Charlotte 02 September Apartment Index Charlotte Apartment Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Table of Contents Economic Summary............................................................. 3 Market Statistics Overall ............................................................................ 4 Communities in Lease-Up............................................... 6 Communities 1-5 Years in Age ....................................... 7 Communities 6-15 Years in Age ..................................... 8 Communities 15+ Years in Age ...................................... 9 Methodology Information contained in this report is obtained from reliable sources, but Carolinas Real Data makes no guarantee of accuracy or completeness. The communities surveyed for this report contain at least 50 conventional units. Public and Section 8 housing is excluded. Readers should understand that the data contained within this report may have changed since the survey date of August 15, 2002. Absorption - The net change in occupied units within comparable communities within a specific time frame. Development...................................................................... 10 Averages - All averages are weighted based on the number of units. Charlotte Submarket Comparison ...................................... 12 Construction Status: Completions are any units completed since the previous survey period; Starts are any units that have begun construction since the previous survey period; Proposed are any units that have reached an advanced stage of the planning process. UnderConst. are any communities that have begun construction, but not completed any units yet; Additions Under-Construction are communities with some units completed and additional units underconstruction. Submarket Profiles Charlotte-Mecklenburg ................................................. 14 Downtown ............................................................... 15 East East-1.................................................................. 16 East-2.................................................................. 17 East-3.................................................................. 18 North........................................................................ 19 Northeast Northeast-1 ......................................................... 20 Northeast-2 ......................................................... 21 Northeast-3 ......................................................... 22 Northwest ................................................................ 23 Southeast Southeast-1 ......................................................... 24 Southeast-2 ......................................................... 25 Southeast-3 ......................................................... 26 Southwest Southwest-1 ........................................................ 27 Southwest-2 ........................................................ 28 Surrounding County Comparison....................................... 29 Cabarrus County ........................................................... 31 Gaston County .............................................................. 32 Iredell County ............................................................... 33 Union County ............................................................... 34 York County ................................................................. 35 Carolinas Lease Rate - Quoted lease rate excluding any additional concessions or specials. Metropolitan Statistical Area (MSA) - A geographical region defined by the US Census Bureau. The MSA in this report refers to Mecklenburg County. Rent/CPI Index - The percentage change in rent above the inflation rate as measured by the Consumer Price Index. Rent Increase (pre-existing Inventory) - Net change in quoted rents of pre-existing communities. New units completed since the previous survey period are not included in this calculation although new units are included in all other rent calculations. Square Footages - Heated square footage; if there are varying sq.ft. for similar units, then an average may be used. Type: Conventional communities are all those that are not subsidized, tax-credit or student oriented. Subsidized units are not included in this report; Tax-Credit communities are those developed through the state’s ‘tax-credit’ program’; Student-Oriented communities are those catering to the student housing market and rent by the bedroom versus the entire unit. Vacancy - calculated on units that are physically unoccupied. Real Data 407 East Blvd., Suite 100 Charlotte, NC 28203 (704)369-2345 (704)369-2160 fax www.Aptindex.com Carolinas Real Data is a full service commercial real estate market research firm. Carolinas Real Data publishes market reports for cities in the Southeast. © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com 2 MarketSubmarket Overview Carolinas Real Data Employment Distribution Economic Overview Fed. Civil/Mil. Govt. 1% Charlotte’s economy has been steadily healing from the impact of the national recession that hit last year. Employment growth has been stagnant for the first half of 2002, however, many new job announcements have been made over the past several months which should result in