Company Update, 30 October 2014 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) Not Rated Industrial - Misc. Manufacturer Market Cap: USD438m Target Price: Price: NA HKD2.02 Macro Risks Primed For Further Growth Growth Value EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) Price Close Relative to Hang Seng Index (RHS) 2.00 179 1.80 162 1.60 145 1.40 127 1.20 110 1.00 93 0.80 45 40 35 30 25 20 15 10 5 76 Sep-14 Jul-14 May-14 Feb-14 Dec-13 Source: Bloomberg Avg Turnover (HKD/USD) Cons. Upside (%) Upside (%) 52-wk Price low/high (HKD) Free float (%) Share outstanding (m) Shareholders (%) 12.5m/1.62m -7.4 0.93 - 2.08 50 1,681 Mr. Zhang Hwo Jie Capital Group 41.9 8.0 Share Performance (%) YTD 1m 3m 6m 12m Absolute 85.3 9.2 8.6 54.2 75.7 Relative 86.0 11.5 13.9 49.6 74.2 Leveraging its expertise to expand into new businesses. EVA Precision (EVA) provides one-stop solutions from plastic and metal moulds designs to mass production of components for office automation (OA) equipment, eg professional printers requiring a high degree of precision. Its customers include Kyocera Mita, Fuji Xerox, Konica Minolta (4902 JP, NR), Toshiba (6502 JP, NR) and Samsung (005930 KS, NR). Leveraging on its expertise in precision moulding and manufacturing, it has also begun to supply smartphone and tablet casings to Korean and Chinese brands and auto parts to Chinese automobile brands. Strong growth set to continue in 2H14 and FY15. As its Wuhan auto parts factory only began operating in 4Q13, it was running at just 40-50% capacity in 1H14. Management expects its auto parts business to steadily increase and anticipates the need for new production capacity by FY16. It is also planning to add 100 computer numerical control (CNC) machines for consumer electronics in FY15, as it receives more orders for higher-end smartphones/tablets. We believe these are signs of strong growth for 2H14 and FY15. In addition, EVA is likely to improve its operating leverage as its auto parts unit is already at a breakeven level and any further increase in revenue should be earnings-accretive. Considering it has already achieved HKD124m in recurring NP in 1H14 and its new businesses may enjoy a stronger season in 2H, we believe 2H14 earnings could exceed EVA’s historical 1H/2H net profit split of 50/50% and that the consensus’ recurring NP forecasts of HKD232m/302m for FY14/15 are too low Valuations still look attractive. Management is confident to achieve HKD270m/350m in FY14/15 recurring earnings based on a 45/55% 1H/2H14 earnings split and 30% YoY FY15 earnings growth. On these numbers, EVA would be trading at 13x/10x FY14/15F P/Es, below its global peer averages of 19x/11x. Its valuations still appear attractive as its consensus forecast EPS CAGR of 53%, which we believe is on the low side, is far higher than the 19% global peer average for FY14F-16F. Forecasts and Valuations Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 1,026 1,703 1,978 2,367 2,656 Reported net profit (HKDm) 32 303 210 71 55 Recurring net profit (HKDm) 34 303 200 74 84 (63.1) 794.1 (33.9) (63.0) 13.2 Recurring EPS (HKD) 0.03 0.21 0.12 0.04 0.05 DPS (HKD) 0.01 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.01 Recurring P/E (x) 78.0 9.5 16.5 47.2 40.5 P/B (x) 2.78 2.09 1.75 1.68 1.61 P/CF (x) 10.9 9.8 15.1 19.4 23.9 0.4 2.9 1.7 0.6 0.5 21.6 6.0 9.3 14.8 13.2 11.6 3.5 2.7 7.7 17.1 Total turnover (HKDm) Shariah compliant Christopher Tse +852 2103 9415 [email protected] Recurring net profit growth (%) Dividend Yield (%) EV/EBITDA (x) Return on average equity (%) Net debt to equity (%) 3.4 18.7 24.4 net cash net cash Our vs consensus EPS (adjusted) (%) See important disclosures at the end of this report 2 . 