WORLD BANK GROUP– KYRGYZ REPUBLIC PARTNERSHIP PROGRAM SNAPSHOT October 2014 RECENT ECONOMIC AND SECTORAL DEVELOPMENTS trade flows (both the re-exports as well as exports of Kyrgyz products). Slow Growth and High Risks Inflation picked up to 8.5 percent in June 2014 from 4 percent in December 2013. Consumer prices have increased across the board, responding to the depreciation of the som against the U.S. dollar. In addition, there has been further pressure on domestic fuel prices due to sale price increases by the oil refinery plants in Russia since April 2014. With increases in tariffs for hot water and heating, inflation could reach close to 10 percent by the end of the year. Economic growth moderated in the first half of 2014 due to the gradual stabilization of gold production, slower growth in Russia, and increased tensions in trading relations with countries in the region. Output expanded by only 4.1 percent year-on-year (y-oy), a significant slowdown compared to the 8.1 percent growth in the same period of 2013. Gold production at the Kumtor mine increased by 11.1 percent, down from 45.9 percent one year earlier, as the mine returned to normal operations following the disruptions in 2012. The non-gold economy growth was also weaker at 3.7 percent y-o-y (compared to 5.8 percent one year ago), as declining remittances, stable wages, and difficulties in trading relations affected consumption and exports. Investments were robust (up 20.6 percent y-o-y), supported by strong domestic residential demand and government capital spending, though growth has been softening in recent months. The latest projection for growth in 2014 is roughly 4 percent, though with significant downside risks due in part to a potential energy crisis resulting from low water levels at the Toktogul reservoir. Consumption growth has slowed as wages grew moderately and remittances and government nonwage consumption declined. Consumption increased by 5.1 percent (y-o-y) in the first quarter of 2014, down from 6.4 percent in the same period one year ago.1 Retail trade and tax collection data suggest that the trend has continued in the second quarter. Real wages grew by only 1.7 percent in the first five months of the year. At the same time, increasing credit to the private sector appears to continue to support consumption growth. On the other hand, remittances declined (down by about 9 percent), due to lower growth in Russia as well as the depreciation of the Russian ruble against the U.S. dollar. In addition, government spending on goods and services declined by around 5 percent. Border tensions also hampered economic activities in the first half of the year. For example, the Kadamjai antimony plant had to reduce production because the supply of raw materials from Tajikistan was suspended. Production at the South cement plant that exports cement to Tajikistan also declined. Stringent controls on the Kyrgyz-Kazakh border are significantly affecting The current account balance improved. With greater gold exports and lower imports the current account deficit narrowed to 21.7 percent of GDP in the first quarter of 2014 from 27.5 percent one year ago.2 Similar trends continued in the second quarter. According to the latest data, total exports in U.S. dollar terms increased by 14.2 percent (y-o-y) in the first half of 2014 as gold exports grew by 45 percent, accounting for 34 percent of total exports. On the other hand, slower economic activity and a disruption in fuel supplies coming through the territory of Kazakhstan led to a 10 percent decline in imports in U.S. dollar terms. The improvement in the current account allowed the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic to recover some of the reserves lost in the first quarter of the year, with reserves increasing to US$2.2 billion by mid-2014. At the same time, the som appreciated by around 5 percent (against the U.S. dollar), recovering most of the value it had lost during the first two months of the year. The slowdown in economic activity and faster implementation of foreign-financed projects led to a significant widening of the fiscal deficit. The deficit reached 6.8 percent of GDP in the first half of 2014, up from 0.5 percent in the same period last year (table 1). Slower economic activity and lower imports reduced the tax revenues to 22.8 percent of GDP in the first half of this year, down from 23.5 percent in the same period one year ago. At the same time, foreign-financed investments increased to 8.1 percent of GDP in the first half of 2014 from 2.6 percent in the same period last year, largely due to more intensive work on a few large infrastructure projects financed with Chinese loans, including the Datka-Kemin power transmission line project and the modernization of the Bishkek thermal plant. In the absence of cost-cutting measures, the deficit could increase to around 4.6 percent of GDP for the year, above the targeted 4.2 percent. Based on the preliminary report of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic. Data for the first half of 2014 are not available yet. 2 1 Data for the first half of 2014 are not available yet. 2 Figure 1. GDP growth has slowed down markedly (in percent) 12 100 15 10 10 8 50 6 5 0 4 0 2 -5 -10 0 -2 Figure 2. Reflecting moderation of economic activity across the board. (Contribution by sector, in percentage points) 2008 2009 2010 2011 Non-Kumtor real GDP (RHS) Real GDP (LHS) 2012 2013 Jan-Jul 2014 2008 -50 2009 2010 Agriculture Industry Transport&communication Kumtor (RHS) 2011 2012 2013 Construction Trade Other Jan-Jul 2014 Source: Kyrgyz authorities. On the production side, economic activity was marked by stabilizing gold production, a poor harvest, and slowing demand for services. Industrial production growth was 8.4 percent (y-o-y) in the first eight months of 2014, down from 16.7 percent one year earlier as gold production at Kumtor gold mine gradually returned to full capacity operations. NonKumtor industry output growth reached 3.8 percent (it was 1 percent in the same period of 2013), mainly due to a 12.7 percent growth in the food industry, as some producers were able to meet Customs Union standards and regained market access in Kazakhstan. On the other hand, output in the textile and clothing industries declined (-11.1 percent, y-o-y) reflecting lower demand from Russia and more stringent border controls. Agriculture output fell to 2.5 percent in January–August 2014 from 2.6 percent growth in the same period one year ago. This decline was largely due to the lower yields of wheat and barley affected by adverse weather conditions. Construction grew by 13.5 percent (y-o-y) owing mainly to strong demand for residential housing, a deceleration compared to the same period last year when it registered 20 percent growth. Similarly, services sector growth moderated to 2.7 percent (y-o-y) in January–August 2014 from 5 percent (y-o-y) one year ago, mainly reflecting somewhat slower growth in the trade and tourism sectors and almost flat output in transport. While gold exports performed well, weaker external demand, the closure of the Manas Transit Center, and a more difficult trade facilitation environment affected exports. Total exports increased by 4.3 percent in January–July 2014 as the 34.4 percent increase in gold exports offset the 5.6 percent decline in non-gold exports, mostly due to declining re-exports. The reexport of kerosene declined as the operations of the Manas Transit Center were winding down. Imports declined by 10 percent as slower consumption growth added to the reduced demand for re-exports. Private transfers, which in addition to remittances from the large Kyrgyz diaspora (mostly migrant workers in Russia) also include unregistered exports of goods and services, remained almost flat in the first seven month of 2014, though they have also become more volatile as uncertainty over developments in Russia increased. As a result, the current account deficit declined to 17.4 percent of GDP in the first six months of 2014 from 29.8 percent one year earlier. On the financing side, lower foreign direct investment (FDI) was offset by increased borrowing, mostly for the public sector’s infrastructure projects. Higher debt-creating flows pushed the external debt to 84.7 percent of GDP at the end of the second quarter of 2014 and allowed the National Bank to keep reserves at around US$2.2 billion, maintaining the import coverage at around four months of imports. The monetary authorities are trying to balance slowing growth with higher inflation. 3 Annual inflation surged to 7.8 percent in July 2014 up from 4 percent in December last year, as consumer prices increasingly responded to the depreciation of the som. In addition, higher prices of oil at refinery plants in Russia put further pressure on domestic fuel prices, which increased by close to 20 percent y-o-y (Figure 3). In an effort to balance these competing objectives, the National Bank opted for a moderate, 50 basis points (bps) increase in its main policy rate in July 2014, bringing the discount rate to 6.5 percent. This increase appears to have had a limited impact on monetary conditions, with credit growth moderating only slightly Starting in early 2014, the National Bank moved to a new operational framework for monetary policy, using the interest rate to achieve its goal of price stability rather than targeting monetary aggregates. 3 3 Despite some recent losses, the level of reserves remains adequate. Gross official reserves stood at around US$2.2 million at end-August 2014, as the National Bank interventions in the foreign exchange market were offset by increased official foreign inflows. The current level of reserves exceeds three months of imports and almost fully covers the broad money supply. Figure 3. Prices have been increasing In percent, year on year change 20 15 10 5 0 -5 Headline Food Fuel Core inflation Source: NBKR. to around 40 percent y-o-y,4 reflecting to a large extent the degree of dollarization,5 low monetization, and the preference for cash holdings. The National Bank stepped up interventions in the foreign exchange market to smooth the volatility of the exchange rate. Following a sharp depreciation of the Russian ruble and the devaluation of the Kazakh tenge in early February 2014, the som came under pressure. In line with its policy of intervening in the foreign exchange market only to smooth sharp fluctuations of the exchange rate, the National Bank stepped up its interventions. By end-April 2014 and following the sale of around US$195 million, or roughly 9 percent of the country’s international reserves, during the first four months of 2014 the som stabilized at a level around 10 percent below its value against the U.S. dollar at the end of 2013. However, by end-June, the som regained almost half of its value as transfers from Russia and the value of the ruble recovered in the second half of 2014. The foreign exchange market came under pressure again in the second half of August and early September, most likely reflecting worsening expectations from the Ukraine crisis and economic sanctions on Russia, with the National Bank making a sale of an additional US$100 million. Higher inflation in the Kyrgyz Republic than in its main trading partners led to a 3 percent real appreciation in the first seven months of 2014. Risks are partly mitigated by the healthy deposit growth, which is keeping the loan-to-deposit ratio below 1, the robust capital adequacy ratio of above 20, and the number of nonperforming loans (NPLs) low. 5 As of August 2014, 53 percent of the deposits in the banking sector and 54 percent of loans extended by banks were in foreign currency. In Kazakhstan, these ratios were 37 percent and 44 percent, respectively, and in Ukraine, 43 percent and 46 percent, respectively. 4 While slowing demand is likely to reduce pressures on prices, a number of factors could increase inflation above the National Bank target of around 7 percent. Price pressures subsided in August 2014 as domestic demand slowed and the som recovered some of its value. However, the latest depreciation of the som could again reignite pressure over prices. Also, the Government adopted new mid-term tariff policies for 2014–17 for hot water, heating, and electricity supply, envisaging a gradual increase in prices starting in the second half of the year. Higher exports of food products to Russia in response to the retaliatory bans introduced by Russia on countries that have imposed sanctions are likely to elevate prices in the country. The fiscal deficit widened to 3.1 percent of GDP in January–July 2014 from 1 percent one year earlier. The increase is due to higher capital spending financed by foreign loans, as lower tax revenues due to slower growth were offset by more generous donor support and non-tax revenues. Total revenues increased to almost 40 percent of GDP in January–July 2014, largely due to a 2.2 percent increase in non-tax revenues. Table 1: General Government Budget 2013 2014 Jan-Jul 37.7 34.9 27.9 6.8 0.2 2.8 Jan-Jul 39.9 36.7 27.8 8.8 0.1 3.1 Total expenditure (incl. net lending) Current expenditure Capital expenditure Net lending 38.7 34.0 5.1 -0.4 43.0 33.8 9.6 -0.4 Overall balance -1.0 -3.1 Financing External Domestic 1.0 3.7 -2.7 3.1 8.0 -4.9 Total revenues and grants Total revenues Tax revenues Non-tax revenues Capital revenues Grants Grants increased by 0.3 percent of GDP, reflecting support from multilateral agencies and bilateral partners (Russia). Total spending soared to 43 percent of GDP in January–July 2014 from 38.7 percent in the same period one year ago, mainly due to public investment projects. At the same time, current expenditures fell slightly as a higher wage bill and social 4 spending were offset by lower purchases of goods and services. The authorities are currently amending the 2014 budget to increase the annual deficit to around 5.7 percent of GDP from the earlier target of 4.2 percent, on account of the faster implementation of foreignfinanced projects. Structural reforms remain imperative for medium fiscal sustainability and improved public services. While the strong performance of 2013 and increased donor support in 2014 improved fiscal buffers slightly, the underlying weaknesses of the budget remain and will resurface as economic activity slows down. The 2015–17 fiscal framework envisages a strong investment stimulus financed by foreign loans, bringing the deficit to 7.3 percent of GDP in 2015 before returning to a path of a gradual reduction to 4 percent of GDP by 2017. The deficit levels may actually be higher, given the optimistic assumptions on growth and the ability of the authorities to control current spending. Without public expenditure reforms, additional spending pressures may emerge from current spending levels. There are a number of areas where expenditures could be brought down and outcomes of public spending improved: better targeting of social welfare programs, more efficient spending in education and health, pension reforms, public investment management, and intergovernmental transfers. Furthermore, in the absence of reforms and a gradual introduction of cost-recovery pricing in infrastructure sectors, one-off interventions in infrastructure will have only a temporary and limited impact. Governance Improved governance and reduced corruption continue to feature prominently in the Government’s priorities, including in the National Sustainable Development Strategy, resulting in some progress. Weak economic governance and a high level of perceived corruption have been seen as key hurdles to development in the country, although recent efforts have resulted in some improvements. While the country scores poorly on key governance indicators, it has made modest—but more importantly, continuous— gains recently on several Worldwide Governance Indicators (WGI), including voice and accountability, rule of law, and control of corruption. The country has also made progress on other indicators, albeit from low levels, such as Transparency International’s Corruption Perception Index (TI CPI), ranking 150th out of 177 countries in 2012, compared to 164th out of 183 in 2011, so the fact that an improvement in the rankings is registered is encouraging. However, both the BEEPs Survey and the World Economic Forum’s Global Competitiveness Report 2013–2014 found corruption and political instability to be the most problematic factors for doing business in the country. Levels of public trust are low, 6 and citizens have an especially negative perception of economic governance in the energy and mining sectors and in the area of public financial management, particularly public procurement. As part of its governance reform program, the Government has adopted a comprehensive view of governance and has committed to a series of reforms across different sectors to increase transparency and accountability in the public sector. The Government adopted a medium-term AntiCorruption Program (2012–14), centering around three priorities: eliminating corruption schemes in the public sector; reforming incentives in the public sector to prevent corruption; and partnering with civil society as an anti-corruption tool. The implementation of the plan has been progressing and is discussed at government meetings every six months. The recent adoption of a government regulation on the mandatory use of monitoring and evaluation methodology for the anticorruption action plan should further strengthen the process. The authorities also recently completed the first verification of asset declarations of selected public officials, an activity that can become an important tool in the anti-corruption agenda. In late 2013, the Defense Council secretariat was assigned the role of coordinating body for anti-corruption activities; while its broad membership headed by the president does allow it to have a wide outreach, its capacity remains limited. The authorities are also drafting a Law on Conflict of Interest, expected to be adopted by the Parliament later this year. Higher standards in public accountability, the enforcement of control over the budget, and stronger management of public assets are being introduced. Budget transparency is improving and all extra-budgetary funds (except the Social Fund) have been consolidated in the budget. Approved budget laws, revised budgets, the medium-term budget framework, and monthly and annual budget execution reports are being published and made accessible to the public. The draft Budget Code adopted by the Government and submitted to the Parliament in late 2012 proposed a number of improvements in the budgeting process (the draft is currently being reviewed by the Parliament). In addition, parliamentary oversight and public debates in the Parliament have made it more difficult to misuse public resources. Budget hearings open to the public 6 5 Life in Transition Surveys 2006, 2010, 2013. have been introduced. The full Extractive Industries Transparency Initiative (EITI) compliance certificate, awarded to the country by the EITI Board in 2011, demonstrates progress in and continuing commitment to reducing corruption in the mining and extractive sector. An Energy Sector Transparency Initiative has led to the establishment of a Supervisory Council (with public representation) at the Ministry of Energy to oversee the management and reporting of energy sector accounts. A new Public Procurement Law, currently in the parliamentary approval stage, should bring the institutional framework for public procurement in line with good international practice. reform priorities. Still, implementation of all public sector reforms in the Kyrgyz Republic suffers from weak institutional capacity, and visible changes will take time to be seen on the ground. Transparency and governance are at the center of the World Bank Group Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for FY14–17. The main objective of the CPS is to improve governance, largely focusing on three broad areas: public administration and public service delivery; the business environment and investment climate; and the management of natural resources and physical infrastructure. The Bank is actively using all its instruments in this process. For example, the ongoing Development Policy Operation (DPO) series supports governance reforms in anti-corruption, the judiciary, public financial management, and energy, as governance improvements in these areas are crucial to the country’s ability to move forward on this agenda. The policy dialogue under the DPO is effectively supported by the Public Financial Management Trust Fund, which supports fiscal governance, particularly the improvement of the budget process, public procurement reform, and energy sector activities. The International Finance Corporation (IFC) and the World Bank provide investment climate advice. The