Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 V0G Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 1 Model using Regress Linear 3Factor in Excel 2013 by Milo Schield Member: International Statistical Institute US Rep: International Statistical Literacy Project Director, W. M. Keck Statistical Literacy Project Slides at: www.StatLit.org/pdf /Model-Regress-Linear-3Factor-Excel2013-6up.pdf /Model-Regress-Linear-3Factor-Excel2013-1up.pdf V0G Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 3 10/9/2014 V0G V0G 2 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 Goal: Summarize association before/after control for Gender Required output: Create and upload your worksheet*: 1. Generate two charts (slides 4 and 15). Slide 4: Show trend-line, equation and R2. Slide 15: Show trend-lines. Show regression model. 2. Generate/show averages (slide 3) . 3. Generate/show output from regression (slide 9). Data: www.StatLit.org/xls/Pulse-Regress-Worksheet.xlsx Note: Male is already in column D in this worksheet. Demo output: www.StatLit.org/pdf/Pulse-Regress-Output.pdf Subjects are college students. Male: 1 for men; 0 for women. V0G 4 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 Analyze Data: Enter Formula into K4:L5 Chart #1 . Weight vs Height 215 y = 5.0918x - 204.74 R2 = 0.616 190 Weight Actual male-female differences: • Average weight: 158.3 - 123.8 = 34.5 pounds • Average height: 70.75 – 65.40 = 5.35 inches Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 5 Decompose Male-Female Weight Difference: 1st try Actual male-female differences (slide 3): • Average weight: 158.3 - 123.8 = 34.5 pounds • Average height: 70.75 – 65.40 = 5.35 inches 140 115 Question: How much of the male-female weight difference (34.5#) is due to gender (male vs. female) and how much is due to the difference in heights? Analyzing a whole into parts is called “decomposition”. V0G 165 90 60 65 70 75 Height V0G Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 6 Model Weight by Height & Sex: Four Step Process Step 1. From Data Toolbar, select Data Analysis (in the Analysis section). Select Regression Step 2. Regress Weight on Height and Gender Model Weight on Height (slide 4) • Expected Weight = -204.74 + 5.09 * Height Decomposition of male-female weight difference: • Due to Height difference: 5.09*5.35 = 27.23# • Due to Sex (Gender) difference: 34.5# – 27.2# = 7.3# Inadequate!!! Sex and height are confounded in slope. Model-Regress-Linear-3Factor-Excel2013-6up.pdf Step 3. Generate Y values given X for models Step 4. Generate two trend lines on XY plot 1 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 V0G V0G 7 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 10/9/2014 V0G V0G Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 1) Data Toolbar, select Data Analysis. Select Regression 2a) Regress Weight on Height and Sex . . 9 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 V0G 2b) Results: Regress Weight on Height and Sex (Male?) Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 8 10 3) Expected Weights at selected Heights for Men and Women Create formula in L33 predicting weight: Formatting and formula are optional Pull L33 down Weight = -117.6 + (3.69*Height) + (14.7*Male) . V0G Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 11 V0G 4a) Start with new chart: Select Data; Select “Add” . Model-Regress-Linear-3Factor-Excel2013-6up.pdf Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 12 4b) Add Two New Series . 2 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 V0G V0G 13 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 10/9/2014 V0G 4c) After Adding Two New Series, Press “OK” 14 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 4d) Select Data Point. Format Data Series. Select ‘Solid Line’ . . Height Weight vs 215 Weight 190 165 140 115 90 60 65 70 75 Height V0G V0G 15 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 Weight. vs Height Weight = ‐117.6 + 3.69*Height + 14.7*Male 190 Weight 165 140 Male 115 Female 90 60 65 70 75 Height V0G Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 16 Decompose Male-Female Weight Difference: 2nd try 4e) Add Regression Equation. Final Result 215 Model Regress Linear 3Factor Excel 2013 Multivariate ‘regression’ model (slide 9 or 15): Weight = -117 + (3.7*Height) + (14.7*Male) Difference in average heights: 5.35” (slide 3) Difference in average weights: 34.5# (slide 3) • 14.7 pounds due to gender difference – after controlling for height. • 19.8 pounds due to height difference – after controlling for gender: 3.7 #/inch * 5.35 inches Moral: How you take things into account matters! 17 Decompose Male-Female Weight Difference: Summary Decompose 34.5# male-female weight difference. 1st try: Regress weight on height (R2 = .62) • 27.2 pounds due to height difference • 7.3 pounds due to gender difference Problem: Gender, height and weight are confounded 2nd try: Regress weight on height and sex (R2 = .66) • 19.8# due to height – after controlling for gender • 14.7# due to gender – after controlling for height Moral: How you take things into account matters! Model-Regress-Linear-3Factor-Excel2013-6up.pdf 3
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