o do more t o h e l p e a c h o t h e r t h a n a p m f e s s i o n a l p e r s o n c o u l d . I d o n 9 %know t o what e x t e n t l a r g e c o r n u n i t y based o r g a n i s a t i o n s n e e d -to b e s e t up. The Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t w a s an e x p e r i m e n t . We h a v e d e m o n s t r a t e d t h a t f a m i l i e s c a n h e l p t h e m s e l v e s . So if y o u t h i n k i n t e r m s o f , f o r exampie, c o f f e e groups, you start c a p i - t a l i s i n g on t h e women who meet around t h e g a t e at s c h o o l a n d . p r o v i d e them w i t h t h e r e s o u r c e s just t o meet e a c h o t h e r . You are s t a r t i n g t o harness t h e r e s o u r c e s that e x i s t i n t h e comniunity, 60 QUESTIOR NO. 6 The c o s t for 60 f a m i l i e s inakes my mind boggle when t h i s i s r e l a t e d t o a g u a r a n g e e d m i n i m u m income because it seems t o me t h a t t h e s u c c e s s o f t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t has b e e n t h e u s e o f t h e various r e s o u r c e p e r s o n n e l . COMMENT A t no t i m e has it b e e n s u g g e s t e d t h a t you m u l t i p l y t h e c o s t of t h i s e x p e r i m e n t and t h e c o s t p e r f a m i l y b y t h e number o f p o o r i n Australia. It i s an e x t r e m e l y i n t e n s i v e a t t e m p t t o g e t more inf ormat- i on. B a s c i a l l y t h e m a i n consequence i s t o show t h a t t h e r e s o u r c e s t h a t t h e community assumes a r e a v a i l a b l e f o r all, a r e n ' t i n f a c t a c c e s s i b l e t o t h e s e s o r t s o f f a m i l i e s . The Lesson, h o p e f u l l y , i s t h a t employment s e r v i c e , h o u s i n g , a n d r e c r e a t i o n , and o t h e r sorts o f s e r v i c e s w i l l h a v e more o u t r e a c h t o r e a c h t h e s e s o r t s o f f a m i l i e s . QUEsTION NO. 7 What do you t h i n k would b e t h e p r o b a b l e outcome o f , i f at t h e beginning o f t h e f i n a n c i a l y e a r you just gave each o f t h e f a m i l i e s $5,000 w i t h o n l y one c o n d i t i o n t h a t t h e y l e t you know how t h e y g e t o n f o r t h e remainder o f t h e year? -ANSWER I t h i n k t h a t c o n s i d e r i n g some o f t h e f a m i l i e s debt s t r u c t u r e s t h e $5,000 w o u l d v e r y q u i c k l y g o and t h a t f o r t h e r e s t o f t h e y e a r v e r y l i t t l e e l s e w o u l d b e done. This i s why I made t h e p o i n t t h a t it i s r e g u l a r i t y o f income which i s e q u a l l y as i m p o r t a n t as t h e l e v e l o f income. 61 ISSUES AND QUESTIONS Marie Coleman EVOLVIlYG OUT OF THE SEMINAR" P e r h a p s i f I c o u l d j u s t make a few g e n e r a l o b s e r v a t i o n s t o p i c k up a few things f r o m t h e ''Canberra end" and a l s o t o make a few c o m i e n t s t h a t seem t o me t G a r i s e o u t o f t h e d i s c u s s i o n a n d t h e p a p e r s heard s o far. We woiild s e e f r o m t h e p o i n t o f v i e w o f t h e s o c i a l w e l f a r e commission, t h e e r a d i c a t i o n o f p o v e r t y as p e r h a p s t h e p r i m a r y a i m o f a n y incorr,e s e c u r i t y system. Having s a i d t h a t I think it i s p r o p e r , p a r t i c u l a r l y a f t e r t h e s e s s i o n which has j u s t t a k e n p l a c e , t o make a few comments a5out what we mean when we say teat we w a n t t o g e t r i d o f p o v e r t y . It i s r a t h e r s a d t h a t we a r e h a v i n g t h i s s o r t o f d i s c u s s i o n w i t h o u t t h e b e n e f i t of P r o f e s s o r HendersonOs r e p o r t . One o f t h e t h i n g s t h a t b e d e v i l any d i s c u s s i o n about; g e t t i n g r i d o f p o v e r t y i s a l a c k o f i n f o r m a t i o n a b o u t who a r e t h e p o o r p e o p l e . When one s t a r t s t o look at t h e v a r i o u s c o r r e l a t e s o f p o v e r t y I t h i n k t h a t it i s a m i s t a k e t o t h i n k o f a c e r t a i n p r o p o r t i o n o f t h e p e o p l e o f t h e community b e i n g p e r m a n e n t l y p o o r , but r a t h e r t h a t t h e r e i s a. s i g n i f i c a n t group o f p e o p l e who might at t h i s moment In t i m e b e poor. A s i g n i f i c a n t number o f t h o s e move i n and o G t o f p o v e r t y d u r i n g various s t a g e s o f t h e i r l i f e c y c l e s . I n d e e d t h e T J n i v e r s i t y o f Michigan S t u d y has s u g g e s t e d t h a t o f t h e group o f p e o p l e i n t h e i r sample who were d e f i n e d as p o o r , 0nl.y s o m e t h i n g l i k e 3% remained i n t e r - g e n e r a t i o n a l l y , p e r m a n e n t l y i n p o v e r t y . F o r many o t h e r s t h e r e w a s a movement i n a n d o u t o f p o v e r t y at v a r i o u s t i m e s o f l i f e - s t y l e c r i s i s , or for example, a t -the p o i n t o f growing old; ai; t h e p o i n t o f t h e a r r i v a l i n t o t h e f a m i l y o f t h e f o u r t h or f i f t h c h i l d . There a r e p o i n t s , a c c o r d i n g * A f o r m a l p a p e r was n o t p r e p a r e d b y M r s . Coleman. The folLowing comments a t t e m p t e d t o draw t o g e t h e r t h o s e i s s u e s a r i s i n g out o f t h e d i s c u s s i o n . and t h e p a p e r s , a n d t o open up t h e c o n c l u d i n g d i s c u s s i o n f o r t h e day, The i n t r o d u c t i o n a n d d i s c u s s i o n have b y n e c e s s i t y b e e n e d i t e d and sxmnarised. 62 t o t h a t &aeriean d a t a , at vvliicb. you guess t h a t f a m i l . i e s o r i n d i v T h i s c1.eerl.y i n d i c a t e s i d u a i s a r e going t o mg\Te i n t o poverty. t o -m t h a t we m u s t beware o f a,ss.uning t h a . t one s p l e n d i d Oking-hit* program w i l l meet a l l t h e needs o f a l l p o o r peop1.e. They a r e n o t a homogenous group, t h e r e I s n o t Othe p o o r ' i n Australia. There a r e m a n y people i n A u s t r a l i a W?LOf r o m t i m e t o t i m e i n t h e i r l i v e s may w e l l be poor. What I am t r y i n g t c s u g g e s t from thhat t h e n i s t h a t -the group o f f a m i l i e s which t k e Brotherhood has been working w i t h a r e n o t n e c e s s a r i l y t h e g r m p t o whon, a l l a n t i - p o v e r t y p r o g r a f l s n e e d t o b e d i r e c t e d , There i s a f a i r i n d i c a t i o n t h a t we need. t o d e s i g n a v a r i e t y o f d i f f e r e n t packages d e s i g n e d t o t r y and c a t c h p e o p l e i n different situations. I ' d l i k e t o go back t o a remark c o n t a i n e d i n B i l l H a y d e n v s speech which r e f e r r e d t o t h e n e c e s s i t y f o r g r o u p s s u c h as t h i s t c produce support f o r government i n i t i a t i v e s which a r e d e s i g n e d t o a t t a c k poverty. itqsmy b e l i e f that i n making t h a t s t a t e m e n t h e w a s not a s k i n g f o r a u t o m a t i c endorsenlent f o r any p r o p o s a l t h z t t h e governmerit might came o u t w i t h . The p o i n t i s t h a t no i n n o v a t i v e and expensive p r o j e c t s o r programs w i l l s u c c e e d u n l e s s t h e r e has b e x t a v e r y c o n s i d e r a b l e amount o f e n l i g h t e n e d p u b l i c d i s c u s s i o n . If you t h i n k o f t h e drama o f t h e l a s t 2 or ?, y e a r s i n r e l a t i a n t o Medibank. The p u b l i c w i l l i n g n e s s t o a c c e p t t h a t program as much as t h e pJ,blic has done g o e s back t o d e b a t e about t h e natiire o f n a a l t k i n s u r a n c e and t h e problems o f t h e p e o p l e t r y i a g t o pay f o r h e a l t h c a r e began t o s u r f a c e i n a b o u t 1966, and there has been a iDng p e r i o d o f d i s c u s s i o n b r i n g i n g t o g e t h e r i d e a s aboiit what t h e proSlems were t h a t need.ed t o b e met and what might be t h e p o s s i b l e approaches t o w a r d s m e e t i n g t h e s e problems. I vvo~-ldsuggest t h a t t h i s s o r t o f p r o c e s s w i l l have t o t a k e p l a c s i f t h e r e i s gDing t o be p u b l i c a c c e p t a n c e o f some r a d i c a l nsw income s e c a r i t y program. People mu-st b e convinced ( a ) t h a t t h e r e i s a problem; and ( b ) tkierf: i s a s o l u t i o n , This i n d i c a t e s t h e n e c e s s i t y f o r a g r e a t many g a t h e r i n g s o f t h i s k i n d , a g r e a t u ~ a n yd i s c u s s i o n s i n EL lot o f p l a c e s which a r e a l o n g t h e l i n e s o f f a i r l y hard nosed a m l y s i s o f what t h e problems a r e a n d whether t h e s e g r o h l e m s a r e capable o f r e s o l . u t i o n i n r m e f f i c i e n t a n d e f f e c t i v e way. A s J i m C u t t p o i n t e d 3u-t government d o e s n e t opera t e orA f h e b s s i s o f having people d e s i g n proposa1.s f o r i t , governmen-ts si-F11 have t o g e t p u b l i c a c c e p t a n c e f o r t h o s e p r o p o s a l s . The s@rtE o f p o i n t s which have been mad.e c l e a r t o me t o d a y a r e p C h h t S that. J o h n Yarper r a i s e d thai; no system 1,s l i k e l y t o be p e r f e c t . That you^ c a n g t have a high minimum income and a low marginal t3.x r a t e ana a system which i s i n e x p e n s i v e , Something has t o give way somewhere a l o n g t h e l i n e . And t h e r e i s t h e POiZt t h a t if One a c c e p t s a high marginal t a x t h a t t h e r e is a 63 d a n g e r t h a t work i n c e n t i v e s may b e e f f e c t e d and t h i s may l e a d t o o v e r a l l macro-economic problems s u c h as a drop i n p r o d u c t i v i t y . A s J i m Cutt p o i n t e d o u t t h e r e i s t h e r i s k i n a b s o l u t e t e r m s t h a t c e r t a i n progranls c o u l d b e t o t h e d e t r i m e n t o f p e o p l e f o r whom i t w a s i n t r o d u c e d t o h e l p i n t h e s h o r t run. O t h e r i s s u e s which h a v e b e e n r a i s e d i n c l u d e such q u e s t i o n s as t h e p r o b l e m s o f admini s t r a t i o n and t h e various o p t i o n s t h a t a r e open t o us. A means t e s t e d system d o e s have d i f f i c u l t i e s of take- up, c m b e degrading i f a d m i n i s t e r e d i n c e r t a i n ways, b u t on t h e o t h e r hand i t i s at l e a s t l e s s expensive than a u n i v e r s a l non-means t e s t e d a p p r o a c h . WeQve n o t e d t h a t c h i l d endowment which i s g e n e r a l l y e a s y t o a d m i n i s t e r b e i n g a demogrant i s i n f i n i t e l y more expensi v e than a f a n l i l y income supplement and has p o l i t i c a l d i f f i c u l t i e s i n t h a t once i t has b e e n implemented i n t h i s method it i s almost i m p o s s i b l e t o remove it and make t h e way f o r more r a d i c a l proposals. It i s v e r y d i f f i c u l t - t o t a k e away payment o f t h a t k i n d o n c e i t has b e e n i n s t i t u t e d , T h e r e a r e o t h e r problems t o do w i t h a d m i n i s t r a t i o n . The q u e s t i o : o f what c o n s t i t u t e s t h e f a m i l y i s an a d m i n i s t r a t i v e problem as well as a p h i l o s o p h i c a l problem. Having d e f i n e d t h e f a m i l y u n i t o n e h a s t h e n th.e problem o f who i s g o i n g t o g e t t h e payment. We a l r e a d y h a v e a v a r i e t y o f a p p r o a c h e s t o t h i s . We pay t h e n i o t h e r w i t h c h i l d endowment, b u t do n o t always pay t h e mother w i t h other kinds o f benefits. We a r e aware t h a t c e r t a i n low income f a m i l i e s do t e n d t o t r e a t t h e main o f e . g . t h e i n v a l i d p e n s i o n as g o i n g t o t h e man and t h e w i f e ' s s m a l l e r a l l o w a n c e i s what t h e woman. h a s t o run t h e h o u s e h o l d on. I've n o t e d w i t h i n t e r - e s t t h a t i n all o f t h e p o s s i b l e o p t i o n s f o r n l i n i m u n l income mentioned t o d a y n o t one o f t h e s p e a k e r s b r o u g h t u p t h e q u e s t i o n o f i n s u r a n c e b a s e d schemes. If one moves away f r o m t h e s e q u e s t i o n s o f a d m i n i s t r a t i o n some o f t h e o-they i s s u e s which have been r a i s e d t o d a y c o n c e r n t h e m a t t e r o f r e d i s t r i b u t i o n . Even without g e t t i n g i n t o t h e whole game o f wanting t o r e s t r u c t u r e t h e whole economic system and remove income d i f f e r e n t i a l s , I d o n ' t t h i n k t h a t we c a n e s c a p e t h e f a c t t h a t t o p u t more money i n t o t h e p o c k e t s o f p o o r p e o p l e means t h a t i t has t o come from s o r n e b o d y ' e l s e 9 s p o c k e t . There i s always t h a t element o f r e d i s t r i b u t i o n and w e must always t h i n k v e r y c a r e f u l l y about h o w programs a r e t o be p a i d f o r . L o o k i n g at some o f t h e p o i n t s t h a t came o u t I think t h a t it has b e e n i n d i c a t e d t h a t a mor-$ comprehensive income s u p p o r t program than we p r e s e n t l y have c m be i n t r o d u c e d whether we p a t c h u p w h a t we have o r g o f o r something e l s e o f a more r a d i c a l n a t u r e . A full g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income scheme, whatever o p t i o n we go 64 f o r w i l l b e v e r y complex a n d it w i l l t a k e some l i t t l e t i m e t o p h a s e i n and t h e d i f f i c u l t i e s w i l l i n c l u d e t h e a d m i n i s t r a t i v e o n e s we m e n t i o n e d , t h e p o s s i b l e e f f e c t s on p r o d u c t i v i t y and t h e c o s t . I s h o u l d emphasise again, we must be v e r y c a u t i o u s i n d e e d a b o u t assuming t h a t t h e r e i s one u n i v e r s d panacea, To g e t somet h i n g t h a t i s a comprehensive, c o h e r a n t , income s e c u r i t y system may n e e d a l o t o f t h o u g h t and i t may n e e d some v e r y s e p a r a t e b u t c o - o r d i n a t e d a p p r o a c h e s t o b e made. The p o i n t t h a t has come t h r o u g h t i m e and t i m e again i s t h a t an a d e q u a t e income s u p p o r t p o l i c y i s not t h e o n l y t h i n g which w i l l meet community n e e d s , O t h e r forms o f i n t e r v e n t i o n w i l l be n e c e s s a r y t o do s u c h t h i n g s as l i m i t t h e i n c i d e n c e o f p p v e r t y and s o c i a l d i s a d v a n t a g e . That may i n c l u d e t h e development o f c e r t a i n k i n d s o f r e h a b i l i t a t i o n programs f o r t h e p h y s i c a l l y and i n t e l l e c t u a l l y handicapped. There i s no g e t t i n g away f r o m t h e n e c e s s i t y o f s e r v i c e s o f various o r d e r s , whether t h e y a r e t h e p e r s o n a l s o c i a l s e r v i c e s o r t h e s e r v i c e s such as housing, and education. There i s a fair i n d i c a t i o n t o o that we w i l l n e e d t o do s o m e t h i n g about i n s u r i n g t h e p r o v i s i o n o f h e a l t h s e r v i c e s q u i t e a p a r t from insuring t h e c a p a c i t y o f i n d i v i d u a l s t o p a y f o r these health services. Thus t h e r e w i l l c o n t i n u e t o be a n e c e s s i t y f o r government i n t e r v e n t i o n i n o t h e r ways a