Quiz Number 1 Group 1 – North of Newark Thamer AbuDiak Reynald Benoit Jose Lopez Rosele Lynn Dave Neal Deyanira Pena Professor Kenneth D. Lawerence New Jersey Inst. Of Tech Problems Assigned Ragsdale 2.13, 2.16, 2.20 3.10, 3.13, 3.16, 3.21, 3.24, 3.28, 3.41, 3.44, 3.45 Dielman 3.6 3.24 Ragsdale 2.13 by Reynald The marketing manager for Mountain Mist soda needs to decide how many TV spots and magazine ads to run during the next quarter. Initial Set up Decision Variable Objective function The number of TV spots and magazine ads to run X1 = TV Spot X2 = Magazine Ad TV spots expected to increase sales by 300,000 cans Magazine ads expected to increase sales by 500,000 cans Mountain Mist makes .05 cents a can MAX: 0.05 * (300,000X1 + 500,000X2 ) Constraints A total of $100,000 may be spent No more than $70,000 may be spent on TV spots No more than $50,000 may be spent on magazine ads 5,000X1 + 2,000X2 <= 100,000 5,000X1 <= 70,000 2,000X1 <= 50,000 Excel Initial Settings D7 = (B7*B6+C7*C6)*C15 D10 = B10*B6 + C10*C6 D11 = B11*B6 + C11*C6 D12 = B12*B6 + C12*C6 Changing Cells B6 and C6 Solver Results In order to maximize profit Mountain Mist should run 10 TV spots and 25 Magazine ads which will result in $775,000 in profit. Ragsdale 2.16 by Rosele Problem: What combination of generators and alternators should Electrotech Corporation manufacture in order to maximize profit? Decision variables: how many generators and alternators should the Electrotech Corporation manufacture? X1 = generator X2 =alternator Objective Function: How can the Electrotech Corporation get the maximum income? MAX: 250 X1 +150 X2 Constraints Each generator requires 2 hours of wiring, each alternator requires 3 hours of wiring. Electrotech can not exceed a total of 260 hours wiring time. 2 X1 +3 X2 < 260 Each generator requires 1 hour of testing time, each alternator requires 2 hours of testing time. Electrothech can not exceed a total of 140 hours testing time. 1X1 +2X2 <140 Electrotech decides it needs to make at least 20 generators and 20 alternators. X1>20 X2>20 LP Model MAX: 250 X1 +150 X2 Subject to: 2 X1 +3 X2 < 260 1X1 +2X2 <140 X1>20 X2>20 Solver Parameters Electrotech Corporation Generators Alternators Number to Make 100 20 Total Profit Unit Profits 250 150 $28,000 Constraints Used Available Wiring Hrs Required 2 3 260 260 Testing Hrs Required 1 2 140 140 Summary If additional wiring time becomes available at a reasonable cost should Electrotech do so? Why or why not? No, Electrotech should not do so because they do not see an increased profit since they are again only making 120 units. Electrotech Corporation Number to Make Unit Profits Constraints Wiring Hrs Required Testing Hrs Required Generators 100 245 2 1 Alternators 20 145 3 2 Total Profit $27,400 Used Available 260 500 140 140 Problem 2-20, Thamer AbuDiak Decision Variables: X1: Number of hours that Mine1 worked X2: Number of hours that Mine2 worked Objective functions: MIN: 200X1+160X2 Constrains: 6X1+2X2 >= 12 2X1+2X2 >= 8 4X1+8X2 >= 24 X1 >=0 X2 >=0 Answer: 1 Hour of Operation/Day for Mine 1 3 Hour of Operation/Day for Mine 2 Before After Problem 2-20 cont., Thamer AbuDiak Ragsdale 3.10 by Deyanira A. LP Model x1= contemporary tables x2= country tables MAX: 450x1 + 350x2 } revenue Subject to: 2.0x1 + 1.5x2 4.5x1 + 3.0x2 1.5x1 + 2.5x2 X1 X2 X1 1X2 1000 } router constraint 2000 } sander constraint 1500 } polisher constraint .30 } has to produce at least 30% .20 } has to produce at least 20% 0 ) simple lower bound 0 } simple lower bound Spread Sheet Furniture Manufacture Contemporary Number of Makes