employment growth over the coming months. Charlotte’s unemployment currently stands at 6.5%, up from 4.7% reported in August 2001. State/Local Govt. Farm 9% 1% Services 27% Manufacturing 15% Trans/Utilities 6% FIRE 10% Wholesale Trade 7% Retail Trade 16% Employment / Economic Announcements Employment Employed Unemployment Rate Employment (Mecklenburg County) 368,000 8.0% 7.0% 366,000 6.0% 364,000 362,000 5.0% 360,000 4.0% 358,000 3.0% 356,000 2.0% 354,000 1.0% 352,000 350,000 Unemployment Rate (Mecklenburg County) 9.0% 372,000 370,000 • Johnson & Wales University, planning a new campus in downtown Charlotte, will open in Fall 2004 and employ a staff of 250 by 2007. • PCI Wedeco, a Germany-based industrial technology producer, has begun moving its U.S. headquarters and manufacturing operations to Charlotte, bringing 200 jobs. • Time Warner Cable plans to consolidate several nationwide operations in a development in Charlotte which will employ as many as 740 people, about half of them new to Charlotte. • Charlotte-based pharmaceutical consulting firm The Lash Group, plans to add 100 employees over the 18 months. • Rooms to Go furniture distribution/outlet center will employ 150 at its recently completed facility in Charlotte. • Tyco Electronics in Rock Hill recently re-hired nearly 100 workers laid off six months ago. • Scandura Inc., an industrial fabric maker is phasing out 130 jobs from its Charlotte plant. • Bank of America Corp. plans to lay off 70 call-center workings in Charlotte. • Consolidated Freightways, a trucking company, will be filing for Chapter 11 bankruptcy and cutting 400 jobs in Charlotte. 0.0% Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 Rent/CPI Index Index of Rent Growth above Consumer Price Index - Indexed to 100 In August 1997 Construction 7% 108.0 107.5 107.0 106.5 106.0 105.5 105.0 104.5 104.0 103.5 Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 C harlotte (M ecklenburg C ounty) Em ploym ent Sum m ary Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 370,150 367,090 361,790 358,090 357,858 10,140 -3,060 -5,300 -3,700 -232 G row th R ate 2.8% -0.8% -1.4% -1.0% -0.1% U nem ploym ent R ate 2.7% 3.2% 4.7% 5.6% 6.5% E m ployed E m ploym ent C hange © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com 3 Market Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Overall Market Summary # Units # Vacant Vacancy % Average SF Average Rent Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 82,832 8,103 85,517 11,061 86,205 9,612 9.8% 12.9% 11.2% 923 927 923 $713 $712 $708 $0.787 $0.782 $0.781 Absorption 1,812 -492 3,069 # Under-Const. 4,672 3,754 2,854 # Proposed 4,922 5,636 4,965 Starts 1,418 1,690 649 Average Rent/SF Completions 3,057 2,607 1,683 Rent Change* -$7.08 $3.03 $0.48 *(Based on pre-existing inventory only) Charlotte Apartment Indicators In the previous year Forecast for the next year Employment Growth o r Occupancy Rate o pq Rent Change* pq pq Net Absorption pq pq Units Completed o o Concessions r pq Charlotte Market Summary The vacancy rate in the Charlotte Apartment market has fallen over the past six months. The current vacancy rate stands at 11.2%, down from 12.9% reported six months ago, which was a record high for the market. There were 3,069 units absorbed over the past six months, while 1,519 units were completed. Because the number of units completed was less than half of the number of units absorbed, the vacancy rate decreased. The average quoted rental rate is $708. One Bedroom rents average $625 per month. Two bedrooms rents are $730 and three bedroom rents are $894. Pre-existing inventory rents increased by only $0.48 in the last six months, in addition, significant concessions, including up to 2 months free rent, remain common. As of August, 63% of communities were offering some sort of rental concessions, up 11% from this time last year. Development activity, although still high, has been reduced somewhat in the last year. Units under construction are less that what they were six months ago and one year ago. Based on the number of units currently under construction and estimated future absorption numbers, the vacancy rate in the Charlotte market is likely to remain in the 9-11% range in the coming year. Note: The overall statistics reflect totals for Mecklenburg, Cabarrus, Gaston, Union and York Counties. Previous publication totals were for Mecklenburg County only. All historical statistics within this report reflect the totals for all the counties combined. O v e r a ll H is t o r ic a l S u m m a r y T o ta l U n its Vacant U n its Vacancy R a te A v e ra g e S q . F t. A v e ra g e R e n t/M o . Av e ra g e R e n t/S F R ent Change U n its A b s o rb e d U n its U /C U n its S ta r te d U n its C o m p le te d N o v . '9 2 4 7 ,1 1 1 3 ,3 4 7 7 .1 % 882 $465 $ 0 .5 2 7 N /A 1 ,6 0 4 N /A N /A N /A M a y '9 3 4 6 ,6 5 7 2 ,8 4 6 6 .1 % 881 $473 $ 0 .5 3 7 N /A 510 N /A N /A N /A N o v . '9 3 4 7 ,3 2 2 2 ,3 4 3 5 .0 % 882 $484 $ 0 .5 4 9 N /A 587 N /A N /A N /A A p r il '9 4 4 7 ,3 0 1 1 ,9 8 2 4 .2 % 881 $493 $ 0 .5 6 0 N /A 354 N /A N /A N /A A u g . '9 4 5 2 ,9 0 3 1 ,5 6 0 2 .9 % 883 $505 $ 0 .5 7 2 N /A 952 N /A N /A N /A F e b . '9 5 5 4 ,1 4 1 2 ,1 3 8 3 .9 % 883 $525 $ 0 .5 9 4 N /A 17 N /A N /A N /A A u g . '9 5 5 5 ,0 2 5 1 ,6 6 9 