An update on Civil Registration System, Sample Registration System & Annual Health Survey BHASKAR MISHRA DEPUTY REGISTRAR GENERAL Office of the Registrar General, India 25th September 2012 OUTLINE • Civil Registration System- Current Status, Challenges and initiatives • Key Results from Sample Registration System • Highlights from the baseline survey of Annual Health Survey Civil Registration System- Why? • A complete & up to date CRS can provide reliable statistics on fertility & mortality along with their co-variates at all level of aggregations, almost on a real time basis, which is not possible from any sample survey. • CRS as the key for evidence based planning has no parallels and levels of registration reflects the quality of governance. Civil Registration System (CRS)- Key Features • Registration of Births and Deaths falls under the Concurrent list of the Constitution. • Registration of Births, Deaths and Still births in India mandatory with the enactment of Registration of Births and Death Act (RBD Act), 1969. • Registrar General, India unifies and coordinates the activities of the States • States are responsible for implementation of RBD Act. • National Population Policy mandates cent percent registration. Registration Scenario in India during last 6 years • LOR(Birth) – India: 59.5% to 76.4 % ( + 16 %) • LOR( Death)– India 52.1% to 66.4% ( + 14%) • 12 States/UTs have achieved 100% registration of births. • 5 States/UTs have achieved 100% registration of deaths • Performance of Uttar Pradesh & Bihar remains the main concern. 80.0 Level of Registration of Births and Deaths, India, 1999-2008 LOR (Births) Level of Registration (in %) 75.0 LOR (Deaths) 74.5 69.0 70.0 76.4 69.3 66.4 65.0 60.0 62.5 56.8 56.2 55.0 50.0 50.0 58.0 59.5 52.2 52.1 2001 2002 63.2 60.4 57.7 53.5 55.2 55.0 2004 2005 48.7 45.0 1999 2000 2003 Year 2006 2007 2008 Still every 4th birth & every 3rd death goes un-registered 90.0 Performance of Level of Registration , India, 1999-2008, excl. UP & Bihar 86.3 Births Deaths 89.2 84.3 81.5 Level of Registration (in %) 80.0 77.6 73.1 70.3 72.7 72.8 69.8 69.6 70.0 78.3 67.4 73.7 73.2 2007 86.3 73.7 2008 89.2 73.2 69.0 65.0 60.2 61.9 60.0 55.5 50.0 Births Deaths 1999 65.0 55.5 2000 70.3 60.2 2001 73.1 61.9 2002 81.5 69.6 2003 72.8 67.4 Year 2004 77.6 69.8 2005 78.3 69.0 2006 84.3 72.7 UP & Bihar suppresses the National LOR for Births and Deaths by 13 & 9 % points respectively. Challenges + Awareness among the public about the need of birth & death certificates - a cause of concern. + States/UTs are functioning at different level of efficiency. + Besides registration, problems also lies in timely reporting (Registration takes place but it’s not reported). + Netting of infant deaths and misclassification of maternal deaths remains a concern in better performing States like Kerala and Tamil Nadu. + Delay of about 2-3 years in preparing the State level Statistical Reports mars the utility of data. Recent Initiatives to re-vitalise the system + Ministry of Health has made registration as one of the focus areas under NRHM. + Delivery of services are being linked with registration. + Provisions of the Act are being simplified for better implementation. + Supreme Court’s directive for revamping the system. + Updating of National Population Register linked with CRS at the sub-district level. + ORGI to collaborate with various partners to provide requisite boost. Medical Certification of Causes of Death (MCCD) Introduced in early 1970s to provide cause-specific mortality profile. Restricted to urban