Unit Revenue Constraints Router Sander Polisher Country $450 $350 Total Revenue $0 2 4.5 1.5 Used 1.5 3 2.5 Available 1000 2000 1500 0 0 0 Microsoft Excel 11.0 Answer Report Worksheet: [quiz 1 problems 10-13 Ch 3.xls] Sheet1 Target Cell (Max) Cell $D$6 Name Unit Revenue Total Revenue Adjustable Cells Cell $B$5 $C$5 Name Original Value Number of Makes Contemporary 74.07407407 Number of Makes Country 555.5555556 Constraints Cell $D$9 $D$10 $D$11 $B$5 $B$5 $C$5 $C$5 Name Cell Value Router Used 981.4814815 Sander Used 2000 Polisher Used 1500 Number of Makes Contemporary Number of Makes Contemporary Number of Makes Country Number of Makes Country Original Value $ 227,777.78 Formula $D$9<=$E$9 $D$10<=$E$10 $D$11<=$E$11 74.07407407 74.07407407 555.5555556 555.5555556 Final Value $ 227,777.78 Final Value 74.07407407 555.5555556 Status Not Binding Binding Binding $B$5>=0.3 $B$5>=0 $C$5>=0 $C$5>=0.2 Slack 18.51851852 0 0 Not Binding Not Binding Not Binding Not Binding 73.77407407 73.77407407 555.3555556 555.3555556 Optimal Solution Furniture Manufacture Number of Makes Contemporary 74.07407407 Country 555.5555556 Total Revenue Unit Revenue $450 $350 $227,777.78 Constraints Router Sander Polisher 2 4.5 1.5 1.5 3 2.5 Used 981.481 2000 1500 Available 1000 2000 1500 Ragsdale 3.13 by Deyanira A. Lp model. x1= bonds x2= home mortgages x3= car loans x4= personal loans Max: .10x1 + .085 x2 + .095x3 + .125x4 } total return Subject to: x4 162500 } 25% of total portfolio x2 x4 } invest more on mortgages than personal loans x1 x4 } invest more on bond than personal loans x1 + x2 + x3 + x4 = $650,000 } total investment x1,x2,x3,x4 0 } no negativity conditions Spreadsheet Bank Portfolio Bonds Home Mortgages Car Loans Personal Loans Total Investment: Total Available: $ Amount Invested $0 $0 $0 $0 $ 0 650,000.00 Maximum 0 0 0 $162,500.00 Total Return 10% 8.5% 9.5% 12.5% $0 Microsoft Excel 11.0 Limits Report Worksheet: [quiz 1 problems 10-13 ch 3.xls]Sheet2 Cell $D$9 Cell $B$5 $B$6 $B$7 $B$8 Target Name Total Return Value $ 66,625.00 Adjustable Lower Name Value Limit Bonds Amount Invested $325,000.00 $325,000.00 Home Mortgages Amount Invested $162,500.00 $162,500.00 $66,625.00 Car Loans Amount Invested $ $ Personal Loans Amount Invested $162,500.00 $162,500.00 Target Result $66,625.00 Upper Limit $325,000.00 $162,500.00 Target Result $66,625.00 $66,625.00 $66,625.00 $66,625.00 $ $162,500.00 $66,625.00 $66,625.00 Excel 11.0 Answer Report Worksheet: [quiz 1 problems 13 ch 3.xls]Sheet2 Target Cell (Max) Cell $D$9 Name Total Return Adjustable Cells Cell $B$5 $B$6 $B$7 $B$8 Name Bonds Amount Invested Home Mortgages Amount Invested Car Loans Amount Invested Personal Loans Amount Invested Original Value $ 325,000.00 $ 162,500.00 $ $ 162,500.00 Name Total Investment: Amount Invested Bonds Amount Invested Home Mortgages Amount Invested Bonds Maximum 0 Home Mortgages Maximum Car Loans Maximum Bonds Amount Invested Home Mortgages Amount Invested Car Loans Amount Invested Personal Loans Amount Invested Personal Loans Amount Invested Cell Value $ 650,000.00 $ 325,000.00 $ 162,500.00 $C$5>=$C$5 0 0 $ 325,000.00 $ 162,500.00 $ $ 162,500.00 $ 162,500.00 Original Value $ 66,625.00 Final Value $ 66,625.00 Final Value $ 325,000.00 $ 162,500.00 $ $ 162,500.00 Constraints Cell $B$11 $B$5 $B$6 $C$5 $C$6 $C$7 $B$5 $B$6 $B$7 $B$8 $B$8 Formula $B$11=$B$12 $B$5>=$B$8 $B$6>=$B$8 Binding $C$6>=$C$6 $C$7>=$C$7 $B$5>=0 $B$6>=0 $B$7>=0 $B$8>=0 $B$8<=$C$8 Status Binding Not Binding Binding 0 Binding Binding Not Binding Not Binding Binding Not Binding Binding Slack 0 $162,500.00 $ 0 