Bank’s Public Expenditure Review is at the same time providing the analytical foundations for improved governance in a number of sectors, including wage-bill management, education, social protection, and energy. A technical assistance project supports the Office of the First Vice-Prime Minister in the development of the Public Sector Reform Roadmap. The institutional and legal frameworks for improved governance continue to evolve. The authorities recently adopted the first Judicial Sector Development Program for 2014–2017, which identified clear activities, a timeframe, the cost, an executing agency, and progress indicators. The main objective of the program is to increase public confidence in the justice system through the improvement of transparency in the system, and to ensure the independence of judges and enforcement of their decisions. Currently, the authorities have already started publishing court decisions in pilot courts and are revising the judge selection process to reduce subjective influences. Most recently, measures in six subareas of public sector reform (anti-corruption, judicial reform, public financial management, public administration, civil service, and sectors with a large share of state ownership) were consolidated under a Public Sector Reform Roadmap, which set specific short-, medium-, and long-term Figure 4. Recent Trends in Governance in the Kyrgyz Republic and Central Asia Voice and Accountability Political Stability 0.0 -0.5 -1.0 0.0 -0.2 Kyrgyz Rep. 2010 Regulatory Quality Central Asia -0.4 -0.6 Central Asia -1.5 -2.0 2009 Government Effectiveness 0.0 2011 -0.8 2012 -0.2 -0.4 Kyrgyz Rep. -0.6 -1.0 -0.8 -1.2 2009 -1.0 2009 2010 2011 2012 Rule of Law Kyrgyz Rep. Central Asia 2010 2011 Control of Corruption 6 2012 0.0 -0.2 -0.4 -0.6 Kyrgyz Rep. -0.8 Central Asia -1.0 -1.2 2009 2010 2011 2012 -1.0 -1.1 -1.1 -1.2 -1.2 Kyrgyz -1.3 Rep. -1.3 -1.4 2009 2010 -1.0 -1.1 Central Asia -1.1 Kyrgyz Rep. -1.2 Central Asia -1.2 2011 2012 -1.3 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: Worldwide Governance Indicators. Public Financial Management Progress on improving public financial management systems since 2005 can be traced through the Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) assessments. Figure 5 shows that budget credibility, budget predictability, and control over budget execution have deteriorated, while some progress has been achieved in budget comprehensiveness, in linking the budget with policies, accounting, and reporting, and in external scrutiny and audit over 2005–09. A new PEFA assessment will be conducted in 2014. Figure 5. Dynamics of PEFA Indicators, 2005–09 The Government terminated its contract with its software vendor at the end of 2013 and is currently considering options on how best to achieve automation of the treasury and other financial management functions. Other key reforms necessary for advancement in public financial management include strengthening the budget processes, improving budget transparency, strengthening the link between a Medium-Term Budget Framework and the annual budget, introducing performance budgeting, and continuing the capacitybuilding process. Financial Sector Development Source: PEFA Assessments Reports 2005, 2009. The World Bank supports public financial management through the Capacity Building for Economic Management Project, the Multi-donor Trust Fund for Public Financial Management, and the Government Technical Assistance Project, which was closed at the end of 2013. A major step forward in public financial management will require implementation of two basic foundations: an automated financial management information system that meets international standards and a sound legal framework in the form of a Budget Code. The draft Budget Code has undergone a first reading in the Parliament, and comments on the draft received from various stakeholders have been forwarded to the Government for its consideration. The Kyrgyz financial system remains small and bank dominated, although microfinance organizations are playing an increasingly important role. There are 24 commercial banks, 16 insurance companies, two pension funds, and a large number of non-bank financial institutions (NBFIs), such as exchange offices, microfinance organizations, and credit unions. Foreign banks (mainly Kazakh and Russian) account for about 48 percent of banking system assets. Microfinance organizations are playing an increasingly important role, while the role of the other NBFIs remains limited. Money markets are shallow and short of instruments, and there are few participants other than banks. Excluding transactions in foreign currency, the interbank market is dormant. Capitalization of the stock market is under 2 percent of GDP. Private credit to GDP was at 15.4 percent at end-2013 and at 17.3 percent at end-May 2014. The banking sector remains relatively stable and profitable. As of May 2014, capital adequacy and liquidity ratios stood above the minimum regulatory requirements of 12 and 30 percent, respectively. While the capital to risk-weighted asset ratio fell to 22.6 percent at the end of May 2014 due to an increase in credit to the private sector, it remains well above the 7 legal minimum threshold of 12 percent, suggesting there is significant capacity in the sector should opportunities for growth emerge. Other financial indicators also indicate improvements in the stability of the sector. Meanwhile, there has been a notable decline in nonperforming loans (NPLs) to 4.8 percent at the end of May 2014, the lowest level since 2009. Provisions covered 60.4 percent of the NPLs that were classified as substandard (31 percent of NPLs), doubtful ( 32 percent), and loss (36 percent). The low level of financial intermediation is broadly in line with income level. The economy remains heavily cash based. Growth in credit to the private sector increased to 42.2 percent y-o-y in June 2014 from 35 percent one year earlier, with most of the expansion in industry and agriculture. Increased credit to the private sector further contributed to strong domestic demand, especially in manufacturing (95 percent growth y-o-y) and agriculture (65 percent growth y-o-y). The growth of loans with maturity of more than three years was 77.2 percent y-o-y in June 2014, which could suggest growing investor confidence. However, despite this growth, financial intermediation in the Kyrgyz Republic remains among the lowest in the region, with low credit and deposit penetration. Doing Business 2014 ranked the country 13th on the getting credit indicator, which compares favorably with the Europe and Central Asia (ECA) region average of 53. The score on the strength of legal rights index is 10 (0–10) and on the depth of credit information index it is 4 (0–6), while private bureau coverage is 32.1 percent of adults (48.2 percent for ECA). Although declining, the state presence in the banking sector remains significant. There are currently two state-owned banks that account for about 20 percent of total banking sector assets: (i) Ayil Bank, which mainly lends to small farmers and has certain restrictions on collecting deposits; and (ii) Settlements and Savings Company (RSK Bank), which is a fully fledged commercial bank. The Kyrgyz Post Office also offers a limited range of financial services under an agency agreement with banks. In addition, the state has a program that provides up to 400 million Kyrgyz soms for loans to farmers. Plans to privatize RSK Bank have no clear timeline, and there are no plans to privatize Ayil Bank. Policy priorities should include measures that enhance access to finance, given the limited financial intermediation in the Kyrgyz Republic. A number of obstacles prevent a deepening of financial services, including the low outreach of deposit services and weaknesses in the supporting infrastructure and secured transactions framework. Stronger consumer protection and improved financial literacy will also improve the quality of financial services. The World Bank Group supports financial sector development through policy advice, technical assistance, and financial support. The Bank has provided diagnostics and recommendations on financial sector vulnerability, access to finance, banking sector supervision, and the deposit insurance system. In 2013, the World Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) completed a Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP), which assessed the financial sector’s strengths, weaknesses, and vulnerabilities to financial and macroeconomic shocks, as well as its contribution to growth and development. The FSAP concluded with recommendations on the supervisory and regulatory frameworks, financial sector soundness and restructuring, crisis management and bank resolution, access to finance, the role of the state, financial infrastructure, pensions, and insurance. A US$9 million Financial Sector Development Project focuses on strengthening the legal, regulatory, and supervisory framework for banks, microfinance organizations, and credit unions; expanding financial services via the Kyrgyz Post Office’s network; and modernizing the movable collateral and debt resolution regimes. In August 2013, the Financial Sector Development Project was complemented by a World Bank–executed Swiss State Secretariat for Economic Affairs (SECO) Trust Fund under which the Bank has been providing technical assistance for developing and implementing a risk-based supervision framework in line with international best practices; enhancing the National Bank’s capacity to undertake dynamic stress tests and scenario analyses; and strengthening consumer protection and financial literacy. IFC invests in financial markets to expand access to finance for micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs). IFC’s recent local currency investments in microfinance organizations aim at increasing access to finance for micro and small entrepreneurs, including women, in rural areas. IFC’s advisory services in housing microfinance, institution building, and the promotion of responsible finance in the Kyrgyz microfinance sector presently complement these financial market investments. In addition, IFC has been implementing advisory services projects focused on improving the financial infrastructure, specifically credit information-sharing systems and risk management education. 8 Private Sector Development The role of the small and medium-sized enterprise (SME) sector in the Kyrgyz economy cannot be overemphasized in terms of its contribution to GDP and employment generation. Formal SMEs and individual entrepreneurs (without farms) contribute up to 19 percent of employment and up to 37 percent of GDP. The Kyrgyz Republic’s private sector is concentrated in a few sectors, with employment largely in the informal sector. While the country’s exports and value added are relatively concentrated in metals and minerals (particularly gold), employment is concentrated in labor-intensive activities such as agriculture, garment production, and the retail trade. Most private sector employment occurs in small economic entities, mainly farmers, small enterprises, and individual entrepreneurs. The economy is open, and the country performs well on a number of measures of the investment climate. Doing Business ratings on trading across borders is among the lowest in the world and has not changed over the past six years. The policies of neighboring countries have not made the situation easier. Table 2 focuses on the Kyrgyz Republic’s efforts and explains why this indicator is low: Table 2. Doing Business Indicators There are a number of areas where the environment for the private sector could be strengthened. The country’s performance on Doing Business is inconsistent, with a relatively poor performance on a number of other topics. For instance, it is ranked below 120 on resolving insolvency, paying taxes, and getting electricity. Overall, the country ranked 68 on Doing Business in 2014. On another measure of the environment for private business—the Global Competitiveness Index—the country’s position was 121 in 2013–14. The Kyrgyz performance on these measures occurs despite legislative and institutional reforms, whose impact has been attenuated by a gap between laws and their implementation. Contributing to this problem is that many of the government agencies understaffed. concerned are new and The Government is focused on continuing to work to strengthen the private sector. In 2013, the authorities issued a draft five-year Strategy for Sustainable Development (SSD) 2013–17 that targets annual GDP growth averaging 7 percent. This growth is to be achieved through governance reforms and economic diversification based on an expanding private sector. The strategy calls for entrenching the rule of law, expanding democratic institutions and practices, securing governance improvements, and bolstering national unity through strengthened interethnic relations. Agribusiness, energy, mining, transport, and tourism are cited as promising areas for diversification and growth, with human capital and skills development to be addressed through social sector reforms. The World Bank Group has launched a number of programs and initiatives to support private sector development. Continuing assistance will be provided to the Ministry of Economy to develop the National Private Sector Development Strategy and its mediumterm action plan. This will help clarify the Government’s vision for improving competitiveness and the investment climate, and will be used as an instrument for donor coordination. Results from the study, “The Garment Sector: Impact of Joining the Customs Union and Options to Increase Competitiveness,” have been delivered to the Ministry of Economy. This study has reviewed ways to mitigate the potential risks to the country’s competitiveness in strategic industries, such as garments and textiles. In addition, the Private Sector Development Policy Dialogue program is supporting investment climate reforms by bringing together existing Bank activities and providing advisory services on insolvency reforms. Meanwhile, the Tax Reform and Gender Project aims to reduce the implementation gap between de jure and de facto tax regulations and their discriminatory impact on female entrepreneurs. The project team had focus group discussions and in-depth consultations with businesses and private sector representatives from Bishkek, Osh, and Jalalabad. Based on this and consultations with state tax authorities, certain areas for pilot interventions and their impact assessments have been determined and proposed for consideration. Reducing Technological Barriers to Entrepreneurship and Trade Project strengthened The the institutional governing quality of Kyrgyz products; created opportunities for the regional collaboration of quality systems authorities in Central Asia; and most importantly, established a culture of 9 quality, evidenced by the sizable stream of producers willing to pay for quality enhancement services provided by Kyrgyz laboratories. IFC’s Central Asia Tax Project supports the Kyrgyz Tax Service’s capacity in terms of risk-based audit, the implementation of a fully functional value added tax (VAT) refund system, and a reduction in the frequency of tax reporting and payments for SMEs. In July 2013, IFC began implementation of a new project, focusing on improving the business environment, with a particular emphasis on the agricultural sector and enhancing the investment policy framework, in particular in the areas of investment entry and protection and the transparency/governance of investment incentives. The project aims to generate substantial compliance cost savings and investment as a result of a reduction in the inspections coverage of businesses and an improved regulatory framework for investment policy. cannot afford the minimum food basket (which was estimated to cost 16,249.10 soms per year per capita). The regional poverty picture is uneven at the oblast level. Absolute poverty rates vary significantly across oblasts and range from 20 percent of the population in Bishkek to 54 percent in Batken oblast. Bishkek appears to be the region with the least poverty; in the capital, one resident out of five was poor in 2013. As seen in figure 7a, there appear to be two groups of oblasts: those with high and those with low absolute poverty rates. Bishkek, Talas oblast, and Chui oblast currently fall into the low-poverty category at rates below 25 percent of their population. The remaining five oblasts have poverty rates exceeding 40 percent and fall into the high-poverty oblasts. Figure 6. National Poverty Rates, Absolute and Extreme Poverty Rates, 2011-13 (in percent of population) 36.8 38.0 37.0 IFC also helped the Government to adopt amendments to the Kyrgyz law on joint-stock companies, introducing mandatory cumulative voting and implementing an assessment of corporate governance. 4.5 2011 Poverty The official poverty rate in the Kyrgyz Republic declined slightly in 2013. According to recently released information from the National Statistics Committee, the absolute poverty rate was 37 percent in 2013 despite GDP growth estimated at 11 percent. 7, 8 This constitutes a decline of about one percentage point compared to the 2012 poverty level, though it remains above the 2011 rate (see figure 6). In 2013, around 2.14 million persons out of a total population of 5.7 million lived below the poverty line of 27,768.50 soms per year per capita. 9 Extreme poverty decreased by 1.6 percentage points from 2012 to 2.8 percent of the population. In absolute terms, about 159,000 persons The “extreme” and “absolute” poverty rates refer to the share of the population that is unable to meet its food consumption requirement and total (food and nonfood) needs, respectively. The extreme poverty line is also referred to as the “food” poverty line. 8 At present, the World Bank does not have access to the primary dataset that would be needed to measure the standard errors of the poverty estimates. 9 The poverty line was calculated using the “cost of basic needs” approach in 2011 and subsequently inflated to account for food and non-food price changes in 2012 and 2013. Thus, the poverty lines are in nominal Kyrgyz soms. 7 4.4 2012 Absolute Extreme 2.8 2013 Source: National Statistics Committee, 2014. Poverty rates display large annual variations across oblasts without exhibiting any specific patterns. The largest increases in poverty from 2012 to 2013 were observed in Batken and Issyk-Kul, where the incidence has increased by 20 and 11 percentage points, respectively. Unlike in Issyk-Kul and Batken oblasts, the poverty rates in Talas, Osh, and Jalal-Abad declined significantly in 2013 (see figure 7b). Poverty rates increased modestly in Naryn oblast by 3.9 percentage points. Across the regions, the highest extreme poverty rate has been observed in Batken oblast, where the incidence has increased from 2.4 to 8.0 percent of population. At the other end of the spectrum, the extreme poverty rate in Talas oblast was estimated at almost zero. Jalal-Abad oblast has been the most successful in reducing its extreme poverty to the level of 1.4 percent from 14.1 percent. As seen in figure 8, changes in poverty rates varied considerably across oblasts between 2011 and 2012 and 2012 and 2013. 