NORDIC ENERGY SUMMIT Christian Rynning-Tønnesen 19 March 2015 Strong energy demand growth outside Europe Electricity demand (indexed in 2000) 240 220 Peru India Turkey Brazil Chile 200 180 160 140 120 Nordic 100 Germany 80 2000 2 2004 2008 2012 Emerging markets have grown 70-100% during the last decade while European markets were roughly flat The world needs a climate agreement Global temperature ↑ 0.68 ◦C Carbon dioxide Arctic sea ice ↑ 399.73 metric ↓-258 billon tons per year ↓-13.3 per% change decade ↑ 3.18 mm per year ↓ 1.5 3 ppm Land ice Picture: NASA - Source for vital signs: www.climate/nasa.gov Sea level Forest cover million sq. km EU Energy union 4 Continued decentralisation Continued RES support Market re-design Well functioning ETS Massive cost reduction in solar PV Levelised cost of energy for PV in Germany 0,50 €/kWh 0,40 Power price for consumers in Germany 0,30 0,20 0,10 Whole sale power price 0,00 2006 5 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 Source: German Solar Industry Association / Bloomberg New Energy Finance 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Renewables are replacing fossil fuel in EU in 2014 New 10000 Decommissioned 5000 MW 0 -5000 -10000 Wind 6 Source: EWEA PV Gas Coal Biomass Hydro Waste Fuel oil Nuclear Coal-fired capacity will be significantly reduced Coal 2015 Closure 2025 7 Source: Statkraft 250 -29% Hydro and wind is most competitive in the Nordic market Production cost in Norway (2014) 1,8 1,6 LCOE (NOK/ kWh) 1,4 1,2 1,0 0,8 0,6 0,4 0,2 0,0 Vannkraft Hydro Vindkraft - land Wind - onshore Opex CapexInvesteringskostnader Opex 8 Kullkraft Coal Kjernekraft Nuclear Gasskraft Gas Driftsvedlikeholdskostnader Fuelog and emission costs Source: NVE, report 2/2015, «Kostnader i Energisektoren» Vindkraft hav Biokraft Wind – -offshore Bio Brensels- og utslippskostnader Sol PV Solar PV Projected production mix Yearly production in TWh Renewables 2005 EU reference year Nuclear Germany UK Sweden Norway Fossil Renewables 2025 Nuclear Germany 9 UK Sweden Norway Fossl Statkraft overview 100 % owned by the Norwegian state Sweden 1 511 MW Installed capacity 18 200 MW1 Power production A- / Baa1 56 TWh from S&P and Moody’s 99% renewable energy Panama (project) UK 243 MW Germany 2 692 MW Nepal 23 MW Laos 50 MW Albania (project) Peru 182 MW (+ project) Chile 105 MW STATKRAFT SN POWER/ AGUA IMARA 1Statkraft’s Norway 12 988 MW direct and indirect ownership in power plants India 91 MW Turkey 20 MW (+ projects) Brazil 101 MW Zambia 6 MW Philippines 146 MW Strategic focus areas European Flexible Generation 11 Market operations International Hydropower Wind District Heating Innovation Majority ownership in Desenvix, Brazil 74 MW Monjolinho Large and growing power market The acquisition provides cash flow and new greenfield pipeline for the P&C unit 10 hydro power plants, 2 windfarms, transmission assets 12 Acquisition of majority in Pilmaiquén ,Chile 52 MW Rucatayo Stable regulatory business environment with a low FX risk The acquisition provides cash flow and new greenfield pipeline for the P&C unit Operating plant is 100% merchant allowing commercial flexibility Located in an area with highly stable hydrologic history, providing diversification to existing assets 13 Kjøllefjord Statkraft’s onshore wind power Hitra Smøla Under construction / operations Stamåsen Mörttjärnberget Björkhöjden Ögonfägnaden Concessions / Under development Baillie Berry Burn Andershaw Alltwalis 14 Em Tollarpabjär Advancing to lead offshore developer Offshore 150 km Statkraft’s capabilities Offshore 50 km Offshore 40 km Offshore 20 km Onshore Onshore wind Developer 10 projects in UK, Sweden and Norway Sheringham Shoal Partner in construction Operator in O&M phase - 317 MW Dudgeon - Integrated partner in development and construction Triton Knoll - Manager in development and construction phases Dogger Bank - 6 projects in total - Operator on one of the first four projects - Up to 7200MW - Up to 900MW - 402MW Project complexity 15 Biofuel development with Södra Cell Ambition: Full scale commercial biofuel production 16 Statkraft has experienced strong growth Equity development + NOK 29 billion in net dividend NOK 88 billion NOK 75,6 billion equity increase NOK 12,4 billion 1992 17 Robust financial situation and ambitious capex program: NOK 61 billion from 2014-2018 2014 Alternative financing models Examples of alternative financing structures: - Statkraft International Hydro Invest SN Power UK onshore wind UK offshore wind 67 % 50% 51 % 40 % Statkraft’s ambition: Be the industrial partner in order to leverage key industrial skills within O&M, energy management and trading operations Partners also in new projects 18 Wind power in mid-Norway Snillfjord Fosen Fosen Vind AS 19 MW Storheia 250 Roan 240 Kvenndalsfjellet 110 Total, min 600 SAE Vind AS Fosen MW Geitfjellet 200 Hitra 2 100 Remmafjellet 100 Total, min 400 Snillfjord Opportunity for external investors in Fosen Vind AS Statkraft ≥ 50,1 % Agder Energi ≤ 20,9% NTE ≤ 14,5% Trønder Energi ≤ 14,5% Investor 15-40 % Service agreement Fosen Vind AS Roan 300 MW* 20 Kvenndalsfjellet 120 MW* Storheia 220 MW* * Production capacity in the concession Summary 21 The climate challenge is increasingly influencing energy policies European energy transition from fossil to renewable energy Statkraft has a solid financial track record Possibilities for investors to co-invest with Statkraft in Fosen Vind AS and other projects THANK YOU www.statkraft.com
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