0 $325,000.00 $162,500.00 $ $162,500.00 0 Optimal Solution Bank Portfolio Bonds Home Mortgages Car Loans Personal Loans Total Investment: Total Available: $ Amount Invested $325,000.00 $162,500.00 $ $162,500.00 $ 650,000.00 650,000.00 Maximum 0 0 0 $162,500.00 Total Return 10% 8.5% 9.5% 12.5% $ 66,625.00 Ragsdale 3.16 by Jose Decision Variables M1 = Number of electric trimmers to make Objective Function MIN: 55M1 + 85M2 + 67B1 + 95B2 M2 = Number of buy trimmers to make B1 = Number of electric trimmers to buy B2 = Number of gas trimmers to buy Constraints Subject To: M1 + B1 = 30,000 M2 + B2 = 15,000 0.2M1 + 0.4M2 10,000 0.3M1 + 0.5M2 15,000 0.1M1 + 0.1M2 5,000 Solved by Jose F. Lopez M1, M2, B1, B2 0 Ragsdale 3.16 Number to Electric Gas Model Model Cost to - Make 30,000 10,000 - Make $55 $85 Total Cost - Buy 0 5,000 - Buy $67 $95 $2,975,000 Hours Required # Available 30,000 15,000 # Needed 30,000 15000 Used Available - Production 0.2 0.4 10,000 10,000 - Assembly 0.3 0.5 14,000 15,000 - Packaging 0.1 0.1 4,000 5000 The Solver Solved by Jose F. Lopez Ragsdale 2.21 by Jose Decision Variables X1 = Number of workers starting at 12 am Objective Function MIN: X1 + X2 + X3 + X4 + X5 + X6 X2 = Number of workers starting at 4 am X3 = Number of workers starting at 8 am X4 = Number of workers starting at 12 pm Constraints Subject To: X6 + X1 90 X5 = Number of workers starting at 4 pm X1 + X2 215 X6 = Number of workers starting at 8 pm X2 + X3 250 X3 + X4 165 X4 + X5 300 Solved by Jose F. Lopez X5 + X6 125 Xi 0 Solution THEME PARK SCHEDULING Employees Time Period Scheduled To Employees Minimum Start At Time Available In Employees Period Time Period Needed 12 am to 4 am 90 90 90 4 am to 8 am 250 340 215 8 am to 12 pm 0 250 250 12 pm to 4 pm 175 175 165 4 pm to 8 pm 125 300 300 8 pm to 12 am 0 125 125 Total Employees: 640 Solved by Jose F. Lopez The Solver Solved by Jose F. Lopez Ragsdale 2.24 by Rosele 3-24 Problem: How many of each type of apartment should the developer produce while leasing 5 one bedroom apartments and 8 two bedroom apartments to a silent partner, having a maximum of 40 units per location, and 40,000 square feet per location? Decision variables: how many of each type of apartment should the developer produce? X1 = efficiencies X2 = one bedroom apartments X3 = two bedroom apartments X4 = three bedroom apartments Objective Function: How can the developer get the maximum income? MAX: 350 X1 +450 X2 +550 X3 +750 X4 Constraints: The developer can build no more than 15 one bedroom apartments, 22 two bedroom apartment and 10 three bedroom apartments. As well, the silent partner requires the developer to lease to him 5 one bedroom apartments and 8 two bedroom apartments. Upper and Lower Bounds: X1 >0 X2 >5and< 15 X3 >8 and < 22 X4 < 10 Each efficiency requires 500 square feet, each one bedroom apartment requires 700 square feet each two bedroom apartment requires 800 square feet and each three bedroom apartment requires 1000 square feet. The developer can not exceed a total of 40,000 square feet in a location. 