Statistical Bulletin UK Trade, September 2014 Coverage: UK Date: 07 November 2014 Geographical Area: UK Theme: Economy Key Points • UK Trade shows the extent of import and export activity and is a key contributor to the overall economic growth of the UK. • Seasonally adjusted, the UK’s deficit on trade in goods and services was estimated to have been £2.8 billion in September 2014, compared with £1.8 billion in August 2014. This reflects a deficit of £9.8 billion on goods, partly offset by an estimated surplus of £7.0 billion on services. • Between August and September 2014, the trade in goods deficit widened by £0.9 billion. Exports increased from the previous month but imports, particularly from countries outside the EU, increased by a greater extent. • Between Q2 and Q3 2014, the trade in goods deficit widened by £0.9 billion to £29.0 billion. Exports fell by £0.3 billion whilst imports rose by £0.6 billion. In terms of commodities, the deficit in trade in fuels widened by £1.1 billion over the quarter, reflecting a £0.8 billion increase in imports. • Germany remains the the UK's largest trading partner in terms of the value of goods exported and imported. However in Q3 2014 the UK recorded its largest ever deficit with Germany, reflecting a gradual decline in exports and rise in imports. In addition, the UK's surplus with the USA reached it's lowest level in almost eight years. Partially offsetting this were notable improvements to the UK's deficits with China and Hong Kong, reflecting a rise in exports and a fall in imports in Q3. Key Figures Office for National Statistics | 1 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 1: Balance of UK Trade in Goods and Services, September 2014 £ billion Balance of trade in goods EU Non-EU World Balance of trade in services Total trade balance 2013 Sep -6.2 -3.9 -10.1 5.9 -4.2 2014 Jul -5.7 -4.6 -10.3 7.3 -2.9 Aug -5.3 -3.7 -9.0 7.2 -1.8 Sep -5.8 -4.0 -9.8 7.0 -2.8 Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (25 Kb) Figure 1: Balance of UK Trade Source: Office for National Statistics Office for National Statistics | 2 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Download chart XLS format (39.5 Kb) Figure 2: Balance of UK Trade in Goods Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (38 Kb) Summary The deficit of trade in goods and services for September 2014 was £2.8 billion, compared with £1.8 billion in the previous month. The trade position reflects exports minus imports. Between August and September, exports increased by £0.9 billion to £40.9 billion and imports increased by £2.0 billion to £43.7 billion. The deficit on trade in goods was £9.8 billion in September 2014, widening by £0.9 billion from August. Both exports and imports rose between August and September. Imports, however, rose more significantly. Office for National Statistics | 3 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 In detail, exports increased by £1.0 billion to £24.0 billion. £0.6 billion of the increase was attributed to a rise in fuel exports; specifically oil exported to countries outside of the EU, which accounted for £0.4 billion of the increase. The second most significant increase was exports of miscellaneous manufactures which rose by £0.3 billion from August. Miscellaneous manufactures includes high value items such as works of art and jewellery, which both experienced notable increases in September. Imports rose by £1.8 billion in September 2014; the largest monthly increase since March 2012. The increase mainly reflects a £1.1 billion rise in imports of fuels, in particular oil imports from countries outside the EU. Sizeable increases were also seen in imports of miscellaneous manufactures (up £0.4 billion) and machinery and transport equipment (up £0.4 billion). Imports of miscellaneous manufactures reached its highest level on record in September; the increase was, again, mainly due to trade in works of art and jewellery. In September 2014, exports to countries within the EU increased by £0.1 billion. In the same period, imports from countries within the EU rose by £0.6 billion, reflecting a £0.2 billion increase in machinery and transport equipment. Outside the EU, exports rose by £0.9 billion and imports rose by £1.2 billion between August and September 2014. In terms of commodities, the increase in trade with non-EU countries was primarily due to exports and imports of fuels, specifically oil. Aside from fuels, the increase in trade outside of the EU also reflected increases in the export and import of miscellaneous manufactures. Trade statistics for any one month can be volatile. For that reason, it is recommended to compare the latest three months against the preceding three months and the same three months of the preceding year. In Q3 2014, the trade in goods deficit widened by £0.9 billion. The widening reflected a £0.3 billion fall in exports and a £0.6 billion rise in imports. At the commodity level, the trade in fuels deficit widened by £1.1 billion; fuel imports over the quarter rose by £0.8 billion, whereas fuel exports fell by £0.2 billion over the same period. By area, the widening was fairly evenly spread, with £0.5 billion of the deficit originating from trade with countries outside of the EU and the remaining £0.4 billion originating from trade within the EU. Globally, Germany remains the largest of the UK’s trading partners, however, in Q3, the UK recorded its largest ever deficit with Germany, reflecting a gradual decline in exports and rise in imports. In Q3 the UK’s surplus with the US fell to £1.6 billion; the smallest quarterly surplus with the US since Q4 2006. The UK’s trade balance with Switzerland moved into surplus in Q3 due to an atypical increase in exports in September. This rise appears to be partially a product of the rise in imports exhibited in August and reflects the type of commodities being traded (which anecdotal evidence suggests are precious metals and works of art). Notable improvements to the UK’s deficits with China and Hong Kong were seen between Q2 and Q3 as exports to both areas increased while imports decreased. Elsewhere, the UK experienced further growth in imports from Canada in Q3 2014, leading to a £1.4 billion deficit over the quarter – the largest on record. Office for National Statistics | 4 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 This bulletin also reports on trade in services. However, the information on trade in services is mainly obtained from quarterly surveys, in some cases underpinned by larger annual surveys. That means that the data for the latest months are inevitably uncertain. The surplus on trade in services for September 2014 was estimated at £7.0 billion, down £0.2 billion from August 2014. Export levels fell by less than £0.1 billion to £16.9 billion whilst imports rose by £0.2 billion to £10.0 billion. Longer-Term Perspective The value of trade in goods grew steadily from the beginning of 2007 to mid-2008. The onset of the global economic downturn in mid-2008 affected the economic performance of the UK’s major trading partners and the value of both UK exports and imports fell sharply until Q2 2009. Growth in the value of trade in goods resumed from mid-2009 with improving global economic conditions. However, the value of both UK exports and imports has remained largely flat since mid-2011 with the continuing difficulties in many economies. In 2013, the deficit on trade in goods widened by £1.2 billion to £110.2 billion (annually). The level of exports increased to £306.8 billion in 2013, up 0.5% from £305.1 billion in 2012. The rise in exports was accompanied by an increase in imports to a record £417.0 billion in 2013, up 0.7% from £414.1 billion in 2012. Value of UK Trade in Goods In September 2014, the UK’s deficit on trade in goods was £9.8 billion, increasing by £0.9 billion from August 2014. Total exports increased by £1.0 billion (4.2%) to £24.0 billion and total imports increased by £1.8 billion (5.8%) to £33.8 billion. At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 2. Table 2: Change in Key Commodity Value, September 2014 Compared with August 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) +520 +929 +19 -4 +291 +357 Intermediate goods -10 +202 Capital goods -59 +239 Chemicals +112 +54 Semi-manufactured goods other than chemicals +114 -212 Oil (see section on 'trade in oil') Cars Consumer goods other than cars Office for National Statistics | 5 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (24 Kb) In Q3 2014, the deficit on trade in goods was £29.0 billion, increasing by £0.9 billion from Q2 2014. Total exports decreased by £0.3 billion (0.5%) to £70.7 billion and total imports increased by £0.6 billion (0.6%) to £99.8 billion. At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 3. Table 3: Change in Key Commodity Value, Q3 2014 Compared with Q2 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) Oil (see section on 'trade in oil') -197 +947 Cars -431 -11 Consumer goods other than cars +121 +497 Intermediate goods -194 -91 Capital goods -145 -264 Chemicals +211 -229 Semi-manufactured goods other than chemicals +188 +88 Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (25 Kb) Office for National Statistics | 6 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Figure 3: Value of UK Trade in Goods Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (28 Kb) Office for National Statistics | 7 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Figure 4: Value of UK Trade in Goods Excluding Oil Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (41.5 Kb) Trade in Goods - Analysis by Area Monthly Analysis In September 2014, the deficit on trade in goods with EU countries widened by £0.5 billion to £5.8 billion. The deficit on trade in goods with non-EU countries widened by £0.3 billion to £4.0 billion (Figure 5). Office for National Statistics | 8 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Figure 5: Balance of Trade in Goods - EU and Non-EU Countries Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (41.5 Kb) Between August and September 2014, exports to the EU increased by £0.1 billion (0.9%) to £11.9 billion. Exports to the Netherlands increased by £0.2 billion and to Belgium & Luxembourg by £0.1 billion. Between August and September 2014, imports from the EU increased by £0.6 billion (3.7%) to £17.7 billion. Imports from both France and Germany increased by £0.2 billion and imports from both the Netherlands and Spain increased by £0.1 billion. At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 4. Office for National Statistics | 9 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 4: Change in Key Commodity Value (EU), September 2014 Compared with August 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) +80 +18 -6 +6 Consumer goods other than cars -59 +118 Intermediate goods +32 -65 Capital goods +22 +218 Chemicals -80 +49 Semi-manufactured goods other than chemicals +61 +86 Oil (see section on 'trade in oil') Cars Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (24 Kb) Between August and September 2014, exports to non-EU countries increased by £0.9 billion (7.8%) to £12.1 billion. Exports to Switzerland increased by £1.1 billion, to China by £0.2 billion and to South Korea by £0.1 billion. Between August and September 2014, imports to non-EU countries increased by £1.2 billion (8.2%) to £16.1 billion. Imports from Norway increased by £0.5 billion, from both China and Nigeria by £0.3 billion and from Singapore by £0.1 billion. At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 5. Office for National Statistics | 10 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 5: Change in Key Commodity Value (Non-EU), September 2014 Compared with August 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) +440 +911 +25 -10 +350 +239 Intermediate goods -42 +267 Capital goods -81 +21 +192 +5 +53 -298 Oil (see section on 'trade in oil') Cars Consumer goods other than cars Chemicals Semi-manufactured goods other than chemicals Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (24.5 Kb) Quarterly Analysis In Q3 2014, the deficit on trade in goods with EU countries widened by £0.4 billion to £16.7 billion. The deficit on trade in goods with non-EU countries widened by £0.5 billion to £12.4 billion. Between Q2 and Q3 2014, exports to the EU decreased by £0.4 billion (1.2%) to £35.6 billion. There were no significant downward country movements. Between Q2 and Q3 2014, imports from the EU decreased by less than £0.1 billion to £52.3 billion. There were no significant downward country movements. At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 6. Office for National Statistics | 11 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 6: Change in Key Commodity Value (EU), Q3 2014 Compared with Q2 