p a r t from income s u p p o r t and we a r e v e r y f o o l i s h i f we think t h a t one w i l l do t o t h e e x t e n t o f c o m p l e t e l y abolishing o t h e r s . There a r e o f c o u r s e l i m i t a t i o n s t o government e x p e n d i t u r e . There a r e d i f f i c u l t i e s c a u s e d b y t h e l a c k o f methodo l o g i c a l t o o l s f o r t r y i n g t o work out t h e various macro and m i c r o e f f e c t s o f v a r i o u s p o l i c i e s t o t r y t o g i v e a d v i c e t o t h e government which r e a l l y i s o f a p r o p e r p r i o r i t i e s r e v i e w k i n d . Having r e g a r d t o t h e e x t e n t o f e x p e n d i t u r e s b y government a t a l l l e v e l s i n t h e w e l f a r e f i e l d it i s v e r y c l e a r t h a t a d e q u a t e p r i o r i t y a n a l y s i s i s b e g i n n i n g t o be a l m o s t as i m p o r t a n t as a g u a r a n t e e d minimum income scheme. There i s a rush t o s e t up e q e n d i t u r e s without r e a l l y thinking v e r y c a r e f ' u l l y about t h e c r o s s i m p l i c a t i o n s o f those expenditures i n other areas. I ' v e been t r y i n g t o highlight some o f t h e i s s u e s which have come out during t h e d e b a t e and t h e p a p e r s e a r l i e r t o d a y . I now open it t o d i s c u s s i o n as t o whether t h o s e a r e t h e i s s u e s you'd l i k e t o t a l k about o r whether t h e r e a r e o t h e r i s s u e s a r i s i n g you'd l i k e t o b r i n g up. 65 E D I T E D DISCUSSJON ON DAYoS PR.OCEEDINGS We seem t o be i n an e r a where one t h i n k s i n t e r m s o f models, i n t e r m s o f u n i t cos’bs, and t h e n one d i v i d e s t h i s i n t o family u n i t c o a t s , e t c . Time and t i m e a g a i n when one d e b a t e s t h i n g s l i k e g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income it seems t h a t one g e t s t o l d - p l e a s e f i n d a s o l u t i o n w i t h i n t h e c o s t s , within t h e system, within t h e f r a m e of r e f e r e n c e we now have, where progranis a r e u n r e l a t e d , wh.ere t h e s o c i a l weLfare comaission i s a t t a c h e d o n t o a s o c i a l s e c u r i - b y system i n s t e a d o f t h e r e b e i n g a n a - t i o n a l p r i o r i t y and goal structure itself I) C o u l d we a l s o p i c k up your own comment that we n e e d t o b e more a n a l y t i c and l e s s emotional. I would s a y t h a t we n e e d t o be imch niore emotional and l e s s a n a l y t i c i n t h a t t h e sort o f issues t h a t we a r e t a l k i n g a b o u t are e s s e n t i a l l y i s s u e s , e.g. i s s u e s o f equi.ty, i s s u e s o f r e d i s t r i b u t i o n . When one wants t o look at t h e e f f e c t i v e n e s s o f a scheme o r a campaign f o r somet h i n g l i k e g u a r a n t e e d mininlm, income, one g e t s n e a t l y c a u g h t . If one s u p p o r t s t h e scheme, one i s r e a l l y s u p p o r t i n g t h e cons e r v a t i v e economic model approach o f p a t c h i n g up t h e market s y s t e m t h e n one c o u l d w e l l be s s e n as s u p p r e s s i v e i f t h a t i s where i.t s t o p s . I f one l o o k s a t it i n t e r m s o f n e a t c o s t - b e n e f i t a n a l y s i s one i s assuming t h a t t h e b e n e f i t s a r e measura.ble i n income t e r m s a l s o , And t h a t i s what I t h i n k we n e e d t o b e v e r y c a r e f u l about i n d e b a t i n g g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u n , income. Are t h e e c o n o m i s t s s u g g e s t i n g t h a t we c o n v e r t ail t h i n g s i n t o some s o r t o f c a s h c o s t and p r e s e n t t h a t t o t h e comniunity as b e i n g t h e a l t e r n a t i v e o p t i o n s ; o r a r e we t a l k i n g about g u a r a n t e e d income s e c u r i t y i n t e r m s o f what t h e f a n l i l y c e n t r e d e b a t e i s a b o u t , That i s p r o v i d i n g p e o p l e an o p p o r t u n i t y t o g e t o u t o f t h e r u t . B e c a u s e most t i m e s when I v v e h e a r d p e o p l e -talking about guarant e e d m i n i m u m income i t i s i n t e r m s o f k e e p i n g p e o p l e t o do t h e d i r t y work and making them a b i t h a p p i e r . CO m N T The p e n s i o n e r s dongt r e a l l y s e e t h i s g u a r a n t e e d m i n i r r i u m income, o r a p e n s i o n as we c a j l i t , d i s a s s o c i a t e d from h e a l t h and h o u s i n g . T h e s e a r e t h e t h r e e main i s s u e s t o e s t a b l i s h a standard o f l i v i n g n e c e s s a r y i n our s o c i e t y . A d d i t i o n a l s u p p o r t may b e r e q u i r e d i n some a r e a s b e c a u s e a l l p e o p l e a r e not e q u a l , 66 QUESTION NO. 1 If I c o u l d r e s p o n d t o t h e first couple o f p o i n t s you made and t h a t i s i n r e g a r d t o t h e m i n i s t e r v s r e q u e s t t h a t t h e s e issues once t h e y a r e b r o u g h t o u t i n t o t h e open h a v e r e a l l y g o t t o g e t i n t o t h e p u b l i c d e b a t e . Furthermore t h e q u a l i t y o f t h e c o n t r i b u t i o n must a v o i d r h e t o r i c , it has g o t t o b e hard nosed, r e s e a r c h b a s e d and w e l l t h o u g h t out. I t h i n k t h a t we h a v e a problem though i n d o i n g t h a t because o f t h e l a c k o f s k i l l s and r e s o u r c e s r e m a i n i n g i n t h e community b a s e d a g e n c i e s . There a r e o n l y a handful o f o r g a n i s a t i o n s - The B r o t h e r h o o d , I n s t i t u t e o f A p p l i e d Economic R e s e a r c h , ACOSS, t h e C O S S s , and one o r t w o o t h e r s - and beyond t h a t i t i s p r o b a b l y not v e r y r e a s o n a b l e t o expect t h a t we c a n p r o d u c e that k i n d o f q u a l i t y t o t h e s o c i a l p o l i c y debate. I r a i s e t h i s b e c a u s e e v e n with t h e a g e n c i e s I have m e n t i o n e d I t h i n k t h e y a r e f a c i n g v e r y d i f f i c u l t f i n a n c i a l problems i n r e l a t i o n t o t h e e r o s i o n o f r e s o u r c e s , The v e r y b a s e f r o m which one would hope t o g e t community s u p p o r t and r e s p o n s e i s g o i n g t o f i n d i t i n c r e a s i n g l y d i f f i c u l t t o do s o . ANSWER I r e c o g n i s e t h i s problem. One o f t h e t h i n g s t h a t has c o n c e r n e d t h e s o c i a L w e l f a r e commission h a s b e e n t h e n e c e s s i t y t o d e v e l o p i n a number o f p l a c e s i n t h e community s o c i a l p o l i c y a n a l y s i s c a p a c i t y , It has n e v e r been our view t h a t t h e y s h o u l d b e c o n c e n t r a t e d i n one p l a c e i n government. We a r e i n t e r e s t e d i n a n y s u g g e s t i o n s and s o l u t i o n s which come f o r w a r d t o t h i s p r o p o s a l , There w i l l n e v e r b e an i n f o r m e d community d e b a t e uriLess t h e r e i s someone t h e r e t o d e b a t e w i t h t h e government. QUESTION NO. 2 You mentioned t h e v e r y l o w f i g u r e o f 3% o n i n t e r - g e n e r a t i o n a l p o v e r t y . I would l i k e t o have a momentvs more e x p l a n a t i o n on t ha%. J a n Salmon m e n t i o n e d v e r y b r i e f l y o n l y t h e s o c i a l a c t i o n I ' d be i n t e r e s t e d i n h e r a s s e s s m e n t resources i n t h e centre. as t o which s h e deemed as t h e m o s t i m p o r t a n t s o c i a l r e s o u r c e s i n t h e centre. ANSWER ( i n r e g a r d t o the M i c h i g a n S u r v e y ) One a d v a n t a g e that t h e y have i n America i n a n a l y s i n g p o v e r t y i s t h a t t h e y h a v e followed t h r o u g h a p o p u l a t i o n o f 5,000 f a m i l i e s They phone t h e f a m i l i e s up e v e r y s o o f t e n and s i n c e a b o u t 1967 m o n i t o r t h e i r socio-economic status. So t h e y h a v e an on-going s t u d y o f t h e dynamics o f a random sample o f a whole p o p u l a t i o n - n o t just t h e p o o r . They have f o u n d , l i k e t h e Henderson Committee, t h a t x$ of Americans a t any p o i n t i n t i m e a r e below t h e pover$y l i n e . What t h e -American s z r v e y shows i s t h e e x t e n t t o which t h e y a r e t h e s m e o r d i f f e r e n t p e o p l e , The r e s u l t s s u g g e s t t h a t a s i m p l i s t i c r e a d i n g o f t h e p r o p a r t i o i ? below t h e p o v e r t y l i n e t e l l s u s v e r y l i t t l e . The f a c t t h a t 10% f a l l below t h e p o v e r t y l i n e i n A u s t r a l i a does n o t mean t h a t t h e r e i s a t a r g e t o f 10% t o whom we should d i r e c t programs, b e c a u s e i n a y e a r o s t i m e m o s t o f t h e s e w i l l n o t be p o o r . There w i l l Se new e n t r a n t s of t h e p o p u l a t i o n i n t o p o v e r t y , for r e a s o n s t h a t may b e q u i t e d i f f i c u l t t o d e t e r m i n e . If t h e r e a r e On0 c a u s e s o f p o v e r t y it d o e s n q t f o l l o w t h a t you sh.clild have On0 programs, I f p o v e r t y i s a t r a n s i t o r y p r o b l e m i t is v e r y d i f f i c u l t t o g e a r u p government t o d e a l w i t h i t i n any way but f o l l o w i n g up t h e symptoms of l o w income w i t h s u p p l e m e n t a r y income. So I t a k e t h e r e s u l t s of t h e A m e r i c a n W i s c o n s i n s u r v e y a r e v e r y s u p p o r t i v e o f a n e g a t i v e income t a x system, as opposed t o a welf a r e s e r v i c e o r i e n t a t e d system, as a way o f e f f e c t i v e l y i s o l a t i n g t h e r e s i d u a l needs, There i s a h a r d c o r e o f p o o r for whom remedi a l e d u c a t i o n progranls, e t c . may b e a p p r o p r i a t e a n d nobody i s m g g e s t i n g t h a t g u a r a n t e e d minimun, income w i l l s u f f i c i e n t l y d e a l wi.tki t h o s e s o r t o f p e o p l e . The o t h e r t h i n g t h a t I r e c a l l f r o m t h a t s u r v e y w a s t h a t f a m i l y s e p a r a t i o n , d i v o r c e , e t c . w a s an e x t r e m e l y i m p o r t a n t d e t e r m i n a n t o f new e n t r y i n t o p o v e r t y . I t h i n k t h a t one r e c c m i e n d a t i o n t h a t a group l i k e t h i s might make i s t h a t t h e Bureau o f Census a n d S t a t i s t i c s b e a s k e d t o run a s u r v e y o f X , O O O Australian f a m i l i e s - n o t j u s t p o o r f a m i l i e s b e c a u s e t h a t m i s s e s t h e e n t i r e p Q i n t - f o r x y e a r s , s o that we can l e a r n s o m e t h i n g a b o u t t h e dynamics o f Australian s o c i e t y . FURTHER COMMENT A s 1 u n d e r s t a n d it t h e n , i f you d e f i n e g e n e r a l l y t h e p o o r as t h e hottom 12% o f incomes a n d t h e s u r v e y r e p o r t s t h a t 3% o f t h o s e were p o o r f a r e a c h o f t h e s i x y e a r s , t h e n 25% o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n were among that 12% o f p o o r a t some t i m e . So t h a t it i s a t r e mendous number o f p e o p l e r a t h e r %ban j u s t a s m a l l number., 68 A.NSWER (Jan Salmon r e r e s o u r c e s at Family C e n t r e ) I wonOt go i n t o t o o much d e t a i l . There have b e e n f i v e p r o g r e s s r e p o r t s which h a v e b e e n p u b l i s h e d now which d e a l w i t h t h e o t h e r a s p e c t s of t h e c e n t r e . T h e r e are f i v e r e s o u r c e p e o p l e u s e d i n t h e a r e a s o f : h o u s i n g , employment, s o c i a l s e c u r i t y b e n e f i t s , r e e r e a t i on, h e a l t h . We h a v e b e e n g r a d u a l l y employing f a m i l y c e n t r e meabers o n t o t h e s t a f f . I think t h a t t h e y are p r o b a b l y d e l i v e r i l i g t h e s e r v i c e s a l o t b e t t e r than t h e p r o f e s s i o n a l staff d i d because t h e y understand t h e p r o b l e m s . I t h i n k t h a t t h e m o s t s i g n i f i c a n t r e s o u r c e i n t e r m s o f all t h e s e a r e a s has b e e n t h e h o u s i n g one. The impact o f s t a b l e h o u s i n g has i n c r e d i b l e i m p l i c a t i o n s for t h e r e s t of t h e f a m i l y s i t u a t i o n . It means s t a b l e e d u c a t i o n , i t m i n i n i s e s e x p e n d i t u r e c o s t s of moving, it m i n i m i s e s f a m i l y d i s r u p t i o n , s o c i a l c o s t s o f s e t t i n g up a new house. COWNT I have found t o d a y ' s d i s c u s s i o n i n t e r e s t i n g and p r o v o c a t i v e and I hope t h a t t h e p u b l i c d e b a t e c o n t i n u e s , b u t I hope not t o t h e negl e c t of improvements w i t h i n our p r e s e n t s o c i a l w e l f a r e s t r u c t u r e . I ' m n o t e v e n c o n v i n c e d y e t t h a t g u a r a n t e e d minimm income i s l i k e l y t o b e a c c e p k a b l e t o t h e community; that we d o n ' t even have it a l r e a d y . B u t i t i s c l e a r t h a t t h e r e a r e c e r t a i n g r o u p s i n our community who a r e i n p o v e r t y , who a r e n o t b e i n g p i c k e d up by t h e I t h i n k that t h e c o n t r i b u t i o n e x i s t i n g s o c i a l w e l f a r e scheme. t h e p r a c t i t i o n e r s m a k e would be t o i n f o r m t h e academics h e r e t o day o f t h e g r o u p s missing o u t u n d e r t h e p r e s e n t scheme, and c l e a r u p some o f t h e a n o m a l i e s w i t h o u t o v e r t h r o w i n g t h e system at t h i s s t a g e . We c a n o t a f f o r d t o w a i t f i v e y e a r s for some o f t h e s e changes. I n f a c t i t c o u l d be a l o t longer w i t h s u c h a r a d i c a l d e p a r t u r e as g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m m income, QUESTION NO, 3 On t h e s u b j e c t o f p a t c h i n g up t h e p r e s e n t s o c i a l s e c u r i t y s y s t e m 1 would l i k e t o draw a t t e n t i o n t o t h e sole p a r e n t situation. I f e e l t h a t t h e a l l o w a n c e f o r c h i l d r e n i s far t o o l o w , e v e n now when i t i s going up t o $7 p e r week, That amounts t o a 100$ p e r day t o f e e d , c l o t h e , and e d u c a t e c h i l d r e n , I think a l s o that t h e r e n e e d s t o be a r e v i s i o n o f t h e a l l o w a b l e e a r n e d income o f one p a r e n t should b e r e v i s e d and u p d a t e d c o n s i d e r a b l y . 