areas, that too few selected hospitals At various stages of implementation across different States. Coding is as per ICD-10. Covers about 19% of the total registered deaths only Garbage codes(R00-R99) are to the tune of 15% ORGI has expanded the scope under MCCD to all Institutions including individual practitioners and the coverage , extended to rural areas as well. Sample Registration System – An Overview Introduced as an interim system in 1969-70 due to deficient CRS Key features o Fixed panel survey and a dual record system o Reliable and continuous estimates o State level estimates separately for rural/urban on • All indicators of fertility and mortality including birth rate, death rate, IMR, Maternal Mortality Ratio, TFR, etc • Under 5 mortality rate also generated from 2008 annually • Panel revised once in 10 years based on Census frame Current Panel of SRS (2004) o Covers 4433 rural and 3164 urban areas (1.3 million households and 7 million population) o Sample size determination based on IMR o Permissible level of RSE: 10% (bigger states) MILLENNIUM DEVELOPMENT GOALS(MDG) • Of the 8 MDGs, IMR, U5MR and MMR are generated by SRS. Goal No. Indicators Targets by 2015 Reduce infant mortality Infant Mortality Rate (IMR) 28 Reduce child mortality Under 5 Mortality Rate (U5MR) 42 Improve maternal health Maternal Mortality Ratio (MMR) 109 Goals 4 5 IMR ESTIMATES 2010 • IMR measures number of infant ( < 1 year) deaths per 1000 live births. • Every 6th death in India pertains to an infant • IMR in India has registered a 3 points decline to 47 in 2010 from 50 in 2009. • Still, 1 in every 21 infants - National level, 1 in every 20 infants - rural area, and 1 in every 33 infants - urban area die within one year of birth (against 1 in 37 under MDG) IMR ESTIMATES BY RESIDENCE & SEX 1990-2010 90 80 90 86 80 70 80 74 80 50 48 40 74 73 76 70 74 68 61 47 46 49 40 30 40 31 30 58 56 50 51 47 44 68 67 69 60 64 58 60 50 80 78 81 20 10 20 1990 1995 2000 Total Rural 2005 2010 Urban Since 1990, IMR at the National level has declined by 33 points (1.65 points annually) against 35 points( 1.75 points annually) in Rural Areas and 19 points( 0.95 points annually) in Urban Areas. 1990 1995 2000 Total Male 2005 2010 Female Female infants continue to experience a higher mortality than male infants NEO-NATAL MORTALITY BY RESIDENCE 1990-2010 70 60 50 57 52 49 53 41 48 40 36 44 31 29 37 27 30 23 33 19 20 10 1990 1995 2000 Total Rural 2005 2010 Urban NNMR for the Country declined by 20 points (rural NNMR by 21 points vis-à-vis urban NNMR 12 points) in the last 20 years at an annual average decline of about 1 point. Rural-Urban Gap in NNMR is narrowing. IMR Vs. NNMR Vs. PNNMR 1990-2010 90 80 80 74 68 70 58 60 53 48 50 47 44 40 37 33 27 30 26 23 22 20 14 10 1990 1995 2000 IMR NNMR 2005 2010 PNNMR • Share of NNMR in the overall IMR is increasing over the years (54% in early 70s to 67% now) • Interventions are required to effectively curb NNMR U5MR ESTIMATES 2010: HIGHLIGHTS • U5MR denotes number of children (0-4 years) who died before reaching their fifth birthday per 1000 live births • U5MR for the country has declined by 5 points over 2009 (59 in 2010 against 64 in 2009) • A uniform decline of about 5 points is seen in male and female U5MRs. 98 98 80 100 85 80 59 55 64 100 77 72 82 118 95 120 111 85 84 120 110 140 128 98 96 140 118 110 126 U5MR BY RESIDENCE & SEX: 1990-2010 85 71 67 77 66 60 55 60 49 59 38 40 40 20 - 20 1990 1995 2000 2005 Total Rural Urban 2010 U5MR for the country declined by 59 points (rural IMR by 62 points vis-à-vis urban