10 Figure 7a. Oblast Poverty Rates in 2013 (in percent of oblast population) Figure 7b. Changes in Absolute Poverty Rates in Oblasts, 2011–12, 2012–13 (in percentage point changes per year) 25 20 15 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 20 2011-12 2012-13 11 10 7 7 4 3 -1 -1 -11 Bishkek -17 Talas -1 -8 -12 Chui Issyk-kul Osh -9 -10 Naryn Jalal-Abad Batken Figure 8. Changes in Poverty, by Urban and Rural Sector, 2011–13 (in percent of population in rural and urban sectors) Absolute Poverty Rates Extreme Poverty Rates 40.4 41.4 39.6 5.7 30.7 35.4 4.5 3.3 28.5 1.6 4.2 2011 2012 Urban 2013 2.6 2011 2012 2013 Rural Urban Rural Source: National Statistics Committee, 2014. The previous convergence in rural and urban poverty rates reversed in 2013 due mainly to a sharp decline in urban poverty. Previous trends since 2004 showed a narrowing gap between the rural and urban poverty rates, but in 2013, the gap started to widen again. By 2013, rural poverty increased by 1.8 percentage points, reaching 41.4 percent of the rural population, while urban poverty had declined sharply by 7 percentage points, leveling at 28.5 percent of the urban population. The observed dynamics underline the great degree of annual volatility of regionallevel poverty rates, and rural poverty rates may be correlated to low growth in the agriculture sector, though this requires further analysis. The poverty rate based on the extreme poverty line in urban areas has declined from 4.2 percent in 2012 to 1.6 percent in 2013, perhaps in part because food prices remained largely unchanged in 2013. Rural extreme poverty rates show a continuation of a declining trend over recent years. The poverty gap ratio declined during 2012 and 2013, indicating that the poor were better off than previously. An additional important indicator of poverty changes is the poverty gap ratio, which shows how far the poor’s consumption per capita lies below the poverty threshold. The reported poverty gap and poverty severity index (i.e., the squared poverty gap) narrowed by 0.7 and 0.4 percentage points, respectively, in 2012–13, indicating that inequality among the poor and the depth of poverty are on a decreasing trend. Poverty gaps for food poverty approaches zero. Social Protection Enhancing the effectiveness of social protection expenditure, including its impact on poverty, is one of the key challenges facing the Kyrgyz Republic. Non-contributory social protection expenditure increased more than twofold between 2008 and 2013 making 2.4 percent of GDP (higher than the ECA average of 2 percent and significantly higher compared to peer countries). However, the performance of the system measured in terms of coverage of the poor, targeting accuracy, and impact on poverty has not improved. The increase in spending has often favored categorically targeted programs that mostly benefit better-off individuals. As a result, more than two-thirds of social assistance spending goes to poorly targeted programs. At the same time, the Monthly Benefit for Poor Families with children (MBPF), the program with the greatest potential to alleviate extreme poverty and contribute to equalizing opportunities in the early years—critical for success in adulthood—has seen drops in coverage and been underfinanced. The MBPF is well targeted on the poor, but more than 60 percent of children in the poorest quintile remain uncovered. In addition, the benefit amount is inadequate to meet even the most basic needs. The Government has taken steps to improve the performance of social assistance expenditure. Spending in the regressive cash compensation program (former privileges) has reduced significantly, thanks to 11 efforts to keep the number of beneficiary categories and benefit amounts in check. The Guaranteed Minimum Income (GMI) was increased by 57 percent in 2012 and 10 percent in 2013, improving the adequacy of the MBPF. There are plans to increase it further by at least 10 percent in 2014. However, more decisive action is necessary in order to improve the coverage of children in the poorest quintile. Improving the effectiveness of social protection in the context of fiscal consolidation calls for a shift from a largely categorically targeted system to a poverty-targeted one, and for the reallocation of spending away from badly targeted programs. Figure 9. Distribution of Benefits by Quintile,* selected programs increasing risk of pressure on the Government to raise labor pensions and the cost of the system growing even further. The Government is in the process of elaborating a National Pension System Reform Strategy that should address a broad range of issues, including fiscal sustainability, coverage, and administrative efficiency. The World Bank supports the social protection sector via a component of the Second Health and Social Protection Project. This project supports the deepening of reforms in the system of social assistance, the modernization of services for the disabled, and further development of the social protection management information system. Previous activities under the project included direct budget support to increase the benefit level under the MBPF, and support to the development and rollout of the social protection management information system. These activities are complemented by a technical assistance program to strengthen the capacity of the Ministry of Social Development, financed by the Rapid Social Response Multi-Donor Trust Fund, and a public expenditure review of noncontributory social protection and pensions. Gender * Quintile 1 stands for the poorest 20 percent of the population, and quintile 5 is the richest 20 percent. MSB is the Monthly Social Benefit. Source: World Bank calculations based on the Kyrgyz Integrated Households Survey 2011. The pension system suffers from the effects of the prevailing macroeconomic, fiscal, and labor market conditions, as well as from systemic pension design issues. Though about 90 percent of the elderly population is now receiving labor pensions, only about 30 percent of the working-age population is accruing pension rights with the pension system, leaving almost half of the future old-age population with low social pensions and thus potentially increasing poverty rates among the elderly. Public pension spending levels have increased over the past few years from below 5 percent in 2007–08 to about 9 percent in 2012–13. Basic pension financing and the growth of the number of social pension recipients will dramatically increase government pension spending. As a result, unless reforms are implemented, the total public pension spending is projected to increase to 11–12 percent of GDP over the next two–three decades and further to 14–15 percent in the longer run, posing a challenge to the financial sustainability of the pension system. In addition, inadequate benefit levels make the system unsustainable from the social standpoint, with an There are noticeable gender differences in the demographic structure in the Kyrgyz Republic. Although the population is relatively young, there are gender misbalances in the demographic structure. In the age group over 35 years old, the number of women exceeds the number of men, and the number of men is two times lower than women among people 80 years old and older. The difference in life expectancy at birth is lower for boys (of 15 years) by eight years and correlated to the death rate; the mortality rate for men is 1.5–1.6 times higher than the rate for women. Furthermore, about two-thirds of migrants are men, which also reduces the male population of prime-age men. Women face disadvantages in access to economic opportunities. Economic activity among women is almost 1.5 times lower than among men. Employment varies significantly across age groups. The highest gap is observed in the age groups of 25–34 years and 55–64 years, due to childbirth and childcare for the first age group and to earlier retirement for the second age group (figure 10). 12 Figure 10. Level of Employment of Population as per Gender and Age Groups (in 2003 - 2012; percentage) 100 89 80 66 20 26 37 92 68 53 60 40 91 56 92 76 91 increase in noncommunicable diseases (NCD). Although life expectancy is comparable with most neighboring Central Asian countries, it is almost 10 years lower than the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) average. In addition, the efficiency of public spending on health and the governance of health institutions need further improvement. 85 77 75 66 58 48 33 24 16 13 11 5 0 15- 20- 25- 30- 35- 40- 45- 50- 55- 60- 65- 70 19 24 29 34 39 44 49 54 59 64 69 and Men older Women Total population Source: National Statistic Committee of the Kyrgyz Republic. Although the country continues to make strides in giving men and women equal status and protection under the law, 10 women are underrepresented in managerial positions in private companies and the government. There were 25 women (21 percent) out of 120 seats in the Parliament in 2012 and only 15 percent of women in ministerial positions in the Government. About 60 percent of all public servants are male. At the working level, including senior staff appointments in government ministries, women are prevalent and hold professional and senior positions. Health The Government’s new strategy emphasizes actions on the prevention and effective management of cardiovascular diseases, maternal and child health (MCH) improvement, and tuberculosis and HIV/AIDS prevention and control, as well as measures to improve the coordination between health care levels. The implementation of the strategy is being jointly supported by development partners in a sector-wide approach. The success of the strategy is closely monitored under the Joint Assessment Framework, which is part of the Memorandum of Understanding signed in February 2014 by the Government and joint financiers. Under the memorandum, the financiers pool funds together to achieve the objectives set out in the Den Sooluk program. To assess implementation progress and discuss key policy and programmatic issues in program implementation, development partners agreed to have one Joint Annual Review, two High-level Thematic Meetings, and two Internal Reviews per year by combined teams of Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Health, and Mandatory Health Insurance Fund (MHIF) staff with partner representatives from the German Technical Cooperation Agency (GIZ), the German Development Bank (KfW), the Swiss Agency for Development and Cooperation (SDC), the United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), United Nations AIDS (UNAIDS), the U.S. Agency for International Development (USAID), the World Health Organization (WHO), and the World Bank. Implementation progress for “Den Sooluk” priority programs for 2012–13: The Ministry of Health developed a new health strategy “Den Sooluk,” which aims to address key shortcomings in the current health care delivery system. Despite structural and organizational reform efforts, Kyrgyzstan is still struggling to catch up to the epidemiological changes in the morbidity and mortality patterns over recent years. The Kyrgyz Republic today faces the dual challenge of the unfinished Millennium Development Goals (MDG) agenda and a record In 2011, the Electoral Law was amended and now specifies a 30 percent quota for either sex on electoral lists (Code on Elections, Article 60 (3)). 10 The MCH program has demonstrated good progress on several impact and outcome indicators. Kyrgyzstan is on track to achieve MDG4 by reducing perinatal mortality due to effective perinatal services, neonatal care, and resuscitation; exclusive breastfeeding starting soon after birth; regionalization, etc. There was a 42 percent decline in the under five mortality rate (U5MR) between 1990 and 2012 (from 71 to 27 per 1,000 live births), with a 4.4 percent annual rate of reduction. The infant and neonatal mortality rates have been reduced at the same rate. In contrast, the country is off track on MDG5, considerably lagging behind the set 13 targets. The maternal mortality rate in the past decade never approached the target benchmark of 15.7 per 100,000 live births The trend of the maternal mortality indicator is volatile; its lowest value was observed in 2001 (43 per 100,000 live births) and the highest in 2009 (63.5). The data for 2013 show a decrease in the maternal mortality ratio down to 38.2, which is a result of efforts undertaken in recent years. Furthermore, a strategic plan has been developed to reduce it by identifying and overcoming barriers (as part of an acceleration of progress toward MDG5). At the same time, the following strategic goals were identified for 2014: (i) greater involvement of civil society in MCH issues; (ii) improvement in access to MCH services through strengthened principles of regionalization and timely referral to an appropriate level of health care services; (iii) development of a system of mentoring to strengthen the capacity of medical workers and improve the quality of provided services at the level of health facilities; and (iv) a strengthening of the role of management and middle-level health workers. The possibility of achieving the target indicators on MDG6 (combat HIV/AIDS, malaria, and other diseases) is of particular concern. The Kyrgyz Republic has not achieved its targets in any of the specified indicators; in fact, the trend shows a deterioration in most of these benchmarks. The cardiovascular diseases (CVD) program has demonstrated good progress on impact and outcome indicators, suggesting that the overall strategy of stepping up population activities and strengthening primary health care is appropriate and is leading to expected results. The particularly large decline in male premature mortality due to CVD is a welcome development, as it is harder to reduce mortality from CVD among males due to the high prevalence of smoking and obesity in this population. The main achievements in 2013 included a slight increase in the tobacco tax; the continued action of village health committees in detecting hypertension and referring patients to primary health care (PHC) facilities, laying the foundation for a greater role for nurses in the detection and management of hypertension and diabetes (observation cabinets, charts, and checklists); and further guidelines and quick guides for doctors on hypertension and diabetes. The key impact indicators of the tuberculosis program have not yet shown significant improvement, though the overall strategy is appropriate and in line with international good practice, and some outcome and results indicators are providing cause for optimism. Overall, a substantial percentage of the activities planned for 2012 and 2013 have been accomplished, thanks to coordination between the National Tuberculosis Program, the Ministry of Health, and development partners investing in Den Sooluk through parallel financing. A number of structural changes are under implementation to support a new vision for delivering tuberculosis services, such as the restructuring and optimization of the tuberculosis system, and the establishment of an electronic database that can unify the recording/reporting system throughout the country and assist with drug forecasting. The HIV program has yet to demonstrate significant improvement in halting the rise in new HIV cases, the main impact indicator for this program. Strengthening the leadership role of the Ministry of Health in coordination and alignment with partner support would be the key for reaching progress under the 2014 work program. The key policy actions that are essential for the implementation of the Den Sooluk Health Reform Program involve: • • • • Promoting tobacco control: medium-term costeffective actions should include: (i) a gradual increase in the tobacco tax to 40–75 percent of retail price by 2020; (ii) the enforcement of smoke-free areas; and (iii) more visable warning labels on cigarette boxes. The mobilization of political support and momentum is critical to step up antitobacco policies. Further developing primary health care: measures to improve coordination between health care levels as well as to address inadequate staffing in some regions. Increasing health expenditures: maintaining the level of the state health budget to at least the level of 13.5 percent of the total government budget in 2014, and further increases in the medium term. Advancing health financing reforms: strengthening strategic purchasing and provider payment mechanisms, redefining the State Guarantee Benefit Package, and ensuring the transparency of public health financing. Education The Kyrgyz Republic has a literacy rate of nearly 99 percent and a strong history of education. The Government allocates a solid 20 percent of its expenditure to the education sector, with universal primary enrollment. The key challenge is to turn this spending into better learning outcomes for all. Informed 14 by the results from national (National Sample Based Assessment [NSBA]) and international (Program for International Student Assessment [PISA]) assessments, which report that more than 80 percent of Kyrgyz students were deemed “functionally illiterate” in mathematics, reading, and science according to the PISA methodology, the Government has initiated a set of reforms elaborated in its Action Plan for 2012–2014, to be followed by a subsequent Action Plan for 2015–2017. The key priorities include an expansion of the coverage of preschool education, reform of curricula and assessments, the enhancement of teacher pedagogical practices, and a deepening of financing reforms through an expanded per student financing approach. Aligned to support these country-driven reforms, the World Bank leverages its concessional International Development Association (IDA) assistance with additional financing from other sources, including the Global Partnership for Education (GPE) and a Russian Trust Fund, to finance a coherent program aimed at achieving better education outcomes that boost the human capital the country desperately needs for reduced poverty and shared prosperity. 2,135 preschool classes opened countrywide for an enrollment of more than 55,000 children aged 5–6 to support a smooth transition to primary school in 2013. These classes will continue to expand the enrollment to cover 80,000 children of the same cohort by 2017. An additional 3,254 teachers were trained and made qualified for preschool education in the same period in 2013, with more teachers to be trained between 2014 and 2017. 90 percent of the teachers in newly established kindergartens will be certified after training. 2,135 packages of children’s learning materials, toys, and furniture were provided to schools to support the operation of these services in 2013. 100 percent of school preparation classes will receive a package of essential learning and teaching materials by 2017. About 100 new community-based kindergartens will be established in poor and rural communities with target enrollment of 10,000 children of 3–5 years old between 2014 and 2017. Improved school quality and management Teacher effectiveness About 10,000 teachers will be trained for enhanced classroom practice for grades 1–11 in 2014–15. The program consists of an IDA-financed Sector Support for Education Reform Project focusing on school quality and management; a GPE-financed Early Education Project, increasing equitable access to preschool education and school readiness; and a Russian Trust Fund–financed Russia Education Aid for Development (READ) program to strengthen the national assessment system. Critical inputs for learning 100 percent of schools and students in grade 3–4 will receive and use new textbooks in their native tongue, math, and motherland studies by 2014. 3 million copies of textbooks, teacher guides, and learning materials will be printed and distributed between 2014 and 2017. A new curricum for grades 5–9 will be introduced. The earlier pilot and the ongoing reforms through the above program have contributed and will continue to contribute to the following results areas: Accountability Schools operate under a new financing model and are accountable for annual budget and expenditures. An expansion of the use of school report cards to the community and other stakeholders on performance and budgets. Strengthened student assessment system Teacher capacity for classroom assessment 10,000 teachers were trained for classroom-based assessments in all oblasts in 2014. Expanded access to preschool education Access to preschool education was increased to 50 percent in 2013 from a low rate of 18.2 percent in 2011. It will continue to rise to 100 percent by 2017. Improved instruments A new graduation test for grade 11 was piloted in 2014. A national sample-based assessment at grade 4 was carried out in 2014. 