3 .0 % 886 $547 $ 0 .6 1 7 N /A 1 ,1 9 6 N /A N /A N /A F e b . '9 6 5 5 ,5 4 6 2 ,9 8 8 5 .4 % 891 $570 $ 0 .6 4 0 N /A 336 N /A N /A N /A A u g . '9 6 6 0 ,4 2 8 2 ,4 0 2 4 .0 % 890 $587 $ 0 .6 6 0 N /A 2 ,9 1 1 4 ,0 7 1 N /A N /A F e b . '9 7 6 2 ,9 3 3 4 ,0 1 8 6 .4 % 896 $600 $ 0 .6 6 9 N /A 577 4 ,9 5 3 N /A N /A A u g . '9 7 6 5 ,7 7 2 3 ,4 6 2 5 .3 % 900 $616 $ 0 .6 8 5 N /A 3 ,2 3 6 3 ,9 8 6 N /A 2 ,2 4 0 F e b . '9 8 6 7 ,1 7 2 4 ,7 5 4 7 .1 % 909 $632 $ 0 .6 9 5 N /A 1 ,3 1 5 3 ,4 8 6 1 ,1 2 0 1 ,8 8 2 A u g . '9 8 6 9 ,9 2 9 3 ,8 4 5 5 .5 % 909 $646 $ 0 .7 1 0 N /A 2 ,8 2 1 3 ,9 1 3 2 ,2 7 1 1 ,5 5 1 F e b . '9 9 7 1 ,2 7 8 4 ,2 6 4 6 .0 % 910 $654 $ 0 .7 1 8 N /A 1 ,2 3 6 5 ,0 1 3 2 ,4 5 6 1 ,6 2 3 A u g . '9 9 7 5 ,6 1 5 4 ,5 9 4 6 .1 % 912 $670 $ 0 .7 3 4 N /A 2 ,0 7 8 5 ,5 7 7 3 ,0 3 9 2 ,4 3 3 F e b . '0 0 7 7 ,4 0 2 6 ,0 4 6 7 .8 % 915 $676 $ 0 .7 3 9 $ 3 .2 2 623 6 ,8 5 0 3 ,5 4 6 2 ,1 1 9 A u g . '0 0 7 8 ,6 5 2 5 ,2 2 3 6 .6 % 914 $690 $ 0 .7 5 5 $ 5 .9 9 2 ,8 1 1 7 ,7 3 8 3 ,3 1 2 2 ,4 8 6 F e b . '0 1 8 2 ,1 9 9 7 ,2 1 8 8 .8 % 918 $700 $ 0 .7 6 3 $ 3 .6 4 1 ,1 0 9 6 ,5 0 2 2 ,1 8 8 3 ,3 8 7 A u g . '0 1 8 2 ,8 3 2 8 ,1 0 3 9 .8 % 923 $713 $ 0 .7 7 2 -$ 7 .0 8 1 ,8 1 2 4 ,6 7 2 1 ,4 1 8 3 ,0 5 7 F e b . '0 2 8 5 ,5 1 7 1 1 ,0 6 1 1 2 .9 % 927 $712 $ 0 .7 6 8 $ 3 .0 3 -4 9 2 3 ,7 5 4 1 ,6 9 0 2 ,6 0 7 A u g . '0 2 8 6 ,2 0 5 9 ,6 1 2 1 1 .2 % 923 $708 $ 0 .7 6 7 $ 0 .4 8 3 ,0 6 9 2 ,8 5 4 649 1 ,6 8 3 © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com 4 Market Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Overall Historical Vacancy Trends Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom 6.7% 6.5% 8.7% 8.6% 9.6% 9.7% 12.9% 12.6% 11.1% 10.9% Three Bedroom 7.4% 9.7% 10.8% 14.5% 12.7% 6.6% 8.8% 9.8% 12.9% 11.2% 14.0% 12.0% 10.0% Vacancy Rate Totals Overall Vacancy Rate 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Overall Historical Rent Trends Feb. '02 Aug. '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom $611 $713 $623 $722 $632 $735 $629 $735 $625 $730 Three Bedroom $859 $865 $886 $889 $894 $690 $700 $713 $712 $708 $3.64 -$7.08 $3.03 $0.48 $725 $10.00 Monthly Rent Rent Change* $720 $8.00 $715 $6.00 $710 $4.00 $705 $2.00 $700 $0.00 $695 -$2.00 $690 -$4.00 $685 -$6.00 $680 -$8.00 $675 -$10.00 Aug. '00 Overall Supply / Demand Trends Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 Absorption Completions 2,811 2,486 1,109 3,387 1,812 3,057 -492 2,607 3,069 1,683 Differential 325 -2,278 -1,245 -3,099 1,386 2,188 1,418 1,690 649 Net Units Absorbed & Completed Feb. '01 3,312 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 Overall Absorption vs. Completions Aug. '00 Starts Feb. '01 3,500 19% 3,000 17% 2,500 15% Absorption Completions Vacancy Rate 2,000 13% 1,500 11% 1,000 9% 500 7% 0 5% -500 Vacancy Rate $5.99 Aug. '02 Rent Change* Aug. '01 Average Quoted Monthly Rent Feb. '01 Rent Change* Feb. '02 Overall - Rental Rates Aug. '00 Totals Aug. '01 3% Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 Overall Apartment Starts 3,500 3,000 Units Started 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 Aug. '00 © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 5 Lease-Up Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Communities in Lease Up In Lease Up Overall Mkt. % of Mkt. 5,928 1,475 86,205 9,612 6.9% 15.3% Vacancy % 24.9% 11.2% Average SF 1,021 923 110.6% Average Rent $836 $708 118.1% 30.0% $0.819 $0.781 104.9% Absorption 1,679 3,069 54.7% # Under-Const. 2,854 2,854 100.0% # Proposed 4,965 4,965 100.0% 649 649 100.0% Completions 1,683 1,683 100.0% Rent Change* $7.08 $0.48 1481.1% Starts 25.0% 20.0% 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0% Aug. '00 *(Based on pre-existing inventory only) Feb. '01 Lease-up communities include those communities that have had new units completed over the last year. These communities typically have significantly higher vacancy rates as they have only recently begun leasing their units. They also usually account for a large portion of the overall absorption. • Aug '02 Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom 24.3% 22.2% 34.4% 35.2% 22.9% 27.2% 22.5% 26.5% 25.0% 24.4% Three Bedroom 20.8% 35.4% 21.8% 25.8% 25.8% 23.0% 34.8% 24.7% 24.8% 24.9% Totals Communities in Lease Up - Rental Rates $910 $20.00 M onthly Rent Rent Change* There are currently 5,928 units in lease-up in the Charlotte market, representing nearly 7% of the overall market. The vacancy rate has remained in the 24% range over the past two years. Average Quoted Monthly Rent $900 • Feb '02 Communities in Lease Up Vacancy Trends Communities in Lease-Up Summary • Aug '01 There were 1,679 units absorbed in lease-up communities in the six months between February and August. $18.00 $890 $16.00 $880 $14.00 $870 $12.00 $860 $10.00 $850 $8.00 $840 $6.00 $830 $4.00 $820 $2.00 $810 Rent Change* Average Rent/SF 35.0% Vacancy Rate # Units # Vacant Communities in Lease Up - Vacancy Rate $0.00 Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 Com m unities in Lease Up Rent Trends The average rent for one bedroom units in lease-up is $748, for two bedroom units the average rent is $859, while the average rent for three bedroom units is $989. The higher rental rates in previous periods was the result of a number of high-end communities