IMR 33 points) in the last 20 years at an annual average decline of about 3 points 1990 1995 2000 Total 2005 2010 Male Male-female mortality differential has narrowed down over the years, yet the gap remains significant “ Child deaths are falling, but not quickly enough to reach the MDG target” MMR ESTIMATES 2007-09 : HIGHLIGHTS • MMRatio measures number of women aged 15-49 years dying due to maternal causes per 1,00,000 live births. • Decline in MMR estimates in 2007-09 over 2004-06: – For India: 212 from 254 (a fall of about 17%) – In Empowered Action Group (EAG) states & Assam: 308 from 375 (18%) – Among Southern States: 127 from 149 (15%) – In Other States: 149 from 174 (14%) • States realizing MDG target of 109 have gone up to 3 with Tamil Nadu & Maharashtra (new entrants) joining Kerala. Andhra Pradesh, West Bengal, Gujarat and Haryana are in closer proximity to achieving the MDG target. Maternal Mortality Ratio (MMR); India, EAG & Assam, Southern States and Other States, 2004-06 and 2007-09 MMR 2004-06 MMR 2007-09 INDIA TOTAL 254 212 Assam 480 390 Bihar/Jharkhand 312 261 Madhya Pradesh/Chhattisgarh 335 269 Orissa 303 258 Rajasthan 388 318 Uttar Pradesh/Uttarakhand 440 359 EAG AND ASSAM SUBTOTAL 375 308 Andhra Pradesh 154 134 Karnataka 213 178 95 81 Tamil Nadu 111 97 SOUTH SUBTOTAL 149 127 Gujarat 160 148 Haryana 186 153 Maharashtra 130 104 Punjab 192 172 West Bengal 141 145 Other 206 160 174 149 India & Major States Kerala OTHER SUBTOTAL TREND IN MMRatio- India 2007-09 SRS 212 (2004-06) 56 000 (2007-09) 2009 LEVELS OF MMRATIO BY REGIONS, 2007-09 Region MMR Life time risk % share of female Popln. % to total maternal deaths EAG states 308 1.1% 48.0 61.6 Southern states 127 0.3% 21.0 11.4 Other states 149 0.4% 31.0 27.0 India 212 0.6% 100 100 Maternal Mortality Ratio (MMR) in India - SRS: Trends based on Log-Linear model (1997-2015) 500 450 400 300 250 200 150 Years 2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000 1999 1998 100 1997 MMRATIO 350 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) estimates 2010: Highlights • TFR for the country has come down to 2.5 from 2.6 in 2009. • Bihar has reported the highest TFR (3.7) while replacement level TFR, viz 2.1, has been attained by Tamil Nadu(1.7), Kerala(1.8), Andhra Pradesh (1.8), Himachal Pradesh (1.8), Punjab (1.8), West Bengal (1.8) , Delhi (1.9), Maharashtra (1.9), Jammu & Kashmir(2.0) & Karnataka (2.0). • At present, a rural woman (having a TFR of 2.8) at the National level would have about one child more than an urban woman (having a TFR of 1.9), on average Total Fertility Rate (TFR) BY RESIDENCE, 1990-2010 4.5 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.6 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.1 1.9 2.0 1.5 1990 1995 Total 2000 Rural 2005 2010 Urban • TFR for the country declined by 1.3 points (down by more than a child), rural TFR also by 1.3 points and urban TFR by 0.9 point over last 20 years • Another 10-12 years to achieve the replacement level of 2.1 at the current fertility rates ANNUAL HEALTH SURVEY- A NEW INITIATIVE OBJECTIVE OF AHS “ To yield a comprehensive, representative and reliable dataset on core vital indicators including composite ones like IMR, MMR and TFR along with their co-variates (process and outcome indicators) at the district level and map changes therein on an annual basis” Coverage : Annual Health Survey Uttara kha nd R aja stha n Uttar Prade sh A ss am B iha r M a dhy a P ra des h Jha rk han d C hha tti sga rh Od is ha WHY AHS ? o o o AHS States constitute: • 48 percent of country’s