69 There i s a l s o a need f o r some s o r t o f a l l o w a n c e f o r s o l e f a t h e r s , who a r e i n t h e l o w income group, o r p e r h a p s i n t h e medium income group. They a l s o need h e l p i n c h i l d c a r e both pre- school, and b e f o r e and a f t e r s c h o o l h o u r s . - ANSWER The p o i n t you make about t h e a l l o w a n c e f o r c h i l d r e n I t h i n k i s one t h a t h i g h l i g h t s a n o t h e r i s s u e , Q u i t e c l e a r l y we a r e o p e r a t i n g t o a g r e a t e x t e n t on q u i t e i n a d e q u a t e i n f o r m a t i o n a b o u t what i t a c t u a l l y c o s t s t o maintain p e o p l e . The Bureau o f Census and S t a t i s t i c s i s c o m p l e t i n g a s u r v e y on e x p e n d i t u r e s a t t h e moment. It may be o f i n t e r e s t t o you t o know t h a t one o f t h e r e s e a r c h studies financed by t h e Commission i s being c a r r i e d out b y t h e Department o f Community Welfare i n Western A u s t r a l i a , It i s s p e c i f i c a l l y r e l a t e d t o t h e c o s t o f maintaining c h i l d r e n . When we g e t some more data l i k e t h i s we a r e i n a much b e t t e r p o s i t i o n t o a r g u e on s p e c i f i c s u b j e c t s s u c h as t h e a c t u a l s i z e f o r t h e allowance f o r children. The p o i n t you a r e h i g h l i g h t i n g a b o u t t h e p r o b l e m s o f l o n e p a r e n l i s an i m p o r t a n t one. There a r e q u i t e a l o t o f improvemeilts whic can and s h o u l d be made f a i r l y p r o m p t l y w h i l e we d e b a t e w h e t h e r WI g o t o a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income scheme o f some sort, and w h i l e we d e b a t e whether i t i s t o be f i n a n c e d f r o m c o n s o l i d a t e d r e v e n u e , o r p a r t l y from c o n s o l i d a t e d r e v e n u e and p a r t l y f r o m i n s u r a n c e . QUESTION NO. 4 In t a l k i n g a b o u t t h e d e f e c t s o f t h e p r e s e n t s y s t e m o f s o c i d . s e c u r i t y one o f t h e t h i n g s t h a t we have o n l y o b l i q u e l y r e f e r r e d t o b u t which I t h i n k i s v e r y r e a l , p a r t i c u l a r l y t o t h e r e c i p i e n t s , i s s i m p l y t h e problems o f management, administration and b u r e a u c r a c y . Much o f what might be t h e o r e t i c a l l y a c c e p t a b l e f o u n d e r s o n what seems t o be t h e f a i r l y n o r m a l p r o b l e m s a s s o c i a t e d w i t h administration. I t h i n k t h a t t o some e x t e n t , a l t h o u g h we have r e c o g n i s e d t h i s i n t h e d i s c u s s i o n o f t h e p r e s e n t system, l i t t l e has b e e n s a i d i n r e g a r d t o t h e p r o p o s e d g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income Would a n y scheme as t o h o w t h e s e problems would b e d e a l t w i t h . p r o p o s a l s f o r a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income t h a t we come up w i t h be a b l e t o d e a l w i t h t h e normal p r o b l e m s , r i g i d i t y , d u p l i c a t i o n s , anomalies, delays a s s o c i a t e d w i t h t h e massive b u r e a u c r a t i c o p e r a t i o n , a n y b e t t e r than t h e c u r r e n t s y s t e m i s a b l e t o ? This i s one o f t h e main problems o f t h e c u r r e n t income s e c u r i t y arrangement. 70 A n o t h e r i s s u e which a l s o u n d e r l i e s much o f why t h e c u r r e n t system i s u n s a t i s f a c t o r y i s t h a t o f a b u s e . It seems t o m e t h a t one o f t h e c o n s t r a i n t s o n t h e o p e r a t i o n o f t h e c u r r e n t income s e c u r i t y provisions i s t h a t t h e s y s t e m t a k e s v e r y s e r i o u s l y t h e n e e d f o r t h e s y s t e m t o p r o t e c t i t s e l f from a b u s e ; from p e o p l e dodging o r conning, making f a l s e c l a i m s and s o on. I t o su n d e r s t a n d a b l e t h a t one wants t o a v o i d t h i s s o r t o f d i s h o n e s t y or a b u s e , b u t i t o f t e n seems t h a t t h e c o s t o f s e t t i n g up s a f e - g u a r d s i n t h e system against t h a t s o r t o f t h i n g i s a v e r T g r e a t one. The c o s t i s huge i n t e r m s o f r i g i d i t y i n making t h e system u n r e s p o n s i v e t o i n d i v i d ual n e e d s ; o f giving i t what looks l i k e a p u n i t i v e o r d e t e r r e n t I t c o u l d p r o b a b l y b e shown t h a t t h e a c t u a l c o s t o f abuse aspect. i s f a i r l y small i n m o n e t a r y t e r m s compared t o , f o r i n s t a n c e , t a x evasion, and i s h i g h l y damaging t o t h e f h n c t i o n o f t h e s y s t e m as a who1 e. ANSWER So o f t e n we d e s i g n s y s t e m s which f o u n d e r because o f t h e p e o p l e who a d m i n i s t e r t h e s y s t e m r a t h e r than b e c a u s e of t h e c h a r a c t e r i s t i c s of t h e system at any time. I am t o l d by t h e p r e s e n t i n q u i r y into Australian Government A d m i n i s t r a t i o n t h a t t h e g r e a t e s t number of s u b m i s s i o n s from p e r s o n s i n t h e community a r e c o n c e r n e d w i t h t h e d e l i v e r y o f w e l f a r e s e r v i c e s . They h i g h l i g h t p r o b l e m s t o do w i t h a d m i n i s t r a t i o n , e.g. t h e l a c k o f d e c i s i o n- m a k i n g c a p a c i t y at t h e I think t h a t one c a n c e r t a i n l y say that t h e r e w i l l local level. b e a v e r y s t r o n g t r e n d i n t h e d i r e c t i o n o f much more r e g i o n a l i s a t i o n i n t h e administration o f government p r o g r a m s , w i t h much m o r e emphasis on t h e c a p a c i t y for d e c i s i o n s t o b e made a t t h e r e g i o n a l l e v e l , It i s an a t t e m p t t o g e t d e c i s i o n s made at a p o i n t c l o s e r t o t h e immediate n e e d . L o c a l d i s c r e t i o n however i s n ' t a l w a y s an e n t i r e l y b e n e f i c i a l t h i n g t o t h e customer. For example, i f you r e a d t h e p r e s s you w i l l s e e some p e o p l e c o m p l a i n i n g t h a t l o c a l d i s c r e t i o n i n r e s p e c t o f some Government b e n e f i t s i s m a r k e d l y a f f e c t e d b y t h e i s o l a t i o n of t h o s e a r e a s , and t h e c o n s e r v a t i v e a t t i t u d e s t h a t local d i s c r e t i o n a l l o w s t o come i n t o p l a y . I n r e g a r d t o t h e comment a b o u t t h e t i g h t n e s s o f a d m i n i s t r a t i o n of b e n e f i t s , and t h e c o n c e r n o f administration t o p r o t e c t i t s e l f . I t h i n k t h a t it i s d i f f i c u l t t o a p p r e c i a t e how much a government can be t h r e a t e n e d b y p u b l i c c r i t i c i s m o f l i b e r a l administration o f t a x p a y e r ' s money. T h e r e i s t h e b i n d t h a t g o v e r n m e n t s can, i n f a c t , l o s e p o l i t i c a l s u p p o r t when i t a t t e m p t s t o open up t h e system. 71 QUESTION NO. 5 A s far as t h e r e c i p i e n t s a r e concerned weOve f o u n d t h a t nobody r e a l l y comes t o us t o f i n d our views. We g o and g i v e our views t o t h e government, b u t v e r y few p e o p l e come and t a k e n o t e o f what we want t o say. They s a y t h a t we a r e t h e p o w e r l e s s p o o r , we're n o t s o p o w e r l e s s when you t a k e i n t o c o n s i d e r a t i o n what happens i n t h e b a l l o t b o x. I t h i n k that you a r e making a p o i n t which n e e d s t o b e made again and again. That government p o l i c i e s have t o b e f o r m u l a t e d f i n a l l y on t h e b a s i s o f t h e involvement o f t h e community. That p e o p l e have t o u n d e r s t a n d them, n o t o n l y t h e academics. The p e o p l e t h a t t h o s e p o l i c i e s a r e supposed t o b e d e s i g n e d f o r must h a v e an o p p o r t u n i t y t o at l e a s t u n d e r s t a n d what i s b e i n g s u g g e s t e d and t o have an i n p u t . EDITED CONCLUSION BY MARIE COLEMAJX If we c o u l d p e r h a p s draw some o f t h e t h r e a d s t o g e t h e r . I t h i n k t h a t what has b e e n made c l e a r f r o m t o d a y ' s d i s c u s s i o n i s t h a t we a r e nowhere n e a r knowing what p a r t i c u l a r o p t i o n w e ' r e o n a b o u t when we t a l k a b o u t a g u a r a n t e e d m i n i m u m income. We have t o address ourselves n o t o n l y t o t h e t h e o r e t i c a l p o s s i b i l i t i e s o f w h a t we t h i n k we a r e wanting t o do, but a l s o t o t h e a d m i n i s t r a t i v e d e t a i l s i n any one o f t h e s e o p t i o n s . T l j e r e have b e e n a l o t o f things r a i s e d t o d a y which w i l l be u s e f u l when we come down t o t h e t a s k o f l o o k i n g at t h e recommendations %hat P r o f e s s o r Henderson w i l l make a n d advising t h e government o n t h e o p t i o n s open t o it a r i s i n g f r o m t h e s e recommendations. I cannot but r e i t e r a t e what I s a i d a t t h e b e g i n n i n g , t h a t I t h i n k i t h i g h l y d e s i r a b l e that an i n f o r m e d p u b l i c d e b a t e should c o n t i n u e a b o u t t h e problems o f t h e corn-unity s o far as income s e c u r i t y schemes a r e concerned. There s h o u l d be as much i n f o r m e d debate as p o s s i b l e about t h e p o s s i b l e o p t i o n s . I t h i n k t h a t t h e more we discuss ideas then t h e r e i s much more p r o b a b i l i t y t h a t t h e p r o p o s a l s t h a t t h e government w i l l e v e n t u a l l y b r i n g f o r w a r d w i l l not be f a l l i n g o n d e a f e a r s , i n a c l i m a t e where p e o p l e are t i r e d o f h e a r i n g about w e l f a r e s p e n d i n g , but w i l l r e c o g n i s e t h a t t h e r e a r e community n e e d s which must b e m e t as e f f i c i e n t l y and e c o n o m i c a l l y as p o s s i b l e . APPENDIX A: qAPPROACHES TO WELFARE REFORM' by P r o f e s s o r J . C u t t Professor of Administrative Studies F a c u l t y o f Economics, A G s t r a l i a n Natrional U n i v e r s i t y This b r i e f p a p e r r e v i e w s t h e r a n g e o f a l t e r n a t i v e a p p r o a c h e s t o w e l f a r e reform, and s u g g e s t s a b r o a d framework f o r t h e e v a l u a t i o n o f such a l t e r n a t i v e s . I The Spectrum o f W e l f a r e Reform A l t e r n a t i v e s The b r o a d r a n g e o f r e l e v a n t p o l i c y o p t i o n s may be c o n s i d e r e d t o f o r m a continuum o f s p e c t r u m , The p a r t i c u l a r c a t e g o r i e s d e f i n e d may be r e g a r d e d s i m p l y as i l l u s t r a t i v e o f m a j o r s e c t i o n s o f t h e spectrum, i m p l i c i t i n which i s a v i r t u a l l y i n f i n i t e r a n g e o f p e r m u t a t i o n s and c o m b i n a t i o n s . The f o l l o w i n g b r o a d c a t e g o r i e s o n t h e spectrum may be d i s t i n g u i s h e d : I. Pure c a s h t r a n s f e r programs d e l i v e r e d i n a s e l e c t i v e , i . e . , income t e s t e d , mode, g e n e r a l l y i n t h e f o r m o f a n e g a t i v e income t a x , c h a r a c t e r i z e d by a b a s i c income g u a r a n t e e i n t h e a b s e n c e o f income f r o m o t h e r s o u r c e s ( G ) , a n e g a t i v e income t a x r a t e or income s u b s i d y r e d u c t i o n r a t e (r) by which t h e b a s i c payment i s reduced as income f r o m o t h e r s o u r c e s i n c r e a s e s , a n d a t h i r d component, d e t e r m i n e d when t h e f i r s t t w o components a r e s p e c i f i e d , which i n d i c a t e s t h e l e v e l o f income f r o m o t h e r s o u r c e s (break- even income,B) at which income t r a n s f e r payments a r e r e d u c e d t o z e r o . By d e f i n i t i o n , B = -Gr In i t a p u r e form s u c h a c a s e t r a n s f e r program may dk s e e n as unsupplemented by any o t h e r form o f t r a n s f e r - e i t h e r i n cash o r k i n d o f some s o r t - and uncond-itioned by any form o f work t e s t or measure o f t h e r e c i p i e n t q s r e l a t i o n s h i p t o r e m u n e r a t i v e employment.* The p u r e s e l e c t i v e income t r a n s f e r a p p r o a c h t o t h e n e g a t i v e income t a x mode may a l s o be s e e n i n a e e n e r a l and z c a t e o r i c a l form, t h e f o r m e r defining e l i g i b i l i t y simply i n erms of an + The n o t i o n of a work t e s t i s i i e f l n e d below 73 income t e s t , t h e l a t t e r a d d i n g t o t h e income t e s t a c a t e g o r i c a l e l i g i b i l i t y t e s t , l i m i t i n g payments, s a y t o t h e e l d e r l y or t o f a m i l i e s w i t h c h i l d r e n . 2. P u r e c a s h t r a n s f e r program d e l i v e r e d i n a u n i v e r s a l mode, l e . not s u b j e c t ; t o a n y f o r m o f income e l i g i b i l i t y t e s t ( r = 0 , B = CO). Again i n t L e p u r e f o r m X U C ?t ~r a n s f e r programs may be s e e n as unsupplernented b y any o t h e r form o f t r a n s f e r a n d u n c o n d i t i o n e d by any f o r m o f work t e s t , a n d may b e d i s a g g r e g a t e d , as i n t h e c a s e o f tine s e l e c t i v e a p p r o a c h , i n t o a g e n e r a l f o r m i n wi._ich t h e e l i g i b l e group i s t h e e n t i r e p o p u l a t i o n and a c a t e g o r i c a l form i n which payments a r e l i m i t e d t o a s p e c i f i e d p o p u l a t i o n c a t e g o r y . The e x i s t i n g examples c f such an approach, a n d most a l t e r n a t i v e f o r m s o f t h e a p p r o a c h proposed, a r e l i m i t e d t o a s p e c i f i e d category o f r e c i p i e n t s - generally the e l d e r l y and/or c h i l d r e n . Where a g e n e r a l u n i v e r s a l a p p r o a c h i s c o n s i d e r e d , it i s u s u a l l y a s s o c i a t e d w i t h a p o s i t i v e income t a x recoupment s c h e n e d e s i g n e d t o l i m i t t h e b e n e f i t s u n d e r t h e scheme t o income groups below a s p e c i f i e d income l e v e l . It i s worth r e c o r d i n g t h a t t h e a l t e r n a t i v e e x i s t s between t h e t w o o p t i o n s o f u n i v e r s a l i t y a n d s e l e c t i v i t y o f combining t h e t w o i n v a r i o u s f o r m s o f mixed- s t r a t e g y , s u p p l e m e n t i n g a n2ga"cve income t a x of v a r y i n g d-egrees o f g e n e r a l i t y b y a u n i v e r s a l program o r s e t o f s u c h programs d-esigned f o r s p e c i f i e d r e c i p i e n t group s. 30 A b a s i c or c o r e cask t r a n s f e r program, d e l i v e r e d e i t h e r i n t h e s e l e c t i v e o r u n i v e r s a l mode, s u p p i e n e f i t e d b y one o r more o f a s e t o f earmarked c a s h t r a n s f e r s , s u c h as a H o u s i n g Allowance o r a Day Care -!iowance, and/or i n - k i n d t r a n s f e r s t o which. a cazh v a l u e c a n b e imputed, s u c h as 4. A b a s i c sash t r a n s f e r program, d e l i v e r e d e i t h e r i n t h e s e l e c t i v e o r u n i v e r s a l modo, sirpplement ed b y a v o l u n t a r y We msy b r o a d l y d i s human c a - p i t a 1 i-r;vestnsnt program. t i n g u i s h t w o t y p e s o f work t e s t s - t h e v o l u n t a r y o r " o p p o r t u n i t y f f form o f work t s s t i n which an o p t i o n a l human c a p i t a l o r q l p e n a l t y t '3ori-a o f work t e s t i n which some form o f p a r t i c i g a t i o n i n a hwman c a p i t a l i n v e s t m e n t program, or i n t h e m o s t extreme f o r m t h e a c t u a l h o l d i n g o f a j o b , i s a c o n d i t i o n o f r e c e i v i n g imcome m a i n t e n a n c e paymefits u n d e r t h e b a s i c c a s h t r a n s f e r scheme, T h e form o f work t s s t e n v i s a g e d u n d e r t h i s coaponent o f t h e spectrwn i s t h e voluntary o r o p p o r t u n i t y kind. '7 4 5. A b a s i c cash t;ransfer program d e l i v e r e d e i t h e r i n t h e s e l e c t i v e o r u n i v e r s a l - m o d e , supplemented by a mandatory human c a p i t a l i n v e s t m e n t program. I n t h i s c a s e , t h e work t e s t may be s e e n as f a l l i n g s h o r t o f h o l d i n g a j o b as a c o n d i t i o n o f e l i g i b i l i t y for t h e b a s i c c a s h transf e r program b u t as rec$-iiring as a c o n d i t i o n o f r e c e i v i n g cash t r a n s f e r papie'nTs some e x p r e s s i o n o f "comnlitment t o work" i n t h e f o r m o f p a r t i c i p a t i o n i n a human c a p i t a l investment program, The work t e s t thus t a k e s a mandatory o r p e n a l t y forrrl. hloving along t h e s p e c t r m i , c a t e g o r y 4 has i n t r o d u c e d a v o l u n t a r y humn c a p i t a l i n v e s t m e n t program, a n d c a t e g o r y 5 has a c t u a l l y r e q u i r e d t h e p a r t i c i p a t i o n o f a r e c i p i e n t o f cash t r a n s f e r payments i n a human c a p i t a i n v e s t m e n t program as a c o n d i t i o n o f r e c e i v i n g c a s h t r a n s f e r payments. The l o g i c a l seqiLence i s t o w a r d a program which r e q u i r e s r e n u m e r a t i v e eniployrnent as a c o n d i t i o n o f e l i g i b i l i t y for payments o f any k i n d , and f i n a l l y i n t h e a c t u a l p r o v i s i o n o f p a i d p u b l i c s e c t o r employment as t h e basic form of a s s i s t a n c e . C a t e g o r i e s 6 and 7 p u r s u e t h e s e o p t i o n s . 