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FI, FX, Credit & Commodities
October 26, 2015
Credit rating list
We are updating our credit rating list as we have changed the outlook to negative from stable for LKAB’s BBB+
rating.
The credit rating list contains corporate ratings and outlooks for all issuers under our coverage, as well as senior
unsecured or senior secured ratings where they apply. The rating list will be updated on the internet and distributed
by email whenever we alter any rating or outlook. The updated list is always available on our Research website.
To view the most recent credit report on each issuer, please click on the date link in the far right column.
Corporate
rating
Senior
unsecured
BBB+
BBB+
Stable
Aker Solutions
BB+
BB+
Neg
Johan Sahlström
Arla
BBB
BBB
Neg
Johan Sahlström
Atrium Ljungberg
BBB
BBB-
Stable
Johan Sahlström
Balder
BB+
BB
Stable
Johan Sahlström
BillerudKorsnäs
BBB-
BBB-
Pos
Johan Sahlström
BKK
BBB+
BBB+
Neg
Castellum
BBB
BBB-
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Ola Eriksson / Johan
Sahlström
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Name
Agder Energi
Cloetta
Eidsiva Energi
Energiselskapet
Buskerud
Entra Eiendom
BB
Senior
secured
BB
Credit
outlook
Analyst(s)
Ola Eriksson
BBB+
BBB+
Neg
Ola Eriksson
BBB
BBB
Stable
Ola Eriksson
A-
A-
Stable
Johan Sahlström
Hafslund
BBB+
BBB+
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Hexagon
BBB
BBB
Stable
Ola Eriksson
A-
A-
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Husqvarna
BBB-
BBB-
Stable
Ola Eriksson
ICA Gruppen
BBB
BBB
Stable
Johan Sahlström
A
A
Stable
Johan Sahlström
LKAB
BBB+
BBB+
Neg
Ola Eriksson
Lyse Energi
BBB+
BBB+
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Hufvudstaden
Jernhusen
Meda
BB-
NCC
BB+
BB+
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Neste
BBB-
BBB-
Stable
Ola Eriksson
NorgesGruppen
A-
A-
Stable
Johan Sahlström
Nynas
B
B-
Neg
Olav Thon Eiendom.
BBB+
BBB
PostNord
BBB+
A-
Ola Eriksson
Stable
Johan Sahlström
BBB+
Neg
Johan Sahlström
Posten Norge
A-
A-
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Ringeriks Kraft
BBB-
BBB-
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Schibsted
BBB
BBB
Neg
Ola Eriksson
Skanska
Sogn og Fjordane
Energi
BBB
BBB
Stable
Ola Eriksson
BBB
BBB
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Steen & Ström
Stena Metall
BBB+
BB+
BBB
BB+
Stable
Stable
Johan Sahlström
Ola Eriksson
For full disclaimer and definitions, please refer to the end of this report.
A-
Most recent
research
2015-07-01
2015-05-04
2015-10-06
2015-05-25
2015-10-16
2015-10-21
2015-07-01
2015-10-16
2015-02-18
2015-07-01
2015-07-01
2014-12-05
2015-07-01
2015-02-11
2015-02-20
2015-04-24
2015-06-09
2015-07-28
2015-10-23
2015-07-01
2015-01-16
2015-03-19
2015-01-13
2014-09-22
2015-09-01
2014-03-03
2015-08-13
2015-08-09
2015-07-01
2015-05-11
2014-11-10
2015-07-01
2015-06-03
2015-10-23
Corporate
rating
Senior
unsecured
Sunnhordland Kraftlag
Sveaskog
Swedavia
Tafjord Kraft
Thon Holding
Tine SA
Tussa Kraft
Tele2
Vacse
Vapo
BBB+
AABBBBBB+
ABBBBBB
BBB
B+
BBB+
AABBBBBB+
ABBBBBB
BBB
Vasakronan
Wihlborgs
ÅF
BBB+
BBBBBB-
BBB+
BB+
BBB-
Name
Senior
secured
A-
Credit
outlook
Analyst(s)
Most recent
research
Under
review
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Stable
Pos
Stable
Ola Eriksson
Ola Eriksson
Ola Eriksson
Ola Eriksson
Johan Sahlström
Johan Sahlström
Ola Eriksson
Ola Eriksson
Johan Sahlström
Johan Sahlström
2015-07-01
2015-02-10
2015-02-20
2015-07-01
2015-03-03
2015-03-06
2015-07-01
2015-10-21
2014-11-19
2015-08-03
Stable
Stable
Stable
Ola Eriksson / Johan
Sahlström
Johan Sahlström
Johan Sahlström
2015-08-25
2015-04-08
2015-04-28
Sources: Handelsbanken Capital Markets. Editor: Eva Dorenius, +46 8 701 5054, [email protected]
Recommendation Structure, Definitions and Allocations
Handelsbanken Capital Markets Equity Research (HCM) employs a four-graded recommendation scale. The recommendations reflect the analyst’s assessment of how much the share price may
appreciate or depreciate in absolute terms in a 12-month time horizon and takes into account risks related to both fundamental expectations and share performance. Investment ratings are
determined by the ranges described in the table below. The recommendations do not represent the analyst’s or the bank’s assessment of the company’s fundamental value or quality. All
investments involve risks and investors are encouraged to make their own decision as to the appropriateness of an investment in any securities referred to in this report, based on their specific
investment objectives, financial status and risk tolerance. The recommendations and absolute performance intervals, together with the allocation of the rating categories amongst companies under
coverage and amongst companies under coverage for which Handelsbanken has provided investment banking services in the past 12 months are listed below:
Ratings: definitions and allocations
1
HCM Universe2
RTP is expected to be
HCM rating
Buy
>+20%
30%
Accumulate
+5% - +20%
44%
Reduce
-15% - +5 %
24%
Sell
< -15 %
1%
1 RTP is defined as the expected share price appreciation (depreciation) including dividends over the next 12 months
2 Percentage of companies under coverage within each rating category
3 Percentage of companies within each rating category for which investment banking services have been provided in the past 12 months
IB services3
6%
6%
4%
0%
Source: Handelsbanken Capital Markets, as per 23/10 2015
At times, the expected total returns may fall outside of the above stated ranges because of price movement and/or volatility. Such interim deviations from specified ranges will be permitted but will
become subject to review by Research Management. Recommendations are continuously reviewed by the analyst and monitored by the Research Management and will be updated and/or
refreshed regularly. The rationale behind a change in recommendation will be explained in such a refresher/update.