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) Oil (see section 'trade in oil') -186 +489 Cars -289 -143 Consumer goods other than cars +75 +97 Intermediate goods +92 -100 Capital goods +1 -127 Chemicals +13 -178 Semi-manufactured goods other than chemicals +69 +2 Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (24 Kb) Between Q2 and Q3 2014, exports to non-EU countries increased by £0.1 billion (0.3%) to £35.1 billion. Exports to Switzerland increased by £1.3 billion and to China by £0.3 billion. Between Q2 and Q3 2014, imports from non-EU countries increased by £0.6 billion (1.3%) to £47.4 billion. There were large increases from the USA (up £1.4 billion), Canada (up £0.9 billion) and Switzerland (up £0.7 billion). This was partially offset by falls in imports from Norway (down £1.4 billion), China (down £1.0 billion) and Hong Kong (down £0.4 billion). At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 7. Office for National Statistics | 12 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 7: Change in Key Commodity Value (Non-EU), Q3 2014 Compared with Q2 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) -11 +458 -142 +132 +46 +400 Intermediate goods -286 +9 Capital goods -146 -137 Chemicals +198 -51 Semi-manufactured goods other than chemicals +119 +86 Oil (see section on 'trade in oil') Cars Consumer goods other than cars Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (24.5 Kb) Trade in Goods - Geographical Analysis Monthly Analysis In September 2014, almost two thirds of the UK's exports and imports of goods were attributed to the top ten significant trading partners, shown in table 8. Although exports to the USA fell by £0.1 billion, it remained the UK’s largest export partner with a value of £3.0 billion; accounting for 12% of the total goods exported by the UK in September. Administrative data suggests that the main commodities exported to the USA were chemicals, machinery and transport equipment and miscellaneous manufactures. There was a record level of UK exports (£1.7 billion) to Switzerland in September 2014, accounting for 7% of the UK's total export of goods. This increase caused the UK's trade balance with Switzerland to move into a surplus of £1.0 billion, the largest surplus on record. Between August 2014 and September 2014, there were increases in imports from nine of the UK’s top ten significant trading partner countries. Imports from Norway increased by £0.5 billion, reflecting an increase in oil imports from the Norwegian Continental Shelf. Imports from China increased by £0.3 billion; source data attributed this increase to imports of machinery and transport equipment and miscellaneous manufactures. Outside the top ten partner countries, the UK's deficit with Canada continued to widen as imports from Canada increased to a record monthly level of £0.9 billion. Office for National Statistics | 13 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 8: Change in Monthly Trade with Significant Partner Countries, September 2014 Compared with August 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) September 1-month 2014 Change Value September 1-month 2014 Change Value 1 USA 2,956 -144 1 Germany 4,889 +158 2 Germany 2,384 -42 2 China 2,846 +296 3 Netherlands 2,022 +214 3 USA 2,654 +50 4 France 1,647 -153 4 Netherlands 2,548 +105 5 Irish Republic 1,434 +3 5 France 2,012 +191 6 China 1,229 +166 6 Belgium/ Luxembourg 1,742 +14 7 Belgium/ Luxembourg 1,092 +102 7 Norway 1,199 +468 8 Spain 669 -95 8 Italy 1,197 -86 9 Italy 668 -18 9 Spain 1,138 +117 10 United Arab Emirates 474 +4 10 Irish Republic 915 +15 Table source: Office for National Statistics Table notes: 1. Significant trading partners defined as top 10 export markets & import sources 2013 (see attached table 14). 2. USA includes Puerto Rico. 3. United Arab Emirates includes Dubai. Download table XLS format (26.5 Kb) Office for National Statistics | 14 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Figure 6: Significant Partner Countries, One-Month Balances, September 2014 Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (45 Kb) Quarterly Analysis Between Q2 and Q3 2014, exports to South Korea fell by £0.5 billion, exports to Germany and Denmark both fell by £0.3 billion and exports to the USA and India both fell by £0.2 billion. These falls were partially offset by strength elsewhere, particularly in exports to Switzerland which saw a quarterly rise of £1.3 billion. Anecdotal evidence suggests this sharp increase in exports was caused by the export of miscellaneous manufactures in September. Between Q2 and Q3 2014, imports from the USA rose by £1.4 billion. This rise in imports was the primary factor in the UK's trade surplus with the US falling to £1.6 billion; the smallest quarterly surplus since Q4 2006. Imports from Canada rose by £0.9 billion due to particular strength in August and September, resulting in the largest quarterly deficit with the UK on record. Imports from Switzerland rose by £0.7 billion over the quarter, mainly due to atypical strength in August from miscellaneous manufactures. Office for National Statistics | 15 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 9: Change in Quarterly Trade with Significant Partner Countries, Q3 2014 Compared with Q2 2014 Exports (£m) Imports (£m) Q3 2014 Quarterly Value change Q3 2014 Quarterly Value change 1 USA 9,164 -197 1 Germany 14,464 +35 2 Germany 7,338 -290 2 China 8,475 -1027 3 Netherlands 5,609 +166 3 USA 7,599 +1389 4 France 4,891 +532 4 Netherlands 7,561 -84 5 Irish Republic 4,374 -102 5 France 5,862 -291 6 China 3,406 +316 6 Belgium/ Luxembourg 5,182 +282 7 Belgium/ Luxembourg 3,152 -146 7 Norway 3,835 -1396 8 Spain 2,193 -17 8 Italy 3,550 +108 9 Italy 2,061 -71 9 Spain 3,268 -109 10 United Arab Emirates 1,455 -41 10 Irish Republic 2,674 +302 Table source: Office for National Statistics Table notes: 1. Significant trading partners defined as top 10 export markets and import sources 2013 (see attached table 14). 2. USA includes Puerto Rico. 3. United Arab Emirates includes Dubai. Download table XLS format (27 Kb) Office for National Statistics | 16 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Figure 7: Significant Partner Countries, Quarterly Balances, Q3 2014 Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (44.5 Kb) Volume of Total Trade in Goods, Excluding Oil and Erratics Between September 2014 and August 2014, the total volume of exports increased by 0.2% and the total volume of imports increased by 3.4%. At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 10. Office for National Statistics | 17 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Table 10: Change in Key Commodity Volume, September 2014 Compared with August 2014 Exports % change Imports % change +2.2 +2.0 -19.0 -1.9 +3.2 -3.1 +2.1 +1.1 +2.0 +5.7 -1.5 +4.3 +11.3 +6.9 Intermediate goods -1.1 +4.0 Capital goods -2.1 +5.9 Food, beverages and tobacco Basic materials Semi-manufactured goods; of which Chemicals Finished manufactured goods; of which Cars Consumer goods other than cars Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (25.5 Kb) In Q3 2014, the volume of exports decreased by 1.1% and the volume of imports increased by 0.2%, when compared with Q2 2014. At the commodity level, the data are shown in Table 11. Table 11: Change in Key Commodity Volume, Q3 2014 Compared with Q2 2014 Exports % change Imports % change Food, beverages and tobacco +1.5 -0.3 Basic materials +7.9 -2.2 Semi-manufactured goods; of which +1.8 -0.7 +0.7 -3.0 -3.7 -0.9 Cars -6.0 +0.7 Consumer goods other than cars -3.0 +4.3 Intermediate goods -3.4 -0.7 Capital goods -0.3 -3.7 Chemicals Finished manufactured goods; of which Table source: Office for National Statistics Office for National Statistics | 18 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Download table XLS format (24.5 Kb) Figure 8: Volume of Exports of Goods (Finished Manufactures), Q3 2014 Compared with Q2 2014 Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (52.5 Kb) Office for National Statistics | 19 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Figure 9: Volume of Imports of Goods (Finished Manufactures), Q3 2014 Compared with Q2 2014 Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (39.5 Kb) Export and Import Prices for Trade in Goods (Not Seasonally Adjusted) In September 2014, compared with August 2014, export prices increased by 0.1% and import prices were unchanged. Excluding the oil price effect, export prices increased by 0.4% and import prices increased by 0.3%. In Q3 2014, when compared with the Q2 2014, export prices increased by 0.1% and import prices decreased by 0.3%. Excluding the oil price effect, export prices increased by 0.9% and import prices increased by 0.2%. Trade in Oil In September 2014, the balance on trade in oil was in deficit by £1.6 billion, compared with a deficit of £1.2 billion in August 2014. Oil exports increased by £0.5 billion to £2.7 billion and oil imports Office for National Statistics | 20 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 increased by £0.9 billion to £4.3 billion. The balance of trade in oil has widened over the past three consecutive months; despite strength in September's export level, the UK's import level remains higher. In Q3 2014, the balance on trade in oil was in deficit by £3.8 billion, compared with a deficit of £2.7 billion in Q2 2014. Oil exports decreased by £0.2 billion to £7.7 billion and oil imports increased by £0.9 billion to £11.5 billion. Figure 10: Balance of Trade in Oil Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (24.5 Kb) Trade in Services ONS has suspended the publication of expenditure estimates for UK residents’ visits abroad and overseas residents’ visits to the UK within the September 2014 Overseas Travel and Tourism release, published on 13 November 2014. The National Statistician has recommended that the Authority considers suspending the National Statistics designation for these series until the errors have been corrected. These data also feed into the UK Trade release as imports and exports Office for National Statistics | 21 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 of services and as such the National Statistician has also asked the Authority to consider the implications for the UK Trade release. Corrected data will be published for all months, January to September 2014, as soon as possible. ONS will announce the timetable for the publishing of corrected figures prior to their release. Please note that the UK Trade time series data are also affected by this error and will be updated with the corrected data. The ONS statement regarding this error can be found here: http://www.ons.gov.uk/ ons/media-centre/statements/correction-to-overseas-travel-and-tourism-expenditure-data/index.html. In September 2014, the UK’s estimated surplus on trade in services was £7.0 billion. Exports in September 2014 were estimated to have been £16.9 billion and imports £10.0 billion. In Q3 2014, the estimated surplus on trade in services was £21.5 billion. In Q3 2014, exports were estimated to have been £50.9 billion and total imports £29.4 billion. Figure 12: Value of UK Trade in Services Source: Office for National Statistics Download chart XLS format (40.5 Kb) Office for National Statistics | 22 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Revisions There are no revisions to Trade in Services in this release. Records Sheet The UK Trade record information for September 2014 can be accessed at the UK Trade Records Sheet, September 2014. (35.5 Kb Excel sheet) Background notes 1. What's New? On 10 June 2014, ONS published an article ' Methodological changes to the measurement of Trade due to the introduction of new international standards ' describing changes that were introduced in the August 2014 UK Trade Release published on 10 October 2014, in order to comply with European statistical guidelines. Erratics Non-monetary gold is now included in the erratics series; along with ships, aircraft, precious stones and silver. In compliance with the BPM6 changes, non-monetary gold which is held as a store of wealth is now recorded within trade in goods. Non-Monetary Gold To comply with international statistical guidelines, ONS introduced estimates for trade in non-monetary gold and other precious metals into the quarterly national accounts from 30 September 2014, and the monthly UK Trade statistics released on 10 October 2014. In developing these estimates further it had been proposed to use data from a Bank of England (BoE) survey collecting estimates of physical holdings of gold and other precious metals for the reporting period March 2013 onwards, as described in the article 'Measurement of Nonmonetary Gold' published on 23 January 2014. However, on receiving the aggregated survey results, the data were volatile with large monthly changes that, despite being on a net trade basis, significantly distorted the estimated monthly trade balance. Due to this volatility and given that the survey is relatively new, having only commenced from the reporting period March 2013, it has been decided to undertake further work to quality assure these data and to review the methods used to measure non-monetary gold and other precious metals more generally. In addition, further disclosure assessment is required to ensure the confidentiality of businesses within the survey is maintained. So, the method used for the series pre-2013, derived from BoE information of gold as a store of wealth by UK MFI's, has been extended with the survey information being used to inform the movements of the later periods, but rescaled to the level of the pre-2013 data. We will, keep users informed of progress and it is likely we will seek views on how best to proceed. Office for National Statistics | 23 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Changes to the UK Trade Release To improve the format of the bulletin and the supporting commentary, we have combined the geographical content of the bulletin under the new section headings 'Analysis by Area' and 'Geographical Analysis'. To ensure users needs are met, the changes are purely presentational; the content and associated data remain as published in previous releases and no data has been withdrawn from users. Revisions In this release, periods from July 2014 are open for revision. EMU Enlargement As of 1 January 2014, Latvia joined the European Monetary Union (EMU). Therefore the EMU totals in this UK Trade release include Latvia. 