Program for the 37th Meeting of the Norwegian Association for Economists (Forskermøtet) University of Bergen 5-6 January, 2015 Monday, January 5 9.00-9.45: Registration & Coffee 9.45-10.00: Welcome by Head of Economics Department, UiB, Jan Erik Askildsen «Egget» 10.00-10.45: Tommy Stahl Gabrielsen: Can Price Fixing Improve Welfare? «Egget» 11.00-13.00: Parallel sessions I Invited session: Work and Welfare Contributed sessions: Behavioral Economics Political Economy I Empirical Economics Resource Wealth Macroeconomics I 13.00-14.00: Lunch 14.00-16.00: Parallel sessions II Invited session: Economic Development in China Contributed sessions: Human Capital Microeconomics Taxation and Public Economics Agriculture Environmental Economics I 16.15-17.00: Trond Olsen: On the 2014 Nobel laureate in economics 18.30: Turn out at Fløibanen – see information document 19.00: Conference Dinner at Fløien Folkerestaurant «Egget» A B C D E «Egget» A B C D E «Egget» Tuesday, January 6 09.15: Morning coffee 9.30-11.30: Parallel sessions III Invited session: Entrepreneurship and Innovation Contributed sessions: Development Macroeconomics II Environmental Economics II Gender and Family Political Economy II 11.45-12.30: Shelly Lundberg: Inequality and Non-Cognitive Skills «Egget» A B C D E «Egget» 12.30-13.30: Lunch 13.30-15.30: Parallel sessions IV Invited session: Climate Economics Contributed sessions: International Economics Industrial Organization Empirical Labor Economics Fisheries «Egget» A B C D Invited Session I: Monday 5 January, 11.00-13.00 WORK AND WELFARE Chair: Kjell Erik Lommerud “Egget” TBA Gaute Torsvik TBA Kjetil Telle TBA Kjell Erik Lommerud (with Katrine V. Løken and Katrine H. Reiso) Contributed Sessions I: BEHAVIORAL ECONOMICS Chair: Ingeborg Solli A Are Americans more meritocratic and efficiency seeking than Scandinavians? Alexander W. Cappelen (with Ingvild Almås and Bertil Tungodden) Discussant: Sigve Tjøtta You’ll never walk alone Sigve Tjøtta Discussant: Mathias Ekström Fairness in a Winner-Takes-all Society Mathias Ekström (with Bjørn Bartling, Alexander W. Cappelen, Bertil Tungodden) Discussant: Ingeborg Solli Lagging behind the Joneses: The Impact of relative Earnings on Job Separation Ingeborg Solli (with Mari Rege) Discussant: Alexander W. Cappelen POLITICAL ECONOMY I Chair: Ole Henning Nyhus Municipalities’ decision to care – at home or in a nursing home Theis Theisen Discussant: Fred Schroyen Optimal provider payment under rationing by random waits Fred Schroyen (with Hugh Gravelle) Discussant: Gjermund Grimsby Parallel sessions I, 11.00-13.00 B Monday 5 January, 11.00-13.00 On the performance of direct lending programs. Evidence from Norway Gjermund Grimsby Discussant: Ole Henning Nyhus Balanced budget regulations and local government production: More for less? Ole Henning Nyhus Discussant: Theis Theisen EMPIRICAL ECONOMICS Chair: Øivind A. Nilsen C Nonlinearities in the oil price – NOK relation Saskia ter Ellen Discussant: Xianwen Chen Stated Preference Data Enrichment, Model Calibration, and Market Share Predictions Xianwen Chen Discussant: Øivind A. Nilsen Producer’s Price Adjustments: Structural Micro Evidence of the Menu Cost Function Øivind A. Nilsen (with Wilko Letterie) Discussant: Saskia ter Ellen RESOURCE WEALTH Chair: Andrea Ferrero D Resource wealth and Ricardian equivalence Klaus Mohn Discussant: Lin Ma Optimal Asset Allocation for Commodity Sovereign Wealth Funds Lin Ma (with Alfonso A. Irarrazabal) Discussant: Jan Morten Dyrstad Resource curse avoidance: Governmental intervention and wage formation in the Norwegian petroleum sector Jan Morten Dyrstad Discussant: Andrea Ferrero Notes on the Underground: Monetary Policy in Resource-Rich Economies Andrea Ferrero Discussant: Klaus Mohn Parallel sessions I, 11.00-13.00 Monday 5 January, 11.00-13.00 MACROECONOMICS I Chair: Drago Bergholt Oil and macroeconomic (in)stability Vegard Høghaug Larsen (with Hilde C. Bjørnland) Discussant: Theo Schewe Monetary Policy Regimes and the Nordic Model Theo Schewe Discussant: Tommy Sveen Immigration, Capacity Utilization and Monetary Policy Tommy Sveen (with Gisle Natvig) Discussant: Drago Bergholt An Absent Speed Optimization in Crude Oil Shipping? Drago Bergholt (with Martin Seneca) Discussant: Vegard Høghaug Larsen Parallel sessions I, 11.00-13.00 E Invited Session II: Monday 5 January, 14.00-16.00 ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT IN CHINA Chair: Halvor Mehlum “Egget” The cost of a growth miracle -- reassessing poverty and inequality trends in China Ingvild Almås (with Å. Johnsen) Will China escape the middle-income trap: a politico-economic theory of growth and state capitalism Yikai Wang China's savings multiplier Halvor Mehlum (with R. Torvik, S. Valente) Contributed Sessions II: HUMAN CAPITAL Chair: Sturla A. Løkken A Family dissolution and children’s educational outcomes. Correlation or causality? Marie Husøy Sæther Discussant: Trude Gunnes Immigration and Student Achievement Assimilation: The Role of Source Country Characteristics Trude Gunnes (with Jonas M. Kinge) Discussant: Marie Husøy Sæther Education Spending and Intergenerational Mobility Sturla A. Løkken (with Audun Langørgen) Discussant: Espen Bratberg MICROECONOMICS Chair: Olvar Bergland A Trust Game in Loss Domain Ola Kvaløy (with Miguel Luzuriaga) Discussant: Øyvind N. Aas Economic Governance, Incomplete Contracts and Search Frictions Øyvind N. Aas Discussant: Øivind Schøyen Why do the powerful often fail to promote the morality of their authority? Øivind Schøyen Discussant: Olvar Bergland Parallel sessions II, 14.00-16.00 B Monday 5 January, 14.00-16.00 Benefit Transfer Without Apology A Decision Theoretic Approach Olvar Bergland Discussant: Ola Kvaløy TAXATION AND PUBLIC ECONOMICS Chair: Frikk Nesje C Should the Norwegian corporate tax rate be reduced? Geir H. M. Bjertnæs Discussant: Arnaldur Solvi Kristjansson Optimal taxation of investors and workers Arnaldur Solvi Kristjansson Discussant: Elin Halvorsen Taxation of Wealth in a Dynastic Perspective Elin Halvorsen (with Carol Romay, Thor Olav Thoresen) Discussant: Frikk Nesje Discounting Disentagled: An Expert Survey on the Determinants of the Long-Term Social Discount Rate Frikk Nesje (with Moritz A. Drupp, Mark C. Freeman, Ben Groom) Discussant: Geir H. M. Bjertnæs AGRICULTURE Chair: Anna Milford An age-structured bioeconomic model continuous in time and age Stein Ivar Steinshamn (with Peter Golubtsov) Discussant: Klaus Mittenzwei Hot Cognition in agricultural policy preferences in Norway Klaus Mittenzwei (with Stefan Mann, Karen Refsgaard, Valborg Kvakkestad) Discussant: Anders Skonhoft Livestock and disease spreading. An integrated epidemiological and economic analysis Anders Skonhoft Discussant: Anna Milford Achieving Emission Reduction Targets by Changing Eating Habits in Norway Anna Milford (with Ibon Galarrage, Luis Maria Abadie, Geir