November 2014 Volume 3, Issue 11 VINSON & ELKINS LLP ACTIVISM CONFERENCE REPORT ENERGY ACTIVISM IN NUMBERS ACTIVISM MONTHLY Lite In association with Editor’s letter Josh Black, Activist Insight T his month’s edition of Activism Capital. A private equity swoop for With not only this conference, but Monthly Premium magazine some of Bellatrix’s assets is exactly also several others on activism or has on what Orange Capital would like to securities regulation taking place at activism in companies in the energy see, while Civeo is also likely to see the same time, Canadians continue markets, which is timely given current some activism over its decision not to have an intense interest in activism. concerns about the oil market. In a to become a REIT but to instead re- Since at least seven activist firms and month where crude oil dipped below domicile to Canada to enjoy lower more or less all of the major players on $85, albeit briefly, there have been corporate taxes. the advisory side were represented a special focus concerns about the sustainability of many companies’ business plans. As our feature article shows, this brings both pitfalls and opportunities for activist investors. On the one hand, some investors who have waded deeply into the energy market are now looking to get themselves out of tricky positions. Lower prices “ Some investors in energy markets are looking to get themselves out of tricky positions” at the Activist Investing conference, this had a good claim to being the most comprehensive conference of all, and we have tried to bring you the best insights from the day later in this issue. Of course, this was also the month that Carl Icahn said Apple was trading We are fortunate to have input this at “half price” and Bill Ackman listed eating into quarterly earnings could month not only from some experienced his Pershing Square Holdings fund mean many cut their losses and investors, but from some of the on the Amsterdam Stock Exchange. run. Attiva Capital, an occasional pre-eminent advisers in the energy Activism Monthly Premium is often activist with a penchant for emerging space. Vinson & Elkins, a Houston described as the only publication markets, tweeted last month that oil firm originally but increasingly a dedicated solely to the activism was “headed towards $50.” An almost global one, is frequently named the space, and yet we feel it is worth apocalyptic prediction, to be sure, world’s leading energy law firm, and reminding readers of our Lite, online but even a more gradual slide would have kindly sponsored this month’s version that a whole lot more awaits cause some companies trouble. issue of Activism Monthly. For them them in the paid-subscription print to say that activism is the number one version. Coming to the end of our More attuned investors may hope to external issue in the boardrooms of first year of publishing, we are keen to spot bargains, however, particular companies they advise says a great hear feedback from our readers and in companies deal about the vulnerability the sector will increasingly be soliciting opinions that can be restructured in a more feels it has acquired over the past with a view to staying ahead of the shareholder-friendly three years. game in 2015. bigger player. Regular readers may Indeed, the impact of activism on For now though, thank you for remember last month’s discussion Calgary was one of many topics reading, and feel free to get in touch of Bellatrix Exploration, a Canadian being discussed on the fringes of the with any questions. company subject to some interest Arrowcon Partners Activist Investing recently from Daniel Lewis’ Orange in Canada conference in mid-October. infrastructure-heavy format, such as a REIT or MLP, or sold to a [email protected] 2 Contents 2 Editor’s letter 4 Nervous energy 8 The tip of the iceberg Full contents of Activism Monthly Premium Magazine, November 2014. To subscribe and access all this and more, see overleaf. 8 4 An interview with Kai Liekefett & Stephen Gill, Vinson & Elkins 10 Two ways to invest An interview with Franck Berlamont, Geneva Partners 12 12 Activist investing in Canada: Conference report 15 One to watch Elliott Management at Family Dollar Stores 16 Globalstar 18 News in brief 20 New investments 22 In the bank 16 An interview with Johnny Guerry, Clover Partners 23 Activism in numbers All rights reserved. The entire contents of Activism Monthly are the Copyright of Activist Insight Limited. No part of this publication may be reproduced without the express prior written approval of an authorized member of the staff of Activist Insight Limited, and, where permission for online publication is granted, contain a hyperlink to the publication. The information presented herein is for information purposes only and does not constitute and should not be construed as a solicitation or other offer, or recommendation to acquire or dispose of any investment or to engage in any other transaction, or as advice of any nature whatsoever. Credit: p19, Adidas store image: Tooykrub / Shutterstock.com PUBLISHED BY: Activist Insight Limited 26 York Street, London, W1U 