6. Any employment-conditioned payment program d e l i v e r e d i n t h e f o r m o f a wage s u b s i d y . There a r e many forms o f wage subsidy program, but t h e g e n e r a l form i s conceptually similar t o , though n o t i d e n t i e d w i t h , a g e n e r d n e g a t i v e income tax progran1 u n d e r which r e c e i p t o f b e n e f i t s i s c o n d i t i o n e d b y employment, and t h e l e v e l o f benefits i s condisioned by t h e r a t e o f remuneration i n t h a t employment. The n a t u r e o f c u r r e n t p r o p o s a l s i s that of a vanishing supplement r e l a t e d t o income, t h e supplement b e i n g g e a r e d e i t h e r t o a g g r e g a t e e a r n i n g s ( t h e wage r a t e m u l t i p l i e d by hours worked) or t o t h e h o u r l y wage r a t e . In b o t h c a z e s t h e form t a k e n by t h e wage subsidy i s similar; i n t h e c a s e c f t h e e a r n i n g s subsidy, t h e s u b s i d y ( S ) may b e e x z r e s s e d as some f r a c t i o n ( t ) of t h e d i f f e r e n c e between a s p e c i f i e d income minimum(M) and earned income ( W ) , i . e . , S = t(M - W) In t h e case of t h e wage r a t e s u b s i d y , t h e same e q u a t i o n a p p l i e s , bGt S i n t h i s c a s e m e a s u r e s t h e h o u r l y r a t e subsidy, M measures a, s p e c i f i e d wage r a t e minimmi, a n d W measures t h e a c t u a l h o u r l y wage r a t e . 75 7. I1 A p u b l i c emploplent program i n which t h e p u b l i c s e c t o r be- comes, i n e f f e c t , t h e employer o f t h e l a s t r e s o r t . Antedel u v i a n though s u c h a p r o p o s a l may sound, i t i s a l o g i c a l consequence o f p r e o c c u p a t i o n w i t h t h e r e l a t i o n o f t r a n s f e r pa$ments t o t h e s u p p l y o f l a b o u r , a n d o f e x c e s s s u p p l y o f l a b o u r i n r e l a t i o n t o p r i v a t e s e c t o r jobs. S u g g e s t e d Framework o f E v a l u a t i o n W e l f a r e programs have a v a r i e t y o f v e r y d i f f e r e n t e f f e c t s . We b e g i n t h e developnient o f an e v a l u a t i o n fran,ework f o r w e l f a r e p r o g r a m s w i t h a s u g g e s t e d b r o a d i n v e n t o r y o f progran1 o u t p u t measur e s. Macro o r C o n t e x t u a l Measures (i) The e f f e c t o f t h e progran, on t h e growth o f GNP. ( i i )The e f f e c t o f t h e program on econoiilic s t a b i l i t y , i . e . , on t h e r a t e o f unemployment a n d t h e r a t e o f i n f l a t i o n . M i c r o o r S p e c i f i c Outcomes ( i ) A b s o l u t e outconies, d e f i n e d i n t e r m s o f a s p e c i f i e d p o v e r t y l i n e and c o r r e s p o n d i n g p o v e r t y gap or a g g r e g a t e income d e f i c i e n c y ( t h e gap b e t w e e n t h e sm o f t h e incomes o f f a m i l i e s below t h e p o v e r t y l i n e and t h e sum o f t h e incomes o f t h o s e same families calculated at the appropriate poverty lines). (a) Aggregate adequacy, or t h e p e r c e n t a g e o f t h e p o v e r t y gap c l o s e d by t h e program i n que st i o n . (b) Weighted adequacy, or a g g r e g a t e adequacy r e c a l c u l a t e d i n terms i n terms o f a w e i g h t e d p o v e r t y gap i n which d i f f e r e n t i a l w e i g h t i n g o f f a m i l y incomes below t h e poverty l i n e i s used. (c) V e r t i c a l o r t a r g e t e f f i c i e n c y , d e f i n e d as t h e r a t i o . o f b e n e f i t s r e c e i v e d by i n t e n d e d b e n e f i c i a r i e s ( t h o s e whose incomes a r e below t h e p o v e r t y l i n e ) t o t o t a l b e n e f i t s d i s t r i b u t e d - i n e f f e c t , as t h e p e r c e n t a g e o f t h e t o t a l c o s t o f each scheme t h a t g o e s t o c l o s e t h e p o v e r t y gap. (d) P o v e r t y l i n e c r o s s i q p , d e f i n e d simply as t h e n m b e r o f fanil-ies crossing t h e poverty l i n e as a r z s u l t o f t h e program i n q u e s t i o n , ( i i ) R e l a t i v e outcomes, a e f i n e d in t e r m s o f a v a r i e t y o f m e a s u r e s o f income d i s t r i b u t i o n . ( a ) The p e r c e n t a g e change i n t h e c o n c e n t r a t i o n r a t i o o r g i n i c o e f f i c i e n t , This c o e f f i c i e n t i s c a l c u l a t e d b e f o r e and a f t e r e a c h program, a n d i s d e r i v e d by dividilzg t h e d i f f e r e n c e between t h e a r e a sub-tended by a Lorenz curve o f a c t u a l income d i s t r i b u t i o n , by t h e t o t a l a r e a und-er t h e Lorenz azurve o f p e r f e c t I t s v a l u e r a n g e s between z e r o equality. ( p e r f e c t e q u a J . i t y ) and one ( p e r f e z t i n e q u a l i t y ) . (b) This P e r c e n t a g e change i n t h e h i g h : l o w r a t i o . r a t i o i s c a l c u l a t e d b e f o r e at’-d a f t e r each program, m-d i s d e f i n e d as t h e r a t i o o f t h e highest quintkle o r decile, ( i i i )M i s c e l l a n e o u s o u t cornea, (a) Program c o s t , defined. as t h e d i r e c t t r a n s f e r c o s t i n d - o l l a r s a t t r i b u t a b l e t o t h e program i n q u e s t i o n , and d e f i n e d Go r e f l e c t t h e d e f i n i t i o n o f d i s p o s a b l e i.ncome u n d e r which t r a n s f e r payments a r e made, t h i s l a t t e r d e f i n i t i o n , i n t u r n , r e f l e c t i n g whether o r n o t t h e program i n q u e s t i o n i s i n t e n d e d t o supplement o r r e p l a c e e x i s t i n g programs. The e f f e c t o n work i n c e n t i v e s , d e f i n e d as t h e p r e d i c t e d o r o b s e r v e d change i n l a b o u r s u p p l y (and t h u s income o t h e r than frail t r a n s f e r p a y m a t s ) on t h e p a r t o f t r a n s f e r r e c i p i e n t s u n d e r t h e program i n q u e s t i o n . Even i n i t s o b s e r v e d v a r i e t y t h i s i n d i c a t o r i s a d i f f i c u l t concept, s i n c e i t i s d i f f i c u l t t o e s t a b l i s h t h e net; e f f e c t of a t r a n s f e r program; b u t it i s even more i n t r a c t a b l e i n i t s p r e d i c t i v e variety, since it implies t h e establislvnent OS a theory o f l a b o u r supply, and in o u r r e s e a r c h at ANU we have d e v e l o p e d an u n i n h i b i - b e d measure whish r e f l e c t s t h e f o l l o w i n g v a r i a b l e s : f i r s t , t h e magnitude of t h e b a s i c income s a r a n t e e u n d e r e a c h scheme; second, t h e l e v e l o f e a r n e d income up t o which n o d e d u c t i o n i s made i n t h e b a s i c g u a r a n t e e ; third, t h e ~ I D - C by L ~ ~which diap::,sable j-ncome r i s e s when income rises by one dol.I.+ar( r e f L e c t i n g t h e n e g a t i v e income t a x rate); and f o u r t h , t h e par-kicular c i r c u m s t a n c e e 0 % t r a n s f e r payment; r e c i p i e n t f a m i l . i e s , & f i n e d i n terms o f t h e nuniber of dependan+; c h i l d r e n , an2 the s e x G € %he f a m i l y head. (e) The e f f e c t o f %Se p r c g r a m i n q u e s t i o n 3n t h e cons m p t i o n : s a v i n g s r a S j o of r e c i F i . e n t fm.il.ies, and on t h e d i s t r i l m t i o n o f eonslm~ption e x p e n d i t u r e by t h e s e families. (d) The effect o f t h e pri.>grmi o n fanlily s t a b i l i t y , d e f i n e d i n terms c f the e x t e n t t o which an income su-pport program 3 r o v i d e s an i m p i i z i t mcnetary i n c e n t i v e for o m spouse I n R two-pa.rent f a m i l y t o e s % a b l i s i x 8 separa’Ge I z c u . s ~ ~ ~ ~ ~The ~ C Zproblem ~ may, o f co‘L:,rss, be widened- “I;G incliide the c a s e o f t h e e l d e r 1 . y F e r s r n am3 teenage c h i l d - who may b e encourage6 t o I-e%ve the h o u s e h a l a aad e s t a b l i s h s e p a r a t e s t a t u . s 3:4rAr3.er t h e prcgrarir in q u e s t i o n . Program c h a r a z t e r i s % i c s re3.evan.t to t h e c o n s t r u c t i o r A o f sxch a variak1.E: wo?:.lct i n c l v d e t h e e x i s t e n c e o f a u p p e r l i m l t c n transfer payments, a d i m i n i s h i n g s c a l e o f such payrnelzta a c r o s s the m m b e r s of a f a m i l y , and t h e g e n e r o s i r y of program payments. , (e) I The s t i g m a t i z i n g e f f e c t ; o f t h e p r o g r m i i n q u e s t i o n , such an effect being r e l e v a l i t for i t s own sake i n as much. a s i t is g e i i e r a l l y h e l d t h e s e days t h a t i n c o n e s u p p o r t p r o g r a m s s h o u l d n o t be p r o v i d e d i n a manner t h a t somehow s t i g m a t i z e s t h e r e c i p i e n t s , and i n t e r m s of program ,?ffect;iveneas and c o s t , i n as rnu~chas t h e e m e n t t o which e l i g i b l e benef i c i a r i e s Ernrcl Ln t h e prcgram, w h i c h WE d e f i n e as t h e -t;aks--cip r a t e , w i . l L b e direct1.y r e l a t e d t o t h e exkent t o wh-ich “,k.,e prcgran i s F a r c e i v e d t o be s t i g m a t i s i n g , Beievan-t; v a r i a b l e s i n t h e d e s i g n o f s u c h a c r i t e r i o n m L & t inc:lud?9 f i r s t , t h e degree o f s e l e c t i v i % y d e f i n s r l i n program e l i g i b i l i t y c r i t e r i a , second, t h e degree o f g e n e r o s i t y i n p r o gram transfer payment r a . t e s , t h i r d , t h e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f f r i n g e b e n e f i t s r e l 2 t e d -Go t h e program, f o u r t h , t h e p a r t i c u L a r c i r c u m s t m 3 e s ai? t r a n s f e r payment r e c i p i e n t s , d e f i n e d a.s in the case o f the work i n c e n t i v e c r i t e r i o n , a n d f ~ . f t h ,t h e a v a i l a b i l i t y o f i n f o r m a r t i o n on t1;e program, 78 The p o l i t i c a l a c c e p t a b i l i t y o f t h e program, d e f i n e d c r u d e l y i n t e r m s o f program c o s t , or more i n t e r e s t i n g l y , i n t e r m s o f t h e e f f e c t s o f t h e program o n i n t e r e s t e d g r o u p s i n t h e p o l i t i c a l arena, The administrative e f f i c i e n c y o f t h e program, d e f i n e d i n terms o f t h e p e r c e n t a g e o f t o t a l program c o s t s r e q u i r e d t o a d m i n i s t e r t h e program. Evduation Strategy Suppose t h a t we had i n f o r m a t i o n on t h e s e t o f outcomes l i s t e d above f o r a l t e r n a t i v e w e l f a r e r e f o r m measures. How do we u s e t h e s e i n an e v a l u a t i o n s t r a t e g y ? Even i n a p a r t i a l , s t a t i c s e n s e , i t i s d i f f i c u l t t o make s e n s e o f a multi- dimensional s e t o f incommensurables. The standard approach would be t o s e p a r a t e o u t t h e c o s t outcome, and t o use a, standard c o s t - e f f e c t i v e n e s s approach i n which we a t t e m p t e d t o f i n d o u t how b e s t we could do f o r a speci f i e d c o s t c o n s t r a i n t o r h o w c o s t c o u l d be minimized for t h e a t t a i n ment o f a s p e c i f i e d performance t a r g e t . The d i f f i c u l t y l i e s i n s p e c i f y i n g t h e t a r g e t . We have a s e t o f incomn,ensurable o u t p u t measures, and we can o n l y o p t i m i z e one such measure at a t i m e , even assuming l a c k o f c o n f l i c t between t h e s e o u t p u t measures. A s i m p l e approach would b e t o s e l e c t t h e performanee measure we cons i d e r e d most i m p o r t a n t a n d choose t h e p r o g r a n which a c h i e v e d t h e h i g h e s t s c o r e on t h a t o u t p u t measure f o r a g i v e n c o s t , or which a c h i e v e d a s p e c i f i e d t a r g e t performance l e v e l i n t h a t o u t p u t measure a t minimunl c o s t . But t h i s procedure would do s c a n t j u s t i c e t o t h e r i c h n e s s o f t h e s e t o f o u t p u % measures we have s p e c i f i e d and, i d e a l l y , we would l i k e t o b e a b l e t o d e f i n e e a c h outcome o n a common s c a l e , a p p l y a p p r o p r i a t e w e i g h t s t o each outcome, and c o l l a p s e t h e v a r i o u s outcome measures i n t o a s t a n d a r d i z e d o v e r a l l performance s c o r e f o r e a c h a l t e r n a t i v e w e l f a r e program. Now i n t h e f i n a l a n a l y s i s we w i l l have t o conduct s u c h an e x e r c i s e t o d e c i d e on t h e b e s t program, but I would now l i k e t o argue that t o conduct such an e x e r c i s e meaningfully we m u s t d e f i n e a framework i n which t h e i n t e r - r e l a t i o n s h i p s (complementary and c o n f l i c t ing) between t h e s e t o f outcome n e a s u r e s o v e r t i m e f o r e a c h p r o gram u n d e r c o n s i d e r a t i o n a r e e s t a b l i s h e d , Such a3n approach I would d e s c r i b e as a dynamic, g e n e r a l c o s t e f f e c t i v e n e s s approach. L e t me now t r y t o j u s t i f y t h i s somewhat pompous p h r a s e . The a p p r o a c h must be g e n e r a l i n t h r e e d i s t i n c t s e n s e s . F i r s t , any w e l f a r e program which i s n o t f i n a n c e d s i m p l y by t h e c r e a t i o n of new money must have a s e t o f n e t c o n t r i b u t o r s and a s e t o f n e t b e n e f i c i a r i e s . Although a w e l f a r e program might b e f i n a n c e d by borrowing, it i s v i r t u a l l y c e r t a i n t h a t a m a j o r 79 p r o p o r t i o n o f f i n a n c i n g would be t h r o u g h t a x a t i o n , a a d e v e n i n a single t i m e p e r i o d , i t i s t h e r e f o r e n e c e s s a r y t o i n c l u d e t h e i m p l i c a t i o n s o f f i n a n c i n g f o r a f u l l measure o f t h e e f f e c t of a program on t h e r e l a t i v e d i s t r i b u t i o n o f income. When one Cons i d e r s b e h a v i o u r a l changes o v e r t i m e , t h e q u e s t i o n becomes e v e n nlore i n t e r e s t i n g , Second, a w e l f a r e program i s s i m p l y one cornponent f o