coming on-line in 2000 and 2001. Communities in Lease Up Supply / Demand Trends Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 Absorption Completions N/A 2,486 N/A 3,387 N/A 3,057 N/A 2,607 1,679 1,683 Differential N/A N/A N/A N/A -4 One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Totals Rent Change* Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 $803 $953 $775 $921 $758 $908 $750 $896 $748 $859 $1,162 $1,078 $1,087 $1,084 $989 $907 $869 $860 $856 $836 N/A N/A N/A N/A $7.08 C om m unities in Lease U p - Absorption vs. C om pletions 3,500 75% Abso rption C om pletions V a cancy R ate 3,250 3,000 2,750 3,312 © Sept-02 Real Data 2,188 1,418 www.aptindex.com 1,690 649 65% 60% 2,500 55% 2,250 50% 2,000 45% 1,750 40% 1,500 35% 1,250 30% 1,000 25% 750 20% 500 15% 250 10% 0 Starts 70% Vacancy Rate • The average rent for units currently in lease-up stands at $836, with pre-existing inventory rents increasing $7.08 since February. Net Units Absorbed & Completed • 5% -250 0% Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 6 1 to 5 Years Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Communities 1-5 Years in Age 1-5 Years in Age Overall Mkt. % of Mkt. 19,862 1,808 86,205 9,612 23.0% 18.8% Vacancy % 9.1% 11.2% Average SF 980 923 Average Rent Average Rent/SF 10.0% 106.1% $822 $708 116.1% $0.839 $0.781 107.5% Absorption 1,066 3,069 34.7% # Under-Const. 0 2,854 0.0% # Proposed 0 4,965 0.0% Starts 0 649 0.0% Completions 0 1,683 0.0% $2.73 $0.48 571.1% Rent Change* 12.0% 8.0% Vacancy Rate # Units # Vacant Com munities 1-5 Years in Age - Vacancy Rate 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Aug. '00 *(Based on pre-existing inventory only) Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 Communities 1-5 Years in Age Vacancy Trends Communities 1-5 Years in Age Summary Communities that are one to five years in age tend to command higher rental rates as compared to the overall market. These newer communities often have more amenities than some of the older communities. Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom 4.7% 7.0% 7.6% 8.6% 8.1% 7.5% 10.1% 10.6% 9.0% 8.8% Three Bedroom 7.3% 10.6% 10.9% 13.3% 10.5% 6.1% 8.4% 8.2% 10.7% 9.1% Totals Communities 1-5 Years in Age - Rental Rates • The vacancy rate has decreased over the past six months to 9.1% as of August. There were 1,066 units absorbed in the six months between February and August. $850 $10.00 Monthly Rent Rent Change* $845 $9.00 $840 $8.00 $835 $7.00 $830 $6.00 $825 $5.00 $820 $4.00 $815 $3.00 $810 $2.00 $805 $1.00 $800 • • Communities one to five years in age are commanding an average rent of $822 per month, an $85 per month premium over communities 6-15 years in age and a $114 premium above the overall market. Pre-existing inventory rents increased $2.73 since February. $0.00 Aug. '00 One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Totals Absorption Aug '02 Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 $711 $858 $725 $870 $726 $873 $723 $874 $716 $839 $1,062 $1,077 $1,088 $1,080 $1,050 $823 $836 $839 $837 $822 N/A N/A N/A N/A $2.73 1,100 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 0 N/A N/A N/A N/A 1,066 -100 www.aptindex.com Feb '02 1,200 Aug. '00 © Sept-02 Real Data Aug '01 C o m m u nities 1-5 Y ears in Ag e - Ab so rp tio n Net Units Absorbed & Completed Communities 1-5 Years in Age Supply / Demand Trends Feb. '01 Communities 1-5 Years in Age Rent Trends Rent Change* Note: Statistical numbers prior to August 2002 are based on previous age breakdowns, which included all communities built between 1990-1999. Whereas, the August 2002 statistics represent communities built between 1996-2000. The historical numbers represented should not be used for a direct comparison but only as a general reference. Rent Change* • Currently there are 19,862 apartment units that are one to five years in age. Adding the 5,928 units in lease-up, brings the total to 25,790 units, or 30% of the market, which are less than six years old. Average Quoted Monthly Rent • Aug . '00 7 6 to 15 Years Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Communities 6-15 Years in Age 6-15 Years in Age Overall Mkt. % of Mkt. 20,039 1,850 86,205 9,612 23.2% 19.2% Vacancy % 9.2% 11.2% Average SF 923 923 Average Rent/SF Absorption 10.0% 100.0% $737 $708 104.1% $0.798 $0.781 102.2% 175 3,069 5.7% # Under-Const. 0 2,854 0.0% # Proposed 0 4,965 0.0% Starts 0 649 0.0% Completions 0 1,683 0.0% $0.76 $0.48 159.0% Rent Change* 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Aug. '00 *(Based on pre-existing inventory only) Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 Communities 6-15 Years in Age Vacancy Trends Communities 6-15 Years in Age Summary Communities in Charlotte that are 6 to 15 years in age include 20,039 units. Although by no means out-dated, these communities tend to attract residents who are more price sensitive, but still want a relatively modern community with many of today’s standard amenities. Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom 6.3% 5.8% 6.2% 7.4% 7.7% 8.7% 10.4% 9.8% 8.6% 9.4% Three Bedroom 7.5% 10.4% 8.4% 11.6% 10.6% 6.2% 7.0% 8.2% 10.2% 9.2% Totals Communities 6-15 Years in Age - Rental Rates $750 • • • The vacancy rate has dropped over the past six months to 9.2% as of August. There were 175 units absorbed in the six months between February and August. The average rent for units 6 to 15 years in age stands at $737. These communities are priced at an $85 per month discount to communities 1-5 years in age. However, compared to communities that are more than 15 years in age, these apartments rent at a $118 premium. Pre-existing inventory rents increased only $0.76 since February. $745 Average Quoted Monthly Rent • $10.00 Monthly Rent Rent Change* $8.00 $735 $7.00 $730 $6.00 $725 $5.00 $720 $4.00 $715 $3.00 $710 $2.00 $705 $1.00 $700 $0.00 Aug. '00 One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Rent Change* Absorption Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 N/A N/A N/A N/A 175 © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 $629 $757 $630 $759 $632 $761 $624 $757 $655 $769 $902 $904 $898 $892 $901 $706 $708 $710 $704 $737 N/A N/A N/A N/A $0.76 C o m m unities 6-15 Y ears in Age - Absorption 300 250 Net Units Absorbed & Completed Communities 6-15 Years in Age Supply / Demand Trends Feb. '01 Communities 6-15 Years in Age Rent Trends Totals Note: Statistical numbers prior to August 2002 are based on previous age breakdowns, which included all communities built between 1980-1989. Whereas, the August 2002 statistics represent communities built between 1986-1996. The historical numbers represented should not be used for a direct comparison but only as a general reference. $9.00 $740 Rent Change* Average Rent 12.0% Vacancy Rate # Units # Vacant Comm unities 6-15 Years in Age - Vacancy Rate 200 150 100 50 0 Au g. '00 -50 -100 8 15+ Years Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Communities 15+ Years in Age 15+ Years in Age Overall Mkt. % of Mkt. # Units # Vacant 40,376 4,479 86,205 9,612 46.8% 46.6% Vacancy % 11.1% 11.2% Average SF 881 923 Absorption 10.0% 95.4% $619 $708 87.4% $0.703 $0.781 90.0% 139 3,069 4.5% # Under-Const. 0 2,854 0.0% # Proposed 0 4,965 0.0% Starts 0 649 0.0% Completions 0 1,683 0.0% -$2.03 $0.48 -424.7% Rent Change* 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Aug. '00 *(Based on pre-existing inventory only) Communities built more than 15 years ago represent the largest segment of the market with 40,376 units, nearly half of the overall market. • • Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 6.4% 5.1% 5.7% 5.2% 7.5% 7.6% 12.5% 11.0% 11.3% 10.7% Three Bedroom 7.0% 5.8% 10.1% 13.7% 12.5% 5.8% 5.4% 7.8% 11.8% 11.1% Totals Communities 15+ Years in Age - Rental Rates The vacancy rate has remained in the 11% range over the past six months, up from 7.8% reported one year ago. There were 139 apartment units absorbed in the six months between February and August. The average rent for units more than 15 years in age stands at $619 and represents a discount of $118 as compared to communities 6-15 years in age. $625 Pre-existing inventory rents for this segment of the market decreased (-$2.03) since February. This was the only age segment to see a decline in existing community rents. Note: Statistical numbers prior to August 2002 are based on previous age breakdowns, which included all communities built prior to 1980. Whereas, the August 2002 statistics represent communities built prior to 1986. The historical numbers represented should not be used for a direct comparison but only as a general reference. Communities 15+ Years in Age Supply / Demand Trends Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 N/A N/A N/A N/A 139 © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com $10.00 Monthly Rent Rent Change* $620 $9.00 $615 $8.00 $610 $7.00 $605 $6.00 $600 $5.00 $595 $4.00 $590 $3.00 $585 $2.00 $580 $1.00 $575 The average rent for one bedroom units is $545, for two bedroom units the average rent is $644, while the average rent for three bedroom units is $763. Absorption Aug '02 Aug. '00 Average Quoted Monthly Rent • Feb '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom $0.00 Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 Communities 15+ Years in Age Rent Trends Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug '01 Feb '02 Aug '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom $516 $612 $524 $624 $531 $632 $525 $626 $545 $644 Three Bedroom $765 $775 $786 $781 $763 $598 $609 $617 $611 $619 N/A N/A N/A N/A -$2.03 Totals Rent Change* C o m m u n itie s 1 5+ Y ears in Ag e - Ab so rp tio n 300 250 Net Units Absorbed & Completed • Aug '01 Communities 15+ Years in Age Vacancy Trends Communities 15+ Years Summary • Feb. '01 Rent Change* Average Rent/SF 12.0% Vacancy Rate Average Rent Com m unities 15+ Years in Age - Vacancy Rate 200 150 100 50 0 Aug. '00 -50 -100 9 Development Submarket Carolinas Real Data Apartments Under Construction Downtown Southeast-3 Southeast-1 North Southwest-1 Northeast-2 East-2 Northeast-1 Southwest-2 Southeast-2 Northwest Northeast-3 East-3 East-1 Gaston York Union Iredell Cabarrus Apartments Proposed Northeast-2 Northwest Southeast-1 York Downtown North Union Gaston Southwest-2 Southeast-3 Northeast-1 Iredell Southeast-2 East-3 East-1 Southwest-1 East-2 Northeast-3 Cabarrus 1 0 100 200 300 400 500 Units Under Construction © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com 600 700 1 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 Units Proposed 10 Development