6PZ +44 (0) 207 129 1314 www.activistinsight.com [email protected] Twitter: @ActivistInsight For additional copies, please contact Adam Riches at [email protected]. Activism Monthly Premium Market leading analysis, interviews with key players and the critical developments in activist investing Activism Monthly Premium magazine is the authoritative source of thought leadership and editorial in the activist investing space. “ Great articles on shareholder activism” Carl Icahn Feature articles, expert opinion, interviews with key players, campaign analyses, news round-ups and much more! “I’ve been impressed by the thoroughness and accuracy of Activist Insight’s research. I believe Activism Monthly Premium is ‘must read’ information both for activists and the advisory firms increasingly providing services around shareholder activism.” Greg Taxin, formerly of Clinton Group Subscribe today at www.activistinsight.com/ActivismMonthly The tip of the iceberg H An interview with Kai Liekefett and Stephen Gill ave you noticed an upsurge drop-downs into master in activism in the energy par tnerships, or MLPs. limited gas companies sometimes have industr y recently? more room for improvement than And third, the energy industr y Kai Liekefett: Up until 2012, activists has, for better or for worse, an weren’t entrepreneurial really focused companies. Indeed, smaller oil and on this or wildcatter mid- or large-cap companies. Do activists need exper tise in this sector. But in the last three years, culture, which has led to activists there were more than 30 repor ted calling activism campaigns in the U.S. and governance at energy companies. SG: numerous activist situations that Now, I think that focus is a bit characteristics that need to be were resolved outside the public overblown, understood, eye. investors firms What’s behind this rising activity in for care have been three drivers that we’ve seen. First, the shale boom has changed the industr y. The U.S. is now a leading producer of oil and gas in the world. The problem is that energy companies incurred record capital advisor y governance, In this industry, a lot of companies are susceptible to financial engineering” Are companies of all sizes being oil and gas prices have fallen and near-term profitability has been reduced. but has that unique doesn’t preclude the same plans being replicated. Understanding how assets are valued, and how they af fected? There proxy about industr y oil and gas companies and their shale boom, while at the same time Gill: and institutional The audience. expenditures in the midst of the Stephen but corporate and activists are playing to that “ the sector? better industr y to be successful? per form is impor tant. accounting Also, the requirements for oil and gas reser ves can be a trap for the unwar y. That said, we’ve seen most of the well-known activists investing in the sector, and we expect those that haven’t, like Pershing Square or Trian, to target the energy industr y before long. What are some of the arguments KL: It’s really happening all over the that do or don’t resonate in the energy industr y. Size is no longer industr y? a deterrent to activism. Last year, Second, in this industr y, a lot Elliot waged a proxy fight against KL: Let’s star t with what most of ten of Hess, which was then a $25 billion doesn’t work: company. shor t-term debate. companies are susceptible to financial engineering. Many This year Apache, a The long-term vs. Institutional energy companies have upstream $30 billion company, has become shareholders care primarily about and midstream assets; some also the target of Jana Par tners. The the situation at hand, and therefore have The bread and butter of activism in we advise clients to focus on downstream market pure the energy space, however, are near-term or mid-term results in a drives small- and mid-cap companies. campaign. This may be regrettable activist demands for spin-of fs and Some activists such as Loan Star because other Value specialize in targeting those beneficial or detrimental to our play currently assets. companies, divestitures, rewards which in par ticular whether activism 5 is “ACTIVISM FACILITATES DEALS, BUT IT CAN ALSO HAVE A CHILLING EFFECT” “ This is now the number one topic in our clients’ boardrooms” energy sector, we represent only issuers in this space. We have held discussions with some of the wellknown activists about other sectors and have represented “occasional activists” in economy in the long term remains however. For example last year other an impor tant question. we represented industries, an investment fund in its proxy fight to stop the SG: Kai Liekefett a $6 billion merger of Clear wire and coherent strategy, which is easily What does resonate is Sprint. Af ter four adjournments and understood by analysts, the market an intense campaign, the merger and investors generally. Proactive consideration engagement with your shareholders increased by around 70%. was eventually is critical – you need to be able to explain your strategy to a non- What do you expect to see from activist. Other than that, we advise activists