Capital Markets Day 13 November 2014 DISCLAIMER These materials are being supplied to you by Genel Energy plc (the “Company”) solely for your information and for use at this presentation. All numbers and charts included in this presentation are from Company data unless specified otherwise. These materials may not be reproduced in any form, redistributed or passed on, directly or indirectly, to any other person or published, in whole or in part, by any medium or for any purpose. Failure to comply with this restriction may constitute a violation of applicable securities laws. 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By attending the presentation or by accepting any copy of the materials presented, you agree to be bound by the foregoing limitations. 2 Highlights and strategy Political update KRI oil business KRI gas business Exploration Financials and guidance Summary and Q&A 3 HIGHLIGHTS KRI exports ramp-up Pipeline capacity in Turkey no longer a constraint – currently 500,000 bopd to increase to 700,000 bopd by year-end 2014 Pipeline exports currently at c.300,000 bopd, expected to increase to 400,000 bopd by year-end and 500,000 bopd in Q1 2015 KRG on track to budget equilibrium in Q1 2015 Increasing production Net working interest production up 47% YTD to 66,000 boepd Strong future production growth: 2015 working interest production guidance of 90,000-100,000 boepd New gas deal signed Term sheet signed with the KRG Ministry of Natural Resources for development of Bina Bawi and Miran Key terms agreed with OMV’s to acquire its 36% operated stake in Bina Bawi Strong financial position Strong balance sheet with cash balances at end Q3 2014 of c.$660 million 4 STRATEGY Maintain the highest level of corporate governance Create value with the drill bit Manage our KRI business on a broadly cash flow neutral basis Maximise shareholder returns by monetising at all points in the exploration, development and production cycle and return excess cash to shareholders Build a material Exploration and Production company 5 Highlights and strategy Political update KRI oil business KRI gas business Exploration Financials and guidance Summary and Q&A 6 POLITICAL UPDATE – KRI EMERGING AS A REGIONAL FORCE KRI safe and secure KRG consolidating power in expanded KRI with international support KRG has a prominent position in new Iraqi Government KRG on track to budget equilibrium in Q1 2015 Turkey remains resolute in its support for the KRG 7 KRI INDEPENDENT EXPORT ROUTE ESTABLISHED 3 month track record of pipe exports to Ceyhan Pipeline export capacity 500,000 bopd by end November, 700,000 bopd by early 2015 Storage capacity of 2.5 mmbbls available for KRI crude at Ceyhan 30 cargoes with over 23 mmbbls of KRI crude lifted, regular sales made 24 cargoes delivered oil 5 en route to destinations 1 tanker offshore US as claim goes through US courts Payment for KRI oil flowing to KRG via KRG controlled Halkbank account KRI exports will continue to increase Note: Information on cargoes, tankers and sales based on Platts and Bloomberg reports 8 KRI EXPORT EVOLUTION Total export volumes (kb/d) 58 107 101 163 184 310 380 430 495 525 545 700 700 700 480 500 800 600 KRI budget equilibrium: c.500kbpd export volumes 500 kbopd 500 400 300 300 300 300 450 200 150 150 350 400 280 0 107 150 57 56 34 30 30 30 45 45 45 Jul-14 Aug-14 Sep-14 Oct-14E End Nov-14E End Dec-14E End Jan-15E End Feb-15E End Mar-15E 49 44 16 42 59 Q1-14 Q2-14 Trucked exports Pipeline exports Pipeline capacity Note: Liquids export volumes are indicative based on publicly available information, media reports and internal estimates. Data reflects averages for historical periods and month end estimates for forecasts Source: Company disclosures, media reports 9 REGIONAL PIPELINE INFRASTRUCTURE 40” Pipeline with 500,000 bopd of capacity, upgrade to 700,000 bopd by year-end 2014 Tank Farm = 9.5 mmbbls capacity Allocated to KRI = 2.5 mmbbls capacity Tawke field, 100,000 bopd of pipeline capacity, rising to >350,000 bopd by year-end 2014 400,000 bopd capacity pipeline to