15 A new instrument for classroom assessment will be adopted in 2014. Improved policy for assessment A new strategy for a national assessment has been developed in 2014. Agriculture and Irrigation The agricultural sector generates about one-fifth of the country’s GDP, about one-third of its employment, and about 13 percent of total exports. Farm incomes are driven by irrigated agriculture (1.3 million hectares) and pasture-based livestock production (9 million hectares). The sector expanded rapidly between 1996 and 2002 but growth has been modest since then, averaging between 2 and 3 percent per annum. Productivity remains low and in some cases even falling. This is can be explained by the lack of good inputs, deteriorated infrastructure, outdated agricultural machinery, weak farming skills, and fragmented, mostly subsistence, farming. Except for a few larger private and collective farms, the arable land is owned or used by an increasing number of small farmers. In the late 1990s, Kyrgyzstan was a leader among the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) countries in land refom and land privatization. The mass distribution of land proved to be an effective measure to regain the value of agricultural production lost pre- and post-independence. It also provided an effective safety net and food security for the majority of the population. However, the fragmentation of land is increasingly seen as an unfavorable factor for the productivity and competitiveness of the sector, while the process of fragmentation still continues. For example, the number of private farms increased from 318,815 in 2009 to 356,642 in 2012, dropping the average arable land holding from 2.73 hectares to 2.5 hectares per farm. The share of state owned farms and collective farms was only 2.2 percent of total agricultural production in 2012, while the share of household plots production was 37 percent with the balance going to peasant farms. The extension services and other public services such as laboratories are seriously underfunded and heavily dependent on donor funding. Reforms and investments in the irrigation subsector remain a big item on the agenda. While the Law on Water Users Associations has been implemented successfully, the implementation of the Water Code and water resources management reforms is still a challenge. The water fee charged for the state irrigation service to the Association of Water Users was set in late 90s and is has not been revised since then making it completly inadequate for cost recovery albeit the collection rate is realtively high standing at 85-90 percent. In the livestock sector, a new paradigm of pastures management has been set by the Pasture Law, which delegates the responsibility of pastures management to the local community through unions of pasture users. Important initiatives on animal disease control have resulted in halving the number of brucellosis cases, both among people and livestock. These interventions will be continued through current or future projects. Current projects include the Second On-Farm Irrigation Project, the Agricultural Investments and Services Project, and the Agricultural Productivity Assistance Project. There are some results: The establishment of 481 water users associations and the rehabilitation of 175,000 hectares of irrigation schemes; The establishment of 454 pasture users unions for the community-based management of pastures and the demarcation of pasture boundaries nationwide, and increased access to an additional 51,000 hectares of pasture through community investment in bridges, tracks, and watering points; A halving of the incidence of brucellosis in humans nationwide following mass vaccinations and a public information campaign; The training and equipping of over 1,000 private veterinarians and the establishment of the Veterinary Chamber to accredit veterinarians; The creation of 358 community seed funds with over 9,000 member households; Technical assistance to 44 agri-processing enterprises and the facilitation of the sale of agricultural products worth US$17.5 million; the financing of 82 subloans; and the mobilization of US$14.8 million in investments in the agribusiness sector. 16 Support to the agriculture sector will be continued through new projects. These include (i) National Water Resources Management Project, funded by a US$7.75 million grant from SDC, (ii) Agricultural Productivity and Nutrition Improvement Project, funded by a US$38.0 million grant from the Global Agriculture and Food Security Program, (iii) Pasture and Livestock Improvement Project with US$15.0 million in financing from IDA, and (iv) the Central Asia Agri Finance Program (currently funded with US$2 million from Austria), which in Kyrgyzstan focuses primarily on dairy sector development. Energy The energy sector is one of the most important in the Kyrgyz economy, accounting for roughly 3.9 percent of GDP and 16 percent of industrial production. The bulk (about 90 percent) of the country’s current generating capacity is hydropower, developed for the dual purpose of generating electricity and serving as the irrigation water supply for the Kyrgyz Republic and downstream countries. The country’s hydropower-generating resources used to provide reserve capacity and frequency regulation for the Central Asia Regional Power System in the past. Currently, these services are procured by Kazakhstan only. The sector has a significant potential for export that is not fully realized. Other features of the power sector are the relatively low cost of hydropower generation, its reliance on clean sources of energy, and the near universal access to the power supply. However, the energy sector does face several challenges. These include: the poor reliability of the energy supply and inadequate service quality; the weak financial standing of the sector leading to chronic underspending on operating and maintenance expenditures and a delay in necessary capital expenditures; and governance issues throughout the sector, which is at the core of many of the operational and financial issues in the sector. Although collection rates remain high (more than 95 percent), the sector suffers from high losses and exceptionally low tariffs, among the lowest in the world, and old and severely undermaintained assets. There is an emerging gap between the available winter generation capacity and winter demand, which is projected to grow unless serious reforms and investments are undertaken. In winter 2014–15, Kyrgyzstan expects a deficit of 2 billion kilowatts per hour (kwh) (1–1.5 months of consumption). In May 2012, the Government adopted a power sector development strategy for 2012–15. Measures in the strategy include (a) further improvements in the efficiency and transparency of sector operations, particularly focusing on the management of power export proceeds, (b) the development and adoption of a medium-term tariff policy, which would need to be accompanied by properly designed revisions of social protection schemes, and (c) a number of important energy investments, such as the Datka-Kemin transmission line, the Kambarata hydropower plants, and the Kara-Keche greenfield coal-firing power plant. The Kyrgyz Republic has also taken steps to initiate a process of improved governance and transparency in the sector. In July 2013, the Government adopted an Action Plan on reforming the energy sector. The plan envisages a comprehensive set of reform measures, including the establishment of a Settlement Center for the transparent operation of the wholesale market; the adoption of a tariff-setting methodology and policy that will ensure the gradual attainment of cost-recovery levels of tariffs; the adoption of a new Energy Law delineating the functions of policy making, economic regulation, and anti-monopoly monitoring; the transparent and competitive procurement of fuel resources; and escrow accounts for power export revenues for the power generation and transmission companies. In June and August 2014, the Parliament and the president approved the amendments to the legislation in the energy sector and also the Mid-Term Tariff Policy from 2014–17 for heat and electric energy, which envisage a gradual increase in heating and power tariffs. In 2010–13, the World Bank supported the sector through emergency operations, which funded essential repairs, rehabilitation, and fuel to keep the system running. Technical assistance to strengthen the sector regulator through transparent and predictable tariffsetting methodology and the introduction of Key Performance Indicators for measuring service quality is in the final stage. The Government plans to make these products operational by the end of October 2014. The World Bank is also assisting with the identification of viable winter heating solutions. In 17 addition, the Bank is preparing investment operations to support the country with the development of export markets (the regional CASA-1000 project 11 ), and with improvements in the reliability of the electricity supply in the service area of the largest distribution company; and to strengthen the governance of the company’s operations through the establishment of a transparency and accountability framework (Electricity Supply Accountability and Reliability Improvement Project). Municipal and Community Services In the Kyrgyz Republic, the World Bank has provided financing since the early 2000s to improve access to basic public services. The ongoing projects focus on water supply, sanitation, local roads, and other public services, in both urban and rural areas. The availability of public services has dramatically declined since the 1990s, as the infrastructure decayed and the service providers suffered from underfunding and the loss of staff. Expanding, semi-formal residential areas in the major cities of Bishkek and Osh, small towns, and rural settlements are especially suffering from the lack of efficient and regular services. Thus far, a large portion of the Bank’s investments in the sector have addressed the need for emergency repairs to the fast deteriorating infrastructure. Since 2000, Bank financing has contributed to improved water and urban services in Bishkek, Osh, 23 small towns, and over 200 villages. The projects also address the institutional and capacitybuilding needs of local utilities. Currently, the World Bank is supporting improved access to municipal and community services through the Second Village Investment Project and the Bishkek-Osh Urban Infrastructure Project, which also include investments in small towns. The Bank has also supported the Second Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Project, which has experienced implementation problems 11 CASA-1000 refers to the Central Asia South Asia Electricity Transmission and Trade Project. since its approval in 2009 but is now on an improvement path, thanks to a change in implementation arrangements and revived Government attention to the sector. As an example of the projects’ impact on the ground, the Second Village Investment Project has: Trained more than 70,900 local government officials and community members in the principles of budgeting and planning; Helped 1,698 villages to improve their social and economic infrastructure; Benefited approximately 2.3 million people through the completion of about 6,000 microprojects. These include over 317,000 beneficiaries of drinking water microprojects, 131,000 of electricity microprojects, 570,000 of new or rehabilitated primary health facilities, and about 1,028,700 of school construction and rehabilitation microprojects. The Bishkek and Osh Urban Infrastructure Project has so far: Rehabilitated 21 kilometers of roads (for about 30,745 beneficiaries) in Bishkek and the water supply system (about 50,000 beneficiaries) in Osh; Allowed about 210,300 residents of Osh and Bishkek to benefit from 77 social investment projects; Equipped 28 trucks with GPS trackers, developed data base and electronic data management in Osh, and supported the solid waste management utility (Spetsavtobaza) in Osh to improve its operations. In Bishkek, supported the automation of services and the introduction of a database in a number of municipal territorial administrations; Expanded collaboration with Bishkek city and will provide support in developing Municipal Asset Management Information System, which would improve management, accountability, and transparency in municipal governance. In 2012, the project was scaled up with US$15.8 million in Additional Financing, enabling the project to: i) support a third phase of the social investments component to cover Osh, semi-informal settlements or so-called “novostroiki” in Bishkek, and 29 small towns; and ii) finance investments in the water supply in Bishkek (Bashkara-Suu water intake) to supply water to over 100,000 residents of novostroiki in Bishkek, and water supply and sanitation investments in Batken, Naryn, Talas, Isfana, Tash-Kumyr, and Shopokov. 18 Thus far under the Additional Financing for the Bishkek and Osh Urban Infrastructure Project: Five large contracts are ongoing, including Bashkarasuu water intake in Bishkek and water supply systems rehabilitation in the five abovementioned towns. The project is supporting the development of a Network Information System (NIS) in Bishkekvodocanal water utility. A total of 102 community subprojects in Bishkek, Osh, and 29 small towns have been approved. To date, 16 are in the process of tendering with the rest being at implementation or completion stage. rural water supply and sanitation planning and management. Transport One of the core challenges of the Kyrgyz Republic is to create reliable transportation connections12 that link people and markets to opportunities at the local, regional, and international levels. The Second Rural Water Supply Project has achieved the following: Rectification works in 23 out of 35 villages are completed or at the stage of completion, benefiting over 52,000 people. UNICEF, which was contracted to implement the Hygiene and Sanitation Program, has completed the works, particulalry a Knowledge, Attitude, Practice survey in the target villages with a focus on schools and awareness campaigns on hygiene and sanitation promotion, including a media tour, video clips, TV programs, and website development. Additionally, a baseline survey covering 34 schools in three oblasts (Talas, IssykKul, and Naryn) has been conducted to derive data on children’s knowledge about personal hygiene and the practice of hand washing with soap after using the toilet and before meals in target areas. Over 20,000 school students have been trained on personal hygiene practices. The new construction and rehabilitation of toilets is at the completion stage in 10 and eight schools, respectively. The project has supported the Government in developing the State Water Supply and Sanitation Sector Strategy, which was approved by the Government on Septermber 24, 2014 and submitted to the Parliament. The project has also supported a review of current water supply and sanitation legislation, financial modeling, and water desinfection technolgies. So far the project has trained 199 Community Drinking Water Users Union members on fee collection and the management of the water and sanitation schemes. Fully 572 staff members of the Department for Drinking Water Supply and Sanitation and Ayil Okmotu have been trained on The rehabilitation of strategic road links is therefore a priority of the Government, given that 92 percent of all passenger flows and 59 percent of all freight traffic in the country is carried by road. The road network is one of the country’s largest public assets and provides connections to remote communities and links to neighboring countries. Mountains make travel difficult; roads cross mountain passes of 3,000 meters in altitude and are subject to frequent natural disasters, such as mudflows, stonefalls, landslides, and avalanches. Improved connectivity, however, will be achieved only if reforms in areas of trade facilitation and logistics are addressed simultaneously. Trade and logistics costs are very high (about 18 percent of the value of imports/exports) as reflected in the Logistics Performance Index (149th out of 160 countries). With a complex regulatory environment and a rolling stock and air fleet that are almost entirely obsolete, most network infrastructure still requires significant investments in rehabilitation and reconstruction. Only about 67 percent of the road network, for example, is in sustainable condition requiring routine or periodic maintenance, while the remainder (33 percent) is in need of rehabilitation or reconstruction. Adopting a more liberal air transport policy (open skies) to allow both local and foreign carriers to operate from and to any airports in the country is also currently under consideration but would The transportation network under the responsibility of the Ministry of Transport and Communications consists of 18,650 kilometers of public roads, 425 kilometers of railways, and 11 airports. 12 19 require further work on setting up the right institutional framework. Those changes may result in positive improvements but would not necessarily guarantee increased capacity or lower transportation costs. The World Bank supports the development of the roads sector through the ongoing National Road Rehabilitation (Osh-Batken-Isfana) Project (US$51 million equivalent). Alongside other donors, the Bank is financing the rehabilitation of about 50 kilometers of the Osh-Batken-Isfana road, one of the six strategic corridors of the Kyrgyz Republic, and the only connection for about 1 million inhabitants linking Batken oblast with the rest of the country. The rehabilitation of 32 kilometers from Pulgon to Burgandy has been completed, resulting in an increase of vehicles from 3,046 per day in 2009 to 4,509 per day in 2013 and a tenfold increase in truck traffic. Travel time has also halved, thus improving the access of the population to services and markets. Rehabilitation works on the Nookat pass (18 kilometers) and Osh bypass and airport road are ongoing and are expected to be completed by December 2014. million equivalent) was approved by the Board of Executive Directors in April 2014 and is currently awaiting effectiveness, covering road links connecting Batken and Isfana cities to the border crossing points at Kyzyl-Bel/Guliston and Kairagach/Madaniyat with Tajikistan. Improvements in road operations and maintenance practices will also be financed out of the proposed project. Other development partners have expressed their intention to provide parallel financing. In particular, the Japan International Cooperation Agency (JICA) is currently in the process of project approval on financing the rehabilitation of an adjacent section along the Osh-Khujand corridor. In the railways sector, the World Bank provided advisory services to the MOTC on the proposed development of a new rail link connecting China with Uzbekistan through the Kyrgyz Republic. This work was funded by the Trade Facilitation Facility. The findings on the operational, financial, and economic aspects of the proposed project were discussed with the Government of the Kyrgyz Republic in October 2013. Disaster Risk Management The project has also provided funds to repair and rehabilitate roads in and around Osh and JalalAbad cities and at the same time created temporary jobs. The project supported the routine repair of 350 kilometers of municipal roads and provided temporary employment in the amount of 4,502 person-months. Additionally, with project funds, a Road Safety Strategy and Action Plan have been developed that has been accepted by the line ministries and is in the process of legal formalization by the Ministry of Justice. Given the strategic importance of road maintenance and its funding, the Ministry of Transport and Communications (MOTC) has also requested support for maintenance planning, programming, and budgeting, and for monitoring the performance of the road network against the background of budget constraints through the establishment of a Road Asset Management System. The ministry also reviewed quality management practices within the roads sector to improve performance and pursue higher fiduciary standards, financed by an Institutional Development Fund (IDF) grant. Initiated by the Government of the Kyrgyz Republic and neighboring countries, the World Bank is providing financing toward a regional program (Central Asia Road Links, CARs) which has the objective of improving cross-border road transport links and enhancing regional economic development. The Central Asia Road Links Project – Phase 1 (CARs-1) (US$54 The Kyrgyz Republic is prone to multiple low- to medium-level disasters due to its mountainous landscape and location in a highly active seismic zone. The country is affected by earthquakes, landslides, mudflows, avalanches, and floods, as well as heavy winter snows, giving it roughly 14,000 hazard-prone sites. On average, natural disasters cause approximately US$30–$35 million of damage and losses annually, but the Government’s annual allocation for disaster response and risk reduction currently does not exceed US$6 million. The World Bank is supporting the Central Asia Hydrometeorology Modernization Project aimed at improving the accuracy and timeliness of weather, climate, and hydrological service delivery in the Central Asia region, with a particular focus on the Kyrgyz Republic and the Republic of Tajikistan. The project will assist hydromet services in these two countries to make better weather forecasts and share weather data with other countries. 