2 0 . 3 0 0 . 2 0 0 EVA is a leading precision moulds and components maker for OA . 0 equipment and recently, automobile and consumer electronics. Its 1H14 0 recurring earnings rose 177% YoY. In a recent briefing, management is 0 confident to achieve HKD270m/350m (+220/+30% YoY) in FY14/15 recurring earnings. This implies 13x/10x FY14F/15F core P/Es, ie below the 19x/11x global peer average despite much faster growth rates. Oct-13 Vol m 2.20 Source: Company data, RHB Powered by EFATM Platform 1 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 Supercharged 1H14 results. EVA announced a 177% YoY jump in recurring net profit in 1H14. This was due to: i) a 35% YoY revenue growth, driven mainly by a recovery of OA sales; ii) a ramp-up of auto parts and consumer electronics sales, both accounting for 14-15% of total revenue (from ~15/8% in 1H13), iii) a 2.4-ppt GPM improvement on recovery in high-end OA orders, and iv) a 5ppt YoY drop in its opex-to-sales ratio on better economies of scale while there were no share option expenses in 1H14. Figure 1: Interim profit & loss FY end Dec 31 (HKDm) Metal moulds YoY Metal components YoY 1H14 product mix of OA/auto/consumer electronics was about 69/14/15% respectively Plastic moulds YoY Plastic components YoY Lathing components YoY Microcredit Other Total revenue YoY 1H14 GPM of OA/auto/consumer electronics Cost of sales Gross profit was about 28/20/20% respectively GPM Selling & marketing General & administrative expenses SGA as % of revenue 1H12 2H12 1H13 2H13 1H14 51 117 119 165 130 -17.4% 47.5% 135.2% 41.3% 8.5% 572 620 489 590 621 30.0% 8.9% -14.5% -4.8% 27.1% 32 49 68 43 76 -28.4% 68.9% 110.1% -12.0% 12.0% 397 336 414 565 661 52.4% 5.6% 4.3% 68.4% 59.7% 95 60 65 73 75 69.8% -27.1% -31.7% 21.3% 16.0% 16 0 0 9 15 21 17 20 20 21 1,168 1,199 1,184 1,472 1,601 32.9% 9.1% 1.4% 22.7% 35.2% -928 -928 -897 -1,119 -1,175 240 271 287 353 426 20.5% 22.6% 24.2% 24.0% 26.6% -48 -65 -56 -83 -77 -137 -165 -198 -235 -200 -17.3% -15.9% -19.1% -21.4% -21.6% Other income 0 0 0 0 3 Other gains 2 6 8 18 -3 56 48 41 53 150 0 4 4 6 11 -9 -15 -12 -17 -17 EBIT Finance income Finance cost Share of loss of investment PBT Income tax tax rate MI Net profit YoY Net profit - recurring YoY NPM 0 -1 -1 -2 -2 48 36 32 41 142 -8 -6 -4 -9 -13 -16.9% -17.6% -11.3% -22.7% -9.1% 0 1 -1 -3 -4 40 31 27 28 124 -61.4% -71.1% -32.8% -7.4% 360.9% 40 34 45 39 124 -61.4% -64.7% 11.9% 14.6% 176.5% 3.4% 2.8% 3.8% 2.6% 7.8% Source: Company data, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report Balance sheets remains healthy as at end-1H14. EVA’s net gearing was 15% (end-1H13 / FY13: 15%/17%). Receivable turnover was slightly up to 82 days (end-1H13 / FY13: 79 / 81), inventory turnover stood at 54 days (end-1H13 / FY13: 55 / 53) and payable turnover rose slightly to 121 days (end-1H13 / FY13: 108 / 117). 