in this sector in the near our clients to sit down and have a future? productive private meeting with the activist. Campaigns won’t see the KL: We think we’ve only seen the tip light of day if you can convince an of the iceberg. Many activists have activist that their plan won’t work. discovered this sector and we think that more will invest in the coming Has this increased activist activity years, especially as valuations in had an impact in the boardroom? equity markets may not reflect the intrinsic value of energy companies. Steve Gill SG: Beyond the usual industr y There’s also a relationship between trends, this is now the number activism and M& A activity in the one topic in the boardrooms of our sector. Activism facilitates deals, clients. As a result, boards are more but it can also have a chilling ef fect, sensitive to it. It can get personal, as but on the whole directors are about how transformational deals willing to listen to activists’ ideas. might be attacked by activists. There’s a lot more openness in Therefore, our clients have become terms of change, these directors careful about deals that are not are not zealots to their own ideas. immediately Also, activists have become more synergies sophisticated and the quality of apparent to the market. there have been accretive are not concerns or where immediately their nominees has become a lot better. Some boards might have Vinson financial exper tise, but an activist international & may come along and say, “I’ve approximately got one of the best COOs in the across 15 of fices worldwide. industr y among my nominees.” More than 400 V&E attorneys regularly Elkins LLP law 700 advise is firm an with law yers clients on Does Vinson & Elkins represent energy-related matters. Kai and activists as well as issuers? Stephen are based in the firm’s of fices in Houston, Texas. SG: As a leading law firm in the 6 Since 1917, V&E has been providing business solutions for clients, with a particular focus on the energy industry. Our international corporate practice collaborates across 15 global offices, handling corporate governance matters, transactions, investments, projects and disputes worldwide. V&E lawyers advise both public companies and shareholders in connection with shareholder activism, proxy contests, board structures, corporate governance and compliance, shareholder litigation, and internal investigations. To learn more, contact us or visit our website at www.velaw.com. Jeffery Burton Floyd +1.713.758.2194 [email protected] Stephen M. Gill +1.713.758.4458 [email protected] Vinson & Elkins LLP Attorneys at Law Abu Dhabi Austin Beijing Dallas Dubai Hong Kong Houston London Moscow New York Palo Alto Riyadh San Francisco Tokyo Washington www.velaw.com Kai Haakon E. Liekefett +1.713.758.3839 [email protected] Activist Investing in Canada: Conference report I ncreased interest investing in activist Partners Activist Investing in Canada Services, quipped, “When you have ever conference. “We do the latter, and dinner with someone, you have to since Pershing Square Capital we call all her workmates and tell expect that something’s going to them to share their views.” happen.” Management’s in Canada stunning victory over Canadian Pacific has left many seeking to understand what activists Indeed, grand gestures are a Nervousness about activism are looking for and how they build permanent fixture of the activist therefore support, and this event provided landscape on both sides of the US- Feinstein, an unbeatable introduction. With Canadian border. Engaged Capital’s Houlihan Lokey, says activism is on Pershing Square, Kerrisdale Capital, Glenn Welling, who prefers to stay its way to being viewed as a threat at Engaged Capital, FrontFour Capital out of the limelight where possible, the same level as hostile takeovers Management and VN Capital all admitted to the crowd that the in the 1980s, with similar efforts at represented on panels or in “fireside media had its uses. He went public preparedness taking place. Activism chats,” that introduction came direct, with the threat of a proxy contest now affects companies not merely as well as from the advisory side. at Abercrombie & Fitch after his at board level, but in all walks of concerns were dismissed, and within business, including on deals, with For one, Kerrisdale’s Navi Hehar sees weeks the company had added Feinstein saying roughly a third activist investing in a romantic light. seven new directors. More often, of M&A activity is stimulated by “Some guys like to message a girl he faces up to a CEO or Chairman activists. According to Scott Winters, up privately on Tinder, others send privately, over dinner. Sometimes the a Managing Director at proxy solicitor a dozen roses to her workplace,” he companies continue to stall. Yet as Innisfree, “The days of signing a told the audience at the Arrowcon Wes Hall, of Kingsdale Shareholder merger agreement and that being understandable. of investment is Gregg bank 8 “THE DAYS OF SIGNING A MERGER AGREEMENT AND THAT BEING THE END OF IT BECAUSE SHAREHOLDERS WILL BACK YOU REGARDLESS ARE OVER” “ Everyone thinks