20 As an example of the projects’ impact on the ground: Kyrgyz Hydromet will transform into a useroriented service provider, recognized by the central government, relevant ministries, partners, politicians, and the public. The concept for business development, focusing on an ambitious transformation until 2017, has been developed, also recognizing that regulatory frameworks may need amendments in order to create the necessary enabling environment. The World Bank supports the Government’s Disaster Risk Management strategy. In 2012, the World Bank initiated an activity, “Strengthen the Kyrgyz Republic Disaster Risk Reduction and Response Institutions,” funded by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery. Results of this activity include: Introduction of a national methodology on a PostDisaster Needs Assessment, which was approved by the National Scientific Council and Inter-Ministerial Commission on Civil Protection; Establishment of the Kyrgyz Republic risk data platform, as well the necessary policies, data, and tools, to support efficient and effective decision making for disaster risk management in Kyrgyzstan. In close collaboration with the World Bank, the Ministry of Emergency Situations is implementing the Disaster Risk Management Project supported by the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery. The project aims to upgrade the management information and early warning systems, improve countrywide operations of the management center for crisis situations, develop a nationally integrated system of information and warning, and implement a single state emergency dispatcher service. This project so far has: Conducted a “Feasibility Study and Design and Estimate Documentation for the Development of Components of the Unified Information Management System in Emergency and Crisis Situations in the Kyrgyz Republic”; Delivered a comprehensive analysis of the risk communications framework. To better understand seismic hazards and risks, the Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery and the World Bank are launching a new project that will develop new seismic risk information in the Kyrgyz Republic. These results will be used to develop a country-level analysis of the highest risks to settlements, government assets, and selected infrastructure. This work will inform the Ministry of Finance and the Ministry of Emergency Situations on the greatest priorities and options for disaster mitigation measures. THE WORLD BANK PROGRAM IN THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC Since the Kyrgyz Republic joined the World Bank in 1992, the Bank has approved US$1.3 billion for IDAfunded projects and Recipient Executed Trust Funds (RETFs), out of which US$1 billion has been disbursed. To date, 42 operations for US$888 million have been completed and closed, and 17 projects (13 IDA projects and four large stand-alone Trust Funds) for US$362.5 million are ongoing. Additionally, two IDA-funded Central Asia regional projects for US$51 million are being implemented in the Kyrgyz Republic. There is one additional project, CASA-100, with US$45 million allocated for the Kyrgyz Republic. From 1992 until 2000, the Kyrgyz portfolio had a significant focus on budget support; beginning in 2001, however, there was a gradual shift toward investment projects that lasted until 2010. To achieve macroeconomic stability in the country after the political turmoil in April 2010, the Government requested that the Bank provide budget support. There have been two budget support operations since the July 2010 Donors Conference, and the multiyear programmatic budget support program is envisioned until FY17. Owing to uncertainties in the country that followed the political turmoil and violence of April–June 2010, Bank Group activities in FY11 were guided by a Joint Economic Assessment and during FY12–13, by an Interim Strategy Note. On July 25, 2013, the Board of Executive Directors approved a new Country Partnership Strategy (CPS) for the Kyrgyz Republic for the period FY14–17. This CPS marks the Bank Group’s return to a standard assistance framework for the Kyrgyz Republic. Despite important progress since 2011, the country’s overriding development challenge remains improved governance. The CPS’ strategic goal is therefore to help reduce extreme poverty and promote shared prosperity through support for improved governance. The CPS proposes three broad areas of engagement: (i) public administration and public service delivery, (ii) the business environment and investment climate, and (iii) the management of natural resources and physical infrastructure. Support for these three areas of engagement would be provided through the existing portfolio, by new IDA lending averaging US$55 million annually (supplemented where appropriate by trust fund 21 financing), and by intensified analytical and advisory activities that emphasize practical, problem-solving advice. A balance of investment and development policy lending is envisaged. The CPS is predicated on decisive implementation by the Government of its medium-term National Sustainable Development Strategy. Under the CPS the following operations are planned to be delivered in FY15–16: the Electricity Supply Accountability and Reliability Improvement Project, the Pasture and Livestock Management Improvement Project, the Village Investment Project -3, the Climate Adaptation and Mitigation Program for Central Asia, two Development Policy Operations, the Forestry and Climate Change Management Project, and the Regional Animal Health Project. The portfolio performance is relatively good; there are three problem projects out of 17 ongoing projects. Due to lengthy and unpredictable internal government procedures, which involve the Parliament at the negotiation, signing, and ratification stages, two projects are in problem status, as they have just become effective more than one year after ratification. In order to resolve these portfolio issues, the Bank team intensified dialogue with members of parliament, and conducted a risk management portfolio review focusing on problem projects with the Ministry of Finance, implementing agencies, and project implementation units once per quarter. Trust Funds. In addition to the IDA portfolio, the program includes a significant number of cofinancing and stand-alone Trust Funds. Currently, the RETFs Portfolio has a total value of US$64 million, out of which US$16 million had been disbursed as of August 2014. Four sectors—agriculture, education, health, and governance—receive most of the Trust Funds. The largest Trust Funds are the Agricultural Productivity Assistance Project (US$6.85 million), Capacity Building in Public Financial Management (US$7.49 million), Kyrgyz Health Results Based Financing (US$11 million), Kyrgyz Second Health and Social Protection Swiss TF (US$11.96 million), and Kyrgyz Global Partnership for Education (US$12.7 million). Trust Funds are mainly provided to cofinance IDA operations and to support capacitybuilding activities. The main contributors have been the European Union (EU), Switzerland, and the United Kingdom. International Finance Corporation Since becoming a member of IFC in 1993, the Kyrgyz Republic has received commitments totaling more than US$113 million from IFC’s own funds to finance 33 projects in the financial sector, including banking and microfinance, the mining sector, agribusiness, and the pulp and paper sectors. In FY12– 14, IFC committed about US$22 million in 12 projects representing the banking, microfinance, and infrastructure sectors. As of December 31, 2013, IFC’s committed portfolio stood at US$30 million, which included investments in financial markets and manufacturing sectors. IFC advisory programs implemented in the Kyrgyz Republic focus on: i) improving financial markets infrastructure, specifically credit information sharing systems and risk management education; (ii) promoting the institutional and capacity building of financial intermediaries; (iii) promoting microfinance and housing microfinance development; (iv) enhancing the investment climate and tax administration; (v) improving corporate governance in local companies; (vi) developing agri-finance; and (vii) designing publicprivate partnership (PPP) projects, currently in the health and power sectors. IFC’s role in the CPS is to support the development and diversification of the private sector, contributing to the country’s greater competitiveness and improving employment opportunities. IFC prioritizes activities aimed at improving the investment climate, increasing access to finance, and promoting corporate disclosure standards, while at the same time exploring a greater role for energy efficiency and renewable energy and looking for opportunities in the area of PPPs jointly with IDA. In the banking sector, IFC aims to increase access to finance for MSMEs by improving the regulatory framework, strengthening local financial institutions, expanding microfinance organizations, and providing credit lines for MSME financing to local banks. In the real sector, IFC aims to improve corporate business practices while looking for emerging opportunities to invest across a variety of sectors, particularly in agribusiness, mining, and infrastructure. Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency MIGA’s current portfolio in the Kyrgyz Republic consists of one project, financed by Austrian and Italian investors, in support of the country’s manufacturing and services sector. The outstanding gross exposure from this investment is US$5.8 million. The project relates to the cargo handling and storage services at Manas International Airport and contributes to the strategic goals of improving the environment for business and economic growth. 22 IDA Projects 1. Programmatic Development Policy Operation 1 2. Programmatic Development Policy Operation 2 3. Pasture and Livestock Management Improvement Project 4. Electricity Supply Accountability and Reliability Improvement Project 5. Financial Sector Development Project 6. Bishkek and Osh Urban Infrastructure Project 7. National Road Rehabilitation (Osh-Isfana) Project 8. Second Village Investment Project 9. Second Rural Water Supply & Sanitation 10. Second On-farm Irrigation Project 11. Sector Support for Education Reform Project 12. Health and Social Protection Project 13. Second Health and Social Protection Project 14. Central Asia Road Links Project – Kyrgyz Republic Total (current IDA portfolio) Major Trust Funds 15. 16. 17. 18. Kyrgyz Global Partnership for Education (GPE) - 3 Kyrgyz Health Results Based Financing Capacity Building in Public Financial Management Agricultural Productivity Assistance Project (Russia Food Price Crisis Rapid Response Trust Fund) Total IFC Investments Portfolio (as of March 2014) Advisory Services Projects (funds managed by IFC)* *Donors/partners: UK, Switzerland MIGA “Manas Management Company” US$ million 25 25 15 25.47 13 27.8 51 23 10 31 16.5 45 16.5 324.27 US$ million 16.27 11 7.49 6.85 41.61 23 8.8 5.8 23 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: PROGRAMMATIC DEVELOPMENT POLICY OPERATION SERIES DPO1 (P126034) & DPO2 (P126274) Key Dates: DPO1 Approved: July 25, 2013 Effective: December 6, 2013 Closing: September 30, 2014 DPO2 Approved: June 10, 2014 Effective: July 11, 2014 Closing: December 31, 2015 Financing from all co-financiers, million US Dollars: Financier DPO1 DPO2 IDA Credit 13.75 13.75 IDA Grant 11.25 11.25 Total Project Cost 25.0 25.0 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: DPO1 Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Credit 13.78 13.78 0 IDA Grant 11.39 11.39 0 DPO2 Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Credit 13.47 13.47 0 IDA Grant 10.77 10.77 0 * Source Client Connection as of September 5, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The objective of the programmatic series of Development Policy Operations (DPOs) is to support the Government in laying the foundations for faster growth, reduced poverty, and shared prosperity through improving public sector governance and enhancing the business environment. The program is anchored in the 2013–2017 National Sustainable Development Strategy of the Kyrgyz Republic. The DPO2 builds on the measures supported under the DPO1, which supported important measures such as the adoption of a new Budget Code, the streamlining of business registration, etc. This DPO program supports key areas of the reform program with the objectives of improving transparency and accountability in managing public resources and promoting simpler and more efficient business regulation and a stronger financial sector. To improve public sector governance, the DPO2 supports a number of important measures, including: completing the verification of asset declaration for a selected group of public officials adopting a judicial sector development program (i.e., an independent budget for the judiciary) improving the functioning of the internal audit system bringing the Law on Public Procurement in line with international good practice improving transparency and accountability in the state-owned enterprises in the energy sector The DPO2 is also addressing some of the bottlenecks to a more vibrant development of the private sector and a stable financial sector. This includes: implementing a risk-based approach to inspections in key inspection agencies in the Bishkek region; strengthening the accountability of executive directors through amendments to the Law on Joint Stock Companies; developing a credit registry within the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic as well as amendments to the Law on Deposit Protection to improve the functioning of the system. Results to be achieved: Increased compliance with anti-corruption regulations; A more independent judiciary as well as a more efficient public financial management structure (internal audit function, budget code, and public procurement); Lowered burden of inspections of business activities and a more stable financial sector. Key Partners: Ministry of Finance; Ministry of Economy and Industry; and National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic. 24 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: ELECTRICITY SUPPLY ACCOUNTABILITY AND RELIABILITY IMPROVEMENT PROJECT (P133446) Key Dates: Approved: July 15, 2014 Effective: Closing: December 31, 2019 Financing from all cofinanciers, million US Dollars: Financier Financing IDA Credit 13.75 IDA Grant 11.25 Total Project Cost 25.00 Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Credit 13.75 0 13.75 IDA Grant 11.25 0 11.25 *Source Client Connection as of September 5, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations. The objective of the Electricity Supply Accountability and Reliability Improvement project (ESARIP) is to improve the reliability of the electricity supply in the capital city Bishkek and the Chui and Talas regions—an area served by the state-owned power distribution company Severelectro JSC—and to strengthen the governance of Severelectro’s operations. By focusing on the service area of Severelectro, the project will ensure that benefits accrue to the largest share of customers, since it is the largest distribution company, serving more than 40 percent of all residential customers in the country and delivering more than 50 percent of total electricity consumption. Specifically, the project will aim to: Improve power supply reliability in the service area of Severelectro by strengthening its distribution infrastructure (including investments in new substations to eliminate overloads and in advanced meters); Enhance the quality of services to customers by providing Severelectro with better information management tools for a faster and more effective response to service interruptions and customer complaints; Improve the financial viability of Severelectro through a reduction in technical and nontechnical losses in its service area; Strengthen governance and internal controls in Severelectro through the provision of access to real time and reliable corporate and commercial information, as well as institutional strengthening. Results to be achieved: The project will enhance the reliability of the power supply in Severelectro’s service area and make the company more responsive and accountable to customers for the quality of its services. For example, the incorporation of management information systems and business process reengineering will facilitate customers’ communication with Severelectro through a 24/7 customer call center, and ensure that customer inquiries and complaints are executed in a timely, accountable, and transparent manner. Key Partners: Ministry of Energy and Industry, Severelectro OJSC. 25 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: FINANCIAL SECTOR DEVELOPMENT PROJECT P125689 Key Dates: Approved: March 08, 2012 Effective: Closing: June 30, 2018 Financing from all co-financiers, million US Dollars: Financier Financing IDA Credit 4.05 IDA Grant 5.07 Total Project Cost 9.12 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Credit 3.93 0.00 3.93 IDA Grant 4.91 0.43 4.48 *Source Client Connection as of September 5, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The political turmoil of 2010 in the Kyrgyz Republic led to significant financial sector instability, causing the collapse of its largest bank and stress in several other financial institutions. This in turn impacted access to financial services in the country, as the number of nonperforming loans and funding constraints grew and lending slowed. This further reduced the already low level of access to formal financial services in the Kyrgyz Republic. Bank credit and deposit penetration in the country are among the lowest in Europe and Central Asia, and interest rates are among the highest and constitute one of most significant constraints to private sector development. While non-bank financial institutions, such as microfinance organizations, are filling some of the gaps for smaller borrowers, including in rural areas, they remain small and face high operational and funding costs as well as legal, regulatory, and institutional constraints that inhibit their expansion. The Project Objectives are: to enhance financial sector stability and increase access to financial services throughout the Kyrgyz Republic, including in remote rural areas. Specifically, the project will: (i) strengthen banking regulation and supervision, including by means of a new IT system for bank supervision; (ii) support reforms in the Kyrgyz Post Office to expand its financial services; and (iii) modernize the movable collateral registry to expand the use of movable collateral, such as equipment, livestock, and accounts receivable. Results to be achieved: The project is expected to benefit existing and new clients of banks, microfinance organizations, credit unions, and the Kyrgyz Post Office, as it is expected to increase the safety of these institutions and their outreach. Those living in remote or rural areas will benefit from significantly improved access to financial services through: New points of sales in post offices Possibilities to better leverage their assets to obtain loans An enhanced consumer protection and financial literacy framework Greater access to safe deposit facilities Expanded payment and remittance services Given the explicit targeting of women as good clients by many microfinance organizations and credit unions, it is expected that women will particularly benefit from this project. The project is also expected to support the Government’s objectives of improving governance, encouraging economic stabilization, and promoting social stabilization. Increasing access to a variety of financial services, especially deposit services, for the poor, vulnerable, and other underserved populations will help them manage shocks (e.g., food prices, illness, unemployment), especially in rural areas and remote regions of the country, and will enhance employment opportunities. Key Partners: National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic, Kyrgyz Post Office, and the Movable Collateral Registry. Key Development Partners: Swiss State Secretariat for International Affairs (SECO). 