2. Missing Trader Intra-Community (MTIC) Fraud Users should also be aware that for some data prior to April 2012, the monthly data does not sum precisely to the quarters for the MTIC series due to rounding. 3. UK Trade designated as National Statistics The United Kingdom Statistics Authority has designated these statistics as National Statistics, in accordance with the Statistics and Registration Service Act 2007 and signifying compliance with the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. Designation can be broadly interpreted to mean that the statistics: • • • • meet identified user needs; are well explained and readily accessible; are produced according to sound methods, and are managed impartially and objectively in the public interest. Once statistics have been designated as National Statistics it is a statutory requirement that the Code of Practice shall continue to be observed. 4. Special Events An article outlining the ONS policy on special events is available on the ONS website. 5. Code of Practice for Official Statistics National Statistics are produced to high professional standards set out in the Code of Practice for Official Statistics. They undergo regular quality assurance reviews to ensure that they meet Office for National Statistics | 24 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 customer needs. They are produced free from any political interference. © Crown copyright 2014. 6. Short Guide to UK Trade Ever since statistics on exports and imports of goods were first collected in 1697, UK trade has been one of the country’s key economic indicators. All information included in the monthly UK Trade statistical bulletin is on a Balance of Payments (BoP) basis and is seasonally adjusted unless otherwise specified. The release contains tables showing the total value of trade in goods together with index numbers of volume and price, figures analysed by broad commodity group (values and indices) and according to geographical area (values only). In addition the Trade statistical bulletin also includes early monthly estimates of the value of trade in services. Data appearing in the UK Trade statistical bulletin are also used as a direct input into the quarterly Balance of Payments and National Accounts. Interpreting the data Monthly commodity movements for food, beverages & tobacco, basic materials, fuels other than oil and erratics (ships, aircraft, precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold) are only detailed in this statistical bulletin where they are equal to or exceed £200 million (£400 million for threemonthly comparisons). In months where quarterly and three-monthly ending percentage changes for index data coincide, there may be small differences between the data for methodological reasons. Quarterly data are the indexed form of an underlying constant price (for volume indices) or consistent quantity (for price indices) series. Three-month ending data are the average of the index data in that period. VAT Missing Trader Intra Community (MTIC) fraud Import figures for trade in goods include adjustments to allow for the impact of VAT MTIC fraud. The adjustments to trade in goods relate only to part of the carousel version of VAT MTIC fraud. This fraud leads to under recording of imports as fraudsters import goods from the EU, which they then sell on before disappearing without paying VAT on that sale. The goods are eventually exported. Such exports are declared and are therefore already reflected in the UK’s trade in goods statistics. Changes to the pattern of trading associated with MTIC fraud can make it difficult to analyse trade by commodity group and by country as changes in the impact of activity associated with this fraud affect both imports and exports. However, the MTIC trade adjustments are added to the EU import estimates derived from Intrastat returns as it is this part of the trading chain that is not generally recorded. In particular, adjustments affect trade in capital goods and intermediate goods - these categories include mobile phones and computer components, which are still the most widely affected goods. Office for National Statistics | 25 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 International convention determines that the treatment of the impact is to adjust imports upwards by the relevant amounts of missing declarations (non-response). However, users may wish to interpret short term movements in imports excluding that part of the fraudulent activity that is not included in the import estimates. For this purpose an analysis of the import figures with the VAT MTIC adjustments excluded is shown in Table 13. Definitions and explanations A glossary of terms is published in the UK Balance of Payments - The Pink Book, 2014. Use of the data UK Trade is a key economic indicator due to the importance of international trade to the UK economy. It is also a very timely statistic, providing an early indicator of what is happening more generally in the economy. In addition, it is a major component of two other key economic statistics: UK gross domestic product (GDP) and the UK Balance of Payments. This means that there is a threefold potential for UK Trade statistics to inform the government’s view of the UK economy, as well as the views of others, such as economists, City analysts, academics, the media and international organisations. Notes on tables Rounding: The sum of constituent items in tables does not always agree exactly with the totals shown due to rounding. Symbols: 7. .. Not applicable - Nil or less than half the final digit shown. Methods Composition of the data Detailed methodological notes are published in the UK Balance of Payments - The Pink Book, 2014. Seasonal adjustment Seasonal adjustment aims to remove effects associated with the time of the year or the arrangement of the calendar so that movements within a time series may be more easily interpreted. Deflation Office for National Statistics | 26 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 It is common for the value of a group of financial transactions to be measured in several time periods. The values measured will include both the change in the volume sold and the effect of the change of prices over that year. Deflation is the process whereby the effect of price change is removed from a set of values. Chain-linked indices (chained volume measures) which are indexed to form the volume series in this bulletin differ from fixed base indices in that the growth from one year to the next is estimated by weighting the components using the contribution to value of trade in the immediately preceding year (effectively re-basing every year). This series of annually reweighted annual growths is then ‘chain-linked’ to produce a continuous series. The implied price deflators derived by comparing current price data to chained volume measures data are not the same as the price indices published in this statistical bulletin because the former are current weighted while the latter are base (2011) weighted. Changes in trade associated with VAT MTIC fraud mean that comparisons of volume and prices (both including and excluding trade associated with VAT MTIC fraud) should be treated with a great deal of caution. A paper (384.4 Kb Pdf), Statistics on Trade in Goods (GSS Methodological Series No. 36) describing the adjustments that need to be applied to conform to IMF definitions for Balance of Payments and the division of responsibility between ONS and HMRC is available on the ONS website. The Overseas Trade Statistics (OTS) data used as inputs to this statistical bulletin are collected and published by Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs (HMRC) on an International Merchandise Trade Statistics (IMTS) basis. 8. Quality Basic quality information Accuracy: Trade in goods figures for the most recent months are provisional and subject to revision in the light of (a) late trader data, revisions to trade prices and revised estimates of trading associated with VAT MTIC fraud, and (b) revisions to seasonal adjustment factors which are re-estimated every month. Trade in services estimates have been derived from a number of monthly and quarterly sources. For components where no monthly data are available, estimates have been derived on the basis of recent trends. The results should be used with appropriate caution, as they are therefore likely to be less reliable than those for trade in goods. Reliability: Revisions to data provide one indication of the reliability of key indicators. The table below shows summary information on the size and direction of the revisions which have been made to the data covering a five-year period. A statistical test has been applied to the average revision to find out if it is statistically significantly different from zero. An asterisk (*) shows that the test is significant. An article explaining the past revisions performance for UK Trade statistics Office for National Statistics | 27 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 and what is being done to improve the first published estimates was published on 9 May 2005 on the ONS website. Table 12: Revisions Analysis, UK Trade, September 2014 £million Revisions between first publication and estimates twelve months later Value in latest period Average over the last 5 years (mean revision) Average over the last 5 years without regard to sign (average absolute revision) Total trade exports (IKBH) 40,891 708 945 Total trade imports (IKBI) 43,729 159 469 Total trade balance (IKBJ) -2,838 551* 712 Table source: Office for National Statistics Download table XLS format (30.5 Kb) The table covers estimates of UK trade first published from December 2009 (for October 2009) to November 2013 (for August 2013). Revision spreadsheets giving these estimates and the calculations behind the averages in the table are available on the ONS website. An article (2.33 Mb Pdf) analysing past revisions to quarterly balance of payments current account data was published in the May 2007 edition of Economic & Labour Market Review. It is available on the ONS website. More information about revisions material in this statistical bulletin can be found on the ONS website. Office for National Statistics | 28 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 9. The coverage of EMU countries was extended to cover Cyprus and Malta from July 2008, Slovakia from January 2009, Estonia from January 2011 and Latvia from January 2014. Some EU and non-EU breakdowns of commodity data for chained volume measures which are available on request may be less reliable than the current price data. Please consult Katherine Kent on 01633 455829 if you are considering using them. Data have been combined for the United States & Puerto Rico and for Dubai, Abu Dhabi & Sharjah (the United Arab Emirates) from January 2009 onwards. Estimates are separately available for the United States and Dubai up to the end of 2008 on request. 10. Summary quality report A Summary Quality Report (91.3 Kb Pdf) for this statistical bulletin and associated data can be found on the ONS website. 11. National Accounts revisions policy National Accounts revision policy (27.8 Kb Pdf) can be found on the ONS website. 