500 X1 +700 X2 +800 X3 +1,000 X4 < 40,000 Zoning restrictions only allow 40 or less units per location X1 +5X2 + 8X3 + X4<40 LP Model MAX: 350 X1 +450 X2 +550 X3 +750 X4 Subject to: X1>0 X2 >5 and < 15 X3 >8 and < 22 X4 < 10 500 X1 +700 X2 +800 X3 +1,000 X4 < 40,000 X1 +5X2 + 8X3 + X4<40 Solver Parameters Real Estate Development Project Efficiencies 1 Bedroom Number to Make Units to Rent 0 2 Bedroom 3 Bedroom 8 $350 22 $450 $550 10 $750 Constraints Sq. Ft Reqd. Units Required Total Profit $23,200 Used Available 500 700 800 1,000 1 1 1 1 33,200 40 40,000 40 Questions C and D C. The optimal solution is to make: no – efficiencies 8 – one bedroom apartments 22 – two bedroom apartments 10- three bedroom apartments D. The number of units to make limits the builders potential income. In this example the builder maxed out at 40 units while only using 33,200 square feet. Problem 3-28, Thamer AbuDiak Before After Decision Variables: X11: Newspaper to be used for Newsprint, X12: Newspaper to be used for Packaging. X21: Mixed Paper to be used for Newsprint, X22: Mixed Paper to be used for Packaging, X23: Mixed Paper to be used for Print Stock. X31: White Office Paper to be used for Newsprint, X32: White Office Paper to be used for Packaging, X33: White Office Paper to be used for Print Stock. X41: Cardboard to be used for Newsprint, X42: Cardboard to be used for Packaging. Objective functions: MIN (6.5+15)/.85 X11 + (11+15)/.80 X12 + (9.75+16)/.90 X21 + (12.25+16)/.90 X22 + (9.5+16)/.70 X23 + (4.75+19)/.90 X31 + (7.75+19)/.85 X32+ (8.5+19)/.80 X33+ (7.5+17)/.80 X41+ (8.5+17)/.70 X42 Simplifying: 25.29 X11 + 32.5 X12 + 28.61 X21 + 31.39 X22 + 36.43 X23 + 26.39 X31 + 31.47 X32+ 34.38 X33+ 30.63 X41+ 36.43 X42 Constrains: Answer BOX: (After Recycling): X11 + X21 + X31 = 500, Newsprint that the company needs to produce. Newsprint produced from Newspaper: 499 X12 + X22 + X32 + X42 = 600, Packaging that the company needs to produce. Packaging produced from Newspaper: 10 X13 + X23 + X33 = 300, Print Stock that the company needs to produce. Newsprint produced from Mixed Paper: 1 X11/.85 + X12/.80 <= 600, Maximum Newspaper available. Packaging produced from Mixed Paper: 56 X21/.90 + X22/.80 + X23/.70 <= 500, Maximum Mixed Paper available. Print Stock produced from Mixed Paper: 300 X31/.90 + X32/.85 + X33/.80 <= 300, Maximum White Office Paper to available. Newsprint: produced from White Office Paper: 0 Packaging produced from White Office Paper: 255 X41/.80 + X42/.70 <= 400, Maximum Cardboard available. Print Stock produced from White Office Paper : 0 X11, X12, X21, X22, X23, X31, X32, X33, X41, X42 >= 0, Non Negativity Constrain. Newsprint produced from Mixed Paper: 0 Packaging produced from Mixed Paper: 279 Ragsdale 3.41 by Dave Eagle's Beach Wear and Gift Shop Jan Accounts Receivable 1.50 Planned Payments 1.80 GOAL: Minimize Net Financing Costs Feb March April May 1.00 1.40 2.30 2.00 1.60 2.20 1.20 0.80 June 1.00 1.20 Beginning Cash Balance = $400,000? Desired Monthly Balance >=$25,000? Finance Option A) Delay Pymt B) Borrow 75% A/R C) Short Term Loan Available for month Loan term Finance Charge 1,2,3,4,5,6 1 month 2.0% 1,2,3,4,5,6 1 month 1.5% 1 6 months 1.0% / month Defining the Decision Variables A1, A2, A3, A4, A5, A6 = amount (in $1,000s) financed in option A at the beginning of months 1,2,3,4,5,6, respectively. B1, B2, B3, B4, B5, B6 = amount (in $1,000s) financed in option B at the beginning of months 1,2,3,4,5,6, respectively. C1 = amount (in $1,000s) financed in option C at the beginning of month 1. 3.41 cont. monthly balance = (total amount available @ beginning of month) - (payment) + A/R + (amount financed) Interest = 0.5% per month Ragsdale 3.44 Ragsdale 3.45 Dielman 3.6 by Reynald Variable Coefficient Std Dev T Stat PValue Intercept 2.0336 0.5405 3.76 0.001 EPS 0.3740 0.2395 1.56 0.126 Standard error = 1.84975; R-Sq = 5.7%; R-Sq(adj) = 3.4% Source DF Sum of Squares Mean Square F Stat P Value Regression 1 8.345 8.345 2.44 0.126 Error 40 136.864 3.422 Total 41 145.208 a) The same regression equation relating dividends to EPS a) DIV = 0.3740EPS + 2.0336 