a s e t o f government programs which we might d e f i n e as human r e s o u r c e programs. Such programs a r e i n t e r - r e l a t e d , and a f u l l a n a l y s i s would have t o a s c e r t a i n t h e s p i l l o v e r e f f e c t s ( n e g a t i v e o r p o s i t i v e ) o f t h e w e l f a r e programs i n q u e s t i o n o n r e l a t e d programs and v i c e v e r s a , The problem i s e v e n more a c u t e i f one c o n s i d e r s that s e v e r a l l e v e l s o f government may be i n v o l v e d i n a d m i n i s t e r i n g t h e w e l f a r e program. Problems o f d u p l i c a t i o n and o v e r l a p are endemic i n such a s i t u a t i o n . T h i r d , t h e program nlust be p l a c e d i n i t s macro c o n t e x t . Under t h i s h e a d we c a n n o t excape t h e t h o r n y q u e s t i o n o f program dynmAcs. A program which w a s considered t o increase t h e r a t e of inflation would c l e a r l y diminish t h e r e a l v a l u e of t h e performance measures o v e r t i m e ; and a program which w a s c o n s i d e r e d t o c o n t r i b u t e t o unemployment would i n c r e a s e t h e p o t e n t i a l c l i e n t e l e , and a f f e c t t h e c o s t and performance measures o f t h e program. Conversely, f a v o u r a b l e e f f e c t s on i n f l a t i o n and unemployment would have c o r r e s p o n d i n g l y f a v o u r a b l e e f f e c t s on program outcomes over t i m e . The u l t i m a t e macro c o n t e x t , o f c o u r s e , i s t h a t o f t h e growth o f a g g r e g a t e or n a t i o n a l income o v e r t i m e . If t h e program were c o n s i d e r e d t o a f f e c t t h e r a t e o f growth o f n a t i o n a l income, t h i s w o u l d h a v e r a d i c a l . i m p l i c a t i o n s f o r t h e c o s t and p e r f o r m a n c e o f t h e program o v e r t i m e , i n c l u d i n g t h e n a t i o n a l c a p a c i t y t o f i n a n c e such programs. On t h i s n o t e we t u r n i n more d e t a i l t o t h e q u e s t i o n o f program dynanli c s . C o n s i d e r f i r s t t h e r e l a t i o n s h i p o v e r t i m e between t h e outcome nleasures r e l a t i n g t o t h e g i n i c o e f f i c i e n t and t h e g r o w t h o f a g g r e g a t e income. The r e l a t i o n s h i p i s s u b j e c t t o s o m e d e b a t e , but t h e r e would p r o b a b l y b e b r o a d agreement t h a t i t t o o k t h e form i n d i c a t e d on t h e p r o d u c t i o n p o s s i b i l i t y o r t r a d e - o f f c u r v e AE shown i n diagram 1. We have p l o t t e d t h e s i z e o f GNP against t h e g i n i c o e f f i c i e n t and e n v i s a g e t h a t o v e r t h e s e c t i o n AB t h e two measures a r e p o s i t i v e l y r e l a t e d , i. e . d i m i n i s h e d i n e q u a l i t y l e a d s t o an i n c r e a s e i n t h e growth o f GNP. Over t h e r a n g e BC we env i s a g e t h e c o n f l i c t i n c r e a s i n g at a n i n c r e a s i n g r a t e , and o v e r t h e r a n g e C D a t a d e c r e a s i n g r a t e . Over t h e s e c t i o n DE, we h y p o t h e s i z e t h a t f u r t h e r i n c r e a s i n g i n e q u a l i t y h a v e no f u r t h e r e f f e c t s on t h e s i z e of a g g r e g a t e income. R e a d i n g s o n t h e v e r t i c a l a x i s a r e , of c o u r s e , s e e n as t i m e - l a g g e d i n r e l a t i o n t o r e a d i n g s o n t h e h o r i z o n t a l a x i s . I t is c l e a r l y i m p o r t a n t t o a s c e r t a i n t h e segment o f t h e t r a d e - o f f curve o n which s o c i e t y i s o p e r a t i n g . If i t i s c o n s i d e r e d t h a t we a r e o p e r a t i n g over t h e segment BC, t h e n t h e n a t u r e o f this t r a d e - o f f s h o u l d b e s p e c i f i e d t o decision-makers. Such a t r a d e - o f f might o c c u r i f t h e p o l i c i e s 80 u s e d t o f i n a n c e t h e w e l f a r e program d i m i n i s h e d t h e r a t e of i n vestment and t h u s t h e r a t e o f economic growth. DIAGRAM 1 S i z e of GNE) (time t+l) \ qs 50 -3% Gini C o e f f i c i e n t ( t i m e t ) i f t h i s were s o , t h e n i t i s n o t d i f f i c u l t t o d e m o n s t r a t e t h a t over t i m e t h e a b s o l u t e income o f t h o s e who a r e b e n e f i c i a r i e s under t h e program would b e l o w e r t h a n would have been t h e c a s e i n t h e absence o f t h e program, d e s p i t e t h e i r improved r e l a t i v e p o s i t i o n . My p o i n t r e a l l y i s n o t t o p r e s u p p o s e t h e n a t u r e of t h i s r e l a t i o n s h i p , but t o a r g u e i t s i m p o r t a n c e f o r t h e s u c c e s s o f w e l f a r e programs o v e r t i m e , and t o u r g e i t s i n c o r p o r a t i o n i n t h e a n a l y t i c a l i n f o r m a t i o n provided t o decision- makers. A c o r r e s p o n d i n g dynamic argument c l e a r l y r e l a t e s t h e c o s t and a b s o l u t e and r e l a t i v e outcome m e a s u r e s o f w e l f a r e programs -bo t h e i r e f f e c t o n unemployment and p r i c e s t a b i l i t y . 81 P e r h a p s t h e m o s t c o n v e n t i o n a l dynamic argument i s t h a t ; r e l a t i n g program c o s t and a b s o l u t e outcome n l e a s u r e s t o t h e e f f e s t s o f t h e program o n work i n c e n t i v e s , A s i n + h e case o f t h e sconomic g r o w t h argument, t h e q u e s $ i o n i s complex, a l t h a u g h we h a v e t h e a s s i s t a n c e i n t h i s c a s e o f t h e e v i d e n c e f r o m t h e New J e r s e y g u a r a n t e e d income e x p e r i m e n t , a n d a c o n s i d -e r a b l e body o f t h e o r e t i c a l and e m p i r i c a l e v i d e n c e . The dynamic dilemma h e r e i s t h a t i f t h e w e l f a r e program r e s u l t s in a r e d u c t i c n i n 1abou.r supply, program c o s t s w i l l be h i g h e r over time, p o v e r t y a l . 1 e v i a t i o n w i l l b e l e s s s u c c e s s f c i , and t h e r e w i l l be d e f i n i t i o n a l i m p l i c a t i o n s for econDrnic growth thrrjugh t h e r e d z c t i o n i n l a b o g r s u p p l y . The work i n s e n t i v e i m p l i c a t i o m o f t h e program woGld c l e a r l y a l s o seem t o be r e l e v a n t t;o i t s p o l i t i c a l a c c e p t a b i l i t y . A g a i n my a r g m e n t i s s i m p l y t h a t f o r t41e s e t of a l t e r n a t i v e prog.rams u n d e r C o n s i d e r a t i o n t h e wzrk i n c e n t i v z i m p l i c a t i o n s o f e a c h p r o g r a m O v e r time be e x p l o r e d and p r e s e n t e d t o t h e d e c i s i o n - m a k e r . T h e dynamic i n t e r - r e l a t i o n s h i p s o f ou.tcame a e a s v - r e s a r e , alas, v e r y uziierous. May Is u g g e s t o n l y t w c more o f t h e s e r e l a t i o n s h i p s . F i r s t , c o n s i d e r t h e e f f e c t o f stigmatization, If a program is c o n s i d e r e d t a be s t i g m a t i z i n g by i t s b e n e f i c i a r i e s , t h e n t h e ext e n t t o which % h e s e e l i g i b l e k e n e f i c i a r i e s e n r o l i n t h e program w i l l be d i m i n i s h e d ; a e c o r d i x g l y , not; o n l y w i l l program c o s t o v e r t i m e be l e s s , 3u-t s o ELLSOw i l l t h e p r o g r a m v s s u c c e s s i n p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n . Second, c m s i d e r th.e i m p l l c a t i o n s o f f a m i l y s t a b i l i t y , I f t h e n a t u r e o f a program i s such as t o e n c o u r a g e t h e s p l i t t i n g o f f a m i l i e s , t h e n progrwn c c s t w i l l b e h i g h e r o v e r t i m e and t h e progran's m c c e s s i n p m e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n w i l l . be d i m i n i s h e d , I n SWI, s e r i o u s a n a l y t i c a ' l a d v i c e on t h e perforniance o f a l t e r n a t i v e w e l f a r e r e f o r m nleasixres m u s t concern i t s e l f with c 3 n f l i c t and com-I e m e n t a r i t i e s between p r o g r r m outsomes o v e r t i m e , a n d must s p e c t h e t r a d e - a f f s w h i c h e x i s t between d e s i r e d but c o n f l i c t i n g o u t p u t measures, pf, I would l i k e t o make t w o f i n a l p o i n t s , e a c h r a t h e r b r i e f l y , a n d each r e f l e c t i n g an a s p e c t o f t k e cel?-tral argument c f t h i s s e c t i o n o f t h e paper, S e 1e c t ; i v i t y Versus U n i v e r s a l i t y i f clne a p p r o a c h e s t h e fiesign o f w e l f a r e p o l i c y through t h e a p p a r atus o f economics, i t i s v e r y d i f f i c u l t t o 7.indersterid t h e o l d Fabian argument f o r u n i v e r s a l i t y a s against s e l e c t i v i t y . It seems p r e t t y o b v i o u s , i n d e e d i s s t a t i s t i c a l l y d e m o n s t r a b l e , t h a t i f one a p p r o a c h e s o b j e c t i v e s s u c h 6 s a g g r e g a t e adequacy, o r t a r g e t e f f i c i e n c y , fclr a g i v e n cccst, t h e n t h e s e l e c t i v e , o r i n c o r n e - t e s t e d , a p -p r o a c h i s f a r more c o s t - e f f e c t i v e f o r a g i v e n w e l f a r e b u d g e t ; $he nrgunient f o r u n i v e r s 5 l i t y seems t o f o u n d e r on t h e r o c k o f i n a d e q u a t e payments t o t h o s e inoat i n need. And. y e t t h e F a b i a n s h a d come a l o n g way from t h e 1.830s, and one wonders at t h e i r i n s i s t e n c e om t h e i m p o r t a n c e o f u n i v e r s a l . i t y . There a r e t w o a r g u m e n t s which seem t o s u g g e s t t h a t ‘ u n i v e r s a l p r o g r a n s foml a$ l e a s t a component, o f our o v e r a l l w e l f a r e s t r a t e g y . The f i r s t argument r e l a t e s t o t h e s o c i a l a n d p o l i t i c a l e f f e c t s o f w e l f a r e programs. A. s e l e c t i v e program i s aimed by d e f i n i t i o n at a s t a t i s t i c a l l y d e f i n e d e l i g i b l e p o p u l a t i o n , Suppose, for t h e s a k e o f argument, we d e f i n e t h i s g r o u p as t h e l o w e s t onef i f t h o f t h e p o p u l a t i o n c l a s s i f i e d by income, Then we might a r g u e that t h e p r i n c i p l e s o u r c e o f o p p o s i t i o n t o s u c h programs which b e n e f i t s o l e l y a n d s p e c i f i c a l l y t h e poor might come not from high- income g r o u p s b u t froni t h e g r e a t r a n g e o f f a m i l i e s i n p e r h a p s t h e n e x t t w o - f i f t h s i n terms o f income, who f i n d t h e n i s e l v e s i n a p o s i t i o n of f i n a n c i a l s t r i n g e n c y , who f e e l caught by a v a r i e t y o f f o r c e s o v e r which. t h e y h a v e no c o n t r o l , s u c h as i n f l a t i o n a n d r i s i n g taxes, and who have come t o r e s e n t program p r o p o s a l s i n which t h e y a r e r e p r e s e n t e d as donors and not as recipients. It m i g h t t h u s b e argued. t h a t a s e l e c t i v e scheme would c r e a t e s o c i a l disharmony by c r e a t i n g an a r b i t r a r y and e r r o n e o u s l y s h a r p l i n e between t h e s t a t i s t i c a l l y d e f i n e d p o o r a n d non- poor, a n d b y f a i l i n g t o s t r e s s t h e n e e d s and d i s c G n t e n t s s h a r e d by t h e s e groups. It i s p e r h a p s t r u e t h a t t h i s argument i s n o t as s t r o n g i n Australia o r Canada as i t i s i n t h e U n i t e d S t a t e s , where t h e r e a r e i m p o r t a n t dimensions o f r a c e a n d r e g i o n i n v o l v e d , b u t t h e g e n e r a l argument i s s u r e l y r e l e v a n t t o t h e p o l i t i c a l a c c e p t a b i l i t y of programs; t h e r e can c e r t a i n l y be l i t t l e d e b a t e on t h e b r o a d p o p u l a r i t y o f U - n i v e r s a l programs i n Australia. a n d o v e r s e a s . The s e c o n d a r g u n e n t i s p e r h a p s a l i t t l e more s u b t l e . It f o l l o w s t h e p r e v i o u s argument i n s t r e s s i n g t h a t s e l e c t i v e w e l f a r e p r o grams r e q u i r e a l e g a l l y e l i g i b l e b e n e f i c i a r y t o concede income inadequ.acy and a r e thus, by d e f i i i i t ion, more s t i g m a t i z i n g than u n i v e r s a l programs which r e q u i r e no such c o n c e s s i o n , To t h i s p o i n t t h e argunient i s i n k e r e s - L i n g b u t p e r h a p s n o t overwhelming. What i s d i s t u r b i n g i s t h a t s u c h stigma niay be a s s o c i a t e d w i t h t h e take- up r a t e a s s o c i a t e d w i t h s e l e c t i v e programs, Recent e v i d e n c e f r o m t h e U.K. s u g g e s t s r e m a r k a b l y l o w take-xp r a t e s f o r s e l e c t i v e programs, i n c l u d i n g an a s t o n i s h i n g 50% take- up r a t e o n t h e w i d e l y a d v e r t i s e d Family Income Supplement. The argument f u r t h e r s u g g e s t s t h a t l o w t a k e - u p r a t e s a r e c o n c e n t r a t e d among It f o l l o w s t h a t a s e l e c t i v e scheme which i s t h o s e most i n need. s t a t i s t i c a l l y more s u c c e s s f u l than a u n i v e r s a l scheme on t h e a s s u m p t i o n o f 100% take- up, may n o t b e more s u c c e s s f u l i f t a k e u p rates a r e s i g n i f k c a n t l y l o w e r t h a n loo%, a n d i f , p a r t i c u l a r l y , l o w take- up i s c o n c e n t r a t e d anlong t h e l o w e s t income g r o u p s . Redistribution o r Poverty Alleviation R e d i s t r i b u t i o n a d p o v e r t y a l l e v i a t i o n were l i s t e d above as r e l a t e d outcome m e a s u r e s , a n d seem o b v i o u s l y complementary. But a r e t h e y ? The a l l e v i a t i o n o f a b s o l u t e p o v e r t y i s an o b j e c t i v e which I b e l i e v e we c a n r e a s o n a b l y a r g u e i s a c c e p t a b l e a c r o s s t h e p o l i t i c a l spectrum. C l e a r l y t h e r e a r e g a i n e r s a n d l o s e r s , b u t t h e c o s t s may b e w i d e l y s p r e a d , a n d t h e goal a c h i e v e d w i t h m i n i m a l e f f e c t on iEcome d i s t r i b u t i o n . If you l i k e , i t i s analogous t o t h e e c o n o m i s t s ' i d e a o f a move towards a P a r e t o o@timurn, where some a r e h e l p e d , a n d n o n e l o s e r s ( o r a t l e a s t not enough t o become p o l i t i c a l l y opposed, o r t o behave e c o n o m i c a l l y i n such a w a y as t o o f f s e t t h e e f f e c t s o f t h e p r o g r a m ) . R e d i s t r i b u t i o n i s q u i t e a n o t h e r m a t t e r . By d e f i n i t i o n , it inv o l v e s , a n d i s i n t e n d e d t o i n v o l v e , g a i n e r s and l o s e r s ( t o cont i n u e t h e P a r e t i a n a n a l o g y above, we a r e i n t h e z e r o siun gane c a s e where what i s g a i n e d by t h e b e n e f i c i a r i e s m u s t b e l o s t by t h e c o n t r i b u t o r s ) a a d a program couched e x p l i c i t l y i n t h i s way i s l i k e l y t o create p o l i t i c a l opposition. Further, t h e question or" t r a d e - o f f s o v e r t i m e i n r e l a t i o n t o economic g r o w t h and t h e whole dilemma, o u t l i n e d above, o f a b s o l u t e income l e v e l s a n d r e l a t i v e income s h a r e s o v e r t i m e , become c e n t r a l t o %he d e b a t e . Now i t i s a l s o true -chat h i s t o r i c a l l y income s h a r e s have p r o v e d remarkably r e s i l i e n t t o a t t e m p t s t o make s u c h s h a r e s mDre e q u a l . It i s g e n e r a l l y a r g u e d t h a t t h i s r e s i l i e n c e i s a t t r i b u t a b l e t o t h e c a p a c i t y o f p o w e r f u l g r o u p s i n t h e economy - i n c l u d i n g t r a d e unions - t o s h i f t t a x e s o v e r t i m e a n d f i x t h e p r i c e o f t h e i r s e r v i c e s a c c o r d i n g t o some n o t i o n o f a p p r o p r i a t e a f t e r tax r e l a t i v i t i e s ; t h u s p r e - r e d i s t r i b u t i v e shares a r e r e s i ; o r e d o v e r t i m e . T h i s argument may b e h e l d t o d i r e c t l y o f f s e t t h e importance of t h e argurrlent o f t h e p r e v i o u s p a r a g r a p h , a l t h o u g h t h e t w o arguments a r e n o t n e c e s s a r i l y m u t u d l y e x c l u s i v e ; u n d e s i r a b l e beh a v i o u r a l r e s p o n s e s o f t h e sort p o s t u l a t e d a r e s t i l l p o s s i b l e , even if, i n t h e aggregate, t h e r e d i s t r i b u t i v e attempt i s o f f s e t . B u t whatever i n t e r p r e t a t i o n we p l a c e o n t h e t w o arguments - t h a t r e d i s t r i b u t i o n may l e a d t o l o w e r a b s o l u t e income o v e r t i m e f o r b e n e f i c i a r i e s d e s p i t e t h e i r r s l a t i v e improvement, o r t h a t r e d i s t r i b u t i o n w i l l n o t b e s u c c e s s f u l anyway, t h e f a c t r e m a i n s t h a t i t i s a much more s w e e p i n g o b j e c t i v e than t h e a l l e v i a t i o n o f poverty. It i s my c o n t e n t i o n t h a t t h e q u e s t i o n o f r e d i s t r i b u t i v e s h a r e s i s a complex s o c i a l i s s u e o n which r e a s o n a b l e p e o p l e may d i s a g r e e . A b s o l u t e d e p r i v a t i o n , o n t h e o t h e r hand, i s s o c i a l l y imrrioral i n an a d v a n c e d s o c i e t y . I would l i k e t r J l e a v e you w i t h t h e s u g g e s t i o n t h a t i t would be a p i t y t o f a i l i n our a t t e m p t t o a l l e v i a t e a b s o l u t e p o v e r t y by c o n f u s i n g t h i s o b j e c t i v e w i t h t h e desire t o transform society. 