12. Revisions Revisions Table 17R shows revisions to the main aggregates since the last Trade Statistical Bulletin of 10 October 2014. The revisions to trade in goods from July 2014 reflect revised data from Her Majesty’s Revenue and Customs and other data suppliers, revised estimates of trading associated with VAT MTIC fraud, later survey data on trade prices and a re-assessment of seasonal factors. There are no revisions to trade in services. 13. Publication policy A list of the organisations given pre-publication access to the contents of this bulletin can be found on the ONS website. 14. Accessing data Supplementary quarterly data analysed by industry according to the Classification of Product by Activity (08) (UK Trade in Goods by Classification of Product by Activity) are also available. The complete run of data in the tables of this statistical bulletin are also available to view and download in other electronic formats free of charge using the ONS Time Series Data website service. Users can download the complete statistical bulletin in a choice of zipped formats, or view and download their own selections of individual series. 15. Follow ONS on Twitter and receive up to date information about our statistical releases. 16. Like ONS on Facebook to receive our updates in your newsfeed and to post comments on our page. Office for National Statistics | 29 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 17. Watch our videos at YouTube. 18. Next publication: 10 December 2014 Issued by: Office for National Statistics, Government Buildings, Cardiff Road, Newport, NP10 8XG Contact us: Tel 0845 601 3034 Email [email protected] ONS Homepage 19. Details of the policy governing the release of new data are available by visiting www.statisticsauthority.gov.uk/assessment/code-of-practice/index.html or from the Media Relations Office email: [email protected] These National Statistics are produced to high professional standards and released according to the arrangements approved by the UK Statistics Authority. Copyright © Crown copyright 2014 You may use or re-use this information (not including logos) free of charge in any format or medium, under the terms of the Open Government Licence. To view this licence, visit www.nationalarchives.gov.uk/doc/open-government-licence/ or write to the Information Policy Team, The National Archives, Kew, London TW9 4DU, or email: [email protected]. This document is also available on our website at www.ons.gov.uk. Statistical contacts Name Katherine Kent Phone Department +44 (0)1633 455829 UK Trade/Trade and Transfers Email [email protected] Office for National Statistics | 30 UK Trade, September 2014 | 07 November 2014 Next Publication Date: 10 December 2014 Issuing Body: Office for National Statistics Media Contact Details: Telephone: 0845 604 1858 (8.30am-5.30pm Weekdays) Emergency out of hours (limited service): 07867 906553 Email: [email protected] Office for National Statistics | 31 OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 1 VALUE OF UK TRADE IN GOODS AND SERVICES Balance of Payments basis £ million seasonally adjusted Total trade Trade in goods Trade in goods excluding oil Oil Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance 2011 2012 2013 IKBH 499 452 500 735 511 275 IKBI 523 277 535 204 543 375 IKBJ −23 825 −34 469 −32 100 BOKG 309 184 305 142 306 810 BOKH 405 699 414 114 417 006 BOKI −96 515 −108 972 −110 196 ELBL 37 966 39 516 39 314 ENXO 49 461 53 896 49 327 ENXQ −11 495 −14 380 −10 013 ELBM 271 218 265 626 267 496 ENXP 356 238 360 218 367 679 BQKH −85 020 −94 592 −100 183 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 126 242 132 491 126 922 125 620 133 530 137 024 138 278 134 543 −7 288 −4 533 −11 356 −8 923 75 919 79 812 76 195 74 884 102 692 105 604 106 052 102 658 −26 773 −25 792 −29 857 −27 774 10 660 9 712 9 877 9 065 11 920 12 972 12 866 11 569 −1 260 −3 260 −2 989 −2 504 65 259 70 100 66 318 65 819 90 772 92 632 93 186 91 089 −25 513 −22 532 −26 868 −25 270 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 122 959 121 965 121 629 130 370 128 426 129 178 −7 411 −6 461 −7 549 72 172 71 088 70 740 99 309 99 195 99 789 −27 137 −28 107 −29 049 8 553 7 871 7 674 10 808 10 547 11 494 −2 255 −2 676 −3 820 63 619 63 217 63 066 88 501 88 648 88 295 −24 882 −25 431 −25 229 2014 Apr May Jun 40 817 40 758 40 390 42 869 42 881 42 676 −2 052 −2 123 −2 286 23 897 23 794 23 397 32 956 33 175 33 064 −9 059 −9 381 −9 667 2 843 2 571 2 457 3 615 3 635 3 297 −772 −1 064 −840 21 054 21 223 20 940 29 341 29 540 29 767 −8 287 −8 317 −8 827 Jul Aug Sep 40 787 39 951 40 891 43 730 41 719 43 729 −2 943 −1 768 −2 838 23 797 22 985 23 958 34 075 31 935 33 779 −10 278 −8 950 −9 821 2 862 2 146 2 666 3 843 3 361 4 290 −981 −1 215 −1 624 20 935 20 839 21 292 30 232 28 574 29 489 −9 297 −7 735 −8 197 4.2 5.8 24.2 27.6 2.2 3.2 Percentage change, latest month compared with: Previous month 2.4 4.8 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 126 922 138 278 −11 356 76 195 106 052 −29 857 9 877 12 866 −2 989 66 318 93 186 −26 868 2014 Jun 121 965 128 426 −6 461 71 088 99 195 −28 107 7 871 10 547 −2 676 63 217 88 648 −25 431 2014 Sep 121 629 129 178 −7 549 70 740 99 789 −29 049 7 674 11 494 −3 820 63 066 88 295 −25 229 −0.5 0.6 −2.5 9.0 −0.2 −0.4 −7.2 −5.9 −22.3 −10.7 −4.9 −5.2 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −0.3 0.6 Same 3 months last year −4.2 −6.6 Trade in goods excluding erratics Erratics 1 Trade in goods excluding oil and erratics Trade in services Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance BPAL 23 253 21 188 20 932 BQBB 21 011 24 418 20 279 BQKW 2 242 −3 230 653 BPAO 285 931 283 954 285 878 BQBE 384 688 389 696 396 727 BPBM −98 757 −105 742 −110 849 BPBL 247 965 244 438 246 564 BQBG 335 227 335 800 347 400 BPAP −87 262 −91 362 −100 836 IKBB 190 268 195 593 204 465 IKBC 117 578 121 090 126 369 IKBD 72 690 74 503 78 096 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 4 596 6 703 4 671 4 962 5 083 5 459 5 698 4 039 −487 1 244 −1 027 923 71 323 73 109 71 524 69 922 97 609 100 145 100 354 98 619 −26 286 −27 036 −28 830 −28 697 60 663 63 397 61 647 60 857 85 689 87 173 87 488 87 050 −25 026 −23 776 −25 841 −26 193 50 323 52 679 50 727 50 736 30 838 31 420 32 226 31 885 19 485 21 259 18 501 18 851 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 3 631 3 380 3 584 4 412 4 377 3 860 −781 −997 −276 68 541 67 708 67 156 94 897 94 818 95 929 −26 356 −27 110 −28 773 59 988 59 837 59 482 84 089 84 271 84 435 −24 101 −24 434 −24 953 50 787 50 877 50 889 31 061 29 231 29 389 19 726 21 646 21 500 2014 Apr May Jun 1 048 1 283 1 049 1 378 1 681 1 318 −330 −398 −269 22 849 22 511 22 348 31 578 31 494 31 746 −8 729 −8 983 −9 398 20 006 19 940 19 891 27 963 27 859 28 449 −7 957 −7 919 −8 558 16 920 16 964 16 993 9 913 9 706 9 612 7 007 7 258 7 381 Jul Aug Sep 1 125 1 076 1 383 1 714 1 080 1 066 −589 −4 317 22 672 21 909 22 575 32 361 30 855 32 713 −9 689 −8 946 −10 138 19 810 19 763 19 909 28 518 27 494 28 423 −8 708 −7 731 −8 514 16 990 16 966 16 933 9 655 9 784 9 950 7 335 7 182 6 983 3.0 6.0 0.7 3.4 −0.2 1.7 2011 2012 2013 Percentage change, latest month compared with: Previous month 28.5 −1.3 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 4 671 5 698 −1 027 71 524 100 354 −28 830 61 647 87 488 −25 841 50 727 32 226 18 501 2014 Jun 3 380 4 377 −997 67 708 94 818 −27 110 59 837 84 271 −24 434 50 877 29 231 21 646 2014 Sep 3 584 3 860 −276 67 156 95 929 −28 773 59 482 84 435 −24 953 50 889 29 389 21 500 −0.8 1.2 −0.6 0.2 0.0 0.5 −6.1 −4.4 −3.5 −3.5 0.3 −8.8 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months 6.0 −11.8 Same 3 months last year −23.3 −32.3 1 These are defined as ships, aircraft, precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. There are no revisions to trade in services. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 2 UK TRADE IN GOODS BY AREA Balance of Payments basis £ million seasonally adjusted EMU members 1 2 Total EU (28) Non-EU 3 Total Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance MHO3 146 771 136 531 137 186 MHO5 174 654 177 189 189 531 MHN9 −27 883 −40 658 −52 345 L87S 165 220 153 181 154 914 L87U 205 641 209 644 221 354 L87Q −40 421 −56 463 −66 440 L87M 143 964 151 961 151 896 L87O 200 058 204 470 195 652 L87K −56 094 −52 509 −43 756 BOKG 309 184 305 142 306 810 BOKH 405 699 414 114 417 006 BOKI −96 515 −108 972 −110 196 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 33 403 34 042 33 903 43 710 44 415 44 627 −10 307 −10 373 −10 724 37 434 38 189 38 081 51 756 52 442 52 661 −14 322 −14 253 −14 580 37 952 38 322 37 537 50 588 50 909 50 256 −12 636 −12 587 −12 719 75 386 76 511 75 618 102 344 103 351 102 917 −26 958 −26 840 −27 299 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 34 192 34 492 35 433 33 069 46 157 47 133 47 943 48 298 −11 965 −12 641 −12 510 −15 229 38 632 38 816 40 147 37 319 54 321 54 787 56 006 56 240 −15 689 −15 971 −15 859 −18 921 37 287 40 996 36 048 37 565 48 371 50 817 50 046 46 418 −11 084 −9 821 −13 998 −8 853 75 919 79 812 76 195 74 884 102 692 105 604 106 052 102 658 −26 773 −25 792 −29 857 −27 774 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 31 248 31 562 31 515 45 153 44 922 45 174 −13 905 −13 360 −13 659 35 481 36 088 35 648 52 527 52 364 52 345 −17 046 −16 276 −16 697 36 691 35 000 35 092 46 782 46 831 47 444 −10 091 −11 831 −12 352 72 172 71 088 70 740 99 309 99 195 99 789 −27 137 −28 107 −29 049 2013 Mar Apr May Jun 11 455 11 113 11 749 11 630 16 214 15 517 15 616 16 000 −4 759 −4 404 −3 867 −4 370 12 933 12 530 13 201 13 085 18 867 17 966 18 227 18 594 −5 934 −5 436 −5 026 −5 509 12 955 12 991 12 598 15 407 16 516 16 806 17 233 16 778 −3 561 −3 815 −4 635 −1 371 25 888 25 521 25 799 28 492 35 383 34 772 35 460 35 372 −9 495 −9 251 −9 661 −6 880 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 12 463 11 705 11 265 10 826 10 753 11 490 15 945 15 790 16 208 16 043 16 104 16 151 −3 482 −4 085 −4 943 −5 217 −5 351 −4 661 14 063 13 327 12 757 12 225 12 127 12 967 18 668 18 373 18 965 18 689 18 862 18 689 −4 605 −5 046 −6 208 −6 464 −6 735 −5 722 11 604 12 074 12 370 12 597 12 492 12 476 17 124 16 632 16 290 15 790 15 595 15 033 −5 520 −4 558 −3 920 −3 193 −3 103 −2 557 25 667 25 401 25 127 24 822 24 619 25 443 35 792 35 005 35 255 34 479 34 457 33 722 −10 125 −9 604 −10 128 −9 657 −9 838 −8 279 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 10 517 10 060 10 671 10 677 10 436 10 449 15 227 15 125 14 801 14 855 14 843 15 224 −4 710 −5 065 −4 130 −4 178 −4 407 −4 775 11 805 11 497 12 179 12 191 11 966 11 931 17 630 17 592 17 305 17 326 17 263 17 775 −5 825 −6 095 −5 126 −5 135 −5 297 −5 844 11 963 11 951 12 777 11 706 11 828 11 466 16 087 14 999 15 696 15 630 15 912 15 289 −4 124 −3 048 −2 919 −3 924 −4 084 −3 823 23 768 23 448 24 956 23 897 23 794 23 397 33 717 32 591 33 001 32 956 33 175 33 064 −9 949 −9 143 −8 045 −9 059 −9 381 −9 667 Jul Aug Sep 10 474 10 455 10 586 15 105 14 739 15 330 −4 631 −4 284 −4 744 11 963 11 791 11 894 17 637 17 041 17 667 −5 674 −5 250 −5 773 11 834 11 194 12 064 16 438 14 894 16 112 −4 604 −3 700 −4 048 23 797 22 985 23 958 34 075 31 935 33 779 −10 278 −8 950 −9 821 0.9 3.7 7.8 8.2 4.2 5.8 2011 2012 2013 Percentage change on previous month: 2014 Sep 1.3 4.0 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 35 433 47 943 −12 510 40 147 56 006 −15 859 36 048 50 046 −13 998 76 195 106 052 −29 857 2014 Jun 31 562 44 922 −13 360 36 088 52 364 −16 276 35 000 46 831 −11 831 71 088 99 195 −28 107 2014 Sep 31 515 45 174 −13 659 35 648 52 345 −16 697 35 092 47 444 −12 352 70 740 99 789 −29 049 −1.2 0.0 0.3 1.3 −0.5 0.6 −11.2 −6.5 −2.7 −5.2 −7.2 −5.9 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −0.1 0.6 Same 3 months last year −11.1 −5.8 1 Austria, Belgium, Cyprus, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, Greece, Irish Republic, Italy, Latvia, Luxembourg, Malta, Netherlands, Por tugal, Slovakia, Slovenia, and Spain 2 EMU Members plus Czech Republic, Denmark, Hungar y, Lithuania, Poland, Sweden, Bulgaria, Romania and Croatia 3 Total less EU (28) † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 3 VOLUME AND PRICE INDICES (TRADE IN GOODS) 1 Balance of Payments basis Indices 2011=100 Volume (seasonally adjusted) Total Expor ts Impor ts Price index (not seasonally adjusted) Total excluding oil Total excluding oil and erratics 2 Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Total Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Total excluding oil & erratics 2 Total excluding oil Terms of Terms of trade 3 Expor ts Impor ts trade 3 Expor ts Impor ts BQKU 100.0 99.2 98.7 BQKV 100.0 102.6 102.9 BQKI 100.0 98.6 97.9 BQKJ 100.0 101.8 103.3 BOMA 100.0 99.5 99.0 ELAL 100.0 100.9 103.9 BQKR 100.0 99.8 100.9 BQKS 100.0 99.8 100.2 BQKT 100.0 100.0 100.7 BQKK 100.0 99.7 