Team Maxxim presents Volkswagen AG Marketing Strategy Recommendation EBA 605, Dr. J. Coleman Saturday, April 22, 2006 Agenda I. II. III. IV. V. VI. VII. VIII. IX. Current Situation & Trends Performance Review Key Issues Objectives Marketing Strategy Action Plan Projected Profit-and-Loss Statement Controls Contingency Plans Volkswagen AG Market Situation Mature passenger car market in North America and Europe Sales expected to rise 0.6% and 1.6% for North America and Europe, respectively, through 2009 Global passenger car sales are forecast to grow by around 7 million units through 2009, or just under 3% annually India and China is expected to account for more than half of this growth Volkswagen AG Car Sales According to Groups, Worldwide Mil. Vehicles GM 8.2 Ford/Volvo 6.8 Toyota/Daihatsu 6.7 Volkswagen 5.2 DaimlerChrysler 4.7 PSA 3.4 3.0 Honda 2.9 Nissan 2.5 Renault Fiat/Ferrari BM W 1.9 1.2 Source: manufacturer`s data, JAMA. Volkswagen AG Global Competitive Overview Global Top Auto Companies 4% 3% 5% GM 18% Ford 7% Toyota Volkswagen DaimlerChrysler 7% 14% PSA/Peugeot-Citroen Nissan 7% Honda 10% 14% 11% Renault Fait/Ferrai BMW Volkswagen AG *Numbers based on 2004 Marke tshare WORLD CAR POPULATION Developing World = 300% Increase Between 1995 & 2020 Greater Demand & Less Resources Accelerated Greenhouse Emissions Environmental & Energy Trends = Negative Economic Impacts World Car Population TREND IN WORLD CAR POPULATION 800000000 700000000 600000000 500000000 400000000 300000000 CARS IN REST OF WORLD 200000000 100000000 0 YEAR 1930 CARS IN U.S. 1940 1950 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 Volkswagen AG Competitive Situation General Motors, Nissan and Toyota have cut into Volkswagen’s market share Volkswagen once held a 50% market share in China, it’s now around 20% China and India both serving as key manufacturing locations with major players Volkswagen AG Volkswagen Group Market Share - 2005 Volkswagen AG Corporate Overview HQ: Wolfsburg, Germany US Operations: Auburn Hills, MI Europe’s #1 automobile manufacturer Annual production: 5M vehicles Annual sales: $121,345/ 10.9 YOY growth Employees: 342,502 worldwide Volkswagen AG Key Milestones 1930s 1940s 1950s 1960s Factory opened in Production of first VW begin building Wolfsburg, Germany Volkswagen Company turned over to German government foreign plants Launched “Beetle” in US market Developed Microbus Sold stock to the German public Purchased Auto Union (AUDI) US Beetle sales took off 1970s 1980s 1990s 2000s Built China’s largest auto plant Integrate Skoda Acquires Rolls-Royce and Bugatti Launched New Beetle in US Spent 3.1B to modernize factories The final Beetle ended a 70-year run Invested 1.7B in China (Asia/Pacific) Bernd Pischetsrieder joined company Beetle discontinued Begin car venture in in every country except China Mexico Purchased SEAT Formed Autolatin in Brazil Volkswagen AG Volkswagen Global Marketing Mix Brand portfolio Volkswagen Audi Seat Škoda Bugatti Bentley Lamborghini Commercial vehicles Development of distribution partners Separated distribution channels for each brand International standardization of dealers Unique brand identity for each nameplate Complete product range Mostly standardized products with minor adaptations 1 Setting prices with regard to competitors Price discrimination across regions No price competition in emerging markets Strict cost controlling Global Marketing Mix 4 Localized communication Emphasis on the European market Brand advertising Emotionalization 2 3 Volkswagen AG Volkswagen Group Automotive Division VW Brand Group VW P Cars *Passat *FOX *Jetta *Beetle *Golf Skoda Bentley Bugatti Audi Brand Group Commercial Vehicles Audi SEAT Lamborghini Buses and Vans Financial Services Division Other Companies Financial Services Europcar Financing Dealer & Customer Financing Rental Business Servicing Leasing Insurance Fleet business Volkswagen AG Source: www.volkswagen-ir Key Issues Extreme global competition, particularly from American and Asian manufacturers Slow revenue growth due to inflated cost of raw material and rising administrative costs Stagnant demand because of overcapacity and product proliferation in western markets Controlling cost while simultaneously generating revenue Rapid foreign investment in Chinese and Indian markets Volkswagen AG How do we tackle these issues?..... Volkswagen AG Objectives Increase operating cash flow Increase sales and market share Expand targeted-market