84 APPENDIX B: PASSING THE BUCK - AN AUSTRALIN GUARANTEED M I N I m INCOME SCHEm By Jan Salmon, B.A., Dip. S o c i a l S t u d i e s , R e s e a r c h Worker, F m i i l y C e n t r e P r o j e c t , B r o t h e r h o o d o f S t . Laurence I n r e c e n t y e a r s t h e r e has b e e n a growing i n t e r e s t i n G u a r a n t e e d Minimnunl Income ( G M I ) schemes as a means o f a l l e v i a t i n g p o v e r t y . T h i s p a p e r looks at an A u s t r a l i a n p r o j e c t where an Income Supplement Scheme w a s p r o v i d e d f o r a group o f l o w income f a m i l i e s o v e r a p e r i o d o f t h r e e y e a r s . The r e s u l t s of' t h i s scheme a r e examined, a n d some i m p l i c a t i o n s a r e drawn about t h e problems o f i m p l e m e n t i n g a G M I scheme. THE FAMILY CENTRE PROJECT T h i s p r o j e c t , known as t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t , was s e t u p t o w a r d s t h e e n d o f 1972 as a r a d i c a l a n d innova-tive c h a l l e n g e t o much o f t h e c o n v e n t i o n a l t h i n k i n g and p r a c t i c e o f s o c i a l work w i t h t n i u l t i - p r o b l e m ' f a m i l i e s . The B r o t h e r h o o d o f S t . Laurence h a d f o r m a y y e a r s been o p e r a t i n g a respected and p r o f e s s i o n a l S o c i a l Work S e r v i c e i n t h e i n n e r Melbourne s u b u r b o f F i t z r o y . W i t h a y e a r l y c a s e l o a d o f 600, most o f whom were low-income f a m i l i e s , i t h a d become an ' e n d - o f - t h e - l i n e ' agency for many p e o p l e . It o f f e r e d some m a t e r i a l r e l i e f a n d casework t o p e o p l e i n t i m e s o f c r i s i s o r , i n many c a s e s , c h r o n i c d i f f i c u l t y . P a r a l l e l w i t h t h i s -programn,e w a s a Y o u t h Work S e r v i c e which h a d - f o r many y e a r s worked w i t h numerous young p e o p l e i n t h e l o c a l i t y - o f t e n i n f a c t t h e c h i l d r e n o f f a n l i l i e s who were c l i e n t s o f t h e S o c i a l Work S e r v i c e. A c o m b i n a t i o n o f a number o f f a c t o r s l e d t o t h e d e c i s i o n t o t e r m i n a t e t h e s e s e r v i c e s a n d s e t u p t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t . The exp e r i e n c e o f t h e s o c i a l work s t a f f c o n t i n u a l l y c o n f r o n t e d them with t h e i r i n a b i l i t y t o s u b s t a n t i a l l y a f f e c t t h e circumstances o f p o v e r t y i n which t h e i r c l i e n t s were s o h o p e l e s s l y t r a p p e d . A B r o t h e r h o o d o f S t . L z n e n c e r e s e a r c h s t u d y confirmed t h e i r f e e l i n g . * R e c e n t developments i n w e l f a r e t h i n k i n g o v e r s e a s were a l s o s u g g e s t i n g t h e n e e d f o r q u i t e new a p p r o a c h e s t o p o v e r t y . * O l N e i l J . a n d Nairn R . , The Have N o t s - A S t u d y o f 1 5 0 Low P'amilies, B r o t h e r h o o d o f S t L a u r e n c e , Melbourne, J m u a r y 1972. . 85 The b a s i c theme u n d e r l y i n g t h e new P r o j e c t w a s .that t h e m o s t c r i t i c a l p r o b l e m f a c e d by t h e p o o r w a s t h e i r c h r o n i c l a c k o f f i n a n c i a l and m a t e r i a l r e s n u r c e s ancl., t h e r e f o r e , of o p p o r t u n i t i e s t o p a r t i c i p a t e on e q u a l t e r m s w i t h o t h e r groups i n t h e l a r g e r s o c i e t y . I n t h i s s i t u a t i o n , p e r s o n a l p r o b l e m s - where t n e y e x i s t e d were s e c o n d a r y and o f t e n d i r e c t l y a t t r i b u t a b l e t o t h e l a c k o f r e s o u r c e s . A c e n t r a l f u n c t i o n o f t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t , t h e r e f o r e , h a d t o b e t h e p r o v i s i o n of r e s o u r c e s and o p p o r t u n i t i e s for p o o r families. A n o t h e r c e n t r a l t e n e t of t h e P r o j e c t w a s t h e a b i l i t y and t h e r i g h t o f poor p e o p l e t o m a k e t h e i r own d e c i s i o n s on. t h e b a s i s o f t h e i r own v a l u e s about t h e i r own l i v e s . It w a s f e l t t h a t t h e conventl o n a l p r a c t i c e o f s o c i a l work, and t h a s t r u c t u r e o f s o c i a 2 work a g e n c i e s , d e n i e d t h i s , e s p e c i a l l y where t h e c l i e n t s were l o w income, w o r k i n g- c l a s s p e o p l e . The Family C e n t r e Proj e c t , t h e r e f o r e , a t t e m p t e d t o b r e a k down t h e formal., f a l s e m d o f t e n a u t h o r i t a r i a n It enr e l a t i o n s h i p between p r o f e s s i o n a l staff and p o o r f a m i l i e s . c o u r a g e d t h e f u l l e s t p a r t i c i p a t i o n o f members i n e v e r y a s p e c t of t h e P r o j e c t , b o t h i n s p e c i f i c r e l a t i o n s h i p s between i n d i v i d u a l s , a n d i n t h e o v e r a l l management and desision-making within t h e Project, - - A r i s i n g l o g i c a l l y from t h e emphases o n a d e q u a t e r e s o u r c e s f o r t h e poor, and t h e r i g h t o f p o a r p e o p l e t o p a r t i z i p a t e o n e q u a l terms i n a c c o r d a n c e w i t h t h e i r own w i s h e s , w a s a c o n c e r n w i t h s o c i a l j u s t i c e and s o c i a l a c t i o n . P o v e r t y w a s s e e n as r e f l e c t i n g s o c i a l s t r u c t u r e s and i n e q u a l i t i e s , and one o f t h e g o a l s o f t h e P r o j e c t w a s t o be: ' t o h e l p t h e f a n i i l i e s t o v i e w t h e m s e l v e s , n o t as p a s s i v e v i c t i m s o f s o c i e t y , but as a c t i v e p a r t i c i p a n t s who a r e p o t e n t i a l l y c a p a b l e o f change. This i n c l u d e s b o t h change i n t h e m s e l v e s and t h e c a p a c i t y t o change t h e environment i n which t h e y l i v e . 1% A s an i m p o r t a n t c o r o l l a r y o f t h i s n o t i o n , i t f o l l o w e d tkat t h e ' P r o b l e m - o r i e n t a t i o n 9 o f much s o c i a l w o r k was seeii as i n a p p r o p r i a t e , and t h a t ' t h e r e d problem o f t h e p o o r w a s t h a t t h e y l a c k e d money.' The o v e r a l l a p p r o a c h o f t h e P r o j e c t was e x p r e s s e d i n t h e u s e f u l s h o r t h a n d f o r n u l a t i o n that i t s a i m w a s t o a c h i e v e , f o r h i t h e r t o d i s a d v a n t a g e d p e o p l e , four t y p e s o f power: * Bern, C o n c e t t a , The Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t - F i r s t P r o j e c t R e p o r t B r o t h e r h o o d o f St L a u r e n c e , Melbourne, Novenber 1972. power pDwer power power over over Gver over resources; de c i s i on-making ; relationships; i n f o r m a t ion. A t t h e o u t s e t , t h e P r o j e c t was s e e n as an experimental. 'demons t r a t i o n p r o j e c t P and a m a j o r r e s e a r c h component s t a f f e d by two t r a i n e d r e s e a r c h w o r k e r s w a s b u i l t in-bo i t . S i x t y f a m i l i e s were i n v i t e d f r o m t h e Brotherhood c a s e l o a d t o be They were s e l e c t e d l a r g e l y on t h e b a s i s o f being t h e most v u l n e r a b l e and n e e d y f a m i l i e s known t o t h e B r o t h e r h o o d and i n c l u d e d a l a r g e nmlber o f single- parent f a n i l i e s , members o f t h e new P r o j e c t i n t h e f i r s t t h r e e y e a r s . In November 1-972 t h e new P r o j e c t cormrsnced i n a l a r g e multip u r p o s e b u i l d i n g i n F i t z r o y , Within a y e a r t h e f o l l o w i n g o b j e c t i$es* were c o n c e p t u a l i z e d a n d a c c e p t e d by s t a f f and f a m i l i e s . 1, To p r o v i d e c o n s i d , e r a b l e r e P o u r c e s t o a g r o u p o f p o o r f a m i l i e s , s o t h a t t h e y can a t t a i n power o v e r t h e s o c i a l a n d economic c o n d i t i o n s which a f f e c t t h e i r l i v e s . 2" To p r o v i d e t h e f a c i l i t i e s and t h e o p p o r t u n i t i e s for t h e s e f a m i l i e s t o become a c q u a i n t e d w i t h t h e p r o c e s s e s a n d t e c h n i q u e s c f decision- making, 3. Through p a r t i c i p a t i o n i n t h e decision- making p r o c e s s i n t h e C e n t r e t o p r o v i d e f a m i l i e s with t h e s k i l l s t o change the s o c i a l s t r u c t u r e o f t h e C e n t r e . 4* To p r o v i d e o p p o r t u n i t i e s f o r t h e f a m i l i e s t o d e t e r m i n e t h e i r O W needs arid t o c o m u n i z a t e t h o s e n e e d s t o t h e l a r g e r comLunity, 5. To p r o v i d e s o c i a l a c t i o n . r e s o u r c e s a n d s k i l l s t o t h e f a m i l i e s s o t h e y can g e n e r a l i z e t h e i r C e n t r e e x p e r i e n c e t o t h e l a r g e r community i n o r d e r t o demand changes i n t h e s o c i a l p o l i c i e s a n d i n s t i t u t i o n s which a f f e c t t h e i r lives, 6, To e v a l u a t e t h e methods u s e d t o a t t a i n t h e above o b j e c t i v e s , and t o c o l l . e c t b a s i c i n - d e p t h data. about t h e n e e d s , s o c i a l c o n d i t i o n s and v a l u e s y s t e m s o f t h e f a m i l i e s t o p r o v i d e them a n d t h e l a r g e r community w i t h t h e power o v e r i n f o r m a t i o n which i s e s s e n t i a l f o r change. * Bern, C . , The Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t - T h i r d P r o g r e s s R e p o r t B r o t h e r h o o d o f St Laurence, Melbourne, F e b r u a r y , 197 4. THE INCOME SUPPLEMENT SCHEME. I n o r d e r t o meet t h e s e o b j e c t i v e s , i t w a s first n e c e s s a r y t o meet a more b a s i c n e e d amongst t h e f a m i l i e s - f i n a n c i a l s e c u r i t y . The Income Supplement Scheme w a s b u i l t i n t o t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t f o r t w o main r e a s o n s . F i r s t l y , i t w a s f e l t that t o i g n o r e t h e b a s i c element o f p o v e r t y , namely i n a d e q u a t e income, would p r e v e n t t h e o v e r a l l s u c c e s s o f t h e program. The Canadian Committee o n P o v e r t y expressed the view ' F r e e d from p r e - o c c u p a t i o n w i t h m e e t i n g t h e b a s i c n e e d s o f survival, many will b e a b l e t o t a k e a d v a n t a g e o f o p p o r t u n i t y programs which w i l l e n a b l e them t o a c h i e v e independence. )* - I n o t h e r words, t h e Income Supplement w a s p r o v i d e d t o f r e e t h e f a m i l i e s o f some o f t h e i r e x t r a o r d i n a r y f i n a n c i a l strains i n o r d e r t h a t t h e y c o u l d p a r t i c i p a t e i n a l l a s p e c t s o f t h e Family C e n t r e Project . Secondly and p r a g m a t i c a l l y , it w a s r e a l i z e d t h a t t h e f a m i l i e s h a d a t t e n d e d t h e f o r m e r S o c i a l Work S e r v i c e a n d had f r e q u e n t l y r e c e i v e d f i n a n c i a l a s s i s t a n c e , It would have b e e n f a c i l e t o assume that t h e s e f a m i l i e s would n o l o n g e r n e e d f i n a n c i a l a i d , The c o n c e p t o f a Guaranteed M i n i m u m Income w a s s e l e c t e d as t h e form o f m e e t i n g t h e i r f i n a n c i a l . n e e d s , r a t h e r than a d i s c r e t i o n a r y ' c h a r i t y - t y p e ' system, which would c o n t r a d i c t t h e p h i l o s o p h y o f t h e Family C e n t r e P r o j e c t , i . e . p r o v i s i o n o f power o v e r r e s o u r c e s , r e l a t i o n s h i p s , information and decision- making. For t h i s r e a s o n , t h e Income Supplement a t t e m p t e d t o meet two c r i t e r i a : That it w a s a r i g h t r a t h e r t h a n a d i s c r e t i o n a r y handout. 1. 2. S i m p l i c i t y - t h e r a t i o n a l e o f t h e scheme needed t o be c l e a r l y u n d e r s t o o d by t h e f a m i l i e s . The Income Supplement Formula Because o f t h e absence o f a n y comprehensive A u s t r a l i a d a t a r e g a r d i n g family e x p e n d i t u r e p a t t e r n s , t h e r e was no e x i s t i l z g s t a n d a r d t h a t would e n s u r e an a d e q u a t e a n d e q u i t a b l e income t o t h e f a m i l i e s . It was d e c i d e d n o t t o u s e P r o f e s s o r H e n d e r s o n ' s ' P o v e r t y L i n e ' because t h e r e w a s v e r y l i t t l e e v i d e n c e t o suggest that it w a s an a d e q u a t e l e v e l and it f a i l e d t o meet t h e second c r i t e r i o n - its r a t i o n a l e was t o o d i f f i c u l t f o r t h e f a m i l i e s t o u n d e r s t a n d . F u r t h e r , it d i d n o t seem a p p r o p r i a t e f o r t h e P r o j e c t t o e n d o r s e t h e a s s u m p t i o n i m p l i c i t i n t h e p o v e r t y l i n e that f a m i l i e s with an income o v e r t h e l i n e were, t h e r e f o r e , n o t i n p o v e r t y . * Report o f t h e S p e c i a l S e n a t e Committee on P o v e r t y , P o v e r t y i n Canada, p.175, O t t a w a 1971. The Income Sixppl emenb rias 1;wo f e a t u r e s : and a r e n t a l wbsidly. a rninimunl n e e d s u b s i d y This wag ' b a s e d . 