101.2 BQKL 100.0 99.7 100.3 BQKM 100.0 100.0 100.9 BQAK 100.0 99.5 100.9 ELBA 100.0 99.5 100.2 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 98.4 100.5 98.1 101.5 103.7 103.0 96.6 99.4 98.9 100.6 102.6 101.8 97.2 100.6 99.1 100.4 101.8 101.6 99.9 98.4 99.1 99.8 98.7 99.2 100.1 99.7 99.9 100.0 98.4 99.2 99.9 98.9 99.3 100.1 99.5 99.9 99.8 98.2 98.9 99.7 98.7 99.2 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 97.2 102.9 97.3 97.4 99.7 103.7 105.1 103.2 95.6 102.2 96.6 97.4 100.8 103.2 105.3 104.0 97.3 101.3 98.4 98.9 101.4 103.2 105.3 105.6 101.9 101.2 101.4 99.2 101.7 100.4 100.2 98.6 100.2 100.8 101.2 100.6 101.7 102.0 101.4 99.6 101.4 100.9 100.0 98.8 100.3 101.1 101.4 100.8 101.4 101.7 101.1 99.3 101.3 100.9 100.0 98.8 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 97.0 95.7 95.0 101.3 101.9 103.5 97.4 96.9 95.6 102.5 103.6 103.1 100.3 100.3 99.1 103.8 104.7 105.0 96.6 95.9 96.0 97.2 96.2 95.9 99.4 99.7 100.1 96.9 96.3 97.2 97.6 96.7 96.8 99.3 99.6 100.4 97.1 96.3 98.0 97.6 96.7 98.1 2013 Mar Apr May Jun 99.2 98.9 100.1 109.7 102.4 102.1 104.5 104.6 98.4 97.7 98.3 110.7 103.3 101.4 103.0 105.3 100.2 97.4 98.9 107.5 103.7 101.1 103.2 105.5 103.1 101.8 101.0 100.8 102.4 101.0 100.5 99.6 100.7 100.8 100.5 101.2 103.0 102.6 101.8 101.6 102.2 101.4 101.1 100.3 100.8 101.2 100.7 101.3 102.8 102.2 101.5 101.4 102.1 101.4 101.1 100.3 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 97.4 97.5 96.9 96.0 96.4 99.9 105.6 104.0 105.8 104.0 104.4 101.2 95.2 97.2 97.3 96.4 96.4 99.5 105.6 103.4 107.0 103.9 105.4 102.7 97.0 98.3 99.8 97.8 97.9 101.0 103.8 104.3 107.8 104.8 106.9 105.2 102.3 101.5 100.5 100.3 98.8 98.6 101.1 100.2 99.3 99.2 98.5 98.0 101.2 101.3 101.2 101.1 100.3 100.6 102.5 101.4 100.3 100.6 99.3 98.8 101.1 99.9 98.9 99.3 98.8 98.1 101.4 101.5 101.4 101.3 100.5 100.7 102.3 101.2 99.9 100.4 99.0 98.5 101.1 99.9 98.9 99.4 98.9 98.2 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 94.8 94.6 101.7 96.7 96.4 94.1 103.3 99.5 101.1 101.4 102.3 101.9 95.4 94.9 101.8 96.5 97.9 96.2 103.6 100.9 103.0 102.7 103.5 104.6 99.0 98.0 104.0 100.2 100.6 99.9 103.8 102.9 104.7 104.2 103.9 106.1 96.9 96.3 96.6 96.4 96.0 95.3 97.5 97.0 97.1 96.4 96.1 96.2 99.4 99.3 99.5 100.0 99.9 99.1 97.2 96.5 97.1 96.9 96.4 95.5 97.8 97.3 97.7 97.0 96.5 96.5 99.4 99.2 99.4 99.9 99.9 99.0 97.4 96.6 97.2 97.1 96.4 95.5 97.8 97.3 97.7 97.0 96.6 96.6 Jul Aug Sep 95.8 93.0 96.3 106.2 98.7 105.6 95.6 94.9 96.2 106.4 99.8 103.0 99.6 98.8 99.0 107.0 102.2 105.7 95.8 96.1 96.2 96.3 95.7 95.7 99.5 100.4 100.5 96.5 97.3 97.7 96.7 96.8 97.1 99.8 100.5 100.6 97.3 98.1 98.5 98.0 98.1 98.3 Percentage change, latest month compared with: Previous month 3.5 7.0 1.4 3.2 0.2 3.4 0.1 0.0 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.2 2011 2012 2013 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 97.3 105.1 96.6 105.3 98.4 105.3 101.4 100.2 101.2 101.4 100.0 101.4 101.1 100.0 2014 Jun 95.7 101.9 96.9 103.6 100.2 104.7 95.9 96.2 99.7 96.3 96.7 99.6 96.3 96.7 2014 Sep 95.0 103.5 95.6 103.1 99.1 105.0 96.0 95.9 100.1 97.2 96.9 100.3 98.0 98.1 −0.5 −1.1 0.2 0.1 −0.3 0.9 0.2 1.7 1.4 −2.2 0.8 −0.3 −5.3 −4.3 −4.2 −3.1 −3.1 −1.8 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −0.7 1.6 −1.3 Same 3 months last year −2.3 −1.6 −1.0 1 These are provisional estimates subject to fluctuations when new or amended data become available. 2 These are defined as ships, aircraft, precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold. 3 Expor t price index as a percentage of the import price index. 4 Please note, any differences between the quarterly and three monthly indices are due to rounding. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 4 GROWTH RATES FOR VOLUME AND PRICE INDICES 1 2 (TRADE IN GOODS) Balance of Payments basis Indices 2011=100 Volume (seasonally adjusted) Total Total excluding oil Price index (not seasonally adjusted) Total excluding oil and erratics 3 Total Total excluding oil Total excluding oil and erratics 3 Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 −8.6 1.8 −10.1 10.8 6.8 −2.3 −1.7 −10.8 12.2 1.7 −9.2 1.5 −11.6 12.7 9.1 −2.8 −1.2 −11.6 13.8 1.8 −10.0 1.3 −10.8 11.4 8.1 −3.1 −1.4 −12.0 13.0 3.6 −0.5 13.8 1.0 6.7 7.9 −0.1 14.0 1.0 4.8 8.7 −0.7 10.8 4.6 3.6 4.3 0.1 10.1 4.2 2.0 5.7 −1.1 10.0 4.8 4.0 4.6 − 10.4 4.0 1.9 5.4 2012 2013 −0.8 −0.5 2.6 0.3 −1.4 −0.7 1.8 1.5 −0.5 −0.5 0.9 3.0 −0.2 1.1 −0.2 0.4 −0.3 1.5 −0.3 0.6 −0.5 1.4 −0.5 0.7 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 −1.2 2.1 −2.4 −0.6 2.2 −0.7 −2.8 2.9 −0.5 −1.5 2.0 −0.8 −3.8 3.5 −1.5 0.5 1.4 −0.2 −1.9 −1.5 0.7 −1.8 −1.1 0.5 −1.0 −1.6 0.8 −0.8 −1.0 0.4 −1.1 −1.6 0.7 −0.8 −1.0 0.5 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 −0.9 5.9 −5.4 0.1 −3.2 4.0 1.4 −1.8 −3.3 6.9 −5.5 0.8 −1.0 2.4 2.0 −1.2 −1.8 4.1 −2.9 0.5 −0.2 1.8 2.0 0.3 2.8 −0.7 0.2 −2.2 2.5 −1.3 −0.2 −1.6 2.5 0.3 −0.6 −1.8 2.1 −0.5 −0.9 −1.2 2.5 0.3 −0.6 −1.8 2.1 −0.4 −0.9 −1.2 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 −0.4 −1.3 −0.7 −1.8 0.6 1.6 − −0.5 −1.3 −1.4 1.1 −0.5 1.4 − −1.2 −1.7 0.9 0.3 −2.6 −0.7 0.1 −1.4 −1.0 −0.3 −2.7 −0.6 0.9 −1.2 −0.9 0.1 −2.2 −0.8 1.8 −1.2 −0.9 1.4 2013 Apr May Jun −0.3 1.2 9.6 −0.3 2.4 0.1 −0.7 0.6 12.6 −1.8 1.6 2.2 −2.8 1.5 8.7 −2.5 2.1 2.2 −1.3 −0.8 −0.2 −1.4 −0.5 −0.9 −0.4 −0.8 −0.2 −0.8 −0.3 −0.8 −0.6 −0.7 −0.1 −0.7 −0.3 −0.8 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec −11.2 0.1 −0.6 −0.9 0.4 3.6 1.0 −1.5 1.7 −1.7 0.4 −3.1 −14.0 2.1 0.1 −0.9 − 3.2 0.3 −2.1 3.5 −2.9 1.4 −2.6 −9.8 1.3 1.5 −2.0 0.1 3.2 −1.6 0.5 3.4 −2.8 2.0 −1.6 1.5 −0.8 −1.0 −0.2 −1.5 −0.2 1.5 −0.9 −0.9 −0.1 −0.7 −0.5 0.9 −1.1 −1.1 0.3 −1.3 −0.5 0.8 −1.2 −1.0 0.4 −0.5 −0.7 0.9 −1.1 −1.3 0.5 −1.4 −0.5 0.8 −1.2 −1.0 0.5 −0.5 −0.7 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun −5.1 −0.2 7.5 −4.9 −0.3 −2.4 2.1 −3.7 1.6 0.3 0.9 −0.4 −4.1 −0.5 7.3 −5.2 1.5 −1.7 0.9 −2.6 2.1 −0.3 0.8 1.1 −2.0 −1.0 6.1 −3.7 0.4 −0.7 −1.3 −0.9 1.7 −0.5 −0.3 2.1 −1.7 −0.6 0.3 −0.2 −0.4 −0.7 −0.5 −0.5 0.1 −0.7 −0.3 0.1 −1.6 −0.7 0.6 −0.2 −0.5 −0.9 −0.3 −0.5 0.4 −0.7 −0.5 − −1.1 −0.8 0.6 −0.1 −0.7 −0.9 −0.4 −0.5 0.4 −0.7 −0.4 − Jul Aug Sep 1.8 −2.9 3.5 4.2 −7.1 7.0 −0.6 −0.7 1.4 1.7 −6.2 3.2 −0.3 −0.8 0.2 0.8 −4.5 3.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 −0.6 − 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.3 1.9 0.8 0.4 1.4 0.1 0.2 Monthly: 3 month on 3 month comparison: 2013 Apr May Jun 0.4 1.7 5.9 −0.7 3.1 4.0 −1.1 1.6 7.0 0.9 2.8 2.4 −1.0 1.4 4.1 1.5 2.4 1.8 3.1 1.5 −0.7 2.5 0.7 −1.3 3.0 2.1 0.3 2.2 1.2 −0.4 3.1 2.0 0.3 2.2 1.3 −0.3 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 4.6 2.1 −5.5 −5.5 −5.0 0.2 3.8 1.7 1.3 −0.3 − −1.8 5.0 3.0 −5.5 −4.4 −4.3 0.9 2.9 2.1 2.0 0.1 0.6 −1.3 3.6 2.1 −2.9 −2.5 −2.4 0.5 2.1 1.8 2.0 1.4 1.9 0.3 −1.1 −0.4 0.2 −0.6 −1.6 −2.2 −1.5 −1.0 −0.2 −0.8 −1.3 −1.6 −0.6 −0.6 −0.6 −1.2 −1.7 −1.8 −0.9 −1.1 −1.0 −1.5 −1.4 −1.2 −0.5 −0.5 −0.6 −1.2 −1.8 −1.8 −0.9 −1.1 −1.0 −1.4 −1.4 −1.1 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 0.2 − −0.4 0.7 1.9 −1.3 −1.6 −3.2 −1.8 −2.2 0.3 0.6 0.1 −0.1 −0.1 0.7 2.2 −0.5 −0.8 −2.9 −1.4 −1.6 0.7 1.1 0.7 0.8 1.4 1.4 2.3 −0.1 −0.3 −2.4 −1.7 −1.3 0.3 0.9 −2.6 −2.6 −2.7 −1.7 −1.0 −0.7 −1.6 −1.5 −1.4 −1.2 −1.0 −1.0 −2.3 −2.6 −2.6 −1.6 −0.7 −0.7 −1.1 −1.3 −1.1 −0.9 −0.7 −1.0 −2.2 −2.3 −2.2 −1.4 −0.6 −0.8 −1.1 −1.3 −1.2 −1.0 −0.7 −0.9 Jul Aug Sep −2.3 −4.0 −0.7 2.8 0.7 1.6 −1.2 −3.2 −1.3 2.6 0.5 −0.5 −0.7 −2.1 −1.1 1.7 0.8 0.2 −0.8 −0.6 0.1 −0.7 −0.5 −0.3 −0.7 −0.4 0.9 −0.8 −0.4 0.2 −0.6 0.1 1.7 −0.3 0.5 1.4 1 These are provisional estimates subject to fluctuations when new or amended data become available. 2 Growth rates are derived from monthly, quar terly and annual indices measures. Due to rounding of these indices to one decimal place, discrepancies occur for 3 month on 3 month comparisons, relative to quar terly growth rates for the corresponding periods. 3 These are defined as ships, aircraft, precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 5 VOLUME INDICES WITH COUNTRIES INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE EU (TRADE IN GOODS) 1 Balance of Payments basis Indices 2011=100 seasonally adjusted Trade in goods with EU countries Total Total excluding oil 3 Trade in goods with Non-EU countries Total excluding oil and erratics 2 Total Total excluding oil Total excluding oil & erratics 2 Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts LGCT 100.0 94.0 93.8 LGDL 100.0 103.6 108.3 LKUL 100.0 92.4 91.8 LKVD 100.0 103.1 108.5 SHBS 100.0 92.3 91.7 SHCO 100.0 102.4 108.8 LGEH 100.0 105.1 104.3 LGFA 100.0 101.6 97.4 LKVZ 100.0 105.0 104.3 LKWS 100.0 100.1 97.2 SHDJ 100.0 107.6 107.1 SHED 100.0 99.0 97.5 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 93.0 95.2 93.2 102.4 104.4 104.3 91.0 92.2 92.4 101.8 103.9 103.6 91.0 92.6 91.5 101.3 102.7 102.9 104.7 106.7 103.7 100.6 103.0 101.8 102.4 106.8 105.7 99.2 101.0 99.7 104.2 109.5 107.6 99.3 100.5 100.1 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 92.6 94.8 96.3 91.7 105.6 106.5 109.8 111.3 89.3 92.2 93.6 92.3 105.6 106.8 110.6 111.0 89.0 91.6 93.7 92.6 106.2 107.1 110.6 111.3 102.4 112.2 98.5 104.0 93.7 100.8 100.3 95.0 102.1 112.7 99.7 102.8 95.2 99.0 99.0 95.6 106.6 112.1 103.6 106.0 95.2 98.2 98.5 98.3 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 89.8 91.9 91.0 106.2 106.6 106.8 90.6 92.2 90.6 107.5 108.7 107.5 90.9 92.5 91.7 107.1 108.8 107.7 105.3 100.1 99.7 96.3 97.0 100.1 104.5 101.8 100.8 96.6 97.5 97.8 110.9 108.9 107.5 99.5 99.4 101.4 2013 Mar Apr May Jun 93.3 92.1 96.8 95.4 109.9 104.9 106.1 108.4 90.7 89.7 92.1 94.8 109.6 105.6 106.0 108.8 91.2 89.1 91.8 93.8 110.3 105.9 106.6 108.9 106.1 106.6 103.9 126.1 94.8 99.2 102.7 100.6 106.4 106.0 104.7 127.4 95.8 96.3 99.5 101.1 110.3 106.7 106.8 122.9 95.0 94.8 98.7 101.1 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 99.7 96.4 92.6 89.0 89.7 96.4 109.3 107.7 112.5 110.9 112.2 110.6 93.5 93.9 93.3 89.6 90.2 97.0 110.7 108.0 113.2 109.8 111.7 111.6 93.6 94.1 93.5 89.6 90.3 97.8 110.1 108.3 113.2 109.8 112.0 112.2 94.7 98.8 101.9 104.0 104.2 103.9 101.7 100.1 99.0 97.0 96.3 91.5 97.0 100.7 101.3 103.5 102.9 102.1 99.5 98.0 99.6 96.9 97.8 92.0 100.9 103.0 106.8 107.0 106.3 104.6 95.7 99.0 100.9 98.3 100.4 96.0 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 88.5 87.2 93.7 93.5 91.5 90.9 106.6 106.7 105.2 105.8 105.1 108.8 89.9 90.5 91.4 92.2 91.4 93.0 107.1 107.6 107.7 107.7 107.5 110.8 90.2 91.2 91.3 92.5 91.5 93.6 105.8 107.8 107.6 108.2 106.8 111.4 102.1 103.0 110.8 100.4 102.0 97.8 99.9 92.0 96.8 96.9 99.4 94.8 101.2 99.4 112.8 101.1 104.6 99.5 99.5 92.9 97.4 96.7 98.7 97.1 108.8 105.6 118.1 108.9 110.8 107.0 101.3 96.5 100.8 98.8 100.3 99.2 Jul Aug Sep 91.2 90.7 90.9 108.6 103.6 108.3 91.4 90.3 90.0 110.1 103.9 108.6 92.6 91.4 90.9 110.2 104.4 108.5 101.1 95.5 102.6 103.8 93.7 102.9 100.0 99.7 102.6 101.9 94.9 96.5 107.3 107.1 107.9 102.8 99.4 102.1 4.5 −0.3 4.5 −0.5 3.9 7.4 9.8 2.9 1.7 0.7 2.7 2011 2012 2013 Percentage change on previous month: 2014 Sep 0.2 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 96.2 109.8 93.6 110.6 93.7 110.5 98.5 100.3 99.7 99.0 103.6 98.5 2014 Jun 92.0 106.6 92.2 108.7 92.5 108.8 100.1 97.0 101.7 97.5 108.9 99.4 2014 Sep 90.9 106.8 90.6 107.5 91.6 107.7 99.7 100.1 100.8 97.8 107.4 101.4 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −1.1 0.3 −1.8 −1.0 −1.0 −1.0 −0.3 3.2 −1.0 0.3 −1.3 2.0 −2.8 −2.2 −2.6 1.3 −0.1 1.1 −1.3 3.7 2.9 Same 3 months last year −5.5 −2.7 −3.2 1 These are provisional estimates subject to fluctuations when new or amended data become available. 2 These are defined as ships, aircraft, precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold 3 Includes trade with the Canary Islands, French Guiana, Guadeloupe Martinique and Reunion. 4 Please note, any differences between the quarterly and three monthly indices are due to rounding. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 6 PRICE INDICES WITH COUNTRIES INSIDE AND OUTSIDE THE EU (TRADE IN GOODS) 1 Balance of Payments basis Indices 2011=100 not seasonally adjusted Trade in goods with EU countries Total Total excluding oil 3 Trade in goods with Non-EU countries Total excluding oil and erratics 2 Total Total excluding oil Total excluding oil & erratics 2 Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts LGCR 100.0 98.9 100.2 LGDJ 100.0 98.5 99.4 LKUJ 100.0 98.6 100.4 LKVB 100.0 98.4 99.4 SHBQ 100.0 98.3 100.0 SHCM 100.0 98.4 99.4 LGEF 100.0 100.8 101.8 LGEY 100.0 101.1 101.0 LKVX 100.0 100.8 102.0 LKWQ 100.0 101.2 101.3 SHDH 100.0 100.8 101.9 SHEB 100.0 100.9 101.3 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 99.1 97.0 97.9 98.6 97.5 98.1 99.1 96.7 97.9 98.6 97.5 98.1 98.9 96.4 97.5 98.6 97.5 98.1 100.8 100.0 100.4 101.1 100.0 100.3 100.9 100.2 100.6 101.4 100.5 100.7 100.9 100.3 100.5 101.0 100.3 100.6 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 101.5 100.1 100.8 98.5 100.3 99.5 99.4 98.4 101.1 101.0 100.6 98.8 100.0 99.8 99.3 98.5 100.8 100.6 100.3 98.4 100.0 99.8 99.3 98.6 102.4 102.5 102.2 100.1 103.2 101.2 101.0 98.7 102.3 103.1 102.2 100.4 102.9 102.4 100.8 99.1 102.2 103.0 102.1 100.2 102.8 102.4 100.8 99.1 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 96.7 95.7 94.7 97.1 96.5 96.4 97.3 96.2 96.0 97.3 96.7 96.7 97.3 96.2 95.7 97.4 96.7 96.9 96.4 96.1 97.6 97.2 96.0 95.4 96.6 96.3 98.4 97.9 96.7 97.1 96.9 96.5 100.6 97.9 96.8 99.8 2013 Mar Apr May Jun 102.3 100.6 99.9 99.8 100.5 99.9 99.5 99.2 102.0 101.4 100.6 100.8 100.3 100.0 99.7 99.5 101.7 101.0 100.3 100.4 100.3 100.1 99.8 99.5 104.1 103.2 102.4 101.9 104.4 102.0 101.5 100.1 104.1 103.8 102.9 102.5 104.4 103.1 102.8 101.3 104.1 103.6 102.9 102.4 104.4 103.1 102.8 101.3 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 101.5 101.1 99.8 99.4 97.9 98.2 100.2 99.5 98.6 99.0 98.3 97.9 101.6 100.8 99.5 99.7 98.4 98.3 100.2 99.3 98.4 99.0 98.5 97.9 101.2 100.5 99.1 99.3 98.1 97.9 100.2 99.3 98.4 99.1 98.6 98.0 103.3 102.1 101.2 101.3 99.7 99.1 102.1 100.9 100.0 99.4 98.6 98.1 103.5 102.0 101.1 101.6 100.1 99.3 102.3 100.7 99.5 99.7 99.3 98.3 103.5 101.9 100.9 101.5 100.0 99.1 102.3 100.6 99.5 99.7 99.2 98.3 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 97.0 96.4 96.8 96.3 95.9 95.0 97.2 96.9 97.3 96.9 96.4 96.0 97.4 96.8 97.5 97.0 96.4 95.3 97.3 97.0 97.5 97.2 96.7 96.1 97.5 96.8 97.6 97.1 96.3 95.2 97.4 97.1 97.6 97.3 96.7 96.2 96.9 96.1 96.3 96.5 96.1 95.6 97.7 97.0 97.0 95.8 95.8 96.5 97.0 96.2 96.6 96.8 96.3 95.7 98.4 97.6 97.8 96.6 96.4 97.1 97.3 96.4 96.8 97.2 96.5 95.9 98.4 97.5 97.8 96.7 96.4 97.2 Jul Aug Sep 94.9 95.0 94.2 97.1 96.2 96.0 95.8 96.4 95.9 96.7 96.6 96.6 95.4 96.0 95.5 97.0 96.9 96.8 96.8 97.4 98.5 95.6 95.2 95.4 97.3 98.2 99.5 96.6 96.9 97.6 99.5 100.4 101.8 99.4 99.6 100.3 −0.2 −0.5 0.0 −0.5 −0.1 1.1 0.2 1.3 0.7 1.4 0.7 2011 2012 2013 Percentage change on previous month: 2014 Sep −0.8 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 100.8 99.4 100.6 99.3 100.3 99.3 102.2 101.0 102.2 100.8 102.1 100.8 2014 Jun 95.7 96.4 96.2 96.7 96.2 96.7 96.1 96.0 96.3 96.7 96.5 96.8 2014 Sep 94.7 96.4 96.0 96.6 95.6 96.9 97.6 95.4 98.3 97.0 100.6 99.8 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −1.1 0.0 −0.2 0.0 −0.6 0.2 1.6 −0.7 2.1 0.3 4.2 3.1 −2.7 −4.6 −2.4 −4.5 −5.5 −3.8 −3.8 −1.5 −1.0 Same 3 months last year −6.1 −3.0 −4.6 1 These are provisional estimates subject to fluctuations when new or amended data become available. 2 These are defined as ships, aircraft, precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold. 3 Includes trade with the Canary Islands, French Guiana, Guadeloupe, Martinique and Reunion. 4 Please note, any differences between the quarterly and three monthly indices are due to rounding. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 7 TRADE IN OIL1 Balance of Payments basis Seasonally adjusted Expor ts Impor ts Crude oil (SITC 333) Balance of Trade in Oil £ million Total £ million ENXQ −11 495 −14 380 −10 013 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 Crude oil (SITC 333) £ million million tonnes Avg value per tonne £ Rest of SITC 33 £ million £ million million tonnes Avg value2 per tonne £ Rest of SITC 33 £ million ELBL 37 966 39 516 39 314 BQNI 17 054 19 131 19 389 BOQM 34 34 35 BPBN 502 558 549 BOQN 20 912 20 385 19 925 ENXO 49 461 53 896 49 327 BQNJ 27 719 29 877 25 277 BQBH 53 56 49 BQAX 519 531 518 BQAY 21 742 24 019 24 050 −3 083 −3 365 −4 778 10 259 10 080 8 790 5 166 4 808 4 558 9 9 9 595 550 492 5 093 5 272 4 232 13 342 13 445 13 568 7 713 7 307 6 818 14 14 13 544 508 516 5 629 6 138 6 750 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 −1 260 −3 260 −2 989 −2 504 10 660 9 712 9 877 9 065 4 856 4 638 4 948 4 947 9 8 9 9 550 554 568 524 5 804 5 074 4 929 4 118 11 920 12 972 12 866 11 569 5 983 7 139 7 091 5 064 11 14 14 10 534 510 523 506 5 937 5 833 5 775 6 505 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 −2 255 −2 676 −3 820 8 553 7 871 7 674 4 002 3 557 4 087 9 6 9 425 576 464 4 551 4 314 3 587 10 808 10 547 11 494 5 163 5 356 5 690 10 11 12 492 499 464 5 645 5 191 5 804 2014 Apr May Jun −772 −1 064 −840 2 843 2 571 2 457 1 496 1 062 999 2 2 2 902 441 474 1 347 1 509 1 458 3 615 3 635 3 297 1 837 1 993 1 526 3 4 3 525 485 487 1 778 1 642 1 771 Jul Aug Sep −981 −1 215 −1 624 2 862 2 146 2 666 1 480 1 143 1 464 3 2 3 471 459 462 1 382 1 003 1 202 3 843 3 361 4 290 1 832 1 546 2 312 4 3 5 481 462 451 2 011 1 815 1 978 2013 Sep −2 989 9 877 4 948 9 566 4 929 12 866 7 091 14 524 5 775 2014 Jun −2 676 7 871 3 557 6 606 4 314 10 547 5 356 11 499 5 191 2014 Sep −3 820 7 674 4 087 9 464 3 587 11 494 5 690 12 465 5 804 14.9 42.6 −23.4 −16.9 9.0 6.2 14.4 −6.9 11.8 −17.4 1.2 −18.1 −27.2 −10.7 −19.8 −9.5 −11.3 0.5 2011 2012 2013 2 Total £ million 3 months ended: Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −2.5 Same 3 months last year −22.3 1 Trade in petroleum and petroleum products. These figures differ from those published by the Department of Energy and Climate Change which are compiled from different sources and are on a time of shipment basis. 2 The average value per tonne may reflect not only changes in price but also changes in the commodity mix. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 8 VALUE OF TRADE IN GOODS BY COMMODITY Balance of Payments basis £ million seasonally adjusted Food, beverages and tobacco (SITC 0 + 1) Basic materials (SITC 2 + 4) Fuels (SITC 3) Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance BOPL 21 104 19 038 19 804 BQAR 35 920 36 589 38 192 ELBE −14 816 −17 551 −18 388 BOPM 8 991 8 464 7 670 BQAS 11 900 10 674 12 491 ELBF −2 909 −2 210 −4 821 BOPN 42 713 43 714 42 921 BQAT 61 837 65 287 61 740 ELBG −19 124 −21 573 −18 819 2012 Q4 4 760 9 343 −4 583 2 090 2 672 −582 9 581 16 463 −6 882 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 4 782 4 997 5 203 4 822 9 424 9 573 9 617 9 578 −4 642 −4 576 −4 414 −4 756 2 037 1 985 1 786 1 862 3 106 3 193 3 087 3 105 −1 069 −1 208 −1 301 −1 243 11 473 10 762 10 841 9 845 15 307 16 626 15 573 14 234 −3 834 −5 864 −4 732 −4 389 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 4 660 4 725 4 661 9 151 9 218 9 072 −4 491 −4 493 −4 411 1 773 1 654 1 774 2 893 2 774 2 740 −1 120 −1 120 −966 9 272 8 746 8 514 13 261 12 775 13 605 −3 989 −4 029 −5 091 2014 Apr May Jun 1 543 1 566 1 616 3 132 2 996 3 090 −1 589 −1 430 −1 474 561 526 567 948 902 924 −387 −376 −357 3 146 2 897 2 703 4 330 4 411 4 034 −1 184 −1 514 −1 331 Jul Aug Sep 1 530 1 575 1 556 3 014 3 011 3 047 −1 484 −1 436 −1 491 599 636 539 949 897 894 −350 −261 −355 3 183 2 380 2 951 4 608 3 973 5 024 −1 425 −1 593 −2 073 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 5 203 9 617 −4 414 1 786 3 087 −1 301 10 841 15 573 −4 732 2014 Jun 4 725 9 218 −4 493 1 654 2 774 −1 120 8 746 12 775 −4 029 2014 Sep 4 661 9 072 −4 411 1 774 2 740 −966 8 514 13 605 −5 091 7.3 −1.2 −2.7 6.5 −0.7 −11.2 −21.5 −12.6 2011 2012 2013 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −1.4 −1.6 −10.4 Same 3 months last year −5.7 Semi-manufactures (SITC 5 + 6) Finished manufactures (SITC 7 + 8) Total manufactures (SITC 5 to 8) Miscellaneous (SITC 9) Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance 2011 2012 2013 BOPO 87 832 85 226 81 108 BQAU 101 418 103 174 98 056 ELBH −13 586 −17 948 −16 948 BOPP 136 640 139 923 147 065 BQAV 187 382 190 905 201 625 ELBI −50 742 −50 982 −54 560 BPAN 224 472 225 149 228 173 BQBD 288 800 294 079 299 681 ELBJ −64 328 −68 930 −71 508 BOQL 11 904 8 777 8 242 BQAW 7 242 7 485 4 902 BQKX 4 662 1 292 3 340 2012 Q4 21 499 25 844 −4 345 35 261 47 176 −11 915 56 760 73 020 −16 260 2 427 1 419 1 008 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 20 203 21 190 19 828 19 887 25 659 24 466 24 345 23 586 −5 456 −3 276 −4 517 −3 699 35 724 37 750 36 570 37 021 48 315 50 298 51 792 51 220 −12 591 −12 548 −15 222 −14 199 55 927 58 940 56 398 56 908 73 974 74 764 76 137 74 806 −18 047 −15 824 −19 739 −17 898 1 700 3 128 1 967 1 447 881 1 448 1 638 935 819 1 680 329 512 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 18 839 18 502 18 901 22 370 22 981 22 840 −3 531 −4 479 −3 939 35 940 36 283 35 777 50 431 50 573 50 299 −14 491 −14 290 −14 522 54 779 54 785 54 678 72 801 73 554 73 139 −18 022 −18 769 −18 461 1 688 1 178 1 113 1 203 874 1 233 485 304 −120 2014 Apr May Jun 6 088 6 290 6 124 7 561 7 679 7 741 −1 473 −1 389 −1 617 12 187 12 152 11 944 16 686 16 907 16 980 −4 499 −4 755 −5 036 18 275 18 442 18 068 24 247 24 586 24 721 −5 972 −6 144 −6 653 372 363 443 299 280 295 73 83 148 Jul Aug Sep 6 249 6 213 6 439 7 850 7 574 7 416 −1 601 −1 361 −977 11 836 11 778 12 163 17 215 16 150 16 934 −5 379 −4 372 −4 771 18 085 17 991 18 602 25 065 23 724 24 350 −6 980 −5 733 −5 748 400 403 310 439 330 464 −39 73 −154 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 19 828 24 345 −4 517 36 570 51 792 −15 222 56 398 76 137 −19 739 1 967 1 638 329 2014 Jun 18 502 22 981 −4 479 36 283 50 573 −14 290 54 785 73 554 −18 769 1 178 874 304 2014 Sep 18 901 22 840 −3 939 35 777 50 299 −14 522 54 678 73 139 −18 461 1 113 1 233 −120 −1.4 −0.5 −0.2 −0.6 −5.5 41.1 −43.4 −24.7 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months 2.2 −0.6 Same 3 months last year EXCLUDING ERRATICS Previous 3 months Same 3 months last year −4.7 −6.2 −2.2 −2.9 −3.0 −3.9 1.9 −0.4 −1.9 0.3 −0.6 0.1 0.6 −2.8 −2.7 −2.7 −1.5 −2.8 1 1 These are defined as precious stone, silver and non monetary gold in semimanufactures, and as ships and aircraft in finished manufactures. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 9 VOLUME INDICES (TRADE IN GOODS) BY COMMODITY 1 Balance of Payments basis Indices 2011=100 seasonally adjusted Food, beverages and tobacco (SITC 0 + 1) Basic materials (SITC 2 + 4) Fuels (SITC 3) Semi-manufactures (SITC 5 + 6) Finished manufactures (SITC 7 + 8) Total manufactures (SITC 5 to 8) Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts 68 89 29 29 138 152 284 250 442 462 726 712 BPEM 100 90 90 BQBK 100 101 103 BAFB 100 96 93 BQBL 100 90 107 BAFC 100 102 101 BQBM 100 105 100 BAHA 100 102 97 BQBN 100 104 100 BAHY 100 100 104 ELAB 100 102 107 BOGT 100 101 101 ELAJ 100 103 104 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 88 93 90 99 102 102 90 95 95 90 88 91 110 107 90 105 108 108 96 104 103 106 104 105 99 101 101 101 103 101 98 102 102 103 103 103 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 88 90 95 88 102 103 103 103 97 94 87 93 99 111 107 109 104 106 100 94 94 108 101 96 96 102 95 97 103 99 99 97 101 105 102 105 102 105 110 110 99 104 99 102 102 103 106 106 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 89 90 92 98 100 101 91 85 92 109 108 105 91 87 90 90 87 101 94 93 94 95 97 96 106 107 103 111 111 110 101 101 100 105 106 105 2014 Apr May Jun 89 90 92 103 98 101 87 81 86 110 105 108 96 86 78 89 91 81 92 95 91 96 97 98 107 108 106 110 111 112 101 103 100 105 106 107 Jul Aug Sep 89 92 94 99 100 102 93 100 81 110 104 102 97 78 96 101 86 116 94 93 96 100 96 93 103 102 104 114 105 111 100 99 101 109 102 105 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 95 103 87 107 100 101 95 99 102 110 100 107 2014 Jun 90 101 85 108 87 87 93 97 107 111 101 106 2014 Sep 92 100 91 105 90 101 94 96 103 110 100 105 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months 1.5 −0.3 7.9 −2.2 4.2 16.1 1.8 −0.7 −3.7 −0.9 −1.3 −0.6 −1.9 −9.7 0.0 −0.4 −3.0 1.0 0.0 0.3 −1.2 1.3 −1.0 −3.1 0.0 −1.6 −0.3 5.5 −0.7 0.6 0.0 2.3 0.3 Weights2 (total trade = 1000) 2011 2012 2013 −3.8 Same 3 months last year EXCLUDING ERRATICS Previous 3 months −2.6 5.0 3 Same 3 months last year 1 These are provisional estimates subject to fluctuations when new or amended data become available. 2 The weights shown are in proportion to the total value of trade in 2011 and are used to combine the volume indices to calculate the totals for 2012 onwards. For 2011 and earlier, totals are calculated using the equivalent weights for the previous year (eg totals for 2011 use 2010 weights). 3 These are defined as precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold in semi-manufactures, and as ships and aircraft in finished manufactures. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 10 PRICE INDICES (TRADE IN GOODS) BY COMMODITY 1 Balance of Payments Consistent basis Indices 2011=100 not seasonally adjusted Food, beverages and tobacco (SITC 0 + 1) Basic materials (SITC 2 + 4) Fuels (SITC 3) Semi-manufactures (SITC 5 + 6) Finished manufactures (SITC 7 + 8) Total manufactures (SITC 5 to 8) Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts 68 89 29 29 138 152 284 250 442 462 726 712 BPAI 100 100 104 ELAN 100 102 104 BPAW 100 98 91 ELAO 100 101 99 BPDU 100 101 99 ELAP 100 101 101 BQAA 100 96 96 ELAQ 100 98 97 BQAB 100 102 104 ELAR 100 100 101 BQAI 100 100 101 ELAY 100 99 99 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 100 99 100 101 101 103 99 97 94 101 100 101 99 98 98 100 97 100 96 95 96 99 97 97 103 101 101 100 100 100 100 98 99 100 99 99 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 104 106 103 103 103 105 105 105 93 95 90 85 102 103 98 94 104 96 102 97 106 98 102 99 98 97 96 94 99 98 97 96 104 105 105 103 101 101 101 99 102 102 102 100 101 100 99 98 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 101 101 96 104 102 101 86 87 86 94 91 88 94 93 88 97 93 88 93 92 92 94 94 95 99 99 101 98 98 98 97 96 98 97 96 97 2014 Apr May Jun 103 101 101 102 103 102 87 87 86 92 92 89 92 93 94 93 94 93 92 92 91 94 94 93 100 99 98 98 97 98 97 96 95 96 96 96 Jul Aug Sep 97 96 95 101 101 100 86 85 85 88 88 88 90 88 86 92 87 86 91 92 92 95 95 95 100 102 102 98 99 99 97 98 98 97 97 97 3 months ended: 2013 Sep 103 104 90 98 102 102 96 97 105 100 102 99 2014 Jun 102 102 87 91 93 93 92 94 99 98 96 96 2014 Sep 96 101 85 88 88 88 92 95 101 99 98 97 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −5.6 −1.6 −1.5 −3.3 −5.4 −5.4 0.0 1.4 2.4 1.0 1.7 1.0 −10.2 −13.4 −13.4 −4.5 −2.1 −3.5 −1.7 −3.9 −2.3 −0.4 1.4 1.7 1.0 1.0 1.4 −5.5 −1.4 −3.2 −2.0 −4.0 −2.0 Weights2 (total trade = 1000) 2011 2012 2013 −6.8 Same 3 months last year EXCLUDING ERRATICS Previous 3 months −3.5 −5.2 3 Same 3 months last year 1 These are provisional estimates subject to fluctuations when new or amended data become available. 2 The weights shown are in proportion to the total value of trade in 2011 and are used to combine the volume indices to calculate the totals for 2012 onwards. For 2011 and earlier, totals are calculated using the equivalent weights for the previous year (eg totals for 2011 use 2010 weights). 3 These are defined as precious stones, silver and non-monetary gold in semi-manufactures, and as ships and aircraft in finished manufactures. † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 11 TRADE IN GOODS WITH SELECTED EU TRADING PARTNERS Balance of Payments Consistent basis £ million seasonally adjusted Belgium & Luxembourg France Germany Irish Republic Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance CHNQ 16 082 14 470 14 200 CHNY 20 364 19 223 20 859 CHNF −4 282 −4 753 −6 659 ENYL 21 803 20 947 21 239 ENYP 23 401 22 899 24 469 ENYT −1 598 −1 952 −3 230 ENYO 35 511 33 299 30 686 ENYS 51 403 53 648 57 412 ENYW −15 892 −20 349 −26 726 CHNS 17 693 17 281 18 847 CHOA 13 263 13 068 12 570 CHNH 4 430 4 213 6 277 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 3 550 3 617 3 573 4 564 4 763 4 902 −1 014 −1 146 −1 329 4 937 5 528 5 186 5 680 5 706 5 758 −743 −178 −572 8 352 7 911 8 520 13 132 13 641 13 577 −4 780 −5 730 −5 057 4 287 4 431 4 279 3 494 3 124 2 891 793 1 307 1 388 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 3 756 3 656 3 564 3 224 5 343 5 153 5 188 5 175 −1 587 −1 497 −1 624 −1 951 5 200 5 502 5 360 5 177 5 937 6 104 6 264 6 164 −737 −602 −904 −987 7 926 7 373 7 946 7 441 13 937 14 381 14 587 14 507 −6 011 −7 008 −6 641 −7 066 4 709 4 651 4 737 4 750 3 020 3 232 2 999 3 319 1 689 1 419 1 738 1 431 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 3 158 3 298 3 152 4 814 4 900 5 182 −1 656 −1 602 −2 030 4 615 4 359 4 891 6 079 6 153 5 862 −1 464 −1 794 −971 7 151 7 628 7 338 13 842 14 429 14 464 −6 691 −6 801 −7 126 4 572 4 476 4 374 2 945 2 372 2 674 1 627 2 104 1 700 2014 Apr May Jun 1 122 1 092 1 084 1 579 1 625 1 696 −457 −533 −612 1 407 1 492 1 460 2 008 2 047 2 098 −601 −555 −638 2 607 2 516 2 505 4 775 4 776 4 878 −2 168 −2 260 −2 373 1 492 1 490 1 494 762 810 800 730 680 694 Jul Aug Sep 1 070 990 1 092 1 712 1 728 1 742 −642 −738 −650 1 444 1 800 1 647 2 029 1 821 2 012 −585 −21 −365 2 528 2 426 2 384 4 844 4 731 4 889 −2 316 −2 305 −2 505 1 509 1 431 1 434 859 900 915 650 531 519 2013 Sep 3 564 5 188 −1 624 5 360 6 264 −904 7 946 14 587 −6 641 4 737 2 999 1 738 2014 Jun 3 298 4 900 −1 602 4 359 6 153 −1 794 7 628 14 429 −6 801 4 476 2 372 2 104 2014 Sep 3 152 5 182 −2 030 4 891 5 862 −971 7 338 14 464 −7 126 4 374 2 674 1 700 12.2 −4.7 −3.8 0.2 −2.3 12.7 −6.4 −7.7 −0.8 −7.7 2011 2012 2013 3 months ended: Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −4.4 5.8 Same 3 months last year −11.6 −0.1 −8.7 Italy Netherlands Spain −10.8 Sweden Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance CHNO 10 887 8 525 8 986 CHNW 14 322 14 546 15 294 CHOE −3 435 −6 021 −6 308 CHNP 25 161 25 448 26 077 CHNX 29 020 31 843 35 324 CHNE −3 859 −6 395 −9 247 CHNV 9 657 8 503 8 782 CHOD 11 993 11 755 12 464 CHNM −2 336 −3 252 −3 682 CHNA 6 216 5 732 5 845 CHND 7 838 9 231 7 634 CHVI −1 622 −3 499 −1 789 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 2 170 2 063 2 103 3 657 3 717 3 561 −1 487 −1 654 −1 458 6 052 6 449 6 143 7 740 7 983 8 502 −1 688 −1 534 −2 359 2 047 2 113 2 177 2 899 2 968 2 985 −852 −855 −808 1 364 1 432 1 429 2 342 2 350 2 374 −978 −918 −945 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 2 205 2 199 2 317 2 265 3 567 3 733 3 952 4 042 −1 362 −1 534 −1 635 −1 777 6 326 6 682 7 044 6 025 8 776 8 870 8 854 8 824 −2 450 −2 188 −1 810 −2 799 2 059 2 243 2 235 2 245 2 974 2 969 3 182 3 339 −915 −726 −947 −1 094 1 433 1 368 1 571 1 473 2 061 1 808 1 890 1 875 −628 −440 −319 −402 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 2 049 2 132 2 061 3 699 3 442 3 550 −1 650 −1 310 −1 489 5 511 5 443 5 609 7 832 7 645 7 561 −2 321 −2 202 −1 952 2 273 2 210 2 193 3 194 3 377 3 268 −921 −1 167 −1 075 1 230 1 265 1 310 1 964 1 975 1 988 −734 −710 −678 2014 Apr May Jun 735 712 685 1 183 1 138 1 121 −448 −426 −436 1 860 1 727 1 856 2 540 2 482 2 623 −680 −755 −767 776 737 697 1 136 1 112 1 129 −360 −375 −432 431 418 416 662 633 680 −231 −215 −264 Jul Aug Sep 707 686 668 1 070 1 283 1 197 −363 −597 −529 1 779 1 808 2 022 2 570 2 443 2 548 −791 −635 −526 760 764 669 1 109 1 021 1 138 −349 −257 −469 447 438 425 698 635 655 −251 −197 −230 2013 Sep 2 317 3 952 −1 635 7 044 8 854 −1 810 2 235 3 182 −947 1 571 1 890 −319 2014 Jun 2 132 3 442 −1 310 5 443 7 645 −2 202 2 210 3 377 −1 167 1 265 1 975 −710 2014 Sep 2 061 3 550 −1 489 5 609 7 561 −1 952 2 193 3 268 −1 075 1 310 1 988 −678 3.0 −1.1 −0.8 −3.2 3.6 0.7 −20.4 −14.6 −1.9 2.7 −16.6 5.2 2011 2012 2013 3 months ended: Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −3.3 3.1 Same 3 months last year † −11.0 −10.2 Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 12 TRADE IN GOODS WITH SELECTED NON-EU TRADING PARTNERS Balance of Payments Consistent basis £ million seasonally adjusted Canada China Hong Kong Japan Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance EOBC 3 840 3 852 3 985 EOBW 6 150 5 566 5 754 EOCQ −2 310 −1 714 −1 769 ERDN 8 585 10 715 13 203 ERDZ 32 687 32 530 33 924 EREL −24 102 −21 815 −20 721 ERDG 4 347 4 987 5 621 ERDS 7 637 7 438 7 389 EREE −3 290 −2 451 −1 768 EOBD 3 822 4 563 4 794 EOBX 8 884 8 580 7 629 EOCR −5 062 −4 017 −2 835 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 930 1 054 801 1 317 1 365 1 421 −387 −311 −620 2 686 2 693 3 014 8 588 8 164 7 885 −5 902 −5 471 −4 871 1 211 1 218 1 302 1 850 1 947 1 757 −639 −729 −455 1 127 1 128 1 120 2 222 2 051 1 944 −1 095 −923 −824 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 935 1 072 950 1 028 1 416 1 532 1 550 1 256 −481 −460 −600 −228 2 908 3 494 3 202 3 599 8 152 8 344 8 802 8 626 −5 244 −4 850 −5 600 −5 027 1 322 1 538 1 398 1 363 1 749 1 961 1 835 1 844 −427 −423 −437 −481 1 200 1 317 1 139 1 138 1 958 1 865 1 946 1 860 −758 −548 −807 −722 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 876 710 749 1 253 1 186 2 127 −377 −476 −1 378 3 302 3 090 3 406 9 801 9 502 8 475 −6 499 −6 412 −5 069 1 600 1 483 1 589 2 066 2 047 1 693 −466 −564 −104 1 088 1 075 1 059 1 795 1 874 1 823 −707 −799 −764 2014 Apr May Jun 235 246 229 396 395 395 −161 −149 −166 1 036 1 058 996 3 206 3 149 3 147 −2 170 −2 091 −2 151 481 489 513 678 703 666 −197 −214 −153 365 368 342 618 628 628 −253 −260 −286 Jul Aug Sep 183 304 262 384 847 896 −201 −543 −634 1 114 1 063 1 229 3 079 2 550 2 846 −1 965 −1 487 −1 617 512 527 550 635 504 554 −123 23 −4 348 377 334 661 556 606 −313 −179 −272 2013 Sep 950 1 550 −600 3 202 8 802 −5 600 1 398 1 835 −437 1 139 1 946 −807 2014 Jun 710 1 186 −476 3 090 9 502 −6 412 1 483 2 047 −564 1 075 1 874 −799 2014 Sep 749 2 127 −1 378 3 406 8 475 −5 069 1 589 1 693 −104 1 059 1 823 −764 10.2 −10.8 7.1 −17.3 −1.5 −2.7 −3.7 13.7 −7.7 −7.0 −6.3 2011 2012 2013 3 months ended: Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months 5.5 79.3 Same 3 months last year −21.2 37.2 6.4 Norway South Korea Switzerland USA inc Puerto Rico Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance EPLX 2 727 3 297 3 456 EPMX 25 267 22 428 17 513 EPNX −22 540 −19 131 −14 057 ERDM 2 176 4 565 5 183 ERDY 2 619 3 262 3 405 EREK −443 1 303 1 778 EPLV 4 968 6 555 6 061 EPMV 7 769 9 220 7 931 EPNV −2 801 −2 665 −1 870 J9C5 60 216 49 957 40 644 J9C6 28 800 30 028 27 651 J9C4 31 416 19 929 12 993 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 917 750 786 6 009 4 600 4 930 −5 092 −3 850 −4 144 1 360 1 032 1 140 881 842 737 479 190 403 1 416 1 620 2 173 1 883 2 125 3 355 −467 −505 −1 182 12 581 12 826 11 568 7 380 7 837 7 396 5 201 4 989 4 172 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 866 999 794 797 4 511 4 806 4 310 3 886 −3 645 −3 807 −3 516 −3 089 1 492 964 770 1 957 849 771 857 928 643 193 −87 1 029 1 469 1 750 1 405 1 437 1 830 2 063 2 148 1 890 −361 −313 −743 −453 10 534 10 778 9 792 9 540 6 998 7 043 6 916 6 694 3 536 3 735 2 876 2 846 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 989 1 054 896 4 505 5 231 3 835 −3 516 −4 177 −2 939 1 723 1 666 1 172 741 746 899 982 920 273 1 637 1 582 2 854 1 765 1 819 2 553 −128 −237 301 9 720 9 361 9 164 6 351 6 210 7 599 3 369 3 151 1 565 2014 Apr May Jun 354 361 339 1 710 1 795 1 726 −1 356 −1 434 −1 387 558 571 537 249 250 247 309 321 290 531 542 509 669 657 493 −138 −115 16 3 111 3 124 3 126 2 069 2 140 2 001 1 042 984 1 125 Jul Aug Sep 370 246 280 1 905 731 1 199 −1 535 −485 −919 599 226 347 242 284 373 357 −58 −26 569 591 1 694 624 1 202 727 −55 −611 967 3 108 3 100 2 956 2 341 2 604 2 654 767 496 302 2013 Sep 794 4 310 −3 516 770 857 −87 1 405 2 148 −743 9 792 6 916 2 876 2014 Jun 1 054 5 231 −4 177 1 666 746 920 1 582 1 819 −237 9 361 6 210 3 151 2014 Sep 896 3 835 −2 939 1 172 899 273 2 854 2 553 301 9 164 7 599 1 565 −29.7 20.5 80.4 40.4 −2.1 22.4 52.2 4.9 103.1 18.9 −6.4 9.9 2011 2012 2013 3 months ended: Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months −15.0 −26.7 Same 3 months last year † 12.8 −11.0 Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 13 TRADE IN GOODS EXCLUDING ADJUSTMENTS TO TRADE ASSOCIATED WITH MTIC FRAUD1 £ million MTIC fraud trade adj’ment Current price Current price Current price Value of trade Total imports less MTIC adjustment Total EU imports less MTIC adjustment Total non-EU imports less MTIC adjustment Total imports less MTIC adjustment 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 OFNN 11 057 22 378 2 138 2 272 2 031 BQHQ 271 318 299 891 313 620 349 108 312 306 CLAS 150 550 162 256 169 954 182 016 163 186 CLAT 120 768 137 635 143 666 167 092 149 120 BQHS 361 268 390 980 402 814 395 912 353 251 2010 2011 2012 2013 2 522 2 755 2 235 1 815 365 704 402 944 411 879 415 191 185 987 202 886 207 409 219 539 179 717 200 058 204 470 195 652 396 267 402 944 413 948 415 872 2012 Q2 Q3 Q4 525 541 520 101 819 102 810 102 397 51 231 51 901 52 141 50 588 50 909 50 256 102 431 104 664 103 984 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 520 490 421 384 102 172 105 114 105 631 102 274 53 801 54 297 55 585 55 856 48 371 50 817 50 046 46 418 100 647 104 709 106 213 104 303 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 188 199 223 99 121 98 996 99 566 52 339 52 165 52 122 46 782 46 831 47 444 102 536 103 122 104 770 2013 May Jun 160 152 35 300 35 220 18 067 18 442 17 233 16 778 35 155 35 213 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 159 124 138 135 130 119 35 633 34 881 35 117 34 344 34 327 33 603 18 509 18 249 18 827 18 554 18 732 18 570 17 124 16 632 16 290 15 790 15 595 15 033 35 537 35 032 35 644 35 043 35 165 34 095 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 63 67 58 52 62 85 33 654 32 524 32 943 32 904 33 113 32 979 17 567 17 525 17 247 17 274 17 201 17 690 16 087 14 999 15 696 15 630 15 912 15 289 34 865 33 561 34 110 34 238 34 519 34 365 Jul Aug Sep 76 74 74 33 999 31 861 33 705 17 561 16 967 17 593 16 438 14 894 16 112 35 834 33 306 35 630 Percentage change, latest 3 months compared with: Previous 3 months 12.6 0.6 −0.1 1.3 1.6 −46.8 −5.7 −6.2 −5.2 −1.4 Percentage change, latest quarter compared with: Previous quarter 12.1 0.6 −0.1 1.3 1.6 −47.0 −5.7 −6.2 −5.2 −1.4 Same 3 months last year Same quarter last year 1 The adjustments are for the missing declarations (non response) and do not reflect the overall level of MTIC-related trade 2 From April 2010, data are presented in £ million to bring this table in line with others in this Statistical Bulletin. Previously, data were presented in £ billion. † Chained volume measure Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. OFFICIAL-SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 07 November 2014. 