Population • 59 percent of Births • 70 percent of Infant Deaths • 75 percent of Under 5 Deaths • 62 percent of Maternal Deaths Enable direct monitoring of UN Millennium Development Goals on Child Mortality and Maternal Health at the district(s) level. Help in identifying high focus districts meriting special attention in view of stark inter-district variations in these States. KEY FEATURES • Panel Survey on the pattern of SRS • Coverage- All the 284 districts of 8 EAG States and Assam. • Sample Size- IMR as the decisive indicator with 10%RSE. • Sample Units- 20,694 statistically selected sample unit (Census Enumeration Blocks in urban areas and Villages or a part thereof in rural areas) • Sample Population- About 20.1 million • Sample Households - 4.1 million households. • Sample Units per district- 73. • Sample Population per district - About 71 thousand. • Sample households per district - About 14.5 thousand. The Largest Sample Survey in the World INDICATORS UNDER AHS • In all, 161 indicators are available from AHS baseline: Fertility- 13 Sex Ratio- 3 Marriage- 5 Mortality- 7 Mother & Child Care- 63 Ante Natal Care: 11 Post Natal Care: 5 Immunization: 8 Birth Weight: 2 Birth Registration: 2 Awareness in Mothers: 4 Delivery Care: 8 Janani Suraksha Yojana (JSY): 3 Vitamin A & Iron Supplements: 2 Childhood Disease: 6 Breastfeeding & Supplementation: 12 Abortion- 6 Family Planning Practices- 15 Disability- 1 Morbidity- 19 Personal Habits:adults-4 Housing & HH Characteristics- 13 Others- 12 INFANT MORTALITY RATE Total no. of districts State Value Districts with minimum IMR Districts with maximum IMR Range UTTARAKHAND 13 43 Rudraprayag (19) Haridwar (72) 53 RAJASTHAN 32 60 Kota (36) Jalor (79) 43 UTTAR PRADESH 70 71 Kanpur Nagar (36) Shrawasti (103) 67 BIHAR 37 55 Patna (39) Madhepura (71) 32 ASSAM 23 60 Dhemaji (44) Kokrajhar (76) 32 JHARKHAND 18 41 Purbi Singhbum (26) Godda (64) 38 ODHISSA 30 62 Baleshwar (49) Balangir (100) 51 CHHATTISGARH 16 53 Durg (43) Raigarh (65) 22 MADHYA PRADESH 45 67 Indore (40) Panna (93) 53 State IMR across 284 districts ranges between 19 (Rudraprayag; Uttarakhand) & 103 (Shrawasti, UP) – a variability of 5 times! 6 districts viz. Purbi Singhbhum & Dhanbad (Jharkhand); Chamoli, Rudraprayag, Pithoragarh & Almora (Uttarakhand) have already achieved MDG-4 National target of 28 by 2015 In fa nt M o rta lity R a te To p 1 00 D is tric ts in A H S S ta te s U tt a ra k h a n d U tt a r P r ad e s h Ra ja s th a n Bih a r Jh a r kh a n d M ad h y a P ra d e s h O riss a Ch h a tt is g ar h As s a m NEO NATAL MORTALITY RATE Total no. of districts State Value Districts with minimum NNMR Districts with maximum NNMR Range UTTARAKHAND 13 30 Rudraprayag (11) Haridwar (50) 39 RAJASTHAN UTTAR PRADESH BIHAR ASSAM 32 70 37 23 40 50 35 39 Kota (25) Kanpur Nagar (24) Patna (22) Dhemaji (27) Jalor (58) Shrawasti (73) Madhepura (49) Dhubri (50) 33 49 27 23 JHARKHAND 18 26 Purbi Singhbum (17) Lohardaga (41) 24 ODISHA CHHATTISGARH MADHYA PRADESH 30 16 45 40 35 44 Anugul (31) Durg (29) Indore (25) Balangir (75) Raigarh (45) Panna (66) 44 16 41 State NNMR across 284 districts ranges between 11 (Rudraprayag; Uttarakhand) & 75 (Balangir, Orissa) – a variability of 7 times! Out of every 10 infant deaths, 6-7 pertains to neonates NNMR in rural areas of districts is significantly higher than that in urban areas U5MR MORTALITY RATE State Total no. of State Value districts Districts with minimum U5MR Districts with maximum U5MR Haridwar (94) Jalor (99) Banswara (99) Shrawasti (142) Sitamarhi (106) Kokrajhar (103) Godda (93) 70 Kandhamal (145) 87 Surguja (103) Panna (140) 51 89 UTTARAKHAND 13 53 Pithoragarh (24) RAJASTHAN 32 79 Kota (45) UTTAR PRADESH BIHAR ASSAM JHARKHAND 70 37 23 18 94 77 78 59 ORISSA 30 82 CHHATTISGARH MADHYA PRADESH 16 45 70 89 Kanpur Nagar (52) Patna (53) Dhemaji (52) Purbi Singhbum (36) Balasore (58) Jharsuguda (58) Durg (52) Indore (51) Range 54 90 53 51 57 U5MR ranges between 24 (Pithoragarh, Uttarakhand) & 145 (Kandhamal, Orissa) - a variability of 7 times! 