Wæhler Gustavsen) Discussant: Stein Ivar Steinshamn Parallel sessions II, 14.00-16.00 D Monday 5 January, 14.00-16.00 ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS I Chair: Alessia Russo E How does survey mode affect preference elicitation for a complex good? Comparing a valuation workshop and an internet panel Erlend Dancke Sandorf (with Margrethe Aanesen, Ståle Navrud) Discussant: Torben Mideksa Conservation Contracts Torben Mideksa (with Bård Harstad) Discussant: Margrethe Aanesen Willingness to pay for unfamiliar public goods: Preserving cold water coral in Norway Margrethe Aanesen (with Claire Armstrong, Micolaj Czajkowski, Jannike Falk-Petersen, Nick Hanley, Ståle Navrud) Discussant: Alessia Russo Compliance Technology and Self-Enforcing Agreements Alessia Russo (with Bård Harstad, Francesco Lancia) Discussant: Erlend Dancke Sandorf Parallel sessions II, 14.00-16.00 Invited Session III: Tuesday 6 January, 09.30-11.30 ENTREPRENEURSHIP AND INNOVATION Chair: Eirik Gaard Kristiansen “Egget” TBA Hans Hvide TBA Knut Røed TBA Eirik Gaard Kristiansen Contributed Sessions III: DEVELOPMENT Chair: Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge A Girl’s Empowerment – A Randomized Field Experiment Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge (with Vincent Somville, Bertil Tungodden, Kjetil Bjorvatn, Tausi Kida, Linda Helgesson Sekei) Discussant: Nina Bruvik Westberg Exchanging fertilizer for votes? Nina Bruvik Westberg Discussant: Quamrul Ahsan Why will the ultra poor reject microcredit? Quamrul Ahsan Discussant: Cathrin Fløgstad Domestic Bond Markets in Emerging Economies: The Crowding Out Effect Cathrin Fløgstad Discussant: Lars Ivar Oppedal Berge MACROECONOMICS II Chair: Kahyati Zahiri Sepideh B Bubbles and crises: The role of house prices and credit Frank Hansen (with André Anundsen, Karsten Gerdrup, Kasper Kragh-Sørensen) Discussant: Ørjan Robstad House prices, credit and the effect of monetary policy in Norway: Evidence from Structural VAR Models Ørjan Robstad Discussant: André Anundsen Parallel sessions III, 09.30-11.30 Tuesday 6 January, 09.30-11.30 Did US consumers save for a rainy day before the Great Recession? André Anundsen (with Ragnar Nymoen) Discussant: Kahyati Zahiri Sepideh Commodity Futures Markets and Commodity Currencies Forecasting Khayati Zahiri Sepideh (with Tommy Sveen, Francesco Ravazzolo) Discussant: Frank Hansen ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS II Chair: Gunnar S. Eskeland C Pareto Improving Climate Policies: Distributing the benefits across generations and regions Sverre A. C. Kittelsen (With Michael Hoel, Snorre Kverndokk) Discussant: Eirik Romstad Nonpoint Source Pollution Contracts – Emission Based Regulations Through Models Eirik Romstad Discussant: Eric Nævdal Inertia risk: Accounting for delayed impacts in catastrophic risk structures and implications for policy Eric Nævdal (with Anne-Sophie Crépin)) Discussant: Gunnar S. Eskeland Agglomeration and the Commute Gunnar S. Eskeland Discussant: Sverre A. C. Kittelsen GENDER AND FAMILY Chair: Astrid Kunze D Grandmother retirement, informal childcare, and adult daughters’ fertility and earnings Julian Vedeler Johnsen Discussant: Astrid Louise Grasdal Fathers’ Multiple-Partner Fertility and Children’s Educational Outcomes: Estimates fro Norwegian Data Astrid Louise Grasdal (with Donna Ginther, Robert Pollack) Discussant: Karen Hauge Gender differences in sockness absence: A