The target price (TP) is the analyst’s assessment of the level at which the share should be traded in a 12-month period. The TP is used as a basis for the recommendation (see explanation above)
and takes into account timing-related issues and triggers, such as relative valuation and newsflow. The TP does not represent the analyst’s or the bank’s assessment of the company’s
fundamental value or quality.
Valuation and earnings forecasts
Target prices, outlooks and recommendations expressed in this research report are based on a combination of valuation models, such as discounted cash flow (DCF) and relative valuation to peers
using ratios such as price-to-earnings (P/E), enterprise-value-to-operating profit (EV/EBITDA), price-to-book (P/B) and earnings models. Sales and earnings forecasts are based on historical financial
data as reported by the company and the analyst's expectations for company-specific performance are derived from expectations of micro- and macro-economic developments. The company's
different business segments are modelled separately in this process and then aggregated to achieve group forecasts for sales, earnings, cash flow and the balance sheet.
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When distributed in the United States
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Equity & Credit Research
Head of Equity and Credit Research
Healthcare
Peder Frölén
Medtech
+46 8 701 1251
[email protected]
Annette Lykke
Consumer Discretionary & Staples
Pharmaceuticals
Consumer Goods
Rasmus Engberg
Erik Sandstedt
Marcela Klang
Peter Wallin
Robin Santavirta
Kjetil Lye
+46 8 701 1727
Karri Rinta
+46 8 701 3636
+46 8 701 5116
Energy
Telecom & IT
Telecom Operators
Thomas Heath
+46 8 701 5055
Telecom Equipment
Daniel Djurberg
+46 8 701 5575
Thomas Heath
+46 8 701 5055
Jan Dworsky
+46 8 701 5555
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+46 8 701 5114
Small/Mid Caps
+46 8 701 8016
+46 8 701 5118
Commercial Services
+46 8 701 4024
+45 46 79 1246
Materials
+46 8 701 1275
+46 8 701 3393
+358 10 444 2483
+46 8 701 5118
Branch Network
Steel and Metal
Anne Gjøen
+47 22 39 7022
Johannes Grunselius
+46 8 701 3892
Paper
Mikael Doepel
Sweden
Large Caps
Albin Sandberg
Marcela Klang
Staffan Åberg
Marcela Klang
+46 8 701 5555
Construction
Dan Togo Jensen
Fredrik Skoglund
Robin Santavirta
Strategy
+46 8 701 1275
+46 8 701 5118
Transportation
+46 8 701 3892
+47 22 39 7323
+46 8 701 8284
Jon Hyltner
Marcela Klang
+46 8 701 5055
+47 22 39 7022
Oil Services
Carl Bertilsson
+46 8 701 5575
Johannes Grunselius
+46 8 701 1251
+358 10 444 2752
Thomas Heath
Anne Gjøen
+46 8 701 3576
Tom Skogman
Daniel Djurberg
Jon Hyltner
Jan Dworsky
+45 46 79 1618
Small Caps
Oil and Gas
Hampus Engellau
Peder Frölén
IT
Media & Services
Daniel Råvik
Capital Goods
+45 46 791 295
Peter Sehested
+46 8 701 5116
+46 8 701 3128
+46 8 701 5118
+46 8 701 2534
+358 10 444 2483
+47 22 39 7299
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Rasmus Engberg
Industrials
+358 10 444 2450
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+46 8 701 4359
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+46 8 701 4113
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+46 8 701 3104
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+45 46 79 1504
Mikael Doepel
+358 10 444 2450
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Banking
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+46 8 701 3393
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Pierre Mellström
+46 8 701 5114
Kimmo Rämä
+46 8 701 2534
+45 46 79 1587
+358 10 444 2454
Investment Companies
Magnus Råman
+46 8 701 1727
Real Estate
Albin Sandberg
Marcela Klang
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+46 8 701 5118
Utilities
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Peter Karlsson, Global
+46 8 701 2151
[email protected]
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+358 10 444 6215
[email protected]
+46 8 463 2561
[email protected]
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Lauri Suoninen, Finland
+1 212 326 5153
+44 207 57 88658
[email protected]
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+47 22 82 3051
[email protected]
[email protected]
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Jesper Olsen, Copenhagen
Joe Tracy, Continental Europe
+46 8 463 3601
[email protected]
+45 884 15706
[email protected]
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