7 districts viz. Pithoragarh, Almora, Rudraprayag, Chamoli, Nainital & Bagheswar (Uttarakhand) and Purbhi Singhbum (Jharkhand) have already achieved MDG National level target of 42 MATERNAL MORTALITY RATIO Total no. of Admin. Division State Value Admin. Division with minimum MMR Admin. Division with maximum MMR Range UTTARAKHAND 2 188 Kumaon HQ (183) Garhwal HQ (190) 7 RAJASTHAN 7 331 Bharatpur (292) Udaipur (364) 72 UTTAR PRADESH 18 345 Jhansi Mandal (241) Faizabad Mandal (451) 210 BIHAR 9 305 Patna (258) Purnia (377) 119 ASSAM 4 381 Hills & Barak Valley (342) Upper Assam (430) 88 JHARKHAND 5 278 Uttari Chota Nagpur (208) Santal Paragana (325) 117 ODISHA CHHATTISGARH 3 4 277 275 Northern (253) Raipur (243) Southern (311) Bastar (312) 58 69 MADHYA PRADESH 10 310 Gwalior (262) Shahdol (435) 173 State MMR ranges between 183 (Kumaon HQ, Uttarakhand) & 451(Faizabad Mandal, UP) MMR for Uttarakhand along with its two divisions is lower than the National Average (212) M a te rn a l M o rta li ty R a tio T o p 2 5 A d m in is tra ti v e D iv is i o n s in A H S S ta te s U tt a ra k h a n d As s a m Ra ja s th a n U tt a r P r ad e s h Bih a r Jh a r kh a n d M ad h y a P ra d e s h O ris s a Ch h a tt is g ar h Ad m in is tr a tiv e D iv is io n s MMR Top 25 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) State State value Assam Bihar Jharkhand Madhya Pradesh Chhattisgarh Odisha Rajasthan Uttar Pradesh Uttarakhand 2.6 3.7 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.3 3.2 3.6 2.3 Total Fertility Rate (TFR) Minimum Kamrup (2) Patna (2.8) Purbi Singhbhum (2.4) Indore (2.2) Koriya (2.4) Jharsuguda (2) Kota (2.6) Kanpur Nagar (2.3) Pithoragarh (1.7) Maximum Hailakandi (4.2) Sheohar (4.7) Lohardagga (4) Shivpuri (4.5) Kawardha (3.7) Boudh (3.7) Barmer (4.7) Shrawasti (5.9) Haridwar (3.1) Range 2.2 1.9 1.6 2.3 1.3 1.7 2.1 3.6 1.4 Across 284 districts in 9 AHS States, it ranges from 1.7 in Pitthoragarh (Uttarakhand) to 5.9 in Shrawasti (UP)- a variability of more than 4 children. 20 districts have already achieved the replacement level of 2.1. • 164 districts have recorded TFR of 3.1 and above, the National level TFR of 2001 (SRS). KEY FINDINGS Top 100 districts in order of IMR constitute about 50 percent of total Infant Deaths across 9 States Top 25 Administrative Divisions (comprising 104 districts) in order of MMR constitute 41 percent of the total Maternal Deaths Top 100 districts in order of U5MR account for 63 percent of total child deaths. 57 districts are in common – Hot Spots Replacement level of TFR 2.1 has been achieved in only 20 out of 284 AHS districts. A Component of Clinical-Anthropometric & Bio-chemical (CAB) Test on a sub-sample basis is scheduled to be introduced in October. No survey can be an effective and sustainable substitute for Civil Registration System Thank You Registrar General and Census Commissioner, India, 2 A Mansingh Road, New Delhi 110011, India Phone: +91-11-24105383 Fax: +91-11-23383145 E mail: [email protected] Website: http://www.censusindia.gov.in
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