2 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 New Growth Drivers Auto parts. EVA received supplier certifications from Dongfeng and FAWVolkswagen in 2013. From its new Wuhan factory, management expects to derive HKD200m in turnover in FY14 at a 50% utilisation rate, in addition to its auto moulds business from its Chongqing factory, EVA will supply front hoods, doors or whole metallic body frames of motor vehicles. Management has strategically chosen Wuhan, as the city is the location of the headquarters of Dongfeng Motor Group (389 HK, NR) General Motors (GM US, NR), Peugeot Citroen (UR FP, NR) and Honda (7267 JP, NR). Figure 2: Milestones Auto parts business milestones 2011 Acquisition of Chongqing Digbie Auto Body Ltd., marks entry into auto parts business 2013 Granted with "Mould Supplier Certification" by FAW-Volkswagen "Excellent Supplier Award" by Dongfeng Wuhan component production base completed in 4Q13 2014 Wuhan component production base expected to reach 50% utilization rate Source: Company data Consumer electronics casings. We learned that EVA has obtained small orders for tablet and smartphone casings from top Korean and Chinese brands. As the production capacity for OA can be retooled to produce consumer electronics, the segment can potentially grow rapidly should large volume orders come in. In view of the potential growth in this segment, management intends to enhance its capabilities by adding 100 CNC machines. See important disclosures at the end of this report 3 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 Figure 3: Profit & loss FY end Dec 31 (HKDm) FY09 FY10 FY11 FY12 FY13 Metal stamping Moulds Components 73 196 140 167 284 508 787 1,009 1,192 1,079 Plastic injection Moulds 51 128 74 81 111 304 456 578 733 979 0 0 0 0 24 Lathing components 68 98 139 156 138 Other 23 37 37 39 40 Components Microcredit Total revenue Cost of sales Gross profit GPM Selling & marketing 1,026 1,703 1,978 2,367 2,656 -822 -1,162 -1,489 -1,856 -2,016 204 542 489 511 640 19.9% 31.8% 24.7% 21.6% 24.1% -139 -50 -65 -80 -113 -105 -123 -179 -302 -432 -15.1% -11.0% -13.1% -17.5% -21.5% Other income 0 0 0 0 0 Other gains 0 3 15 8 25 General & administrative expenses SGA as % of revenue EBIT EBIT margin Finance income Finance cost Share of loss of investment PBT Income tax tax rate MI Net profit Non recurring item (net of tax) Net profit - recurring YoY growth Net margin 49 357 244 104 94 4.8% 20.9% 12.4% 4.4% 3.5% 2 1 4 5 10 -12 -6 -9 -24 -29 0 0 0 -1 -3 39 352 239 84 72 -7 -48 -30 -14 -13 -18.4% -13.7% -12.3% -17.2% -17.7% 0 -1 1 1 -4 32 303 210 71 55 28 2 0 -10 3 34 303 200 74 84 -63.1% 794.1% -33.9% -63.0% 13.2% 3.3% 17.8% 10.1% 3.1% 3.2% Source: Company data See important disclosures at the end of this report 4 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 Figure 4: Peer comparison I Ticker 838 HK 3-mth Mkt cap avg t/o Price (USDm) (USDm) 2.04 442 1.7 FY13 P/E 40.9 FY14 P/E 17.3 Tongda Group Hld 698 HK 1.03 726 14.8 14.2 10.4 8.1 37.0 28.7 27.2 0.29 7.0 Tk Group Holding 2283 HK 1.84 196 0.9 8.4 10.1 7.8 (16.8) 28.4 8.0 1.26 0.0 Ju Teng Intl Hdg 3336 HK 4.44 668 2.9 6.7 6.5 5.4 3.6 19.2 12.5 0.52 9.8 9.0 7.1 7.9 25.5 15.9 Company Eva Precision FY15 EPS FY14 EPS FY15 3-Yr EPS PEG FY13 Div FY14 Div P/E y-o-y (%) y-o-y (%) CAGR (%) (x) yld (%) yld (%) 12.6 136.8 37.0 53.0 0.27 0.6 1.5 FY13 P/B 1.6 FY14 P/B 1.2 9.6 1.8 1.5 2.9 N/A 3.4 3.4 3.7 0.8 