26 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: BISHKEK-OSH URBAN INFRASTRUCTURE PROJECT P104994 Key Dates: Approved: March 18, 2008 Effective: July 29, 2008 Additional Financing (AF): effective on July 13, 2012 Closing: June 30, 2015 Financing from all cofinanciers, million US Dollars*: Financier Financing IDA Grant 12.0 IDA Grant – AF 7.1 IDA Credit - AF 8.7 Government of the Kyrgyz Republic 2.35 Total Project Cost 30.15 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars*: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Grant 12.0 11.6 0.4 IDA Grant – AF 7.10 5.76 1.34 IDA Credit - AF 8.70 2.65 6.05 *Source Client Connection as of September 5, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. To control the effects of growing migration on urban development in Bishkek and Osh, the Kyrgyz authorities in the early years of independence began allocating agricultural land to migrants for housing construction in semi-informal settlements, so-called novostroiki (literally “areas containing new construction”). The creation of such novostroiki continued throughout the 1990s and early 2000s at a relatively moderate scale, but accelerated significantly after 2005. Today, Bishkek has about 50 such settlements, with a population of between 125,000 and 200,000, or up to one-fifth of the city’s total population. Osh has eight, with a total population of possibly in excess of 50,000. Developing these novostroiki was instrumental to preserving a reasonably orderly urban fabric and averting the emergence of slum-like neighborhoods, but it did little to provide minimally acceptable living conditions to the residents of these areas or help secure their integration into the urban community. As a result, the two cities have become surrounded by a ring of settlements whose inhabitants are generally poor, lack basic infrastructure, and have limited access to social, educational, and other services. The Project Objective is to increase the availability of basic urban services and social infrastructure in the novostroiki in the cities of Bishkek and Osh, as well as in selected small towns. The outcome of the project will be improvements (that can be monitored) in the quantity and quality of basic services (water supply, roads, etc.) available to novostroiki residents. Specifically, the project’s performance will be assessed against criteria such as: (i) increase in the number of residents benefiting from the 12-hour availability of safe potable water, (ii) increase in the number of residents with access to piped potable water within a distance of less than 150 meters, (iii) increase in the number of residents with access to roads open to public transportation within a distance of less than 500 meters, and (iv) the completion of a number of community investment projects. Results achieved: In Bishkek, 21.5 kilometers of roads have been constructed and rehabilitated, thereby providing access to a year-round transportation network to about 30,745 novostroiki residents. In Osh, construction of water mains and distribution networks have been completed and are now supplying water to about 25,000 residents. Works, financed by the Additional Financing, for the rehabilitation of water supply and wastewater services in Naryn, Talas, Batken, Shopokov, and Isfana are ongoing and are about to start in Tashkumyr. Works are also progressing well at the Bashkarasuu water intake in Bishkek. A total of 102 community subprojects in Bishkek, Osh, and 29 small towns have been approved. To date, 16 are in the process of tendering with the rest being at the implementation or completion stage, directly benefiting 210,000 beneficiaries.. Initiated technical assistance to the Bishkek Municipality, including assistance with the development of a 2030 City Development Roadmap, which will help the Municipality to identify and prioritize key areas for urban integrated development, and with a household survey covering both formal and informal new settlements. The project financed (i) in Osh, two new billing systems for the Osh solid waste utility and Osh municipal housing and maintenance utility; the systems are fully operational; (ii) in Bishkek, an electronic data management system has been installed in a number of municipal territorial administrations. The bidding for a network information system for the Bishkek Water Utility has been completed and works have been started. Key Partners: Community Development and Investment Agency (ARIS) and municipalities. 27 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: SECOND RURAL WATER SUPPLY AND SANITATION PROJECT P110267 Key Dates: Approved: April 21, 2009 Effective: August 19, 2009 Closing: October 31, 2014 Financing from all co-financiers, million US Dollars*: Financier Financing IDA Credit 5.5 IDA Grant 4.5 DFID 1.33 Government of Kyrgyz Republic 1.75 Total Project Cost 13.08 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars*: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Credit 5.7 5.62 0.08 IDA Grant 4.65 3.68 0.97 *Source Client Connection as of September 15, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. Prior to independence in 1991, rural water supplies were managed by a state service provider, the now-dismantled Kyrgyz Ayil Suu (KAS, or Rural Water Supply Entity). Water was supplied almost free of charge and systems were designed to a high standard, even providing sufficient storage and pressure to support fire hydrants. However, with independence came the end of centralized budgetary support, and KAS became unable to sustain the previous levels of operation and maintenance of the systems, which started to deteriorate. KAS was eventually dismantled and the responsibility for rural drinking water supply has since migrated to several ministries and agencies, including the Department for Rural Water Supply under the Ministry of Agriculture, Water Resources, and Processing Industry and the National Agency of Local Self-Governance Affairs. This location aimed at a more transparent and efficient management of the sector through closer links between the Department for Rural Water Supply and the rural self-government entities—aiyl okmotu. However in 2009, responsibility moved again under the agency in charge of irrigation services. Since 2011, the sector has been housed under the State Agency for Architecture, Construction and Communal Services. The Project Background: The poor state of rural water supplies and the sanitation infrastructure led the World Bank to support the Rural Water Supply and Sanitation Project in 2001 (closed in 2008). The Kyrgyz Government requested financing for a second, repeater operation in 2008. The Project Objectives are to improve: (i) access to potable water to the participating communities; and (ii) hygiene, sanitation, and water-related practices at the individual, family, and institutional levels in the rural areas. It is being restructured to strengthen the institutional framework of the sector. Results achieved: “Water Supply Infrastructure and Equipment”: Rectification works have been completed in 23 out of 35 villages benefiting from the project, with over 52,000 people gaining access to drinking water through standpipes or household connections with metering. For a remaining 13 villages, design works have been completed. “Sanitation and Hygiene Promotion Program”: The United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF) is conducting awareness campaigns on hygiene and sanitation promotion, including media tours, video clips, TV programs, and a website. Additionally, a baseline survey covering 34 schools in three oblasts (Issyk-Kul, Naryn, and Talas) has been conducted to derive data on children’s knowledge about personal hygiene and the practice of hand washing with soap after using the toilet and before meals in target areas. Over 20,000 school students have been trained on personal hygiene practices. “Institutional Development”: The project has supported the Government in developing the State Water Supply and Sanitation Sector Strategy. As part of these activities, a study tour to Scotland has been organized. 159 Community of Drinking Water Users Union members have been trained on fee collection and water and sanitation scheme management. 572 staff members of the Department for Drinking Water Supply and Sanitation and Ayil Okmotu have been trained on rural water supply and sanitation planning and management. Additionally, the project is supporting a review of current water supply and sanitation legislation. Key Partners: The State Agency for Architecture, Construction and Communal Services has been the home for the Water Supply Sector since the end of 2011; the Department for Drinking Water Supply and Sanitation (DDWSS) has been since located within the Agency, and it remains the main interlocutor for the project’s work on sector policy. The Community Development and Investment Agency (ARIS) has been effectively playing the role of implementing entity; it also facilitated the sector strategy work of the Department, and the inter-ministerial working group has been established. 28 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: PASTURE AND LIVESTOCK MANAGEMENT IMPROVEMENT PROJECT P145162 Key Dates: Approved: July 15, 2014 Effective: Closing: March 31, 2019 Financing from all cofinanciers, million US Dollars: Financier Financing IDA Credit 8.25 IDA Grant 6.75 Total Project Cost 15.00 Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Credit 8.25 IDA Grant 6.75 *Source Client Connection as of September 15, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations. Objective of the Project is to improve community-based pasture and livestock management in the project area. The project will support 140 pasture user unions (PUUs) and 420 private veterinarians in Chui and Talas oblasts in the north of the country. The PUUs and private veterinarians in the remaining five oblasts will receive a similar program of support from parallel-financed International Fund for Agricultural Development (IFAD)-funded projects under common terms and conditions. The project will also pilot community-based pasture management in five forestry enterprises (out of 42 nationally) in Chui and Talas oblasts as a basis for a future program nationally. The project is expected to generate improved incomes for livestock owners as a result of higher livestock productivity due to improvements in animal nutrition and health. Improved animal nutrition from pastures will be generated from the better alignment of stocking rates with pasture carry capacity, the restoration of degraded pastures, and improved access to underutilized pastures. Improved animal health and reduced mortality will result from better animal disease control and improved nutrition. Other benefits that were not quantified in the analysis include: more equitable access to pastures, including for vulnerable groups and women, as a result of better governance of PUUs; improved public health as a result of a reduced incidence of zoonotic diseases; improved incomes from nongrazing pasture use; reduced soil degradation; and reduced water runoff in pastures, which are an important part of the watershed, and improved carbon sequestration. Fiscal benefits to the Government will include improved land tax revenues as a result of greater pasture user willingness to pay and improved land tax collection rates. Results to be achieved: About 190,000 rural households in Chui and Talas oblasts will benefit from improved PUUs and private veterinarian services. About 10 percent of these households are female-headed households. 140 PUUs (out of 454 nationally), currently responsible for the community-based management of about 1.2 million hectares of pastures and 2,100 pasture committee (PUU executive body) members, as well as 420 private veterinarians, in the project area, will benefit from capacity building under the project. In addition, about 48 veterinary graduates will receive equipment and benefit from training. The Pasture Department, the Veterinary Chamber, and to a lesser extent, the Livestock and Pasture Research Institute (LPRI), Rayon Departments for Agrarian Development (RUAR), and SAEPF will all benefit from capacity building under the project. Key Partners: Ministry of Agriculture and Melioration, Community Development and Investment Agency (ARIS), the State Agency for Environmental Protection and Forestry (SAEPF), the Pasture Department, the Veterinary Chamber, The Kyrgyz National Agrarian University (KNAU), the Livestock and Pasture Research Institute (LPRI), the State Inspectorate for Food Veterinary Safety. 29 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: SECOND VILLAGE INVESTMENT PROJECT P098949, P115524 Key Dates: Approved: August 3, 2006 Effective: December 5, 2006 Additional financing (AF) approved: November 3, 2009 Additional financing 2 (AF2) approved: December 20, 2012 Closing: October 31, 2014 Financing from all cofinanciers, million US Dollars: Financier IDA Grant IDA Grant - AF IDA Credit – AF IDA Grant – AF2** IDA Credit – AF2** DfID (£8.46m) Government of Kyrgyzstan Total Project Cost Financing 15.00 3.6 4.4 1.9 2.3 15.2 7.5 49.9 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed IDA Grant IDA Grant - AF IDA Credit – AF IDA Grant – AF2** IDA Credit – AF2** 15.0 3.6 4.4 1.9 2.3 Undisbursed 15.94 3.53 4.59 1.99 1.7 0.0 0.0 0 0 0.55 * Source Client Connection as of September 15, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The Second Village Investment Project provides grants to communities to implement community investment plans. Thus it supports capacity development at the community level to plan, prioritize, and implement local investments and to manage financial resources efficiently and transparently. All rural communities are eligible to participate. Through a participatory and transparent process, villagers identify local problems, establish their own priorities for the grant scheme, and prepare microprojects that address their needs. The participatory process has helped to strengthen female participation in community leadership roles, in the local and village investment committees, and as leaders of microproject groups. Examples of investments include the rehabilitation of rural schools, construction of rural bridges, rural health care facilities, roads, electric substations, and rural information-resource centers. Community members contribute at least 25 percent to investment costs in cash and/or kind, and they are also fully responsible for the subsequent operation and maintenance of the facilities. Investments are implemented as much as possible by the local beneficiaries themselves and/or by local contractors in order to support the development of local small-scale enterprise. The Project Objective is to assist the Recipient with: (a) improving governance and capacity at the local level; (b) strengthening the provision of, and access to, essential infrastructure services; and (c) supporting private group–owned small-scale enterprise development. Results achieved: The project supported all 475 aiyl okmotus (rural self-government entities) and has gained strong recognition among the rural population. The project allowed them to voice their concerns, trained them to prioritize their needs, helped to develop strategic investment plans, and provided grant financing for their microprojects. More than 70,900 local government officials and community members have been trained in the principles of budgeting and planning, and 1,698 villages have improved social and economic infrastructure. Approximately 2.3 million people have benefited directly from the completion of about 6,000 microprojects. These include over 317,000 beneficiaries of drinking water microprojects, 131,000 beneficiaries of electricity microprojects, 570,000 beneficiaries of new or rehabilitated primary health facilities, and about 1,028,700 beneficiaries of school rehabilitation microprojects. The project is implemented by the Community Development and Investment Agency (ARIS), in close cooperation with local communities. All activities carried out by VIP2 were cofinanced by a US$15 million DfID grant, which closed on June 30, 2012. Key Partners: Community Development and Investment Agency (ARIS), an implementing agency. Key Development Partners: DfID (cofinancing), German Development Bank (KfW) (parallel financing). 30 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: SECOND ON-FARM IRRIGATION PROJECT P096409 Key Dates OIP-2: Approved: June 19, 2007; AF Approved: June 28, 2011 Effective: October 31, 2007; AF Effective: December 15, 2011 Closed: December 31, 2013; AF Closing: December 31, 2015 Financing from all cofinanciers, million US Dollars: Financier Financing IDA Grant (OIP-2) IDA Grant (Additional Financing) IDA Credit ( Additional Financing) Government of Kyrgyz Republic Total Project Cost 16 6.7 8.3 4.55 35.55 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed 16.0 15.84 0.16 6.4 5.10 1.28 7.9 0 8.03 IDA Grant IDA Grant - AF IDA Credit - AF *Source Client Connection as of September 5, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. Irrigation has been practiced in the Kyrgyz Republic for centuries. Since 1991, due to technical, managerial, and financial constraints, the deterioration of the irrigation and drainage infrastructure has led to an unreliable supply and distribution of irrigation water, as well as drainage and waterlogging problems. With the assistance of the first On-Farm Irrigation Project (OIP-1), 450 water users associations (WUAs) were established, and 63 WUAs with a total command area of 122,000 hectares benefited from rehabilitation. After OIP-1, a large unfinished agenda remained. Insufficient investment in rehabilitation and modernization left many farmers without access to adequate and timely water resources, and the assistance to WUAs needed to be redirected toward developing the skills necessary to sustain their infrastructure and maximize utilization. The Project Objective is to improve irrigation service delivery on a sustainable basis that will contribute to increased agricultural productivity among irrigation farmers. The project will achieve its objective through (i) assistance to ensure that WUAs are able to efficiently and productively utilize their rehabilitated on-farm irrigation systems on a sustainable basis, with special emphasis on water and asset-management aspects; (ii) the rehabilitation and modernization of the irrigation and drainage infrastructure for around 29 WUAs commanding 51,000 hectares under the OIP-2, and an additional 18 WUAs (34,800 hectares) under the Additional Financing. Results achieved: OIP-2, closed on December 31, 2013, met its development objective. Rehabilitation works were completed in 30 WUAs covering around 70,000 hectares, which significantly exceeds the project target of 51,000 hectares. 30 subprojects were completed. There are now 392 WUAs nationwide, with well-informed water users actively interacting with WUA management through their zonal representatives and taking part in WUA activities. As result of the rehabilitation of systems and capacity-building support under OIP-1 and OIP-2, 182,888 hectares have improved irrigation and drainage services. WUA Support Units were initially constrained in their work as a result of government budget deficits, but with the funding of some of their operational costs, their performance in supporting WUAs continues to improve. An additional 24 WUAs are supported under the Additional Financing, which became effective in December 2011. Currently, the status of WUAs selected for rehabilitation works is as follows: rehabilitation works have started in 11 WUAs; contract signing is planned on two WUAs for September 2014; one tender has been conducted and the evaluation of tender bids is ongoing; the development of detailed design works is ongoing for five WUAs; and the development of preliminary design works is ongoing for one WUA. Key Partners: Department of Water Resources and Land Improvement, which is responsible for project implementation through its Project Implementation Unit (PIU); Ministry of Agriculture and Melioration; and Ministry of Finance. 31 CENTRAL ASIA ROAD LINKS– KYRGYZ REPUBLIC P132270 Key Dates: Approved: April 22, 2014 Effective: Closing: April 30, 2019 Financing from all cofinanciers (US$ million): 54 mln Financier Financing IDA Credit 36.8 IDA Grant 8.2 Government 9.00 Total Project Cost 54.00 Disbursements of IDA Credit/Grant (US$ million)*: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Credit 36.8 0 36.8 IDA Grant 8.2 0 8.2 *Source Client Connection as of September 5, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The Central Asia Road Links (CARs) Program, the result of a collaborative effort initiated by respective governments in the Central Asia region, has been developed as a regional, multiphase program considered to be a regional transformational project. The program has the overall objective of increasing transport connectivity between neighboring countries in Central Asia along priority cross-border road links while supporting improvements in road operations and maintenance practices. The road links once rehabilitated will improve access along priority transport connections between major urban agglomerations within the Central Asia region, thereby supporting the creation of an integrated economic region across borders. The CARs Program is designed as part of a series of projects (horizontal regional program) with multiple countries. The program is horizontal in that not all countries would need to start at the same time, but rather each would begin when ready, through a series of sequential phases. The proposed project in the Kyrgyz Republic is the first phase in this program (CARs-1), since the country has demonstrated formal commitment and readiness. Tajikistan and Kazakhstan have also expressed their interest in this program. The Second Phase of the CARs (CARs-2) in Tajikistan is already under preparation. Discussions between the Government of the Kyrgyz Republic and the Republic of Kazakhstan are ongoing with a view to increasing transport connectivity between the two countries in bordering Issyk-Kul oblast (Kyrgyz Republic) with bordering Almaty oblast (Republic of Kazakhstan). The Project Objective of the first phase of the CARs (CARs-1) is to increase transport connectivity between the Kyrgyz Republic and the Republic of Tajikistan along priority cross-border road links in Batken oblast while supporting improvements in road operations and maintenance practices. The road sections to be financed under CARs-1 prioritize connectivity between the Osh and Batken oblasts in the Kyrgyz Republic and Sugd oblast in Tajikistan, as they build lateral spurs from the Osh-Isfana axis to the Tajik border. Results to be achieved: Rehabilitation of about 56 kilometers of road sections in Batken oblast along and within the close vicinity of the OshBatken-Isfana road corridor. Road sections include: Isfana-Kairagach/Madaniyat border crossing (36 kilometers), Batken-Tortkul (14 kilometers), and Batken-Kyzyl Bel/Guliston border crossing (6 kilometers). Improvement of road operations and maintenance by the Osh-Batken-Isfana Roads Department, which is responsible for routine maintenance and emergency works for the entire Osh-Batken-Isfana corridor. Financing Agreement was signed on July 25, 2014. Internal government ratification process is ongoing. Key Partners: The Ministry of Transport and Communications of the Kyrgyz Republic (MOTC). 