they can go a round with Mike Tyson until they get the first punch” the end of it because shareholders hold the reporting threshold for will back you regardless are over.” investments at 10% of a company’s equity and not of require greater Hall says he has a call once a week disclosures from an activist, but only acts on friendliness of Canada’s regulatory instances where the dissident is framework prepared to put up serious cash and unquestionable. to derivatives, activism the remains has an attractive value proposition. When acting for companies, he Nonetheless, differences first speaks to major shareholders The early warning report, used when to determine how much support an activist acquires more than 10% management can rely on. Where that of a business, requires an immediate support is limited, he recommends moratorium negotiation. “Everyone thinks they announcement within a couple of can go a round with Mike Tyson until days at most, unlike Schedule 13D, they get the first punch,” he says. which grants a ten day window before on trading remain. and an disclosure. Poison pills, previously Norton Rose Orestes used mostly for a 60-day halt in of the hostile bids, can now stretch to 120 Special Situations team at the law days and there is talk of a threshold firm, cautions his clients to beware below 10%. Many companies have of Pasparakis, “sheep Fulbright’s a in Co-Head clothing,” adopted advanced notice bylaws to saying that although there are lots wolves’ prevent nominations from the floor— of opportunities in Canada, there those that don’t have to maintain a are few real activists. Yet in the heightened level of preparedness. same week as the Ontario Securities Commission announced it would Activist Insight was a media sponsor of the inaugural ArrowCon Partners “Activist Investing in Canada” conference and produced a special edition of Activism Monthly Premium magazine for attendees. The document features interviews with conference speakers Walied Soliman and Orestes Pasparakis, of Norton Rose Fulbright, Wes Hall of Kingsdale Shareholder Services, and Paul Hilal of Pershing Square Capital Management. Those interested in receiving a copy can request a PDF by e-mailing [email protected]. As simple as: 1 Voting policies and contacts of each investor 2 Who voted and how at any shareholder meeting 3 How an institution typically votes on a particular issue Call or visit our website to arrange a trial: +44 (0) 20 7788 7772 • www.proxyinsight.com Activism in numbers High energy activists Fig 1: Number of campaigns launched by activists in the energy sector since 2010 6 5 Several activists have made the energy sector something of a specialty since 2010, despite being regarded as generalists. Carl Icahn has led campaigns at six different companies, according to Activist Insight, while JANA Partners and relatively new firm Lone Star Value Management are on five each. These include billion dollar companies, like Apache, Marathon Petroleum and Oil States International, as well as micro-caps like Antares Energy and Callon Petroleum. 5 3 2 In all, just under 50 investors have led activist campaigns in the sector since 2010. * Atlantic Investment Management, CalPERS, Osmium Partners, Sandell Asset Management, West Face Capital, Worldview Capital Management Carl Icahn JANA Lone Star Nanes Balkany Others* Can ada ) The challenge faced by American energy firms is highlighted by the fact that more than half of the activist targets in this sector are based in the US. Carl Icahn’s recent forays into Swiss firm Transocean and Canada’s Talisman Energy highlight the global reach of activism in this sector. r (8% Fig 2: Location of activist targets in energy sector since 2010 Othe US biggest stage for energy activism (18% ) ) pe US (52%) 2% (2 o ur E Energy sector subject to array of strategies 46 Fig 3: Frequency of activist tactics used in the energy sector since 2010 17 As in most sectors, activists investing in energy companies are keen to join the board in order to influence everything from operations to spin-offs and strategic planning. Board representation is therefore the dominant public demand made by activists, with twice as many campaigns as the next most frequent. 16 12 6 Board rep M&A CEO Spin-offs Return cash That said, the sector has its own trends, and consolidation and divestment strategies are popular with activists, as evidenced by the number of campaigns focused on M&A or spin-offs. Finally, the removal of powerful CEOs or founders, often deeply embedded in the fabric of energy companies, remains a popular tactic. 11 Activist Insight Online The definitive resource on activist investing Market-leading commentary, analysis and profiling of all activist situations worldwide Detailed profiles of 400 activist investors worldwide, Live and exclusive news service and alerts system, including investment strategy, activist holdings and keeping you informed of all activist situations performance. worldwide. Market analysis, intermediary profiling, bespoke data requests and much more... www.activistinsight.com
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