0.7 0.7 3.5 5.4 1.3 1.9 HK-listed HK-listed average Non-HK listed Amtek Engineer AMTK SP 0.61 259 0.2 14.8 6.8 5.9 118.8 14.3 N/A N/A 3.8 6.3 1.5 1.3 Hi-P Intl Ltd HIP SP 0.66 421 0.2 84.0 65.5 13.1 28.2 400.0 N/A N/A 0.9 3.1 1.0 N/A Syncmold Enterpr 1582 TT 55.20 272 2.4 12.5 10.4 9.1 19.3 14.4 N/A N/A 6.3 6.9 1.7 1.7 Coxon Precise In 3607 TT 52.50 206 1.4 14.7 11.6 9.7 26.7 19.4 N/A N/A 6.1 7.4 1.1 0.9 Masterwork Mac-A 300195 CH 32.78 914 7.4 32.5 30.2 21.9 7.4 37.8 21.7 1.39 2.1 1.7 2.6 2.7 Greatoo Inc-A 002031 CH 12.20 942 16.9 33.0 22.6 17.9 45.9 25.9 N/A N/A 0.4 N/A 3.1 N/A 6339 JP 716.0 375 0.8 13.8 16.9 16.5 (18.5) 2.1 (5.3) (3.2) 1.8 2.0 0.5 N/A NNBR US 22.32 397 3.5 22.3 14.5 8.0 54.0 81.8 47.4 0.3 0.8 N/A 2.5 N/A Non-HK listed average 28.4 22.3 12.8 35.2 74.5 21.3 (0.5) 2.8 4.5 1.7 1.7 Global average 23.3 18.7 11.2 27.8 61.1 18.6 0.1 3.0 4.8 1.7 1.8 Sintokogio Ltd Nn Inc Note: Uses recurring EPS forecasts Source: Bloomberg, RHB estimates for Tongda and HI-P Figure 5: Peer comparison II Symbol 838 HK Company EVA PRECISION Rev FY13 (USDm) 342 Rev FY14F (USDm) 439 Rev FY15F (USDm) 533 Gross margin FY13 (%) 24.1 Gross margin FY14F (%) N/A Gross margin FY15F (%) N/A Net margin Net margin Net margin FY13 (%) FY14F (%) FY15F (%) 2.1 6.8 7.3 HK listed 698 HK TONGDA GROUP HLD 467 667 839 22.0 23.2 23.5 9.6 10.2 10.7 2283 HK TK GROUP HOLDING 154 189 230 33.9 27.6 28.4 10.1 10.3 11.0 3336 HK JU TENG INTL HDG 1,194 1,238 1,329 20.2 19.3 20.5 8.2 8.5 9.3 25.4 23.4 24.2 9.3 9.6 10.4 HK listed average Non-HK listed AMTK SP AMTEK ENGINEER 633 685 721 14.8 N/A N/A 2.8 5.2 5.8 HIP SP HI-P INTL LTD 992 940 1,242 7.7 N/A N/A 0.5 1.0 2.7 1582 TT SYNCMOLD ENTERPR 299 327 350 22.0 22.1 22.6 7.2 8.0 8.5 3607 TT COXON PRECISE IN 265 289 319 15.2 15.5 15.9 5.2 6.1 6.6 300195 CH MASTERWORK MAC-A 100 155 218 43.3 44.3 44.6 23.4 19.6 19.1 002031 CH GREATOO INC-A 147 N/A N/A 36.5 N/A N/A 18.7 N/A N/A 6339 JP SINTOKOGIO LTD 824 842 870 28.5 28.4 28.4 3.2 2.5 2.5 NNBR US NN INC 373 481 722 20.9 N/A N/A 4.6 N/A N/A Non-HK average 23.6 27.6 27.9 8.2 7.1 7.5 Global average 24.1 25.8 26.3 8.5 7.9 8.5 Note: Uses recurring net profit forecasts Source: Bloomberg, RHB estimates for Tongda and HI-P See important disclosures at the end of this report 5 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 Financial Exhibits Profit & Loss (HKDm) Total turnover Cost of sales Gross profit Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 1,026 1,703 1,978 2,367 2,656 (1,162) (1,489) (1,856) (2,016) (822) Dec-13 204 542 489 511 640 (105) (123) (179) (302) (432) (50) (65) (80) (113) (139) 0 3 15 8 Operating profit 49 357 244 104 94 Operating EBITDA 130 445 346 254 292 Depreciation of fixed assets (195) Gen & admin expenses Selling expenses Other operating costs (81) (87) (100) (147) Amortisation of intangible assets (1) (1) (2) (3) Operating EBIT 49 Net income from investments - Interest income 2 Interest expense (12) 357 244 - 1 (6) 104 25 (3) 94 (1) (3) 4 5 10 (9) (24) (29) Pre-tax profit 39 352 239 84 72 Taxation (7) (48) (30) (14) (13) 1 1 (4) Profit after tax & minorities 32 303 210 71 55 Reported net profit 32 303 210 71 55 Recurring net profit 34 303 200 74 84 Dec-13 Minority interests - (1) Source: Company data, RHB Cash flow (HKDm) Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Operating profit 