expand to 700,000 bopd by early 2015 Taq Taq 46” Pipeline with 1mm bopd of capacity Khurmala Dome 30 tankers shipped totaling over 23 mmbbls of Kurdish crude Avana Dome Bai Hassan Baba Dome Kurdistan Region of Iraq (KRI) KRG controlled areas KRI export pipeline Iraq Turkey pipeline - Iraq section (currently disused) Iraq – Turkey pipeline – Turkish section Note: Information on cargoes, tankers and sales based on Platts and Bloomberg reports 10 Highlights and strategy Political update KRI oil business KRI gas business Exploration Financials and guidance Summary and Q&A 11 LOW COST AND RESILIENT KRI OIL AND GAS BUSINESS Breakeven of non-producing and recently on-stream oil assets Low cost onshore oil and gas: 160 Taq Taq and Tawke life of field F&D costs < $3/bbl Taq Taq and Tawke opex < $2/bbl 150 Marginal heavy oil and deep water, Kashagan 140 130 Miran and Bina Bawi life of field F&D < $5/boe Low breakeven oil price for KRI PSCs relative to other fiscal regimes Kurdistan PSCs relatively insensitive to oil price for Contractors 120 Commercial breakeven (US$/bbl) (1) 110 100 90 80 Brazil Campos basin, Bakken core, Permian Delaware, Utica, Iara, GoM and heavy oil 70 Taq Taq and Tawke: 10% fall in oil price = c.6% fall in net Contractor proceeds over the next 2 years 60 Cash flow margins resilient to oil price volatility relative to other fiscal regimes 40 50 Best of GoM, Brazil Santos basin, Johan Sverdrup 30 Kurdistan 20 - 10,000 20,000 30,000 40,000 50,000 Cumulative peak oil production (kb/d) 1) Includes surface gas treatment facilities. Note: Estimates for breakeven prices do not include the costs of acreage acquisition or exploration that, if included, would lead to higher breakeven commodity prices. This can be particularly material for North American onshore resource plays Source: Top 400 Projects, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research 12 TAQ TAQ UPDATE 9M 2014 average production c.97,000 bopd Taq Taq well locations: Plan View Wells 17 current producing wells with well production capacity of c.150,000 bopd First horizontal well TT-24 to spud in Q4 2014 One additional well to be drilled in 2015 Facilities and infrastructure Installation of temporary production facility to increase processing capacity to 150,000 bopd in Q1 2015 Completion of CPF II in Q3 2015 to permanently increase facility capacity to 200,000 bopd Taq Taq export pipeline capacity at 150,000 bopd 13 TAWKE UPDATE 9M 2014 average production of c.87,000 bopd Wells Tawke-25 and Tawke-26 (horizontal) recently completed, initially tested at up to 7,500 bopd and 5,000 bopd respectively New Tawke-28 well undergoing stimulation and testing, rig moved and currently drilling Tawke-27 With five horizontal wells drilled in 2014, total number of wells will reach 28 by year-end, of which 25 are on production Two additional Cretaceous wells to be drilled in 2015 Facilities and infrastructure Installation of 80,000 bopd EPF to increase processing capacity to 200,000 bopd by early 2015 New 24 inch pipeline to Fishkhabour expected to be complete by year-end to increase export capacity to >350,000 bopd and deliver transportation system redundancy 14 Highlights and strategy Political update KRI oil business KRI gas business Exploration Financials and guidance Summary and Q&A 15 TRANSFORMATIONAL KRI GAS BUSINESS World-class resource 11tcf mean gas resources, 80 mmbbls mean liquid resources Material and growing domestic market opportunity 3-5 bcma of near-term domestic market demand from power plants and industrial users Cost competitive Well positioned on cost curve to meet Turkish gas demand Next to one of world’s fastest growing, major gas markets Turkey gas exports – short, low-cost tie-in to Turkey infrastructure KRG / Turkey GSA signed 4 bcma of gas exports from 2018 10 bcma by 2020 and option of increasing to 20 bcma thereafter KRG to become major gas exporter 16 NEW DEAL – A WIN-WIN FOR KRG AND GENEL New gas deal signed Detailed Gas term sheet signed, final PSC Amendment Agreement to be completed by year-end Miran and Bina Bawi to be combined under one PSC Genel to become sole Contractor at Miran & Bina Bawi Genel to acquire OMV’s 36% operated stake in Bina Bawi; $20m upfront and $130m staged after first gas Financing solution Contractor responsibilities: (i) oil development, (ii) gas wells & flowlines, (iii) first stage condensate separation KRG responsibilities: gas treatment facilities Reduced gross Contractor gas capital exposure to c.