32 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: NATIONAL ROAD REHABILITATION (OSH-BATKEN-ISFANA) PROJECT P107608, P123291, P126606 Key Dates: Original Project (approved): November 3, 2009 Effective: February 26, 2010 Additional Financing 1 (approved): September 30, 2010 Additional financing 2 (approved): June 28, 2011 Closing: December 31, 2014 Financing from all cofinanciers (US$ million): Financier Financing Add. Financing 1 Add. Financing 2 IDA (Credit) 13.75 5.50 8.80 IDA (Grant) 11.25 4.50 Government 5.76 0.00 Total Project Cost Disbursements of IDA Credit/Grant (US$ million)*: Total Disbursed IDA Credit 28.05 18.39 IDA Grant 22.95 20.59 7.20 0.00 56.76 Undisbursed 9.66 2.36 *Source Client Connection as of September 5, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. Rehabilitating the road network is a priority of the Government, as the Kyrgyz Republic is a mountainous country dependent on international trade. Almost all passengers (92 percent) and most freight (59 percent) are transported on roads. Travel in most of the country is severely constrained by the predominantly alpine topography; roads have to cross passes of 3,000 meters in altitude and are subject to frequent natural disasters (e.g., mud slides, snow avalanches, rock falls). Travel in the southwestern part of the Kyrgyz Republic has some specific constraints; the road between Osh and Isfana crosses Tajik and Uzbek enclaves and main territories, which entails going through border formalities. The existing main roads network of the country is adequate for the level of economic and social activity likely to occur in the medium term. However, roads are deteriorating; about 67 percent of the main network is in sustainable condition, but the remainder requires heavy maintenance or rehabilitation. The focus of the Government’s program is therefore on the rehabilitation of key road links. At the same time, the Ministry of Transport and Communications (MOTC) aims to improve current road maintenance practices. Serious attention is also given to road safety, as road deaths and injuries in the Kyrgyz Republic are unacceptably frequent: about 22 fatal crashes per 100 collisions with casualties, and one death for every 6.6 people injured (whereas in the United Kingdom it is 1:65). The Project Objectives are: (i) to contribute to the reduction of transport costs and travel time along the Osh-Batken-Isfana road corridor; (ii) to improve road safety planning and road asset management; and (iii) to repair and rehabilitate road infrastructure in and around Osh and Jalalabad cities, thereby creating temporary jobs. The completion of the project will make a significant contribution to the level of reliability and connectivity offered, as about 1 million inhabitants, or 18 percent of the country’s population, will benefit from the investment. The rehabilitation of the Nookat Pass (18 kilometers) and the Pulgon-Burgandy section (32 kilometers) of the road corridor will also improve transit traffic between the Kyrgyz Republic and neighboring countries. In Osh city, road maintenance works are being financed in order to create temporary jobs. International expertise is being brought into the country to advise on steps to improve road safety planning and road asset management. Results achieved: The Pulgon-Burgandy section of the Osh-Batken-Isfana road (32 kilometers) has been completed, resulting in the twofold reduction in travel time and the tenfold increase in truck traffic. In Osh city, repair works have been completed, with 4,502 person-months of temporary jobs created to date. Rehabilitation works on Nookat Pass are progressing well and to be completed by the closing date December 31, 2014. The contract for rehabilitation works on Osh city bypass road and Osh airport road was awarded and the works have started and are expected to be complete by December 31, 2014. Based on an agreement with the MOTC, rehabilitation in the city of Jalal-Abad (3 kilometers) will be financed from its own 2014 budget. The Road Safety Strategy and underlying Action Plan have been agreed to by all the line ministries and are now in the process of legal enforcement by the Ministry of Justice. The bidding for road crash database procurement has been launched. Road Asset Management has been designated a strategic priority of the MOTC. A team of one international consultant and MOTC staff began to work jointly on the establishment of a Road Asset Management System (RAMS). The international consultant is visiting the country to train designated staff of the MOTC Road Department (DDH) on visual surveys and a roughness survey to start filling the RAMS database. Key Partners: The Ministry of Transport and Communications of the Kyrgyz Republic (MOTC). 33 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: HEALTH AND SOCIAL PROTECTION PROJECT (HEALTH SWAp-I) P084977, P112142, P125470 Key Dates: Approved: December 15, 2005 Effective: June 8, 2006 Additional Financing approved: June 12, 2008 (US$6 million) Additional Financing 2 approved: June 09, 2011 (US$24 million) Closing: June 30, 2015 Financing from all cofinanciers, 2006-2015, million US Dollars: Financier Financing Add. Financing 1 Add. Financing 2 IDA (Grant) 15 6 Other Donor (DFID) 17.32 Other Donor (KfW) 28.3 Other Donor (SIDA) 12.54 Other Donor (SDC) 8.97 Total Project Cost 112.13 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA 45 41.96 3.040 24 *Source Client Connection as of September 16, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. This project is designed as a sector-wide approach in which joint financiers pool funds at the Treasury with government funds to support the government health strategy. This approach to implementation resulted in a much stronger coordination among donors, and contributed to a high level of aid effectiveness and government ownership of the reform process. The Project Objectives are to improve the performance of the health sector, strengthen the targeting of social benefits, and improve and sustain the health and nutritional status of vulnerable populations affected by food price shocks. Components: Supporting the government health strategies Manas Taalimi and Den Sooluk programs to help finance the State-Guaranteed Benefit Package; Strengthening the administrative system of the Ministry of Social Protection (MSP) to help it to design a social safety net strategy and build staff capacity; and Protecting the health and nutritional status to support a package of nutrition activities targeting women and children. Results achieved: The Government adopted a new health strategy Den Sooluk for 2012–16 to further strengthen primary health care (PHC) and address delivery system deficiencies, especially for cardiovascular diseases, mother and child care, HIV, and tuberculosis (TB) services. The implementation of the Den Sooluk Program 2013, supported by a Sector-Wide Approach (SWAp), remained largely unfunded until July 2014, due to uncertainty with the approval and ratification of the Joint Financiers’ new contributions to SWAp-2. Key results so far include: Infant and child mortality rates have begun to decrease and Kyrgyzstan is on track to achieve the Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG), but it is off track to achieve MDG5 (maternal mortality); TB incidence and mortality have been on the decline, and cardiovascular mortality among working-age adults has stabilized. HIV incidence continues to rise and the emergence and growing incidence of multi-drug resistant TB is a worrying sign. It is critical for Den Sooluk to accelerate further progress toward improving key health outcomes. With support from the SWAp-1, health expenditures increased from 10.6 percent out of total government expenditures in 2006 to 13 percent in 2010–13. The financial burden of the poorest 40 percent declined during 2003–09, and geographic and financial barriers to access have decreased due to the introduction of the single payer system and the pooling of funds, efficiency gains obtained from restructuring, and the expansion of the state-guaranteed benefits package (SGBP). No further reductions in financial burdens have taken place since 2009. This leaves a continued agenda for Den Sooluk. The efficiency of resource allocation within the SGBP has improved: the share of health expenditures allocated to PHC has increased from 29 percent in 2005 to 38 percent in 2009, and direct patient expenditures (drugs, supplies, food) have increased from 20 percent in 2005 to 30 percent in 2009, due to the optimization of excessive health infrastructure. However, a drastic increase in the salaries of health workers in 2011 squeezed the share of non-salary expenditures. It is critical to ensure that it reach at least 35 percent in the next few years. The use of primary care services has risen slightly, although the further strengthening of primary care will be addressed in the new strategy. Consensus has been reached that improving the quality of care needs to be the main driver of Den Sooluk. Key Partners: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Health, Ministry of Social Development, and Mandatory Health Insurance Fund. Key Development Partners: DfID, SIDA, SDC, and KfW, which financially contributed to the project through pooled budget support, and the World Health Organization (WHO), USAID, the United Nations Children’s Fund (UNICEF), United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), German Technical Cooperation Agency (GIZ), and others that provided parallel funding. 34 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: SECOND HEALTH AND SOCIAL PROTECTION PROJECT (HEALTH SWAp-2) P126278 Key Dates: Approved: May 3, 2013 Effective: July 11, 2014 Closing: December 31, 2018 Financing from all cofinanciers, 2014-2019, mln US Dollars: Financier Financing IDA Grant 7.43 IDA Credit 9.07 Other Donors: 30.4 Other Donor (KfW grant) 18.5 Other Donor (SDC grant) 11.96 Total Project Cost 46.9 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed IDA Grant 7.43 0 IDA Credit 9.07 0 Undisbursed 7.57 9.11 *Source Client Connection as of September 15, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The objectives of the Project are to improve health outcomes in four health priority areas in support of the Den Sooluk National Health Reform Program 2012–2016; and support the Government’s efforts to enhance the effectiveness and targeting performance of social assistance and services. The first component supports the implementation of the Den Sooluk Program through a Sector-Wide Approach (SWAp). The areas focused are: improving the delivery of core services as defined in the Den Sooluk Program, strengthening the health system, supporting the State Guaranteed Benefits Package (SGBP), and strengthening the fiduciary capacity in the health sector. The second component involves strengthening the policy and administrative capacity of the Ministry of Social Development to support the Government’s efforts to enhance the effectiveness and targeting performance of social assistance and social services aimed at supporting the poor and the vulnerable. The third component is a contingency emergency response. The objective of this component is to improve the Government’s response capacity in the event of an emergency. Results to be achieved: Government health expenditures as a percentage of total government expenditures will be sustained at a level of 13 percent; Increased coverage of the enrolled population, with an increase in the percentage of detected cases compared to the number of estimated cases under disease management programs with incentives for providers and patients (hypertension, diabetes, etc.); Financial burden of the two poorest quintiles will at least be sustained at the level of the achieved 22 percent; Share of social assistance spending on poverty-targeted programs will increase from 15.5 to 35 percent. Health: Thematic meetings on health financing, curbing the tobacco epidemic, and refining primary health care (PHC) brought together various stakeholders, including the Deputy Prime Minister, other policy makers; leaders of health organizations and nongovernmental organizations (NGOs), and representatives from development partners. The meetings have identified the steps needed to refine existing health purchasing/output-based provider payment methods and the model of PHC delivery and to implement effective tobacco control measures: improving public finance and transparency; improving the primary care payment system and the refinement of a case-based hospital payment system, and enchancing the State Guarantee Benefits package; increasing excise taxes, baning smoking in public places, using large pictorial health warnings on tobacco products, among others; fine-tuning the model of care with the further integration of outreach services provided by village health communities into family medicine; revisiting the financial incentives by combining the current capitation mechanisms with a pay-for-performance incentive; and reviewing and adjusting human resource policies and training with a focus on redefining the role of mid-level providers and upgrading their training curriculum to reflect the expanded scope of work. Concerted efforts are needed to push the PHC development and health financing refinement agenda forward. Strong leadership and political commitment is a mandatory condition of further improvement. Social Protection: (i) safety net reform, (ii) modernization of disability services, and (iii) capacity building, particularly in developing plans and measures for the gradual reform of the social safety net to refocus it on protecting the poor from abject poverty and mitigating the negative effects of various shocks on the poor. Key Partners: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Health, Ministry of Social Development, and Mandatory Health Insurance Fund. Key Development Partners: KfW, SDC which financially contributed to the project through pooled budget support, and WHO, USAID, UNICEF, UNFPA, GIZ, UNDP, Global Fund, and others that provided parallel funding. 35 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: KYRGYZ HEALTH RESULTS-BASED FINANCING (TRUST FUND) P120435 Key Dates: Approved: April 18, 2013 Effective: July 29, 2014 Closing: June 30, 2017 Financing from all sources, million US Dollars: Financier Financing TF Grant for pre-pilot project 0.5 TF Grant for pilot project 11.0 Total Project Cost 11.5 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed TF Grant 11.5 0.3 11.2 *Source Client Connection as of September 16, 2014. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The Project is to pilot performance-based payments for, and/or enhanced supervision of, the quality of maternal and neonatal care in randomly selected rayon hospitals, and to strengthen the Government’s and providers’ capacity in performance-based contracting and monitoring and evaluating (M&E) for results. There are two components: The first component would finance a randomized controlled trial to test two alternatives for improving the quality of maternal and neonatal care at the rayon (regional) hospital level: a) an enhanced supervision scheme using a balanced score card (BSC) together with a performance-based payment, and b) an enhanced supervision scheme using a BSC only. The second component would finance training and technical assistance to providers in participating facilities to a) understand their roles and responsibilities under performance-based contracting; b) enhance their capacity to conduct peer verification of results; and c) increase their ability to conduct self M&E for results. Results to be achieved: Performance-based payment for, and enhanced supervision of, the quality of maternal and neonatal care will be piloted in selected rayon and small town hospitals; Government’s (Ministry of Health and Mandatory Health Insurance Fund) and providers’ capacity in performancebased contracting and M&E of results will be strengthened. The pilot project has been declared effective. Implementation of the pre-pilot project since fall 2013 in Chui rayon hospital provided an opportunity to develop and test results-based financing (RBF) processes, procedures, and instruments, and to learn from the implementation before the rollout of the pilot RBF. The pre-pilot demonstrated results by bringing changes to the management of the hospital. The pre-pilot hospital’s performance has shown a steady improvement from a baseline 37 percent quality score in December 2013 to 53 and 67 percent in April and July 2014. As a part of the preparation for the scale-up of the pilot RBF project, a randomization of 63 eligible rayon and small town hospitals took place during the randomization ceremony on June 18, 2014, attended by various stakeholders, including representatives of the Ministry of Health, the Mandatory Health Insurance Fund (MHIF), hospitals, professional associations, and civil society to ensure the transparency of the process and broader understanding of randomization principles. Hospitals were assigned to three groups using an iterative Stata computer program in front of the entire audience. An intensive baseline survey of 63 hospitals in July–August 2014, using the BSC, showed a baseline quality score varying between 0.4 to 42 percent, with the average score of 9 percent. 21 hospitals, assigned to group 1, will receive performancebased bonus payments based on the results of the baseline survey in early October 2014. Critical actions over the remaining part of the pre-pilot project’s time will include: (i) finalization of the procurement of technical assistance for the development of tablet-based software; (ii) the setting up of accounts; and (iii) the detailed planning and scale-up of the pilot project rollout. Key Partners: Ministry of Finance, Ministry of Health, Mandatory Health Insurance Fund, and civil society. Key Development Partners: KfW, SDC, WHO, USAID, UNICEF, UNFPA, GIZ, UNDP, and others active in the area of Maternal and Child Health 36 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: SECTOR SUPPORT FOR EDUCATION REFORM PROJECT P113350 Key Dates: Approved: March 7, 2013; Effective: March 26, 2014 Closing: July 16, 2018; Financing from all cofinanciers, million US Dollars: Financier Financing IDA Grant 7.45 IDA Credit 9.12 Total Project Cost 16.57 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed IDA Grant 7.35 0.39 6.96 IDA Credit 9 0.85 8.15 *Source Client Connection as of September 15, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The objective of the Project is to create conditions for improved learning outcomes in basic education. There are three components: The first component focuses on enhancing classroom learning through (1) the design and implementation of an inservice training program for about 10,000 primary school teachers to improve teaching-learning practices in support of the newly revised curriculum, and the design and implementation of training programs to enhance the capacities of approximately 1,500 deputy directors, district-level methodologists, and inspectors to support primary level teachers to teach the new curriculum; (2) the printing and distribution of approximately 3 million textbooks, teacher guides, and student workbooks for primary and lower secondary schools, and the provision of a package of essential teachinglearning materials for primary schools; (3) support for the ongoing revision of curriculum for grades 5–9, focusing on the piloting and finalization of subject standards and program content; and (4) a sample-based assessment of student learning achievements at grade 4, and an assessment of teaching-learning practices at the primary level. The second component aims to improve the management of education resources and accountability for their use. The component would support: (1) the expansion of per capita financing (PCF) and operationalization of a monitoring system for school budgets and expenditures, training, and technical assistance to key players at the local and central levels; and (2) the strengthening of school leadership and management through the training of school directors and accountants and the production of support materials. The third component is communications and implementation support. This component has two subcomponents: (1) communications and outreach activities to engage and inform stakeholders about the changes in the education sector; and (2) implementation support to finance operating costs at the Ministry of Education and Science to implement the project. Results to be achieved: 10,000 teachers trained to implement the revised curriculum and apply improved teaching learning practices. 