survey of norms, attitudes and priorities in life Karen Hauge (with Simen Markussen, Marte Ulvestad) Discussant: Astrid Kunze Women Helping Women? Evidence from private sector data on workplace hierarchies Astrid Kunze (with Amalia R. Miller) Discussant: Julian Vedeler Johnsen Parallel sessions III, 09.30-11.30 Tuesday 6 January, 09.30-11.30 POLITICAL ECONOMY II Chair: Rune Jansen Hagen Local favoritism in at-large proportional representation systems Askill Harkjerr Halse (with Jon H. Fiva) Discussant: Arne Wiig Diversification and democracy Arne Wiig (with Ivar Kolstad) Discussant: Matteo Alpino The electoral payoff of fiscal populism: evidence from the 2006 Berlusconi’s campaign Matteo Alpino Discussant: Rune Jansen Hagen Gatekeeper? The IMF, Aid Flows, and Policymaking in Low-Income Countries Rune Jansen Hagen Discussant: Askill Harkjerr Halse Parallel sessions III, 09.30-11.30 E Invited Session IV: Tuesday 6 January, 13.30-15.30 CLIMATE ECONOMICS Chair: Knut Einar Rosendahl “Egget” Reciprocal Climate Negotiators: Balancing Anger against Even More Anger Karine Nyborg From fossil fuels to renewables: The role of electricity storage Linda Nøstbakken How to mitigate carbon leakage Knut Einar Rosendahl Contributed Sessions IV: INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS Chair: Carsten Martin Syvertsen A Optimal trade policy with monopolistic competition and heterogeneous firms Jan I. Haaland (with Anthony J. Venables) Discussant: Hans-Martin Straume Duration and temporary trade Hans-Martin Straume (with Frank Asche) Discussant: Ragnhild Balsvik Rent sharing with footloose production: Foreign ownership and wages revisited Ragnhild Balsvik (with Morten Sæthre) Discussant: Carsten Martin Syvertsen The Norwegian ice exportation and the Kondratieff curve Carsten Martin Syvertsen Discussant: Jan I. Haaland INDUSTRIAL ORGANIZATION Chair: Steffen Juranek Implications of music subscriptions Sigbjørn Hjelmbrekke Discussant: Chen Qu Endogenous coalition of Intellectual Properties: A Three-Patent Story Chen Qu Discussant: Peter Aalen Parallel sessions IV, 13.30-15.30 B Tuesday 6 January, 13.30-15.30 Do shopping malls suppress local retail? Empirical evidence from Norwegian counties Peter Aalen (with Jens Fredrik B. Skogstrøm) Discussant: Steffen Juranek The Determinants of litigation investments Steffen Juranek Discussant: Sigbjørn Hjelmbrekke EMPIRICAL LABOR ECONOMICS Chair: Øystein Hernæs C The entrepreneurial earnings puzzle: Evidence from matched person-firm data Arvid Raknerud (with Mirjam van Praag) Discussant: Kristin Dale Digital exams in introductory courses in economics Kristin Dale Discussant: Øystein Hernæs The effects of activation for welfare – evidence from local social insurance offices Øystein Hernæs (with Simen Markussen, Knut Røed) Discussant: Arvid Raknerud FISHERIES Chair: Sturla Kvamsdal Resource Rent of Norwegian Fisheries – Trends and policies Lars Lindholt (with Mads Greaker, Kristine Grimsrud) Discussant: Asle Gauteplass Conflict and cooperation in an age structured fishery Asle Gauteplass (with Anders Skonhoft) Discussant: Duy Nguyen Economic performance and technical efficiency with different measures of fish stock indices Liv Osland (with Ola flaaten, Long Kim Le) Discussant: Sturla Kvamsdal A Structural Model of Technical Change in a Fishery Sturla Kvamsdal Discussant: Lars Lindholt Parallel sessions IV, 13.30-15.30 D
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