$1bn until first gas Unlocks significant value for KRI and Genel Attractive life of field returns for Genel’s gas business including historic acquisition costs 17 NEW DEAL – GAS & CONDENSATES Structure New structure (gas/condensates) Miran and Bina Bawi combined under one PSC with one aggregate production target: 1,400 mmscfd raw gas from 2018 Raw Gas Wells Gas wells and flow lines First stage condensate (primarily C5+) removal plant Condensate storage and loading facility Contractor Genel’s responsibilities (development & operation) Export market Trunk/flow lines Condensates (C5+) First Stage Condensate Removal Plant Genel’s entitlement $0.78 fee per mscf raw gas delivered to gas treatment plant KRG responsibilities (development & operation) Gas treatment facilities Completed through a 3rd Party EPC contract – KRG to begin tender process H1 2015 KRG entitlement 100% sales gas 100% residual condensates and LPGs (primarily C3 to C5) Condensate Removal + Loading: Residual Gas Stream 3rd Party 100% condensates separated at first stage removal plant 3rd Party Gas Processing Facilities Sulphur Genel responsibility Sales Gas KRG Condensate Loading Facilities Residual Condensates & LPGs KRG responsibility Turkey GSA 18 NEW DEAL – OIL Structure Miran and Bina Bawi combined under one PSC Responsibilities (development & operation) Contractor responsible for the development and operation of all oil resources Contractor entitlement 100% oil produced until all licence back costs (including historic oil, gas and acquisition costs) fully recovered Thereafter 50% of oil produced Resource Range: 24–34–71 mmbbls 30 mmbbls to be booked as 2P reserves at year-end Development Fast track development with Early Production Facilities Provides early cash flow to offset against the gas development capex Miran – cross-section 19 MIRAN AND BINA BAWI RESOURCES Raw gas (tcf) Liquids (mmbbls)(1) 19tcf 20 18 80 142mmbls 70 16 7 14 60 79mmbls 11tcf 50 12 50 60 40 10 4 8 48mmbls 6tcf 30 6 12 20 2 4 2 32 30 17 7 23 10 4 21 13 11 7 0 0 Low Mean Bina Bawi Raw Gas High Miran Raw Gas 4 1 Low Condensate Low Oil Bina Bawi Condensate Mean Condensate Mean Oil Bina Bawi Oil High Condensate Miran Oil High Oil Miran Condensate Note: Downside / Upside show cumulative P10 / P90 figures 1) Condensate volumes are expected volumes from 1st stage separation (all net to Genel) Source: Miran (RPS November 2012), Bina Bawi (RPS August 2013), Genel. 20 KRI GAS – GAS / CONDENSATE DEVELOPMENT ASSUMPTIONS Miran Bina Bawi Mean raw gas 4.3tcf 7.1tcf Mean sales gas 3.5tcf 4.9tcf 32mmbbls 13mmbbls c.35 development wells c.35 development wells Average well costs $28m per well $32m per well Trunk/flowlines $5m per well $5m per well $75m $75m $0.8/boe $0.6/boe Mean condensate(1) Number of wells Condensate loading & separation facility Opex PSC restructuring lowers gross Contractor capital investment to $1bn until first gas 1) Condensate volumes are expected volumes from 1st stage separation (all net to Genel) 21 KRI GAS – ROAD MAP TO MONETISATION 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 DOC Miran HORIZTONTAL OIL WELL EARLY OIL EWT DOC OIL PRODUCTION Bina Bawi EXPORT GAS/CONDENSATE OIL PRODUCTION FEED MW5 Miran FID TURKEY / KRG ENERGY AGREEMENT Bina Bawi BB4/5 TESTING GENEL / KRG TERM SHEET AMENDMENT SIGNED GENEL / OMV BINA BAWI BUY-OUT AGREEMENT REACHED EARLY DOMESTIC GAS & EXPORT CONDENSATE SALES EXPORT GAS & CONDENSATE SALES EARLY DOMESTIC GAS & EXPORT CONDENSATE SALES EXPORT GAS & CONDENSATE SALES PSC AMENDMENT AGREEMENT COMPLETED FID EWT: Extended Well Test; DOC: Declaration of Commerciality; FEED: Front End Engineering Design; FID: Final Investment