1,500 school directors and district-level methodologists trained to provide instructional support to teachers. 3 million copies of textbooks, teacher guides, and student workbooks printed and distributed. All students in grade 3–4 using revised textbooks. A new curriculum for grades 5–9 piloted and a sample-based achievement test carried out for grade 4. Schools operate under a new financing model and are accountable for the annual school budget and expenditures. Key Partners: Ministry of Education and Science, Kyrgyz Academy of Education, Regional In-service Teacher Training Institutes and Methodological Centers, local self-governance bodies (ayil okmotu), and schools. 37 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: KYRGYZ EARLY EDUCATION PROJECT GLOBAL PARTNERSHIP FOR EDUCATION P132490 Key Dates: Approved: April 2, 2014; Effective: August 6, 2014 Closing: July 16, 2018; Financing from all co-financiers, million US Dollars: Financier Financing GPE Grant 12.7 Total Project Cost 12.7 World Bank Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed GPE Grant 12.7 0.00 12.7 *Source Client Connection as of August 1, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. The Project Development Objective is to increase equitable access to preschool education, and to establish conditions for improving its quality. The project has three components: Component One: Expansion of quality preprimary education (US$11.60 million equivalent). The objectives of this component are to increase access to preschool education for children aged 4–5 years in targeted areas and to enable all children who are in the year prior to grade one to complete a full-year school preparation program. As such, this component would finance: (i) the provision of teaching-learning materials and furniture to enable the opening or expansion of kindergartens in poor communities with limited or no access to preschool services, as well as to enable the universal coverage of the full-year preparation program; and (ii) the training of kindergarten and preparation program teachers on the knowledge and skills needed to deliver appropriate education programs. The component is constituted of three subcomponents that reinforce one another by promoting greater coverage, quality, and integration. Component Two: Improved policy, programs, and system effectiveness (US$0.34 million equivalent). The objective of this component is to improve policy, programs, and system effectiveness. To that end, it would finance technical assistance, materials, and the monitoring of child development and classroom practices. Component Three: Communications and implementation support (US$0.76 million equivalent). The objective of this component is to finance communications and incremental operating costs generated by the roject. Results to be achieved: 80,000 children 5–6 years old enrolled in the full-year school preparation program; Up to 100 new community kindergartens established in targeted communities; 10,000 children 3–5 years old enrolled in community-based kindergartens in targeted communities; 100 percent of school preparation classes have received a package of essential learning and teaching materials; 90 percent of the teachers in newly established kindergartens are certified after training. Key Partners: Ministry of Education and Science, Kyrgyz Academy of Education, Regional In-service Teacher Training Institutes& Methodological Centers, local government and schools. UNICEF, Local Education Group. 38 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY ASSISTANCE PROJECT (TRUST FUND) P118838 Key Dates: Approved: June 30, 2011 Effective: March 27, 2012 Closing: March 31, 2015 Financing from all cofinanciers, million US Dollars: Financier Financing Russia Food Price Crisis 6.85 Beneficiaries 0.78 Total Project Cost 7.63 Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed TF 6.85 6.44 0.41 *Source Client Connection as of September 9, 2014. Input of beneficiaries: $1.9 mln. Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations. Objective of the Project is to increase the agricultural productivity of the project beneficiaries. Project activities are aimed at improving access to finance to support investments in farm inputs, agricultural machinery, and marketing infrastructure; timely and reliable weather forecasts; and complementary training activities for farmers. Investment Support for Improved Farm-Level Productivity Component provides a credit line to farmers and farmer associations: (i) working capital loans for spring and fall planting and harvesting activities; and (ii) investment loans and leases for farm machinery and investing in warehouses and other productive assets. It also finances the further expansion of the community seed funds (CSFs) and women self-help groups (WSHGs) aimed at supporting poorer rural households with high-quality seeds and fertilizer, as well as training for CSF and WSHG members. Technical Support for Improved Farm-Level Productivity Component supports pilot delivery of weather information to farmers, including early warnings for adverse weather events, to reduce crop losses due to such weather events; and training and extension services to farmers and farmer cooperatives on modern, sustainable agricultural practices (including integrated pest management) and quality management systems at the farm level to increase agricultural productivity and reduce on-farm losses. The funding for the project is provided by the Russia Food Price Crisis Rapid Response Trust Fund for the Kyrgyz Republic and Tajikistan. Results achieved: 505 subloans in the total amount of about US$3.9 million equivalent have been provided to farmers, including 96 women. 100 percent of the credit line proceeds have been used for investment, mainly in herd improvement and agricultural machinery. A total of 95 CSFs have been established in all seven oblasts since autumn 2012 with an initial membership of 2,566 farmers, including about 13 percent women. The number of CSFs is higher than the initially proposed total number of 65 CSFs. The newly established CSFs have received 684.2 tons of seeds and 911.3 tons of fertilizer. In 2013, CSF members achieved yields of about 56 percent and 49 percent for winter wheat and potatoes, respectively, higher than they achieved before the project in 2012 and about 35 percent and 54 percent higher than national average yields. During 2013–14, 302 new WSHGs with 2,050 members have been created in 59 villages and provided with vegetable seeds. A total of 0.301 tons of seeds were distributed among the WSHG members (tomato, cucumber, onion, carrot, cabbage, red beet). In 2013, the women’s groups sold 1.438 tons of vegetables and earned more than KGS 22.5 million from sales. 320 farmers in the pilot rayons of Chui, Talas, and Issyk-Kul oblasts were subscribed to receive via short message service (SMS) the three-day weather forecasts and adverse weather warnings produced by Kyrgyz Hydromet. Good collaboration achieved with the Rural Advisory Services for disseminating information on forecasts among farmers. 1, 419 training sessions on improved agro-technical practices and on-farm quality management have been provided to approximately 4,033 poor farmers throughout the country, of which 2,371 were women heads of households. Surveys indicate that over 80 percent of trainees rated the training as useful and efficient, while 73 percent of respondents reported adopting at least one improved practice promoted by the training courses. Key Partners: Ministry of Agriculture and Melioration, Ministry of Finance, Credit Line Management Unit under the Ministry of Finance, Agribusiness Competitiveness Center, and Kyrgyz Hydromet. 39 CAPACITY BUILDING IN PUBLIC FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT (Trust Fund) P112713 Key Dates: Approved: November 25, 2008 Effective: December, 16, 2009 Closing: December 31, 2014 Financing in million US Dollars*: Financier Financing Other Donors (EC) 2.84 Other Donors (DFID) 3.66 Other Donors (Seco) 0.52 Other Donors (Sida) 0.47 Total Project Cost 7.49 Disbursements, million US Dollars *: Total Disbursed Undisbursed TF 7.49 5.08 2.41 *Source Client Connection as of September 15, 2014 Note: Disbursements may differ from financing due to exchange rate fluctuations at the time of disbursement. **Request to extend the project to May 31, 2015, is under review. The 2009 Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability Assessment (PEFA) indicates the need for continued reform of the public financial management (PFM) system in the Kyrgyz Republic, including budget preparation, budget execution, budget transparency, internal audit, and cash management. Furthermore, the experience of PFM reform over the last decade indicates that significant reforms have been achieved only when supported by external technical support and the provision of training for civil servants. Thus the main part of the project focused on capacity building in PFM. Diverse donor support for PFM reform in the past has not always been fully coordinated or focused on the key priorities for reform. There are immense management challenges for public administration in the country and in particular, in the Ministry of Finance (MoF), to implement PFM reforms effectively. In the past, a general criticism of various technical assistance projects has been that they have provided substantial advice and guidance from international consultants but less in terms of direct capacity-building activities. However, this need was addressed through the Multi-Donor Trust Fund (MDTF) project by conducting a comprehensive assessment of capacity gaps/needs so that there will be adequate capacity to implement all key tasks outlined in the project. The Project Objective is to strengthen the effectiveness, efficiency, and accountability of PFM through strengthening the budget process, the internal audit and control functions, and the institutional and human capacity of the MoF, as well as other agencies involved in PFM in the country. The project has the following components: (i) strengthening the budget process; (ii) improving the medium-term budget framework, including the line ministries; (iii) enhancing internal audit and control; and (iv) strengthening capacity building for PFM. Results achieved: Strengthening the Budget Process. The project supported the MoF in developing a draft Budget Code. In June 2014, the Budget Code underwent the first reading in Parliament; comments were received from various stakeholders and forwarded to the Government. The code is intended to establish a framework for budget management that will reflect best international practices. Progress has made been on increased transparency through the provision of budget information to the population in a user-friendly format, particularly the Citizen’s Budget, and budget hearings on the budget proposals for both 2014 and 2015 were arranged in four regions. Moreover, several additional initiatives of the MoF have been supported to improve the transparency of budget information that have resulted in an improvement of the Open Budget Index (OBI) from 15 in 2010 to 20 in 2012. Medium-Term Budget Framework. Elements of performance budgeting were developed for 28 agencies in 2014, and performance budget classification is being developed. But a stronger linkage of the MTBF to the annual budget is a necessary next step. Capacity Building for Public Financial Management. A Training Plan has been developed based on a needs assessment, and the project is supporting the training activities envisaged in the plan. A business plan for the Training Center has been developed to ensure the sustainability of the project’s capacity-building activities. Currently, the Training Center is developing an elearning strategy to efficiently build the capacity of MoF staff. Key Partners: Ministry of Finance of the Kyrgyz Republic. Key Development Partners: European Commission, DfID, SECO, SIDA. 40 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: MANAS MANAGEMENT COMPANY Project ID 1806 Fiscal year: 2010 Guarantee holder: Finrep Ges. m.b.H. Investor country: Austria Gross exposure: US$5.8 million The project is the construction and operation of an air cargo complex and an air catering center at Manas International Airport in Bishkek. MIGA originally issued contracts to Italian Technology & Innovations S.r.l. (ITI) and MCC S.p.A. (MCC) (formerly Mediocredito Centrale S.p.A.) in 1998 and 1999, respectively, for this project. MIGA reissued the contracts in FY02 to accommodate changes in the commercial arrangements of the respective parties. Further details of the project appeared in MIGA’s 1998 and 1999 annual reports. MIGA has modified an existing contract of guarantee with Finrep Handles GmbH (Finrep) of Austria, increasing the guarantee amount to US$5.8 million. This includes the coverage of shares and future retained earnings, reflecting a revised 80 percent shareholding in Manas Management Company and extending the tenor of guarantee by two years. MIGA’s coverage is against the risk of expropriation. The project has been operating at Manas International Airport since 2001 as the sole licensed provider of cargo handling and storage services, as well as in-flight catering services. The company is based and operates in a strategic cargo and transportation hub with significant growth potential in the rapidly expanding Central Asian market. Results achieved: The cargo complex at Manas International Airport has enabled the airport to increase the volume of incoming and outgoing airfreight, with broader economic benefits for the Kyrgyz Republic (which has only one international airport). The complex has also provided the necessary infrastructure to improve the capacity of the airport. It was built and now operates to the International Air Transport Association (IATA) standard. This will continue to make the airport a more desirable destination for international airlines, leading to increased air traffic. MIGA’s continuing support to Manas International Airport is consistent with the World Bank Group’s Joint Country Support Strategy for the Kyrgyz Republic for 2007–10 and the Kyrgyz Republic’s Country Development Strategy for the same period. The project contributes to the strategic goal of improving the environment for business and economic growth. 41 RECENT IFC INVESTMENTS IN THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC Financial year Project 2014 2013 Bai Tushum Kyrgyz Investment and Credit Bank (KICB) 2012 Kompanion Financial Group FINCA Kyrgyzstan Demir Kyrgyz International Bank 2011/2012 2012 2007/2011 2009/2011 2008 Magic Box Kyrgyz Investment & Credit Bank Altyn-Ajydar IFC Financing (US$ million) 4.0 12 6.0 DESCRIPTION Loan for expansion of SME lending US$10 million loan and US$2 million credit line under IFC Global Trade Finance Program to support the bank’s lending operations. Loan to Kompanion for microfinancing activities. 10 2.0 Loan to FINCA Kyrgyzstan for microfinancing activities. 2.5 Loan to support expansion of the largest producer of cardboard packages. 5.0 1.6 Loan to support the bank’s trade finance. Loan to expand the bank’s lending operations. Loan to finance a new plant to expand its production. IFC ADVISORY SERVICES IN THE KYRGYZ REPUBLIC Years of operation Project 2013 – present Investment Climate Advisory Services Project 2007 – present Central Asia Corporate Governance Project 2009 – present 2008 – present 2012-present 2012-present 2014-present Azerbaijan-Central Asia Financial Markets Infrastructure Advisory Services Project Micro Finance Transformation Project Housing Microfinance Advisory Services Project Central Asia Tax Project Central Asia Agrifinance Project DESCRIPTION Aims at building on the successful reforms achieved in investment climate reform, with a focus on reducing the implementation gap, increasing investment, and improving the investment climate for the agribusiness sector. Donor partners are the Governments of Switzerland and the United Kingdom. Helps local joint stock companies and banks strengthen their corporate governance practices with a view to improving their operations and increasing their ability to attract investment and financing. Donor partners are the Governments of Switzerland and the United Kingdom. Aims to expand secure access to finance for individual consumers and micro, small, and medium-sized enterprises by improving the financial infrastructure of, and regulatory environment for, credit bureaus and by developing a Risk Certification Program. The project is implemented in partnership with the Government of Switzerland. Provides advisory services to microfinance institutions in Azerbaijan and Central Asia to support their transformation processes. The project is implemented in partnership with the Development Bank of Austria. Helps improve housing conditions for low-income Kyrgyz households by introducing an innovative housing microfinance lending product to local financial institutions, enabling them to provide funding for home improvements to lowincome residents. The project is implemented in partnership with the Government of Switzerland. Helps government reduce tax compliance costs for businesses and promotes tax transparency and financial disclosure. Donor partners are the Governments of Switzerland and the United Kingdom. The ultimate goal of the project is improved access to finance and markets for farmers through the improved capacity of farmers, supply chain aggregators, and financial intermediaries in Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. Donor partner is Austrian Ministry of Finance. 42 KYRGYZ REPUBLIC: KYRGYZ INVESTMENT AND CREDIT BANK IFC Investment Services: Equity/Loan Equity Senior Loans (4) Trade Finance Amount (US$ mln) 3.0 21.5 2 Year 2001/05/07 2013/11/09/07 2013 IFC Advisory Services: - Leasing Operations (2006 – 2008) - Risk Management (2011 – on going) - Mobile Banking (2013 – ongoing) Kyrgyz Investment and Credit Bank (KICB) is a closed joint-stock company, which was incorporated in the Kyrgyz Republic in 2001. Since the bank was established, it has gradually developed as one of the leading providers of financial services to private companies in the country. Currently, the bank is a long-term International Finance Corporation (IFC) client. IFC first invested in KICB in 2001 when it was set up; IFC participated in two rights issues and provided three loans over the years to expand the KICB’s lending to small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in less-developed regions of Kyrgyzstan. In addition, IFC provided KICB with advisory services to help it set up its leasing operations, to improve its risk management function, and most recently to set up its mobile banking activities. The Project Development Objective: IFC’s investments helped the Bank offer wider financing options to Kyrgyz SMEs and to expand its SME lending activities. Such financing is crucial for the sustainable development of the private sector across the country, which results in improved economic development and poverty reduction. In addition, IFC’s trade finance guarantee facility will support access to trade finance for local exporters and importers and address the counterparty risk that is slowing down the growth of trade business in the country. KICB has also benefited from IFC’s expertise and advice in such areas as leasing as an alternative financing product for SMEs and mobile banking as an alternative channel for the delivery of banking services. IFC also helped the bank to strengthen its risk management framework and practices, which a measure that was ultimately aimed at making KICB more sustainable, robust, and able to serve the market in the future. 43
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