Submarket Carolinas Real Data Communities Under Construction Communities Proposed There are currently a total of 2,854 units under construction. Currently there are 4,965 apartment units proposed to be built. • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • Pappas Properties is nearing completion of 183 at the Charlotte Cotton Mills, , on North Graham and West Fifth Streets in the Downtown submarket. Spectrum Properties has 305 units under construction at 5th & Poplar in the Downtown Submarket. Bank of America started building 190 units at Sycamore Green on West Trade Street in the Downtown Submarket. Talley Properties has 144 units under construction at Thorngrove on Albemarle Road in East-2. The final 72 units in the second phase of Crown Ridge are currently under construction on Regal Estates Ln in East-2. The final 108 units are under construction at Birkdale Village, a mixed-use community off Sam Furr Road in Huntersville, in the North Submarket. Charter Properties started construction on 185 units at Davidson Gateway located in the North Submarket. The final 16 units are under construction at the Village of Rosedale on Tiffany Rose Place in Northeast-1. David Drye Company has 108 units under construction at the Crossroads at Village Park on Hidden Forest Drive in Northeast-1. The final 95 units at Highlands at Alexander Point are currently under construction in Northeast-2 on Highroad Drive. The final 174 units under construction at the Village at Brierfield on Hwy-49, 2 miles east of UNCC in Northeast-2. Fairfield Properties has 299 units under construction at South End Square in Southeast-1 on South Tryon and Palmer Streets. Grubb Properties is building 145 units at Sterling Dilworth/Latta Pavilion, a mixed-use site on East Boulevard in Southeast-1. The final 165 units are under construction at Promenade Park on Ballantyne Commons and Providence Roads in Southeast-3. Roberts Realty is building 319 units at Ballantyne Place on the corner of Ballantyne Commons Parkway and Hwy521 in Southeast-3. Davis Development started construction on 274 units at Carrington at Tyvola on Beam and Shopton Roads in Southwest-1. The final 72 units are under construction at River Crossing on Arrowood Road and South Boulevard in Southwest-2. • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • • © Sept-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com Paradigm Companies and Cornerstone are planning 380 units at 3rd and Church St. in the Downtown market. Forest City Land Group is planning 267 units at Summers Walk in Davidson located in the North submarket. Winter Properties of Atlanta is planning 100 units at Highland Mill on North Davidson Street and 33rd St. in E-1. Cornerstone Realty has plans to build an 84-unit second phase at Timber Crest off Monroe Road in E-3. There are 268 units proposed at Ratcliffe on West Mallard Creek Church Road in NE-2. CB Development is planning to build 405 units, in two phases, at Abbington Place on Mallard Creek Church Road south of I-85 in NE-2. Blue Ridge Management plans 132 units at Pavilion Crossings II on Salome Church Road in NE-2. The Drakeford Company is planning 228 units at The Lexington at Sunset on Sunset Road and I-77 in NE-2. Penobscot Development is planning 132 units at Tradition at Mallard Creek II on Crescent View Dr. in NE-2. Crosland has proposed to build 164 units in a second phase of Arbor Glen on Farmer Street in the Northwest. Salloum Ventures plans to build 276 units at Fairway at Pawtucket on Pawtucket Road in the NW submarket. H.H. Hunt is planning 496 units at Austin Woods on Reams Road and I-77 in the NW submarket. Pappas Properties is planning to build 350 units at the site of the trolley barn on the north side of South Boulevard between Park Avenue and Bland Street in SE-1. Grubb Properties is planning to build 174 units at Sterling Magnolia on Wendwood Drive in SE-1. Grubb Properties has proposed to build 100 new units at Park South in SE-2, where four of the existing buildings will be razed to make way for a mixed use project. Marsh Associates is planning a 144-unit second phase of Providence Park on McKee and Providence Rd. in SE-3. D&M Builders is planning a 192-unit second phase of Ashford Place off Old Pineville Road in SW-2. Stonebrier, a 205 unit community is planned at South New Hope and Titman Rds. in Gaston County The second phase of Talbert Woods is planned for 100 units in Iredell County. Stonehaven, a 250 unit community is proposed at Faith Church Rd. and Hwy. 74 in Union County. Manchester Village on Dave Lyle Blvd. has plans for a 312 unit community in York County. The former Rock Hill Cotton Factory in York County is scheduled to be turned into 80 units. University Place, a planned 126 unit community will be located on Stewart Street in York County. 