Decision; PSC: Production Sharing Contract 22 Highlights and strategy Political update KRI oil business KRI gas business Exploration Financials and guidance Summary and Q&A 23 EXPLORATION – FOCUSED AND DISCIPLINED KRI Peshkabir exploration Chia Surkh appraisal New opportunities Africa Exit Malta No plans for further drilling offshore Angola Evaluate Morocco Ethiopia first well end 2015/early 2016 Somaliland commence seismic operations by end 2015 Refocus new ventures onshore sub-Sahara Middle East Continue to evaluate onshore opportunities 24 HORN OF AFRICA Somaliland – Blocks SL-10B/13 & Odewayne Odewayne Block 50% Op Seismic acquisition in Q4 2015 aimed at unlocking Yemeni equivalent fairway Ethiopia – Adigala Block Berbera Burao Hargeisa Mesozoic prospectivity defined – c.200km2 structure identified on field processed data (200-750 mmbbls prospect) Block SL-10B/13 75% Op Adigala AdigalaBlock Block40% 40%Non NonOp Op Target : Tilted Fault Block 100km Prospect Area defined by 2014 2D Seismic Data Exhumed Jurassic Oil Field 10km 2014 2D Seismic 2009 2D Seismic Adigala – cross-section 25 Highlights and strategy Political update KRI oil business KRI gas business Exploration Financials and guidance Summary and Q&A 26 PRODUCTION AND SALES Net Genel production (kboepd) kboepd 100 80 Net Genel revenues ($m) YTD Average: 66kboepd 60 40 @ $100/bbl Sep-14 Aug-14 Jul-14 Jun-14 May-14 Apr-14 Mar-14 Feb-14 $600-700m(1) Jan-14 20 $500-600m(1) 90-100 kboepd $500-600m(1) @ $80/bbl 60-70 kboepd 348 44 FY 2013 2014E 2015E FY 2013 2014E 2015E (1) 2014E and 2015E guidance revenue recognition methodology on an accruals basis for domestic and export sales 27 BALANCE SHEET AND CAPITAL EXPENDITURE GUIDANCE $650m Strong balance sheet $564m Disciplined capital spend in KRI Focused and disciplined exploration $300-350m programme $229m Potential for cash return to shareholders $86m 2011 2012 KRI Development 2013 2014E KRI Exploration & Appraisal 2015E Africa Exploration 28 TRANSITION FROM DOMESTIC MARKET SALES TO EXPORTS Increased profitability 75% of sales now benefitting from pipeline export netback Pipeline transportation cost $5-10/bbl Export cash flows Q3 cash flow impacted by move to exports paid in arrears Receivables currently less than 4 months of revenue vs. 2-3 months expected once cash flows are normalised Genel working interest production (bopd) 100,000 2014 90,000 80,000 70,000 60,000 KRG assurance that Contractors will be paid in full in line with PSC Future free cash flow benefit 50,000 40,000 30,000 20,000 2015 sales expected to be at export pricing 10,000 Export cash flow and reduced capex will generate sustainable free cash flow going forward 0 2011 2012 2013 1Q 2Q 3Q 4QE 2015E Increased potential for cash return to shareholders Barrels benefitting from pipeline export pricing 29 Highlights and strategy Political update KRI oil business KRI gas business Exploration Financials and guidance Summary and Q&A 30 SUMMARY Politics KRI exports KRI Oil KRI Gas Exploration Financials KRI remains safe and secure, KRG working closely with international community Progress continues to be made following the formation of the new Iraqi Government Pipeline capacity in Turkey not a constraint – 700,000 bopd by early 2015 Pipeline export volumes currently at c.300,000 bopd to increase to 400,000 bopd by year-end and 500,000 bopd in Q1 2015 KRG on track to budget equilibrium in Q1 2015 Significant production growth of 47% YTD to 66,000 bopd Low cost and resilient KRI oil and gas business, relatively insensitive to oil price volatility New Miran and Bina Bawi gas deal signed with the KRG Genel acquisition of OMV interest in Bina Bawi Significant value creation for KRI and Genel Focused and disciplined Balance sheet strengthened Rising cash flows as pipeline exports become sustainable Disciplined 2015 capital programme 31 Appendix 32 GENEL ENERGY KRI LICENSES Khurmala to Fishkhabour, 400,000 bopd capacity Taq Taq to Khurmala 150,000 bopd capacity 33 Capital Markets Day 13 November 2014
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