013. t h e min.j.ini!xn wage a n d c h i l d endowment, and i s adjixated f o r .the n3:~fi~'loer o f p a r e n t s and c h i l d r e n , t h e t y p e o f a c c o m i o d a t i o n , and ,the work x - b a t u s o f t h e p a r e n t s , The minimm1 wage was b r o k m ci,c~wain-to c o s t components which were d e r i v e d f r o m a simpl.ificakinu of H m d . ~ m o nsOs-tan6w-d c o s t s , Simplification w a s necessa.@y for % W O r e a a c n s , F i r s k l y , a.t t h e t i m e o f c c n s t r u c -t;i,on o f t h e .1.:.a.bl.r:., k n o w l e d g s o f t h e group w a s i n c o m p l e t e . T h i s made es'tima.l:ion o f -Lhe c o s t o f t h e Income Supplement i m p o s s i b l e with.ou.G rnalchg 'cer.tain aaaump"tionw, S e c o n d l y , i t was d e s i r e d t o c o n s t r u c t a s::al,a whi.ch c o u l d 'be readily u n d e r s t o o d by t h e f a m i l i e s and easy to a d m i n i s t ; e r , The s i r n p l . i , f i a d s-Land.arc3, c o s t s were c a L x L a t e d by r e p l i c a t i n g t h e Henderson s?;anrj.a.rd c o s t s s c a l e o v e r a. r a n g e o f income u n i t s . R e p 1 i c a t i . m was ach,irz?ved by m.aking t h e EoEl-owing a s s u m p t i o n s : I, . A l l males were xn.der 40 y e a r s o f a g e , 2. The s t a n d a r - d cout;x o f a, malle and. f e m a l e a t home and a t work were e q m : L , The standard c o s t o f t h e first child w a s eqv-a1 t o a male c h i l d argon. be,.tween s i x and f i f t e e n years. With -these axai;l.mpt;ions, a r b i t r a r y v a l u e s o f t h e s t a n d a r d c o s t of an a d d i t i o n a l c h i l d . and s t m . d a r d c o s t o f accomnIodation were ass i g n e d by tri.e,lL and e r r o r .until. t h e y z c h i e v e d a c l o s e approxima t i o n t o Hend.ersonus fomnmla, * This r e f e r s to t k e l e v e l o f p e n s i o n s s e t i n 1972. These s i m p l i f i e d s t a n d a r d c o s t s were then e q u a t e d t o t h e m i n i m u m wage by a s c a l i n g f a c t o r . In o t h e r words, t h e s i m p l i f i e d s t a n d a r d c o s t s were s c a l e d down by a p e r c e n t a g e , s o that t h e sum o f t h e standard c o s t s o f the so-ca3led a v e r a g e f a l i l y ( t w o p a r e n t s , t w o c h i l d r e n l i v i n g i n a h o u s e , with one p a r e n t working) w a s e q u a l t o t h e m i n i m m wage, e.g. when t h e m i n i m u m wage w a s $51.00 t h e T a b l e 1 summarizes this transformation. s c a l i n g f a c t o r was 75. 25%. The Income Supplement Assessment T a b l e w a s c o n s t r u c t e d by a d d i n g t h e a p p r o p r i a t e s t a n d a r d c o s t s o f a range of family s i t u a t i o n s . T a b l e 11 shows t h e M i n i m u Need L e v e l s . The M i n i m m i Reed Subsidy i s t h e amount by which t h e f a m i l y ' s income i s l e s s than t h e m i n i m u m n e e d l e v e l . When t h e f a m i l y ' s m c m e exceeds t h e m i n i m m 1 n e e d l e v e l , t h e r e i s n o m i n i m u m n e e d subsidy p a i d . In o t h e r words, t h e Income Supplement i n c o r p o r a t e s a 1005 t a x a t i o n r a t e . The 100% t a x a t i o n r a t e w a s s e l e c t e d for t w o p r a g m a t i c reasons. It w a s s i m p l e r t o u n d e r s t a n d , a n d i t was cheaper. Budgetary c o n s i d e r a t i o n s a r e n a t u r a l l y o f m a j o r i m p o r tance i n a v o l u n t a r y agency. Rent; Subsidy It w a s asswiled t h a t no f a m i l y s h o u l d p a y more than a q u a r t e r of i t s t o t a l s u b s i d i z e d income on r e n t . If they did, t h e d e f i c i t w a s p a i d as a r e n t subsidy. The scheme w a s a d m i n i s t e r e d o n a weekly b a s i s . The supplement w a s p a i d i n t h e f o r m o f a cheque whizh w a s cashed w i t h i n t h e C e n t r e , Il@LICATIONS OF THE INCOME SUPPLEMENT : I. D e f i n i t i o n s Any income main5enance scheme r e q u i r e s a s e t o f o p e r a t i o n a l d e fi n i t i o n s o f c e r t a i n terms, e . g . t h e income u n i t , income. I m p l i c i t i n e a c h o f t h e s e d i f i n i t i o n s a r e v a l u e judgments. (a) The Income U n i t : U n t i l t h e Income Supplement Programs b e g a n , i t was n a i v e l y assumed t h a t t h e r e would be few d i f f i c u l t i e s i n d e f i n i n g what would be t h e income u n i t . S i x t y f a m i l i e s had been t o j o i n t h e P r o j e c t , a n d i t w a s thought t h a t t h e y would be p a i d on t h e basis o f t h e family unit. The s i t u a t i o n o f b o a r d e r s l i v i n g w i t h a f a m i l y h a d been a n t i c i p a t e d : i t was assumed t h a t $6.00 w a s a d e q u a t e t o c o v e r t h e c o s t s o f a b o a r d e r Any a d d i t i o n a l b o a r d w a s assumed t o g o (food, f u e l e t c . ) . towards paying t h e f m i l y P s r e n t . For i n s t a n c e , i f a b o a r d e r p a i d $10,00, $6,00 w a s asawned t o meet h i s e x p e n s e s , and t h e r e m a i n i n g $4.00 r e d u c e d t h e f a m i l y ' s r e n t ( f o r exmp1.e from $20.00 te @-6.00). The r e n t s u b s i d y was t h e n c a l , c u . l a t e d o n t h e a d j u s t e d - r e n t o f $16,00. Problems arose b e c a u s e o f t h e complex r e l a t i o n s h i p s within t h e f a m i l i e s . s01ne f a m j . l i e s had d i s t a n t r e l a t i v e s l i v i n g w i t h them who may o r may no-t pay b o a r d , The d i s t i n c t i o n b e t w e e n f a m i l i e s as one- or two- parent f a m i l i e s c o v e r e d most s i t u a t i o n s ; however, t h e r e were some Some f a m i l y r e l a t i o n s h i p s were n o t v e r y s t a b l e ; anomalies. e . g . some de f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p s l a s t e d o n l y weeks o r months. In t h e s e c a s e s , t h e problem l i e s w i t h d e c i d i n g wh.ether t h e c o u p l e p o o l t h e i r r e s o u r c e s o r n o t , and w h e t h e r t o i n c l u d e t h e m a n i n t h e payment u n i t , , U n d e r l y i n g t h e s e d e c i s i o n s i s a v a l u e judgment, namely t h a t t h e man s h o u l d . p r o v i d e f o r t h e woman. We know t h a t t h i s i s n o t n e c e s s a . r i l y t h e c a s e , e v e n w i t h s t a b l e de f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p s , For i n s t a n c e , can a woman r e c e i v i n g a p e n s i o n exp e c t her de f a c t o husband t o s u p p o r t h e r a n d h e r c h i l d r e n ? The r e a l i t y o f t h e s i t u a t i o n i s f r e q u e n t l y t h a t t h e man i s an irregular w o r k e r a.nd, t h e r e f o r e , u n a b l e to s u p p o r 5 t h e family. F o r - t h i s r e a s o n , t h e woman may c o n t i n u e t o r e c e i v e t h e pension a n d i n d o i n g s o w i l l be b r e a k i n g t h e l a w . Womeii a r e n o t e n t i t l e d t o t h e W i d o w o x P e n s i o n or S u p p o r t i n g M o t h e r s P B e n e f i t if t h e y a r e i i v i n g i n a de f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p ; -the e x i s t i n g s o c i a l s e c u r i t y system makes a d i s t i n c t i o n b e t we e n s e mal r e l a t i o n s h i p s a n d d o m e s t i c r e l a t i o n s h i p s , y e t i n d e c i d i n g t h e n a t u r e o f a r e l a t i o n s h i p , it i s f r e q u e n t l y s u f f i c i e n t e v i d e n c e for a p e n s i o n / b e n e f i t t o b e c u t o f f i f t h e r e i s a man o n t h e s c e n e { , O b o o t s u n d e r t h e b e d ' syndrome). J u s t r e c e n t l y a group i n Queensland l a u n c h e d a campaign against t h e S o c i a l S e c u r i t y Department o n t h i s v e r y issue. This illus-brates how t h e S o c i a l S e c u r i t y system can c o n t r o l p e o p l e u s l i v e s , and a f f e c t t h e s o r t s o f r e l a t i o n s h i p s which p e o p l e c a n form. Problems a l s o o c c u r w i t h c l a s s i f i c a t i o n c f d e p e n d e n t s . A l l o w a n c e s had t o b e made for c h i l d r e n i n i n s t i t u t i o n s where p a r e n t s were p a r t i a l 1 . y r e s p o n s i b l e for t h e c h i l d r e n ' s upkeep. B u t vvha'c about t h e few o c c a s i o n s when p a r e n t s d i d n o t have t o pay institutions? Frequently t h e s e p a r e n t s s t i l l had -to i n c u r t h e c o s t s o f t r a v e l l i n g t o i n s t i t u t i o n s , b u y i n g c l o t h e s , e t c . These axe t h e c o s t s o f b e i n g an i n t e r e s t e d p a r e n t maintaining c o n t a c t w i t h a c h i l d . 91 (b) Income In one way t h e d e f i n i t b n o f income w a s a f a i r l y s i m p l e p r o c e d u r e s i n c e t h e f a m i l i e s h a d few o r no a s s e t s . Net income w a s u s e d r a t h e r than g r o s s income, b e c a u s e i t w a s found t h a t few f a m i l i e s e v e r go t h r o u g h t h e p r o c e s s o f making a t a x claim. One o f t h e f e a t u r e s o f l o w income l i v i n g i s housing m o b i l i t y . The families change h o u s i n g s o f r e q u e n t l y t h a t group c e r t i f i c a t e s would p r o b a b l y never reach families, In u s i n g t L e t o t a l income o f t h e income u n i t as t h e b a s i s o f t h e c a l c u l a t i o n o f t h e s u b s i d y , one i s assuming that t h e income i s p o o l e d by t h e f a m i l y . It has a l r e a d y b e e n p o i n t e d o u t t h a t t h i s i s n o t t h e c a s e In de f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p s . Even with m a r i t a l r e l a t i o n s h i p s , it i s n o t nece s s a r i l y t h e c a s e . It depends o n who r e c e i v e s t h e income and who i s r e s p o n s i b l e f o r t h e h o u s e h o l d f i n a n c e s . For i m t a n c e , t h e husband may not g i v e h i s wife s u f f i c i e n t money o u t o f t h e pay- packet t o manage t h e h o u s e h o l d . However, d i f f i c u l t i e s also a r i s e where f a m i l i e s r e c e i v e invalid pensions. In t h e s e c a s e s , t h e p e n s i o n i s d i v i d e d i n t o a husbandvs aad w i f e ' s allowance. Frequently t h e s e f a m i l i e s e x p e r i e n c e c h r o n i c f i n a n c i a l problems b e c a u s e t h e husbalzd a s s m i e s t h a t t h e w i f e c a n manage t h e h o u s e h o l d o n h e r allowance. The S o c i a l S e c u r i t y system d o e s n o t have t h e r i g h t t o d i c t a t e how a f a m i l y h a n d l e s i t s r e s o u r c e s , y e t b y s e l e c t i n g a method o f payment it can i n f l u e n c e f a m i l i e s ' a b i l i t i e s t o cope. P e r h a p s t h e o n l y nlethod i s t o l e a v e it t o t h e i n d i v i d u a l incoFe u n i t t o d e c i d e who should r e c e i v e t h e subsidy, 2. Administration A s e c o n d m a j o r problem a r e a i s t h a t o f administration o f an income a a i n t e n a n c e scheme. It cannot b e assumed t h a t t h e family s i t u a t i o n w i l l remain c o n s t a n t . De f a c t o r e l a t i o n s h i p s form a n d b r e a k up, c h i l d r e n oome m d g o froni i n s t i t u t i o n s , and f a m i l i e s change housing at a r a p i d r a t e and, m o s t i m p o r t a n t l y , t h e income p a t t e r n s v a r y enormously. This has i m p l i c a t i o n s f o r : (a) The f l e x i b i l i t y of t h e scheme, The p e r i o d o f a c c o u n t i n g . 92 c------> Flc?x~*bi,2.i-Lo f th9 Scheme -___1_ The p r e s e n t S o c i a l S e c i n - i t y system i s i n . s u f f i c i e n t 1 y f l e x i b l e t o nccou.nt for f a m i l y changes. We h a v e found that g e n e r a l . l y f a m i l i e s s u . f f e r a d e l a y o f two weeks if t h e y change t h e i r s d - d r e s s , It i s e v e n more c o m p l i c a t e d when c h i l d r e n move i n a.nd out o f i n s t i t u t i o n s . I t i s a s t r a n g e thing tha% -t?Jne s y s t e m seems v e r y a d e p t at d e d u c t i n g a c h i l d ' s tLLl,owaul!:e frcrri a p e n s i o n e r , y e t it can t a k e weeks o r months f o r t h i s a.l,iowance t o b e r e i n s t a t e d when t h e c h i l d r e t u r n s home. It i s for t h i s r e a s o n t h a t some f a m i l i e s o p t f o r p e r a o n a l . l y p a y i n g i n s t i t u t i o n s r a t h e r than having t h e ded u c k i o n s aint;omat,icd-ly -t&en from t h e i r pen.sions t o pay the institutions, Under t h e presen-ti scheme, i t was p o s s i b l e t o account for t h e s e changes because t h e f a n l i l i e s p e r s o n a l l y a t t e n d e d t h e C e n t r e e a c h week, It i s clou.btfu3, whether a n a t i o n a l scheme cou1.d r e v i e w i n f o r m a t i o n weekly. The p r e s e n t d i f f i c u l t i e s f a c e d by t h e S o c i a l- S e c u r i t y Department i n t h e i r payment of ian.ew1ploplent b e n e f i t s b e a r o u t t h i s p o i n t . (b) P e r i o d o f Aoccoimting The Income Supplerncnt has used a weekly p e r i o d o f a c c o u n t i n g . It WRE d i s c o v e r e d i n t h e e a r l y stages o f t h e scheme t h a t re-I;rospec-l;ive payments ( e v e n on a weekly b a s i s ) s e v e r e l y a f f e c t e d . t h e f a m i l i e s P a b i l i t y t o manage f i n a n c i a l l y o The s u b s i R y WBA i n i t i i a l . l y a s s e s s e d o n t h e p r e v i o u s week's income. This meant- tha% if f a m i l i e s had a v e r y low income, t h e i r i.nc,me wou.1.d n o t 'ne r a i s e d t o t h e m i n i m u m n e e d l e v e l u n t i l n e a r l y a week l a t e r . k . r i n g t h a t week t h e family would g e t b e h i n d i n t h e i r rental an3 hire p u r c h a s e payments b e c a u s e t h e y h a d no savings, Thess f a m i l i e s c o u l d n e v e r c a t c h UP u n l e s s t h e s u b s i d y was p r o v i d e d on a p r o s p e c t i v e basis, i . e . o n t h e basis o f t h e inc3me -that a f a m i l y would have t o manage o n f o r t h e coming week. 1% is i n c o r r e c t t o assuine t h a t f a m i l i e s w i l l have f i n a n c i a l res9rvEts t o t i d e them o v e r during l e a n times. The W i s c o n s i n Income M a i n t e n a n c e Zxperiment made t h i s a s s u m p t i o n and u s e d a quart-er1.y a c c o u n t i n g p e r i o d . , It was p o s s i b l y due t o t h i s f a c - t a r that s0m.e 1..cw income f a n , i l i e s dropped out o f t h e experiment , The e x p e r i m e n t a l . g r o u p had t o choose between r e c e i v i n g e x p e r i m e n t a l payments o r n o r m a l s o c i a l . s e c u r i t y paymen-l-s, Tkc e x p e r i m e n t a l payments were made p r o s p e c t i v e l y w h i l e t h e s o c i a l . s e c u r i t y payments were made r e t r o s p e c t i v e l y . For t h i s r e a s o n , some o f t h e e x p e r i e m e n t d g r o u p found it p r e f e r a b l e t o r e t u r n t o t h e n o r m a l s o c i a l s e c u r i t y payments.