11 Charlotte Submarket Comparison Submarket Carolinas Real Data Charlotte Market Distribution East-3 11% East-2 11% North 4% Northeast-1 5% East-1 7% Downtown 2% Northeast-2 12% Southwest-2 3% Southwest-1 5% Northeast-3 3% Northwest 5% Southeast-3 21% C h a rlo tte S u b m a rk e t C o m p a ris o n T o ta l U n its Vacant U n its Vacancy R a te A v e ra g e S q . F t. Av erag e Rent D o w n to w n 1 ,5 6 5 186 1 1 .9 % 852 $ 1 ,0 1 3 $ 1 .1 8 9 E a s t-1 4 ,9 6 0 716 1 4 .4 % 849 $583 $ 0 .6 8 7 E a s t-2 7 ,6 5 7 866 1 1 .3 % 869 $635 E a s t-3 N o r th 7 ,6 9 4 3 ,1 2 3 543 315 7 .1 % 1 0 .1 % 909 985 N o r th e a s t-1 3 ,8 5 3 457 1 1 .9 % N o r th e a s t-2 8 ,4 8 5 677 8 .0 % N o r th e a s t-3 2 ,3 4 7 364 N o r th w e s t 3 ,7 3 5 391 S o u th e a s t-1 3 ,7 1 6 374 S o u th e a s t-2 4 ,0 4 5 380 S o u th e a s t-3 1 4 ,7 5 6 S o u th w e s t-1 S o u th w e s t-2 T o ta ls /A v e ra g e s © Sep-02 Real Data Southeast-1 5% Southeast-2 6% U n its U /C U n its P ro p o s e d 102 678 380 -9 1 0 0 $ 0 .7 3 2 -1 7 216 0 $688 $815 $ 0 .7 5 7 $ 0 .8 2 7 251 366 0 293 84 267 825 $524 $ 0 .6 3 5 182 124 100 966 $808 $ 0 .8 3 6 357 269 1 ,1 6 5 1 5 .5 % 900 $657 $ 0 .7 3 0 98 0 0 1 0 .5 % 789 $492 $ 0 .6 2 4 163 0 936 1 0 .1 % 839 $734 $ 0 .8 7 5 197 444 524 9 .4 % 1 ,1 0 5 $854 $ 0 .7 7 3 22 0 100 1 ,5 5 5 1 0 .5 % 967 $805 $ 0 .8 3 3 422 484 144 3 ,6 1 2 2 ,2 8 9 456 310 1 2 .6 % 1 3 .5 % 987 956 $800 $658 $ 0 .8 1 1 $ 0 .6 8 9 189 180 274 72 0 192 7 1 ,8 3 7 7 ,5 9 0 1 0 .6 % 923 $682 $ 0 .7 3 9 2 ,4 2 1 2 ,8 5 4 3 ,8 9 2 www.aptindex.com A v e ra g e A b s o rp tio n - 6 R e n t/S F m os. 12 Submarket Comparison Submarket Carolinas Real Data Comparative Vacancies Northeast-3 East-1 Southwest-2 Southwest-1 Downtown Northeast-1 East-2 1 Southeast-3 Northwest Southeast-1 North Southeast-2 Northeast-2 East-3 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 14% 16% $850 $950 $1,050 Vacancy Rate Comparative Rents Downtown Southeast-2 North Northeast-2 Southeast-3 Southwest-1 Southeast-1 East-3 1 Southwest-2 Northeast-3 East-2 East-1 Northeast-1 Northwest $450 $550 $650 $750 Average Quoted Monthly Rent Comparative Absorption Southeast-3 North Northeast-2 East-3 Southeast-1 Southwest-1 Northeast-1 Southwest-2 1 Northwest Downtown Northeast-3 Southeast-2 East-2 East-1 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 Net units Absorbed (six months) © Sep-02 Real Data www.aptindex.com 13 Downtown Submarket Index Carolinas Real Data Downtown Submarket Summary Downtown Overall Mkt. % of Mkt. 1,565 186 86,205 9,612 1.8% 1.9% Vacancy % 11.9% 11.2% Average SF 852 923 92.3% Average Rent $1,013 $708 143.0% Average Rent/SF 152.2% # Units # Vacant $1.189 $0.781 Absorption 102 3,069 3.3% # Under-Const. 678 2,854 23.8% # Proposed 380 4,965 7.7% Starts 190 649 29.3% 164 1,683 9.7% $3.32 $0.48 694.5% Completions Rent Change* *(Based on pre-existing inventory only) Downtown Submarket Summary Dow ntow n Vacancy Rate • 20.0% 18.0% 16.0% 14.0% Vacancy Rate Downtown Charlotte is located within the I-77/I-277 freeway loop. It is the largest employment center in the city, drawing a workforce of over 55,000 people daily. A recent announcement in this submarket is the future campus of Johnson & Whales University, opening in fall 2004 with 825 students and expected to grow to 2,800 students and 250 staff members by 2007. Downtown represents less than 2% of the overall Charlotte apartment market with 1,565 units. 12.0% 10.0% 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% • • • There were 102 units absorbed in the past six months and 206 units absorbed in the last year. The average rent stands at $1,013, with pre-existing inventory rents increasing $3.32 since February. There are 678 units currently under construction within 305 units at 5th and Poplar, 190 units at Sycamore Green and 183 units at Charlotte Cotton Mills where the first residents are expected to move in the third-quarter of 2002. An additional 380 units are proposed at the Cornerstone/Paradigm site on 3rd and Church Streets. There have been 164 units completed over the past six months within the final units in the second phase of Post Gateway Place. Construction was started on 190 units during the same time period at Sycamore Green on West Trade Street. 0.0% Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom $776 $1,014 $911 $1,292 $878 $1,265 $868 $1,294 $858 $1,311 Three Bedroom $1,032 $1,740 $1,757 $1,822 $1,747 $855 $1,055 $1,019 $1,018 $1,013 $4.50 $0.77 -$48.31 $3.93 $3.32 www.aptindex.com Aug. '02 Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 8.6% 3.1% 20.6% 14.6% 15.3% 12.4% 11.2% 5.6% 12.6% 10.9% Three Bedroom 0.0% 18.4% 14.3% 11.9% 4.2% 6.7% 18.7% 14.4% 9.6% 11.9% Totals D ow ntow n Absorption vs. C om pletions 450 23% Absorption C om pletions V a cancy R ate 400 350 21% 19% 300 17% 250 15% 200 13% 150 11% 100 9% 50 7% 0 5% -50 3% -100 1% Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 Downtown Historical Supply / Demand Trends Aug. '00 © Sep-02 Real Data Feb. '02 One Bedroom Two Bedroom Downtown Historical Rent Trends Rent Change* Aug. '01 Downtown Historical Vacancy Trends Aug. '00 Totals Feb. '01 Vacancy Rate • The vacancy rate has dropped over the past year, falling from 14.4% reported in August 2001 to 11.9% as of this August. Three bedroom vacancy rates are significantly below lower, at 4.2%, as compared to the rest of the downtown market. Net Units Absorbed & Completed • Aug. '00 Feb. '01 Aug. '01 Feb. '02 Aug. '02 Absorption Completions 168 169 222 406 194 164 104 40 102 164 Differential -1 -184 30 64 -62 0 188 183 305 190 Starts 15 Northwest/St. Andrews Submarket Index Real Data Northwest/St. Andrews Submarket Overall Mkt. % of Mkt. 10,588 1,112 10.5% 24,716 2,375 9.6% 42.8% 46.8% 928 Average SF $606 Average Rent $0.653 Average Rent/SF 18 Absorption 240 # Under-Const. 