Potential Approaches to Further Growth in the Housing Defect Warranty Insurance September 10, 2014 Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Ltd.

PotentialApproachestoFurtherGrowth
intheHousingDefectWarrantyInsurance
September10,2014
TokioMarine&NichidoFireInsuranceCo.,Ltd.
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IntroductionofTokioMarineGroup
North America
Vancouver
San
Francisco
Los Angeles
Honolulu
Toronto
Chicago
Atlanta
Amsterdam
Brussels
London
Other important
locations
St.Petersburg
Moscow
Dusseldorf
Paris
New York
Bala Cynwyd Barcelona
Istanbul
Nashville
Milano Kuwait
Jeddah
Asia
Beijing
Al Khobar
Manama
Seoul
Tokyo
Shanghai
Taipei
Shenzhen
Hong Kong
Manila Guam
Hanoi
Dubai
Riyad
New Delhi
Mumbai
Yangon
Mexico City
Cities with expatriate staffs
Europe/Middle East
South
America
Sao Paulo
Ho Chi Minh City
Jakarta
Bangkok
Kuala Lumpur
Singapore
Sydney
Melbourne
37 countries / 456 cities
44,000 employees
As of March 2013
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Today’sAgenda
1. Housing Defect Warranty Insurance
Market in Japan
2. Our Suggestion for Sound Development
of the Market in the Future
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1.Housing Defect Warranty Insurance
Market in Japan
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① WarrantyInsuranceonNewHousing
Flow of Market Size of Insurance 1200
60.0%
1000
50.0%
800
40.0%
600
30.0%
50% of housing starts
participate in the insurance
Number of Policy
Housing Starts
Participation Rate
400
20.0%
200
10.0%
0
The market size is smaller
than expected
0.0%
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013(est)
Major housing
suppliers tend to
choose “deposit”
“Deposit” is chosen
for small sized
units of apartments
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① WarrantyInsuranceonNewHousing
JPY 30B
(*)
(USD 288M)
(*)The
inspection fee and reinsurance premium are included
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① WarrantyInsuranceonNewHousing
9 The cumulative Loss Ratio is less than 10%.
So far, so good, but ・・・.
Loss Ratio
Construction Rush
?
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② VoluntaryInsurance on Pre‐ownedHousing
Three types of Defect warranty Insurance on Pre-owned Housing
Renovation
•The annual sales number is around 2,500 policies.
•Registration System for Renovation Organization
may enlarge this insurance market.
Traded
Housing
•The annual sales number is around 4,000 policies.
•There are two types of trade.
(a) Between individuals
(b) Suppliers and individuals
Large-scale
Renovation
•The annual sales number is around 500 policies.
•Deterioration of the apartment will enlarge the markets.
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2. Our Suggestion for Sound Development
of the Market in the Future
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Our SuggestionforSoundDevelopmentoftheMarketintheFuture
We are developing the following products to expand the market
10 years Warranty Extension Insurance
Subsidence Insurance
Completion Warranty Program
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① 10YearsWarrantyExtensionInsurance
Estimate
Reference : Nomura Research Institute, Ltd.
The business opportunities regarding a new housing will decrease for
several years due to
9 Consumption tax increasing from 5% to 8%
9 Long life quality housing system was introduced in 2009
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① 10YearsWarrantyExtensionInsurance
10 years warranty
Extension Insurance
Voluntary Ins.
Voluntary Ins.
inspection &
maintenance
Voluntary Ins.
Ins. on new housing
Ins. on new housing
10ys extension ins.
Ins. on new housing
the housing quality
assurance act
10ys extension ins.
Ins. on new housing
10ys extension ins.
developing 10 years
warranty extension scheme
2001
2009
2014?
10 Years Warranty for a Defect
Voluntary insurance
Compulsory insurance or deposit
10 Years Warranty Extension Insurance
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① 10YearsWarrantyExtensionInsurance
② VoluntaryInsurance
on Pre‐ownedHousing
Key factor of developing this insurance scheme
Inspection
Maintenance
Legal
Responsibility
Early launch
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② SubsidenceInsurance
Present
Housing
Insurance
Companies
Foundation
?
Housing
Ground level
Foundation
Subsidence
Subsidence
Subsidence
Investigation
Companies
Admitted
Insurance
Company
No
organized
back up
Future
Warranty Insurance
Foundation
Subsidence
Subsidence Insurance
Housing
Insurance
Companies
Reinsurance
Admitted
Insurance
Company
Subsidence
Investigation
Companies
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③ CompletionWarrantyProgram
Ordering a
House
Construction
Warranty
Program
Construction
Completion of
Construction
Bankruptcy
of Contractor
・Additional
Construction Fee
・Deposit Money
Difficulty in Underwriting
Completion Warranty Program
Systemic Risk / Huge Risk
Compulsory Basis
Credit Risk
Provided with warranty insurance on housing
Adverse Selection
Reinsurance Program
by Admitted Ins. Company and Government
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Our SuggestionforSoundDevelopmentoftheMarketintheFuture
A lot of challenges, but we would like to support to expand the market by
providing・・・
10 years Warranty Extension Insurance
Subsidence Insurance
Completion Warranty Program
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Thank you!
Hiroaki Kawabata
Tokio Marine & Nichido Fire Insurance Co., Inc.
E-mail : [email protected]
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