segment Maximize fuel efficiency Be first to market with new product Introduce hybrid vehicle, Ŝkoda Octavia, in India Conduct financial feasibility study Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility SIMPLYCLEVER ŠKODA AUTO / ŠKODA GROUP – PROFIT BEFORE TAXATION IFRS CZ, Škoda Group 10,073 Millions of CZK ŠKODA AUTO a.s. according to ČÚS* 4,815 2,875 163 0.3 3.2 4,843 4,175 3,702 3,814 5.4 2,674 2,489 2,517 3.5 3.5 3.1 1.7 1.7 1.7 3.0 3.2 Profit before taxation Rate of turnover return (%) 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 * ČÚS – Czech Accounting Standards 2004 2005 Financial Feasibility – Labor Costs Exhibit 4A Average annual base pay India 2007 # of Employees HR manager $15,100.00 3 Marketing manager $14,300.00 1 Project manager $10,000.00 2 Software development engineer $10,300.00 $ 8,400.00 $ 5,700.00 $ 8,200.00 $ 4,700.00 $ 1,600.00 $ 1,900.00 1 Position Financial analyst Accountant Senior customer service officer Sales representative Customer service assistant Production worker (skilled) 1 Total Cost $ 45,300.00 $ 14,300.00 $ 20,000.00 $ 10,300.00 $ 2 2 3 5 280 300 $ 8,400.00 $ 11,400.00 $ 16,400.00 $ 14,100.00 8,000.00 $ 532,000.00 $ 680,200.00 Salary 2008 # of Employees $15,855.00 3 $15,015.00 1 $10,500.00 4 $10,815.00 $ 8,820.00 $ 5,985.00 $ 8,610.00 $ 4,935.00 $ 1,680.00 $ 1,995.00 1 1 Total Cost $ 47,565.00 $ 15,015.00 $ 42,000.00 $ 10,815.00 $ 2 2 3 5 8,820.00 $ 11,970.00 $ 17,220.00 $ 14,805.00 $ 428 8,400.00 $ 853,860.00 450 $1,030,470.00 Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility – Labor Costs Exhibit 4B Average annual base pay Salary 2009 # of Employees HR manager $16,647.75 3 Marketing manager $15,765.75 1 Project manager $11,025.00 6 Software development engineer $11,355.75 $ 9,261.00 $ 6,284.25 $ 9,040.50 $ 5,181.75 $ 1,764.00 $ 2,094.75 1 Position Financial analyst Accountant Senior customer service officer Sales representative Customer service assistant Production worker (skilled) 1 Total Cost $ 49,943.25 $ 15,765.75 $ 66,150.00 $ 11,355.75 $ 2 2 3 5 $ 9,261.00 $ 12,568.50 $ 18,081.00 $ 15,545.25 8,820.00 576 $1,206,576.00 600 $1,414,066.50 Salary 2010 # of Employees $17,480.14 3 $16,554.04 1 $11,576.25 6 $11,923.54 $ 9,724.05 $ 6,598.46 $ 9,492.53 $ 5,440.84 $ 1,852.20 $ 2,199.49 1 1 Total Cost $ 52,440.41 $ 16,554.04 $ 69,457.50 $ 11,923.54 $ 9,724.05 $ 13,196.93 $ 18,985.05 $ 16,322.51 $ 9,261.00 2 2 3 5 576 $1,266,904.80 600 $1,484,769.83 Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility – Labor Costs Exhibit 4C Average annual base pay Salary 2011 # of Employees HR manager $18,354.14 3 $ 55,062.43 Marketing manager $17,381.74 1 $ 17,381.74 Project manager $12,155.06 6 $ 72,930.38 Software development engineer $12,519.71 1 $ 12,519.71 Financial analyst $10,210.25 $ 6,928.39 $ 9,967.15 $ 5,712.88 $ 1,944.81 $ 2,309.46 1 $ 10,210.25 2 $ 13,856.77 2 $ 19,934.30 3 $ 17,138.64 5 $ 9,724.05 Position Accountant Senior customer service officer Sales representative Customer service assistant Production worker (skilled) Total Cost 576 $1,330,250.04 600 $1,559,008.32 Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility Reported Annual Income Statement Actual Actual Actual 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Auditor Status Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Dollars Consolidated Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Yes Scale millions millions millions millions millions millions millions millions millions Sales revenue 109,394 121,346 112,826 116,211 119,697 123,886 128,842 135,284 142,048 Cost of sales 97,597 Gross profit automotive 11,798 division Gross profit financial services division 106,992 97,576 100,503 103,518 106,624 109,822 113,117 116,510 14,353 15,250 15,708 16,179 17,263 19,020 22,167 25,538 - - - - - - - - 9,251 8,352 7,517 7,211 6,920 6,644 6,382 6,133 Distribution costs 9,880 10,291 10,718 11,255 11,845 12,467 13,152 13,876 Administrative expense Selling & distribution expenses General administration expenses 2,800 2,852 2,904 3,021 3,141 3,267 3,398 3,534 - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - Other operating income 5,393 5,602 5,819 6,052 6,294 6,545 6,807 7,080 Other operating expenses 3,477 3,162 2,875 2,990 3,109 3,234 3,363 3,498 11,798 3,589 4,548 5,029 4,965 5,461 6,598 9,061 11,710 22,339 12,840 12,900 12,546 12,175 12,381 13,242 15,443 17,843 Currency Depreciation & Amortization Operating profit Net Cash Flow 10,541 Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Projected Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility – Break Even Point Break Even Point - Volkswagen India $900.00 $800.00 $700.00 $600.00 $500.00 $400.00 $300.00 $200.00 $100.00 $- Break Even Point Year 1 Year 2 Year 3 Year 4 Year 5 Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility – Sales Per Year Sales per Year Volkswagen Exhibit 2 Dollars in millions 125,000 12 1, 34 6 120,000 11 2, 82 6 115,000 110,000 105,000 100,000 10 4, 18 6 10 7, 04 6 10 9, 39 4 10 5, 12 1 95,000 90,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Year Scale Sales revenue Log. (Scale Sales revenue) Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility – Sales Per Year Cost of Sales Volkswagen Dollars in millions Exhibit 3 110,000 106,992 105,000 100,000 97,597 95,000 90,000 97,576 91,018 91,384 89,694 85,000 80,000 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 Years Cost of sales Log. (Cost of sales) Volkswagen AG Weighted Average Cost of Capital Cost of Capital Component Weight Cost Weighted Cost Common Equity 0.75 $125,000,000 $97,750,000 Debt 0.15 $125,000,000 $18,750,000 0.1 $125,000,000 $12,500,000 0.1291 $125,000,000 $16,137,500 Preferred Stock WACC Volkswagen AG Financial Feasibility – Profit/Loss Statement Projected Net Cash Flow for India Investment Outlays: Long Term Assets Equipment Additional Net Working Capital Operating Cash Flows over Project's Life Units sold Sales Costs (from cost sheet) Net Revenue Depreciation (from depreciation - input sheet) Before-tax-income Taxes (40%) Net Income Add Depreciation Net Operating Cash Flow 0 2006 $ (125,000,000.00) 1 2007 2 2008 3 2009 4 2010 2500 $ 75,500,000.00 $ 2,130,200.00 $ 73,369,800.00 $ 25,000,000 $ 48,369,800 $ (30,200,000.00) $ 18,169,800 $ 25,000,000 $ 43,169,800 3750 $ 113,250,000.00 $ 3,242,970.00 $ 110,007,030.00 $ 25,000,000 $ 85,007,030 $ (45,300,000.00) $ 39,707,030 $ 40,000,000 $ 79,707,030 5000 $ 151,000,000.00 $ 3,000,000.00 $ 148,000,000.00 $ 25,000,000 $ 123,000,000 $ (60,400,000.00) $ 62,600,000 $ 23,750,000 $ 86,350,000 5000 $ 151,000,000.00 $ 3,050,000.00 $ 147,950,000.00 $ 25,000,000 $ 122,950,000 $ (60,400,000.00) $ 62,550,000 $ 15,000,000 $ 77,550,000 5 2011 $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ $ 5000 151,000,000.00 3,075,000.00 147,925,000.00 25,000,000 122,925,000 (60,400,000.00) 62,525,000 13,750,000 76,275,000 $ 76,275,000.00 Salvage Cash flows After Tax Salvage Cash Flows from equipment Return of NOWC Net Cash Flows Net Terminal Cash flows at Year 4 Salvage Value Tax on Salvage Value Recovery on NWC Net Terminal Cash Flow $100,000,000 $40,000,000 $24,000,000 $60,000,000 $24,000,000 $14,400,000 $36,250,000 $14,500,000 $8,700,000 $21,250,000 $8,500,000 $5,100,000 $7,500,000 $3,000,000 $1,800,000 Volkswagen AG Marketing Strategy Enhance regional presence and geographical spread Increase customer orientation – Leapfrog approach Niche penetration Technological differentiation More efficient use of resources Volkswagen AG Action Plan Select “premier” dealerships to carry the Ŝkoda hybrid Develop dealer training programs Project and sales managers collaborate to acquire new customers and increase customer loyalty Build awareness of Ŝkoda hybrid through sales promotions and easy financing Use Volkswagen Group’s brands to increase customer awareness Volkswagen AG Volkswagen Group Brand Portfolio Sophistication Zones of Low Demand Zones of Low Demand Functionality Emotion Volkswagen AG The VW Customer Positioning Statement: For the cost conscience buyer, Volkswagen offers reliability and value. Value Proposition: – Target Market: Cost conscience buyer (parents, females, young adults) – Benefits offered: German technology – Relative price: Affordable, reliable Volkswagen AG Controls & Contingency Plan Design service programs that address potential concerns Continued research and development aimed at product improvements or modifications that appeal to target segment Increase penetration with market segments and/or distribution intensity Volkswagen AG The Golden Steering Wheel to the New Škoda Octavia The new Škoda Octavia won the Bild am Sonntag‘s prestigious Golden Steering Wheel award during a ceremony in Berlin. Volkswagen AG Look how roomy…. Volkswagen AG Look at that automatic console! Volkswagen AG Ŝkoda Octavia Hybrid Volkswagen AG Ŝkoda Octavia Hybrid Volkswagen AG References Brodrick, Sean. 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