14. UK'S TOP 50 EXPORT MARKETS AND IMPORT SOURCES IN 2013 BoP-consistent basis EXPORT MARKETS Country 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42 43 44 45 46 47 48 49 50 IMPORT SOURCES Value £ million % of Total Cumulative UK Exports percentage Country Value % of Total Cumulative £ million UK Imports percentage United States 40 644 13.2 13.2 1 Germany 57 412 13.8 Germany 30 686 10.0 23.2 2 Netherlands 35 324 8.5 Netherlands 26 077 8.5 31.7 3 China 33 924 8.1 France 21 239 6.9 38.6 4 United States 27 651 6.6 Irish Republic 18 847 6.1 44.7 5 France 24 469 5.9 Belgium & Luxembourg 14 200 4.6 49.3 6 Belgium & Luxembourg 20 859 5.0 China 13 203 4.3 53.6 7 Norway 17 513 4.2 Italy 8 986 2.9 56.5 8 Italy 15 294 3.7 Spain 8 782 2.9 59.4 9 Irish Republic 12 570 3.0 United Arab Emirates 6 180 2.0 61.4 10 Spain 12 464 3.0 India 6 075 2.0 63.4 11 Poland 7 968 1.9 Switzerland 6 061 2.0 65.4 12 Switzerland 7 931 1.9 Sweden 5 845 1.9 67.3 13 Sweden 7 634 1.8 Hong Kong 5 621 1.8 69.1 14 Japan 7 629 1.8 Russia 5 231 1.7 70.8 15 Hong Kong 7 389 1.8 South Korea 5 183 1.7 72.5 16 Russia 7 138 1.7 Japan 4 794 1.6 74.1 17 India 7 110 1.7 Australia 4 303 1.4 75.5 18 Turkey 6 199 1.5 Singapore 4 216 1.4 76.9 19 Denmark 5 893 1.4 Turkey 4 070 1.3 78.2 20 Canada 5 754 1.4 Canada 3 985 1.3 79.5 21 Czech Republic 4 703 1.1 Poland 3 891 1.3 80.8 22 Taiwan 3 636 0.9 Norway 3 456 1.1 81.9 23 Algeria 3 489 0.8 Saudi Arabia 3 442 1.1 83.0 24 South Korea 3 405 0.8 Denmark 2 919 1.0 84.0 25 Nigeria 3 380 0.8 Brazil 2 707 0.9 84.9 26 Vietnam 3 075 0.7 South Africa 2 564 0.8 85.7 27 Thailand 2 733 0.7 Thailand 1 962 0.6 86.3 28 Singapore 2 712 0.7 Czech Republic 1 959 0.6 86.9 29 Qatar 2 705 0.6 Austria 1 702 0.6 87.5 30 Hungary 2 661 0.6 Malaysia 1 644 0.5 88.0 31 Austria 2 652 0.6 Finland 1 581 0.5 88.5 32 Saudi Arabia 2 642 0.6 Qatar 1 518 0.5 89.0 33 United Arab Emirates 2 603 0.6 Nigeria 1 502 0.5 89.5 34 Brazil 2 559 0.6 Israel 1 417 0.5 90.0 35 Finland 2 516 0.6 Portugal 1 379 0.4 90.4 36 Botswana 2 500 0.6 Greece 1 371 0.4 90.8 37 Australia 2 232 0.5 Hungary 1 254 0.4 91.2 38 South Africa 2 144 0.5 Taiwan 1 234 0.4 91.6 39 Portugal 1 979 0.5 Mexico 1 166 0.4 92.0 40 Israel 1 913 0.5 Chile 1 153 0.4 92.4 41 Bangladesh 1 911 0.5 Egypt 970 0.3 92.7 42 Slovakia 1 868 0.4 Romania 946 0.3 93.0 43 Kuwait 1 743 0.4 Botswana 722 0.2 93.2 44 Malaysia 1 688 0.4 Indonesia 700 0.2 93.4 45 Equatorial Guinea 1 624 0.4 New Zealand 647 0.2 93.6 46 Romania 1 506 0.4 Ukraine 596 0.2 93.8 47 Libya 1 314 0.3 Angola 572 0.2 94.0 48 Indonesia 1 255 0.3 Gibraltar 564 0.2 94.2 49 Pakistan 959 0.2 Kuwait 557 0.2 94.4 50 Lithuania 912 0.2 1 United Arab Emirates includes Dubai 2 United States includes Puerto Rico 3 This table replaces G1 of the Monthly Review of External Trade Statistics publication, which has now been discontinued. 13.8 22.3 30.4 37.0 42.9 47.9 52.1 55.8 58.8 61.8 63.7 65.6 67.4 69.2 71.0 72.7 74.4 75.9 77.3 78.7 79.8 80.7 81.5 82.3 83.1 83.8 84.5 85.2 85.8 86.4 87.0 87.6 88.2 88.8 89.4 90.0 90.5 91.0 91.5 92.0 92.5 92.9 93.3 93.7 94.1 94.5 94.8 95.1 95.3 95.5 OFFICIAL-SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 07 November 2014. 15. UK'S TOP 30 EXPORT AND IMPORT COMMODITIES IN 2013 By SITC (R4) Division BoP-consistent basis EXPORTS Commodity 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 IMPORTS Division Value £ million % of Total Cumulative UK Exports percentage Commodity Division Mechanical machinery 71:74 minus 716 41 726 13.6 13.6 1 Electrical machinery 716+75+76+77 Cars 781 24 671 8.0 21.6 2 Mechanical machinery 71:74 minus 716 Electrical machinery 716+75+76+77 24 089 7.9 29.5 3 Crude oil 333 Medicinal & pharmaceutical produ 54 20 668 6.7 36.2 4 Cars 781 Refined oil 334+335 19 925 6.5 42.7 5 Refined oil 334+335 Crude oil 333 19 389 6.3 49.0 6 Other miscellaneous manufactu 80 Other miscellaneous manufactures 80 12 056 3.9 52.9 7 Medicinal & pharmaceutical prod 54 Scientific & photographic 87+88 11 168 3.6 56.5 8 Clothing 84 Aircraft 792 11 030 3.6 60.1 9 Road vehicles other than cars 78 minus 781 Unspecified goods 9 8 242 2.7 62.8 10 Fuels other than oil 32+34+35 Organic chemicals 51 7 727 2.5 65.3 11 Scientific & photographic 87+88 Beverages 11 7 006 2.3 67.6 12 Aircraft 792 Road vehicles other than cars 78 minus 781 6 852 2.2 69.8 13 Organic chemicals 51 Iron & steel 67 6 103 2.0 71.8 14 Miscellaneous metal manufactur 69 Plastics 57+58 5 572 1.8 73.6 15 Plastics 57+58 Fertilisers & other chemicals 56+59 5 328 1.7 75.3 16 Vegetables & fruit 05 Toilet & cleansing preparations 55 5 324 1.7 77.0 17 Paper & paperboard 64 Clothing 84 5 177 1.7 78.7 18 Non-ferrous metals excl. silver 68 minus 681 Non-ferrous metals excl. silver 68 minus 681 4 968 1.6 80.3 19 Meat & meat preparations 01 Miscellaneous metal manufactures 69 4 800 1.6 81.9 20 Iron & steel 67 Precious stones 667 4 460 1.5 83.4 21 Beverages 11 Works of art 896 4 450 1.5 84.9 22 Toilet & cleansing preparations 55 Metal ores & scrap 28 4 073 1.3 86.2 23 Fertilisers & other chemicals 56+59 Fuels other than oil 32+34+35 3 607 1.2 87.4 24 Unspecified goods 9 Jewellery 897 3 089 1.0 88.4 25 Metal ores & scrap 28 Textile fabrics 65 2 809 0.9 89.3 26 Textile fabrics 65 Inorganic chemicals 52 2 571 0.8 90.1 27 Precious stones 667 Paper & paperboard 64 2 291 0.7 90.8 28 Footwear 85 Silver 681 2 192 0.7 91.5 29 Silver 381 Dyeing, tanning & colouring mate 53 2 039 0.7 92.2 30 Works of art 896 Export and import figures are both affected by trade associated with VAT MTIC fraud. In particular, trade in telecommunications equipment and office machines machines is affected: these categories of goods include mobile phones and computer components. 1 This table replaces G2 of the Monthly Review of External Trade Statistics publication, which has now been discontinued. Value % of Total Cumulative £ million UK Imports percentage 52 709 36 006 25 277 24 567 24 050 23 068 21 272 16 567 16 510 12 413 10 764 9 315 8 165 8 059 7 982 7 318 5 880 5 833 5 778 5 353 5 155 5 076 4 954 4 902 4 780 4 755 4 385 4 042 3 781 3 692 12.6 8.6 6.1 5.9 5.8 5.5 5.1 4.0 4.0 3.0 2.6 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9 1.8 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 12.6 21.2 27.3 33.2 39.0 44.5 49.6 53.6 57.6 60.6 63.2 65.4 67.4 69.3 71.2 73.0 74.4 75.8 77.2 78.5 79.7 80.9 82.1 83.3 84.4 85.5 86.6 87.6 88.5 89.4 OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 16 SELECTED AVERAGE STERLING EXCHANGE RATES Not seasonally adjusted Sterling effective exchange rate index1 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 Euro Australian dollar Canadian dollar Danish kroner Hong Kong dollar Japanese yen New Zealand dollar Norwegian kroner South African rand Swedish kronor Swiss franc United States dollar BK67 100.3773 101.2108 103.6662 91.1011 80.5630 THAP 1.4629 1.4670 1.4619 1.2588 1.1233 AJFP 2.3851 2.4460 2.3899 2.1881 1.9905 AJFB 2.2048 2.0900 2.1467 1.9621 1.7800 AJFK 10.9013 10.9427 10.8921 9.3853 8.3644 AJFU 14.1477 14.3182 15.6201 14.4304 12.1432 AJFO 200.1512 214.3074 235.7603 192.4993 146.4476 AJFV 2.5819 2.8438 2.7217 2.6061 2.4860 AJFJ 11.7167 11.8114 11.7222 10.3404 9.8174 AJFW 11.5749 12.5201 14.1110 15.1339 13.1066 AJFI 13.5795 13.5731 13.5226 12.0951 11.9376 AJFD 2.2649 2.3079 2.4019 1.9995 1.6961 AUSS 1.8197 1.8431 2.0020 1.8541 1.5656 2010 2011 2012 2013 80.4228 79.9924 83.0037 81.4605 1.1664 1.1527 1.2337 1.1776 1.6828 1.5544 1.5302 1.6226 1.5925 1.5862 1.5839 1.6120 8.6869 8.5880 9.1832 8.7827 12.0099 12.4792 12.2956 12.1343 135.5170 127.8283 126.4747 152.5990 2.1426 2.0299 1.9571 1.9077 9.3384 8.9872 9.2225 9.1942 11.3082 11.6336 13.0139 15.0910 11.1270 10.4080 10.7368 10.1877 1.6100 1.4214 1.4867 1.4493 1.5454 1.6033 1.5851 1.5641 2011 Q4 80.3300 1.1660 1.5531 1.6085 8.6750 12.2286 121.5377 2.0243 9.0479 12.7309 10.6009 1.4335 1.5720 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 81.1855 83.1500 84.0572 83.6220 1.1985 1.2344 1.2633 1.2384 1.4888 1.5674 1.5207 1.5463 1.5733 1.5991 1.5728 1.5915 8.9110 9.1781 9.4058 9.2377 12.1937 12.2896 12.2526 12.4463 124.7128 126.8045 124.1914 130.1900 1.9199 2.0041 1.9533 1.9512 9.0938 9.3321 9.3386 9.1256 12.1806 12.8672 13.0465 13.9611 10.6079 11.0015 10.6580 10.6798 1.4475 1.4831 1.5203 1.4959 1.5713 1.5834 1.5798 1.6058 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 80.3581 80.5620 81.2871 83.6348 1.1751 1.1756 1.1708 1.1890 1.4938 1.5522 1.6926 1.7447 1.5644 1.5723 1.6107 1.6981 8.7648 8.7649 8.7315 8.8693 12.0358 11.9203 12.0243 12.5488 142.9929 151.6852 153.3291 162.3887 1.8591 1.8725 1.9435 1.9556 8.7338 8.9533 9.2882 9.8016 13.8899 14.5650 15.4753 16.4336 9.9863 10.0742 10.1586 10.5317 1.4433 1.4473 1.4451 1.4617 1.5519 1.5358 1.5504 1.6185 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 85.6656 86.9277 88.0237 1.2079 1.2278 1.2599 1.8452 1.8044 1.8052 1.8259 1.8354 1.8170 9.0144 9.1629 9.3888 12.8427 13.0498 12.9441 170.0767 171.8420 173.5561 1.9776 1.9552 1.9820 10.0832 10.0803 10.4318 17.9746 17.7551 17.9751 10.6980 11.1155 11.5975 1.4779 1.4968 1.5265 1.6551 1.6832 1.6700 2013 Jun 81.0462 1.1740 1.6409 1.5974 8.7557 12.0114 150.6311 1.9590 9.1009 15.4885 10.2073 1.4463 1.5478 Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec 80.0174 81.0454 82.7985 82.7444 83.6352 84.5249 1.1600 1.1649 1.1883 1.1797 1.1938 1.1947 1.6568 1.7161 1.7083 1.6913 1.7288 1.8228 1.5792 1.6134 1.6424 1.6677 1.6893 1.7424 8.6513 8.6881 8.8626 8.7993 8.9045 8.9128 11.7684 12.0265 12.3024 12.4787 12.4844 12.6969 151.2256 151.5566 157.4054 157.3514 161.3061 169.3183 1.9242 1.9591 1.9490 1.9286 1.9514 1.9912 9.1441 9.2514 9.4827 9.5758 9.8108 10.0516 15.0442 15.5963 15.8265 15.9404 16.4436 16.9903 10.0384 10.1380 10.3109 10.3165 10.6060 10.7012 1.4345 1.4361 1.4658 1.4528 1.4704 1.4627 1.5172 1.5507 1.5865 1.6094 1.6104 1.6375 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun 85.5424 85.8613 85.5931 86.2039 86.8723 87.7070 1.2097 1.2122 1.2021 1.2125 1.2267 1.2436 1.8596 1.8460 1.8292 1.7977 1.8100 1.8054 1.8027 1.8305 1.8460 1.8401 1.8350 1.8314 9.0260 9.0461 8.9721 9.0517 9.1563 9.2752 12.7770 12.8536 12.9011 12.9832 13.0584 13.1051 170.9228 169.1019 170.1186 171.5772 171.3765 172.5376 1.9896 1.9966 1.9471 1.9450 1.9586 1.9617 10.1529 10.1281 9.9673 10.0081 10.0011 10.2245 17.9288 18.1450 17.8605 17.6482 17.5378 18.0640 10.6839 10.7545 10.6588 10.9570 11.0732 11.3068 1.4891 1.4805 1.4637 1.4782 1.4970 1.5144 1.6470 1.6567 1.6622 1.6743 1.6844 1.6906 Jul Aug Sep 88.7589 87.7902 87.5221 1.2611 1.2542 1.2639 1.8182 1.7946 1.8013 1.8325 1.8250 1.7937 9.4033 9.3496 9.4093 13.2289 12.9507 12.6403 173.6972 171.9172 174.8984 1.9646 1.9793 2.0026 10.5801 10.3535 10.3480 18.1934 17.8067 17.9000 11.6412 11.5255 11.6174 1.5324 1.5197 1.5265 1.7069 1.6709 1.6305 See Chapter 7 of the Financial Statistics Explanatory Handbook for fur ther information. 1 January 2005=100 2 This table replaces G3 of the Monthly Review of External Trade Statistics publication, which has now been discontinued. Source: Bank of England OFFICIAL - SENSITIVE until 9.30am on Friday 7th November 2014. 17R SUMMARY OF REVISIONS Balance of Payments Basis Trade in goods Trade in services Trade in goods & services £ Million (seasonally adjusted) £ Million (seasonally adjusted) £ Million (seasonally adjusted) Growth rates for volume and price indices (2010=100) Volume excluding oil and erratics Prices Expor ts Impor ts Balance Exports Imports Balance Exports Imports Balance Expor ts Impor ts Expor ts Impor ts BOKG − − − BOKH − − − BOKI − − − IKBB − − − IKBC − − − IKBD − − − IKBH − − − IKBI − − − IKBJ − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − 2012 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − 2013 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − 2014 Q1 Q2 Q3 − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. − − .. 2011 Dec − − − − − − − − − − − − − 2012 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − 2013 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − Jul Aug Sep −49 −183 .. −185 −332 .. 136 149 .. − − .. − − .. − − .. −49 −183 .. −185 −332 .. 136 149 .. 2.4 −1.9 .. 5.6 −7.0 .. −0.2 0.1 .. −0.1 0.2 .. 2013 Apr May Jun − − − − − − − − − − − − Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − 2014 Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − − Jul Aug Sep 0.8 1.0 .. 2.0 1.5 .. −0.1 −0.1 .. −0.1 − .. 2011 2012 2013 3 month on 3 month comparison: † Earliest date for revisions to trade in goods is July 2014. † There are no revisions to trade in services.
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