49 357 244 104 94 Depreciation & amortisation 82 88 102 150 198 125 (126) (77) (29) (148) (10) 2 29 227 173 Change in working capital Other operating cash flow Operating cash flow 4 0 259 320 Interest received Interest paid 259 2 1 4 5 10 (12) (6) (9) (24) (29) Tax paid (21) (36) (28) (13) Cash flow from operations 243 (6) 294 219 180 142 Capex (75) (262) (472) (342) (277) Other new investments - Other investing cash flow 0 (19) - 22 (8) (73) (106) 48 Cash flow from investing activities (74) (270) (564) (449) (207) Dividends paid (20) (57) (76) (40) (17) Shares repurchased (92) - - (53) - 7 438 314 0 0 (39) (87) 153 698 170 Proceeds from issue of shares Increase in debt Other financing cash flow (52) (42) (33) 37 (27) (196) 252 359 642 125 Cash at beginning of period 252 224 501 515 889 Total cash generated (27) 277 14 374 61 Forex effects - - 0 1 4 Implied cash at end of period 224 501 515 889 953 Cash flow from financing activities Source: Company data, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 6 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 Financial Exhibits Balance Sheet (HKDm) Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 226 505 517 994 1,017 96 151 302 270 310 Accounts receivable 206 325 393 423 553 Other current assets 19 50 86 102 257 Total current assets 547 1,032 1,299 1,789 2,136 Total cash and equivalents Inventories Total investments Tangible fixed assets Intangible assets - - - 1,001 1,137 1,526 - - 10 18 1,878 2,051 3 3 3 8 56 170 144 142 Total non-current assets 1,009 1,193 1,699 2,035 2,213 Total assets 1,555 2,224 2,998 3,824 4,349 Short-term debt 302 235 322 558 706 Accounts payable 171 226 388 392 514 89 138 157 180 255 562 599 868 1,130 1,475 92 30 62 596 682 5 5 23 22 22 97 35 85 618 704 658 634 953 1,748 2,179 62 82 176 168 168 Retained earnings reserve 835 1,499 1,855 1,846 1,934 Shareholders' equity 897 1,581 2,031 2,014 2,102 Minority interests - 9 13 62 Other equity - (0) (0) (0) Total other assets Other current liabilities Total current liabilities Total long-term debt Other liabilities Total non-current liabilities Total liabilities Share capital Total equity 68 - 897 1,590 2,044 2,076 2,170 1,555 2,224 2,998 3,824 4,349 Dec-09 Dec-10 Dec-11 Dec-12 Dec-13 (5.4) 66.0 16.1 19.7 12.2 Operating profit growth (%) (55.4) 631.1 (31.5) (57.5) (9.8) Net profit growth (%) (61.8) 860.3 (30.5) (66.3) (21.8) EPS growth (%) (58.2) 785.2 (39.8) (68.1) (19.3) Bv per share growth (%) 4.8 33.5 19.2 3.8 4.4 Operating margin (%) 4.8 20.9 12.4 4.4 3.5 Net profit margin (%) 3.1 17.8 10.6 3.0 2.1 Return on average assets (%) 2.0 16.0 8.1 2.1 1.4 Return on average equity (%) 3.4 24.4 11.6 3.5 2.7 Net debt to equity (%) 18.7 (15.1) (6.5) 7.7 17.1 DPS 0.01 0.06 0.03 0.01 0.01 Recurrent cash flow per share 0.19 0.21 0.13 0.10 0.08 Total liabilities & equity Source: Company data, RHB Key Ratios (HKD) Revenue growth (%) Source: Company data, RHB See important disclosures at the end of this report 7 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 SWOT Analysis Provides one-stop solutions for clients, including both plastic and metal molding and subsequent manufacturing Market is quite fragmented Able to retain clients through strong manufacturing capabilities and low defect rates Potential penetration into more products in the consumer