Cont. b) Is there a linear relationship between dividend yield and EPS? • • • • Hypothesis: Ho: B1 = 0, H1: B1 ~= 0 Decision Rule: Reject H0 if t > 2.021 or t < -2.021, Do Not Reject if -2.021 <= t <= 2.021 Test: t = 1.56 Decision: Do not reject c) There is not sufficient evidence to conclude that a linear relationship between dividend yield and EPS d) Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of B1 0.374 +- ( 2.021 )( 0.2395 ) 0.374 +- 0.4840 e) Construct a 95% confidence interval estimate of B1 2.0336 +- ( 2.021 )( 0.5405 ) 2.0336 +- 1.0924 Dielman 3.24 by Dave Dave Neal / Group North Dielman Problem 3.24 (Dependent Variable): Y = COST is the total cost of the production run. (Independent Variable): X = NUMBER is the number of items produced during that run. Regression calculated using Minitab. Regression Analysis: COST versus NUMBER The regression equation is COST = 28.3 + 2.15 NUMBER Scatterplot of COST vs NUMBER 110 COST 100 90 80 70 20 22 24 26 28 NUMBER 30 32 34 36 b. What percentage of the variation in “Y” has been explained by the regression? R-Sq = regression sum of squares(SSR)/total sum of squares(SST) = 1813.9/1991.3 = 91.1% Predictor Coef SE Coef T P Constant 28.311 4.083 6.93 0.000 NUMBER 2.1549 0.1437 15.00 0.000 S = 2.84016 R-Sq = 91.1% R-Sq(adj) = 90.7% Analysis of Variance Source Regression Residual Error Total DF SS MS F P 1 1813.9 1813.9 224.86 0.000 22 177.5 8.1 23 1991.3 c. Are “Y” and “X” linearly related? Conduct a hypothesis test to answer this question and use a 5% level of significance. Hypothesis to be tested: Is the “total cost of a production run” linearly related to the “number of items produced during that run”? The hypotheses are: H0: 1 = 0 (Cost does not change when number of items produced increases) Ha: 1 ≠ 0 (Cost does change) The decision rule: If the data fits well, Mean Square Regression (MSR) will be large compared to the Mean Square due to Error (MSE). Reject H0 if t > 2.074 or if t < -2.074 The test statistic: F statistic = (MSR) / (MSE). Decision: F statistic = 1813.9 / 8.1 = 223.9 The MSR is large relative to the MSE. T = 15.00 > 2.074 (reject H0). Conclusion: There is a significant relationship between project size and cost. d. Estimate the fixed cost involved in the production process. Find a point and a 95% confidence interval estimate. Fixed cost is equal to the slope of the equation = $28.31 Point estimate = sample 95% confidence mean Y t24-2 = 2.074 Fixed Cost = b0+/-tn-2sb0= 28.311+/-(2.074)4.083 = 28.311+/-8.468 95% sure that the fixed cost is between $19.84 and $36.78 e. Estimate the variable cost involved in the production process. Find a point estimate and a 95% confidence interval estimate. Calculate using one-way ANOVA. Variable Cost = 2.1549 x NUMBER. COST Mean = 78.25 78.25 = (28.311+/-8.468) + Variable Cost 95% sure that the variable cost is between $41.47 and $58.41 One-way ANOVA: COST versus NUMBER Source DF SS MS F P NUMBER 14 1963.92 140.28 46.05 0.000 Error 9 27.42 3.05 Total 23 1991.33 S = 1.745 R-Sq = 98.62% R-Sq(adj) = 96.48% Individual 95% CIs For Mean Level 20 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 N Mean 1 74.50 2 78.25 1 81.00 1 80.50 2 82.25 1 81.50 2 83.75 2 85.75 2 86.75 3 91.83 1 96.00 2 98.25 2 101.50 1 103.00 1 109.00 StDev -+---------+---------+---------+-------* (--*--) 1.06 (-*--) * (--*---) * (--*--) 1.77 (--*-) * (--*--) 1.77 (--*-) 1.06 (-*--) 1.77 (-*--) 2.02 (-*) * (--*--) 1.77 (-*-) 2.12 (--*-) * (--*--) * (--*--) -+---------+---------+---------+-------72 84 96 108
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