* The S e a t t l e - D e n v e r e x p e r i m e n t , on t h e o t h e r hand, was more aware o f t h i s problem, a n d made s p e c i a l p r o v i s i o n s f o r p e o p l e whose a n t i c i p a t e d income w a s e x p e c t e d t o be low. ThBse f a m i l i e s could subn,it a f o r t n i g h t l y income s t a t e m e n t The S e a t t l e - D e n v e r scheme a n d r e c e i v e an a d v a n c e payment a l s o u t i l i z e d a f i e l d o f f i c e where p e o p l e i n v o l v e d i n t h e experiment c o u l d r e p o r t . e It i s okviou-s from t h e r e s u l t s o f t h e Income Supplement scheme t h a t t h e r e t r o s p e c t i v e payment s y s t e m o f o u r unemployment and s i c k n e s s b e n e f i t scheme i s one o f t h e greate s t s o u r c e s o f inconLe i n s e c u r i t y amongst t h e f a m i l i e s . Unt i l t h i s y e a r it t o o k at l e a s t t h r e e weeks f o r t h e family t o r e c e i v e i t s f i r s t unemploynent b e n e f i t cheque. In o t h e r words, i f t h e r e h a d b e e c n o Income Supplement, f a m i l i e s would h a v e been d e s t i t u t e f o r t h r e e weeks. T a b l e I 1 1 shows % h e Inccme d i s t r i b u t i o n o f h u s b a n d ' s m a j o r s o u r c e o f income between F e S r u a r y 1973 and O c t o b e r 1974. To u n d e r s t a n d t h i s t a b l e i t i s n e c e s s a r y t o f i r s t e x p l a i n how t h e t a b l e w a s compiled. In any week i t i s p o s s i b l e t o p r e s e n t a snap- shot d e s c r i p t ion of t h e s m , p l e ; for example, t h e number o f f a m i l i e s l i v i n g i n pu-blic housing. However, o v e r t h e p e r i o d from February 1973 t o O c t o b e r 1974 (87 weeks) many changes i n t h e f a m i l i e s * s i t u a , t i o n s Lave b e e n recorded., A f a m i l y may move from p u b l i c k m s i n g t o p r i v a t e housing. Furthermore, t h e group h a s graclually i n c r e a s e d from 56 f a m i l i e s t o 64. 1%w a s f e l t t h a t a surmation crf t h e d a t a would r e v e a l a more a c c u r a t e d e s c r i p t i o n than taking one w e e k t s d a t a bec a u s e it minimized m y random f l u c t u a t i o n s . In summing t h e d a t a , c o n f u s i o n In c a t e g o r i z a t i o n r e s u l t s f r o m t h e f a m i l i e s changing s i t u a t i o n s ; f o r example, f a m i l i e s may move from one c a t e g o r y t o a n o t h e r o v e r t i m e . It was, t h e r e f o r e , d e c i d e d n o t t o d e s c r i b e t h e f r e q u e n c y o f a phenomenon o c c u r r i n g in terms o f t h e n u n h e r o f f a m i l i e s . A n a l t e r n a t i v e measure w a s s e l e c t e d , namely t h e i n s t a n c e o f a phenomenon o c c u r r i n g i n a week. * This i n f o r m a t i o n w a s p r o v i d e d p e r s o n a l l y t o t h e author by I r v . G a r f i u k e l . 94 TABLE I11 I l I S T R I R U T I O N OF HUSBAND'S MAJOR SOURCE OF INCOlV3* I Income ( $ p s r week) Zero Income 1 - 10 11 - 20 21 - 30 32- - 40 41 - 50 51 61 - 60 - 70 71 and o v e r No a n s w e r s I Total : $ Instances N = 2613 29.0 .3@6 7.6 13.3 8.7 8.0 ll*9 4. 2 4.9 8.8 100.0 Mean Income w a s $27.1 p e r week Table 1 1 1 c l e a r l y d e m o n s t r a t e s t h e r e l a t i v e l y high number o f i n s t a n c e s where t n men ~ r e c e i v e d n o income a t a l l . This o c c u r r e d p r i m a r i l y when t h e y were unemployed o r s i c k , a n d e i t h e r not e n t i t l e d t o b e n e f i t s ( t h e i n d i v i d u a l s a r e n o t ent i t l e d t o b e n e f i t s during t h e f i r s t s e v e n days of unemployment o r s i c k n e s s ) o r were waiting f o r t h e i r b e n e f i t s t o a r r i v e . This waiting t i m 2 d e t e r s p e o p l e f r o m a p p l y i n g for b e n e f i t s . * A few men r e c e i v e d mQre than one s o u r c e o f income. Bezause t h ? amoulnt r e c e i v e d from t h e s e c o n d s o u r c e w a s g e n e r a l l y v e r y s m a l l , i t has b e e n i g n o r e d f o r t h e purposes o f t h i s paper. Exanplea o f t h i s second s o u r c e o f income were c h i l d e n d o m a n t o r a p a r t i a l r e p a t r i a t i o n pension. 95 The i m p 1 , i c a t i o n s o f t h e s e r e s u l t s s h o u l d be apparent. If an income maintenance scheme i s t o provide income s e c u r i t y , i t cannot be b a s e d on a r e t r o s p e c t i v e method o f payment, f u r t h e r m o r e , an i n f l e x i b l e scheme with i n b u i l t d e l a y s d i s c o u r a g e s t h o s e most i n need from u s i n g i t . 3. Work I n c e n t i v e . The m a j o r bone of c o n t e n t i o n with t h e concept of a GMI i s whether p e o p l e w i l l s t o p working when g u a r a n t e e d a minimuni income, From t h e Income Supplement da,ta c o l l e c t e d o v e r 87 weeks, one f a c t c l e a r l y emerged. P e o p l e work f o r o t h e r r e a s o n s a p a r t f r o m money. A p e r s o n ' s work p a t t e r n i s a complex m a t t e r . It i s a f u n c t i o n o f e d u c a t i o n , j o b s k i l l s , a t t i t u d e s t o work, j o b h i s t o r y , s e l f - e s t e e l and, m o s t i m p o r t a n t l y , o p p o r t u n i t i e s i n t h e l a b o u r market. The men* on t h e whol,e a r e u n s k i l l e d workers who change j o b s f r e q u e n t l y . With t h e e x c e p t i o n o f two men, no men have completed t h e n i n t h g r a d e o r i n t e r m e d i a t e s t a n d a r d o f education. In t h e two y e a r p e r i o d between February 1973 and February 1975, o n l y t h r e e men h e l d t h e same j o b . I t i s more usual f o r t h e men t o h o l d j o b s for it few months. They l e a v e j o b s because o f a combination of f a c t o r s ; t h e most f r e q u e n t l y c i t e d r e a s o n b e i n g p o o r working condi-ti0n.s. Theywork b e c a u s e t h e y . f e e l t h a t t h e y ought t o work t o p r o v i d e f o r t h e i r f a m i . l i e s , y e t few men s e e work as a means o f gaining fulfilmen-l;. O f 17 men i n t e r v i e w e d , only t h r e e said that i f t h e y h a d t h e o p t i o n o f b e i n g p r o v i d e d with an income, t h e y would p r e f e r n o t t o work, This i s b o r n e out by t h e f a c t t h a t t h e nieri k e e p re-Lurning *bo -the work f o r c e o r at l e a s t changing jobs. On t h e o t h e r hand, Tab1,e 1 V i s comparing ,the i n s t a n c e s of men working and unemployed o v e r t w o p e r i o d s o f time, and it shows a s i g n . i f i c a n - t drop in t h e number working. A l t h o u g h t h e r e s u l t t e n d s t o confirnl t h e a s s e r t i o n t h a t a G M I would r e d u c e work i n c e n t i v e , i t i s not p o s s i b l e t o deduce from t h e - t a b l e whether t h e drop i s due t o t h e Income Supplement scheme, o r t h e g e n e r a l d e c l i n e i n t h e l a b o u r market. F u r t h e r data anaLysis i s n e e d e d t o a s c e r t a i n which e f f s c t i s predominant. * Women were exclu,ded from d i s c u s s i o n i n t h i s paper because t y p i c a l l y t h e y d i d not work. 96 WORK STATUS OF I E N Work S t a t u s Feb. 1973 Oct. 1973 $ Instances N = 104-5 Home Du-bles NOV. 1973 Oct. 1974 Instances N = 1568 Total $ Instances N = 2613 8.4 Unemploys d 20.2 Working 40.1 Other 27.1 N.A. Total : 4.2 100 X2 = 15.88, 4 . d f (~40.01) c o N c L ~ J s I o: ~ This p a p e r has briefly I i s c u s s e d some o f t h e p r o b l e m s that have a r i s e n i n a d m i n i s t e r i n g a G M I scheme aniongat low- income f a n d i e s . T h i s p a p e r has dwelt on t h e d i f f i c u l t i e s e n c o u n t e r e d r a t h e r t h a n %he o b v i o u s a d v a n t a g e s o f t h e schemes as e v i d e n c e d i n t h e P r o j e c t . U n l e s s t h e s e d i f f i c u l t i e s a r e r e c o g n i z e d , a GMI scheme will n o t s u b s t a n t i a l l y improve t h e p l i g h t o f low- income families. c o m 0 0 P-g L?o! m a L ? L ? 0 N P r o m P %? d ?L? 0 O 0 uj C'J. l CO nl o m n 0 z P c L 0 0 90. zs 0 0 0 o . Q . 9 o i n L ? ? m ncu r ? 0 ? P - 99 APPENDIX C: - THE LEVEL OF A G'JARANTEED MINIMUM INCOME - by R , J . A , H a r p e r , S e n i o r L x t u r e r i n Economics U n i v e r a i . t y sf I i k l k 4 o ~ z L ~ ~ SYNOPSIS The l e v e l a t which a guara.nteed m i n i m u m income i s s e t depends on t h e answers t o a n m b e r o f complex and i n t e r - r e l a t e d questions. The main q u e s t i o n s which I t h i n k n e e d t o be c o n s i d e r e d can be grouped u n d e r t h e f o l l o w i n g h e a d i n g s : 1. The e l e m e n t s of a g u a r a n t e e d income scheme * t h e l e v e l of t h e guarantee? * t h e r a t e o f taper? * t h e break- even p o i n t ? 2. The purpose o f t h e scheme * anti- poverty? * r a t i o n a l i z a t i o n o f t a x and s o c i a l s e c u r i t y p o l i c i e s ? * i n c r e a s e e q u i t y i n t h e t a x system? 3. The r e c i p i e n t s of t h e g u a r a n t e e d income * universal o r selective? * t r e a t m e n t o f dependants? * work t e s t ? 4. What t h e g u a r a n t e e d income p r o v i s i o n s w o u l d r e p l a c e * t a x concessions? * existing social security benefits? * c h i l d endowment? 5. The r e l a t i o n s h i p of t h e g x a r a n t e e d income t o e x i s t i n g and o t h e r p r o p o s e 2 schemes o f income maintenance. 6. The r e l a t i o n s h i p o f t h e scheme t o t a x r a t e s and work i n c e n t Fves. 7. The c o s t o f t h e scherne. 100 APPE;rNDIX D: PMTICIPANTS OF THE SEMINAR P U T ICIEANTS M s . I?. Apps L e c t u r e r , DEPARTMENT OF TOWN & COUNTRY PLANNING, SYDNEY UNIVERSITY M s . G. A t h e r d o n V i c e P r e s i d e n t , ASSOCIATION OF CIVILIAN WIDOWS M r . W. Bach DEPT. OF CEI1sSUS & STATISTICS, and member o f ACOXS t a s k g r o u p on GMI* M r , B. B c l c h e r P r e s i d e n t , AUSTRALIAll ASSOCIATION OF SOCIAL WORKEXS Mr. C . Benjaiiiin D i r e c t o r , VCOSS, r e p r e s e n t i n g AUSTRALIAB ASSOCIATION OF SOCIAL WORKERS a M s . NI, B e s t C o u n c i l for t h e S i n g l e Mother & Her C h i l d r e p r e s e n t i n g VICTORIAN COUNCIL OF SOCIAL SERVICE. M s . M. Coleman Chairman, SOCIAL WELFARE COMMISSION. Prof, J . Cu-tt Professor, A d m i n i s t r a t i v e S t u d i e s , . ECONOMICS DEPARTMENT) AUSTRALIAN NAT IONAL UN IVERS I T Y Mr. P. Cu-t.tance R e s e a r c h S c h o l a r , INSTITUTE OF APPLIED ECONOMIC RESEARCH, and member of t h e ACOSS t a s k group on G M I . (.IO) ~ r W. . Curran Australian Meat I n d u s t r i e s Employees Union re p r e s e n t i n g VICTORIAN COUNCIL OF SOCIAL SERVICE. (11) M s . I, E l l i s National S e c r e t a r y , AUSTRALIAN COMMONWEALTH PENSIONERS FEDESIATION. (12) Major G o F i s c h e r S e c r e t a r y , S e n i o r C i t i z e n s & Rehabili t a t i o n r e p r e s e n t i n g SALVATION ARMY. (13) Ms. C . F l e c h e r LIBERAL PARTY SECRETARIAT * Guarant e ed M i n i m u m Income . 101 COMMITTEE OF INQUIRY, I PARTICIPANTS ORGANISATION G (14) Mr. POVERTY INQUIRY. (15) M s . E. G o o n e r a t n e R e s e a r c h O f f i c e r , RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, and c o r r e s p o n d i n g m e m b e r o f t h e ACOSS t a s k group o n GMI. (16) Mr. D. G r i f f i t h s S o c i a l P o l i c y O f f i c e r , BROTHEXHOOD OF S T . LAURENCE. J, Gibson (17) Hr. J . H a r p e r S e n i o r L e c t u r e r , FACULTY OF ECONOMICS MELBOURNE UNIVERSITY, and m e m b e r o f t k e ACOSS t a s k group o n G M I , and o f t h e ACOSS Standing C o m m i t t e e o n E c o n o n l i c s & S o c i a l Welfare. (18) NATIONAL COUNCIL FOR THE SINGLE MOTHER AND HER CHILD. M s . P. H a r p e r (19) M r . J. C o a t e s (20) Mr. A. H a y e s (21) M r . P. H o l l i n g w o r t h f o r D e n i s t o n e , and s e c r e t a r y f o r t h e WELFARE CAUCUS COMMITTEE. M,P, Welfare Manager, C i v i l i a n M a i m e d & L i m b l e s s A s s o c i a t i o n N. S.W., r e p r e s e n t i n g AUSTRALIAN COUNCIL FOR THE RE-KX3ILITATION OF THE DISABLED. Secretary, Social R e s p o n s i b i l i t i e s Committee, CHURCH OF ENGLAND I N AUSTRALIA. (22) Mr. M. H o r s b u r g D e p a r t m e n t o f S o c i a l Work, Sydney U n i v e r s i t y r e p r e s e n t i n g NEW SOUTH WALES COUNCIL OF SOCIAL SERVICE. (23) Ms. S. Horne L e c t u r e r , SOCIAL STUDIES, MELBOURNE UNIVERSITY, and m e m b e r o f t h e ACOSS t a s k g r o u p on GMI, and c h a i r m a n o f t h e ACOSS Standing C o m m i t t e e o n E c o n o m i c s & S o c i a l Welfare. (24) M r , A.L. H o w a r d R e s e a r c h O f f i c e r , CENTFLAL INDUSTRIAL SECRETARIAT - EMPLOYERS FEDERATION. I -PARTICIPANTS UYI (25) M r . M. J o h n s t o n (26) M s . M. K e l l e y T , Law-ton (27) MY. (28) Mse M. L e w k o n o w i c z (29) MI-. M. Z i f f m a n L)irec+i;or, S o c i % l Work S c ~ v i c e ,V i c t o r i a i l D i v i s i o n AUSTRALIAN RED CRGSS (I Iliri!c-Lor, E d u c a t ; i o n &- Welfa,re, L e g i s l a t i v e R e s e a r c h , PARLIAMEITTARY LIBRARY ,, R e s e a r c h Worker, BROTFEXHOOD 3F SY. LAURENCE, and chairman of :he ACOSS t a s k grou-p o f G E a (30) Mr. J . MacMahon S e c r e t a r y , I\JA.TSON.tlL S-iTPERA"UATICN CCMI!!ITTEE 07 IINQTJIKY a (31) M r * T. H u r l e y (32) Mr. P. Mathews (33) MI-, (34) Mr. D. N e e l y C. McCalister D i r e c t o r , AUSTBbLPAN FRONTIER I N C A s s i s t a n t D i s e c t o r G e n e r a l (Planning SC Ressarch), BENEI"1'I'S POLICY & REVIEW Ill?, ISION, T)EPA€EY/LENT OF S O C I A L SECURITY. Manager, W e l f a r e S e r - b 7 i c e s , SMITE: FAMILY. ( 3 5 ) Rev. A.C. N i c h o l s Di r e c t o r o f Informat i o n , AY GLIC-4N ( 3 6 ) Mr, E . J . Pennington S e crsta r y - G m e r a l , (37) DIOCESE 9F S-fD$!E'._. B.USTHALIRN COUT-C I L OF SOCXAL SEXNICE, M r . A. P o d g e r . ( 3 8 ) Dr. M O P o r t e r PRIORYCIES REV:ZEW STAF'I' (39) S o c i a l Welfare D i v i s i o n , DEPARTMENT OF SOCIAL SECURITY Ms. F . R o b e r t s (40) PARTICIPANTS ORGANISATION, COMMITTEE OF INQUIRY, GOVERNMEPT DEPARTlVENT Mr, V. R o g e r s A c t i n g D i r e c t o r (Research) Benefits & Po1ie.v R e v i e w D i v i s i o n , DEFARTMENT OF S O C Z k SECIJRITY. ( 4 1 ) M r . G. R u s s e l NELBOTJ’RNE ITNIVERSITY, and m e m b e r of t h e ACOSS task g r o u p o n GMI. R e s e a r c h O f f i c e r , BROTHERHOOD OF ST. LAURENCE, and m e m b e r o f t h e ACOSS task group on GMI. (42) M s . J . Salmon (43) Mr. (44) Ms. H. S h e l t o n P r o j e c t o f f i c e r , PEPARTMENT OF SOCIAL SECURITY (and m e m b e r o f T a s m a n i a n C O V J L C S . ~ c f S5ciaZ S e r v i c e ) . (45) M s . P. S m i t h S o c i a l p o l i c y O f f i c e r (Econoaics & S o a i d W e l f a r e ) , AUSTRAL1A.B COUNCIL OF SOCIAL SERVICE. (46) M r . T. S t a l e y , M.P. S o c i a l Security 8c W e l f a r e C o m m i t t e e , LIBERAL PARTY. (47) D r . L. T i e r n y L e c t i n r e r , SOCIAL S T U D I E S , MELBOURNE UNIVERSTTY (46) M r . P. T r a v e r s R e p r e s e n z i n g SOUTH ATJSTRAZLAN COUNCIL OF SOCIAL SERVICE. (49) M s . P. Windler M a n a g e m e n t Z x m , i t t e e , F-AMILY CENTRE PROJECT, and member o f t h e ACOSS t a s k group o n G M I . D. S c o t t BROTHERHOOD OF S T . LAURENCE, and p r e s i d e n t o f ACOSS. (50) M r . S. Wolf Management CcmnAttee, PROJECT‘. (51) DEPARTMENT OF REPATRIATION AND COWENSAT LON M s . R. Woods FAMILY CENTRE
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