electronics segment Fairly stretched valuation compared against Hong Kong-listed peers P/E (x) vs EPS growth P/BV (x) vs ROAE 90 900% 80 778% 70 656% 4 30% 3 26% 3 21% 1 9% 20 44% 10 -78% 1 4% 0 -200% 0 0% EPS growth (rhs) Source: Company data, RHB Jan-10 Jan-10 P/E (x) (lhs) P/B (x) (lhs) Jan-13 13% 167% Jan-12 2 30 Jan-11 17% Jan-09 2 289% Jan-13 411% 40 Jan-12 50 Jan-11 533% Jan-09 60 Return on average equity (rhs) Source: Company data, RHB Company Profile EVA Precision Industrial manufactures precision moulds and components for office automation (OA) machines and equipment. Its serves mainly Japanese customers such as Kyocera and Konica Minolta See important disclosures at the end of this report 8 EVA Precision Industrial (838 HK) 30 October 2014 Recommendation Chart Price Close 1.74 Recommendations & Target Price na 4.11 3.61 3.11 2.61 2.11 1.61 1.11 0.61 Buy 0.11 Oct-09 Neutral Feb-11 Sell Trading Buy May-12 Take Prof it Not Rated Aug-13 Source: RHB, Bloomberg Date Recommendation 2014-06-17 Not Rated Target Price Price 1.74 1.66 Source : RHB, Bloomberg See important disclosures at the end of this report 9 RHB Guide to Investment Ratings Buy: Share price may exceed 10% over the next 12 months Trading Buy: Share price may exceed 15% over the next 3 months, however longer-term outlook remains uncertain Neutral: Share price may fall within the range of +/- 10% over the next 12 months Take Profit: Target price has been attained. 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Level 11, Tower 10 Collyer Quay Sell: Share price may more than 10% over the next 12 months Jalanfall TunbyRazak 12th Floor #09-08 Ocean Financial Centre Lumpur World-Wide House Singapore 049315 Not Rated: Stock isKuala not within regular research coverage DISCLAIMERS Phnom Penh This research is issuedJakarta by DMG & Partners Research Pte Ltd and it is forShanghai general distribution only. It does not have any regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and particular needs of any specific recipient of this research report. You should independently evaluate particular PT RHB OSK and Securities Indonesia (formerlyfinancial known asadviser RHB OSK (China) Advisory Ltd. into any RHBtransaction OSK Indochina Securities Limited (formerly investments consult an independent before makingInvestment any investments or Co. entering in relation to any securities or PT OSKmentioned Nusadana in this report. (formerly known as OSK (China) Investment known as OSK Indochina Securities Limited) investment instruments Securities Indonesia) Plaza CIMB Niaga Advisory Co. Ltd.) Suite 4005, CITIC Square No. 1-3, Street 271 Sangkat Toeuk Thla, Khan Sen Sok Tel : +(6221) 2598 6888 Tel : +(8621) 6288 9611 Fax: +(855) 23 969 171 The information contained herein has been obtained from sources 1168 we believed to be reliable but we do not make any representation or warranty nor 14th Floor Nanjing West Road Phnom Penh accept any responsibility or liability as to its accuracy, completeness orShanghai correctness. are subject to change Jl. Jend. Sudirman Kav.25 20041Opinions and views expressed in this report Cambodia without notice. Jakarta Selatan 12920, Indonesia China Tel: +(855) 23 969 161 Fax : +(6221) 2598or6777 Faxof: +(8621) 6288 9633or sell any securities. 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