0 # Proposed 226 Completions 240 Starts $0.73 Rent Change* *(pre-existing inventory only) 948 $629 $0.677 -192 428 462 226 428 $3.47 97.9% 96.4% 96.5% -9.4% 56.1% 0.0% 100.0% 56.1% 21.0% Northwest/St. Andrews Submarket Summary • The vacancy rate has remained in the 9%-10% range over the past two and a half years and currently stands at 10.5% as of April 2003. This is the highest vacancy rate reported by any submarket. 12.0% 10.0% Vacancy Rate The St. Andrews/Northwest area is Columbia’s largest apartment market with a high concentration of apartments along Broad River and St. Andrews Roads. The Northwest/St. Andrews submarket contains 42.8% of the apartment units in the Columbia market, with 10,558 units. Northwest / St. Andrews Vacancy Rate 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% 0.0% Apr. '01 There were only 18 units absorbed in the past six months and 151 units were absorbed in the past year. • The final 226 units Crestmont on Wood Cross Drive were completed over the past six months. • The average rent for the Northwest/St. Andrews submarket is $606, with pre-existing inventory rents increasing only $0.73 since October 2002. • There are currently 240 units under construction at Walden Heights at Harbison on Lake Murray Boulevard. There are no new units proposed at this time. Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 Northw est/St. Andrew s Vacancy Trends Apr. '01 Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 9.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.0% 9.8% 12.7% 9.1% 9.6% 12.7% 8.8% 8.4% 9.8% 9.4% 11.7% 8.9% 8.6% 9.1% 9.8% 8.7% 10.5% One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Totals Northwest/St.Andrews - Absorption vs. Completions Net Units Absorbed & Completed • 300 11.0% 250 10.0% 200 9.0% 150 8.0% Absorption Completions Vacancy 100 50 7.0% 6.0% 0 5.0% -50 4.0% -100 3.0% -150 2.0% Apr. '01 Northwest/St. Andrews Rent Trends One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Totals Rent Change* Apr. '01 Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 $506 $616 $703 $518 $629 $711 $517 $631 $715 $522 $636 $719 $525 $640 $722 $585 $598 $598 $603 $606 $5.87 $7.61 $1.60 $4.76 $0.73 © May-03 Real Data www.aptindex.com Vacancy Rate NW/St.Andrews # Units # Vacant Vac. % Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 Northwest/St. Andrews Supply / Demand Trends Absorption Completions Differential Starts Apr. '01 Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 -118 0 -118 -59 0 -59 -79 0 -79 133 24 109 18 226 -208 0 40 250 0 240 18 West Columbia/Cayce Submarket Index Real Data West Columbia/Cayce Submarket West Columbia/Cayce Overall Mkt. % of Mkt. 1,413 107 7.6% 24,716 2,375 9.6% 5.7% 4.5% 850 Average SF $556 Average Rent $0.654 Average Rent/SF 25 Absorption 0 # Under-Const. 0 # Proposed 0 Completions 0 Starts $15.36 Rent Change* *(pre-existing inventory only) 948 $629 $0.677 -192 428 462 226 428 $3.47 89.7% 88.4% 96.6% -13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 442.4% # Units # Vacant Vac. % West Columbia/Cayce Submarket Summary • The West Columbia/Cayce submarket contains 1,413 apartment units, accounting for 5.7% of the overall market. 12.0% 10.0% Vacancy Rate West Columbia and Cayce are located to the west of downtown Columbia across the Congaree River. This submarket is characterized as a middle-income suburban area. Most residents either commute to jobs in downtown Columbia, are employed at business parks that line the I-26 corridor. West/Cayce Vacancy Rate 8.0% 6.0% 4.0% 2.0% • The average rent for the West Columbia/Cayce submarket stands at $556, 12% below the overall market average of $629. Pre-existing inventory rents increased $15.36 since October 2002. There were no units completed over the past six months and no new units are proposed at this time. 0.0% Apr. '01 Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 W est Columbia/Cayce Vacancy Trends One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Totals Apr. '01 Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 7.7% 7.9% 16.7% 6.5% 9.1% 13.2% 7.0% 12.4% 18.4% 4.7% 10.9% 15.8% 9.5% 6.0% 12.3% 8.5% 8.6% 11.2% 9.3% 7.6% West Columbia / Cayce - Absorption vs. Completions 150 17.0% Absorption Completions Vacancy 125 100 15.0% 13.0% 75 11.0% 50 9.0% 25 7.0% 0 5.0% -25 3.0% -50 1.0% Apr. '01 West Columbia/Cayce Rent Trends One Bedroom Two Bedroom Three Bedroom Totals Rent Change* Apr. '01 Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 $483 $535 $648 $486 $537 $658 $486 $539 $658 $488 $560 $665 $492 $574 $673 $528 $531 $532 $546 $556 $5.09 $4.03 $1.24 $1.57 $15.36 © May-03 Real Data www.aptindex.com Vacancy Rate • The vacancy rate has dropped over the past six months from 9.3% as of October 2002 to 7.6% as of April 2003. The recent drop in the vacancy is due to the absorption of 25 units over the past six months while no new units were completed during the same time period. Net Units Absorbed & Completed • Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 West Columbia/Cayce Supply / Demand Trends Apr. '01 Oct. '01 Apr. '02 Oct. '02 Apr. '03 Absorption Completions Differential 2 0 2 -1 0 -1 -36 0 -36 50 144 -94 25 0 25 Starts 0 144 0 0 0 19
© Copyright 2024